The Culture War - Tim Pool - Democrats WORRIED, Blue Wave IS A MIRAGE ｜ Timcast

00:00:00.820 At Capital One, we don't just use technology, we architect it.

00:00:05.960 Our teams have true end-to-end product ownership,

00:00:09.000 shipping distributed systems that handle high concurrency at scale.

00:00:13.200 No single-server bottlenecks, engineered beyond legacy downtime,

00:00:17.700 and operating right here in downtown Toronto.

00:00:21.200 That's technology at Capital One.

00:00:23.600 Search technology at Capital One Canada.

00:00:30.000 We are fast approaching the midterms with only weeks out and all of the polls have been bad news for Republicans.

00:00:37.460 The prediction markets are saying it's going to be a Democrat sweep.

00:00:41.020 But my friends, just recently, Democrats issued a warning that they have fallen behind in fundraising and they could lose some of these easy races.

00:00:52.300 they're predicted to win, because despite the fact the polling is fantastic, if they don't

00:00:58.100 have the money, they can't get out the message. Now, I'm going to be completely honest with you.

00:01:03.160 This is copium and hopium for Republicans. The GOP is not giving the American voter any

00:01:10.760 they're not articulating what it is they are selling in this midterm. What do I get for voting

00:01:19.020 for the Republicans. Now, don't get me wrong. There were many victories in 2025. People are

00:01:23.500 very happy about, say, immigration. That's an easy one. Now we're going to 2026. People are 0.99

00:01:29.980 not happy about the war, about gas prices, and people adapt. Even if you've delivered things

00:01:36.400 like lower inflation or secure borders and deportations, you need to tell the people

00:01:43.120 what comes next. The Republicans aren't even selling fear. They could be coming out and saying,

00:01:49.020 If you vote for the Democrat or the Democrats win, immigration will once again become a large

00:01:55.800 problem. But instead, what we're getting from Republicans is we'll do more of the same.

00:02:01.760 Now, despite all of this, what's very fascinating to me is that Democrats are basically saying

00:02:08.820 outright, we don't have the money for this fight. I still think it is fair to assess

00:02:14.800 a Democrat victory. But we've got more analysis from various pollsters and pundits

00:02:22.620 suggesting the blue wave will not be nearly as big as people think. And you got to wonder why it is

00:02:30.260 Tim Poole put that smug Trump on the thumbnail. For some, he is, I mean, come on, for some reason,

00:02:37.840 despite all of this, Trump has maintained confidence he is going to win. This could

00:02:43.760 just be the sell. If Trump comes out and he's like, no, we're going to lose. We're doing really

00:02:48.140 bad. Then, you know, it looks really, really, really bad. So Trump is playing it up. The

00:02:53.060 Republicans are swimming. We're happy and we're crushing. But the truth is the Republicans are

00:02:58.780 crushing it in terms of cash on hand. And what's fascinating is what we're seeing in the analysis

00:03:03.620 about the bifurcation of what polls mean and what money can actually do. Think about it this way.

00:03:10.820 voter turnout is key. You can have a million people who all agree that Democrats should win,

00:03:19.040 but if they don't have motivation, it means nothing. That being said, I'm going to throw

00:03:25.620 back into the mix. The Republicans need to be selling something. They've got money for sure,

00:03:29.920 and they can run these ads. But I'm curious if the focus is going to be at the individual level.

00:03:35.420 So we're not seeing big national level plays from Republicans because they don't need it.

00:03:39.060 Donald Trump is handling that. In the districts, we are seeing those campaign ads, but spending

00:03:45.460 seems to be a little bit weak. What I find the most fascinating about the latest midterm analysis,

00:03:52.040 my friends, is that it looks like people don't like what Republicans are doing,

00:03:56.820 but Democrats are also not selling anything. This may be one of the weirdest midterms of my life,

00:04:04.220 where the Democrats and the Republicans

00:04:06.280 are basically saying nothing.

00:04:08.680 The Democrats are doing great in the polls,

00:04:10.760 but if they're not selling a real reason

00:04:13.140 to go out and vote,

00:04:14.500 sure, people might think the Republicans are bad

00:04:16.660 and the Democrats should win,

00:04:18.040 but they don't care to go out and vote

00:04:19.680 because Democrats aren't offering an alternative,

00:04:22.080 which is the most fascinating element of all of this.

