00:00:56.000Noble Gold Investments is the official gold sponsor of The Charlie Kirk Show, a company that specializes in gold IRAs and physical delivery of precious metals.
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00:01:44.000More and more pomp, more circumstance, more celebrations, lots of, I would say, shows of welcoming.
00:01:52.000However, underneath the surface, it appears that the fault lines between these two nations are becoming more and more clear.
00:01:59.000There was a lot of speculation before this trip to China what would be the central fissures or fractures between the two countries?
00:02:05.000We understood that there's the Iranian War.
00:02:08.000The U.S. wants to lean on China to pressure Iran to open the strait, to give up its uranium.0.62
00:02:14.000But what would the Chinese expect in return?
00:02:16.000Obviously, there's also, they're calling this, by the way, the Boeing, the, it's the three B's, the Boeing, the beans, and the, I'm forgetting one of the others.0.88
00:04:01.000China is authoritarian, but it does mean most people who rise to the top are very smart in a way that doesn't always happen in the US with us appointing people to things and all of that.
00:04:15.000So that's a reference to ancient Greek historian Thucydides.
00:04:18.000If you've heard of him at all, you maybe picked him up in a college course about political science.
00:04:25.000He wrote not the first historical text, but probably the first one that's really scholarly that reads like.
00:04:34.000Academic history you might read today.
00:04:36.000And he wrote it about the Peloponnesian War.
00:04:37.000It's a war between ancient Greece, the city of Athens, and Sparta.
00:04:42.000If you've seen the movie 300, it's those guys.
00:04:45.000And they fought a war for dominance of Greece.
00:04:47.000And the reason we have a thing called the Thucydides trap in his history, Thucydides theorizes that the cause of the war was that Athens was becoming more and more powerful.
00:04:57.000It was becoming the most powerful city in Greece.
00:05:09.000Now, the idea is that this recurs throughout history, and our biggest, most cataclysmic wars are between a rising power and then the power that they are threatening to supplant, which is frightened of them the ruling power that is frightened into acting before it is too late.
00:05:30.000And so, if you want a classic example of this, the one people point to is World War I. World War I was Germany as leader of the Central Powers, and they fought.
00:05:38.000Against France, Russia, and most notably, Britain.
00:05:41.000Britain was the most powerful country in the world.
00:05:51.000Germany was building a giant navy that could threaten the Royal Navy.
00:05:54.000And so, in Germany and Britain at this time, they actually had a big fear.
00:05:59.000One of the most popular genres of literature was invasion literature, where Germany or a country that resembles Germany but won't be called Germany invade Britain.
00:06:08.000This is like the romantic chick lit of the day, except they were all reading these books about Germany invading Britain.
00:06:13.000They were afraid of them, and so they ended up getting dragged into a war with Germany, and over 10 million people died.
00:06:21.000Similarly, the idea is when we fought Japan in World War II, part of this was motivated that Japan was becoming more and more powerful.0.92
00:06:30.000So FDR and the US were taking steps to contain Japan, don't let them take over China, don't let them spread in other places.0.83
00:06:38.000Japan feels that we're holding them down, so they attack Pearl Harbor.0.93
00:07:20.000On Thursday, speaking before Mr. Trump in the Great Hall of the People, Mr. Xi said the world had reached a new crossroads.
00:07:27.000Can China and the United States overcome this trap and establish a new paradigm for relations between great powers?
00:07:34.000Now, I think it's more interesting that China keeps referencing this as opposed to the United States.
00:07:40.000Guaranteed the United States actors here are very aware of this dynamic, but it's a A soft flex because they're basically saying that we are now on par or in route to being on par.
00:08:44.000If you make energy and production of goods more expensive for China in general, it will drive up costs, it will hurt their economy.
00:08:53.000And they seem to be probably in the midst of a sluggish, I think you could safely say, a sluggish economic situation right now.
00:09:02.000There's Differing accounts of how sluggish that is, how endangered their economy is, but they do seem to be putting specific pressure on Taiwan.
00:09:12.000They want to exert maximal influence and control over Taiwan.0.68
00:09:17.000And as you said before the show, they believe that Taiwan is theirs by right.0.81
00:10:40.000That's why they claim to be the legitimate power over the mainland of China.
00:10:45.000And I guess to your point, even more territory than the CCP claims for itself.
00:10:50.000But nevertheless, there's a lot of things that are going on there.
00:10:53.000It's obviously historical and ideological, it's military, it's a strategic military outpost because it sits as the first island chain.
00:11:02.000It would allow China to project its strength out into the Pacific, which would complicate matters for the U.S., obviously, and some of our allies like the Philippines and Japan.
