A new Gallup poll shows that 40% of women ages 15-44 want to leave the United States permanently. What does this mean for the future of the country? And why are these women so upset about it? Today's guest, Libby Emmons, shares her thoughts.
00:00:56.000The Charlie Kirk Show is proudly sponsored by Preserve Gold, the leading gold and silver experts and the only precious metals company I recommend to my family, friends, and viewers.
00:01:09.000This is according to a new Gallup poll.
00:01:11.00020% of people say they want to live somewhere else.
00:02:13.000Yeah, these women are out of their minds.
00:02:15.000They have no idea the bounty of conveniences and food and freedoms and peace that we have here in this country.
00:02:23.000And I think that this is the reason for this is that we have done a really, really bad job of telling our kids what is so great about America and what is so great about their homeland contrasted to every place else.
00:02:35.000By infusing our entire educational system with cultural relativism, we've led these women to believe that all cultures are the same when in fact, American culture is the greatest one.
00:02:46.000Well, I mean, it's different types of American culture.
00:03:14.000One thing I love about going back to New England where so many, much of my family is, is I get to hear all of these Boston accents and the Maine accent.
00:04:33.000They're the ones more likely to buy a home.
00:04:34.000Like they're, they're getting, like, they're adopting almost more masculine traits in some surprising ways.
00:04:40.000And yet, and then of course, they're also, like, let's be frank, we have basically affirmative action for women in a lot of areas.
00:04:47.000You know, we had a ton of that in academia, in tech, in medicine.
00:04:51.000There's been a big effort in America to make every institution possible more opening to women, more welcoming of women to recruit more women into it.
00:05:00.000And there's something interesting that they can look at decades of that reality and feel so repulsed by what they see that 40% of them are saying they actually just, they want to move to an entire different country versus men who don't want to quit and leave America.
00:05:17.000Yeah, well, I actually, I mean, and on that point, Libby, how much of this do you think kind of what Martha McCallan was saying is this just sort of TDS, living liberal women having to live under a president they didn't vote for versus some of the these larger societal trends that we've seen where, you know, you could throw up image 95.
00:05:36.000This is liberal women are the least likely to be completely satisfied with life.
00:05:41.000Only 12% of liberal women are compared to 37% of conservatives, 28% of moderates.
00:05:48.000So I think that it's a good sign of confidence.
00:05:52.000If you want to be a conservative woman, that you're more likely to be completely satisfied with your life.
00:05:57.000So is it TDS or is it part of these larger societal trends that's driving this desire to get out of the U.S.?
00:06:12.000You look at the president, you say, okay, didn't vote for that guy.
00:06:15.000Maybe next time the guy I vote for will win.
00:06:17.000But I think Blake is onto something when he's talking about these societal trends because women are basically the dog that caught the car, right?
00:06:24.000American women, American women demanding power, demanding access, demanding all of this opportunity, demanding complete equality with men.
00:06:32.000And then it turns out there you are in your 40s.
00:06:40.000And we know from that old Tracy Chapman song that the mountain of things is not really satisfactory.
00:06:45.000It doesn't give you anything that you want.
00:06:47.000Turns out having a career for women who, you know, let's face it, are different than men, are just composed differently than men are.
00:06:55.000Women look around at all their stuff and it's, it's really just not that great.
00:06:59.000I mean, it might be shiny, but it's nothing like a bundle of grandbabies to snuggle with, you know, and to look after or anything like that.
00:07:07.000So I think that's really what's going on here is women have been led to believe that equality with men will give them satisfaction.
00:07:15.000And then what happens is all of these women end up powerful and they look around at the men who are available to them to partner with and they say, oh, but that guy doesn't make as much as me or he's not as powerful or as educated as me or any of these other things because women don't want the thing that they have been told to want, right?
00:07:32.000We have been told to want power and equality, you know, straight across the board.
00:07:38.000And instead, what we have gotten is a situation where women can't really be women.
00:07:43.000Expressing maternal instincts and impulses gets you chided and derided by the left.
00:07:49.000But there's nothing more satisfying in life than being a mom.
