The Charlie Kirk Show - May 13, 2024


Trump Owns the Jersey Shore While Biden Plummets in Polls


Episode Stats


Length

36 minutes

Words per minute

163.47469

Word count

5,975

Sentence count

531

Harmful content

Misogyny

3

sentences flagged

Toxicity

7

sentences flagged

Hate speech

5

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Trump draws 80,000 to a rally in the Jersey Shore. That and also we talk about the latest polls and why you should ignore them and instead get involved with Turning Point Action. That s turning Point Action, the political action arm of Turning Point USA.

Transcript

Transcripts from "The Charlie Kirk Show" are sourced from the Knowledge Fight Interactive Search Tool. Explore them interactively here.
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody.
00:00:00.000 Trump draws 80,000 to a rally in the Jersey Shore.
00:00:04.000 That, and also, we talk about the latest polls and why you should ignore them and instead get involved with Turning Point Action.
00:00:10.000 tpaction.com.
00:00:11.000 Use your agency.
00:00:12.000 Use your ability to change the world and things around you at tpaction.com.
00:00:18.000 That's turning point action, tpaction.com.
00:00:20.000 Download the Turning Point Action app today.
00:00:22.000 Buckle up, everybody.
00:00:23.000 Here we go.
00:00:24.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.
00:00:26.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campuses.
00:00:28.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.
00:00:31.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.
00:00:34.000 I want to thank Charlie.
00:00:35.000 He's an incredible guy.
00:00:36.000 His spirit, his love of this country, he's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created.
00:00:44.000 Turning point USA.
00:00:45.000 We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:00:54.000 That's why we are here.
00:00:57.000 Noble Gold Investments is the official gold sponsor of the Charlie Kirk Show, a company that specializes in gold IRAs and physical delivery of precious metals.
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00:01:23.000 They are counting on your surrender.
00:01:27.000 If you give up, they win.
00:01:30.000 But what if we look back and we realize we were just inches away from victory, and that's when we decided to give up.
00:01:36.000 Join us and thousands of American patriots for the summer convention that all are invited.
00:01:44.000 You're going to hear how we're going to win in 2024.
00:01:48.000 The biggest speakers in the movement, featuring President Donald J. Trump.
00:01:53.000 We're going to fight and we're going to win.
00:01:55.000 Charlie Kirk, Dave Ramaswamy, Governor Christy North, Dr. Ben Carson, Steve Bannon, Candace Owens, Laura Trump, Senator Rick Scott, Congressman Matt Gates, Benny Johnson, Jack Posobiec, and more.
00:02:17.000 June 14th through 16th, 2024 is our final battle in Detroit, Michigan.
00:02:23.000 The great silent majority is rising like never before.
00:02:27.000 Join us for the People's Convention.
00:02:29.000 This is a new ballgame, everybody.
00:02:31.000 You send a message.
00:02:33.000 We play to win.
00:02:34.000 Register now at tpaction.com slash peoples.
00:02:45.000 Things are not going according to plan for the regime.
00:02:50.000 They had this idea of how May was going to work for them because April was a tough month for us.
00:02:55.000 April, for those of us that are patriots and conservatives, April was tough.
00:02:59.000 They thought that May was going to be really strong for the regime.
00:03:04.000 Trump was going to be in court.
00:03:06.000 Joe Biden was going to be doing an ad blitz across the country.
00:03:09.000 They'd be talking about democracy and abortion.
00:03:14.000 And that Joe Biden will become the heavy favorite and they'll be able to deliver a knockout blow to our movement.
00:03:23.000 Donald Trump will be fuming in a courtroom.
00:03:26.000 He'll be called a convicted felon.
00:03:28.000 He's going to be angry and bitter.
00:03:30.000 Polling will show that Joe Biden is ahead in the key states and they will win by a war of attrition.
00:03:39.000 You in this audience, you have been resolute in your commitment to this country.
00:03:47.000 They have been bombarding us on an hourly, near daily basis.
00:03:52.000 New crisis, new indictment, new sentencing.
00:03:56.000 Peter Navarro is in jail.
00:03:57.000 They're going after John Eastman.
00:03:59.000 They indicted Tyler Boyer, our COO of Turning Point Action for signing a piece of paper as an alternate elector.
