Joe Biden is not running to the center. He is running to his left. And that's why he's not winning in the polls right now. Joe Biden has been in office for almost four years now, and he's already falling behind Donald Trump among independent voters. Is it time for him to buck conventional wisdom and run toward the center? Or is it time to go to the extreme? . Joe Biden is running directly to his base. And there's no reason to think that he can't win if he swerves to the left. The real reason he's losing is that he doesn't believe the political idiots around him that he asked to run to the far left. He's believing the Bernie Sanders crowd, and the Pod Save America crowd. And there is very little data to support the notion that he's going to win by appealing to the most extreme members of his own base. And if you listen to them, you'll see that's exactly what he's running to. You'll also notice that his approval rating among Democrats is significantly worse than it was in October of 2013, when he was in the mid-teens, when the polls were at 28%. and it's much lower than it is today, when it's at 48%. Why is this happening? Why is he not winning? What's the real reason that he s losing right now? and why is he losing so badly? And what s going on with his poll numbers right now and why he s not winning the 2020 election? Is it the Israel-Hamas war, or is it the Iran-Gaza war, the Iran situation, or the Ukraine crisis, or something else? Or something else going on in Israel-Gaza, Iran and the Iran conflict, or some other ? What s going wrong with Joe Biden's approval rating? If you're a Democrat, you need to listen to this episode to figure out what s happening with his approval ratings on Israel- Hamas, Iran, Ukraine, the Ukraine, and other things? In this episode, I'll tell you what's going on, and why Joe Biden s approval rating is so low and why it s so bad and why you should be worried about it. (1) 2) 3) Why Joe Biden isn't winning and what s really going to happen in 2020 and why that s going to be better than it s getting worse 4)
00:00:00.000For a very long time in American politics, there was a truism about running for president of the United States.
00:00:04.000That truism suggested you were supposed to run to the extremes during the primaries, and then you were supposed to run toward the center in the general, which made perfect sense.
00:00:12.000You wanted to consolidate a base in the primaries so as to overcome your primary rivals.
00:00:16.000And then, once you had done that, you were supposed to run toward the center because that's where the independents were.
00:00:21.000And the truth is that in every American election, The winner of that election has been the person who won independence with the sole exception of 2012 when Mitt Romney beat Barack Obama with independence.
00:00:32.000But it didn't matter because Barack Obama had enough of his base show up that he was able to win a victory.
00:00:37.000In every other election, independents have decided the election.
00:00:40.000Joe Biden is deciding that it is time for him to buck conventional wisdom.
00:01:35.000It is because Joe Biden has decided that he is not going to instead swivel to the center.
00:01:40.000He is going to run directly to his left.
00:01:42.000And he has cheerleaders on his left who are promoting this narrative, even though the narrative isn't particularly true.
00:01:49.000The real reason that Joe Biden is losing right now has nothing to do with his positions that are somewhat democratic center-left on, for example, Israel-Gaza.
00:01:57.000The reason that he is losing right now is because most Americans perceive the economy to be poor.
00:02:02.000Most Americans perceive the president to be too old.
00:02:04.000They perceive Joe Biden to be disconnected.
00:02:06.000They believe that Joe Biden doesn't have their concerns at heart.
00:02:10.000For example, MSNBC yesterday reporting that 63% of swing state voters say the United States economy is not so good or poor.
00:02:18.000Only 36% say that it is excellent or good.
00:02:23.000The poll also finds negative perceptions about the economy do remain a problem for the incumbent.
00:02:30.00063% of swing state voters say the U.S.
00:02:32.000economy is in not so good or poor condition, while just 36% say it's an excellent or good condition.
00:02:41.000Okay, well that would be the reason that you're losing.
00:02:43.000I mean, if you are the incumbent president and 63% of swing state voters say that the economy is not so good or poor, that's the reason why you're underperforming in the polls.
00:02:55.000But again, if you are Joe Biden and you have a closed loop echo chamber of people surrounding you, former Obama staffers, for example, who are very much to the left and who believe in the magic, mythic notion that Barack Obama's 2012 campaign can be replicated, that you can get out enough members of the base to overcome deficits with independence, which historically has not been true.
00:03:15.000Barack Obama is the only outlier and that was a real outlier election.
00:03:19.000If you listen to all those people, you're going to swivel to your left.
00:03:23.000And you're going to skew the data to do it.
00:03:24.000So, for example, yesterday, CNN's data guru, Harry Enten, he suggested that the Israel-Hamas war is costing Joe Biden votes.
