00:00:39.000On Wednesday, as you recall, the President of the United States was in Versailles signing a memorandum of understanding with the Islamic Republic of Iran, a terror state.
00:00:48.000That same exact day, Iran backed Lebanese terror group Hezbollah, which is responsible, by the way, for the murder of literally hundreds of American citizens, launched 63 rockets at Israeli troops, plus two explosive drones, plus one missile.
00:01:01.000On Thursday, the next day, five terrorists from Hezbollah approached the Israeli forward defense line in Lebanon.
00:01:07.000Also, Hezbollah launched five explosive drones.
00:01:09.000That same day, Four Israeli troops were incinerated by one of those explosive drones.
00:01:14.000So Israel then retaliated by striking a bunch of targets in southern Lebanon, because that's what happens when terrorists attack you, whether you're American or Israeli or anyone.
00:01:24.000You retaliate and you kill them and you kill the people who are behind them.
00:01:28.000That is obviously what the United States would do if Mexico fired at American troops.
00:01:32.000Hell, the president said that that's what we would do if Iran killed American troops in the Middle East.
00:01:37.000Here was the president just a couple of weeks ago.
00:01:39.000Is that your red line for ending the ceasefire?
00:01:53.000If they killed U.S. troops, I think I would do that very quickly.
00:01:56.000Okay, so, again, that's the way it works.
00:02:01.000Well, based on Israel defending itself against, again, a terror group, Hezbollah, Iran then said they would not show up to Switzerland to negotiate with Vice President Vance.
00:02:09.000On Friday, U.S. Iran talks were officially postponed.
00:02:12.000The U.S. blamed logistics issues, which I mean, come on, this is not about flight arrangements.
00:02:17.000Media reporting that Iran had delayed thanks to the Israeli action against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
00:02:22.000According to CNN, quote, Vice President Vance is no longer traveling to Switzerland for U.S. Iran negotiations today, with talks postponed.
00:02:29.000Iran has asked for guarantees that hostilities in Lebanon will end before it resumes the talks, a diplomat told CNN.
00:02:35.000The Iranians have asked for guarantees that hostilities in Lebanon will end, as outlined in the signed agreement, the diplomat said, adding that mediators are currently working to resolve the issue.
00:02:43.000The source described the planned talks as now temporarily postponed following Israeli strikes in Lebanon.
00:02:49.000Without saying when meteors expected some sort of resumption.
00:02:52.000So, again, the goal here was that Iran wanted the U.S. to tie Israel's hands as part of the deal.
00:02:58.000And Israel, as any nation would, declined to have its hands tied against terrorism because, again, no country worth its salt in its right mind would stop killing terrorists targeting its homeland and its soldiers.
00:03:39.000If you sign a contract with anyone, the person on the other side is bound by a wide variety of provisions in any agreement to keep to its commitments.
00:03:47.000There has to be an incentive structure.
00:03:49.000And of course, you have to be able to trust the person on the other side of the table will actually keep their commitments.
00:03:54.000Second, there has to be a meeting of the minds.
00:03:59.000If you and I sign a contract that I am going to buy a house at an agreed upon price, and I think the agreed upon price is $10, and you think the agreed upon price is $10 million, we do not have an agreement on terms.
00:04:12.000We do not have a meeting of the minds.
00:04:15.000Again, both of those things have to be present in order for a deal to be durable.
00:04:19.000One, a credible partner on the other side of the table who will keep their commitments, and two, a meeting of the minds, actual agreement on the terms of the contract.
00:04:28.000This deal has neither of those elements, and it never did have either of those elements.
00:04:33.000Iran, lest we forget, is run by terrorist jihadists.
00:04:37.000And also, there was no agreement on the actual terms.
00:04:42.000Now, again, there's a reason why President Trump signed.
00:04:44.000He signed very obviously to open the Strait of Hormuz.
00:04:48.000The oil prices would dive, the economy would go up.
00:04:51.000Now, the reality I said before if we wanted to, quote unquote, open the Strait and leave it in the hands of the Iranians, we could have just walked away.
