The Charlie Kirk Show - 2022—The Year the Grassroots Fought Back

00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody.

00:00:00.000 Today in the Charlie Kirk show, we go around the horn of the midterms.

00:00:03.000 The grassroots are overwhelming the oligarchy.

00:00:06.000 And then Tyler Boyer from TurningPoint Action, tpaction.com.

00:00:10.000 You should check it out.

00:00:11.000 It's the social welfare political arm, as well as Turning Point Pack, tppac.com, that does the amazing work, knocking on doors, mobilizing voters, doing some amazing things.

00:00:21.000 We're talking about how the grassroots is overwhelming the system.

00:00:25.000 And we're doing a lot at Turning Point Action to get out the vote.

00:00:27.000 And you should join us.

00:00:29.000 Get everyone you know to vote, vote, vote.

00:00:32.000 So incredibly important.

00:00:33.000 No cynicism, no apathy allowed.

00:00:35.000 Vote.

00:00:36.000 And for all the Christians in the audience, I ask you to pray and fast for the nation.

00:00:40.000 We got to rise up in record numbers.

00:00:42.000 Email me as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.

00:00:45.000 Check out turningpointaction at tpaction.com to find out how you can get involved in this critical last stretch of the election.

00:00:52.000 Buckle up, everybody.

00:00:53.000 Here we go.

00:00:54.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.

00:00:56.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campus.

00:00:58.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.

00:01:01.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.

00:01:04.000 I want to thank Charlie.

00:01:05.000 He's an incredible guy.

00:01:06.000 His spirit is love of this country.

00:01:08.000 He's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created.

00:01:13.000 Turning point USA.

00:01:15.000 We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.

00:01:24.000 That's why we are here.

00:01:26.000 Brought to you by the Loan Experts I Trust, Andrew and Todd at Sierra Pacific Mortgage at andrewandTodd.com.

00:01:35.000 Last evening, we had a spectacular event with the next governor of Arizona, God willing, it sure looks like it's going to be trending that way.

00:01:43.000 Kerry Lake. 0.90

00:01:45.000 Kerry Lake is a special candidate.

00:01:47.000 Abe Hamaday was also there.

00:01:49.000 Mark Fincham was there.

00:01:50.000 Blake Masters, I think, had another event.

00:01:53.000 One of the things I want to build out for you today is how the Democrats are increasingly synthetic.

00:01:59.000 We've talked about that.

00:02:00.000 They're increasingly artificial.

00:02:03.000 And how much money they have spent, and despite all the money they've spent, they can't outspend the grassroots.

00:02:09.000 They can't outspend you.

00:02:11.000 They've tried, but there is something that shows the long-term viability, the long-term health of the conservative movement that is unlike anything we've seen over the last decade.

00:02:23.000 You see, the conservative movement, America First, MAGA, Populist, Parents' Party, pro-freedom, pro-liberty, whatever label you want to put on it, we had a choice.

00:02:34.000 We had a choice post-January 6th when every major corporation came after us, when the government decided to go after moms and dads that show up at school board meetings.

00:02:44.000 We had a choice when all of a sudden we had our backs against the wall.

00:02:47.000 We could have given up.

00:02:48.000 We could have just threw our hands up.

00:02:49.000 We could have just surrendered.

00:02:51.000 We could have said no more.

00:02:52.000 But instead, we started to mobilize.

00:02:54.000 And it's very interesting.

00:02:55.000 It will go down in history as one of the best things ever to happen to the Republican Party was corporations going woke.

00:03:04.000 Now, corporations going woke created a baseline where all of a sudden the Democrats were able to get unlimited amounts of money with very little effort.

00:03:14.000 So they got very lazy.

00:03:16.000 Democrats were able to get money from Coca-Cola and Goldman Sachs and Boeing and all these major corporations, where Republicans usually used to enjoy support from these companies. 0.65

00:03:27.000 Coca-Cola said that whiteness is a plague on society. 0.52

00:03:30.000 Major corporations are saying men can become pregnant, and Republicans wanted nothing to do with it.

00:03:35.000 And so Republicans had to decide what kind of party we wanted to be.

00:03:40.000 And in the primaries across the country the last 12 months, we saw a decisive, overwhelming message be sent that we want candidates that are courageous and bold, that are charismatic and talented, that are not politicians.

00:03:56.000 And isn't that interesting?

00:03:57.000 We have Herschel Walker coming up later in the program.

00:04:00.000 Herschel Walker, Heisman Trophy winner, non-politician.

00:04:04.000 Dr. Oz, award-winning television host and well-renowned heart surgeon, non-politician.

00:04:11.000 JD Vance, businessman, non-politician.

00:04:14.000 Blake Masters, businessman, non-politician.

00:04:17.000 Kerry Lake, news anchor, non-politician.

00:04:20.000 That's five major candidates.

00:04:21.000 That's rather remarkable when you think about it.

00:04:24.000 In the key states, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona, where our grassroots were encouraged and interested by people that had never served in elected office before.

