The Blueprint: Canada's Conservative Podcast - May 12, 2021


The Liberal Budget


Episode Stats

Length

17 minutes

Words per Minute

177.93806

Word Count

3,174

Sentence Count

5


Summary

In this episode, we bring in our guest, James Cumming, MP for Edmonton Centre and the Shadow Minister for Small Business and Economic Recovery, to talk about the budget and its impact on the economy and the future of Canada.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 hello and welcome once again to the blueprints this is canada's conservative podcast i'm your
00:00:11.120 host jamie schmale member of parliament for halliburton quarter length rock thank you very
00:00:14.980 much for joining us again another great show lined up for you so we ask that you like comment
00:00:19.900 subscribe share this program help us push back against the ever-moving liberal agenda
00:00:24.360 maybe there will be someone in your social media network that might be open to hearing that
00:00:28.620 conservative message something they aren't getting in the mainstream media this is your chance
00:00:32.640 to help ensure that erin o'toole is the next prime minister of canada of course as always you can't
00:00:38.000 watch or listen to the whole thing right now you can download it later on listen to us
00:00:41.840 on platforms like castbox itunes google play spotify you name it it is out there without further delay
00:00:48.700 we bring in our guest it is james coming he's the member of parliament for edmonton center he's also
00:00:53.960 the shadow minister for small business and economic recovery we welcome him to the show
00:00:59.920 a good friend you've been on before thanks for coming on again glad to be here again always good
00:01:05.100 to be able to talk to uh you jamie and thanks for putting on this show i almost drew a blank on on your
00:01:11.020 title but uh i'm glad i got it um well let's start it up a bit it's covid uh 19 economic recovery but
00:01:18.440 close enough close well see i was making i gave you a promotion did i give you a promotion hope so
00:01:22.980 well congratulations yeah well let's start with a couple things the economic recovery part and small
00:01:29.500 business so i want to touch on that but also i want to touch on the budget i know it was a few weeks ago
00:01:34.200 um i love this quote from don martin of ctv he said the budget was a super spreader of spending
00:01:41.520 and this whole envelope of extra spending either borrowed or printed money
00:01:47.980 under the couched under the umbrella of covid release but they also put in all these other
00:01:54.400 pet projects they decided to throw money on but yet actually forgot that the pandemic was about
00:02:00.720 health care so maybe you can talk a bit about the the budget catastrophe sure um so you'll often hear
00:02:08.040 from the liberals that it's the build back better budget and i refer to it as it's the build back
00:02:14.340 bigger budget which you know generations upon generations are going to have to pay back over
00:02:20.540 time now that said would we support because you've shut down businesses and you've and you've created
00:02:26.300 an environment where people can't work so are there some levels of support sure absolutely but the real
00:02:32.660 reality though is two things on the health care side uh there was nothing to deal with what the
00:02:39.020 provinces really wanted which was a budget items towards covid recovery and a further transfer
00:02:45.680 increase in transfer of health payments and and you didn't see any of that in the budget
00:02:50.080 and probably my biggest issue jamie is that a lack of clear direction on how this budget is going to
00:02:58.120 help with a long-term uh economic recovery you know there's a ton of money in there for
00:03:04.080 infrastructure spending but it's not infrastructure towards things that will create more revenue
00:03:10.840 so in this country we even before the budget uh we were uh our growth was quite anemic it was about
00:03:19.060 one percent and post covid most of the spending programs aren't designated towards towards things that
00:03:26.560 will improve canada's competitiveness improve our productivity it's on a lot of boutique projects
00:03:32.300 that the liberals have come up with that don't have a revenue number attached to them so how are we
00:03:37.840 going to grow ourselves out of this if we just continue to spend spend spend without that opportunity
00:03:42.820 for growth and when we talk about growth the economy going forward we have some important stuff
00:03:49.320 we're waiting for on enbridge line five that will have pretty catastrophic results if if it does
00:03:55.700 get shut down in ontario quebec and also your province of alberta
00:03:59.440 yeah and you know the budget had virtually no mention of the natural resource sector
00:04:08.440 the the sector that has fueled this economy and is critical not just to the sector itself
