00:00:21.000We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:01:22.000Everybody, email us your thoughts as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:01:25.000In just a moment, we will be joined by the great Carrie Lake to walk us through what is happening here in the great state of Arizona from her perspective.
00:01:32.000But Tyler, I don't think we're going to get a drop till this evening.
00:01:50.000We've been railing on this, which is it's pure and utter incompetency out of the Maricopa County government, which is run.
00:01:59.000And I want to explain this real quickly because there's a lot of questions swirling around this of who does what and who's responsible for what.
00:02:05.000The statutory responsibility for managing and conducting elections is on the recorder's office in every county in Arizona.
00:02:13.000The county recorder has basically shed some of those responsibilities to the Board of Supervisors, who runs an election department jointly with the recorder's office that manages the election day tabulations.
00:02:27.000And part of the reason for this is because obviously the recorder's on the ballot every other election, essentially.
00:02:33.000And so it makes sense from a standpoint that you want to have another player there.
00:02:37.000But we've seen the media already start to carry the water for Stephen Richer, for Bill Gates, and they're just saying, oh, it's not their fault.
00:02:45.000It's this down the chain bureaucrat's fault that the election sucks this time.
00:03:23.000In fact, there is a better and better path for Blake every single day.
00:03:26.000In fact, the longer they hold back these ballots, the more I just feel in my gut as if there is a path there.
00:03:31.000There's 100,000 Pima County Election Day drop-offs.
00:03:36.000Election Day drop-offs favor us significantly.
00:03:39.000We don't know about in Pima, but I think Kerry's going to win those Election Day drop-offs because just the Pima macro data is way out of whack right now.
00:04:07.000Now, the rules should trickle in throughout the day.
00:04:10.000And if the rules trickle in, it's conceivable that Kerry Lake could take the lead throughout the day, but we don't know what volume of ballots will come in from Mojave or Yavapai.
00:04:18.000We are starting to get a better idea of all the ballots that are out there, but it's still a mystery.
00:04:22.000We don't know how many are in door three.
00:04:24.000We don't know how many people are in all these different, you know, drop three and box three.
00:04:29.000And all of a sudden, they have 50,000 emergency ballots.
00:04:32.000And so we have kind of an updated chart here of all the remaining ballots left in the state of Arizona.
00:04:39.000And it seems at the very minimum, there's 290,000 drop-offs in Maricopa County.
00:04:46.000Now, a lot of people say, Charlie, well, look at Nevada.
00:05:28.000No one really used them that significantly.
00:05:30.000And now, because of a grassroots push in a way that no one would have expected, 290,000 people got a mail-in ballot in their mail and then showed up to a voting center and dropped it off.
00:05:41.000Those people are disproportionately, almost two to one, three to one Trump voting Republicans.
00:05:46.000Yeah, we had, I think I saw a number yesterday that we were more than double the amount of drop-offs this in 2020 and certainly more than double the drop-offs.
00:05:56.000There's 100,000 more drop-offs in Pima County this year than there was in 2020.
00:06:20.000And this is the message to the recorder's office in Maricopa County and recorders across the state of Arizona.
00:06:25.000If you can't manage day of elections, what makes you think that voters are super confident in your ability to manage the election for weeks leading up to the election?
00:07:09.000Number three, they took a special field trip to a voting center.
00:07:12.000When gas is very expensive and time is limited, they drove out of their way to a voting center to make sure that it was securely dropped off.
00:07:18.000Number four, in the Republican primary, at least 120,000 people went and dropped off a ballot.
00:07:24.000Behavior does not change that significantly from August to November, right?
00:07:28.000So these are people that voted for Kerry Lake this way back in August.
00:07:31.000They're not going to change their behavioral pattern from August to November.
00:07:35.000Number five, we already saw a disproportionate drop of mail that showed Mark Kelly up 20 points, which, based on just polling and anecdotes and just voter registration data, baking that all in, these drops are going to be very, very good.
00:07:49.000Those are five reasons why Blake Masters has hope.
00:07:52.000And I'm telling you, also, the Pima data is so out of whack right now, meaning it shows Blake Masters down 28 points or whatever it is in Pima because they haven't counted Election Day drop-offs.
00:08:03.000If Blake Masters only loses Pima by what, 16, 17 points, Tyler, he wins the state of Arizona.
00:09:51.000It's hurting the faith we have in our system.
00:09:54.000And we are going to reform it, Charlie.
00:09:56.000Now, I feel 100% confident we're going to win this.
00:09:59.000I hate that they're slow rolling and dragging their feet and delaying the inevitable and they don't want to put out the truth, which is that we won.
00:10:15.000We have about 622,000 votes yet to be counted.
00:10:21.000And of those, 384,000 are people who took their mail-in ballot and walked it in on Election Day.
00:10:29.000I think we all know how the majority of those people were going to vote.
00:10:32.000We're going to win this, and there's not a darn thing they can do about it.
00:10:35.000But they're trying to pour cold water on this movement.
00:10:39.000This movement is on fire, and no amount of water is going to put that fire out.
00:10:43.000We, the people, are taking our government back.
00:10:46.000And I want my supporters, Charlie, to know, don't lose faith.
00:10:49.000Let what's happening here in Maricopa County and in Arizona elections only make you want to win and work harder to save our republic because it's going to take each and every one of us pressuring lawmakers to do the right thing and bring about meaningful reform to our elections in order to save our republic for our children.
00:11:10.000And we have about a minute remaining for the break, Kerry, but this is, I mean, this is delaying legislative leadership elections.
00:11:16.000This is making Arizona the laughingstock of the world.
00:11:18.000I mean, so can you talk about when you're governor, what are you going to do to fix this day one?
00:12:28.000And I can tell you right now, some of our hardest R voters, our most reliable voters, their votes haven't even been, they're just sitting in a corner somewhere.
00:12:36.000Okay, I want to tell you guys about ReliefFactor.com, 100% drug-free relief factor, knee pain, back, pain, joint pain, elbow pain.
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00:12:49.000Look, I know a lot of different people that are struggling to sleep too.
00:13:32.000This is destroying leadership elections and just really throwing off the appearance of what Arizona has to the rest of the country.
00:13:39.000Yeah, I mean, leadership elections, who becomes Speaker of the House, who becomes Senate President, who the people are that actually make the laws to help serve the constituents and citizens of the state of Arizona are now up in the air.
00:13:51.000This could have massive legal consequences.
00:13:53.000And I think this is, I hate to say it, but I mean, this is either intentionally or inconsequentially leading us this way.
00:14:04.000Look, if you don't want to accidentally take a laxative and have the worst day of your life, listen to this.
00:14:08.000If you're currently taking a magnesium supplement, chances are you're literally flushing it down the toilet.
00:14:15.000You see, the most common type of magnesium is actually used as a laxative.
00:14:19.000So if you're taking it, you're probably, let's just say, depositing it in a place you shouldn't be.
00:14:25.000With 80% of Americans who are actually magnesium deficient, what if I told you you could be making that deficiency worse by actually taking the wrong kind of magnesium?
00:17:29.000When they finally let us declare victory, and when they finally declared me the winner, I was only up by, I think, a half a point.
00:17:36.000So the media ran with the false narrative that I squeaked out a win, a narrow victory.
00:17:43.000And then later in the coming days, they finally counted the rest of the ballots only to reveal that I won by five points, which is pretty good when you're up against four opponents.
00:20:11.000And when you kind of slow down counting votes and you bring it to almost a screeching halt, and all you have are the early ballots, it makes it look like she's winning.
00:20:19.000And I can guarantee you she's not going to win this.
00:20:32.000Our movement is as alive right now, maybe even more so than it was when we were holding three rallies the night before election, filling Prescott with rowdy America First folks who love this country.
00:20:46.000Yeah, so Carrie, just since I asked the question, we have received 685 emails of people saying, dropped in my ballot, dropped in my ballot, dropped in my ballot, dropped in my ballot.
00:20:56.000So, and these are just Maricopa, just to give an idea of what we're getting.
00:22:00.000And we will change the way this system works.
00:22:02.000I want to bring together a group, whether it be a task force, to investigate what went wrong, how these anomalies happen.
00:22:12.000I want to look into it because when you have people slow rolling results, not having printer or not having the printers ready, not having the tabulators ready, that's either maladministration, incompetency.
00:22:26.000We don't know what it is, but we want to get to the bottom of how this could happen.
00:22:58.000And I want people to know when you're in a system that's messed up like this, you don't just get miraculously one easy election to get through it.
00:24:00.000And if my now 2,000 emails I just received on drop-off ballots is any indication, Carrie, I think we're going to have something really to celebrate really soon.
00:24:08.000I think they want to count through the holiday because they want to announce her win when everybody's on vacation here.
00:24:28.000This is what I would have asked Carrie Lake.
00:24:29.000Obviously, I defer to Charlie, and you have been covering this so well.
00:24:32.000But on election night, we were sitting here and we were taking results live.
00:24:36.000And the speed at which the Florida election results came in ripped my face off.
00:24:41.000It was not possible, even with some of the smartest guys I know sitting across from me, to manage the amount of votes being counted and tabulated in real time.
