The Culture War - Tim Pool - Democrats PANIC, Polls CRASHING, Newsom FACING PRISON, ITS OVER

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00:00:41.780 I keep hearing that the Republicans are in trouble in the midterms. You got people like

00:00:45.840 Bill Maher and Jon Stewart and these other pundits saying there's no way the Republicans

00:00:49.560 are going to be able to hold it together. When you take a look at the math, when you

00:00:52.820 take a look at financing campaign contributions, when you take a look at the polling, I just

00:00:57.880 don't see that making sense. Somehow in the prediction markets, people are betting on

00:01:03.540 Democrats to take everything, which again is strange considering redistricting efforts,

00:01:09.200 the Watson v. RNC Supreme Court ruling, which is expected at any moment, maybe Thursday,

00:01:14.240 it doesn't look good procedurally, polling wise, donor wise. And when we get these new polls about

00:01:23.020 2028. The only thing I can conclude is that Democrats are in big, big trouble. Now, while

00:01:29.440 I certainly think the shuttering of USAID was probably the biggest nuclear bomb for the

00:01:34.380 Democrats, right now they're in trouble because Gavin Newsom is facing prison. He's currently

00:01:39.360 being in his family. I believe we don't know the extent of the investigation, but there is an

00:01:43.720 investigation based on whistleblower reports about pay for play schemes in California,

00:01:49.800 Where if you're watching yesterday's episode, basically his wife is accused of running a

00:01:53.600 nonprofit that accepted donations from big corporations who, in turn, may have gotten

00:01:57.760 favors from the governor's office.

00:01:59.960 Yeah, that would be a crime.

00:02:02.400 Well, right now, we're looking at a bunch of data points showing bad, bad news for the

00:02:06.740 Democratic Party just across the board.

00:02:09.540 I mean, for one, we've known for a while they're $3 million in debt.

00:02:14.400 They've got almost no cash on hand.

00:02:16.120 Meanwhile, Republicans have two hundred million dollars and no debt.

00:02:21.460 The question is, what is going on with the Democratic Party?

00:02:24.880 They've been in shambles.

00:02:26.100 And right now, the front runner for the Democratic 2028 ticket is, I kid you not, Kamala Harris.

00:02:35.520 Guys, I tell you, I would love, love, love, love if the Democratic Party pulled their thumbs out their butts, got their heads in order,

00:02:44.640 actually brought forward real policy Americans liked and stopped just going after the fringe

00:02:50.940 of the weirdest lefties. But, you know, they won't. So here we are. Now, the interesting thing

00:02:57.860 is in the world of politics, there is another fundamental outside of the standard Democrat

00:03:02.000 Republican Party, and that is the emergence of this new hybrid party where people like Candace

00:03:07.760 Owens and Anna Kasparian are teaming up because they hate Israel. Or you get Tucker Carlson saying

00:03:13.580 he will not support the Republicans over Israel and Joy Reid saying she will not support Democrats

00:03:19.180 over Israel. I don't know how that will play a role in the elections moving forward. But these

00:03:25.800 are all very influential people who are basically saying no over U.S. foreign policy issues. Maybe

00:03:33.720 they will muster up some kind of libertarian pitch. Honestly, I don't know. What I can say is

00:03:40.180 I would love it if it was Kamala Harris versus J.D. Vance in 2028 because Kamala Harris can't

00:03:48.240 win. She just can't. I mean, for a lot of reasons. So Nate Silver puts out a story today where he's 1.00

00:03:54.040 going over the polling showing Kamala Harris in first place. And he's just for the love of all

00:03:58.900 that. Gavin Newsom, what are you doing? I would say preparing for prison. No, not really. I doubt

00:04:05.900 that guy's actually going to go to prison. But again, even Nate Silver is like, what is going

00:04:10.980 on with the Democratic Party? The Atlantic has a piece out today saying the Democratic base is

00:04:15.840 pissed. They have no message. Seriously, what's the message? What are Democrats actually offering

00:04:22.200 guys comments? I'm genuinely asking, what are they offering? The reflecting pool? Is that it?