00:04:15.480 but i think of ontario with line five and with increasing energy prices and and so dependent
00:04:21.840 on manufacturing that we will lose our competitive edge against our peers internationally and and these
00:04:28.660 are companies that want to grow and they want to expand you know the reality is we can't just sell
00:04:33.900 to ourselves we could have about 38 million people which you know it's helpful but the reality
00:04:39.540 is canada is an exporting nation and and we have to make sure that we're set up for success and
00:04:44.720 i didn't see anything in the budget that did that now if we are talking about growing for success a lot
00:04:50.580 of the slowdowns in the economy is because government has its boot on the neck of the economy so how do
00:04:57.340 we release that boot not with more government spending we need to actually get vaccines and yet
00:05:02.780 as we see in many countries right around the world the uk italy for example is talking about reopening
00:05:08.620 and many others israel the uae and the list goes on the united states they are reopening because
00:05:14.840 they did not they they being their government did not make major mistakes in the procurement process
00:05:20.880 that caused canada to get behind so many other countries we should be farther ahead than what we
00:05:26.560 are right now absolutely you cannot have an economic recovery until you have a health recovery
00:05:31.960 and it frustrates me to no end to continue to hear this speaking point from the liberals that
00:05:39.480 we had we have more contracts for vaccines than anybody else so effectively what they're telling
00:05:46.060 the public is we wrote more purchase orders than anybody else for a variety of vaccines what they
00:05:52.840 neglect to tell you is that those purchase orders didn't have clear objectives on when we're going
00:05:59.500 to receive these vaccines so if you look at israel they didn't write massive po's to a bunch of
00:06:04.720 different drug companies they were really focused and look at where they are today because they're
00:06:09.900 able to get vaccines and they now lead i think they lead the world now in double vaccinated population
00:06:16.280 and it's because they were very strategic and they made sure that they put together a program that
00:06:22.940 would work based upon outcomes not based upon bragging points that i've got this massive portfolio
00:06:29.340 you know the reality is i just find it so ironic that when i was in the construction business
00:06:36.160 that we would you know you're issuing a po does not guarantee that the job gets done
00:06:41.780 you actually have to write into the po when are you going to finish the job
00:06:46.060 now i'm sure you're hearing a lot about this from small business owners the hotel the hospitality
00:06:52.460 industry restaurants my goodness all trying to figure it out most i think the
00:06:59.140 survey i saw from the canadian federation of independent business was 84 percent of businesses
00:07:03.480 took on more debt through this crisis um they they need some certainty at the end of this on the small
00:07:09.600 business side i know we talked about the the larger players kind of in natural resources but even at
00:07:14.120 the community level um the the vaccine problems and then of course we had at the beginning of the
00:07:20.040 pandemic the the rent program that only 10 percent of businesses took in because the the liberals
00:07:26.080 wouldn't take advice from the opposition we had the the wage subsidy was started at 10 percent
00:07:30.400 eventually got to over 70 but those were problems that happened along the way that caused businesses
00:07:35.360 to take on more debt and then with lack of certainty because of not enough vaccines coming in we have
00:07:41.360 more problems more delays in getting these businesses up and running i absolutely agree you know we have a
00:07:48.060 huge main street problem right now for these small businesses and although the programs have been
00:07:53.400 helpful to a certain extent a lot of them have been adding on debt and and putting more leverage against
00:07:59.520 these companies so what i'm hearing from companies now is that they're concerned about their debt load
00:08:05.240 but the more important point jamie is they need some level of certainty and i recognize that with the
00:08:12.640 variance that it's really hard to determine that but other countries have others have actually come up with
00:08:20.460 constructive programs on how they're going to get their economy back and open and they've been
00:08:24.980 strategic by sector they've they've done risk analysis they've done a proper plan on being able to tell
00:08:32.160 these small businesses okay here's how we think uh you will be able to open up now granted a lot of that
00:08:38.520 is provincial responsibility but the government can take a leadership role by saying here's how we're going
