The Culture War - Tim Pool - ICE Agent KILLS MAN

00:00:00.000 Your sales order says one thing, your inventory says another, your spreadsheet says good luck.

00:00:05.260 Odoo brings your business together on a single platform, from sales and accounting to inventory

00:00:09.620 and marketing. Visit odoo.com to book a demo. It's odoo.com. Breaking news coming out of Maine,

00:00:17.440 a man reportedly tried to ram ICE agents who opened fire. This man is now reportedly dead.

00:00:23.820 This is the second fatal ICE-involved shooting in less than a week, and of course it's grabbing a

00:00:29.360 lot of attention. It's been a bit of a slow summer. We thought we would see a lot more riots

00:00:33.900 or protests based on what happened earlier in this year. When we saw the ice involved incidents

00:00:39.400 in Minnesota, the expectation was that if riots are happening this early in the year when it's

00:00:45.060 very cold out, it's probably going to get wild come summertime. But you know what? Something

00:00:49.840 else is happening. We're not seeing a whole lot of anything. Even with stories like this,

00:00:55.060 as serious as they are, we are not seeing a particularly strong reaction, dare I say.

00:01:02.000 It may be that many people are just completely desensitized and no longer care. I got to be

00:01:08.680 honest. When I saw this story, I don't want to say I didn't care because I obviously care about

00:01:15.880 the goings on of the world, but I am unmoved. It's sad, but my thoughts were just, okay, well,

00:01:23.860 one of these again, I guess. And there have been many stories popping up recently that make me

00:01:29.980 feel this way. So I'm curious, and you guys can comment below, if you all feel very similarly.

00:01:36.020 And I think the reality is many of you do, because I've had a lot of conversations,

00:01:39.960 a lot of conversations about what's going on politically when it pertains to immigration.

00:01:45.220 And I feel like a lot of people are just, they're just burned out. Their nerves have been stimulated

00:01:51.900 to the point of complete burnout. And while we recognize these things are happening, it's just

00:01:57.760 okay, I guess. But there is another issue here at play as it pertains to immigration that I think

00:02:03.180 is worth talking about. And that is population collapse is coming. And we're starting to see

00:02:09.840 the results of this. We're at what's called peak 18 year old. Indeed, if you're watching this video

00:02:15.080 and you're 18, I feel bad for you. And I really mean that. Why? It used to be that there was 0.59

00:02:21.800 always there were always more young people than the older generation before it because population

00:02:26.560 was growing. We're now at a point where there are less young people every generation. And,

00:02:32.640 you know, when we had millennials, we had Gen Z, it was stable. But now with Gen Alpha,

00:02:37.260 it is shrinking and Generation Bravo is expected to be substantially less.

00:02:41.620 So what they mean by peak 18 year old, it's that there is only going to be less 18 year olds moving forward because there are very few young people.

00:02:52.920 Universities will start to go out of business. Certain stores are going to start closing and there is going to be an economic reckoning, we'll call it that, because it's not as easy to just say there will be a recession.

00:03:07.460 And I've talked about the economics of population collapse quite a bit.

00:03:12.440 But with what we're currently seeing as it pertains to TPS expiring, Trump now having

00:03:17.220 the right to remove any of these people, there's a question of what happens to an economy

00:03:21.440 when you do not have the workers to expand it.

00:03:25.540 This was the Democrat strategy, and it's why we get stories like this.

00:03:29.140 Trust me, it is all connected.

00:03:31.400 The Democrats' plan was bringing as many people from around the world as possible to maintain

00:03:36.520 economic growth. 1.00

00:03:37.460 The only problem is you can't replace middle managers with Honduran farmers. 1.00

00:03:42.440 That idea was destined to fail. 0.99

00:03:45.000 It would seem the Trump administration strategy was secure our borders, bring manufacturing back and try and shore up trade and economics in the United States so that when we do face this long fall, we will have some something left to keep us afloat when population collapse really causes economic damage.

00:04:04.920 On top of all of this, we have the question of AI and what's going to happen.

00:04:09.440 Prominent big tech leader is saying, don't worry, many of you will still be able to be

00:04:13.880 janitors.

00:04:14.780 That's not a joke.

00:04:16.060 That's actually what some prominent leaders have said.

00:04:18.040 When all of the white collar, high paying jobs have been eaten up and destroyed by AI,

00:04:23.980 rest assured someone's still got to sweep up the trash and don't worry, it can be you.