00:04:37.000 And we see that now happening and developing.

00:04:39.000 And the Democrats, they're very fragile in the way they handle their candidates.

00:04:46.000 They micromanage them.

00:04:47.000 They're no longer fun or interesting.

00:04:50.000 They've almost been pre-programmed, and they just say the same three things over and over again: Republicans are a threat to democracy. 0.90

00:04:55.000 I believe in a woman's right to choose.

00:04:57.000 Donald Trump must be impeached.

00:04:59.000 And they just, it's a rather, it's not just boring, it is not good for the country.

00:05:05.000 It's unhealthy, actually.

00:05:07.000 And so our candidates, especially over the summer, faced a mountain, a deluge, a blitzkrieg of money from the Democrats, from the oligarchs, in a way that we've never seen before.

00:05:22.000 Here's some of the numbers.

00:05:23.000 In Georgia, Raphael Warnock has outspent Herschel Walker $76 million to $32 million.

00:05:31.000 In Pennsylvania, Fetterman has spent $52 million to Oz's $38 million.

00:05:36.000 In Arizona, Arizona, which is now a tied Senate race, Democrat Mark Kelly has outspent Blake Masters $73 million to Blake Masters' $9 million.

00:05:49.000 Now, I remember a time when Republicans used to be outspending most Democrats, and we recall they threat to democracy.

00:05:55.000 Citizens United, dark muddy.

00:05:57.000 Now nobody cares.

00:05:58.000 Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, all they care about is power.

00:06:01.000 They don't care about how they get it.

00:06:02.000 They only care about power.

00:06:03.000 How about Ohio?

00:06:04.000 Tim Ryans has spent $44 million to JD Vance's $9 million.

00:06:10.000 In Nevada, Cortez Masto has spent $47 million to Adam Laxalt's $12 million.

00:06:18.000 In New Hampshire, Maggie Hassan has spent $36 million to Don Buldick's $2 million in 18 to 1 ratio.

00:06:31.000 In Wisconsin, Mandela Barnes is the closest gap of all of them.

00:06:34.000 Mandela Barnes has spent $32 million to Ron Johnson's $28 million.

00:06:38.000 In Arizona, Katie Hobbs has spent $8.3 million to Kerry Lake's $5.5 million.

00:06:44.000 In Pennsylvania, Shapiro has spent, outspent Mastriano $16 to $1, $44 million to less than $3 million. 0.59

00:06:56.000 Look, Democrats only care about power.

00:06:58.000 It is the only currency that they trade in.

00:07:00.000 It's not truth.

00:07:02.000 It's not principles.

00:07:04.000 It's not ideals.

00:07:05.000 It is simply having the boot on your neck.

00:07:08.000 That's all they care about.

00:07:09.000 All they care about is being able to tell you how to live your life and they're in power and you are not.

00:07:15.000 But despite all of this outspending, I mean, you got to look at this.

00:07:18.000 In Nevada, being outspent $47 million to $12 million.

00:07:25.000 I mean, that is 4 to 1.

00:07:28.000 What we are seeing is that you can't outspend the grassroots.

00:07:34.000 You cannot pummel people into oblivion just because of television advertisements.

00:07:38.000 It is becoming less and less important.

00:07:43.000 It is becoming less and less critical to just be able to spend television advertisements or radio advertisements.

00:07:51.000 No, it's now about the people And the American people, the grassroots, you are rising up in such record numbers.

00:08:00.000 And you are going to see the 2022 midterms will be the year, and the media will not tell this story at all that the grassroots overcame the oligarchs.

00:08:09.000 Not one of these races is a Republican outspending a Democrat.

00:08:14.000 The only one that is close, that is even close to even, is Ron Johnson in Wisconsin.

00:08:20.000 Now, one of the reasons why Democrats are able to raise so much money and spend so much money is because Democrats are not a religious people.

00:08:29.000 Democrats are very secular.

00:08:31.000 And so they look at their tithes and their offerings as if you and I would give to charity or church to go give to political candidates.

00:08:39.000 You see, there's a bunch of techies that work for Microsoft or Dropbox, that work for Salesforce, that work for Google, that work for Facebook.

00:08:49.000 Hundreds of thousands of these hyper-educated, well-paid, very atheistic, secular people that get bombarded with these requests for donations.

00:09:00.000 And they say, you know what?

00:09:01.000 I'm earning $400,000 a year to program code for Facebook.

00:09:07.000 I can afford $1,000 a month split between Mark Kelly and all these people.

00:09:12.000 And that's a huge portion of the donations that Democrats get is from these pockets of suburban Seattle and in Silicon Valley and in the suburbs of Washington, D.C. You see, the Democrats are increasingly the party of the hyper-educated white woke liberals.

00:09:29.000 There's just not that many of them.

00:09:30.000 They do have a lot of money, though.

00:09:32.000 Remember back in 2020, how much money they spent on failed Senate races in Kentucky or in South Carolina.

