The Charlie Kirk Show - September 03, 2020


10 Indicators That Trump Will Win In November


Episode Stats


Length

47 minutes

Words per minute

190.24799

Word count

9,078

Sentence count

728

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Toxicity

6

sentences flagged

Hate speech

20

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

How do we predict a presidential winner? How do we know who s going to win in November? What are the keys to predicting a president? Who's going to be the next president? How can we be sure that Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton will win in 2016?

Transcript

Transcripts from "The Charlie Kirk Show" are sourced from the Knowledge Fight Interactive Search Tool. Explore them interactively here.
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Thank you for listening to this Podcast 1 production.
00:00:02.000 Now available on Apple Podcasts, Podcast One, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts.
00:00:08.000 How do we predict a presidential winner?
00:00:08.000 Hey, everybody.
00:00:10.000 I'm going to give you an inside look to my 10 unique and original keys to seeing who's going to win in November.
00:00:18.000 Here's how we predict a president.
00:00:20.000 I think you're going to really enjoy it.
00:00:22.000 Please consider supporting us at charliekirk.com slash support.
00:00:25.000 If you guys are a monthly supporter, you guys get involved and invited to an exclusive Zoom call once a month at charliekirk.com slash support.
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00:00:38.000 Any level of support helps keep us moving strong and helps the Charlie Kirk show get in front of millions of more people.
00:00:46.000 Helps cover our production costs and more at charliekirk.com slash support.
00:00:49.000 If you guys want to win a signed copy of the New York Times bestseller, the MAGA Doctrine, subscribe to the Charlie Kirk Show.
00:00:55.000 Type in Charlie Kirk Show, your podcast provider.
00:00:57.000 Give us a five-star review and email us your subscription at freedom at charliekirk.com, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:00:57.000 Hit subscribe.
00:01:03.000 If you guys want to get involved with Turning Point USA, go to tpusa.com, tpusa.com.
00:01:08.000 Buckle up, everybody.
00:01:09.000 We are going to basically show you who's going to win in November in a way that no one else is.
00:01:15.000 It's a can't miss episode.
00:01:16.000 Buckle up.
00:01:17.000 Here we go.
00:01:18.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.
00:01:20.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campuses.
00:01:22.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.
00:01:26.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.
00:01:29.000 I want to thank Charlie.
00:01:30.000 He's an incredible guy.
00:01:31.000 His spirit, his love of this country, he's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created, Turning Point USA.
00:01:39.000 We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:01:48.000 That's why we are here.
00:01:51.000 How do we predict a president?
00:01:54.000 There's a lot of prognosticators and pundits out there that have made a career out of being wrong.
00:01:59.000 There's a lot of people out there that try to say they know exactly what is going to happen in November, and they can see into the future.
00:02:06.000 Now, most of these people have been professionally wrong about basically everything over the last four years.
00:02:10.000 They said Trump will never run.
00:02:11.000 They said Trump was going to lose.
00:02:13.000 They said that Trump would get us into a war.
00:02:14.000 They said Trump would crash the stock market.
00:02:16.000 When President Trump has actually rebuilt the stock market twice, as of today, now the stock market is plus 29,000 points on the Dow, which now President Trump has done twice, something that no president can ever say they have ever done with that kind of monumental economic gain and recovery all within one term together.
00:02:33.000 So these experts have been wrong about basically everything.
00:02:36.000 And so some of these people that are in the presidential prediction business, such as Alan Lichtman, they've been pretty accurate.
00:02:42.000 Alan Lichtman is someone who says he can predict presidents based on a certain formula that he has, but he says Trump is going to lose.
00:02:50.000 I think we should take a pause and look into actually the data of how Alan Lichtman formulates a president.
00:02:56.000 Alan Lichtman has what he calls the presidential keys.
00:02:59.000 Now, Alan Lichtman says that there are 13 keys in a system, some of which being a good or bad economy, whether someone's an incumbent, what are the biggest issues in the country.
00:03:08.000 Some of them I think are very interesting and can be helpful.
00:03:12.000 However, I actually have a system that I have developed myself over the last couple of years of about 10 keys that are a little bit different than Alan Lichtman's 13 keys.
00:03:22.000 These 10 actually come from grassroots political experience.
00:03:25.000 I've been in politics knocking on doors since I was 14 years old in the suburbs of Chicago.
00:03:30.000 I got my start working for then Congressman Mark Kirk, no relation, then Senator Mark Kirk.
00:03:36.000 Did a little bit of work for then presidential candidate Mitt Romney.
00:03:40.000 Kind of regret doing that.
00:03:42.000 Involved in many races throughout the years, Illinois gubernatorial races.
00:03:46.000 And of course, I had a front seat to the greatest political upset in 2016, President Donald Trump defeating Hillary Clinton.
00:03:53.000 Now, I accurately predicted that President Donald Trump was going to win in 2016, the day before the election of when I publicized the map when I said that President Donald Trump was going to win Michigan and he was going to win the Electoral College. 0.59
00:04:06.000 It came under vast amounts of repudiation and condemnation and mockery from the chattering class.
00:04:11.000 So let's take a step back and say, how do we know someone is going to win? 0.89
00:04:14.000 Now, we don't know for certain, but I think it's really interesting.
00:04:17.000 When I started to think about this and our team here on the Charlie Kirk show started to formulate how can you accurately predict a presidential winner.
00:04:25.000 Now, today at Real Clear Politics, usually the betting averages are something very interesting.
00:04:29.000 The betting averages right now, the latest betting odds, 49.8% chance that Biden is going to win, 49.7% chance that Trump is going to win.
00:04:41.000 0.1% difference in the betting averages.
00:04:45.000 So for all these people that think they know exactly what is going to happen, they're wrong.
00:04:49.000 So if you are losing hope that President Trump may or may not win because the national polls or because some of the polls that might have came out today that show Donald Trump down nine in Arizona, which I don't believe at all, then you have to actually take pause and say, what did they say in 2016?