00:11:13.000It would secure China's eastern flank, if you will, out into the Pacific.
00:11:18.000But there's also what we talked about economic and technological matters to be considered as well.
00:11:24.000Taiwan is the global leader in semiconductors.
00:11:27.000TSMC produces approximately 90% of the world's most advanced chips.
00:11:33.000It's really a huge complicator because we've supported Taiwan for 80 years at this point.
00:11:40.000We've backed up their government against China.
00:11:43.000But for most of that time, a lot of that period, Taiwan was not that wealthy.
00:11:47.000Or at least it was just wealthy in the same way Japan was.
00:11:50.000And so we supported them for sentimental reasons, for anti communist reasons.0.94
00:11:54.000But now, over the past 30, 40 years, they have become the most important choke point of the world's most important technology.
00:12:02.000When we say semiconductors, that is microchips.
00:12:05.000That is the stuff that goes into the chips that you put in your computer, that you put in, it's driving AI, it's driving, it's the stuff you put in missiles to make sure they work correctly.
00:12:17.000It is the most important technology in the world.
00:12:19.000And the most advanced fabricators that make the best chips, the fastest, Are in Taiwan and China would love to have them, but they'd also love to have Taiwan for the reasons we mentioned.
00:12:30.000It was a part of China back when they were an imperial monarchy, they lost it as part of the Civil War.
00:12:38.000It is hard for us to grasp how psychologically important it is to the Chinese.0.79
00:12:44.000You grow up learning about this as the rightful Chinese province that was snatched away by these pawns of the West and they want to keep us apart.0.98
00:12:54.000That's the narrative they're told.0.84
00:12:55.000And there's self interested reasons for them to push that, but.
00:12:59.000That doesn't mean they don't really believe it.
00:13:01.000It's safe to say that Taiwan, from a tech talent standpoint, and obviously this TSMC, which produces 90% of the world's most advanced chips, makes Taiwan an incredibly important chess piece on the board of geopolitics.
00:13:18.000And I think it's also important to understand that what makes Taiwan so powerful in this respect, yeah, and you'll see there, there's U.S. clears H200 chip sales to 10 China firms, and this is a big Part of the storyline here, NVIDIA's chief CEO Jensen is they picked him up in Alaska on en route to China.
00:13:39.000So they picked him up there and he's flying with them.
00:13:42.000He's looking to secure these big deals.
00:13:44.000I don't love this candidly because President Trump is surrounding himself with people that have self interests in expanding the market in China.
00:13:51.000President Trump is acting as their chief salesman and trying to open up markets for the U.S. firms.
00:13:58.000Obviously, that's important because we opened up the U.S. market to China for 25 years.0.88
00:14:08.000We got a bunch of cheap goods, plastic, rubber crap that ends up in the trash, in the waste bin.0.99
00:14:16.000So we got to open up China for sure.1.00
00:14:18.000But there's so many strings attached that I don't love it.
00:14:21.000And one of them is that you've got people like NVIDIA's CEO who has self interest in China.
00:14:26.000Now, the H200 is the second gen, it's an older chip that also might be a slightly degraded version of it.
00:14:34.000So, you get them hooked on our chips so that they don't produce their own or don't get more incentivized to invade Taiwan and take it over.
00:14:41.000Now, we have a TSMC production facility, a chip making facility here in Arizona that was built.
00:15:39.000We'll boil it down for you just like this.
00:15:42.000China is probably willing to help us with Iran if we're willing to change our diplomatic posture to Taiwan.
00:15:49.000And I don't think we're willing or ready to do that just yet.
00:15:55.000Charlie used to talk a lot about Angel Studios and what they were building.
00:15:59.000And as you know, I've been a longtime fan of it for the same reason.
00:16:02.000So I wanted to share some of my favorite films and shows on Angel, and I put them all into one easy to use watch list.
00:16:08.000This is content that's actually worth your time, not just noise or recycled talking points, but stories that go a level deeper and ask better questions.
00:16:16.000That's what stands out about Angel to me.
00:16:18.000They're willing to put out films and documentaries that don't just follow the usual script.
00:16:22.000Especially when it comes to politics, culture, and the bigger conversations you and I should be having.
00:16:27.000So, on my watch list, you'll find picks that lean into those topics.
00:16:31.000But there are also solid options for family or just something meaningful to watch at the end of a stressful day.
00:16:36.000If you want to check it out, go to angel.comslash Charlie and take a look at the watch list I put together.
00:16:44.000Joining us now is Rich Barris, Big Data Poll.
00:16:48.000And he's the author of a new book, by the way, called Burn It Down What the Polls Say Young Americans Really Want.
