The Ben Shapiro Show - April 17, 2020


Trump’s Big Reopening Plan | Ep. 992


Episode Stats

Length

51 minutes

Words per Minute

218.92467

Word Count

11,333

Sentence Count

833

Misogynist Sentences

8

Hate Speech Sentences

10


Summary

As possible treatments begin to materialize for coronavirus, President Trump considers plans for the government to reopen, Nancy Pelosi holds up aid for small businesses while posing in front of a very expensive refrigerator, and China admits it fudged the numbers on its death toll. The Ben Shapiro Show is sponsored by ExpressVPN, Stop Putting Your Online Data at Risk. Get protected at ExpressVPN.com/StopPuttingYourOnlineData at Risk and protect your online data at risk. Ben Shapiro is a regular contributor to the New York Times, CNN, CBS Radio and other media outlets. He is also the host of the conservative radio show The Weekly Standard, and hosts the radio show "The Weekly Standard's Morning Show" on SiriusXM's Power 99.7FM in New York City. His new book, "The Coronavirus Virus," is out now, and is available for pre-order on Amazon Prime and Vimeo worldwide. Click here to buy a copy of the book here. If you don't have a Kindle device, you can get a free eReader edition of the Kindle Fire, also available for Kindle, iBook, Paperback, and Paperback. or Hardcover Audio Book. Kindle $99.99, and Audible $99, or get an Audible membership starting at $39.99. It includes a 7-a-month shipping plan with a limited edition hardcover edition of $99 a year.99 a month, plus two Audible Prime membership, and a limited number of hardcover hardcover $99 paperback edition, priced at $99 plus shipping + Audible.99 retail, and two VHS $99 Plus a VHS Plus.99 Plus, including Audible 49.99 at $49.99 and a Vimeo membership, shipping & Audible Pro. All of these products will all be available for Prime memberships, plus shipping plans, plus a VCR rental service, shipping service, and 7 other options, including a VOCALPRODPC? Subscribe to the Shavuot, and get a 2-day shipping service? and 7-days free shipping, shipping plans starting from $99/day, shipping starts from $49/month, shipping + $99 at +$99/locals worldwide, and shipping starts at $24,99 a pop plus a limited shipping policy? Learn more about shipping plans and shipping plans?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 As possible treatments begin to materialize for coronavirus, President Trump considers plans for reopening, Nancy Pelosi holds up aid for small businesses while posing in front of a very, very expensive refrigerator, and China admits it fudged the numbers.
00:00:12.000 I'm Ben Shapiro.
00:00:12.000 This is The Ben Shapiro Show.
00:00:13.000 The Ben Shapiro Show is sponsored by ExpressVPN's Stop putting your online data at risk.
00:00:24.000 Get protected at ExpressVPN.com slash Ben.
00:00:27.000 How many times do I have to tell you?
00:00:28.000 ExpressVPN.com slash Ben.
00:00:31.000 Well, I promise that was the last Passover day.
00:00:31.000 Alrighty.
00:00:33.000 That's it.
00:00:34.000 There's no more Passover.
00:00:34.000 We're done.
00:00:35.000 So for all the people who are emailing saying, where are you?
00:00:38.000 Passover's eight days long, at least outside of Israel.
00:00:41.000 We're done.
00:00:42.000 Okay, so there are no more Jewish holidays for another 49 days, right?
00:00:45.000 Not until Shavuot, so we have at least a month and a half until we get to another set of Jewish holidays.
00:00:50.000 So, nothing but Shapiro-y goodness from now until then.
00:00:54.000 So, we bring you your latest coronavirus updates, obviously, because it is the only thing happening in the news.
00:01:00.000 One of the more odd things about doing the show during this period in time is there's only one thing happening in the news.
00:01:06.000 Literally no other things happening in the news.
00:01:08.000 So let's jump into what is happening in the news.
00:01:10.000 So yesterday was a really bad day in the United States for a number of deaths, apparently over 4,500 deaths recorded in the United States.
00:01:17.000 Now, how many of those deaths were a result of the changed CDC Standards in terms of what counts as a COVID-19 death, I'm actually not sure.
00:01:24.000 It doesn't really matter because the bottom line is that those deaths are attributable to COVID-19.
00:01:29.000 According to the Washington Post, COVID-19 deaths have snowballed from a few isolated cases to thousands across the country each day.
00:01:35.000 The U.S.
00:01:35.000 Surgeon General warned last week that it would be like Pearl Harbor.
00:01:38.000 It turned out to be more than five times as many Americans died from COVID-19 last week than were killed at Pearl Harbor.
00:01:44.000 If you look at a single week, What you see is that COVID-19 was just on the verge of overtaking heart disease as the number one killer across the country.
00:01:52.000 Last week, COVID-19 killed more people from April 6th to April 12th than any other cause of death except heart disease does normally in a typical April week.
00:02:01.000 Normally, cancer kills about 11,000 people per week and heart disease kills about 13,000 people per week.
00:02:06.000 COVID killed about 12,400 people the week of April 6th to April 12th.
00:02:10.000 So that is really, really scary.
00:02:12.000 One of the things that is scary about that, obviously, is that if you prorated that over the course of the year, you are talking hundreds of thousands of deaths.
00:02:17.000 I mean, easily hundreds of thousands of deaths.
00:02:19.000 Now, the good news is that that is likely to be the peak.
00:02:21.000 What we are likely to see is a decline in the number of deaths being reported from around the country.
00:02:26.000 The number of deaths trail the number of hospitalized cases.
00:02:28.000 The number of hospitalized cases did peak a few days ago.
00:02:32.000 Now, with that said, there's a lot of talk about when all of this is going to be reopened, how all of this looks.
00:02:37.000 I think it's important when we talk about coronavirus deaths, because all you see is the raw numbers.
00:02:42.000 And very often, people will show you a chart that is one of the more useless charts that I've seen, which is cumulative deaths.
00:02:47.000 And when you look at cumulative deaths, it looks exponential, right?
00:02:50.000 The line looks exponential.
00:02:51.000 It looks like it's rising rapidly.
00:02:52.000 The problem with using cumulative deaths is it doesn't actually tell you whether the rate of death is increasing, whether the rate of hospitalization is increasing, and that's what we really care about because...
00:03:01.000 If you are just adding the number of deaths today on top of the number of deaths yesterday, every time you add three or four deaths, the line continues to go up, whereas if you lost five people yesterday and one person today, on the cumulative chart, that looks like a continued increase.
00:03:16.000 On a non-cumulative chart, like on a day-by-day level, it looks like a pretty significant decrease.
00:03:20.000 Also important to recognize, as I've been talking about all week, it is deeply irresponsible of the media to tranche people, or fail to tranche people, In the ways that they do.
00:03:28.000 What I mean by that is that if you are looking at the actual danger of coronavirus, you do have to look at the type of person who is acquiring coronavirus.
00:03:35.000 To pretend that all people who acquire coronavirus are equally likely to be killed by coronavirus or to end up on a ventilator is simply not true.
00:03:42.000 And it's really irresponsible, especially because when you're talking about reopening the country, you are going to have to trash people.
00:03:47.000 You are going to have to determine who is most vulnerable and who is less vulnerable.
00:03:51.000 And to pretend otherwise is really silly.
00:03:53.000 And you hear this kind of stuff from members of the media, Fairly regularly.
00:03:57.000 You hear it from members of government all the time.
00:03:58.000 They'll say, sure, it's more dangerous for older people, but it could kill anybody.
00:04:02.000 Well, cancer is mostly dangerous to old people.
00:04:04.000 Yeah, it could kill anybody, but your chances of acquiring cancer at age 30 are very different from your chances of acquiring cancer at age 75 or age 80.
00:04:12.000 And to pretend that the risk is equivalent and therefore that the behavior should be equivalent is irresponsible and it's blanket one-size-fits-all policy.
00:04:19.000 And we'll get to more of that when we talk about the White House policy that's being put forward and what exactly is going to be A sort of well-realized and rational policy and what is not because I think that there continues to be a failure to understand the nature of the virus that is resulting in overbroad policies when it comes to lockdowns and shutdowns.
