The Charlie Kirk Show - November 01, 2021


Ask Charlie Anything 85: Can Virginia Go Red? America's Worst Statistic? And More


Episode Stats


Length

38 minutes

Words per minute

174.70204

Word count

6,694

Sentence count

611

Harmful content

Misogyny

13

sentences flagged

Toxicity

14

sentences flagged

Hate speech

17

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Why does America have the lowest rate of nuclear families in the world? It s a stunning story, and it ties to a news story that is stunningly simple: It s because we don t have enough single-parent families.

Transcript

Transcripts from "The Charlie Kirk Show" are sourced from the Knowledge Fight Interactive Search Tool. Explore them interactively here.
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody.
00:00:00.000 Happy Monday.
00:00:02.000 I am taking your questions.
00:00:03.000 You guys have emailed us, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:00:06.000 We have Richard Barris coming on our program to give us a piece-by-piece breakdown of the Virginia race, governor's race, which is happening tomorrow.
00:00:16.000 By the way, tune in Tuesday night for non-stop election coverage on our Rumble channel and YouTube channel.
00:00:23.000 You guys know where to find us.
00:00:24.000 We'll be breaking it down as it happens.
00:00:27.000 So make sure you check it out and email us your thoughts, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:00:32.000 That's freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:00:34.000 We go into a lot of different stories today, including why does America have the lowest rate of nuclear families in the world?
00:00:45.000 It's a stunning story.
00:00:46.000 We go through that and so much more.
00:00:49.000 And we have the election preview for Virginia.
00:00:52.000 So text this one to your friends.
00:00:54.000 I want to thank those of you that support our program generously.
00:00:58.000 Thank you, thank you, thank you for getting behind us.
00:01:01.000 If you want to support our program, go to charliekirk.com slash support.
00:01:05.000 That's charliekirk.com slash support to get behind the work we are doing, to hire more staff, to strengthen our program.
00:01:12.000 If you want to make us cancel proof, and if we've blessed you in any way, go to charliekirk.com slash support and get behind the work we are doing.
00:01:20.000 Everybody, get your tickets now.
00:01:22.000 Take out your phones and go to tpusa.com slash A-M-F-E-S-T.
00:01:22.000 That's right.
00:01:26.000 Donald Trump Jr., Candace Owens, Kaylee McEnany, Tucker Carlson, and some bigger speakers yet to be announced.
00:01:33.000 December 18, December 19, 20, and 21, tpusa.com slash AMFEST.
00:01:40.000 Tickets are running out, everybody.
00:01:42.000 So get your tickets today to come to AmericaFest, tpusa.com slash A-M-F-E-S-T, tp-usa.com slash amfest.
00:01:52.000 Email me directly, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:01:54.000 That's the best way to stay in touch with us.
00:01:56.000 Buckle up, everybody here.
00:01:57.000 We go.
00:01:58.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.
00:02:00.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campus.
00:02:02.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.
00:02:05.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.
00:02:09.000 I want to thank Charlie.
00:02:10.000 He's an incredible guy.
00:02:11.000 His spirit, his love of this country.
00:02:12.000 He's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created, Turning Point USA.
00:02:19.000 We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:02:28.000 That's why we are here.
00:02:31.000 Hey, everybody.
00:02:32.000 This episode is brought to you by my friends at ExpressVPN, expressvpn.com slash Charlie.
00:02:39.000 Secure your device, anonymize your online activity, protect your action online, expressvpn.com slash Charlie.
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00:02:58.000 Nicholas from Maine says, Charlie, I hear you talk about single motherhood a lot.
00:03:03.000 What are some solutions to that and how big is the problem?
00:03:06.000 So I chose that question intentionally because it actually ties to a news story that is stunning.
00:03:13.000 And I want to work through this with all of you.
00:03:15.000 I don't, I don't even know how to start with this news story.
00:03:19.000 I don't.
00:03:21.000 This news story is perplexing.
00:03:23.000 It's confusing.
00:03:26.000 And if it's true, this should be a fire alarm.
00:03:28.000 This is something where the leaders of our country should have a special session of Congress and slow down and say, whatever we're doing, it's not working.
00:03:39.000 This is civilization ending stuff, what I have in my hands.
00:03:42.000 If it's true, and I don't know if it's true, and I have multiple different explanations, and I want your thoughts on this story, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:03:51.000 I guess the study was from a couple years ago.
00:03:55.000 United States has world's highest rate of children living in single-parent households.
00:04:03.000 And there's no way it's gotten better, by the way, since the virus.
00:04:09.000 Almost a quarter of U.S. children live in single-parent homes more than any other country on the planet.
00:04:19.000 Let me say that again.
00:04:20.000 More than any other country on the planet.
00:04:23.000 And so the obvious explanation as to why this is, is wealth is in poorer countries, you just don't have the money or the luxury or the ability to break up a family.
