The Charlie Kirk Show - November 01, 2022


The Issues Democrats Can't Censor Will Be Their Downfall with Abe Hamadeh and Rob Collins


Episode Stats


Length

33 minutes

Words per minute

194.12285

Word count

6,584

Sentence count

598

Harmful content

Misogyny

14

sentences flagged

Toxicity

5

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Abe Hamady, the next attorney general of Arizona joins the show to talk about his campaign and why he thinks everyone should vote for him. He also talks about his opponent, Democratic challenger Carrie Lake and why she should win the election.

Transcript

Transcripts from "The Charlie Kirk Show" are sourced from the Knowledge Fight Interactive Search Tool. Explore them interactively here.
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody.
00:00:00.000 Today, the Charlie Kirk Show, Rob Collins around the horn on a midterm election update.
00:00:04.000 And then Abe Hamaday, the next attorney general of Arizona, if everyone shows up and votes, joins us on the program.
00:00:11.000 Email me, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:00:14.000 Support the Charlie Kirk Show at charliekirk.com/slash support and get involved with TurningPointUSA at tpusa.com.
00:00:21.000 That is tpusa.com.
00:00:23.000 Start a high school chapter, start a college chapter, tpusa.com.
00:00:28.000 Buckle up, everybody.
00:00:29.000 Here we go.
00:00:30.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.
00:00:32.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campuses.
00:00:34.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.
00:00:37.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.
00:00:40.000 I want to thank Charlie.
00:00:41.000 He's an incredible guy.
00:00:42.000 His spirit is love of this country.
00:00:44.000 He's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created.
00:00:49.000 Turning point USA. 0.65
00:00:51.000 We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:01:00.000 That's why we are here.
00:01:02.000 Brought to you by Andrew and Todd at Sierra Pacific Mortgage.
00:01:05.000 For personalized loan services, you can count on.
00:01:08.000 Go to andrewandtodd.com, the wonderfulandrewandtodd.com.
00:01:15.000 It's a very important race happening in Arizona.
00:01:19.000 Carrie Lake is looking really good.
00:01:21.000 Another poll showed her up 11, but we cannot stop.
00:01:23.000 I'm telling you, Carrie Lake is such an important candidate, and she is carrying the entire Republican ticket.
00:01:30.000 And I don't think our, I think our next guest will agree with that sentiment.
00:01:33.000 I don't think he'll find that an insult or offensive at all.
00:01:37.000 In fact, I think they're welcoming this kind of energy and this kind of enthusiasm.
00:01:42.000 And joining us now is the next attorney general for the great state of Arizona, Abe Hamadai.
00:01:49.000 We need everyone in Arizona to vote all the way through the ticket, including for Attorney General.
00:01:54.000 Abe, welcome back to the program.
00:01:56.000 Thanks for having me on, Charlie.
00:01:57.000 Abe, how's your race going?
00:01:58.000 What are you hearing on the ground?
00:02:00.000 It's going great, Charlie.
00:02:02.000 And as you said, Carrie Blake Masters, all of us right now are working together because we all have that America First New Republican Party movement going on.
00:02:10.000 And everywhere we're going, we're promoting one another.
00:02:13.000 And, you know, the rest of the country's watching what we're doing right here in Arizona because it's quite unusual.
00:02:18.000 Too often, the consultants and the political class say run your own race, right?
00:02:22.000 But here, we all recognize we need each other.
00:02:24.000 We need Blake Masters, the United States Senate, in order to secure our border.
00:02:28.000 I need Carrie Lake as our next governor to declare an invasion at our southern border.
00:02:32.000 So we all need each other right now.
00:02:34.000 And I feel the momentum and the energy.
00:02:36.000 You know, people are exhausted.
00:02:37.000 They're sick and tired of the lies by the media and by the Democrats.
00:02:41.000 Every single place Democrats have taken power, they've turned our cities and states into misery and chaos.
00:02:46.000 So November 8th will be their day of reckoning, Charlie.
00:02:49.000 Yeah, I totally agree with that.
00:02:51.000 And so talk about your opponent. 1.00
00:02:53.000 She's running these ads that are very, very deceiving.
00:02:56.000 She says, I'm a former Republican commissioner.
00:02:58.000 Like, yeah, okay, pal.
00:02:59.000 And she's a defund the police type. 0.99
00:03:01.000 She's a very radical person. 1.00
00:03:03.000 Talk about that.
00:03:05.000 No, you're exactly right.
00:03:06.000 She claims to be a former Republican, but she was nothing. 0.98
00:03:09.000 She's been a radical environmentalist for decades, and her top issues are fighting climate change, abortion, and saving democracy. 1.00
00:03:20.000 You know, she wants to fight the weather. 0.99
00:03:21.000 I want to fight the criminals. 1.00
00:03:23.000 I want to fight the drug cartels.
00:03:24.000 That's the big difference.
00:03:25.000 But you're right. 0.99
00:03:26.000 Her top consultant has posted horrific tweets saying that law enforcement equals killing black people, Charlie. 0.96