00:05:15.000CENTCOM announced yesterday that U.S. forces lifted the blockade on all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports and coastal areas in accordance with the president's direction.
00:05:25.000But the Iranians, well, it turns out that they are just openly saying that they control the strait now.
00:05:31.000It is not open, it is not equally accessible by all parties.
00:05:37.000They are openly saying that they control the strait in perpetuity.
00:05:40.000Today, the Persian Gulf Authority, which is Iran, said this With regard to the signing of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and the issuance of directives by the competent authorities, applicants wishing to transit the Strait of Hormuz are hereby informed that within the timeframe specified in the Memorandum of Understanding, the transit of vessels that submit their transit requests to the Persian Gulf Waterway Management in compliance with the following points will be processed expeditiously.
00:06:04.000So, in other words, you have to submit your papers to the Iranians, and then maybe they will approve them.
00:06:09.000During the 60 day period, say the Iranians, no fees will be levied on vessels and the tariffs for security, safety, and environmental service, as well as the relevant Iranian insurance shall be borne entirely by the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
00:06:20.000Now left unmentioned is that beyond the 60 days, that's not true.
00:06:41.000Since Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon and the complete lifting of the naval blockade and the withdrawal of American terrorist forces from the Persian Gulf and the region are among the main conditions of the agreement between Iran and the United States, the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until these two conditions are met.
00:06:55.000All ships are ordered not to approach the Strait of Hormuz for their own safety and health.
00:06:59.000Any vessel that defies this order will be targeted.
00:07:02.000So, in other words, Iran still controls the Strait.
00:07:28.000However, if the Iranians don't like President Trump, which they don't, and if the Iranians would like the Democrats to win, which presumably they would, why would they not wait until one week before the election and just close the straight again?
00:07:39.000I mean, they could just do that at literally any time.
00:07:45.000So, again, I understand why the president signed.
00:07:47.000I understand the incentive structure here.
00:07:50.000But I think what's more important here is why Iran signed.
00:07:53.000In just one second, we'll get into the question of why Iran signed this deal.
00:07:57.000There's one pretty good, smart reason why they did.
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00:10:24.000Well, I mean, they got a few things, aside from the fact that the MOU actually guarantees them some obvious immediate benefits, including that America will stop attacking them and that we will remove the blockade and allow them to ship their oil sanctions free.
00:10:35.000There's something bigger that's going on here.
00:10:37.000The goal of the Iranian government was to get America to sign on the dotted line.
00:11:00.000Let's say you buy a fixer of a house and you dump $100,000 into fixing the house and you know it's going to cost you another $300,000 and that it's a money loser.
00:11:09.000You're only going to be able to sell the house for $200,000.
00:11:12.000Many people will go ahead and continue to sink the money into the house because they'll say, Hey, I already spent a hundred.
00:11:18.000I may as well spend 300 more to get to the completion of the project.
00:11:21.000That's sunk cost fallacy that you've already put yourself out there for a thing.
00:11:24.000So you may as well quote unquote go all the way.
00:11:27.000In other words, once you say and feel that you like a thing, people feel a necessity to keep defending the thing.
00:11:33.000So this means that Iran wanted to get America's name on the paper in the belief that America will keep defending the crappy deal no matter what.
00:11:43.000Which again would mean inherently, as we said before, defending the terms of the deal and also Iran as a credible negotiating partner.
00:12:08.000But now, we obviously have a stake in pretending that they are credible.
00:12:13.000Now, here's the thing they are openly dunking on us, they know this.
00:12:16.000We're pretending that they're reasonable and rational partners on the other side of the table, and they're just dunking on us.
00:12:22.000So, for example, senior IRGC officer Mohsen Razahi said, The proud and triumphant nation of Iran brought the devils of the world to their knees and shattered their dominance.
00:12:31.000This epic will endure eternally in history.
00:12:34.000We mourn over the blood of our martyred leader, and there is no balm for this wound save vengeance.
00:12:38.000United as one behind the supreme leader of the revolution, we await the fulfillment of the conditions.
00:12:43.000Meanwhile, the guy whose name is on the other side of the agreement, Mohammed Khalabaf, who again is the leader of the Iranian parliament and a murderer, says, We are at your command.