00:04:34.000 You need a nuclear family to stay alive in Zambia. 0.96
00:04:37.000 Even if you don't like your husband or don't like your wife, what keeps you together is survival.
00:04:42.000 Well, in America, because of our abundance of garbage we've imported from China and our instantaneous scientific and technological economy that's rigged towards instant gratification, it's like, I don't like my spouse, I'm just going to leave. 1.00
00:04:56.000 And in a perverse way, wealth has made our moral fabric weaker.
00:05:03.000 I want you to think about that.
00:05:04.000 Now, a libertarian won't agree with that.
00:05:08.000 A staunch libertarian person who just defends abstractions all day long, they say, no, no, no, it's what you do with it.
00:05:15.000 That's the silliest argument I've ever heard, okay?
00:05:17.000 There are externalities to conditions. 0.87
00:05:21.000 Economics teaches you that.
00:05:23.000 So 23% of U.S. children live in single-parent homes.
00:05:29.000 The next highest on the planet is the United Kingdom, 21%.
00:05:35.000 That's a wealthy country.
00:05:37.000 Russia, 18%. 0.51
00:05:39.000 Not as wealthy, but definitely previously war-torn.
00:05:47.000 We have more children living without parents than countries that are known for orphans without two parents.
00:05:54.000 Kenya, 16%.
00:05:56.000 Japan, only 7%.
00:05:58.000 India, which is one of the poorest countries on the planet, 5%.
00:06:04.000 Brazil, 10%. 0.51
00:06:07.000 Pew Research says while U.S. children are more likely than children elsewhere to live in single-parent households, they're much less likely to live in extended families, of course.
00:06:16.000 We farm out the treatment of elderly people to nursing homes.
00:06:20.000 It's part of the American tradition, I guess.
00:06:25.000 In the United States, 8% of children live with relatives, such as grandparents and aunts, compared to 38% of children globally.
00:06:31.000 This has been intentional, though.
00:06:33.000 And this is something that we as conservatives must say, this is not right.
00:06:37.000 Now, mind you, moderate Republicans and liberal conservatives, they have no problem with these numbers. 0.80
00:06:42.000 All they care about is economic projections, GDP growth, how much garbage we're importing from China. 0.99
00:06:48.000 But we as conservatives, we need to say, no, no, we care about the health of the society as a whole, not public health like CDC and NIH and all that nonsense that they've been propagandizing us.
00:06:57.000 The 23% of kids in America are growing up without two parents.
00:07:03.000 Time out.
00:07:03.000 That's the highest in the world.
00:07:05.000 What are we doing that's forcing it that way?
00:07:07.000 Well, it's easier to divorce in America than ever before.
00:07:11.000 It's easier to have children in America without being married and staying in a relationship.
00:07:16.000 I'm going to get us in some trouble.
00:07:17.000 You ready for this?
00:07:18.000 The feminist movement is largely to blame for this as well.
00:07:23.000 The American feminist movement is largely to blame for the separation of nuclear families. 0.92
00:07:30.000 Instead of figuring it out, it's, I'm done.
00:07:34.000 And luxury and wealth allows this to happen because there is not an economic necessity to actually keep families together.
00:07:45.000 You want to know why America all of a sudden is becoming two totally different countries or multiple different countries where the wealthy remain infinitely wealthy and the middle class gets absolutely crushed?
00:07:55.000 This is one of the reasons.
00:07:57.000 This is one of the reasons.
00:07:59.000 And no one wants to talk about this.
00:08:00.000 Instead, we're talking about systemic racism.
00:08:02.000 What is that?
00:08:04.000 How about the fact that 23% of kids in America don't have two parents in the home?
00:08:10.000 Pew research.
00:08:11.000 We're going to post this at charliekirk.com.
00:08:14.000 It's so incredible.
00:08:15.000 It takes your breath away.
00:08:17.000 That in Japan, 7%, China, 3%, Israel, 5%. 0.93
00:08:22.000 By far the highest of children that are growing up in single-parent homes.
00:08:28.000 We know children growing up in single-parent homes are more likely to then take government assistance.
00:08:33.000 They're more likely to live on the dole, more likely to go to prison.
00:08:38.000 Why aren't we having a national project to try to solve this?
00:08:41.000 Oh, no, instead, our corporations, they're okay with this because they just want to hit their profit earning projections.
00:08:48.000 That's all they care about.
00:08:49.000 They want to addict us to more sugary drinks or instantaneous dopamine rushes from your smartphones or products that you don't need that are going to fill your closets or your garages while the country continues to deteriorate.
00:09:03.000 No, in order to actually get the country back to a place of where you could recognize it, it would be nice if all of a sudden we had a campaign to say, how are we going to lower the single parent threshold? 0.98
00:09:16.000 And we are the worst on the planet on this.
00:09:20.000 That should be humiliating.
00:09:22.000 I don't care about our GDP rate.
00:09:23.000 I care about how many kids are growing up with fathers and mothers in the home.
00:09:27.000 I think that's way more important than we have corporate earning projections.
00:09:31.000 Oh, look at the stock market.
00:09:32.000 It's off the charts.
00:09:33.000 I don't care.