00:03:33.000 And do you think the media picked up on that? 0.96
00:03:35.000 Not a single one did. 0.87
00:03:36.000 They just completely ignore it because, you know, besides that, she's a former journalist at the Arizona Republic, which is a trash news outlet out here in Arizona. 0.60
00:03:45.000 So that's where it's going on.
00:03:46.000 You know, the Democrats, they have the media and their goons over there being the propaganda arm for their Democratic Party.
00:03:53.000 So that's what we're going up against.
00:03:54.000 But I really feel right now, especially with attorney general races and district attorney races, people are sick and tired of it.
00:04:02.000 All we want is to uphold the rule of law.
00:04:04.000 And what they do, what these Soros-funded prosecutors do, they just erode that confidence in our system.
00:04:09.000 So we're going to push back.
00:04:10.000 Yeah, that's right.
00:04:11.000 So you made some news the other day where you said you are going to join forces with Senator Rand Paul to prosecute Dr. Fauci.
00:04:18.000 Walk us through that.
00:04:19.000 What can an attorney general do to impanel a grand jury, if at all?
00:04:23.000 I mean, what are the limits of an AG, especially here in Arizona?
00:04:28.000 Look at AGs all across the country.
00:04:30.000 We're fighting successfully and winning.
00:04:31.000 I don't know if you saw, there's another great Senate candidate in Missouri who's the current attorney general, Eric Schmidt.
00:04:37.000 But he's actually, now they just got, they're able to get Dr. Fauci for a deposition.
00:04:43.000 You know, that's what AGs are doing right now, the successful ones, the ones who actually have a backbone and push back.
00:04:48.000 So looking at what Rand Paul, that's why we need Blake Masters, United States Senate with Rand Paul to go after him in those Senate committee hearings.
00:04:54.000 But here in Arizona, I mean, look at the Chinese Communist Party, also the Missouri AG.
00:04:59.000 They sued the Chinese Communist Party for unleashing the virus on us from the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
00:05:05.000 There's some limitations of AGs, don't get me wrong.
00:05:07.000 We can't sue a sovereign nation like China, for instance, but that's why they worked around it to go after the Chinese Communist Party. 0.54
00:05:14.000 So here in Arizona, we're pushing back.
00:05:15.000 We're getting creative.
00:05:17.000 The left always does this.
00:05:18.000 Now it's time for Republicans to actually have a backbone and fight back.
00:05:21.000 Amen.
00:05:22.000 You've also said you're going to go after the Mexican drug cartels.
00:05:24.000 Talk about that.
00:05:25.000 Yeah, you're exactly right.
00:05:27.000 So on day one, I'm going to work with the legislature to declare the cartels as terrorist organizations, Charlie.
00:05:33.000 Under current Arizona law, we use the U.S. Department of State's definition of what a terrorist organization is, and it's been politicized.
00:05:41.000 You know, I'm a former Army intelligence officer.
00:05:43.000 I served overseas for 14 months in Saudi Arabia about a year ago.
00:05:48.000 And the Yemen Houthi rebels, they were firing missiles at us when I was over there.
00:05:53.000 And they were under President Trump terrorists.
00:05:55.000 Under President Biden, they were delisted as terrorist organizations.
00:05:58.000 And that's primarily one of the reasons why he has such a bad relationship with Saudi Arabia, for instance.
00:06:03.000 But here in Arizona, we know what the threat is.
00:06:06.000 It's the narco drug cartels, the terrorists at our southern border.
00:06:09.000 We're going to seize their assets and go after any banks who are doing business with them.
00:06:14.000 And we're also going to have enhanced sentencings on them as well.
00:06:17.000 So if they're caught drug smuggling or human trafficking, it's going to have an enhancement to the already sentenced.
00:06:22.000 That's going to take a backbone to go after those narco-drug criminals. 0.97
00:06:25.000 It's very important, and I applaud you for that.
00:06:27.000 We're going to have your back 100%.
00:06:29.000 I want to play a piece of tape here.
00:06:31.000 And this is about Illinois.
00:06:33.000 It's not about Arizona, but it's about what will happen if we allow Democrat AGs and these maniacs to get into power.
00:06:39.000 It's a clip of Joe Rogan discussing the elimination of cash bail, play cut 35.
00:06:45.000 They're essentially eliminating cash bail for almost everything dangerous.
00:06:50.000 The law includes secondary murder, arson, so you can light a guy's house on fire, get right out of jail, drug-induced homicide, robbery, kidnapping, aggravated battery, burglary, intimidation, aggravated driving under the influence, fleeing and eluding drug offenses, and threatening a public official.
00:07:07.000 No bail.
00:07:09.000 No bail.
00:07:09.000 Now, I'm not saying that's happening in Arizona tomorrow, but it is a theme, isn't it, Abe?
00:07:14.000 If we let down our guard, we allow people like Hayes and these Marxists to take over, all of a sudden you get ideas like that.
00:07:21.000 Absolutely.
00:07:21.000 And we already have one DA, George Soros prosecutor, here in Pima County, actually down in Tucson.
00:07:28.000 And that's exactly the policies that they're implementing so quickly.
