The Critical Compass Podcast - How Will Canada Respond to Trump's 25% Tariff Threat？

00:00:00.000 all right james the news is in president-elect trump 25 percent tariff on canada and mexico

00:00:09.520 on day one unless we figure out our immigration what do you think we'll read the press release

00:00:14.560 after well i think it's an aggressive way to crack down on any like border violations let it be

00:00:22.360 people moving across the border and or elect substances going across the border as well

00:00:28.220 and it's a smart way of like forcing mexico and canada to do something where it's not just

00:00:37.080 addressing it from within the united states yeah well here let's read it here um so this was uh

00:00:45.220 november 25th uh 4 35 p.m as everyone is aware thousands of people are pouring through mexico

00:00:51.560 and canada bringing crime and drugs at levels never seen before right now a caravan coming from mexico

00:00:57.860 composed of thousands of people seems to be unstoppable in its quest to come through our

00:01:02.360 currently open border on january january 20th as one of my many first executive orders i will sign

00:01:08.320 all necessary documents to charge mexico and canada a 25 percent tariff on all products coming into the

00:01:13.500 united states and its ridiculous open borders i love how he capitalizes certain words it's very

00:01:19.600 uh old english uh this tariff will remain in effect until such time as drugs in particular fentanyl and

00:01:27.720 all illegal aliens stop this invasion of our country both mexico and canada have the absolute right and

00:01:32.700 power to easily solve this long simmering problem we hereby demand that they use this power and until

00:01:38.320 such time as that that they do it is time for them to pay a very big price

00:01:41.940 well yeah that's uh pretty unambiguous i mean you gotta you gotta give the guy credit there for uh

00:01:52.400 laying all those cards on the table so i don't know well uh let's see what uh let's see what the some

00:01:58.780 various uh i i think probably the three most rock star politicians right now in canada let's see what

00:02:04.740 they have to say so here's our very own danielle smith is this up on the screen here yeah

00:02:11.040 so she says uh the incoming u.s uh donald trump administration has valid concerns related to

00:02:18.160 illegal activities at our shared border we are calling on the federal government to work with

00:02:22.480 the incoming administration to resolve these issues immediately thereby avoiding any unnecessary

00:02:26.600 tariffs on canadian exports to the u.s and then a little little sell job here fortunately the vast

00:02:33.120 majority of alberta's energy exports to the u.s are delivered through secure and safe pipelines which

00:02:37.520 do not in any way contribute to these illegal activities at the border as the largest exporter

00:02:42.080 of oil and gas of the u.s we look forward to working with the new administration to strengthen

00:02:46.000 energy security for both the u.s and canada i like it i like it personally that's a that's just a big

00:02:52.760 old let's restart that uh keystone xl hey you can see daniel's hoping that regardless of what happens

00:03:01.820 at a federal level she's hoping that like well maybe there'll be some nuance in in these tariffs

00:03:08.460 at it like well what what happens if most of the let's say most of the drugs are coming from bc

00:03:16.860 and ontario yeah or most of people are kind of using canada's lax immigration or refugee status claims and

00:03:27.660 then they're using that as a a funnel to get into the united states then if that's not happening in

00:03:35.340 alberta and if alberta can show that do you like the question is will all oil like will it be rolled

00:03:43.980 back or will there be any nuance or will there well it's an interesting question because like there's

00:03:50.220 yeah like exactly like you say i mean the fentanyl is coming from bc the illegal migration is happening

00:03:57.100 through ontario roxham road that's what it's called right um even if it wasn't happening through

00:04:02.780 there i mean that's the obvious place for it to happen i mean there's uh you know through southern

00:04:08.060 ontario i mean it's a direct link into the u.s into michigan new york and right um yeah it's not

00:04:17.900 happening through alberta the only thing the only thing we want to pump into the u.s is that sweet

00:04:22.140 petroleum right yeah it's uh so it's hard to say if this is partially an aggressive bluff that'll be

00:04:31.020 rolled back but um it may not be rolled back and yeah i'm wondering if there's going to be some

00:04:37.260 posturing if at a federal level politicians will use this to try to just win points to get elected

00:04:48.220 rather than trying to solve the problem yeah because if this goes through this is going to

00:04:52.940 shift canada into an aggressive even further into a recession we're going to see inflation go up we're

00:04:58.860 going to see prices everything's going to be more expensive and this is just going to hurt oh yeah

00:05:04.700 across the board yeah well here let me bring up uh john rustad here i i almost said when i introduced

00:05:11.260 the first the daniel smith tweet that uh the i almost said the our rocks are premiers in canada