00:04:31.020 I got to tell you guys, I think Trump loves the reflecting pool story. And they're like,

00:04:35.900 Donald Trump wasted 14 million dollars on the reflecting pool. Trump's probably reveling in

00:04:40.460 this story. The Democrats have no real message. They're not talking about affordability. And when

00:04:45.120 they do mention it, they're not offering up any solutions. Meanwhile, the biggest thing that MS

00:04:49.920 now is talking about is that Trump didn't renovate a pool just right. And it was expensive. Really?

00:04:56.140 That's it. I got to tell you guys, I go to the average person who's saying, like, my gas is

00:05:01.060 expensive. Prices are coming down, by the way. And they're not talking about the reflecting pool. So

00:05:04.600 what is wrong with this party? They could certainly go after the economy, but they don't.

00:05:09.420 Well, let's break down the news, the polling, and where we're currently at. Before we do,

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00:06:27.640 you healthy. It makes you good. Because for me, I love taking care of myself. I skate all the time

00:06:31.960 and I'm 40. So, you know, it gets harder and harder every day. Just make sure you're working

00:06:35.800 as hard as you can. Let's grab the news from the New York Post bombshell new poll for Democratic

00:06:40.980 2028 presidential candidates released and Kamala Harris is miles ahead. OK, guys, I know there's

00:06:49.240 this like withered husk that is the hope in my in my heart that's just been dried out and it is

00:06:57.000 pulsing to life when I see this. I'm like, are you kidding me? I'm not saying that Trump is

00:07:01.440 perfect. I think the shuttering of USAID is fantastic. We don't know exactly what's going

00:07:06.040 to happen, but I'll tell you this, eight years of whatever this party is, I'll take it. I'm not

00:07:13.200 happy with the war. I think most people aren't. But if you're telling me that we're going to get

00:07:16.980 four years of Trump and then four more years of J.D. Vance because they're throwing Kamala Harris

00:07:20.940 in the mix, let's go. I'm not going to sit here and pretend that Republicans are all perfect

00:07:25.640 or that we're all happy with everything Republicans done.

00:07:28.240 I don't I don't think so for the most part, but I will tell you going to be way better

00:07:32.800 than anything the Democrats have to offer.

00:07:35.140 Here we go from Nate Silver.

00:07:37.100 What is Gavin Newsom doing?

00:07:38.880 I'd say preparing for prison, losing support in the polls.

00:07:42.720 The government is leaning into his role as the avatar of an unpopular Democratic establishment.

00:07:48.100 Following the successful passage of his redistricting referendum in California last November,

00:07:52.940 California Governor Gavin Newsom began this year as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic nomination.

00:07:58.740 But polls suggest he's slumping according to the race of the White House.

00:08:02.440 Newsom's support among prospective Democratic voters in 20 has fallen from 25 percent in January to 15 percent today.

00:08:09.780 Look at Kamala Harris is actually way down as well, yet somehow is the frontrunner.

00:08:16.560 I just is this really what the Democratic Party has become?

00:08:19.640 there's a fairly big shift given that not all that much has happened the california gubernatorial

00:08:25.700 primary was kind of a mess with newsom not endorsing a candidate until javier becerra

00:08:29.440 was the lone democrat left standing still that's local news and this is a national primary

00:08:34.840 and redistricting has remained a big story even if it ended on a slightly bitter note for democrats

00:08:39.740 these early polls do have some predictive power believe it or not prediction markets have tracked

00:08:44.280 with them, with Newsom's probability of winning the nomination declining from 35.5 to 23.3.

00:08:51.840 No opponent has emerged as the obvious alternative. Are you kidding? Kamala is number one.

00:08:56.940 Better to see the field is wide open, with the top six candidates having less than a 60%

00:09:01.760 combined probability of winning the nomination. But it's worth noting where the biggest gains

00:09:06.020 have come from. Kamala Harris and Georgia Senator John Ossoff each presents a challenge for Newsom.

00:09:12.020 Indeed, indeed, I don't care all that much.

00:09:14.040 Look at that, AOC is actually up there. 0.96

00:09:17.380 Is she old yet? 0.73

00:09:18.240 She's old now, right? 1.00

00:09:19.320 She can run for president. 0.85

00:09:21.600 Newsom is as establishment as it gets.

