The Charlie Kirk Show - Why Montana Matters + Hurricane Helene

00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody.

00:00:00.000 It's the Charlie Kirk Show.

00:00:01.000 Amazing voter registration trends that favor Trump and Republicans.

00:00:06.000 Something is happening in the Western world that is favoring our movement.

00:00:09.000 We also talk about Hurricane Helene and why I'm in Montana.

00:00:13.000 Email us, as always, freedom at charliekirk.com and become a member today.

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00:00:19.000 Buckle up, everybody.

00:00:20.000 Here we go.

00:00:21.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.

00:00:22.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campuses.

00:00:24.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.

00:00:28.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.

00:00:31.000 I want to thank Charlie.

00:00:32.000 He's an incredible guy.

00:00:33.000 His spirit, his love of this country.

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00:01:19.000 We have Blake Neff with us.

00:01:21.000 Blake, how are we doing?

00:01:22.000 We're doing great.

00:01:23.000 We are here in beautiful Missoula, Montana, to support Tim Sheehy in his quest to defeat Jon Tester.

00:01:32.000 We're going to go into that race in great detail.

00:01:34.000 But first, Blake, I want to walk through the urgent and terrible news of what's happening in Georgia, North Carolina, and parts of Virginia.

00:01:41.000 Hurricane Helene, and it's less of the hurricane and more of the flooding that ensued because of it.

00:01:47.000 Exactly, exactly.

00:01:48.000 So Hurricane Helene, I think it made landfall as a Category 4 storm, so very powerful.

00:01:53.000 But in contrast to a lot of hurricanes, it wasn't so much the wind damage, you know, that it blew everything over.

00:01:59.000 What happened is, it went deep into the interior, more so than a lot of hurricanes do.

00:02:04.000 So it got way up into the mountainous areas of North Carolina, northern Georgia, even eastern Tennessee, dumped a ton of rain And obviously with these mountainous areas, what you get is all the water rushes down into, you know, pretty narrow areas and causes massive flooding.

00:02:20.000 There's been some viral photographs where you can see entire highways just, you know, they look like it's a river suddenly.

00:02:26.000 And obviously it's done tons of damage.

00:02:28.000 I think over a hundred people dead confirmed, which is I think the most we've had from a hurricane in quite a few years.

00:02:34.000 Yeah, and it's a flooding situation, primarily hitting Georgia, western North Carolina, and southwestern Virginia.

00:02:42.000 Right now, Donald Trump is on his way to Valdosta, Georgia, to offer relief and aid.

00:02:49.000 This is a growing and developing situation, and it is important to not politicize moments like this.

00:02:57.000 If Kamala Harris were to become president, understand she is a DEI believer.

00:03:02.000 She's a zealot in race-based type redistribution and aid. 0.99

00:03:09.000 And I want to play this piece of tape here, which is from Kamala Harris talking about situations like this, saying that, well, black communities are actually impacted by natural disasters more than white communities, which is Totally not correct.

00:03:24.000 It is, there's nothing to support this or there's no basis for this.

00:03:27.000 Let's play cut 22.

00:03:29.000 It is our lowest income communities and our communities of color that are most impacted by these extreme conditions and impacted by issues that are not of their own making.

00:03:45.000 And women. 0.98

00:03:46.000 Absolutely.

00:03:47.000 And so we have to address this in a way that is about giving resources based on equity, understanding that we fight for equality, but we also need to fight for equity, understanding not everyone starts out at the same place.

00:04:01.000 And if we want people to be in an equal place, sometimes we have to take into account those disparities and do that work.

00:04:09.000 Much like COVID, the weather does not care about your skin color.

00:04:12.000 Now understand, this is an older clip, but this is a picture and a window into her sinister ideology.

00:04:20.000 So Blake, do we have a president right now?

00:04:22.000 And secondly, this is creepy and scary stuff.

00:04:26.000 Kamala Harris' ideology is one that we're going to administer aid based on Irrelevant characteristics. 1.00

00:04:34.000 Exactly, exactly.

00:04:35.000 So there was a viral clip over the weekend, I'm sure we have it, where Joe Biden is on the tarmac and someone asks him, do you have anything to say about strikes in Yemen?

00:04:46.000 So there have been airstrikes there, as there have been in a lot of the Middle East recently.

00:04:50.000 And maybe he misheard it, but he apparently thought they were asking about this port strike that might be happening on the coast.

00:04:57.000 Which is a big thing coming, by the way.

00:04:58.000 Strikes in Yemen.

00:04:59.000 He's like, I've talked to both sides of these strikes.

00:05:02.000 You know, I believe in, you know, organized labor negotiations.

00:05:05.000 We're going to get it done.

00:05:06.000 And okay, yeah, he, maybe he misheard it, but you should have a president who's aware of what's going on.

00:05:12.000 And this really is the evolution of ruling by committee.

00:05:15.000 Yes.