00:17:06.000I, you know, I was inspired to, you know, promo your book, Rich, because I just saw your tweet where you're talking about books on China and war and conflict that people should be reviewing.
00:17:17.000It almost looked like you were attacking me, but I know better than that, Rich.
00:17:21.000We're just about to have you on the show.
00:19:32.000Guys, it's a reference to the Peloponnesian War.
00:19:34.000This is just, it's exactly, if you're an international relations theorist, It's exactly what you have not wanted to hear for many, many years.
00:19:51.000You have to get under, you have to understand why what just came out of his mouth is so important.
00:19:56.000For many, many years, Americans in the foreign policy blob have tried to tackle an international system that's in their mind and does.
00:20:06.000Who say this is the way it works, the world works.
00:20:10.000And then you have liberal internationalists and neocons who have been arguing, no, we're in a post history era and this is something new and we're going to somehow be exempt from the laws of nature.
00:20:21.000We're going to be exempt from the The laws of the international system and realists who have been right for the last 25, 30 years, more since the end of history, they're taking victory laps one after the other recently.
00:20:35.000So to hear Xi Jinping say this is bad.
00:20:57.000And he's basically saying, don't come on our front porch and bully us around because, you know, there's the two of us now and you got to deal with the reality.
00:21:23.000We should not be in denial about this.0.96
00:21:25.000If, go look around your house at the things that are in it, chances are, A lot of them were made in China, especially look at anything advanced.0.97
00:23:15.000The CIA just raided Tulsi Gabbard's office.
00:23:19.000Agents hauled out dozens of boxes, files on the JFK assassination, and MKUltra, the CIA mind control operation, which she was in the process of declassifying.
00:23:30.000All right, so this was obviously, I mean, the tweet, when I tweeted it, I'm not trying to.
00:23:36.000Mention my Twitter or something here, but it went viral really quickly.
00:23:41.000It's since been community noted, but I got contacted by friends.
00:23:43.000They were like, hey, here's a new statement from DNI spokesman, spokeswoman Olivia Coleman said this is false.
00:23:53.000And then essentially, a lot of this originated with Congresswoman Anapolina Luna, who was scheduled to come on this show today, but then had to cancel because she is actually at the CIA.
00:24:06.000I guess she's meeting with the CIA currently.
00:25:07.000Look, here's what I know, all right, outside of what you just said, which is the same thing I'm hearing.
00:25:12.000However, Andrew, you know what bothers me?
00:25:15.000You always look like with the CIA, there's always this like, Little caveat in the back of my mind because there have been these identical stories and they have played out very similar in the past, only to later find out that everybody kind of circled the wagons and came together and said, Oh, it's not really like that, but then it was, right?
00:25:55.000But there's obviously some sort of disagreement, and everybody's saying, whoa, let's not blow this up into some huge major national news story.
00:27:17.000They didn't kick in Dianne Feinstein's office door either, but we found out later that they did break in and take a bunch of stuff that was related to her investigation into torture or enhanced interrogation, right?
00:28:12.000Yeah, and if she's coming through like knocking the CIA, that's not going to be taken well, and she's not going to be long for the DC world.
00:28:24.000And just one other point on the MKUltra files most of these were destroyed.
00:28:28.000There's an estimated 15% of those files that are still in existence.
00:28:33.000This is what she, DNI Gabbard, is tasked with declassifying.0.66
00:28:37.000And obviously, MKUltra was a brainwashing.
00:28:42.000Tactics that were experimented on by the Intel community in San Francisco, in villages in Europe, you know, where they laced the bakery with LSD.
00:28:53.000I mean, it's all kinds of crazy stuff.
00:28:56.000And, you know, the American people do deserve to get clarity on what our Intel operatives were actually doing.
00:29:01.000So we want to see these things get declassified and released.
00:29:04.000So we support Congresswoman Luna's efforts there to get them released.
00:29:10.000Rich, I want to pivot here a little bit and go to this Massey.
00:29:16.000Race in Kentucky that is coming down to the final stretch, this primary.
00:29:22.000There's been polls released that show Massey down.
00:29:28.000What are you seeing in your polling and what do you expect to take place here?
00:29:33.000Well, you know, I don't want to blow the markets up here, you know, like we saw happen with the poll the other day.
00:29:38.000And I think the markets corrected because I'm going to defend him.