00:05:17.740 but he's not the premier he should have been but he isn't so uh john rustad of course the leader of

00:05:22.460 the conservative party of bc very very close election loss uh in uh uh just last month or earlier this

00:05:29.820 month we cannot afford a 25 percent tariff from our closest trading partner bc's legislature must be

00:05:36.220 called back immediately to introduce emergency provincial funding to secure our borders and to stop and

00:05:41.020 stop the illegal flow of migrants as well as fentanyl and other drugs during bc's provincial

00:05:46.780 election the conservative party of bc supported reforms to drastically improve port policing and

00:05:52.140 border security in bc now in light of the u.s canada trade crisis the conservative party of bc is asking

00:05:58.700 eb's ndp to immediately adopt and fund the common sense conservative strategy to improve border security

00:06:04.940 in bc interesting he's using this uh federal conservative common sense uh line i don't know

00:06:11.980 if that's intentional or not our provinces international borders should not be an open

00:06:17.100 sieve that drugs and illegal migrants can flow through freely it's time for emergency measures

00:06:21.740 and immediate reforms so i mean that's a pretty that's a pretty good reaction i mean that's pretty

00:06:27.740 you know he's not mincing words either that's it's and it's to be frank it's pretty hard to argue

00:06:32.460 against any of that i don't know why i can imagine that you know maybe a cbc or a ctv or global article

00:06:39.580 might see this and and you know report it as some sort of you know strongman talk or something but it's

00:06:46.380 pretty hard to find anything you know particularly disagreeable with the statement right it so i think

00:06:56.940 they might argue with the magnitude they might argue with the measurability of this they're like well

00:07:03.580 we don't know how many how many immigrants and we don't know how much yeah is actually happening or how

00:07:11.420 much fentanyl therefore it's not several thousand kilograms of fentanyl it's only one thousand

00:07:17.100 kilograms of fentanyl a day so it almost sounds like uh so there was a super lab that was busted up in bc

00:07:25.260 recently i heard about that yeah and i have a feeling trump or trump's team saw that

00:07:31.820 and they they probably like took that to heart as well yeah um here i'll show um last tweet here

00:07:39.660 that we have um you might have to add it back in yeah for um doug ford dougie ford over in ontario

00:07:48.460 a 25 tariff would be devastating to workers and jobs in both canada and the us the federal government

00:07:53.820 needs to take the situation out of our border seriously we need a team canada approach and

00:07:58.380 response and we need it now premier uh prime minister trudeau must call an urgent meeting with

00:08:03.580 all premiers yeah i don't think that's a bad idea and i think actually uh after this tweet i think um

00:08:10.860 um there was uh plans uh drawn up for a uh premier and uh territorial uh leader meeting and uh just a

00:08:22.300 reminder um in canada not people not many people like really see it this way but we're set up in a way

00:08:32.140 that the provinces and the federal government the premiers have just as much power as as our prime

00:08:41.740 minister and just just because we're we we see the federal government making certain either there's

00:08:50.220 certain initiatives or there there's things that fall under the federal jurisdictionally and then there's

00:08:57.500 what falls under the umbrella of provincially and one doesn't supersede the other like if something's

00:09:04.940 outside of the provincial jurisdiction then the federal that's not in their place to make the calls

00:09:11.580 on that just because they're they they're seemingly at the top it's not structured that way so it's

00:09:17.500 supplemental rather than super seating yeah yes so this is where i think daniel smith

00:09:25.820 is going to flex the sovereignty act more and more as she should which is it's not really anything new

00:09:35.580 it's just saying it's just reiterating well here's how the provinces were set up here's what's under our

00:09:43.580 jurisdiction and here's us reaffirming that this is under our own sovereignty and that's just a

00:09:51.820 convenient kind of summary act or document to remind those who forget about that or remind the federal

00:09:59.100 government that energy in this case falls under the provincial provincial jurisdiction yeah and and

00:10:07.420 and to your point earlier i mean maybe that's a thing where you know regardless what happens at

00:10:12.060 a federal level i mean i i can't think of any examples off the top of my head i mean this is a pretty

00:10:17.820 unprecedented thing uh which trump is good at doing uh but i could definitely see a convincing

00:10:26.060 argument being made that listen the the tariffs are meant to address drugs and illegal immigrants

00:10:34.540 none of which to my knowledge alberta has a problem with either to or from the us i don't think we're

00:10:42.140 known as a uh as a drug producer uh you know when at least in comparison to you know bc and ontario

00:10:49.900 and we're certainly not uh i don't think there's anyone you know illegally entering or exiting to or

00:10:55.660 from canada in the us but you know between the the alberta and montana border like it's just not to the