00:04:28.940 Now, by all means, I'm not trying to disparage anybody who's actually a custodial engineer

00:04:32.160 or janitorial worker.

00:04:33.300 we certainly do need people to clean. My point is only that you can't make everybody just do

00:04:41.520 office work and cleaning. It's not reality. What is going to happen in this economy

00:04:48.520 is particularly terrifying. So we're going to get into all that, starting with this story

00:04:52.440 and the issue of immigration. Before we do, my friends, head over to TimCast.com. Click join

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00:05:37.540 Let's start here with what is currently happening in this breaking story from CNN.com.

00:05:43.100 One person killed in Maine in second fatal ice-involved shooting in less than a week.

00:05:48.500 They say what we know so far, a person was killed today in an ice-involved shooting in Biddeford, Maine.

00:05:54.820 According to the state Speaker of the House, the person who was shot was the target of an immigration enforcement operation, according to Maine Senator Angus King.

00:06:02.780 And protesters have started to gather in a nearby park.

00:06:06.280 The Maine shooting comes just days after a federal agent fatally shot a Mexican immigrant during a traffic stop in Houston, sparking mass protest and demands for transparency and accountability.

00:06:16.140 Calls for accountability among ICE agents reached a fever pitch earlier this year.

00:06:20.160 after 37-year-old mother Renee Good and 37-year-old ICU nurse Alex Preddy

00:06:25.000 were killed by federal immigration agents

00:06:26.520 during the Trump administration's operation in Minneapolis.

00:06:29.400 I always like to point out media manipulations,

00:06:31.940 and I'll just, calling Renee Good mother is unnecessary to the story.

00:06:36.680 Whether she is or is not is not material to what happened

00:06:39.020 in calling Preddy an ICU nurse.

00:06:40.900 Also, these things are meant to foment sympathy for the individuals.

00:06:45.280 And these instances were actually contested.

00:06:49.320 Certainly, I don't think Renee Good or Freddie should be dead.

00:06:52.380 I don't want anybody to die.

00:06:54.100 But this is conflict.

00:06:55.820 Renee Good was accelerating her vehicle toward the officer.

00:06:59.300 That's a fact.

00:07:00.180 And if you don't believe that, I'm sorry someone lied to you.

00:07:03.540 I'm not going to go over the video footage for the 800th time.

00:07:06.560 But just watch the wheels spin out as they are pointing slightly forward and to the left

00:07:12.040 before the wheel turns.

00:07:15.000 Now, again, I'm not saying that this should have resulted in a death or anything like that.

00:07:18.680 But these are not clear cut issues.

00:07:20.520 Preddy was armed and fighting with police and someone yelled out gun.

00:07:25.640 This seems to be a tragic circumstance.

00:07:28.000 You should not be shot and killed just for bearing arms.

00:07:30.480 You're allowed to do it.

00:07:31.960 But if you engage in a conflict with police while armed, this is one possibility.

00:07:37.280 We don't necessarily I don't think it's prudent for CNN to be putting these things in these stories.

00:07:43.080 So we actually have some footage of the shots fired.

00:07:46.040 I'm sorry, some audio.

00:07:46.920 And we've got this here from the Daily Mail, the audio of the incident.

00:07:50.360 You don't really hear anything. You just hear some bangs.

00:07:53.160 We'll play this now for you.

00:07:59.680 You can see the cat there on the counter, completely unfazed.

00:08:03.580 Completely unfazed as the shots ring out.

00:08:06.880 And you can see the law enforcement engaging in this operation.

00:08:11.260 My friends, that's the news right now.

00:08:14.740 Your sales order says one thing.

00:08:16.240 Your inventory says another. Your spreadsheet says good luck.

00:08:20.020 Odoo brings your business together on a single platform, from sales and accounting to inventory and marketing.

00:08:25.260 Visit odoo.com to book a demo. It's odoo.com.

00:08:30.080 The question is, how much more serious will these incidents get, and will they result in any kind of legitimate action?

00:08:37.860 You don't need to hear it from me. I've long talked about the prospect of civil war in this country.

00:08:42.840 And I always caveat it with, I'm not sure it will happen or what exactly is going on,

00:08:47.580 but sometimes it feels hotter than others.