00:29:42.000Look, this is a difficult race to poll.0.99
00:29:44.000A lot of people, when they get into these GOP primary races, the They weight boomers so much, Andrew.0.99
00:29:50.000And this is a great race that underscores burn it down, what I'm arguing with Joshua in burn it down, which is that the GOP is a real danger here.0.95
00:29:59.000They're governing, they were not elected by a coalition of boomers, and they're governing for a certain kind of boomer and even silent gen. When in 10 years, I mean, the first boomers turn 80 this year, guys.0.87
00:30:10.000This electorate is going to dramatically change.0.77
00:30:13.000One thing we have over China is a robust millennial gen block that they do not have.0.63
00:30:18.000They will be the dominant voting group in the not too distant future.1.00
00:30:23.000And to just ignore their wishes the way we have has been stupidity.0.99
00:31:43.000All of the elasticity and uncertainty comes from 44 below, and the reason is because literally that's where all of the new registration growth is, particularly among those who are 30 to 44 and have families.
00:32:05.000I just caution some of the other pollsters out there.
00:32:07.000Be careful because what's going to happen is you may not have given these people enough time.
00:32:12.000It's literally that they're just, they didn't have enough time to build that robust vote history.
00:32:16.000So when you're deciding who you want to model in your poll, if you wait them out, you're going to end up like pollsters in 2016 who waited out Trump's.
00:32:23.000So I don't know what you think of Qantas, but it's very close.
00:34:28.000We're excited to tell you about Charlie's favorite supplement.
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00:34:40.000He frequently talked about it on the show, and he even traveled around the country bringing it with him.
00:34:44.000For Charlie, Strong Cell helped keep his mind sharp and focused for all the debates he was engaged in.
00:34:49.000Strong Cell gives clean, natural energy without jitters, weird spikes, or afternoon crashes.
00:34:54.000It makes you feel like a younger version of yourself.
00:34:57.000People would often ask Charlie, what is Strong Cell exactly?
00:35:00.000Strong Cell uses a proprietary delivery of NADH to make sure it goes straight to your cells to help your mitochondria.
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00:37:53.000There was the Texas Public Policy Foundation's Eamon Blair, Rare Foundation's USA founder, Amy Meckelberg.
00:38:01.000You pulled out all the stops here, Congressman.
00:38:04.000Tell us what you guys were doing and why it was so important.
00:38:07.000Well, this goes back to, and again, I don't like doing this, except you guys appreciate it.1.00
00:38:13.000The last conversation I have with Charlie was about Islam.1.00
00:38:16.000And Charlie was one of the few people willing to say what needed to be said, which is that Islam is incompatible with Western civilization.0.76
00:38:24.000So the purpose of these hearings is not just to sit there in the minutiae of the law, which is important, obviously, as someone who wants to be the attorney general of Texas.0.95
00:38:33.000I'm dramatically concerned about Sharia law and what it means for young women.0.98
00:38:38.000What it means for equal protection under the 14th Amendment to the Constitution, what it means with arbitration agreements that end run our laws and undermine our civilization for people that are subjugated under Islam.0.96
00:38:51.000But importantly, it's to elevate this and to highlight the truth.0.99
00:38:55.000We've imported about five and a half million people from majority Muslim countries since 9 11.
00:39:01.000That does not count the millions of Muslims that we've imported from non majority countries.
00:39:06.000It doesn't count the additional people that came in as family members.
00:39:10.000It does not count the children that have been.
00:39:13.000You know, born in the United States to people that came here were naturalized or have visas.0.56
00:39:19.000So, we have an exploding population of people who have no desire to assimilate or join the melting pot, but instead are in fact called, as Amy testified to, and as Eamon Blair testified to, that are called to wage jihad against the West.
00:39:34.000And then you pointed out Marco, who did a fantastic job, Hunter Lopez, the 16 year old student in Wiley High School north of Dallas, who basically schooled Jamie Raskin on the issues involving the questions.
00:39:48.000And I think, by the way, that Marco was quoting Charlie, he didn't say it.
00:39:52.000Because I remember when Charlie gave a great answer to one of these questions about where God is in the Constitution.
00:39:57.000And he said, well, God is four times mentioned in the Declaration.
00:40:00.000And Charlie made the point that our state constitutions, before we created the federal government, all had references to our Christian faith.
00:40:07.000And Marco was quoting that directly in arguing with Jamie Raskin, a constitutional law professor that was arguably being schooled by Marco.
00:40:20.000I got to tell you, it takes a lot of work to get people here in Washington to want to take on Islam because they're afraid of being called Islamophobic.
00:40:33.000I posted it as well and got great feedback on it.
00:40:36.000This is Rare Foundation USA founder Amy Meckelberg talking about the brutal truths that, as you said, too many are afraid to mention out loud.0.87
00:40:46.000Clip three Islam is a hostile totalitarian political ideology using our freedoms to destroy us.0.80
00:40:53.000To every non Muslim, it offers three choices convert, submit, or die.1.00
00:40:59.000It does not stop until every court, every school, and every government on earth is under Sharia.0.94
00:41:05.000These networks operate more than 8,000 Islamic nonprofits across America, including 650 in Texas alone.0.81
00:41:12.000They build the parallel infrastructures mosques, seminaries, schools, Sharia banks, Sharia courts, Sharia clinics, charities, media, and political networks.