00:04:06.000 Body blow after body blow.
00:04:09.000 The resilience of you and this base is remarkable.
00:04:15.000 I want to tell you about a place in the country that most people have never been: Wildwood, New Jersey.
00:04:23.000 Now, most of you would know about Wild in New Jersey if you grew up watching MTV, the Jersey Shore.
00:04:31.000 It's best known for crazy summer parties.
00:04:35.000 It has amusement parks, has the typical Jersey Shore type aesthetic.
00:04:42.000 Donald Trump this last weekend did a rally in Wildwood, New Jersey.
00:04:48.000 Now, to put this in perspective, Wildwood, New Jersey is on the southern tip of the southern tip of the state of New Jersey.
00:04:55.000 It is as south as one could go, almost as south as Cape May.
00:05:00.000 I mean, it is all the way down there on the Jersey shore.
00:05:06.000 And people said, oh, you know, Donald Trump doing a rally in New Jersey.
00:05:09.000 And by the way, not too far from Pennsylvania.
00:05:10.000 So logistically, it made sense.
00:05:12.000 You have a lot of over, a lot of flow over coverage in Pennsylvania.
00:05:18.000 Will 2,000 people show up?
00:05:20.000 Will 5,000 people show up?
00:05:23.000 Will 10,000 people show up?
00:05:26.000 Rough estimates show that Donald Trump on the southern tip of the Jersey Shore, a nearly impossible place to get to, by the way, people sat in hours and hours of backed up traffic just to be part of this.
00:05:41.000 Over 80,000 and potentially over 100,000, somewhere between 80 to 100,000 people attended the Trump rally in Wildwood, New Jersey this last weekend.
00:05:55.000 He's supposed to be unpopular.
00:05:56.000 He's sitting trial.
00:05:58.000 Play Cut 39.
00:06:00.000 This is going to show you.
00:06:01.000 This is what a typical Trump rally, I would say, would look like, right? 0.98
00:06:05.000 Fool, you got a ton of people here that have been here, like I said, for hours. 0.92
00:06:09.000 But if we walk behind and take you through where the press is, this is the astounding part here. 0.99
00:06:16.000 This is one of the largest Trump rallies I've ever been to in the last five years or so.
00:06:21.000 And you can see just thousands of people.
00:06:24.000 There's something happening in the country.
00:06:27.000 There is a backlash to everything they have been doing, to mass immigration, to easy money, to hyperinflation, to reckless war, to the militarization of our legal apparatus.
00:06:41.000 On the southern tip of the Jersey shore, over 80,000 patriotic Americans attended.
00:06:51.000 This is not normal.
00:06:53.000 This defies even 2020, peak 2016 energy.
00:06:59.000 We're in a deep blue state.
00:07:01.000 You do a rally, and you have 80,000 people that just want to stand there and listen to you.
00:07:08.000 Why is that?
00:07:10.000 It's because they feel connected to something bigger than themselves.
00:07:15.000 Because they look at themselves as part of a movement, and that is right.
00:07:19.000 Because it's not about Trump.
00:07:22.000 It is about what Trump represents and how Trump brings them in the room.
00:07:28.000 Look at that visual on television.
00:07:29.000 Have you ever seen anything like that?
00:07:31.000 That is not the NFL draft.
00:07:33.000 That is not a rock concert.
00:07:36.000 That's not Led Zeppelin.
00:07:37.000 That's not Taylor Swift on the ERAS tour.
00:07:40.000 That is Donald Trump standing in front of an American flag talking about his plan to make the country great again.
00:07:47.000 When you are low on this country, when you are lacking optimism or positivity, look at that picture.
00:07:55.000 This is the will of the people.
00:07:57.000 And Joe Biden, he could not get 50 people to show up on a Zoom.
00:08:01.000 If he does his rallies, they are perfectly configured.
00:08:05.000 Half the people are staffers.
00:08:07.000 This is an ascendant movement, and it is much bigger than Trump.
00:08:11.000 And in talking to voters over the weekend, what I have come to realize is that because Trump has been around for so long is that the Trump personality is so de-emphasized right now in people's voting selections.
00:08:28.000 Meaning, they know what they're getting with Trump.
00:08:30.000 They're going to get truth social posts.
00:08:33.000 They're going to get whatever they think is negative about Trump.
00:08:36.000 I tend to like it.
00:08:39.000 They're going to get that.
00:08:40.000 That is baked into the equation.