00:09:40.000 They spent tons of money on Robert Francis O'Rourke in Texas to run up against Greg Abbott.

00:09:46.000 And you got to wonder at what time are Democrat donors going to be like, yeah, I'm done being swindled with this stuff.

00:09:52.000 I mean, you have to wonder, we'll talk about this.

00:09:54.000 There is some Democrat television consultant that is making bank right now on the grift of running candidates in red states.

00:10:05.000 You look at this.

00:10:06.000 I mean, you have $73 million Mark Kelly has placed in Arizona.

00:10:11.000 Boy, some media TV buyer is just having points on the deal.

00:10:14.000 Even if they make 5% on the deal, whoo, that's $3 million that some firm is likely pocketing.

00:10:24.000 We're going to talk more about this.

00:10:25.000 It's a remarkable thing.

00:10:26.000 The conservative grassroots, we become more creative, more nimble, more anti-fragile.

00:10:30.000 And that is a sign of health for our movement long term.

00:10:36.000 Look, money is broken.

00:10:38.000 Everything seems to be getting more expensive.

00:10:40.000 The government is losing control, and the Fed is just making things worse.

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00:11:42.000 Boy, despite this onslaught of advertisement, you have to wonder how would Republicans be doing if there was parody on television.

00:11:53.000 I mean, in New Hampshire, Maggie Hassen has spent $36 million to Don Bulldick's $2 million, and he's up a point in the polls.

00:12:02.000 And one of the reasons this has happened is because every major power center, every major kind of opinion-shaping institution, kind of any place that there are elites in America, have gone completely off the rails in the direction of the woke, of the postmodern, of the deconstructionalist, of the post-structuralist.

00:12:23.000 Warnock outspending Walker, $76 million to $32 million.

00:12:28.000 Cortez Masto, $47 million.

00:12:29.000 The Laxalts, $12 million. 0.78

00:12:31.000 It really is a testament to these candidates of how hard they've campaigned, how they've been on message. 0.67

00:12:37.000 It is important for us to acknowledge that for the foreseeable future, Republicans will be outspent in almost every single race across the country for the next decade. 0.61

00:12:48.000 There is a price of becoming the muscular class party.

00:12:52.000 There is a price of becoming the party of the plumber, the electrician.

00:12:56.000 And the price is that when inflation comes your way, it's really hard to finance campaigns.

00:13:02.000 People have less discretionary, or you should say disposable income to be able to spend on these things because they're getting crushed by all these policies.

00:13:11.000 Yet the oligarchs are doing just fine.

00:13:13.000 They have more money to spend than ever before.

00:13:15.000 Laxalt, up five in the latest Nevada Emerson poll.

00:13:18.000 Arizona, statistically tied.

00:13:19.000 The state of Washington with Tiffany Smiley. 0.97

00:13:24.000 I'd love to get Tiffany Smiley on the show. 0.99

00:13:26.000 She's really a great candidate. 1.00

00:13:28.000 She's running a good race. 0.57

00:13:30.000 Where Tiffany Smiley, a Republican candidate, is within the margin of error with Patty Murray in the state of Washington.

00:13:42.000 Down two points in the latest poll.

00:13:44.000 Two points to Patty Murray.

00:13:46.000 Down one point the day before. 1.00

00:13:48.000 Patty Murray is the worst. 1.00

00:13:49.000 She's a terrible candidate, awful senator. 0.97

00:13:52.000 Pennsylvania morning call poll shows that Oz and Fetterman are tied. 0.97

00:13:58.000 Now, you have to understand that the Democrats have a money printing machine called Act Blue.

00:14:03.000 They're able to bring in hundreds of millions of dollars almost on demand, billions of dollars through these creative fundraising mechanisms.

00:14:12.000 Now, the tech companies do not censor any of the advertisements or any of the solicitations from the major Democrat company or the major Democrat campaigns.

00:14:21.000 They do that for Republicans all the time.

00:14:23.000 They do that for Republicans all the time.

00:14:26.000 It's very hard for Republicans to be able to raise money.

00:14:30.000 But this is an extraordinary thing that we're witnessing, everybody, is that the media has clamped down on us.

00:14:36.000 Social media is unfair to us.

00:14:37.000 We're getting outspent on the airwaves, and yet we're on the verge of still winning.

00:14:42.000 They don't get that.

00:14:43.000 The Democrats say, how many other things do we have to try to control?

00:14:47.000 Yet they can't control you.

00:14:50.000 The New York Times writes, even in Georgia and Nevada, perhaps the two states where Republicans have the best chance to flip Democrat seats, Democrat incumbents are overwhelming their GOP challengers with money.

00:15:02.000 From the week of August 14th to the week of Democrat, November 6th, Raphael Warnock in Georgia had over $30 million in television ads, while Herschel Walker had only $7.8 million.

00:15:12.000 Cortez Masto, Democrat of Nevada, had over $16 million in television, while her Republican opponent had only $6 million.

00:15:19.000 In Arizona, Mark Kelly raised $5.7 million from 170,000 donations in Act Blue in August.

