As inflation continues to rage out of control, the Biden administration continues to say that everything is going to be hunky dory. By most economists' estimates, it will be well into next year before inflation really starts hitting the rates that the Federal Reserve aims for ( namely, that 2% that the Fed aims for). As we know, the Obama administration has blamed everybody except themselves for all of this. But here is the thing: the inflation is part of the theory the Democrats embraced. They embraced all of the fiscal and economic prerequisites for inflation. And as inflation rages on, we explore just why Democrats have embraced the precise positions that threw gasoline on the fire in the first place. The Ben Shapiro Show is sponsored by Express VPN. Protect your online privacy today at ExpressVPN.org/ProtectYourData/BenShapiroShow. This episode was produced by Ben Shapiro and edited by Alex Blumberg. Please take a few minutes to fill out this brief survey. We'll be running a detailed survey of your responses in the next few days. Send us your responses to this podcast and we'll get them on the next episode of the show. Thanks for your support! Ben Shapiro Music: "Goodbye Outer Space" by Skynyrd, "Good Morning America" by Fountains of America, by Suneaters, "Outer Space, Inc., by Jeff Perla, "The Good Life" by Eddy, Jr., and "The Future of Everything" by John Singleton, by Kaitlyn Hill, Jr. & "AstroTurk & Co., "Bye Bye, Thank You, Maureen McCarthy? -- Copyright 2019? -- "Amberly Thompson? " ? " & "Byeee?" , "Aristotle? ) - "Auntie, " " & Other Words?" -- "No More Than This Is This Will Help You Say So, Thank Me & This Will Make It So Much Better? & So Much So, My Thoughts & So, So, Can I Say This And So, This Will I Say It So, And This Will It And So Much More? & Other Than That So, I'll Say This & This And This So, Am I Can Help You And This & So And So So, In So, That Will It & This & A More Than That And This, This & More So, & So On And So On & So So Much And So & So & A So, A More So So So & And So Amie, & This, And A So Much & So ... # & More?
00:00:00.000As inflation rages on, we explore just why Democrats have embraced the precise positions that threw gasoline on the fire in the first place.
00:00:14.000The Ben Shapiro Show is sponsored by ExpressVPN.
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00:00:19.000When inflation continues to rage out of control, the Biden administration continues to say that everything is going to be hunky-dory.
00:00:25.000By most economists' estimates, it's going to be well into next year before inflation really starts to hit the rates that Americans are used to, namely that 2% that the Federal Reserve aims for.
00:00:35.000As we know, the Biden administration has blamed everybody except themselves for all of this, but here is the thing.
00:00:40.000The inflation is part of the theory the Democrats embraced.
00:00:43.000They embraced all of the fiscal and economic prerequisites for inflation.
00:00:47.000The definition of inflation is too many dollars following too few goods.
00:00:51.000When you jack up government spending, when you recommend that the Federal Reserve pursue easy monetary policy, the predictable result of this is that you end up with inflation.
00:00:59.000Unless we believe that this is some sort of like random thing that just happened to Democrats.
00:01:05.000This has been embedded in their most cherished ideals for a very long time.
00:01:09.000One of the weird things about Joe Biden's presidency is that he was nominated based on the fact that he was not Bernie Sanders and that he was not Elizabeth Warren.
00:01:16.000And then once he became president, he decided to pursue exactly the same policies that Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren would have pursued.
00:01:21.000And so to understand what's happening right now, you sort of have to understand what Bernie and Elizabeth Warren were saying way back in the day, meaning like 2019, 2020.
00:01:30.000So I want to take you in the time machine back to June 12th, 2019, when Bernie Sanders gave a big speech about democratic socialism.
00:01:36.000Which sounds a lot like Build Back Better.
00:01:38.000If you listen to what he actually says the government ought to do, it sounds exactly like Build Back Better.
00:01:42.000So here is Bernie Sanders circa June 2019.
00:03:15.000Well, the question, of course, is how do you pay for all of these magical rights?
00:03:18.000Well, first of all, you have to force people to do things they don't want to do, because if you have a right to a service from someone else, they now have a duty to provide you that service.
00:03:26.000But from a fiscal point of view, the answer is somebody has to pay for it.
