The Culture War - Tim Pool - 2026 CHANGES EVERYTHING FOREVER

00:00:00.200 What is generosity?

00:00:02.200 Is it smiling at a stranger?

00:00:04.260 Is it helping a neighbor move?

00:00:06.160 Is generosity sharing your good fortunes?

00:00:08.840 There is power in generosity,

00:00:10.620 not just for those who give,

00:00:12.120 but for those who receive it and witness it too.

00:00:14.780 Every act of generosity, big or small,

00:00:17.380 creates a ripple effect.

00:00:18.860 And as Canadians, generosity is in our DNA.

00:00:22.020 It's in the people we love and the places we call home.

00:00:25.460 Visit CanadaHelps.org for more ways to be generous.

00:00:30.000 The redistricting war rages on and Democrats are warning that one third of the congressional

00:00:36.080 black caucus could be wiped out in this conflict, this procedural battle between the Democrats and

00:00:42.180 Republicans. Since the VRA was fundamentally shifted, there is a potential for a major

00:00:48.200 upheaval nationwide. Well, most people are focusing on Southern states saying obviously

00:00:53.640 in Louisiana, they're going to redistrict and eliminate one of these majority minority districts.

00:00:58.540 The truth is Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Illinois, many states have majority minority districts drawn up for the purpose of equity or for race based reasons.

00:01:12.480 And the question is, why is there a congressional black caucus?

00:01:16.420 Why are we creating political bodies in our government solely based on race?

00:01:21.500 We are supposed to transcend this.

00:01:23.680 And thus, my friends, this year, this battle, everything changes.

00:01:30.860 This is where it all begins.

00:01:33.020 It's not just the Congressional Black Caucus.

00:01:35.560 It's going to be everything.

00:01:37.280 If Harmeet Dillon, the Civil Rights Division of the DOJ, goes after these states, it'll be massive.

00:01:43.160 If Donald Trump gets his way on universal mail-in voting with the post office, his executive order,

00:01:48.540 saying you can't send them out unless you can prove that they are citizens eligible to vote.

00:01:52.120 So if the SAVE Act happens, if we get the citizenship question on the census for 2030, we are looking at a fundamental shift in this country, the likes of which we have not seen in generations.

00:02:08.180 2030 is the next major move.

00:02:10.620 And oh, boy, do I got some data for you.

00:02:12.680 Now, you've already heard I've talked about it.

00:02:14.840 The internal migration from people from state to state is going to fundamentally shift the balance of power in Congress.

00:02:21.040 But on the issue of illegal immigration, it could be additionally massive.

00:02:26.320 If we do not count illegal immigrants, wait till I show you state by state based on district level data, which they tend not to give you.

00:02:35.620 The argument we see from all these experts is that, well, you know, California will lose a seat, but Texas will lose a seat. 1.00

00:02:41.960 So it's even right. A Democrat state or Republican state?

00:02:45.140 No. When you break it down to the district level, eliminating illegal immigrants from the census count would result in Democrat congressional districts in red states being eliminated. 0.81

00:03:00.480 Now, that may mean Texas loses a seat, but it was a Democrat seat to begin with. 0.62

00:03:06.520 This is where it all changes, my friends.

00:03:09.820 Louisiana has announced they are moving forward with a new map.

00:03:13.780 We got the new map for you. They've eliminated one. I believe Alabama is also moving to eliminate

00:03:19.240 one seat. Now, South Carolina is getting a little weird. Republicans defied Trump in the state and

00:03:25.220 voted against it. But now we're hearing the governor may actually still call a special

00:03:28.880 session in Mississippi. We're hearing that the special session has been ended and maybe they'll

00:03:35.060 revisit redistricting later on, despite the fact that some reports are saying they're still going

00:03:39.420 to do it. Well, I can tell you this, my friends right now, don't matter what they do because the

00:03:44.620 GOP is up nine seats already. At the bare minimum, they have turned what was supposed to be a clean

00:03:51.640 sweep for the Democrats into a competitive race. For some reason, people think Democrats can win

00:03:57.540 the Senate. That's insane. But we'll talk about that as we do with all the news, starting with

00:04:03.780 the end of the Congressional Black Caucus. And the argument I present to you right now, I ask

00:04:08.620 you all this, why do we have race-based voting blocs in this country? Now, by all means, get 0.66

00:04:15.480 factual and say, well, you see, Tim Beck during the civil rights era, agreed. I'm talking about

00:04:19.500 today. For what purpose do we allow this? I would actually argue we should have a restriction

00:04:28.300 on the formation of political bodies on the basis of race. I don't think they should be allowed.

