The Liberal Budget
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Summary
In this episode, we bring in our guest, James Cumming, MP for Edmonton Centre and the Shadow Minister for Small Business and Economic Recovery, to talk about the budget and its impact on the economy and the future of Canada.
Transcript
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hello and welcome once again to the blueprints this is canada's conservative podcast i'm your
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host jamie schmale member of parliament for halliburton quarter length rock thank you very
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much for joining us again another great show lined up for you so we ask that you like comment
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we bring in our guest it is james coming he's the member of parliament for edmonton center he's also
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the shadow minister for small business and economic recovery we welcome him to the show
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a good friend you've been on before thanks for coming on again glad to be here again always good
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to be able to talk to uh you jamie and thanks for putting on this show i almost drew a blank on on your
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title but uh i'm glad i got it um well let's start it up a bit it's covid uh 19 economic recovery but
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close enough close well see i was making i gave you a promotion did i give you a promotion hope so
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well congratulations yeah well let's start with a couple things the economic recovery part and small
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business so i want to touch on that but also i want to touch on the budget i know it was a few weeks ago
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um i love this quote from don martin of ctv he said the budget was a super spreader of spending
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and this whole envelope of extra spending either borrowed or printed money
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under the couched under the umbrella of covid release but they also put in all these other
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pet projects they decided to throw money on but yet actually forgot that the pandemic was about
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health care so maybe you can talk a bit about the the budget catastrophe sure um so you'll often hear
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from the liberals that it's the build back better budget and i refer to it as it's the build back
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bigger budget which you know generations upon generations are going to have to pay back over
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time now that said would we support because you've shut down businesses and you've and you've created
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an environment where people can't work so are there some levels of support sure absolutely but the real
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reality though is two things on the health care side uh there was nothing to deal with what the
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provinces really wanted which was a budget items towards covid recovery and a further transfer
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increase in transfer of health payments and and you didn't see any of that in the budget
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and probably my biggest issue jamie is that a lack of clear direction on how this budget is going to
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help with a long-term uh economic recovery you know there's a ton of money in there for
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infrastructure spending but it's not infrastructure towards things that will create more revenue
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so in this country we even before the budget uh we were uh our growth was quite anemic it was about
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one percent and post covid most of the spending programs aren't designated towards towards things that
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will improve canada's competitiveness improve our productivity it's on a lot of boutique projects
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that the liberals have come up with that don't have a revenue number attached to them so how are we
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going to grow ourselves out of this if we just continue to spend spend spend without that opportunity
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for growth and when we talk about growth the economy going forward we have some important stuff
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we're waiting for on enbridge line five that will have pretty catastrophic results if if it does
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get shut down in ontario quebec and also your province of alberta
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yeah and you know the budget had virtually no mention of the natural resource sector
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the the sector that has fueled this economy and is critical not just to the sector itself
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but i think of ontario with line five and with increasing energy prices and and so dependent
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on manufacturing that we will lose our competitive edge against our peers internationally and and these
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are companies that want to grow and they want to expand you know the reality is we can't just sell
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to ourselves we could have about 38 million people which you know it's helpful but the reality
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is canada is an exporting nation and and we have to make sure that we're set up for success and
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i didn't see anything in the budget that did that now if we are talking about growing for success a lot
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of the slowdowns in the economy is because government has its boot on the neck of the economy so how do
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we release that boot not with more government spending we need to actually get vaccines and yet
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as we see in many countries right around the world the uk italy for example is talking about reopening
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and many others israel the uae and the list goes on the united states they are reopening because
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they did not they they being their government did not make major mistakes in the procurement process
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that caused canada to get behind so many other countries we should be farther ahead than what we
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are right now absolutely you cannot have an economic recovery until you have a health recovery
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and it frustrates me to no end to continue to hear this speaking point from the liberals that
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we had we have more contracts for vaccines than anybody else so effectively what they're telling
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the public is we wrote more purchase orders than anybody else for a variety of vaccines what they
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neglect to tell you is that those purchase orders didn't have clear objectives on when we're going
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to receive these vaccines so if you look at israel they didn't write massive po's to a bunch of