00:04:38.000 We're going to get to more of this in just one second.
00:04:40.000 We'll go through more of the statistics.
00:04:42.000 First, let's talk about the fact that you're doing more online shopping now than ever because you have to.
00:04:46.000 I mean, literally all the things are closed.
00:04:47.000 You can get in your car today and drive around, everything will be closed.
00:04:50.000 So you go back home, you get online, you're like, oh, why don't I just shop online?
00:04:53.000 Except that everything's a little too expensive.
00:04:55.000 Well, why don't you use Honey right now?
00:04:56.000 It's a free tool that's going to save you all sorts of money.
00:04:58.000 It saved me probably thousands of dollars at this point.
00:05:01.000 We are all shopping online a lot.
00:05:02.000 Honey is the free online shopping tool that saves you money online.
00:05:06.000 Honey automatically finds the best promo codes and then applies them to your cart, which makes online shopping finally feel as easy as it's supposed to be.
00:05:12.000 Honey has found it's over 18 million members, over $2 billion in savings.
00:05:16.000 So you can shop at your favorite sites like Target, Best Buy, Sephora, Macy's, eBay, Etsy, like I use it on a huge number of sites, Amazon.
00:05:23.000 When you check out, the little box drops down.
00:05:25.000 All you have to do is click apply coupons.
00:05:27.000 You wait a few seconds for it to scan every promo code on the internet, like all of them, and then the price just drops.
00:05:32.000 Again, I've saved probably thousands of dollars on household goods and essentials from Amazon and from Walmart simply by using Honey.
00:05:42.000 Not using Honey, you're passing up free money.
00:05:43.000 It's free to use, it installs in seconds, and it's backed by PayPal so you know that it's good.
00:05:46.000 Get Honey for free at joinhoney.com slash Ben.
00:05:49.000 That is joinhoney.com slash Ben.
00:05:52.000 Go check them out right now.
00:05:53.000 Okay, so as I say, to pretend that all populations are equivalently vulnerable to COVID-19, Is deeply irresponsible.
00:06:01.000 So I'm going to give you the deaths involving coronavirus by age group in the United States.
00:06:06.000 By age group in the United States over the course of the last few months.
00:06:13.000 Basically from February 1st to April 11th.
00:06:16.000 This is by age in the United States.
00:06:19.000 Under 1 year of age, there have been 0 deaths from COVID-19.
00:06:23.000 From 1 to 4 years of age, there have been 2 deaths from COVID-19, this is according to the CDC.
00:06:27.000 From 5 to 14 years, there has been 1 death from COVID-19.
00:06:31.000 From 15 to 24 years, there have been 13 deaths from COVID-19.
00:06:36.000 13 total, across the United States.
00:06:38.000 Okay, but by the way, here is the comparable statistic as to the number of deaths from all causes during that period.
00:06:43.000 Over 5,000 people aged 15 to 24 have died in the period February 1st to April 11th in the United States, 13 from COVID-19.
00:06:50.000 So obviously this is not equivalently hitting people when they say, well, it's hitting young people too.
00:06:54.000 Yeah, but not, not really.
00:06:56.000 I mean, statistically speaking, it's really not hitting young people particularly hard.
00:06:59.000 25 to 34, 113 deaths total from February 1st to April 11th.
00:07:05.000 That's out of 11,000 total deaths during that period.
00:07:08.000 11,000 total deaths, 113 from COVID.
00:07:11.000 35 to 44, there have been nearly 16,000 total deaths, February 1st to April 11th.
00:07:16.000 289 deaths from COVID.
00:07:18.000 Okay, so basically, if you're under 45 years of age, the chances that you are going to die from COVID are exceedingly low.
00:07:23.000 Very, very, very low.
00:07:25.000 Even compared to the number of deaths total that these groups are experiencing over this period of time.
00:07:31.000 It starts to elevate as you get older.
00:07:32.000 45 to 54, 751 people have died from COVID-19 out of 30,500 cases.
00:07:34.000 So 750 out of 30,000 cases, that's starting to look like a little bit more of a percentage.
00:07:38.000 out of 30,500 cases, right?
00:07:40.000 So 750 out of, uh, 750 out of 30,000 cases, that's starting to look like a little bit more of a percentage.
00:07:48.000 Now you're talking about 2% of all deaths in that age group due to COVID-19.
00:07:53.000 I think it's about, yeah, that's right.
00:07:55.000 It's 2%, 2.5%.
00:07:56.000 It's 2.5% of all deaths in that age group due to COVID-19.
00:07:59.000 Then it starts to elevate again, 55 to 64.
00:08:02.000 But as you see, so do the number of total deaths, right?
00:08:04.000 So 55 to 64, 1,773 deaths, February 1st to April 11th, out of 74,000 deaths.
00:08:06.000 So 1,800 out of 74,000.
00:08:06.000 So now you're talking about, again, about 2.4% of all deaths in that age range are happening due to COVID-19.
00:08:10.000 74,000 deaths.
00:08:11.000 So 1,800 out of 74,000.
00:08:14.000 So now you're talking about, again, about 2.4% of all deaths in that age range are happening due to COVID-19.
00:08:21.000 You get 65 to 74.
00:08:23.000 2,900 deaths out of 114,000 total deaths.
00:08:27.000 So now you're talking about, again, 2,900 deaths out of 114,000, 115,000 total deaths.
00:08:36.000 I'm doing the math in real time here.
00:08:37.000 You're looking again at about 2.5% of all deaths in that age range are with COVID-19.
00:08:42.000 So basically, if you are below, if you're between the ages of 45 and 74, you're looking at about a 2.5% chance if you died that you died of COVID-19.
00:08:52.000 So in other words, as more deaths occur in the group, more people are dying from COVID-19 on an absolute level, but on a percentage basis, it's basically the same from the time you hit 45 to the time you hit 74.
00:09:01.000 Why?
00:09:02.000 Because pre-existing conditions start to kick in.
00:09:03.000 A lot more pre-existing conditions as you get older.
00:09:06.000 And that continues to maintain and grow as people get older and older, right?
00:09:10.000 75 to 84 years old, again, these are statistics from the CDC, from February 1st to April 11th, 3,576 deaths out of 144,000 total deaths.
00:09:15.000 3,576 deaths out of 144,000 total deaths.
00:09:19.000 So 3,576 deaths out of 144,000 total deaths.
00:09:23.000 And you're looking at a rate of, again, 2.5%.
00:09:26.000 So it's basically even, the number of deaths, the percentage of deaths, right?
00:09:31.000 Out of total number of deaths?
00:09:32.000 It's just that there are a lot more older people who are dying.
00:09:34.000 So this thing is more dangerous for older people, clearly, right?
00:09:37.000 Okay, I'm just reading you the CDC statistics.
00:09:40.000 And you can look at these statistics across countries.
00:09:43.000 Okay, it is 100% true that younger people are just not suffering from this thing the way older people are.
00:09:47.000 And people who do not have pre-existing conditions are not suffering from this thing the way that older people are.
00:09:52.000 And that's really important.
00:09:53.000 It's really, really important to mention that because Because if you do not mention that, then it doesn't, you can't formulate a solid policy.
00:10:02.000 Treating people who are 70 and up, or 60 and up, or pre-existing conditions the same way that you're treating young healthy people when it comes to public policy is really, really foolish.
00:10:14.000 So Vox has a piece on this, and here's how they conclude, and I think this is sort of irresponsible.
00:10:19.000 They say, there's no need to belabor the point.
00:10:21.000 One thing most people know about COVID-19 is it hurts older people the most.
00:10:24.000 The data bear this out.
00:10:25.000 People in this age group are the most likely to be hospitalized and to ultimately die during the pandemic.
00:10:29.000 For the rest of us, the risk is less severe, but far from zero.
00:10:32.000 And every person should be mindful of how their current health might make them more susceptible.
00:10:36.000 When they say less severe but far from zero, that makes it sound as though it's sort of a mild difference in degree.
00:10:42.000 It is a major difference in degree, whether you are under the age of 30 or whether you are above the age of 70.
00:10:47.000 These are serious, serious concerns.
00:10:49.000 And this is not suggesting that life itself is more valuable at a particular age.
00:10:54.000 It's saying if you're going to tell somebody to go back to work and all you know about them is they're a 30-year-old without pre-existing conditions or a 70-year-old with pre-existing conditions, it makes it a pretty easy calculation.