00:04:34.420 Of course, they'll just lie and say, no, no, we're the the, you know, historical American lovers of freedom caucus where everyone's black.

00:04:45.880 But I don't think there should be an Asian caucus or a Latino caucus or a black caucus or a white caucus.

00:04:51.280 I think there should just be American politicians.

00:04:54.700 But you know what this shows? 0.85

00:04:56.400 This exemplifies, in my opinion, that racism ain't going nowhere because all of these people are racist.

00:05:04.100 They want to have a voting block based on race.

00:05:07.680 They want it. 0.68

00:05:08.880 They want everything to be about the race and the color of skin. 1.00

00:05:12.840 That's why they kicked little Asian kids out of schools. 1.00

00:05:15.860 Sorry, you can't come here. 1.00

00:05:17.000 Too many people look like you.

00:05:19.000 I say enough with the racism.

00:05:20.840 Enough with race-based policies.

00:05:22.980 But you tell me, am I crazy?

00:05:24.900 Comment below.

00:05:26.080 Let's jump into this.

00:05:26.800 Before we get started, go to TimCast.com.

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00:05:58.200 Don't just sit idly by.

00:06:00.220 Don't just be a passive observer, because eventually, if people do not stand up for what is true and right and honorable, then darkness prevails.

00:06:12.700 And I'm asking you to stick your neck out and jump into a burning pit or to press the blue button.

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00:06:21.120 Join this community so that your voice is a part of the conversation and you're not watching the world pass you by.

00:06:28.300 From NBC News, Democrats warn a third of the Congressional Black Caucus could be wiped out by the redistricting wars.

00:06:37.300 And I'm here for it. 1.00

00:06:39.140 The Congressional Black Caucus, a power center in the Democratic Party for decades, saw its membership rise in Congress to an all-time high of 58 House members.

00:06:48.580 And this infuriates me.

00:06:50.540 It infuriates me.

00:06:52.000 The idea that we have 435 members of Congress.

00:06:57.580 To be fair, I don't think it's fair, I should put it this way, that a substantial chunk, a substantial chunk is based on race. 0.75

00:07:09.540 The implication being everyone else is the white caucus. 0.99

00:07:13.240 It's ridiculous.

00:07:15.780 They say, CBC chair Yvette Clark said as many as 19 of the caucus's members could be affected by the redistricting wars in a worst case scenario.

00:07:25.360 though she noted it's still fluid given that states are still drawing new maps in the wake

00:07:30.640 of the supreme court ruling it's devastating people have sacrificed so much to make this

00:07:35.020 a more perfect union and here we are in 2026 seeing this massive regression and all the gains 0.86

00:07:40.000 that have been made it's painful yeah all the gains made just for black people and that's it 0.99

00:07:45.940 and you know i'm gonna tell you why i'm mid you see uh look at my family going back to the 60s

00:07:51.700 pre-loving v. Virginia. You know, it was illegal for people of different races to cohabitate,

00:07:59.040 to have children. It was a crime. They call these miscegenation laws. And my mom was born at a time 1.00

00:08:07.100 when it was actually a crime to cohabitate. My grandmother had to pretend to be the help, 1.00

00:08:13.280 and her kids were just the help. And when people would find out that this was actually an

00:08:21.080 interracial couple, my family had to flee. Now, I have a question for these people. 1.00

00:08:29.480 Do they claim to be fighting for civil rights? Well, I'd make the argument as such. The Civil

00:08:34.600 Rights Act and Loving v. Virginia specifically created a world where people like me could exist.

