Will the United States get involved in another Middle Eastern conflict? Will the Israeli-Iranian conflict be another Middle East conflict? What is the best option for the US in the Middle East? Will it be using nuclear weapons? Will they attack Iran with nuclear weapons, missiles, or other means?
00:00:49.000His spirit, his love of this country, he's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created, Turning Point USA.
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00:01:34.000I was out on assignment in Washington, D.C., and one day, a month, a year, ten years from now, I will tell you where I was and what I was doing.
00:01:43.000So you'll just have to infer and guess what I was doing.
00:01:47.000More importantly, though, we have this ever-growing conflict in front of us, the Israel-Iran conflict.
00:04:14.000That very same intel community should probably be questioned and challenged because they're the ones that are now pushing to bomb Fordell.
00:04:23.000The very same intel community that told us that COVID came from a bat lab and the very same intel community that is telling us that was Russia, Russia, Russia was the biggest threat ever.
00:04:35.000You're going to have to earn our trust.
00:04:37.000You might be right, but you're going to have to earn our trust on this one.
00:04:41.000We are not going to blindly trust the intel community based on the track record of the last five years.
00:04:48.0002020 election, most secure election in history.
00:04:51.000COVID, six feet to slow the spread, safe and effective.
00:04:54.000So before we commit to another military operation in the Middle East, which might be the best decision, here are some questions that I'm curious about that I think that we need to have answered.
00:05:08.000Do you know that Ronald Reagan had Team B?
00:05:11.000He had Team A and Team B. I learned this from Steve Manon.
00:05:14.000Team B was a totally independent intel group that would analyze the intel the president was getting to double-check to make sure the president wasn't being cross-wired by Team A. All of the intel experts.
00:05:33.000You could have these incredible people that would double-check what the intel agencies are saying to make sure that the President Trump's information flow is robust.
00:05:41.000And, by the way, the President has such good instincts here.
00:05:45.000I have no idea why the President all of a sudden is saying two weeks.
00:05:49.000Could it be that maybe he's just doing a little of a double beat?
00:05:54.000Maybe he just wants to make sure he gets all sides, no blind spots, because these very same intel agencies, even though that we have great people now running them, we have not rooted out all of the cockroaches.
00:06:04.000These are the very same intel agencies that targeted him and did Russiagate and went and did a foreign dossier funded by the Democrat National Committee while they were lying about it to go get a warrant against Donald Trump to displace him from becoming president.
00:06:17.000And President Trump hasn't forgotten that.
00:06:19.000That's why we must trust President Trump.
00:06:21.000But I have put together a list here, and it's a working list, of some things that we, the American people, deserve to know.
00:06:28.000And if you get angry as I go through this list, I'm really suspicious as to why.
00:06:54.000There were lies about the Libya Civil War.
00:06:56.000There were lies about the Syrian Civil War.
00:06:58.000There were lies about what's happening in Ukraine.
00:07:01.000And so before we involve America in another military operation in the Middle East, which might be the right decision because Iran should not get a nuclear weapon, here are some answers to some questions.
00:07:16.000Is hit with an American bunker buster, will it totally take out Iran's nuclear capability?
00:07:24.000What is an approximation chance that it will?
00:08:08.000Iran's leaders could have avoided this conflict had they agreed to a deal that would have prevented them from ever obtaining a nuclear weapon.
00:08:16.000But they refused to We can no longer ignore that Iran has all that it needs to achieve a nuclear weapon.
00:08:30.000All it needs is a decision from their supreme leader.
00:08:34.000That is unacceptable, and this Council must urge them to change course.
00:08:42.000They're saying that the UN 15 days after Israeli airstrikes.
00:08:45.000Has anything changed since the airstrikes?
00:08:47.000I know that there was uranium enrichment facilities that were bombed.
00:08:52.000I know that nuclear scientists were taken out.
00:08:54.000The New York Times is reporting today that the 15-day timeline from Israeli intelligence shows that even after all these airstrikes, they still might be able to get a nuclear weapon.