00:09:34.000 There are 23% of kids without a father in the home.
00:09:37.000 Now, it doesn't say that it's about a father, but I guarantee that 99% of these are father abandonment, which also goes to show the emasculation of the American man that allows men to abandon their responsibilities to not stay with a woman after they have a child with her.
00:09:56.000 Turning men into women and women into men, this is how you get this. 0.96
00:10:00.000 The metamorphosis of traditional gender rules.
00:10:04.000 And there's other factors at play as well, obviously.
00:10:08.000 Men are so weak right now in America.
00:10:10.000 And I'm sure there's plenty of strong men.
00:10:12.000 I meet them all the time.
00:10:13.000 We have some that work for us.
00:10:14.000 But generally, men are the weakest that we have seen in American history.
00:10:22.000 And they've been beat down, quite honestly.
00:10:28.000 And you talk to a 15 or 16-year-old young boy at every turn. 0.99
00:10:31.000 If they're a white young boy, white people are the problem. 0.98
00:10:34.000 We're going to get into what ATT said next. 0.98
00:10:36.000 We have a question about that because that ties right into this.
00:10:38.000 And then we have a question about mass sterilization.
00:10:41.000 New story out of New York Post.
00:10:43.000 Humans are a mistake.
00:10:44.000 Why more young women are getting sterilized from the New York Post? 1.00
00:10:49.000 Literally, New York Post story.
00:10:51.000 Humans are a mistake.
00:10:53.000 Why more young women are getting sterilized? 1.00
00:10:56.000 We will cover that in a second.
00:10:59.000 But yeah, young men, especially young white men, are getting beat down all the time.
00:11:04.000 But it is young men of every single racial color that are experiencing a massive and deliberate campaign to try to make them feel weak, to try to suppress their ambition, to try and suffocate their dreams.
00:11:21.000 And so you get a whole mixture of this.
00:11:27.000 So here is the question.
00:11:28.000 And boy, this, you want to talk about sexual anarchy?
00:11:31.000 This is sexual anarchy.
00:11:33.000 What I said a couple of weeks ago, people lost their minds.
00:11:35.000 It's what it is.
00:11:37.000 This is not good for anybody.
00:11:38.000 This is not good for children.
00:11:39.000 It's not good for the parents.
00:11:40.000 It's not good for the society.
00:11:41.000 It's not good for the country.
00:11:43.000 Where 23% of American kids are growing up in single-parent homes.
00:11:47.000 Highest rate on the planet.
00:11:50.000 It'll make us poorer.
00:11:51.000 It'll make America more dangerous.
00:11:52.000 It'll make America a political pressure cooker.
00:11:54.000 And guess what?
00:11:55.000 Those young people that are raised without fathers, they will find meaning in social activism groups.
00:12:00.000 They'll find meaning on digital social media.
00:12:02.000 They'll find meaning in crime.
00:12:04.000 They'll find meaning in political activism.
00:12:06.000 Or they'll find meaning in the state.
00:12:08.000 As the family dies, the country falls alongside of it.
00:12:13.000 Big tech is monitoring, censoring, mining, and selling your online information.
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00:13:10.000 Similar question here from Susie from Mississippi.
00:13:15.000 Charlie, why are birth rates going down and how does it relate to our current culture?
00:13:20.000 And I'm kind of paraphrasing it here.
00:13:22.000 New York Post, it kind of ties perfectly into this.
00:13:26.000 Humans are a mistake, New York Post says, why young women are getting sterilized. 0.97
00:13:31.000 Rachel Diamond looks like most of the moms at the Park Slope Cafe where we meet. 1.00
00:13:35.000 She's wearing a green t-shirt under a black corduroy jumper, sensible shoes, and carries a smart leather bag.
00:13:41.000 She sips a $4 iced chai tea latte.
00:13:45.000 Except the 31-year-old isn't a mom, and she never will be.
00:13:48.000 You know, she said, I never expected to be the poster child of sterilization.
00:13:52.000 One, on the aspiring actors TikTok, one finds short, funny videos.
00:13:55.000 Diamond job working to register at the cafe near Union Square and updates on her rescue pit bull.
00:14:00.000 Rue, who has anemia.
00:14:03.000 Oh, but she likes dogs, but not humans.
00:14:05.000 It's been five months, and she's had her fallopian tubes cut, not tied, and she has 64,000 followers.
00:14:05.000 Interesting.
00:14:11.000 She's done videos such as sterilization, being child-free. 0.87
00:14:15.000 We do know what we're missing.
00:14:17.000 She says, looking back, I never pretended that my American girl dolls were children.
00:14:21.000 They were always my sisters.
00:14:22.000 They were little things showing that I wasn't pretending myself for motherhood.
00:14:25.000 I think for me, it's as Anada saying, I've always wanted to be a mom.
00:14:30.000 Diamond is hardly an outlier.
00:14:32.000 Americans are making fewer babies than we've seen since starting to keeping track since the 1930s.
00:14:36.000 And some women, like Diamond, are not just putting off pregnancy, but eliminating the possibility of it altogether. 1.00
00:14:42.000 Last year, the number of deaths exceeded the number of births in 25 states, up from five the year before.
00:14:49.000 The marriage rate is also at an all-time low, at 6.5 marriages per 1,000 people.
00:14:54.000 Millennials are the first generation where a majority are unmarried, about 56%.
00:14:59.000 They're also more likely to live with their parents, according to Pew, than previous generations were in their 20s and 30s.