00:07:56.000I know that, you know, not all women, blah, blah, blah, whatever.
00:07:59.000But for the most part, women have this maternal instinct.
00:08:02.000And so when you have women who are cut off from that instinct, they tend to mother everybody and screw up everything that they're in charge of.
00:08:08.000Well, this is a good point because check this out.
00:08:36.000A common narrative that we've been telling you in the pages of the Atlantic for years that marriage will make you depressed and you won't have all your free time to have like wine nights with the ladies and Netflix.
00:08:47.000A popular lunatic psyop has suggested that.
00:08:51.000I mean, listen, I think this is really important, though, is that we've lied to young women for a generation or more, really since, you know, the 60s, burn your bras and all this kind of stuff.
00:09:03.000I mean, this has been going on since the post-war era, and it really is taking a massive impact when you add onto the heap social media, you know, mental, I think, changes in the way we do psychiatry and the changes in the way we administer antidepressants, all of these things on top of each other.
00:09:25.000So cultural lies, the drugs, social media, all of it is coming, the chickens are coming home to roost with our young women.
00:09:45.000It starts with birth control pills and then you move on to SSRIs and then, you know, you end up with fertility treatments.
00:09:52.000And then all of a sudden you're medicating menopause.
00:09:55.000I think all of that is a contributor to women's unhappiness in this country.
00:09:59.000And I also think the emasculation of so many American men is a contributor to American women's unhappiness because as you see these roles reversed and women are more educated and they're making more money and they're more in charge of stuff or whatever, and then you see men becoming more of like the stay-at-home dad or other things that men then end up doing, which were traditionally more feminine roles, women aren't attracted to those guys, it turns out.
00:10:27.000It turns out that the male feminist is not someone that a lady wants to get married to.
00:11:12.000I saw an article recently from David Marcus over at Fox Digital, and he was talking about how the left essentially wants a welfare state.
00:11:22.000They want open borders and they want the decline of the country.
00:11:25.000They want it to just be nothing that has anything to do with a culture or a history or foundational elements.
00:11:32.000And I think that's a big part of this too, right?
00:11:34.000You have on the right, you have a desire to have independence, to have government be out of your lives.
00:11:41.000And on the left, you have a desire to push government into every aspect of Americans' lives.
00:11:46.000You had Mom Donnie say recently when he made his victory speech in New York City that there is no problem too large for the government to small, to, I'm sorry, no problem too large for the government to solve and no problem too small that they won't get involved in it.
00:12:02.000That sounds like a recipe for tyranny for me.
00:12:05.000And I think you've also seen a lot of people saying they would leave New York over that.
00:12:09.000I don't know if they're planning to leave America, but yeah, you have people saying they want to leave America because of Trump.
00:12:44.000It is a funny thing I've seen pointed out that it's like the left often like they talk about leaving the country and they fantasize basically about going to countries that are whiter than America is.
00:12:55.000And then when the right actually, you often hear right-wingers fantasize about leaving America and they want to basically go expat in like Mexico or Peru or something.
00:13:03.000It's a funny dynamic you'll sometimes see.
00:13:06.000It's cognitive dissonance, but it totally is the trend.
00:13:10.000Libby, I just, I have to play this because you were talking about strong men versus weak men and how weak men are actually driving women crazy in part.
00:14:48.000So I guess the cautionary tale is here is don't have children get married, then divorced and have to be a single mom because then you'll be the least happy.
00:15:13.000A new Hillsdale College miniseries on colonial America offers a fresh way to think about Thanksgiving.
00:15:20.000Beyond the food and the political debates, it reminds us what we should be truly thankful for, our freedom, our prosperity, and our faith.
00:15:28.000In a brand new six-part documentary series, Hillsdale College professors will teach you the religious, the political, cultural, and economic ideas that shaped a uniquely American culture during the colonial period.
00:15:40.000This Hillsdale course will focus on the forging of the American character that made the revolution possible and why it's more important than ever to remember and reclaim that character today.
00:15:50.000This Hillsdale College miniseries is completely free and it's easy to access.