00:05:15.000 Meaning that there's, there's like 10 or 12 people effectively running our government.

00:05:19.000 It's like Jake Sullivan, Ron Klain.

00:05:23.000 It is the deterioration of the idea of a singular executive.

00:05:26.000 Yeah, so it's, you don't have the elected president in charge, and even then, it's really not even necessarily his cabinet secretaries running things, it's chief of staff, it's aides, it's people almost no one can name unless they're, you know, reading a Politico newsletter every single day.

00:05:43.000 And then beneath that, yeah, you have Kamala, who, one, we know is not a great Executive because if she was they would literally let her do something and they didn't we were never letting her do anything And as you see her ideology is to give speeches on how well when we're responding to a hurricane Which I checked I think this is the deadliest one in the US since Katrina. 0.79

00:06:03.000 Yeah, it's and growing by the way Yeah, and she believes that the aid that you offer should be doled out, as you say, based on characteristics like skin color rather than destruction.

00:06:13.000 Yes, and I just want to read this.

00:06:14.000 Again, it's tempting to say the federal government's doing nothing.

00:06:16.000 I mean, they're doing something.

00:06:17.000 They did issue some warnings.

00:06:19.000 However, this is definitely being underplayed by the media.

00:06:22.000 That is 100% fair.

00:06:25.000 They're not calling this a crisis.

00:06:26.000 Well, they sort of are.

00:06:27.000 It's not the level of crisis, for example, of George Floyd.

00:06:30.000 Is it fair to say that there was more media attention Slightly more, I'd say.

00:06:33.000 And which one has caused more human, well, the reaction, George Floyd caused a lot of human suffering, but the actual incident itself.

00:06:39.000 So let me just read this.

00:06:40.000 This is from a friend in North Carolina.

00:06:43.000 This stuff in Western North Carolina is getting really, really bad.

00:06:46.000 As more people get back to service, we're hearing all kinds of stories.

00:06:50.000 Bodies in ditches.

00:06:52.000 Bodies floating down rivers.

00:06:54.000 People having babies in homes with no power.

00:06:57.000 90% of some counties without power.

00:07:00.000 Feds are doing nothing.

00:07:01.000 This is their claim on the ground.

00:07:02.000 Dem governor is doing, quote, in all caps, nothing.

00:07:06.000 We need to do everything we can.

00:07:08.000 Understand 90% of the impacted voters here are Republican voters.

00:07:12.000 Makes you wonder if they're being forgotten for a reason.

00:07:14.000 I am donating XYZ dollars, and there's a suggestion if I do here, is 100 dead as of today, literally just heard from a buddy who saw bodies in a ditch.

00:07:24.000 It's going to be huge.

00:07:25.000 Now, this also begs a question, though, Blake.

00:07:28.000 We've spent $250 billion on this proxy war in Ukraine.

00:07:32.000 We obviously disagree with that, but it seems like the urgency in D.C.

00:07:35.000 is abstractions abroad and foreign conflicts.

00:07:39.000 We have an urgent situation here in the homeland.

00:07:41.000 Maybe we could come up with some explanation that this hurricane was, like, sent by Putin and then they would actually care a bit more?

00:07:47.000 Or the mullahs in Iran?

00:07:48.000 I saw one tweet of someone saying that the mayor of Asheville needs to go wear a jumpsuit with a black t-shirt and he's gonna get $200 billion.

00:07:56.000 Maybe shave like five inches off his height too.

00:07:59.000 And just kind of be like half shaved.

00:08:01.000 So the situation here also impacts, and I hate to get to the politics of this though Blake, this is within the two states that might determine the entire presidential election.

00:08:08.000 Very true, very true.

00:08:10.000 And so tell us about that.

00:08:11.000 It matters in two ways, which is one, yes, as you say, Georgia, we've known as a swing state all along.

00:08:17.000 North Carolina has become a swing state.

00:08:19.000 Largely because of Mark Robinson.

00:08:20.000 Yes.

00:08:21.000 And it's polling closer actually now than Arizona and Georgia have been.

00:08:25.000 I think possibly because we just weren't as focused on it initially.

00:08:29.000 And now you have this hurricane.

00:08:31.000 So on the one hand, you have, if there's the perception that, you know, Kamala is off fundraising in San Francisco and that Biden is Not really present in any way.

00:08:42.000 That could damage their play in that state.

00:08:44.000 But on the other hand, it has to be said, there's a huge amount of destruction in these counties, which are, as your friend said, very Republican counties.

00:08:52.000 And, you know, if your home's been destroyed, if there's no power, if everything's a mess, I suspect you're going to see lower voter turnout in those places.

00:09:00.000 And, you know, it's even going to seem a little crass to do electioneering when there's so much crisis around.

00:09:05.000 But you're going to have to overcome that and say, You know, guys, if you want your place to not be forgotten, you do have to make sure that you don't forget to vote.