00:08:43.000 What they also know they will get is they will get their country back, is that they will get normalcy, tradition, the ability to own a home, the ability to raise children and to buy property.
00:08:58.000 Stability, not reckless and endless wars abroad and sending money to Ukraine, being invaded on a daily basis, record suicide rates, record opioid death rates.
00:09:11.000 Joe Biden's mass immigration has driven everyday Americans out of the Democrat Party.
00:09:16.000 His inflation, his DEI garbage, and the reckless wars abroad.
00:09:23.000 They hate what Joe Biden has done to this country, and they want Trump to help take it back. 0.79
00:09:28.000 And it is no longer just about Trump.
00:09:30.000 People are now willing to say, I might not have liked him before, but he is a lifeline for this country.
00:09:36.000 And that is what he represents.
00:09:37.000 In 2020, when I spoke at the RNC convention, I said that Donald Trump is the bodyguard of Western civilization.
00:09:45.000 In 2024, he is the lifeline of Western civilization.
00:09:51.000 You are drowning in an ocean.
00:09:54.000 And in the distance, you see a helicopter that can come and rescue you.
00:09:59.000 That is what Donald Trump represents.
00:10:02.000 You are drowning in an ocean of debt, drowning in an ocean of illegal migrants, drowning in an ocean of cultural despair.
00:10:09.000 And Donald Trump, it's not just about his personality.
00:10:12.000 It's not about his court cases.
00:10:14.000 People increasingly don't care about that.
00:10:17.000 It is not moving the polls.
00:10:18.000 In fact, it's moving the polls in his direction because it makes people angrier because they open up their credit card bill this weekend and they say, I can't afford this.
00:10:27.000 And they go on to Zillow.com and they have two kids and they are maxing out their current apartment that is 1,400 square feet and they want to be able to own a home.
00:10:37.000 And they go to Zillow.com and they say, I can't afford half of the down payment.
00:10:42.000 They might have recently gone to an emergency room and now they get a bill coming back that for $6,000 because they had a broken leg and they say, I can't afford this.
00:10:52.000 And how do they see the government reacting, trying to put Donald Trump in prison?
00:10:57.000 The more they see that, the more they realize that they've never cared about their needs, wants, and concerns.
00:11:03.000 And there's some new polling out there.
00:11:05.000 And I'll be honest, the polling is almost too good to be true.
00:11:07.000 And we're going to dive into it.
00:11:09.000 We're going to talk about it.
00:11:10.000 And then we're going to ignore it because we're going to get back to work.
00:11:13.000 This right here is an election that not only we can win, we must win so that our children can live in a free society.
00:11:21.000 Because right now, we're anything but a free society.
00:11:25.000 But the everyday American is rising up.
00:11:27.000 The average person, I hate using that term, the patriot on the side of the street is ready to get their country back.
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00:12:44.000 So there's some new polls out this morning from the New York Times, Sienna.
00:12:47.000 And I got to be honest, they're too good to be true.
00:12:49.000 I don't believe them.
00:12:50.000 I think that they are wildly overexaggerated, but there might be some elemental, there might be some, let's just say, directional truth is the word I'm looking for.
00:13:01.000 New set of New York Times polls out today, and they're pretty good for Trump.
00:13:05.000 They're really good.
00:13:06.000 The polls, the Times polled six swing states.
00:13:10.000 If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
00:13:13.000 Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
00:13:15.000 Okay, so first in Wisconsin.
00:13:17.000 Now, traditionally, Wisconsin is one of the hardest states to poll.
00:13:22.000 Shows that Biden is up two.
00:13:24.000 Okay.
00:13:25.000 But back in 2020, had Biden up six.
00:13:28.000 In reality, Trump just lost by a few thousand votes.
00:13:32.000 Pennsylvania.
00:13:33.000 Now, in real time, if you look at Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, out of those three states, the blue wall, if you will, Pennsylvania is actually looking the best for Trump out of the three.
00:13:45.000 And it's not even close.
00:13:46.000 Out of the three, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan.
00:13:50.000 Trump is up three in Pennsylvania, according to this poll.
00:13:53.000 Now, let's go to Arizona and Michigan.
00:13:54.000 In Arizona, it says that Trump is up seven.