00:15:55.000Plus, Hillsdale offers more than 40 other free online courses.
00:15:59.000Go right now to charlieforhillsdale.com to enroll.
00:16:02.000There's no cost and it's easy to get started.
00:16:04.000That's charlie4hillsdale.com to register.
00:16:08.000C-H-A-R-L-I-E-F-O-R for Hillsdale.com.
00:16:15.000Without further ado, I'm excited to welcome Scott Turner.
00:16:26.000You've been, I mean, you've been doing a tremendous job, but on top of that, you've always been so encouraging, a huge supporter of Charlie's, of Turning Point.
00:16:44.000You know, you know how much I love and respect Charlie and the entire Turning Point team and you gentlemen and Eric and everything that you're doing to continue the mission.
00:16:55.000I'm here, you know, to support you and pray for you and love on you guys.
00:16:59.000So thank you so much for this brief moment.
00:17:03.000Well, thank you for making the time, Mr. Secretary.
00:17:06.000And you have come out guns blazing with this affordability crisis.
00:17:11.000And this is something Charlie talked about a lot, especially in the final weeks and months of his life, and wanting to make sure that Gen Z has a stake in the American dream, has an opportunity to get on the rung of financial success, that first rung in the ladder.
00:17:25.000And so you came out, I saw the clip, I instantly reached out to your team, and I love that you were talking about it.
00:17:30.000Tell us about your plans to address the housing and affordability crisis, especially for young Americans.
00:17:38.000You know, during the Biden administration, the policies as it pertains to housing, the economy, and in particular, the immigration policies of the Biden administration were crippling to our country and housing affordability in particular.
00:17:54.000You talk about over 12 million illegal aliens coming across our border.
00:17:58.000And because of this, Andrew, it literally stifled and weakened our housing supply and stifled housing affordability because illegal aliens were taking up homes that American people should have been taking up.
00:18:12.000And so because of that, you see the affordability crisis.
00:18:17.000And one stat that I wanted to bring forth is about 59% of illegal alien families, 59%, they utilize one or more of the welfare programs in our country to the tune of about $42 billion.
00:18:32.000And so if you think about over half of the illegal alien families use one or more welfare programs, costing the American people over $40 billion.
00:18:43.000It's not sustainable in our country, in particular when it comes to housing affordability.
00:18:48.000And so for millennials and really for every American citizen, what we're doing at HUD is one, being very focused on tearing down burdensome regulations, which we can talk about as the show goes on, but taking down these regulations, both from a federal standpoint and then encouraging the localities, mayors, economic development, states, and cities to take inventory of their regulatory environment because that has really what has crippled development and building in our country.
00:19:16.000And so regulations, for instance, in a multifamily housing project, 40% of regulations are the cost when you build a multifamily housing project in a single family housing development.
00:19:31.00020 to 25% of the cost is in regulations.
00:19:34.000Well, Andrew and Blake, this is unsustainable.
00:19:37.000And so we have to tear down the regulatory environment in order to unleash the development and build in creativity and innovativeness in our country as it pertains to our housing supply.
00:20:12.000But the trend is so consistently down.
00:20:15.000Sure, some of that is we're probably a little better at building houses that can last a little longer.
00:20:20.000And so you don't need as much turnover.
00:20:22.000But at the same time, the number of new houses getting built is just steadily going downwards.
00:20:28.000And that might not even be an accurate per capita thing because we might not have an accurate number of how many people are illegally entering the country.
00:22:04.000What's your viewpoint on how we approach new housing developments in the country?
00:22:09.000We want to be respectful of public lands.
00:22:11.000We want to keep things beautiful, but we also want to make sure we're not outlawing single-family homes as they've essentially done in California, by the way.
00:22:18.000You can't build new single-family zoning in California.
00:22:49.000We need multifamily, duplex, condo, manufactured housing.
00:22:53.000Manufactured housing obviously is going to play a big role in filling this housing gap that we have in our country.
00:23:01.000And Andrew, yes, you know, when you own a home, it is the single most powerful way to build equity and to start building generational wealth is in the home that you own.