00:03:29.000So you're either going to have to radically raise taxes, which is something that Bernie Sanders has indeed proposed, or you're going to have to print an enormous amount of money.
00:03:36.000And it is no shock that the New Yorker ran a piece, August 2019, titled, The Economist Who Believes the Government Should Just Print More Money.
00:03:45.000Stephanie Kelton, a senior economic advisor to Bernie Sanders and professor of economics and public policy at Stony Brook University, is popular in a way that economists almost definitionally are not.
00:03:55.000Filmmakers trail her with cameras, she goes on international speaking tours, and once sold out a basketball arena in Italy.
00:04:00.000Kelton is the foremost evangelist of a fringe economic movement called Modern Monetary Theory, which argues in part that the government should pay for programs requiring big spending, like the Green New Deal, simply by printing more money.
00:04:14.000This spring at Kelton spoke at the Wall Street Journal's Future of Everything Festival, On the day, a journal staffer introduced Kelton as an economist with an idea that will either solve the world's problems or send it into ruin.
00:04:23.000She made a face and then walked on stage.
00:04:29.000Well, adherents of MMT, imagine a world built on MMT principles in which the government provides guaranteed jobs, healthcare, affordable college, launches clean infrastructure projects to replace crumbling highways, airports, and bridges.
00:04:40.000Kelton, who does at least five interviews per week, plus lectures, speaking gigs, and conferences, is, more than anyone else, responsible for building MMT's digital army.
00:04:53.000Well, it means that we just spend money, and don't worry about it.
00:04:58.000Hey, so, Kelton hears a lot of concerns about MMT.
00:05:01.000The basic idea of modern monetary theory is we spend a lot of money.
00:05:04.000People continue to buy our bonds because we're still the best bet on the block.
00:05:07.000And until that ain't true anymore, we can just continue to spend money and there will be no effect on inflation.
00:05:13.000So according to the New Yorker, again, August of 2019, she is the Chief Economic Advisor at Bernie Sanders, quote, Never according to Kelton.
00:05:19.000concerns about MMT. Most are about inflation. How soon will we become Zimbabwe, which printed so many Zimbabwean dollars that inflation peaked in 2008 at an annual rate of 96 trillion percent. Never, according to Kelton. Under MMT, the focus is sustainable inflation, whereas fiscal traditionalists worry about the deficit and don't consider inflation at all.
00:05:38.000Doesn't MMT then require accurate forecasting of inflation risk?
00:06:21.000Still, most mainstream economists view MMT as the cult of the magic money tree.
00:06:26.000Okay, well, even Paul Krugman had thought this was a bad idea, but most Democrats had started to kind of circulate around these ideas.
00:06:33.000Elizabeth Warren, who was sort of a warmed over Bernie Sanders devotee, she gave a speech in December of 2019 at a college called St. Anselm.
00:08:17.000This is December 12th, 2019, approximately four months before the economy completely cratered and about a year and a half before inflation became a serious issue.
00:08:26.000We will appoint a Federal Reserve Board that believes in full employment, that recognizes that inflation fears have been overblown for years, and someone who is willing to let wages grow.
00:09:26.000And it was after spending the campaign not being Bernie and not being Elizabeth Warren.
00:09:30.000And he immediately rams through this quote-unquote COVID relief bill.
00:09:33.000Now, as you remember, this passed in March of 2021.
00:09:36.000You'll remember that by this point, the vaccines were already being tranched out en masse.
00:09:41.000So we were coming to the end of COVID and everyone knew it.
00:09:44.000It was already gonna be that everybody who wanted a Vax could get a Vax.
00:09:47.000This is true by essentially April of 2021.
00:09:49.000And he was bashing through with no Republican support, none.
00:09:53.000So these are all Democrats who own this.
00:09:54.000He was bashing through $1.9 trillion in COVID spending.
00:09:58.000And in the process, not shockingly, he was praising Bernie Sanders.
00:10:03.000Bernie, whose policies these are all based on, is what happens when you let a socialist run the party.
00:10:08.000So here's Biden praising Bernie as he passed a $1.9 trillion, quote-unquote, stimulus plan that merely stimulated inflation.
00:10:16.000I promised the American people, and I guess it's becoming an overused phrase, that help was on the way.