00:08:45.340 to procure more vaccines here's how we're going to get them to you quicker and quite frankly late to
00:08:51.000 the gate on rapid testing they've just now started to recognize as a bridge the availability of testing
00:08:57.400 could really help out with some of these industries let's talk about quickly inflation for the moment as
00:09:04.120 as we continue to borrow as we continue to print more money we're going to see some inflationary
00:09:09.680 pressures because you can't do this forever you can only you can only do that for so long before you
00:09:14.000 debauch the economy and the currency probably a combination of both uh what are your main
00:09:19.440 concerns when it comes to that well there's two things one is that the the central bank has been
00:09:24.740 buying bonds like there's no tomorrow uh the government's ratcheted up spending um like we've never seen
00:09:32.000 before but the other piece of the puzzle is that the supply chains have been drastically affected by this
00:09:38.620 pandemic and so those supply chains now i'm hearing from businesses that their materials that they're
00:09:44.740 bringing in have increased in costs significantly both by a shipping both by the source cost and so
00:09:51.940 building that into their products they're all suggesting that they're going to have to increase
00:09:55.820 their prices so that's going to be a real push on inflation so history tells us when you have a push
00:10:02.060 on inflation you start to see those numbers go up interest rates have to go up and when you're
00:10:07.040 running a 1.4 trillion dollar debt principally at floating interest rates because most of it hasn't
00:10:15.520 been secured over term it's very very concerning and even if they did start to block it out over term
00:10:22.400 they will not get the rate they're getting today over a longer term so we're going to have a significant
00:10:28.420 issue in this country of being able to service that debt and that's all going to future generations
00:10:34.620 and that and to me that's incredibly distressing and i i hope it has people's attention well i think
00:10:42.140 it should because if you look at the numbers and some have been projected going forward the the amount
00:10:47.500 canada is going to spend on on paying interest on the debt is going to far out outpace what we're
00:10:54.380 spending on on the universal child care benefit and a lot of other programs this is just basically going
00:11:00.100 to be wasted money because again the liberals have created this budget the super spreader of spending
00:11:05.540 on a whole bunch of pet projects outside what should be the pandemic spending envelope and then couched
00:11:13.720 it all and put it on to future generations yeah yeah and jamie you bring up a valid point but not only
00:11:20.100 was there the short-term spending which quite frankly we voted in favor of most of the bills that dealt with
00:11:26.080 helping out small businesses uh helping out individuals that are out of work but in this
00:11:31.620 budget they've layered in a bunch of structural spending issues with no plan on growth no way to
00:11:39.440 describe on how are we actually going to pay for this into the future and the budget's loaded with
00:11:45.440 issues like that that aren't dealing with the direct short-term issue they've created this long-term
00:11:51.340 spending um uh commitment and that and that's very concerning without this strategy around growth
00:11:58.420 and and it just frustrates me that there is you know you'll hear in the budget we're going to have
00:12:04.380 the new economy the new jobs the green jobs but there's there's nothing descriptive about when are
00:12:11.360 these jobs going to happen what sectors are they going to be in how high paying will they be it's just
00:12:18.080 fluff and you know as conservatives i think we like to see actual plans documented that actually show
00:12:25.400 how are you going to get to that well here's a prediction i'm going to to give you a prediction right
00:12:30.760 here james uh when this happens they're going the government is going the left is going to ask for more
00:12:36.120 time more patience and more taxpayer dollars and at some point they will get it right i i'm
00:12:42.640 they're they're almost convinced of it yeah and and and and we really don't have the value of time
00:12:50.220 because as they drag this on you know we we had a hundred billion dollars worth of new debt prior to
00:12:56.560 covet we've latched on to short-term and long-term spending that will likely take us up to uh we're at
00:13:04.200 1.4 trillion and they've asked for a debt ceiling of i believe 1.8 trillion so that would tell me that's
00:13:11.080 sort of where their target is the numbers are staggering for the size of the economy when you
00:13:16.540 layer in the federal debt then take provincial debt then take municipal debt and you add that