00:24:48.000And Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio had won by what?
00:25:10.000Andrew Del Rey and Todd Avakian at Sierra Pacific Mortgage have helped so many people make that leap from renting to owning with lots of programs that offer first-time buyers assistance with little to no down payment needed.
00:25:23.000I encourage you right now to visit my buddies, their website.
00:26:50.000You guys can get your special tickets right now.
00:26:52.000And if you are looking for an amazing celebration of freedom and liberty, that we're going to take back the country and take back the state of Arizona.
00:26:58.000It's going to be happening at AmericaFest.
00:27:00.000It is the most unbelievable thing that you could possibly see.
00:27:29.000Pro-American Patriots from Sea to Shining Sea are coming together to reclaim our foundational truths of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.
00:29:53.000I think she has to earn it first, but I think she's going to.
00:29:55.000We have so many people that are emailing us.
00:29:57.000They said, dropped off my ballot, dropped off my ballot, dropped off my ballot.
00:30:00.000I dropped off my ballot, dropped off my ballot.
00:30:01.000And that's why, again, you got a bunch of New York and D.C. people that look in almost like a colonialist and like, oh, yeah, that state out there out west with the heat and the sun.
00:30:13.000And this is why we are the number one trusted news source for anything Arizona politics, anything really national politics, because this is Tyler taught me this, and I learned this throughout the years.
00:30:36.000If in Donald Trump's 2016 election against Hillary Clinton, if you only counted the ballots from Philadelphia, Detroit, and Milwaukee, yeah, it would look like Donald Trump's really struggling.
00:30:45.000Like, oh, wait, there's suburbs and there's rural areas.
00:30:48.000All of a sudden, things start to normalize a little bit.
00:30:50.000And that's exactly what is happening in Arizona.
00:30:53.000Our strongest voters have not even been counted yet.
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00:33:58.000And then we're going to end up with, I think, Mark and Blake getting over the line.
00:34:03.000But these are all good signs because that shows that our grassroots base, who are interested in these races, are winning, which means that the Democrats didn't turn out for those down ballot races.
00:34:21.000Now, I also think that this spells really well for some of these competitive races, these tight legislative competitive races that are out there.
00:34:46.000So now what's happening, and this is really important for the audience to understand, the legislative leadership calls elections for leadership.
00:34:55.000So the Speaker of the House, who's the Senate president, these are the people who set the agenda for the state of Arizona.
00:35:00.000They set the agenda almost unilaterally, right?
00:35:13.000And so now you look at this and you go, oh, are they intentionally delaying the results because they're wanting to impact the legislative leadership?
00:35:21.000So yeah, are they trying to impact that?
00:35:24.000And guys, there's only so much time between now and January when bills have to be dropped, right?
00:35:30.000And so, this is like, so if there's a massive problem happening in Arizona and legislators are trying to solve it, that all depends on who your leadership is.
00:35:38.000And we don't even know who that is because we don't know the results of the election.
00:35:42.000So, looking nationally, we have some very good news to share, everybody.
00:35:45.000Despite all of the media's best attempts, it looks like Lauren Boebert is going to win.
00:35:51.000Yeah, we were texting with her last night.
00:35:54.000And we were texting with her last night.
00:35:55.000I don't want to say that too preemptively, but it does look really good.
00:36:28.000In fact, the New York Times has even admitted now that Joe Kent is going to win, which is terrific.
00:36:34.000So, look, it looks like Republicans are probably going.
00:36:37.000So, Republicans need 10 more confirmed races to confirm to take the House of Representatives.
00:36:42.000I can say almost certainly that is going to happen.
00:36:44.000I think Republicans are probably going to get another 13 to 14, which means Republicans will have a four-seat majority.
00:36:51.000Now, the significance of that is that means that Marjorie Taylor Green, Paul Gosar, Matt Gates, and Lauren Bobert, if they just four-created the Rebellion Caucus, they could block any speaker election.
00:37:05.000They could block any of those four people.
00:37:08.000I mean, and then you could add other people on top.
00:38:20.000We need to be focused state by state on redistricting.
00:38:23.000And I was really committed here down to every single line that was drawn, working with all the different groups that we could on our side here in Arizona.
00:38:31.000But even Governor Ducey didn't do a good enough job with what he was responsible for.
00:40:10.000So they actually screwed up the census here in Arizona, thinking that it would benefit them, thinking that we were going to have 10 congressional seats, and we ended up with nine because they missed up.
00:40:19.000So part of the reason why we're winning, why we're now, we went from a 4-5 to what was going to be at minimum a 6-3, maybe 7-2 in Arizona, is because the Democrats miscalculated on censusing.
00:40:32.000And they underperformed across the state.
00:40:37.000And so, but I mean, again, this is, we can get into this after the election, but we need to be thinking about redistricting for 2030 now.
00:40:45.000And that sounds crazy, but we have to.
00:40:47.000Well, we lost a lot of these redistricting battles.
00:41:52.000So back when Cuomo was in office and they were redistricting, they gerrymandered so terribly and they made the maps so in favor of Democrats.
00:42:00.000We sued and then a judge said, you know what, this is right.
00:42:04.000And the new maps favored Republic, actually were really good for Republicans.
00:42:08.000Plus a Lee Zeldin kind of message on crime, a weak gubernatorial candidate with Hochul, that's the House of Representatives.
00:42:15.000But you know where we got obliterated?
00:42:56.000So basically, Charlie, what happened is now the Democrats are going back and they're going, we did our job on redistricting.
00:43:02.000Even though we've done the worst job statistically in the history of mankind, if we can draw the lines the way that we want to draw them and control the process, then we can win.
00:43:11.000And this emboldens them for future redistricting.
00:43:14.000And some good news, all of our Montana Patriots, you can email me freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:43:18.000Thank you guys for delivering us an extra congressional seat.
00:43:21.000That's going to make a big difference.
00:43:22.000So the growing population of Montana, they now have two congressmen.
00:44:05.000But honestly, if Republicans have to do another place of soul searching that we thought that like we were going to do well in with our models, it's Pennsylvania.
00:44:14.000We'll talk about Pennsylvania in a second.
00:44:15.000Actually, I want to save that for Jack because Jack has the Pennsylvania analysis.
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00:44:32.000You guys have got to check out Legacy Box at legacybox.com slash Kirk.
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00:46:59.000And by the way, just so we're clear, when the final things are done, we're going to see Kerry Lake do a lot better with the youth vote than almost any other candidate.
00:47:05.000DeSantis did agree with the youth vote too.
00:47:06.000And by the way, millennials actually are almost a Republican demographic, you know?
00:47:10.000Just so we're clear, millennials only voted Democrats by two points.
00:48:06.000Someone says here, We lost Illinois because of angry women sending the message that their abortions are more important than their kids, family, and money.
00:48:13.000The weak males in their lives have no choice but to follow or get nothing and like it.
00:48:19.000They would much, by the way, just so we're clear, Illinois should have been a referendum on this insane thing called the Safe Tea Act, where now they have no bail for kidnapping, for arson, second-degree murder.
00:48:29.000And instead, Illinois became a referendum on abortion, is what it became.
00:48:33.000Illinois is a very, very blue state, and unfortunately, that's the case.
00:48:39.000By the way, Jesse Waters is trending because he said women need to get married.
00:49:54.000You guys could take their Church Hill course, their Aristotle course, and their new course about the American founding with Dr. Thomas West and David Azarad.
00:50:26.000If your kid is on the verge of becoming a Marxist, non-binary feminist, which should be a contradictory of terms, then have them go to charlieforhillsdale.com.
00:50:36.000Have them take five courses, ten courses.
00:51:30.000Yeah, that's always been the good part of Clark County.
00:51:33.000But then there's this kind of like west of I-15 corridor that is super sketch, right?
00:51:38.000That kind of northwest corner of Vegas, North Vegas.
00:51:42.000You get off the strip, and a lot of these people work in low-wage jobs at the Venetian, at the MGM Grand, at the Bellagio.
00:51:53.000There's basically what is called the culinary union, right?
00:51:56.000So they're waiter and waitresses, they're chefs, you know, they're working on the lines, making food, and that's not a small population.
00:52:03.000They're also, we call them the culinary union, but effectively they are kind of the muscular class casino worker union.
00:52:10.000And this is a hundred, these are hundreds of thousands of people, okay?
00:52:14.000So Harry Reid realized that there was this massive amount of people that are working in muscular jobs in Vegas.
00:52:20.000And with actually, Harry Reid was a recipient of this, but do you know who basically built Vegas?
00:52:25.000Jimmy Hoffa really helped build Vegas with a lot of Michigan pension union money.
00:52:30.000There's a lot of great movies about this, casino being one of them.
00:52:33.000Brought in a lot of the pension money, comes into Vegas, and they develop it.
00:52:37.000And they brought the same union machinery that would run Wayne County and Macomb County and the UAW, the United Auto Workers Union.
00:52:44.000And they brought in that machinery into Vegas, and then they brought it into the Venetian, the MGM Grand, and the casino owners like Steve Wynn and Sheldon Adelson, they really weren't able to do anything about it.