00:15:27.000 Again, these are secular, non-religious people that look at donating to campaigns as an act of service to some sort of divine loyalty. 0.86

00:15:39.000 They have a very empty life.

00:15:40.000 Most Democrats live very empty lives.

00:15:44.000 And by the way, the data shows it.

00:15:45.000 Democrats are less happy than Republicans.

00:15:48.000 Every single study shows it.

00:15:50.000 That sum is more than Mr. Masters has raised in total from when he began his campaign in 2021 through mid-July 2022.

00:15:58.000 They look at politics as a vehicle of salvation.

00:16:01.000 So, this is they're able to raise a ton of money and they also represent wealthier people.

00:16:04.000 They represent people with easier jobs.

00:16:06.000 They're in the Zoom and Skype economy.

00:16:08.000 It's this massive quasi-religious institution, is what it's become.

00:16:15.000 And despite all of that, Republicans are in a phenomenal position, everybody. 0.67

00:16:20.000 That is a great sign for the future of our movement.

00:16:25.000 The candidates we're selecting, the messages we're communicating, the precincts that we're filling.

00:16:32.000 Money comes and goes.

00:16:34.000 The strength of a movement is the ability to be durable and have perseverance and to be able to withstand a deluge of capital and resources against you.

00:16:47.000 Hey, everybody, Charlie Kirk here.

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00:17:49.000 With us now is the mastermind behind Turning Point Action, Tyler Boyer, TPAction.com, and also Turning Point Pack.

00:17:57.000 And it seems to be, we're getting a lot of attention in local Arizona press, it seems.

00:18:01.000 Oh my gosh.

00:18:02.000 They are obsessed.

00:18:04.000 This is like they like us.

00:18:05.000 I think they like us.

00:18:07.000 10,000-word piece.

00:18:09.000 So, so, Tyler, people are asking, what are the top races that we have to focus on across the country?

00:18:16.000 What are the target races that Turning Point Pack is focused on, especially in the last six days before the election?

00:18:22.000 Well, I mean, Charlie, there's a lot going on.

00:18:25.000 And the reason why Turning Point Action is in six target states is for a real great reason.

00:18:31.000 It's not just for this year, but also for 2024.

00:18:34.000 So we got Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Florida, and Ohio, which are kind of the traditional states.

00:18:41.000 And then these four new states, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan, are key critical to winning the presidency in 2024.

00:18:50.000 And then also ensuring that we're ringing the gong ahead of this next 10-year redistricting cycle, right?

00:18:57.000 So there's a number of different races that are happening right now in those four states that are really important to be aware of.

00:19:04.000 If you aren't aware of it, we will help make you aware.

00:19:07.000 And I think we could do that in really, really quick fashion if you wanted to go.

00:19:09.000 Yeah, go ahead and throw it on the horn.

00:19:11.000 So, Georgia, actually, Mike Collins was here in Arizona the last two days.

00:19:15.000 Incredible dude.

00:19:16.000 He's taking over for Jody Heist.

00:19:18.000 He's awesome.

00:19:19.000 He's going to win.

00:19:21.000 There's another open seat, Georgia 6, that just opened up.

00:19:24.000 Dr. Rich McCormick is going to win there as well.

00:19:27.000 The real, you know, the real bellwether, I wouldn't call it bellwether, but the race to pay attention to in Georgia is Georgia 2.

00:19:36.000 And Chris West, it's then making Georgia.

00:19:40.000 And if that flips, I think that's like a D plus 2 district.

00:19:45.000 If that flips, then the good things are happening in Georgia that we need.

00:19:50.000 And that's going to be really good for Herschel Walker to ensure that Herschel wins that.

00:19:54.000 Is that race looking good?

00:19:56.000 Yeah, I mean, the poll just recently came out that has Herschel up a half point or a point. 1.00

00:20:02.000 So that's a good sign.

00:20:04.000 I mean, honestly, especially with voter sentiment, turnout numbers, we just got to get turn out the vote. 0.99

00:20:09.000 And Stacey Abrams right now is dragging the party there for Democrats.

00:20:13.000 So that's a good thing.

00:20:14.000 And it's having the opposite effect, I think, than they thought it would have.

00:20:17.000 Exactly.

00:20:18.000 And people are going like, okay, just go away.

00:20:19.000 They're kind of like beto.

00:20:21.000 They're just like, can you just please just stop?

00:20:23.000 Can you just leave?

00:20:24.000 And luckily, it's helping us, I think.

00:20:27.000 Here in Arizona, there's four key races to pay attention to.

00:20:30.000 David Schweikert, that district, Arizona one, got a lot more tight.

00:20:37.000 And that's in Scottsdale.

00:20:38.000 That's a bellwether race.

00:20:40.000 If David wins, we're in a good spot.

00:20:44.000 If we have a surprise and he's not doing as well in that race, that's not helpful.

00:20:48.000 Yeah, they've spent a lot of money against Schweikert, though, haven't they?

