00:00:59.000We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:01:29.000Robert, what are you seeing from a macro trend right now as we head quickly into Tuesday?
00:01:36.000You know, you're kind of in the wind psychology now.
00:01:38.000I mean, even when Saturday Night Live is conceding the Republicans are going to win, it's perpetuating this idea that as this gap closes, people who are on the fence, and there's a lot of people, believe it or not, who just kind of want to be on the side of what's going to happen, that win psychology is taking over.
00:01:56.000And so undecided and people that were from third-party candidates that end up wanting to have a say-so are all breaking toward the Republicans in these races.
00:02:06.000What races in particular are you seeing breaking?
00:02:08.000I saw a poll where you guys published that showed that Bennett only up two points in the Senate race in Colorado.
00:02:15.000And frankly, that would surprise me because we had seen O'Day down like five or six points recently.
00:02:22.000I think he had some kind of spat maybe with Trump or something, but for whatever reason, the Republicans have decided to kind of come back together in Colorado.
00:02:30.000And we were told you should check again.
00:03:59.000I think it's a negative thing for Donald Trump because if he announces he's going to run, then whatever happens.
00:04:06.000I mean, let's say the Republicans win 52 seats.
00:04:09.000It would have been, they would have won 54.
00:04:12.000And everything is going to get blamed on him for anything, any expectation not met.
00:04:18.000But if he doesn't do anything, then a lot of candidates he had picked are going to win.
00:04:24.000And he obviously has a huge part in that victory.
00:04:27.000So I think from Donald Trump's perspective, it's not in his best interest to do so.
00:04:31.000And it's also, you don't want to take the public off this being a referendum on Biden, because the reason these guys are suffering is because it's a referendum on Biden.
00:04:40.000Don't mix that message that's close to the election.
00:05:24.000It's not the same as I officially announced.
00:05:27.000But yes, I think he's kind of walking the line, Charlie.
00:05:30.000I think he's doing exactly what he should do.
00:05:32.000Not completely getting his toe in the water, but keeping his name in the conversation.
00:05:36.000How does that kind of very, very, very probably thing help people like Herschel Walker or Oz, these states where increased real support could really make a big difference?
00:05:46.000You know, I think people have always kind of assumed, you know, he keeps saying, I'm going to make an announcement at some point and you're going to be very happy.
00:05:52.000I mean, he always has a way of kind of indicating that's what he's going to do without actually engaging with the magic words of saying you're officially running.
00:06:02.000So I don't know that this is going to be that different because I think people are, I mean, the media will try to make it different because frankly, they want to gin up anything that's going to muddy this water.
00:06:11.000But as far as Republicans are concerned, the ones who like Trump already feel like this is something he's going to do.
00:06:16.000And the ones who don't like Trump already think this is something he's going to do.
00:06:22.000So I think it's kind of baked in, but it will motivate certain Republicans just to kind of be a little more energetic.
00:07:16.000Well, it's not like a majority of people in Oregon are for Republican, but it is.
00:07:20.000The Democrat infighting has led to two candidates in the race, one running as an independent who is a Democrat, who's pulling over 12% in almost every poll.
00:07:31.000Now, when you divide the Democrats like that, Republican has a shot.
00:07:35.000And so that's why we show, and all the other polls show that too.
00:07:39.000So unless the Democrats somehow heal themselves and decide to come back together in the next four or five days, that's an excellent chance for Republican pickup.
00:07:48.000And Oregon is an extremely divided state right now.
00:07:51.000You have people who are mad about what's going on in Portland.
00:07:53.000You actually have counties who want to secede and become part of Idaho.
00:07:58.000So there's a lot going on in this governor's race, and there's a lot of mixed feelings in Oregon.
00:08:02.000So I think that divided Democrat organization will give the Republicans a real shot.
00:08:14.000Well, you know, we're the ones who started people talking about this race two months ago when we polled it because it reminded me of New Jersey.
00:09:21.000I think it's basically people in every single county and in every single township that are used to gathering votes, that are used to making sure people turn out.
00:09:31.000I mean, that is a good old-fashioned political machine, and it's all about turnout.
