The Charlie Kirk Show - Game Time

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, today on the Charlie Kirk show, final polling shows President Trump and then the margin of error in Pennsylvania.

00:00:06.000 Bernie Sanders says a Joe Biden campaign will be a radical leftist takeover, and Joe Biden's closing argument sounds something like gibberish pig Latin.

00:00:15.000 That and so much more here in the Charlie Kirk show.

00:00:17.000 Please go vote.

00:00:18.000 Get your friends to do the same.

00:00:20.000 Get to the polls.

00:00:21.000 Do it loudly.

00:00:21.000 Do it proudly.

00:00:23.000 And email us, freedom at charliekirk.com, pictures of you voting and your friends doing that.

00:00:27.000 Post them on social media.

00:00:29.000 We have to win, everybody.

00:00:30.000 This isn't striking distance.

00:00:31.000 We need massive turnout.

00:00:32.000 The largest turnout the country has ever seen in the history of this republic.

00:00:37.000 We turn out, we win.

00:00:38.000 It's that simple.

00:00:39.000 Buckle up, everybody.

00:00:40.000 Here we go.

00:00:42.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.

00:00:43.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campuses.

00:00:45.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.

00:00:49.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.

00:00:52.000 I want to thank Charlie.

00:00:53.000 He's an incredible guy.

00:00:54.000 His spirit, his love of this country, he's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created.

00:01:01.000 Turning point USA.

00:01:03.000 We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.

00:01:11.000 That's why we are here.

00:01:15.000 This is the most important election of our lifetime.

00:01:19.000 Our values, our security, and our future are on the ballot.

00:01:23.000 Every American deserves to have their voice heard and their vote counted.

00:01:28.000 So visit yourvote2020.org to find your polling location.

00:01:32.000 Get to the polls, cast your ballot, visit yourvote2020.org because your voice, your values, your vote have never been more important.

00:01:42.000 Paid for by America First Policies Inc.

00:01:48.000 We've been crisscrossing the country.

00:01:49.000 We were in Florida.

00:01:51.000 We've been in North Carolina, Texas, Arizona, Wisconsin, Maine, Minnesota, Colorado.

00:02:00.000 We've been all across the country.

00:02:02.000 Especially in the last week, I started to see a paradigm shift.

00:02:08.000 We started to see data come in through early voting numbers, the final voter registration numbers.

00:02:17.000 We started to see our crowds explode in size.

00:02:22.000 And last week on Friday, when we finished off the week of the Charlie Kirk Show, I predicted that over the weekend, you were going to see some of this data materialize in the late polling.

00:02:35.000 Remember, polling is a lagging indicator.

00:02:39.000 It's not a leading indicator.

00:02:40.000 Polling only shows a snapshot of time, but it takes days to tabulate these polls.

00:02:46.000 You're only talking to maybe 800 to 1,000 people.

00:02:50.000 And things can be changing very rapidly.

00:02:54.000 For example, about a week and a half ago, a poll came out that showed that 8% of voters were still undecided.

00:03:02.000 8%.

00:03:03.000 That is a massive number considering how polarized people believe our country is.

00:03:10.000 And if you are still undecided about President Trump today, you are waiting for a reason to vote for President Trump.

00:03:17.000 So I had a phone call with a friend of mine who is very involved in politics and he runs a lot of national campaigns.

00:03:23.000 I consider him to be a data savant.

00:03:27.000 We were chatting on Saturday afternoon around 3 or 4 Wisconsin time, Central Time, and we were saying, ah, where is the polling that is reflecting what we're seeing in the early voting data, in the crowds, in the conversations?

00:03:42.000 And we both said, remember back in 2016 when the Des Moines Register poll came out?

00:03:48.000 I said, yeah, of course I remember that.

00:03:50.000 He said, well, it's supposed to come out in a couple hours.

00:03:53.000 Let's see what it says.

00:03:54.000 Now, back in 2016, I was traveling the country with Donald Trump Jr.

00:03:58.000 On my personal time, the weekend before the Tuesday shock election.

00:04:02.000 We were in Michigan, we were in Wisconsin, we were all across the country.

00:04:07.000 And I remember being with Don, and we saw this Des Moines Register poll come through that showed Donald Trump up seven points.

00:04:15.000 And I said, Don, if this ends up being correct, we're going to win the Midwest and we could win this election.

00:04:23.000 The Des Moines Register poll was the canary in the coal mine for the rural Democrats that were realizing quickly they were losing not just rural voters, but also independent voters.

00:04:40.000 So late on Saturday evening, after we got done campaigning in Wisconsin, the Des Moines Register poll came out.

00:04:47.000 I must have had at least 15 people texted to me in less than an hour.

00:04:50.000 And the Des Moines Register poll, which is considered to be the gold standard of polls, it's just the state poll, just in Iowa.

00:04:56.000 It is always done the Saturday evening before the Tuesday election.

00:04:59.000 It runs in the Sunday episode of the Des Moines Register.