00:11:03.000 Okay, beyond that, when we're talking about how we get people back to work, we still have not found out.
00:11:08.000 I mean, it's unbelievable to me that we've not done this.
00:11:10.000 We still have not done random antibody testing in the United States to find out how many people have actually had this disease.
00:11:16.000 That makes a huge difference, because if it turns out That the rates are one-tenth of what we have been told, right?
00:11:22.000 If the rates actually are not 5 or 6 percent, they are 0.6 or 0.5 percent, that changes the math radically, especially because for younger and not as vulnerable people, the rates are going to look more like the seasonal flu, like 0.1 percent for people who are young and healthy.
00:11:34.000 Now again, that doesn't mean that this is the flu, because the 0.1 percent death rate for the flu includes people who are older and vulnerable, and people who've had vaccine, and people who are out there in public doing all these sorts of things.
00:11:45.000 With that said, To pretend that all age groups and all health groups are equally vulnerable to this thing, as the government keeps saying, because the government won't just tell you the truth.
00:11:54.000 And media members won't either.
00:11:55.000 Here is the truth.
00:11:56.000 If you are young and you are healthy, your chances of dying from this thing are near zero.
00:12:00.000 Okay, if you are young and healthy, your chances of dying from this thing are very, very close to zero.
00:12:04.000 Because first, even if you have to acquire it, which many people will not acquire it, even if you do acquire it, according to the New York City health data, if you are young and you don't have pre-existing conditions, The number of people who have died in New York City, which is the epicenter of this thing, who are young and healthy, is minute.
00:12:23.000 I mean, I looked at this data just before the holiday, and the New York City health data on COVID-19 is pretty clear about this.
00:12:31.000 If you look at the rates of death by age, If you look at the COVID-19, probable COVID-19 deaths, so now I'm looking at the PDF that is last updated as of April 15th.
00:12:44.000 The total number of people under the age of 45 in New York City, right, which has experienced now, what, 7, 8,000 deaths total, right?
00:12:53.000 City of New York, number of people, no underlying conditions, under age of 45 who have died, 29. 29.
00:13:00.000 Out of that grand total of number of people who have died.
00:13:03.000 Grand total of people under 65 who have died with no underlying conditions would be 29 plus 67.
00:13:08.000 So, 96.
00:13:12.000 That is not a huge number.
00:13:14.000 The reason that I'm saying this is because when you make plans for who goes back to work, you need to know these numbers.
00:13:20.000 Beyond that, beyond that, everybody is suggesting that they know the COVID-19 fatality rate.
00:13:24.000 Two things can be true.
00:13:26.000 One, COVID-19 spreads extremely easily.
00:13:28.000 By all available data, it spreads extremely easily.
00:13:30.000 Also, the death rates are not nearly what the WHO pegs them at, like 3.4%.
00:13:36.000 I have evidence of this that I will bring you again in one second.
00:13:38.000 It's starting to be more consistent across sort of various different studies.
00:13:43.000 I'll bring you a study from the Netherlands that really suggests that this thing does not have the sort of deadliness that people are suggesting.
00:13:50.000 It has absolute deadliness because if a ton of people acquire a virus and it has a low percentage of killing people, still a lot of people die from the virus.
00:13:58.000 But the absolute death rate of this thing is not as high as the WHO originally made it out to be, or any of the death rates that you're actually seeing in the media.
00:14:05.000 I'll give you the evidence of this in just one second.
00:14:07.000 First, let's talk about the fact that you are using earbuds on a regular basis now, right?
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00:15:12.000 As I say, we still don't know the true case fatality rate.
00:15:16.000 This is what I've been focused on for weeks here.
00:15:18.000 How has it been weeks and we still don't have antibody tests?
00:15:20.000 Why has it been left to private entrepreneurs and universities like Stanford to do this testing?
00:15:25.000 How is it the CDC has not done random antibody testing in hotspots in the United States to determine how many people actually have this thing?
00:15:31.000 Last week, or actually earlier this week, I reported to you that there was a study that was done in New York where something like 215 pregnant women came in.
00:15:40.000 And 14% of them had COVID-19, but only 1.9% of them actually had symptoms of COVID-19, which suggests that the vast majority of people who've had COVID-19 or have COVID-19 are asymptomatic.
00:15:53.000 What that means is that the denominator in your case fatality rate, even in New York City, is really, really high.
00:15:58.000 Like a lot higher than it has been made out to be.
00:16:01.000 And now we have another proof of this.
00:16:03.000 According to one study, the head of Netherlands National Institute for Health, his name is Jaap van Dissel, announced on Thursday that 3% of all people in the Netherlands have the antibody for COVID-19.
00:16:14.000 Okay, 3%, which is really high.
00:16:16.000 It sounds low.
00:16:17.000 I will tell you why that is really actually quite high.
00:16:20.000 So the Netherlands, as of last night, had 28,383 diagnosed cases in the Netherlands, with 3,327 deaths.
00:16:27.000 That would mean about an 11% case fatality rate.
00:16:30.000 Really high.
00:16:31.000 Basically, you get this thing, you are in serious trouble in the Netherlands.
00:16:35.000 However, that antibody test shows that 3% of the population of the Netherlands actually already has the antibody, which means they've already had this thing.
00:16:41.000 That means 518,400 cases of coronavirus based on their population.
00:16:46.000 They're about 18 million people who live in the Netherlands.
00:16:48.000 So instead of 29,000 diagnosed cases or 28,000 diagnosed cases, you're talking about an order of magnitude time and then multiply that by two, the number of people who actually have this thing.
00:16:59.000 So 20 times the number of people have had this thing as the actual reported cases are.
00:17:05.000 So that means that their case fatality rate in terms of death over number of people who have actually had this thing is not 11%.
00:17:10.000 It's 0.6%.
00:17:13.000 It's 0.6%.
00:17:15.000 It takes it down by a full level of magnitude and then divide that by 2.
00:17:18.000 It takes it down by a factor of 20.
00:17:19.000 As you increase the denominator by 20, then you are decreasing the death rate by a factor of 20.
00:17:24.000 And by the way, again, worthy of note that in the Netherlands, the case fatality rate by age is wildly disparate.
00:17:32.000 I'm looking at the, this is from Statista.com, looking at the case fatality rate.
00:17:38.000 The case fatality rate in the Netherlands, which allegedly has an 11% case fatality rate according to the Johns Hopkins coronavirus data.
00:17:45.000 For everyone under the age of 24, there is a 0% case fatality rate.
00:17:49.000 25 to 29, .1.
00:17:50.000 40 to 44, .1.
00:17:50.000 30 to 34, .1.
00:17:50.000 35 to 39, .1.
00:17:50.000 45 to 49, .2.
00:17:50.000 Then, just like in the United States, it starts to elevate once you hit 50.
00:17:53.000 35 to 39, 0.1, 40 to 44, 0.1, 45 to 49, 0.2.
00:17:57.000 Then, just like in the United States, it starts to elevate once you hit 50.
00:18:01.000 Right, then it's 0.9, 1.5, 2.9 for people who are over the age between 60 and 64, 6.4 for 65 to 69.
00:18:10.000 And then it starts to really elevate to the point where if you are 80 to 84 years old, there's a 22.4% case fatality rate.
00:18:16.000 What does this suggest?
00:18:17.000 It suggests that it's idiotic to treat people who are young and healthy like people who are older when you are trying to come out of this thing.
00:18:23.000 It just makes no sense.
00:18:25.000 Beyond that, there is some serious question about exactly how you're gonna test for this thing.
00:18:31.000 So as we will see, everybody is saying vast testing, vast testing regimens, big testing, temperature checks.
00:18:36.000 First of all, temperature checks ain't gonna do crap.
00:18:38.000 Temperature checks are completely useless in my opinion.
00:18:40.000 The reason I say that they are completely useless is because Scott Gottlieb, the former FDA commissioner who's very big on testing, Scott Gottlieb quoted a study yesterday, quote, new study shows that people with COVID-19 may be most infectious before symptoms develop.