00:09:24.600 As the governor of the nation's largest state,

00:09:26.120 he's the logical next in line candidate

00:09:27.780 for the establishment faction of the Democratic Party,

00:09:29.660 but perhaps also the best-known Democrat

00:09:31.600 who isn't Harris or 80-plus years old.

00:09:35.660 But this comes at a time when the establishment

00:09:37.580 is highly unpopular, including with Democratic voters.

00:09:41.320 Last year, Newsom made a few conspicuous moves towards a more heterodox centric side by inviting people like Charlie Kirk on his podcast and shifting to the right on transgender athletes.

00:09:50.900 And in January, he announced his opposition to California's proposed wealth tax that might appear on this November's ballot.

00:09:56.160 You know, I got to see if I can get an interview with Gavin Newsom.

00:10:00.320 You know, I don't care to talk about Trump or any of that.

00:10:02.960 I want to talk policies.

00:10:04.320 These moves, although not necessarily popular with Democratic primary voters, might suggest a

00:10:10.000 candidate trying to break out of the establishment box. But Newsom's strategy has been a little

00:10:13.860 contradictory. Who was one of his most recent podcast guests? Hunter Biden, the pardoned son

00:10:19.500 of the former president. Indeed, indeed, we get the point. I don't care to revel in the failings

00:10:24.840 of Gavin Newsom all that much. But talk about what's currently going on. And we got this from

00:10:29.040 abc news kamala harris eyes possible 2028 comeback but some former allies look to fresh faces holy

00:10:37.480 what man really you're a podcast listener and this is a podcast ad heard only in canada reach

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00:11:02.800 Libsyn.com to learn more. That's B-O-B at L-I-B-S-Y-N.com. All right. They're telling us that

00:11:12.280 the Republican Party's in trouble. Let me pull up this year old 270 to win. Here's the current,

00:11:18.720 that's a Senate map. Let's pull up the House map. Here's the current House electoral map.

00:11:23.340 This is what 270 to win calls the 2026 consensus. As of right now, Republicans have 211 likely seats. Democrats have 205. There are 19 toss ups. However, Republicans have the advantage, needing only to win about seven seats to secure that majority, whereas Democrats would need to win 13.

00:11:44.980 So it's looking good for Republicans. But again, this is consensus. And the problem with consensus

00:11:52.080 is the call she market predicts Democrats will take 226 seats to Republicans 204 with only five

00:11:59.300 toss ups. Well, according to the people making the bets, it's a done deal. Democrats are going

00:12:04.620 to win. Now, this makes literally no sense. Sabato's crystal ball has Republicans at 13,

00:12:10.560 213 to Democrats 206 with 16 toss-ups, Republicans favored. Cook Political Report has Republicans at

00:12:17.940 212 to Democrats 205 with 18 toss-ups, Republicans favored. Inside Elections has Republicans at 215

00:12:25.340 to Democrats 206, massive favorites. Split ticket. This is a new, I'm not familiar with,

00:12:33.500 maybe it's not new, but they have Democrats at 224 to Republicans 202, and that just seems

00:12:38.100 nuts to me. When you look at all of the standard polling, which typically has favored Democrats,

00:12:44.480 not perfectly in the midterms, but in larger federal elections in the presidential cycle,

00:12:50.280 it's looking good for Republicans, plain and simple. And for that matter, when we take a look

00:12:56.900 at 2026 right now, as the consensus map shows, Republicans holding 50 seats, Democrats 407,

00:13:03.360 Democrats would have to win. They'd have to win every toss up and flip a Republican seat,

00:13:09.300 which just seems insane. Yet Calci's prediction markets believe Democrats will take 51 seats. I

00:13:16.580 just don't. They think Alaska is going Democrat. That's crazy. When you when you jump to inside

00:13:22.680 elections, 52 Republican, 45 Democrat. These are not conservative pollsters. These these are

00:13:29.900 traditionally beneficial to Democrats. Right now, across the board, in terms of polling,

00:13:35.540 even Kalshi's betting is 57% Republicans will control the Senate. On the House, however,

00:13:41.800 it is 79% Democrats will control the House. So I just got to say, we don't know for sure,

00:13:51.780 and I ain't going to place any bets, but the Democratic Party's in shambles. Honestly,

00:13:55.580 guys tell me, what are they offering? What is their message? They don't have one. This is from

00:14:01.600 the Atlantic. The Democratic base is angry. Is the party paying attention? This is from June 18th,

00:14:06.700 just a few days ago. So correction, I think I said it was from today. It's from from five days ago.