00:23:12.000And so, yes, I am a proponent, as you are, for single-family homes.
00:23:16.000But also when you think about the millennial generation or people who are just now getting started, sometimes people have to rent a multifamily or rent an apartment or a condo in order to save so that they can have the monies available and appropriate and need it to invest in a single family home.
00:23:35.000And so from our standpoint, you know, we look at the picture from a holistic view.
00:23:39.000And so what we're doing when I talk about bringing down regulation and using some of the programs at HUD, like our section 221 and 223, to help build affordable housing and make rents as such that people can afford that to save up to achieve the American dream of home ownership.
00:23:57.000So yes, I am in agreement with you that single-family homes are very important to build wealth, to build family, you know, to bring families together to raise our children.
00:24:06.000I encourage the young people of America today, you know, to get married, to have children, to raise a family, to save up, buy a home, you know, build neighborhoods.
00:24:18.000And so I'm in lockstep with you, but from our standpoint and my standpoint, personally, you know, we have to help those that are just now getting started out that may be renting to save up to buy a home.
00:24:31.000And our FHA program has been tremendous.
00:24:34.000We've helped about 630,000 people this year to have the first time, to buy loans from FHA.
00:24:42.000And 370,000 of those are first-time homebuyers.
00:24:49.000We did a whole segment on this last week, but I just, you know, there was some polling that came out.
00:24:54.000Rich Barris was on it talking about that there was a feeling, a sense out there, especially after the offs, you know, the off-year elections in Virginia, New Jersey, that there was maybe a messaging disconnect from the administration to what people were actually wanting, right?
00:25:09.000There was a lot of focus on foreign policy.
00:25:17.000And I just love that you guys are really hammering home the fact that affordability, affordability, housing, housing, housing, Gen Z, Gen Z. Let's go ahead and play 79.
00:25:26.000This is another indication of some of this messaging that's getting out there.
00:25:31.000President and his team want to put a difficult start to November behind them with a blizzard of policy and PR announcements designed to help Americans with the cost of living.
00:25:40.000So what are those announcements going to be?
00:25:41.000More deals with pharmaceutical companies to bring down drug prices, efforts to address those higher mortgage rates, try to change the housing market, reducing tariffs, as you guys mentioned, on a number of products, as well as a possible $2,000 rebate check for some taxpayers.
00:26:40.000It's not uniform how people felt about it, but what they do have strong thoughts about is the housing topic.
00:26:46.000Well, and I love the creativity, Mr. Secretary.
00:26:49.000I mean, it seems like we're going to get a blizzard of new proposals in the coming weeks.
00:26:54.000And I'm just grateful to you that you at HUD are focused on it and you're laser focused on helping Gen Z start a family, get married, have kids, and use every power that you have at your disposal.
00:29:24.000It's very important given how that's pinched so many homeowners, particularly our senior citizens who have their homes paid off and they bought it 30 years ago for a certain amount.
00:29:33.000Now they're being told it's worth so much more and they have to pony up more and more money.
00:29:38.000It's almost like they have to pay rent to the government just to be able to enjoy their property.
00:33:20.000I said, maybe after a certain age, property tax rates get locked.
00:33:24.000So if you're over 65, your property can't continually appreciate till you say you lived to 90 and you're on that fixed income for 25 years.
00:33:34.000At some point, it's going to outstrip your ability.
00:33:36.000I mean, I don't want to see a situation where if somebody, because hold on, you're talking about, well, you paid into the system when you'd had kids and you benefited from it.
00:33:44.000So you need to keep paying into the system.
00:33:46.000Well, you also paid into the system all those years.
00:33:48.000There should be, I think, a reasonable compact made with people that when you get to a certain age and you're unable to work or you retire, that you know, you, you have, there's a kind of an agreement.
00:34:00.000We're not going to kick you out of your house.
00:34:02.000You know, and that's where we're not kicking you out of your house, but any other situation, and old people, let's be frank, old people love to point this out with younger people if they live beyond their means and then they feel entitled to things.
00:34:14.000If you are living in a large house you can't afford the property taxes on, you are to some extent living beyond your means.