00:52:54.000And so what Harry Reid is able to do is basically be like, as a prerequisite to go have your job as a chef or a waiter or a waitress or a kind of a maid, basically, to go clean rooms, we need your ballot.
00:54:06.000Hey, Tyler, can you reiterate some of the math you were just talking about right here?
00:54:10.000Yeah, so I know a lot of people are on, and I got tons of messages between yesterday and today because the media is trying to put out there in the world that like Katie Hobbs is going to be governor and stuff.
00:55:41.000They probably already have been processed, and they're just sitting on this data delaying for who knows what reason.
00:55:47.000But I mean, just like conceivably, outside of malfeasance and all the stuff that our audience is obviously suggesting, what is the reason, Tyler?
00:55:54.000I mean, is it how can you, a person can count 1,000 ballots through a machine an hour?
00:58:14.000As we try to wean you off of the drug of voting in person, we'll still do these voting centers that you'll never really visit throughout the valley, right, Tyler?
00:58:22.000They'll kind of be on the edges and whatever.
00:58:24.000But because of our program, because of Steve Banning, because of Tucker Carlson, because of 2,000 Mules, people change their behavior, and they have this whole infrastructure that's really built for pre-canvassing, right?
00:58:35.000To count all the ballots before Election Day, not for this.
00:58:39.000And now basically we're sending this referendum.
00:58:41.000Like, no, you got to change it, right?
00:58:50.000I mean, look, all through 2020, at the end of it, going through 2021, last session in 2021 and in 2022, the first general session and the second general session, there was very good election integrity legislation.
00:59:03.000And you want to know who killed it all and you want to know who's responsible for a lot of this?
01:00:05.000Right now, Bank of America has just lowered its 2022 forecast for the SP 500 by a whopping 900 points to 3,600.
01:00:15.000Saying we're headed for a recession this year, it said the new year target is the lowest on the street.
01:00:20.000This is not good news for those of you stuck in equities or anything tied to stock markets.
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01:03:20.000But yeah, but it looks like we're going to get proposition reform in Arizona where it looks like we're going to get real voter ID in Arizona, which is going to be huge, which will help eventually phase out permanent early voting.
01:03:36.000The proposition 308 relating to the classification of students for tuition purposes, that's DREAMERS, to get in-state tuition, whatever they go to Arizona State, NAU, U of A. Right now, it's up yes, 919,000 votes to no, 889,000.
01:03:52.000But with the remaining over 500,000 that are going to already come in, that is probably going to break no.
01:03:58.000Relating to voter identification, that is only down less than 20,000 votes.
01:04:40.000Carrie Lake, we want her to have a full two terms too, because we have a lot of work to do in Arizona.
01:04:44.000But in 2026, when she wins her re-election in the primary, she will have 30 days to pick an appointment to be her running mate for the lieutenant governor position in 2026.
01:05:02.000This act legally protects born-alive infants by imposing criminal penalties on health care providers who do not act to preserve the life of such infants, including infants born during an attempted abortion.
01:05:13.000A born-alive infant is entitled to medically appropriate care and treatment.
01:05:17.000A health care provider shall take medically appropriate and reasonable actions to preserve the life and health of a born-alive infant.
01:05:24.000A born-alive infant means an infant who breathes, has a heartbeat, or has a definite movement of voluntary muscles after the complete expulsion or extraction from the mother.
01:05:34.000A health care provider found guilty of failing to take medically appropriate and reasonable actions to preserve a born-alive infant under this act would be punishment of a fine of $50,000 or imprisonment up to 20 years or both.
01:05:45.000So I guarantee you that in Prop 131, they were saying that this is going to jail doctors.
01:05:50.000That's the messaging they tried with Nancy Bardo.
01:06:20.000They're just idiots who wrote the wrong language into their proposition and that would have won if you had been clear, concise, consulted lawyers, consulted legal experts as to how to write your props.
01:06:32.000So someone said right here, they said, I voted yes on that proposition, but honestly, I had to read it twice to make sure yes was the right answer.
01:07:23.000The curing process that happens in every place is that when there is adjudication that needs to happen, meaning a ballot is screwed up in some way or it doesn't match or whatever, they basically have to go out.
01:07:36.000We need volunteers to go out to those people's houses, call them, text them, show up at their house and say, hey, your ballot's screwed up.
01:07:46.000And so we've got to send volunteers to go do it.
01:07:48.000And so I'm hoping that we will have a significant amount of people, everyone that we possibly need to go help with that process in order to gather our votes to make sure that our Republicans and pro-Blake and pro specifically, because Blake may be on the bubble here of winning based off the adjudication ballots.
01:08:06.000I mean, there could be 50,000 of these.
01:08:11.000And the Democrats, if they look like they're losing, guess what's going to happen?
01:08:15.000All of a sudden at the recorder's office, it's like in Coconino County and Pima County, it's going to be, we have a lot more adjudication to do, right?
01:08:22.000And so it's funny how that there's less of it when they're winning and there's more of it when we're winning.
01:08:27.000So that's something to put on everyone's radar.
01:08:30.000The curing process, when you see that come out, if you can volunteer, if you can help, we need your help.
01:08:36.000We're going to need your help and we'll pull together a grassroots army under the leadership of Austin Smith for that as well.
01:09:22.000And it's going to take a while to crawl that back and to claw it back.
01:09:25.000Unfortunately, it looks like the proposition in California to make abortion a constitutional right has passed.
01:09:34.000So abortion is considered to now be a God-given right.
01:09:37.000Well, they don't believe in God in California.
01:09:39.000Okay, so I have an update from Nevada, Adam Laxalt.
01:09:42.000So update from an insider on the Laxalt campaign saying that this is a mirage that is being created by the corporate press.
01:09:51.000This is the same thing that is happening.
01:09:53.000They are citing Kerry Lake and saying this is the same thing that is happening where you are conflating mail-in ballots with election day drop-offs.
01:10:00.000And the election day drop-offs are just as conservative in Nevada as they are here in Arizona.
01:10:06.000And that the corporate press is conflating those things, trying to doom out Laxalt and create a macabre environment for conservatives there, not a triumphant one.
01:10:16.000I sure hope that is what they are saying in Nevada.
01:10:55.000Yeah, he lived in the outskirts of Maricopa County.
01:10:57.000Your five dogs, Austin, need rough greens, and you can get a free trial at roughgreens.com.
01:11:02.000Your five dogs are probably not getting the nutrients that they need.
01:11:05.000Your five dogs need improved digestion elimination, healthy skin and coat, better joint mobility, healthy immune function, improved breath, and less odor.
01:12:55.000And then, by the way, once we get back to our other break, and just so everyone understands, they said, Charlie, what do we mean all these breaks?
01:13:05.000So I'm juggling like five different breaks here.
01:13:07.000So thank you guys for bearing with it.
01:13:09.000And then we're downloading things for podcasting and we're doing all sorts of different things.
01:13:13.000So we're going to have a Kevin McCarthy speaker, the House update in a second, given by Benny Johnson.
01:13:20.000But now that we're on this one right here, if you are in Arizona, you guys need to come to AmericaFest, AMFest.com, December 17, December 18, December 19, and 20.
01:13:30.000The speakers at AmericaFest are unbelievable.
01:13:32.000And the country music artists, I'm told they're very big.
01:13:50.000We have Tucker Carlson, Steve Bannon, Candace Owens, Josh Hawley, Kayleigh McEnany, Jack Pesobic, Tim Poole, Benny Johnson, Lauren Boebert, who looks like she's going to pull it off.
01:13:59.000Mike Lindell, Allie Stuckey, and more.
01:14:16.000Crow American Patriots from Sea to Shining Sea are coming together to reclaim our foundational truths of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.
01:15:10.000Of course, some of my favorite churches.
01:15:11.000My pastor lives in California, so I don't mean to paint with a broad brush.
01:15:14.000She says, You should visit here before making a blanket statement.
01:15:17.000Yeah, I've visited California a couple times.
01:15:20.000And by the way, Jack Hibbs, one of my favorite people on the planet, big church pastor out there.
01:15:24.000So, of course, there are amazing faithful people in California, but the California government, I think we can all agree California does not exactly believe in the phrase under God.
01:15:33.000Would you think that's a fair statement, Austin?
01:18:18.000But with a slim margin, you need to cobble together the various entities that could have leverage over you.
01:18:23.000And the Freedom Caucus is not hot on McCarthy right now.
01:18:27.000They are not hot on McCarthy because what McCarthy did was took an environment where Republicans get 7 million votes more nationally than Democrats, a generic ballot plus six for Republicans, and then they blew it.
01:18:39.000They spent on stupid races and they had zero energy.
01:18:42.000Does anybody know what the new contract with America is?
01:18:45.000The best they could come up with was a plagiarized 1994 contract with America, bringing out someone who's selling you car insurance, a newt, okay, for their closing message.
01:18:55.000And so unfortunately, the Republicans deeply failed.
01:18:58.000They did not understand the electorate.
01:19:00.000They did not understand how to get ballots out.
01:19:02.000And they ran a blockbuster video when the Democrats were running Netflix.