00:05:02.000 With that, let's take a little refresher and remind ourselves what all these experts, what all these pollsters, what all these professional political pundits were saying just four years ago.
00:05:12.000 Play tape.
00:05:17.000 Okay, here we are.
00:05:18.000 And which Republican candidate has the best chance of winning the general election?
00:05:23.000 Of the declared ones right now, Donald Trump.
00:05:34.000 And so, right now, Mr. Trump, to answer your call for political honesty, I just want to say you're not going to be president, all right?
00:05:45.000 But come on, come on, buddy. 0.65
00:05:47.000 All let's say cow poo-poo aside, there is zero chance we'll be seeing you being sworn in on the Capitol steps with your hand on a giant golden Bible. 1.00
00:05:57.000 I'll make a prediction, though, for you. 0.98
00:06:00.000 I don't really get into predictions much, but this one I'll go way out on a limb.
00:06:04.000 Donald Trump will never, ever be president of the United States.
00:06:09.000 I get it.
00:06:10.000 That Trump should not be in this race. 0.98
00:06:12.000 He's an absurdity. 0.99
00:06:13.000 He is a travesty. 0.98
00:06:16.000 Donald Trump will never be elected president of the United States.
00:06:19.000 Donald Trump is here today going tomorrow, candidate for president of the United States.
00:06:25.000 And it goes on and it goes on and it goes on.
00:06:27.000 These professional political pundits and congress people were mocking the fact that Donald Trump was going to win.
00:06:32.000 So here are the 10 keys that we have here on the Charlie Kirk Show of how we can predict who is going to win the election.
00:06:38.000 There was one of the reasons as to why we saw that President Trump was going to win is we were actually talking to normal people.
00:06:43.000 We were talking to carpenters.
00:06:44.000 We were talking to welders.
00:06:46.000 We were talking to average middle-class voters.
00:06:48.000 And we were able to realize and recognize there was something very special happening in our country.
00:06:53.000 I sent out this tweet the day before the election.
00:06:56.000 It said final prediction, Michigan going to go to Trump or go red.
00:07:01.000 And at the end, I said, let's see what happens.
00:07:03.000 One of the favorite Donald Trump quotes, let's see what happens.
00:07:06.000 So here are the 10 keys to victory.
00:07:08.000 And I think all of them are actually ways that some of you that want to get President Donald Trump re-elected, you can actually participate when you look at what actually matters to moving the dial.
00:07:17.000 Number one is trends.
00:07:18.000 The most important thing that no one talks about is that an election is not just a Polaroid shot, it is a moving picture.
00:07:25.000 And so President Trump is trending in the right direction.
00:07:28.000 Joe Biden is generally trending in the wrong direction.
00:07:31.000 So you have to understand when you talk about political polls, you have, especially political races, there are multivariables.
00:07:38.000 It's not just is Donald Trump surging, it's also is the opponent descending?
00:07:43.000 Do you have one candidate that is actually doing worse and one candidate's doing better?
00:07:48.000 And so for Joe Biden, that's exactly the case.
00:07:51.000 Joe Biden is actually sinking in the polls while Donald Trump is surging in the polls.
00:07:55.000 You might say, well, Charlie, of course that's the case.
00:07:57.000 That's not always the case.
00:07:58.000 Someone's favorability might stay the same where Donald Trump might recover some of those numbers because of undecided or third-party voters.
00:08:04.000 So you just kind of look at some of this polling post-convention.
00:08:08.000 And this is political polls on Twitter.
00:08:12.000 Biden is down among black voters.
00:08:14.000 Trump is up.
00:08:15.000 Biden is down among Hispanic voters.
00:08:17.000 Trump is up.
00:08:17.000 And you just look at Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania voter poll in the general election matchup.
00:08:22.000 All registered voters in July had 53% for Biden, 40% for Trump.
00:08:28.000 Now it's 49% for Biden, 45% for Trump.
00:08:31.000 So if you look at poll after poll, this is why I like the real clear politics polling average, you can start to see the actual trend lines of what's happening.
00:08:38.000 I don't like to cherry-pick certain polls.
00:08:41.000 I instead look at what is the general trajectory of the race.
00:08:44.000 Now, by the way, this is a massive movement for President Trump in Pennsylvania.
00:08:49.000 Trump is down by two with likely voters in a poll that had Hillary Clinton winning Pennsylvania by six points.
00:08:56.000 Not to mention just a nine-point shift in the last month.
00:08:59.000 And the Democracy Institute poll from the end of August shows that President Trump is up nationally in battlegrounds.
00:09:07.000 That's right, nationally and in battlegrounds.
00:09:08.000 So these polls are actually all trending favorably for the president.
00:09:12.000 In this CNN poll, this is something very interesting.
00:09:14.000 CNN very carefully and very subtly removed Iowa as one of their battleground states on their battleground tracker and they added Colorado and Virginia, almost taking out Iowa and saying, oh, we don't want to track those anymore.
00:09:28.000 And they added Virginia and Colorado.
00:09:31.000 Maybe they're seeing something that we're missing.
00:09:34.000 And so what's really interesting about that is that CNN is analyzing a lot more polling than they're publishing.
00:09:40.000 And mind you, they include Ohio in their battleground column.
00:09:46.000 Ohio is not a battleground.
00:09:47.000 It's a blowout state for the president.
00:09:49.000 Trump is going to win Ohio by eight to 10 points, calling it right here and right now.
00:09:53.000 Now, trusting of all the polling aside, you have to look at trends.
00:09:57.000 Do not look at polls.
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00:11:15.000 The number two key of how to predict a president is enthusiasm.
00:11:20.000 Who has a more enthusiastic campaign, more enthusiastic polling base, a more enthusiastic base of support?
00:11:26.000 It's not even close.
00:11:28.000 From the Democracy Institute, which I cited earlier, the enthusiasm gap is massive.
00:11:33.000 Very supportive of President Trump, 82%.
00:11:35.000 Very supportive of Vice President Biden, 40%.
00:11:39.000 Over double the enthusiasm for President Trump.
00:11:42.000 And just look at the viewership and fundraising from the convention.
00:11:45.000 This is from Breitbart.
00:11:46.000 Over its four-day convention, President Donald Trump and the Republican Party earned 147.9 million viewers and raised $76 million in cash.
00:11:58.000 Over its four-day convention, Joe Biden and his radical Bolshevik Jacobin party earned only 122 million viewers and raised $70 million.
00:12:09.000 And the president's campaign in the RNC at the beginning of August surpassed $1 billion raised, the most ever for any campaign ever in the history of politics.
00:12:19.000 And you can see the enthusiasm when it comes to crowd size as well.