00:13:59.000 That's a little rich.
00:14:01.000 I live here in Arizona.
00:14:02.000 I think Trump is doing very well in Arizona.
00:14:04.000 In fact, this weekend, I came across four new people, four new people in Phoenix that said, Charlie, I moved in the last couple of months.
00:14:14.000 I love Trump.
00:14:14.000 I registered as Republican.
00:14:16.000 Recently, a donor asked me, they said, Charlie, I see that in Arizona, Republicans are creating such distance in voter registration versus Democrats.
00:14:26.000 Who do you think is to credit for that?
00:14:29.000 I said, oh, it's very simple.
00:14:30.000 Gavin Newsom.
00:14:31.000 Gavin Newsom is, without a doubt, the greatest Republican, let's just say, get out the vote additive measure that Arizona has ever seen.
00:14:43.000 To put this in perspective, in 2020, there were 100,000 more registered Republicans and Democrats.
00:14:48.000 Now there are net 236,000 more.
00:14:52.000 236,000 more.
00:14:55.000 We have to chase those ballots.
00:14:56.000 We got to get them out to vote.
00:14:58.000 The Times also polled these six states in a five-way race, including RFK, Cornell West, Jill Stein.
00:15:04.000 In this set of polls, Trump actually leads in Wisconsin by one, but switches to losing Michigan by three.
00:15:10.000 All the other states are unchanged.
00:15:11.000 But guess what?
00:15:12.000 That lead in Nevada, I don't believe this.
00:15:14.000 Andrew believes it.
00:15:15.000 I don't believe it.
00:15:16.000 It says that Trump is up 13 in Nevada.
00:15:19.000 No.
00:15:20.000 That's all I have to say.
00:15:20.000 Get back to work.
00:15:22.000 Get back to work.
00:15:23.000 Start chasing ballots.
00:15:24.000 Ignore it.
00:15:25.000 It is noise.
00:15:27.000 Is Trump likely to win Nevada?
00:15:30.000 I wouldn't even go that far.
00:15:31.000 Can he?
00:15:32.000 Yes, which, by the way, ties in Nebraska.
00:15:35.000 When we have our eyes on Nebraska, the governor's office is looking very carefully and closely at the next steps and next moves.
00:15:42.000 And I feel very good about it.
00:15:43.000 And we're going to keep on updating you as things proceed.
00:15:45.000 As you guys know, We are really, really focused on Nebraska here because the math just so happens to involve Nebraska's congressional district.
00:15:56.000 Let's go here to a piece of tape that breaks all this down very nicely, play cut 25.
00:16:02.000 Look, these sunbelt battleground states, frankly, for the Joe Biden campaign, these numbers are an absolute disaster.
00:16:08.000 The smallest lead is in Arizona for Donald Trump.
00:16:10.000 Look at this: nine in Georgia, 13 in Nevada.
00:16:10.000 He's up six.
00:16:14.000 My goodness gracious my God.
00:16:16.000 That is a huge lead.
00:16:17.000 No Democrat has lost that state since John Kerry lost it back in 2004.
00:16:22.000 How about these Great Lake battleground states?
00:16:24.000 This is something that the Joe Biden campaign can work with.
00:16:26.000 Look, Pennsylvania, Donald Trump up three, but that's well within the margin of error.
00:16:30.000 Wisconsin, Donald Trump up one, well within the margin of error.
00:16:33.000 And actually, a Joe Biden lead well within the margin of error, up a point here.
00:16:37.000 This they can work with the Joe Biden campaign.
00:16:40.000 This, the Donald campaign, Donald Trump campaign absolutely loves.
00:16:44.000 Sunbelt is ascendant.
00:16:46.000 I don't believe Nevada in that way.
00:16:48.000 Maybe Trump is up two or three points in Nevada, maybe 14 points.
00:16:51.000 Cut it out.
00:16:52.000 Okay.
00:16:52.000 That is a fake poll.
00:16:53.000 That is an outlier.
00:16:54.000 It's not even close.
00:16:55.000 Plus, they cheat like you can't believe in Clark County.
00:16:58.000 Okay.
00:16:58.000 Arizona is directionally probably right.
00:17:01.000 I think Trump might be up half a point in Arizona or maybe down half a point.
00:17:05.000 This is all down to GO TV.
00:17:07.000 Part of these polls, I truly believe, and I didn't say this a couple, I didn't say this a month or two ago.
00:17:13.000 I think they're going to do one last effort to remove Joe Biden.
00:17:17.000 I think there's one more opportunity and then they're done.
00:17:20.000 And this is it.
00:17:21.000 If there was an opening, it would be this opening.
00:17:24.000 This polling is so bad for Biden.
00:17:26.000 And mind you, this is while Trump is not actively campaigning, while Joe Biden is outspending him six or seven to one, while Trump is in a courtroom about to become a convicted felon.