00:05:04.000 Had President Donald Trump up seven points against Joe Biden, identical to 2016.

00:05:11.000 In September, this Iowa poll showed Donald Trump and Joe Biden tied 47 to 47.

00:05:19.000 The poll of 814 likely Iowa voters was conducted by Seltzer and Company of Des Moines.

00:05:26.000 It is an Iowa-based polling company.

00:05:28.000 They know how to poll the state of Iowa.

00:05:30.000 The most alarming number, though, is Joe Biden's 41%.

00:05:36.000 Donald Trump at 48%, Joe Biden at 41%.

00:05:40.000 3% of voters say that they're supporting somebody else.

00:05:43.000 2% of voters said they were undecided.

00:05:46.000 And 5% of voters said they don't want to tell or they don't want to reveal who they're voting for, which is code for Trump.

00:05:55.000 The headline is: Donald Trump takes over lead in Iowa as Joe Biden fades.

00:06:02.000 None of this is good news for Joe Biden.

00:06:06.000 They were tied in September, 47% to 47%, the same poll, the same sample size, one month, seven points.

00:06:15.000 Where Joe Biden goes down to 41, Donald Trump goes up to 48.

00:06:20.000 What changed?

00:06:23.000 Well, first of all, we learned that the Biden family is currently under federal investigation, which Hunter Biden is and probably his father.

00:06:30.000 We had a 33.1% GDP number on Friday.

00:06:33.000 And also, President Donald Trump successfully recovered from the Chinese coronavirus, and he has been campaigning like a madman.

00:06:42.000 No one in the history of American politics has ever seen this kind of ambitious campaign schedule ever.

00:06:52.000 President Donald Trump is drawing 20 to 30,000 people per rally, per stop.

00:06:58.000 He's in Fayetteville, North Carolina.

00:07:00.000 He will be in Michigan twice today, Wisconsin, and Scranton, Pennsylvania.

00:07:06.000 Yesterday, he was in Rome, Georgia, Opa, Laca, Florida.

00:07:10.000 He was in North Carolina.

00:07:13.000 He was in Michigan.

00:07:16.000 And I think he might have stopped in Wisconsin as well.

00:07:18.000 It's hard to keep track.

00:07:19.000 He has been crisscrossing the country, drawing massive crowds and massive enthusiasm.

00:07:24.000 And his message, his closing argument, has been phenomenal.

00:07:30.000 The Joe Biden closing argument has been the same old man, old angry man screaming at clouds using pig Latin argument that he's been saying the last couple of weeks, where he just says, everything is awful.

00:07:47.000 We're headed for a dark winter. 0.99

00:07:50.000 Trump is the worst thing ever. 0.53

00:07:51.000 And give us power because we're really angry about it. 0.96

00:07:54.000 That's basically the closing argument for Joe Biden.

00:07:57.000 If I was running the Biden campaign, which I never would, I would have suggested: why weren't they more positive and big and bold about what America could be?

00:08:08.000 It's because a lot, a very substantial part of the Democrat base doesn't want America to be successful, big, or bold.

00:08:17.000 They want America to be deconstructed.

00:08:19.000 They want the parts to be taken out.

00:08:22.000 They want redistribution.

00:08:25.000 So, this idea of a return to American exceptionalism is something that Joe Biden simply cannot communicate without turning off a major part of the Democrat base.

00:08:38.000 And now you're seeing, as Ernest Hemingway would say, this happened gradually than suddenly.

00:08:45.000 I've been waiting for this type of a poll for weeks because we started to see this in our travels.

00:08:50.000 We started to see this in the work we were doing at Turning Point Action, where normal people that were never involved in politics would show up and they'd say, I feel like I'm losing my country.

00:09:01.000 What can I do?

00:09:03.000 The activist media completely misses what Donald Trump represents and stands for.

00:09:09.000 They think it's a cult of personality.

00:09:11.000 It's not.

00:09:12.000 For some of his followers, they do enjoy the entertainment value of President Trump.

00:09:16.000 He represents something they can connect to, but it's a lot more sophisticated than that.

00:09:21.000 I wrote an entire book about this, the MAGA Doctrine, where President Donald Trump is a singular vessel for all of the combined betrayals, lies, unkept promises, poorly crafted trade deals, foolish immigration policies, corporate pandering.

00:09:49.000 He's a retaliation to all of it.

00:09:52.000 And he's also, he's a window into America's future back to strength, prosperity, exceptionalism.

00:10:03.000 And an America that truly is the greatest country ever to exist in the history of the world.

00:10:08.000 And people are starting to get it very quickly.

00:10:11.000 And what happened on Friday is all of a sudden that 8 to 10% of people that were undecided really started to pay attention to President Donald Trump's rallies.

00:10:21.000 The president has been on message spot on 10 out of 10.

00:10:25.000 He said, I'm going to open up the country safely.

00:10:27.000 Joe Biden's going to lock it down.

00:10:30.000 Biden will bring a depression and raise your taxes.