00:14:11.620 Perhaps I should have expected the meeting to devolve into chaos. It was predictable,

00:14:15.020 especially if you subscribe to the essential maxim that any room containing several dozen 1.00

00:14:18.900 women of a certain age and summer shandy on tap is bound to get a little rowdy. Well, that's just 1.00

00:14:23.840 plumb sexist, ma'am. Unfortunately, well, most guys are going, yup. Unfortunately, the chair

00:14:29.800 of the Ohio Democrats did not see it coming. Oh, my God. Kathleen Clyde started the state party

00:14:37.360 leader was standing in a small stage at a bar in the Cleveland suburbs, having just finished

00:14:40.140 delivering what was supposed to be a stirring call to action to a group of local Democratic

00:14:42.860 activists. Her tone, however, has not conveyed any particular sense of passion about the upcoming

00:14:47.400 midterms. The ladies in the audience did not seem impressed. And now, oh, no, it was time for

00:14:51.840 questions. What are we going to do differently? One woman asked, pointing out the Democrats brand

00:14:57.360 is terrible. Eventually, the microphone was abandoned. Another woman asked, why don't the

00:15:01.180 Democrats have a good message? A third woman chimed in a little frantically. What can we do? 0.91

00:15:05.260 I am sick of these affluent white female liberals. They don't care. They're like, 1.00

00:15:13.340 what are we saying? That's all they care about is their cult, their cult, the Democratic cult.

00:15:18.200 fit in, fall in line, convince people they're not offering anything. They know they're not

00:15:24.480 offering anything. They're literally saying we're not offering anything and they expect you to vote

00:15:28.600 for them. Otherwise they shun you. If that's the way politics goes, we are driving off a cliff

00:15:34.660 because no one in the bus has the balls to grab the steering wheel and tell them to stop. 0.67

00:15:40.280 I don't care about fitting in. I don't want to die. And that's what we get from the Democratic 0.99

00:15:45.820 party. Clyde's eyes were wide. She hadn't expected friendly fire. We do have a good

00:15:51.680 message. Affordability. What have Democrats ever done on affordability? I'm not sitting here. And

00:15:57.760 this is what I love. This is what I love because I know the libs are going to be like, yeah, 0.97

00:16:00.260 but the Republicans don't care about the Republicans. They suck, too. I'm talking 1.00

00:16:03.240 about the Democratic Party is failing. They're making arguments. The Democrats are going to

00:16:07.360 take the midterms. Perhaps they will. I don't see the path forward, but it may exist. Then in

00:16:12.320 2028, they're offering up Kamala Harris. Don't come at me and complain about Republicans because 0.85

00:16:17.080 right now, well, let me just, not even right now. I don't like the Republican party. They suck.

00:16:21.880 They won't do anything either. But that's not the point. The point is when it comes to regular 1.00

00:16:25.980 people, Donald Trump's going to be like, you know, we're going to bring jobs back. Democrats are like,

00:16:30.940 things will be cheaper. Yes. But how? Trump will tell you, well, you know, we're going to do plan

00:16:36.240 A, B and C. And then you can complain all you want and say, how does that make things cheaper?

00:16:41.080 Trump's going to say things like, we're going to make what he has done.

00:16:44.300 We're going to make NATO pay more for their military entanglements.

00:16:47.000 We're going to get gas prices down.

00:16:48.460 We're going to make America the largest energy exporter.

00:16:50.800 We're going to bring jobs and manufacturing back to this country.

00:16:53.760 And you say, OK, I understand the argument you are making there.

00:16:57.600 I don't know that you're right, that that'll make things better.

00:17:00.300 Tariffs in the short term were not good economically, but I believe the long term could be.

00:17:04.440 If you can get them through.

00:17:06.020 But the Democrats just like things are expensive.

00:17:08.360 It's like agreed.

00:17:09.480 What's your plan?

00:17:10.440 to make them not expensive. How? By lowering prices. How? They don't have an answer. There's

00:17:18.020 literally none. This is why they're all fighting and screaming at each other. We need smart. You

00:17:22.960 sure do. Afterward, one of the attendees joked in a group chat that she had witnessed a murder.