00:12:23.000 I'm fully convinced that Joe Biden doesn't want to come out of his basement and hold rallies because he knows that crowd size will pale in comparison to President Trump's events.
00:12:31.000 I'm actually a big believer that crowd size matters.
00:12:34.000 If someone's going to show up to your event, if someone's going to park at your event, if someone's going to show up and take a day off of work to go support you, they are going to go vote.
00:12:42.000 They're going to get others to vote.
00:12:43.000 And it's just a example of a mass movement behind a candidate.
00:12:47.000 Number three, grassroots energy and volunteers.
00:12:52.000 This is not talked about at all by the pundit class or the professionals in cable news.
00:12:57.000 They don't talk about this even in the slightest, about how grassroots energy and the volunteer base is one of the leading indicators.
00:13:05.000 I actually think it is the greatest indicator to determine a campaign's shot at victory.
00:13:10.000 Look at the level of grassroots support, grassroots donations.
00:13:14.000 How many small dollar donors are there?
00:13:16.000 Are people organically going out in the streets with your message?
00:13:19.000 Are people organizing behind your campaign without someone telling them or paying them to do so?
00:13:25.000 Are people asking repeatedly, how can I help?
00:13:28.000 How can I help?
00:13:29.000 President Donald Trump is beating Joe Biden by far when it comes to grassroots energy.
00:13:34.000 Now, you might be saying, well, Charlie, you just mentioned enthusiasm.
00:13:36.000 This is different.
00:13:37.000 These are how many volunteers are showing up to go knock on doors for Joe Biden?
00:13:41.000 Very few to any.
00:13:42.000 How many people are showing up to actually help the candidate?
00:13:45.000 And if you've seen some of these boat parades over the weekend, it's an absolutely incredible sight to see.
00:13:50.000 I'm talking about hundreds, if not thousands of people taking time out of their weekends to load up their boats with Trump flags and signs and parade around lakes, rivers, bays, golfs, whatever you might see.
00:14:02.000 It is an incredible sight to see.
00:14:04.000 And on the volunteer front, check out this headline from Politico, and this should blow you away.
00:14:08.000 Trump's campaign knocks on a million doors a week.
00:14:12.000 Biden's campaign knocks on zero.
00:14:16.000 Can you believe that?
00:14:18.000 Biden and the Democrat National Committee aren't sending volunteers or staffers to talk with voters at home and don't anticipate doing anything more than dropping off literature unless the crisis abates.
00:14:29.000 The campaign and the Democrat National Committee, I'm reading from Politico here, think they can compensate for the lack of in-person canvassing with phone calls, texts, new forms, digital organizing, and virtual meetup with voters.
00:14:39.000 This is August 4th, 2020, just about a month ago.
00:14:42.000 This is a huge difference between the Barack Obama campaign back in 2008 and 2012 and Joe Biden.
00:14:50.000 One of the main reasons why Obama was able to build that successful Obama coalition is that Obama was a community neighborhood organizer.
00:14:58.000 He knew how to build people and build successful coalitions from the ground up.
00:15:03.000 He was a phenomenal organizer, awful president, but a phenomenal organizer.
00:15:07.000 Biden is not simply utilizing volunteers.
00:15:09.000 You know why?
00:15:10.000 Because there are none.
00:15:12.000 There's no one to organize.
00:15:13.000 There's no one showing up early on Saturday morning saying, hey, can I please go knock on doors for Joe Biden?
00:15:17.000 That doesn't exist.
00:15:18.000 There's a massive gap when it comes to persuasion on the side of Donald Trump and Joe Biden.
00:15:25.000 When you're knocking on a million doors a week and you're the Trump campaign, that's only going to wrap up because we ramp up.
00:15:30.000 We at Turning Point Action, our 501c4 organization running students for Trump, this weekend, we are going to be in North Carolina knocking on thousands and thousands and thousands of doors.
00:15:40.000 We are going to be knocking on thousands of doors to get President Trump reelected.
00:15:45.000 And when you count those thousands and thousands of doors all together, that makes a difference.
00:15:49.000 The people you're communicating with, the votes that you're driving out to get somebody elected.
00:15:54.000 A ground game can get you elected.
00:15:56.000 Joe Biden has no ground game.
00:15:57.000 This is one of the most unknown variables right now happening in the entire political landscape is how Joe Biden is completely and totally missing any form of a ground game.
00:16:11.000 And when you're not knocking on doors, there's other things you're not doing.
00:16:14.000 You're not actually organizing all the different facets of an infrastructure that takes you to victory.
00:16:22.000 You do not have a ground game, then you do not have a campaign.
00:16:25.000 It's that simple.
00:16:26.000 Barack Obama was one of the best organizers ever when it came to building a grassroots coalition.
00:16:34.000 So here's number four.
00:16:37.000 This is a hotly debated topic amongst political campaign experts, but I take a very, very strong stance on this.
00:16:48.000 Yard signs matter.
00:16:50.000 That's right.
00:16:51.000 I believe yard signs matter.
00:16:53.000 I believe that bumper stickers matter.
00:16:55.000 I believe that yard signs matter.
00:16:56.000 And so number four that I have on this list of predictors of someone who's going to win is, are they actually publicly displaying support for you?
00:17:04.000 Now, actually, I think that there is an under display of support for President Trump.
00:17:08.000 I think more people would show support for President Trump if they were able to do so, if without physical retribution, without losing their job, without their career being put in jeopardy.
00:17:18.000 Now, we knocked on over 15,000 doors in Western Michigan, we being turning point action at Students for Trump, 15,000 doors.
00:17:26.000 I drove all throughout Western Michigan.
00:17:28.000 I drove throughout Holland, Michigan, throughout Grand Rapids.
00:17:32.000 I did probably about three and a half hours of driving that weekend, spoke at a great church with Pastor Cody.
00:17:36.000 We had a great job, great time.
00:17:38.000 I counted, I kid you not, well over 600 Trump for president signs.
00:17:46.000 600.
00:17:47.000 I had a running tally.
00:17:49.000 Now, mind you, it is a conservative part of the state, but 600?
00:17:52.000 I counted two Biden for president signs.
00:17:55.000 Two.
00:17:56.000 We had one of our teammates here at Turning Point Action and the Charlie Kirk Show drive across the country from Arizona to Washington, D.C.
00:18:04.000 He counted on his drive over 260 Trump signs and four Biden for president signs.
00:18:14.000 It's pretty incredible.
00:18:16.000 That tells you something about who's willing to display support, who's willing to actually advocate for a candidate.