00:07:31.000 There's also a very important county attorney race in Maricopa County.
00:07:34.000 I encourage every Republican to vote for Rachel Mitchell because her opponent, Julie Gunigall, would bring those type of views.
00:07:41.000 And same with my opponent, Chris Mays.
00:07:43.000 But, you know, look at every single city that's implemented ending cash bail, Charlie.
00:07:48.000 It's literally turned those cities into less safe, a lot less safe.
00:07:52.000 And what you're seeing right now is it turns them into Gotham and chaos and misery.
00:07:56.000 So New York, Portland, San Francisco, Cisco, every single city that's actually implemented these policies have turned them to hellholes.
00:08:03.000 So I don't know why Illinois wants to bring that on, but I think this is exactly why there's going to be a huge push on November 8th.
00:08:10.000 Look at even New York's in play, Charlie.
00:08:12.000 I just saw that poll, Trafalgar poll today that actually had Lee Zeldin up.
00:08:16.000 And even looking at Henry, Michael Henry, he's running against Letitia James, who's a crooked attorney general in New York.
00:08:22.000 I mean, he's right on the cuss.
00:08:24.000 I'm hoping they have a red wave in New York.
00:08:26.000 All across the country, we need to elect Republicans up and down the ballot.
00:08:29.000 Yeah, that's well said.
00:08:30.000 I want to play another piece of tape here.
00:08:32.000 This is speaking of New York.
00:08:34.000 Kathy Hochle claims it's a conspiracy that violent crime is rising.
00:08:37.000 Play cut two.
00:08:39.000 They have this conspiracy going all across America to try and convince people that in Democratic states, they're not as safe.
00:08:46.000 Well, guess what?
00:08:47.000 They're also not only election deniers, they're data deniers.
00:08:51.000 The data shows that shootings and murders are down in our state by 15%, even in New York City, down 20% on Long Island, where Lee Zeldon comes from.
00:09:01.000 And it's the Republican states where they have almost no restrictions on guns.
00:09:07.000 Because of the abundance of guns, people are killing each other with more frequency.
00:09:11.000 The safer places are the Democratic states.
00:09:14.000 Abe, your thoughts?
00:09:16.000 Yeah, she doesn't know what she's talking about, Charlie.
00:09:17.000 I mean, even look at liberal San Francisco got rid of their radical George Soros prosecutor, Chessa Boudin, in June.
00:09:24.000 And you know, that was primarily led by Asian Americans, Charlie.
00:09:28.000 You know, that's what it is.
00:09:29.000 It's these, you know, people all around.
00:09:31.000 We're waking up and we're bringing so many different groups to the Republican Party right now.
00:09:35.000 You have Hispanics coming out in record numbers, Asian Americans.
00:09:38.000 So that's what I'm so excited for right now.
00:09:40.000 This new Republican Party is a party for all Americans because we're sick and tired of what the liberal academic elites up in New York want to shove down our throats.
00:09:49.000 That's right.
00:09:49.000 What is your website, Abe, for people to support you?
00:09:52.000 Abeforag.com, AbeForAG.com, and look forward to seeing you Saturday.
00:09:56.000 I believe you got a dog walk on there, Charlie.
00:09:58.000 It's going to be great.
00:09:59.000 We're doing a big super Saturday.
00:10:00.000 It's TPACTION.com.
00:10:01.000 It's our last of the year.
00:10:03.000 Turning Point Action has been doing a lot of that.
00:10:05.000 Abe, I think you're going to win.
00:10:06.000 You're looking great.
00:10:07.000 And so keep it up.
00:10:08.000 Thanks, Abe.
00:10:09.000 Thank you, Charlie.
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00:11:15.000 I want to play some pieces of tape here.
00:11:17.000 Let's go to cut 38 about the DHS disinformation operation.
00:11:22.000 It's extraordinary.
00:11:23.000 Play cut 38.
00:11:25.000 Microsoft executive texts Jen Easterly, the top disinfo director at DHS, appointed by Biden, basically saying the government needs to get the private sector needs to get more comfortable with the government.
00:11:37.000 They're closely collaborating on reports talking about the expanded role for DHS in centering a really broad collection of topic areas of policy and political topics.
00:11:50.000 A broad collection of topics that they are censoring.
00:11:55.000 Let's go to Cut 43.
00:11:57.000 Laura Ingram talks to Lee Fang, PlayCut 43.
00:12:00.000 Now, one of the more remarkable findings from investigative journalist Lee Fang, who uncovered this, was that Facebook and Twitter created special portals for the government to rapidly request takedowns of content.
00:12:14.000 And how did DHS justify all of this?
00:12:17.000 Well, they argued that, of course, false information is a source of radicalization and violence.
00:12:23.000 In other words, it's license to censor their political opponents.
00:12:28.000 To censor their political opponents.
00:12:30.000 Censorship and the ability to determine what you can say, what you can think, is operative for the Uniparty. 0.87
00:12:41.000 For the Democrats that are running our country, they know that if we have dialogue and discussion, this is exactly why they must shut us up when we go to college campuses.
00:12:50.000 When we go to college campuses, this is why they must attack us as much as they do.