00:20:50.000 They're spending millions of dollars against him because they really, really want that seat. 0.89

00:20:55.000 It's a bunch of uppity, you know, college-educated liberals, Caucasian liberals who are trying to tell the entire state what to do. 0.95

00:21:04.000 I mean, there's some super conservative elements of that district. 1.00

00:21:08.000 Oh, it's very conservative.

00:21:09.000 Scottsdale, traditionally, that has been one of the most conservative areas of the valley.

00:21:14.000 Yeah, and Cave Creek is, I mean, it's 90% conservative.

00:21:16.000 Cave Creek, you know, I mean, Fountain Hills covers Fountain Hills, which is extraordinarily, so having a Democrat represent there would be awful.

00:21:25.000 And that's why we've absolutely got to get the vote out and show up at the polls on election day.

00:21:30.000 It's a big deal.

00:21:32.000 The other race to really pay attention to that's, I think, most critical is Arizona 4, which is actually where we're sitting right now.

00:21:39.000 And it's the mid-part of the valley.

00:21:42.000 And Greg Stanton, who's the former mayor of Phoenix, who's currently a congressman, is an incumbent congressman, is running against a newcomer, Kelly Cooper, who actually lives in the district.

00:21:52.000 Mayor Stanton, former Mayor Stanton, does not live in the district.

00:21:55.000 He lives all the way up in North Phoenix somewhere.

00:21:58.000 And he's running.

00:21:58.000 And this district covers Mesa, Chandler, Tempe, and Awatuke, which is part of Phoenix, but it's really separated out.

00:22:07.000 It's kind of its own island.

00:22:08.000 And if that, the numbers coming back are actually looking really good.

00:22:12.000 It looks like Republicans are only down about 6 or 7% in ballots.

00:22:16.000 So how does that compare to previous years?

00:22:19.000 I mean, this district is where we've lost the most ground because this is actually the area that Kirsten Sinema, she was congresswoman in. 0.97

00:22:28.000 And so she had made a ton of inroads in Awatuke and Chandler and parts of Phoenix and Tempe. 0.99

00:22:33.000 Like South Mountain all the way to like.

00:22:35.000 Yeah, basically.

00:22:36.000 So if you've been to Arizona, it's basically the heartbeat of this district is ASU.

00:22:42.000 So this is.

00:22:43.000 So if ASU didn't exist, this would be a Republican district with no question, right?

00:22:48.000 But ASU has turned into a metropolis.

00:22:52.000 You know, there's like 50 to 100,000 of injected bad votes that are there now because of how much it's grown.

00:22:58.000 And Tempe has just turned into a blue city because of it.

00:23:01.000 Yeah.

00:23:02.000 So all that being said, statewide, you know, I remember back in 2020, the Trump campaign ignored you.

00:23:08.000 The Trump campaign ignored me.

00:23:10.000 You and I were tweeting and saying things publicly and trying to get their attention that Arizona early balloting returns were troubling and concerning and they weren't the way they should be.

00:23:18.000 But you actually feel pretty good about things.

00:23:21.000 So yeah, I'm cautiously optimistic.

00:23:24.000 Which is rare for you because the last two cycles, you've been.

00:23:27.000 Well, and I do want to give ourselves some credit.

00:23:29.000 We hit, I think I was within about a thousand votes of what I thought would be the final vote tally in Arizona on Election Day.

00:23:36.000 You know, this year is more up in the air.

00:23:39.000 And here's the reason why.

00:23:40.000 We have more voters going to be showing up at the polls on Election Day than ever before than we've had.

00:23:45.000 Including presidential years.

00:23:46.000 Yeah, it had in recent years.

00:23:47.000 So basically, what happened over the last 15 years, Arizona has really turned into a vote-by-mail state where about 80% of the votes are cast by mail.

00:23:56.000 Now it's working backwards, right?

00:23:58.000 So Republicans are now going like, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.

00:24:00.000 You know, the Democrats are trying to change a bunch of election procedures here, and we're not comfortable with it.

00:24:05.000 So now we're going to actually show up and vote on election.

00:24:07.000 So our own action is going to be a check on the nonsense.

00:24:11.000 So, yeah, so here's the deal.

00:24:12.000 We're only...

00:24:13.000 We're trending right now about give or take 5% behind Democrats on early ballots.

00:24:17.000 That's really good.

00:24:19.000 Now, there's a lot.

00:24:20.000 We're ordinarily.

00:24:21.000 We have a lot of independents in Arizona, though, and it's hard to tell where they vote.

00:24:25.000 And sometimes they vote conservative.

00:24:26.000 And historically, they're a lot of independence.

00:24:28.000 I'm a registered independent, right?

00:24:30.000 And so there's a lot of like really like crazy right-wing independents here.

00:24:33.000 Yeah, for sure.

00:24:34.000 Yeah.

00:24:34.000 And there's also a lot of crazy left.

00:24:36.000 We're right down the middle.

00:24:36.000 Okay.

00:24:37.000 We're not crazy right-wingers here.