00:09:36.000It's all about people on the ground and about coalition politics.
00:09:39.000And as you know, a lot of Northeastern politics is coalition politics.
00:09:43.000So I think she's not getting the full power of being the Democrat nominee.
00:09:48.000And I think that gives Elden a real shot.
00:09:50.000Yeah, Cuomo is out for revenge, I think.
00:09:52.000And he is not, I think he's telling a lot of his machinery to stand down.
00:09:56.000And I think Cuomo wants to become governor again and is willing to do it.
00:10:03.000Look, you've helped build the wonderful My Pillow into the incredible company that is today.
00:10:07.000And I got to tell you, the things that they have, like the six-piece towel set, the two bath towels, the two hand towels, the two washclaws, game changer, the bed sheets, boom, knocked down to $29.98.
00:10:22.000But look, orders place now through Christmas.
00:10:24.000We'll have an extended money-back guarantee through March 1st.
00:10:27.000It's an amazing way to end your year and do your Christmas shopping and support the wonderful, the amazing, patriotic Mike Lindell.
00:10:34.000Just go to mypillow.com and click on the radio listener square and use promo code Kirk.
00:10:38.000Call 800-875-0425 and use promo code Kirk.
00:11:13.000One of the more effective things being done is the Republican turn, excuse me, the Republican Governor Association has run this very, very effective ad that features the fact that Grisham, through the COVID stuff, basically let this one prisoner out twice.
00:11:32.000And the second time when the prisoner was in, he actually got recorded talking about killing his girlfriend.
00:11:39.000And the second time he got furloughed for COVID, he did, in fact, kill her.
00:11:43.000And just they're really pushing the border and the fact that she hasn't been very tough on crime.
00:11:51.000These are very effective issues down there.
00:11:54.000In addition, you have this movement of so many in the Hispanic community toward the Republican Party because they just feel the Democrat Party has abandoned them on a lot of social issues that are important to them.
00:12:09.000I think it's going to be a nail biter.
00:12:10.000And there's quite a, you know, there's quite a Democrat machine in that state, but we've got a slight edge for the Republican, but I think it's one to watch.
00:12:18.000I think it's a real possible Republican pickup.
00:12:20.000Can you talk a little bit about how Florida has now just become this deep red state?
00:12:24.000How did that happen over the last couple of years so suddenly?
00:12:28.000Well, you know, a lot of it has to do with the black people who are moving to Florida, which is, you know, Paul Zeldon.
00:12:34.000Some of the best voters he had have already moved to Florida.
00:12:36.000But I think it's just, it's the something one of the things about COVID is it really kind of reinforced federalism in a way that people understood how important their state government was.
00:12:52.000And so though you had Trump barely win Florida in 2016 and win it by three and a half points in 2020 and DeSantis and Scott barely win in 2018, I think they're going to win it larger.
00:13:09.000There's just something to be said for good governing, especially as it contrasts to the other states.
00:13:15.000And so there's a pride that Florida has taken and we've done this right.
00:13:19.000And DeSantis has done a great job at not only cultivating and growing the Republican Party relationship with Hispanics, but absolutely just building a greater coalition.
00:13:32.000And when people see things done right, they tend to gravitate it.
00:13:36.000I mean, believe it or not, people actually like good government and doing a good job.
00:13:40.000And so Florida's natural contrast is one of the reasons we spent very little time polling it.
00:13:45.000I was asked in a thing the other day, well, what about Florida?
00:13:48.000I said, oh, I was only polling swing states.
00:14:01.000Carrie Lake has just kind of burst through.
00:14:04.000They tried to marginalize her, but she's just so darn good on the stump.
00:14:08.000And it's funny because everybody's like, well, you know, should Hobbes have better?
00:14:12.000No, Hobbes made the right decision because that would have been a massacre.
00:14:16.000And she is, some of these races are beneficial to each other.
00:14:20.000And so I think she's been a great benefit to Masters.
00:14:23.000And I think they're kind of yin and yang and very helpful.
00:14:26.000One of the other things is Masters, his ability to, I mean, how many Republicans around the country could get a libertarian to leave the race like that?