00:03:31.000The way that he does this is sort of fascinating.
00:03:34.000So, he looks at Democrats who approve of Joe Biden's handling of various issues, including the economy, Russia-Ukraine, foreign policy, gun violence, the US-Mexico border, and the Israel-Hamas war.
00:04:53.000Harry Enten went on to explain, he said, That's equal to the percentage of Republicans overall who say they're extremely motivated to turn out in November.
00:04:58.000But if they dislike Joe Biden on the Israel-Hamas war, only 53% of Democrats are extremely motivated to vote in 2024.
00:05:03.000out and vote in November. That's equal to the percentage of Republicans overall who say they're
00:05:06.000extremely motivated to turn out in November. But if they dislike Joe Biden on the Israel-Hamas war,
00:05:10.000only 53% of Democrats are extremely motivated to vote in 2024. In other words, if you like
00:05:17.000Joe Biden's performance on Israel-Hamas, you are more likely to vote for him if you're a Democrat.
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00:07:52.000This is why you have Corinne Jean-Pierre out there on the White House podium, least talented press secretary of my lifetime, suggesting that Israel should not go into Rafah, which is of course the last Southern city in Gaza, repository of at least four Hamas battalions, Yair Sinwar, the leader of Hamas is probably hiding underground there.
00:08:09.000One of the reasons, by the way, that Egypt does not want Israel going into Rafah is because there are apparently tunnels from Egypt into Rafah that have been used as gun smuggling routes by terrorists in Egypt.
00:08:18.000And they are afraid that if Israel goes in there and finds those tunnels, that that will implicate Israel-Egypt relations.
00:08:23.000In any case, here's Corinne Jean-Pierre giving military advice to the Israelis out of her vast experience in war.
00:08:30.000We believe there has to be alternative ways to deal with Hamas in Gaza, specifically in Rafah.
00:08:38.000A military operation, we believe, is not the way to move forward.
00:08:43.000There is active conversations happening with the Israeli government, and obviously our government, and I think that's important.
00:08:51.000No, it's very important, except that they have no actual plan.
00:09:01.000You have a senile old president who's barely hanging on by his fingernails.
00:09:05.000Jill Biden is out there suggesting that actually Joe Biden is winning the election, but she doesn't actually believe that, as we'll talk about in a moment.
00:09:13.000How is the campaign going before you go?
00:09:42.000Well, apparently she's worried enough by the left flank that she has been telling Joe Biden, according to the New York Times, that he should literally tell Israel to cease fire now, immediately, with hostages still being held by Hamas.
00:09:53.000According to the New York Times, one of the strongest voices inside the White House urging an end to civilian casualties in Gaza is the person closest to the president, Joe Biden.
00:09:59.000She's not urging an end to civilian casualties in Gaza.
00:10:01.000She's urging an end to the war in Gaza, which would leave Hamas in place with at least 50 live hostages still in the possession of Hamas.
00:10:10.000The unaccounted for hostages still number well over 100.
00:10:13.000At a meeting with Muslim community members at the White House on Tuesday evening, one guest told President Biden his wife had disapproved of him coming to the meeting because of Biden's support for Israel and its war against Hamas.
00:10:23.000The first lady, he said, had been urging him to stop it, stop it now, according to an attendee who heard his remarks.
00:10:30.000Asked about the President's remarks, White House officials on Wednesday said there was no daylight between Mr. Biden and the First Lady on the conflict, and the President was just as outraged by the civilian casualties as his wife has been.
00:10:38.000They also said she was not calling for Israel to end its efforts against Hamas.
00:10:44.000Again, the left of the Biden administration believes that the reason that he is losing is because he is not far enough to the left.
00:10:50.000Now, they decided to use as a sort of hook to hang their leftist hat on this horrifying and tragic incident in which seven aid workers from the World Central Kitchen, which is run by Chef Jose Andres, were killed in what is best described as a friendly fire incident.
00:11:10.000It was an incident in which apparently the Israeli Air Force thought that there was a terrorist riding on top of the convoy.
00:11:18.000They saw an armed man, apparently, according to Haaretz, riding on top of the convoy.
00:11:22.000That person got off at a particular point.
00:11:25.000The Israelis thought that the convoy had been taken over by terrorists, and so they struck the convoy, and they were wrong.
00:11:29.000And they've already apologized, and they've already acknowledged that they were wrong.
00:11:33.000Now, let me just put this in a little bit of context.
