The Culture War - Tim Pool - April 17, 2026


Democrats COVER UP "Election Autopsy" Fearing It Will END THE PARTY


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The Democratic Party is fried. They are dejected, broken. We don't know if they re going moderate, if they're going far left. Right now they're fighting over whether or not Hassan Piker should be allowed to campaign with candidates, and the big story is that the 2024 election autopsy, where Democratic officials broke down exactly how it is they ve lost, is being withheld. That's right, Democrats are saying, release the information. Let us know before the midterms what we did wrong. And they won't release it.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 The Democratic Party is fried. They are dejected, broken. We don't know if they're going moderate,
00:00:06.960 if they're going to go far left. Right now, they're fighting over whether or not Hassan
00:00:10.860 Piker should be allowed to campaign with candidates. And the big story is that the
00:00:15.500 2024 election autopsy, where Democratic officials broke down exactly how it is they've lost,
00:00:22.760 is being withheld. That's right. Democrats are saying, release the information. Let us know
00:00:29.420 before the midterms what we did wrong. And they won't release it. But we are getting a glimpse
00:00:35.620 of exactly what went down. And there are a handful of issues that played a role in why Democrats
00:00:41.940 lost, most of which is Kamala Harris is awful. And so is Joe Biden. And they probably should
00:00:48.540 have had a real primary. But unsurprising to probably anyone paying attention to politics,
00:00:55.240 Israel is one of the principal issues.
00:00:58.440 The progressive left bailed from the Democratic Party because they would not come out strongly enough against Israel and in support of Palestine, despite the fact many Democrats actually did.
00:01:12.720 So I wonder, is the reason why Democratic leadership, the reason why they won't release this info is because it is staunchly anti-Israel?
00:01:21.600 Well, aside from this, there are many in the Democratic Party that maintain Donald Trump
00:01:28.860 stole the election.
00:01:30.860 The thing is, the corporate press isn't giving as much air to this theory as they did when
00:01:36.940 Trump supporters claimed it was stolen from Trump.
00:01:39.840 Well, to be fair, Trump also took all the air out of the room, screaming the election
00:01:43.860 was stolen and still does.
00:01:46.580 So right now, you've got many prominent liberals.
00:01:49.560 well, I shouldn't say prominent, but active online liberals maintaining that something
00:01:55.120 doesn't quite make sense with the 2024 election. To be fair, the more prominent liberals,
00:02:01.220 as I should say, are pushing back on this because it's not productive to actually winning.
00:02:06.140 Right now, we don't know exactly what's going to happen in the midterms, but it's looking like
00:02:09.760 Democrats are going to win. However, does that mean there will be a unified Democratic Party?
00:02:15.040 it doesn't. And while Donald Trump's favorability in polls may be low, the Democratic Party is
00:02:21.320 polling worse than the Republican Party. So if everybody's basing the midterms off of what we
00:02:27.200 think of Trump, which I think makes sense, then, yeah, Democrats are probably going to sweep.
00:02:32.240 But there are some that are pushing back. Some argue that, look, Donald Trump isn't going to
00:02:37.060 represent the entirety of the party. Republicans might actually win if they can get the turnout,
00:02:43.520 Now, considering Democrats are suffering a major historic favorability low, probably
00:02:50.500 has something to do with their whack-a-loon policies, which could be why they won't release
00:02:55.560 the autopsy.
00:02:56.240 I'm gonna tell you this, my friends.
00:02:57.160 I do not believe that the principal issue is just Israel.
00:03:02.080 I think it plays a role, but many people have already just said, what do you mean?
00:03:05.400 The Democrats have been staunchly anti-Israel.
00:03:07.940 They've not come out in support of them.
00:03:09.840 There must be something else.
00:03:11.820 Indeed, my friends, I'd posit weird, woke policies have resulted in moderates breaking
00:03:18.780 from the Democratic Party.
00:03:19.740 So the question is this.
00:03:21.920 Will Joe Rogan, will Joe Rogan vote Democrat?
00:03:25.640 That's the question.
00:03:27.320 Joe specifically, because, you know, he kind of represents the everyman in the middle of
00:03:30.780 the road.
00:03:31.580 I don't know.
00:03:33.000 And I don't literally mean Joe Rogan, but the people who watch his videos, are they
00:03:36.740 going to decide that Trump is so bad they should go vote Democrat right now?
00:03:40.560 I got to be honest, I don't think so. If ever there was a time for the Mises caucus libertarians
00:03:46.620 to actually win some congressional seats, this might be it. Because what we're seeing in the
00:03:51.400 polling, especially among millennials and younger, is that they're breaking from both parties.
