The Charlie Kirk Show - August 02, 2022


A Super Tuesday Summary with Rich Baris


Episode Stats


Length

31 minutes

Words per minute

177.5809

Word count

5,579

Sentence count

462

Harmful content

Misogyny

5

sentences flagged

Toxicity

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

8

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Miranda Devine and Richard Bresnan join me to talk about the Biden scandal, and why the FBI should have known about it, but didn t do anything about it. We also have a mini-Super Tuesday update from Richard Barris.

Transcript

Transcripts from "The Charlie Kirk Show" are sourced from the Knowledge Fight Interactive Search Tool. Explore them interactively here.
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, today on the Charlie Kirk Show.
00:00:01.000 Email me your thoughts, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:00:04.000 Open up your podcast app and type in Charlie Kirk Show and subscribe in the upper right-hand corner and hit the plus sign and subscribe.
00:00:11.000 We have Miranda Devine laptop from hell and Richard Barris gives us a mini Super Tuesday update.
00:00:16.000 That's effectively what it is today.
00:00:18.000 Get involved with Turning PointUSA Today at tpusa.com.
00:00:21.000 Buckle up everybody here.
00:00:22.000 We go.
00:00:23.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.
00:00:25.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campuses.
00:00:27.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.
00:00:30.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.
00:00:34.000 I want to thank Charlie.
00:00:35.000 He's an incredible guy.
00:00:36.000 His spirit, his love of this country.
00:00:38.000 He's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created.
00:00:43.000 Turning point USA.
00:00:44.000 We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:00:53.000 That's why we are here.
00:00:56.000 Brought to you by Andrew and Todd at Sierra Pacific Mortgage.
00:00:59.000 For personalized loan services you can count on, go to andrewandtodd.com, the wonderfulandrewandtodd.com.
00:01:08.000 Joining us right now is a friend of the program, someone who is super smart and does phenomenal research and investigations.
00:01:15.000 Miranda Devine from the New York Post, also author of The Laptop from Hell.
00:01:20.000 Miranda, welcome back to the Charlie Kirk Show.
00:01:22.000 Thanks, Charlie.
00:01:23.000 Great to be with you.
00:01:24.000 Thank you.
00:01:25.000 So I want to talk to you about this story here.
00:01:26.000 FBI Director Ray are in for a rude wake-up call over the Hunter Biden investigation.
00:01:32.000 It's your latest piece up at the New York Post, NYPost.com.
00:01:36.000 What do you mean by that?
00:01:38.000 Well, on Thursday, Christopher Wray, the FBI director, appears in Congress before the oversight committee, and the Republicans there are planning to really grill him on a few very sinister and concerning issues that have come to the fore in the last week.
00:01:57.000 And you probably know already about Chuck Grasley has had several FBI whistleblowers come to him and give him information that basically the FBI just sat on, buried the Hunter Biden information that came out in 2020, in August 2020, when Grassley and Ron Johnson were both investigating the Hunter Biden and Burisma corruption connections.
00:02:25.000 And then again in October 2020, which was of course the month that we at the New York Post broke the first story from Hunter Biden's abandoned laptop.
00:02:34.000 And October was also the time, the month that Tony Bobolinski, the Navy veteran and former business partner of Hunter Biden, came forward publicly to say that Joe Biden was involved in his family's influence peddling scheme, that Joe Biden was the big guy who was slated to get 10% of one of the Chinese deals, and that Tony Bobolinski himself had met twice with Joe Biden to discuss these deals.
00:03:01.000 So Bobolinski had a several hour interview with the FBI then in October 2020.
00:03:08.000 He also handed over the contents of his devices, which mirror a good part of what's on the laptop.
00:03:14.000 They corroborate what's on the laptop.
00:03:16.000 So the FBI had a lot of knowledge, and yet now Chuck Grasley is told sort of an explanation for why the FBI seemingly has done absolutely nothing with all that bullshit information that basically goes to America's national security and to the president.