00:12:53.000The task assigned by us to the Supreme Leader is to pursue the realization of the conditions and clauses of the agreement.
00:12:58.000In the event of bad faith, breach of contract, and excessive demands by the opposing side, we have no hesitation in delivering a crushing response to the enemy.
00:13:05.000They were once slapped during the war.
00:13:07.000If they wish to tread that path again, they'll receive an even harder slap.
00:13:11.000So, again, does that sound like a wonderful, awesome partner?
00:13:34.000They were strong people, smart people.
00:13:36.000I think actually they're smarter than the first and second group.
00:13:40.000But they're not radicalized and they're, you know, looking to help their country.
00:13:48.000And then, of course, JD Vance, the vice president of the United States, he was on CBN News with David Brody, and he suggested that he was not uncomfortable in any way standing alongside Mohammed Khalaba, a mass murderer.
00:13:59.000How uncomfortable is that going to be for you?
00:14:01.000I mean, obviously, you don't support the actions of what he did, but you're going to be standing next to him.
00:14:07.000I think what the president would say, and I certainly agree, is that you deal with all kinds of people in international relations.
00:14:12.000Sometimes you deal with very nice people, sometimes you deal with very not nice people.
00:14:16.000Our goal is to try to make the region safer, but most importantly, get what we need for the American people.
00:14:24.000Okay, so again, the Iranians understand that if they are treated as a credible partner, they can play us for fools.
00:14:29.000If we are more invested in the deal than they are, they can pretend that terms that we negotiated mean what they want them to mean, not what we say that they mean, and that we will continue to defend Iran and their, quote unquote, reasonable interpretations.
00:14:43.000And that brings us back to Lebanon and what's been going on over the course of the last 48 hours.
00:14:48.000So, if you recall, the MOU, which we've gone through in detail, literally point one of the deal reads, quote, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the current war declare upon signing this memorandum of understanding,
00:15:05.000Now, that provision can be read in two separate ways.
00:15:19.000This is why I say a meeting of the minds requires both sides to read the provision the same way.
00:15:24.000This is why lawyers usually negotiate out agreements like this, so that there is no lack of clarity.
00:15:29.000The whole purpose, however, of this agreement was to prevent clarity.
00:15:32.000So, The United States said from the outset that this term did not stop Israel from defending itself from Hezbollah because, again, the provision says that there would be an immediate and permanent cessation of military activity on all fronts, including in Lebanon.
00:15:47.000Hezbollah is not the state of Lebanon.
00:15:50.000Therefore, in the American read, this does not prevent anti terror action in Lebanon, it prevents action against the Lebanese government.
00:15:58.000In Iran's read, this is supposed to prevent Israel from defending itself from Hezbollah.
00:16:04.000And now, we would be a little crazy to try to stop Israel from protecting itself from Hezbollah.
00:16:10.000Again, Hezbollah is not only a terrorist group, it is a terrorist group responsible for the murder of hundreds of Americans.
00:16:17.000They killed 241 Marines in Beirut in 1983.
00:16:20.000They killed another 19 U.S. airmen in Saudi in 1996 in the Khobar Towers bombing.
00:16:24.000They've been responsible for the collapse of the Lebanese state and continuous terror attacks on northern Israel for decades at this point, literally every single day.
00:16:33.000Iran says, literally, point one of the agreement, point one, the first point, is that we, the United States, must stop Israel from defending itself, which is kind of a big gap, right?
00:16:49.000It means the U.S., in an attempt to make it work, is now basically kind of trying to play it both ways.
00:16:54.000We'll say, sure, Israel has the right to defend itself, but not too hard, because then the Iranians might get mad.
00:17:00.000Now, the easiest way to accomplish this uncomfortable goal is to just lie and say that really you're in favor of Israeli self defense, like Israel can defend itself against terrorists, but the problem is they're brutal and vicious.
00:17:13.000Maybe the Syrians should do it, the Syrian terrorist army.
00:17:16.000That's what the vice president has been doing over the course of the last couple of days.
00:17:19.000Here's what he had to say at his Weiss House presser yesterday.