00:10:33.000 I won't.

00:10:34.000 I will protect your Second Amendment.

00:10:36.000 I have put on the court.

00:10:38.000 Amy Coney Barrett, Kavanaugh, and Gorsuch.

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00:10:49.000 They're mailing things all over the place.

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00:11:54.000 Joe Biden got a shock poll this weekend showing that he has plummeted to 41% in Iowa despite visiting the state of Iowa recently, spending tens of millions of dollars and also having a competitive Senate race against incumbent Senator Joni Ernst.

00:12:09.000 It is becoming more and more clear that Senator Joni Ernst will most likely win the Senate seat.

00:12:16.000 The Des Moines Register poll says Trump wins back independence, Biden loses ground with women.

00:12:23.000 Isn't that the opposite of what the activist media has been telling us?

00:12:26.000 Here's one of the biggest lies about politics, that the way things are a week out of the election is the way that they will stay.

00:12:35.000 Stop looking at things monolithically.

00:12:38.000 One of the most incredible and admirable traits of President Trump is how he views everything as a potential to improve.

00:12:49.000 Iowa was conjectured by Nate Silver and the professional pollsters, who are still predicting a Biden landside, by the way.

00:12:56.000 They're still saying that Joe Biden is going to win in a landslide.

00:13:00.000 I take great exception with that prediction.

00:13:03.000 That Iowa was a blue state.

00:13:05.000 It's going to vote for a Democrat senator.

00:13:07.000 It's kind of a waste of time to even think otherwise.

00:13:10.000 Now we have data to show the exact opposite.

00:13:14.000 And last evening, we have now seen an ABC News Washington Post poll that Donald Trump is up two in the critical state of Florida.

00:13:22.000 President Trump is up in North Carolina.

00:13:26.000 And in a shocking turn of events, Joe Biden, who had an average lead in the real clear politics average poll in battleground states of about five to six points, it has now plummeted to 2.9 points on the eve of the election.

00:13:44.000 President Donald Trump has regained the polling average in North Carolina, Arizona, and Florida.

00:13:51.000 And in 2016, President Donald Trump overperformed the battleground averages in certain states by six points and others by three to four points.

00:14:03.000 So what does all this mean going into the day before the election?

00:14:06.000 Well, we're learning a lot as early voting data is coming in.

00:14:09.000 For example, in the state of Florida, Democrats vastly underperformed in the state of Florida.

00:14:17.000 I rarely make predictions this confidently, but I can say with almost 95% certainty that President Donald Trump will win the state of Florida.

00:14:27.000 I will be stunned if President Trump does not win Florida.

00:14:30.000 And I'm looking at the same data that all the professional pundits and prognosticators are looking at.

00:14:35.000 And I went to Nate Silver's blog this morning, and he says Joe Biden has Florida completely and totally signed, sealed, and delivered.

00:14:43.000 The fact that Nate Silver is saying that, while I'm also looking at the same data that he has, just goes to show that I'm invalidating any other predictions that Larry Sabadeau or any of these professionals are giving out.

00:14:55.000 They know nothing more than an average person looking at this data.

00:14:59.000 For example, Miami-Dade County, where President Donald Trump drew 30,000 people last evening, is underperforming with early voting so significantly from 2016.

00:15:11.000 It is going to take a Democrat surge on Election Day to compensate for this.

00:15:17.000 The 2020 to 2016 early vote gap is a 4.7% advantage.

00:15:22.000 Trump, 47,941 votes.

00:15:25.000 In the state of Florida, Democrats lead early voting, in-person early voting, and vote by mail, Republican versus Democrat, not including non-party affiliates, which is NPAs, by 104,000 votes.

00:15:37.000 And now Gulf and Bay Counties are allowed to continue to vote today in the panhandle.

00:15:42.000 By comparison, in 2016, President Trump won the state by 113,000 votes, and Hillary Clinton led early voting by 96,000 votes.

00:15:52.000 Talking to congressmen and my friends in Florida, they anticipated being down 275 to 300,000 early votes in Florida.

00:16:01.000 And being down 100,000 with the panhandle, still allowing one extra day for early voting is an ideal scenario.

00:16:07.000 Republicans will win same-day voting in Florida by 350 to 400,000 votes, and non-party affiliates, independents in Florida, are trending slightly to President Trump's direction.

00:16:17.000 It is becoming almost insurmountable for the Democrats to make up this gap in Florida.

00:16:23.000 2020, 2016, in-person early voting in Florida and Miami-Dade County, 14.6% advantage Trump, 75,000 more votes.

00:16:33.000 General election, Trump versus Biden versus Jorgensen versus Hawkins in a national poll.

00:16:38.000 Again, I don't like national polls, but they can be somewhat instructive to see if there's a trend that we might be missing.

00:16:45.000 One week ago, USA Today Suffolk poll had Biden up seven.

00:16:51.000 JTN RMG Research had Biden up seven.

00:16:54.000 One week ago had CNBC Biden up 10.