00:11:36.000Friendly fire incidents in war are extremely common.
00:11:40.000This is something that Americans really don't have a lot of experience with, because if you don't watch war closely, and if you don't have members of the military in your family, it's almost impossible to think about the horror of being killed by your own side.
00:11:51.000But the reality is that this sort of stuff happens really a lot.
00:11:56.000It's always tragic, it's always terrible, and it happens a lot, particularly in situations that are highly populous and in which it is very difficult to tell one side from another.
00:12:04.000If you look at just the history of friendly fire, during World War II, to take a long ago example, perhaps as many as 56,000 American troops were killed by friendly fire during World War II.
00:12:16.000That's according to the Rand Institute.
00:12:19.000During the Iraq War, somewhere between 1 to 2% of American troops killed in Iraq were killed by friendly fire.
00:12:26.000Right now, because of the very close quarter combat situations in Gaza, at least 30% of
00:12:31.000all Israelis who are being killed in the Gaza Strip have been killed by friendly fire.
00:12:37.000And again, this is not rare in the annals of American war.
00:12:39.000If you go back to 2003, according to PBS, a BBC reporter traveling in a convoy of 8
00:12:46.000to 10 cars said it came under attack as it approached an area that was recently captured
00:13:06.000Famously, Pat Tillman, who left the NFL to join the army after 2001, after September 11th.
00:13:12.000He was killed in a friendly fire incident in Afghanistan in 2000.
00:13:19.000And 15, for example, the US military mistakenly attacked an actual medical hospital, killing 22 people in Afghanistan.
00:13:32.000And the United States did an investigation late, and then said some words about it, and that was kind of it.
00:13:40.000During the attempt to go after ISIS in Syria, the United States bombed hospitals in Raqqa.
00:13:47.000That's according to the Physicians for Human Rights.
00:13:52.000They pointed out that since the beginning of the conflict, they had documented at least three attacks against Raqqa's National Hospital.
00:13:59.000It was the only healthcare facility operating to serve tens of thousands of people remaining in the city, according to PHR.
00:14:05.000In 2018, there was a friendly fire incident that killed at least 11 people.
00:14:10.000That was in an attempt to kill members of ISIS.
00:14:12.000According to Reuters, friendly fire from a U.S.-led coalition fighting Daesh—that's ISIS—killed 10 members of an Iraqi security force and a local official in an airstrike west of Baghdad.
00:14:21.000We'll get to more on this in a moment.
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00:15:25.000Now again, friendly fire incidents are extremely common.
00:15:29.000Treating friendly fire incidents as anything but a horrifying tragedy is a lie.
00:15:34.000And the worst lie that you can tell about allied forces in Iraq or allied forces in Afghanistan or Israeli forces in Gaza is the lie that they are actively attempting to target people who they are working with.
00:15:46.000The World Central Kitchen has been working with the Israeli government to get aid into the Gaza Strip.
00:16:00.000But it does mean that there is literally zero evidence or logic to support the idea that Israel would purposefully strike a convoy of aid vehicles for literally no reason.
00:16:32.000Now again, there's a difference between they saw a truck with the World Central Kitchen logo on the top that they thought was being driven by terrorists or that had been taken by terrorists, and they knew it was World Central Kitchen workers who were not terrorists and decided to kill them willy-nilly for no reason at all.
00:16:53.000As you can see from the world condemnation and from the world's bizarre attempts to turn what is obviously a friendly fire incident into deliberate Israeli killing of aid workers who they had greenlit themselves.
00:17:05.000But here is Chef Jose Andres saying some things here.
00:17:09.000What I know is that we were targeted deliberately, non-stop, until everybody was dead in this convoy.
00:17:55.000It's morally gross to suggest that a friendly fire incident is a war against humanity itself.
00:17:59.000It's an accident and a friendly fire incident.
00:18:02.000And the attempt to make a moral equivalence between Israel hitting an aid convoy in a case of mistaken identity, and Hamas literally holding hostages right this moment on purpose, killing civilians on purpose, You want the humanitarian crisis in Gaza to end?
00:18:23.000Not only is Hamas not surrendering, they're not even negotiating anymore because they believe that they have the world on their side because the world is so eager to declare a moral equivalence between an actual terrorist group and an actual army.
00:18:34.000But again, I don't think we should be particularly surprised by Chef Andres here.
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00:21:48.000Israel was not bombing hospitals indiscriminately.