00:08:40.680 And with that, there is a question. Which caucus do I get? Which brings me to my argument against

00:08:47.920 this so substantially, and that was Occupy Wall Street. Despite being massively corrupt with

00:08:56.000 people stealing money and stuff like that, something interesting happened where it started

00:09:00.420 with what they called the General Assembly. Everybody in the park would come together and

00:09:03.260 they'd all wiggle their hands and vote on things. The only problem is stagnation. Nobody agreed.

00:09:07.600 So they never got anything solved. Facilitators, they called themselves the bureaucracy of Occupy

00:09:13.260 Wall Street, decided to change the structure of the voting body to a spokes council, they called it.

00:09:17.920 then you would have different bodies based on the work they do send a representative so that

00:09:24.440 things could move more quickly and negotiations could be made. It's kind of like why we have

00:09:28.340 Congress. Instead of having a million people all scream at each other, one guy comes in, cuts a

00:09:33.420 deal. Well, the funny thing was it made sense to me that like the computer working group and the

00:09:39.740 sanitation working group would have interests related to functions of the protest and send a

00:09:45.140 representative to have discussion. The only problem was they they believed in the progressive

00:09:51.760 stack and they said, well, it's not just about the job you do, but what about your race or your

00:09:56.660 gender? This created the Women's Caucus, which went to civil war because they were like half of 0.99

00:10:03.340 them were like trans women aren't women, which created like two women's caucuses. And one was 0.80

00:10:08.500 like the Women's Caucus and the Women's with Trans Caucus, which was weird. And then you had,

00:10:14.260 of course, the black caucus. And you actually had people like my Wall Street voting for how

00:10:19.160 to spend donations because of their skin color. And I said to these people, where do I go?

00:10:26.100 Like, what would I do? And they were like, well, there's no caucus for white people. I said,

00:10:30.040 no, I'm mixed race. I'm Asian. And they go, oh, Asian caucus. The white people told me to go to

00:10:34.580 the Asian caucus. And I said, OK, because I already know what's going to happen. And I go to 0.73

00:10:39.260 these progressive woke far left Asians and they said, you're white. And I'm like, oh, no, I'm

00:10:43.440 mixed. And they go, nope, you're white. Get out. And I'm like, oh, OK, so I get nothing right.

00:10:48.320 This is why I can't stand these people. This is why I think this should be banned. And I don't

00:10:52.160 care. There should be we should have some kind of provision rule or whatever. You cannot have

00:10:57.520 voting blocks in Congress based on race. How are we going to put a stop to racism

00:11:03.240 with things like this? So I say good riddance. Well, the war is on, my friends. Let me brush

00:11:09.920 the chip off my shoulder and start reading about actual news for you guys. Louisiana GOP lawmakers

00:11:14.260 advance map, eliminating one Democrat House district. And I am here for it. I despise these 0.95

00:11:22.500 people who claim to be fighting for progress while trying to drop a world that excludes people like me 1.00

00:11:29.060 because you are liars and you are hypocrites. Let me tell you, every time I go to a conservative 1.00

00:11:36.520 event. Not a one person makes the issue my race. Not a one person at turning point events of

00:11:43.800 yesteryear or at the White House ever ever asked me about race or whatever. I've had people come

00:11:51.100 up to me and be like, you Mexican? Yeah. And I tell you this, with progressives and Democrats,

00:11:57.760 that's all that ever is. At Occupy Wall Street, if you wanted to speak at an event,

00:12:02.540 if you are white or male, they dropped you to the bottom of the list and you were only allowed to

00:12:07.560 speak after everyone else, which makes literally no sense. None. So a homeless guy who grew up in

00:12:14.320 the mountains and struggling wants to speak, but the wealthy trust fund black guy, yeah, 0.98

00:12:19.640 because they're racist. So Louisiana says we're going to get rid of this majority black district, 0.98

00:12:25.480 which is just an insane spattering. And why they keep this one, I don't understand. 1.00

00:12:30.800 Missouri Supreme Court has upheld its new congressional map, adding a likely GOP seat.