00:34:21.000And the way that we respond to that in plenty of other situations is you can downsize.
00:34:27.000And the reason they usually can't afford it is their house has gone up dramatically in value.
00:34:35.000Maybe lock things in for people after a certain age.
00:34:38.000Because here's the thing: you plan for retirement, making certain assumptions.
00:34:42.000Well, if your house, I mean, we've seen the charts, those crazy, those crazy spikes before, I think, 08, and then another crazy spike after 2011 in the housing.
00:34:54.000These are historic, unprecedented increases in the value of property.
00:35:00.000So you would make certain assumptions working your 40, 50-year career based on what you think you need in order to survive.
00:35:07.000And then here, unbeknownst to you, your property value shoots up, you get reappraised, and your property taxes shoot through the roof.
00:35:14.000And all of a sudden, it's the driving factor pushing you out of a house.
00:35:17.000I just think that that is, if you could, if you're retired, if you're over 65, you're retired, let's say you retire at 65 or 70, something like that.
00:35:26.000You stop earning extra income, but you're able to afford it.
00:35:31.000But then five years later, your house, like, so this happened in California, where I was living.
00:35:35.000After COVID, a bunch of houses in neighborhoods with a lot of old people in it went from like an average cost of the house being like a million, all of a sudden it was worth 2.5 in four years.
00:35:46.000And you're telling me that some elderly couple that is on fixed income now has to be driven out of their house because their property tax gets reassessed.
00:35:53.000What if you're a renter and renting prices went up?
00:36:34.000But then again, you're not cutting, like what we're seeing is we have, first of all, like I said, when we study this, property taxes are the least distortiony in terms of distortionary in terms of what behavior they do.
00:36:46.000Like income, like having a high income tax.
00:36:48.000You mean what behavior they result in?
00:36:49.000Like having a high income tax can actually reduce productivity of individual citizens.
00:36:55.000Having a high capital gains tax, that warps the behavior that people engage in.
00:37:01.000Relatively speaking, a property tax is less distortionary in what it causes people to do.
00:37:07.000And a land tax is even less distortionary, but no one's proposing changing to that.
00:37:11.000They're just proposing we get rid of property taxes.
00:37:14.000And like it really strikes me as an unhelpful, like it really is giving favoritism to like you should ask who's going to benefit the most from this?
00:37:24.000And the people who are going to benefit the most from it are people who already have the most going for them.
00:37:33.000It is basically saying, let us continue to devour the young in order to favor the old.
00:37:40.000So, okay, so Texas does something like this with the homestead property once you reach age 65, but it doesn't shield you from property tax increases due to improvements, upgrades, additions, et cetera.
00:37:52.000So after 65, they sort of freeze the rate at which you're taxed for your property.
00:37:57.000Gives you a little bit of predictability.
00:37:59.000I mean, I'm just saying, you know, when you get old, you don't want a country that just kicks you to the curb.
00:38:06.000There is a special dispensation for our elders when you're getting kicked to the curb.
00:38:14.000Because none of these ideas are even to say, like, we're going to just cut government spending generally and finance it by getting rid of property taxes.
00:38:20.000They're still going to want all the services.
00:38:22.000They're still going to want, frankly, heavily subsidized health care, heavily subsidized, you know, so no one's proposing getting rid of Social Security.
00:38:29.000No one's proposing getting rid of Medicare.
00:38:31.000So it's basically just a handout for a given group of people.
00:38:34.000And we already actually know how this is going to go because, like, for example, California had a giant property tax revolt where they freeze property taxes to be lower for older people.
00:40:37.000You can get support from your children.
00:40:41.000But if you are just unable to do it, among other things, we're talking about something where you have benefited from something tremendously useful.
00:40:49.000Your home has gone up dramatically in value.
00:40:52.000You can take out a reverse mortgage on that.
00:40:54.000You can borrow against the value of your home to do that.
00:41:07.000If you don't have kids in your home anymore, if you don't, if you're not as mobile, you probably can't even use as much of your property anymore.
00:41:15.000Like that is historically a thing that has happened.