00:09:13.000 Yeah, and so we need to send aid to North Carolina and Georgia right now.

00:09:16.000 I'm searching for the best website to do that.

00:09:18.000 So I'm going to ask you guys in the audience, is there, if there's a local nonprofit where it doesn't go to some grift or some scam, email some recommendations, freedom at charliekirk.com.

00:09:28.000 We want to make sure we promote that here on air.

00:09:31.000 Secondly, though, Blake, there is a, and we'll get into this, There's a chaotic early voting thing here.

00:09:37.000 They estimate over 35,000 early ballots disappeared.

00:09:41.000 And so, because of the flood, I mean, everything goes away.

00:09:43.000 So, ballots have to be reissued, you know, early voting locations.

00:09:47.000 Now, there is a precedent for this.

00:09:50.000 Remember Hurricane Sandy between the 2012 election?

00:09:52.000 But that's before early voting was a really big thing.

00:09:55.000 So, we gotta kind of figure this out, because thankfully it's early enough so that we can make changes here.

00:10:01.000 But this is catastrophic.

00:10:02.000 Over 100 people dead.

00:10:04.000 And I don't want to say it took us by surprise, but it certainly didn't have the buildup of a usual hurricane, right?

00:10:10.000 It always depends.

00:10:10.000 Sometimes you get these big sweeps through the Caribbean, and then, yeah, as it was, the biggest impact was pretty deep in the interior, which is not super common.

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00:11:48.000 It seems as if there is a consensus that Samaritan's Purse is the best way to help.

00:11:55.000 And they are located in North Carolina.

00:11:57.000 Billy Graham Ministries is.

00:11:59.000 So SamaritansPurse.org if you guys want to help out your fellow countrymen.

00:12:03.000 We are here in Montana, Blake.

00:12:04.000 Why are we in Montana?

00:12:06.000 We are in Montana to win the U.S.

00:12:08.000 Senate, Charlie.

00:12:09.000 Well, walk through the map.

00:12:09.000 What does that mean?

00:12:10.000 Why would Montana That's not a swing state.

00:12:13.000 It's not a swing state.

00:12:14.000 It shouldn't be a swing state on this either.

00:12:16.000 I know you're supposed to only be in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina.

00:12:20.000 Why are we in Missoula, Montana?

00:12:22.000 We are in Missoula, Montana.

00:12:23.000 Let me bring up the map just to make sure I have it fully correct.

00:12:26.000 So, as everyone knows right now, we've got 100 U.S.

00:12:31.000 Senate seats.

00:12:32.000 Right now, I believe it is Is it 51-49?

00:12:37.000 It's 51-49 right now.

00:12:39.000 So it's 51-49.

00:12:40.000 It shouldn't be, but that's a separate issue.

00:12:41.000 It shouldn't be, but we're accepting that.

00:12:44.000 So it is 51-49, Democrat majority, and obviously the Senate is what you need in order to confirm appointments, confirm Supreme Court justices, other judges.

00:12:55.000 It makes it a lot easier to do everything that a president wants to do.

00:13:00.000 If Trump wins, it's going to be very important that he have at least 50 seats, because the Vice President is the tiebreaker.

00:13:06.000 And if Kamala, God forbid, were going to win, we want 51, so that we have a full majority.

00:13:12.000 We don't want that, because then she would have walls as the tiebreaker. 0.99

00:13:16.000 So, if you look at the map, in West Virginia, Joe Manchin, the most conservative Democrat, is retiring.

00:13:24.000 Jim Justice is running against, I can't remember the name of the Democrat.

00:13:27.000 Some dog catcher.

00:13:28.000 Some dog catcher who is, by general consensus, not likely to win.

00:13:32.000 And Jim Justice is a very popular governor.

00:13:34.000 We're going to get that free pickup.

00:13:36.000 That'll take it to 50-50.

00:13:38.000 Let's assume we don't drop Texas, we don't drop some of the other competitive ones out there.

00:13:44.000 Yep, Florida, Texas, we'll be fine.

00:13:47.000 And so, if we're able to flip Montana, then we're able to take it to 51-49, GOP majority.

00:13:53.000 Can I pause?

00:13:54.000 Some people don't, our side tends to not care as much about, like, Senate control as much as the presidency.

00:13:59.000 Would you agree with that?

00:14:00.000 Yeah, it's harder to explain.

00:14:02.000 This is massive, everybody.

00:14:04.000 This is an insurance policy to make sure that even if Kamala wins, she can't get through Green New Deal, she can't codify Roe, she can't get through, you know, D.C. 1.00

00:14:13.000 and Puerto Rico estates or abolish the electoral college.

00:14:15.000 Exactly, exactly.

00:14:16.000 And you know, they'd still end up probably confirming a lot of her personnel because generally they're not willing to just abandon an administration.