00:21:51.000USA can support Israel right to defend itself at the same time USA should be asking Israel to stop targeting
00:21:56.000civilians and hospitals and tent camps and better a ceasefire.
00:22:00.000And then at the very end, with the liberation of all hostages.
00:22:02.000Well, Hamas is not releasing all the hostages and you're still calling for a ceasefire today.
00:22:06.000So again, this is not to rip on Chef Jose Andres when he's in the middle of something that must be horrifying for him.
00:22:14.000I'm sure he knew all the people who were killed.
00:22:16.000It is to suggest that this is a person with a particular political bent who's been saying uncalibrated things about Israel's activities while Israel has been actively working with his organization to get aid in.
00:22:27.000Because when you lie, when you say things that are untrue about a situation like this, what you are doing is you are handing Hamas a victory.
00:22:35.000The thing that Hamas wants more than anything right now is for there to be world pressure on Israel to stop before Israel can finish off Hamas and Rafah.
00:22:43.000It's the thing they want more than anything.
00:23:03.000More people dead means more pressure on Israel.
00:23:05.000Hamas is in the beautiful PR position of being able to hold hostage all of Gaza by refusing to surrender.
00:23:14.000And then suggesting that if Israel doesn't allow them to survive and continue to threaten Israel, then it's Israel's fault.
00:23:20.000So of course that set of perverse incentives has led Hamas to effectively disengage from negotiations.
00:23:25.000According to the Times of Israel, Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh said his terror group at war with Israel is sticking to its conditions for a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip, including a complete Israeli military withdrawal from Gaza.
00:23:35.000Haniyeh said, quote, we are committed to our demands, a permanent ceasefire, a comprehensive and complete withdrawal of the enemy out of the Gaza Strip, the return of all displaced people to their homes, allowing all aid needed for our people in Gaza, rebuilding the Strip, lifting the blockade, and achieving an honorable prisoner exchange deal.
00:23:51.000So again, they know that they've basically got Israel in a PR bind.
00:23:57.000And that PR bind is entirely the fault of a foolish media and a foolish West that have decided that after a terrorist group starts a war with a much larger and more powerful power, that it is the job of the larger and more powerful power to be absolutely anodyne in its response.
00:24:15.000That war will suddenly become not messy.
00:24:18.000And no matter how much aid Israel lets in, Israel will still be blamed for starvation, despite the fact they're allowing hundreds of trucks into an active war zone.
00:24:25.000Again, I've never even seen anything like this militarily.
00:24:27.000You're not talking about a counter-insurgency effort right now.
00:24:32.000This would be the equivalent, not, of the United States trying to facilitate aid into Iraq after the fall of the Iraqi army.
00:24:37.000It would be the equivalent of the United States attempting to facilitate aid into Iraq, into Baghdad, in the middle of a war with the actual Saddam Hussein Iraqi army.
00:24:46.000It'd be like the United States in the middle of a battle with the Taliban in 2002, like right at the very beginning, the first three weeks of the conflict, and they're trying to get aid in to Kabul while the Taliban is still in control of Kabul.
00:24:59.000Israel has tentative military control, but is facing actual firefights every single day and people are being killed every single day.
00:25:06.000But the idea is that if Israel doesn't magic MREs into the hands of people, With Hamas attempting to shoot at them, or if Israel makes a mistake while that's happening, then it must be that this war has to stop and Hamas has to remain in power.
00:25:21.000This seems to be the prevailing foreign policy idea on nearly all sides at this point.
00:25:28.000Is that if war is imperfect, war must end.
00:26:55.000But the end result of that is, of course, that America's enemies grow stronger.
00:27:00.000And Joe Biden has been completely unable in every foreign policy context to explain exactly what he is doing.
00:27:05.000He's taken halfway positions on every single conflict.
00:27:08.000He has slow-walked aid to the Ukrainians while claiming that the Ukrainians are going to be able to fight this war ad infinitum with no end.
00:27:16.000Which, again, is a bizarre position for the United States to take.
00:27:20.000The actual position of the United States should be that the Ukrainians should be funded sufficient to prevent their collapse to the Russians.
00:27:29.000But because Joe Biden says, we are going to do this until quote-unquote victory, where victory is undefined, the American public is not on board.
00:27:35.000Meanwhile, in a war where the victory aim is very clearly defined, the extirpation of Hamas and restoration of security controlling the Gaza Strip, Joe Biden's like, that can't be our goal.
00:27:46.000I don't know when the West became unaccustomed to defining the goal of victory and then actually achieving it, but we haven't won a war for a very long time in the West, like truly won a war for a super long time in the West.
