00:03:58.960But if it is just the government and it is just, I don't know, like in El Salvador, the
00:04:03.520government-based wallet doing it, we're going to have the contrary and goals.
00:04:09.700Yeah, I have the privilege of editing Paz's article. So we publish financial research
00:04:14.780with EconAmerica as the sponsor of this event. And you recently wrote an article about how
00:04:20.980actually stablecoins, rather than undermining the US Federal Reserve System, are actually
00:04:27.980affirming the treasuries, right? Just do you want to refer to quickly how you came to that conclusion?
00:04:33.520Yes, this is because the stable coins that have become the actual mainstream right now in the cryptocurrency system are based on the fiat currency, right?
00:04:47.000They can be based on gold and there are stable coins based on gold.
00:04:49.800But these ones, especially the US dollar based stable coins, actually what they are doing is they are making that more people in the world use US dollars.
00:05:03.520And to have this reserve, the central banks need to have U.S. dollars, and then they can,
00:05:12.820the act, when you issue a U.S. dollar stable coin, you have to have reserves in treasury bills
00:05:23.400and U.S. dollars in the account, in the bank account. So that makes the multiplying and
00:05:31.540multiplying U.S. dollar and it is basically supporting the U.S. fiat currency and of course
00:05:38.000it is also supporting the problem or the solution to the U.S. debt. So it's like a strategy.
00:05:48.480It's increasing demand to hold U.S. treasuries. Now, Brett, in your role, do you have any
00:05:54.940insights on the rising of a central bank digital currency? It seems to tie in there.
00:06:01.540Sure. Yeah. I think probably right around the rise of when Bitcoin was happening, the governments definitely saw the incredible power behind what was happening. And of course, typically form with governments, they try and take that control.
00:06:19.000And it's like the governments have used monetary and fiscal policy as control tools forever.
00:06:27.440And so naturally, when they say something as powerful as when Bitcoin started to rocket forward, they wanted to basically harness that power.
00:06:37.700And so hence what they coined the term a central bank digital currency.
00:06:42.860So basically, the central banks issue those digital currencies.
00:06:47.860They definitely have a negative connotation towards them.
00:06:50.980And I think it was in June 2023, the Bank of Canada issued a survey that basically said,
00:06:57.960hey, how are you going to use these central bank digital currencies?
00:07:01.360And I think overwhelmingly, the people pushed back and said, we don't want a central bank digital currency.
00:07:12.140And so the Bank of Canada has stepped back and said, oh, well, yeah, we're not worrying about that program anymore. But you can bet dimes to donuts that in the background, they're probably working towards something like a central bank digital currency. But the momentum, especially behind something like a US dollar stablecoin, and a stablecoin, just for layman's terms, a stablecoin, all it is, is a representation of something else, a digital representation of a dollar, a digital representation of gold.
00:07:42.040a digital representation of Bitcoin. That's all it is. And so when you take something like the
00:07:48.640US government, they want to retain control of the world reserve currency. And so enter something
00:07:54.680like a stable coin, and they want to be able to harness the power and the use of some technology,
00:08:01.260but also want to keep control of the world reserve currency. So I kind of answered your question
00:08:08.860scenario. So basically you're saying that the CBDC is just on the shelf for now because it's
00:08:15.380so unpopular with consumers or voters? Yes, especially issued, but out of the
00:08:21.500central banks. And so you almost see two different models sort of forming right now.
00:08:27.900There's the European model, which is definitely more geared towards, hey, listen, we're the
00:08:32.300government, we're going to take care of you, and we're going to issue this central bank digital
00:08:35.320currency versus where the American model is going is like, let free enterprise figure this
00:08:40.620out on their own with the stable coins. We're just going to back it with US debt is what we're
00:08:46.160going to do. Now, again, in your role working with so many clients, are you seeing an evolution
00:08:54.060in terms of, let's say, a transition more to the gig economy, more small businesses? Because I think
00:08:59.980in my own life, if we are living in this age of disruption, of economic change, you know, I think,
00:09:06.060how do I invest in my vocational application? What about business ventures? And what about
00:09:10.180just personal portfolio management? So we could, do you see any, from your, let's say, bird's eye
00:09:17.320view, do you see this happening before your eyes? Do you see people evolving in their decisions
00:09:22.740away from what was, let's say, a decade ago? Yeah, no, absolutely. You can almost see a
00:09:27.760transition towards and whether they naturally do it or consciously do it, you sort of see people
00:09:35.640gravitating towards tangible things. So they recognize that they're sort of holding a melting
00:09:43.000ice cube with just deposits and only getting 1% interest rate. They recognize that they want to
00:09:48.880get in a house. They don't know why, but they recognize that the value goes up and they sort
00:09:54.420of intuitively just know that happens in the background. So that's sort of the intuitive way
00:09:59.340that people are moving towards sort of this gig economy. But they also recognize that things need
00:10:05.360to be faster as well. And that's sort of where something like stable coins or cryptocurrencies
00:10:09.360come in as they recognize that the legacy payment rails are disappearing and are ancient. And in
00:10:17.700some cases they're 70 years old, 7-0 years old. So they're absolutely just designed to be refreshed
00:10:26.080with something like a stable coin. And does this new era, I mean, first we've got, assuming,
00:10:32.200I assume or understand that inward migration within, well, migration within Canada is heavily
00:10:37.920towards Alberta. So that would be a benefit for Bow Valley, but also in this era of, let's say,
00:10:45.180just almost guerrilla marketing. It was just like a free-for-all with promoting businesses.