00:16:58.000 New York Times, Sienna, Biden up nine.

00:17:00.000 Just out now, International Business Times, Biden up three.

00:17:05.000 His national polling lead cut nearly in half in just the last couple of days.

00:17:10.000 This is reflective of the collapsing of polling that we are seeing for Joe Biden all across the country.

00:17:18.000 And that is exactly the type of movement that President Trump needs to bring this thing home.

00:17:23.000 The Democrat advantage for in-person early voting in Miami-Dade County is just 403 votes.

00:17:30.000 In 2016, Democrats had a 70,000 vote advantage in Miami-Dade County.

00:17:39.000 Now, this points to lagging turnout in the Hispanic areas, and also that President Trump is doing better with Hispanics.

00:17:47.000 He is doing phenomenally well with Latino voters.

00:17:51.000 Let's play cut one.

00:17:52.000 I'm going to tell you exactly why President Donald Trump is doing so well with Hispanic voters. 0.89

00:17:57.000 Let's play cut one. 0.81

00:17:58.000 If Joe Biden wins, should another lockdown be on the table?

00:18:02.000 Well, hopefully, it doesn't come to that because we will see swift action coordinating with and supporting public health authorities, telling us what we can do as citizens without requiring any kind of mandates.

00:18:14.000 But everything has to be on the table in order to keep Americans safe.

00:18:17.000 Do you see how Pete Budag thinks he's just smarter than you?

00:18:20.000 He uses bigger words than typical politicians.

00:18:23.000 What specifically would Joe Biden do differently except lock down the country?

00:18:27.000 Coordinating and swift action?

00:18:30.000 It sounds good.

00:18:31.000 It makes you feel good.

00:18:32.000 What does that actually mean?

00:18:34.000 Pete Buttigieg thinks he's smarter than you.

00:18:36.000 Let's play that tape again.

00:18:37.000 Listen very carefully and try to make sense of exactly what Joe Biden would do except shutting the country down.

00:18:43.000 Play it again.

00:18:43.000 If Joe Biden wins, should another lockdown be on the table?

00:18:48.000 Well, hopefully it doesn't come to that because we will see swift action coordinating with and supporting public health authorities, telling us what we can do as citizens without requiring any kind of mandates.

00:18:59.000 But everything has to be on the table in order to keep Americans safe.

00:19:02.000 Everything has to be on the table.

00:19:04.000 So he uses nice, probably poll-tested words, coordinating a swift response supporting local public health officials.

00:19:13.000 And how exactly did President Trump not do that?

00:19:15.000 But this is exactly why Hispanic voters are coming to President Trump in record numbers.

00:19:20.000 In fact, it's so dramatic, it's so quick, and it's so sudden.

00:19:24.000 This could deliver the White House for President Donald Trump in record fashion.

00:19:29.000 Hispanic and Latino voters are traditionally taken for granted, just like the black community, by Democrat leaders and politicians.

00:19:38.000 Susan Crabtree from Rio Clear Politics says, can Latinos boost Trump's chances in Florida?

00:19:45.000 Quote, Democrats didn't anticipate a late surge in Latino voters for President Trump in Florida, and it's giving them nightmares.

00:19:51.000 Matt Isbel, a Florida-based Democrat data analyst, said, I have trouble sleeping last night.

00:19:56.000 It is stressing me out.

00:19:58.000 Perfect.

00:20:00.000 We've been having trouble sleeping the last couple months because we thought you guys might get near power.

00:20:04.000 Now you guys are having trouble sleeping. 0.93

00:20:07.000 When you threaten to shut down the country to a community that owns businesses, understands the value of family, wants open schools, and is appreciative for the greatest country ever to exist in the history of the world, a shutdown message to the Latino community is the exact opposite of what they want to hear.

00:20:27.000 I was in Miami, Florida, a couple days ago.

00:20:29.000 I spoke to a packed house of Hispanic, Cuban, and Republicans through Turning Point Action.

00:20:35.000 And a couple of the Hispanic organizers came up to me and they said, President Donald Trump is winning Hispanic voters because he's more exciting, he's more energizing, and he speaks to the heart and then to the head.

00:20:49.000 And what these Hispanic organizers were telling me is this is why they loved Barack Obama so much, is that he was, he gave them hope, he gave them excitement, that Latino and Hispanic voters want the candidate that has the big rallies, the loud music.

00:21:07.000 Again, I'm just relaying exactly what they said.

00:21:10.000 And they said, in order to win the Hispanic community, you have to show them that you care.

00:21:15.000 You have to show them that you have massive support.

00:21:18.000 And you can win a massive amount of Hispanic and Latino voters because of that.

00:21:23.000 Let's play cut four: Trump on how Biden's cruel lockdown would be devastating for Florida's tourist industry.

00:21:31.000 Phenomenal closing argument.

00:21:34.000 Play cut four.

00:21:35.000 Biden's cruel lockdown would be especially devastating for Florida's tourism and hospitality workers, for the services industry, and for millions of Latinos in Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and all across the country.