00:03:56.840 The Republicans can't cut it. The Democrats can't cut it. So what happens in this midterm
00:04:01.920 if middle of the road voters don't actually swing for Democrats? All that's going to matter is voter
00:04:07.860 turnout. Now, some have said, Tim, have you ever asked yourself why it is Trump's not worried about
00:04:12.060 the midterms? Could it be he has a plan that you should trust? Sure, whatever. Now, I got to be
00:04:19.080 honest, I'm not entirely excited about Republicans winning either. I mean, it's better than Democrats,
00:04:23.200 but what are they going to do? Have they been particularly effective in the past year or so?
00:04:28.520 Not really. So I guess it's fair to say it's better the Republicans win the Democrats, but
00:04:33.740 I'm not going to hold my breath. Let's read this news, my friends, and get into exactly what's
00:04:38.220 going on. And I want to show you all the social media posts from the Democrats who think the
00:04:41.040 election was stolen. It's hilarious. Before we do, however, go to wallet.rumble.com,
00:04:45.860 scan the QR code. Wait, it's over there, not there. And download the Rumble wallet. What is
00:04:51.200 it? It is a non-custodial crypto app for your phone. What that means is if you want to pay
00:04:57.080 your buddies, you want to trade some crypto or whatever, you use this app to do it. It makes
00:05:01.080 it really, really easy. Here's the thing. It's non-custodial. What does that mean? It means you
00:05:05.680 can't be banned from it. So let's say Rumble just really doesn't like you, and you've got Bitcoin,
00:05:12.220 Tether, and Tether Gold on this app. They can't ban you from it. It's yours. It's your money. It's
00:05:16.980 your account. It's your address. There's nothing they can do to stop it. That's been the play with
00:05:20.420 Rumble the whole time, allowing you to operate independently from these big tech systems,
00:05:25.460 which I guarantee you are still censoring everybody, and they will come back with a
00:05:30.060 vengeance if Democrats actually win. Right now, it's widely believed that mass censorship is going
00:05:35.600 on because they want to manipulate the election. In fact, I actually got an email from the Google
00:05:40.680 Ads team specifically about the elections and their policies. Yeah, dirty games will be played.
00:05:47.980 So go to wallet.rumble.com, pick it up. Let's take a look at the news. So this is from NBC.
00:05:53.020 DNC Chair Ken Martin told party officials he planned to release some of the results,
00:05:56.920 sources said, but more than a dozen Democrats said they wanted to see the full scope of the
00:06:00.640 problem. Let's start here. What do I mean with the Democratic Party being dead? Okay, it's a
00:06:06.580 little hyperbolic. They function, okay? There is still leadership. There's a mechanism behind them,
00:06:11.500 but they are massively divided. You've got the progressives, the Hassan Piker types,
00:06:16.100 the corporate Dems. They don't get along. The only thing they can agree on is orange man bad.
00:06:22.580 Well, that's not going to rally people in a midterm.
00:06:26.220 Maybe, maybe people will say,
00:06:28.200 we want some kind of policies
00:06:30.320 to curtail the Trump administration.
00:06:32.420 Do you really think that if you vote Democrat,
00:06:34.420 they'll stop foreign war? 0.92
00:06:36.820 That's what really gets me about the Iran war.
00:06:38.720 People are like, you know, Trump, he betrayed us.
00:06:41.620 He went to war.
00:06:42.100 I was like, oh, an American president
00:06:43.300 started a war in the Middle East.
00:06:44.460 Surprise, surprise.
00:06:45.820 No, don't get me wrong.
00:06:46.380 I didn't want this.
00:06:46.980 I didn't vote for it.
00:06:47.760 It happened.
00:06:48.380 We'll see how it plays out.
00:06:49.720 Trump's saying things are wrapping up again.
00:06:52.000 So I'm not a big fan of these interventions. That being said, if you came to me and said any president you vote for is going to start a war in the Middle East, I'd be like, yeah, probably, you know, Trump was a little bit better in a lot of things, particularly with domestic policy.
00:07:04.720 So I'll take it. I think shutting USAID was a good was a good thing. Now, here's what here's what matters. Will this be enough to get people to come and vote in the midterms?
00:07:13.660 To be honest, right now, the sentiment is massive.
00:07:16.380 People are pissed about the war in Iran.
00:07:18.740 If Trump doesn't get a handle on this one, then yeah, people right now are motivated.