00:12:36.920 All of it's fantastic. And then, of course, we have this forecast. The 2030 apportionment.

00:12:42.300 Y'all ready for this? The world's changing, my friends, changing for the better.

00:12:47.260 California's expected to lose four seats. Oregon's going to lose one seat. Then you've got Idaho,

00:12:53.000 you've got Utah, and you've got Arizona expected to each gain a seat. You've got Minnesota,

00:12:58.180 to Wisconsin and Illinois, going to lose a seat. Pennsylvania, New York will lose a seat.

00:13:03.800 North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, they're going to gain seats. Florida gaining two and Texas

00:13:08.200 gaining four. It's going to be a tremendous shift, which strips a massive amount of power

00:13:15.340 from Democrats because they have mismanaged their states. They only have one answer,

00:13:21.520 Illegal immigration.

00:13:23.060 But 2026 changes everything.

00:13:26.800 You know, I'm looking at what's happening in Virginia, covering it this morning.

00:13:30.440 They went to the Supreme Court asking them to overrule the state Supreme Court, which

00:13:35.060 I doubt is going to happen.

00:13:36.940 They misspelled Virginia, calling it Virginia, and they misspelled Senator saying sentator.

00:13:43.220 We'll see how that goes for them.

00:13:45.460 But they're desperate.

00:13:47.360 The Democrats are desperate.

00:13:48.280 it. I believe that Donald Trump, the GOP have gained such a tremendous board advantage that

00:13:55.120 popularity does not matter at this point. Procedurally, the Republicans have gained

00:13:59.500 too much power. The destruction of USAID stripped them. And now I wonder, I'm going to throw in a

00:14:06.140 little conspiracy aside here. Trump keeps coming out every other week. We're going to have a deal

00:14:11.900 in Iran. It's going to be great. And then a week, like three days later, no, the deal is bad. We're

00:14:15.460 not doing it. And what's happening is oil prices are bouncing up and down like a yo-yo.

00:14:20.480 If you knew what Trump was doing, you would be seizing control of everything.

00:14:26.600 Trump announces there's a deal. Prices go up. So you buy right before Trump announces the deal.

00:14:32.200 He does. Prices spike. Then you sell right before Trump announces the deal is off and the prices,

00:14:38.400 I'm sorry, it's the other way around. Trump says there's going to be a deal and the prices go down.

00:14:43.060 So you've sold.

00:14:44.380 There's going to be a deal.

00:14:45.140 The prices start dropping.

00:14:46.780 I think that's right.

00:14:47.780 And then when he says there's no deal, the prices spike back up.

00:14:50.020 Because with no deal, the strait is closed.

00:14:52.920 You do that five times and you have created a new elite, a new power structure in this country.

00:14:59.140 So I have to wonder.

00:15:00.640 Democrats, of course, are apoplectic.

00:15:02.340 They're saying people are getting rich off of Trump yo-yoing like this.

00:15:05.840 And I'm like, yeah, why not?

00:15:08.520 I mean, like, probably.

00:15:10.860 No, I'm not saying it's good.

00:15:11.660 But I look at it like, is Donald Trump playing a game to amass as much power in the United States

00:15:18.380 as possible within the GOP and his sphere of influence? The Democrats can never gain power

00:15:24.400 again. And we are seeing this in every function and every facet. Virginia seems to be the last

00:15:30.160 vestige, the last bastion of the deep state, and they're struggling. Meanwhile, Republicans are

00:15:36.380 ascendant. I mean, this this culture war is seemingly going to end with a tremendous GOP

00:15:41.600 victory. Now, we do have some challenges that the Republicans are facing. South Carolina

00:15:48.460 Republicans defy Trump tanking redistricting for now. However, in this post from Nick's order,

00:15:54.380 breaking South Carolina Governor McMaster is set to call a special session to redraw their map per

00:15:58.720 Rep. Adam Morgan. The new map would likely eliminate the Democrat U.S. House seat,

00:16:03.720 and it could pass with a simple majority.

