The Ben Shapiro Show - The Great Divide | Ep. 655

00:00:00.000 Republicans make shocking gains in the Senate, Democrats win the House, and Election 2020 begins today.

00:00:06.000 I'm Ben Shapiro.

00:00:06.000 This is The Ben Shapiro Show.

00:00:12.000 I know you're all screaming, oh, no, not election 2020.

00:00:15.000 Can we have a moment to breathe?

00:00:16.000 No, no, you can't.

00:00:17.000 This is like when the Christmas music starts in the middle of Thanksgiving.

00:00:21.000 OK, 2020 has begun because it is now after the 2018 elections.

00:00:25.000 I have a lot to say about the 2020 elections.

00:00:27.000 I have a theory of what Trump is electorally that I think tracks much more closely with the data than a lot of the theories that have been out there before.

00:00:34.000 I came up with it this morning and I'm very proud of myself.

00:00:36.000 We'll see if you agree with that theory in just a little while.

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00:01:44.000 Okay, so last night was an exciting night.

00:01:47.000 As the night started, it looked like Republicans were going to defy all expectations of political gravity.

00:01:52.000 By the time the night was over, it looked sort of like we had predicted here on the show yesterday.

00:01:56.000 I suggested on the show yesterday that Democrats win 35 seats.

00:01:59.000 Turns out they won 34.

00:02:00.000 It looks like they're going to win 34 in the House.

00:02:03.000 And I predicted that Republicans were going to pick up anywhere from two to four seats in the Senate, which they did.

00:02:08.000 It looks like they picked up three in the Senate right now, maybe four by the time all of this is said and done.

00:02:13.000 Now, this has led to a lot of puzzlement.

00:02:15.000 How is it that Republicans could lose the House but pick up seats in the Senate?

00:02:18.000 Well, because the map was uniquely bad for Democrats this time around in the Senate.

00:02:22.000 But Republicans did overperform.

00:02:24.000 And yes, President Trump had something to do with that.

00:02:26.000 President Trump visited a bunch of battleground states in hotly contested Senate races, and every place he visited, the candidate won.

00:02:33.000 President Trump has a unique gift for getting the base revved up, and particularly in close Senate elections, that does matter.

00:02:39.000 So he does have coattails when it comes to getting the base out.

00:02:42.000 He does have reverse coattails, however, when it comes to House races.

00:02:45.000 Virtually every purple seat that was contested, every seat in a suburban district that Republicans held, went to Democrats last night.

00:02:52.000 That is deeply troubling for Republicans.

00:02:54.000 So, there's good news for Democrats, there's good news for Republicans, there's bad news for Democrats, and there's bad news for Republicans.

00:03:01.000 The good news for Republicans first.

00:03:04.000 The good news is that the kind of beloved star-making candidacies, Beto O'Rourke and Andrew Gillum in Florida, Beto O'Rourke being the Senate candidate in Texas, those came to an end last night.

00:03:15.000 All of that came to a crashing halt.

00:03:16.000 Beto O'Rourke spent more money than God has and still lost his race.

00:03:20.000 It was shockingly close.

00:03:21.000 It was a three-point race that he lost in Texas.

00:03:23.000 I think a lot of that has to do with the deeply flawed candidacy of Senator Ted Cruz, who has sort of mortally wounded himself in a lot of ways.

00:03:30.000 Since 2016.

00:03:31.000 But with all of that said, Beto O'Rourke did go down in flames after spending one bajillion dollars.

00:03:36.000 That is an actual number.

00:03:37.000 One bajillion dollars was spent by Beto O'Rourke.

00:03:39.000 He went down anyway.

00:03:41.000 He was basically like the Joker in Dark Knight.

00:03:44.000 He just went around saying that it's not the money that matters.

00:03:46.000 It's the points.

00:03:47.000 That's the point!

00:04:07.000 Attempts to malign him as a racist by a radical like Andrew Gillum went for naught in Florida, which is great news.

00:04:13.000 So what it also looked like, Mike DeWine won in Ohio in the Ohio gubernatorial race.

00:04:18.000 The Republicans kept a bunch of key gubernatorial seats.

00:04:22.000 In places like Florida and Ohio where redistricting matters.

00:04:25.000 Also, it is true that they retained a bunch of Senate seats that they needed to retain.

00:04:29.000 So it looks like Kyrsten Sinema, who is a radical, radical leftist in Arizona, lost to Martha McSally, which is terrific.

00:04:36.000 Senator McSally, she'll be a great senator. 0.99

00:04:38.000 Air Force pilot, first Air Force pilot in combat to be female.

00:04:42.000 And yet the media didn't see fit to cover that as a feminist victory or Marsha Blackburn winning a Senate seat in Tennessee. 0.99

00:04:48.000 That was not a feminist victory. 0.91

00:04:49.000 The only feminist victories were people endorsed by the Women's March, of course. 0.87

00:04:52.000 But those were key seats.

00:04:54.000 Obviously, the Indiana seat flips Joe Donnelly, an Indiana Democrat.

00:04:58.000 He loses to a Republican business person.

00:05:00.000 So these are all big wins for Republicans.

00:05:04.000 They do lose Dean Heller in Nevada.

00:05:06.000 That was largely expected.

00:05:08.000 But overall, the talk of a blue wave was overstated.

00:05:12.000 Now, how you see this election is dependent on whether you see this as a year in which Democrats were going to ride back in and overtake everything, or whether you saw this as a rebuilding year.

00:05:24.000 I think the Democrats have a very skewed view of politics, thanks to the Obama years.

00:05:28.000 I think that the Obama years made Democrats believe they were never going to lose again, that Trump was an electoral aberration, and that therefore, they were going to sweep to victory.

00:05:35.000 They were going to come back in, sweep through the House, sweep through the Senate, take everything back in one fell swoop.

00:05:40.000 Trump was just a mistake.

00:05:41.000 It was just a blip on the radar.

00:05:43.000 Well, it turns out Trump is not a blip on the radar.

00:05:45.000 Republicans are not a blip on the radar.

00:05:48.000 State seats that Republicans won during Obama's tenure were not a blip on the radar.

00:05:52.000 If they had seen last night as rebuilding the farm team, if they had seen it, Dana Perino suggested this to me this morning, so I'm using her metaphor.

00:06:00.000 If, and I think she's right, if Democrats had seen this as we are in recovery here,

00:06:05.000 Then it was a very good night for Democrats, right?

00:06:06.000 They win back the House.

00:06:07.000 They win virtually every contested seat across the country.

00:06:10.000 They oust a bunch of Republican incumbents, including incumbents like Dave Brat in Virginia, which is really not great.

00:06:15.000 I really like Dave Brat, congressman from Virginia who ousted Eric Cantor, if you recall, back in 2010.

00:06:21.000 All of this is to suggest that Republicans have some problems.

00:06:25.000 Now, Democrats have some problems because Florida and Ohio are not solidly in the Democratic line.

00:06:30.000 And that's a problem for them in future presidential elections.