00:41:25.000Now, Congressman, a thing that we are hearing about this all the time from our listeners we get a ton of emails about it, we get a ton of calls about it.
00:41:35.000But we're also aware we bump up against a core part of America's identity.
00:41:40.000The First Amendment does guarantee free exercise.
00:41:43.000How do we both legally and I think rhetorically negotiate that dilemma?
00:41:49.000That we're aware we do have freedom of religion.
00:41:52.000We're obviously very wary of curtailing that because we know how the left would love to attack Christian churches.
00:41:58.000But we're also aware this is not a suicide pact.
00:42:02.000This is not an amendment that makes us just.0.70
00:42:05.000Turn our country into a part of the caliphate.0.85
00:42:07.000How do you negotiate that problem?0.88
00:42:10.000Number one, the federal government has to stop importing millions of people from countries where we know they adhere to this ideology and it is a political ideology.
00:42:46.000We've got plenty of video, plenty of evidence.0.90
00:42:49.000We have memoranda from the Muslim Brotherhood.0.95
00:42:51.000We have an entire plan laid out by individuals and organizations, the hundreds of organizations that are well funded to drive this agenda to politically undermine the United States.0.99
00:43:02.000We have to call that out for what it is.
00:43:05.000And thirdly, you've got to be able to continue to fight and win on grounds that are, I think, more legalistic.
00:43:11.000About how these things are being developed, Deceptive Trade Practices Act and so forth, like Epic City and so forth.
00:43:16.000But the biggest thing we have to do is to acknowledge that we are, in fact, a Christian nation built on Judeo Christian principles.
00:43:23.000And that while we are very defensive and we should be and must be of the First Amendment, we all believe that the government can't come in and tell you, you got to be in church on Sunday or you got to pay this tax or you got to believe this thing.
00:43:38.000But, but we are, in fact, a nation that was bound together by a set of ideals.
00:43:45.000And at the core of it all, All was our Christian faith.
00:43:49.000And if we don't acknowledge that, if we don't remember that it says in God we trust above the speaker's chair in the House chamber, that Moses is on the backside of the House chamber looking over us, that we've got the Ten Commandments on the front of the United States Supreme Court, that we absolutely had references to our Creator and to God four times in the Declaration of Independence, and that our founding was built on that, you know, our founders were very,
00:44:13.000very open about how much our faith was necessary for this country to work.
00:44:19.000It is the glue that holds us together.
00:44:21.000And the reason our country is fraying is because we're moving away from our bound faith.
00:44:27.000And number two, we're throwing federalism out the door.
00:44:30.000You cannot have 330 million people peacefully coexisting when you have conflicting values and faith and when you don't allow local people to make decisions that are best for them under the Constitution.
00:44:41.000So these are the things I'm trying to fight to do up here.
00:44:44.000I'm going to play this clip from Charlie, Congressman and future Attorney General.
00:44:50.000The spiritual battle is coming to the West.0.64
00:44:53.000And the enemies are wokeism or Marxism combining with Islamism to go after what we call the American way of life.0.80
00:45:01.000And the American way of life is very simple.1.00
00:45:03.000I want to be able to get married, buy a home, have kids, allow them to ride their bike till the sun goes down, send them to a good school, have a low crime neighborhood, not to have my kid be taught the lesbian, gay, transgender garbage in their school.1.00
00:45:21.000While also, while also, Not having them have to hear the Muslim call to prayer five times a day.1.00
00:46:20.000And I really appreciate that quote from Charlie or that clip because he says it with such moral clarity, like you said.
00:46:27.000And what we're seeing in Texas is 300.
00:46:29.000130 mosques, more mosques being built in Texas than every day than any other state in the union.0.97
00:46:35.000We've seen a massive explosion in the Dallas Fort Worth Metroplex in particular, all by design by the Muslim Brotherhood and its offshoots and its various organizations.0.99
00:46:45.000And I have to tell you guys that, you know, there are a number of reasons that I'm running for attorney general, not the least of which is my family and the ability to be a husband and father back in Texas rather than traveling back and forth to DC.1.00
00:46:56.000But the biggest professional reason is my commitment to what Charlie just said.
00:47:01.000And why this issue of stopping the March of Islam is critical to preserving Texas, the crown jewel in the American Republic.
00:47:49.000I've been the chairman of the Constitution Subcommittee in Washington and Congress.
