Aaron O'Toole survives as leader of the Conservative Party, but he doubles down on a losing strategy and blames everyone but himself for the election loss. Today's episode of The Candace Malan Show examines the reasons why this happened, and what it means for the future of the party.
00:00:00.080Aaron O'Toole survives as leader of the Conservative Party, but he doubles down on a losing strategy and blames everyone but himself for the loss.
00:00:07.360I'm Candace Malcolm and this is The Candace Malcolm Show.
00:00:14.120Hi everyone, thank you so much for tuning in.
00:00:16.080You probably saw the news that Aaron O'Toole survived the caucus meeting yesterday.
00:00:20.060It was the first caucus meeting since the election, since the disappointing election result for the Conservatives and the Conservative leader.
00:00:26.280There was some speculation that the party was going to dump Aaron O'Toole yesterday.
00:00:32.180As I talk about on the show, there really isn't the appetite in the Conservative Party right now to have another leadership review, have another leadership race that could potentially divide the party even further.
00:00:42.680It isn't obvious that there's anyone else in the party that would be suitable for leader at this point.
00:00:47.800So a lot of MPs that I've been speaking to, a lot of Conservative insiders, are sort of just resigned to the fact that even though O'Toole didn't do a great job, even though there were a lot of problems with his campaign, better, again, to stick with the devil that you know than the devil that you don't know.
00:01:02.020And I think that there is so much uncertainty with a leadership race that it's probably a good strategy.
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00:02:59.800So, yes, it was the first time that all of the conservative MPs got together in Ottawa.
00:03:04.680And it seemed like more or less they had a united front around their guy, around Aaron O'Toole as leader.
00:03:10.900We heard a lot of MPs just voicing their support.
00:03:14.080But interestingly, there were a few sort of outliers.
00:03:16.740So we will get to those later in the show.
00:03:19.020But I want to first focus on Aaron O'Toole, focus on his understanding of what went wrong, the way that he is treating this loss.
00:03:27.220Because one of the things that he did emphasize, I think there's two important things that he emphasized.
00:03:31.260He has been talking about how they're going to do a really full postmortem of the campaign, look into what went wrong, really dissect the numbers, try to understand how the strategy failed and where they can improve upon it.
00:03:45.660That's exactly what they should be doing after an election, after a disappointing election like this.
00:03:50.520But then he's also sort of doubling down on his rhetoric, on this idea that conservatives need to be more progressive, that the party needs to fundamentally change in order to win and appeal to a broader collection of Canadians.
00:04:05.900So first I want to focus in on Aaron O'Toole, look at what he was saying yesterday, how he was communicating, and what lessons he's really taking away from this election.
00:04:14.920We've heard him say several times now that he's going to do a full review of the campaign, really dive into the numbers, try to understand the strategy, what went wrong, really hold the mirror up.
00:04:25.760That's what we want to hear from a leader.
00:04:27.280We want him to acknowledge that the strategy that he took failed, that it didn't win over Canadians, that his calculation to move to the centre, run as more of a liberal, try to hug Justin Trudeau on as many issues as possible, and really avoid any of the sort of pitfalls that the media and the liberals set up for conservatives.
00:04:48.000He did a decent job of not falling into those, but he ended up mirroring Justin Trudeau so closely that there just wasn't a compelling reason to vote for him because he didn't differentiate himself enough from the liberal party.
00:05:00.640So this is, I'm going to play first a clip of Aaron O'Toole walking into caucus meetings.
00:05:04.580So this is before he knew his fate as party leader.
00:05:07.480He probably had an idea that caucus supported him, but really anything could happen at a meeting like this.
00:05:12.100So this is what Aaron O'Toole looked like prior to caucus, and this is what he was saying.
00:05:18.000If the leader is not the problem, then what is the problem?
00:05:21.360Why is the message of the Conservative Party not resonating with Canadians, and what do you need to do moving forward to make sure that happens?
00:05:30.060Well, in an election and a pandemic, I know how, you all know how much the election costs, so I won't get into that, but there were two parties that divided Canadians, that misled Canadians, that had very deceptive and quite frankly alarming campaigns, Mr. Trudeau's and Mr. Bernier.