00:04:26.000 My friends, let's jump into the news.

00:04:27.840 Before we do, make sure you subscribe

00:04:29.520 to this channel right now.

00:04:31.400 Share this video with everyone you know,

00:04:33.240 And don't forget, the latest episode of The Tim Pool Show is live now on At Tim Pool.

00:04:39.960 Rumble in YouTube.

00:04:41.100 Check it out.

00:04:41.880 Dr. Drew sits down with me to discuss how young men and masculinity are being demonized in this country

00:04:49.640 and why we are losing our mind and falling into a rat utopia, as it were.

00:04:57.720 Again, share this video right now.

00:05:00.260 You can follow me on Axon Instagram, at TimCast.

00:05:03.240 We've got the report from PJ Media, House Democrats' dire donor warning hints at trouble

00:05:09.600 before the midterms. With less than a month to go before the midterms, the Democratic

00:05:13.160 Congressional Campaign Committee is begging donors for money. That's a strange place to be for a

00:05:18.380 party that supposedly has everything going its way. If the polls are right, and Democrats have

00:05:23.620 all the energy and momentum heading into November, the checks should be writing themselves.

00:05:28.080 So why is the party struggling to raise money?

00:05:31.180 According to a Politico report, DCCC Executive Director Julie Merce sent a memo to donors

00:05:37.640 on Friday setting a hard deadline for them to cough up $17 million.

00:05:43.380 The committee wants the cash in hand by October 22nd, so it can compete in a handful of districts

00:05:49.180 that Republicans carried easily in 2024.

00:05:52.980 Mertz told donors the money is needed to take advantage of the opportunities we have outside of the core battlefield.

00:05:59.480 And if the donors don't deliver, Mertz warned the party could be leaving winnable races on the table.

00:06:05.220 Democrats have admitted all cycle that Republicans are out-raising them,

00:06:08.260 but until now, they've refused to attach a dollar figure to the holder-in.

00:06:11.920 That makes Friday's memo a surprising outlier and a revealing one.

00:06:17.080 Mertz assured donors that committee members remain confident that we will win back the

00:06:21.760 majority in 25 days and then promptly explained why they should be nervous.

00:06:26.900 Here's the tough reality, though.

00:06:29.320 The Republican ecosystem has amassed a massive war chest that is significantly greater than

00:06:33.860 ours and is spending it.

00:06:36.380 Confident parties don't send out memos like that.

00:06:39.740 So I can show you Harry Enten, CNN, all the polls, every lib, jumping up and down, cheering,

00:06:45.700 saying Democrats got this in the bag, but I'm going to go ahead and say, sometimes it's bad

00:06:52.140 news. Good news is bad news in a midterm or an election. That's not something I made up.

00:06:58.500 The argument is that if the media keeps saying Democrats can't lose, it's a sweep.

00:07:04.260 Voters don't turn out. I mean, think about it. You know the story. You've seen it a million

00:07:08.440 times. We're all old, right? You young bucks. Let me explain. You're sitting there and you

00:07:13.440 turn on the old Tim cast and you're like, let me see what's going on with the midterms. And it's

00:07:17.820 Democrats win, Democrats win, Democrats win nonstop from everybody. What's your reaction?

00:07:24.040 Okay. So you don't need me to vote. It's like that Larry David sketch. Have you guys seen it?

00:07:28.300 He's standing in line to vote. He's like, who are you voting for? And he's like, I'm voting for this

00:07:31.740 guy. And he's like, I'm voting for the other guy. Let's both leave. And they both, he's like,

00:07:35.500 we cancel each other out. What's the point? This is the point. When you tell your donors,

00:07:41.060 when you tell your voters, you can't lose, you have it, they say, okay, well, then you don't

00:07:47.920 need me. That's what's absolutely terrifying. Let me put it like this. And I say this not to be

00:07:54.260 derisive to our good fans who have purchased our boonies skateboards, but I got to tell you guys

00:07:58.540 what it's like running a business. We hear from all of our fans, you got to go American made.

