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00:00:21.000We're talking about how the grassroots is overwhelming the system.
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00:01:35.000Last evening, we had a spectacular event with the next governor of Arizona, God willing, it sure looks like it's going to be trending that way.
00:02:11.000They've tried, but there is something that shows the long-term viability, the long-term health of the conservative movement that is unlike anything we've seen over the last decade.
00:02:23.000You see, the conservative movement, America First, MAGA, Populist, Parents' Party, pro-freedom, pro-liberty, whatever label you want to put on it, we had a choice.
00:02:34.000We had a choice post-January 6th when every major corporation came after us, when the government decided to go after moms and dads that show up at school board meetings.
00:02:44.000We had a choice when all of a sudden we had our backs against the wall.
00:02:55.000It will go down in history as one of the best things ever to happen to the Republican Party was corporations going woke.
00:03:04.000Now, corporations going woke created a baseline where all of a sudden the Democrats were able to get unlimited amounts of money with very little effort.
00:03:16.000Democrats were able to get money from Coca-Cola and Goldman Sachs and Boeing and all these major corporations, where Republicans usually used to enjoy support from these companies.
00:03:27.000Coca-Cola said that whiteness is a plague on society.
00:03:30.000Major corporations are saying men can become pregnant, and Republicans wanted nothing to do with it.
00:03:35.000And so Republicans had to decide what kind of party we wanted to be.
00:03:40.000And in the primaries across the country the last 12 months, we saw a decisive, overwhelming message be sent that we want candidates that are courageous and bold, that are charismatic and talented, that are not politicians.
00:04:21.000That's rather remarkable when you think about it.
00:04:24.000In the key states, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona, where our grassroots were encouraged and interested by people that had never served in elected office before.
00:04:37.000And we see that now happening and developing.
00:04:39.000And the Democrats, they're very fragile in the way they handle their candidates.
00:05:07.000And so our candidates, especially over the summer, faced a mountain, a deluge, a blitzkrieg of money from the Democrats, from the oligarchs, in a way that we've never seen before.
00:05:23.000In Georgia, Raphael Warnock has outspent Herschel Walker $76 million to $32 million.
00:05:31.000In Pennsylvania, Fetterman has spent $52 million to Oz's $38 million.
00:05:36.000In Arizona, Arizona, which is now a tied Senate race, Democrat Mark Kelly has outspent Blake Masters $73 million to Blake Masters' $9 million.
00:05:49.000Now, I remember a time when Republicans used to be outspending most Democrats, and we recall they threat to democracy.
00:07:28.000What we are seeing is that you can't outspend the grassroots.
00:07:34.000You cannot pummel people into oblivion just because of television advertisements.
00:07:38.000It is becoming less and less important.
00:07:43.000It is becoming less and less critical to just be able to spend television advertisements or radio advertisements.
00:07:51.000No, it's now about the people And the American people, the grassroots, you are rising up in such record numbers.
00:08:00.000And you are going to see the 2022 midterms will be the year, and the media will not tell this story at all that the grassroots overcame the oligarchs.
00:08:09.000Not one of these races is a Republican outspending a Democrat.
00:08:14.000The only one that is close, that is even close to even, is Ron Johnson in Wisconsin.
00:08:20.000Now, one of the reasons why Democrats are able to raise so much money and spend so much money is because Democrats are not a religious people.
00:08:31.000And so they look at their tithes and their offerings as if you and I would give to charity or church to go give to political candidates.
00:08:39.000You see, there's a bunch of techies that work for Microsoft or Dropbox, that work for Salesforce, that work for Google, that work for Facebook.
00:08:49.000Hundreds of thousands of these hyper-educated, well-paid, very atheistic, secular people that get bombarded with these requests for donations.
00:09:01.000I'm earning $400,000 a year to program code for Facebook.
00:09:07.000I can afford $1,000 a month split between Mark Kelly and all these people.
00:09:12.000And that's a huge portion of the donations that Democrats get is from these pockets of suburban Seattle and in Silicon Valley and in the suburbs of Washington, D.C. You see, the Democrats are increasingly the party of the hyper-educated white woke liberals.
00:10:50.000Completely focused on honesty and education.
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00:11:42.000Boy, despite this onslaught of advertisement, you have to wonder how would Republicans be doing if there was parody on television.