00:14:23.000 But yes, you can't, it would mean she's legislatively a lame duck. 1.00

00:14:27.000 And that would be hugely valuable given all the things Democrats want to do.

00:14:32.000 And this is by far our best chance for a pickup.

00:14:35.000 Obviously, we're still trying hard in Arizona.

00:14:37.000 We're trying in Nevada.

00:14:39.000 We're trying in Ohio, especially.

00:14:41.000 We're hoping we can take down Sherrod Brown.

00:14:43.000 That's another state that will vote Trump by a good margin.

00:14:46.000 But generally, this one here in Montana is the most gettable.

00:14:50.000 We're going to win Montana by a lot.

00:14:53.000 We have a formidable candidate.

00:14:54.000 Jon Tester is not, like, the greatest senator to ever live by any means.

00:14:59.000 And so this is a pickup we should get.

00:15:03.000 Yes, and so Tim Sheehy's a great candidate.

00:15:06.000 We are doing two things today.

00:15:07.000 We're doing our show here, three things.

00:15:09.000 Our show, we're doing a huge campus Prove Me Wrong event, and then an event with Tim Sheehy here in Missoula, where we anticipate over a thousand people.

00:15:16.000 If you guys are in Montana, please attend.

00:15:18.000 It is our Save Big Sky event with Tim Sheehy.

00:15:21.000 Let's put 24 up on screen.

00:15:22.000 As Blake was saying here, this is the map.

00:15:25.000 So, anything that is in baby blue is a current Democrat incumbent running.

00:15:32.000 So, right there, Montana.

00:15:33.000 Now, Jon Tester is one of the most liberal members of the U.S.

00:15:37.000 Senate when it comes to votes that matter.

00:15:40.000 Meaning he'll do show votes, but when it really matters, he'll almost always go with the party line.

00:15:45.000 And understand, do you have a thought on that?

00:15:47.000 My favorite thing of his fake show moderate vote is he didn't cast a ballot for Kamala to be the Democrat nominee.

00:15:54.000 He just didn't return his ballot so that he's technically not on the record voting for Kamala to be the Democrat nominee.

00:16:00.000 It's a lot of show voting.

00:16:01.000 And so he's been in the Senate for well over 14 years.

00:16:04.000 Now let me think about this.

00:16:06.000 12 years.

00:16:06.000 That's right.

00:16:08.000 I think he got elected in 2006.

00:16:09.000 Yeah, yeah.

00:16:10.000 So he won in 06, which was a good year for Democrats. 0.96

00:16:13.000 He won in 12, which was a survivable year for Democrats, because Romney didn't bring out a lot of turnout.

00:16:18.000 He won in 2018, which was an OK year for Democrats.

00:16:22.000 And now this is the first year He has to go up against a Trump movement in a presidential year in a very heavy Trump state.

00:16:29.000 And so he is prime for taking out.

00:16:33.000 Governor Gianforte is very popular.

00:16:35.000 Here he'll probably win by 20 points.

00:16:37.000 Trump will probably win by 25 plus points.

00:16:39.000 So the key to win Montana is to pair up the Trump-Gianforte voters with the Sheehy voters.

00:16:45.000 In order for Tester to win, you know he has to win one out of three Trump voters.

00:16:50.000 That's a lot.

00:16:51.000 It's incredibly hard.

00:16:51.000 I'm checking the numbers.

00:16:53.000 In 2018, a much tougher year than this one should be.

00:16:56.000 He won 50 to 47, basically.

00:16:59.000 Yeah, with Matt Rosendale.

00:17:01.000 And so, again, so Jon Tester has to win one out of three Trump voters.

00:17:06.000 It is our job to educate the people of Montana.

00:17:08.000 Do not vote for Jon Tester.

00:17:09.000 Vote for Tim Sheehy.

00:17:11.000 We must control the Senate.

00:17:12.000 And if Trump wins, we want to make sure that he has a Senate he can work with, that he can get his legislative aims and objectives done.

00:17:18.000 So we are here in Montana trying to make that happen.

00:17:20.000 Thank you for supporting us to make that happen.

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00:18:02.000 For tickets and more details visit whitebird.movie We are getting lots of emails right now about the flood and the flooding in Western North Carolina.

00:18:14.000 So Meridenspur seems to be the frontrunner of what people say really on the ground does well there.

00:18:18.000 Please help your fellow man and woman in Western North Carolina and Georgia and parts of Virginia.

00:18:26.000 That part of the world, Blake, is going to be determinative, and I want to talk about the political side of this now, less about the flooding, but the map is ever-changing, and that's one of the reasons why we're in Montana, is that we want to try to ensure an insurance policy here.

00:18:37.000 Blake, there was some really goofing polling that is now coming to the surface, where it seems that Kamala really is emphasizing and focusing North Carolina.

00:18:47.000 I've heard this from public people, private individuals, sourcing off the record, on the record.