00:08:05.740 And then when it comes time to buy the product, the person looks around and whispers,

00:08:11.060 Just give me the Chinese board.

00:08:12.700 It's cheaper.

00:08:14.000 Seriously.

00:08:15.220 Now, most of the people who buy from us are happy, but American boards are hard to get.

00:08:20.960 My point is this.

00:08:23.020 All the Democrats are online screaming and banging their fists, yelling, we're going

00:08:27.020 to win.

00:08:28.260 But then when it actually comes time to it, are they going to peel themselves off the

00:08:32.380 couch to actually go vote?

00:08:34.160 The answer is, I don't know for either Democrat or Republican, and I would not be surprised

00:08:39.560 if we get low voter turnout for both Democrats and Republicans. And I can't tell you, Republicans

00:08:46.000 are doing things that are pissing people off, like the Iran war. But are Democrats doing anything

00:08:51.340 to convince voters that they're going to be better in the legislative branch? I don't think so.

00:08:58.180 Now, US News has this report, six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide

00:09:02.820 in November. They say Republican President Trump's low approval ratings, voter concern over high

00:09:08.840 prices and dissatisfaction with the war in Iran have led many analysts and opinion polls to

00:09:12.540 predict a significant Democratic gain in November 3rd midterm election, which I still think is the

00:09:18.580 correct analysis. And I'm going to, I'm going to warn the Republicans copium and hopium admittedly.

00:09:24.760 Okay. We are looking for reasons to believe that Republicans can win. I'm gonna tell you straight

00:09:31.020 up. I think Democrats are likely going to have this, but I do think it's fair to say it's not

00:09:34.200 can be as big as people think. It's not going to be a blue wave. Don't know for sure. Maybe I'm

00:09:39.400 just saying, I think it's going to be that they squeak by. They say this, here's six reasons

00:09:45.540 Democrats may fall short. Fewer competitive house races. The number of competitive U.S. house races

00:09:50.560 has struck sharply over the past three decades as partisan polarization and redistricting,

00:09:55.180 including gerrymandering, have made more seats safely Democrat or Republican. As a result,

00:10:00.960 analysts estimate that only about 40 to 50 of the House's seats are truly competitive.

00:10:06.900 Most expect Democrats to retake the lower chamber, but with the majority of perhaps

00:10:11.160 five to 20, I mean, 20 would be massive. Five would be rough. Limiting the scope for gains

00:10:17.060 like those in 2018 when they picked up 41. Bill Galston, a former White House advisor to Clinton,

00:10:22.980 said even if Democrats gained 25 House seats, they'd have a working majority, but not a huge

00:10:27.820 one. Such a majority would give Democrats control of the House, but little room to maneuver,

00:10:33.140 making it harder to pass contentious legislation or claim the sweeping mandate associated with

00:10:37.440 past wave elections. While Democrats are favored to make gains in the 100-member Senate, achieving

00:10:42.760 the net gain of four seats needed to get that 51 majority, I'm sorry, for a 51-49 majority,

00:10:49.160 it remains far from certain because many of the top pickup targets are in states Trump carried

00:10:52.900 by wide margins. David Wasserman, an elections analyst at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report,

00:10:58.540 said Democrats must make breakthroughs in states Trump carried by double digits.

00:11:04.400 Even a national swing of 10 points to the Democrats would leave the party two seats

00:11:09.600 short of a majority. Democrats also face tougher than expected contests in states they hope to be

00:11:15.340 safe, like Maine or Michigan. Turnout. Now this is the hammer. Opinion polls show Democratic voters

00:11:22.720 more enthusiastic than Republicans,

00:11:24.900 but strategists caution

00:11:26.000 that such Democratic constituencies

00:11:27.680 as young Black and Hispanic voters

00:11:29.220 have historically turned out

00:11:30.640 at lower rates in midterm elections

00:11:32.240 than in presidential years.

00:11:34.140 Surveys show persistent skepticism

00:11:35.800 among those groups towards both parties.

00:11:38.580 And right now,

00:11:39.560 Donald Trump is personally campaigning,

00:11:42.000 saying, I'm on the ballot

00:11:43.500 to try and drum up as much turnout as possible.

00:11:47.040 It may be.