00:41:33.000And he personally himself built a smaller cabin that he and his wife lived in.
00:41:38.000And then he gave it to his son to live in the main house.
00:41:41.000And he and his wife lived in the smaller home, which they didn't need anymore because they didn't need a big home anymore because their own children had grown up.
00:41:50.000I don't want to be like this vicious person.
00:41:52.000I'm not saying giddily, oh, make these people leave their homes.
00:41:57.000I am saying this in response to a push to get rid of all property taxes, which has suddenly become this big meme on the right is to get rid of all property taxes.
00:42:07.000And I would say this is sort of the conservative mirror image of Mamdaniism that wants to, you know, ban rent hikes.
00:42:16.000We're waging war on like a normal thing that basically has always existed.
00:42:22.000We've always had property taxes in America.
00:42:24.000Literally, I think the first one was in 1634.
00:42:27.000In fact, it used to be far more broad.
00:42:28.000We used to have general property taxes in the United States, a tax on all property you owned, all your land, all your farmland, all your home, everything in it, your livestock.
00:42:37.000We used to have general property taxes.
00:42:38.000Just having a tax on residential or commercial property is a more restrained version of that, which we adopted because it got way harder.
00:42:49.000How do you tax the value of every single thing in a modern person's home?
00:43:45.000You either can afford it or you can't.
00:43:47.000But I think something in the between of you know, maybe you freeze it at age 65 and it's a bit means tested or something to even get it frozen, something like that could be good because I don't think you should be a country that treats your elderly the same as you treat everybody else.
00:44:01.000I think when you get old, that we should look out for our old people because we look out for old people.
00:44:20.000But a big picture thing, and I know people are going to push back on this.
00:44:25.000And I'm going to talk about it anyway because Charlie, that's what Charlie would do.
00:44:28.000Charlie will sometimes say people need to hear uncomfortable things.
00:44:31.000And it's not that we're hostile to the elderly, not in the slightest, but we do have to recognize we are in a large society and we need to care about the future of this country.
00:44:43.000And what we're seeing all across the West is a sort of long-term damaging things to make things better for politically powerful older people.
00:44:55.000Because every Western country has this, where they had a baby boom and then they had a baby bust.
00:45:15.000The demo triangles, like it used, it used to be used to be like this, and now it's like this.
00:45:21.000And now it's just old people make up the top rung.
00:45:25.000If you want an extreme example of how bad this can get, in the United Kingdom, they have a pension system like ours, and there's a thing, they call it the triple lock.
00:45:35.000I want to check what it is, how it exactly works.
00:45:39.000So the triple lock on the UK's state pension is a law.
00:45:44.000By law, the UK is required to increase the annual pension payout by either the rate of inflation, by the average wage growth that year, or by 2.5%, whichever is highest.
00:45:59.000So they are guaranteed iron law of the universe to have their pension payments go up faster than the rate of inflation.
00:46:10.000Because if inflation goes below 2.5%, you just have to go 2.5% no matter what.
00:46:16.000This is Lane Schoenberger, Chief Investment Officer and Founding Partner of WhyReFi.
00:46:20.000It has been an honor and a privilege to partner with Turning Point and for Charlie to endorse us.
00:46:26.000His endorsement means the world to us, and we look forward to continuing our partnership with Turning Point for years to come.
00:46:32.000Now, here Charlie, in his own words, tell you about YReFi.
00:46:36.000I'm going to tell you guys about whyRefi.com.
00:48:39.000I remember David Cameron tried to run on austerity and he got just absolutely blasted.
00:48:43.000And in other countries, the justification for endless replacement migration is always they need to pay into our unsustainable pension system.
00:48:51.000And I cite those as examples to then just pivot back to the property tax debate, which is just we have a system right now where things are, broadly speaking, pretty good for older Americans and they're getting very bad and they're getting worse for young Americans.
00:49:11.000And Charlie would talk about you can have MAGA or you can have Mamdaniism.
00:49:15.000And the sense that young people have no ability to buy into the system or it's extremely difficult and they don't have a straight path forward and that everything is against them drives a lot of Mamdaniism and it drives it across the spectrum.