00:03:34.000 And the whistleblowers are saying it's because these particular agents who Chuck Grasley had names in a letter, but there would be probably others, but he's named Tim T. Bolt and an analyst called Brian Orton.
00:03:50.000 And they obstructed, buried, suppressed, according to Chuck Grasley's whistleblowers, any derogatory information about Hunter Biden and also dismissed it as Russian disinformation.
00:04:03.000 I'm reading the article here and just kind of pointing out certain parts.
00:04:08.000 I forget about some of the Biden scandals, Miranda.
00:04:11.000 That's how many there are.
00:04:12.000 It's that, oh, yeah, that one.
00:04:13.000 And then there is this issue.
00:04:15.000 And then there is this one.
00:04:16.000 I'm going to read, for example, in this piece here.
00:04:20.000 It says, Grassley laid out the allegations last week in a letter to Ray and Attorney General Merrick Garland.
00:04:25.000 In August of 2020, the FBI supervisory intelligence analyst, Brian Otten, quote, opened an assessment which was used by FBI headquarters team to improperly discredit negative Hunter Biden information as disinformation and caused investigative activity to cease based on allegations verified and verifiable derogatory information on Hunter Biden was falsely labeled as disinformation, Grassley wrote.
00:04:47.000 So when is the hearing when Christopher Wray goes in front of the Senate?
00:04:50.000 Is that Thursday?
00:04:51.000 Thursday, this Thursday, two days from now.
00:04:54.000 Look, to tell you the truth, I'm not holding my breath that he'll do anything other than what the FBI always does, which is to say, oh, we can't comment on an ongoing investigation.
00:05:04.000 Yeah, I mean, I got to give the Bidens credit.
00:05:06.000 They have a diversified portfolio of scandals.
00:05:08.000 It's amazing.
00:05:09.000 Every possible country, region of the world, industry, walk of life, family member is involved in this.
00:05:16.000 And so they are going to come under pressure from the Senate.
00:05:18.000 But I think there is some cynicism, though, Miranda, that our audience has.
00:05:21.000 And you've done a phenomenal job in your book, Laptop from Hell, which is how much is it actually going to take to just hold one of these people accountable?
00:05:29.000 Or are we really in this moment where there's the untouchable class, regardless of how gross and disgusting and flagrant your crimes are, if your last name happens to be Biden or Clinton or Obama, you're largely untouchable.
00:05:43.000 What are your thoughts on that?
00:05:46.000 Well, look, I mean, I share some of that cynicism.
00:05:48.000 And of course, the influence peddling racket that Joe Biden was the past master of is a bipartisan disease in Washington.
00:05:58.000 It's really corrosive, damaging, as we can see now to our national security.
00:06:04.000 And but on the plus side, the Republicans are telling me in the House, whether it's James Comer, Jim Jordan, a whole lot of them are very revved up.
00:06:19.000 They're doing a lot of work right now to get on top of the information.
00:06:23.000 They're talking to witnesses.
00:06:25.000 Whistleblowers are coming forward.
00:06:28.000 Kevin McCarthy has told them to be aggressive when it comes to the Hunter Biden material.
00:06:33.000 So they will be having hearings.
00:06:34.000 They will be subpoenaing witnesses.
00:06:36.000 They will have subpoena power in the House, presuming they take back the House, which polls are showing they will.
00:06:44.000 So that will at least bring more information to light.
00:06:49.000 But look, I think there's a very real possibility that Joe Biden may not finish his term.
00:06:55.000 If that's the case, will the Republicans continue on with uncovering this information?
00:07:02.000 And I mean, they definitely should because, you know, the involvement of the FBI, the intelligence community, remember that letter from the 51 former high-level CIA operatives, including John Brennan, all joke lying about the laptop pretending it was Russian disinformation, getting Joe Biden off the hook, the involvement of big tech, what is the involvement between the Democrats and the FBI, the Democrats and big tech.
00:07:32.000 That all needs to be flushed out and brought to the surface.
00:07:36.000 And even if Joe Biden is no longer president, I think the Republicans are honor bound to continue uncovering it.
00:07:42.000 And if they don't, that just brings up questions about their own involvement and their own, you know, is there guilt among their own members.
00:07:51.000 Yeah.
00:07:52.000 But every four years, Miranda, there's another kind of harmony of corruption.