00:06:33.000 Republicans have a problem because some states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, those states look to be trending back blue, which is a real problem for them.

00:06:40.000 If President Trump were to win in 2020, Florida and Ohio, but lose Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, he loses the election, right?

00:06:47.000 He needs to win at least Wisconsin of those three.

00:06:50.000 Wisconsin was very tight last night.

00:06:51.000 Governor Scott Walker has been a tremendous governor, was ousted in an extraordinarily close race that may end up in a recount in Wisconsin.

00:06:58.000 But political realities are back in play.

00:07:01.000 So the polling was flawed in 2016.

00:07:04.000 The polling was a lot less flawed last night.

00:07:06.000 That's why I was able to rely on data and fairly

00:07:09.000 Predictably, predict what exactly was going to happen in the overall numbers.

00:07:14.000 So there are a bunch of lessons to be learned.

00:07:15.000 President Trump, of course, is taking away the lesson that he's awesome because he's President Trump.

00:07:20.000 So he tweeted this out last night and tweeted out tremendous success tonight.

00:07:23.000 Thank you to all.

00:07:24.000 Well, from a certain perspective, that's true.

00:07:26.000 Republicans gained a bunch of seats in the Senate.

00:07:27.000 So many seats in the Senate, in fact, that it will be very difficult for Democrats to take the Senate in 2020.

00:07:33.000 It also means that President Trump's agenda for the next couple of years is going to be judges, judges, judges, and more judges.

00:07:39.000 In fact, there's a case to be made.

00:07:41.000 Not bad for him.

00:07:41.000 However,

00:08:02.000 Did Trump have a massive down-ballot effect for Republicans that was negative?

00:08:06.000 Yes, he had an up-ballot effect for people like Ron DeSantis in Florida, for folks like Braun in Indiana.

00:08:14.000 He had an up-ballot effect for Ted Cruz in Texas, obviously.

00:08:17.000 But when it came to the House races, the negative effect of President Trump was pretty evident.

00:08:21.000 The exit polls showed that a huge number of suburban districts did not like President Trump, do not like President Trump, and that there is blowback for President Trump

00:08:31.000 On that level.

00:08:31.000 So what we saw last night in short, red areas got redder, blue areas got bluer.

00:08:37.000 All of the trends that we saw in 2016 were doubled down upon.

00:08:39.000 Rural areas went heavier for Republicans.

00:08:42.000 Suburban areas went bluer for Democrats.

00:08:45.000 Is that a trade that Republicans are willing to make?

00:08:47.000 Maybe for now, but that's not a plan for the future.

00:08:50.000 With that said, with that said, the Democrats, I think, at least partially, are looking at this and saying, well, there were a lot of blown opportunities there.

00:08:59.000 Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.

00:09:01.000 And Andrew Gillum nearly winning in Florida is not Andrew Gillum winning in Florida.

00:09:04.000 And Beto O'Rourke nearly winning in Texas is not Beto O'Rourke winning in Texas.

00:09:07.000 You can see Trevor Noah was very disappointed last night on Comedy Central.

00:09:10.000 He said the blue wave was basically just a Smurf peeing. 0.95

00:09:13.000 So it was touch and go for a while today.

00:09:15.000 The blue wave was looking more like a smurf that was peeing.

00:09:19.000 And what was worse is that the results just wouldn't come in.

00:09:24.000 OK, so I think that if you look this morning as to who feels relieved and who feels unsettled, I think everyone should be.

00:09:31.000 Everyone on both sides should feel both relieved and unsettled.

00:09:33.000 I mean, there's good again.

00:09:34.000 There's good news for both parties and bad news for both parties.

00:09:37.000 But I think the general perception is that Republicans are relieved and Democrats are unsettled.

00:09:41.000 Democrats legitimately had expectations that 2016 was a complete outlier and that they were going to return to vast power automatically just by dint of people don't like Trump.

00:09:50.000 And that obviously was not true.

00:09:52.000 Now,

00:09:52.000 I think Van Jones's take.

00:09:53.000 Van Jones over the course of the night, you can see was going up and down like a yo-yo over on CNN.

00:09:57.000 But he said that by the end of the night, his heart had been restored because Democrats had retaken the House.

00:10:02.000 I don't think this is completely unjustified.

00:10:03.000 Democrats did take the House.

00:10:05.000 The wave did not break the levy.

00:10:07.000 But I don't want to suggest that Democrats didn't have a good level of success last night.

00:10:11.000 Again, they won 34 seats in the House.

00:10:13.000 That is not a historic upset.

00:10:15.000 You know, that's well within sort of

00:10:16.000 The margins of typical midterm elections, but it is a it is a win for Democrats.

00:10:22.000 There's no other way to put it.

00:10:24.000 I don't know how many hours ago it was.

00:10:25.000 You said this was heartbreaking.

00:10:27.000 Where is your head now?

00:10:28.000 My heart has been restored.

00:10:31.000 It is the end of one party rule in the United States.

00:10:35.000 Thank God.

00:10:36.000 And the beginning of a new Democratic Party, younger,

00:10:39.000 Browner, cooler, more women, more veterans can win in Michigan, can win in Pennsylvania, can win in Ohio. 1.00

00:10:46.000 We have the first Muslim women, first Native American women, the first black woman from Massachusetts, first Latina from Texas.

00:10:53.000 It may not be a blue wave, it's a rainbow wave.

00:10:55.000 It's something happening out there and I'm happy about it.

00:10:58.000 Okay, anybody who believes that Van Jones has a good read on this election is absolutely wrong.

00:11:02.000 What actually happened is a bunch of moderate Democrats in suburban districts won.

00:11:07.000 And there were some Democrats in more progressive districts who won in more progressive seats.

00:11:12.000 But the notion that a bunch of progressives swept into power and that what Democrats have to do in 2020 is double down, more cowbell, more cowbell.

00:11:19.000 What we need is more progressives.

00:11:22.000 And if we run a hardcore progressive in 2020, we're going to win.

00:11:25.000 That is not the lesson Democrats ought to be learning.

00:11:27.000 I'm going to talk about the lessons both parties ought to be learning in just a second after we finish reviewing sort of what happened in the election last night and why both parties are going to take away the wrong lessons from what happened last night.

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00:12:45.000 Okay, so we should say a fond farewell to at least some of the candidates who ran yesterday.

00:12:50.000 Beto O'Rourke.

00:12:51.000 Bit of fond farewell to his audience.

00:12:54.000 He will be back, obviously.

00:12:55.000 He ran a very competitive race in a state where he should not have been competitive.

00:12:59.000 He only lost by a couple of hundred thousand votes, maybe 300,000 votes, in Texas, a super red state.

00:13:04.000 And then he decided that he's a cool guy, so he flipboarded in.

00:13:07.000 He skateboarded in, did a flip kick, stopped on the stage, and then dropped the F word because he's cool.

00:13:12.000 Beto O'Rourke.

00:13:12.000 That's how you know that he's cool.

00:13:13.000 He's like Cool Dog from The Simpsons.