00:15:05.000 Humans are a mistake, the New York Post writes.
00:15:07.000 Now, they don't believe it.
00:15:08.000 They're just actually, they wrote a really good article here.
00:15:10.000 And I like the New York Post.
00:15:13.000 They're also the most sexless generation in American history. 0.78
00:15:16.000 The number of young men who admit they've had no sex in the past year has tripled between 2008 and 2018.
00:15:22.000 Cities like New York, where young secular Americans flock to build their lives, are increasingly childless.
00:15:28.000 In San Francisco, there are more dogs than children.
00:15:32.000 Let me say that again.
00:15:33.000 In San Francisco, there are more dogs than children.
00:15:35.000 And the explanation of this is so easy.
00:15:38.000 The more secular your country becomes, why have children?
00:15:41.000 If you don't believe in a transcendent order or in God, what's the point?
00:15:45.000 They're an inconvenience.
00:15:46.000 That's what college teaches you.
00:15:47.000 College teaches you humans are the problem, and trees are the answer.
00:15:52.000 And this is not a small, these are AOC's people, by the way.
00:15:58.000 It used to be that people wanted to have children, women, especially, but also men.
00:16:03.000 That was a young, healthy person's default position, and our existence depended on it.
00:16:07.000 We wanted to do other things, of course.
00:16:08.000 And a great post-feminist challenge was now to have it all. 0.83
00:16:12.000 It's a lie.
00:16:13.000 The proper work-life balance, the career and the baby, the supportive husband, and the adventurous life.
00:16:18.000 But now, for an increasing number, the question isn't how to have it at all.
00:16:21.000 It's why do it at all?
00:16:24.000 This is so nihilistic, and it's exactly where our culture is headed. 1.00
00:16:28.000 When you send your children to college, they get fed with this propaganda, this garbage. 0.98
00:16:32.000 The psychological reverser didn't just happen. 0.65
00:16:34.000 It took place inside the hurricane of spiritual, cultural, and environmental forces swirling around us.
00:16:38.000 Who wrote this piece, by the way?
00:16:39.000 Susie Weiss did a great job.
00:16:42.000 The message for the young cohort is clear.
00:16:45.000 Life is already exhausting enough, and the world is broken and burning.
00:16:48.000 Who would want to bring new, innocent life into a criminally unequal society situated on a planet with a catastrophically rising sea levels? 0.90
00:16:54.000 You see, the Greta Thunberg worldview is in the elimination of the human species. 1.00
00:16:58.000 Let me say that again.
00:17:00.000 The Greta Thunberg worldview is focused on the elimination of the human species. 1.00
00:17:10.000 Why have human beings that the world's going to end?
00:17:12.000 That's the extrapolation of that.
00:17:14.000 New York Post does a great job of it.
00:17:17.000 39% of Gen Zers are hesitant to procreate for fear of a climate apocalypse.
00:17:23.000 A nationally representative study of adults in Michigan found that a quarter of adults are child-free by choice.
00:17:30.000 And new research by the Institute of Family Studies found that the desire to have children among adults decreased by 17%.
00:17:35.000 I am not kidding when I say this.
00:17:37.000 If these trends continue, America is going to be a very conservative country by 2050.
00:17:42.000 We're going to be the only ones having children.
00:17:44.000 Now, if this is as dramatic as they say it is, this is incredible.
00:17:50.000 I think it's morally wrong to bring a child into this world, said Isabel, a self-proclaimed anti-natalist who lives in southwestern Texas.
00:17:57.000 No matter how good someone has it, they will suffer.
00:18:01.000 Think about the worldview you must have.
00:18:03.000 No matter how bad someone has it, they will suffer.
00:18:06.000 That is a Buddhist principle, by the way.
00:18:08.000 The first universal principle of Buddhism is life is suffering.
00:18:10.000 Life is also beautiful.
00:18:12.000 There's joy and wonder.
00:18:14.000 But this is what happens.
00:18:15.000 They go to college and they get filled with this stuff.
00:18:19.000 The real estate market is extremely hot right now.
00:18:22.000 People are taking advantage of low interest rates and economic uncertainty by investing in real assets.
00:18:27.000 Whether you are a first-time buyer or just looking to make a change, the key is to get the property you want is being pre-qualified and having cash in hand.
00:18:34.000 That's why you guys, all of us, myself included, I had to stop doing this.
00:18:38.000 I had to stop using the big banks.
00:18:39.000 I used a big bank for a loan previously.
00:18:42.000 It was a disaster.
00:18:43.000 It took forever.
00:18:43.000 Not to mention, I go look at their score on secondvote.com.
00:18:47.000 Like, wow, my loan helped fund abortions.
00:18:49.000 BLM Incorporated, burning down of Wendy's, the destruction of our society. 1.00
00:18:54.000 I'm done with it.
00:18:55.000 Then I met Andrew and Todd, Andrew Del Ray and Todd of Akien, who become great friends of mine, AndrewandTodd.com.
00:19:01.000 They are with Sierra Pacific Mortgage.
00:19:03.000 My producer, Andrew, he's working with them right now, and he tells me they are part counselors, part financial planners, and they're really helping them.
00:19:09.000 And I'm about to use them for something.
00:19:10.000 I've been so impressed by them.
00:19:11.000 But they are bankers, not brokers.