00:10:24.000But today, with the American Rescue Plan now signed into law, We've delivered on that promise, and I don't mean I've delivered, we've delivered.
00:10:34.000And I want to say to Bernie, Bernie, stepping up and making the case why this was so transformational made a big difference in how a lot of people voted.
00:10:43.000And then, of course, Nancy Pelosi came out and declared the COVID relief bill a triumph.
00:10:47.000Here was the Speaker of the House of Representatives.
00:10:53.000Our chairs were dazzling in their own work, intellect, integrity, imagination for the American people working with their Senate colleagues.
00:11:03.000I say their beautiful diversity of our members and I say to them Our diversity is our strength.
00:12:48.000Okay, so the basic rule about inflation is that if we live in a town, and there are only a certain number of goods, and a helicopter arrives at all the houses and just drops $100,000 into everybody's backyard, is everybody rich now?
00:13:07.000But that's exactly what Joe Biden was praising, was the helicopter cash.
00:13:10.000Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren monetary policy right here.
00:13:14.000100 million checks going into the pockets and or direct deposits going into the pockets of Americans on the way to a million more millions of more Americans.
00:14:05.000I'm not going to start by negotiating against myself, but understand this.
00:14:09.000What it's going to take to repair the roads and bridges in America, what it's going to take to make sure that not just part of America has access to broadband, but all of America has access to broadband, And what it's going to take to make sure that we have universal child care, child care that is affordable, available, and high quality all across this nation.
00:14:49.000Okay, literally the next day, the questions are already happening.
00:14:52.000This is in May of 2021, well over a year ago.
00:14:55.000And the inflation already started to set in.
00:14:57.000So Jen Psaki, who was then the press secretary for the White House, she was asked about inflation.
00:15:00.000She's like, oh, it's transitory, no big deal.
00:15:03.000The Federal Reserve, I would point you to them to speak to or provide analysis or speculation on anything.
00:15:09.000as it relates to inflation or the impact of certain external actions.
00:15:14.000I will say, as we've said in here before, but we'll reiterate, that of course we take the possibility of inflation quite seriously.
00:15:21.000As actions that have been taken to date or proposals that have been made, most economic analysts believe that it will have a temporary or transitory impact.
00:15:30.000But in terms of analysis on current events, I would point you to the Federal Reserve.
00:16:34.000It's more inflation in just one second.
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00:17:51.000Inflation will soon return close to the central bank's 2% target.
00:17:54.000Yet, look more closely, and it is clear officials are turning less sanguine.
00:17:58.000And that explains growing eagerness to start raising interest rates.
00:18:01.000Last September, long before supply bottlenecks emerged, the median forecast by the Fed was for core inflation in 2022 of 1.8%.
00:18:07.000Every few months since that, they've nudged it up.
00:18:09.000The forecast released, again, this is September of 2021, they saw core inflation next year at 2.3%.
00:18:15.000Right now, core inflation annually in the United States is probably going to be closer to 5 or 6%.
00:18:20.000So they just happen to be off by, you know, everything.
00:18:25.000And by the way, they wouldn't let go of it.
00:18:27.000October 6th, 2021, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who had also helped preside over the Federal Reserve before she was Treasury Secretary under Joe Biden, she said inflation was transitory.
00:18:37.000We're almost six million jobs short of where we were before the pandemic, which means a lot of people who still need jobs.
00:18:48.000On the other hand, many firms are finding it difficult to hire.
00:18:54.000We've had extraordinary shifts in the pattern of demand away from services and toward goods.
00:19:02.000And I know the Fed is trying to sort through the implications of that.
00:19:07.000Supply bottlenecks have developed that have caused inflation.
00:19:12.000I believe that they're transitory, but that doesn't mean they'll go away over the next several months.
00:19:18.000It's transitory. Okay, so by November 2021, Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, who never should have been reappointed for his position, by the way, he admits that he got the inflation wrong and that they blew it. So while this, but they didn't blow it because they thought that inflation wouldn't jump. They blew it because they had an actual economic dedication to the idea that more spending and loose monetary policy are good.
00:19:40.000They're effectively a way to reach the democratic socialist ideal.
00:19:43.000Here is Jerome Powell admitting he got inflation wrong in November 2021.
