00:00:00.000Alberta Premier Jason Kenney has announced his intention to resign as Premier and Leader of the United Conservative Party in Alberta.
00:00:07.460So what is next for Conservatives in that province? I'm joined by Professor Ted Morton on the show to discuss.
00:00:12.880I'm Candice Malcolm and this is The Candice Malcolm Show.
00:00:14.800Hi everyone, thank you so much for tuning into the program.
00:00:30.420So as you know, we covered the news event last week that Premier Jason Kenney has decided to step down after a leadership review that let's just say came in unfavorably for the Premier.
00:00:40.880He seemed to be caught a little bit off guard as did the people around him and he did what I think was the honourable thing which is to step down to avoid future division in the party.
00:00:51.880On the whole, I think it is a bad thing for Alberta that Jason Kenney did not succeed in this leadership review.
00:00:58.180I don't agree with the idea behind the leadership review in the first place but as I disclosed on the show, I'm not exactly a neutral observer.
00:01:05.360I once worked for Jason Kenney and he remains a friend but I can try to take a step back and give an analysis of why I think he managed to lose control and why he lost.
00:01:17.960And I think it's important for Conservatives and for Canadians to understand those reasons and not to draw the wrong conclusions.
00:01:25.220Unfortunately, I think a lot of what's going on in the media right now are people drawing the wrong conclusions saying that this was some kind of a populist uprising, that it was a bad kind of populism and sort of blaming the people for the fact that Jason is no longer the Premier of the province.
00:01:41.360I think that the responsibility lands on the Premier's shoulders and on his desk, the people around him.
00:01:48.300I think the way that they handled COVID was wrong.
00:01:50.640I think the way that they communicated their policies wasn't the right way and I think that there are a lot of important lessons that should be learned for Conservatives going forward.
00:02:00.360So as I mentioned, I wanted to bring in someone who is a very astute observer of all things Alberta, someone who's very knowledgeable on everything to do with Alberta.
00:02:09.600I'm talking about Professor Ted Morton.
00:02:12.100So Ted Morton is Professor Emeritus of Political Science at the University of Calgary.
00:02:15.580He's a former progressive conservative member of the Legislative Assembly in Alberta, and he is the author of several books.
00:02:23.660His latest book co-authored is called Moment of Truth, How to Think About the Future of Canadian Politics.
00:02:29.780So Ted, thank you so much for joining the show.
00:02:32.560Hello, Candace. Good to be with you again.
00:02:35.340So let's just start off with the first obvious question.
00:03:50.820I'm an old friend of Jason's and was very happy to see him become the premier of Alberta.
00:03:55.240Well, one of the things that I heard a lot from True North supporters in our audience was wondering why no one in Canada did what Ron DeSantis did, the governor of Florida, where he sort of just went against the conventional wisdom that was being pushed by the elites and said, you know, in Florida, we're going to do things differently.
00:04:14.500We're not going to lock kids out of school.
00:04:16.960We're not going to force people to wear masks.
00:04:18.420And he just had a totally different approach.
00:04:20.020I think a lot of conservatives in Canada wished that there was a premier in Canada that was willing to do that.
00:04:25.620Jason Kenney seemed to potentially be well positioned to do that.
00:04:30.160And at one point, there was some hope, right?
00:04:31.860He came out really firmly against the idea of a vaccine passport.
00:05:25.820The lockdowns were very hard in the rural areas, in the small towns, because of their fewer services there to begin with.
00:05:32.920And when they suddenly are locked down or restricted, it was very, very difficult.
00:05:37.220And so there was a populist element to it.
00:05:40.060But again, I think if you look at the political demographics of Alberta, there was no, there wasn't, the path that DeSantis took in Florida wasn't there for Jason.
00:05:51.700So do you think that Alberta, I mean, it's interesting.
00:05:55.640I noticed that you did an interview with the Calgary Herald.
00:05:58.240You said that Kenny did what was best for the party in stepping down.
00:06:02.120And you said that it kind of wipes the slate clean and that the prospects for the party are good.
00:06:07.920I sort of saw the opposite because I see a party that's deeply divided, right?
00:06:11.580You have 51% versus 48.5% on the other side.
00:06:15.520I almost see the old divisions of the PC Wild Rose coming back out.
00:06:20.840Do you think the party is going to stay united or do you think that it's going to fracture back along old lines?
00:06:29.140I think the division was as much personal as ideological.
00:06:34.800I said Jason drew some bad cards, but some of the cards he didn't play very well either.
00:06:40.400And Jason's political skills and political style, I think, was developed and honed in Ottawa.