00:18:52.000 Kamala Harris believes that one of her best chances for winning the White House is North Carolina. 1.00

00:18:59.000 And I just brought up, you know, Nate Silver's average.

00:18:59.000 For sure, for sure.

00:19:02.000 I know not everyone cares for him, but he's good at tracking what's going on.

00:19:05.000 He's an aggregator.

00:19:07.000 Yeah, a good one.

00:19:08.000 He's a model maker.

00:19:08.000 He's an aggregator.

00:19:09.000 He has a good track record.

00:19:11.000 And, you know, right now, if you look at the maps, at the averages of all the polls, you know, in Florida, we're on average up three and a half points.

00:19:19.000 That's great.

00:19:20.000 We should win that.

00:19:21.000 In Arizona, where, you know, you and I are doing the most work.

00:19:24.000 We are laboring.

00:19:24.000 We are laboring, and our average there is up one, about one and a half points.

00:19:28.000 So it's actually the most in our favor of all the kind of core swing states.

00:19:32.000 We have to chase.

00:19:34.000 Uh, Georgia, we're up a point.

00:19:35.000 That's good.

00:19:37.000 North Carolina, .2 points.

00:19:39.000 That is a tie.

00:19:40.000 That is closer than Arizona, closer than Georgia.

00:19:43.000 I'm going to interrupt you for a second here.

00:19:44.000 So there was a new poll today that was good for Trump, but it's also very concerning.

00:19:47.000 Let me tell you why.

00:19:48.000 So it's an Eastern Carolina University poll.

00:19:50.000 So I like local polling, meaning if it's from a local university or a local newspaper, I tend to take it a little more seriously because they tend to know the state and the formula.

00:19:59.000 The state, first of all, the East Carolina poll came out, had Mark Robinson down 17 points.

00:20:07.000 Yeah.

00:20:07.000 And Donald Trump up, too, which means that Donald Trump is running 19 points ahead of the governor's candidate.

00:20:13.000 Of course, you say you need a state, but that's East Carolina.

00:20:13.000 19 points.

00:20:16.000 How are we doing in East Carolina, Charlie?

00:20:18.000 Well, we're actually visiting East Carolina.

00:20:20.000 Yeah, no, I mean, Eastern Carolina is super, super Conservative.

00:20:23.000 Now, mind you, this is before the storm.

00:20:25.000 Maybe this could consolidate more support.

00:20:28.000 I think the optics today is that Trump cares more and he'll be on the ground later today in Valdosta, Georgia.

00:20:34.000 But the map composition is also interesting, and I want to dive into this, Blake, because of some of the new youth vote numbers that were notable.

00:20:41.000 I sent this in the chat here.

00:20:43.000 So, everybody, back, right, do you know that Gen Z, so 18 to 24 year olds right now, are more conservative than 25 to 29 year olds?

00:20:54.000 This is remarkable.

00:20:54.000 So if you find a 27 year old, they are more likely to be liberal.

00:20:58.000 There are more conservatives than there are liberals between 18 to 24 year olds.

00:21:02.000 What is the reason for this play?

00:21:04.000 What's crazy, especially, I want to emphasize this.

00:21:06.000 Usually, when you'd see this, they would downplay it and say, well, the number of independents just keeps going up.

00:21:11.000 So a lot of just the people who would be liberal say they're independent.

00:21:14.000 But with these numbers, both groups are 48% independent.

00:21:19.000 So all the movement has been from liberals to conservatives.

00:21:23.000 What's driving it?

00:21:24.000 I think a 10-point movement, if you look at it.

00:21:26.000 Yeah, exactly.

00:21:27.000 So conservatives up five, liberals lost five.

00:21:29.000 Just straight flip.

00:21:31.000 And I think what drives it the most is that I think it's all men, basically. 0.95

00:21:38.000 If you're a young guy in high school, in college age, Liberalism has become such an uncool ideology.

00:21:45.000 It's become a very oppressive ideology.

00:21:47.000 It's very suffocating.

00:21:49.000 So, when you and I were growing up, there was still that sort of, you know, I am a radical dissident edge, even, you know, to liberalism.

00:21:55.000 Correct.

00:21:56.000 It was already dominant in universities.

00:21:57.000 Totally right.

00:21:58.000 But it had more countercultural credibility.

00:22:00.000 They had a little more credibility on free speech.

00:22:02.000 That was still when you had, you know, that sort of school marmish aspect on the right, where, you know, they wanted to censor television and all of that.

00:22:12.000 We lost that culture war, and so now all of the people who are pro-censorship, who are telling you what you're allowed to think, what you're allowed to do, what you're allowed to say, all of these people are on the left.

00:22:21.000 The kind of schoolmarm personality, the Dolores Umbridge personality, which, if you haven't read Harry Potter, you won't get that, but other young people will.

00:22:30.000 All these people are on the left and it's just so, it's really uncool.

00:22:34.000 It's really unpleasant.