00:16:07.300 If Henry McMaster does this,

00:16:09.320 it won't matter that these Republicans said no.

00:16:11.700 He'll just bang the hammer and it's on.

00:16:16.000 Now, we got this from Greenville News.

00:16:17.920 McMaster will wait to decide on whether to call a special session

00:16:20.720 so we don't exactly know what's happening.

00:16:24.280 Let's update this again to make sure we're getting the latest up-to-date

00:16:26.560 because I know Nick Sorter had the news.

00:16:30.440 Let's just hard reset.

00:16:31.920 There we go.

00:16:33.040 They say South Carolina's governor is waiting to see what the legislature can accomplish by May 14th

00:16:37.200 before determining whether to call a special session.

00:16:40.220 South Carolina Senate failed to adopt an amended signed resolution on May 12th,

00:16:46.500 which would allow lawmakers to keep working beyond the May 14th deadline.

00:16:50.180 President Donald Trump specifically called in the state Senate to redraw the maps, and they said no.

00:16:54.540 But if a special session is called, it's on.

00:16:58.940 Now, interestingly, when we move over to Mississippi, Governor Tate Reeves cancels the special session on redistricting.

00:17:05.060 Yeah, but this is where it gets weird.

00:17:06.980 This is a special session on redistricting the Supreme Court seats, their jurisdiction.

00:17:12.840 They say the May 20th special session was initially called to fulfill the court ordered redistricting of Mississippi Supreme Court voting districts.

00:17:20.080 But in the wake of the U.S. Supreme Court's decision to gut the Voting Rights Act, the ruling was overturned and the state no longer has to redraw those districts.

00:17:29.940 Calls for Reeves to include Mississippi's U.S. House voting map in this special session echoed on social media bolstered by state auditor Shad White and later agricultural commissioner and gubernatorial candidate Andy Gibson.

00:17:41.040 The Republican politicians urged legislature to eliminate the majority black district that has elected Thompson a Democrat for 33 years.

00:17:50.080 Well, Ryan James Gerduski comes in and says, Alabama and Louisiana redistricting two seats

00:17:57.680 instead of four. Yep. South Carolina blocking the redistrict. Mississippi's waiting till 2027.

00:18:03.980 The South really dropping the ball. Yeah, no, I don't think they're dropping the ball. I think

00:18:09.380 they're doing exactly what they've always been expected to be. They are what we expect them to

00:18:16.040 be. So dropping the ball means we, the outsider populists who want to see real change, are upset

00:18:23.320 that the establishment crony shills will not do what needs to be done to preserve and protect this

00:18:30.320 union. Indeed. Now, there is an aside, which I want to throw into the mix a little bit before

00:18:36.560 we get into the bigger macro scales of these things. Thomas Massey and this crazy scandal

00:18:42.520 that's emerged. Thomas Massey may actually lose. It's really, really close. The polls,

00:18:48.180 I think we got the poll data here. Echelon Insights. Ed Galrain is winning in the polls

00:18:54.880 against Thomas Massey for the primary. And it's, you know, it's across the board. With those

00:19:00.220 leaning, you get Galrain at 52.8%. The key takeaways, Massey may actually lose his seat

00:19:08.640 as the GOP has dumped massive amounts of money into this fight.

00:19:12.980 What I can only say is Thomas Massey is a maverick.

00:19:15.960 He defies, he bucks the trends.

00:19:18.300 Sometimes he works with Democrats, particularly with Ro Khanna,

00:19:22.080 but he defies Trump because he stands on principle.

00:19:24.840 But the power is coalescing around the GOP,

00:19:27.000 and this could be bad news for some Republicans as well.

00:19:30.940 Now, the question, my friends, is where do we go from here?

00:19:33.680 What happens in 2030?

00:19:35.540 Beyond 2026, what changes shall be wrought?

00:19:38.640 The first thing I'll say is this.

00:19:40.600 Democrat Party favorability is actually worse right now than the Republicans.

00:19:45.460 Not by much, but that is significant.