00:18:54.000 So what the hell does a temperature check do?
00:18:56.000 I can check you for a temperature.
00:18:57.000 You're asymptomatic.
00:18:58.000 Doesn't matter.
00:18:59.000 You just infected the entire office.
00:19:01.000 So what exactly does a temperature check accomplish?
00:19:02.000 The answer is nothing.
00:19:03.000 So if the CDC is recommending temperature checks, that's pretty much useless.
00:19:06.000 So then the question is, how many antibody tests can be done?
00:19:10.000 How quickly?
00:19:11.000 And then the antibody, right, I assume is going to take, you know, a day or two for your body to manufacture the antibody.
00:19:18.000 But even if that's not the case, how exact are all of these coronavirus tests?
00:19:23.000 We've been relying on these tests.
00:19:24.000 Question, what is the failure rate on the coronavirus tests?
00:19:27.000 If you had coronavirus tests all across the United States, does that pick up everybody?
00:19:31.000 Because here's the problem.
00:19:32.000 All you need is one person who's a super spreader to start it spreading in a community again.
00:19:36.000 Now, coronavirus testing could be useful if it were really, really widespread and identifying hotspots, and then presumably you could do some contact tracing.
00:19:43.000 But if this thing is so widespread that 3% of the population of the Netherlands already had it and they've been in lockdown, then it's going to be very difficult when people are asymptomatic to determine exactly how you lock this thing down.
00:19:54.000 The best you can hope for is to lock down some of the hotspots, but you're never going to be able to completely remove it from the population.
00:20:00.000 And that's why we have to be super accurate about what it is that we were attempting to do with the lockdown in the first place, and what things are going to look like when the lockdown ends.
00:20:07.000 What things are going to look like when the lockdown ends is, if you have a pre-existing condition or you're elderly, you really shouldn't be going out in public.
00:20:13.000 Truly.
00:20:14.000 Like, I would tell my grandparents this.
00:20:15.000 Both my grandparents are in nursing homes.
00:20:18.000 Both my grandmothers.
00:20:19.000 I would not be like, oh yeah, go to the grocery store, even with the mask on.
00:20:23.000 There's no reason for you to do it.
00:20:23.000 It's just too risky.
00:20:25.000 But for me, and my wife, and my kids, you know, there's really no reason for us not to go out.
00:20:31.000 Now the question becomes whether we should socially distance.
00:20:34.000 Okay, the only reason to socially distance is because I have parents who are 64, I would prefer not to pass it on to my parents.
00:20:39.000 But as far as me acquiring it, or my wife acquiring it, or my kids acquiring it, there's not significant risk to them of death that is tremendously in excess of other risks that you go about On a daily basis.
00:20:51.000 That doesn't mean go and have like coronavirus parties or something where you're infecting anybody else.
00:20:54.000 But to be accurate about the risks, we ought to be accurate about the risks.
00:20:57.000 We don't want community spread.
00:20:58.000 We don't want infecting people who may have pre-existing conditions and are vulnerable and who are not staying indoors.
00:21:03.000 But, again, as we will see, a lot of measures that are now being attempted, I'm not sure are actually going to be completely effective.
00:21:11.000 I have serious questions about how this testing regimen that people are talking about is actually going to be implemented on a practical level.
00:21:17.000 And whether, in fact, we ought to be pursuing a policy that basically says to people, if you are young and you are healthy, go back to work, wear a mask, socially distance so you're not increasing the risk of transmitting this to people who actually are vulnerable.
00:21:27.000 And that's about all we can do.
00:21:29.000 At least until there are better treatments that are come up with.
00:21:31.000 Now in a second I'm going to tell you there are some treatments that are being come up with that could radically change the game.
00:21:35.000 And that is really, really good news.
00:21:37.000 There are some treatments that hospitals are now using.
00:21:39.000 Remember, people keep saying vaccine, vaccine, vaccine.
00:21:41.000 If a really good treatment comes along that mitigates the risk of coronavirus, then the vaccine is still really useful, but it doesn't become quite as urgent.
00:21:49.000 It's not like we have to lock down until there's a vaccine if there's a treatment available that mitigates the effects of COVID-19 such that the risk of death goes down dramatically.
00:21:56.000 We'll get to that in just one second.
00:21:58.000 First, let's talk about the fact that More than ever with this level of economic uncertainty, you need to know your business down to the nitty gritty.
00:22:05.000 And when the economy opens back up, and when you are ready to go, you need your business to be ready and raring to go on every level.
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00:23:04.000 Okay, so as I say, as treatments come up, that is also going to suggest that we ought to be opening up society more, right?
00:23:10.000 If we can lower the death rate fairly dramatically, then of course we ought to be opening society up more on a concomitant basis.
00:23:16.000 So a couple of good pieces of news.
00:23:17.000 CNN is reporting that patients are now being turned over on their stomach In the ICU or in the hospital, and that that is actually a pretty effective treatment for getting people oxygen to their lungs.
00:23:30.000 According to CNN, doctors are finding that placing the sickest coronavirus patients on their stomachs, called prone positioning, helps to increase the amount of oxygen getting to their lungs.
00:23:39.000 A doctor named Mangala Narasimhan, who works at Long Island Jewish Hospital, said, we're saving lives with this 100%.
00:23:46.000 He said, it's such a simple thing to do.
00:23:48.000 We've seen remarkable improvement.
00:23:49.000 We can see it for every single patient.
00:23:52.000 Dr. Katherine Hibbert, Director of Medical ICU at Massachusetts General Hospital, says, once you see it work, you want to do it more.
00:23:57.000 And you see it work almost immediately.
00:23:59.000 So that is a good piece of data.
00:24:04.000 Now, ventilated patients require sedation when they are placed on their stomach, which could mean a longer stay in the ICU, for example.
00:24:12.000 And it might be uncomfortable for a non-sedated patient to spend 16 hours on their stomach, but people are definitely giving it a try.
00:24:18.000 In even more optimistic news, there was an early peek at data on a Gilead coronavirus drug.
00:24:22.000 Now, we've heard about this one before, right?
00:24:24.000 This drug is called Remdesivir.
00:24:25.000 You've heard President Trump talk about it at some of the press conferences.
00:24:28.000 This was originally, I believe, an HIV-AIDS drug, Remdesivir.
00:24:32.000 Okay, and it was one of the first medicines identified as having the potential to impact COVID-19, according to statnews.com.
00:24:39.000 The entire world has been waiting for results from Gilead's clinical trials.
00:24:42.000 The University of Chicago Medicine recruited 125 people with COVID-19 into Gilead's two phase three clinical trials.
00:24:48.000 Of those people, 113 had severe disease.
00:24:51.000 All the patients were treated with daily infusions of Remdesivir.
00:24:54.000 The results have not yet been released, but there was a tape of a University of Chicago infectious disease specialist talking about this study and it leaked.
00:25:02.000 Her name is Kathleen Mullane.
00:25:04.000 She said, the best news is that most of our patients have already been discharged, which is great.
00:25:07.000 We've had only two patients perish.
00:25:09.000 The discussion was recorded.
00:25:11.000 Stan obtained a copy of the video.
00:25:13.000 The outcomes offer only a snapshot of Remdesivir's effectiveness.
00:25:16.000 The same trials are being concurrently run at other institutions.
00:25:18.000 It's impossible to determine the full study results with any certainty.
00:25:21.000 Still, no other clinical data from the Gilead studies have been released to date.
00:25:25.000 Excitement is high.
00:25:27.000 Gilead said in a statement on Thursday, what we can say at this stage is that we look forward to data from ongoing studies becoming available, which is basically they're not going to release the information as of yet.