00:22:36.000 And also these people just, they lie to you a lot.

00:22:39.000 And so, you know, if you have the internet connection, you're able to go on social media, go on Wikipedia, go on, you know, go look at videos for yourself.

00:22:47.000 It's so trivial to discover things that you're supposedly not allowed to think.

00:22:52.000 And all of the people having interesting thoughts these days are on the right.

00:22:56.000 That's right.

00:22:57.000 And so if you're a young person and that appeals to you, you're going to be pulled towards the right.

00:23:02.000 And it's not everyone, but it's definitely a shift.

00:23:05.000 We're getting a type of person we have not gotten in a long time on the right.

00:23:09.000 And that's a very promising development.

00:23:11.000 I mean, just the type of individual, and we'll put this up on screen, we can play one of these tapes here, but look, the videos here are amazing.

00:23:17.000 The type of person on campus, Blake, when I first started as advocacy 10 years ago, if I walked into a frat house, it would have been very socially liberal, Right?

00:23:27.000 And it would have been, like, the Republicans are stodgy and not fun, and the Democrats are about free speech and, like, you know, live free.

00:23:37.000 Now it's the opposite.

00:23:38.000 Yeah, the stereotype for a campus Republican would be sort of like this William F. Buckley wannabe, and, you know, they'd wear... they'd be wearing their, like, tweed jacket that didn't really fit in, and they're like, let's just have a meeting, and we shall talk about Burke and his influence on... Which I'm happy to do, but...

00:23:55.000 Which is great.

00:23:56.000 I'm okay with all of that.

00:23:57.000 But it was very dominant with that thing.

00:23:59.000 And it was also sort of a, it was a defeatist ideology.

00:24:02.000 Campus conservatism, sort of the National Review ideology was always very, it was like, yeah, we're doomed.

00:24:08.000 We're going to lose.

00:24:09.000 We're going to get run over.

00:24:11.000 We're going to be right is what's going to matter.

00:24:12.000 And so you have much more of an attitude of, Wait, we can win an election.

00:24:16.000 We can try to turn the tide.

00:24:18.000 And yeah, maybe we'll lose, and we'll go down guns blazing, but we actually can view this as a fight we're able to win.

00:24:25.000 And that's very important, because as we've seen with our recent adventures in Nebraska, getting people to want to win is a big deal.

00:24:32.000 Yeah, without a doubt.

00:24:34.000 And understand that it's not just the men.

00:24:37.000 Young ladies are starting to come more in our direction. 0.90

00:24:40.000 I mean, we're about to go, University of Montana, just feet away from here, and we are going to be met with a huge crowd.

00:24:45.000 They're anticipating over 1,400 people.

00:24:47.000 By the way, just understand, that's 10% of the student body.

00:24:51.000 1,400 people show up today.

00:24:52.000 10% of the whole student body, because there's 10,000 people that go to University of Montana.

00:24:56.000 And there's something notable where it is, it's not just cool, but it's fashionable.

00:25:02.000 It is the movement.

00:25:03.000 There's, dare I say, there's a vibe to it.

00:25:06.000 That it's also their professors are overly policing the pronouns that they're using.

00:25:12.000 The entire culture is, I love that word, suffocating.

00:25:15.000 It is oppressive.

00:25:16.000 It's like a boa constrictor.

00:25:18.000 It is constantly trying to suck the life out of you.

00:25:21.000 That is American leftism right now.

00:25:23.000 I think if you're a young person in college, that means you were in high school when COVID-19 happened.

00:25:28.000 You lost You know, maybe two years of your life, you had to sit on these fake virtual classrooms while teachers, you know, read you lectures about George Floyd or systemic racism.

00:25:39.000 You might have had that garish pride flag in your classroom, in a public school classroom.

00:25:44.000 You just have this, you know, propaganda in favor of some of this stuff.

00:25:48.000 And, you know, I don't want to overplay it.

00:25:50.000 I would say if you look at young people, a lot of them are still Fairly socially liberal, certainly more than you or I. Correct.

00:25:56.000 But one, not everyone is like that.

00:25:59.000 You have some people who are really swinging our way.

00:26:01.000 Let me say, though, that they believe in traditional gender norms, though.

00:26:04.000 Yes.

00:26:04.000 That's not socially liberal, meaning they don't think... The trans thing is increasingly unpopular.

00:26:10.000 They're definitely okay with homosexual marriage, which I'm not, and fine. 1.00

00:26:15.000 And they're definitely okay with abortion. 0.96

00:26:17.000 But the trans thing seems to be a little bit of a line.

00:26:19.000 Yes, it was too much of an assault on, you know, the basic understanding of reality. 0.98

00:26:24.000 Like, abortion, unfortunately a lot of people just say, you can meet these people, they're like, yeah, it's a baby, it's a human, and it's okay to kill them because I want to have sex whenever I want. 0.98

00:26:35.000 Very ghastly.