00:11:53.000I mean, in New Hampshire, Maggie Hassen has spent $36 million to Don Bulldick's $2 million, and he's up a point in the polls.
00:12:02.000And one of the reasons this has happened is because every major power center, every major kind of opinion-shaping institution, kind of any place that there are elites in America, have gone completely off the rails in the direction of the woke, of the postmodern, of the deconstructionalist, of the post-structuralist.
00:12:23.000Warnock outspending Walker, $76 million to $32 million.
00:12:31.000It really is a testament to these candidates of how hard they've campaigned, how they've been on message.
00:12:37.000It is important for us to acknowledge that for the foreseeable future, Republicans will be outspent in almost every single race across the country for the next decade.
00:12:48.000There is a price of becoming the muscular class party.
00:12:52.000There is a price of becoming the party of the plumber, the electrician.
00:12:56.000And the price is that when inflation comes your way, it's really hard to finance campaigns.
00:13:02.000People have less discretionary, or you should say disposable income to be able to spend on these things because they're getting crushed by all these policies.
00:13:11.000Yet the oligarchs are doing just fine.
00:13:13.000They have more money to spend than ever before.
00:13:15.000Laxalt, up five in the latest Nevada Emerson poll.
00:13:49.000She's a terrible candidate, awful senator.
00:13:52.000Pennsylvania morning call poll shows that Oz and Fetterman are tied.
00:13:58.000Now, you have to understand that the Democrats have a money printing machine called Act Blue.
00:14:03.000They're able to bring in hundreds of millions of dollars almost on demand, billions of dollars through these creative fundraising mechanisms.
00:14:12.000Now, the tech companies do not censor any of the advertisements or any of the solicitations from the major Democrat company or the major Democrat campaigns.
00:14:21.000They do that for Republicans all the time.
00:14:23.000They do that for Republicans all the time.
00:14:26.000It's very hard for Republicans to be able to raise money.
00:14:30.000But this is an extraordinary thing that we're witnessing, everybody, is that the media has clamped down on us.
00:14:50.000The New York Times writes, even in Georgia and Nevada, perhaps the two states where Republicans have the best chance to flip Democrat seats, Democrat incumbents are overwhelming their GOP challengers with money.
00:15:02.000From the week of August 14th to the week of Democrat, November 6th, Raphael Warnock in Georgia had over $30 million in television ads, while Herschel Walker had only $7.8 million.
00:15:12.000Cortez Masto, Democrat of Nevada, had over $16 million in television, while her Republican opponent had only $6 million.
00:15:19.000In Arizona, Mark Kelly raised $5.7 million from 170,000 donations in Act Blue in August.
00:15:27.000Again, these are secular, non-religious people that look at donating to campaigns as an act of service to some sort of divine loyalty.
00:16:34.000The strength of a movement is the ability to be durable and have perseverance and to be able to withstand a deluge of capital and resources against you.
00:21:09.000Scottsdale, traditionally, that has been one of the most conservative areas of the valley.
00:21:14.000Yeah, and Cave Creek is, I mean, it's 90% conservative.
00:21:16.000Cave Creek, you know, I mean, Fountain Hills covers Fountain Hills, which is extraordinarily, so having a Democrat represent there would be awful.
00:21:25.000And that's why we've absolutely got to get the vote out and show up at the polls on election day.
00:21:42.000And Greg Stanton, who's the former mayor of Phoenix, who's currently a congressman, is an incumbent congressman, is running against a newcomer, Kelly Cooper, who actually lives in the district.
00:21:52.000Mayor Stanton, former Mayor Stanton, does not live in the district.
00:21:55.000He lives all the way up in North Phoenix somewhere.
00:23:10.000You and I were tweeting and saying things publicly and trying to get their attention that Arizona early balloting returns were troubling and concerning and they weren't the way they should be.
00:23:18.000But you actually feel pretty good about things.
00:23:47.000So basically, what happened over the last 15 years, Arizona has really turned into a vote-by-mail state where about 80% of the votes are cast by mail.
00:24:39.000There's a lot of crazy left-wing independents, too.
00:24:41.000And a lot of that is because of motor voter types activity where it's you show up, you get your driver's license, and then they force you to register.
00:24:48.000So a lot of people go, I don't love the Republican Party.
00:24:50.000I don't love the Democrat and they become an independent.