00:08:50.320 When you see something like this, and the reaction is, to be honest, from the left,

00:08:54.120 nothing, then I have to wonder if it's entirely possible civil war could happen because while

00:08:58.440 the left does, the mainstream left is, and this is a fact, more violent than the mainstream

00:09:04.740 right, that doesn't mean they will be able to maintain that fervor, nor does it mean

00:09:08.600 that there will ever be a large enough mustering of force to create something like a civil war.

00:09:14.700 So I say this, it may be the case. And I think the most interesting thing as of recent is the

00:09:22.760 lack of interest in politics among most people. Without that, nothing's going to happen. But I

00:09:28.820 guess Trump carries out his agenda. However, the question I have for the left, and this is what I

00:09:35.200 often ask when they say they don't believe it's possible or anything like this. And certainly I

00:09:39.060 don't know that it will happen or what does civil war even mean these days? The question is, we have

00:09:44.820 just watched, we just saw a story. An ICE agent shot and killed a man. Now, reportedly, the man

00:09:49.700 was trying to ram his vehicle at him, so he shot through the window. Well, Renee Good, Alex Preddy,

00:09:54.600 the question to the left, and this is where it always comes to a, both the left and the right

00:10:00.920 I agree on this point. I say to these leftists, is Trump a fascist? They say yes. Is he a Nazi?

00:10:08.700 They say yes. Does he have Nazis in his admin? They say yes. Is he murdering Americans? They

00:10:12.640 say yes. Is he murdering immigrants? They say yes. And the question is, will you do anything about it?

00:10:19.760 And they all say yes. Well, there's two ways you can look at it. They can say no. And I say,

00:10:26.880 okay, so Donald Trump has used the military to go after migrants, right? You think he's a fascist,

00:10:32.420 he's taking over, and you're unwilling to do anything? By all means, you can tell me that

00:10:36.400 there's going to be a revolution, and it can be left or right, or there's going to be conflict.

00:10:40.680 There's going to be some kind of civil war. You pick, I guess. All I can say is this.

00:10:49.220 When we look at the political bifurcation, we can see it is untenable. The right will not agree with

00:10:56.360 the left, the left will not agree with the right. Now, does that mean there's going to be a civil

00:10:58.800 war? Not necessarily. But it does mean that neither side is willing to accept the other.

00:11:03.640 It could just result in a peaceful divorce, as some call it. Now, I would make a couple of

00:11:08.400 arguments as to why I think civil war is now less likely, in fact. And that is, people really don't

00:11:14.120 seem to care about anything anymore. They are so fried. It's like, you ever eat a big old bowl of

00:11:20.060 ice cream covered in caramel sauce and whipped cream with cherries on top? And then after you

00:11:24.940 eat that Bigel Bowl ice cream, you take a sip of a soda pop, it doesn't taste as sweet, you know,

00:11:29.540 because you're already overstimulated. You're desensitized. So we got to add more and more

00:11:33.840 sugar to your meal. That's kind of what I'm thinking here. People are so desensitized

00:11:39.460 to what has been going on. They just don't really care anymore. The news breaks and they just fan

00:11:45.640 their hand at it. Do leftists really believe that anything they do is going to change this?

00:11:49.660 I don't know. Maybe they don't. But I think the bigger argument against civil war at this point

00:11:56.980 is population. The younger generation, which is actually the most polarized and potentially the

00:12:03.980 most likely to be involved in conflict, they're just too small. Gen Z, I don't know what they're 0.88

00:12:09.520 on about, but they're pissed. Younger millennials in Gen Z are the most polarized and the most

00:12:14.880 fervent. However, Gen Alpha is tiny. It's around half the size of the millennial generation and

00:12:20.800 Gen Z, in which case you don't really have that many people to do anything. And they're probably

00:12:25.760 going to be far apart from each other. This does mean something else interesting. Supreme Court

00:12:32.080 allows Trump to strip TPS, turn away asylum seekers arriving at the border. We saw this.

00:12:37.620 What's next for immigration, for immigrants with TPS after Supreme Court ruling?

00:12:42.000 well Trump's supposed to be uh TPS is going to be ending officially and they're going to be

00:12:47.220 deporting hundreds of thousands of people yep I have no problem saying this and and you know

00:12:53.920 it's really funny I've been I've been talking to these libs these libs these progressives and they

00:12:58.840 don't they don't watch my videos they don't know what I'm on about Trump's tariffs will uh cause

00:13:04.780 inflation and they will be bad for the economy in the short term I'm in favor of them it is not so

00:13:09.820 simple to just say everything must be good all the time in the short term. So when someone comes

00:13:14.680 to me and says, you support Trump's tariffs, I say yes. And they say, yeah, but look at the

00:13:18.120 inflation. Look at the economy. It's hurting. I go, yep, you're right. But the long term effects

00:13:22.380 are going to be beneficial. And I agree with this play from the Trump admin that we need to shore

00:13:26.480 up labor and manufacturing in this country because one, AI is going to wipe out white collar jobs.