00:17:38.000 And Trump is still smashing him in the battleground states.
00:17:41.000 If they were to remove Joe Biden, they have to get him out pre-convention to not look desperate.
00:17:46.000 They need the DNC as a chance to debut their new candidate.
00:17:50.000 So this is it.
00:17:50.000 This is the last window to pull Joe.
00:17:53.000 And boy, do they have a mandate because this polling is a slaughter, but there's a lot of problems there. 0.99
00:17:57.000 Do you bring in Kamala Harris? 0.97
00:17:59.000 Might be even worse than Joe Biden, especially with baby boomer voters. 0.88
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00:19:25.000 So what is driving the Trump surge?
00:19:29.000 One group in particular, two groups that are really bothering Democrats: younger voters, black voters, Hispanic voters.
00:19:40.000 In fact, it is so significant that Democrats are not sure really how to adjust here.
00:19:45.000 Thought that every younger voter was just an abortion voter.
00:19:51.000 Now, mind you, the abortion vote is a very powerful vote, but the more voters there are that turn out, it actually dilutes the abortion issue because poll after poll shows that only 8 to 10 percent of likely voters rank abortion as their top issue.
00:20:08.000 Let me say that again: only 8 to 10 percent of voters vote abortion as their top issue.
00:20:16.000 If we have record turnout in November and we engage in early voting and voting month, especially when it comes to low propensity voters, we can overwhelm them.
00:20:30.000 Play cut 28.
00:20:31.000 That poll from the New York Times, let me read you that a section of their write-up there.
00:20:36.000 It says, Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden are essentially tied among 18 to 29-year-olds and Hispanic voters.
00:20:42.000 Even though each group gave Mr. Biden more than 60% of their vote in 2020, Mr. Trump also wins more than 20% of black voters, a tally that would be the highest level of black support for any Republican presidential candidate since the enactment of the Civil Rights Act in 1964.
00:20:58.000 Younger voters in particular, all that work that we are doing is starting to pay off.
00:21:03.000 Now, I think that Kennedy actually might win the youth vote.
00:21:06.000 I think RFK very well might win the youth vote.
00:21:11.000 But I want to make this point, and it's very, very important.
00:21:13.000 All the numbers show we're strongest with the people least likely to turn out. 1.00
00:21:19.000 So we need to make that happen.
00:21:21.000 It is not going to happen by itself.
00:21:23.000 The less likely you are to vote, the more likely you are to support Donald Trump.
00:21:29.000 So there's a spectrum.
00:21:32.000 The least likely you are to vote, the more you like Donald Trump.
00:21:36.000 The more likely you are to vote, more college educated, more degrees, more master's degrees, the less likely you are to support Donald Trump.
00:21:45.000 This is both an opportunity and a risk.
00:21:47.000 We have the people and the potential voters, but the people require chasing.
00:21:53.000 This is why we're doing what we're doing at Turning Point Action with the Chase the Vote program and project.
00:22:00.000 We need to go find the frat boys and make sure they vote. 0.51
00:22:03.000 Go find the working class Hispanics and make sure they vote. 0.89
00:22:06.000 Go find the muscular class. 1.00
00:22:08.000 Imagine if we pull this off. 0.85
00:22:10.000 In 2025, Democrats will suddenly be shrieking how dangerous ballot harvesting is.
00:22:15.000 They'll say, quote, we need all the votes on person on election day.
00:22:18.000 We'll say, we're so happy you recommended that.
00:22:22.000 You see, what's going on here is the Democrats built a configuration.
00:22:27.000 They configured a system that makes it advantage low-propensity voter.
00:22:34.000 That's the system they've built.
00:22:36.000 That's what mass mail-in balloting does.
00:22:38.000 And it also opens the door for fraud.
00:22:39.000 We totally understand that.
00:22:41.000 However, now that there is mass mail-in voting, it could, it could actually end up helping Donald Trump.
00:22:48.000 I'm just saying.
00:22:49.000 It could actually end up helping Republicans in certain states.
00:22:53.000 You might say, Charlie, how is that possible?
00:22:55.000 Yes, they will cheat.
00:22:56.000 Yes, they will do that.
00:22:58.000 However, when you have more people that support you, which Donald Trump does and Republicans do, you can then use their own template.