00:07:22.560 But will that motivation last until November?
00:07:25.040 Probably not.
00:07:26.760 Guys, we're talking about, what, six and a half months?
00:07:29.760 It's a half year, and that is an eternity in politics.
00:07:33.500 For all we know, in three months, Donald Trump does a stimulus package,
00:07:39.840 pays everybody a bunch of money with his name on it,
00:07:41.740 and then they all celebrate and say, let's vote for this guy. For all we know,
00:07:45.100 that Trump comes with some executive order blocking a bunch of Democrat strategies for
00:07:48.880 the election, and then they win de facto. For all we know, a month before the election,
00:07:52.700 Donald Trump says, I'm going to give everybody $10,000, $10,000. It's good money. You'll be
00:07:57.040 yours. But only if the Republicans can pass the legislation come January 5th, which means you
00:08:04.660 better vote Republican. Take a look at this from real clear polling. Democrats' current spread is
00:08:11.100 minus 20. The latest poll from CNN is minus 28. Holy cheese. Minus 28 for Democrats. Yowza.
00:08:22.880 Now, when we take a look at the Republican Party favorability, they're at minus 15.4.
00:08:26.820 Not good either. Everybody hates the Republican and Democratic Party, but hey, man, that's like
00:08:33.140 five points. OK, it's 4.6 points, but that's like five points. The latest poll from CNN has
00:08:39.340 Republicans minus 23. Emerson in November had them at tie. Can you believe it? There was a period
00:08:47.280 where Republicans were almost enjoying net positive favorability despite doing nothing.
00:08:52.780 That's incredible. Well, here's what we got from Axios. DNC chair tries to tamp down uproar over
00:08:59.960 hiding election autopsy. So the Democrats are apoplectic. They want to know why they lost.
00:09:07.940 Well, we can tell you in February was reported the Democrats were working on a secret report.
00:09:12.340 It found that Gaza cost Harris votes.
00:09:16.480 And this surprises a lot of people.
00:09:18.180 But we do have this from Democratic Autopsy dot org.
00:09:21.180 They say what we found.
00:09:23.760 Losing a whopping six point eight million voters supported Biden 2020 proved pivotal in this extremely close election.
00:09:30.260 Harris's inability to mobilize these pro Biden voters may have been the campaign's biggest failure.
00:09:36.200 Former President Joe Biden's disastrous decision to run for re-election, they call it his betrayal, by the way,
00:09:41.280 abandoning the working class base, agreed, and finally the Gaza effect.
00:09:46.760 There is ample evidence that Harris lost many voters, especially young voters, Arab Americans,
00:09:50.480 and critical support in Michigan and elsewhere due to the campaign's failure to shift or even signal a potential shift in policy on Israel and Palestine.
00:09:59.420 Extensive evidence shows a huge drop off in both turnout and Democratic support among
00:10:03.960 young voters aged 18 to 29.
00:10:07.060 Now, the autopsy is apparently supposed to go into exactly what these things mean.
00:10:10.580 These are surface level assessments. 0.95
00:10:12.840 But the Israel thing's absolutely hilarious.
00:10:16.160 Like, that's how hyper-focused people are on Israel, that they'd be willing to let Donald
00:10:20.500 Trump win unless, truth be told, we had several comments on Tim Kast IRL throughout the election
00:10:25.940 cycle where people said they would vote for Joe Biden if he came out against Israel.
00:10:32.700 I genuinely believe Biden could have won if if Biden came out and just said he hated Israel.
00:10:39.040 I bet he would have scored a ton of votes.
00:10:40.660 There are conservatives that would allow Joe Biden to sterilize children.
00:10:45.900 It's not an exaggeration.
00:10:47.600 If he cuts military ties with Israel, that's how much people care about the issue of Israel.
00:10:53.780 They would vote for an administration that would explicitly discriminate against people based on race and amplify child sex changes because they hate Israel that much.
00:11:06.440 Jeez, man, by all means, let's cut off, you know, foreign spending and aid packages to whatever country, including Israel.
00:11:14.960 You want them to register as foreign agents? Fine, do so.
00:11:17.400 But seriously, Joe Biden. Hey, let's roll from our slash politics.
00:11:24.240 This is the post on Reddit about Democrats wanting the full election autopsy revealed.
00:11:29.000 And we got some great comments and sentiment. Lonely top comment says Ken Martin pledged to
00:11:34.060 do this autopsy. Now that it's done, he suddenly thinks releasing it would be a distraction.
00:11:38.440 Funny how that works and the findings might point fingers at leadership.