00:05:45.920We did not. We tried to respect people.
00:05:48.800We tried to encourage a vaccination level of 90% by working together, not by dividing people.
00:05:54.880So I think Mr. Trudeau, who's already let Canadians down again in his first 10 days, he has more lessons to learn than we do.
00:06:01.860So there you go. Justin Trudeau has more lessons to learn than we do.
00:06:10.600He's saying that the reason that the Conservatives didn't do very well was because what?
00:06:15.360Because he thought that the Liberals were divisive and Maxim Bernier was divisive, and they weren't.
00:06:19.940So again, blaming other people as opposed to himself and doubling down and saying that Trudeau has more to learn from this election than he does.
00:06:26.040Well, I'm sorry, that's not true because Justin Trudeau is prime minister.
00:06:29.360So yes, we all wish that Justin Trudeau was a little bit more self-aware, a little bit more humble, showed more humility in his day-to-day life.
00:06:36.660But Justin Trudeau doesn't need to sit down and dissect what happened in the election because he won.
00:06:41.080He has the power. He's prime minister.
00:06:42.720He will likely be prime minister for the next four years, just given all of the dynamics in Ottawa.
00:06:47.500So it is Aaron O'Toole who has to do the reflection, who has to learn the lessons.
00:06:52.640So the idea, again, that he's just sort of blaming Trudeau, walking into caucus there, that's a little disconcerting.
00:07:00.100And yes, we all like to see an opposition leader dunk on the prime minister, and that's part of the job.
00:07:05.000But really, today is a day, yesterday is a day, but as O'Toole was walking in, you know, it's a day that you reflect on your own party.
00:07:11.980You talk about the reasons that you lost.
00:07:13.800And I get the fact that you don't want to pour your heart out to the media.
00:07:17.020You don't really want to tell them the inner thinking of your party and your own strategy, even if he acknowledges that he ran too far to the left,
00:07:26.200that he made strategic mistakes in selling out conservative principles and values.
00:07:30.280I don't really expect him to say this to the media, but I wanted to show you this video to contrast it with the next video.
00:07:37.820So the first one was O'Toole walking into caucus before he had had an earful from all of the MPs.
00:07:44.840The whole purpose of caucus is to hear from the members, listen to what they have to say.
00:07:50.780They tell you what their constituents think.
00:07:52.380What are you hearing on the ground across the country?
00:07:54.880What are conservatives and voters saying to us?
00:07:57.940So going into caucus, you would expect that he would have a different tune coming out of caucus because he would be much wiser.
00:08:04.220He would have heard all this feedback from his MPs.
00:08:07.360He would understand what people in different parts of the country were thinking, and perhaps he would have reflected on that and had a different sort of answer.
00:08:15.080But instead, I'm going to show you a clip from his press conference, which happened after caucus, after the meeting.
00:08:20.140So like I said, he didn't face any kind of a leadership review.
00:08:23.900There was nothing that we heard that said that it was really bad.
00:08:27.100One MP that I spoke to said that this meeting was a lot calmer and a lot more united than the 2019 caucus after the election, where I'm told it was really divisive.
00:08:47.900The party is more united around Aaron O'Toole at this moment, but still, presumably, he would have something different to say after the press conference.
00:08:56.820This is a minute-long clip where a reporter asks Aaron O'Toole specifically, why did you lose the election?
00:09:04.140And I want you to pay close attention to what Aaron O'Toole says here.
00:09:07.300You know, this morning, there were a number of MPs that we spoke to who said that they were upset about how you manage the campaign and that the party actually lost seats.
00:09:14.280You're saying today that you're taking responsibility and nobody is more disappointed than yourself.
00:09:19.300So in what way do you think the party needs to change?
00:09:22.500What do you think went wrong in the last election and what are you going to be doing differently?
00:09:27.840I am responsible and I accept that responsibility.
00:09:31.660We fell short when I had a plan for us to win the confidence of more Canadians.