00:07:56.000 So Peter Strzok and Lisa Page and that whole thing in 16.
00:08:00.000 And then this one, you have the 50 intelligence officers.
00:08:03.000 And the kind of thing that all has in common is they just get away with it.
00:08:08.000 They will use the instruments of power.
00:08:10.000 It just so happens Donald Trump was able to get around it in 2016 amazingly because I think they underestimated him and they believe the polls.
00:08:18.000 In 2020, they left nothing to chance.
00:08:22.000 They left nothing to chance from mail-in voting to the 50 intelligence people, which the whole thing was a fabrication, period.
00:08:29.000 It was all a lie.
00:08:31.000 Same people as well, by the way.
00:08:33.000 There are links between the FBI agents who are covering up the Hunter Biden stuff and the people who were involved in the Russia collusion.
00:08:43.000 Same actors.
00:08:45.000 Same actors.
00:08:46.000 When you do not hold these people accountable, they're going to continue their behavior. 0.96
00:08:51.000 Laptop from hell.
00:08:53.000 Yes, please go ahead.
00:08:54.000 Well, I mean, the FBI is never held accountable.
00:08:57.000 You look at all the scandals in their history, whether it be 9-11, Ruby Ridge, Waco, Oklahoma City bombing, Atlanta bombing.
00:09:04.000 Every time the FBI has failed and never have they been brought to account.
00:09:10.000 And this is really the next task is to really, I mean, it's got to be dismantled.
00:09:16.000 Chuck Gresley's got a lot of good ideas, but I think they're just tinkering around the edges, things like, you know, increasing the power of the Inspector General, improving whistleblower laws within the FBI.
00:09:29.000 All of that is a good idea.
00:09:31.000 But other people have stronger ideas about what needs to be done.
00:09:35.000 And that means really basically splitting the FBI in two, taking, separating their intelligence facilities away from their law enforcement abilities. 0.99
00:09:46.000 We need a new church and pike committee. 0.99
00:09:47.000 And I encourage all of our listeners, go study J. Edgar Hoover. 1.00
00:09:50.000 Go understand the history of the FBI.
00:09:52.000 Having a domestic police force that could be deployed by an American political party is so deeply disturbing.
00:09:58.000 And that's where we're at right now, where their sons and their daughters are protected and yours are going to be targeted.
00:10:03.000 Miranda Devine, thank you so much.
00:10:04.000 Phenomenal as always.
00:10:05.000 Check it out.
00:10:06.000 Laptop from Hell, great book.
00:10:08.000 New York Post as well.
00:10:09.000 Thank you so much, Miranda.
00:10:13.000 Look, we talk about current events a lot on this show, but there's other things that are in life that are bigger than current events, bigger things.
00:10:19.000 We try to do some shows every so often on these things.
00:10:22.000 But look, what am I talking about when I say that?
00:10:24.000 How about good and evil?
00:10:25.000 Right and wrong?
00:10:26.000 Prayer and the Bible or heaven and hell. 0.89
00:10:28.000 So look, the great C.S. Lewis, who's one of the most amazing minds ever to exist, was a master at addressing these questions.
00:10:37.000 And that is why Hillsdale College, the great college, the only college, in my opinion, wants you to learn more about him and his writings and their newest free online course, C.S. Lewis on Christianity.
00:10:49.000 And it all starts with taking a short quiz to find out how much you already know about Lewis.
00:10:55.000 He wrote more than the Narnia series, by the way.
00:10:57.000 Look, Hillsdale College is amazing.
00:10:59.000 They defend liberty.
00:11:00.000 They pursue truth.
00:11:01.000 They do a great job.
00:11:03.000 So just write this down.
00:11:04.000 This should be your go-to resource.
00:11:05.000 Remember, I have taken 16 of their online courses, and I have promised Dr. Arn I'm eventually going to finish them all.
00:11:11.000 Go to charlie4hillsdale.com to take this fun, interactive quiz, and then sign up for this free course.
00:11:17.000 The answers may even surprise you, even if you think you know everything about C.S. Lewis.
00:11:21.000 They surprised me, my goodness.
00:11:23.000 The quiz, the course, and everything you learn at Hillsdale College are yours for free, as always.
00:11:27.000 So take the C.S. Lewis quiz right now at charlie4hillsdale.com.
00:11:31.000 That is charlie4hillsdale.com.
00:11:33.000 Take as many online courses as you can.
00:11:35.000 The Constitution course is amazing, but their C.S. Lewis course is extraordinary.