00:25:35.000 One of the reasons that people don't release preliminary information is because it creates holdups with things like the New England Journal of Medicine.
00:25:42.000 Malayne said, "When we start the drug, we see fever curves falling." She says, "Fever is not now a requirement for people to go on trial.
00:25:48.000 We do see when patients come in with high fevers, they do reduce quite quickly.
00:25:51.000 We've seen people come off ventilators a day after starting therapy.
00:25:54.000 So overall, our patients have done well.
00:25:56.000 Most of our patients are severe.
00:25:57.000 Most of them are leaving at six days.
00:25:59.000 So that tells us duration of therapy doesn't have 10 days." The University of Chicago Medicine said that drawing conclusions at this point is premature and scientifically unsound.
00:26:07.000 That's not stopping people from, of course, being deeply optimistic about this, which, again, I don't think is a problem.
00:26:13.000 I think being optimistic about things is okay.
00:26:15.000 You just have to recognize that there is an inherent amount of uncertainty.
00:26:19.000 When these studies have not yet been fully vetted.
00:26:21.000 Meanwhile, as I say, we're going to have to get used to the idea that a vaccine may be a ways off and that a vaccine may not even work because the virus is mutating.
00:26:29.000 The question is whether it's mutating in such a way that it makes the disease not vaccine vulnerable.
00:26:36.000 That vaccines only work on diseases where the disease does not change in a certain way particularly fast.
00:26:42.000 So measles, right?
00:26:43.000 It changes, but it doesn't change in such a way that the vaccine won't work on it.
00:26:46.000 Flu changes, and it changes in such a way that the vaccine only works on certain strains of the flu.
00:26:50.000 So one of the questions is whether coronavirus is going to be vulnerable to vaccines or not.
00:26:56.000 According to the New York Times, it's unclear how mutations in the genome will ultimately affect countermeasures like a vaccine.
00:27:02.000 So we may have to get used to the idea that a vaccine is a little ways away.
00:27:05.000 And as I mentioned before, people are most transmissive when they are asymptomatic.
00:27:09.000 So with all of that said, we can see that there's a tremendous amount of uncertainty and we are going to have to steer into the uncertainty.
00:27:16.000 There is no certainty here.
00:27:17.000 There is no world where the cases go down to zero.
00:27:20.000 There is no world Where everything is hunky-dory and then we just all go back to normal?
00:27:26.000 We are going to have to accept a certain level of raised risk in our lives for any level of lockdown to come to an end.
00:27:31.000 And you can see that really most, not even in the United States, you can see it most in places like Singapore.
00:27:37.000 Germany is beginning to gradually reopen their economy next week.
00:27:40.000 They had lockdown in January.
00:27:42.000 Singapore has reopened and Singapore saw a new daily high of 728 cases yesterday.
00:27:47.000 So a second wave is likely to happen.
00:27:49.000 This is why when people were ripping on Sweden for having a more open society, and they're saying, well look, they've had an increased risk of people dying and getting infected.
00:27:56.000 Right, because their society is more open.
00:27:58.000 That is just what is going to happen.
00:28:00.000 You're not going to know whether Sweden made the right call for a year.
00:28:03.000 One year from now, if you come back and Sweden has had way more deaths on a per capita basis than other countries around it, then you're going to say Sweden made the wrong call.
00:28:10.000 But, if Sweden ends up about the same as the other countries around it, or in the ballpark, and they didn't shut down their economy, everybody's going to be asking whether Sweden had this thing right from the beginning, and whether deep-scale lockdowns were actually the correct solution from the very beginning.
00:28:23.000 Again, Singapore is seeing a second wave.
00:28:25.000 And this is what I've been complaining about for a while, is that people are not being honest about what the second wave looks like.
00:28:31.000 I've been saying this for weeks.
00:28:32.000 I've said all the studies that were being cited did not take into account a second wave, that University of Washington study.
00:28:37.000 People, when they said lockdown, lockdown, lockdown, the question was what happens the minute we stop locking down?
00:28:42.000 Aren't we just going to go out and reinfect one another?
00:28:45.000 And the fact is, we do need to get out there.
00:28:47.000 We do need to change the direction of the economy.
00:28:51.000 22 million Americans have filed for unemployment in the past four weeks.
00:28:56.000 In four weeks!
00:28:57.000 That is the fastest spike in unemployment in American history, and it is not close.
00:29:00.000 It is not close.
00:29:01.000 The charts are absolutely stunning.
00:29:03.000 Initial jobless claims per week, when it got really bad in 2008-2009, you were seeing about half a million initial jobless claims per week at like the very beginning of 2009.
00:29:11.000 We saw 22 million in four weeks in the United States.
00:29:17.000 This cannot go on.
00:29:18.000 It cannot go on this way.
00:29:19.000 It just can't.
00:29:20.000 We're going to get to that in just one second, and then we're going to get to President Trump's plan to reopen.
00:29:25.000 Because let's be real about this also, Democrats right now are holding hostage more small business funds.
00:29:29.000 So at the same time that they are suggesting that lockdowns continue, and again, it's a bipartisan thing.
00:29:34.000 There's some people who want lockdowns to continue, some people who want lockdowns alleviated, but along sort of grassroots partisan lines, Democrats largely want to see the lockdowns continue, and Republicans largely want to see the lockdowns come to an end ASAP.
00:29:47.000 With all of that said, and again, it's not a completely partisan issue, but it does seem to be in sort of public opinion polling breaking down along partisan lines.
00:29:53.000 For the Democrats to be holding up small business aid at this point, which is the only thing keeping people's income afloat, is really insane.
00:30:00.000 And Nancy Pelosi was doing some of that yesterday.
00:30:01.000 We'll get to that in just one second.
00:30:03.000 First, let's talk about the fact there has literally been no better time not to go to the post office, like ever in human history.
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00:31:30.000 Alrighty, we're going to get to Nancy Pelosi holding up small business aid, which is just insane.
00:31:34.000 I mean, truly, it's crazy at this time.
00:31:36.000 We're going to get to that, and we're going to get to President Trump's plan to reopen businesses.
00:31:39.000 What's right about it?
00:31:40.000 What's wrong about it?
00:31:41.000 We'll get to that in just one moment.
00:31:42.000 First, it is that glorious time of the week when I give a shout out to a Daily Wire subscriber.
00:31:46.000 Today, it's Cameron, aka SirTurkle, on Instagram, experiencing one of life's greatest blessings in the midst of a global pandemic.
00:31:53.000 In this picture, Cameron is holding a tiny baby, swaddled up fast asleep next to the world's greatest beverage vessel.
00:31:57.000 The caption reads, Peter Thomas Turk, born during this crazy time, is gonna make it through being nourished by the plentiful supply of leftist tears.
00:32:05.000 Hashtag leftist tears Tumblr.
00:32:06.000 Hashtag Daily Wire.
00:32:07.000 Do not feed babies tears, guys.
00:32:10.000 You just go with the breast milk.
00:32:11.000 It's fine.
00:32:11.000 Amazing.
00:32:12.000 You are already winning at the parenting game.
00:32:14.000 Thanks for the picture of that.
00:32:16.000 That's a cute baby.
00:32:17.000 That's a cute baby.
00:32:18.000 Congrats on the growing family.
00:32:20.000 Also, being locked inside right now, it requires double the excitement.
00:32:23.000 What could be more exciting than a second leftist tears Tumblr?
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00:32:29.000 Yes!
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00:33:37.000 So Nancy Pelosi has been holding up a small business fund refills.
00:33:47.000 So the small business fund ran out like immediately because pretty much every small business in America needs a loan.
00:33:53.000 Every small business in America has been forcibly shut down by government.
00:33:55.000 And I saw some libertarians over the weekend who are sort of making the claim that it is anti-libertarian principle to take the small business loans.
00:34:02.000 And as I have said, this is a taking, okay?