00:18:22.000 Now, you might say, well, Charlie, those are all rural, more conservative parts of the country.
00:18:30.000 Well, I brought this up a little over a month ago when Biden was trending in the correct direction of the polls.
00:18:36.000 A member of our team was in Portland.
00:18:39.000 You know how many Biden signs he saw?
00:18:41.000 One.
00:18:43.000 BLM Incorporated abolish ICE and the pro-riot, pro-terrorism signage outnumbered the Joe Biden signage 100, maybe even 200 to 1.
00:18:53.000 And I'm hearing similar stories all across the country.
00:18:56.000 So ask yourself and really think about it.
00:18:58.000 How many Biden bumper stickers have you seen on the roads?
00:19:01.000 And maybe Trump ones.
00:19:01.000 Now, people, and I fully understand this.
00:19:04.000 And I'm not saying that they're totally wrong.
00:19:07.000 I'm just saying I completely disagree with the analysis.
00:19:10.000 People say yard signs don't mean anything.
00:19:11.000 I don't agree with that.
00:19:12.000 I think that neighbors see leaders who put yard signs on their yard.
00:19:16.000 It is a public display of support.
00:19:18.000 You see it when you come in and out of your driveway.
00:19:20.000 You're thinking about politics.
00:19:21.000 You're thinking about persuading people.
00:19:22.000 I think that it is a multi-point boost.
00:19:24.000 A lot of campaigns disagree, and I think those campaigns are wrong, and they lose.
00:19:29.000 How often do you hear about Biden yard signs getting destroyed, stolen, or burned?
00:19:34.000 Just recently, there was a 12-year-old boy in Denver, Colorado that was assaulted for having a Trump sign.
00:19:39.000 In swing states like Arizona, where the Turning Point USA headquarters is, I'm seeing such a lack of Biden enthusiasm.
00:19:46.000 I don't think they could give out all the Biden signs if they tried.
00:19:49.000 I know the Trump campaign is worried that there's actually going to be a yard sign deficit or a yard sign deficiency.
00:19:56.000 We at TurningPointAction TPATION.com are actually going to be giving out yard signs to the best grassroots volunteers from all across the country.
00:20:02.000 We'll be announcing that very soon.
00:20:04.000 And this is not a new phenomenon, by the way.
00:20:06.000 Check out this headline from Reuters in February of this last year: Rosie polls, but few yard signs.
00:20:12.000 How Joe Biden stumbled in Iowa.
00:20:14.000 You might remember that Joe Biden lost Iowa badly after billing himself as the most electable candidate.
00:20:20.000 And here's another from the Chico State University newspaper.
00:20:23.000 So where are the Biden bumper stickers?
00:20:26.000 This time, last presidential election, Hillary Clinton bumper stickers were all over cars in Chico.
00:20:31.000 The few Trump stickers were here and there, usually torn off.
00:20:34.000 But Biden Stein's stickers, not a chance.
00:20:37.000 This at the University in California.
00:20:39.000 There's questions about enthusiasm for Joe Biden, not good Joe.
00:20:42.000 And there was enthusiasm problems for Hillary.
00:20:44.000 There's definitely enthusiasm problems for Joe Biden.
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00:21:57.000 Number five is social media velocity.
00:22:01.000 I've come up with this term myself, and I think this is something we do not talk enough about.
00:22:05.000 Let's run through some of the social media comparisons between Biden and Trump.
00:22:09.000 On an average day, President Trump sends about 14 posts to 28 million Facebook followers on his campaign account.
00:22:17.000 Joe Biden delivers about half that many posts to an audience of about 2 million.
00:22:22.000 On Twitter, President Donald Trump has 85 million plus followers, and Joe Biden has about 9.1 million followers.
00:22:29.000 President Donald Trump and his campaign is outspending Biden on Google and YouTube of advertising of nearly 3 to 1.
00:22:36.000 On Instagram, President Trump has nearly 22 million followers.
00:22:40.000 Joe Biden has over 3 million, an over 7 to 1 difference.
00:22:46.000 Look at this headline from the New York Times that came out last week.
00:22:49.000 What if Facebook is the real silent majority?
00:22:53.000 Right-wing influencers are dominating the political discussions on Facebook, raising questions about whether it will translate into electoral success in November.
00:22:59.000 There is grassroots success, there is unbelievable grassroots support happening from the right, and it's outpacing the left in a huge way online.
00:23:07.000 The author of the article, Kevin Rose, ranks the top performing link posts by U.S. Facebook pages every 24 hours.
00:23:12.000 Check out the list from yesterday: Diamond and Silk, David J. Harris Jr., Breitbart, CNN, Ben Shapiro, For America, Dan Bongino, NPR, Huffington Post, and David J. Harris Jr.
00:23:22.000 Many of them are our friends.
00:23:24.000 Seven out of 10 of those are right-leaning, and that's just sharing of the links.
00:23:30.000 And that doesn't include viral content, videos, or posts.
00:23:34.000 The New York Times article ended with this.
00:23:36.000 Brad Parscale, the digital director of President Donald Trump's 2016 campaign, told 60 Minutes that of everything Mr. Trump did that year, the thing that actually moved the needle was Facebook.
00:23:46.000 Facebook was the method, Mr. Parscale said.
00:23:49.000 It was a highway which he drove his car on.
00:23:52.000 That highway is still open.
00:23:53.000 And right now, the fastest cars on it have MAGA bumper stickers.
00:23:58.000 Now, before we get into the sixth key that we have exclusively here on the Charlie Kirk show, and we have some tape to play for you here that show you exactly that, I'm going to be taking your questions here at the end of this program.
00:24:07.000 So just email us your questions, freedom at charliekirk.com, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:24:12.000 And if we select your question, you guys win a signed copy of the New York Times bestseller, the MAGA doctrine.
00:24:17.000 If we select your question, so email us right now, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:24:21.000 So here's something that I believe is not talked about enough.
00:24:24.000 Do the top three issues that are in the country correlate with the issues that you want to be talking about?
00:24:30.000 For President Trump, the top three issues are law and order, the economy, and preserving our culture and saving the country. 0.52
00:24:38.000 For Biden, it is BLM Incorporated, it is the virus, and it is the Democrat wish list. 0.54
00:24:46.000 Those are the top three.
00:24:47.000 But here's really what we're hearing out of Joe Biden, which is hating Donald Trump, weaponizing racial grievance, and the Chinese coronavirus.
00:24:56.000 Biden doesn't have issues that he's running on.
00:24:58.000 He doesn't.
00:24:59.000 And he's starting to just realize that it's hurting him.
00:25:02.000 Again, it took Don Lemon to raise the red flag on CNN for Joe Biden to realize that he's not having law and order as an issue is actually hurting him.
00:25:11.000 Play tape.
00:25:12.000 I do think that what you said was happening in Kenosha is a Rorschach test for the entire country.