00:23:07.000 Van Jones acknowledges the polling out of Battleground States is very disturbing.
00:23:13.000 Play cut 29.
00:23:15.000 That's some paragraph about swing state polls a few months before the election van.
00:23:20.000 Yeah, I mean, it should be a wake-up call.
00:23:23.000 Young people are upset, and it's not just the situation in Gaza.
00:23:29.000 The economic prospects for young people are miserable.
00:23:33.000 And that's been building under Obama, it's been building under Trump.
00:23:36.000 It's building under Biden.
00:23:37.000 We just do not have a pathway for young people to be able to pay off their student debt, get a house.
00:23:43.000 People are looking at this AI wave and are worried about what job, what career path.
00:23:48.000 And so that pain has to be spoken to directly and specifically.
00:23:51.000 That pain, well, there's only one candidate that can actually build the American economy that will make it flourish, that you can own a home, own property.
00:24:00.000 I said this recently on a TikTok video that it's now about to reach 4 million views.
00:24:04.000 Let's get that video.
00:24:05.000 And this is the way we must view this election.
00:24:07.000 It is so simple.
00:24:09.000 For the first time since Grover Cleveland v. Benjamin Harrison, we have two independent voter terms to judge, analyze, measure, and decide upon.
00:24:21.000 You have the four years of Trump where people got wealthier.
00:24:24.000 Our country was stable.
00:24:26.000 The border was secure.
00:24:29.000 Wages were going up.
00:24:31.000 Inflation was tempered.
00:24:34.000 When Trump was president, it was a great time to be in America.
00:24:38.000 It seems since the moment that Joe Biden took office, it has been crisis after crisis, chaos leading to chaos.
00:24:47.000 And you just ask an average person in this country, how do you feel this country is going?
00:24:50.000 It's just falling apart.
00:24:51.000 Unless you are a radical, radical left-winger, you think this is not going well.
00:24:58.000 Fareed Zakaria, who is not exactly a MAGA guy, this very well might be placed programming.
00:25:06.000 What Fareed Zakaria did this last weekend very well might be programming designed to try and get Joe Biden to step out of the race.
00:25:16.000 Fareed Zakaria is very well respected amongst left-wingers.
00:25:22.000 When he talks, people listen.
00:25:24.000 He's been doing this for quite some time.
00:25:26.000 Fareed Zakaria comes out and says, I have to admit, none of this is playing out how I thought.
00:25:33.000 Now, mind you, this is the window.
00:25:34.000 This before June 1st, like that Memorial Day weekend, if they're going to pull Joe Biden, it's going to happen right now, if they're going to do it.
00:25:42.000 Play cut 30.
00:25:44.000 None of this is playing out as I thought it would.
00:25:47.000 Trump is now leading in almost all the swing states, but behind those numbers lie even more troubling details.
00:25:55.000 As someone worried about the prospects of a second Trump term, I think it's best to be honest about reality.
00:26:02.000 I understand that polls are not always accurate, but in general, they have tended to underestimate Donald Trump's support, not overestimate it.
00:26:11.000 I doubt that there are many shy Biden voters in the country.
00:26:15.000 Fareed Zakaria continues by saying, as far as the poll numbers of who could better deal with the economy, it's not even close.
00:26:23.000 Play cut 31.
00:26:25.000 The economy has been in a robust recovery for more than two years now, with unemployment hitting a 54-year low in 2023 and increasing only slightly since then.
00:26:36.000 But Biden is getting little credit for it.
00:26:39.000 The shift here is stark.
00:26:41.000 On the question of who voters trust more to deal with the economy, Trump has a 22-point lead over Biden, according to an NBC poll from January.
00:26:50.000 This marks a 15-point bump for Trump compared to the same poll in 2020.
00:26:56.000 Perhaps this is because inflation is a far more pervasive problem than unemployment, affecting all Americans every day.
00:27:04.000 Perhaps it's because people's views on the economy now are largely derived from their broader attitudes towards the candidates.
00:27:11.000 But whatever the reasons, it's a stunning reversal in the midst of a relentless stream of good economic news.
00:27:18.000 Relentless stream of good economic news.
00:27:20.000 Let me tell you, unemployment means nothing if the job that you have cannot accomplish your basic financial needs.