00:27:56.000One, we have no stomach for war, and two, we have no stomach for victory.
00:28:00.000So we won't even define victory, and then we won't do what's necessary in order to achieve victory, or even let our allies do what's necessary in order to achieve victory.
00:28:08.000That is the current state of play, by the way, in Ukraine.
00:28:11.000We'll get to more on this in just a moment.
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00:29:11.000According to Politico, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is making dire warnings
00:29:16.000According to Zelensky, unless the stalled a multi-billion dollar package from the United States is soon approved, his forces will have to go back, retreat step by step in small steps.
00:29:24.000He also warned some major cities could be at risk of falling.
00:29:28.000Now, obviously, he's saying that because he wants the aid, but apparently it also happens to be true.
00:29:32.000According to high-ranking Ukrainian military officers who served under General Valery Zhiluzhny, the commander-in-chief of Ukraine's armed forces until he was replaced in February, the military picture is grim.
00:29:41.000Officers said there's a great risk of the front lines collapsing wherever Russian generals decide to focus their offensive.
00:29:46.000Moreover, thanks to a much greater weight in numbers and the guided aerial bombs that have been smashing Ukrainian positions for weeks now, Russia will likely be able to penetrate the front line and to crash it in some parts.
00:29:56.000According to one of the top-ranking military sources, there's nothing that can help Ukraine now because there are no serious technologies able to compensate Ukraine for the large mass of troops Russia is likely to hurl at us.
00:30:04.000We don't have those technology and the West doesn't have them as well in sufficient numbers.
00:30:09.000This presumably is one of the reasons why Ukraine is now lowering the age of conscription to 25.
00:30:13.000So Ukraine has very weird sort of conscription rule.
00:30:17.000So, they tried to exempt people who were younger, which is sort of the reverse of most conscription efforts.
00:30:22.000Usually, if you had a draft in the United States, it would start at the age of 18, and you'd largely focus on young men.
00:30:28.000In Ukraine, it's been focusing on middle-aged people and then gradually drifting down.
00:30:31.000So it started at the age of 27, and they're moving it down to 25.
00:30:35.000The change apparently comes as Ukraine's defensive lines come under heavy pressure from massive Russian assaults.
00:30:39.000Frontline commanders say they're short of personnel and ammunition, as a supplemental aid package is stuck in Congress.
00:30:44.000Ukrainian officers say they're expecting Russia to mount a significant offensive around the start of the summer, which is aimed at expanding the nearly 20% of territory the invading forces already occupy.
00:30:53.000Zelensky says the military has requested 500,000 more soldiers.
00:30:58.000Unclear exactly whether they're going to get the 500,000 more soldiers at this point.
00:31:03.000What exactly is the foreign policy of the United States here?
00:31:05.000Joe Biden has called for increased aid, but he's not making these sort of concessions in the House that would be necessary in order to get that aid.
00:31:12.000So does he actually want Ukraine to be able to survive in the face of all of this?
00:31:16.000All he had to do was pass some border control provisions in the Senate, and this thing sails through the House.
00:31:23.000Meanwhile, the discombobulation on foreign policy is on all sides.
00:31:27.000Yesterday, Marjorie Taylor Greene speculated that the House Speaker, Mike Johnson, who you'll remember, was voted in to replace Kevin McCarthy because Kevin McCarthy was apparently too woke or some such nonsense.
00:31:38.000She is now suggesting that Mike Johnson is being blackmailed because he is supporting a budgetary process that includes aid to Ukraine, aid to Taiwan, aid to Israel.
00:31:47.000Now, this sort of speculative garbage really is stupid.
00:31:54.000The reason that the Speaker of the House is going to pass a piece of legislation that Marjorie Taylor Greene doesn't like is because there are still these people called Democrats and they run the Senate and they are also in the White House.
00:32:03.000And it is thanks to the unworkability of the Republican majority that that Republican majority has been shrinking radically because it turns out that many principled conservatives in Congress don't want to work in this absolute bleep show that the Republican House has become.
00:32:15.000But here's Marjorie Taylor Greene implying that Mike Johnson is being blackmailed or bribed or something with Tucker.
00:32:22.000But no, Mike Johnson has made a complete departure of who he is and what he stands for.
00:32:28.000And to the point where people are literally asking, is he blackmailed?
00:33:20.000This sort of conspiratorial nonsense is silly.