00:11:41.580 One person said, sir, the people are feverishly demanding more transparency in government.
00:11:45.560 Quick, hide all our mistakes.
00:11:47.820 One person says, what could it have possibly said that was more distracting than choosing
00:11:52.160 not to release it?
00:11:54.000 The response, only the fairly politically engaged care that it isn't being released.
00:11:58.720 But the headlines it could generate, depending on what it says, could reach a lot more people.
00:12:03.500 Indeed, my friends, absolutely.
00:12:06.620 Well, here's the thing about the Democrats.
00:12:09.420 They're not doing too well.
00:12:11.260 They may still beat the Republicans.
00:12:13.220 But the Republicans, I wouldn't describe the Republican Party as cooked or dead, but people
00:12:20.560 are, I think everybody's in trouble. Now, here's the distinction I draw between the Democrats and
00:12:25.040 the Republicans. I would argue that everybody is burned out on both parties. I think the polling
00:12:29.720 shows that too. But the Republicans are still kind of unified to a large degree. The coalition,
00:12:35.900 which included libertarians and respected liberals, is kind of broken. Democrats, however,
00:12:39.800 are just going to war with each other. I mean, the Hassan Piker stuff is hilarious.
00:12:44.660 They can't figure out whether they love him or hate him. Here we have this. Let's dive in.
00:12:50.900 From Change My View one year ago. Huh. I do not believe there was meaningful fraud in the 2024
00:12:58.020 U.S. election. Change My View. Now, I just I got to ask this question. Why is it that someone
00:13:05.520 would need to make the argument there was no fraud in 2024, as if the implication was it was
00:13:11.220 widespread belief that there was. The person says, I voted for Harris. There was a massive
00:13:17.420 rightward shift. Someone says, I suppose this hinges a bit on what you consider meaningful
00:13:22.660 fraud. Regular normal adult is the account. He says, fraud on the scale that tips the election.
00:13:28.600 We all know that there is negligible fraud every election in the hundreds or maybe low thousands
00:13:32.100 of votes, but Harris didn't lose the battleground states by a few thousand votes. This wasn't a
00:13:36.200 Hillary Biden situation where 40,000 votes across a handful of states could have changed the election.
00:13:41.440 Here we go, ladies and gentlemen. I hope you're ready for this.
00:13:44.680 In response, the fraud wasn't with voting machine manipulation. It was vote suppression. Republican
00:13:50.400 legislatures passed a number of last minute changes to voter eligibility rules in a bunch
00:13:53.680 of states. This led to massive amounts of voters being denied voting rights without recourse.
00:13:58.080 I don't know if this threw the election, but it was widely reported. Here's a summary from
00:14:01.840 the Brennan Center for Justice, a nonpartisan organization, nonpartisan, granted labeled
00:14:07.260 variously as liberal or progressive by conservatives. I googled voter eligibility
00:14:11.280 changes in 2024 and got a list of multiple other sources. Here's a description from the MacArthur
00:14:15.640 Foundation, another organization labeled liberal and progressive of the Brennan Center for Justice.
00:14:21.280 Apparently, if you focus on making things better for the average person, people who focus on making
00:14:25.360 rich and people in corporations richer will label these organizations liberal. You know what the
00:14:29.820 truth is. I'm trying to explain to my liberal friends here on X what's wrong with this luxury
00:14:38.220 property tax and why it would be bad for the economy. And they just don't have the capability
00:14:43.420 to think beyond layer one. Like, you need to ask them, OK, if you make this tax, what will happen
00:14:52.640 next? There's a bunch of things. They can't ask that question. They say, what do you mean?
00:14:57.760 The people will have to pay the taxes. And I say, OK, let's try a conditional hypothetical.
00:15:03.940 If this tax makes it harder to invest, what would happen? And they say, huh? But the tax is going to make money.
00:15:12.440 And you're like, if you didn't have breakfast yesterday, how would you have felt? And they go, but I did have breakfast.
00:15:19.160 And that's what we're dealing with. Seriously, that that's it.
00:15:22.680 this person says so in a sense it was done locally coordinated effort coordinated effort
00:15:27.060 blah blah blah what else do we got what else we got ah from ask statistics a year ago
00:15:31.400 irregularities in the 2024 presidential election data sound familiar remember when the trump
00:15:38.080 supporters all came out and said the data doesn't make sense that certain number frequencies didn't
00:15:43.120 add up properly there's no way the election was clean and democrats have been doing the exact same
00:15:48.200 thing. The only issue is that the corporate press isn't giving air to it. The question is why
00:15:55.200 when Donald Trump, well, first Donald Trump, fine. Trump himself kept saying the election
00:16:00.880 was stolen. So I'll give you that one. But it is damaging to the reputation of a political party
00:16:06.640 among moderates when you when they're perceived as losers, losers who won't shut up.