00:13:32.460 And we are facing population decline. You need as many factories and raw material sourcing in

00:13:39.320 this country as you can muster up. And that means right now we're going to bite the bullet.

00:13:45.480 It's going to be short term. The economy is not going to be very good, but long term it will be

00:13:49.560 stable. If we do nothing now, we fall flat on our faces. And it's coming. And it's coming.

00:13:58.620 We've got this story from the Hetchinger report. As college graduates fret over finding jobs,

00:14:05.740 a record shortage of workers is projected. Here's the good news for all of you. And I mean that

00:14:11.580 somewhat ironically. My friends, your white collar jobs are over. AI is going to eliminate 0.78

00:14:17.940 administrative work. AI right now can already handle accounting. It can already handle HR.

00:14:26.960 It can already handle general project management. You may still want to have a human around

00:14:32.620 overseeing these things, but we're talking about something like a 90 percent white collar labor 1.00

00:14:37.820 reduction. The question that I've long brought up is this to you guys. Comment below. What's more

00:14:43.800 difficult, producing a high quality Hollywood level song or album or filing managerial reports

00:14:56.100 for an insurance company or filing taxes? What do you think is more difficult? I am not saying this

00:15:00.940 to disparage the workers who do the clerical work that we need. I'm saying, obviously, if it was

00:15:06.300 easy to do this kind of music, you would have nothing but this kind, like you'd have just tons

00:15:11.440 of this music. The reality is it takes a degree of talent and skill to produce a song that isn't

00:15:17.700 required for filing paperwork or doing data entry. I am not trying to disparage people who do data

00:15:23.200 entry. I'm just saying you got to work really, really hard and have that talent to get to a

00:15:26.600 level where you can produce a song that is going to be considered a top 40, to have the right

00:15:31.380 audio balance and things of that nature. Why is it that, if that's the case, we've got music

00:15:38.920 generating AI that rivals major label studios, but not AI services that completely replace

00:15:46.480 most administrative jobs? If the administrative jobs are much more simple, shouldn't they have

00:15:52.820 been replaced already. I make the argument that the stories that I've heard, it's not so much

00:15:57.920 just an argument, but what I've heard from behind the scenes is that these big companies got together 0.99

00:16:02.260 and they all agreed we're not going to put out this technology package for eliminating white

00:16:06.860 collar work because that would destroy the economy. Music, who cares? So you've got a bunch

00:16:11.380 of AI music programs that have basically just, guys, when I say like music is over, wow,

00:16:17.840 it's getting crazy. But what would happen if all of these companies released their office package

00:16:22.740 It can handle automated emails.

00:16:25.180 It can handle scheduling.

00:16:26.660 So now you don't got to worry about putting the schedule together for your, you don't need a manager.

00:16:31.360 Your fast food restaurant just needs an assistant manager to look over the paperwork and make sure the machine, the AI is filing it correctly.

00:16:38.960 What I've heard is that they said, we're not going to put this out because it would destroy the economy overnight.

00:16:43.800 So these college graduates, I like how they're showing what appears to be like a mechanic or an engineer of some sort.

00:16:48.960 students at, okay, aeronautics working on a Cessna engine, right? Yeah, there's a job for

00:16:55.640 you guys. But what about the clerical work or the administrative work? A lot of the jobs that

00:17:02.840 people, music business, how about that? How much do you really need that anymore if AI can just

00:17:08.000 replace all of you? Sure, there's a shortage of workers, but it ain't you. It's a shortage of

00:17:14.440 laborers, and now it all makes sense. When I said you can't replace a middle manager with a

00:17:21.240 Honduran farmer, you're right. You can just get the AI to do the middle management work 1.00

00:17:28.540 and then prop up your economy with a Honduran farmer who does minimum wage tedium and purchases 0.96

00:17:35.100 goods from you. It's coming, my friends. The collapse is coming. The U.S. is hurtling towards 1.00

00:17:42.040 population decline, even as Americans say they want bigger families. Maybe things turn around

00:17:47.380 in a generation or two. But with the hurting economy, it's becoming harder and harder to

00:17:52.240 have a bunch of kids. They're saying, what, it costs like a million dollars per kid now?