00:25:00.000Republicans are actually trending to slightly ahead in new voters than Democrats right now in Arizona, which is a really good sign because that's right now, kind of how we define that is votes that we don't expect to get, we're actually winning that pool right now in early ballots.
00:25:14.000So statewide, how far down are Republicans currently in the early balloting returns, independents aside?
00:25:20.000So we're about 5% behind the Democrats, which is really good, considering we expect there to be like a 25, 30% minimum baseline of our votes to show up on election day.
00:25:31.000So this is my biggest concern is that a lot of people, I hear a lot of people on the street going like, oh, Kerry Lake's got this in the bag.
00:25:38.000Guys, nothing's in the bag until everyone shows up to vote on Election Day.
00:25:42.000And more importantly, it's really good to remember that the race is extraordinarily close between Blake Masters and Mark Kelly.
00:25:49.000And so every vote, you have to assume that every vote's going to count.
00:25:53.000And I'll remind everybody of the race that Andy Biggs ran in a primary a few years ago.
00:26:00.000He won by less votes that are in his immediate family.
00:26:53.000I remember on election day in 2020, when all the maniacs were having drinking champagne in the Trump campaign and they couldn't be bothered because they thought everything was going to be fine.
00:27:02.000He said, hey, there's a ton of shenanigans going on.
00:27:04.000There's a lot of problems at these precincts.
00:27:06.000There's a lot of mail and ballot problems and people are not showing up the way.
00:27:09.000You saw it happening on election day, right?
00:27:12.000And so the big fear, I guess, Tyler, is people stay at home.
00:27:15.000If we stay at home, if we have a 5% drop in expected turnout, we could lose this.
00:27:20.000So the conventional wisdom is that if the Democrats can identify how many votes they need to get on Election Day, they're going to dump as much money as they need to in the state to go out and chase those ballots down.
00:27:32.000So this is why early voting is stupid and why everyone should try to vote on election day.
00:27:40.000Is that if you can tell, if you tell the Democrats, hey, their deficit, you're down 50,000 votes, they're going to dump, they can pour in $2 million in bodies to show up and go track down those ballots and those people who haven't voted the day of and try to make up that debt out of it.
00:28:00.000So basically, you're broadcasting the Delta.
00:28:24.000And, you know, we've heard in other states, they want people to be able to vote online and vote like 10 days after the election.
00:28:29.000And I mean, this is this is this is why they want to do that because they figure out ahead of the election, oh, we're down this many votes.
00:28:37.000We need to go track down this many votes.
00:28:40.000But I, I mean, last night we had an amazing, you know, we didn't do it.
00:28:43.000I showed up and I was a guest at Carrie Lake's event in Chandler and there was like 1,300 people and I asked who here plans to vote on election?
00:28:56.000So the Democrats are really nervous right now in a lot of states, not just Arizona, that they, they have awoken a beast that they're never going to be able to contain again, which they have, which is that people are going to culturally return to voting on election day.
00:29:13.000They can't anticipate to figure out the way to bend the rules in order to catch the Republicans on election day.
00:29:19.000And that's, that's the baseline for it.
00:29:21.000And look, that's, that is really, I mean, this is at the end of the day, you, when you realize that it's become an enterprise for Democrats to control, it's a business for them to return, return votes.
00:29:33.000That's different than anything we've ever seen historically in recent history.
00:29:37.000And this is a post-Obama era change, really, with our voting procedure.
00:31:11.000It doesn't matter what's happening around you.
00:31:12.000Show up and do your constitutional duty and vote.
00:31:15.000And you're, you know, support the individuals that we need to make sure, you know, accurately represent you, your belief system, your core belief system.
00:31:26.000And this is why Arizona and Wisconsin are so important.
00:31:29.000And I want to mention this real quickly.
00:31:31.000Wisconsin is in a really important space like Arizona.
00:31:37.000Because I want to break down the numbers real quick, real quickly again.
00:31:40.000Depending upon which way Pennsylvania goes in 2024, Arizona and Wisconsin will become like there will be hundreds of millions of dollars spent here there.
00:31:51.000And so Derek Van Orton is running in Wisconsin 3.
00:35:15.000You can go there, tbaction.com/slash events, and you can see every door knocking opportunity, plus the Ron DeSantis events that we have in Florida to support him happening this weekend and Monday.