00:47:53.000You have to know what you're doing.0.99
00:47:54.000My opponent introduced legislation last year in the name of religious liberty that would have made it easier for mosques to create Epic City and to create these massive housing enclaves and communities that are Sharia compliant and Islam centric.0.99
00:48:08.000You've got to be ready for the battle.0.99
00:48:11.000We are at a point in our history where we're at war, and you have to acknowledge the war if you want to win it.
00:48:17.000So, those of us who have been in there taking the arrows, fighting the good fight every day, that's who you want in leadership positions like the attorney general.
00:48:25.000The most important legal job in the nation for conservatives is attorney general of Texas, particularly if we don't have control of the administration.
00:48:33.000You've got to have someone there who can fight.0.54
00:48:35.000And this issue of Islam is front and center.0.68
00:48:37.000There are other things, securing the border, dealing with criminals on the streets.0.64
00:48:41.000Charlie just rattled off in that clip the Marxists, the woke brigade that are all out trying to target our state.
00:48:47.000All of those things are attacking Texas.
00:48:51.000And one last point are the corporatists who are trying to come in and they buy up our land and they put data centers in every corner.
00:48:58.000They want to say, oh, don't have state standards on the AI.
00:49:01.000We'll have one big federal standard and we'll preempt states.
00:49:04.000No, we're going to allow the people to be able to defend our kids from the march of the corporatists as well as the Islamists as well as the Marxists.0.79
00:49:13.000Yeah, it kind of underscores Blake's earlier point that we're up against this religious liberty concept that is central to the American value system.
00:49:22.000We obviously, our founders created that thinking about, you know, Presbyterian and Anglican and Quakers.
00:49:28.000They weren't thinking about how do we overcome these fundamental religious divides.
00:49:32.000And so, you've got to your point if you're going to fight this on a legal front, Congressman, you have to understand the law.
00:49:54.000And so you have to understand the technicalities of the law, what you can win on, what you can bring suits on.
00:49:59.000And so, to your point, that is so critical to being able to fight this fight.
00:50:05.000And by the way, you mentioned the corporatist.
00:50:07.000Last time, I think maybe I mentioned this to you that I flew into Dallas.
00:50:11.000I actually drove three hours up to Oklahoma, and it was like one farm after the other getting just like demolished.
00:50:19.000And just like it was, it was, candidly, it was really gross to me because it's just all these like crappy homes that are being put up in the Beautiful farmland.
00:50:26.000I'm not anti growth, but man, there are forces at Texas that are like ripping out the heart and soul of the people that made Texas Texas.
00:50:35.000And there's got to be a balance here somewhere because it's just happening so rapidly.
00:50:41.000And I'll bring up a point that's directly related.
00:50:44.000There's a PAC in California that ran a million dollars of ads against me in the first primary, and now they're running hundreds of thousands more now with the stated objective of killing my political career, which, by the way, My life isn't going to be defined in winning or losing an election.
00:50:59.000My life is defined in my faith in Christ and my family and serving my country wherever God puts me.
00:51:04.000I'm putting myself out there to be attorney general because I think I'm the best man for the job.
00:51:08.000But this PAC wants to take me out because I was successful in delivering for President Trump repeal of half of the Green New Scam subsidies a year ago.
00:51:16.000I had to threaten taking down the big, beautiful bill for a few days to get it, but we got it done.
00:51:24.000Because all of these corporate cronies that are taking government money, they're using it to buy up land to put up solar panels and wind farms.
00:51:30.000They want to use similar kinds of things to go put the data centers in place, all without regard to the homes that people built over centuries in this country, who built communities, who built up farms.
00:51:47.000I'm not saying I don't want affordable houses.
00:51:48.000And I'm not saying you can't sell a farm that's in close to Dallas that you can then go build houses on.
00:51:53.000What I'm saying is what you're saying we need to protect this great nation, this great state.
00:51:59.000We need to be thoughtful about how we're doing it.
00:52:01.000We've got to be mindful about having good technologies and good input from local government and citizens so they don't have a bright light in their night sky in a small Texas town and their water isn't getting sucked out and their grid isn't getting drained while their price of electricity goes up.
00:52:15.000Also, corporations can make a lot of money with a quick sale of private equity in New York.
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00:53:51.000All right, our next guest is a guy that we just had on recently, but he was so good.
00:53:56.000Breaking down the numbers when it came down to comes up with our midterms, that I wanted to have him on again because there's been a lot of news that's been going on with the redistricting fight after the Supreme Court ruling relative to the state of Louisiana and how that would impact all the rest of the states.
00:54:28.000He's got multiple packs, he's got a Substack.