00:17:57.300 Some insane number? From raising a child from birth to 18 years old takes somewhere like a

00:18:02.600 million bucks? I think I've heard maybe like $300,000 to $500,000 or more, upwards of a million

00:18:08.940 dollars, how do you do it? Our standard of living is going to decline, my friends, and I hope you

00:18:15.160 are all prepared for what this means. It's currently happening in Japan. The Wall Street 0.99

00:18:20.760 Journal. The people snapping up Japanese houses the locals won't touch. Vacated homes are a hot

00:18:26.800 item for Americans and other foreigners. Just watch out for termites. They're called the Kias. 1.00

00:18:30.780 the newly renovated home bought by melanie uoi uoi uoi and christian peluso serrano had set

00:18:39.200 empty for seven years story from march the house cut an impressive figure jutting from the main

00:18:45.720 road with its traditional wooden architecture indeed indeed let me see if i can find this uh

00:18:50.420 there's a website for this is this one a kia mart they call it let me uh let's try the map

00:18:57.680 and we'll pull this in and so uh you can see it all right loading properties check this out

00:19:03.300 one of the most notable locations is uh niigata let me see if i can uh i don't know my my japanese

00:19:11.160 geography so so uh bear with me what is this this is that's okinawa we got to go up here to japan

00:19:19.260 and uh let's see if we can search this area okinawa is beautiful so this is niigata

00:19:25.960 and there's tons of properties that pop up all over the place and let's see if we can find a

00:19:31.760 good property there was there there's uh there was one i saw that was a uh there's a 10 bedroom

00:19:37.380 for sixty thousand dollars here's one what is this one is that is that five bedroom i don't know

00:19:42.380 what that means circle k eight minute drive let's uh let's let's pull this bad boy so here's what's

00:19:47.900 happening japan's population has collapsed young people are moving out of these of niagata and

00:19:55.180 they're moving closer to Tokyo to be near young people. You don't want to live in a town where 0.99

00:20:00.860 you don't have anything to do and you have no one to talk to, so they want to move closer to the big

00:20:03.680 city. And Tokyo is massive. So you're seeing houses like this pop up that no one wants.

00:20:09.760 And they're beautiful. These are well-built houses. I mean, I don't know what this room is.

00:20:15.400 Not familiar with the Japanese style of architecture. I mean, we've all seen it.

00:20:19.780 But look at this house. And what's the price on this one? What are they selling this one for?

00:20:23.780 Niagata. And I just said, you know, do they not list the price here?

00:20:29.640 I don't know. Oh, $79,000. That's pretty wild. This house out here in the D.C. metro would be

00:20:37.260 like $800,000 to a million. Japan is actively courting young white Americans to move to Japan

00:20:46.120 because they consider them to be high skill and they need people to move into these areas.

00:20:50.660 So they said, hey, you can't afford a house where you live.

00:20:54.580 Come here.

00:20:55.260 Now, there's a challenge, of course, because being a foreigner in Japan is not something

00:20:57.780 that's really easy to do, but they are trying to do this.

00:21:00.820 Why?

00:21:01.880 No population.

00:21:03.360 They're going to be collapsing, decaying homes.

00:21:06.020 It's going to be like Gary, Indiana, or Detroit, for those that know what that looks like.

00:21:09.660 And it's coming here to the United States, my friends.

00:21:12.720 Millions of abandoned homes in Japan.

00:21:16.560 Japan's birth rate is around, I've heard estimates of 0.3 for the younger generation. 0.65

00:21:20.660 And the same thing is true for Gen Z. Gen Z's birth rate. Let me let me let me actually pull

00:21:25.780 this one up. Because Gen Z is supposed to be having kids right now. What is the fertility 1.00

00:21:32.260 rate of Gen Z in the U.S.? Because to be fair, Gen Z still is there's their 18 year old Gen Z. 0.67

00:21:40.680 We don't expect them to have kids. So it would still be somewhat on the lower end when you're 0.86

00:21:44.540 younger generation. Let's see. They don't have finalized or completed fertility rates as the

00:21:48.960 older members are only in their late 20s, and many are, you know, still young. But it is declining.