00:34:05.000 According to libertarian principle, if the government forces you to, if the government were to drive a railroad through your backyard, they would have to compensate you for that.
00:34:12.000 If the government were to drive a railroad through your house, they'd have to compensate you for that.
00:34:16.000 The government is driving a railroad right through your business right now.
00:34:18.000 They need to compensate you for that.
00:34:19.000 They shut down your business for public purposes without just compensation.
00:34:23.000 To take compensation for that is not anti-libertarian.
00:34:26.000 It makes perfect sense.
00:34:28.000 The government imposed the costs.
00:34:30.000 The government has to pay for the backside of all of that.
00:34:34.000 And if you don't like it, by the way, vote out the politicians.
00:34:36.000 If you want the government to not do this sort of thing, then have different politicians.
00:34:40.000 Well, right now, the Paycheck Protection Program is in limbo.
00:34:43.000 The Small Business Administration said on Thursday it ran out of money within, like, two weeks.
00:34:47.000 Millions of businesses unable to apply for the loans, while Congress struggled to reach a deal to replenish the funds.
00:34:51.000 Congress initially allocated $349 billion for the program that was intended to provide loans to businesses with 500 or fewer employees.
00:34:58.000 The money went out quickly.
00:34:59.000 More than 1.4 million loans approved as of Wednesday evening.
00:35:03.000 They can't issue more loans until more money has actually been put forth by Congress.
00:35:08.000 Naturally, Democrats are holding it up.
00:35:10.000 President Trump says we need more funding.
00:35:12.000 These small businesses are keeping people's paychecks going.
00:35:14.000 I mean, one of the conditions, by the way, of actually taking a loan from the Paycheck Protection Program is that you have to continue to pay your employees.
00:35:22.000 If you don't continue to pay, I think it's 90% of your employees at 90% of their salary or something like that, then you can't actually receive a loan.
00:35:28.000 So people are getting the checks that are allowing them to sustain themselves during this time because of this program.
00:35:33.000 Here's Trump saying we need to refill the fund.
00:35:35.000 We're negotiating with Democrats and they should, frankly, approve it quickly.
00:35:40.000 This is a great thing for our country.
00:35:41.000 It's a great thing for small business and for the workers.
00:35:44.000 And we're having a hard time getting them to approve it.
00:35:48.000 I think it's going to happen.
00:35:49.000 It should happen really unanimously.
00:35:53.000 But they're trying to get things and we're not too happy with what they're trying to get.
00:35:57.000 Okay, and that's exactly right.
00:35:58.000 If you look at what the Democrats are trying to dump into this program, according to the Wall Street Journal, Pelosi and Minority Leader Chuck Schumer have called for further changes to the program, plus significantly increased funding for disaster grants and loans, which is unrelated, plus additional support for food stamps, which is unrelated.
00:36:13.000 Plus, collection and publication of demographic data so we can accurately determine the level of impact on underserved communities and communities of color.
00:36:21.000 Because it deeply matters right now how we gather data on racial differences.
00:36:25.000 By the way, if you're looking for correlative differences in how this stuff is affecting people, then there are two cross-cutting factors that matter a hell of a lot more than race.
00:36:32.000 Poverty and pre-existing conditions.
00:36:35.000 Poverty, pre-existing conditions, and age are the three things that matter.
00:36:38.000 I can tell you why the Democrats are trying to break it down this way.
00:36:40.000 Because again, they're going back to the well.
00:36:42.000 The suggestion is, and they're making this suggestion fairly obvious, that if Trump mishandles this thing, that he has done so because he is racist.
00:36:49.000 That is what they are going to suggest.
00:36:50.000 They're going to suggest that differentials in treatment are because of underlying racism.
00:36:54.000 They did the same exact bullcrap with George W. Bush after Hurricane Katrina.
00:36:58.000 The suggestion was not that Bush just botched Hurricane Katrina.
00:37:00.000 It's that he botched Hurricane Katrina because he didn't care enough for black people.
00:37:03.000 And they're going to do exactly the same thing here.
00:37:05.000 They're setting up the groundwork for an identity politics move here, and it's disgusting.
00:37:09.000 It really is.
00:37:10.000 I'm fine with you gathering any sort of data you want to gather, but if the implication is that America isn't doing enough for black people because they are black, as opposed to black people are dying at higher rates because black people are more likely to be suffering from pre-existing conditions, and if you want to connect that to historic poverty, You can try, but some of it has to do also with the fact that eating habits matter, that where you live matters.
00:37:32.000 There are certain factors that crosscut race and are much more correlative than race itself.
00:37:36.000 Democrats are trying to boil it down to race, as they always do.
00:37:38.000 As the Wall Street Journal says, identity politics and social pork barrel trump jobs and business solvency.
00:37:47.000 Nancy Pelosi was explaining why she was rejecting small loans to businesses while showing off $24,000 fridges in the background.
00:37:53.000 Listen, I don't begrudge anybody owning a $24,000 fridge.
00:37:56.000 Nancy Pelosi is a very, very wealthy person.
00:37:58.000 She was on with James Corden, who is broadcasting from home.
00:38:01.000 And again, owning expensive things, you have a right to do it.
00:38:04.000 I'm just wondering why it is that Nancy Pelosi wants to prohibit people from getting the loans they need to sustain their businesses while she stands in front of her fancy fridges.
00:38:12.000 Speaker Pelosi, what have you found?
00:38:14.000 What are you going to share with us from your home?
00:38:16.000 Chocolate.
00:38:17.000 Really?
00:38:18.000 Chocolate, chocolate candy.
00:38:22.000 Oh, wow.
00:38:23.000 And this is something you can get through the mail.
00:38:30.000 OK.
00:38:31.000 Run out.
00:38:32.000 Now show me.
00:38:33.000 Yeah, absolutely.
00:38:34.000 This is the episode of Cribs.
00:38:35.000 I never knew I needed.
00:38:38.000 Oh, my.
00:38:40.000 Wow.
00:38:40.000 Other people in our family go for some other fritters.
00:38:43.000 I'm all for the beautiful fridge, but I'm not going to take it from Nancy Pelosi when she says she doesn't have enough data to back a refill of the small business funding.
00:38:48.000 She said that also.
00:38:50.000 She doesn't have enough data.
00:38:51.000 Because Democrats, one thing we know about Democrats is they need data on how government programs work before they extend them.
00:38:57.000 We know this, right?
00:38:58.000 Like Head Start, if they had all the data, they would just extend that sucker.
00:39:01.000 Or alternatively, Democrats just spend no matter what because they assume the data don't matter.
00:39:05.000 That throwing money at things works, except when the money is being thrown at small business.
00:39:09.000 Here's Nancy Pelosi refusing to throw money at small business at a time when government is actively destroying small businesses.
00:39:13.000 We, again, support what we did with the PPP.
00:39:18.000 But we want to make sure that as it gets more money, it gets many more people get access to the credit.
00:39:27.000 There have been some questions asked about the money may be committed, but we haven't, many of us have not received it.
00:39:34.000 So that's all, that's as I say back to Chairwoman Velasco saying we want the data.
00:39:43.000 We want the data.
00:39:44.000 Yeah, I'm sure you want the data.
00:39:44.000 I'm sure it's just that you need rigorous oversight of government spending.
00:39:47.000 This is where Democrats are famous.
00:39:49.000 Rigorous oversight of government spending.
00:39:51.000 When it's government wasting money on absolute bullcrap stupidity, then the Democrats are like, all in.
00:39:56.000 But when it comes to, we need to help businesses that have been prohibited from doing business, then they're like, you know, we need the data.
00:40:02.000 We need hard data right now.
00:40:03.000 Okay, so all of this, because businesses are being shut down, because people are losing their jobs.
00:40:07.000 22 million Americans out of jobs.
00:40:08.000 Protests are breaking out across the country.