01:19:08.000The Freedom Caucus is making demands of McCarthy right now.
01:19:11.000Now, leadership elections will be next week.
01:19:13.000The Freedom Caucus is demanding a number of things, including, but not limited to, positions on certain committees and a very special thing.
01:20:19.000You run for Speaker in the whole House.
01:20:21.000You do not run for Speaker in your party.
01:20:23.000Now, you run for Speaker in your party first, and then you bring the vote to the entire House of Representatives.
01:20:28.000Now, there's another thing that can be done here, though, is that there could be a non-member that could be floated that could consolidate.
01:20:35.000Now, people say Donald Trump and all this, but think about some popular non-members.
01:22:15.000But who actually creates the jobs that labor actually is able to enjoy?
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01:23:18.000I want Tucker Carl, my old boss, Tucker Carlson, to become the speaker, and then he can give the monologue for his show from the House chair every night.
01:23:28.000Yeah, that's so Tyler, you know, being part of the Republican National Committee, a lot of people are very upset right now because there was a lot of talk about Red Rave, Wood Rave.
01:23:37.000Where did the RNC go wrong this cycle?
01:23:42.000So the RNC is the organization that is made up.
01:23:45.000There's three representatives from every state and territory that go and represent and they play and their focus predominantly is federal races, right?
01:23:55.000But it's also to hold together the entire party that works its way down all the way to the grassroots level, right?
01:24:00.000And my biggest complaint to the Republican National Committee is coming in, and I'm brand new.
01:24:08.000In my first term, there's some guys that have been down there literally since for too long.
01:24:14.000They've been in there for like literally 40 years.
01:24:16.000I'll tell you, my biggest complaint to the RNC is that we don't focus enough on the grassroots.
01:24:20.000So everything, I'm the co-chair of the grassroots committee.
01:24:23.000And, you know, I think Ronna was smart to make that.
01:24:26.000But we immediately issued, I think it was a 40-page report on all the things, listening to the grassroots that the RNC should do to make the RNC a better place.
01:24:34.000And a few of those things have been implemented.
01:24:37.000There's many of those things that should be implemented.
01:24:38.000And I actually just recently had a conversation with Ronna about that and others that that's what we need to be doing.
01:24:45.000But part of the reason why we're suffering losses the way that we are is there are deep, important things that the committee should be doing, like managing redistricting, right?
01:24:55.000From a national level, from putting eyes on and supporting states that are on more minutiae stuff, that getting actually in the weeds on grassroots issues, supporting school board races, down to the very, very basics of what builds the party, recruiting precinct committee men.
01:25:11.000So the precinct committeeman structure, it's a little bit different every state, but across the country, we should be supporting that.
01:25:41.000They have their own PACs then on top of that.
01:25:43.000They have the House Leadership Fund and then Senate Leadership.
01:25:46.000So you have these four or five entities in addition to the RNC plus the RGA plus everybody's own individual PACs that they all have to be singing from the same song sheet in order to win.
01:26:32.000And so, you know, as much as we've had great partnerships with the RNC and with Rick Scott, who runs the NRSC, we haven't had as much for the NRCC.
01:26:41.000We haven't had it from Mitch McConnell.
01:26:42.000We haven't had it from the RGA as much.
01:26:45.000The RGA could get into the whole thing about nobody's singing from the same song sheet.
01:26:49.000And that's got to change in the Republican Party if we want to win.
01:26:56.000But the other thing is this: we got way outspent over the summer, and there was just a lot of resources that weren't deployed.
01:27:04.000I personally, personally, I'll be honest, I would have liked to have seen Donald Trump do 25 rallies in the last two weeks.
01:27:10.000I think that him on the sidelines was a mistake.
01:27:14.000He could have won an easy extra 20 or 30 seats.
01:27:17.000And my argument I was making to him, and I was not listened to by his team, is that actually would have helped the 2024 chances if he was this magnanimous, like going around helping people, especially in some of these flipped districts.
01:27:42.000Like, look, look, for an example, like Arizona, we got our early ballots in October 6th.
01:27:48.000Pennsylvania, 70% of the Democrats or the registered voters, whatever, in Pennsylvania, had already voted before the Federman in Oz debate.
01:27:55.000So the question is that, you know, a lot of people, you know, like, why didn't Donald Trump come in at this time?
01:27:59.000He's like, well, the voting started a month ago.
01:28:02.000We don't have election day in some of these states anymore.
01:28:05.000And so that's just part of a broader question here: is that the Republican Party, like Tyler mentioned, from the RGA, the NRCC, the NRSC, all of these institutions within the Republican Party.
01:28:35.000You know, Donald Trump's going to run in 2024, and I have received more anti-Trump sentiment in the last week than I have in quite some time.
01:28:42.000And I'm curious about your guys' thoughts, freedom at charliekirk.com.
01:28:45.000Trump took a swipe at DeSantis yesterday on Truth Social.
01:29:16.000I don't know if you agree, Tyler, or not.
01:29:18.000Yeah, I mean, look, the name of the game, and this kind of piggybacks on the conversation we just had, which is like, we need good leaders who are going to unite the party, handle things, you know, things that we're not going to like everything that we say.
01:29:30.000I mean, look, I disagree with you on things from time to time.
01:30:39.000Because I feel that it's my responsibility as the Republican Party official within Arizona to bust everybody's chops about everything because everyone can be doing better at any given time.
01:31:22.000And if because a lot of these candidates could have been brought across the finish line, I mean, we look at we're looking at some of these races that are so on the edge.
01:31:29.000I mean, if Blake Masters ends up losing by like 5,000 votes, Trump doing one last rally in Yavapai.
01:31:36.000McConnell, and look, I blame McConnell.
01:31:39.000I mean, I've been doing McConnell for weeks.
01:31:41.000Mitch McConnell is the, is the, if you want to rank, we need to rank importance of states when we go into elections every two years, right?
01:31:48.000But we need to rank who is most accountable after we autopsy the losses here.
01:31:56.000And the reality of this is number one to blame, without a doubt, it's by a wide margin in ocean is Mitch McConnell in this election cycle.
01:32:05.000Everybody else, but your point, though, I think is right, Charlie.
01:32:09.000Rana, Trump, whoever else you want to throw into that category, Rick Scott, I still throw it.
01:32:14.000They got mad at me because I tweeted at Rick Scott.
01:32:52.000And, you know, at Turning Point Action, yes, we have a presence in the Midwest, but we said this two years ago, too, when we were building out our field program at Turning Point Action in Pennsylvania.
01:33:00.000There was going to be millions and millions of dollars poured into Pennsylvania just to lose by three votes.
01:33:04.000And that's why we made such a big focus in Ohio or Arizona.
01:33:08.000And in Arizona, because we know that, like, look, guys, we know that the money's not going to come there.
01:33:43.000In Philadelphia and Pennsylvania, not only do you have a media market, you have like the fourth most expensive media market in Philadelphia.
01:34:24.000I'm not saying that this has anything to do with it.
01:34:26.000I'm just saying that that makes it even worse.
01:34:28.000It's more of an indicator of how badly this last election was run here in Arizona.
01:34:33.000If we would have got the $20, $30 million that we deserve here in Arizona, this thing would be an absolute slaughter fest because when we would have, Mark Kelly would probably be already down right now.
01:35:23.000And like knocking on doors, all that stuff.
01:35:24.000But the point I'm saying, and what I'm trying to get at, though, is the Democrats had a deluge of money in July, and they were able to spend a lot of money going after our candidates, micro-targeting their voters.
01:35:35.000And if we would have had the money that we needed in August, we would have been a lot more effective.
01:36:14.000It's a top-to-bottom industry of vendors and advertisements.
01:36:18.000You basically have to be placing your ad buys 90 days ahead without, or else you're going to pay five times the multiple on it.
01:36:24.000Oh, it's even more than that, Charlie.
01:36:25.000We're talking about, we are already having conversations with people about ad placements for 2024.
01:36:32.000Like we're talking September, October, and 2024.
01:36:35.000So I'm telling you, like, we have people that own the billboards and the TV stations, the radio stations coming to us saying, hey, if you guys want this, and obviously there's a little bit of a push, an early push, but it was never that way before.
01:36:57.000And a lot of this has to do with a problem that both the Republican Party and Democrat parties have, which is a constant stream of consultant class culture, right, of consultants who they need to make money outside of the normal six-month window of running an election.
01:37:13.000And so then they try to push these things way beyond the limit.
01:37:16.000Some people are just tuning in and they're saying, wait a second, we lost Arizona the way you're talking.
01:39:31.000Are they doing it because they want to give Chuck Schumer more time to fundraise for Georgia?
01:39:36.000I don't know, but it sure looks like that.
01:39:38.000At least you could think that based off of that's what they're doing functionally by allowing this.
01:39:44.000And so, you know, even if that's not what they're intending or they're going to lie and tell us they're not, I think Republicans are going to hold these people accountable afterwards for doing that.
01:39:53.000And that is bad politics on their part.