00:12:55.000 This is why they must try to assail our students.
00:12:59.000 Speech is a direct threat to them.
00:13:01.000 Let's have it out.
00:13:02.000 Let's have the debate.
00:13:03.000 Let's have dialogue.
00:13:04.000 Let's have disagreement.
00:13:04.000 No, no, no, they don't like any of that.
00:13:07.000 Debate, dialogue, disagreement, the exploration of truth.
00:13:12.000 Dialogue through reason, through the ability to have rational speech.
00:13:19.000 But there are some things that they're not able to censor, which is a very, very smart point.
00:13:24.000 You can't censor the price of gas.
00:13:27.000 You can't censor inflation.
00:13:29.000 And you can't censor crime.
00:13:31.000 You can censor the southern border.
00:13:33.000 They've tried a good job of that, but even they can't censor fentanyl.
00:13:36.000 They can't censor suicide.
00:13:38.000 And they can't censor the fact that kids can't read anymore.
00:13:41.000 In some ways, you could frame this midterm election as the midterm election that has pierced the veil of censorship because their carnage on society has been so immense that they're not able to cover it up.
00:14:00.000 Hey, everybody, Charlie Kirk here.
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00:15:03.000 Joining us now is Rob Collins from Coin.
00:15:06.000 As many of you remember, we really partner with Coin and they have a waiting list very long, which is a great problem to have.
00:15:12.000 C-O-I-G-N. 1.00
00:15:14.000 Rob, welcome back to the program.
00:15:15.000 Give us the update from Coin.
00:15:17.000 So we continue to grow.
00:15:19.000 You know, we launched Beating of May, exceeded our expectations, even our lofty goals.
00:15:26.000 And we've been onboarding customers since July.
00:15:29.000 The experience has been great.
00:15:31.000 We're in both app stores.
00:15:32.000 We're in the Apple wallet.
00:15:33.000 We're getting in the Google wallet.
00:15:34.000 And, you know, I spent the summer crisscrossing this country talking to Patriots and saying, here's what we did with a little bit of money.
00:15:41.000 I need more money.
00:15:42.000 Let's grow this thing.
00:15:43.000 The great thing about credit card businesses is that we don't need cardboard or labor or anything.
00:15:48.000 We just need money.
00:15:49.000 And to grow.
00:15:51.000 And so, you know, we had an unbelievable summer.
00:15:54.000 The people who stepped forward and said, I really believe in the vision, you know, a conservative credit card that will not only push back and organize conservative commerce to have a voice in every boardroom in America and reorient boardrooms in America, but also build up the conservative movement with charitable donations to great conservative causes.
00:16:16.000 Please, can I invest?
00:16:17.000 Can I help you out?
00:16:18.000 And like I said, I spent the summer raising money and we've had an unbelievable success.
00:16:22.000 And every day our membership goes up, the number of cards that are out in circulation continues to grow.
00:16:27.000 We're doing a big push right after the election because I know everyone's really focused on the elections, but our customers are.
00:16:32.000 They email and call us about it.
00:16:34.000 But we're not political.
00:16:35.000 We're just trying to make sure there's a conservative voice in corporate America through credit cards.
00:16:39.000 So if some of our audience is on a wait list, you guys are working through that, right?
00:16:42.000 Because we get an email every so often.
00:16:44.000 Is that right?
00:16:45.000 Yeah, it's a it's a I know it's frustrating.
00:16:48.000 I hate waitlists.
00:16:49.000 I'm like every other American list, Lines, Disney, whatever it is.
00:16:53.000 I don't like them.
00:16:54.000 But, you know, we're trying to disrupt a $100 billion, 80-year-old market.
00:17:00.000 And so we're a startup.
00:17:01.000 So we're growing.
00:17:02.000 Our customers, our waitlisters have been super patient.
00:17:04.000 We've been trying to tell them our path.
00:17:06.000 We're going to keep talking to them and saying, this is a journey.
00:17:10.000 Listen, I can see the top of the mountain.
00:17:13.000 The path isn't straight.
00:17:14.000 It's not level, but it's right there in front of us.
00:17:17.000 And we just got to keep moving our feet every day and pushing forward and pushing forward.
00:17:21.000 And the good news is it's working.
00:17:24.000 You know, not everyone, a lot of people in the finance and banking world, you say the word conservative, they hang up on you.
00:17:30.000 But we found people who are investing millions of dollars to help us grow this thing.
00:17:34.000 So it's been gangbusters and the community support's been awesome from people like you, people in conservative media, activists, grassroots supporters who are saying, what can I do to help?
00:17:44.000 Business folks who call me and say, I'm tired of my bank.
00:17:47.000 I'm tired of my credit card.
00:17:48.000 They don't support me.
00:17:49.000 What can I do to help?
00:17:50.000 So this thing's going to be awesome.
00:17:52.000 We're going to grow it together.
00:17:52.000 We're going to grow it as a movement.
00:17:54.000 And, you know, just hang in there, hang in there, hang in there.
00:17:58.000 We're growing every day.
00:17:59.000 We're not slacking off.
00:18:00.000 I love it.