00:40:10.000 We're seeing protests in places like Michigan, There was a protest about 3,000 people in Lansing, Michigan.
00:40:16.000 People jamming the streets around the state capitol, shouting that they want things reopened.
00:40:20.000 In Frankfort, Kentucky, dozens of people shouted through a capitol building window.
00:40:23.000 In Raleigh, North Carolina, one woman was arrested during a protest that drew more than 100 people.
00:40:28.000 No, I will say, I think that protesting in favor of reopening is not a bad thing.
00:40:33.000 I think protesting in favor of reopening while standing right next to each other and breathing on them and sharing food is a dumb thing.
00:40:38.000 I think it's a dumb thing.
00:40:38.000 I think it's dumb PR.
00:40:41.000 Folks, if you're going to do protests, let me make a recommendation.
00:40:43.000 Socially distance and wear masks during the protests.
00:40:45.000 It takes away the baton the media want to use against you.
00:40:47.000 The media want to suggest that you are out there protesting because you don't care about the impacts of coronavirus and because you don't mind if it spreads.
00:40:54.000 So why don't you socially distance during the protest and tell the media, yeah, we don't want to spread this thing, but we need to go back to work.
00:41:00.000 It takes the baton right out of their hands.
00:41:02.000 And the whole hog rejection of sort of basic scientific limits is very stupid PR, at least on that level.
00:41:08.000 But I certainly understand the emotion that says we need to open this thing up again.
00:41:12.000 So does President Trump, by the way.
00:41:13.000 So Trump Yesterday announced that he has a plan for states to open relatively soon.
00:41:18.000 He's doing this the right way.
00:41:19.000 He's saying states are in charge of how this program works, right?
00:41:22.000 States are going to determine exactly how they reopen.
00:41:24.000 He says some states could open relatively soon.
00:41:26.000 And of course, this is right.
00:41:27.000 Not all states are equivalent.
00:41:28.000 No state is New York.
00:41:29.000 New York is New York.
00:41:30.000 No place else is New York.
00:41:32.000 I think 29 states are in that ballgame, not for opening, but I think they'll be able to open relatively soon.
00:41:41.000 I think the remainder are just getting better.
00:41:43.000 Look, New York, New Jersey are having very tough times.
00:41:49.000 And they'll be there.
00:41:50.000 They'll be there at some point.
00:41:51.000 But they're not going to be one of the earlier states.
00:41:53.000 They're going to be later, obviously.
00:41:54.000 But we have a lot of states that, through location, through luck, and also through a lot of talent — we have states through a lot of talent that are in a very good position, and they're getting ready to open.
00:42:05.000 And over the next very short period of time, it's going to be up to the governors.
00:42:09.000 That's true.
00:42:09.000 And President Trump also laid out what he said was his basic plan for reopening yesterday.
00:42:15.000 So let's go through these guidelines, because I think there's a lot here that's good, and I think that there's a lot here that is too optimistic, shall we say.
00:42:21.000 It's setting the standards too high for reopening, because as I have said, In a quick and dirty fashion, the reality is we're all going to end up like Sweden.
00:42:29.000 We're all going to end up saying to young people and to kids and to adults who are healthy, we are going to say to them, go out, live your lives, wear a mask, socially distance, and that's about all we can do.
00:42:40.000 And if you're vulnerable and if you're elderly, Then you should probably stay in until treatments have been found.
00:42:45.000 That's basically what Sweden has been doing.
00:42:47.000 And you know what?
00:42:48.000 I'm not sure that Sweden is wrong.
00:42:49.000 In fact, I'm fairly certain that Sweden is probably correct.
00:42:51.000 Okay, so here are the criteria that's been set out by the White House.
00:42:55.000 So they have a proposed phased approach based on up-to-date data and readiness.
00:42:59.000 This is from the White House website, WhiteHouse.gov opening America.
00:43:04.000 So, they want to satisfy, before proceeding to phased comeback, a downward trajectory of influenza-like illnesses reported within a 14-day period, and a downward trajectory of COVID-like syndromic cases reported within a 14-day period.
00:43:17.000 They want a downward trajectory of documented cases within the 14-day period, or a downward trajectory of positive tests as a percentage of total tests within a 14-day period, so it declines every day for 14 days.
00:43:27.000 They want hospitals to be able to treat all patients without crisis care and robust testing programs in place for at-risk healthcare workers, including emerging antibody testing.
00:43:35.000 Okay, so here's the problem with this.
00:43:37.000 This is actually kind of a problem.
00:43:39.000 The minute that you release people from lockup, the minute you release people from lockup, you'll see an uptick in cases.
00:43:43.000 You just saw it in Singapore, right?
00:43:45.000 You saw an uptick in cases.
00:43:46.000 So does that break the 14-day downgrade?
00:43:48.000 So let's say you have 14 days where it's going down every day.
00:43:51.000 Day one, you say to young people, go back out, we're reopening the schools.
00:43:54.000 Uptick in cases.
00:43:55.000 Does everybody go back into lockdown?
00:43:57.000 How does that actually work?
00:43:59.000 Okay, the answer is it's not going to be able to work that way.
00:44:02.000 After there's the 14-day, okay, that's got to be a one-time thing.
00:44:05.000 Like, okay, we're getting this book.
00:44:06.000 Again, what was the purpose of the lockdown?
00:44:07.000 I was informed that the purpose of the lockdown was to flatten the curve so we didn't overwhelm our healthcare system.
00:44:12.000 We've done that, right?
00:44:14.000 We have not overwhelmed our healthcare system.
00:44:16.000 Particularly every place outside of New York.
00:44:17.000 There's no evidence that any place outside of New York City has seen an overwhelming of the healthcare system.
00:44:22.000 Or we haven't seen it even in the hotspots like Detroit and New Orleans.
00:44:25.000 There's really not been a lot of evidence that people are going without ventilators.
00:44:28.000 Even in New York, Bill de Blasio and Andrew Cuomo have said there are not people who are waiting for ventilators who can't get ventilators.
00:44:34.000 Right?
00:44:34.000 We've handled this thing.
00:44:36.000 And all of the IHME studies that you dub study, right?
00:44:39.000 That study was projecting hospital bed and ICU usage and ventilator usage far beyond what actually materialized.
00:44:46.000 Okay, so if we have flattened the curve below that point, then you have to assume that there will be a second wave of infections when you come back.
00:44:52.000 And that doesn't mean you shut down again.
00:44:53.000 Okay, so that's problem number one with this plan.
00:44:57.000 Okay, so state and local officials, according to the White House, may need to tailor the application of these criteria to local circumstances.
00:45:02.000 For example, metropolitan areas that have suffered severe COVID outbreaks.
00:45:05.000 Additionally, where appropriate, governors should work on a regional basis to satisfy these criteria.
00:45:10.000 Okay, then core state preparedness responsibilities.
00:45:14.000 Ability to set up safe and efficient screening and testing sites for symptomatic individuals and trace contact of COVID plus results.
00:45:21.000 Okay, so this is a problem.
00:45:23.000 Problem number one.
00:45:24.000 You want to set up efficient and safe screening for symptomatic individuals.
00:45:28.000 We know that asymptomatic individuals are the people who actually spread this the most.
00:45:33.000 So that's actually not super helpful.
00:45:35.000 As I say, I think the standards here are too high.
00:45:36.000 I don't think the standards are reachable.
00:45:38.000 I think that if anybody ever held actually true to the White House standards, no one reopens ever.
00:45:42.000 That's one of the problems with the White House standards.
00:45:44.000 So the left is saying these standards are too loose.
00:45:46.000 I'm saying I'm not even sure these standards are practical in terms of reaching the standard where you can reopen, except in rural areas where they're not bothering to do any testing.
00:45:53.000 In fact, this creates an incentive not to do the testing, simply so you can say that your area is going to reopen.
00:46:00.000 You have to ensure Sentinel surveillance sites are screening for asymptomatic cases and contacts for COVID plus results are traced.