00:16:12.360 So the media goes nuts highlighting every instance in which a Republican claims or a Trump supporter that the election was stolen.
00:16:20.740 They go to liberals and say, see, look, they are sore losers.
00:16:24.240 But when the Democrats are doing literally the same thing, not a peep from the corporate press.
00:16:28.600 Why? Because it makes them look bad, despite the fact that it's widely believed that the election was rigged.
00:16:34.960 They write, there's some very serious concerns that the 2024 election results focus on unnatural data patterns that are emerging daily.
00:16:42.360 I found this. Lincoln started wondering whether it's a valid analysis or just random things put
00:16:45.340 together. Indeed. Then we have. Here we go. Look at this one. I love this. Ten months ago.
00:16:51.580 Lawsuit alleges secretly altered vote machines stole election from Kamala Harris. Do you remember
00:16:57.480 that one in the news? Have have there been ongoing threads about the secret theft from the voting
00:17:04.840 machines? Did the voting machine companies sue any prominent liberals? Uh-huh. Find it interesting,
00:17:12.460 don't you? From Western Journal. Here we go. This is from June of last year. A new lawsuit asserted
00:17:18.960 that election discrepancies in Rockland County, New York occurred during the 24th cycle. The lawsuit
00:17:23.780 filed by smart legislation said that more voters indicated in sworn affidavits to cast their ballots
00:17:28.900 for independent Senate candidate Diane Sayre than the Rockland County Board of Elections
00:17:34.360 ultimately certified for her.
00:17:36.400 This means the results of the elections
00:17:37.500 undercounted the actual numbers of votes for Sarah.
00:17:39.960 There were additional discrepancies
00:17:41.300 that seemed to have affected
00:17:42.100 the presidential election outcome as well.
00:17:44.160 In several districts,
00:17:45.280 hundreds of voters cast their ballots
00:17:47.400 for incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand
00:17:49.540 while surprisingly withholding their votes for Harris.
00:17:52.920 Remember that?
00:17:54.280 Remember the narrative where they said,
00:17:55.680 how come so many people voted for Biden,
00:17:57.640 but nobody else?
00:17:59.000 Well, they've also got a similar lawsuit
00:18:00.480 where everybody voted for the Democrat,
00:18:02.200 but not for Biden or Harris.
00:18:04.360 Could it be that Harris is just unlikable?
00:18:08.220 Whatever, man.
00:18:10.360 Indeed, this is where we're currently at.
00:18:12.180 Here we go.
00:18:13.260 Lawsuit challenging 2024 election results advances as watchdog group requests full hand recount.
00:18:20.900 Okay, my friends.
00:18:23.220 Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:18:24.900 Been there, done that.
00:18:25.840 I'm bored, right?
00:18:28.480 From our slash political opinions.
00:18:30.500 people who think the 2024 election was rigged are as illogical as people who think the 2020
00:18:35.080 election was rigged and uh the top response outside of the moderator there should be legal
00:18:41.360 consequences for anyone who tried to violently overturn an election really the claim could both
00:18:46.700 be incorrect but they're different the idea that the 2020 election was stolen rests on the belief
00:18:50.960 that ballots were faked the idea that the 2024 and 16 election was stolen rests on the knowledge
00:18:55.020 that foreign governments provided both money and manpower to flood things like twitter and facebook
00:18:58.680 with false signs of support, and in the fact that major donors dumped resources in very unusual ways.
00:19:03.840 The belief that machines might have been tampered with is the closest parallel,
00:19:07.320 and only a minority of people believe that. I'm just so sick of this. Right, guys? The Democrats
00:19:15.560 have been doing the exact same thing Republicans did, whinging and whining about how the election
00:19:19.700 was stolen. You've got a whole Wikipedia entry. Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024
00:19:27.100 United States presidential election. They give it institutional authority.
00:19:32.300 Well, outside of all of that, the question is, will we actually make it in the end?
00:19:36.800 Will the Republicans win? The Daily Beast reports CNN data guru exposes absolute disaster for Trump.