00:17:27.220 Actually, what she'd witnessed was a tidy encapsulation of the broader tension at play

00:17:31.440 in the party. Ahead of the midterms, the base is raring to go. But it's also demanding a reckoning

00:17:36.320 from the highest ranks that hasn't come. The party needs to be able to answer tough questions

00:17:40.680 Susan Polikoff, Shaw, the leader of the group at the bar, told me,

00:17:43.960 we're still pissed that we lost the election in 24 and we're pissed at them for not doing a

00:17:47.100 better job of standing up to the Republicans or to Trump. But they can't tell you. Well,

00:17:50.120 they can't tell you because they're a cult. What are they mad about? Trump won. Why are you mad

00:17:53.580 that Trump won? Because he's Trump. But what has Trump done? He's bad. Holy crap. Look at the

00:17:58.160 reflecting pool. Donald Trump is like, you know, we've had a big problem with the reflecting pool

00:18:02.900 for generations. They have attempted over and over again to fix this thing and never.

00:18:07.020 they built a giant concrete slab on swamp marsh. It's sinking. It's leaking. The reason why it

00:18:12.900 didn't have as big of an algae problem in previous generations is because they used

00:18:16.780 chlorinated city tap water to fill the multi-million massive pool, but it strained

00:18:22.460 the DC water supply. So DC had been complaining that you're wasting city reclamation. Okay,

00:18:29.440 city water has to be treated, meaning that it's not just like seawater or river water. They treat

00:18:35.220 It's expensive. And they said, it's very expensive. You're draining it. We don't want to do it

00:18:39.540 anymore. So under Obama, Obama said switch to river water, which caused other problems. Obama

00:18:45.640 attempted some fixes. Then Trump came in. Nothing really happened with it. Biden came in, didn't

00:18:50.780 want to renovate it. Now Trump is saying we should fix it up. I don't care. It's $14 million. The

00:18:56.920 government budget's in the trillions. This is not a line item that I'm freaking out about.

00:19:00.040 Democrats are losing their minds. They're protesting for algae. Is that your message?

00:19:06.640 So there's an algal bloom in the pool. Why? Well, it's dirty river water. They refilled the pool,

00:19:12.440 got the water in it, and then algae started to bloom. And they say, well, it's because the color

00:19:17.260 they use made the water warm. Shut up. No, it's because it's not chlorinated treated water. And 1.00

00:19:20.860 it's because D.C.'s a swamp and algae blooms. So the Democrats complained Trump tried to fix it.

00:19:25.580 Then a bunch of protesters showing up for the algae, and I'm sitting here being like,

00:19:29.920 this is not a serious political party.

00:19:32.140 They don't know what they want.

00:19:33.500 They don't know why they're mad.

00:19:34.820 They just hate Trump.

00:19:36.740 Trump says, I want to fix the reflecting pool.

00:19:38.520 The response should be, Democrats should be saying, we can do a better job of it.

00:19:42.500 Instead, they're saying, don't.

00:19:44.500 They're saying, don't fix it.

00:19:47.020 You know what real political competition would be?

00:19:49.680 Here's one for you, Gavin Newsom.

00:19:51.260 How about Gavin Newsom?

00:19:52.580 you come out and say, if I'm president, I will get the job done to fix the reflecting pool without

00:19:58.080 algal blooms. We'll do it right the first time. You know what? You know what we need? You know,

00:20:02.160 we need a Democrat. We need a Democrat to do this with all due respect to the president.

00:20:09.040 It was a tremendous effort, a highly respectable effort to fix the reflecting pool, a symbol

00:20:14.820 of what makes this nation great, a symbol of the traditions and the values this country holds.

00:20:20.560 It is beautiful. And many of us have grown up and looked at these monuments with awe.

00:20:27.460 And so, you know, to Donald Trump, thank you for trying to get the job done to fix this.