00:33:22.000Not only is it silly, the foreign policy prescriptions that suggest that it would be somehow in America's interest for Ukraine to fall to the Russians.
00:33:29.000Or that it would be in America's interest for Taiwan to be threatened increasingly by China?
00:33:33.000Or that it would be in America's interest for Hamas to be left intact in the Gaza Strip?
00:33:40.000I just want to know what's America's real po... These... The people who say this sort of stuff, they act as though they're being hard-headed about America's interests.
00:33:45.000I'm wondering, what is America's interest in that?
00:33:48.000How would it be good for America, for Russia to take Ukraine?
00:33:52.000And when people say, well, we can't afford it.
00:33:56.000The United States budget is $7 trillion a year.
00:33:59.000We are currently $34 trillion in debt.
00:34:03.000Somewhere around 7% of our annual federal budget is spent just on the interest payments.
00:34:08.000When it comes to foreign aid, which is the thing that people are complaining about when it comes to Ukraine or Israel or Taiwan, that constitutes all foreign aid, all of it.
00:34:18.000That constitutes under 1% of the federal budget.
00:34:22.000Now you can say that you don't like the aid or you think that it's not worth spending.
00:34:26.000Okay, you have to make the case then as to what the alternative would be.
00:34:30.000What are the predictable results of that aid not going out?
00:34:34.000But if the case is we're spending too much money, I would urge you to look at the other 99% of American spending that is actually funding our massive deficit, year on year.
00:34:44.000And logic, I think, has left the building.
00:34:46.000I think right now American politics is a series of thrashings and impulses.
00:34:50.000That is not going to be good for America midterm or long term.
00:34:54.000It's not even going to be good for America short term.
00:34:56.000OK, in just one second, we'll get to the only possible restoration, by the way, of any logic here.
00:35:01.000Amazingly, is Donald Trump being elected president, but he's in legal trouble.
00:35:15.000It appears an individual in the DailyWare's ranks deemed it fitting to grant the most hypercritical human being on Earth the authority of a bona fide judge.
00:35:23.000I just want to remind you, I actually went to Harvard Law School and I am licensed in the state of California, but the judge is Matt Walsh.
00:35:30.000Take a look at the official trailer for the new DailyWare Plus series, Judged by Matt Walsh, right now.
00:35:37.000All rise for the Honorable Judge Walsh.
00:36:48.000For the record, I will never call him Your Honor.
00:36:50.000Meanwhile, Joe Biden is in serious electoral trouble.
00:36:53.000Again, as we say, so much of what Joe Biden is doing right now is being driven by the fact that his left wing keeps telling him that if he drives further to the left, he's going to win, which is insane.
00:37:01.000And he should be moving toward the middle.
00:37:03.000Donald Trump is actually occupying that middle space in American politics right now.
00:37:07.000So the Democrats have a plan, which is to put him in jail.
00:37:10.000According to Axios, a Manhattan judge on Wednesday denied former President Trump's attempt to delay the start of his New York hush money trial.
00:37:16.000The presumptive GOP presidential nominee had asked to delay the trial set for April 15th until the Supreme Court rules on his presidential immunity claims.
00:37:23.000Judge Juan Amerchan wrote in his Wednesday decision that Trump had myriad opportunities to raise the claim of presidential immunity well before March 7th, 2024.
00:37:31.000The defendant's motion was denied in its entirety as untimely, according to the judge.
00:37:36.000He faces 34 felony counts of falsifying business records.
00:37:38.000That's because every single payment that Michael Cohen made to Stormy Daniels, they're counting as a separate count.
00:37:43.000This is the weakest of the indictments against him, but, hell, it's in New York, so they might convict him anyway.
00:37:49.000And then, presumably, the judge would throw the book at him, because whichever judge throws the book at Donald Trump gets a nice, fat book deal.
00:37:57.000Because that's the way our criminal justice system works if the opposing party is apparently in the dock.
00:38:01.000Meanwhile, the special counsel, Jack Smith, who is running two separate trials against Donald Trump, He's running the trial against Donald Trump in Florida over classified documents mishandling.
00:38:12.000He's also running the January 6th trial up in Washington, D.C.
00:38:15.000Right now, he's spending his days attacking the judge in the classified documents case.
00:38:20.000According to the Washington Post, special counsel Jack Smith warned the judge overseeing Donald Trump's classified documents case she is pursuing a legal premise that is wrong and said he would probably appeal to a higher court if she rules a federal records law can protect the former president from prosecution.