00:11:48.300 At the national level,

00:11:49.580 the polls suggest Republicans lose,

00:11:51.480 But if Democrats are not motivated, it won't matter.

00:11:56.420 We've already mentioned the Republican money advantage, which is massive.

00:12:00.740 Polls have missed Republican strength.

00:12:03.540 Opinion polls frequently underestimate Republican support in recent election cycles.

00:12:07.600 Reuters, Ipsos, polling shows registered voters favoring Democrats over Republicans by 43 to 35.

00:12:12.900 The largest polling misses came when Trump was on the ballot.

00:12:16.040 Trump, who is not on the ballot this year, has urged supporters to act as though he were.

00:12:20.320 And the socialism attacks could resonate.

00:12:23.960 We are seeing a massive influx of cold, hard cash, my friends.

00:12:30.060 Cold, hard cash.

00:12:31.700 And libertarians are dumping money because right now, this should blow your mind, almost half of Democrats identify with or as Democratic socialists.

00:12:44.600 This is going to freak out even older Democrat donors who are liberal but don't like socialism.

00:12:51.080 Take a look at this from Fox News Digital.

00:12:52.980 The blue wave looks real until you look a little closer.

00:12:56.860 The 2026 midterms could reshape control of Congress.

00:13:00.300 It will reshape control of Congress, but in which direction?

00:13:04.460 They say it's like watching some sci-fi game with players competing on 470 different fields.

00:13:09.140 Look, Charlie Cooker is moving 18 house races in Democrats' favor.

00:13:14.040 this is over. The blue wave is getting stronger. Put a cork in this when it's done. But wait,

00:13:20.320 the Republicans have a cash advantage. Big time Democratic donors, for whatever reason,

00:13:23.860 are sitting on their checkbooks. They're not giving money for this. Don't they realize the

00:13:28.800 stakes? I'm going to go ahead and troll you guys one over here. Maybe, just maybe, the big Democrat 0.83

00:13:36.040 donors are like, we don't like socialism and we like war. And Trump's delivered on the war

00:13:41.980 and opposed to socialism. I would not be surprised if the powerful elites basically came together

00:13:47.900 like with Trump. It's conspiratorial. Maybe it's nonsense. But imagine this. You're seeing the

00:13:53.220 rise of socialism. These establishment corporate billionaire dems are like, we don't want that.

00:13:58.120 We want Chinese communist style elite control, command economies. We don't want grassroots

00:14:04.800 commie, right? We want elite control. So they go to Trump and they say, just give us, throw us a

00:14:10.540 bone. Give us some war. Give us some conflict. And we won't back those people. Maybe. You know,

00:14:16.200 you got a lot of people. You got Tucker Carlson. You got Marjorie Taylor Greene. You got, you know,

00:14:19.820 Thomas Massey. He's always arguing with Trump. But they're coming out saying Trump betrayed MAGA.

00:14:26.060 Could it be that Trump betrayed MAGA? Because the real move is team up with some of these

00:14:31.020 elites, these neocon, neolib elites who don't like the graduates at all and say,

00:14:35.840 let's just keep control of this machine. My friends, here we go. Republican megadonors

00:14:44.860 dominate the 2026 midterm election cycle. As crypto and AI money surges, CNBC analysis finds

00:14:53.140 megadonors contributions are overwhelmingly behind Republicans in the 2026 midterm election

00:14:58.840 with 14 of the 20 largest donor groups exclusively or nearly exclusively backing GOP candidates

00:15:05.820 or outside groups, a CNBC analysis of FEC records found. A wave of new political money is coming

00:15:12.880 from crypto, AI, and online gambling executives and companies, which have poured more than $377

00:15:19.420 million into candidates, super PACs, and industry-backed groups. Most Democratic megadonors

00:15:26.120 have soured on the Democratic National Committee and are bypassing it altogether,

00:15:31.040 directing their money instead to candidates and outside groups in the races they care about most.

00:15:36.840 It is getting spicy with why reporting Elon Musk's America PAC is spending big on the midterms.

00:15:45.380 We are tracking it daily.