00:25:20.000 And I think this is a blind spot for Democrats.
00:25:23.000 I think Democrats are ignoring this problem or hoping that it will go away.
00:25:27.000 And it's not going to go away.
00:25:29.000 And so, unless someone comes up with a solution over the next 73 days or 70-so, however many days, 68 days?
00:25:38.000 68 days.
00:25:39.000 So it's not going to, the problem is not going to be fixed by then.
00:25:43.000 But what they can do, and I think maybe Joe Biden may be afraid to do it.
00:25:49.000 I'm not sure.
00:25:50.000 Maybe he won't.
00:25:51.000 Maybe he is.
00:25:52.000 He's got to address it.
00:25:53.000 He's got to come out and talk about it.
00:25:57.000 And so Don Lemon here, playing political campaign manager for the entire Democrat Party publicly, basically was the shot in the dark where all of a sudden Democrats said, oh, yeah, you're right.
00:26:08.000 And next thing you know, Biden is traveling to Kenosha.
00:26:10.000 And all of a sudden, the peaceful protest went to actually all the destruction is Donald Trump's fault, like that.
00:26:16.000 He's also rolling out major national TV ads on this theme, part of the largest ever for his campaign, a $45 million ad spend to reestablish himself as the law and order candidate, which is just laughable.
00:26:28.000 And this is all because the Democrats called the riots and the arson and the terrorism peaceful protests throughout the entire months of July and August.
00:26:38.000 Number seven, incumbent.
00:26:40.000 If you're an incumbent, you're very hard to beat.
00:26:44.000 This is historically an insurmountable advantage.
00:26:47.000 There's only been two incumbents that have lost since 1980, and that is Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush, both for different reasons.
00:26:55.000 The one that really lost as a true incumbent would be Jimmy Carter.
00:26:59.000 George H.W. Bush was, of course, an incumbent, but there were two extenuating circumstances.
00:27:03.000 He was an incumbent after serving as eight years as vice president.
00:27:07.000 So people were just ready for a party switch.
00:27:10.000 And also, Ross Perot really chiseled a lot of votes away from George H.W. Bush running for re-election in 1992.
00:27:18.000 Trump is able to use his incumbency to his political advantage, perhaps better than almost anyone else, I think, in the modern political era.
00:27:27.000 Example, have his RNC renomination speech on the White House lawn, pardoning someone during the RNC and doing a naturalization ceremony from the White House, holding campaign rallies in front of Air Force One, securing once-in-a-generation peace deals in the Oval Office while Joe Biden is in his basement, holding his press conference from the James Brady briefing room in the White House.
00:27:47.000 And like I said earlier, the president has access to narrative-setting message.
00:27:51.000 So, because of this, President Donald Trump is able to actually do things, not just talk about things.
00:27:56.000 Vice President Biden is unable to do things.
00:27:59.000 So, there are three ways to grade candidates: there's what you did, what you're doing, what you're going to do.
00:28:04.000 Only an incumbent is able to actually play in that middle bracket, that second bucket.
00:28:08.000 Joe Biden can't actually talk about what he's doing because he's a challenger.
00:28:12.000 That's why beating an incumbent is so hard because you're able to say, Here's what I did, here's what I'm doing, what here's what I'm going to do.
00:28:18.000 Where Joe Biden can only say, Here's what I did, here's what I'm going to do.
00:28:21.000 And what he did actually contradicts what he wants is going to do.
00:28:24.000 And actually, he didn't do anything except bad things, and no one actually believes what he's going to do.
00:28:28.000 So, every day, President Donald Trump can actually use the office of the presidency to build goodwill amongst the American population.
00:28:35.000 He can use the office of the presidency to actually build coalitions of political support.
00:28:40.000 He can use the office of the presidency to be able to broaden his appeal to likely voters.
00:28:47.000 He could take advantage of traveling around the country.
00:28:51.000 He could take advantage of the fact that he has taxpayer-funded travel.
00:28:57.000 And some people say, Well, that's not right.
00:28:58.000 Well, every incumbent president has this.
00:29:00.000 You have the biggest plane, you got Secret Service protection, and you could go do official visits, and people might interpret it politically.
00:29:07.000 You also take advantage of the fact that the Dow hit 29,000 points today and take credit for it.
00:29:12.000 So, any good thing that happens in the country, an incumbent can take credit for it.
00:29:15.000 The challenge is when things aren't going well, you have to take responsibility for it.
00:29:19.000 Key number eight on how to predict a president: more campaign stops.
00:29:23.000 No one talks about this, very few people do.
00:29:25.000 I believe whoever does more campaign stops generally wins.
00:29:29.000 This is obvious that Trump is winning here.
00:29:31.000 He did more campaign stops than Hillary.
00:29:33.000 In fact, it was four to one.
00:29:35.000 While Joe Biden was in Wilmington, Delaware today, in his basement, Donald Trump was in Wilmington, North Carolina, campaigning.
00:29:41.000 President Donald Trump did five different campaign stops while Joe Biden avoided his own convention.
00:29:46.000 Joe Biden is literally playing follow the leader right now.
00:29:50.000 After the DNC, while pundits did a victory lap on his failing convention, Joe Biden released a statement saying he was content to stay in his basement for the rest of the campaign and not have any stops.
00:30:02.000 Now, after seeing the incredible and monumental success of the RNC and the optics, all of a sudden Joe Biden is now emerging from his basement.
00:30:10.000 Here's the brilliance of what President Donald Trump was able to do by having multiple campaign stops and actually campaigning around the country and communicating to voters: he actually forced a campaign.
00:30:21.000 What was once a referendum on President Donald Trump is now Biden versus Trump.
00:30:26.000 That's a completely different landscape politically to be playing on.
00:30:31.000 So, Joe Biden is visiting Wisconsin tomorrow for the first time in three years.
00:30:36.000 Here's a very simple question: Why is Joe Biden able to visit Kenosha tomorrow, but he wasn't able to do his Democrat convention in Wisconsin two weeks ago?
00:30:45.000 What's different?
00:30:46.000 The difference is the poll numbers.
00:30:48.000 It's not the virus, which you might say, well, that's a serious question that Joe Biden should have to ask from reporters.
00:30:53.000 Say, well, welcome to Kenosha.
00:30:54.000 Why are you here now?
00:30:55.000 Why didn't you come to your convention two weeks ago?
00:30:58.000 Why didn't you actually come to your nominating convention?