00:13:15.000 So here's Beto O'Rourke.

00:13:17.000 I want to thank this amazing campaign of people.

00:13:22.000 Not a dime from a single pack.

00:13:24.000 All people, all the time, in every single part of Texas. 0.96

00:13:29.000 All of you, showing the country how you do this.

00:13:32.000 I'm so f***ing proud of you guys.

00:13:37.000 Yay, drop the F word! 1.00

00:13:39.000 He's super cool!

00:13:42.000 Wow!

00:13:43.000 Beto O'Rourke, look!

00:13:44.000 And I love the headlines from Reuters, whether he wins or loses, Beto O'Rourke is a big winner. 0.94

00:13:49.000 Well, technically, when you lose, you're kind of a loser, technically.

00:13:58.000 I don't mean to get all pedantic, but when you lose, that actually counts as you losing.

00:14:02.000 So Beto O'Rourke, will he be back?

00:14:03.000 Yeah, of course he'll be back.

00:14:04.000 But kind of like Jon Ossoff, there's all this talk about losing does leave a stigma on you.

00:14:10.000 All the talk about Beto O'Rourke for president in 2020, I think that that is premature.

00:14:14.000 Losing does hurt you.

00:14:15.000 Andrew Gillum, who is supposed to be the rising star in Florida.

00:14:19.000 He'd come from behind.

00:14:20.000 He'd won a primary against a more moderate competitor.

00:14:22.000 If he had lost that primary, probably Florida has a Democratic governor right now.

00:14:25.000 But Andrew Gillum loses to Ron DeSantis, which I'm very grateful for, because I think Andrew Gillum ran a terrible, terrible race.

00:14:30.000 But I can... I can...

00:14:58.000 I can guarantee you this.

00:15:01.000 I'm not going anywhere.

00:15:03.000 We're gonna fight.

00:15:06.000 We're gonna keep fighting.

00:15:08.000 Yeah, he's going somewhere, like, away.

00:15:10.000 And again, a lot of these key races, President Trump did play a role, and Chuck Todd pointed this out in NBC News, he is correct.

00:15:16.000 He says that President Trump may have pulled DeSantis across the finish line, Brian Kemp in Georgia, who won a victory in the Georgia race, where he was not expected to surpass the sort of runoff margin.

00:15:28.000 He did.

00:15:29.000 So, look, Trump deserves a lot of credit for a lot of these key races that happened last night.

00:15:35.000 President Trump weighed in on both primaries.

00:15:37.000 He got involved in both primaries and pulled them both across the finish line.

00:15:41.000 And they're both going to eke out against proud, progressive, African-American Democrats. 0.58

00:15:46.000 OK, well, that is worth noting.

00:15:48.000 And I think that it is true.

00:15:49.000 It is also true that President Trump has upsides and President Trump has downsides.

00:15:53.000 So now let's go through some of the bad news for Republicans, because there was a lot of good news for Republicans last night.

00:15:58.000 So Politico points out, and they're right,

00:16:01.000 Suburban Republicans were swept away.

00:16:03.000 The Republican Party in the House looks a lot more Trumpy than it did yesterday.

00:16:06.000 All the moderate Republicans are gone.

00:16:08.000 Now, there are a lot of people who may celebrate that.

00:16:09.000 Oh, we're a purer party now.

00:16:11.000 You need those suburban Republicans if you want to govern.

00:16:13.000 You do need people able to win in the suburbs.

00:16:15.000 And the demographic movements in the United States are away from rural areas and toward urban areas.

00:16:20.000 People are moving out of the sort of outlying areas and more towards suburbia, more toward big cities.

00:16:25.000 This is why that race in Texas was so close, because the entirety of the state of Texas is deep red, except for Austin and Dallas and Houston.

00:16:32.000 And those are exactly the areas that are growing.

00:16:34.000 So for Republicans to sort of give up on those areas and just, you know, wipe their brow and say, oh, you know, last night was fine.

00:16:42.000 You know, this is more like Republicans should be worried about the future of the party if the red wave in 2016 begins to recede.

00:16:50.000 So Politico points out Democrats won suburbs from the eastern seaboard all the way to Nevada.

00:16:54.000 They didn't just pick off low-hanging fruit.

00:16:56.000 GOP members long seem to be vulnerable.

00:16:57.000 They expanded into Dallas, Houston, Oklahoma City, Richmond.

00:17:01.000 All of this is true.

00:17:02.000 Republicans like Barbara Comstock in northern Virginia.

00:17:05.000 Mike Coffman in suburban Denver, Kevin Yoder outside Kansas City, Eric Paulson in the Twin Cities.

00:17:11.000 They all lost, but they also ousted Steve Russell in Oklahoma, which was a much deeper red, and Karen Handel in suburban Atlanta. 0.90

00:17:20.000 Democrats won both toss-up races in Virginia.

00:17:22.000 They knocked off both suburban Texas members John Culberson and Houston Pete Sessions in Dallas.

00:17:26.000 Incumbent Carlos Curbelo crashed and burned in South Florida.

00:17:29.000 Republicans kept only a handful of suburban seats, so obviously Republicans have to worry about that.

00:17:35.000 You know, one of the things that I'm seeing that's hilarious today is Democrats saying, well, you know, we really did win in a way because look at the popular vote in the Senate.

00:17:42.000 This has really become a thing. 1.00

00:17:45.000 Stopping an idiot. 1.00

00:17:46.000 A popular vote in the Senate doesn't mean anything. 1.00

00:17:48.000 One-third of the Senate was up.

00:17:49.000 The Senate is not a popular vote body.

00:17:51.000 In other words, Montana has as many senators as California.

00:17:54.000 Racking up votes in California does not help you in the Senate.

00:17:57.000 Not only that, Democrats retained... There were 33 seats up yesterday.

00:18:02.000 Democrats retained like 20 of those seats.

00:18:04.000 So...

00:18:05.000 Let's not get out over our skis when we suggest that the public has rejected Republicans, and yet the system is structured so that Republicans win anyway.

00:18:13.000 No, that's called the United States Senate. 1.00

00:18:15.000 It's been there for quite a while, so stop being stupid. 0.99

00:18:18.000 The Politico points out that Democrats may have lost the Senate until 2022. 1.00

00:18:22.000 As I pointed out earlier, the fact remains that

00:18:26.000 As of 2020, Republicans are going to hold 54 Senate seats, which is three more seats than the GOP now holds.

00:18:33.000 The 2018 map was bad.

00:18:34.000 The 2020 map is not all that great.

00:18:37.000 If Democrats lose the Alabama seat, which they will, they only won this time because Roy Moore was a garbage candidate, the only Republicans up for reelections in state Hillary won are Cory Gardner in Colorado and Susan Collins in Maine. 1.00

00:18:48.000 Susan Collins is a very good politician in her home state. 0.91

00:18:50.000 And so there's a significant possibility that Republicans only lose maybe one seat.

00:18:56.000 You know, they'd have to have a wave, basically, in order for them to take the Senate in 2020. 0.99

00:19:00.000 That seems doubtful.