00:11:01.580 degree no so it's a longer drive through the mountains that's right and so if you if you have an

00:11:09.180 argument that like listen you know your concern isn't uh it doesn't apply here take this oil let's

00:11:17.260 make a deal i don't see like can you can you imagine a world where uh justin trudeau uh insists on

00:11:28.460 canadian on alberta alberton oil being subject to the same 25 tariff let's say that you know no no deal

00:11:34.220 gets done if there is a let's say uh uh trump and and smith governments make a deal to not apply the

00:11:41.660 tariffs on canadian oil can you see trudeau maybe being hey no it has to apply on this oil

00:11:48.700 rather than taking the win he's not very good at taking the win it would seem unfair at this point

00:11:54.300 but uh i guess fairness is not not always uh a big importance when it comes to these federal matters

00:12:02.860 that treat different provinces in different ways that's for sure as we discussed on our uh uh

00:12:08.940 previous on equalization yeah um so it's hard to know to what degree

00:12:17.260 at a federal level obviously they'll have to work with premiers who are and also just the voice is

00:12:24.860 pushing at a provincial level that's why like john redstadt was a good example even though he's not

00:12:29.660 the leadership he's the opposition leadership but he has a certain amount of uh if these voices help

00:12:38.380 push things in a certain direction and trudeau will have to the tricky thing is if it involves

00:12:47.660 ups if it involves like admitting that there was some involvement or that well if you here's the thing

00:13:00.700 if at a federal level you can fix the problem so quickly then what does that say about what you've been

00:13:07.980 doing for the last nine years no kidding no so like it's a really messy situation where like

00:13:14.300 either the problem doesn't get solved and it's well it shows your incompetence because it highlights

00:13:22.620 the problem shows that you're incompetent to fixing it and then there's the recession that

00:13:29.420 comes from 25 percent tariffs yeah um and there's only so much blaming on the us like that you can do

00:13:37.580 because that that'll be the thing that's like just oh let's just direct hate towards us and trump

00:13:42.220 like you can only say orange mad orange man bad so many times like there there there needs to be

00:13:48.700 a little bit more than you want yeah and then let's say they fix the problem that still demonstrates

00:13:55.740 incompetence yeah and either negligence because why did the problem get so bad in the first place well

00:14:04.140 we know that they can fix these problems so we saw it we saw it twice in the last couple years in

00:14:09.020 the us we saw it uh or maybe it was all this year uh when uh xi jinping visited san francisco

00:14:18.140 they cleaned up that downtown too sweet it was beautiful it was shining there was no homeless

00:14:22.700 people no drug open air drug dens no nothing they can do it and they did it in seattle too when they

00:14:28.460 hosted the mlb all-star game seattle's almost as bad if not just as bad as san francisco but they can

00:14:36.060 sure as hell clean up the homeless people and the drug problems if if they've got cameras on them

00:14:40.940 yeah they just they actively choose not to so that's in the city so there there's still the

00:14:46.700 aspect of like how secure is the border so obviously well either you set up just well

00:14:54.380 have we had a staffing shortage like what is our actual like are we monitoring the border like

00:15:01.180 they're i know they love to throw cameras everywhere but the border so like maybe let's

00:15:07.420 start well they're they've got cameras on small a small protest of a hundred people protesting like

00:15:14.940 school board initiatives what what's the camera situation at the border still never heard back from

00:15:20.940 them by the way small update called them twice but no never heard back so now the other question is

00:15:29.180 how will this interact with the prevailing kind of idea of harm reduction and we've got this

00:15:39.420 open-air drug use and part of that is that well we need harm reduction because of all these all these

00:15:46.860 drugs and i think the average person in bc will look at the streets and be like well this is worse than

00:15:55.180 it is so whatever whatever we're doing isn't making this better but the harm reduction still saying

00:16:01.580 well the drugs that are here are so harmful that we need to hand out supplemental drugs so that people

00:16:11.660 are using something that's less harmful that still opens up the question of like well where are these

00:16:17.980 drugs coming from and so right now this is shining a big light on that if they're not coming from the

00:16:27.180 united states and they're coming from in bc if there's a lot of productions happening in bc and then

00:16:34.700 it's supplying people in vancouver and it's going south and it's going to the portland and and those are

00:16:41.180 very similar in their like in the kind of degeneracy and kind of the the kind of open air

00:16:51.740 drug use that that is seen in portland san francisco and vancouver yeah seattle yeah they all

00:17:00.540 there's a lot of parallels they all look very similar you could take

00:17:03.900 like a photo of a street of one and it would look kind of it would be same demographics yeah yeah