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different drug companies they were really focused and look at where they are today because they're
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able to get vaccines and they now lead i think they lead the world now in double vaccinated population
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and it's because they were very strategic and they made sure that they put together a program that
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would work based upon outcomes not based upon bragging points that i've got this massive portfolio
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you know the reality is i just find it so ironic that when i was in the construction business
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that we would you know you're issuing a po does not guarantee that the job gets done
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you actually have to write into the po when are you going to finish the job
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now i'm sure you're hearing a lot about this from small business owners the hotel the hospitality
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industry restaurants my goodness all trying to figure it out most i think the
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survey i saw from the canadian federation of independent business was 84 percent of businesses
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took on more debt through this crisis um they they need some certainty at the end of this on the small
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business side i know we talked about the the larger players kind of in natural resources but even at
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the community level um the the vaccine problems and then of course we had at the beginning of the
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pandemic the the rent program that only 10 percent of businesses took in because the the liberals
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wouldn't take advice from the opposition we had the the wage subsidy was started at 10 percent
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eventually got to over 70 but those were problems that happened along the way that caused businesses
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to take on more debt and then with lack of certainty because of not enough vaccines coming in we have
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more problems more delays in getting these businesses up and running i absolutely agree you know we have a
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huge main street problem right now for these small businesses and although the programs have been
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helpful to a certain extent a lot of them have been adding on debt and and putting more leverage against
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these companies so what i'm hearing from companies now is that they're concerned about their debt load
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but the more important point jamie is they need some level of certainty and i recognize that with the
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variance that it's really hard to determine that but other countries have others have actually come up with
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constructive programs on how they're going to get their economy back and open and they've been
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strategic by sector they've they've done risk analysis they've done a proper plan on being able to tell
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these small businesses okay here's how we think uh you will be able to open up now granted a lot of that
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is provincial responsibility but the government can take a leadership role by saying here's how we're going
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to procure more vaccines here's how we're going to get them to you quicker and quite frankly late to
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the gate on rapid testing they've just now started to recognize as a bridge the availability of testing
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could really help out with some of these industries let's talk about quickly inflation for the moment as
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as we continue to borrow as we continue to print more money we're going to see some inflationary
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pressures because you can't do this forever you can only you can only do that for so long before you
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debauch the economy and the currency probably a combination of both uh what are your main
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concerns when it comes to that well there's two things one is that the the central bank has been
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buying bonds like there's no tomorrow uh the government's ratcheted up spending um like we've never seen
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before but the other piece of the puzzle is that the supply chains have been drastically affected by this
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pandemic and so those supply chains now i'm hearing from businesses that their materials that they're
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bringing in have increased in costs significantly both by a shipping both by the source cost and so
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building that into their products they're all suggesting that they're going to have to increase
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their prices so that's going to be a real push on inflation so history tells us when you have a push
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on inflation you start to see those numbers go up interest rates have to go up and when you're
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running a 1.4 trillion dollar debt principally at floating interest rates because most of it hasn't
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been secured over term it's very very concerning and even if they did start to block it out over term
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they will not get the rate they're getting today over a longer term so we're going to have a significant
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issue in this country of being able to service that debt and that's all going to future generations
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and that and to me that's incredibly distressing and i i hope it has people's attention well i think
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it should because if you look at the numbers and some have been projected going forward the the amount
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canada is going to spend on on paying interest on the debt is going to far out outpace what we're
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spending on on the universal child care benefit and a lot of other programs this is just basically going
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to be wasted money because again the liberals have created this budget the super spreader of spending
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on a whole bunch of pet projects outside what should be the pandemic spending envelope and then couched
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it all and put it on to future generations yeah yeah and jamie you bring up a valid point but not only
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was there the short-term spending which quite frankly we voted in favor of most of the bills that dealt with
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helping out small businesses uh helping out individuals that are out of work but in this
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budget they've layered in a bunch of structural spending issues with no plan on growth no way to
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describe on how are we actually going to pay for this into the future and the budget's loaded with