00:06:51.500And a style that works in Ottawa doesn't work and did not work for him in Alberta.
00:06:59.660And so I think the division was more personal than ideological.
00:07:04.600I think the candidates, plus, hopefully for all of us, the pandemic is moving into the background, will no longer be front and center.
00:07:16.820I mean, basically, Jason was only in office for less than a year when all of a sudden this happened and it pushed all the other issues off the agenda.
00:07:26.500So, at least in the last 12 months, the Alberta budget is balanced again, investments coming back, employment's rising, a lot of positive things happening in Alberta, plus some interesting legislation passed by Jason, things that he promised to do and then followed through on those promises.
00:07:50.280So I tend to be optimistic. I like to fish and hunt. Fishermen are always optimistic.
00:07:58.100But I think a lot of the division was personal, and I think there will be positive things going forward and that the candidates, there'll be disagreements, but I'm optimistic.
00:08:10.960One of the criticisms I've seen, even from conservative writers, is in the media, people coming out, people who are long critics of Jason Kenney first coming out saying, you know, we respect him and we like him.
00:08:25.340But then on the other side, you have conservative analysts really pointing to the conservative base and saying that the problem was this populist spirit in Alberta, that Albertans are ungovernable, that the rise of the oppositional mindset is to blame.
00:08:41.780I'm wondering if you subscribe to this idea that conservatives have become angry and oppositional and that's why he's come down.
00:08:52.420Does any of the blame fall on the conservative base or would you prefer to push blame more towards Kenny himself and the people around him?
00:09:01.820Well, that oppositionist mentality that you've just described is definitely there in the conservative side of Alberta, but I think it's a minority position.
00:09:14.920And I don't think it will play a role in the leadership race, but I think any candidate that tries to focus, just cultivate that group will not be successful.
00:09:34.980One of the other things that's interesting, I mean, you would never see a leadership review of a sitting government official in other parties, in other places in the country, like, you know, usually a leadership review would just be for a candidate who lost an election, not someone who brought in a historic majority government.
00:09:57.640And so, you know, considering what Jason Kenney did to, you know, first unite the two, well, first become leader of the PPC party, vote, unite these two parties, then run again for the leader of that party, then run in a general election.
00:10:10.920I mean, he did so much for conservatives and for the province of Alberta.
00:10:16.180Even just the idea of why there would be a leadership review in the first place confuses a lot of people, especially in Ontario, who might not be super familiar with this sort of political culture in Alberta.
00:10:26.920So I'm wondering if you could maybe help us understand why we were in this position where he was getting a review, even though he was a sitting premier with a majority government.
00:10:35.640It's highly unusual, but it wouldn't have happened unless Jason agreed to it.
00:10:39.420And I think Jason felt that it had just become the divisions, both within the party and within the caucus, that we've gotten to the point where it was becoming difficult to govern.
00:10:49.300And he still has another year, the party has another year to govern.
00:10:52.760So I think he hoped that he was optimistic.
00:11:49.400But Minister Taves, the finance minister, I'm quite certain will be a candidate.
00:11:56.280He's done a very good job under very difficult circumstances for the past three and a half years.
00:12:02.240And he has a base and he he has the advantage of sort of avoiding the Calgary-Edmonton rivalries, not from either not from either city.
00:12:16.200And so and there'll be some other candidates as well.
00:12:19.180And so do you see whoever whoever wins, whichever sort of background they have, having the ability to keep this this party, this juggernaut of very different kinds of conservatives and different kinds of Albertans, rural, urban?
00:12:33.840You know, there's there's there's lots written about the sort of changing demographics of Alberta.
00:12:37.960Do you think that whoever the next leader will have will have a difficult time keeping this party together?
00:12:50.740But I think, again, the the response to COVID and the pandemic was very, very difficult for I think any government is particularly difficult for a conservative government.
00:13:02.620It was particularly difficult for an Alberta conservative government because of the tensions between the libertarian wing and the the well, certainly the older and more urban wing that wanted was hoping for protection from from lockdowns.
00:13:20.020I think that's I think that's behind us now. Let's all hope it's behind us.
00:13:24.900And so I'm optimistic that the candidates we've just identified could move past that, talk about the positive things they've done within Alberta in terms of renewing the economy, getting the budget under control,
00:13:40.760but also pick up what Jason started, but then drop, which is the whole fair deal panel, the panel that he struck Albertan.
00:13:49.600The we had the referendum on equalization, abolishing equalization last fall, over 60 percent voted for that.
00:13:57.680But then nothing. Jason did nothing with it.
00:14:00.280And I understand he felt that that it was not the right time because of COVID and public health issues.