00:13:23.100 all together it's staggering okay let's talk about what the conservatives would do conservatives have
00:13:29.300 laid out a plan maybe you can talk a bit about that what the difference will i see someone turn
00:13:33.660 their lights out on you i think you've overstayed your welcome but what would the conservatives do
00:13:38.580 uh obviously if we were given the opportunity to govern the next election how would we fix this mess
00:13:44.500 well we without question we would jeez you got to pay your hydro again without question we would work
00:13:51.940 on economic recovery and start to look at where can we um grow the economy because this has to be
00:13:59.080 about growth you know there there's going to be some rationalization with spending but but the reality
00:14:04.960 is with the level of debt that we've taken on under this government we are absolutely going to need
00:14:10.020 massive growth so we'll come up with programs respecting those industries that have got us there
00:14:15.760 already see how we can gain market share and start to grow the economy again and grow opportunities
00:14:21.040 so there's the conventional industries and then i think there'll be new emerging industries that we
00:14:26.460 will be able to be very strategic in our thinking and focus on external growth because reality jamie is that
00:14:34.420 we need to grow uh building our our trade with uh with other partners because our our economy is just
00:14:42.260 not big enough on its own without that external growth and that's i think uh we got to wind it up here
00:14:48.220 but i think you touched on it pretty well uh there but just want to unpack a little more i think that's
00:14:53.980 where the conservative approach comes in when you lower taxes when you keep government rules regulations
00:14:58.520 and red tape at a reasonable level you have rapid innovation you can incentivize a whole new group of
00:15:06.840 people coming up with the next great product the next great thing that people want to buy freely with
00:15:11.260 their own money and and when you don't have the constraints of government we've seen other instances
00:15:16.220 across the across the globe where when the government gets out of the way people the individuals
00:15:22.520 will come up with the products the market will be there to to provide what the the consumers need
00:15:29.420 yeah jamie i tell people i started in business when i was 21 years old i had my first opportunity to buy
00:15:37.420 into a construction company which we built into a bigger company and not once did i think about
00:15:43.960 government helping me or air assisting me it was always about this opportunity like i just was so
00:15:51.740 excited that i'd be able to contribute build something do something we've lost our edge on
00:15:57.340 that we've we've lost the ability people don't think that way we have to get it back and i'm
00:16:02.840 convinced that under conservative policies we'll get it back james and we'll and we'll make sure that
00:16:09.040 the lights stay on in a room when you're doing a video well that's odd usually in venezuela the lights
00:16:14.720 never go off in the government quarter in caracas but for some reason in ottawa it is in your room so
00:16:19.820 uh look into that but i i always give our guests the the last word james you did sum it up perfectly
00:16:26.340 there but uh i'll give you the final word here yeah i you know i ran for politics jamie for the
00:16:33.700 main reason is i wanted to see public policy that would create this entrepreneurial spirit in this
00:16:39.420 country again and make this country the place to set up and grow raise a family and do something and
00:16:46.360 create something and create wealth and we've lost our swagger and and i do think we can get it back
00:16:52.500 i'm i'm positive that we can get it back if we get a new government i'm not so convinced if we see the
00:16:58.500 current policies going on for any extended period of time getting our swagger back i love it james
00:17:04.460 coming the member of parliament for edmonton center also the shadow minister for covid19 economic
00:17:10.120 recovery i got it right that time thank you so much for joining us new content every single tuesday
00:17:15.560 1 30 p.m eastern time we do appreciate you joining us but we also need your help we need you to like
00:17:20.780 comment subscribe share this program help us push back against the ever-moving liberal agenda and of
00:17:26.440 course you can't listen or watch it all now on facebook download it listen to it on platforms like
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00:17:36.900 your help and together we can ensure that erin o'toole is the next prime minister of canada
00:17:41.540 as always remember low taxes less government more freedom that is the blueprint thanks for joining us
00:17:48.260 you