00:19:14.000 That means that they can help you start to finish.
00:19:16.000 But quite honestly, let's divest and take all of our money out of these woke banks.
00:19:20.000 So maybe you're buying a new home.
00:19:22.000 Maybe you're refinancing.
00:19:23.000 Whatever process you're going through, just fill out a couple of simple questions online at AndrewandTodd.com.
00:19:28.000 They can assess your situation right over the phone.
00:19:30.000 Go to AndrewandTodd.com or call IAAA 8881172.
00:19:33.000 That's IAA 8881172.
00:19:34.000 Even if you have a friend who's buying a home, I'm sure every single person knows someone that's buying a home.
00:19:38.000 Just put your arm around him and say, hey, go to Andrewandodd.com.
00:19:41.000 Charlie Kirk speaks favorably of them.
00:19:43.000 Here's what I can guarantee with AndrewandTodd.com.
00:19:46.000 Zero of the proceeds will go to fund abortion.
00:19:51.000 Zero will go to fund BLM.
00:19:53.000 Zero will go to fund the woke industrial complex instead. 0.87
00:19:55.000 Andrew and Todd, they support shows like ours.
00:19:58.000 They want to help patriots, Christians, and people that love their country and love the Lord take out loans and do it correctly.
00:20:05.000 So go to AndrewandTodd.com.
00:20:07.000 Call 888 888 1172.
00:20:09.000 That's 888 888 1172.
00:20:12.000 AndrewandTodd.com.
00:20:13.000 Support the good guys and stop supporting companies and banks that hate you.
00:20:18.000 The banks have waged war on our values.
00:20:20.000 Time to say Sayonara via Condios.
00:20:23.000 Alvita Sane.
00:20:24.000 I'll be going to andrewandodd.com.
00:20:30.000 Okay, let's get to Richard Barris.
00:20:32.000 Do we have Richard Barris on the line?
00:20:34.000 I can hear you, Charlie.
00:20:36.000 How you doing?
00:20:38.000 Doing great.
00:20:38.000 All right.
00:20:39.000 So I see you off to the side here.
00:20:40.000 So if it looks like I'm looking to the side, I apologize.
00:20:44.000 Yeah, that's cool.
00:20:44.000 So, Richard, you are, you're smart, much smarter than Nate Silver.
00:20:48.000 I say that every time you come on.
00:20:50.000 And you get things right.
00:20:52.000 You do a terrific job.
00:20:53.000 And you're the best with polling and political predictions that I've seen.
00:20:57.000 And so let's talk about what's happening in Virginia.
00:21:00.000 Let's just kind of take this piece by piece.
00:21:01.000 We got about 10 minutes to go through this.
00:21:03.000 Where was this race six months ago and how and why did it develop into the tight race it is today?
00:21:09.000 Yeah, I mean, even a month ago, Charlie, you know, McAuliffe, he was a former Democratic governor who left supposedly with an approval rating around 54%.
00:21:19.000 This should really not have been a race.
00:21:21.000 Virginia is, even with the current climate, Virginia is, you know, had Joe Biden won at 10 points, 54, 44.
00:21:28.000 What really is going on in the last eight months or so, six months, Democrats began to erode support in Virginia, and it's coming from independents.
00:21:36.000 The Democratic base is a little leakage there, but it really is coming from independents and third-party voters who supported Democrats last November.
00:21:44.000 And at the end of the day, Glenn Younken turned the page almost at the perfect time.
00:21:51.000 And it wasn't only him, he had help, but the public education issues soared to the forefront.
00:21:56.000 And Democrats, the whole time throughout these last few months, wanted this to be about Medicare expansion, Medicaid expansion, Trump, amazingly, and of course, about the pandemic response.
00:22:11.000 And instead, Charlie, three out of the four top issues are Republican environment issues.
00:22:17.000 So jobs in the economy is number one.
00:22:19.000 Taxes, inflation, and cost of living is number two.
00:22:22.000 And now three is public education.
00:22:25.000 And four is coronavirus.
00:22:27.000 So it just turned on McCall of all of the, it was like the perfect storm.
00:22:31.000 You know, it turned all the political stars aligned for Yunkin.
00:22:34.000 And we see he's got a lead now.
00:22:36.000 He does.
00:22:37.000 And now, do you see a difference in how Junckin has been campaigning?
00:22:42.000 Did you see kind of a shedding of the Chamber of Commerce mentality and an embrace and more of a kind of grassrootsy-focused type campaign?
00:22:51.000 Yeah, I did.
00:22:51.000 And he did it at the right time.
00:22:53.000 I mean, timing is everything in politics.
00:22:55.000 And when we first, two weeks ago or so, we had the race really close, but it looked like McAuliffe still had a little bit of an edge.
00:23:03.000 And he started hammering the Loudoun County issue.
00:23:06.000 At that time, only 33% of voters told us they were aware of the report in Loudoun County.
00:23:11.000 They weren't aware there was a sexual assault.
00:23:13.000 They weren't aware of critical race theory.
00:23:16.000 They weren't aware of parents being removed from board of education hearings for questioning sexual assaults on their daughters.
00:23:24.000 And Glenn Young, you know, sometimes if you're trying to reach the voter who's reading the Washington Post or watching something other than Fox or the Daily Wire, then you have to be that proactive candidate who brings their attention to the forefront.
00:23:40.000 And he did that.
00:23:40.000 And he said, I demand an investigation.
00:23:42.000 Day one is governor.
00:23:43.000 I'll ban critical race theory.
00:23:45.000 And what we saw was a slew of independents say, what is he talking about?