00:46:07.000 So that means that you have to have asymptomatic screening at places that serve older individuals, lower income Americans, racial minorities, Native Americans.
00:46:16.000 How?
00:46:16.000 How are you going to do this?
00:46:18.000 You have to have the ability to surge ICU capacity.
00:46:20.000 This is right.
00:46:21.000 The ICU capacity and the ventilators and the hospitals have to be able to do what they need to do, but that's about all you can do.
00:46:27.000 And then they have to have a plan for advising citizens regarding protocols for social distancing and all of the rest.
00:46:32.000 For individuals, they continue to say, don't touch your face, wash your hands with soap and water, especially after you touch frequently used items or surfaces and discard frequently used items as much as possible.
00:46:41.000 If you feel sick, you should stay home.
00:46:43.000 But again, that's not going to help because you're asymptomatic a lot of the time.
00:46:45.000 They're saying that employers should have temperature checks.
00:46:48.000 Again, I don't know what the purpose of temperature checks is.
00:46:50.000 Everybody in my office could have it right now.
00:46:52.000 I wouldn't know.
00:46:52.000 They're asymptomatic.
00:46:54.000 Like, you don't know, especially among younger people.
00:46:57.000 You're going to need to limit business travel, presumably, to sort of essential business travel, which of course continues to kill the airlines.
00:47:04.000 And then phase one, all vulnerable individuals should continue to shelter in place.
00:47:09.000 Members of households with vulnerable residents should be aware that by returning to work, they could carry the virus back home.
00:47:14.000 Precautions should be taken to isolate from vulnerable residents.
00:47:17.000 When in public, you should maximize physical distance, right?
00:47:19.000 All of this, this part is fine.
00:47:21.000 Employers should continue to encourage telework.
00:47:24.000 They should return to work in phases.
00:47:25.000 They should close common areas like kitchens.
00:47:27.000 Minimize non-essential travel.
00:47:28.000 All of that is fine.
00:47:29.000 Specific types of employers.
00:47:31.000 They're saying that schools and organized youth activities in phase one should remain closed.
00:47:36.000 Visits to senior living facilities and hospitals should be prohibited.
00:47:39.000 Large venues can operate under strict physical distancing during protocols.
00:47:42.000 That would be sit-down dining, moving theaters, sporting venues.
00:47:45.000 So they would reopen restaurants, but you'd have to socially distance.
00:47:48.000 You can go back to church, but you have to have like one person per pew, that sort of thing.
00:47:51.000 And then they suggest that gyms could open if they adhere to strict physical distancing and sanitation protocols.
00:47:56.000 Remember, all of this is just guidance for states.
00:47:57.000 States can still do what they want.
00:47:59.000 States are still going to be the chief actors here.
00:48:02.000 That's all phase one.
00:48:03.000 Phase two, for states and regions with no evidence of a rebound, all vulnerable individuals should continue to shelter in place.
00:48:10.000 All individuals should continue to should maximize physical distance from each other.
00:48:14.000 Non-essential travel can resume.
00:48:16.000 And then you continue to encourage telework, close common areas, consider special accommodations for personnel members of a vulnerable population.
00:48:24.000 Schools and organized youth activities can reopen.
00:48:26.000 Visits to senior care facilities and hospitals should continue to be prohibited.
00:48:30.000 Large venues still continue that.
00:48:31.000 You can have elective surgeries and gyms and bars that start to reopen.
00:48:34.000 Then finally, phase three is states and regions with no evidence of a rebound and satisfy the gating criteria a third time.
00:48:41.000 Finally, vulnerable individuals can resume public interactions.
00:48:45.000 Employers can resume unrestricted staffing of work sites, visits to senior care facilities.
00:48:49.000 So my question is not what happens once you get to phase 2 and phase 3.
00:48:53.000 That all looks fine.
00:48:54.000 My question is how you even hit phase 1.
00:48:55.000 How are you going to hit phase 1?
00:48:59.000 Bottom line is that they also suggest that elderly individuals should basically stay home throughout, which is right.
00:49:06.000 In the end, that's what's going to end up happening.
00:49:07.000 In the end, what's going to end up happening is that if you feel that you can take the risk, you're going to go out.
00:49:10.000 And if you have parents who are vulnerable, you're not going to see them for a while.
00:49:12.000 That's what's going to happen.
00:49:14.000 You're going to hope for treatment that develops.
00:49:16.000 That's what this is going to end up being for most states.
00:49:19.000 Any state that does not end up doing that, it's just a question of time, right?
00:49:22.000 New York is going to say that they're going to take their sweet time about it.
00:49:24.000 They're going to end up in the same place.
00:49:26.000 Honestly, if New York wanted to stop this thing, they should have shut down the subways in the first place.
00:49:31.000 There's a study from MIT that suggests that the subways were the chief spreading mechanism, which makes perfect sense.
00:49:35.000 I've been suggesting that for weeks.
00:49:36.000 But all over the country, there will be a reopening.
00:49:40.000 People are hungry for the reopening.
00:49:42.000 And as we find out from the antibody testing, that I think a multiple of the number of people who supposedly have this thing have had this thing, people are going to feel that the risk is worth undertaking if they are young, if they are healthy, if they do not feel that they are going to be deeply affected and as the treatments get better.
00:49:58.000 So we're going to see a gradual reopening, and I think the reopening is going to happen sooner rather than later.
00:50:02.000 I think the White House response is actually too restrictive in phase one.
00:50:05.000 But I think once we hit the phases, that's basically how this is going to roll out.
00:50:08.000 OK, so we've reached the end of today's show.
00:50:11.000 We are out of time because we have to go and do other things.
00:50:13.000 But we have two additional hours of content coming later today.
00:50:17.000 We also have a great Sunday special coming up for you.
00:50:19.000 This week we're going to be talking to Scott Gottlieb over at the former FDA commissioner about his plan for reopening.
00:50:25.000 I'm going to ask him questions about testing.
00:50:27.000 I'm going to ask him questions about antibody testing.
00:50:29.000 How effective can all this be?
00:50:30.000 How fast can it be ramped up?
00:50:30.000 I'm going to be talking with Steve Forbes about the business side of this.
00:50:33.000 How exactly does business survive?
00:50:35.000 How does business undergo permanent change?
00:50:36.000 So you're going to want to check that out as well.
00:50:38.000 Otherwise, head on over to dailywire.com and subscribe.
00:50:40.000 Any level of membership gets access to our awesome new features including the Great all-access shows that we are doing on a regular basis.
00:50:48.000 I think we have a backstage next week also, a socially distanced backstage, which we'll do next week.
00:50:53.000 So all sorts of goodies.
00:50:54.000 Otherwise, have yourself a safe and secure and excellent weekend.
00:50:57.000 I'm Ben Shapiro.
00:50:58.000 This is The Ben Shapiro Show.
00:51:03.000 The Ben Shapiro Show is produced by Colton Haas.
00:51:06.000 Directed by Mike Joyner.
00:51:07.000 Executive producer Jeremy Boring.
00:51:08.000 Supervising producer Mathis Glover and Robert Sterling.
00:51:11.000 Assistant director Pavel Lydowsky.
00:51:13.000 Technical producer Austin Stevens.
00:51:15.000 Playback and media operated by Nick Sheehan.
00:51:17.000 Associate producer Katie Swinnerton.
00:51:19.000 Edited by Adam Siovitz.
00:51:21.000 Audio is mixed by Mike Koromina.
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00:51:24.000 The Ben Shapiro Show is a Daily Wire production.
00:51:26.000 Copyright Daily Wire 2020.
00:51:28.000 You know, the Matt Wall Show, it's not just another show about politics.
00:51:32.000 I think there are enough of those already out there.
00:51:34.000 We talk about culture, because culture drives politics, and it drives everything else.
00:51:39.000 So my main focuses are life, family, faith.
00:51:43.000 Those are fundamental, and that's what this show is about.