00:19:02.000 Republicans did hold some big governorships.

00:19:04.000 Democrats patched the blue wall, but it is still vulnerable.

00:19:08.000 So this is a point that Politico is making, and it's worth noting.

00:19:11.000 In Michigan, Democrats won the governor's race.

00:19:13.000 The incumbent senator was re-elected.

00:19:15.000 The party picked up a House seat.

00:19:16.000 In Iowa, Democrats picked up two House seats.

00:19:19.000 In Wisconsin, Scott Walker went down and Senator Tammy Baldwin won re-election.

00:19:23.000 But, remember, Trump was not on the ballot in any of those places.

00:19:27.000 And as Politico points out, in 2010, Republicans won the governorships in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Iowa, and senators in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Illinois.

00:19:35.000 And then Obama won them all in 2012.

00:19:37.000 So Trump, again, was not really on the ballot in any of those key states.

00:19:41.000 So maybe in Wisconsin and Michigan and Ohio and Pennsylvania, Trump does better than the Republicans did in this off-year election.

00:19:49.000 And one thing that the Democrats are really picking up on is that a lot of women won. 1.00

00:19:53.000 That's because more women ran. 1.00

00:19:55.000 A lot of women ran and they were in positions to win, so that makes a big difference. 1.00

00:19:59.000 But Democrats are taking the wrong lessons from this election cycle.

00:20:03.000 The lesson that they are taking from this election cycle is, look at all the progressive radicals that we got elected.

00:20:08.000 Right, because you primaried more moderate candidates in progressive districts, right?

00:20:11.000 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, they think now is the future of their party, according to people like Van Jones.

00:20:17.000 You want to shellac your own chances at national prominence, make Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez the head of your party. 0.99

00:20:23.000 You know, tack to that extreme left.

00:20:25.000 What the American people basically gave Democrats a referendum to do was to check Trump in the House and to act in more moderate fashion.

00:20:33.000 And what they gave Republicans a referendum to do was check the more ridiculous excesses of the Democratic Party.

00:20:38.000 But I don't think that's the message that either party is going to take away from the election last night.

00:20:42.000 I'll explain in just a second.

00:20:44.000 First, let's talk about that ugly thing that you've got on your wrist.

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00:20:48.000 You just do.

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00:22:03.000 Okay, so what are the lessons that the party should take away?

00:22:15.000 The lessons the Republicans should take away is that if they wish to see long-term success, they're going to have to start appealing to these suburban districts.

00:22:22.000 In other words, the districts that Mitt Romney did better in than Donald Trump are still important.

00:22:26.000 If Donald Trump can hold the rural districts in the way that he has, and he has because Democrats have polarized,

00:22:32.000 If he can hold those and somehow start appealing to those suburban districts, Democrats are in trouble.

00:22:37.000 By the same token, if Democrats keep appealing to suburban districts with moderate candidates, then the Republicans are in trouble.

00:22:45.000 Unfortunately, it seems that everybody is doubling down on what brung them there.

00:22:50.000 And what that means is that Democrats are embracing the radicalism and Republicans are embracing the excesses.

00:22:56.000 So everybody's gonna take the wrong lessons from today.

00:22:59.000 Like the Democrats, you saw that clip of Van Jones a little bit earlier, heard the clip of Van Jones a little bit earlier, talking about how he is so excited that all of these progressives have been elected.

00:23:09.000 Well, there were a bunch of progressives elected, again, mainly in areas in which they supplanted other more moderate Democrats.

00:23:15.000 This is something the Washington Post is pointing out.

00:23:17.000 Moderate Democrats in the Midwest outperformed ideological Democrats in the Sunbelt.

00:23:22.000 This is an absolute fact.

00:23:24.000 And that's an important thing to recognize.

00:23:28.000 That if the Democrats had run a bunch of moderates, they would have done better across the country than they actually did.

00:23:33.000 Instead, they are championing the fact that people like Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar won their congressional seats.

00:23:40.000 They're the first Muslim women elected to Congress.

00:23:42.000 That's fine. 0.93

00:23:42.000 The only problem is they are deeply, deeply radical. 0.93

00:23:45.000 Tlaib didn't have any Republican challengers in her district, so once she won the primary, she was in Congress. 0.56

00:23:49.000 And Ilhan Omar was the favorite to prevail in a solidly Democratic district.

00:23:53.000 Both of them are radically anti-Semitic and anti-Israel.

00:23:56.000 The Democratic Party is celebrating all of that.

00:23:59.000 The Democratic Party is out there championing the fact that Sharice Davids, a lesbian Native American, becomes one of the first two Native American women elected to Congress.

00:24:09.000 And the other one is not, Elizabeth Warren.

00:24:11.000 She's the first openly LGBTQ Kansan.

00:24:14.000 OK, but the fact is that the candidates who won last night overwhelmingly are people who are not talking along radical lines.

00:24:22.000 They are overwhelmingly in the Democratic Party, people who seem sane and not crazy.

00:24:27.000 And yet the Democratic Party could take away from this.

00:24:29.000 What we need is a base that is jazzed up.

00:24:32.000 The intersectional coalition rides again.

00:24:35.000 Intersectional coalition is not a thing.

00:24:37.000 Intersectional coalition does not actually win victories.

00:24:41.000 Here's actually something that Democrats need to recognize.

00:24:44.000 Look at the Texas race for just a second.

00:24:46.000 What you see in the Texas race, a lot of people on the left very, very upset about Beto O'Rourke losing to Ted Cruz in Texas.

00:24:53.000 And they look at the voter breakdown.

00:24:54.000 What they see is that 95% of black women voted for Beto O'Rourke and 71% of white women voted for Ted Cruz.

00:25:00.000 And you're seeing tweets like, these white women are tools of the patriarchy. 1.00

00:25:04.000 First of all, keep saying stuff like that. 0.85

00:25:05.000 That's definitely going to win you elections.

00:25:07.000 It's insulting the base that you need to win.

00:25:09.000 That's definitely going to help you out.

00:25:11.000 Second of all, what that actually suggests is that you believe that you are going to make more hay by somehow winning 98% of the black vote and alienating that entire white female base?

00:25:26.000 Democrats actually have less upside in a lot of these minority communities than Republicans have upside in those minority communities.

00:25:32.000 What I mean by that

00:25:34.000 Democrats, if they blew it out, could only win 100% of the black female vote in Texas. 1.00

00:25:38.000 Republicans, if they blew it out, could win another 29% of the white female vote in Texas. 1.00

00:25:42.000 And there's 95% of the black female vote that they could theoretically go after. 1.00

00:25:47.000 There's not a lot of room to maneuver for Democrats. 0.94

00:25:49.000 They may have maxed out their intersectional coalition, and the numbers just aren't big enough.

00:25:53.000 That means the folks they need to be appealing to are those white women, not insulting those white women. 1.00

00:25:58.000 And yet what you see is that Democrats are, in fact, insulting

00:26:01.000 Those white women, they're insulting people who are not members of the intersectional coalition. 1.00

00:26:06.000 They could take the wrong lessons from all of this.