00:21:52.000 If you want a vaccine to kill the virus, a job to support your family, and freedom to live your life, then you have no choice but to cast your vote for a person named President Trump.

00:22:05.000 In a stunning turn of events, the media's fear-mongering around the virus is now not benefiting their narrative.

00:22:12.000 Because now that we have seen hospitalization and death rates go down, cases are up, but cases are completely and totally irrelevant to actually getting an understanding of the virus.

00:22:23.000 Most cases are asymptomatic.

00:22:24.000 Most people don't even know they have it.

00:22:26.000 Most people will survive it with nothing more than symptoms that are mildly annoying.

00:22:33.000 It's a very real virus for people in a certain demographic with certain underlying health conditions of a certain age group.

00:22:40.000 However, the vast majority of people that will be voting tomorrow want their country reopened quickly and swiftly.

00:22:47.000 And so then President Trump rightly plays into the other concerns that people have outside of the virus.

00:22:53.000 You see, the Democrats 90 days ago, they probably had a meeting and they thought that the virus would be the one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, and eight issue of every voter, and that will be a referendum on the president's handling of the virus.

00:23:06.000 Even though his handling has been fine, they're going to try to politically exploit all the pain. 0.98

00:23:10.000 But now that we're heading into November and people are realizing that savings are drying up, that jobs are not opening as quickly as they want to with these draconian Democrat lockdowns, the candidate who's talking about opening up the country, crushing the virus correctly, trusting the science, not just the political scientists like Dr. Anthony Fauci, who's a fool.

00:23:34.000 That message resonates at a fundamental level with the muscular class.

00:23:41.000 And Victor Davis Hansen pinpointed this perfectly a couple weeks ago, where he saw that the people who work at their hands are going to be the people that re-elect President Trump because they're the ones that are actually seeing the hours cut back.

00:23:54.000 They're the ones that are seeing the job openings no longer being posted.

00:23:58.000 They're the ones that are not getting the callbacks from employers.

00:24:01.000 They're the ones that actually have to do the grunt work.

00:24:03.000 While the Zoom and Skype class, the upper-middle-class white liberals, they have the luxury of being able to have Amazon products delivered to their home.

00:24:12.000 They have the luxury of being able to call the shots with plenty of money in the bank, plenty of savings, and plenty of institutional capital that gives them an advantage to tell other people to sit down and shut up and let's go give people like Pete Buttichech and Joe Biden power.

00:24:29.000 Hispanic and Latino voters comprise most of the American middle class and the working class.

00:24:35.000 Republicans have always failed to message the Latino and Hispanic voters.

00:24:40.000 And amazingly, the president has not changed one position on immigration, and yet he's winning a massive amount of Hispanic and Latino voters.

00:24:50.000 And I think it's going to be even greater on Tuesday than people realize.

00:24:53.000 How's that possible?

00:24:55.000 It's also because the Latino and the Hispanic communities, they're communities of faith, they're Catholic communities, they're pro-life, and they actually have deep appreciation and respect for this new country that some of them are in.

00:25:10.000 It might be first generation, second generation.

00:25:13.000 And when they hear the narratives of Kamala Harris and Joe Biden and BLM Incorporated about how awful this country is, many of the immigrants that have come here legally from Venezuela or Argentina, Nicaragua, Guatemala, El Salvador, they're kind of like, wait a second, you don't know bad.

00:25:31.000 You think this country is bad?

00:25:33.000 We kind of love this place.

00:25:35.000 And this kind of goes to a theory that we had a couple months ago: that the Democrats are going to take certain constituencies for granted, and it might just all intersect at a pressure point that will hurt them politically.

00:25:48.000 And it is.

00:25:50.000 You look at these Miami-Dade County numbers, they are devastating for Joe Biden's Florida chances.

00:25:57.000 And yet, the political pundits and prognosticators say, well, what about the polls?

00:26:01.000 Well, you have to change the polling inputs to actually reflect what the turnout is going to look like on Election Day.

00:26:09.000 Now that we see that the early voting base in Miami-Dade County has basically evaporated, where they are down 14% in in-person early voting and they're down 4% in vote-by-mail voting in Miami-Dade County, the Democrat stronghold.

00:26:25.000 And the Democrat advantage is only 403 votes for in-person early voting.

00:26:31.000 And Hispanics and Latinos comprised a vast number.

00:26:36.000 I don't want to say majority, but I was told it was a significant amount of the rally attendees last evening.

00:26:41.000 And you have Joe Biden and Kamala Harris that are talking about post-birth abortion and anti-Catholic values and shutting down the country again.

00:26:50.000 Don't be stunned when all of a sudden the hardworking backbone of our country starts to retaliate.

00:27:01.000 And this just goes to show someone's going to be very wrong and very right on Wednesday.

00:27:08.000 TheHill.com just said that Democrats are writing a blue wave that have them positioned to sweep back the Senate majority and the White House on Tuesday.