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issues like that that aren't dealing with the direct short-term issue they've created this long-term
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spending um uh commitment and that and that's very concerning without this strategy around growth
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and and it just frustrates me that there is you know you'll hear in the budget we're going to have
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the new economy the new jobs the green jobs but there's there's nothing descriptive about when are
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these jobs going to happen what sectors are they going to be in how high paying will they be it's just
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fluff and you know as conservatives i think we like to see actual plans documented that actually show
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how are you going to get to that well here's a prediction i'm going to to give you a prediction right
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here james uh when this happens they're going the government is going the left is going to ask for more
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time more patience and more taxpayer dollars and at some point they will get it right i i'm
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they're they're almost convinced of it yeah and and and and we really don't have the value of time
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because as they drag this on you know we we had a hundred billion dollars worth of new debt prior to
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covet we've latched on to short-term and long-term spending that will likely take us up to uh we're at
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1.4 trillion and they've asked for a debt ceiling of i believe 1.8 trillion so that would tell me that's
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sort of where their target is the numbers are staggering for the size of the economy when you
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layer in the federal debt then take provincial debt then take municipal debt and you add that
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all together it's staggering okay let's talk about what the conservatives would do conservatives have
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laid out a plan maybe you can talk a bit about that what the difference will i see someone turn
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their lights out on you i think you've overstayed your welcome but what would the conservatives do
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uh obviously if we were given the opportunity to govern the next election how would we fix this mess
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well we without question we would jeez you got to pay your hydro again without question we would work
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on economic recovery and start to look at where can we um grow the economy because this has to be
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about growth you know there there's going to be some rationalization with spending but but the reality
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is with the level of debt that we've taken on under this government we are absolutely going to need
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massive growth so we'll come up with programs respecting those industries that have got us there
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already see how we can gain market share and start to grow the economy again and grow opportunities
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so there's the conventional industries and then i think there'll be new emerging industries that we
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will be able to be very strategic in our thinking and focus on external growth because reality jamie is that
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we need to grow uh building our our trade with uh with other partners because our our economy is just
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not big enough on its own without that external growth and that's i think uh we got to wind it up here
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but i think you touched on it pretty well uh there but just want to unpack a little more i think that's
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where the conservative approach comes in when you lower taxes when you keep government rules regulations
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and red tape at a reasonable level you have rapid innovation you can incentivize a whole new group of
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people coming up with the next great product the next great thing that people want to buy freely with
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their own money and and when you don't have the constraints of government we've seen other instances
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across the across the globe where when the government gets out of the way people the individuals
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will come up with the products the market will be there to to provide what the the consumers need
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yeah jamie i tell people i started in business when i was 21 years old i had my first opportunity to buy
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into a construction company which we built into a bigger company and not once did i think about
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government helping me or air assisting me it was always about this opportunity like i just was so
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excited that i'd be able to contribute build something do something we've lost our edge on
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that we've we've lost the ability people don't think that way we have to get it back and i'm
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convinced that under conservative policies we'll get it back james and we'll and we'll make sure that
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the lights stay on in a room when you're doing a video well that's odd usually in venezuela the lights
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never go off in the government quarter in caracas but for some reason in ottawa it is in your room so
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uh look into that but i i always give our guests the the last word james you did sum it up perfectly
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there but uh i'll give you the final word here yeah i you know i ran for politics jamie for the
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main reason is i wanted to see public policy that would create this entrepreneurial spirit in this
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country again and make this country the place to set up and grow raise a family and do something and
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create something and create wealth and we've lost our swagger and and i do think we can get it back
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i'm i'm positive that we can get it back if we get a new government i'm not so convinced if we see the
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current policies going on for any extended period of time getting our swagger back i love it james
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coming the member of parliament for edmonton center also the shadow minister for covid19 economic
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recovery i got it right that time thank you so much for joining us new content every single tuesday
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1 30 p.m eastern time we do appreciate you joining us but we also need your help we need you to like
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as always remember low taxes less government more freedom that is the blueprint thanks for joining us