Former Reform Party Leader Preston Manning joins The Candice Malcolm Show to talk about his life and career, the recent election, and his thoughts on the current state of Canadian politics. He also talks about his new book, "The Biggest Threat to National Unity: How the Liberal Party Threatens Western Canada."
00:08:36.340There's other options other than secession.
00:08:38.820But Central Canada and elites better pay attention to it.
00:08:42.380It's got the potential to wreck the Federation.
00:08:46.440Well, you say that Central elites might be indifferent to it.
00:08:49.880In some ways, it seems like they're deliberately hostile.
00:08:52.960I'll point to this Toronto Star article op-ed.
00:08:55.800It wasn't even an op-ed, Preston, because it was written by someone who writes for the paper, a business columnist.
00:09:01.160And the title is, Is It Time for Alberta to Go Alone and Break from Canada?
00:09:06.360And the sort of way that the Toronto Star was promoting this was, let them go.
00:09:10.120Yes, it's time for Alberta to go let them go, as in like there's some kind of a burden to the rest of Canada.
00:09:15.180Reading that as an Albertan, what goes through your head when you see that kind of thing?
00:09:19.520Well, that's typical of the Toronto Star.
00:09:21.640In fact, if you wanted to fan the flames of secession in Western Canada, the best way to do it would be to give every Westerner a subscription to the Toronto Star.
00:09:33.000Because A, the indifference, B, the hostility, and C, the ignorance of the role that the Western provinces, particularly Alberta, play in the Federation.
00:09:47.640The revenue that is generated for the national government, the proportion of GDP that is generated particularly by the petroleum industry.
00:09:56.800That op-ed just indicates a complete ignorance of the relevance of that fact and its relevance even to central Canada.
00:10:04.300Well, it is something that I think a lot of Albertans know is how much Alberta contributes to the rest of the country above and beyond what it gets back in services.
00:10:12.560I don't know that that's common knowledge to folks in Ontario and Quebec, although it should be.
00:10:17.800I'm curious to hear your thoughts, Preston, on how Premier Danielle Smith has sort of responded.
00:10:22.380So the day after the election, April 30th, she came out and announced changes to the Citizens Initiative Act, which basically lowers the threshold by which a referendum can be prompted through a sort of democratic process where signatures requirement went from 20 percent of all voters down to 10 percent of all voters.
00:10:42.380And the threshold timeline was increased.
00:10:44.980And then last week, Premier Smith came out and announced what she calls the Alberta Accord, which is a plan to basically guarantee more pipelines for the future.
00:10:54.820She made four major demands, including a corridor to get Alberta energy and oil to tidewater in the Pacific, Arctic and Atlantic.
00:11:05.020She said that they wanted the feds to stop interfering with the development of natural resources, including getting rid of the No New Pipelines Law Bill C-69, as well as the oil tanker ban.
00:11:15.740They also demanded that the government refrain from imposing export tax or any restrictions on Alberta's natural resources.
00:11:22.280And finally, basically an end to equalization, that they wanted to create a new formula whereby big, wealthy provinces like Quebec, Ontario and British Columbia no longer get the transfers from Alberta.
00:11:36.460So what do you make of Premier Smith's actions and sort of what she's laying out on the table here?
00:11:42.480Well, I think it's a responsible approach.
00:11:44.500I think it's supported by a large number of Albertans and what the approach she is basically taking, say that there's a list of conditions that have to be met by the federal government and the federal parliament for the West to remain content within the federation.
00:12:09.360It's very much based on this fundamental fact that apparently large numbers of Canadians don't get, that the biggest economic strength of this country is its natural resources.
00:12:23.600Canada is the largest country, second largest country in the world by landmass, which means you have the second largest or maybe the largest stock of natural resources, agriculture, energy, mining, forestry and the fishery.
00:12:37.720And the fact that under the Trudeau administration, those sectors were treated as relics from the past and environmental liabilities, those are the building blocks to the Canadian economy.
00:12:51.540And what she's doing is asserting there's certain things that have to be done to remove the obstructions to the development of those sectors by the federal government.
00:12:59.980And that's not just in Alberta's interest, that's in the national interest.
00:13:03.220And the ball is now in the federal government's court and people are going to watch the throne speech.
00:13:08.560Not just the speech, there's been talk, talk, talk about all this for a long time.
00:13:13.700They're going to watch whether there's any action on the part of the federal government to address those things on her list.
00:13:21.300And in terms of the referendum, of course, Alberta, again, Western Canada, tends to favor more democratic mechanisms, referendums, citizens' initiatives, freer votes in the legislatures than the parliament.
00:13:35.160And this is quite in accordance with that tradition.
00:13:38.020And basically, the referendum gives people a chance who want a particular position to be adopted by the governments to have a referendum to see how much support there is for it.
00:13:49.240Well, you mentioned earlier about having popular support and you'd be curious to see what the polling numbers show.
00:13:55.840Well, last week we did get some polls.
00:13:57.520So according to a new poll released by City News, 36 percent of Albertans and a majority of UCP voters want to leave Canada.