00:10:49.820Is a smaller bank like yours better able to compete or attract an audience, whereas in the
00:10:55.060past through major media, they may not have been able to do so? Yeah, absolutely. Especially,
00:10:59.780you know, our sweet spot for loans is anywhere from about 1.5 million to 10 million. And so
00:11:06.740most of the major banks won't even touch anything less than 10 million nowadays. They say,
00:11:11.940It's too much work. I don't want to deal with it. Move on type thing. So there's absolutely a place
00:11:17.980for niche market credit unions like ourselves that are actually wanting to build up the economic
00:11:26.220development of Alberta. And that's actually even probably a history story that you know about is
00:11:31.660Germany after World War II was just decimated, of course. And what they did, one of the things
00:11:39.620that they did is they created thousands and thousands of little financial institutions
00:11:46.420because they went in all these different communities and competed with each other
00:11:49.760and they know Joe from down the street as starting a dairy or something like that
00:12:33.320But Paz, you've been through challenges in this process.
00:12:37.520if people want to get out of regular employment and be more of an independent contractor
00:12:41.600or small business person what would you say to yourself let's say from five or ten years ago
00:12:46.520to speed up that process well basically is doing it like business because i mean we have this
00:12:56.400freelancing and panorama in which you say i'm home working or things like that and you have
00:13:04.000a more alternative. But then when you treat you as a business, as one providing service and one
00:13:11.200building a business, it becomes different because you can also treat others like clients.
00:13:18.680So I don't know if this answers, but the thing is, sometimes I believe that the geek economy
00:13:24.980is considered to be something very different from it was. And one part of my journey has been to be
00:13:32.460outside of any regulation system. In that sense, I'm not necessarily completely regulated by Ecuador,
00:13:39.420I'm not necessarily completely regulated by the United States. And that's the way that globalized
00:13:44.620economy is working nowadays. And probably those rails are more easy to be managed by these new
00:13:53.580financial rails as well, because disconnects. I have been receiving my remuneration in crypto,
00:14:00.940in sometimes in remittances systems and things like that but at the end of the day i guess that
00:14:07.340it's also trying to trying to to make this more common and more communicated just just like
00:14:16.940globalized businesses because more and more people are doing this and that changes the
00:14:23.100narrative because the gig economy is not an alternative and to remain as an alternative
00:14:30.060it is the new way of doing things. And one thing that I was discussing before
00:14:34.140is also the thing that this can become a way in which we can also reduce or discourage
00:14:44.300migration, especially for those that are doing services, because people do not have to come to
00:14:50.300North America to have those jobs. If we can somehow connect North and South America, for instance,
00:14:59.980Maybe more people can stay in South America and do not have to leave their countries because they can have those kind of jobs that maybe in Canada or the United States, people are not willing to do.0.63
00:15:11.040But in this way, of course, we stop migration and all the problems related with that.0.55
00:15:17.880So we've actually done a lot of work in Central America, and there are so many businesses set up there to cater to North Americans, notably call centers.
00:17:17.380Yeah. And then I realized that one person in the whole system is difficult. So you have to go there
00:17:26.060or somehow with a strategy and a team because just one is difficult.
00:17:31.680Okay, Brett, obviously one of the themes here is the rising distinctive economy of Alberta
00:17:36.560with more of a self-awareness of the opportunities here and getting to such a scale now that it can
00:17:44.140be more broader or more diverse. Do you want to push back against or speak about the opportunity
00:17:52.500because obviously the chambers of commerce will say that there's this huge cost or huge risk
00:17:57.600and I'm not saying you've got to have an answer to this, but do you want to speak about the
00:18:02.700opportunities that come with a more independent or more self-governed region of Canada?
00:18:09.000Sure. I think it's first I'll start the place where people get just stumped by an actual transition or something like that, where they say we can't do it because we don't have whatever, in my case, the banking infrastructure.
00:18:26.840And the truth of the matter is 92% of the payments go through the United States anyway. And so think about that number. It's most of the payments in Canada get routed at some way, shape or form through the United States.
00:18:41.220So if people think that's going to hinder things, it really won't. I can't stress enough how the reduction of red tape and regulatory burden and overhead, that type of thing, it frees up businesses and it frees up entrepreneurs to start thinking about starting businesses, about failing faster.
00:19:05.520about. And we just see sort of a glimmer of capitalism in a place like China and all of a0.92
00:19:13.060sudden it explodes. And so think about something like that in a place like Alberta. If we were
00:19:18.740just sort of able to reduce that regulatory burden and that overhead, I would be very confident that
00:19:24.780things would just explode in productivity. Have you had the chance to review that portion of the
00:19:31.500Alberta Transition Council's report, the banking portion. Did your author want that one?