00:20:32.720 But to the American people, I say this. Donald Trump has not done it well. And I respect the

00:20:38.360 attempt, but attempts only go so far. What you need is strong leadership to get the job done

00:20:43.420 right the first time. And you vote for me and that's what you will get. I will fix the reflecting

00:20:49.500 pool. I will pursue the vision that Trump had, but I will do it better. That's why I ask for

00:20:56.160 your support. Are Democrats just capable of anything like that? They're not. Here's what I

00:21:01.280 see. I see Donald Trump trying to do something honorable that I respect and I love, fix the

00:21:06.100 reflecting pool. I actually don't care all that much that the algal bloom happened. Bro, it's like

00:21:09.880 two weeks after he got it fixed, they're going to do some treatments. You don't just, hey, we're

00:21:13.360 done. You say, okay, the project's finished. Now we're going to stress test, bug test. We're going

00:21:18.100 have to do some fixes and see how it works out. Let's see how it goes. Instead of saying we love

00:21:23.580 America, they're saying we hate Trump. So there's a poll. Actually, I want to pull this poll up.

00:21:29.080 I think I retweeted it this morning. And it's it's really interesting because basically,

00:21:34.480 I think it shows you exactly why. Here we go. It's from Brandon Gill.

00:21:40.220 It's from yesterday afternoon. Check this out. So you've got this. Actually, let me just show

00:21:46.900 this video. We got, what is this, NBC News. Again, 56% overall have an extremely or very

00:21:54.460 much proud of the country. It's 29% among Democrats. It's 90% among Republicans. Look

00:22:01.920 at that staggering gap between the parties. Look at it on the other end here. Only a little or not

00:22:06.740 proud at all. It's 36% among Democrats. That number among Democrats, it's higher on the low

00:22:12.300 end there than it is on the extremely proud end, and it's only 3% for Republicans. So a massive

00:22:16.420 partisan divide on that question of being proud to be an American. And Brandon Gill says everything

00:22:21.580 the left wants to do to America makes sense when you realize they have no respect, love or

00:22:26.000 appreciation for America. He's right. And that's what I see. The reflecting pool is a national

00:22:33.620 monument and a story I don't care all that much about that. Trump tried to fix it. I was like,

00:22:37.340 OK, there's tons of other renovations happening all over the place. Whatever. Democrats act like

00:22:43.280 it's the apocalypse. And I'll tell you why. They hate this country. Not literally every single one

00:22:47.760 of them. I am saying, generally speaking, when you've got 71 percent, you know, how many? Well,

00:22:56.660 I shouldn't I shouldn't do that because you can't imply the negative. How many are actually proud

00:23:00.860 of being Americans? Only twenty nine percent. So the overwhelming majority are not proud to be

00:23:05.440 American. And only a little or not at all. Thirty six percent. So when Trump says, I want to fix

00:23:11.400 this, they go, no. I think the reality is that large chunk, these are largely foreign born or 0.97

00:23:17.080 leftist. They hate this country. They want it to burn down. And this is the culture war. So the 0.72

00:23:22.640 Democratic Party is incapable of rallying the American spirit. And you know what's funny?

00:23:27.380 If you wanted to just take the country over and burn it to the ground, you could at least lie

00:23:32.380 better. Like what I was saying. Here's my prediction. Let's roll, baby. Tucker Carlson's

00:23:39.360 2028 presidential odds jumped to nearly 10 percent. You got Tucker saying you won't support

00:23:44.760 the Republican Party. You got Joy Reid saying she won't support the Democratic Party. I'll tell you

00:23:49.640 what I think. The rumor is in the Beltway. I love this. People don't believe it's true and maybe it's

00:23:56.660 not true, but I'm just going to keep keep harping on it. Joe Kent resigns. He says the war in Iran

00:24:02.940 is bad. I hear a rumor right away from the Beltway because we know people in D.C., we got Pentagon

00:24:08.520 press creds, all that good stuff. We got White House press creds. We hear Joe Kent is friends

00:24:14.420 with Trump. They're all in this together. The goal is for Trump to split MAGA into two camps

00:24:20.800 so that the left and the right of this country become descendants of MAGA. J.D. Vance versus

00:24:26.880 Tulsi Gabbard. Maybe I've long argued that the left in this country is like we had a left and

00:24:34.420 right, a Democrat or Republican party. And then this tumor started to grow on the left. And then

00:24:39.360 it sloughed off. And then people started pointing to that mass as the left. That's wokeness. That

00:24:46.220 is weird political ideology. It hates America. It's not what the left in this country really was.