00:26:37.000 But to say like, yeah, this guy is totally a woman now is just, It requires you to believe too many things that are obviously not true.

00:26:45.000 It's also inherently tyrannical, because it's not just that you believe it, it's that if you don't believe the man is a woman, then you're going to be penalized and punished, and you're going to have your livelihood taken away from you. 0.57

00:26:55.000 Yeah, you could lose your job, be sued, because you won't say that that man is a woman, and you have to really believe it. 1.00

00:27:01.000 So this ties into an amazing victory that I want to get into in Austria, which happened this last weekend.

00:27:09.000 You want to talk about two signs of why Trump might win.

00:27:13.000 I'm not guaranteeing, but there's two things.

00:27:15.000 If you say, Charlie, what is working in Trump's favor?

00:27:18.000 Western governments right now are seeing populist uprisings from Austria to the Netherlands, to parts of Germany, to parts of France, to parts of Argentina, that are around the Trump message.

00:27:30.000 Very, very positive for Trump.

00:27:32.000 And number two, voter registration numbers.

00:27:34.000 The country is becoming profoundly more right-wing.

00:27:37.000 Young people, though, are the reason why this Austrian party was assembled.

00:27:42.000 What are the details here, Blake?

00:27:43.000 This is really something.

00:27:44.000 It's the Austria Populist Freedom Party.

00:27:46.000 The Freedom Party of Austria.

00:27:47.000 Yeah, it achieved its largest election success in its party's history on Sunday as young voters flocked to support the anti-mass immigration and its re-migration policies.

00:27:59.000 The FPOE won 29.2% of the national vote.

00:28:03.000 So younger voters in Austria are the ones that are pushing the country more right wing.

00:28:07.000 Yeah, and this guy's great.

00:28:09.000 He's, uh, first of all, he kind of very much captures some of the vibe we're seeing.

00:28:12.000 Like, I think he's a, he's a college dropout.

00:28:14.000 College is a scam.

00:28:15.000 Hey, love that.

00:28:16.000 And he said all this stuff where he's like, yeah, I think they'll say like, he's, his views are considered far right.

00:28:22.000 He believes that migrants who commit crimes should be returned to their countries immediately.

00:28:26.000 His name is Herbert Kierkegaard.

00:28:28.000 Herbert Kierkegaard.

00:28:29.000 I love that.

00:28:30.000 So, so, so, so Herbert Kierkegaard, um, he calls himself the, I love this, the Volkskanzler, which means what?

00:28:37.000 The people's voice?

00:28:37.000 This is a people's chancellor.

00:28:39.000 I'm not, I'm not, I was pretty close.

00:28:40.000 Yeah, they'll harp on that because there was, you know, another person who was a chancellor, 1.00

00:28:43.000 but they're all full of crap. 0.99

00:28:45.000 Canada, the most conservative generation in Canada is the under 30s. 1.00

00:28:49.000 Is that right?

00:28:50.000 Yeah, in terms of supporting the conservatives in the...

00:28:52.000 So if you guys want some hope and some optimism, look at what's happening in the Western sphere.

00:28:58.000 In countries that you wouldn't expect, parties and movements that are embracing the Trump

00:29:02.000 style message are over-performing polls and are succeeding.

00:29:07.000 This is a big deal, everybody, and it could mean major success coming into November.

00:29:14.000 Hey everybody, Charlie Kirk here.

00:29:15.000 What an unbelievable start to 2024.

00:29:17.000 We had last month saving babies with preborn by providing ultrasounds.

00:29:21.000 And we're doing again this year what we did last year.

00:29:24.000 We're going to stand for life because remaining silent in the face of the most radically pro-death administration is not an option.

00:29:29.000 As Sir Edmund Burke said, the only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing, and we're not going to do nothing.

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00:30:00.000 Or click on the pre-born banner at charliekirk.com.

00:30:04.000 That is charliekirk.com and click on the pre-born banner.

00:30:07.000 Also save moms from a lifetime of pain and regret.

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00:30:16.000 So, voter registration numbers are like mini-polls, and they're very accurate. 0.99

00:30:21.000 You can see which way the electorate is tilting.

00:30:24.000 Blake, what do those numbers tell us?

00:30:26.000 Well, so, for example, just last Friday I was, I can't say who, but I was speaking with someone in the polling universe in Arizona, and we were just talking, how's the election going to go?

00:30:37.000 And one of the things he told me is, you know, the polls, it's very close, I can't easily say which way it will go.

00:30:44.000 But one of the things is, if you look at the registration numbers, it suggests we should be in a great position.

00:30:51.000 And we were in Arizona, he pointed towards Arizona.

00:30:54.000 He was saying there are districts where we were one point ahead, one and a half points ahead in 22, we're now three points, three and a half points ahead.

00:31:02.000 In voter registration numbers.

00:31:03.000 In voter registration share.