00:31:00.000 The reason is that the polls are tightening and he knows it, and the enthusiasm is on President Donald Trump's side, and they're freaking out in the Biden campaign.
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00:32:27.000 Key number nine on how to accurately predict a presidential winner.
00:32:32.000 I have a theory that the more exciting candidate wins, then actually the boring candidate traditionally loses.
00:32:38.000 Let's actually work backwards.
00:32:40.000 President Obama was way more exciting than Mitt Romney and John McCain in 2012 and 2008.
00:32:45.000 George W. Bush was far more exciting than John Kerry in 2004 and Al Gore in 2000.
00:32:51.000 Bill Clinton was way more exciting in 96 and way more exciting in 92.
00:32:55.000 Ronald Reagan was far more exciting in 84 and in 1980.
00:32:59.000 I can go backwards in time.
00:33:00.000 In the 1960 election of Richard Nixon versus JFK, JFK was way more exciting than Richard Nixon, far more exciting.
00:33:07.000 So Richard Nixon did eventually win the presidency in 1968.
00:33:11.000 Do you know why Richard Nixon actually ended up winning the presidency in 1968?
00:33:16.000 Because of the riots.
00:33:17.000 There's a huge issue in the country in 1968 with social unrest.
00:33:22.000 Richard Nixon was actually former vice president under Dwight D. Eisenhower and former governor of California.
00:33:31.000 Richard Nixon was a power-hungry politician, won in 1968, won even more convincingly in 1972.
00:33:38.000 His vice president, Spiro Agnew, resigned.
00:33:42.000 Gerald Ford, who I believe was majority leader at the time, is that right?
00:33:45.000 I think he was Speaker of the House.
00:33:47.000 Minority leader, not majority leader.
00:33:48.000 He was minority leader, ended up becoming vice president of the United States.
00:33:52.000 And then Richard Nixon resigned, and then Gerald Ford ended up becoming the only unelected president in American history.
00:33:59.000 And do you know who the chief of staff to Gerald Ford was?
00:34:03.000 Dick Cheney.
00:34:05.000 It's an interesting little factoid.
00:34:07.000 And then in 1976, actually, Ronald Reagan challenged Jerry Ford to the nomination in 1976 unsuccessfully.
00:34:16.000 And then Ronald Reagan won the nomination in 1980 and beat Jeremy Carter, the incumbent.
00:34:23.000 And this also applies to primaries, but we're not going to get too much into this.
00:34:27.000 JFK beat Lyndon Baines Johnson in the 1960 primary.
00:34:30.000 We can go into that, but I don't want to get too much into primaries.
00:34:32.000 But the exciting candidate usually wins.
00:34:35.000 Donald Trump is far more exciting than Joe Biden, let me tell you that.
00:34:37.000 Far more interesting.
00:34:38.000 Number 10 key, and please email us your questions: freedom at charliekirk.com, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:34:44.000 And if I select your question, you guys win a signed copy of the MAGA doctrine.
00:34:49.000 Number 10, be on the right side of the unexpected.
00:34:53.000 This is an easy way of saying it's better to be lucky than good.
00:34:57.000 Almost always there's an October surprise.
00:34:59.000 Be on the right side of that October surprise.
00:35:02.000 Whatever that might be.
00:35:03.000 Right now, President Donald Trump was right on the July and August surprise, which was the endless riots on the streets of America.
00:35:09.000 It wasn't unexpected to me.
00:35:10.000 I know the right.
00:35:11.000 I know the base of the Democrat Party.
00:35:14.000 I know the base of the arsonist left. 0.74
00:35:17.000 So whatever ends up happening in the month of October, it might be a foreign conflict. 0.90
00:35:23.000 I don't even want to speculate what it is because it's probably going to be a tragedy.
00:35:26.000 If President Donald Trump is on the right side of that surprise, he will see the polling reflect that.
00:35:32.000 You want to be on the correct side of the unexpected story.
00:35:36.000 Biden, for a couple months, was on the right side of the virus and the lockdown story.
00:35:40.000 So you put all those 10 things together.
00:35:42.000 Right side of the unexpected story, the more exciting candidate, more campaign stops, the incumbency advantage, the top three issues, and how do they line up with what the people want and the stances that people are taking.
00:35:54.000 Social media velocity, which very few people talk about.
00:35:58.000 And of course, which we talk about, yard signs matter and branding matters, organic branding really, really matters.
00:36:05.000 Grassroots energy and volunteers.
00:36:07.000 Who has more volunteers?
00:36:08.000 Who has new people showing up in the streets and knocking on doors?
00:36:11.000 Enthusiasm.
00:36:12.000 And finally, of course, the trends.
00:36:14.000 Trends do matter and things can get very hot in the last 20 days of a campaign.
00:36:19.000 Remember that.
00:36:20.000 Things can change all suddenly as soon as people see the two candidates juxtaposed.
00:36:24.000 Now, you might see, well, Charlie, debates aren't on there.
00:36:26.000 I think debates do matter.
00:36:28.000 I would have had a longer list of this.
00:36:29.000 I am a believer that debates actually do move public opinion and people watch them.
00:36:33.000 And I think these are going to be some of the most watched debates ever in the history of American politics.
00:36:38.000 But before I get to that, here's what I actually think President Donald Trump has to pivot on.
00:36:42.000 And usually pivot is a bad term.
00:36:44.000 I think that President Donald Trump has to have the next chess move.
00:36:49.000 I think President Trump can checkmate Joe Biden after Joe Biden fell into the riots and arson trap by doing nothing for six weeks.
00:36:56.000 Now Joe Biden's like, no, no, I'm actually the law and order candidate.
00:36:59.000 Now here's what President Trump has to do.
00:37:01.000 Call Joe Biden what he is.
00:37:03.000 Lockdown Biden.
00:37:05.000 The lockdowns are the next big issue that no one is talking about.
00:37:08.000 You can see this in the moral outrage that Democrats have in San Francisco of Nancy Pelosi walking into the hair salon.
00:37:14.000 She said she was set up, even though the evidence shows it was not a setup at all whatsoever.
00:37:21.000 Lockdown Biden will lose the election.
00:37:23.000 If Joe Biden's on the side of arson and rioting and looters, out of the swing voters remaining in America, they want the economy reopened.
00:37:31.000 They want their lives back.
00:37:33.000 And by the way, if Nancy Pelosi can go to a hair salon, we can vote in person. 0.93
00:37:39.000 I was the first person to tweet that, by the way.
00:37:41.000 Everyone's been repeating over the last 24 hours.
00:37:43.000 Just got to have a little bit of a copy right here.
00:37:45.000 And by the way, I don't mind.
00:37:46.000 It's open source.
00:37:47.000 As long as it's a good take, I don't mind if anyone says it.
00:37:50.000 Let's get to some of your questions.
00:37:51.000 Freedom at CharlieKirk.com, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:37:56.000 Hello, my name is Susan.
00:37:58.000 Hi, Susan.
00:37:59.000 And my question is, what happens in the event Donald Trump wins, but Biden does not concede?