00:19:43.260 And I think that's probably the case, but I'm not entirely convinced. The point is
00:19:47.740 the Democratic Party is split and young voters have broken away and they're looking for a new
00:19:53.300 political party. The Democrats don't know whether they want to be staunchly anti-Israel pro-Hamas
00:19:58.100 or pro-Israel or just Israel ambivalent. This divide in the party is bad news for them. Now,
00:20:04.620 that's equally true, apparently, for the Republicans. I think we're seeing something
00:20:09.540 new emerging. What do you get when you take, I don't know, Anna Kasparian and Candace Owens and
00:20:14.080 mixing together? You get hatred for Israel. That seems like a new spoiler political party that
00:20:19.480 might start emerging, the we don't like Israel party. And I'm not even joking. We take a look 0.91
00:20:24.600 at Republicans and they're doing fairly bad. It's going to be a disaster for Trump, they say.
00:20:29.180 But Democrats are also doing particularly bad. The one issue that's really unifying these
00:20:33.920 disaffected Republicans and liberals is the issue of Israel. That issue is not going to be strong
00:20:40.020 enough, in my opinion, to overpower the Democrat or Republican party, but it certainly can spoil
00:20:45.280 or at least create a meaningful middle of the road.
00:20:48.860 With this autopsy, I wonder if they're withholding it
00:20:52.340 because the report would suggest if they come out anti-Israel,
00:20:55.680 they will gain a lot more votes.
00:20:57.520 It'll do weird things to the Democratic Party, 0.96
00:20:59.980 turning them into this weird amalgam of, you know, Candace Owens and a Kasparian. 0.54
00:21:05.100 I don't know the Democrat leadership wants that.
00:21:07.700 And so they're probably thinking, guys, this is one issue we don't want to use.
00:21:12.020 Not to mention, I mean, a lot of these people get money from AIPAC,
00:21:14.720 So they're probably just like, eh, my donors don't want me to do it.
00:21:18.680 Let's see if we can get that.
00:21:20.020 So also, this is a state where, you know, we know suburban voters make up a pretty big share of the electorate.
00:21:25.400 The president got to the White House by having more ground in the suburbs.
00:21:28.820 You talked about Harris's numbers. What are the numbers show on that now in this moment?
00:21:32.700 Yeah, absolute disaster. Absolute disaster.
00:21:35.720 You know, New Jersey 11th to me is part is very much part of a trend.
00:21:40.340 What are we talking about in the polling data? Well, we can see it right here.
00:21:43.080 Just take a look here. You talk about suburban voters on Trump.
00:21:46.220 You know, you look at Fox News polling back in October of 2024 versus Kamala Harris.
00:21:50.140 Look at that. Donald Trump was leading by two points.
00:21:52.800 You come to this side of the screen. Look at how far down he's gone.
00:21:56.260 His net approval rating now, 20 points underwater among registered voters who are in the suburbs, suburban registered voters.
00:22:04.640 So we are talking about an over 20 point shift.
00:22:06.920 So what we see in New Jersey, 11, to me, is going to be seen throughout the nation come this fall if these numbers hold.
00:22:13.080 And then my question is, does that translate to votes for Democrats?
00:22:18.500 I'm not entirely convinced.
00:22:20.120 Trump's screaming at Jessica Tarlov because she's talked about his negative polling.
00:22:24.540 And fine, talk about the negative polling.
00:22:27.420 But I am not convinced that translates to votes for Democrats.
00:22:31.180 Here you go from Mediaite.
00:22:33.600 Progressive Senate candidate praised video of Hamas's 2014 killing saying, damn, fine looking.
00:22:39.180 uh okay controversial candidate from maine graham plattner repeatedly praised the tactics of hamas
00:22:46.420 this is a guy who had a totenkampf on his chest the democrats are nazis help uh he came out and
00:22:54.340 said oops i didn't know what that that was if you don't know what a totenkampf is it meets a skull
00:22:58.760 and crossbones and it was a symbol used by the nazis worn on their uniforms the tattoo the
00:23:04.300 Totenkampff is used to support neo-Nazism and white supremacy.
00:23:09.180 Guys, I'm going to go ahead and say, I believe Grant Plattner probably still is a neo-Nazi.
00:23:14.860 I don't think you accidentally get a neo-Nazi tattoo and leave it there for 20 years or
00:23:20.380 however long you had it.
00:23:21.900 And his praise of Hamas, I think this guy just plumb does not like the Jews. 0.73
00:23:28.080 And that's the party you join.
00:23:31.820 Donald Trump loves Israel, right?
00:23:34.300 OK, well, if you're an anti-Israel white supremacist, who's the party for you?
00:23:38.720 The Democratic Party.