00:27:19.000 It's hard for me to comprehend what data they're looking at.

00:27:23.000 It's either one of two things.

00:27:24.000 They are so incredibly cocky and they are just self-reinforcing their own Twitter feeds that they have believed no matter what, they're going to get in power because of how much I hate Trump, or they refuse to actually look at what's happening in real time.

00:27:41.000 Let me say this again.

00:27:42.000 The polling becomes less and less relevant the more we actually see early voting data turnout and what is needed for a certain candidate to win.

00:27:52.000 For example, according to a CBS poll, a lag in early voting is awful news for Democrats.

00:27:59.000 So they did worse with early voting.

00:28:01.000 But how about people that have say they plan to vote on Election Day?

00:28:05.000 According to CBS, which then you can add probably 10 points to this number, 69% of people that say they are going to vote on Election Day, 69% say they're going to vote for President Donald Trump.

00:28:17.000 And that number is increasing by the hour.

00:28:19.000 The more rallies President Trump does, the more visible he is.

00:28:23.000 And the more he repeats the argument that I'm going to reopen the country and Biden will close the country, that number will only increase.

00:28:31.000 President Donald Trump is now within the margin of error in Pennsylvania.

00:28:36.000 The last four polls, three out of four, show President Donald Trump leading in the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania.

00:28:44.000 The Real Clear Politics average has Joe Biden by 2.9 points of a blend of the last polls.

00:28:51.000 The Susquehanna poll has Donald Trump up one point in Pennsylvania.

00:28:55.000 The Trafalgar Group has Donald Trump up two points in Pennsylvania.

00:28:59.000 And Insider Advantage has Donald Trump up two points in Pennsylvania.

00:29:03.000 Most of this is led by a surge by Donald Trump, but also a plummeting number for Joe Biden.

00:29:10.000 Joe Biden has to have record turnout in urban areas and absolutely win the suburbs in convincing fashion.

00:29:19.000 Philadelphia is not showing up in big numbers, and President Donald Trump is actually showing a record amount of support from black voters and Hispanic voters.

00:29:31.000 I'm going to be really direct with you guys.

00:29:33.000 If you're a cellular plan as with Verizon, AT ⁇ T, or T-Mobile, you're just paying too much.

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00:30:06.000 Folks, switching to PeerTalk is the easiest decision you'll make today.

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00:30:23.000 And a lot of these professional pundits and prognosticators, they could be right, but it would be against every single leading trend that I am sharing with you.

00:30:32.000 Every single one of them.

00:30:34.000 And a recent Susquehanna poll shows Donald Trump up one point in the critical battleground state of Florida.

00:30:40.000 You couple that with Miami-Dade County not showing up and the Republican strongholds punching above their weight.

00:30:46.000 I believe that President Donald Trump will secure victory in the great state of Florida.

00:30:51.000 In the critical battleground state of Ohio, two polls show Donald Trump up five points in Ohio, the Trafalgar Group, and four points by Rasmussen.

00:31:00.000 Ohio has always kind of been a given for President Trump.

00:31:03.000 It is one of his strongest states, rural, industrial, manufacturing, fracking in Southeast Ohio.

00:31:10.000 And a new poll out of Georgia, three new polls out of Georgia.

00:31:13.000 WSBTV Landmark show Donald Trump up one.

00:31:16.000 Emerson, Donald Trump up one.

00:31:18.000 Insider Advantage, Donald Trump up two.

00:31:20.000 And President Donald Trump drew 30,000 people in Rome, Georgia yesterday.

00:31:25.000 So again, I'm actually not going to say that all of this will necessarily materialize in President Trump's victory.

00:31:31.000 There could be massive voter fraud and there could be a hidden Biden vote that pollsters are missing.

00:31:36.000 I think that we must always have humility.

00:31:40.000 We must always entertain the possibility that things could not go our way.

00:31:45.000 Always.

00:31:47.000 However, the blustering bloviators on television that are so incredibly convinced that Donald Trump will lose tell me one of two things.

00:31:58.000 Number one, they want these polls to show a big gap.

00:32:02.000 So if Trump wins, they can invalidate it and say he cheated, he stole, it was disinformation or foreign interference, which would just sow the seeds of chaos in our country.

00:32:11.000 Or number two, they look at these polls as tactics and their narratives as tactics to try and impact human behavior to try and not have you show up tomorrow.

00:32:24.000 For every single human being watching this, you must show up tomorrow.

00:32:28.000 You must empty your phone and peer-to-peer text message everyone in your phone right now to go vote for President Donald Trump and Republicans up and down the ballot.

00:32:38.000 It's filling in a couple bubbles, everybody, with ours next to them and then going home.

00:32:42.000 We're not asking you to go storm Normandy Beach.

00:32:44.000 It's pretty simple.

00:32:46.000 You show up tomorrow if you haven't voted.

00:32:48.000 You fill in a bunch of bubbles that have R's next to them, and that's it.