00:54:32.000Ryan, give us the latest news on the redistricting fights because it was looking like we were going to run the table here and we've had some setbacks.
00:54:40.000Well, I actually did a whole episode of this for my podcast, A Numbers Game on iHeartRadio.
00:54:47.000So in South Carolina, five Republican state senators joined all the Democrats to block the redistricting effort in South Carolina.
00:54:53.000So right now, Jim Claiborne's seat is safe for him.
00:54:58.000The governor said he's going to bring it to a special session, which would redistrict that one seat in South Carolina.
00:55:03.000The governors over in Louisiana and Alabama, however, are leaving Democrats with one seat each as of now.
00:55:10.000Kay Ivey has been very adamant behind the scenes, I've been hearing that she wants to protect one of the Democratic seats, the black majority seat in Alabama seven.
00:55:19.000Over in Louisiana, the governor of Louisiana is seemingly trying to settle political scores because certain people who he's not very friendly with are not getting the seat or not creating a seat that they could possibly run in.
00:56:10.000Governor Brian Kemp surprised everybody saying he will redistrict.
00:56:14.000I'm going to bet that's probably also going to be another one seat, but that's also in 2028.
00:56:18.000So, for as 2026 goes, you have one seat in Tennessee, a possibility in South Carolina, and two out of Louisiana and Alabama, but it's a net positive three instead of many, many more that people expected.
00:56:50.000What, where, where do you see the numbers?
00:56:53.000So if you had to go Republican strong seats, Democrat strong seats, and toss ups, where does this leave us now?
00:56:59.000I think Republicans probably have a two, if South Carolina does get their redistricting done, which I think they will, the governor seems pretty strong about it, they'll probably be about 210 Republican likely seats and about a 200 and, Maybe seven or eight Democratic seats, and then maybe about 2019 leaning independence, not independent, but toss up seats.
00:57:23.000It depends on what you classify as a toss up.
00:57:24.000Definitely the seat in Florida probably is more of a toss up, the Deputy Watson and Schultz seat, even though it's now leaning Republican.
00:57:30.000The seat over in North Carolina, where the incumbent congressman has had those allegations of misconduct with a staffer, that could be a toss up eventually.
00:57:43.000Third congressional district, which is the one that's a sleeper race, that's a Trump plus five seat out of Long Island, the former George Santos seat.
00:57:50.000A guy named Mike LaPetri is running there, a very strong campaign against Tom Swazi.
00:57:53.000The Marcy captor seat's very important over in Ohio.
00:57:57.000So, overall, Republicans need to probably win half of all the toss up seats to maintain the House majority, which is much better position they were in even just a few months ago.
00:59:59.000If Republicans can win half of the seats available to them, they'll probably end up with the same situation they're in right now, which is a one to two seat majority, maybe at most.
01:00:12.000There's really very little wiggle room either which way, unless a party kind of blows it out of the water and seats that are likely Republican flip Democrat or likely Democrat flip Republican.
01:00:23.000So let's fast forward a little bit, set our sights on the Census 2030.
01:00:31.000How does the population shift from these blue states into the Sun Belt, primarily a few other states?
01:00:37.000How does that change the electoral math, Ryan?
01:00:40.000I mean, basically, going from 2030 to 2040, if Republicans can just hold Florida, Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina, Texas, Arizona, you don't even need Nevada, a Republican will win the presidency every time.
01:00:55.000They no longer need Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.
01:00:58.000They no longer need, you know, they don't need Nevada.
01:01:02.000Or Minnesota, or all the lean Democrat states that are just always out of reach, New Mexico.
01:01:07.000As long as they keep those like six Sun Belt states, they can't lose the presidency.
01:01:13.000Georgia is obviously going to be very difficult.
01:01:15.000North Carolina will be very difficult.
01:01:16.000Those are very small margins that Republicans have won by.
01:01:19.000So they'll still be important, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, all the rest of them, but they're not essential to win.
01:01:24.000The only states that are essential to win are the Sun Belt states plus Ohio.
01:01:28.000Something that comes to mind, maybe you can correct me if I'm wrong, but this increasing, let's call it maximalism about House seats, where you're seeing states.
01:01:37.000Gerrymander to get as many seats as possible.
01:01:39.000Is that going to make the census more important?
01:01:42.000Because I know in the past, the GOP would pick up these seats, but they are often immigrant groups who then you create House seats.
01:01:51.000And so you might get a Democrat House seat, but a new Republican electoral vote.
01:01:55.000But now we're just seeing these blue states are shedding a seat that they were going to gerrymander to make blue no matter what.
01:02:03.000And we're gaining a seat that will probably gerrymander to make red no matter what.