00:17:23.000The Israelis, just like everybody else, have to respect this peace process that is fundamentally good for them and good for the entire region.
00:17:31.000What the president has grown frustrated sometimes is that we seem to be right on the cusp of a major breakthrough in the agreement, and then all of a sudden there's a major explosion that goes off in a civilian population center in Beirut, and a lot of people who have nothing to do with Hezbollah lose their lives.
00:17:49.000What actually happened is that Hezbollah fired drones over the Israeli border into the sovereign state of Israel.
00:17:56.000Again, if there were a Mexican drug cartel that began firing rockets over the border next to hotels in San Diego or homes in San Diego, do you think the Trump administration would say, hey, it's a pinprick, who cares?
00:18:08.000Or would the Mexican drug cartels be destroyed immediately?
00:18:12.000Also, it is not true that Israel destroyed an entire building and killed civilians.
00:18:16.000This is actual video of the Beirut bombing.
00:18:18.000As you can see, it hit a specific apartment.
00:18:19.000And according to Hezbollah, It killed only members of Hezbollah.
00:18:33.000Okay, so again, in order to make the claim that really, really, really Israel is allowed to defend itself, but not too hard because they get too crazy, that's the shtick.
00:18:43.000We are now basically attempting to draw middle ground where none exists because we believe, as Americans, that our allies should be able to defend themselves from Iranian backed terrorists.
00:18:50.000And Iran believes that we, as America, should stop our allies from defending themselves against Iranian backed terrorists.
00:18:57.000So, you know, President Trump, he's trying to, again, tell the Israelis not to defend themselves too much because if they defend themselves too much, then it might kill the deal.
00:19:20.000I mean, they have a lot of respect for me, and they do as I say.
00:19:29.000Okay, so I mean, at this point, I should just point out actually, America doesn't do what Israel says, and Israel doesn't do what America says, and they're both sovereign countries.
00:19:36.000As noted, the Israelis don't like this deal very much, they think it's a bad deal.
00:19:45.000Israel believes it ought to protect itself.
00:19:47.000And so it will protect itself and should protect itself.
00:19:50.000And this notion that America is going to tell them that they can't protect themselves in Lebanon, I don't see the purpose of it.
00:19:57.000Instead, what we have is a sort of bizarre game in which the United States pretends there's a cycle of violence that just has to stop rather than Israeli self-defense.
00:20:07.000They were flying sorties with us this whole war.
00:20:10.000It was Israeli intelligence that led to the targeting of Ayatollah Khomeini.
00:20:14.000It was Israeli intelligence, by the way, that helped with rescuing American pilots, our pilots.
00:20:20.000But the game is that because there was no actual agreement on the terms in the first place, we're going to manipulate the agreement into some sort of bizarre agreement that we never had with them.
00:20:36.000Their entire goal is to push Hezbollah to kill Israelis.
00:20:40.000Get the Israelis to respond, and then push the United States to blame Israel for being disproportionate so that Iran won't walk out of the deal.
00:20:48.000And again, that's a great deal for Iran because if Israel were to listen and stop attacking Hezbollah, Hezbollah could up the ante, take back territory, reset up its terror bases, threaten Israel again, which Israel can't allow.
00:20:59.000And if Israel doesn't allow it, then Iran hopes the United States will turn on Israel in order to protect a deal that doesn't really exist.
00:21:06.000Again, the Iranians are really good at this, they're very smart.
00:21:10.000And then, if and when the deal falls apart, Which, again, is extremely likely because the chances the MOU ever turns into the framework for a permanent deal are slim to none, given the fact that Iran and the United States don't agree on the basic deal points in the MOU.
00:21:24.000Again, the United States says that the IAEA is going to be present to down blend Iranian nuclear weaponry and nuclear materials.
00:21:32.000And the Iranian government is itself saying they will not work with the IAEA.
00:21:36.000So there's really not even agreement on the basic terms of the deal.
00:21:39.000But if and when the thing falls apart, then presumably the people who promote the deal the hardest will blame Israel for everything falling apart.
00:21:46.000What an amazing video you just watched!
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