00:38:02.000 It doesn't matter.
00:38:03.000 Does not take a concession.
00:38:04.000 The Electoral College will elect President Donald Trump.
00:38:07.000 They're going to go to the streets, try to get violent.
00:38:08.000 This is why President Donald Trump needs to understand the channels of communication to be able to mobilize the National Guard.
00:38:14.000 Susan, you went a signed copy of the New York Times bestseller of the MAGA doctrine.
00:38:18.000 Send me your questions, everybody.
00:38:20.000 What is the best response as a black man to my black peers when they ask me what is President Trump's black agenda?
00:38:25.000 Huge Trump supporter.
00:38:25.000 Please help.
00:38:26.000 Try to convince black people he's the guy for 2020.
00:38:29.000 Number one, he stands for educational choice.
00:38:31.000 He believes that all Americans, including minority and black Americans, should have the freedom to be able to send your kid to a better school if you currently go to a failing school.
00:38:41.000 This issue disproportionately affects black America.
00:38:44.000 That's number one.
00:38:44.000 Number two, President Donald Trump delivered more results for the black community than Democrats ever have, despite not getting political votes or support from the black community.
00:38:52.000 He went out of his way to go deliver results to a community that has insulted him, scorned him, persecuted him, went up against him.
00:38:59.000 Why did President Trump do that?
00:39:00.000 Because President Donald Trump is a president for all Americans, not just a select few, not just the elites.
00:39:07.000 If you want law and order, if you want the arson and the crime to stop, President Donald Trump is your guy.
00:39:11.000 If you want jobs and manufacturing to come back to this country, President Donald Trump is your guy.
00:39:15.000 The black agenda for Donald Trump is very simple. 0.98
00:39:18.000 I'm going to restrict immigration and get more black people in the workforce. 1.00
00:39:21.000 I'm going to make America the drugstore of the world. 1.00
00:39:23.000 We're going to make vitamin C, penicillin, Advil, and essential pharmaceuticals again in our country here.
00:39:28.000 We're going to employ black America and all Americans to help do that. 0.84
00:39:31.000 I'm going to get the criminals and the thugs and the vigilantes that are on the streets of inner city black America in prison and make sure that they don't have same-day bail for first-degree murder like they do in the streets of Chicago. 0.50
00:39:44.000 President Donald Trump's black agenda is also about educational choice and family formation. 0.81
00:39:50.000 The Democrats have had 45 years of absolute and total political monopoly, total political control. 0.68
00:39:59.000 Explain to me why any Democrat and why any black person would go vote for a Democrat right now.
00:40:07.000 I can't see a reason. 1.00
00:40:08.000 They've destroyed Chicago.
00:40:09.000 They destroy Atlanta.
00:40:10.000 They destroy Philadelphia.
00:40:11.000 They destroyed Detroit.
00:40:13.000 They're destroying New York City right now.
00:40:15.000 And one of the unspoken stories happening in America is the death of New York City.
00:40:19.000 New York City is crumbling before us right now.
00:40:22.000 And Mayor Bill de Blasio is keeping restaurants shut down.
00:40:25.000 He is keeping schools closed.
00:40:27.000 It is the crushing of a once great American city, all because of Democrats.
00:40:33.000 And thanks for your question, Brian G. You win a signed copy of the New York Times bestseller of the MAGA Doctrine.
00:40:37.000 Here's the next question.
00:40:37.000 Hi, Charlie.
00:40:38.000 My question is this.
00:40:39.000 Why are the Democrats and media saying all the troubles are happening under President Donald Trump?
00:40:43.000 But it's in Democrat-run cities and states.
00:40:44.000 I just went through this.
00:40:45.000 Lastly, why won't they denounce BLM Antifa for what they're doing?
00:40:48.000 Thanks, Kenny.
00:40:49.000 Well, Kenny, you win a signed copy of the MAGA doctrine.
00:40:51.000 Make sure you email me to redeem it.
00:40:52.000 And by the way, again, we are sending out 10 signed copies of the MAGA Doctrine to anyone who subscribes to us.
00:40:56.000 If you're watching on Facebook, there's that link right now.
00:40:58.000 Just press that subscribe button.
00:41:00.000 Press that button.
00:41:01.000 It opens up on your phone.
00:41:02.000 Press that subscribe button.
00:41:03.000 Email us, freedom at charliekirk.com, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:41:06.000 And if you want to contact us, all the emails I glance at, I take an eye of eyes at freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:41:11.000 Question, comments, feedback, you name it, freedom at charliekirk.com, freedom at charliekirk.com. 0.82
00:41:16.000 Kenny, to answer the question, look, the base of the Democrat Party is BLM Incorporated.
00:41:21.000 The base is Antifa. 0.90
00:41:22.000 The base is lawlessness, and the base is arson.
00:41:24.000 They don't want to offend their base.
00:41:25.000 Our base are normal, decent, reasonable people.
00:41:28.000 And so we don't want to lose votes.
00:41:30.000 But by just doing what we believe in and not defecting against our voters, we don't lose votes.
00:41:35.000 And so BLM and Antifa, they are the enforcement wing of the Democrat Party.
00:41:39.000 Antifa is the paramilitary arm of the Democrat Party.
00:41:42.000 They just are.
00:41:42.000 It is the unspoken rule that if you do not elect Joe Biden, we are going to go to the streets.
00:41:47.000 This is Joe Biden's form of a hostage situation in our country, basically saying if you do not support us, we are going to continue this political extortion and this political attack in the streets.
00:41:59.000 And this is one of the most evil things you can possibly do to tell a society that it is going to continue to burn unless you give us power.
00:42:08.000 It is no different than waterboarding an entire society.
00:42:11.000 And Joe Biden basically says, you elect me, don't worry, I'll get these protests over with.
00:42:16.000 And some people are actually, and by the way, we got a great email the other day.
00:42:21.000 I don't know who sent it.
00:42:21.000 Maybe you're watching right now.
00:42:22.000 It was a phenomenal email.
00:42:23.000 I completely forgot about it.
00:42:24.000 I forgot about the name, not forgot about what he said, where he said something really honest, where he said, Charlie, I think they're right when they say the riots are going to stop if Joe Biden wins.
00:42:33.000 I actually agree with that.
00:42:34.000 I think the riots will stop if Joe Biden wins.
00:42:36.000 I think that's exactly the point, is that what they're saying is actually true, is that this is not actually a baseless extortion attempt, that they will turn off the riot switch if they win.
00:42:47.000 Next question here.
00:42:51.000 We get a lot of mail-in voting questions, by the way.
00:42:53.000 We have a great podcast with Tom Fitton coming up that will answer all of your mail-in questions.