01:02:07.000And so The census is becoming an even bigger deal now than it was just with the presidential stakes.
01:02:12.000Yeah, there's obviously some examples where that may not be true.
01:02:15.000Like if Georgia gets this extra seat, it'll probably be in Atlanta that might be a Democratic seat.
01:02:20.000You know, if Austin is growing very big and Texas gets four seats, one may be a Democratic seat out of Austin.
01:02:26.000It will also leave pressure out of the Republican seats not to stretch so thin, so not to have a dummy mander.
01:02:33.000But yes, in large part, it is essential because of the 12 seats Democratic states are expected to lose as of right now.
01:02:41.000I mean, maybe 10 would be automatic Republican seats and add 10 to 210, a number we have right now as a safe Orlean Republican, and you're at 220 and you're at the House majority number.
01:02:53.000So, you know, California may be able to knock out one more Republican seat.
01:02:57.000Illinois knock out one more Republican seat.0.52
01:02:59.000New York could obviously knock out a bunch.
01:03:01.000But nonetheless, and yet still, that makes it more important.
01:03:04.000And another thing that no one's paying attention to, it makes the state legislative elections super important.
01:03:10.000Republicans have to keep the state senates in, I say legislatures in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania to keep those Republican seats, make sure they don't go in full Democratic hands, and really start competing in other blue states to try to save some Republican seats.
01:03:23.000Ryan, I'm going to play a clip for you, and we're just going to deal with this.
01:04:29.000So, Venezuelan dysphoria, both in the United States and in Argentina, are the two places I looked at, were big backers of both President Trump and Javier Millay over in Argentina, the libertarian president of Argentina.
01:04:42.000They are, though, the dysphoria tend to be wealthier than those who live in Venezuela.
01:04:47.000Venezuela, if it were to become a state, would have one tenth the GDP per capita of the state of New Hampshire.0.98
01:04:53.000It would be more than twice as poor, twice as impoverished as American Samoa.
01:05:00.000It would have an average of $8,900 per year per person in income.
01:05:05.000So, a generous welfare state is going to sound very alluring to those people.
01:05:10.000They have not had a free election since they voted for a communist.
01:05:14.000That being said, maybe they learned their lesson.
01:05:17.000However, there is certainly a very pro communist wing of that country that still exists.
01:05:22.000So, it is not safe to say that they will vote any which way, given that a lot of people who despise communism have already fled the nation.
01:06:09.000But I mean, do we have any historical precedent?
01:06:13.000Even under the fair election estimates, Maduro still received 40 something percent of the election.
01:06:19.000So it wasn't like it was 99 to one, like the fake election results.
01:06:25.000Maduro has a sizable level of support, maybe one in three people living in Venezuela.
01:06:30.000I don't know about you, but to get 38 new congressmen and have a third be all squad members.
01:06:36.000That's not a great deal, especially when you're taking congressmen from Alabama, from Ohio, from Pennsylvania, from Texas, and you're sending them over to Venezuela.
01:06:49.000Plus, also, I mean, we've had a very tough time securing our own border with Mexico that has a river and mountains.
01:06:55.000Securing the Venezuelan border from the millions who would easily flock through the jungles into that nation to be counted in this election would be pandemonium.
01:07:43.000They would be thinking, how do I help Venezuela, my country that has perhaps just temporarily attached itself to this country that's decided to be its sugar daddy?
01:07:53.000And so, for example, in politics, it might just reduce to who's promising us the most money.
01:07:58.000And I think we all know which party loves to promise people money for doing nothing the most.
01:08:03.000It's important to remember Venezuela is poor.
01:08:07.000The average Venezuela is poorer than the average Western European after World War II.
01:08:11.000So, what we had to do in World War II to build up Western Europe, we would have to do at a larger scale to build up Venezuela while we are broke and while Americans really are resenting.
01:08:27.000One, foreign policy, you know, adventurism, and two, money not being spent within our own country.
01:08:32.000So that would probably be very, very dicey.
01:08:35.000I don't think Donald Trump needs to do this to make it part of his legacy, to have a wonderful legacy.
01:08:53.000I mean, we're just going to increase taxes left and right.
01:08:55.000We could increase taxes on AI and spend a lot and pay for a lot of things, but we don't do that either.
01:09:00.000Like, They're not going to want to tax if Trump has a good friend purchase oil, an oil company in Venezuela.
01:09:08.000He's not going to push for higher taxes out of Venezuela, it's just not like there's just no way that that's going to happen.
01:09:14.000So, no, it's going to come out of the American tax law.
01:09:16.000We're going to borrow from China to spend in Venezuela at the increase of the lowering purchasing power of the American dollar for people in red states throughout the country.0.59