00:14:36.000And I think that margin right there, we've looked at it and we're about to come up with a new poll.
00:14:41.000I think Matt Tower and Insider Advantage might already have what I went out today.
00:14:45.000But losing the libertarian, having their people, some of them will have voted early for libertarian and then some may vote on election day.
00:14:55.000But my thought is about two-thirds of that libertarian vote end up with masters.
00:15:01.000And that makes this race neck and neck.
00:15:03.000And I think, again, you take an incumbent neck and neck, keep an incumbent below 50.
00:17:14.000My special 20% discount code for Kirk shows fans will apply whether you want to test that out for one week or four weeks, but I highly encourage it you to try for all four.
00:19:04.000I stepped into that position at the call of the constituents and the people of Southeast Illinois and term limited myself for 10 years.
00:19:13.000And I really thought that for my four children and our 11 or 12 grandchildren that I was just going to do the due diligence of serving and making a difference.
00:19:21.000But then coming in also in the super minority with the Republican Party, I found out that I didn't have a voice.
00:19:54.000I believe on Tuesday, the nation is going to be shocked at what happens here in Illinois because people check out our webpage, Bailey4Illinois.com, mainly our Facebook page, Darren Bailey for Governor.
00:20:07.000And they see a movement like I don't think the nation has seen.
00:20:11.000So, and it's mainly the people in Chicago and suburbs.
00:21:05.000So here's the deal: Chicago has no cash bail.
00:21:08.000And with their state's attorney, Kim Fox, well, she doesn't prosecute crime.
00:21:13.000And the reality, when people understand that, well, then they begin to understand what the reality is going to be for the rest of the state of Illinois come January 1st, when 4,000 to 5,000 violent criminals will be released from jail, when people who commit crimes just simply will not be prosecuted.
00:21:32.000It is going to become a land of lawlessness.
00:21:34.000And all of this is propagated, supported by J.B. Pritzker, who signed this into law, a 700-page document that even at this very moment, he and the people that crafted this behind closed-locked doors, they don't even understand what it says.
00:21:51.000But 100 out of our 102 states' attorneys across the state, they know what it says.
00:21:56.000They've stood up and pushed back against it.
00:21:58.000A third of them being Democrats, a half of those filing suit against J.B. Pritzker.
00:22:03.000And for the first time in Illinois history, a governor candidate in the general race has the 100% backing and endorsement of law enforcement.
00:22:13.000And that is me because they know what the Safety Act says.
00:22:16.000And it will completely destroy this state if it is enacted.
00:22:24.000It abolishes cash bail for almost every offense.
00:22:28.000This includes, but isn't limited to, kidnapping, armed robbery, second-degree murder, drug-induced homicide, aggravated DUI, threatening a public official, and aggravated fleeing and eluding.
00:22:42.000Offenders released on electronic monitoring have to be in violation for 48 hours before law enforcement can act.
00:22:47.000Officers will no longer be able to remove trespassers from your residence or your businesses.
00:22:54.000Someone could decide to live in your shed, and all we can do is give them a ticket.
00:24:39.000Since J.B. Pritzker took office, there are 45,000 fewer jobs in the state right now.
00:24:45.000There are 125,000 fewer people working.
00:24:49.000But he contends to stand up and just tell people whatever makes him feel good.
00:24:54.000And if the constituency, if we, the people aren't educated and engaged, and I'm going to tell you something, that's really the problem.
00:25:02.000And thank you for what you do continually because it is about waking up the church.
00:25:07.000It is about waking up the parents, the mom and dad, the working families who are tired and they've had enough and to realize that it can be better.
00:25:17.000That's the beauty of what this, what our constitutional republic offers with free elections every two years.
00:25:24.000But we need people stepping up and stepping into positions of school boards, positions of city hall, county board members running for these state positions and congressional positions.
00:26:28.000And I mean, in Illinois, it's high taxes, it's high property taxes, it's crime.
00:26:34.000And so Democrats in Illinois will say that it's fake news about the Safety Act.
00:26:38.000Can you just dive in a little bit more and separate fact from fiction and just reinforce that point?
00:26:43.000Well, and that's exactly what they're doing.