00:11:42.000 And by the way, Hillsdale College, just phenomenal.
00:11:45.000 Charlie4Hillsdale.com.
00:11:50.000 So yesterday, Donald Trump made a big announcement in Missouri for Missouri.
00:11:56.000 Now, I said something yesterday where I said, oh, we don't care about Missouri.
00:11:59.000 I was joking.
00:12:00.000 I love Missouri.
00:12:01.000 Missouri is a great place.
00:12:02.000 I spent a lot of time in Missouri.
00:12:03.000 I have a lot of friends in Missouri.
00:12:05.000 From Joplin to Springfield to Jefferson City to Cape Girardo.
00:12:09.000 Missouri gave us Rush Limbaugh.
00:12:11.000 Dare I say anything more than that?
00:12:13.000 So I was, of course, joking around.
00:12:14.000 What I was saying is that we're focusing primarily on what's happening in Arizona.
00:12:18.000 But yesterday, Donald Trump made an endorsement in the Missouri GOP Senate primary.
00:12:24.000 Former President Donald Trump announced his endorsement of Eric.
00:12:30.000 That's it.
00:12:31.000 Of Eric.
00:12:32.000 You might say, well, who did he endorse? 0.77
00:12:34.000 Well, there's two Erics running in the race, Eric Grichtons and Eric Schmidt.
00:12:40.000 Donald Trump sent out the following statement.
00:12:42.000 This is a big election in the state of Missouri.
00:12:44.000 We must send a MAGA champion and true warrior to the Senate, someone who will fight for border security, election integrity, our military, and our great veterans.
00:12:52.000 Together with having a powerful toughness on crime and the border, we need a person who will not fight, will not back down to the radical left lunatics who are destroying America and will fight.
00:13:04.000 I trust the great people of Missouri on this one to make up their own minds as much as they did.
00:13:08.000 And so therefore, I'm proud to announce that Eric, in all caps, has my complete and total endorsement.
00:13:15.000 Not specifying which one, Eric Grichtons or Eric Schmidt.
00:13:18.000 They're both Eric's, just so you understand.
00:13:20.000 And so then both Eric's jump on.
00:13:22.000 Eric Grichton says, I'm honored to receive President Trump's endorsement.
00:13:26.000 And then Eric Schmidt says, I'm grateful for President Trump's endorsement.
00:13:29.000 Only further confusing what has been a very, very confusing Missouri primary.
00:13:38.000 Schmidt says in the following, in the following, he says this, as the only America first candidate who has actually fought for election integrity, border security, and against the left's indoctrination of our kids, I'll take that fight to save America in the United States Senate.
00:13:52.000 But both Eric Schmidt and Eric Grichtons have both said they're not going to support Mitch McConnell as leader of the U.S. Senate.
00:14:00.000 That is very unique, largely because they don't need McConnell money probably in the general election in Missouri to win in what looks to be possibly a wave year.
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00:15:12.000 Joining us right now is a great American Rich Barris.
00:15:16.000 And if I get my way, he's going to be joining us for some portion tonight on our live stream.
00:15:21.000 Richard Barris, everybody, from Big Data Polls and People's Pundit.
00:15:25.000 Rich, how you doing, man?
00:15:26.000 Doing all right, buddy.
00:15:27.000 How you doing?
00:15:28.000 Very good.
00:15:28.000 So, Rich, there's a lot happening right now.
00:15:30.000 Initial reports are showing less than favorable turnout in Arizona.
00:15:35.000 It's still very early.
00:15:36.000 It's only 10.35 local time right now, so polls have only been up for a couple hours.
00:15:41.000 What would lower turnout mean for Carrie Lake and Blake Masters here in Arizona?
00:15:47.000 Yeah, so actually lower turnout would be bad for them.
00:15:51.000 So this is what the Republican establishment is hoping for, which is lower turnout, older voters, which Robeson was, look, in our polling, and it really does depend on which polling you're looking at, but our polling, Charlie, and others generally found that Robeson did well around 70 plus, right?
00:16:13.000 So if it's lower turnout and it's less younger people, then it could be closer than expected, but it really does depend on the polling you're looking at because we did not have Robeson winning any age group until you got above that 70, you know, 65 plus was still about even with us because the 65 to 74 Carrie Lake did well with.
00:16:35.000 Same thing with Blake Masters, only it's easier.
