The Culture War - Tim Pool - Democrat CHEATING SCANDAL CAUGHT, Poll WAS FAKE, Dems RIGGING Alaska Primary

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00:00:26.480 It was all fake.

00:00:28.340 the polls that we saw. This is one of the craziest stories, but the cheating is getting

00:00:34.180 absolutely out of hand. Now they say this was just a social experiment, but apparently a couple of

00:00:41.620 the polls that have come out favoring DSA candidates were fabricated. The company behind

00:00:48.200 it says, we just wanted to see what was going to happen. I don't think so. At least in my opinion,

00:00:54.300 this seems to be an effort to manipulate the news to make it look like the DSA is more popular than

00:00:59.800 they really are. Why? Studies have shown people vote for who they think will win. So could it be

00:01:07.380 the strategy here was to put out bogus polls so the media would run these crazy headlines claiming

00:01:12.300 DSA was winning and result in a favorable outcome? Now, one could argue the inverse.

00:01:19.240 that when the moderates, when it was looking like they were losing,

00:01:23.820 they would rally more, spend more money.

00:01:26.020 And that's kind of what they did.

00:01:27.560 But I think for many of these Democrat voters,

00:01:31.520 they saw the news, they were told how to vote

00:01:35.000 because the media said DSA is what's popular.

00:01:38.360 And so they said, OK, I mean, think about during COVID,

00:01:41.340 the people who would put on masks,

00:01:43.260 you'd walk into a restaurant, put on a mask,

00:01:46.240 sit down, take the mask off.

00:01:48.460 Those are the kind of people that stand there and are told DSA is popular.

00:01:52.160 Vote for them.

00:01:53.660 But there's more.

00:01:55.120 Right now, the prediction markets have no idea what's going on because of fraudulent polling,

00:02:00.420 which may be also an attempt at causing people to put their money on the wrong candidate.

00:02:07.340 I mean, it was so absolutely insane these past couple of primary elections.

00:02:11.680 One candidate with 0.1% to win jumping to 100.

00:02:14.800 You'd have made bank.

00:02:16.700 And now here we are.

00:02:17.760 It's all fake. In Alaska, a Democrat is running as a Republican. His name? Dan Sullivan. Why? I think it's fairly obvious. It will confuse regular voters when there are two Dan Sullivans running for office in Alaska.

00:02:36.680 You're going to look at the ballot and you're going to say, I like Dan Sullivan.

00:02:41.240 He's the incumbent.

00:02:42.300 But there's two of them.

00:02:44.460 So how do you differentiate?

00:02:46.240 Republicans, of course, are saying this is a scandal.

00:02:49.120 They are cheating to steal the election in Alaska.

00:02:52.480 The man in question, profiled by the New York Times.

00:02:54.920 That's right.

00:02:56.040 He's not a Trump supporter.

00:02:57.720 He's a Democrat.

00:02:58.640 He voted Democrat.

00:02:59.960 But he's playing the game, right?

00:03:02.180 The cheating scandals we are seeing.

00:03:04.360 Guys, I'm going to tell you, this ain't an election.

00:03:08.020 This midterm, whatever you want to call it, it's everything but.

00:03:13.300 So let's jump into the news and figure out exactly what's going on.

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00:03:54.320 Here's the story.

00:03:55.860 Well, which one is it?

00:03:56.920 Is it this one?

00:03:57.760 It's this one.

00:03:59.160 Polls showing Bass leading Ramon by double digits was bogus, company says.

00:04:04.160 Take a look at this.

00:04:05.800 Brett, I don't know how to pronounce your last name, Loguarto, there you go, Logirato, we'll

00:04:12.840 say that, says it's pretty wild.

00:04:14.840 The polling firm that came out of nowhere to show Francesca Hong with a 23-point lead

00:04:18.580 over David Crowley in the Wisconsin primary has shut down and said its whole operation

00:04:23.760 was bogus.

00:04:25.420 Media strategy's polling discontinued.

00:04:28.300 They say Media Strategies has concluded its polling project and will not publish additional

00:04:31.640 polls.

00:04:32.540 All previous published polling releases have been withdrawn and should not be cited or

00:04:36.440 treated as genuine polling data.

00:04:38.200 Media Strategies was created as a short-term social experiment examining how purported

00:04:42.800 polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem

00:04:46.700 without independent verification.

00:04:49.860 I don't think so.

00:04:51.580 I mean, maybe.

00:04:52.480 We all know they're going to run the fake nonsense.

00:04:54.580 The question is, was this actually done to the benefit of somebody, to create a public perception?

00:05:02.840 Mediaite reports.

00:05:04.600 The LA Times has a revealing report about a polling firm that isn't.