01:40:37.000I mean, look, we're at a place right now where you have the entire future of the U.S. Senate, House of Representatives, because we need Schweiker to win, which I think he will based on just where he's at right now, being held up by this goofy, corrupt, evil system.
01:40:53.000All right, I'm going to tell you guys about ReliefFactor.com, 100% drug-free relief factor, knee pain, back pain, joint pain, elbow pain.
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01:41:47.000Email me directly, freedom at charliekirk.com.
01:41:49.000I got to be honest, we're getting a lot of emails of people that they're using the words fatigued, exhausted, over, time to turn the page on Trump.
01:42:25.000They had the weed legalization stuff, which, by the way, in one of the most surprising ballot referendums in the whole country, South Dakota rejected legal marijuana.
01:43:15.000All right, email me, freedom at charliekirk.com.
01:43:19.000Schumer is already raising money for sure for Warnock.
01:43:21.000He's just sending out, he's already doing a fundraiser tonight with all of his top donors to try to give Warnock an extra infusion of cash here.
01:43:48.000Is that we have to win Nevada, otherwise the Senate then goes to 51 and then Herschel's race is to get us even if Blake doesn't win in Arizona.
01:44:23.000I mean, this is going to be the party central that you want to be at as soon as they drop these ballots because I'm telling you right now, we will be live.
01:44:30.000Yeah, we're going to be live when they drop the ballots.
01:44:32.000But we're doom and gloom because it's like...
01:44:58.000Okay, so I actually get this question a lot because people are like, well, how do you fix this process?
01:45:03.000And I've actually had ongoing conversations that have been largely ignored by Stephen Richard.
01:45:08.000And I sent him emails, so I actually have documented evidence of me making suggestions to him.
01:45:14.000But look, I mean, this is very simple.
01:45:16.000We need to return to how we did some election procedures about 10 years ago.
01:45:23.000That's just the simple right off the top.
01:45:25.000And the second piece is we need to turn ourselves a little bit more closely resembling Florida.
01:45:30.000And so I'll get kind of into some specifics here.
01:45:32.000The first and foremost is that in Maricopa County, the process that first, the equipment that we use, they instituted a new software where they have the ability to print the ballots on demand at the polling places.
01:45:47.000So what they did first was they eliminated precinct polling.
01:45:50.000So it used to be where we had, now we have 900 plus precincts in Maricopa County.
01:46:07.000Then all those ballots would then hang together because they were all from the same precinct.
01:46:10.000So then when they were audit trailblazers.
01:46:12.000The reason why this matters is when you want to audit them, when you want to hand count them, you have all of the ballots from the same precinct in the same box.
01:46:19.000Well, what they've done and what they've changed, first and foremost, is they've eliminated precinct-based polling and they've instituted, because they've said, well, it doesn't matter.
01:46:44.000And so the only place that you can actually bring them together is through the internet, through the system, the vote software system, the same vote software system that malfunctioned over and over and over again with their hardware on Election Day this year.
01:47:13.000We should know we should be, and this is one thing that Mark Fincham has said he thinks is good, but this is going to be up to the legislature to decide, and Austin's going to be there, is we need ballots that we know can't be replicated, and we need to have them pre-printed, and we need to know how many of those exist and where they're located.
01:47:30.000And so we don't need to know whose vote is whose on the ballot.
01:47:34.000We just need to know they're from a precinct and that they're an official ballot.
01:48:41.000And I want to take it back to this because there's a lot of really good, well-intentioned people that don't know what was happening in the background.
01:48:48.000So last session, Arizona actually dropped more election integrity bills than any other state.
01:48:52.000There were a couple of really good ones, a couple of good ones that people harp on a lot on Twitter.
01:50:35.000You know, Tyler Pace, all these people that got in the way, so to speak, got unelected or they decided not to run because they knew they were going to get their butts handed to them.
01:51:27.000But Tyler, I believe if it wasn't for you, if it wasn't for us, and it wasn't for action, turning point action, turning point pack, this state very well would be wobbling towards Georgia.
01:51:36.000We're going to be more conservative than Georgia in every single measurable way.
01:51:41.000I think we need to tell that story and get it out there.
01:51:43.000Yeah, I mean, we are not, we are going to be a fighter state moving forward.
01:51:47.000And it's a huge thanks to what's happened at the state Republican Party level.
01:52:11.000And we'll talk about that after this election too and give them their due.
01:52:15.000But in addition to that, we've had a number of grassroots activists that have sprung up that are now grassroots muscle that have been right there with Turning Point Action and other groups and supporting the Republican Party and its transformation to a more conservative, what I call alpha state, which is grassroots driven.
01:52:47.000We're going to take the wheel here and we're going to drive the Republican Party to a better place with normal people, just happy, normal, average people.
01:52:57.000Yeah, it really has been this amazing story in Arizona that is going to, I think, in my personal opinion, be the story of the midterms, one of them, where it's like Florida and Arizona is the path forward.
01:53:09.000And I'll say this, guys, primaries matter.
01:53:14.000And Carrie Lake winning and her quality of candidate, you're going to see that as all these votes get counted and they get dropped, you're going to all of a sudden see all these other races pull ahead and the props pull ahead.
01:53:37.000We have, I just got word from some of our top elections officials that they expect a lot of the rural counties to be starting to drop ballots all day long throughout.
01:53:47.000Did they say specifically like Mojave, Yavapai?
01:53:49.000It's all the mainly rural counties that we're expecting drops to start coming in throughout the day.
01:53:55.000Maricopa County and Pima, we probably won't get to later in the day, but there's going to be other ones that come in.
01:53:59.000And this is going to be, I think, a very positive update as we come in.
01:54:06.000I don't think you want to break from this program, but definitely follow us and be with us tonight as we do another round.
01:54:14.000I mean, I think we're going on fewer hours of sleep than what Charlie puts into one radio show every day for the last three days.
01:54:23.000But we're going to put day three together tonight, and we're going to be live and broadcasting with the team with Benny Johnson, with Jack Posobiec, obviously Charlie Kirk, Asa Smith, who is our America's legislator, and then myself will be here.
01:55:50.000My guess is these are probably, if I had to guess based off of what we're seeing out of these guys who I think are pretty dishonest, my guess is that they're pulling, and this is what's taking so long.
01:56:02.000They're pulling, so they tried to pull the ugliest numbers yesterday on their drop.
01:56:11.000These are going to be slightly better, but still not as good as what we are hoping to just completely run roughshot.
01:56:18.000And then the last one's going to be an incredible drop for us.
01:56:23.000And that's my guess is that that's the direction that they're going.
01:56:27.000That's part of the reason why we have such strong delays going on here is because this is all just posturing, which is unfortunate because, again, there's no reason why they can't drop all of those ballots.
01:56:39.000We also need the name of the 70 locations that had broken machines.
01:57:55.000No, This is this is, hold on a second.
01:57:58.000172,000 new ballots have been reported to the early vote maps.
01:58:02.000These are late, they're wrong with their language here because Richard says this.
01:58:06.000He says there's 275,000 early ballots dropped off yesterday, comma election day.
01:58:10.000So these are drop-offs that you're talking about.
01:58:13.000Yeah, I just have a message into the team here asking for clarification on this.
01:58:20.000So, as soon as we have clarification, I'll give it to the show and I'll actually tweet it out.
01:58:24.000So, but yeah, my understanding was I was under the impression that there was more than 275,000 votes that were election day early ballot drop-offs.
01:58:54.000So just to put this into perspective, Charlie, Democrats at their highest as we were tracking, I think it was like 18% of the ballots that were cast in person or Democrats.
01:59:05.000We're talking this group would be almost twice as many than who voted in person on Election Day.
01:59:10.000I find that to be extraordinarily suspicious.
01:59:15.000And like I said, I bet what they're doing is they're separating the ballots into groups here.
01:59:22.000Yeah, they're just like blending them in.
01:59:24.000Well, I think they're separating ballots into groups to just create a media narrative that's positive and competitive.
01:59:41.000Guesses, but since we're waiting here, we have nothing better to do because Maricopa County is making us wait for days and days and days and no sleep and everything else.
01:59:50.000What I think is possible, Charlie, is that they have now scanned all the ballots.
01:59:55.000So instead of counting them and doing their job, they're scanning all the ballots, finding out where they're all coming from, who's what.
02:00:00.000Now they're separating these ballots and they're releasing a fraction of ballots now because step one was yesterday.
02:00:33.000If group three that comes out, or four or five or six or whatever they end up doing here, drops off that other 100,000 ballots or whatever, and it's like 90% Republican, right?
02:01:10.000Instead of doing their job, they're manipulating which they're releasing to the public.
02:01:16.000So it's changing the narrative that the public is basically consuming.
02:01:22.000And if that's the case, now I could be wrong, but if that third drop, that other 100,000 comes back and they're like way overwhelmingly Republican, you can almost assume that what they did was they shifted a lot of the Democrat ballots into this job.
02:03:09.000So they have signature verified 172,000 earlies that are being handed to elections for tabulation.
02:03:14.000Okay, so these are not mystery ballots.
02:03:15.000These are the composition of the 290,000 drops, right?