00:18:01.000 And in addition to your expertise in that world, really, your whole career has been on election forecasting and deploying a lot of capital to help win back majorities, which is really what I want to spend some of our time today.
00:18:14.000 And so let's talk about the general trend.
00:18:17.000 Where do you think we are?
00:18:18.000 You're one of the few people that thinks that Mastriano can win in Pennsylvania.
00:18:22.000 You think that one can kind of be, you know, stolen from the Democrats.
00:18:25.000 Give us kind of a general macro health of the race, and then we'll go through some of the specifics.
00:18:31.000 Sure.
00:18:32.000 You were kind enough to have me on, I think, in early July.
00:18:36.000 And I think I was the lone voice in the wilderness saying you were the most bullish guy.
00:18:41.000 And I got a bunch of phone calls to my friends saying, man, you just embarrassed yourself on Charlie Kirk.
00:18:45.000 It's going to be a terrible year.
00:18:46.000 It's going to be a ripple.
00:18:48.000 And I said, no, a president this unpopular.
00:18:51.000 People saying they're considering the Republicans and the issue sets.
00:18:55.000 Yes, we talked a lot about life over the summer, but what do people really care about?
00:18:59.000 Crime, the economy, inflation.
00:19:02.000 I mean, I know the DC liberals don't care if the cost of bacon triples, but a lot of folks who vote Republican or would consider voting Republican really do.
00:19:11.000 And that's why I think Pennsylvania is a really interesting state.
00:19:13.000 It's hard to poll.
00:19:15.000 A lot of height, you know, it's hard to get the right demographics.
00:19:19.000 And, you know, it's a state that Biden did the worst in when you look at the real battleground states.
00:19:24.000 And, you know, I think Oz has caught fire, especially since the debate.
00:19:28.000 Fetterman, before he got sick, was a really great candidate.
00:19:31.000 He just hasn't recovered.
00:19:32.000 And we all wish him well, but he just hasn't recovered to the place where he can really sustain the campaign.
00:19:40.000 So, I think that's a race where you might see the power behind Oz, the power and excitement behind the House races, and the fact that the left has done everything they can to demonize Mastriano, and he continues to move in the polls.
00:19:54.000 I know it doesn't look great now, but I think that race closes. 1.00
00:19:57.000 I think there's a big election day turnout, and we're going to do really, really well there.
00:20:00.000 And across the country, I mean, I just haven't believed it since March of this year.
00:20:04.000 So, let's go through some of the other races that you have eyes on.
00:20:08.000 I mean, you feel good about the fundamentals, right?
00:20:10.000 Ron Johnson, JD Vance, Ted Budd.
00:20:12.000 You think those are almost no-brainers.
00:20:14.000 Is that probably fair to say?
00:20:16.000 You know, everyone's got to work hard.
00:20:17.000 We got to fund them.
00:20:18.000 We got to knock doors.
00:20:19.000 Everyone who's got time this weekend call your campaigns and say, go, go, go.
00:20:23.000 But I feel really good about those races.
00:20:25.000 Those are states that have been trending Republican in recent years, and they're good candidates in the right states.
00:20:31.000 So then let's go to kind of that next level, which is the flips.
00:20:34.000 So you mentioned Pennsylvania.
00:20:35.000 It's not a flip, but that's, for all intents and purposes, it feels like Fetterman's an incumbent of how hard Oz has had to campaign, how much money he's had to raise.
00:20:44.000 So what do you think about Georgia, Arizona?
00:20:46.000 That tandem right there?
00:20:49.000 I think Georgia is looking really great.
00:20:50.000 I know a lot of folks are saying that's going to a runoff.
00:20:53.000 I just feel that Herschel Walker has really executed his campaign.
00:20:57.000 Folks know him.
00:21:00.000 They know him well.
00:21:01.000 And they trust him.
00:21:02.000 I think his message has been great.
00:21:04.000 And, you know, Georgia is going to look like Georgia of 2014, 16, and 18, and less like the Georgia of 2020.
00:21:11.000 Do you think that's because of a Trump thing?
00:21:13.000 Is that your opinion?
00:21:15.000 On Georgia, I do.
00:21:16.000 I think, you know, Georgia, for some reason, it was anomalous for a southern state with regards to Trump.
00:21:24.000 But I think Herschel Walker has really put together a great campaign.
00:21:28.000 And Biden's doing really poorly there.
00:21:31.000 I mean, the fact of the matter is, it's hard to run six points ahead or more of the president.
00:21:37.000 And that's why you're seeing a lot of these Democratic races are hitting 45, 46, 47, and they just leveled out.
00:21:42.000 That's interesting.
00:21:42.000 And they just can't get any higher.
00:21:44.000 So is that historically kind of just a rule?
00:21:47.000 Like you can't, there's a ceiling to how unpopular the president is and how a Democrat candidate is able or a Republican candidate is able to kind of run in relation.
00:21:57.000 Is that correct?
00:21:59.000 Yeah.
00:21:59.000 So in 2014, the Democrats, Democratic candidates ran five and a half points ahead of Obama.
00:22:05.000 In 2018, Republican candidates ran about three and a half points ahead of Trump.
00:22:09.000 So it's hard.