00:24:38.000 Sorry, go ahead. 0.96

00:24:39.000 There's a lot of crazy left-wing independents, too.

00:24:41.000 And a lot of that is because of motor voter types activity where it's you show up, you get your driver's license, and then they force you to register.

00:24:48.000 So a lot of people go, I don't love the Republican Party.

00:24:50.000 I don't love the Democrat and they become an independent.

00:24:53.000 What they call it.

00:24:53.000 Because a lot of the Trump people are independents.

00:24:55.000 Tons.

00:24:56.000 Tons of new voters.

00:24:57.000 So there's a huge new voter pool.

00:25:00.000 Republicans are actually trending to slightly ahead in new voters than Democrats right now in Arizona, which is a really good sign because that's right now, kind of how we define that is votes that we don't expect to get, we're actually winning that pool right now in early ballots.

00:25:14.000 So statewide, how far down are Republicans currently in the early balloting returns, independents aside?

00:25:20.000 So we're about 5% behind the Democrats, which is really good, considering we expect there to be like a 25, 30% minimum baseline of our votes to show up on election day.

00:25:31.000 So this is my biggest concern is that a lot of people, I hear a lot of people on the street going like, oh, Kerry Lake's got this in the bag.

00:25:38.000 Guys, nothing's in the bag until everyone shows up to vote on Election Day.

00:25:42.000 And more importantly, it's really good to remember that the race is extraordinarily close between Blake Masters and Mark Kelly.

00:25:49.000 And so every vote, you have to assume that every vote's going to count.

00:25:53.000 And I'll remind everybody of the race that Andy Biggs ran in a primary a few years ago.

00:26:00.000 He won by less votes that are in his immediate family.

00:26:04.000 Well, he is Mormon.

00:26:06.000 So it's a big immediate family, but like, I think the final vote count was like somewhere in like the dozen votes range.

00:26:12.000 So like we could have a really, really close race here in Arizona between Blake Masters and Mark Kelly that stretches forever.

00:26:19.000 I hope that Kerry wins like right in the first 10 minutes.

00:26:23.000 But let me ask you really quick.

00:26:24.000 So us being down three points, five points, you said in early voting?

00:26:27.000 We're about five points down.

00:26:29.000 How does that compare to 2020?

00:26:32.000 We were down more, significantly more than that.

00:26:35.000 I don't have the number right in front of me at this moment.

00:26:37.000 We were down, I think, like eight to 10.

00:26:39.000 I'm ballparking.

00:26:40.000 Yeah, it was closer to 10%.

00:26:41.000 And so just so everyone understands, this is one of the reasons why we made our predictions so perfectly with Kerry Lake in the primary.

00:26:48.000 We were within a couple thousand votes because Tyler's educated me on this.

00:26:51.000 Tyler called me.

00:26:53.000 I remember on election day in 2020, when all the maniacs were having drinking champagne in the Trump campaign and they couldn't be bothered because they thought everything was going to be fine.

00:27:01.000 Tyler called me.

00:27:02.000 He said, hey, there's a ton of shenanigans going on.

00:27:04.000 There's a lot of problems at these precincts.

00:27:06.000 There's a lot of mail and ballot problems and people are not showing up the way.

00:27:09.000 You saw it happening on election day, right?

00:27:12.000 And so the big fear, I guess, Tyler, is people stay at home.

00:27:15.000 If we stay at home, if we have a 5% drop in expected turnout, we could lose this.

00:27:20.000 So the conventional wisdom is that if the Democrats can identify how many votes they need to get on Election Day, they're going to dump as much money as they need to in the state to go out and chase those ballots down. 0.94

00:27:32.000 So this is why early voting is stupid and why everyone should try to vote on election day. 0.94

00:27:38.000 Well, that's contrarian. 0.98

00:27:40.000 Is that if you can tell, if you tell the Democrats, hey, their deficit, you're down 50,000 votes, they're going to dump, they can pour in $2 million in bodies to show up and go track down those ballots and those people who haven't voted the day of and try to make up that debt out of it.

00:28:00.000 So basically, you're broadcasting the Delta.

00:28:03.000 That's what's going.

00:28:04.000 That's what's been going on.

00:28:05.000 And that's part of the shenanigans that's existed.

00:28:08.000 And look, the Democrats would say, well, that's just good, you know, voter turnout.

00:28:14.000 The reality is this, is that we know that they were ballot harvesting.

00:28:17.000 They were doing, they're pulling all sorts of tricks, having pizza parties and, you know, illegal things.

00:28:22.000 Trying to put ballot boxes.

00:28:24.000 And, you know, we've heard in other states, they want people to be able to vote online and vote like 10 days after the election.

00:28:29.000 And I mean, this is this is this is why they want to do that because they figure out ahead of the election, oh, we're down this many votes.

00:28:37.000 We need to go track down this many votes.

00:28:39.000 And then that's how they went.

00:28:40.000 But I, I mean, last night we had an amazing, you know, we didn't do it.