00:32:52.000 You take out your phone and peer-to-peer text message every single person.

00:32:55.000 It's happening, everybody.

00:32:57.000 The tide is breaking.

00:32:58.000 The Democrat strongholds are deteriorating quickly.

00:33:02.000 No matter how many articles that they try to publish, that Donald Trump is in trouble.

00:33:06.000 Remember, these elections can turn on a dime.

00:33:09.000 They can turn suddenly.

00:33:10.000 We're just talking about 80, 100, 120,000 people that collectively have to change their vote, their mind in the right direction.

00:33:18.000 My message is: do not be a spectator.

00:33:23.000 Do something about it.

00:33:24.000 Drag those friends to the polls.

00:33:26.000 Empty your entire phone.

00:33:28.000 Post on social media relentlessly for the president.

00:33:31.000 We can do this, everybody.

00:33:33.000 I'm looking at the numbers.

00:33:34.000 We are going to keep on walking through the numbers.

00:33:36.000 We are within striking distance.

00:33:40.000 We could not have dreamed a month ago to be doing this well in early voting and this well with voter registration and this well with polling.

00:33:49.000 President Donald Trump is in the margin of error or leading in every single state that he needs to win the White House.

00:33:56.000 That's right.

00:33:57.000 Nate Silver won't tell you that.

00:33:58.000 Larry Sabado won't tell you that.

00:34:00.000 It's right in front of our eyes.

00:34:01.000 And they're not giving you those numbers because they want Trump voters to say, oh, what's the point?

00:34:06.000 He's going to lose.

00:34:07.000 They're going to rig it.

00:34:08.000 Wrong.

00:34:09.000 This is the last mechanism that we have in a free society to check against corporate tyranny, cultural tyranny, and leftist domination of all of our institutions.

00:34:20.000 President Donald Trump is closing strong.

00:34:23.000 His arguments have been terrific.

00:34:25.000 Meanwhile, Joe Biden, we're getting the tape on that.

00:34:28.000 Let's play tape of Joe Biden making his closing argument.

00:34:30.000 Play tape.

00:34:31.000 I'll need an effective strategy to mobilize true and international efforts of pressure.

00:34:36.000 That is Joe Biden's closing argument.

00:34:39.000 Let's play cut five: Tucker Carlson covering Joe Biden's support for a new policy.

00:34:43.000 Cut five.

00:34:44.000 At a rally in Michigan on Saturday, Biden muddied the waters for the very first time.

00:34:49.000 He announced his support for something called Badakoth Car.

00:34:53.000 In fact, he said it's a fundamental human right.

00:34:56.000 Brock and I think it's a right for people that bad at Captain Clarence.

00:35:02.000 Got that?

00:35:03.000 It's a right for people that bought it.

00:35:05.000 Joe Biden's the flashlight when you're in the dark woods, and it's going out, everybody.

00:35:09.000 I don't know if he's going to make it.

00:35:11.000 Meanwhile, President Donald Trump literally is doing six rallies a day, and he could not be more on message.

00:35:18.000 Play cut two: President Donald Trump in Michigan.

00:35:20.000 Play cut two.

00:35:21.000 People cannot stand the censorship from the media and big tech either.

00:35:26.000 It's one of the reasons we're doing well because they understand they no longer feel they're getting the truth from the media.

00:35:33.000 It's a big factor.

00:35:35.000 They've lost confidence in the media.

00:35:37.000 They have no confidence in big tech, and they're tired, very tired of cancel culture.

00:35:43.000 They're tired of being told what to think and what to do.

00:35:46.000 President Donald Trump is the ambassador, is the representative of free speech.

00:35:54.000 President Donald Trump is actually fighting more for the ideas that people on the liberal left think they believe in than any other candidate.

00:36:05.000 Meanwhile, Hunter Biden is still under active federal investigation from the Federal Bureau of Investigation, as is his associates, which could be Joe Biden.

00:36:15.000 And President Donald Trump is surging in every single publicly available poll.

00:36:20.000 Do we have Cut 23 where Bernie Sanders makes it clear who's going to be in charge?

00:36:24.000 Let's play Cut 23.

00:36:26.000 So our first task, we've made it clear to everybody, so no great secret.

00:36:30.000 Our first task, we've got to defeat the worst president in the modern history of this country.

00:36:34.000 And number two, we organize our people to make sure that Biden becomes the most progressive president since FDR.

00:36:42.000 Most progressive president since FDR.

00:36:44.000 That's who will be in charge.

00:36:45.000 Good luck winning swing voters in Pennsylvania with that.

00:36:48.000 As he is on a Zoom call with the author of the Green New Deal and Lady Gaga, who is campaigning in Pennsylvania, she's an artist against fracking.

00:36:57.000 Do you hear that, Pennsylvania?

00:36:58.000 Joe Biden said he's going to get rid of fracking.

00:37:00.000 Lady Gaga, who's campaigning with him, says that they'll get rid of fracking.