00:24:50.040 Someone like me used to be the left in this country. So imagine you're Trump. You win 2024.

00:24:56.460 You shut our USAID and you want to make sure you win. So what do you do? You create your own

00:25:02.720 opposition. The arguments that we will have in this country are going to be between Tucker Carlson

00:25:08.060 and Tulsi Gabbard and J.D. Vance and I don't know, Marco Rubio. So what do we end up with?

00:25:15.640 The Democratic Party offers nothing. They have no plan. They have no money. They're effectively

00:25:19.980 cooked. So the rumor is this. Joe Kent resigned. He's going to lead a new movement that is

00:25:26.120 effectively honorably pro-Trump, but critical of Trump in many ways. I was then told Tulsi

00:25:32.140 Gabbard would resign and she would launch a political campaign for 2028 either as a spoiler, 0.96

00:25:37.340 independent run, or even a Democrat. I reached out for confirmation and was told by a source

00:25:43.260 close to Tulsi that is absolutely not true. Absolutely not true. She's not going to do this.

00:25:48.840 It's not going to happen. Okay. And then she resigned. And I was told that wasn't going to

00:25:54.420 happen. Now, again, that doesn't mean she's going to run for office. She resigned because of the

00:25:57.920 health of her husband. So I hope for the best. But I got to be honest, Tucker Carlson is friends

00:26:03.460 with Trump. I'm guys. I'm in a car with Tucker driving down the street. And he gets a call from

00:26:10.920 Trump, apparently. So he had appeared on our show that not last year, not last summer, but the

00:26:16.680 December 4 at AmFest. Shout out to Charlie Kirk. And thank you, Tucker, for doing the show. I know

00:26:21.380 that I've been very critical of Tucker for a variety of reasons, but I got to give respect

00:26:25.600 where it is due. He had no reason to do me the favor and gracing me appearing on my show.

00:26:29.940 And it was a big show. And apparently the president saw it, called him up and they are

00:26:34.320 friends and they were laughing together for Tucker to all of a sudden just invert.

00:26:39.360 It just doesn't happen. I don't believe it. So when I hear rumors that there is an effort to

00:26:45.840 create a conservative opposite of Trump so that the left and the right debate becomes

00:26:49.740 only within MAGA, the Democratic Party begins to represent only 20 percent of the country

00:26:55.040 So then the real election is literally just MAGA versus MAGA and the Democrats are spoiled.

00:27:01.460 I believe it.

00:27:02.820 I believe that's where we're going.

00:27:04.640 So we will see.

00:27:06.140 Now, I don't know that the Democratic Party, I mean, it'd be crazy to think they dissolve

00:27:09.960 or fall by the wayside, but it happens.

00:27:12.680 We are so used to the two party system.

00:27:14.760 We can't imagine a reality in which the Democratic Party just loses favor.

00:27:18.860 It is possible.

00:27:20.400 There have been numerous elections with three major candidates.

00:27:22.760 We had one with an independent in the early 90s with Ross Perot.

00:27:25.700 What if this time around in 2028, you get a Carlson Gabbard ticket?

00:27:31.220 Now, wouldn't that be crazy?

00:27:32.720 And not necessarily Carlson Gabbard, who knows?

00:27:36.160 I don't know that Tucker's going to run.

00:27:38.460 But what if you actually just end up with Joy Reid backing Tucker?

00:27:44.540 And she says something like, I do not like this man, but I will not back any candidate

00:27:51.080 that is pro-Israel and the only choice that we have because Israel is so important is Tucker

00:27:55.360 Carlson? What happens when progressives and libs who hate Israel, who watch Candace Owens, 0.99

00:28:00.380 decide they're going to vote for Tucker? What happens when Anna Kasperina, the Young Turk, 0.55

00:28:03.980 says, do not vote for Kamala Harris, who's pro-Israel, or Donald Trump, who's pro-Israel?

00:28:09.560 Vote for Tucker Carlson and Tulsi Gabbard. What happens when the libs do that? Spoiler candidate.

00:28:15.660 And then you end up with Trump's friend as his only opposition to J.D. Vance, I should say.

00:28:23.220 Now, I don't know for sure. Again, wild speculation. And I will say this.