00:23:40.920 Seriously, they're in favor of racial segregation and half of them hate the Jews.
00:23:46.020 So I'm not surprised this guy is their candidate or trying to be.
00:23:51.840 Well, he's a candidate, but did he win the primary?
00:23:55.540 I don't know.
00:23:56.260 I don't know where we're at with that.
00:23:57.240 The point is this.
00:23:58.440 People may say Trump is bad, but does that mean they're going to go and vote for this guy?
00:24:02.760 Some might.
00:24:03.760 There's a lot of people think Trump is bad because he supports Israel, despite the fact
00:24:07.280 he supported Israel the whole time.
00:24:09.520 The question is, do they want this guy to win?
00:24:13.600 I don't think just because people are mad at Trump, it's going to translate into a vote
00:24:16.900 for a guy like this.
00:24:18.280 There's going to be a lot of regular Americans who might vote Democrat just because they
00:24:21.980 don't know anything about the party.
00:24:23.540 But I kind of think that a lot of people are going to say, no, listen, I might not like 1.00
00:24:29.340 the war with Iran, but there ain't no way in hell I'd ever vote for some wackaloon like 1.00
00:24:33.080 that. You don't accidentally have a Nazi tattoo for that long. Here we can take a look at some 1.00
00:24:38.620 of the latest polls for the Democratic primary. Among black Democrats, the number one candidate
00:24:44.720 for the primary is Kamala Harris. Yikes. Followed by Newsom at 4%. Pete Buttigieg at 6%, AOC at 2%.
00:24:54.560 Among white Democrats, Harris is at 22%, Newsom's at 18%, Buttigieg is at 14%, and AOC's at 3%.
00:25:01.000 And Hispanics have Harris at 31, Newsom at 19, AOC at six, and Buttigieg at three.
00:25:06.760 The interesting thing is it somehow actually looks like they want Kamala Harris to be the nominee.
00:25:12.720 Could you imagine that? 0.81
00:25:14.580 Well, there's going to be a double primary.
00:25:17.260 Democrats and Republicans both have to have a primary.
00:25:19.760 And we have not seen this since 2016.
00:25:24.000 It's kind of crazy because usually there's a there's we haven't had a primary at all.
00:25:28.160 No, seriously.
00:25:28.700 you take a look at 2020 and you had a Democrat primary. Fair point.
00:25:34.460 Typically, what happens then is the next one's going to be a double primary, but it wasn't
00:25:37.880 because despite the fact that Biden couldn't run like he could, but his brain is fried.
00:25:44.660 They just anoint Kamala Harris. I don't even know that's legal. And Donald Trump is the
00:25:48.920 de facto primary victor. So there was technically a primary, but we just basically skipped the
00:25:53.760 primary season. Well, now both parties need to have a candidate. Trump can't run again.
00:25:59.660 So who's it going to be? J.D. Vance? Marco Rubio? I wouldn't be surprised if it's Marco Rubio,
00:26:04.880 and I wouldn't be surprised if Rubio wins, and I'll tell you why. I'd probably vote for Rubio,
00:26:08.660 I got to be honest. Let me explain. Not a big fan, necessarily, of neocon policies or anything
00:26:15.680 like this, but the Democrats are going to put up someone insane. They're going to put up Pete
00:26:20.720 Buttigieg, who's nuts, Gavin Newsom, who's a snake oil salesman. I don't see a Democrat
00:26:25.420 that can actually rally moderates. I really don't. Like, who's on the Democratic side who's
00:26:31.400 going to go sit down with Joe Rogan and talk about all these issues? It's not going to happen
00:26:34.080 because the reason I want to release this autopsy is that the trans issue's bad for him, 1.00
00:26:38.900 Israel's bad for him. They are split in every direction. Republicans can come out and say,
00:26:44.080 I'll cut you a deal. Here's what I agree on. Here's what I disagree on. And they'll get votes.