00:05:07.820 Reporter Noah Goldberg exposes that an alleged pollster called Median Strategies admitted that its data regarding races in the LA mayoral race and Wisconsin race for governor had been fabricated.

00:05:17.360 When contacted by Goldberg on the matter, the company delivered a bizarre explanation.

00:05:21.920 Median done what appeared to be a standard poll.

00:05:23.900 with the kind of metrics commonly involved that have the political wonk class salivating.

00:05:28.380 In L.A., with just over 500 alleged respondents were polled with a 4.1 margin of error. 0.73

00:05:34.920 The research showed incumbent Karen Bass with a sizable double-digit lead,

00:05:39.920 and crosstab measures showed voters of former candidate Spencer Pratt supporting Bass by a wide margin.

00:05:46.020 The data was less reputable than any found in a middle school science fair when contacted by the Times,

00:05:51.800 median fessed up. This I meant to do that comment does little to explain what and why this took

00:05:58.060 place, but it serves as a harsh critique of those who used the data. The California Post covered

00:06:04.160 median figures in a report, and a number of local news channels in the region also repeated the

00:06:09.240 numbers. The mask campaign also cited the poll in a post, but then later took that down and blamed

00:06:14.700 it on the post. This poll was reported on by a news outlet. To see outlets bringing up the poll

00:06:20.380 means resorting to polling made by a company that was never vetted. Median had no track record of

00:06:26.060 polling work, yet the California Post forged ahead with the numbers. The link to the original article

00:06:30.960 now redirects to a New York Post piece on the false polling firm, but the URL still supports

00:06:36.080 the original headline. Median Strategies also had put out figures on the Wisconsin gubernatorial race.

00:06:42.660 It showed Francesca Hong leading by more than 20 points. Hong went on to lose a nail-biter.

00:06:48.520 many pollsters had similar and even more audacious returns favoring Hong for these esteemed polling

00:06:55.260 companies put out data that was in line with a fraudulent company is a big a condemnation of

00:06:59.780 their work as you might find it took the LA Times to figure out the details on this ersatz pollster

00:07:05.480 albeit doing so after the fact I'm gonna let you in on a secret my friends let me tell you the story

00:07:11.140 about the water research I did in Flint Michigan some of you may know the story but for those that

00:07:15.960 don't, it matters to the context of this story. During the height of the Flint water crisis,

00:07:22.420 I was working for Fusion, which is an ABC News Univision company. I pitched to the higher-ups,

00:07:30.000 hey, let's use a mass spectrometer from the New York University, NYU, to see exactly what's in

00:07:37.820 the water. We had reports of lead, of diseases. It was just filthy. Let's go, baby. So sure enough,

00:07:45.120 we go and do an interview with one of these professors and he explains the mass spectrometer

00:07:49.160 and we said we want to go take samples of the water from various sources in Flint, Michigan,

00:07:52.560 bring it back, see what's in it. Why? We had heard that children were drinking lead.

00:07:58.100 We had heard that people had contracted various diseases, that the water was polluted with heavy

00:08:02.740 metals and other potential contaminants. So what did we do? I got a bunch of vials from NYU.

00:08:11.000 This is 10 years ago, like 11 years ago, by the way.

00:08:13.380 Went to Flint, and I sourced two samples from two different homes.

00:08:17.380 So actually, the way it works is one sample was two vials.

00:08:20.980 You want to make sure there's not something.

00:08:22.420 So I turned the water on and let it run.

00:08:24.700 Take a sample.

00:08:26.020 Take a sample.

00:08:27.700 Put it in, like, this box that carries all little vials.

00:08:30.700 I went to a second house.

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00:09:01.500 You know what I did?

00:09:02.620 Like, this is crazy.

00:09:03.100 I literally just knocked on the door and I said,

00:09:04.580 Hi, I'm a reporter.

00:09:05.760 This may sound weird, but we're covering a story on the Flint water crisis

00:09:08.520 And I was wondering if I could collect some water from your sink to see we want to do

00:09:12.020 we want to do a test on it after the fact.

00:09:13.220 And they're like, sure.

00:09:14.860 Two businesses, two homes, each two samples from the location and four samples or I'm

00:09:22.100 sorry, four vials from the Flint River filled the whole thing up.

00:09:26.320 Then went back home to Miami, where I lived in the Redlands and took four vials from different

00:09:32.880 sources as a sort of control.