02:03:20.000So we don't know, again, if they're late droppers in there, there's plenty of registered Democrats that vote Republican and a ton of independent late breaking that will vote for Kerry and Blake.
02:03:30.000So this is just a generalized breakdown in this.
02:03:39.000So one person just messaged me and they said, I won't say who it was, but they said they're not quite sure that these 175 are part of that 290.
02:04:38.000But if it's late earlies, then it doesn't mess that up.
02:04:41.000By the way, Maricopa County says that they're not going to be counted until after the weekend, which is a problem because I have a flight to London on Monday night.
02:04:48.000So you guys are going to have to be hosting the stream all next week without me because I got to go debate at the Oxford Union and give a keynote address at the end of the day.
02:04:54.000Oh, no, you're going to be doing it from over the pond.
02:04:57.000I'm going to be streaming in, and you guys will be here.
02:04:59.000Yeah, I'm not going to give up on this.
02:05:01.000I'll be up at 4 o'clock in the morning there.
02:05:03.000Okay, they say, Charlie, I'm concerned.
02:06:04.000Yeah, I mean, the other thing, too, is like, look, we're supposed to be having leadership elections.
02:06:08.000I'm supposed to be going to vote for who I want to be in the next speaker of the house.
02:06:12.000And the person I want to be the next speaker of the house, they have to make it an absolute priority during this special session under Kerry Lake is that all of our election integrity stuff gets done ASAP as possible, as Michael Scott said.
02:06:24.000And it's just going to be, I mean, we can't do this anymore.
02:06:29.000The people of Arizona deserve much better.
02:06:37.000So I got a piece of data that's really interesting for 2020.
02:06:40.000And 2020 was an ugly election for us in Arizona, much uglier than this one.
02:06:45.000Trump did 7% worse on early day drop-offs than he did early day in person.
02:06:53.000So we were averaging, I think, right around the ballpark of about 70%.
02:06:58.000It was maybe a little bit higher than that for Kerry on Election Day in Maricopa County.
02:07:05.000So I don't think that we're going to do worse with drop-offs than 2020, but I wouldn't be surprised if we were like maybe four or five points down from that would be what my guesstimation would be if I were to, if I had a pick, if I had to make a bet, I would say, yeah, we're probably not going to do as well as the voters in person, but we're probably going to outperform Trump's performance with drop-offs in 2020.
02:07:34.000So let's say that we're still winning at a clip of 65, 35.
02:08:20.000According to what my intel is from our boots on the ground that are over there right now, they don't know for sure, but they think that these 170,000 or whatever it is that they just announced are late, early drop-offs.
02:08:35.000These are not at the polling place on Tuesday.
02:11:34.000Subscribe to the Charlie Kirk Show podcast.
02:11:37.000Gina and Drew and Kelly, the entire, everybody's trying to find out if these, they do not know where these 170, if these are early pre-drop-offs prior to Tuesday, or if they're from Tuesday.
02:11:51.000But you're right, they could be a combination of both.
02:11:55.000It feels like a blended mix because it doesn't seem either way.
02:11:58.000Well, and that would be a par for the course in Maricopa County because this goes back to what I was saying to you earlier, which I wouldn't be surprised that Maricopa County was trying to pull the ugliest possible drop that they possibly could to keep the narrative alive that this is a close race.
02:12:11.000Do they want as much attention on their malfeasance as possible?
02:12:13.000Is that what you're trying to tell me?
02:14:09.000We have a bunch of Democrats who act like Republicans who act like Democrats here.
02:14:14.000But Pima County is Democrats for real.
02:14:16.000And there's socialists that pretend to be Democrats down there.
02:14:19.000And you cannot expect that the Marxists that run the recorder's office.
02:14:25.000I mean, just to give you an idea of how sick the Pima County recorder is, she hired Adrian Fontes to come in and be basically the executive director down there after he got kicked out of office in Maricopa County.
02:14:37.000And literally, people who I would consider to be not my friend, Laurie Roberts over there at the Arizona Republic.
02:14:43.000Laurie Roberts wrote pretty consistently and others over there about how Adrian Fontes just made up his own election law when he was county recorder in Marifa County.
02:16:16.000My number is that Kerry's going to go ahead, but it's probably going to be, this is part of the reason why they're doing this, is so that it's probably going to be like Pocanino or with Pima.
02:16:47.000I want to be careful about what I say because I don't want to end up in the pokey.
02:16:49.000But I mean, look, if they're not criminals, what they're doing should be criminal.
02:16:56.000And the legislature should be looking at because there should be no world in which we allow our county officials who are elected to conduct business.
02:17:49.000There are Republicans, and there are people in the establishment, not just here in Phoenix, not just here in Maricopa County, but all the way back in Washington, D.C., that do not want Kerry Lake to win, and they do not want to see MAGA ascendant.
02:18:03.000Also, welcome, Jack Pesoba, to the show, by the way.
02:18:58.000Okay, so it's 172,000 ballots, which is a really bizarre number.
02:19:02.000And so we were promised 125,000 ballots yesterday.
02:19:05.000So what's likely the case is that this is the other 60,000 of late earlies blended with 110,000 drops, get you that 172, which then leaves 180 drops still on top of that, which are going to be really good for Blake and Carrie.
02:19:22.000But this is probably a blended drop is what it is.
02:19:27.000If they blended in really ugly ballots for us and areas, right, that they're blending in, that means the independent vote is going to be a little bit depressed.
02:19:36.000So something, a thought that just came to my mind while we were going through these numbers.
02:19:39.000Yes, they were breaking a little bit heavier, but again, we're dealing with maybe some really crazy people here who are specifically dropping specific specifics.
02:19:49.000They're like cheering for an outcome and how they drop.
02:20:20.000But what hasn't happened is that the people who control the narrative, the people who are trying to control the perception of reality itself, are not allowing that win to escape from this black box of door number three and whatever else Maricopa County has erected in front of it.
02:20:39.000They're trying to keep Kerry Lake in the stable.
02:20:45.000It's a blended drop, which leaves 180,000 drops on top of it, plus Pima election day drops, which even if I think Carrie's going to win, Pima Election Day drops like 51, 52%, maybe even more, by the way.
02:21:12.000This is the last day I think they can screw with us.
02:21:14.000And if we win even by one percentage point today's drop, the rest are going to be so good for us that there's going to be no way to get out from underneath it.
02:21:21.000And the cockroaches are going to have to come out in the light, like you said.
02:22:57.000That's what you're saying that it's part of it is from outside of Maricopa.
02:23:00.000No, What we're saying, though, is that it's blended in the sense that so we have this isolated universe of 290,000 people that are ultra MAGA that dropped off their ballot on election day.
02:23:09.000They've quarantined those ballots, right?
02:25:30.000And I'm trying to throw these guys a lifeline and say, hey, look, the future of the Republican Party is to bring government closer to the people.
02:25:38.000We need to do it because this is out of control.
02:25:41.000To have a Bill Gates responsible, that guy who can't even tell you when an election's Munzie Tuzies, Tyler.
02:25:47.000He's responsible for more people as a supervisor than a Congressman to handle constituent caseload.
02:25:54.000The county's responsible for like day-to-day interaction and business of our livelihoods here.
02:26:56.000A tech, Chris is running ballots marked as in need of duplication through the scanner again prior to sending them to duplication to see how many his scanner, which is higher quality than scanners of precincts, can read.
02:27:07.000He's having a lot of success at reducing the duplication process.
02:27:46.000They're speeding along with only 105,000 votes left to verify, but a higher than usual number of votes are going to adjudication, particularly those related to some down ballot races where only a name candidate dropped out, and these are all write-ins coming in.
02:27:59.000So north of 15% of ballots go to adjudication, which is the biggest bottleneck right now.
02:28:04.000They're looking to get through 90,000 per day at adjudication.
02:28:08.000So they're adjudicating 90,000 ballots per day right now.
02:28:13.000I mean, that's the adjudication process, 90,000 per day.
02:28:18.000I mean, that's part of the reason why we're going so slow here, it sounds like, is that there's also that problem happening in addition to games being played by Maricopa County.
02:28:31.000I mean, this is, guys, for those that are tuning in from Arizona.
02:28:36.000I don't even understand what the heck that update was.
02:28:45.000It's a little bit of a longer discussion, and I don't want to get off on what I say and then get held accountable for saying something just slightly off on it.
02:28:52.000But there are a number of different processes that happen in verifying ballots, right?
02:28:56.000So one is if signatures don't match, they're going to do signature verification.
02:29:00.000Two is you could have on the system, you sent an early ballot, and then you go down and print another one or request another ballot.
02:29:08.000And so then there's multiple ballots out there in the universe, right?
02:29:11.000And so they have to verify that your ballot hasn't been cast twice, right?
02:30:04.000So, they have teams down there that are verifying, and Republicans that are down there.
02:30:08.000So, they have to be evenly balanced between Republican and Democrat.
02:30:11.000But the teams that have to look at that and say, yes, that signature matches up.
02:30:16.000Yes, that's what that person intended.
02:30:17.000So, if I wrote an Austin Smith and I wrote Austin, but my N looked like an M and it said Austin Smith, then someone will look at that and say, Did he really meet Austin Smith?