00:14:06.960An Angus Reid poll also found that roughly half the people in both, to your point, Alberta and Saskatchewan would be interested in independence.
00:14:16.420And so I'm wondering, though, like, I mean, Canada's constitution does allow for provinces to separate.
00:14:24.140If there's a popular will, there's a formula.
00:14:27.320Do you think that there really is that type of sentiment enough to push this over?
00:14:33.260What those polls don't mention, there are other options besides separation, like what the premier is offering.
00:14:41.400And I'm involved with a group that wants to put on what we're calling a Canada West Assembly, where you would get a bunch of representative people from the four provinces, almost like a legislature, and then have these major propositions for what should the West do put in front of that.
00:15:02.300And subject to cross-examination and debate and everything else.
00:15:07.080And one of the options certainly would be the secession option.
00:16:33.260What that will trigger is a big federal, provincial, constitutional conference triggered by a crisis and focused on that particular problem.
00:17:14.940And so, I mean, just to go back to your op-ed in the Globe and Mail, you predicted that Carney, if he's reelected, might be identified.
00:17:22.740You said would then be identified in the history books as the last prime minister of United Canada.
00:17:27.240So presumably you do foresee something like this happening in the next four years.
00:17:31.040Now, if the federal government responded to some of this, then some of this could be averted.
00:17:37.920But there's a real skepticism in the West.
00:17:41.580I mean, Mr. Carney's done a 180-degree turn onāhe used to be a total champion of climate change.
00:17:49.240Now that's been put in the background.
00:17:52.120The Liberal Party was opposed to hydrocarbon energy development, opposed to pipelines, etc.
00:17:58.880And now he professes to be in favor of these things.
00:18:03.020Standing behind him at presentāhe's going to maybe change this tomorrowāwas a cabinet of 23 people who just three months before were saying exactly the opposite of what he's been saying.
00:18:15.120So you can forgive Westerners for being pretty skeptical.
00:18:19.340And they'll be skeptical about the throne speech, too.
00:18:21.360More words, more words, probably words that try to address it.
00:18:26.120And that's what the premiers are watching.
00:18:30.360One of the themes that relates to this isāor if I was in the federal government's shoes and wanted to send a signal to the provinces to try to reduce this federal-provincial conflict,
00:18:44.260which virtually exists with every provincial government, I would introduce an act respecting provincial jurisdiction.
00:18:52.540And what that act would do is amend the major statutes, the federal statutes, that authorize intervention in areas of provincial jurisdiction, like the Canada Health Act.
00:19:05.000Health is a provincial responsibility, but the federal government intervenes under the Canada Health Act.
00:19:11.340Natural resources development, the Constitution's perfectly clear that this is in provincial jurisdiction.
00:19:16.460But the federal government passes legislation that directly interferes with it.
00:19:21.320The Impact Assessment Act, the No Pipelines Act, there's half a dozen of them.
00:19:31.560Municipal government and municipalities is a provincial responsibility.
00:19:35.800The federal government intervenes through the Canada Housing Act and through the Canada Mortgage Bank Act, where the mortgage bank makes big loans to municipalities without even talking to the provincial government.
00:19:48.760And then the Constitution also says property and civil rights is a provincial responsibility.
00:19:54.780The federal government intervened in that area through the emergency act, and the courts even mentioned that some of that intervention was unconstitutional.
00:20:05.020So if the federal government passes statutes like that, pulling back out of those areas by amending the statutes and give it the power to do that,
00:20:11.940that would be a pretty clear signal to the provinces that the federal government understands the basis of unrest.
00:20:18.380But more speeches, more press conferences saying we're going to do something, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera, I don't think it's going to take some action to remove the skepticism on those points.
00:23:17.820And when Premier Smith went down and got on one of these big American talk shows that's got 30, 40 million followers, that's what she's doing.
00:23:28.840She's getting to Trump's constituency.
00:23:31.820And there's going to be senatorial elections in the third of the states in 2026.
00:23:37.020Canadians ought to be involved in those and get anti-tariff Republicans to get into the Senate.
00:23:45.400And Western Canada has some wisdom on how you deal with populist movements and populist governments.
00:23:51.700Central Canada doesn't have the foggiest notion about it.
00:23:54.840And most of those commentators, I say to political science students, particularly, if your prof is still talking about politics, left, right, center, left, right, center, left, right, center, ask him, does he also think the earth is flat?
00:24:10.600He's operating in a framework that I think doesn't exist.
00:24:15.040I'm curious to hear your thoughts on the Oval Office bilateral meeting that we saw last week between President Trump and Mark Carney, because it seems to me that if you're watching online and you saw the commentary from Axe and YouTube, it was very critical of Mark Carney.
00:24:31.380And it basically said that this guy was out of his league and Trump basically just had him for breakfast.
00:24:36.720Whereas if you're watching the traditional media, the CBC and others, they were very complimentary of Mark Carney saying that he was sort of masterful playing a game of chess and whatever.
00:24:46.820My own perspective is that I think Trump kind of humiliated him.
00:24:50.320Like he gets that Mark Carney is there because of Donald Trump.
00:24:54.440And like they're sort of denying that.