00:09:03.000So I will repeat, if Fordow is hit, will it totally take out Iran's nuclear capability, and what is the percentage chance that it will?
00:09:11.000And if it doesn't work, what is the plan?
00:09:16.000How many American troops might die in Iranian retaliatory strikes?
00:09:21.000You know, I was talking to somebody that was, you know, watching cable news a lot and they're very on board for Fordell.
00:09:27.000I said, you know, American troops might die in response.
00:09:32.000I said, well, no, that's not true, actually.
00:09:35.000They have 2,000 hypersonic ballistic missiles that are still raining terror over Israel, and we should pray for the peace of Jerusalem as Iran strikes hospitals.
00:09:43.000And there are over 40,000 American troops within ballistic missile range of Iran.
00:13:45.000The country is in a very weak position.
00:13:47.000But because they're being bombed relentlessly, what if a more charismatic, younger leader says the number one priority, Is that we are going to want to build a nuclear bomb?
00:14:09.000Because I can tell you right now, a lot of the rank and file that I'm talking to, they said, oh, this gets rid of the nuclear program for good.
00:15:18.000If bombing Fordow can't permanently destroy the nuclear program, will advocates of a limited intervention pivot to immediately demanding a full regime change war?
00:15:29.000Because a lot of people are calling for regime change right now.
00:15:31.000Lindsey Graham, James Lankford, Tom Tillis.
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00:18:49.000I also have the battle wounds and scars the last five years of being lied to about the 2020 election, COVID, Biden's mental health decline, Hunter Biden laptop, all of that.
00:18:58.000And so I'm going through a list of questions here, Sean, and I just want to have you kind of go through this with me.
00:19:04.000So the other one, I ask this, because I'm saying, like, here's the things we deserve answers to.
00:19:08.000By the way, President Trump's handling this beautifully, because I think this one, who knows why he's pausing?
00:19:12.000This could be one of the main reasons.
00:19:14.000What are the chances of a civil war if there's regime change in Iran?
00:19:18.000Since the same people who pushed for Libya, Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan regime change are doing it again, what have they done to re-earn our trust?
00:19:25.000Is this about nukes or is it about removing a regime?
00:19:29.000Sean, in the last week it's gone from, very interestingly, this is Israel's war and let Israel finish it, great, to America needs to do bunker busters, to now some people are saying we need to do regime change.
00:19:45.000And that's what I find so frustrating, because I lived through and watched the Iraq War run up.
00:19:51.000They spent a year and a half telling us about all this intel.
00:19:55.000They sent Colin Powell to the U.N. Congress, at least to its credit, mistakenly in my view, obviously in hindsight, actually authorized it, which is apparently something we don't do anymore, is have Congress authorize or declare wars.
00:20:09.000But they spent a year and a half kind of working the public, telling us all this stuff.
00:20:13.000Well, let's ignore that most of it was false.
00:20:15.000I feel like they're speedrunning through that propaganda campaign in the span of like a week right now.
00:20:22.000And I guess what bothers me, I want to go back to the beginning.
00:20:27.000I absolutely don't want our enemies, people who want to kill us, to have nuclear weapons that they can use against us.
00:20:33.000But I want to go right back to the beginning.
00:20:36.000What is the evidence that they are, one, about to get nuclear weapons?
00:20:41.000And then number two, what ability do they have to attack us?
00:20:45.000So I think even before we get to regime change, which a lot of people have wanted for 40 years, let's just talk about that baseline question.
00:21:34.000And by the way, if it is true, then someone prove it to me because we just had someone in front of the U.N. say they're still 15 days out.
00:21:40.000They're still six weeks out from a bomb.
00:21:42.000So by the way, if Fordow is like a death blow and that's it, they'll never get a nuke like you have just eliminated it, then go make that case.
00:21:50.000But if that was the case, then why are they also simultaneously calling for regime change and the Israeli government is doing that?