00:23:50.000 And then they went and they educated themselves.
00:23:53.000 And now today, as it's today, about half of the electorate is aware of those stories.
00:23:58.000 The more they were aware, the more likely they were to be a Youngkin voter.
00:24:02.000 So two, it's looking about two out of 10 voters.
00:24:05.000 He probably single-handedly educated on this issue.
00:24:08.000 And it's going to pay off.
00:24:10.000 It's going to pay off.
00:24:11.000 Well, and it's growing.
00:24:13.000 You see walkouts at the Loudoun County schools, right?
00:24:15.000 You see young people that are getting involved.
00:24:18.000 The media is even being forced to cover it.
00:24:20.000 And this is worse than anything McAuliffe could have imagined because a couple of weeks before, he went all in so arrogantly and so braggadociously who are parents to think that they have a say in their education.
00:24:32.000 And he was still up pretty big in the polls when he said that because that's stuff people say when they're running for governor in California or Oregon.
00:24:39.000 Like they're untouchable, right?
00:24:40.000 That's like an untouchable type thing to say.
00:24:43.000 And then you have this, the bombshell report from the Daily Wire and it got covered everywhere else where it's okay, the superintendent, the criminal, he knew about it, lied about it at the meeting, sent an email about it. 0.96
00:24:55.000 They sent the rapists to another school after he raped one girl. 0.88
00:24:58.000 They covered it up. 0.99
00:24:59.000 It's worse.
00:25:00.000 It's if you were to concoct just a absolute just like criminal conspiracy.
00:25:06.000 I don't use that word lightly, Richard.
00:25:08.000 Now, Richard, I want you to help us with this one, which is what parts of Virginia should we be looking at on Tuesday?
00:25:08.000 That's what it would be.
00:25:16.000 I think you're going to be joining our program Tuesday if you can, our live stream.
00:25:20.000 We're able to cross.
00:25:20.000 I know you do your own.
00:25:21.000 Yeah, you can do that.
00:25:22.000 Just kind of give us a little preview.
00:25:23.000 That's like what country counties.
00:25:26.000 Yeah, I was just going to say, Charlie, the first place I'm going to look is Loudoun County, because to really understand how Glenn Young can win this race, you've got to know how Republicans lost Virginia.
00:25:36.000 And Fairfax is always going to go 75-25 to the Democratic candidate.
00:25:41.000 But once upon a time, when it was a light red state, Republicans won or kept Loudoun close.
00:25:47.000 And that is a high population zone.
00:25:49.000 If Glenn Young is leading in Loudoun County, it's over.
00:25:54.000 But he needs to battle it close to four to eight points around that margin.
00:26:00.000 If it is, then his lead in the Shenandoah Valley, the mountain region will, you know, the equation goes that it'll put him over.
00:26:08.000 As long as, again, Hampton Roads, Richmond South, he's running stronger there than recent Republican candidates.
00:26:16.000 So it really does come down to Louden.
00:26:18.000 He needs to not get blown out there.
00:26:20.000 Yes.
00:26:20.000 And the D.C. suburbs in general.
00:26:22.000 Ken Cuccinelli got about 39% overall of the D.C. suburbs.
00:26:27.000 We have Glenn Young in the low, you know, threatening to hit mid-40s.
00:26:33.000 Then he went over.
00:26:34.000 I mean, I don't want to be overly over.
00:26:36.000 I mean, I don't want to be overly bullish.
00:26:38.000 But there's this interesting coalition because of what Biden's doing to our country, intentionally destroying it.
00:26:44.000 The rurals are going to show up.
00:26:46.000 The people are in Virginia.
00:26:47.000 It's like a pressure cooker.
00:26:48.000 Even though Youngkin is kind of a boring Mitt Romney, they don't care. 0.78
00:26:51.000 They're like, I just, I want to send a message.
00:26:53.000 I want to, you know what I mean?
00:26:54.000 That's what I'm seeing, at least in polling and grassroots.
00:26:57.000 I mean, all across the southwestern region of Virginia, the score is going to get run up.
00:27:02.000 But in Virginia, there are three power centers for the Democrat dominance.
00:27:06.000 The suburbs of Washington, D.C., the ruling class, Fairfax, Loudoun County, the Virginia Beach area, and Richmond.
00:27:13.000 Do we see any movement in Virginia Beach and Richmond?
00:27:15.000 Do we see any, or are those probably going to be pretty reliable for McCall?
00:27:19.000 I mean, I wouldn't say Yunkin's going to win those areas, but he's running much tighter than either Ed Gillespie against Ralph Northam or Kennedy or Ken Cuccinelli against Terry McAuliffe the first time, which was a very close race, if people remember.
00:27:38.000 But this is really, and you just nailed it because you were talking about those voters.
00:27:42.000 Joe Biden won Virginia, like I said, 54-44, but it wasn't because they had this huge Democratic advantage in the electorate.
00:27:50.000 It was D plus two.
00:27:51.000 That's it.
00:27:51.000 The independent and third-party voters backed Biden by almost a 20-point margin, if you believe the exit polls.
00:27:58.000 Now, 34% approve of the job they're doing, and they're going for Yunkin at last count by 13 points.
00:28:05.000 And that's, by the way, that's growing.
00:28:07.000 We had some actually trickling today.
00:28:08.000 We'll probably do one more little update, but this is generally the final result, which is the Yunkin plus three.
00:28:15.000 These are not voters who came out of nowhere or new voters.