00:09:34.740 we went to nyu they ran it through the mass spectrometer said we'll get back to you with

00:09:40.680 the data thanks for the samples when we finally heard back guess what they said all of the flint

00:09:47.200 samples were totally fine and we were confused now the miami samples he said has a lot of had

00:09:53.540 a lot of uranium depleted uranium or something and i was like wait what it's like probably from

00:09:59.060 fertilizer. And I'm like, what? What is happening? My water in my house was bad, but the Flint water

00:10:05.080 was all fine. Yep. We found nothing in it. No heavy trace, no heavy metals or anything,

00:10:11.620 copper, lead, whatever, mercury, nothing. And we were all confused because we had numerous samples.

00:10:17.340 And I was like, hey, look, man, I did what I was supposed to do. I was two different houses,

00:10:21.560 got two vials from each, two different businesses. They were not in the same area. I went all across,

00:10:25.520 I went all over Flint. So here's the reason why it matters. We decided not to publish the story.

00:10:32.060 I didn't disagree. When we talked to the, you know, the other producers and, you know, journalists,

00:10:37.500 we all went over and we were like, are we really going to put out a report that says the water's

00:10:41.780 fine? We can't do that. You know why? We must be wrong. That's right. The narrative was going far

00:10:51.060 and wide. Flint's water was bad. We did the science. We did not find those results. Our

00:10:57.700 conclusion, we must have made a mistake somewhere along the line. Maybe my methodology was no good.

00:11:04.320 I must have made a mistake. So I was asked, are you really confident of this? I'm like, I don't

00:11:08.680 know. I mean, how are we getting it so wrong compared to every other news outlet? The story

00:11:16.020 was quashed under the presumption that we must be the outlier. Therefore, we need to back this up

00:11:24.680 and we just don't have the resources to do it. So story's dead. Now that I think about it looking

00:11:29.260 back, I wonder if just the story was fake from the get go. Maybe there were, you know, obviously

00:11:33.740 there were people who got sick and all that stuff, but maybe the water was never really all that bad.

00:11:37.320 But it was political. What happens? One person puts out a story. It's sensational. Everybody

00:11:43.460 picks it up, creating a false consensus. Then when we did the science, it's thrown out.

00:11:49.500 Now to the fake polls. Perhaps that was the plan. The reason why some of these DSA polls were so

00:11:56.140 insanely high, you put out fake polls and what happens? Other pollsters go, whoa, whoa, whoa.

00:12:03.260 They're saying plus 13. That's being reported plus 13. What did we get? Minus three. No, no,

00:12:08.920 no, no, no. Something must be wrong here. What did we do wrong? The presumption is if everybody's

00:12:13.160 getting a similar result. Except for you, you must be wrong. Now, a good pollster is going to say,

00:12:19.600 yeah, so be it. This is what we found. But I would not be surprised if some of them were just like,

00:12:23.860 guys, we're gonna have to pull this one back. And maybe that was the play the whole time.

00:12:31.400 Here we go. Look at this telegraph polling, putting Democratic Socialists in the lead was

00:12:34.760 fake. Now, here's where it gets really crazy. Take a look at this story. The cheating scandal

00:12:40.200 that knows no bounds, searching for answers from the man accused of sabotaging Alaska Senate race.

00:12:47.260 I am done with all of this. I don't understand why any sane person would allow it.

00:12:54.920 We are not stupid. We know what this man is doing. Dan Sullivan, a retired school teacher 0.98

00:13:01.680 from from tiny Petersburg, Alaska, shares a name with the incumbent senator he hopes to defeat.

00:13:07.720 Is he a spoiler trying to divide the Republican vote?

00:13:10.920 Yes.

00:13:12.980 I just I can't with these people.

00:13:14.840 You know, you know, it's like everyone understands the game plan here. 1.00

00:13:20.320 Democrats are cheating and Republicans are too stupid and weak to do anything about it. 1.00

00:13:27.020 So here's a guy. 1.00

00:13:29.420 Let's he's more obscure, they say.

00:13:31.820 Here he is.

00:13:33.580 They say, let's see if we can find the data on his.

00:13:36.240 he's got, they've got information. On Tuesday, despite Republicans' best efforts,

00:13:41.860 they will both appear on the ballot, the real incumbent and this random guy.

00:13:46.400 Because Alaska's primary rules, the top four vote getters, regardless of party affiliation,

00:13:50.580 will advance to the general election in November. The game, regular people are going to show up in

00:13:56.300 the jungle primary to vote, and they're going to split their votes between Dan Sullivan,

00:14:01.240 and the incumbent and some random guy. They're cheating. This will cut his vote count. If he's

00:14:08.620 going to get 40 percent, they'll both get 20 and then they won't advance or this whack-a-loon

00:14:14.700 evil guy will. I don't know why we tolerate this. I do not know why we tolerate this.