00:21:56.000And so, again, we have been so misled the last 20 years, misled on Iraq, misled on Afghanistan, misled on the open border, misled on COVID, misled on the 2020 election, misled on Hunter Biden laptop, misled on Joe Biden's, you know, Joe Biden's perfectly fine, it's a bunch of deep fakes.
00:22:09.000So you and I are trained as outsiders to look at kind of this narrative war and say, whoa, whoa, it's been a crazy week.
00:22:16.000Let's take a pause, let's take a breath, and we just need to make sure we're morally clear.
00:22:29.000We grieve when any innocents are dying.
00:22:32.000Okay, we get all those moral parameters there.
00:22:35.000But Sean, I can't help but think that there's so many different components here.
00:22:43.000Like, for example, if Fordow is hit with an American bunker buster, will it totally take out Iran's nuclear capability?
00:22:49.000And what is the percentage chance that it will?
00:22:52.000Yeah, that's a great fundamental question.
00:22:54.000And again, I completely trust President Trump and his judgment.
00:22:58.000And I'm so thankful that he is president right now, dealing all this, and not all the other people in the past or who've tried to run for that job in there, because I don't think they would have withstood any of the hysteria or the pressure.
00:23:09.000I think they would have gone right in, tried to do regime change, and were right back in the mire that we are in in Iraq.
00:24:05.000What if the Bunker Busters don't work?
00:24:07.000And I'm reminded of the timeless quote from foreign policy sage Mike Tyson.
00:24:13.000Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face.
00:24:16.000And we seem to think that, you know, as long as we're the ones throwing punches, no one else is going to counterattack or counteract.
00:24:23.000And I'm really concerned if we go and do this and it's not immediately 100 percent successful.
00:24:28.000There are some really, really serious ramifications at that point.
00:24:31.000What if we don't take out the nuclear program?
00:24:33.000What if that causes them to race into producing something that they maybe hadn't thought of?
00:24:37.000That creates a really, really dangerous, completely unstable, chaotic situation that will probably make us far more endangered than we are now.
00:24:46.000And it bothers me that nobody's actually talking about what we know and what we don't know and with what certainty we know or don't know anything.
00:24:54.000So, Sean, let's go through another one of these questions.
00:24:58.000How many American troops might die in an Iranian retaliatory strike?
00:25:04.000And, you know, I've seen some stuff from maybe it might have been the Pentagon or some other sources.
00:25:10.000And they said, well, yes, obviously, Iran can't hit the U.S. mainland.
00:25:15.000They just don't have the ballistic missile capability.
00:25:17.000As far as we know, we could be wrong on that.
00:25:20.000But they're able to endanger troops in the area.
00:25:23.000And so I think, well, obviously, that's intolerable.
00:25:27.000Baseline kind of operating assumption is, if something's not directly in our interest, if we're not directly threatened, I really don't want to be accepting any American casualties.
00:25:38.000But the best way to make sure crazy regimes or evil regimes can't target people around them is, you know, maybe we don't have troops everywhere around there.
00:25:48.000It becomes a lot harder to target our troops around the world if we don't have them everywhere around the world.
00:25:54.000And, again, it's us having to relearn the lessons of Iraq.
00:25:58.000If we hadn't gone in there and blown it up and created a disaster of the whole thing, leading to ISIS and all kinds of horribles, there wouldn't be people over there to be getting harassed or shot at.
00:26:09.000And that's something that I don't think is discussed nearly enough.
00:26:13.000We kind of just take it as a given, as if we have no control over where our people are and how close they are to being targeted.
00:26:19.000I think President Trump deserves enormous credit here that he's not getting from the media because the clamoring from Capitol Hill.
00:26:26.000Let's play some of these pieces of tape here.
00:26:27.000Do we have Lindsey Graham or Tom Tillis?
00:26:54.000Do you think the United States should assassinate the supreme leader if they can?
00:26:59.000The assassination of any foreign dignitary or leader on this.
00:27:03.000But we most certainly need to have regime change in Iran.