00:27:29.000 Unemployment is not the most important number if you are pumping in trillions of dollars of cheap money into an economy and you cannot buy the assets.
00:27:42.000 People are $10,000 to $12,000 poorer.
00:27:45.000 Average family are worse off under Joe Biden than they were under Donald Trump.
00:27:49.000 $12,000 poorer.
00:27:52.000 Farid Zakaria continues on Cut 32.
00:27:56.000 On cultural issues, Biden and Democrats benefit from the opposition to the Republican Party's position on abortion.
00:28:03.000 But on the other great cultural issue, immigration, Biden is 35 points behind Trump as to who would handle it better.
00:28:11.000 And I do wonder whether abortion will be as large an issue in a presidential race, given that reversing Roe v. Wade threw the issue to state governments and legislatures and not the federal government.
00:28:24.000 Hear that?
00:28:24.000 Farid Zakaria is saying that the abortion issue is weakening in its general election impact.
00:28:34.000 And understand, all of this is without Donald Trump actively campaigning.
00:28:39.000 Donald Trump is an excellent finisher.
00:28:42.000 He finished very, very strong in 2016.
00:28:45.000 He finished exceptionally well in 2020.
00:28:48.000 He does not get credit for how well he finished the race in 2020.
00:28:54.000 He was down 10 to 12 points in August tracking polls.
00:28:58.000 He consolidated his base together and he did like three to four rallies a day in the month of September and October, in the month of September, October.
00:29:06.000 And I anticipate that to be very similar.
00:29:08.000 Farid Zakaria mentions immigration.
00:29:11.000 58% of Arizona voters want mass deportation.
00:29:15.000 78% of Texas voters want mass deportation.
00:29:19.000 Interestingly, 76% of Virginia voters want mass deportation.
00:29:25.000 59% of Wisconsin voters want mass deportation.
00:29:30.000 74% of Florida voters want mass deportation.
00:29:36.000 Immigration, economy, war.
00:29:38.000 Immigration, economy, war.
00:29:40.000 Those three issues, if, if, if we do the boring stuff, if we register voters, if we chase ballots, if every single one of you becomes, as what Steve Bannon says, a force multiplier, where it's not a matter of just being a spectator and we just show up on election day, but we chase every single ballot we can.
00:29:59.000 All of the foundational aspects, all of the prerequisites, all of the inputs are there.
00:30:04.000 It's up for us to seize it.
00:30:08.000 Hey, everybody, Charlie Kirk here.
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00:31:11.000 I get the feeling that they know something that we don't know.
00:31:15.000 Very 2020 vibes here, that they know something that's coming, that they have something at work.
00:31:20.000 I just get those vibes.
00:31:22.000 Let's play Cut 43.
00:31:23.000 He says with such confidence, the polls are wrong.
00:31:25.000 Things are great.
00:31:27.000 We know that's not true on the ground.
00:31:30.000 What do they know that we don't know?
00:31:31.000 Be on your guard.
00:31:33.000 This is going to be a knife fight for the civilization.
00:31:36.000 Play Cut 43.
00:31:37.000 The polling data has been wrong all along.
00:31:40.000 How many of you guys do a poll with CNN?
00:31:43.000 How many folks you have to call to get one response?
00:31:46.000 The idea that we're in a situation where things are so bad.
00:31:51.000 The folk that, I mean, we've created more jobs.
00:31:54.000 We've made her in a situation where people have access to good paying jobs.
00:31:59.000 And the last I saw, the combination of the inflation, the cost of inflation, all those things, that's really worrisome to people.
00:32:08.000 The campaigning just seems to be like performative theater.
00:32:11.000 They seem to act as if it's not what really matters.
00:32:14.000 Like, I'm not trying to frighten you or scare you, but they're not acting like they're worried.
00:32:20.000 Are they in denial because of how prideful they are because they control the regime and the apparatus?
00:32:25.000 Is it because they're registering voters at record rates using the federal government?
00:32:31.000 I mean, the contrast, President Trump draws 80,000 people in southern tip of New Jersey.
00:32:40.000 Yet Joe Biden is bothering.
00:32:41.000 He's not even bothering to campaign again.
00:32:44.000 This is the way the election should be framed.
00:32:46.000 But before I get into Cut 42, I just want to reiterate, be on your guard.
00:32:51.000 It might be a cyber attack, might be a virus.
00:32:54.000 It might be a war.