00:19:48.120 Democrats are supposed to be way up.

00:19:50.540 They're supposed to be doing way better. 0.55

00:19:52.280 Why aren't they?

00:19:53.480 Well, I guess people just plumb don't like Democrats.

00:19:56.200 The weird woke stuff. 0.96

00:19:57.500 They're fake. 1.00

00:19:58.320 Their politicians suck. 1.00

00:20:00.280 We got rumors about who's going to be running in 2028. 0.99

00:20:03.340 Pete Buttigieg apparently is going to be running.

00:20:05.440 There's rumors that Pritzker is making a move.

00:20:07.640 that's why he's been doing press so much. And Mark Kelly, Mike, Mark Kelly, which I forgot the

00:20:14.900 guy's name, but I'm pretty sure it's it's the astronaut guy. You know, I'm talking about.

00:20:19.240 It's it's Mark Kelly, Mark Kelly. There's a handful of other people, of course, Gavin Newsom,

00:20:25.820 but he's the obvious one. We know that none of these people got any riz. They got no riz.

00:20:31.080 On the right, you've got some. Rubio, he's got procedure behind them. Rubio has decorum.

00:20:40.640 J.D. Vance has a little bit, but not like Trump. I look at the current field of candidates and I'm

00:20:45.780 like, ain't none of them got it going on. Seriously. It's kind of crazy if you think about it.

00:20:50.000 We had Barack Obama. I mean, George W. Bush had Riz, okay? This means charisma. George W. Bush,

00:20:55.900 call him dumb, but he could rally people. And he talked in a way that people like to hear, 0.99

00:21:00.060 Obama the same way. Donald Trump, 100%. Right now, ain't nobody got it. Don't get me wrong.

00:21:07.300 Obviously, J.D. Vance has some, a good amount of charisma. But I don't know. There's rumors

00:21:12.320 that he might not even run. Then you got Rubio. Rubio is impressive for a lot of reasons. I'm

00:21:21.080 very impressed with him as of lately. But he doesn't have that, I don't know, that X factor.

00:21:27.840 not say this democrats have none at all you know in the generic congressional vote for 26

00:21:36.180 the polling heavily favors democrats here's the thing though anybody who's paid attention knows

00:21:42.580 it always favors the democrats it always is there's a natural bias in the polls nationally

00:21:49.620 the question is in the swing districts what will we see that's the real question this doesn't matter

00:21:56.460 at the highest level. I will say it may actually be balanced. We actually may see a six point

00:22:03.220 advantage for Democrats because it's usually favoring, usually favors them this time around.

00:22:09.920 So it should have been lower, but some around Democrats actually do have,

00:22:13.760 let's just say the historical trend, I guess. They're the opposition. They're the underdog.

00:22:19.800 6.6 may actually make a lot of sense. Trump's job approval right now in aggregate is minus 16. So

00:22:26.280 not all that great. These things will, in fact, play a role. But let me show you this map I've

00:22:32.440 got. I got a couple of maps for you. This is the U.S. map showing states that can that have

00:22:40.260 majority minority districts. If Harmeet Dillon decides she's going to go in and say majority 1.00

00:22:49.260 minority districts are unconstitutional and you must redraw your maps. Take a look at this hammer

00:22:54.360 drop. Pennsylvania has two. New Jersey has has two, three coalition. New York has seven

00:23:04.420 majority minority. Illinois has five. All in all, there are, I believe, what is this? Holy crap,

00:23:14.300 55 districts that are considered majority minority. Well, the point is they're unconstitutional 0.99

00:23:24.280 if they're drawn up explicitly for the purpose of racial issues.

00:23:29.020 In Illinois, you've got an area where it's not drawn up based on race,

00:23:34.480 but it's going to be majority black. 0.94

00:23:36.140 So that likely would still stand. 0.77

00:23:38.380 The point is half, let's just say 27.

00:23:43.920 27 seats could be eliminated under the new VRA ruling.

00:23:47.100 And here's my ultimate favorite.