00:17:10.940 same very very similar that way yeah so in these cases this forces a lot of these issues to come

00:17:18.780 to the forefront yeah good or bad um there will have to be something addressed and you can't just

00:17:25.820 these things can't be ignored yeah so i'm curious on on what that will look like yeah that's the

00:17:31.820 reckoning right that's the uh do you you know if you're a canadian politician who's hitched your

00:17:36.780 wagon to uh safer supply you know despite every bit of evidence to the contrary that it's you know

00:17:44.140 about its effectiveness do you carry on do you persist in your programs that are demonstrably not working

00:17:51.820 and just eat eat that tariff and make life miserable for everyone else or you take the l know that you uh

00:17:59.500 uh you know you're gonna lose some face uh but you know see what uh potential benefits come come from

00:18:07.100 it at least for on an economic sense you know or uh if even if not benefits at least how do you mitigate

00:18:12.460 potential disaster so what will happen this is my prediction we'll see some creativity we'll see

00:18:20.940 people taking the win they're taking the loss but they're going to claim that it's a win

00:18:26.700 and it's going to be it's going to be twisted it's going to shine away from details rather than

00:18:32.940 change their policy well if they admit there's a problem they will frame it in a way that makes

00:18:40.980 well we are we have here's this fat and all problem here's all these super labs and we've been part of

00:18:47.660 the solution the whole time not part of the problem so it's framing it in a way that they're still

00:18:53.900 yeah making it seem like they're winning um which is another one of these cases where we have to be

00:19:01.500 hyper vigilant and paying attention we can't just let politicians say whatever and get away with it

00:19:08.940 like that's the canadian tradition though james that's that's in our that's in our dna

00:19:15.100 well maybe there's time for a change so it would not be something hey cool well hey i uh i uh have

00:19:24.380 a feeling that you're probably right and you know what they say if you want to be taken seriously you

00:19:27.820 got to make a prediction so we'll uh we'll see we got um you know trump was was kind enough to give us

00:19:34.140 uh about what four weeks notice three and a half weeks notice so we'll uh yeah we'll see what uh

00:19:41.100 uh innovative uh reforms are extremely competent and uh and caring politicians can think well it's uh

00:19:50.220 here's a 25 tariff that may or may not happen but oh here's some gst relief for a month or two yeah

00:19:57.660 maybe they'll up that check from 250 to 300 just to help compensate it yeah it's uh i don't know how

00:20:05.180 many people are buying or buying that or it's like i'm gonna wait to buy a christmas tree or i'm gonna

00:20:11.020 oh we get a benefit on groceries that aren't taxed with gst anyways so it's like these things that

00:20:16.780 they look good on paper and then you're like well what does this actually mean james it's the canadian

00:20:23.660 way stop messing with the canadian wave we're all about appearances here it's about stuff that sounds

00:20:31.820 good not stuff that does good or or does that just mean we're paying less gst on something that is

00:20:37.820 already higher because of the carbon tax because the carbon tax gst is applied after the carbon tax

00:20:43.500 we're already paying more gst every time the carbon tax goes up we're paying more gst

00:20:50.780 so like the government's fucking people twice hey sounds like you've had a little too much to think sir

00:20:56.780 yeah maybe okay well hey we'll see what happens so uh yeah that's um there's some uh some of our

00:21:09.100 very very nuanced and important thoughts on uh trump's 25 tariff proposal so we'll uh we will

00:21:15.660 absolutely be uh making a follow-up video on this i mean you know geez things might happen relatively

00:21:22.700 quick here we'll see when these uh the the premier and uh prime minister meetings happen if they do

00:21:28.380 happen and see what they have to say maybe we'll have some good news to report maybe we'll have some

00:21:35.100 i mean honestly we'll probably have some really depressing stupid news to report but hey we did our

00:21:41.100 best we put this out into the world we'll uh we'll see if uh it has any uh has any effect please uh

00:21:48.140 feel free to comment below uh should have said this at the beginning of the clip but welcome to our

00:21:53.100 uh you know 500 some new subscribers thanks for uh for subscribing to us on youtube follow us on x as

00:21:59.900 well we'll put links below um we'll try to keep pumping out content for you guys that you like uh

00:22:05.500 you know generate some some good discussions like it has on our uh our uh video with our interview with

00:22:10.540 marty uh marty belanger and uh we'll link all that below as well and uh thanks as always

00:22:17.820 thanks james yeah till the next one cheers

The Critical Compass Podcast - November 28, 2024

How Will Canada Respond to Trump's 25% Tariff Threat？｜ A Critical Compass Clip

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