00:26:08.000 The states Democrats need to win again in the 2020 election.

00:26:12.000 If they wish to ask President Trump, they need to win Michigan.

00:26:15.000 They need to win Wisconsin.

00:26:16.000 They need to win Pennsylvania.

00:26:17.000 If they win those three, they win the election.

00:26:20.000 The entire election is going to come down to those three states.

00:26:22.000 Those are states where the intersectional coalition is not going to be enough.

00:26:25.000 Those are states where you need to be able to appeal to a base.

00:26:29.000 And yet the Democrats, in some ways, are getting more and more radical.

00:26:32.000 As I say, a couple of anti-Semitic Democrats won last night.

00:26:35.000 Keith Ellison became Minnesota Attorney General despite all of the controversy dogging him.

00:26:40.000 The fact that an ex-girlfriend accuses him of beating her up.

00:26:44.000 So I guess that he beat someone else last night who is not his ex-girlfriend.

00:26:48.000 Bob Menendez in New Jersey, who may end up in jail for allegedly preying on underage women in the Dominican Republic.

00:26:56.000 He ended up winning his race in a walk.

00:26:58.000 And just showing you what New Jersey is, man.

00:27:00.000 I mean, New Jersey, just astonishing.

00:27:01.000 New Jersey, a juror in Menendez's trial showed up at his victory celebration.

00:27:07.000 I am not kidding.

00:27:08.000 Here's video of her.

00:27:09.000 I came out here tonight because I know Bob Menendez is a very good man.

00:27:14.000 And I was in the courtroom, and I saw all the evidence, and they didn't have enough evidence.

00:27:18.000 What he did wrong, he did nothing wrong.

00:27:20.000 He's a great man.

00:27:22.000 That's why I'm supporting Menendez.

00:27:24.000 I voted for him.

00:27:25.000 I voted for him.

00:27:26.000 Look, he's better.

00:27:27.000 He's just the best.

00:27:28.000 Yeah, so that's really great.

00:27:30.000 So she served on Menendez's jury and then went to his victory party.

00:27:33.000 The Democrats have doubled down on that.

00:27:34.000 On the other side, the Republicans are doubling down on the Trump.

00:27:38.000 And when I say the Trump, I don't mean they're doubling down on President Trump.

00:27:41.000 I mean they're doubling down on the affect.

00:27:43.000 Now imagine for a second that Republicans had not doubled down on Trump's affect.

00:27:47.000 That in the last three weeks of the election, they'd run on Kavanaugh.

00:27:50.000 Here is the weird thing about sort of how the late-breaking news narrative played into this.

00:27:55.000 Election cycle.

00:27:57.000 So, Brett Kavanaugh hurt the Democrats.

00:27:59.000 There is no question.

00:28:00.000 Every Democrat who voted against Brett Kavanaugh in a red state lost last night.

00:28:04.000 Pretty much all of them.

00:28:05.000 I think maybe one exception.

00:28:07.000 Claire McCaskill went down.

00:28:08.000 Heidi Heitkamp went down.

00:28:10.000 There are a bunch of areas where Democrats lost and lost big because of Brett Kavanaugh.

00:28:15.000 Joe Manchin did not lose, partially because he did not vote against Brett Kavanaugh.

00:28:20.000 If that had been, and that was because Democrats exposed themselves as partisan hacks of an extraordinarily ridiculous and extreme measure, that would have cut in Republicans' favor.

00:28:33.000 Republicans in kind of hotly contested district lost last night.

00:28:38.000 Part of that is because the closing pitch for the Trump campaign was doubling down on the base.

00:28:42.000 Now, do you think that Ron DeSantis won in Florida because of the talk about the migrant caravan?

00:28:47.000 I don't.

00:28:48.000 I don't think that he won Florida because of that.

00:28:50.000 I think that it had very little to do with it.

00:28:51.000 Do you think that

00:28:53.000 That Martha McSally won in Arizona because of the migrant caravan talk? 0.54

00:28:58.000 I really doubt it.

00:29:00.000 I really doubt it.

00:29:00.000 Because three weeks earlier, she was skunking Kyrsten Sinema, and then it really tightened up in the last three weeks.

00:29:06.000 So the Republicans who believe that President Trump appealing to the base is the best strategy for electoral victory, that's sort of missing the point.

00:29:14.000 What people want from President Trump, if Trump, if the best version of Trump were available, it would be the President Trump who is capable of fighting back against the radical left and punching and punching, but doing so in a manner that is strategic as opposed to sort of id-driven.

00:29:30.000 And if the Democrats had any brains, they would be running blue-collar candidates with moderate appeal.

00:29:34.000 It seems, however, that both parties are determined to double down on what the base wants, not what the rest of the voting public wants.

00:29:43.000 And that spells a very contentious couple of years.

00:29:46.000 We're going to talk in just a second about what the next couple of years spell.

00:29:48.000 And then I want to lay out a theory for you about President Trump

00:29:52.000 2020, Barack Obama, that I think few people have actually discussed as of yet.

00:29:57.000 First, let's talk about, for a second, how much you're spending at the post office.

00:30:01.000 So I know the post office is great.

00:30:02.000 They have a lot of great services.

00:30:03.000 But do you really want to spend the time in the car?

00:30:05.000 Do you really want to be spending the time and money on gas to get in the car, drive over to the post office for your business?

00:30:10.000 Why not just have a service that allows you to do all the great things the post office does right from your desk?

00:30:14.000 And then you just click print mail.

00:30:16.000 You're done.

00:30:16.000 I mean, this

00:30:17.000 Well, that's what Stamps.com is for.

00:30:18.000 Stamps.com allows you to access all of those great services 24-7, whenever it's convenient for you.

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00:31:02.000 OK, so I want to talk about what an alternative history of the last month in politics would have looked like electorally.

00:31:08.000 And I also want to talk about what's coming next and my grand theory of Trump 2020.

00:31:12.000 But.

00:31:13.000 First, you're gonna have to go to subscribe over at dailywire.com right now.

00:31:17.000 $9.99 a month means that you get the rest of this show live, means you get the rest of Clayton's show live, you get the rest of Knowles' show live.

00:31:24.000 We had tons of people who are watching our Daily Wire backstage.

00:31:26.000 If you wanted to ask us a question, you had to be a subscriber in order to do that.

00:31:29.000 Plus, when you subscribe, you also get access to the final question on our Sunday special.

00:31:33.000 This week's Sunday special features John Stossel, who you'll remember from Fox News, libertarian reporter, really has some interesting thoughts on the economy and the future of the country.

00:31:43.000 Here's a little bit of what that sounds like.

00:31:59.000 So, that is an interesting conversation.

00:32:01.000 You're going to want to go check that out this Sunday.

00:32:03.000 Please subscribe over at iTunes or YouTube and leave us a review at iTunes.

00:32:06.000 It really does help our rankings over there.