00:28:19.000 They backed Biden last November.
00:28:22.000 They changed their mind now.
00:28:24.000 They're going Republican.
00:28:25.000 It's a big difference.
00:28:27.000 And McAuliffe would need a bigger Democratic advantage Tuesday in the electorate, the partisan makeup of the electorate.
00:28:34.000 He would need a bigger advantage than Joe Biden got over Donald Trump.
00:28:38.000 Ralph Northam, it was D plus six to D plus eight.
00:28:41.000 Depends whether you believe exit polls or the Fox voter analysis.
00:28:44.000 That's not going to happen.
00:28:45.000 That was a pro-Democratic year, depressed Republican enthusiasm and turnout.
00:28:50.000 This is a pro-Republican year with depressed Democrat enthusiasm.
00:28:54.000 So, you know, history is history, Charlie.
00:28:56.000 Virginia's got a long history of doing this. 1.00
00:28:59.000 I was, which is, which is to say, voting for the out-of-power party candidate.
00:29:05.000 So if the White House was won by a Republican the prior year, they'll vote for the Democrat for governor.
00:29:09.000 They've been doing this for decades.
00:29:11.000 I questioned whether this pattern would continue because as the state got more Democratic, Democrats are not as, they're more rigid, right?
00:29:19.000 And I use this example, but it's true. 0.73
00:29:21.000 If this was a, if we reversed the roles in a state like Alabama and the candidate like Roy Moore was the Democratic candidate and it was a blue state, Roy Moore probably still would have won because Democrats are more rigid.
00:29:33.000 Their partisan leanings are, I hate to say less tolerant.
00:29:38.000 Yeah, but it's true, right?
00:29:40.000 This time around, it's not that they're leaking from Terry McAuliffe.
00:29:45.000 They're not.
00:29:46.000 I mean, the crossover vote is about equal.
00:29:48.000 It's the independent group and the third party group.
00:29:52.000 Yunkin is killing, killing McAuliffe among people who call themselves libertarians, Green Party, you know, different.
00:29:59.000 They have other third-party affiliations.
00:30:01.000 And that's just that, and that tells me that's just the basic indictment of the system vote.
00:30:06.000 I hate people in charge.
00:30:07.000 I want to send them a message.
00:30:08.000 So we have a question here from Carl from Maryland, not too far away.
00:30:15.000 How can we be assured they're not going to enact shenanigans, tomfoolery, and kind of the typical late night voting dumps that we've become so accustomed to?
00:30:25.000 Richard, what's your anticipation with that when it comes to election integrity going into Tuesday?
00:30:31.000 You know, you can't is the answer to that question.
00:30:33.000 So you got to vote, You know, build up the buffer, get beyond the margin of shenanigans, and it can be done.
00:30:41.000 It can.
00:30:42.000 You know, God bless Bob Beckle.
00:30:45.000 I'll never forget this.
00:30:46.000 2004, Ed Gillespie versus Mark Warner.
00:30:49.000 That was supposed to be a seven to 12 point win for incumbent Senator Mark Warner, who's a Democrat.
00:30:54.000 And, you know, it was really close.
00:30:57.000 Ed Gillespie was putting up a really good fight and a very loose Bob Beckle, you know, basically told the Fox News panel: don't worry about it.
00:31:04.000 We've been doing this in Fairfax for years.
00:31:07.000 We're going to find those votes, right?
00:31:09.000 But Gillespie did not have the momentum that we see with Yunkin.
00:31:13.000 They always, they've been doing this for a long time.
00:31:15.000 Bob Beckle's right.
00:31:16.000 And the look on the faces of that pal, Brett Baer, Dana Perina, you know, stunned like deer in headlights.
00:31:22.000 Did he really just say that out loud?
00:31:24.000 But it is true. 0.90
00:31:25.000 And they're going to, they're, you know, they're going to, Fairfax is going to Fairfax.
00:31:29.000 But if you outperform in Loudoun County, Arlington, Fredericks, you know, Fredericksburg, all of that, it's not going to matter.
00:31:37.000 And that's what I'm, that's what I'm, that's the message I would give to everybody who's concerned about that.
00:31:42.000 Just vote and it won't matter.
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00:31:56.000 Charlie Kirk here, all that, what looks like the top of the market.
00:32:00.000 What could possibly go wrong?
00:32:01.000 But the supply chain issues and inflation is here and also coming even more.
00:32:05.000 Unemployment climbing, isn't it all a bit risky?
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00:32:51.000 Okay, so Richard, we have a question here.
00:32:53.000 William from Oregon says, what would a Virginia governor's race mean?
00:32:58.000 National implications going into the midterms.
00:33:01.000 What kind of message would that send?
00:33:03.000 How big of a deal is this?
00:33:05.000 That's a great question.
00:33:06.000 You know, I would say already that it is a message.
00:33:11.000 Of course, a win for Republicans really would drive it home, and I'll tell you why.
00:33:15.000 But basically, what we are seeing, what Virginia tells us right now without even knowing the winner, is that Democrats and Joe Biden have lost at least 10 points in a state that is right in their backyard.
00:33:27.000 So it's supposed to be their power center.
00:33:30.000 Their economy relies on them.
00:33:32.000 So it means a lot for other states moving forward.