00:14:07.700If those are behind us, I'm I'm expecting what I'm certainly looking for in the leadership race or which one of these individuals will step forward and say, yes, I will pick up the the fair deal panel report.
00:14:24.480The so-called Alberta agenda, which I was part of good grief almost 25 years ago.
00:14:31.140So the inside joke is we're right. Our timing just was really bad.
00:14:35.860So anyhow, I'm looking forward to that. And I actually think there's potential with the right leader to find allies in not just in Saskatchewan, but possibly British Columbia, and I hope in Ontario as well.
00:14:48.420Another issue that Jason Kenney sort of spearheaded was the challenge to Bill C-69, the so-called no more pipelines bill that required all kinds of sociological reviews in order to get major infrastructures deals passed.
00:15:07.440As we know that the Alberta court just ruled that it was unconstitutional, that'll probably get further challenged.
00:15:14.160So do you think that Jason Kenney's departure will hurt this specific challenge and if it will hurt the energy sector more broadly?
00:15:24.960Well, that's an important question, and there's no easy answer to that.
00:15:29.620Very significant. The Alberta court of appeal, I think, was a four to one decision as well.
00:15:35.840So strongly decision said this is simply a invasion of provincial jurisdiction and certainly in Alberta back when the Constitution Act was done in 1982 for Alberta Premier Peter Loughey,
00:15:52.480but the other Western Premiers, but the other Western Premiers as well, and for Quebec, Section 92A, which very explicitly reasserts, reaffirms, and expands provincial control, provincial responsibility for the development of natural resources, that was central.
00:16:10.080Now, while he and the others would not have agreed to the Charter of Rights and all that other, everything else that happened,
00:16:17.960that if there had not been that very strong and explicit affirmation of provincial jurisdiction over the development of natural resources.
00:16:26.380Now, since 2015 under Trudeau, that's been under constant attack, and very much to the detriment of the economies and the people and the families in Alberta and Saskatchewan.
00:16:39.900Right now, because of the terrible things that have happened in the Ukraine and the global oil shortage, prices are up again, and so people are going back to work.
00:16:48.920But again, I think that's a change that makes me optimistic, not for Alberta, but for Canada.
00:16:53.300Suddenly, energy security is front and centre, not just for Canada and the United States, but for Western Europe, for the whole world.
00:17:01.140And Canada, and specifically Alberta and Saskatchewan, are very well positioned to play a very important role in the energy security, the balancing of climate change concerns with energy security.
00:17:13.860Energy security was completely ignored for the past decade, and we're paying the price for it now, particularly Europe's paying the price.
00:17:20.800They're not going to forget this time, and so again, that's an opportunity, not just for Alberta, but I think for all of Canada, and I think conservative leaders, not just in Alberta, we are, conservatives are the party of opportunity, of free enterprise, and so forth.
00:17:39.400So that's another reason I'm trying to be optimistic going forward.
00:17:46.420I think you're right that energy security has come to the forefront, but I still feel a little sceptical of the idea that, you know, a government like the Trudeau government that would pass a bill like C-69, to me, that's a red flag to any investors.
00:17:57.800I mean, you know that the people in charge have openly said, you know, they're all gathering at the World Economic Forum right now, talking about how they want to transition away from energy.
00:18:06.260They don't want oil and gas to be a necessity in the future.
00:18:10.420So if you're a company, why would you put your investment into building a project that may take five, ten years to get off the ground for a commodity that the government and officials and elites openly say they don't want anything to do with it,
00:18:26.880and they're creating legislation to make sure that we're not reliant on it in the future.
00:18:33.160Do you think that Canada can still attract investment?
00:18:36.980Do you think that businesses, and I'm talking about big oil companies, would still be willing to come to Canada to build this kind of critical infrastructure, given the rhetoric that we still hear from the people in charge?
00:19:00.860But with new leadership out of Alberta, the possibility, it'll be interesting to see what, I'm assuming Ford is going to win in Ontario,
00:19:13.360and that I would hope he would step forward on the energy file, because Ontario benefits very much from a strong Alberta, Western Canadian energy sector.
00:19:25.620Even Quebec, you might have seen that, ironically, Premier Kenney and several of his ministers were in Washington just the week before the leadership review in front of a Senate energy committee.
00:19:38.860But there were also representatives from Quebec there and the federal government talking about U.S.-Canada cooperation on the energy front.
00:19:49.320And again, you know, there's 90% of the talk was about energy security.
00:19:54.840Only 10% was about climate change and renewables.
00:19:58.020So I think there's a new reality out there.