00:22:10.000 If you're of the same party, it's hard.
00:22:11.000 Just the math starts to work against you, especially this late.
00:22:14.000 You know, the left took their best shots that they could at our candidates and they just didn't stick.
00:22:19.000 The American people are ready for change.
00:22:20.000 Midterms are about how we're doing right now.
00:22:23.000 And people aren't happy.
00:22:24.000 People think we're going in the wrong direction.
00:22:26.000 Yes.
00:22:26.000 And so then Arizona, what's your thought there?
00:22:28.000 I mean, that's a tough race with Mark Kelly.
00:22:30.000 What do you think man, that was left for dead, remember?
00:22:32.000 Yeah, I know. 1.00
00:22:33.000 And then Carrie Lake caught fire. 0.93
00:22:35.000 She's carrying the whole ticket. 1.00
00:22:38.000 Carrie could win by 10 points. 1.00
00:22:39.000 I don't think she will, but she could.
00:22:41.000 It's conceivable.
00:22:43.000 I mean, so I think, you know, we didn't talk about Kemp, but Kemp in Georgia and Lake, I think, helped pull up some of, you know, it's hard to beat income.
00:22:51.000 It's hard.
00:22:52.000 And I think they pull up our Senate races.
00:22:55.000 And yeah, remember in August, Masters was dead man walking and no one cared.
00:22:59.000 Everyone was in and out and there's no money, but he's put together a heck of an effort.
00:23:03.000 Arizona wants to go red this year.
00:23:05.000 Yes, it does.
00:23:06.000 Obviously, it was very close in the last presidential and it's a historically unpopular president.
00:23:11.000 It just really works against him.
00:23:12.000 Yeah, I think you're right.
00:23:14.000 I love the way you put that.
00:23:15.000 Arizona wants to go red.
00:23:17.000 I live here, so I'm really in support of that.
00:23:20.000 And the early voting numbers are looking good.
00:23:23.000 So that's that next band, right?
00:23:26.000 So then let's go to the other.
00:23:28.000 Oh, so Nevada, that's probably, you feel good about Laxalt?
00:23:31.000 Laxalt's name brand.
00:23:33.000 They know him.
00:23:34.000 He's done a good job.
00:23:35.000 Cortez Mastos hasn't really burrowed into that state.
00:23:39.000 She's running for reelection for the first time.
00:23:41.000 And Nevada is a quirky state.
00:23:45.000 It can surprise you, but in 2018, it had the most Republicans that's ever elected statewide.
00:23:53.000 So that's another state that can go bright red at the right conditions.
00:23:57.000 And so, yeah, I think everyone feels really good about Laxall that I'm included in that.
00:24:01.000 Yeah.
00:24:01.000 So then let's go to that next band where it starts to get fun, right?
00:24:04.000 Which is the shocker sleeper races: New Hampshire, Connecticut, Colorado, Washington.
00:24:11.000 Rank those, and then we'll get to some of the gubernatorial, just from the Senate perspective.
00:24:15.000 Yeah, I think let me say, I'll go Colorado, Washington.
00:24:20.000 Connecticut, New Hampshire.
00:24:21.000 Connecticut is the long, long, long Hail Mary.
00:24:24.000 If that race is not called by midnight, we're having a very good night. 1.00
00:24:29.000 New Hampshire.
00:24:30.000 Yeah, I mean, New Hampshire is really kind of quirky.
00:24:32.000 Yeah.
00:24:32.000 Oh, Connecticut.
00:24:33.000 Yeah, yeah.
00:24:33.000 Connecticut.
00:24:34.000 Have a Republican governor.
00:24:35.000 He's very popular.
00:24:37.000 But yeah, that is a race that I think would really shock the world if that flipped.
00:24:43.000 You know, New Hampshire, a lot of people who commute into Boston.
00:24:47.000 It's the most, you know, live in one state, work in another state in the union.
00:24:51.000 So it is a different state.
00:24:52.000 It's kind of an interesting state, but a state that will go for a Republican.
00:24:56.000 Sununu's going to win by a lot.
00:24:58.000 He's done a great job.
00:24:59.000 So he may help pull up.
00:25:00.000 And it's a race that hasn't been on a lot of people's radar screen, but I think our candidate is really strong.
00:25:06.000 And Hassan, just first time running for reelection and hasn't really made a name for herself.
00:25:13.000 Colorado, the debate said it all.
00:25:15.000 I mean, Ben has been there forever, hasn't passed any major legislation, has been kind of a placeholder for the state.
00:25:22.000 You know, Colorado can't figure out if it's Kansas or California.
00:25:26.000 So it is kind of a tough state to figure out the future of where it's going to go.
00:25:30.000 But, you know, the campaign has been really good there.
00:25:35.000 And, you know, I just, I think that's a state to really keep an eye on.
00:25:39.000 And Washington State, I don't want to, I'm nervous about anything north of California.
00:25:44.000 I get a little anxious because they're hard to pull.
00:25:46.000 They're quirky races.
00:25:47.000 I feel really good about Smiley, though.
00:25:49.000 I mean, I think she's a great candidate, isn't she?
00:25:51.000 I mean, she's running a great race. 1.00
00:25:54.000 She's running a great race. 1.00
00:25:55.000 She fits the state. 1.00
00:25:56.000 She's getting funded.
00:25:57.000 People are investing money both on the outside and the inside, which is rare for a state up there.
00:26:01.000 Usually they're great candidates, tremendous experience resume, but they don't get the funding.