00:15:47.600 They say, as of October 6th, America PAC, the main Musk-affiliated super PAC,

00:15:52.020 has deployed $24.8 million of the $31 million in seven key U.S. Senate contests

00:15:59.860 that are widely seen as close, if not toss-ups,

00:16:02.360 and represent a path for Democrats

00:16:04.500 to take control of the chamber this November.

00:16:06.820 To monitor America PAC's spending in the midterms,

00:16:09.780 Wired has created a live tracker

00:16:11.480 that updates daily and highlights

00:16:13.420 where America PAC is putting money into the midterms

00:16:15.760 from individual races

00:16:17.380 to Musk's overall influence on the election season.

00:16:20.700 It draws on America PAC's filings with the FEC,

00:16:23.500 which the agency processes daily

00:16:25.400 and which lists all the payments they've made,

00:16:27.980 et cetera, et cetera.

00:16:28.680 We get it.

00:16:29.860 But wait, there's more libertarian tech mogul to hit DSA with eight figure spending nuke.

00:16:40.020 Make Liberty Win plans to mobilize youth activists to knock on doors of over 2 million voters across at least 12 states.

00:16:48.620 This report coming from one month ago.

00:16:50.980 Democrats just don't have it.

00:16:54.120 So this question right now, my friends, this question right now is, will they have the motivation?

00:17:01.120 We got 270 to win right now projecting 220.

00:17:04.380 This is crazy.

00:17:04.960 This is consensus, man.

00:17:07.080 220 seats for the Democrats with 200 Republican.

00:17:12.560 This is bad, bad news for Donald Trump.

00:17:17.260 But there's one thing people need to factor into all this on top.

00:17:21.080 One thing.

00:17:22.140 But hold on, hold on.

00:17:23.020 Let me play this clip from Harry Enten, and I'm going to tell you that one thing that they need to consider.

00:17:53.020 United States has, but the United States Senate as well.

00:17:55.800 And you know what?

00:17:56.720 I was talking about those Senate changes.

00:17:58.480 Look at this.

00:17:59.240 Look at these gains that we've seen change in Senate poll margins since August.

00:18:04.200 Two points in Iowa.

00:18:05.500 Three points in Ohio.

00:18:07.120 Five points in Alaska.

00:18:08.760 Five points in Kansas.

00:18:09.780 What?

00:18:10.400 Kansas. 0.97

00:18:11.260 Kansas.

00:18:12.120 Kansas, which hasn't gone Democratic since 1932.

00:18:16.500 And then, of course, as I mentioned, I mentioned Michigan.

00:18:19.780 Look at this.

00:18:20.180 A five-point game for Abdullah al-Sahid, who was actually trailing in the polling back the last time we did this.

00:18:25.180 He is now ahead in the polling. He is now ahead in the polling, which I definitely think is making Republicans worry a whole heck of a lot.

00:18:32.760 And you know what? We spoke about, you know, maybe some Democrats underperforming the generic ballot in those states.

00:18:39.100 But you know what? How about this?

00:18:41.440 I mean, for all the talk of Donald Trump sound popular, the Republican Senate candidates, this is terrible.

00:18:47.260 This is gosh darn awful.

00:18:48.760 Mike Rogers, 8 points underwater.

00:18:50.920 Ashley Hinson, 9 points underwater.

00:18:52.800 Dan Sullivan, Alaska, 11 points underwater.

00:18:55.180 How about in Ohio, 13 points underwater.

00:18:58.280 And you know what, since I can't really draw too well, how about this?

00:19:01.400 How about Ken Paxton, 16 points underwater.

00:19:03.720 He is literally the least popular GOP Senate nominee at this point in the cycle, this entire century.

00:19:09.380 No one else, no one else has been as unpopular as Ken Paxton as I did on the air.

00:19:13.700 Congratulations, Ken Paxton.

00:19:15.100 You truly have pulled off the impossible.

00:19:16.980 But you know what?

00:19:17.980 I will also know it's not just about them.

00:19:19.980 It really is about Donald Trump.

00:19:20.980 I mean, just look.

00:19:21.980 Just look at this.

00:19:22.980 Okay.

00:19:23.980 Negative 15 points or worse net approval rating.

00:19:26.980 We know Donald Trump is that bad.

00:19:27.980 He's far worse.