00:38:34.000In a late-night filing on Tuesday, Smith's office pushed back hard against an unusual instruction from U.S.
00:38:39.000District Judge Eileen Cannon, one that veteran national security lawyers and former judges have said badly misinterprets the Presidential Records Act and laws related to classified documents.
00:38:49.000Last month, Cannon ordered defense lawyers and prosecutors in the case to submit hypothetical jury instructions based on two different and very much contested readings of the Presidential Records Act.
00:38:58.000In response, Smith said Cannon was pursuing a fundamentally flawed legal premise that the law somehow overrides Section 793 of the Espionage Act, which is the mishandling of classified documentations.
00:39:58.000Everyone already has an opinion on whether Donald Trump should go to jail or not.
00:40:01.000Very little of that is based on the legal The legal issues at play in these cases.
00:40:05.000People who hate Trump want him in jail.
00:40:06.000People who like Trump want him to be president.
00:40:08.000That's kind of the way that this works.
00:40:10.000With that said, if everything Trump related from now until the election is just legal headlines, and everything Joe Biden related is the world is on fire, then Joe Biden has a very serious problem on his hands.
00:40:21.000Meanwhile, speaking of the world being on fire, the situation in New York continues to be a complete disaster area.
00:40:27.000Yesterday, six migrant squatters in New York were actually released without bail after they were arrested for drug and gun violations.
00:40:37.000Eight were arrested on those drug and gun charges, but six were released on bail, including D'Souza Volalta, who at one point had an attempted murder charge here in New York.
00:40:48.000Now, police say not only did they find four guns, they found a ghost gun inside of that basement apartment.
00:40:54.000They found two bags of ketamine and cocaine inside of there.
00:40:59.000So ultimately, this is what we have, eight migrant squatters who were arrested on gun and drug charges.
00:41:05.000Six of them were released on Without bail, and now three that have been arrested by ICE removal officers right in front of our cameras.
00:41:14.000Okay, so some are being arrested, some are being released without bail, they'll be released out locally, arrested by ICE, may be deported.
00:41:22.000I mean, the fact is that the left-wing jurisdictions like New York have decided to go soft on crime, and then simultaneously they're complaining about it.
00:41:31.000So here's New York Mayor Eric Adams, who was really elected to fight crime, He was elected in the aftermath of terrible communist mayor Bill de Blasio, who blew up the crime rate in New York City.
00:41:41.000And he was elected largely because he was seen as a pro-police force.
00:41:44.000And here he was, saying pro-police words, but have the policies changed all that much in New York City?
00:41:50.000We know the biggest challenge that we are facing, I say over and over again, is three areas.
00:42:14.000It turns out that jail is an amazing place to keep criminals.
00:42:16.000And the longer you keep them there, the fewer of them are out to commit more crimes.
00:42:21.000But the left has decided that jails are essentially bad, and so we have to just let people out without bail, give people short sentences, let them out as fast as humanly possible, and then we are surprised when, again, The crime rates increase.
00:42:38.000And meanwhile, when it comes to the economy again, most Americans do not like the state of the economy.
00:42:41.000Jerome Powell is trying to happy talk this thing.
00:42:44.000He is suggesting that the Federal Reserve is still going to cut rates this year.
00:42:47.000He's saying that sort of stuff because every time he says that the Federal Reserve is not going to cut rates this year, the stock market takes a dump.
00:42:53.000According to the Wall Street Journal, stronger than anticipated economic activity this year has not changed the Federal Reserve's broad expectations that declining inflation will allow for interest rate cuts this year.
00:43:02.000Powell pointed to signs that labor market conditions are less tight than they have been in recent years, a view that has eased concerns paychecks and prices might rise in tandem.
00:43:10.000However, signs of firmer than expected inflation in January and February Have actually created a bit of a conundrum.
00:43:17.000Apparently, Powell said it hasn't shaken the Fed's stance that price growth will continue to slow down despite some bumps.
00:43:22.000He said the recent data do not materially change the overall picture, which continues to be one of solid growth, a strong but rebalancing labor market, and inflation moving down to 2% on a sometimes bumpy path.
00:43:32.000The economy can in fact be getting better.
00:43:33.000Inflation can in fact be improving quarter on quarter.
00:43:36.000Still, the inflation that happened is embedded in the price structure.
00:43:40.000So if you've had wage gains in the past couple quarters, after tremendous wage erosion for the past three years, that's not going to make up for it.