00:25:26.360They did attempt to try and do what was called a wholesale central bank digital currency.
00:25:31.720So they basically tried to sell off a digital treasury and it worked.
00:25:36.440And it was fine, but on the retail level, I think they're woefully behind and woefully naive if they think they can pick something up like this.
00:25:46.600Because banking, whether you sort of see it, oh, I saw my money go to Fergus, you know, banking's easy, right?
00:25:54.180There's a lot more to it than something like that.
00:25:57.680Retail is probably more complicated than even business banking just because there's so many microtransactions that are happening.
00:26:05.640and if the Bank of Canada thinks that they can do that, I just think they're sadly, sadly mistaken.
00:26:11.540So now, that being said, there is a Soviet Union example of where they had an actual central bank
00:26:17.460and one commercial bank and everybody had to be part of that commercial bank.
00:26:22.120So now here's my concern is, oh, you know what, we're issuing these universal basic income checks
00:26:30.000and guess what, everybody needs to have an account with RBC
00:26:33.260and if you don't have an RBK bank account with RBC or you've been debanked or whatever,
00:26:39.720tough luck. And so effectively, I think that's probably the tool that they would use
00:26:45.260versus a direct central bank digital currency with the central bank. They would employ one
00:26:51.540of the commercial banks to basically say, everybody needs to have an account with that
00:26:57.080Paz, do you want to comment on why a central bank is such a concern? I think we had a chapter
00:27:01.400or two in the book. I lose track now. But why is that so different from just the banking system
00:27:06.580we have now? Almost everything is digitized and we're being tracked and I don't feel like I have
00:27:10.500any privacy when I make transactions. Yeah, actually, it's very similar what we have right
00:27:17.980now. Is it negative interest rates that they want to basically tax you for even having a cash
00:27:24.360balance that's one that's one of the things because uh it the the issuance policy can also
00:27:31.300be more manipulable if if they have the whole system that is one thing not necessarily the
00:27:37.840negative interest right but also uh the the issuance and some things that will uh yeah
00:27:44.640could alter the monetary system in the long run it is just more direct access to control of that
00:27:51.340Yeah, and the same with control and privacy, because right now you have to ask some private agent to block, to throw accounts or things like that.
00:28:03.900But if you have all the system, you are just able to do whatever.
00:28:08.340Yeah, I want to go back just quickly to what can attract people to Alberta in a positive sense.
00:28:13.700if this independence movement can be seen as credible and likely that would be huge the number
00:28:24.560of americans like jim who'd want to move here would be enormous i'm just saying that so many
00:28:31.720americans feel like their liberties are dying as well that their their federal government is against
00:28:37.100them they would just be like they would be into it and already i've spoken with people in montana
00:28:43.900wyoming so i just i think the more this that idea becomes credible and likely the more you see i
00:28:52.060know it seems strange right now because everyone's going the other direction but you'd see americans
00:28:55.420coming to alberta to enjoy that promise i mean mylene was talking about just the way that even
00:29:01.100having any kind of choice between jurisdictions is healthy and she works with a man who has a
00:29:06.060business expat money i'm not sure what it's called right now but basically people trying to escape
00:29:09.980the united states in canada to go and live in panama or wherever they want to go live there's
00:29:13.580huge demand to escape both the united states and canada and largely they're looking for like a
00:29:18.540jurisdictional renewal but drew you want to ask a question mike yep please uh thank you i have a
00:29:24.220question for both of you uh pause first of all i'm pro development pro business all the time
00:29:30.620time, data centers. I understand data centers are directly connected to cryptocurrency.
00:29:36.900It's a whole area I don't even begin to understand. So I'd like to hear what you think
00:29:42.260about data centers and Alberta going ahead, becoming a leader in data centers under the
00:29:48.020right way. And Brett, if you wouldn't mind tackling the same question if you want,
00:29:51.860but at the same time, I liked what you said about reducing regulation.
00:29:55.340The oil and gas industry in Alberta, like agriculture is one of our bread and butters,
00:30:00.620But it hurts me that you need five or ten times the reserves to develop oil and gas in Alberta than you would in Saskatchewan.
00:30:07.720If we could come up with proper regulations for oil and gas in Alberta, would your credit union support small business and support small entrepreneurs?
00:30:25.480Yeah, well, data centers are basically everything that is connected to the, especially artificial intelligence. So you need a lot of this industry. And the great debate with data centers is that they use a lot of energy and a lot of water. But there are different ways and innovative ways to not waste all the resources that is the usual speech.
00:30:52.700But the thing is that, yes, it can be an opportunity, and not only data centers, I think that all these innovative and disruptive technologies, because we have a lot of new technologies that are emerging and becoming more mainstream, like artificial intelligence, data centers, and all these things, can become part of what a new nation attracts to make businesses.
00:31:15.160So, for instance, we have the Estonia case, right, that they become a very efficient e-government,
00:31:22.120and in that way, they have attracted a lot of businesses around the world to register
00:31:28.180there and to pay taxes there, and it has a very effective system, and that is why people