00:19:28.980 He's doubly as unpopular, at least in some of the polling data.

00:19:31.980 Okay.

00:19:32.980 Did these folks previously who had a minus 15 points or worse net approval rating among

00:19:36.980 presidents, did their parties win either the Senate or the House?

00:19:40.980 No.

00:19:41.980 No, they did not.

00:19:42.980 I mean, George W. Bush, that was probably the closest one.

00:19:45.980 No, Richard Nixon I put up here, because I always put in Richard Nixon whenever I can.

00:19:50.380 He resigned before these elections.

00:19:51.900 He resigned back in August, back in 74, but the Republicans got absolutely crushed.

00:19:55.520 And Harry S. Truman in 1946, coming off a victory in WW2, that Democratic Party, as I said, using my phone here as a broom, this is what it's all about, right?

00:20:06.160 Sweeping away, the Republicans swept into power in those midterm elections, taking back both the United States House and the United States Senate.

00:20:14.200 And you know what, when it comes to Trump, and you just look at the issues, I mean, look at the net approval ratings.

00:20:20.020 I mean, these are awful. These are awful.

00:20:22.660 Immigration, 17 points under war. Trade and tariffs, 33 points under war. 0.55

00:20:25.920 Iran, 37 points under war. Way worse than it was for Bush back in 2006 when the Iraq war was dragging him down, right?

00:20:33.460 I mean, and look at that, the economy, 37 points under war. Inflation, 56 points.

00:20:38.640 What? What are we even talking about here?

00:20:41.480 inflation is down but the economy sucks and it's the economy stupid carville will go down in 0.95

00:20:48.440 history for that perfect quote guys culture war issues matter but for most voters the lowest 0.98

00:20:55.640 common denominator is going to be the economy i just went to the grocery store literally just

00:21:02.000 before this picking up snacks for the office because i'm like you know you know i'm doing i'm

00:21:06.460 doing keto again and i gotta i gotta say guys keto is the way to go i just love it i mean

00:21:11.320 Talk to your doctor about what's right for you, right?

00:21:13.440 But so I got some like meats and cheeses.

00:21:15.420 It was so expensive.

00:21:16.980 Oh my, I got a thing of cheese dip.

00:21:19.740 It was $10, this little thing of cheese.

00:21:21.540 I was like, geez, man, meats and cheeses, they're expensive.

00:21:26.700 I was watching this video about food swamps, food swamps.

00:21:31.000 And a food swamp is when you get all this access

00:21:33.080 to food everywhere, it's trash.

00:21:35.020 It's fast food, it's gas stations. 1.00

00:21:37.300 There's food everywhere and it's garbage.

00:21:38.820 And if you want to eat well, like literally just some roast beef and cheese, it's too expensive.

00:21:45.200 Now, the onion dip I bought was only two bucks.

00:21:48.520 That was pretty good.

00:21:49.260 Makes me wonder about what's in it.

00:21:51.260 But the economy is not good.

00:21:53.380 And that is going to be the biggest bombshell.

00:21:56.900 The Republicans are certainly trying to play up culture war issues right now, but I don't see it being effective.

00:22:03.020 And what really bothers me, especially when I see Ken Paxton doing so poorly in that state, guys, let me say it like this, as offensively as I can, I could sell ice to an Eskimo and sand to a Saudi, okay?

00:22:19.300 And if I can do it, certainly these people should be able to do it.

00:22:22.540 They're the actual politicians.

00:22:24.560 And hey, hey, hey, I say this with the least amount of humility as I get.

00:22:28.120 I was actually a nation's best fundraiser for several different non-profits, and we liken that

00:22:32.860 to selling hopes and dreams, convincing people to give us money in exchange for hope. You know,

00:22:38.680 for real, these non-profits, you go to someone and say, if you give me 20 bucks, trust me,

00:22:42.840 we're working on it. You don't even hand them anything. So if I can do it, a guy who complains

00:22:49.560 on the internet, bro, Ken, you need to be going out there and articulating a message to the

00:22:55.000 American people. Lawfare is not going to cut it, okay? Guys, the Republican messaging sucks.