00:28:43.000 I showed up and I was a guest at Carrie Lake's event in Chandler and there was like 1,300 people and I asked who here plans to vote on election?

00:28:49.000 Every hand goes up.

00:28:50.000 Yeah.

00:28:50.000 I mean, that's, that's not normal, right?

00:28:51.000 If you would have asked that question back in 2016, maybe half the hands would have gone up.

00:28:55.000 Is that probably right?

00:28:56.000 So the Democrats are really nervous right now in a lot of states, not just Arizona, that they, they have awoken a beast that they're never going to be able to contain again, which they have, which is that people are going to culturally return to voting on election day.

00:29:11.000 Why do they hate that?

00:29:12.000 Because of what I said.

00:29:13.000 They can't anticipate to figure out the way to bend the rules in order to catch the Republicans on election day.

00:29:19.000 And that's, that's the baseline for it.

00:29:21.000 And look, that's, that is really, I mean, this is at the end of the day, you, when you realize that it's become an enterprise for Democrats to control, it's a business for them to return, return votes.

00:29:33.000 That's different than anything we've ever seen historically in recent history.

00:29:37.000 And this is a post-Obama era change, really, with our voting procedure.

00:29:41.000 Yeah.

00:29:42.000 And I mean, I think that Arizona feels in the bones and the kind of the air and the vibe.

00:29:47.000 It wants to go red this year.

00:29:49.000 It just feels we're a red state, Charlie.

00:29:52.000 We're a red state.

00:29:53.000 I want to believe that, right?

00:29:55.000 It's just the last, I mean, you got cinema, you got Kelly.

00:29:59.000 Kirsten Cinema wants to be Republican.

00:30:00.000 Are you kidding me? 1.00

00:30:02.000 Her people hate her right now.

00:30:03.000 It's never over till it's over, but it feels like it feels like it wants to anchor back into realignment is what it feels like.

00:30:09.000 We're close to election day.

00:30:11.000 It's obviously we don't want to celebrate.

00:30:13.000 We don't want to pop the champagne.

00:30:15.000 What could go wrong in the next six days?

00:30:18.000 Next six days, what can go wrong is that they suppress Republican votes either by fake polls?

00:30:25.000 Fake polls that show us up or down either way, which is what they do, right?

00:30:30.000 And they see what they do is they, and this is pretty sick of what the media does.

00:30:34.000 They'll put out a poll that shows us way up, and then they'll go back and test, are you more likely to vote now afterwards, right?

00:30:41.000 So Kerry Lake up 11, which I didn't believe.

00:30:44.000 Which look, Kerry very well could be up like 10 or 11.

00:30:47.000 But I don't even want to put that in out there.

00:30:49.000 Bad.

00:30:49.000 It's not good for anybody.

00:30:51.000 But we want to beat Democrats by 50, okay?

00:30:53.000 So if Kerry Lake wins by 12, then there's no way Blake Masters loses.

00:30:57.000 Shouldn't be, right?

00:30:58.000 Yeah.

00:30:59.000 But remember, they've spent $100 million against the guy.

00:30:59.000 Yeah.

00:30:59.000 Shouldn't be.

00:31:02.000 So like you just got a situation right now where we have Republicans that need to understand that it doesn't matter.

00:31:10.000 Put on blinders.

00:31:11.000 It doesn't matter what's happening around you.

00:31:12.000 Show up and do your constitutional duty and vote.

00:31:15.000 And you're, you know, support the individuals that we need to make sure, you know, accurately represent you, your belief system, your core belief system.

00:31:26.000 And this is why Arizona and Wisconsin are so important.

00:31:29.000 And I want to mention this real quickly.

00:31:31.000 Wisconsin is in a really important space like Arizona.

00:31:35.000 It's a influential place right now.

00:31:37.000 Because I want to break down the numbers real quick, real quickly again.

00:31:40.000 Depending upon which way Pennsylvania goes in 2024, Arizona and Wisconsin will become like there will be hundreds of millions of dollars spent here there.

00:31:51.000 And so Derek Van Orton is running in Wisconsin 3.

00:31:55.000 A Democrat holds that seat right now.

00:31:58.000 He wins.

00:31:58.000 That's a good indicator that Ron Johnson is going to stay out the victory.

00:32:02.000 We've got to have that.

00:32:03.000 We don't have that. 0.76

00:32:04.000 We don't win back the Senate.

00:32:05.000 It's going to be very hard to win back the Senate.

00:32:07.000 It's going to be really tough.

00:32:08.000 We don't win Wisconsin.

00:32:10.000 And it's going to be really tough to win the presidency in 2024 if we don't have that.

00:32:13.000 So it's really, really, really critical.

00:32:16.000 Now, it's possible to win the White House in 2024 if you win Wisconsin and Arizona and lose Pennsylvania.

00:32:23.000 So you can lose Pennsylvania.

00:32:25.000 You have to win Wisconsin and Arizona.

00:32:27.000 This is the basic, if you want to sound really smart with your friends, bingo or, you know, that you're hanging out with or whatever.