00:23:49.760 All right. 2024 projection. Democrat seats, net change, Republican seats based on illegal

00:23:57.660 immigration. If we were right now to eliminate illegal immigrants from the census, Democrats 0.58

00:24:05.620 will lose two seats. Republicans will gain two seats, a four seat swing. Now, here's what no one 0.74

00:24:13.120 tells you. We see these. I've talked about it before. They come out and they say in these in

00:24:18.360 these maps, they're like, actually, as I showed you here for the net migration change, they say

00:24:23.680 in these maps, well, if California loses a seat, but Texas loses a seat too, then it's balanced

00:24:28.740 because Texas is Republican and California is Democrat. Wrong. I asked my friend Claude to

00:24:34.280 break down all of the congressional districts where they are likely formed due to a population

00:24:39.940 of illegal immigrants. It did. I then said, based on that information, if we removed those illegal 0.96

00:24:48.020 immigrants from the census, what would the per party seat change look like? Texas loses two

00:24:53.700 Democrat seats. And there it is. Arizona loses one Democrat seat. California loses one Democrat

00:25:00.940 seat. Interestingly, Oregon would gain one Democrat seat. Minnesota would gain one Democrat

00:25:08.060 seat. But Ohio and Tennessee would each gain a Republican seat. Overall, with that loss,

00:25:14.740 It results in Republicans gaining two and Democrats losing four for a net change of plus two Republican.

00:25:25.580 That's tremendous.

00:25:27.580 That's absolutely massive.

00:25:30.180 It's going to reshape everything in 2030.

00:25:33.920 Now take a look at this. 1.00

00:25:35.460 I asked it to project in 2030 if they do not count illegal immigrants. 0.92

00:25:41.920 Take a look at this. 0.65

00:25:43.220 Massachusetts will lose a seat. 0.51

00:25:45.260 New Jersey will lose a seat.

00:25:47.520 California would lose two.

00:25:48.880 Democrat, these are Democrat seats lost.

00:25:50.600 All of it is Democrat seat lost, by the way.

00:25:53.520 Wisconsin will gain a seat, but we don't know how it would go.

00:25:56.080 And Pennsylvania would as well. 0.66

00:25:58.080 Virginia would gain a seat.

00:25:59.820 South Carolina would gain a seat.

00:26:01.800 This is what the map's supposed to look like. 0.97

00:26:03.720 Let's just eliminate party and just talk about the seat swings,

00:26:08.560 where the minuses are and where the pluses are.

00:26:12.040 There should not be any—none of these states should be lit up. 0.99

00:26:15.580 We should not be counting illegal immigrants in our census and then apportioning representation 1.00

00:26:21.340 to Congress, to our federal government, because there are people who live here who are not 1.00

00:26:25.700 citizens.

00:26:26.040 That is insane to me. 1.00

00:26:28.340 With Wisconsin, you don't exactly know how it's going to go.

00:26:30.440 And the important thing to understand with PA as well, they might gain a seat, but it

00:26:34.180 depends on who controls the state.

00:26:36.420 With New Jersey losing a seat and Massachusetts losing a seat, it's because that's it.

00:26:40.360 you'll lose a seat, figure it out. And they already gerrymander. Now, as for Wisconsin,

00:26:48.360 if control is Democrat, they'll gerrymander a Democrat seat. If it's Republican,

00:26:51.840 they'll make a Republican seat. Same with PA. Washington would actually gain a seat. 0.81

00:26:57.280 Now, my question is, why should any of these states tolerate this stuff?

00:27:01.040 Why should any of these states that are owed congressional representation and an electoral

00:27:05.800 college vote. Tolerate California. Look at Florida loses a Democrat seat, too. Absolutely insane. 0.88

00:27:13.480 You know, the secret is the secret is that illegal immigrants tend to be in urban centers, sanctuary 0.99

00:27:19.120 cities on purpose. This forces the creation of another Democrat district. So if you've got let's 0.69

00:27:27.220 say you got a million people in a big Democrat in a big city. They say, OK, if we're going to

00:27:35.360 a portion of congressional seat there, you circle most of the district, most of the city,