00:26:46.920 so Rubio I say this JD Vance is great but he's a culture warrior Rubio not so much so when you
00:26:54.440 take a look at Rubio in Congress and things like that he's pretty chill he's pretty chill guy he
00:27:00.160 does not get overly aggressive he's not insulting he's just he talks low professional and I think
00:27:04.920 it's going to play very very well I don't know if he has the x factor to win though to be completely
00:27:08.620 honest certainly I don't see anyone the Democrat side who could either to be fair when I look at
00:27:13.480 who could be president among everyone we have, just in terms of lowest common denominator,
00:27:18.640 it's J.D. Vance. The reason why is, the saying goes, great minds discuss ideas,
00:27:24.280 average minds discuss events, and simple minds discuss people, right? That's the saying
00:27:28.220 we brought up last night. When you take a look at J.D. Vance, he fits the mold for
00:27:32.620 simple people. Look, I'm sorry. I'm not here to play games. I'll say this. Think about how stupid
00:27:40.900 the average person has now realized half of them are stupider than that. It's a George Carlin
00:27:44.600 quote. And then I get these comments who are like, how dare you call people stupid? They are and you
00:27:48.340 know it. That's why George Carlin made the joke. I'm not saying I'm smarter than everybody. I'm
00:27:52.580 saying half the people are real dumb. So they're going to vote based on, is he tall? Does he speak
00:27:59.780 well? They're going to focus on single issues. So J.D. Vance is going to target broad, lowest
00:28:06.500 common denominator political issues. And then he's tall and he's got some of the X factor.
00:28:13.360 Mocha Rubio does not so much have that X factor. I think he's like 5'10".
00:28:17.000 Height really does matter. So I don't know if I can see Rubio taking that victory. VP, maybe.
00:28:22.340 And so we may actually just end up seeing a Vance-Rubio ticket. And Vance's VP, I think,
00:28:27.200 could carry on. Who do the Democrats have? Honest question. Kamala Harris? Never going to happen.
00:28:32.220 She ain't going to win. If people are voting purely on party, then maybe. But I don't see 0.99
00:28:39.120 Kelly. I have no idea. You know, let's do this. I have this, the balance of power for the midterms,
00:28:47.380 but let's pull up the Democrat primary. The Democratic presidential nominee. The current
00:28:53.540 favor, of course, is Newsom, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. John Ossoff, really?
00:28:59.820 Kamala is at six percent. Josh Shapiro, Mark Kelly, Andy Beshear. I will say this.
00:29:08.300 Who I think will actually be on that primary stage? Kelly for sure. I think Buttigieg for sure.
00:29:15.200 I think Pritzker for sure. And do we have Pritzker on this list? We don't actually, do we?
00:29:22.600 For the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. Oh, he's got to be here somewhere, isn't he?
00:29:27.240 Because this guy's, wow, he's way down or just not on the list at all.
00:29:32.260 Okay, maybe he's gone.
00:29:34.480 Beto O'Rourke, I don't see making sense.
00:29:36.480 Warren, definitely not.
00:29:38.440 Graham Plattner's actually on this.
00:29:39.720 I don't see that for, you know, none of these people.
00:29:42.720 Jon Stewart, that's a joke.
00:29:44.640 Michelle Obama's a maybe.
00:29:45.400 Oh, Pritzker's right there at 3%.
00:29:46.480 My bad.
00:29:47.360 I think Pritzker's a yes. 0.99
00:29:48.800 I think Ro Khanna's a no.
00:29:50.180 I'm surprised Ro Khanna's at a higher percentage than Pritzker.
00:29:54.520 You know what I think a lot of this is?
00:29:55.920 just what people expect to hear in the press. I think they expect that Josh Shapiro will be in
00:30:01.660 the press. It'll boost his chances. That's probably what they're expecting. AOC, I don't think so.
00:30:07.480 AOC makes a very serious career, takes a very serious career risk if he tries to get on that
00:30:11.000 primary stage. Newsom's a yes. Harrison, maybe. Buttigieg is a yes. Shapiro is a yes. Kelly's a
00:30:17.820 yes. Andy Beshear, I think so. Tallarico's, yeah, Tallarico's a maybe, even though he's running
00:30:25.300 for Senate right now. That's why I put him in a maybe. So I'm not going to add on the list.
00:30:30.740 I think Pritzker is an absolute yes. I think Pritzker, he's been dropping weight and doing
00:30:34.380 press. I think he's going to be a yes. We'll see. The rest, I'm not so sure. We'll see how credit
00:30:38.620 it gets. The point ultimately, though, I don't think any of them can carry any weight. It's
00:30:43.000 going to be weird. We're going to have a bunch of people with no gravitas. Anyway, I'll wrap it up
00:30:48.840 there, my friends. You tell me what you think. Democrats, they got it. They don't got it. I
00:30:52.200 think they's cooked. We'll see. Doesn't mean Republicans can win. And just because, yeah,
00:30:56.640 it doesn't mean the Democrats will lose. Smash the like button, share the show. Stick around.
00:31:00.480 We're back tonight for Timcast IRL. Thanks for hanging out and we'll see you all then.