00:27:06.000This is the same regime that's threatened America and Americans.
00:27:09.000This is the same regime that oppresses their own people, that they use the money that they get from oil, money to be able to put towards terrorism, to be able to kill us and our allies.
00:27:19.000They chant death to America in the streets.
00:27:21.000We definitely need a new regime there.
00:27:23.000So basically his answer is yes, we should assassinate the Supreme Leader.
00:27:27.000So let me kind of go through my questions again.
00:27:29.000What are the refugee estimates of such a regime change?
00:27:32.000And what are the chances of a civil war?
00:27:35.000Sean, what did the quagmires of the Middle East tell you about when D.C. is calling?
00:27:40.000By the way, they have like, they're saying no shame.
00:27:42.000They haven't like gone to a PR agency and come up with like a new term than regime change.
00:27:46.000They're just using the exact same term as if nobody's learned and nobody cares.
00:27:52.000Yeah, it's really actually kind of sad and discouraging to see how many D.C. politicians on both sides have never found a war they're not willing to send other people's kids to die in.
00:28:04.000And I'm of the generation, the war on terror, Iraq war generation.
00:28:10.000I have friends who were over there who were injured, you know, spiritually, mentally, physically.
00:28:14.000You talk to a lot of them now, and they say, well...
00:28:20.000We would go and pour out our blood and sweat and tears to take one little hamlet or village, and then, a month later, we would be pulled out and we would be back to where it was at the beginning.
00:28:29.000And that's not even getting into the issue that you brought up of refugees.
00:28:34.000As our government was pushing Syrian civil war, where did all those people go?
00:28:41.000They flee to the U.S. when we had the fall of Afghanistan, a place that we should have been out of.
00:28:47.00015 years ago, if not longer, we had all kinds of people-- not good people, by the way, a lot of them terrorists-- flooding into here, claiming asylum or refugee status.
00:28:59.000And it's—you look back through history, whether it's the Middle East or whether it's through Africa, these wars have massive, massive consequences.
00:29:08.000And as Americans, we seem to just think that if we say or wave a magic wand of regime change— And what actually happens is, you end up displacing millions, if not tens of millions of people.
00:29:26.000You have refugee camps around the world.
00:29:27.000You have people coming in here by the millions, many of whom are impossible to vet and often mean us harm.
00:29:36.000And it is shocking to me, given what we have lived through.
00:29:39.000We're not even talking about having to go read a history book to learn its lessons.
00:29:42.000We all lived through the last 25 years, and to see so many people not learn a single thing We just hit $37 trillion in debt yesterday, okay?
00:29:53.000And some people in D.C. are clamoring for yet another regime change war.
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00:31:16.000In a country as old and proud and grand and ancient as Persia, it's probably not so easy as you just drop a couple bombs on a mountain and today you go away.
00:31:29.000Usually when things are presented in simple terms in foreign policy, they're usually wrong.
00:31:37.000That's one of the biggest takeaways of the last 100 years.
00:31:40.000These things tend to be infinitely complex, very deep, and the potential for mass escalation.
00:31:51.000So the complexity of this is enormous, Sean, and I think the president has been incredibly prudent and restrained with high rhetoric, but also understanding that once you involve yourself in Fordow, the on-ramp for escalation is rather significant.
00:32:29.000Yeah, I think the only thing we can trust Lindsey Graham to do is push wars that he's not going to have to bear the burdens or consequences of.
00:32:38.000I think as American people, we have to do the thing that we always do, which is help our government and our representatives understand.
00:34:22.000And by the way, the premise might be right, but let's try to go down to first principles, right?
00:34:26.000Go back down to first principles and please understand the very same people that have been lying to you for the last five years about all the other stuff very well might be lying to you again.
00:34:37.000How does someone get back to first principles here, Sean?
00:34:40.000Yeah, I think the best thing to do is start at the very bottom.
00:35:08.000Tell us how you know it and just be honest and level with us as opposed to this tell, don't show thing that is still going on now, which I personally find maddening.