00:19:45.000And here's where the worm really starts to turn because it's kind of amazing that this administration, they could claim it was transitory and we got it, you know, it'll be okay, it'll be okay.
00:19:54.000But once it became clear that it wasn't okay, that's when you expect them to take their foot off the pedal, right?
00:20:12.000I think it's fair to say that the experts who have been advising you about the future rate of inflation have pretty much the same credibility as those late night psychic hotlines you see on TV.
00:20:36.000So I think what we missed about inflation was we didn't predict the supply side problems and those are highly unusual and very difficult, very nonlinear and it's really hard to predict those things but that's really what we missed and that's why all of the professional forecasters had much lower inflation projections.
00:20:56.000Okay, but everybody recognized by the end of 2021 that inflation was now persistent, that it wasn't transitory anymore.
00:21:02.000And yet in March of 2022, Joe Biden then proposed a $5.8 trillion budget.
00:21:08.000$5.8 trillion, including massively higher taxes on corporations and the wealthiest Americans.
00:21:13.000So a recipe for stagflation, because again, this is part of the Bernie Sanders agenda, it's part of the Elizabeth Warren agenda, it's part of the Joe Biden agenda, it's part of the Democratic agenda, writ large.
00:21:21.000More spending, more regulations, more taxation, more Federal Reserve loose monetary policy.
00:21:27.000And then you wonder why inflation happened?
00:21:31.000According to the New York Times, Biden's proposed budget, which of course is never going to pass, but it's a wishlist of items, It was essentially designed to raise the spending.
00:22:01.000You fight inflation by spending more money.
00:22:04.000One way to fight inflation is to drive down wages and make Americans poorer.
00:22:06.000everything by spending more money as it turns out. You have to fight with your wife, spend more, like always everything is fought by by spending more money because you just got to spend more money.
00:22:13.000Here's Joe Biden in March of 2022 and not all that long ago talking about the way to fight inflation is to spend more money. One way to fight inflation is to drive down wages and make Americans poorer. I think I have a better idea to fight inflation. Lower your costs, not your wages.
00:22:30.000That means make more cars and semiconductors in America.
00:22:35.000More infrastructure and innovation in America.
00:22:38.000More goods moving faster and cheaper in America.
00:22:42.000More jobs where you can earn a good living in America.
00:22:46.000Instead of relying on foreign supply chains, let's make it in America.
00:22:54.000I call this increasing the productive capacity of our economy.
00:23:05.000My plan to fight inflation will lower your costs and lower the deficit.
00:23:12.000Right, it lowers costs and lowers the deficit by spending more money.
00:23:14.000I mean, that's how you fight inflation, is by spending more money.
00:23:16.000Because again, it's all part and parcel of the broader economic agenda here.
00:23:20.000I mean, Pete Buttigieg, our much-lauded Secretary of Transportation, whose main contribution has been to not do his job, in March, like two weeks later, he's saying that we have to spend more.
00:23:45.000How would you make that statement in a logical way?
00:23:48.000Well, I mean, first of all, if you look at our fiscal policy, it is true, and amazingly, a lot of people don't even know this, that the deficit has gone down, and down by a remarkable amount.
00:23:59.000So I think part of it is an expression of that.
00:24:01.000I think also part of it is pointing to the fact that some of the investments that we make help with inflation.
00:24:07.000I mean, that's definitely true with the infrastructure investments, right?
00:24:09.000Because we know how infrastructure is related to supply chain, supply chain is related to They're still committed to this.
00:24:16.000It eases inflation to spend more money.
00:24:18.000More money spent means you ease inflation.
00:24:36.000Okay, by June of this year, finally Janet Yellen at Treasury was admitting she got inflation wrong.
00:24:41.000So here she was acknowledging, oh yeah, oops, oopsie.
00:24:44.000I think I was wrong then about the path that inflation would take.
00:24:51.000There have been unanticipated and large shocks to the economy that have boosted energy and food prices and supply bottlenecks that have affected our economy badly that I, at the time, didn't fully understand.
00:25:23.000Modern monetary theory is still alive and well inside the Democratic Party.
00:25:26.000Here's Janet Yellen defending the pandemic spending despite the fact that we have had record highs in inflation month on month, pretty much every month here.