00:24:55.700Like Donald Trump came in, he created this huge political problem in Canada, and Mark Carney was seen as the one who could solve it.
00:25:01.120Mark Carney got elected basically off of bashing Donald Trump.
00:25:05.620And Trump almost kind of appreciates that.
00:25:07.600He was having fun with Carney, sort of saying like, you know, this is one of the greatest political comebacks of all time, even better than mine, right?
00:25:14.180And almost kind of taking credit for the fact that he was there, laughing at the fact that Carney had been bashing him, maybe open to some kind of a discussion or debate.
00:25:22.800But in my perspective, it seems that Carney was unwilling to make the concessions, right?
00:25:28.120Like Trump is concerned about the trade imbalance.
00:25:31.740Carney has no interest in reducing many of our own barriers and our own subsidies and our own sort of supply management issues.
00:25:38.860And he was more interested in just hitting back like dollar for dollar tariffs and all that kind of stuff.
00:25:42.980So I'm curious to hear your thoughts on that exchange.
00:25:46.380Well, for one thing, I find it embarrassing from a Democratic standpoint that an American president can dominate and almost dictate a Canadian election.
00:25:59.500The fact that there was a fair increase or holding the line on the voter turnout, you know, what does that say about Canadian democracy?
00:26:10.220That only a threat and statements by an American president can get people to wave the flag and be patriotic?
00:26:20.400Like what does it, is there not enough in this country, regardless of who the American president is, to be proud of?
00:26:26.660Is not our economic strength through the resource sector, something that should make you proud?
00:26:32.880Is not our history, although it gets trashed by the professors at a lot of the universities and teachers?
00:26:39.160Haven't we got enough to be proud of, regardless of what the president of the United States does?
00:26:45.580I find that embarrassing and worrisome, that that's what it takes to get Canadians to feel patriotic, act patriotic and wave the flag.
00:26:58.200I think we've got enough to be proud of, regardless of who the president is.
00:27:03.740Okay, well, I have one question, just sort of imagining a future independent Western Canada or Alberta.
00:27:09.180One thing that often gets raised is, say Alberta and Saskatchewan did decide to leave Canada and go it alone, they would be landlocked.
00:27:17.320And so they potentially would be met by the same kinds of issues where they can't get their product to Tidewater because they would still have to deal with Canada.
00:27:25.880That's a assumption that this worry is just confined to Alberta and Saskatchewan.
00:27:33.940It does go into Manitoba so that you could get access to the Atlantic through a port at Churchill.
00:27:43.020It's very strong in British Columbia, including in the area that has the deepest deep water port in the country.
00:27:51.560Like, if you just confine it to those two provinces, yes, you've got this landlocked problem.
00:27:57.440But if you broaden it out to the entire West, then that goes away.
00:28:02.620It doesn't go away, but there's ways of meeting it.
00:28:06.140One of the other challenges, and this is one that a lot of the people that talk about secession haven't addressed,
00:28:11.540is what will be the status of indigenous groups that have treaty arrangements with the crown and with the federal government under those circumstances?
00:29:26.660And yeah, we are still sort of dealing with those concerns, whereas some of the First Nations in Alberta say you can't do this.
00:29:34.880Juneau News talked to constitutional lawyers that said that there isn't standing for them to block a citizen's initiative like this.
00:29:41.480So that's definitely an interesting, outstanding issue.
00:29:44.380Well, Preston, we always really appreciate your time.
00:29:46.840Sorry, did you have any final thoughts on that?
00:29:49.760Well, just on just what you said there, this business is trying to shut up the people that want something different, secession or whatever the options are.
00:29:58.860I don't think that's a democratic way either.
00:30:01.460I think the democratic way is let them put that position together.
00:30:06.060There's about 10 groups working on this in the behind and they're not unified.
00:30:11.340Let them get their position together and let them get it out in front of the public and let the public have a kick at it.
00:30:18.300I think by suppressing the talk about these things, you do more damage than getting them out and having a genuine political discourse.
00:30:25.460And if this assembly we're talking about comes about, one of the things we're hoping is to demonstrate, maybe for a week or 10 days, what genuine democratic discourse is about.
00:30:39.080It doesn't occur in the legislatures now that are just partisan, divided.
00:30:44.260It certainly doesn't occur in the Parliament of Canada, and I know about that.
00:30:47.180But can we not, for 10 days, have people present positions clearly and they're listened to?
00:30:55.680Can we not have them cross-examined by asking questions and getting answers?
00:31:01.740Can those people not be obliged to listen to other people?
00:31:05.040We're going to listen to you, but you've got to listen to something else.
00:31:07.660And can you not take some votes at the end that indicate how much support there is for a particular proposition?
00:31:12.940Where today is there genuine democratic discourse?
00:31:18.540Hopefully, maybe this assembly can demonstrate it and demonstrate it on an issue of the future position of the West in the federation.
00:31:27.540Well, it's so interesting, Preston Manning.
00:31:29.380Thank you so much for your time, your insights.
00:31:31.200We're really looking forward to, I hope that comes to fruition, and maybe we will have some real debate and real democratic discussions in this country.
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