00:43:48.000It's like having your paycheck slashed every month for three years, and then you got a little bit of a raise the last two months, and everyone's like, well, you should be happy now you're getting a raise.
00:45:07.000That is preborn.com slash ben to get started saving babies today.
00:45:11.000Well, meanwhile, Joe Biden, you know, that guy who's supposed to be tacking to the middle yesterday, he actually literally had Bernie Sanders to the White House to talk about health care.
00:45:18.000No, I'm sure most Americans are eager for Joe Biden to appease Bernie Sanders on health care.
00:45:23.000According to the Associated Press, President Biden teamed up with Senator Bernie Sanders on Wednesday to promote his administration's efforts to lower the cost of inhalers and other health care needs.
00:45:32.000Bernie, you and I have been fighting this for 25 years, said Biden to Sanders.
00:45:56.000When your mom has cancer, it's Big Pharma that is dealing with her problem.
00:46:00.000Joe Biden's attempts to dump all of the problems of the healthcare system at the lap of the people who do the actual R&D is really pathetic and trying to please Bernie Sanders, who is legitimately one of the most useless people ever to have walked the planet.
00:46:17.000He is a net drain on society's resources, Bernie Sanders.
00:46:20.000As soon as he's been on the taxpayer dime for five decades, he has produced zero major pieces of legislation.
00:46:27.000He represents a state with seven white people and three moose.
00:46:32.000And yet he has been treated as some sort of great halcyon of economic knowledge, despite being so useless that he was once thrown off a commune for failure to do work.
00:46:43.000There's not enough scorn in my body for Bernie Sanders.
00:46:45.000He really is just a pathetic specimen of our typical political class.
00:46:52.000Well, apparently, Biden thinks he needs Bernie.
00:46:54.000He thinks Bernie is going to push him to victory.
00:46:58.000The political malpractice here is just stunning.
00:46:59.000Both men touted the lower health care costs that came through the Democrats' sweeping
00:47:03.000climate health care and tax package Biden signed into law in 2022.
00:47:06.000It caps various health care costs for those on Medicare, including $35 a month for insulin,
00:47:10.000which again, the vast majority of people were already getting insulin for lower than that
00:47:13.000cost, and $2,000 a year for prescription drugs.
00:47:17.000Okay, now again, you can cap costs however you want.
00:47:20.000The availability of the drugs is the real question.
00:47:23.000It turns out that if these companies are unable to produce profit on the drugs, they stop producing them altogether.
00:47:31.000The top drugmaker lobby called Biden's comments Wednesday, quote, a missed opportunity, saying he failed to address how some other industries, like health insurance companies, are also driving up the cost of medications.
00:47:40.000Well, yes, that would be definitely one of the big problems.
00:47:44.000Also, if Joe Biden actually wanted to use his power as president to lower the cost of drugs for Americans, he could actually leverage foreign countries into paying their fair share.
00:47:52.000It's funny, Joe Biden always wants the quote-unquote rich to pay their fair share, by which he means apparently everything.
00:48:04.000Canada is paying much lower prices for drugs because they've essentially said to U.S.
00:48:08.000drug makers, we will only pay you X. And the only reason that those drug makers are able to go along with that deal is because the United States does not cap the drug prices.
00:48:16.000There are two ways of dealing with that.
00:48:18.000One is to forcibly cap drug prices by having Medicare.
00:48:28.000The other way to do that is that the United States goes to Canada and they say, listen, we understand that you are paying unfair prices for your drugs.
00:48:35.000We are now going to apply economic leverage to our much smaller northern neighbor.
00:48:39.000And you are now going to pay the market price for these drugs because it's an American company.
00:48:43.000And we have an interest in American companies continuing to produce these drugs.
00:48:48.000We actually do have some leverage in this sphere, but Joe Biden ain't gonna do that.
00:48:51.000Instead, he's just gonna rip on private industry, the only creator of innovation in human history in any real measure.
00:48:59.000Private industry, even in combination with government, it's private industry that is leading the way.
00:49:05.000Yes, obviously there have been situations in which the military developed early stage tech, and then it was private industry that drove it to the broader public.
00:49:20.000I'm telling you, if Joe Biden continues to pursue this strategy, if he continues to push to the left, to the left, to the left, he's going to lose.
00:49:26.000And then, presumably, the Democratic Party will blame him for being too moderate.
00:49:30.000That's the way all politics works these days, because everyone is, um, stupid.
00:49:34.000Alrighty, coming up, we're gonna jump into the Vaunted Ben Shapiro Show Mailbag.
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