00:20:03.500I think people have heard that everyone's hoping that that the woke will wake up right now that we've seen what's not just what's happened to the Ukraine,
00:20:13.560but what the position that's put Europe in, where they're basically blackmailed by Russia because they've become dependent on Russian oil and gas.
00:20:24.920We don't want, Canada doesn't want that, the U.S. doesn't want that, Western Europe doesn't want it, most of Asia doesn't want it.
00:20:31.740So there's, what happened in the Ukraine isn't just going to affect the Ukraine, Russia, and Europe, it's going to affect the whole world.
00:20:40.960And energy security is going to be front and center for at least the next decade, I think on a par with climate change.
00:20:50.680But with $5 gas, fertilizers at all-time high, wheat prices hit a new historical high last week, food is very expensive.
00:21:03.160I think you could see a lot of political changes on both sides of the border in electing parties and leaders who are going to say energy security
00:21:12.160and getting the price of energy back into affordable realm is a priority.
00:21:18.900Final question about Jason Kenney, and that is that I think when he was running for leader and he was trying to establish himself as someone who was firmly on the side of Albertans,
00:21:33.000one of the things, the expectations that Albertans had was that he was really going to fight Justin Trudeau, he was going to demand more of a fair deal.
00:21:42.020And I think people thought that there would be more of an adversarial relationship.
00:21:45.220I think a lot of people in Alberta hoped that there would be more of an adversarial relationship.
00:21:51.020I think Jason tried to be much more diplomatic to Trudeau, and I think that angered many conservatives.
00:21:56.940I'm wondering if you can comment on whether you think that was a strategic mistake
00:22:00.840and whether you think that Kenney was able to have an influence on Trudeau sort of behind the scenes.
00:22:06.400No, I think you're absolutely right that his, the fact that he did not follow through on the, not just the campaign promises, he started.
00:22:18.420I mean, fair deal panel, that was the follow through.
00:22:21.440But then nothing happened after the fair deal panel.
00:22:24.080We did have the referendum on equalization.
00:22:25.940But then that was a card that certainly I expected him and many others expected him to play in Ottawa.
00:22:32.440We didn't hear anything about that after October.
00:22:35.300So, yes, that contributed to his unpopularity among a large sector of the Conservative Party.
00:22:47.660But again, he was dealt a pretty, he dealt some bad cards.
00:22:51.400If he had continued down that path on the fair deal and those issues, provincial policing, pension plan and all of that, in the middle of COVID, that would not have played well, I think, certainly in the urban areas.
00:23:07.500So, again, my optimism is that with that issue now off to the side, the next leader with strong support from Alberta and strong support from other parts of Canada is going to make energy security a key issue.
00:23:24.860And remember, Alberta has, Canada has the third largest reserves in the world.
00:23:29.340And the first and second are in places that nobody wants to do business with and certainly wouldn't be their first choice to do business with OPEC in the Middle East.
00:23:43.900You mentioned a few minutes ago about how you don't think that people in Alberta, Premier, former Premier Lougheed, would have even signed on to the charter had they known some of the things that were going to play out.
00:23:56.480But you had a pretty devastating piece in the National Post a few weeks ago about the charter.
00:24:01.440We know that we just celebrated the 40th anniversary.
00:24:04.480And I wanted to ask you about it while I have you.
00:24:08.000You wrote, after 40 years, the charter is still one of the worst bargains in Canadian history.
00:24:13.000So I'm wondering if you can explain to the viewers why you don't have a lot of faith in that document.
00:24:19.660I think one of the cornerstones of Canada is our federal structure, which allows, we're this huge country, 10 different provinces plus the territories, huge, huge country, relatively small population.
00:24:42.060And the question is, you know, do you want to be governed by people who live and work in your province, who go to the capital?
00:24:49.820Or do you want to be governed by people that you've never heard of, they've never heard of you, they live in Ottawa, again, at the risk of being politically incorrect, at least for those of us in the West, everybody in Ottawa, in the bureaucracy there is bilingual.
00:25:02.600We're not very bilingual out West, federalism, the ability for the different provinces to be self-governing, I think, has been a big part of the success of Canada.
00:25:18.160And Trudeau did it on purpose, that he brought in a set of new rules enforced by, ultimately by one body, the Supreme Court of Canada,
00:25:28.440which the Prime Minister gets to make all the appointments to, six of the nine judges come, three from Quebec, three from Ontario, appointed by the Prime Minister.
00:25:58.540So, in effect, what the charter has become is what I said in the piece, that is disallowance in disguise.