00:33:37.000 What I would say the win, though, would secure is there are a lot of moderates in the Republican Party that are afraid of these issues that Yunkin pivoted and decided to listen to the base and talk about education, CRT, even the transgender bathroom issues, which I'm sure you saw the polling, Charlie.
00:33:53.000 We did.
00:33:54.000 They are deeply unpopular.
00:33:56.000 Gender neutral bathrooms, transgender locker rooms, transgender sport competitions. 0.92
00:34:02.000 And what this will tell the Mitt Romney Republican is to stop being a coward because the American public is on your side. 0.84
00:34:09.000 And that's already starting to happen.
00:34:12.000 We are already speaking to establishment Republican strategists that are coming to the realization.
00:34:19.000 Wow, this really worked here, didn't it?
00:34:21.000 Yes, it did.
00:34:23.000 And I think that's a really important thing.
00:34:25.000 And they're doing everything they possibly can to try and the Democrats downplay this.
00:34:33.000 So they have brought, they brought in Obama.
00:34:35.000 They brought in all these different types of surrogates, right? 1.00
00:34:39.000 And so this is a similar type of question, but I'm going to ask this more specifically for one demographic.
00:34:44.000 And we have a question here from Bryce.
00:34:47.000 Yeah, let's say it's Bryson here.
00:34:49.000 It says, would this be a roadmap to win back suburban voters?
00:34:52.000 Because Richard, you and I talk about suburban voters a lot.
00:34:56.000 You talked a little bit about the polling.
00:34:58.000 It seems to be everything we've been told to win over suburban voters hasn't been true.
00:35:03.000 Maybe there's another way.
00:35:04.000 Yeah.
00:35:04.000 And the new culture war is a way back into suburbia.
00:35:10.000 It is.
00:35:10.000 And of course, it probably will increase even more the royal margin, but it is a way in.
00:35:15.000 And it is also urban voters, Charlie, that, you know, that just, I think people make the mistake of assuming they're okay with it because they live in that world.
00:35:25.000 But the fact is, you look at the parental status demographic in this poll.
00:35:30.000 And normally, if you have children and they're 18 years or older, that is the most conservative group.
00:35:35.000 They're out of school.
00:35:37.000 Those parents are already older.
00:35:39.000 They've been through the system.
00:35:40.000 They're kind of like wise to it.
00:35:42.000 And they're the most conservative.
00:35:43.000 But this time around in this race, Yunkin isn't, he's winning that group and he's winning them pretty nicely.
00:35:49.000 But that's not the biggest margin he has among parents.
00:35:52.000 It's school-age children under the age of 18.
00:35:55.000 And women in that category are problematic or have been for Republicans in the last four years or so. 1.00
00:36:02.000 That is not the case here.
00:36:03.000 McAuliffe is barely winning them.
00:36:05.000 And then men, which I'm calling like the revenge of the revenge of fathers, he is, McAuliffe is getting crushed among men who have children 18 years or younger in school.
00:36:17.000 And I can't imagine why that would be after they see, you know, images of a concerned father being drug out like a domestic terrorist of a board of education meeting because his daughter was sexually assaulted.
00:36:28.000 He's winning 60, Junkin is winning 67% of these men.
00:36:33.000 So, and by the way, we weren't the only ones to find that.
00:36:36.000 That was in the Fox poll yesterday, a 35-point margin.
00:36:39.000 We have a 36%.
00:36:40.000 I find it hard to believe that's not a winning equation, which is my last question for you, Richard.
00:36:45.000 Which is everyone's asking this.
00:36:47.000 What's your final prediction?
00:36:48.000 What's going to happen?
00:36:49.000 Yeah, I think it's Junkin' by three.
00:36:51.000 I do.
00:36:51.000 I think we nailed it.
00:36:52.000 If you look at where he's at, Charlie, undecideds that are remaining are already a Yunkin group. 1.00
00:36:58.000 There's some voter-rich targets in there for McAuliffe, but the problem is Yunkin is 0.5% away from a majority.
00:37:05.000 So, you know, you lose too many more black and brown voters to Yunkin.
00:37:08.000 It's a wrap. 0.84
00:37:09.000 It's a wrap.
00:37:10.000 Everybody, I hope you understand that when Richard Barris makes a prediction, you should write it down and take it to the bank.
00:37:17.000 And I hope you'll join us on Tuesday so we can see it.
00:37:20.000 Absolutely.
00:37:20.000 My last, last question.
00:37:21.000 Will we know a winner on Tuesday, or is this going to be another just circumstance?
00:37:26.000 You know, I should have included that in the, I think it was the first question, but yeah, Mark Elias has been hired by Terry McAuliffe.
00:37:33.000 Oh, so we, this is a man who was sanctioned by a judge for trying to overturn an election they lost in Iowa.
00:37:40.000 He, that's how he makes his millions, folks, by getting judges or trying to get judges to count votes that are otherwise illegal.
00:37:49.000 So, you know, they that that tells you they plan on stretching this thing out.
00:37:53.000 Richard Barris, big data polls.
00:37:54.000 We'll see you on Tuesday.
00:37:58.000 Thanks so much for listening, everybody.
00:37:59.000 Email us your thoughts, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:38:03.000 And as always, please get your tickets to amfest, t-p-us-a.com/slash amf.
00:38:09.000 Thank you for supporting us, everybody.
00:38:10.000 God bless.
00:38:11.000 Speak to you soon.
00:38:15.000 For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to CharlieKirk. com.