00:31:05.000 In Maricopa County, we've grown to lead by more than 20,000 additional voters there just since July.

00:31:12.000 Overall in Maricopa, we have a lead of 157,000 registered voters.

00:31:17.000 That's more than what we had statewide in 2020.

00:31:20.000 In Arizona, we had 100,000 net Republican voter advantage.

00:31:24.000 In Maricopa alone, now we have 150,000.

00:31:27.000 Exactly.

00:31:27.000 And statewide, it's several hundred thousand.

00:31:29.000 Correct.

00:31:30.000 So, 365 right now.

00:31:31.000 That means if you get, let's say we each get 95% of our party, and then if you're able to split independents, you win easily.

00:31:38.000 And especially if you drive turnout.

00:31:40.000 Yes.

00:31:40.000 And that's the thing.

00:31:41.000 And the thing is, this is why chasing is so important, everybody.

00:31:44.000 If you have more registered Rs than Ds, then it's a matter of turnout.

00:31:48.000 So you just have to, it's much easier to chase because there's more ballots that favor you than ballots that favor the bad guys.

00:31:54.000 Exactly.

00:31:56.000 You know, if you get your ballot in, they won't harass you to vote anymore, too.

00:31:59.000 Exactly.

00:31:59.000 Yeah, well, stop knocking on your door at Turning Point Action.

00:32:02.000 Mind you, that voter registration in Pennsylvania, for the first time ever, all 67 counties are trending Republican more so than Democrat for the first time ever.

00:32:11.000 We are out-registering them in North Carolina.

00:32:13.000 We're out-registering them in Georgia.

00:32:14.000 We're out-registering them in Ohio.

00:32:16.000 We're out-registering them in, well, Wisconsin, we can't do party registration.

00:32:20.000 Out-registering them in Iowa.

00:32:22.000 So, I mean, these trends are significant and they are profound.

00:32:26.000 And Scott Pressler's on the ground flipping counties.

00:32:28.000 But the ground game matters a lot.

00:32:30.000 But you can't force people to register in a way You don't want them to.

00:32:34.000 The Democrat voter registration advantage is shrinking.

00:32:36.000 Remember during the summer of 2020?

00:32:38.000 We had Floydapalooza.

00:32:40.000 We had the entire country that was being incinerated.

00:32:43.000 We had race riots.

00:32:45.000 We had COVID.

00:32:46.000 The country went super far to the left as far as voter registration numbers went.

00:32:50.000 And Trump still only fell 41,000 ballots.

00:32:56.000 In Pennsylvania, Democrats were 46.5% of registered voters, Republicans were 39%, so 7.5 point lead.

00:33:04.000 Now, going into the homestretch of 24, it's 44 to 40.

00:33:10.000 So we've basically shaved 3% off that margin when they only won the state by 80,000 votes, about 1%.

00:33:17.000 And there's a lot of cross Democrats that vote for Trump.

00:33:19.000 Yeah, there's Democrats who cross over.

00:33:20.000 And some of the shift is, of course, that long-term trend.

00:33:23.000 There's, you know, those old FDR Democrats who were pivoting towards Republicans.

00:33:27.000 But that process has been going on for decades, and it's basically done at this point.

00:33:32.000 What you're seeing a lot of now is you're seeing, like, Hispanics who were always Democrat who were like, wait, I don't agree with the Democrats on any issues at this point. 0.98

00:33:40.000 And re-registering to vote is like a very hard process.

00:33:43.000 People don't bother to do it.

00:33:44.000 And so, but what's important is first time voters are registering Republican.

00:33:48.000 Yes.

00:33:48.000 That right there shows that the new people in the system.

00:33:52.000 So if we drive turnout and we drive high, high, high intensity, we're going to be at a good spot.

00:33:58.000 I will say though, that absentee ballot requests are down, which on a surface should favor Democrats, but we still got to get our people out to vote.

00:34:05.000 We have to get our people out to vote.

00:34:07.000 Get your ballot in, get it harvested, get it banked.

00:34:10.000 Don't, you know, if you insist on voting election day and you will no matter what, do it.

00:34:14.000 Let's just, what if you lived in Western North Carolina and there was a storm?

00:34:18.000 Yeah.

00:34:19.000 How would you vote?

00:34:20.000 If there is a storm on election, by the way, you know there's a snowstorm?

00:34:22.000 There was a snowstorm in Nevada on election day back in 2022.

00:34:26.000 And so, all of a sudden there's a bunch of flooding in your community?

00:34:28.000 Well, you should have voted early.

00:34:30.000 Vote early, get your ballot in, bank your vote, take your name off the list so that we can stop harassing you.

00:34:36.000 Thanks so much for listening, everybody.

00:34:38.000 Email us, as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.

00:34:40.000 Thanks so much for listening, and God bless.

The Charlie Kirk Show - September 30, 2024

Why Montana Matters + Hurricane Helene

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