00:37:04.000 Kamala Harris authored the Green New Deal.

00:37:06.000 They will destroy oil and gas.

00:37:07.000 Do you hear that, Oil City, Pennsylvania?

00:37:09.000 And yes, there is an oil city, Pennsylvania.

00:37:11.000 I've been there before.

00:37:12.000 It's a beautiful country.

00:37:14.000 Oil City, Pennsylvania is in the northwest part of the state, right near Franklin and Cooperstown, Pennsylvania.

00:37:22.000 And those towns, they will be destroyed if Joe Biden gets elected as president.

00:37:32.000 And Joe Biden would shut down the country again, just like Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron.

00:37:39.000 Cut 22 is Stacey Abrams, who still thinks she's governor of Georgia, saying that voter suppression is the only weapon of Republicans.

00:37:46.000 Play Cut 22.

00:37:47.000 A favor.

00:37:49.000 Over the next few hours, until the polls close on Tuesday night, I need you to do two things.

00:37:58.000 Number one, don't panic.

00:37:59.000 Say, don't panic.

00:38:01.000 They are about to turn up the mess.

00:38:04.000 We know that intimidation is on their ballot.

00:38:08.000 We know that suppression is their only weapon.

00:38:11.000 But we know who we are and whose we are.

00:38:14.000 And we are Georgia and we will win. 0.87

00:38:17.000 She is awful. 1.00

00:38:18.000 And she is one of my least favorite politicians. 1.00

00:38:22.000 She's a pathological liar. 1.00

00:38:25.000 She's never won anything of significance. 1.00

00:38:26.000 I think she was a state legislator.

00:38:28.000 She gets written up in the Washington Post as if she's some sort of superhero. 0.89

00:38:32.000 Suppression is their only weapon.

00:38:34.000 Over 100 million people have voted early in this country.

00:38:37.000 How exactly is suppression their weapon?

00:38:40.000 If President Trump wins, he will win with the highest voter turnout in American history, most likely.

00:38:46.000 How exactly is that undemocratic or suppression is their only weapon?

00:38:52.000 Stacey Abrams just continues to recite this because they're trying to lay the groundwork for what happens if President Trump wins.

00:38:59.000 Did you listen carefully to what Stacey Abrams said?

00:39:02.000 Don't panic.

00:39:04.000 Oh, I'm sorry.

00:39:05.000 Is there some panicking happening in Democrat circles?

00:39:09.000 Stacey Abrams, don't panic.

00:39:11.000 Repeat after me.

00:39:12.000 Don't panic.

00:39:13.000 I think you need to hear that more than they do, Stacey Abrams, because you should be panicking.

00:39:18.000 You should be panicking.

00:39:20.000 In every single state that matters, President Donald Trump is doing better than he was in 2016 with more voters showing up in support of him, bigger crowds, more enthusiasm, more consolidated support, more unified message with a candidate who literally is not campaigning.

00:39:37.000 Remember, Hillary Clinton ended Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, her campaign in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, with Barack Obama, and 75,000 people showed up in support of her campaign.

00:39:47.000 It was legitimate and it was pretty overwhelming.

00:39:50.000 Joe Biden will draw maybe a couple hundred people that honk their horns at him today relentlessly.

00:39:55.000 My call to action, everybody, take out your phone and peer-to-peer text message.

00:39:59.000 Text all of your friends right now while you're supporting Trump.

00:40:02.000 Make one social media post today while you're doing that.

00:40:05.000 Get your friends to the polls.

00:40:06.000 We have a country to save.

00:40:07.000 We are so close, everybody.

00:40:09.000 We've been working at this now for so long.

00:40:12.000 We can win this.

00:40:14.000 President Donald Trump has done so much for our country.

00:40:16.000 It's now time that we have his back.

00:40:19.000 We have to win this thing.

00:40:21.000 Let's rise up in record numbers and take our country back.

00:40:29.000 Thanks so much for listening, everybody.

00:40:30.000 Please consider supporting us at charliekirk.com/slash support.

00:40:34.000 Get your friends to the polls.

00:40:35.000 Take out your phone and peer-to-peer text message all of your friends.

00:40:38.000 The election's in your hands.

00:40:41.000 The election's in our hands.

00:40:43.000 If we win, the country's saved.

00:40:45.000 If we lose, we got a problem.

00:40:47.000 Let's choose wisely, everybody.

00:40:49.000 God bless you.

00:40:50.000 Speak to you soon.

00:40:54.000 This is the most important election of our lifetime.

00:40:58.000 Our values, our security, and our future are on the ballot.

00:41:02.000 Every American deserves to have their voice heard and their vote counted.

00:41:07.000 So visit yourvote2020.org to find your polling location.

00:41:11.000 Get to the polls, cast your ballot.

00:41:14.000 Visit yourvote2020.org because your voice, your values, your vote have never been more important.

00:41:21.000 Paid for by America First Policies Inc.

The Charlie Kirk Show - November 03, 2020

Game Time

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