00:32:09.000 We really appreciate all your support.

00:32:10.000 Please subscribe.

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00:32:13.000 It is cheaper than the monthly subscription.

00:32:15.000 And you also get this, the Leftist Tears Hot or Cold Tumbler, the only thing that sustained me through last night's marathon session.

00:32:21.000 Go check it out right now.

00:32:36.000 All right.

00:32:36.000 So, you know, President Trump has responded to the Democrats winning the House.

00:32:40.000 We'll get to that in just a minute.

00:32:42.000 But I do want to discuss what the alternative timeline looks like for the election last night.

00:32:46.000 If it had not been about immigration, if President Trump had not swiveled, it would have been Kavanaugh all the way down.

00:32:51.000 I think Republicans have a better shot at retaining the House.

00:32:53.000 And I think they win the same number of seats.

00:32:55.000 If the Democrats had not done Kavanaugh, I think Democrats do much, much better in the Senate.

00:33:01.000 And I think that they

00:33:03.000 Have a better shot of winning the House.

00:33:04.000 So basically, both sides did their damnedest to blow this election, and neither side was completely able to.

00:33:10.000 All of which speaks to 2020, which is, I know, what's on everybody's mind.

00:33:13.000 I mean, let's take a look at the 2016 map real fast.

00:33:16.000 So if you look at the 2016 map in, you know, in the presidential election, what you will see in this map is that President Trump won 306 electoral votes.

00:33:26.000 That means it takes 270 to win.

00:33:29.000 If President Trump were to lose Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, that is 46 electoral votes.

00:33:36.000 That means he's down to 260.

00:33:38.000 He loses the election.

00:33:39.000 If he wins Wisconsin but loses Michigan and Pennsylvania, he's got 270.

00:33:43.000 If he loses one of the votes in Maine, he won one vote in Maine, if he loses that one vote in Maine, which is probably likely at this point, then he can win Wisconsin and you end up with a 269-269 tie.

00:33:55.000 Which is just everybody's worst nightmare.

00:33:58.000 A tie in the electoral college which gets thrown into the house where Nancy Pelosi presides, which is just nightmare scenario.

00:34:04.000 But the reason that I'm bringing up this map is because the theory of President Trump is that President Trump finally broke that blue wall that existed in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

00:34:14.000 And that the Democrats thought that that was an outlying effect.

00:34:18.000 Here's my theory.

00:34:20.000 My theory is that President Trump is basically a reversion to the statistical mean.

00:34:24.000 That there is not this giant Trump movement, wave, surge that has changed the nature of the country, anything like that.

00:34:31.000 And what actually happened is that Barack Obama was an outlying candidate.

00:34:34.000 He was a statistical outlier.

00:34:36.000 And that what is happening in states like Ohio and Florida and Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania is much more of a reversion to the pre-Barack Obama era than it is anything else, which says to the Democrats that your intersectional strategy is a giant fail.

00:34:50.000 It says to Republicans that they need to do better in reaching out to suburban areas, but it really is a rebuke to the intersectional politics of Barack Obama.

00:34:57.000 So here is my evidence for the proposition that what has basically happened here is a reversion back to the pre-Obama era.

00:35:04.000 Let's take a look at Ohio.

00:35:05.000 In Ohio, the recent presidential elections, George W. Bush versus, so 2000, Republicans win 50% of the vote.

00:35:14.000 2004, Republicans win 51% of the vote.

00:35:16.000 Then Obama comes along and Obama breaks the mold, right?

00:35:19.000 He wins Ohio with, he wins Ohio and Republican vote share drops to 47% and 48% respectively.

00:35:27.000 Then President Trump comes along, Obama's no longer on the ballot, Hillary's a uniquely bad candidate, and Republicans win 51% of the vote again.

00:35:34.000 So what that means is that that is a reversion back to the pre-Obama era.

00:35:37.000 That is not a difference in kind.

00:35:40.000 It is a reversion back to before Obama.

00:35:43.000 See, the Democrats think that Obama changed the world.

00:35:45.000 Obama didn't change the world.

00:35:46.000 Obama was just a uniquely good candidate.

00:35:48.000 And Trump, for Republicans, didn't change the world.

00:35:51.000 Trump was running against a uniquely bad candidate, and he was a reversion to the statistical mean.

00:35:55.000 Here's my evidence with regard to Florida.

00:35:58.000 In Florida, Republicans won 49% of the vote in 2000, 52% of the vote in 2004.

00:36:00.000 Then they won, in 2008 and 2012, 48 and 49% of the vote.

00:36:01.000 In 2016, Trump won 49% of the vote.

00:36:02.000 He won the election because Hillary Clinton lost the election.

00:36:14.000 He actually won a lower percentage of the vote in 2016 than Republicans won in 2012. 0.98

00:36:20.000 But he won because Hillary Clinton was a crappy candidate. 1.00

00:36:23.000 Again, reversion to the mean in Florida. 0.91

00:36:26.000 What about this shocking victory in Wisconsin where no Republican had won since 1984?

00:36:31.000 Look at the vote shares for a second.

00:36:34.000 2000.

00:36:34.000 Republican vote share.

00:36:35.000 48%.

00:36:35.000 2004.

00:36:35.000 49%.

00:36:35.000 Then, Obama comes along.

00:36:36.000 Again, statistical outlier.

00:36:36.000 That vote share drops to 42% and 46%.

00:36:38.000 Then, by 2016, it is back up to 47.2%.

00:36:40.000 Again, that is lower than the percentage of votes won by George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004.

00:36:43.000 That is the reversion to the statistical mean.

00:36:45.000 Michigan.

00:36:45.000 Same thing.

00:36:46.000 Hey, Michigan. 2000.

00:37:01.000 Republicans win 46% of the vote.

00:37:02.000 2004, 47.8% of the vote.

00:37:03.000 Then Obama comes along, 41 and 45% of the vote.

00:37:04.000 Then 2016, 48% of the vote.

00:37:12.000 47.5.

00:37:12.000 So, again, Trump wins a lower share of the vote in 2016 than George W. Bush won in 2004.

00:37:17.000 He wins the state.

00:37:19.000 That's a reversion to the statistical mean.

00:37:21.000 It is the same thing in Pennsylvania, where the Republican vote share was 46-49 in the Bush years, and it dropped radically during Obama, and then it was back up to 49 during Trump.

00:37:31.000 What this suggests is that the country is still actually broken down very similarly to the Bush era.

00:37:37.000 It's just that Barack Obama broke the mold, but that mold could not be broken for anyone else.

00:37:42.000 That mold did not apply to anyone else.

00:37:45.000 So the Democrats are still doubling down on intersectional politics.

00:37:49.000 Republicans, all they have to do is play the Bush era cards, and they still have a shot at winning in all of these places.

00:37:54.000 But just as Bush lost a lot of those battleground states, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania,

00:38:01.000 Right?

00:38:01.000 Just as Bush lost some of those states, the reality is that Donald Trump is going to have to do better than Donald Trump did in 2016 if he wants to win again in 2020.