00:26:06.000 I got handed a poll this morning from a friend, and 8% of the people are undecided in that race.
00:26:13.000 It's a tide race.
00:26:14.000 Is that a lot for our audience at this point?
00:26:17.000 Is eight a lot a week out from the election?
00:26:20.000 For a West Coast, you know, they don't read the paper every day.
00:26:23.000 They're not into politics, like say a South Dakota, Kansas, you know, Indiana, where they're really in.
00:26:28.000 So that's not true.
00:26:28.000 That's not like anomalous, but it is relatively high for an incumbent who's running for, you know, another term has been there 30 years.
00:26:35.000 So it is weird that there are so many people who are on the fence.
00:26:38.000 And number one issues are crime and spending, which have to favor Smiley.
00:26:44.000 That people, when that, when that, when that, you know, curtain closes and they have to say, do I want to keep going in the same way or do I want to make a change?
00:26:52.000 Do I want another vote for President Biden or do I want someone who's going to say, no, let's go a different direction?
00:26:59.000 That's got to help.
00:26:59.000 80% of the people in Washington state think the country's on the wrong track.
00:27:04.000 80%.
00:27:06.000 All right.
00:27:07.000 And that's a deep blue state.
00:27:08.000 Biden won that state, I think, by 19, just to put it in perspective.
00:27:11.000 You pull up a huge upset there.
00:27:13.000 Tiffany's running a great race.
00:27:14.000 So, Rob, you got to help me out with something, which is, I'm getting a lot of texts.
00:27:19.000 I'm sure you are as well.
00:27:20.000 Of people asking me if they can help deploy capital before a week out from the election, right?
00:27:25.000 Can we give the turning point back and all this?
00:27:27.000 Why is it that some Republican donors are just like last minute late?
00:27:31.000 Is there something in that?
00:27:32.000 Is it, I mean, maybe you have insight into this, maybe not.
00:27:35.000 The Democrats seemed like they had all their funding lined up in February, and now we're seeing these last-minute commitments.
00:27:41.000 Just share some wisdom.
00:27:42.000 I'm just curious.
00:27:44.000 Well, it's like it's like building coin.
00:27:48.000 Their folks are much more, A, a lot of their folks didn't earn their money, so they don't mind giving it away.
00:27:54.000 That's a really good point.
00:27:55.000 But also, our folks, they're conservative, so they want to weigh and measure and cut, you know, measure twice.
00:28:02.000 No, I'm not saying it in a negative way.
00:28:03.000 I just find it interesting because I mean, I'm, I think there's going to be a deluge of money this last week.
00:28:09.000 And in some ways, I'm like, man, in September, that would have been a little bit more helpful, right?
00:28:14.000 I mean, better late than never.
00:28:15.000 Yes, it is always frustrating.
00:28:17.000 The Democrats win the summer because their donors cut big checks early.
00:28:20.000 That's right.
00:28:21.000 And there's also a wisdom to our donors because they know if they cut a check in February, politicians are going to come back in September and ask for more money.
00:28:29.000 That's right.
00:28:30.000 So they're wiser than they are, but it's not great spending.
00:28:34.000 If Blake could have had a little more air support early to get to parody on television, I think it would have been a more competitive race early.
00:28:41.000 But it's within striking distance now.
00:28:43.000 Okay, so let's go.
00:28:44.000 Any other sleeper races you have an eye on that are just shock the world type races?
00:28:49.000 Well, I know this is going to sound crazy.
00:28:52.000 I don't, but we love crazy here.
00:28:54.000 Are you kidding me?
00:28:55.000 We love that.
00:28:56.000 I'm interested.
00:28:57.000 There's three races I've had my eye on that I just think in 2014, we almost knocked off the vaunted Mark Warner in Virginia by such a close race.
00:29:07.000 And no, it was on no one's radar screen other than we had feelings.
00:29:10.000 You know, I'm telling you, I know I sound like a crazy person.
00:29:13.000 I'm curious about Duckworth.
00:29:15.000 I just wonder if that's going to be a race that like super like she wins by like two points.
00:29:19.000 And everyone's like, oh, what happened there?
00:29:21.000 Because it's a state Biden won by 17, but it's just moving in the wrong direction.
00:29:26.000 And then also I look at Vermont.
00:29:28.000 You know, I'll throw it out there.
00:29:29.000 It's, it's, it's a sister state of New Hampshire, has a Republican governor.
00:29:34.000 And I just, I don't know, sometimes I'm lucky enough that I get away from the big urban areas.
00:29:40.000 And when I talk to folks, they're not mad.
00:29:43.000 They're just kind of worn down and they don't like the prices.
00:29:47.000 Everything's hard to get.
00:29:48.000 It's expensive.
00:29:49.000 It's slow.
00:29:50.000 And they just feel like, what's going on?
00:29:52.000 Yep.
00:29:53.000 You know, they're not, they want to change.
00:29:54.000 They just want, and not like revolutionary change.
00:29:57.000 They're just like, this guy doesn't have it.
00:29:59.000 He's not, he's not doing the job.
00:30:01.000 That's right.
00:30:02.000 And he needs people to keep an eye on him.
00:30:04.000 Man, Illinois, if Duckworth gets with you, I know I'm a crazy point.