00:16:37.000 If it's lower turnout, it'll be easier for Blake Masters still to maintain a comfortable lead because it's more of a fractured field.
00:16:45.000 But the younger the voters, the better it is for Kerry Lake. 0.82
00:16:49.000 That being said, Charlie, she dominated every other age group. 1.00
00:16:52.000 So even, I mean, we'll see how low, you know, at this point.
00:16:56.000 It seems that there's this interesting demographic phenomenon I want to explore with you, Richard.
00:17:00.000 It's happening across the country, which is the radicalization of Gen X, where you just articulated something that baby boomers 70 plus, they tend to be more establishment Republican or comfortable with Joe Biden.
00:17:12.000 Now, we're going to get a slew of emails, by the way.
00:17:14.000 Charlie, I'm 78 and I hate Joe Biden.
00:17:16.000 There's exceptions to it.
00:17:18.000 I got it yesterday.
00:17:19.000 No, I know, but I do think it's demographically interesting.
00:17:22.000 We never talked about this before, Rich, that Gen X, so think about Josh Hawley.
00:17:27.000 That is Ron DeSantis, right?
00:17:30.000 That's Donald Trump Jr.
00:17:32.000 That's Tom Cotton.
00:17:33.000 That's Ted Cruz. 0.89
00:17:34.000 That's Gen X. They're kind of right in that middle group.
00:17:38.000 They're not necessarily super young.
00:17:39.000 They're definitely not baby boomers.
00:17:41.000 But Gen Xers are people that have kids that are anywhere between five years old to 18 years old.
00:17:48.000 They're becoming super right wing in more ways than one.
00:17:52.000 Not only that, but in primaries, they are demanding and they are voting for the more conservative candidate.
00:18:00.000 Is that correct, Rich?
00:18:02.000 Yeah, and if you look, we did by generation, Charlie, by age.
00:18:06.000 Arizona is a great state for that.
00:18:08.000 So is Florida.
00:18:08.000 So is Texas.
00:18:10.000 So is Nevada, by the way.
00:18:11.000 You know, the bottom line is, because we've asked this before, and I really think what it comes down to is, and we got those emails as well.
00:18:18.000 And I understand if you have a mom or you are that age group and you voted for Carrie Lake, I'm not saying there's not going to be supporters in that age group.
00:18:25.000 I'm saying we're talking about margins, statistics, polling.
00:18:29.000 But the bottom line is the older voters tend to have this idea, Charlie, that, how could I put this?
00:18:38.000 They tend to have like faith still in authority.
00:18:42.000 And they grew up in this more stable America.
00:18:47.000 And they have this view where you would ask them, you know, how bad do you think things can get?
00:18:52.000 And they would say, you know, it's America.
00:18:53.000 In the end, things are going to be okay.
00:18:55.000 That's how they talk to us, right?
00:18:58.000 Whereas the younger generation, the younger generation is like, look, I have to live the rest of my life.
00:19:04.000 And this is 30, 40 years.
00:19:07.000 We can't survive this.
00:19:08.000 You know, so they have a very different take.
00:19:11.000 Plus, they're in their prime working years.
00:19:13.000 When we're talking about people who are generally cared for and comfortable in their golden years, their latter years, and they have less, it's less pressing to them.
00:19:22.000 Charlie, they could worry about COVID in 2020.
00:19:26.000 They could worry more about COVID and not what may happen to the economy, a little bit more than someone who's working.
00:19:33.000 To them, shutting down was responsible.
00:19:35.000 To the worker, shutting down was life-ending.
00:19:38.000 You know, so it's very, it's just very different.
00:19:41.000 Plus, the younger generation is a little bit, they're more realistic.
00:19:46.000 That's be honest, a little bit more realistic.
00:19:49.000 Like, look, we've been living in a sense of false security for many, many years, you know, and since really the 60s, you know, that's when sets a turning point for them.
00:20:00.000 And that if we don't write this ship quick, that we're going to have we're going to be the first to deal with something truly cataclysmic.
00:20:08.000 And the older generation does not have that sense of urgency.
00:20:11.000 They don't.
00:20:12.000 Yes.
00:20:12.000 And by the way, makes sense because they don't have that much longer to go.
00:20:16.000 I'm not trying to be cruel here.
00:20:17.000 I'm just being honest.
00:20:18.000 Yeah.
00:20:18.000 And I mean, you look at every poll.
00:20:19.000 So, for example, Joe Biden is underwater with every age demographic except 65 plus voters.