00:42:57.000 Email us right now, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:43:00.000 What do you do when you're surrounded by liberals?
00:43:02.000 You mentioned yard signs and bumper stickers.
00:43:03.000 What advice do you have for someone that cannot share their views?
00:43:06.000 I've already had a gast and flag cut down for my flagpole. 0.98
00:43:09.000 Look, I do not envy you.
00:43:10.000 One of the greatest blessings that God has given me, I can speak my mind every single day.
00:43:14.000 I can say what I believe.
00:43:15.000 I can do it publicly.
00:43:16.000 I can inspire other people.
00:43:17.000 My best opinion is this, Jesse, and thank you for that question.
00:43:20.000 And I hope that you don't get doxxed because you just got your question answered here on the Charlie Kirk show.
00:43:24.000 You get a signed copy of the MAGA doctrine.
00:43:26.000 Speak as loudly and confidently as you can to voice truth without compromising the safety of your family.
00:43:32.000 I totally get it that if you're in downtown Portland or if you're in New York City, you cannot wave a Trump flag.
00:43:36.000 I get it.
00:43:37.000 However, that just kind of shows the tyranny that exists in our country.
00:43:41.000 It is a soft form of tyranny.
00:43:43.000 Hi, Charlie.
00:43:43.000 I'm sure reparations will be a question for the debates.
00:43:46.000 If so, how does President Donald Trump answer David B.
00:43:51.000 It's a great question, David?
00:43:53.000 In fact, I might actually tell the president this in my next conversation with him.
00:43:57.000 I'm actually coming up with a debate prep document for the president of five trap questions I think they're going to pin on him and how I would answer it if I were to believe that, you know, it would actually, you know, the president's amazing and we have a great relationship.
00:44:08.000 So here's how I'd answer this: President Donald Trump said, Hey, look, I'm not a big fan of reparations and blaming people based on things they didn't do.
00:44:16.000 But if the Democrat Party is so focused on reparations, let's start with the history of their party.
00:44:22.000 Why doesn't the Democrat Party pay the reparations?
00:44:25.000 Opposing the 13th, 14th, and 15th Amendment, the Democrat Party owned the slaves. 0.79
00:44:29.000 The Democrat Party is the party of KKK. 0.70
00:44:31.000 The Democrat Party is the party of racism.
00:44:33.000 Why doesn't Joe Biden pay reparations for being best friends with bitter segregationists?
00:44:37.000 Why doesn't Joe Biden, if he can remember, because he doesn't have a great memory, why doesn't he ask his vice presidential nominee, his best friend, Senator Harris, his new best friend, former enemy, what she thought of his busing strategy when that little girl was her, when she had to actually get bust.
00:44:53.000 Why doesn't Joe Biden, here's an idea.
00:44:55.000 Why doesn't Hunter Biden, because he has all the money because he sold us out to China, pay the reparations that the Democrat Party should pay?
00:45:02.000 We, as the Republicans, have nothing to apologize for.
00:45:04.000 We're the party that freed the slaves, passed the 13th, 14th, 15th Amendment, women's suffrage.
00:45:08.000 We're the party of the Civil Rights Act, black liberation.
00:45:10.000 We don't care about the color of the skin.
00:45:12.000 We care about your values.
00:45:13.000 So if you guys want to have reparations, I'm not paying it.
00:45:15.000 Republican Party's not paying it.
00:45:17.000 The Democrat Party should pay it.
00:45:19.000 That's how President Donald Trump should answer a question.
00:45:21.000 What reparations?
00:45:22.000 In the upcoming debate.
00:45:24.000 Next question.
00:45:25.000 Hey, Charlie, huge fan for all you do.
00:45:26.000 Do you think Donald Trump can win Maine in 2020?
00:45:29.000 Yes, I love Maine.
00:45:30.000 Maine is one of my favorite states in the entire country.
00:45:33.000 I love all states equally, unless you're from New York.
00:45:36.000 Kidding?
00:45:36.000 Ha ha.
00:45:38.000 But I love Maine.
00:45:39.000 Some of the toughest people in the country, some of the best, most ethical people, and the least appreciated people, and they're good lobstermen.
00:45:47.000 I love the state of Maine.
00:45:49.000 I really do.
00:45:50.000 And I think Donald Trump can definitely win the second congressional district in Maine, and I think he can win all of Maine.
00:45:56.000 Please keep your questions coming.
00:45:57.000 Freedom at CharlieKirk.com, Freedom at CharlieKirk.com.
00:46:00.000 Here's one from Carl.
00:46:03.000 We got a lot of questions from people named Carl.
00:46:05.000 Hey, Charlie, what do you think will happen in the vice presidential debates?
00:46:08.000 Thanks so much.
00:46:08.000 Well, Carl, you won a signed copy of the New York Times bestseller, the MAGA Doctrine.
00:46:12.000 The VP debates are actually going to be some of the most important vice presidential debates in American history.
00:46:16.000 Mike Pence versus Kamala Harris.
00:46:19.000 Senator Harris is actually going to be kind of running as a co-president.
00:46:22.000 It's not just a traditional vice presidential debate.
00:46:25.000 This is going to be more important than ever before.
00:46:27.000 And I think Mike Pence, some people call him the silver fox, is going to do very, very well.
00:46:32.000 Mike Pence has been phenomenal lately.
00:46:33.000 He was great on Fox News.
00:46:34.000 I think the more Mike Pence, the better.
00:46:36.000 I think Mike Pence needs to be deployed to congressional districts all across the country, these swing areas, these counties that really make a difference.
00:46:43.000 Hey, guys, I encourage you to get involved with TurningPointUSA, tpusa.com.
00:46:47.000 Check out our website.
00:46:48.000 Get involved for the fight for freedom and liberty at tpusa.com, tpusa.com.
00:46:52.000 Email us your questions, as always, at freedom at charliekirk.com, freedometchlarlikirk.com, and consider supporting us.
00:46:57.000 We are doing two podcasts a day.
00:46:59.000 I'm traveling in the country.
00:47:00.000 We have the best production team you could possibly imagine, the best fact-finding team.
00:47:04.000 We are finding the stories that matter.
00:47:06.000 We're explaining the issues.
00:47:07.000 We go a level deeper.
00:47:08.000 We give you the history and the philosophy, and we give you an analysis.
00:47:12.000 These 10 things can predict a winner.
00:47:14.000 In fact, they're original here on the Charlie Kirk show.
00:47:16.000 They always work for me.
00:47:19.000 Never let me down.
00:47:20.000 I bet you guys can find who's going to win this race based on these 10 things.
00:47:23.000 And I think the harder we work, the more we volunteer, the more we're involved, things are constantly moving.
00:47:29.000 It is not a snapshot in time.
00:47:32.000 It is instead a motion picture all happening in front of us.
00:47:35.000 Consider supporting us, charliekirk.com/slash support.
00:47:38.000 Email me as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:47:40.000 Thank you guys so much for watching.
00:47:42.000 See you soon.