00:23:02.880 It's just a fact. And the only thing that Democrats really have against them, aside from 0.99

00:23:08.440 the money, that money's obvious, is the weird, wacky, woke 1.0 they're trying to distance

00:23:12.920 themselves from. But as of right now, I'm going to put it like this. The Republicans,

00:23:20.500 they're selling me nothing, okay? These diehard MAGA dudes are going to come out and be like,

00:23:24.480 You got to vote Trump. I get it because Democrats are wacky, right? I've seen the lawfare. They came

00:23:29.240 after me with that kind of wacky stuff indirectly, but still attacking my reputation. I don't like

00:23:34.580 these people, but Democrats aren't selling me anything either. The democratic party has not

00:23:40.340 come out and said day one, we stopped the war in Iran. We are going to put a Democrats could come

00:23:46.520 out and say gas tax holiday. All the States, we're all going to work on this. We're going to get your

00:23:51.460 prices down day one, January 3rd, after we all get in, after orientation, but Democrats aren't

00:24:00.620 even selling anything. They're simply saying, isn't Trump bad? And the Republicans are saying,

00:24:05.040 we're going to keep doing what we're doing. So I got to be fair. The polling is bad for Trump,

00:24:09.000 but none of it is motivating to vote for a Democrat. Now look, I think Democrats are

00:24:15.060 wacky. James Tallarico is a liar. Ken Paxton is a warrior. I do think this. Ken Paxton is 1.00

00:24:21.400 miserably suffering in the PR department. What is he even selling? Tallarico, you look at his

00:24:27.940 past statements, he's wishy-washy. He's flavor of whatever you want him to be. And Tallarico can't

00:24:34.080 beat that. Don't be surprised Republicans lose. So I'll say this. My general opinion is that

00:24:39.980 Democrats are likely barreling towards a victory. I don't think it'll be massive. I think the

00:24:45.060 analysts are likely correct. It's going to be a good win, but they're not going to have that

00:24:49.960 much more power than a 5 to 20 seems to make sense. I do think it's fair to say Republicans

00:24:55.240 are underestimated. Democrats aren't selling. But a lot of this is just copium and hopium.

00:25:01.100 Look, I'm not going to come out and say, Republicans, you're all going to lose. It's

00:25:03.540 over. I'm going to try and find those cracks in the system and where the mistakes may be coming

00:25:08.660 from, what those mistakes may be. But in the end, I think it's fair to say Republicans don't get out

00:25:14.240 and sell literally right now. Don't be surprised when Democrats take it. I'm going to leave it

00:25:18.480 there, my friends, smash that like button, share the show with everyone. You know, we've got more

00:25:22.280 coming up for you throughout the day, of course, building out this new studio. We're going to get

00:25:26.620 sound dampeners in here shortly. Thank you all so much for hanging out. Don't miss the Tim Pool

00:25:31.780 show interview. Dr. Drew just up live this week, how we are destroying men and masculinity available

00:25:38.060 now. Don't miss it. Link in the description below. Thanks for hanging out and we'll see you all next 1.00

00:25:42.560 time.

00:25:48.480 I started Ornod in 2013 and we make bike apparel. The best part of Shopify for me is our ability

00:26:01.240 to run the business as essentially non-technical people. We're able to admin everything on the

00:26:07.520 back end, front end, and sell things online easily. If Shopify were a bike accessory,

00:26:13.560 I think it would actually be the bicycle.

00:26:16.180 It's the thing that you do the thing on.

00:26:18.460 We run the business on Shopify.

00:26:19.860 Start your free trial on Shopify.com.

00:26:22.880 You're a podcast listener, and this is a podcast ad heard only in Canada.

00:26:27.720 Reach great Canadian listeners like yourself with podcast advertising from Libsyn Ads.

00:26:32.600 Choose from hundreds of top podcasts offering host endorsements

00:26:36.040 or run a pre-produced ad like this one across thousands of shows

00:26:39.840 to reach your target audience with Libsyn Ads.

00:26:42.300 Email bob at libsyn.com to learn more. That's b-o-b at l-i-b-s-y-n dot com.

The Culture War - Tim Pool - October 12, 2026

Democrats WORRIED, Blue Wave IS A MIRAGE ｜ Timcast

Episode Stats

Transcript