02:30:41.000Uh, yeah, uh, but on the I mean, it's, it's got, it's got to be, uh, it's, it's got to be probably more than that.
02:30:51.000My guess would be, so the big question is, is, are those adjudicated ballots, if there's hundreds of thousands of them that are being set aside here, are those counted into the vote totals already?
02:31:48.000But this is what's going to be regardless of what happens there, we still, guys, even if even pulling all the tricks out of the bag that they possibly can today, and this is where listeners have to buckle down.
02:35:51.000I mean, it's a little bit of what's going on in Arizona.
02:35:54.000So, look, for all of you that know, because you live in Arizona, winning the West was always the key to taking back the House and the Senate.
02:36:01.000What happened out here was Washoe and Clark counties, which consist of 85% of the population of the state of Nevada, on election night, where I was with Laxalt's headquarters.
02:36:12.000They registrar's office called over and basically said, We are understaffed.
02:36:19.000And we are unable and unwilling to provide you the campaign with the number of ballots and mail-in ballots that we have sitting in these offices.
02:36:29.000This is the delay tactics that they want to utilize so they can get out and have Catherine Cortez-Masto and Sisilac get a headline that says, oh, they're ahead in the state of Nevada, when the numbers actually show the opposite.
02:36:42.000Right now, 85% reporting in the state of Nevada, Adam Laxalt has a 25,000 vote lead.
02:36:48.000And just in the rural counties, the other counties, which are always red in Nevada, actually outperformed even what we thought was going to happen for Laxalt by thousands of votes in the counties, which is a boon for Adam Laxalt and the shenanigans, the registrar's offices running in Washington Clark County.
02:37:14.000The numbers, I think, if you talk to anyone out here about the gubernatorial race, Lombardo outperformed any expectation, and he's cruising to victory.
02:37:37.000So what is the biggest concern we have then for Adam Laxalt when it comes to the remainder of this race against Cortez Masto?
02:37:46.000Like, what do we need to have go right?
02:37:50.000We need to have Washoe and Clark County counted fully and not break formasto by a greater margin of 60-40 with the remaining uncounted ballots and votes.
02:38:03.000Any spread in between that area will basically, with the numbers and the lead that Adam has, will give Laxalt the Senate seat.
02:38:13.000Do we have poll watchers and lawyers on the ground in Clark County making sure everything is being tabulated correctly?
02:38:19.000You know, I was just talking to the great Lou Dobbs.
02:38:22.000And yeah, we have, you know, Adam's got a great team around him down there, but I don't think the national institutions, as we call them, surrounded and predicted this and showed face that like they could have and had more legal teams on the ground ready for these things.
02:38:36.000We knew these shenanigans were coming.
02:38:37.000They shouldn't have been a surprise to us, but we just have to go with the team that we have.
02:38:42.000And, you know, I'm not really sure, to be honest with you, where the RNC is.
02:38:45.000Yeah, well, Tyler, where's the RNC right now in Nevada?
02:39:05.000I'll tell you this: is that, I mean, my biggest concern moving forward on how things are going, I mean, what we're seeing in Nevada is similar to, I think, closer, more similar to how we were treated in 2020 with stuff.
02:39:17.000Now we're like in an advanced monster here in Arizona with how they're counting ballots and they're kind of putting this off.
02:39:23.000But the RNC has to take, the Republican Party as an organism has to take a very aggressive approach to these county officials who are not doing their jobs and they're not releasing results.
02:39:59.000Yeah, the vast majority of these are early votes received prior to election day.
02:40:03.000So by the way, that's actually a super good split.
02:40:06.000If those are late, early arrivals, and when 38% of them are Republican and 32% are Democrat, that's really good news, Austin, right?
02:40:14.000Those are supposed, like Mark Kelly is looking at that and freaking out because he was like hoping and hoping and hoping those are the drops, day of, hoping and hoping and hoping.
02:40:24.000Nope, the partisan drops of day of are going to be plus 41, 42%.
02:40:46.000Right now, we're looking at a potential here of the strongest conservative majority I think we've ever had in the state of Arizona in the legislature.
02:40:57.000And Austin Smith is going to be, or he is a representative elect.
02:41:35.000Yeah, I mean, we have so many incompetent doofuses down at the legislature.
02:41:40.000It is absolutely time for a conservative majority to be down there that has heads on their shoulders, that are normal, happy people that understand basic things.
02:41:50.000That understand basic things and subscribe to the Republican platform, you know, stuff like that.
02:41:56.000So, Austin, we're pumped to have you, man, and we're so excited that you're going to be a leader, not just here in Arizona, but across the country.
02:44:03.000Pro-American Patriots from Sea to Shining Sea are coming together to reclaim our foundational truths of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.
02:45:06.000I'm not from this part of the country.
02:45:07.000But everybody back home in Pennsylvania, everybody back in D.C., they're all asking me about Arizona.
02:45:13.000They're asking me about Maricopa County.
02:45:15.000They're saying, what's going on out there?
02:45:16.000I've got family in other parts of the world that's asking me what's going on with Kerry Lake.
02:45:20.000I mean, her candidacy and her star power, her celebrity, have been so huge that it's just transcended borders, has transcended language in many cases.
02:45:29.000But people are all asking, how could a candidate as charismatic, as powerful a speaker, who's able to connect with audiences as directly as she is, not be declared the winner immediately outright?
02:47:02.000They expected it to be like Pennsylvania, where everybody would just fall in line and do what they're told and then show up but be totally overwhelmed by this massive boat algorithmic ballot harvesting operation.
02:47:13.000That's not what happened here in Arizona.
02:47:16.000They don't want us continuing these live streams and breaking down the data and going through it.
02:47:21.000They want us to be reactive to headlines, going off of like these 1990 style websites.
02:47:26.000Yeah, and these like weird like half drops.
02:47:39.000Well, that being said, every time, every minute that we spend here is a minute that we're not governing.
02:47:44.000Every minute that we're here going through these is a minute that we're not spending on, you know, there's no such thing as a free lunch, right?
02:47:50.000So we're not spending the time of doing the work of the people while we're doing this because they're in our way.
02:48:05.000We actually might end up taking the House by seven or eight seats, which is great.
02:48:08.000By the way, I just want to, there was a poll.
02:48:12.000I'm not going to say who commissioned the poll, but honestly, there's been some Republican pollsters that really need to be never taken seriously, I guess.
02:50:24.000If you're next to me, just reintroduce yourself.
02:50:26.000And Austin Smith, state legislative district 29.
02:50:29.000I'll be the youngest in the Arizona House of Representatives.
02:50:32.000I think there is a Democrat girl that got elected.
02:50:34.000I think she's the same age as I am, but she represents Phoenix.
02:50:37.000So that'll be a fun dynamic down there.
02:50:39.000But the legislature will be vastly more conservative this time around, which will be absolutely critical to getting Kerry's agenda dumb that she has ran on.
02:51:05.000If Kerry's only winning, if Blake's only win, I'm Kerry's fine, but if Blake is only winning 58% of day of in Yavapai, then he has a problem.
02:51:44.000It was kind of primary winner-take-all.
02:51:46.000We're going to have a, like Tyler mentioned yesterday and earlier today about the maps.
02:51:51.000The maps, you know, kind of went like 15-15 for Republicans, 15 for Democrats when it comes to the legislative districts.
02:51:58.000Luckily, in this kind of a wave year, what everybody did in Maricopa County and across the state with the rural turnout, we're going to have three or four seat margins this time around, which is a lot better than it was last time.
02:52:12.000It could have been super majorities in the legislature, I think, if we would have done better with our maps, but we didn't.
02:52:17.000We kind of let Democrats run the table, so to speak, when it's a however.
02:52:21.000You saw that at the federal level, too.
02:52:36.000In Pennsylvania, it was taken out of the hands of the legislature by the state Supreme Court.
02:52:41.000They were ordered to not be able to use the maps that they are constitutionally empowered to do.
02:52:48.000The state Supreme Court said, no, we are going to use a map that was drawn by some professor in California, and these are going to be your maps now from some algorithm that gives all of the Democrat Supreme Court donors whatever district they want, whatever representative they want.
02:53:00.000And to the point of the new maps, is that New York, do you know why New York has better maps now and how they was fought?
02:53:07.000It was actually fought by young conservatives, young Republicans in New York because the RNC and the state Republican Party just kind of gave up and like, okay, we're just going to be like non-existent in New York.
02:53:15.000It was actually the young Republican Club of New York City that actually took that to court and was like, you have to throw these maps out.
02:54:02.000The more theater they push, the more excited I get because that means the more desperate they are.
02:54:07.000What they're trying to do is they're trying to get a bunch of media stories out.
02:54:11.000And I just was realizing this because I was going and taking a walk and talking to a couple of reporters.
02:54:15.000And the more that they're trying to push this narrative, the more I'm realizing they're just trying to set themselves up for the awful stories that are going to exist about them later.
02:54:26.000So what's happened is you go in and you look at Maricopa County, you had all these awful stories, right?