00:28:27.320 Everything I described, no way it happens that way. I can't imagine that actually is how it

00:28:31.540 plays out. These are just rumors of Trump saying we're going to split the party,

00:28:36.620 ice out the Democrats because we are popular. People don't like Trump. That's it. And that's

00:28:43.400 the game plan. People will vote for the person who is against Donald Trump because they hate

00:28:48.360 Donald Trump. Trump is going to be out and Vance is going to come in and they're going to levy

00:28:52.300 all his attacks against Vance because that's what they do. So Trump says we create our own

00:28:57.100 opposition, a moderate progressive ish, not really progressive, but RFK Junior Gabbard.

00:29:03.440 What if we got a Kennedy Gabbard ticket? Kennedy could run as a Democrat. It seems tough because

00:29:09.040 he was trying to initially and then he switched and went for the Trump administration.

00:29:13.400 But he could because suburban women love RFK Jr. and they love Maha.

00:29:20.140 Could this be where everything goes, my friends?

00:29:24.220 Perhaps.

00:29:25.060 I'm going to go ahead and say probably not, though.

00:29:27.100 I have no idea what's going to happen.

00:29:29.540 Trump's an old man.

00:29:30.340 He's got a couple of years left.

00:29:31.540 There's a lot of variables between now and 2028.

00:29:33.980 What I can say is November is around the corner.

00:29:36.900 We are now about four and a half months away from the election.

00:29:40.200 It's starting to pick up.

00:29:41.400 But you know how I know?

00:29:42.220 Our ad rates are improving.

00:29:44.500 Now, I'm not even joking.

00:29:45.860 I log on to YouTube and I'm like, oh, look at that.

00:29:47.940 We're up 20%.

00:29:49.160 The money is starting to pour in.

00:29:52.620 The politicians, the members of Congress are starting to spend money on ads.

00:29:57.020 And it's going to get into high gear in the next few months.

00:30:00.580 And the midterm elections will be massive.

00:30:02.860 We'll be glued to our seats as it all comes crashing down.

00:30:08.260 So what say you, my friends?

00:30:09.160 Do you think Democrats have what it takes with all of this going on?

00:30:13.860 Don't get me wrong.

00:30:14.640 Trump's approval rating is not very good.

00:30:17.240 But gas prices are going to come down.

00:30:19.140 He wasn't going to let this stretch out into the midterms.

00:30:22.200 I'm not entirely convinced the Iran war is over, though. 0.66

00:30:25.260 The yo-yo, right? 0.99

00:30:26.440 Apparently, they're now wishy-washy, and who knows?

00:30:28.640 But Trump has pulled back the armada, released the blockade, so we will see.

00:30:32.780 Democrats are going to call it a defeat, a surrender.

00:30:35.640 Don't matter.

00:30:36.040 people on the right who like trump are not going to back democrats democrats are not going to back

00:30:41.820 trump and the people in the middle who don't care all that much are not going to be motivated for

00:30:45.800 the most part by whether or not trump surrendered they're gonna be motivated by our prices coming 0.99

00:30:49.700 down it's the economy stupid so in the end i suppose we can only wait and see and we will sit 0.97

00:30:56.780 with bated breath to see if the democrats can actually take the house and if they do yikes 1.00

00:31:01.520 it'll get dirty. Not going to be a lot of fun. Subpoenas, investigations, blah, blah, blah.

00:31:09.760 I'm curious, though, what they could actually launch investigations into. And it was easy

00:31:13.160 with with January 6th to launch the, you know, do all that stuff. You don't really have any of

00:31:20.140 these scandals right now. So if Democrats do take Congress, it's hard to know exactly what

00:31:24.080 they will be able to launch. But we'll see because they'll certainly do something. I will leave it

00:31:29.620 there, my friends. Thanks for hanging out. Smash the like button, share the show, and all that

00:31:34.340 good stuff. We're back tonight at 8 p.m. for Timcast IRL. You don't want to miss it. It's

00:31:38.260 going to be fun. Thanks for hanging out. Follow me on X and Instagram at Timcast,

00:31:42.140 and we will see you all tonight.

The Culture War - Tim Pool - June 23, 2026

Democrats PANIC, Polls CRASHING, Newsom FACING PRISON, ITS OVER

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