00:14:23.400 They're going to mention he's never voted for Trump. He voted for a Democrat in the past three

00:14:28.120 elections. He voted for Miss Peltola, Democrat. He did not vote for Dan Sullivan. He's politically

00:14:35.900 active and he attends no king's protests. He should be criminally charged. This is an attempt

00:14:42.120 at fraud. Now, you may be saying, well, but what if he really wants to run it? His name is Dan

00:14:46.180 Sullivan. Yeah. Then we should have a requirement that you must put a different name. What's his

00:14:52.600 middle name Bill, so you put D. Bill Sullivan. How about that? But we know the point of this.

00:14:58.940 Even the New York Times is pointing out, they're pointing out, it's been a long-running joke that

00:15:04.740 he would do it. He grew up in Chicago. These people are evil, man. You know, the liberals.

00:15:13.380 I see, there was this post that went viral. It was Joel Berry of the Babylon Bee. He said,

00:15:17.900 Liberals, we are good people, so give us power.

00:15:20.540 Post-liberals, we are good people, so give us power.

00:15:23.620 Americanism, no one is good, so limit power.

00:15:27.660 Stand back and stand by, right?

00:15:30.300 They're cheating in front of you to strip you of your power.

00:15:34.360 Sure, by all means, criticize them.

00:15:36.340 But post-liberal is not, we're better, so give us power. 0.99

00:15:38.860 It's, holy crap, they're cheating. 0.98

00:15:40.840 Stop them from doing it. 0.99

00:15:42.680 And they don't.

00:15:43.700 are we really supposed to accept this remarkable the balance of power

00:15:51.660 democrat house and senate yeah well let's pull up 270 to win and we'll get the uh senate

00:15:58.440 cal she's got republicans now in the slight favor it's bouncing a favorite bouncing back

00:16:04.020 and forth alaska nobody knows for sure but i'm gonna tell you this how is it possible

00:16:08.140 for the republicans to win when they're cheating right in front of you

00:16:12.040 crazy look at these uh it's making a mockery of our system Mr. Vincent said the sign had

00:16:20.940 disparaged from President Biden with profane two-word slogan etc etc Mark Jensen has served

00:16:26.080 as St. Peter I'm sorry as Peterberg's mayor for 14 years supports the incumbent senator

00:16:30.600 so he's never known the local Mr. Sullivan or any as anything other than a liberal but given

00:16:35.780 Mr. Sullivan's denials he was reluctant to accuse him of meddling he said he isn't so I'm not going

00:16:40.780 to call him a liar. We are a country of weak people being trampled on by psychopaths because 0.90

00:16:46.460 nobody's got the balls to just be the dad. Nobody's got the balls. Send in the DOJ. I mean, listen. 1.00

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00:17:22.960 you get your podcasts. Something's got to be done about this because we all can see through it.

00:17:29.600 I don't care what this guy thinks, this fake Dan Sullivan. He's actually Dan Sullivan,

00:17:34.420 my point. I don't care what he thinks and I don't care if he wants to run. The answer is no.

00:17:39.880 We don't allow it. You have no serious political ambitions. You never did. You're a no Kings

00:17:45.180 Democrat protester and you were attempting to defraud the people of Alaska. He should be in 0.65

00:17:50.800 jail. This is attempted fraud, attempted electoral fraud. I don't I don't know why we tolerate this.

00:17:58.640 On Friday, Trump exhorted Alaska Republicans to vote for the incumbent, posting a graphic saying this crooked, radical left Democrat have put up another man named Dan Sullivan, and they did this to take votes away from our great senator of the same name.

00:18:14.320 Republicans have been trying to derail Mr. Sullivan's campaign from the start.

00:18:17.560 They said his campaign website bore similarities to the senators.

00:18:20.320 They noted that he filed as Dan as Sullivan using the senator's Michelin initial instead of his own.

00:18:25.860 Jay, wow.

00:18:27.740 Wow.

00:18:29.180 He registered as a Republican on the same day he filed to be a candidate and a longtime Democratic consultant, Amber Lee, helped him to file to run.

00:18:36.540 Put these people in jail.

00:18:40.260 I don't know why.

00:18:41.140 I don't know why we're sitting here.

00:18:42.500 They're literally admitting they are taking a dump on the electoral process.

00:18:46.800 And we're just like, oh, well, you know, I guess we'll tweet about it.

00:18:50.180 We are cooked.

00:18:51.040 Sullivan, the senator told reporters in Washington that the other Sullivan was purposely trying to

00:18:56.940 trick my constituents to rig the poll. Indeed, the Alaska Division of Elections overseen by

00:19:02.380 Governor Nancy Dahlstrom, a Republican, led the charge to kick Mr. Sullivan off the ballot. When

00:19:07.000 that failed, the agency decided that ballots would list the senator as Sullivan Dan S.