00:27:39.540 and that gives you 775,000 individuals that vote Democrat. Now, the truth is, it's probably going

00:27:46.020 to be 600,000 Democrat and 175K that vote Republican. So you can split the city basically

00:27:53.520 by three quarters. Then the rest of those Democrats will be absorbed into a red area,

00:27:58.680 creating a lean red, but that's the way you have to do it. Now, let's say there's a million people

00:28:05.920 there, but, but, but, but, you add in 100,000 illegal immigrants. Now you've got 1.1 million

00:28:15.180 people and the calculus starts to change. The Democrats then say, wait, wait, wait, wait, hold

00:28:20.040 on. When we gerrymander here, we are going to have 1.1 million. If we split this in half,

00:28:27.260 550,000 each. We can create two Democrat districts with 550, 550, 125, 125. The issue with just the

00:28:38.320 million is that you could make a district of 550 and have 450 left over, and you still could

00:28:45.440 crank one out. But crank out a Democrat district. It makes it substantially easier, and that's why

00:28:53.040 they are sanctuary cities that will not deport illegal immigrants. It gives them voting power

00:28:57.760 at the federal government illicitly, illegally, unconstitutionally. And I would call that evil.

00:29:04.120 Now, to be fair, again, you can still draw up with 1.1. Let's actually get serious.

00:29:11.600 With 1.1 million people in an area, that additional 100,000, you could make three

00:29:17.220 Democrat districts that are D plus seven or something. 300,000 each split up. Theoretically,

00:29:24.980 you could do 250 each. You could do 275 each. And that's going to overpower. That's basically what

00:29:30.140 AOC's district is. It's lean. It's majority Democrat. But if every single Republican

00:29:36.880 in AOC's district voted, she would lose. And the problem is that they don't.

00:29:40.960 so this is all going to change my friends everything is transforming before our very eyes

00:29:48.760 this war the supreme court ruling it may not be exactly what you want you may be upset

00:29:56.360 saith ryan james gurdusky that they're dropping the ball but what about moving forward to 28

00:30:03.600 and a 2030. This is just beginning. This is the year that changes everything.

00:30:11.900 If Republicans keep doing the bare minimum, they still win. Right now, they've gained nine seats.

00:30:20.320 And we can see in the prediction markets, it's dipping up 28% likelihood of a Republican sweep.

00:30:26.840 Full disclosure.

00:30:28.580 I put money down, 100 bucks on Republican sweep.

00:30:32.420 Because I think one of two things will occur.

00:30:35.900 They will sweep or enough will change from now to then

00:30:39.120 that people believe the possibility of Republican sweep will skyrocket.

00:30:43.920 Which means the value of those contracts goes up.

00:30:45.840 I'm not telling you what to do.

00:30:46.480 I'm giving you full disclosure on what I'm saying.

00:30:49.340 100 bucks.

00:30:50.820 100 bucks.

00:30:52.620 You know?

00:30:54.020 Nothing crazy.

00:30:54.780 But I think we are going to see something substantial.

00:30:59.000 I wonder then, after these midterms, what Trump is willing and capable of doing.

00:31:05.440 And not just him.

00:31:06.900 There's a report that Trump has given instructions to J.D. Vance should he be killed. 0.79

00:31:11.680 Yeah. 1.00

00:31:13.140 Because what?

00:31:13.680 Four assassination attempts.

00:31:15.620 But things like this. 0.95

00:31:18.340 That's why so many of these lefties are losing their minds.

00:31:21.460 This is their last chance and they're losing.

00:31:25.080 I'll leave it there.

00:31:26.260 Smash the like button.

00:31:27.280 Share the show with everyone you know.

00:31:28.180 You can follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.

00:31:30.960 If you've made it this far, you're a superstar.

00:31:32.920 Join us at TimCast.com.

00:31:34.680 We'll see you all tonight for TimCast IRL at 8 p.m.

00:31:37.520 Thanks for hanging out.

The Culture War - Tim Pool - May 13, 2026

2026 CHANGES EVERYTHING FOREVER

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