00:38:10.000 And that means channeling his anger.

00:38:11.000 It means less surrender of the suburban vote.

00:38:18.000 That's what this means.

00:38:18.000 If you want to win, that's what it is.

00:38:21.000 So let's not deceive ourselves on the Republican side of the aisle by thinking, OK, we're just going to win from now until the end of time because of these races last night.

00:38:28.000 And let's not pretend that it was Trump that saved Florida or Ohio.

00:38:32.000 Barack Obama was not on the ballot.

00:38:33.000 Hillary Clinton was on the ballot.

00:38:34.000 And Donald Trump, yes, is great at a certain number of things, but luck is not a business strategy, as I've once said to my business partner, and it is not a political strategy either.

00:38:47.000 Okay, so what comes next?

00:38:48.000 What comes next here could actually be good news for President Trump.

00:38:52.000 Nancy Pelosi is running the House.

00:38:53.000 That gives him a nice, big target to hit.

00:38:57.000 And Nancy Pelosi is smarter than I'm giving her credit for in the past.

00:39:02.000 She's attempting a sort of moderation because I think that Nancy Pelosi does get that not everybody can campaign as Nancy Pelosi and win across the country.

00:39:09.000 Here's Nancy Pelosi last night talking about what the election was really about.

00:39:13.000 What she says here is actually accurate.

00:39:15.000 Today is more than about Democrats and Republicans.

00:39:18.000 It's about restoring the Constitution's checks and balances to the Trump administration.

00:39:27.000 Okay, so when she says about checks and balance, if the Democrats restricted themselves to checking Trump's worst impulses, they'd be in good shape.

00:39:35.000 The question is, can Nancy Pelosi hem in her own base? 0.97

00:39:38.000 I don't know that she can.

00:39:39.000 I don't know that she can.

00:39:40.000 An example of this, yesterday, before she gave the speech, she was asked about impeachment.

00:39:45.000 And she said, no, I'm not interested in impeachment, but her base is very interested in impeachment.

00:39:50.000 They want to conduct investigations of the president.

00:39:52.000 They even want to impeach the president.

00:39:54.000 That serves their purpose, to say that.

00:39:56.000 We certainly will honor our responsibility as oversight of the executive branch.

00:40:00.000 Will there be a move to impeach the president?

00:40:02.000 It depends on what happens.

00:40:05.000 Thank you.

00:40:21.000 Right, so that is Nancy Pelosi understanding that if she alienates the moderates across the country, it's a mistake. 1.00

00:40:26.000 I wonder if the Republicans are going to learn the same lesson.

00:40:28.000 President Trump gave a press conference today in which he discussed the election and his entire election strategy was everyone who didn't like me lost, everyone who liked me won.

00:40:36.000 That is not true.

00:40:38.000 Everybody who liked President Trump in Trumpy districts won.

00:40:40.000 Everybody who liked President Trump in purple districts lost.

00:40:43.000 President Trump is going to have to understand that if he wants to win re-election, it's not going to be enough to just double down on the gal that brung him.

00:40:50.000 He's going to actually have to change strategy a little bit.

00:40:53.000 It looks like Nancy Pelosi actually understands that, which is scary.

00:40:56.000 I want her not to understand that.

00:40:57.000 I want her to lose, right?

00:40:58.000 I don't want Nancy Pelosi in charge of government. 0.99

00:41:00.000 I don't want Elizabeth Warren as President of the United States. 0.99

00:41:03.000 I would be remiss if I did not point out that Nancy Pelosi also is a gaffe machine. 0.80

00:41:07.000 Last night, she actually called for people to cheer for pre-existing medical conditions.

00:41:12.000 Like, yay, diabetes!

00:41:13.000 Yay, mesothelioma!

00:41:15.000 Here's Nancy Pelosi.

00:41:16.000 It's about stopping the GOP and Mitch McConnell's assault on Medicare, Medicaid, the Affordable Care Act, and the health care of 130 million Americans living with pre-existing medical conditions.

00:41:31.000 Let's hear it more for pre-existing medical conditions.

00:41:36.000 And people cheer like, yeah, and even the kids who are next are like, why am I even here, man?

00:41:40.000 Just get me out of here.

00:41:41.000 Just get me out of here.

00:41:42.000 Now, again, will Nancy Pelosi be able to continue to contain the enthusiasm of her own base?

00:41:46.000 I have serious doubts about that.

00:41:48.000 The base is clamoring for investigations, which is going to be not terrible for Trump.

00:41:53.000 More investigations.

00:41:53.000 Look, Trump.

00:41:55.000 It's all baked into the cake, man.

00:41:57.000 If they get his tax returns and it turns out that dude gives charity to

00:42:02.000 Puppy slaughtering mills?

00:42:04.000 No one's going to care.

00:42:05.000 Legitimately.

00:42:06.000 Everything is baked into the cake for Trump.

00:42:08.000 If Democrats want to waste their time for the next couple of years in investigations, they can do that.

00:42:12.000 The only thing that would, I think, damage Trump at all is if they came up with some evidence of emoluments that was self-enriching or something.

00:42:18.000 But even there, I don't think that there's going to be much.

00:42:20.000 Adam Schiff, however, who has now, he's now going to be the head of the House Intelligence Committee.

00:42:25.000 And he is, suffice it to say that Adam Schiff has moved his pup tent from CNN's Green Room over to the House Intelligence Committee.

00:42:34.000 He says there will be more investigations, more cowbell, more cowbell.

00:42:38.000 I think that the chances that Bob Mueller will be able to finish his work improved for the reason that our committee and others like the Government Reform Committee and the Judiciary Committee, which under Republican leadership served as basically surrogates for the President in their efforts to batter down the Justice Department, to give the President a pretext to fire people in the Justice Department, all of that

00:43:05.000 Okay, so this is, you know, their pitch.

00:43:11.000 I don't think that that pitch is going to play in 2020.

00:43:15.000 Being a natural pessimist means I think that every party takes the wrong lessons from last night's elections.

00:43:21.000 But again, there are encouraging signs and discouraging signs for both sides in that election.

00:43:25.000 If people are willing to read the tea leaves, there's a lot of upside for Republicans.

00:43:28.000 If they don't, there's going to be a lot of downside.

00:43:31.000 OK, time for some things I like and then some things that I hate.

00:43:34.000 So things I like, you know, it is true that we are an amazing country in which we get to transfer power safely from one party to the other in a variety of chambers.

00:43:42.000 Checks and balances keep our rights safe for the most part.

00:43:46.000 And, you know, that that is a wonderful thing and puts you in kind of a patriotic mood.

00:43:50.000 Aaron Copland, you'd recognize a lot of his music because he's responsible for Appalachian Spring.

00:43:56.000 He's he did a version of

00:44:01.000 Rodeo, which is fantastic.

00:44:04.000 We'll have to play that.

00:44:04.000 It's kind of cowboy music.

00:44:05.000 But here is his Fanfare for the Common Man.

00:44:07.000 You'll recognize this as well.