00:25:33.000We're talking like 40-year highs in inflation.
00:25:34.000And here's Janet Yellen still defending the policy.
00:25:37.000We're seeing high inflation in almost all developed countries around the world.
00:25:43.000And they have very different fiscal policies, so it can't be the case that the bulk of the inflation that we're experiencing reflects the impact of the ARP.
00:25:57.000So was it a causal factor where you say that $2 trillion, when we had a trillion unspent, so do the quick math here, it's about $3 trillion that was put into this economy from December through March.
00:26:12.000So I guess the way I see it is when President Biden was inaugurated, he inherited an economy with very high unemployment and the Congressional Budget Office and other forecasters were envisioning that this could last for a very long time.
00:26:35.000And we had to address the possibility that this could be a downturn that would match the Great Recession.
00:26:45.000Nobody was saying that in the afternoon.
00:26:47.000No one by January of 2021 was saying that.
00:27:08.000It is bad fiscal and economic policy for years on end in the middle of all very predictable supply chain constrictions, given the fact that we had a global pandemic.
00:27:16.000Bad economic policy generally makes itself felt during crises.
00:27:38.000These companies have raised their prices by as much as 1,000%.
00:27:43.000So everything coming from Asia, they get 90-some percent of the stuff coming from Asia.
00:27:50.000People at home trying to make it, you know, paycheck to paycheck are wondering, like, what in God's name do nine... Understandably, nine shipping companies have to do it.
00:28:00.000Well, almost everything you're doing, everything from what you're eating, to what you're having to drive, to what you're, what you need in your home, it relates to supply chains and what's coming from abroad.
00:28:14.000Okay, but here's the thing, as Stephen Ratner, the former economic advisor to Barack Obama says, quote, the Boko Haram supply problems are not the product, are the product of an overstimulated economy, not the cause of it.
00:28:24.000Sure, there have been some COVID-related challenges, such as health-related worker shortages in factories, but most of our supply problems have been homegrown.
00:28:31.000Americans have resumed spending freely along the way.
00:28:33.000They've been creating shortages akin to those in a shopping mall on Black Friday.
00:28:36.000Blaming inflation on supply lines is like complaining about your sweater keeping it too warm after you've added several logs to the fireplace.
00:28:45.000And yet Joe Biden, I keep saying it over and over because it's just, you have to understand this in order to understand why leaving these people in charge of the country is a really, really bad idea.
00:28:54.000They're ideologically committed to an idea that is likely to result in precisely the thing they said would not happen because that's the way of the world.
00:29:03.000And the fact that there have been mitigating factors against inflation in the past does not mean that this time there's not going to be a predictable result to very bad, predictable policy.
00:29:10.000And yet Joe Biden is continuing to argue today that we need more spending.
00:29:14.000And we're still pushing forward this Inflation Reduction Act.
00:29:16.000This Inflation Reduction Act is hundreds of billions of dollars in new spending.
00:29:20.000Joe Biden still wants more spending than that.
00:29:23.000And Democrats are higher in their own supply.
00:29:24.000They still believe that this is going to somehow spur the economy and fix the economy and fix inflation and all the rest.
00:29:31.000When you have only a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
00:29:41.000Progressive leaders like Senator Elizabeth Warren said, quote, this bill, this is a bill that truly is about fighting inflation, bringing down the cost for families, and putting our country on a sounder economic footing.
00:29:57.000Granted, I call for 500 plus, but invest $369 billion to secure energy future and to address climate crisis, bringing down family energy bills by hundreds of dollars by providing working families tax credits.
00:30:13.000It gives folks rebates by to buy new and efficient appliances to weatherize their homes and tax credits for heat pumps and rooftop solar.
00:30:23.000I mean, listen, the simple fact that this idiot is citing Elizabeth Warren as the person who's talking about bringing down inflation, again, I return to the clip in which Elizabeth Warren literally said in December of 2019, we need looser Federal Reserve monetary policy because the threat of inflation is somehow exaggerated.
00:30:39.000And he's citing her as an economic expert promoting the quote-unquote Inflation Reduction Act.
00:30:44.000So, when friends and family start asking you questions about, you know, things like...
00:30:51.000Do Democrats, are they really responsible for the inflation?
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