00:32:55.000 This thing could dramatically get out of hand very quickly.
00:32:59.000 2020 was a teacher.
00:33:01.000 It was a lesson for all of us.
00:33:04.000 And they're talking as if there's something coming, something on the horizon.
00:33:08.000 Is it bird flu?
00:33:09.000 Is it a cyber attack?
00:33:10.000 Play Cut 42.
00:33:12.000 How would you go about actually making a decision for a presidential candidate?
00:33:16.000 It's a good question.
00:33:16.000 So pick one that could win.
00:33:18.000 Okay.
00:33:19.000 I know that might sound silly, but there's only two that could win, right?
00:33:22.000 RFK is not going to be president this time around.
00:33:24.000 Cornell West is not going to be president.
00:33:26.000 Jill Stein is not going to be president.
00:33:27.000 Now, if you're on the left, you should vote for all those guys.
00:33:29.000 Looking objectively at the four years of Donald Trump and the four years of Joe Biden, was the economy better or stronger under who?
00:33:36.000 Foreign policy where there are more wars or less wars?
00:33:38.000 And were we more stable here at home?
00:33:41.000 It's not even close. 1.00
00:33:42.000 Under Joe Biden, the economy is trash. 0.99
00:33:44.000 You guys are getting poor. 1.00
00:33:46.000 Inflation has run rampant.
00:33:47.000 It is harder and harder to own a home.
00:33:48.000 There are more wars than we can even count, right?
00:33:51.000 Under Donald Trump, there were no new wars, the first time in the modern era for a president not to start a new war.
00:33:56.000 Which of the four years would give you a better idea that the next four years would help you as a young person live freely and a better future in this country?
00:34:05.000 Which four years?
00:34:07.000 With that question presented, we know the answer.
00:34:12.000 So now it becomes a question of who can do the boring stuff better.
00:34:17.000 Maybe that's why Joe Biden is so cocky.
00:34:19.000 Maybe that's why Joe Biden and his team seem to be so certain that they're still going to win.
00:34:25.000 Saying the polls are wrong.
00:34:26.000 They're off base.
00:34:27.000 Even Aaron Burnett reads him the Riot Act, play cut 44.
00:34:32.000 When you talk about the economy, of course, it is by far the most important issue for voters.
00:34:36.000 It's also true right now, Mr. President, that voters by a wide margin trust Trump more on the economy.
00:34:42.000 They say that in polls.
00:34:44.000 And part of the reason for that may be the numbers.
00:34:47.000 And you're aware of many of these, of course.
00:34:49.000 The cost of buying a home in the United States is double what it was when you look at your monthly costs from before the pandemic.
00:34:55.000 Real income, when you account for inflation, is actually down since you took office.
00:35:00.000 Economic growth last week, far short of expectations.
00:35:03.000 Consumer confidence, maybe no surprise, is near a two-year low.
00:35:08.000 With less than six months to go to Election Day, are you worried that you're running out of time to turn that around?
00:35:15.000 And yet he says, oh, the polling is wrong.
00:35:17.000 Trump won't accept the results.
00:35:19.000 I'm getting 2020 vibes from all this.
00:35:21.000 So the only thing we could do is get to work and stay on our guard.
00:35:24.000 And when that crisis comes across our radar, we do not buy in to the fear porn.
00:35:31.000 This is not directionally going well for them.
00:35:34.000 Not taking the bait, not believing it.
00:35:38.000 Remember in 2020, we had the lockdowns.
00:35:40.000 We had death tallies on our television screens.
00:35:43.000 We had Floyd Apalooza.
00:35:45.000 We had mass chaos and civil unrest.
00:35:48.000 Right now, we have war in Israel and Gaza.
00:35:52.000 We have Russia-Ukraine.
00:35:54.000 We have an invasion on our southern border, but nothing yet to the level of 2020.
00:35:59.000 I don't trust these people, and I know you don't either.
00:36:01.000 Got to stay on our guard.
00:36:04.000 Stay on our watch.
00:36:07.000 I'm afraid that there's something that's bubbling up that they know about.
00:36:09.000 They know something that we don't know.
00:36:11.000 He knows something that we don't know.
00:36:14.000 I think this fight is about to totally change in the coming weeks and months.
00:36:21.000 Thanks so much for listening.
00:36:22.000 Everybody, email us as alwaysfreedom at charliekirk.com.
00:36:25.000 Thanks so much for listening, and God bless.
00:36:29.000 For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to CharlieKirk.com.