00:26:07.620Remember, again, at Confederation in 1867, the MacDonald wing of the founders wanted a much, much stronger central government.
00:26:17.380And they gave these powers of disallowance and reservation to the federal government.
00:26:21.920Within 30 years, those fell into disuse because they were simply inconsistent with the nature of Canada, our diversity, our size, and everything else.
00:26:32.740And so this ability for Ottawa to reach out and veto provincial legislation they don't like was taken away.
00:26:40.240Unfortunately, the charter has brought that back because the judges have interpreted the charter in such a loose way they can basically get any conclusion they want out of almost every charter case.
00:26:54.660And, of course, then there's the court challenges program, which I mentioned, which funds the groups that liberals like, who want legislation, liberal legislation.
00:27:04.660To Stephen Harper's credit, he defunded.
00:27:07.720He stopped funding the court challenges program.
00:27:09.840But as soon as Trudeau came back in, he started the funding again.
00:27:13.980So the liberals fund the groups on the left, the woke group, the identity politics people, the people who can't win, can't win these political victories through elections, provincially.
00:27:29.160But the court challenges program gives them the money, they go to the court, they go to the Supreme Court, Supreme Court has been appointed by prime ministers, and they get the policy result they want.
00:27:40.820So from a point of view of federalism, it's really disallowance and disguise, and it's been, again, a really bad deal for those of us who think that all Canadians are best served.
00:27:54.560If the decisions we have to live with are made by people in the provincial capital, who come from our neighborhoods, who understand our problems, who know about, you know, shortage of schools, water issues, traffic issues, employment issues, job issues, housing issues, not people in Ottawa, who certainly, again, out West, people who've never even been out West.
00:28:19.480They're, and I'm including in this, both the bureaucrats, and the Supreme Court judges.
00:28:28.400That's, Canada did better before that, I think we can do better again, and I'm hoping with, well, we haven't talked about the federal leadership race, Conservative Party leader, but I'm certainly hoping some of the candidates there will embrace the idea of a more decentralized Canada going forward.
00:28:49.480Well, so I recently had Brian Peckford on the show, and he was obviously one of the signatories, a former premier of Newfoundland, and he criticized your piece in the National Post with a letter to the editor.
00:29:03.260And the argument that he made on the show, I don't want to misquote him or anything, but he basically said that the letter of the charter, the words written in the charter are not being properly applied at this point.
00:29:15.180He pointed out a few key phrases that he felt were being, that the reason that the charter is sort of in disarray and it's not upholding our liberties in the way it should is because of the lack of adherence to what was intended in the charter.
00:29:32.160And you talked about it in your piece a little bit about how the federal cabinet chooses the Supreme Court, you know, you mentioned how these Supreme Court justices don't understand Alberta, many of them haven't even been to Alberta.
00:29:43.180In the U.S., there's a culture of, you know, a Republican president specifically appointing Conservative judges who will have a more literal reading of the Constitution to ensure that the Conservative values are upheld.
00:29:58.020You know, you mentioned Stephen Harper and how he eliminated this program and Trudeau brought it back in.
00:30:03.480One of the criticisms I have heard of Harper is that he didn't appoint Conservative justices and that if we had that culture of making sure that the people that Conservative governments appoint to the bench are going to have a more literal reading of the charter, it might be better the charter itself isn't that bad.
00:30:20.520It's just the way it's been interpreted. I wonder if you can comment on that.
00:30:23.240I think one weakness of the Harper decade was that he did not use to full advantage his appointment power of the Supreme Court.
00:30:35.140And there's some explanations for that.
00:30:37.340More generally, back to Peckford's letter, he's right.
00:30:43.940The premiers, the provincial premiers, of which he was an important player, they put in the notwithstanding clause.
00:30:50.620The notwithstanding clause allows the provincial government or the federal government to say if the court makes a decision striking down one of their laws, that they think the decision is either wrong as a matter of legal interpretation or an unacceptable policy.
00:31:05.080You use the notwithstanding clause, you use the notwithstanding clause and the decision still rests with the provincial government.
00:31:10.860But that was there, Section 92A, not in the charter, but also part of the package, provincial control over natural resource.
00:33:37.560And I bought a house, you know, for under $150,000 in Calgary in 1982.
00:33:44.680I sold it three years ago for almost a million dollars.
00:33:48.800So voters are consumers and particularly your generation, I'm optimistic, are going to say,
00:33:55.640what party is going to build a stronger, more reliable, forward-looking economy for myself and my kids?
00:34:03.340And I'd like to think that's going to be a conservative, United Conservative Party and Alberta and the Conservative Party of Canada in Ottawa.