00:19:11.060 and call him a Republican incumbent while describing the challenger as Sullivan Daniel

00:19:15.180 J. Jr. with no party affiliation. Indeed. And that is better than nothing, but still weak.

00:19:23.620 Mr. Sullivan of Petersburg said in our interview that the middle initial controversy stemmed from

00:19:27.580 a typo. Now it's fraud. Come on. He joined only recently, and it was a mistake. My intention is

00:19:34.800 not to trick people. I would hope people are informed enough to know the difference between

00:19:37.900 an incumbent senator and a teacher. No, it's because people are going to walk in

00:19:42.360 and they're going to say, I want Dan Sullivan, and they're going to hit it real quick.

00:19:47.640 Even if it's 4%.

00:19:48.960 4% of people click the wrong button.

00:19:52.260 They are rigging the election.

00:19:55.060 The U.S. Attorney's Office in Alaska has been investigating Mr. Sullivan,

00:19:57.880 according to a person familiar with the inquiry,

00:19:59.600 examining whether his tendency deprives Alaska residents of their right to vote

00:20:02.520 and whether his attempts to raise funds amount to fraud.

00:20:05.780 I'm just a guy and they're scary.

00:20:07.860 Whether you've done something right or wrong, it doesn't seem to matter anymore. 0.98

00:20:11.000 You are evil. 0.99

00:20:13.120 You are an evil man, unrepentant, and hell-bent on stealing power from the will of the voter 1.00

00:20:19.380 by manipulating the election. 1.00

00:20:22.260 Yeah, you're a demon, okay? 0.96

00:20:25.140 Campaign finance record shows 12 donors to his campaign, aside from himself, up to 1,000 0.98

00:20:28.860 a person.

00:20:30.160 Blah, blah, blah.

00:20:31.380 I looked around for evidence of his political leanings.

00:20:33.000 He displayed a large American flag on his balcony, a refrigerator magnet of Che Guevara,

00:20:37.200 the Marxist revolutionary.

00:20:38.580 He said, I didn't realize the magnet was there until I asked about, oh, yeah, maybe my kids

00:20:41.540 put it there.

00:20:41.840 I don't know.

00:20:42.360 They call him Decoy Dan, Sham Candidate Fraud Sullivan, and one of the names in particular,

00:20:47.940 Fake Dan Sullivan. I even called him that. I am not a Fake Dan Sullivan. I am Dan Sullivan.

00:20:53.700 I've been Dan Sullivan longer than you've been, Dan Sullivan. Indeed. I think you should be in

00:20:59.600 jail. These people are scumbags. Let's see the comments. Come on. Let's see what you guys have 1.00

00:21:05.220 to say. The Alaska Beacon correctly told state voters President Trump's federal spending cuts

00:21:09.220 has nothing to do with it. At worst, this is precisely the brand of rat fudgery the Republican

00:21:13.500 party should feel at home with. Evil. I am struck by the president and his allies being so agitated. 0.97

00:21:19.500 Dan Sullivan's campaign bears all the signs of being a reasonable, legitimate effort. 0.94

00:21:22.840 These people are evil. Sorry. Well, congratulations. AOC is now the front runner.

00:21:30.680 18% to be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee.

00:21:35.240 Good luck. I don't know what to tell you, my friends. Good effing luck. You know, people say, Tim, you talk about civil war. Guys, they arrested Trump several times, falsely accused him of a whole bunch of crimes, accused him of fraud, arrested his lawyers.

00:21:57.420 the federal government sent agents down to confront in a physical confrontation

00:22:02.160 state national state guard in texas biden lifted up the concertina wire breaking the barrier to

00:22:08.360 allow millions of people to break the laws of the united states and still to this day

00:22:14.180 we have democrats attempting to steal an election in numerous ways now by all means we're not

00:22:21.800 fighting anything. But who could possibly be surprised that I have concerns about the confidence

00:22:29.220 in the U.S. government when this is what is happening? I'm going to leave it there.

00:22:34.400 Smash the like button, my friends. Share the show with everyone you know. Normally I do these longer,

00:22:37.520 but oh man, do I have a day. I have so much work. Meetings? Ugh. Thanks for hanging out.

00:22:43.540 Smash the like button. Follow me on X on Instagram. We'll see you tonight at 8 p.m. for Timcast IRL.

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The Culture War - Tim Pool - August 18, 2026

Democrat CHEATING SCANDAL CAUGHT, Poll WAS FAKE, Dems RIGGING Alaska Primary

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