00:20:24.000 65 plus voters generally think Joe Biden's doing pretty well.
00:20:28.000 And 65 plus voters.
00:20:30.000 Yeah, please continue.
00:20:32.000 Yeah, I was just saying, you know, that it really does too.
00:20:35.000 How much will that help Robeson?
00:20:37.000 Well, that really, I think, and I did a little bit of this yesterday on Twitter.
00:20:41.000 If you look at Ohio Predictives crosstabs and you look at my crosstabs and you look at like alloys, we reached voters differently than some of these other polls that showed that it was close.
00:20:50.000 Let's be honest, folks.
00:20:51.000 There's only one poll showing that race was close.
00:20:53.000 All right.
00:20:54.000 The rest of them are not close.
00:20:55.000 Even among, even if we weighted half of the electorate to 65 plus, 50% Kerry Lake would still be leading. 0.99
00:21:06.000 I just want to be clear here.
00:21:07.000 All right.
00:21:08.000 It's just, I'm trying to explain to you that mode of collection matters.
00:21:11.000 If you did like that one poll did and you used IVR, which is interactive voice response, it's illegal to call cell phones.
00:21:18.000 You can't text it.
00:21:19.000 Technology is not there.
00:21:20.000 You can't text people.
00:21:21.000 If you did landline IVR interviews, then you got a more favorable result for Robeson.
00:21:27.000 If you did any online paneling or you did SMS or you did cell phones, live call cell phone interviews, then you had more favorable responses for Kerry Lake.
00:21:38.000 So I'm just trying to help people understand why some people get on there.
00:21:42.000 People are polling with landlines.
00:21:45.000 That Emerson poll is IVR.
00:21:47.000 I don't know what it is.
00:21:50.000 Well, the 65 plus do. 0.98
00:21:52.000 That's what I'm trying to tell.
00:21:54.000 So your 65 plus category is going to be weighted more toward the later life if you used a lot of interactive voice response landline interviews.
00:22:03.000 Any of us who reach the 65 plus through SMS show something different, which is from 65 to 74, it's actually rather favorable to Kerry Lake.
00:22:14.000 Or like, you know, it's not a blowout, the 20 point, 25 point blowout like it is among 30 to 54 year olds.
00:22:20.000 That's a huge margin for Kerry Lake. 1.00
00:22:22.000 But it is closer if you definitely look at just seniors.
00:22:26.000 And then also how you reach those seniors, it definitely matters.
00:22:30.000 Rasmussen, by the way, they had a nine-point lead for Lake.
00:22:34.000 That's why it's a little bit closer than some others because they used IVR, but they didn't heavily weight that IVR like Emerson did.
00:22:40.000 Emerson is extremely weighted towards it.
00:22:43.000 Rasmussen still contacted seniors on online polling.
00:22:46.000 And that's why.
00:22:46.000 Do you think there's any concern or danger in these kinds of polls that might hurt that frontrunner where supporters think, oh, they're already going to win by a lot.
00:22:54.000 What's the point?
00:22:56.000 That is, it is always a concern for someone who has a frontrunner status like Kerry Lake and Blake Masters.
00:23:03.000 And if you look at the undecided, Charlie, they could win in both of these candidates should and could win by 15 to 20 point blowouts if all of those working class people go and vote later or have already submitted their ballot.
00:23:19.000 It's just not being counted yet, which, by the way, that could happen. 0.52
00:23:23.000 The late arrivals are definitely underestimated.
00:23:25.000 So all of the, it's working class.
00:23:28.000 The people who were undecided, not just my polling, all of the polling was largely working class.
00:23:33.000 The seniors who said they were going to vote for Karen Taylor Robeson, they were already decided.
00:23:38.000 We were looking at about 6% undecided in that group compared to others who were upwards of 20, 25.
00:23:45.000 And by the way, again, Kerry Lake, I think, had a big enough lead, Charlie, where you would seriously something would have to seriously go wrong.
00:23:56.000 I mean, it really is not that close.
00:23:59.000 It's just that even the Trafalgar poll, by the way, that came out late last night, that's almost 50% senior.
00:24:06.000 So again, just to give everybody an idea of how big her leads are with these other age groups, it's still a commanding lead, but it can dismiss the importance of an election when someone thinks they're, you know, when someone is being portrayed.
00:24:21.000 Is that far ahead?
00:24:22.000 Sure.