00:32:35.000 Pennsylvania, if Pennsylvania goes red, we need to win two out of these four states: Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Georgia.

00:32:44.000 But if Pennsylvania doesn't.

00:32:45.000 If Pennsylvania goes blue, we have to win three out of those four states.

00:32:48.000 Got it.

00:32:48.000 Yeah, but I think.

00:32:49.000 So this is the reason why they care about Georgia so much.

00:32:52.000 I think 24, we will win Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona.

00:32:55.000 I just do.

00:32:56.000 That's the White House.

00:32:57.000 Yeah, I hope so.

00:32:58.000 But this is why they've invested so much money into Georgia because Georgia is the lowest hanging fruit of Michigan.

00:33:03.000 This is why they hate the Electoral College, everybody.

00:33:05.000 They wish they were in Brazil where they could just run up the score in New York and California, hate the Electoral College.

00:33:09.000 Okay, so six days left to the election.

00:33:12.000 Herschel Walker's joining the program.

00:33:14.000 Georgia's looking better.

00:33:15.000 North Carolina looks good.

00:33:16.000 Ohio looks good.

00:33:17.000 What are some of your sleeper races that could shock the world coming up on Tuesday?

00:33:21.000 So there's a couple of bellwether races that we need to keep our eyes on in other places too.

00:33:26.000 Ohio, yeah, G.R. Majuski and Toledo.

00:33:30.000 Very important.

00:33:31.000 It's been abandoned by the regime.

00:33:33.000 Been totally almost intentionally abandoned because they know he won't vote for establishment people.

00:33:40.000 JR is great, but that should be a red seat.

00:33:43.000 Ohio 9.

00:33:45.000 It covers Toledo.

00:33:47.000 That's really critical.

00:33:48.000 If there's someone to support, JR is the guy to support. 0.78

00:33:51.000 In Florida, we got Ana Paulina. 0.93

00:33:53.000 They've spent more money, I think, now against her than any other race in America. 0.95

00:33:58.000 It's like $15 million.

00:34:00.000 Insane amounts of money.

00:34:01.000 It's still up in the poll.

00:34:01.000 In Pinellas County.

00:34:03.000 It's one donor, too.

00:34:04.000 That's like related to the Democrats.

00:34:05.000 Tampa area.

00:34:06.000 Yeah.

00:34:07.000 And that's Charlie Chris' old seat.

00:34:09.000 It's personal because he's about to get obliterated.

00:34:12.000 Yeah, obliterated.

00:34:13.000 He's going to lose by 15 by Ron DeSantis.

00:34:15.000 Who will be with this Saturday?

00:34:16.000 And I hope people will join us.

00:34:18.000 Taction.com/slash DeSantis.

00:34:20.000 We need all our Florida Patriots to show up to the event.

00:34:23.000 Last but not least, in Michigan, Michigan's an incredible state because there's like three or four really close races there.

00:34:30.000 Michigan three, John Gibbs is our guy.

00:34:32.000 He's incredible.

00:34:33.000 He's great.

00:34:34.000 He's in a tough race.

00:34:35.000 Tough race.

00:34:37.000 It's a Dem plus three district, but he's a good dude.

00:34:40.000 And he's got no help, obviously.

00:34:41.000 And no money.

00:34:42.000 He's been giving his left the moment.

00:34:44.000 Yeah, obviously.

00:34:45.000 And then you've got Tom Barrett in Michigan 7.

00:34:47.000 And then Paul, I don't even know how to say his last name.

00:34:51.000 Paul Young in Michigan 8.

00:34:53.000 And then you got John James in Michigan 10.

00:34:55.000 Yeah, he'll win.

00:34:56.000 All four of those races are going to be indicators of where Michigan's going to go, especially heading.

00:35:01.000 I think Tudor is going to shock the world.

00:35:02.000 I think she's going to beat Jerk.

00:35:03.000 I think she's going to beat Brad. 0.99

00:35:04.000 Well, all those going red will help Tudor all.

00:35:06.000 Yeah, we're going to know on election night a lot.

00:35:08.000 All right, tpaction.com.

00:35:09.000 We got door knocking Saturday morning in Scottsdale, Arizona, and other ones across the country.

00:35:13.000 Across the country, tpaction.com.

00:35:15.000 You can go there, tbaction.com/slash events, and you can see every door knocking opportunity, plus the Ron DeSantis events that we have in Florida to support him happening this weekend and Monday.

00:35:27.000 Email us, freedom at charliekirk.com.

00:35:29.000 Tyler, thanks so much.

00:35:30.000 Thanks, Charlie.

00:35:33.000 Thanks so much for listening, everybody.

00:35:35.000 Email me your thoughts as always freedom at charliekirk.com.

00:35:38.000 Thank you so much for listening.

00:35:39.000 God bless.

00:35:43.000 For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to CharlieKirk. com.

The Charlie Kirk Show - November 02, 2022

2022—The Year the Grassroots Fought Back

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