00:49:28.000So yeah, on the left, you have the people whose brains are shocked by the systemic racism, all of the insane narratives left pushes.
00:49:42.000That's what drives a lot of the popularity of Nick Fuentes, for example.
00:49:46.000You can see there's this nihilism that encourages them to embrace radical solutions, the attitude of burn it all down.
00:49:54.000And you're only going to have that burn it all down mentality get worse if they're seeing headlines where it's okay, we had to increase our state income tax or our state sales tax because we got rid of our state property tax.
00:50:09.000And state sales tax and state income tax are a thing a young person pays.
00:50:13.000And the state property tax was something that an older person was more likely to pay.
00:50:18.000And by the way, they're the ones who also already own their homes.
00:50:22.000They already have way more assets than you do.
00:50:24.000But we just changed the rules so that they pay fewer taxes and you pay more.
00:50:28.000And if you're giving that message to young people, they're going to get more radical and they're going to embrace one form of revolution or another.
00:50:36.000I'm not saying we should double property taxes.
00:50:39.000I am not saying we should do like extreme things.
00:50:43.000I am saying we should not abolish property taxes because this is an idea that has caught fire on the right.
00:50:50.000I think this issue is going to come up again this week.
00:51:12.000Because I broadly wonder, I broadly agree.
00:51:14.000I broadly agree with the entire premise.
00:51:17.000You know, I do because I'm more concerned about the welfare of the next generation than I am about the elderly generation, boomers, and silent generation.
00:51:27.000But there is a point at which you're going to find my sympathies if you look, if you're looking at property values jettisoned up like rocket ships from a million to 2.5 is the example that I'm thinking of the top of my head.
00:51:43.000Let's say I had a stock that went up like 10 times in value, like we should abolish the capital gains because I will pay more tax on the stock.
00:51:52.000And I know with property, it's different because it is something you have to pay, even if you aren't selling it.
00:51:57.000But we are talking about the impacts of, okay, your home went up dramatically in value.
00:52:51.000We should want people to not, you don't want people to just be parked in their houses because it's just such an economically terrible idea for them to move to a new situation that's yes.
00:53:06.000So what it does, so here's, here's a really concrete example: is you want to encourage young families to buy homes.
00:53:13.000But if an older couple is locked in at a very low property tax and if they move, they lose it, which is the case with like Prop 13, then they're not going to sell that house.
00:53:23.000They're going to keep it, and they're going to get very creative about keeping it, by the way.
00:53:26.000So even if they move, they're going to try and keep it.
00:53:28.000Let's take other examples that stand out.
00:53:32.000Let's say you're working in Los Angeles and you've received a job offer that would pay you twice as much to move to Phoenix.
00:53:41.000But let's say we had this situation where your property taxes got locked in.
00:53:44.000You got locked in at some insanely low property tax level.
00:53:48.000And now you actively just don't want to take a job that will pay you more and make America and you more productive because you would be giving away this like insanely good property tax deal you have.
00:54:14.000So if you say you owed a million dollars to a bank at 3.5%, but you were going to try and buy a home in Phoenix and the new rates are at 6%.
00:54:21.000You could actually use that mortgage, that money you owe once you sell your house, transfer the mortgage to the new property.
00:54:28.000There could be a lot of other issues that are used to be the case.
00:54:33.000And now they're supporting that idea as it's one of many ideas because guess what?
00:54:36.000If I took a million dollar loan at 3.5, brought it over here, had to get another 600,000, say, to buy a nicer home or the same quality, but it was at 6%, then you dollar cost average those and you're somewhere like 4.8%.
00:54:50.000The thing about that is I think that would, again, I don't think you want to be.
00:54:54.000But it discourages like getting planted in a certain home and not moving and opening up inventory.
00:55:01.000I'd have to look more into that one because I know I've seen that idea.
00:55:05.000I would be worried about essentially declaring like the people who bought houses in 2020 when we had insane low interest rates are now just this like permanent nobility of low interest rates, which I think people will dislike.