00:24:23.000 But I don't know that Robeson had enough strength even with those seniors.
00:24:27.000 And I want to say that.
00:24:28.000 I really think it would be very difficult, Charlie.
00:24:30.000 Very.
00:24:31.000 I want to be clear.
00:24:31.000 We're not attacking seniors.
00:24:32.000 We just see the world differently than some seniors do.
00:24:35.000 750 plus.
00:24:36.000 For example, we got an email here, Charlie.
00:24:38.000 I completely agree with what Richard is saying here.
00:24:40.000 I saw this in action over the weekend as we were at a Republican booth at the fair.
00:24:44.000 And a lot of the older generation were far more for establishment candidates.
00:24:47.000 And look, I mean, Richard, you know, the younger generation, they can't afford homes.
00:24:52.000 They have to live under this wokeism day to day.
00:24:54.000 They don't have really any net worth to speak of.
00:24:57.000 They're getting poorer every single day as inflation increases.
00:25:00.000 I see it with our young people here at Turning Point USA and Turning Point Action every single day.
00:25:05.000 And they don't want the same sort of establishment candidate.
00:25:08.000 In fact, they think the establishment has really hurt them.
00:25:11.000 In fact, they're saying, wait a second, where is the American dream for me exactly?
00:25:15.000 And don't tell a young person to work harder.
00:25:17.000 Our kids are working really hard around here.
00:25:20.000 They can't afford a down payment for a home.
00:25:22.000 Everything here in Phoenix is three times as more expensive it was than it was five years ago.
00:25:27.000 And they're working their tail off.
00:25:28.000 And yet they have college loan debt they have to service.
00:25:31.000 They have credit card debt.
00:25:32.000 Everything is going up majorly.
00:25:33.000 They say, well, let's go vote for the candidate that's going to keep things the way they are.
00:25:38.000 And I think you said it beautifully.
00:25:39.000 I've sent a message to our team.
00:25:40.000 This is super smart.
00:25:42.000 The older generation, they say, okay, we might be able to tinker around the edges, but the establishment is what keeps America strong.
00:25:49.000 Richard, there is a theory that Donald Trump should announce for president before the midterm elections, maybe to help boost turnout.
00:25:57.000 What do you think of that idea?
00:25:59.000 I think it's a horrible idea.
00:26:01.000 I really do.
00:26:02.000 And here's why, Charlie. 0.99
00:26:03.000 You know, for lack of a better phrase, to hell with them.
00:26:07.000 Let them pull this off on their own.
00:26:08.000 I do think he needs to campaign for Senate candidates.
00:26:12.000 He single-handedly saved the U.S. Senate, a Republican majority in the U.S. Senate in 2018.
00:26:18.000 That is without a doubt.
00:26:19.000 He helped candidates perform better in 2020.
00:26:23.000 Yet everything that went wrong, they blamed him for.
00:26:26.000 So if he announces before and they put up an average performance in the House and Senate, they're going to blame him.
00:26:32.000 They're going to scapegoat him.
00:26:33.000 So I would wait if I was him.
00:26:35.000 Personally, I would.
00:26:36.000 Go and campaign for everybody, but don't make that announcement yet.
00:26:40.000 And I did get bombarded over the break with a bunch of texts and messages and people.
00:26:46.000 Oh, yeah.
00:26:46.000 No, we got a lot.
00:26:47.000 They don't like you, Richard.
00:26:48.000 They don't like you.
00:26:49.000 I'll tell you this.
00:26:50.000 I'll read one of them, but go ahead first.
00:26:52.000 Yeah.
00:26:52.000 Yeah.
00:26:53.000 And just to give, because one of them is like, well, what does that mean?
00:26:55.000 It's going to be a huge polling miss.
00:26:57.000 No, that's not what I'm saying here.
00:26:58.000 It really does.
00:27:00.000 For instance, in the 65 plus category, there's a difference between 65 to 74 and 75 plus.
00:27:08.000 So even the 65 to 74, if you look at people like myself and Data Orbital and Ohio Predictive, we still had Lake leading among that group.
00:27:18.000 It got much closer when you looked at 65 and up, where in Ohio predictive, that's the difference between their 18-point lead and some of us who have around a 10 to 14, how well that group is doing.
00:27:30.000 So they actually have Ropeson only up by two in that group.
00:27:33.000 We had her up by four in that group. 0.97
00:27:35.000 So we're not talking about, you know, huge blowouts.
00:27:38.000 The only one who showed a large lead among that group was that one poll.