00:44:09.000 And there is something uniquely American about this sound.

00:44:12.000 Here is Aaron Copland's Fanfare for the Common Man.

00:44:28.000 We're good to go.

00:44:57.000 It's good stuff, so give a listen to it if you're in the mood today.

00:45:00.000 And why not be in the mood today?

00:45:02.000 This is a pretty spectacular country, no matter how elections go, on a one-off basis.

00:45:06.000 And worth noting, transfers of power like this, totally normal.

00:45:08.000 When people say that, oh, the Republicans didn't hold the House.

00:45:12.000 There has never been, in the last century, or since 1968, since 1968,

00:45:19.000 No party has held all the House, the Senate, and the Presidency for more than four years, since 1968.

00:45:24.000 So, last night was fairly predictable, and it also provides some good data.

00:45:30.000 And I have to say, I root for data.

00:45:31.000 I like data because it gives me something to go on.

00:45:33.000 It allows me to actually make my analysis smarter.

00:45:35.000 I'm sort of happy that the data was justified last night, even if they got the races wrong in places like Florida.

00:45:41.000 Okay, time for a quick thing that I hate.

00:45:47.000 OK, so this is pretty amazing. 0.99

00:45:49.000 Lisa Milbrand over at Marie Claire has the stupid column of the day. 1.00

00:45:53.000 It's called Why Trump's America Makes Me Regret Adopting My Daughters. 1.00

00:45:58.000 It makes me regret her adopting her daughters because she's a crazy person. 1.00

00:46:02.000 Here's what she wrote.

00:46:03.000 But now I worry we made a tragic mistake

00:46:27.000 You're right, leaving kids in a Chinese orphanage is way better than bringing them to the freest country in the history of the world, and most prosperous country in the history of the world. 1.00

00:46:34.000 Probably you should have left them in the Chinese orphanage, you crazy person. 1.00

00:46:38.000 And then she says, I pulled these two beautiful babies away from a rising power and into a damaged democracy. 0.99

00:46:45.000 Really?

00:46:45.000 That's how you see China and the United States?

00:46:46.000 The United States is a damaged democracy, and China is a rising power? 1.00

00:46:50.000 China is a fascist one-party state in which people do what the government says up to and including their actual 0.87

00:46:58.000 Number of children.

00:47:00.000 I brought two girls of color into a society where it's clear that their word and their bodies are worth less than a man's. 1.00

00:47:05.000 Hey, you want to talk about sexism in China, gang?

00:47:08.000 It's an actual thing.

00:47:09.000 It's an actual problem.

00:47:12.000 The reason that... Why do you think it's a bunch of girls who are available for adoption in China and not a bunch of boys?

00:47:16.000 Because of sexism in China.

00:47:18.000 And if you think that racism is a uniquely American phenomenon,

00:47:22.000 It is not.

00:47:22.000 OK, for example, Black Panther in the United States opens to enormous numbers, enormous numbers, right?

00:47:26.000 Like world shaking numbers.

00:47:28.000 Black Panther barely did business in China.

00:47:30.000 Racism is actually a thing around the world.

00:47:33.000 This is where open, overt racism has become even more likely than it was a decade ago, according to this woman.

00:47:38.000 And unfortunately, my worries aren't exactly tinfoil hat-wearing paranoia.

00:47:42.000 Well, no, actually, they are.

00:47:44.000 They are.

00:47:44.000 Two years ago, writes this crazy person, I brought my daughters to the voting booth with me, expecting they'd witness the election of the very first woman president.

00:47:51.000 Instead, we got a guy with multiple sexual allegations made against him, who backs candidates for the highest posts in the land, who also have assault and molestation claims against them.

00:47:58.000 Again, Keith Ellison is the new Minnesota Attorney General, guys.

00:48:01.000 And Bob Menendez is the returning senator from New Jersey.

00:48:03.000 No, actually, that's not accurate.

00:48:05.000 There are those of us who... One of the great ironies, how many times did you hear any Democrat say you can't vote for Keith Ellison?

00:48:09.000 Did I hear one of them?

00:48:27.000 I didn't hear one of them.

00:48:28.000 Anyone say no one should vote for Bob Menendez?

00:48:30.000 I didn't hear one of them.

00:48:31.000 How many candidates have I said Republicans should not vote for because it would be a moral blot?

00:48:37.000 A bunch, including Roy Moore. 0.96

00:48:38.000 So don't give me this crap about how Republicans don't police their own. 0.84

00:48:41.000 We police our own a hell of a lot better than Democrats do, even in areas where we fail. 0.97

00:48:44.000 At least there's a kickback.

00:48:46.000 At least there's a kickback.

00:48:47.000 Like, there were a lot of Republicans who were upset that Steve King retained his seat in Iowa last night.

00:48:53.000 How many Democrats were upset that Keith Ellison won the Attorney General seat in Minnesota?

00:48:57.000 And Keith Ellison is a hell of a lot more racist than Steve King, even.

00:49:02.000 It says, Trump promised during his campaign he would roll back Roe v. Wade, and a new Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh's conservative judicial record makes it seem he'd be just the man to help do it, no matter his protestations that he considers it settled law.

00:49:13.000 The idea that my daughters may lose the right to control what happens to their bodies, especially if they could end up with a pregnancy that's the result of a sexual assault, keeps me up at night.

00:49:21.000 Well, it's kind of weird that you're so pro-abortion considering that your daughters literally are alive because they avoided forced abortion at the hands of the Chinese state.

00:49:29.000 There's that as well. 0.94

00:49:30.000 Again, the reason that I read this from Marie Claire is not just because I'm picking on a crazy person, but because, unfortunately, this base of the Democratic Party is fully convinced that the way to win is by shouting and screaming like a crazy person.

00:49:43.000 So it's really...

00:49:46.000 Really a really mistake. 1.00

00:49:47.000 Really, really stupid. 0.99

00:49:48.000 So well done, everyone. 1.00

00:49:51.000 Just calm down.

00:49:54.000 Calm down.

00:49:54.000 Everything's OK.

00:49:55.000 All right.

00:49:55.000 Well, we will be back here tomorrow with all the latest breakdowns, plus President Trump reacting in extraordinary fashion to the election.

00:50:01.000 We'll have all of it.

00:50:01.000 I'm Ben Shapiro.

00:50:02.000 This is The Ben Shapiro Show.

00:50:07.000 The Ben Shapiro Show is produced by Senya Villareal, executive producer Jeremy Boring, senior producer Jonathan Hay.

00:50:13.000 Our supervising producer is Mathis Glover, and our technical producer is Austin Stevens.

00:50:17.000 Edited by Alex Zingaro.

00:50:19.000 Audio is mixed by Mike Karamina.

00:50:20.000 Hair and makeup is by Jesua Alvera.

00:50:22.000 The Ben Shapiro Show is a Daily Wire Ford Publishing production.

00:50:25.000 Copyright Ford Publishing 2018.

The Ben Shapiro Show - November 07, 2018

The Great Divide | Ep. 655

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