00:55:19.000I mean, listen, you took the loan out.
00:55:36.000Yeah, but if you have another house, I mean, to the banks, it's what if you have out an extra $600,000, but you default on the first loan and then well, that's an interesting point.
00:56:01.000In general, you don't want anyone to end up just being like a privileged caste because they have like a special weird carve-out in the tax system.
00:56:08.000And you want to encourage efficient, or efficient is like a weird thing.
00:56:11.000You want to encourage productive and positive behaviors because people respond to incentives.
00:56:16.000And that's one of the reasons people talk about why a land tax is good because it's the tax on the unimproved value of land.
00:56:22.000It only encourages making land more useful, more productive, and getting stuff done.
00:56:27.000Right, because you, because there is an incentive structure based on I don't want to renovate this house or improve this land because then I can't afford the upgrade exactly.
00:56:35.000Whereas if it's just tax on land value, you want to make it useful.
00:58:23.000You don't want, I mean, basically what should happen is that if you end up passing away and your children inherit that home, that they can still sell it and be the owners of it.
00:58:32.000So you don't want a reverse mortgage where the because eventually what happens with a reverse mortgage is that they own your home, right?
00:59:06.000I'm conflicted, especially if somebody's fixed income was able to meet, say, property taxes when you turn 65, when you retired, and your house accelerates.
00:59:16.000I mean, I think you should stop assessing it, Doug.
01:00:29.000Is that when you get to a certain point, say you're 65, you're essentially making a deal with the elderly that you're, let's just say the average person is going to live to be 78 or something, right?
01:00:51.000So my point is, you're basically making a deal with your elderly population to say, hey, listen, once you hit a certain age, we're going to understand that you're still going to pay property tax, but it's going to be locked at the age, what it was when 65.
01:01:05.000And yeah, by the time you're probably dead at 78 or 80, you're not paying as much as inflation has now caught up and everything's more expensive.
01:01:36.000Yeah, but like if you can take that over abolition.
01:01:38.000If you can pay your bills for 13 years and we lock it off and you can keep your home and we're not causing you undue stress and trauma, I think that's a fine deal to make with your elderly population.
01:01:47.000Now, Cynthia also flags that cities abuse property tax increases to fund their never-ending pensions.
01:01:58.000If your local government spending is insane and out of control, your problem is that local government spending is insane and out of control.
01:02:04.000And none of these proposals I'm seeing are going to fix the problem of.
01:02:08.000Well, it does put downward pressure on budgets.
01:02:56.000But for example, like in Texas, there was that law.
01:02:58.000And by the way, we could do this on Thought Crime or another day.
01:03:01.000But In Texas, there was that law that was saying like you would pay zero taxes if you had 10 kids, which is like kind of pretty wild, which is kind of weird because at 10 kids, you're using a lot of services.
01:03:12.000Yeah, a big thing with a lot of this is a difficult one.
01:03:15.000A big thing with children is the people who are really falling out in terms of how many kids they have is what you would call the productive middle class.
01:03:23.000You know, it's like low-income families will have more.
01:03:31.000You're talking about how policies give winners and losers.
01:03:34.000There is a point at which you're really poor and a lot of policies that are in place help you.
01:03:40.000And then you get to a certain point and there's like nothing for you.
01:03:45.000And as a matter of fact, there's so little for you that there's like the working class or the middle class trap where the tax code basically puts a ceiling on your ability to get up to higher higher.
01:03:57.000Especially in California, there's so many they have just cliffs where if you go from making like if you're a mom with two kids and you go from making $20,000 to $70,000, I think you basically lose money because of how many products.
01:04:20.000So instead of being able to get ahead, like truly become financially independent or truly kind of, you know, achieve that next tier, which by the way is so American.
01:04:29.000You should be incentivized to keep producing and keep earning.
01:04:32.000But basically the tax code and the penalty structure will make sure that you always stay working class, middle class, whatever.
01:04:41.000You're never going to become upper class.
01:04:42.000So you have to have such a huge payday to get you to break through that ceiling.
01:04:47.000Yeah, this is which is which is unfortunate.