00:27:43.000 And I'm telling you, it's because of the IVR.
00:27:45.000 The rest of us showed blowouts in every other age group.
00:27:48.000 And I also did get a lot of information.
00:27:50.000 Maricopa, I can tell you, look at Maricopa.
00:27:54.000 There's been about 200,000 ballots.
00:27:57.000 Republicans and Democrats were really close to how many ballots have been returned.
00:28:02.000 But as of this morning, that first check-in in Maricopa, 85% Republicans are thrashing in-person Election Day is all Republican today almost.
00:28:13.000 Good.
00:28:13.000 Well, that's updated numbers because we checked out.
00:28:15.000 That's a big deal.
00:28:15.000 That's a big deal.
00:28:16.000 We did a little bit of a temperature check around 8 a.m. and it wasn't good.
00:28:19.000 So what it's showing is that it's ramping up and that a little bit.
00:28:23.000 Yeah.
00:28:24.000 But it needs to get higher.
00:28:26.000 Tyler knows the numbers better than I do, and he'll be on the live stream with us tonight, which I hope you could join us, Rich.
00:28:31.000 You have an open invite to that.
00:28:32.000 What other races are you looking at tonight, Richard, that you think will be instructive and important for people to keep their eye on?
00:28:39.000 You know, before I leave Arizona, I just want to say that Arizona is so important because it is about that generational divide, and it's not to pit anyone against each other.
00:28:48.000 It's very simple, Charlie.
00:28:49.000 If the Republican Party wants to be a viable national political force, then they need the more diverse and younger generations.
00:28:57.000 Which one would you rather be dominant among a generation and a statistic that is shrinking or one that is growing?
00:29:04.000 I mean, I'm just using my, look, I have a math mind, but Michigan also is very important.
00:29:10.000 Tudor Dixon.
00:29:11.000 Yes.
00:29:11.000 You have Tudor Dixon, who was already leading, but after that Trump endorsement, there is a limit to how much he could rise, even with the Trump endorsement, because of how many people had voted.
00:29:22.000 But it's been hard for us to catch the surges from last-minute endorsements from Donald Trump.
00:29:28.000 Doug Mastriano did not look like he was going to exceed anywhere near 40%.
00:29:34.000 He did.
00:29:35.000 Look at, for instance, Darren Bailey in Illinois.
00:29:38.000 Everyone thought the vote had been banked and it was really going to be difficult for Darren Bailey to get anywhere near 50.
00:29:44.000 Obviously, he romped it.
00:29:46.000 So don't be surprised if some of these races are over much quicker than anyone thinks.
00:29:51.000 John Gibbs in Michigan 3 is so important.
00:29:55.000 He had that race.
00:29:58.000 It is.
00:29:58.000 I polled that race.
00:30:00.000 And if John, you know, he was working his tail off without a doubt.
00:30:05.000 When we polled it, Gibbs had a lead and still half the Republican electorate didn't know that Donald Trump endorsed him.
00:30:11.000 When told about that, you were looking at margins that exceeded the impeacher in South Carolina, seven.
00:30:17.000 So this could be, it's a big tonight.
00:30:20.000 And then, of course, Joe Kent in Washington in Washington 3, where they really spent almost $5 million in the last two weeks to try to trick the Republican elector into thinking that Donald Trump endorsed somebody else.
00:30:33.000 So we're going to be watching these races to see how, you know, it's still, no matter what, even in modern day, hard to break through the media narratives.
00:30:43.000 Rich Barris, big data polls.
00:30:44.000 God bless you, Rich.
00:30:45.000 Thank you so much.
00:30:46.000 As always, and deeply appreciate your commentary.
00:30:50.000 Hope to see you tonight on Real America's Voice.
00:30:52.000 You guys will see us again tonight.
00:30:53.000 I think we're going to go live around six.
00:30:55.000 Has that been confirmed yet, Connor?
00:30:58.000 And we'll also be on Rumble.
00:31:00.000 We will be on Getter.
00:31:01.000 We're going to be covering all the results live.
00:31:03.000 So if you guys want to see the results as they come in, rumble.com, the Charlie Kirk Show.
00:31:09.000 Make sure you subscribe to the Charlie Kirk show on your phone, podcast app.
00:31:13.000 Thanks so much for listening, everybody.
00:31:14.000 Email me your thoughts as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:31:17.000 Thanks so much for listening.
00:31:18.000 God bless.
00:31:21.000 For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to CharlieKirk. com.