00:26:46.000All any and all information that's being pushed out there, they are coming against everything and saying no fake news.
00:26:54.000So, and they're even pushing out polls and information that says, well, no, crime actually resides at like a, you know, a 10% to the problem.
00:27:07.000The economy here in Illinois is the result of the lawlessness that's taking place, and that's coming.
00:27:15.000You go down to Michigan Avenue right now in Chicago, and you see a 30% vacancy rate of the retail space there.
00:27:22.000And you see businesses packing up and moving out literally every day.
00:27:26.000I mean, a month ago, the CEO of McDonald's called Chicago a city in crisis, only to be scolded by Mayor Lightfoot and telling him that he needs to get educated on the issues.
00:27:56.000And many of the Chicago police officers that I talk to, many of the off-duty officers usually serve on my security detail when I'm in the city, and they tell me that when they bring someone into custody, whoever they bring in, nine times out of 10, walks out of that door before they even have time to finish filing their report.
00:29:18.000They didn't report on the actual data, which was actual Illinois State Board of Education data.
00:29:25.000So, and then finally, the high taxes, the business will not come to Illinois until there is relief.
00:29:32.000Families will continue to move out of Illinois until there is relief.
00:29:36.000And all of these items, and coupled with an egregious energy bill, coupled with the removal of parental notification, all of this, J.B. Pritzker has created over the last four years.
00:29:48.000And he stands firm telling people he's even going to do more if he's elected to four more.
00:29:54.000So the future of Illinois, and I believe the future of our nation hangs on this election coming up.
00:30:00.000And I truly believe I know Illinois is going to do something amazing.
00:30:08.000If J.B. Pritzker gets re-elected, second-degree murderers will be released the next day.
00:30:13.000Don't believe me, PlayCut 35, Joe Rogan.
00:30:16.000They're essentially eliminating cash bail for almost everything dangerous.
00:30:20.000The law includes secondary murder, arson.
00:30:22.000So you could light a guy's house on fire, get right out of jail, drug-induced homicide, robbery, kidnapping, aggravated battery, burglary, intimidation, aggravated driving under the influence, fleeing and eluding drug offenses, and threatening a public official.
00:30:41.000People can't even believe this when they hear this, Darren.
00:30:42.000I mean, and Darren, you're a lifelong Illinoisan.
00:30:45.000You're from the southern part of the state, which I actually think you're going to run up the score in the southern part of the state and really shock the world.
00:30:51.000And all you got to do is do better in the collars and not lose that bad, that poorly, I should say, in downtown Chicago.
00:31:03.000If you win Cook, you'll win by 20 points.
00:31:06.000And I think you just need to lose slightly in Lake.
00:31:08.000But what's so interesting, Darren, is the collars that I just mentioned there: Kane, McHenry, Lake, those on Will County, I think you're going to win Will big time.
00:31:18.000They used to be all conservative Republican.
00:31:33.000And we just assume that everything that's been fine is going to stay fine.
00:31:38.000And then we kind of check out of government and we let these rogue interests like J.B. Pritzker come in.
00:31:44.000And, you know, I think when people, when the Democrats elected J.B. Pritzker, I think they thought they were, you know, electing an enlightened rich guy that was going to come in and straighten our finances out.
00:31:55.000And instead, we got a radical rich guy.
00:31:58.000I mean, this guy is, as he's increased our property taxes.
00:32:01.000He's, I mean, he's going to blow up our energy grid with this green new deal that he passed.
00:32:06.000So I like to tell people, I think we got a pig and a poke and I think that the people are going to want their money back that voted for him four years ago.
00:33:45.000And you can see where we're at all day long.
00:33:46.000My Lieutenant Governor Stephanie Trussell, my wife, Cindy, we're out working our tails off, earning the trust and the respect of the people.
00:33:55.000And we have a lot of great people listening to us.
00:33:58.000We love our Illinois and Chicago listeners.
00:34:00.000That means you live in Cook or you live in Lake or you live in DuPage or you live in Will or you live in Kane or you live in one of the collar counties, which means you got to listen to what I'm saying, listen to Darren and get other people to get out to vote.