00:30:07.000 I think that, I mean, I'm from Illinois and I love Illinois.
00:30:11.000 And boy, that would be something to see.
00:30:13.000 I don't even know who I'm not saying we're going to win.
00:30:15.000 I think we're going to wake up and be like, holy cow, that was a close race.
00:30:19.000 And then you think of, man, if we would have spent a little bit more there.
00:30:21.000 I mean, do you think you think Darren Bailey can beat J.B. Pritzker?
00:30:27.000 He's Southern Illinois, so he's got a boulder to push uphill.
00:30:31.000 He says, tough to crack.
00:30:31.000 That's right.
00:30:34.000 It's just when you're going against a billionaire who says, I'll put whatever I have into the race.
00:30:38.000 It's just, it is a boulder to push uphill.
00:30:41.000 But, you know, I just hear anecdotally from folks on the ground in Illinois that it's just a weird time and that, you know, they're going to gain seats in the state Senate.
00:30:51.000 You know, they're going to gain seats across the map.
00:30:53.000 And the Republicans are getting stronger.
00:30:55.000 The question is, how high are the sea walls in that state?
00:30:59.000 So yeah, just, you know, like I said, I just spent some time just trying to find those outlier races because I think it's going to be, you know, really great night.
00:31:07.000 So other governor races, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota, kind of talk about some of these other governor races that could flip.
00:31:16.000 And then, of course, the one that is fascinating the country, the two coasts, New York and Oregon.
00:31:23.000 I mean, what is going on?
00:31:24.000 I know that's when you sit there and say, like, after I just said something crazy, like, how can you trust this guy?
00:31:28.000 But then you say, let's talk about New York and Oregon governor faces.
00:31:31.000 So I hope you people, I am threading this together with like a logical.
00:31:35.000 I think things are a lot worse.
00:31:37.000 I mean, the same people who said Trump was down nine points for 11 straight months are telling us that these races are close.
00:31:43.000 So just kind of factor that in as you kind of see these polls.
00:31:47.000 Listen, I think of the three, the one that the Dems hold probably is Minnesota.
00:31:52.000 I mean, for all the problems in Minneapolis, those Minnesotans, I love them.
00:31:56.000 I know tons of them.
00:31:57.000 They just don't like.
00:31:58.000 They just can't handle Republicans.
00:31:59.000 I know.
00:32:00.000 There's something about it.
00:32:01.000 It's like a temperament thing.
00:32:02.000 I don't know what it is.
00:32:03.000 I don't know what it is.
00:32:04.000 Like it's like it's like in the water up there.
00:32:06.000 If we could just get 5,000 of the lakes back, we might actually flip that state.
00:32:10.000 But no, Michigan and Penn, I'm sorry, you said Michigan and Wisconsin.
00:32:13.000 I feel really good about.
00:32:14.000 I talked to a congressman from Michigan who was really down on that, the governor's race, and he's totally turned it around.
00:32:20.000 He's like, I just think, you know, the energy is right.
00:32:22.000 The message is right.
00:32:24.000 And, you know, I think Whitmer spent a little more time talking to national audiences and polishing her resume for something else that, you know, she's gotten a little away from her people, had some hypocrisy issues.
00:32:36.000 And then New York, I'm a Syracuse boy.
00:32:38.000 So Pataki is kind of a guy I grew up with and we miss our Republican.
00:32:43.000 Yeah, that's right.
00:32:44.000 And Lee Zeldon's a great candidate.
00:32:46.000 He's had the funding.
00:32:48.000 And yeah, I think that's a turnout race.
00:32:51.000 And I think Schumer is going to not, he's not going to do his usual double digit wins.
00:32:55.000 I think he's going to be single digit and that's not going to help the governor up there even come close.
00:33:01.000 So I still think it's a boulder to push uphill, but I think we're going to be talking about New York in this next week a lot more.
00:33:08.000 And just the violence you're seeing in New York City is just reminding the upstaters that, you know, a lot of things are going in the wrong direction in New York.
00:33:17.000 We just got a email.
00:33:19.000 Charlie, this coin guy, Rob, is a keeper.
00:33:22.000 Good job on the election stuff.
00:33:23.000 There you go.
00:33:25.000 You're a keeper, Rob.
00:33:26.000 All right, we're out of time.
00:33:27.000 Everyone, our coin is going to continue to roll out.
00:33:31.000 Stay patient.
00:33:32.000 They're a great company.
00:33:33.000 Can't wait.
00:33:33.000 Thank you.
00:33:34.000 We're going to get there.
00:33:34.000 We're going to get everyone who wants a car to car.
00:33:36.000 Just give us time.
00:33:37.000 We're a startup.
00:33:38.000 We're building something great.
00:33:39.000 It's going to be really special.
00:33:40.000 Thank you, Robbie.
00:33:40.000 Appreciate it.
00:33:41.000 Excellent commentary.
00:33:42.000 All right, Joe.
00:33:42.000 Thanks so much for listening, everybody.
00:33:43.000 Email me your thoughts as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:33:46.000 Thank you so much for listening.
00:33:48.000 God bless.
00:33:51.000 For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to CharlieKirk.com.