02:54:31.000They're trying to counteract those awful stories with like, well, you see, this is, you know, this is what's going on.
02:54:37.000It's a, it's a lot more competitive than you think.
02:55:34.000Can you imagine they're running a flower shop and you show up and you order a couple dozen bouquets of roses and you show up and there's like five?
02:56:56.000Someone says, Charlie, will Carrie Lake take the lead tonight?
02:56:59.000We don't know if she'll take the lead tonight, but if the, but by the way, just so we're clear, that unfavorable drop, she will take the lead.
02:57:05.000That drop of late earlies, that alone will get her into the lead.
02:57:10.000Well, we don't know when they're going to report them, Jack, because we were told we were going to get half of these last night, and it's 24 hours later, and we have none of it.
02:57:19.000So we have an ephemeral drop, but we don't know when it's dropping.
02:57:33.000I told Charlie this: I woke up this morning and I was like, pop my head off the pillow, and I woke up and I had literally millions of messages.
02:57:53.000And I told Charlie, like, this show is carrying the narrative, the message, the information that the public needs to know from the conservative side on its back.
02:58:06.000Not even conservative, just the truth.
02:58:08.000I mean, but it's like we're sharing information that from our perspective that is the right perspective, but it's that you wouldn't hear anywhere else.
02:58:16.000And prior to this existing, there was no outlet for this.
02:58:20.000Nobody could go anywhere and get real information.
02:58:22.000They were dependent on just, and it's the job of the recorder's office.
02:58:27.000It's the job of the county to actually tell the truth and get this information out.
02:58:32.000So if we weren't here and you weren't here and a few other really great people and the candidates, like Carrie's doing a great job, Carrie's like followed by hundreds of thousands, millions of people through all our different channels.
02:58:43.000Thank goodness that she exists because she can tell the truth.
02:58:45.000But imagine if she was like a no-name with no social media candidate.
03:01:45.000And it's not like a news-breaking story.
03:01:48.000But the reason millennials are shifting is because, Tyler, you said it yesterday.
03:01:52.000When you have kids and you hold that baby in your arms, Charlie, congrats again.
03:01:56.000That when you hold that baby in your arms, now you didn't go through this process because I think everyone knows that Charlie Kirk was a little bit conservative before he had kids.
03:02:05.000But that if you weren't, all of a sudden, your whole perception of the world changes because it's an external locus of attention and it's an external locus of your perception, your energies.
03:02:24.000And realizing that you now live in a world that you have to keep this person safe, this child, you have to feed them, clothe them, bathe them.
03:02:32.000They would literally die unless you take care of them.
03:02:37.000And so if you were somebody who had this self-centered or just totally going in for one of these pagan movements like climate cultism or science cultism or take your scientism, yeah.
03:02:53.000Then suddenly you realize like, hey, wait a minute.
03:03:48.000Colorado three, we're going to win, so that's three seats away.
03:03:52.000And basically the three seats that look like we're going to have to really fight over to get a majority are Colorado eight, which I think one of those is Bobert's that I just said.
03:04:07.000And then Colorado 27, 22, and 13, which gets us a very, very slim majority, guys.
03:04:13.000Like, this is a two-seat majority in the United States House of Representatives, otherwise known as the Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gates caucus.
03:04:22.000By the way, I could see like Matt Gaetz and Marjorie Taylor Greene being like, fine, we'll go caucus with Democrats then.
03:04:29.000They won't, but like something like wild that they control the entire caucus.
03:04:33.000She apparently there was some news that she's been huddling or that Kevin McCarthy went and huddled with MTG earlier today just to say, hey, what's up?
03:04:44.000That whole committee assignment thing, we're good buddies now, right?
03:04:48.000Because now we're all in a very, it's kind of like when you're, you know, the whole thing about strange bedfellows, but you're like, it's a pretty small bed.
03:07:01.000And would have gone to go do a rally for Joe Kent, right?
03:07:04.000And go do a rally in Central California.
03:07:06.000And, you know, he did a lot of rallies, but not enough, Jack, right?
03:07:09.000And by the way, he could have also said they don't need to be these 20,000-person affairs.
03:07:14.000They could have been these like 2,000 people in a gymnasium.
03:07:16.000Charlie, I said to you, I want to say it was the Friday going into 72 hours, and I said, I'm surprised that the rally schedule this weekend seems a little light.
03:08:03.000So you kind of live in kind of, we all kind of live a little bit in upper middle class world where everyone we know votes at a high propensity.
03:08:24.000But so in my opinion, if Trump would have been like, hey, so again, this is actually a pro-Trump argument because I want to see Trump become president.
03:08:31.000It's not like, oh, Trump's to blame for the midterm.
03:08:32.000It's like, no, actually, this makes his 2024 chances harder.
03:08:39.000Well, this guy named Spencer Lendquist, a reporter at Breitbart, he had said the establishment only cares about DeSantis as a way to oust Trump.
03:08:46.000There will be a concerted effort to gradually walk the GOP back from MAGA to wean the base off until we're back to a Jeb versus Clinton politics.
03:09:26.000But the idea is there are these forces that are lining up, and you see it, by the way.
03:09:31.000And I don't know if you want to throw around the M-word, but it's just interesting to note that the Wall Street Journal, the New York Post, certain entities at a certain network all seem to be lined up against Trump right now.
03:09:47.000What I am going to say, though, is that there needs to be some strategic pro-Trump introspection, which is like you had a captive audience of every politico, and you could have basically owned the entire Republican Party.
03:09:58.000And by the way, he did this in Ohio pretty well.
03:10:01.000You know, going for JD at the end was strategically smart.
03:10:03.000JD is going to endorse him as soon as he elects it, you know, announced in 2024.
03:10:06.000But it's not enough just to do a truth social post and be like, go vote for this person, right?
03:10:12.000You got to go do the work for the House candidates.
03:10:13.000And we could have had a 30-seat House majority, but maybe Trump didn't want that.
03:10:18.000And I actually think that makes him more vulnerable in 24.
03:10:21.000It's not going to be a coronation, guys.
03:10:23.000That $100 million would have, he could have spent every penny of it and then refilled it immediately on the back of the C. Trump sat on $100 million and deployed some of it.
03:10:45.000And that $100 million, which, by the way, on the backs of a 30-seat majority, overnight, he would have re-raised it overnight.
03:10:53.000And by the way, he would have got some of those big dollar donors too because they would have known that the wind was within his sails, the wind was at his back, that he was going to become the next president, and there wouldn't even be a question.
03:11:02.000Now, honestly, Charlie, I tweeted this out on election night, and see if you agree with me.
03:11:08.000I think that since we're having the discussion, I think right now we are potentially headed towards another 2016-style primary.
03:11:23.000The point is that that entire field could have been really moved to the fringe if Trump would have, in my opinion, owned the midterms, not acted like it was a sideshow.
03:12:22.000I would also look at, you know, there's ways you can do that through delegation as well.
03:12:27.000And parts of that mean the GOP, the GOP, the RNC, the staffing of it, the leadership of it, the NRCC, making sure if you don't have the right people.
03:12:41.000And by the way, I'm not saying anything wrong with it.
03:14:36.000He's attacking you for saying, I don't know, Tyler, stop telling people to vote the way they voted last 20 years and then complain about how votes aren't counted yet.
03:15:46.000Like, the media is calling me today, like, yeah, this is really bad.
03:15:49.000Like, I can't believe that we defended these guys.
03:15:53.000And we were for a while talking about this.
03:15:56.000I want to remind you guys: get your tickets for AmericaFest, Phoenix Convention Center, Tucker Carlson, Steve Bannon, Candace Owens, Josh Hawley, Kaylee McEniny, Jack Pesobic, Tim Poole, Benny Johnson, and more.
03:16:26.000Crow American Patriots from Sea to Shining Sea are coming together to reclaim our foundational truths of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.
03:16:34.000Charlie Kirk here, 2022 is the year we take back America.
03:17:21.000It still followed this more convention kind of feel, right?
03:17:24.000You'd sort of have your, you'd have your block of vendors, and then you'd have a speaker after speaker would get up, and you'd sit in the chair all day, and then you'd watch, and that was kind of it.
03:17:33.000And you might get some, you know, some business cards and try to, you know, flex your resume or something, try your internship.
03:17:44.000America Fest is a wholly immersive experience where everywhere you turn, there's something going.
03:17:53.000It's actually not possible for one person to go to AmericaFest and actually experience everything that's going on that's in there because there's every time you turn around, there's a side event, there's a breakout session, there's an interactive session, there's training, there's workshops you can attend.
03:18:11.000There's celebrities just going all over the place.
03:18:14.000And then there's music too, which funny for me, all right.
03:18:17.000And I'm going to say it, I'm going to say it, all right?
03:18:18.000Look, I'm from the Philly area, Philly guy, right?
03:18:21.000Country music was not my thing at all growing up.
03:18:25.000We're like, you know, hard rock kind of thing kind of area.
03:18:28.000But when Tanya and I started dating, and I have no idea how this worked out, she's born in the Soviet Union, comes to America, falls in love with country music.
03:18:37.000And she said, you want to date me, you got to come to the country show.