00:21:58.660 Birth rates are going way down. Let's see. Let's say lower projections. Let's see. The Gen Z's

00:22:08.620 fertility is projected to be around 1.5 or lower for some projections, lower than millennials

00:22:14.560 or prior generations. I'll just put it like this. There has never been a society, a civilization

00:22:21.340 that has survived fertility this low. In Japan, it's particularly bad. So they're going to have,

00:22:28.500 I mean, Niyagata is effectively a state, right? I think it's called, it's a prefecture.

00:22:33.000 Basically, that means state, I guess. It's different kind of governance, but you get the

00:22:37.760 point. And they got great skiing, by the way. Also, most people don't know this too, but I love

00:22:42.500 bringing this up. Okinawa is very, very far away. Look at this. Look at these Japanese islands way

00:22:47.360 down here near Taiwan. Isn't that crazy? Okinawa is right. You've heard of Okinawa. I know you 1.00

00:22:51.740 didn't. Look how low it is. Look how south it is. It's pretty crazy. So they know what's happening

00:22:57.540 and they're now begging people to move there. There have been reports that Japan is bringing

00:23:02.480 in migrant workers from India and Africa and there's been some negative news about it. This

00:23:07.000 has resulted in some anti-foreigner sentiment. So they've been putting out social media ads and

00:23:12.880 been promoting videos across the board, trying to get young white Americans, indeed, to move to

00:23:20.800 Japan. There is a decline in a population decline around the world. So everyone's going to be

00:23:28.260 competing as much as possible for people. So what does that mean? In the United States,

00:23:35.280 They are trying to get this housing bill passed.

00:23:36.920 Trump's holding it up, but it's likely going to pass anyway because it's got massive support.

00:23:39.720 It's going to cause home prices to collapse.

00:23:43.100 Collapse.

00:23:43.480 That means if you guys have a mortgage, you may find yourself underwater on that mortgage.

00:23:47.720 Your home will not be worth what your loan is.

00:23:50.860 Inflation may save the day eventually, but in the short term, you're going to be sitting

00:23:54.000 on that house for some time.

00:23:55.640 In the end, we're going to see deflation.

00:23:58.040 It goes something like this.

00:24:00.060 Less and less people to buy products.

00:24:02.300 So let's say you own a shoe store.

00:24:04.700 It's hypothetical.

00:24:06.280 And all of a sudden, people stop showing up.

00:24:08.840 You're now sitting on shoes you've had in inventory for like seven or eight months.

00:24:12.520 So what do you do?

00:24:13.240 You put them on sale.

00:24:15.080 I got to make money back somehow.

00:24:16.900 You're going to lose money on it, but you'll sell them at cost, right?

00:24:19.700 If you have to.

00:24:21.760 Desperate attempt to get people to come in.

00:24:22.960 Here's the problem.

00:24:24.240 Someone might come in and say, really?

00:24:25.800 Those are only 30 bucks?

00:24:26.620 I guess I'll buy them.

00:24:28.280 The problem is not enough people to buy shoes.

00:24:32.260 So even when you lower the prices, people will show up and say, I just don't need the shoes.

00:24:36.960 There's not enough people, there's not enough customers.

00:24:39.980 I describe it like this. 0.93

00:24:41.080 That's something you need to understand about immigration and population collapse.

00:24:45.040 And this is why I think what the Democrats have done is dangerous, why I think Trump's

00:24:48.340 strategy is largely better.

00:24:50.400 You have a town.

00:24:52.360 You want population growth.

00:24:54.160 You want more taxpayers.

00:24:57.320 So you say, we have this town of 100 people.

00:24:59.680 Let's bring in a hundred more people from Haiti or who knows, right?

00:25:04.040 And they come.

00:25:05.640 That city has one shoe store.

00:25:09.360 And the owner makes a decent living.

00:25:12.080 He's got a shoe store on Main Street.

00:25:13.420 And he makes a humble living, but enough to stay in business.

00:25:16.900 Well, all of a sudden, he's got too much business.

00:25:20.280 You got people coming in there buying up like crazy.

00:25:23.280 People are driving from across town.

00:25:24.860 And he says, look, we've done as much as we can.

00:25:27.160 Like, we're selling like crazy.

00:25:28.020 We're selling out.

00:25:29.200 What happens? Someone on the other side of town where the new migrants comes in says,

00:25:34.260 we want different styles of shoe, and we want to be able to cater to this new market. 1.00

00:25:38.600 So now you have two shoe stores, and they both do well. 200 people, two shoe stores.

00:25:45.560 But then population begins to decline for whatever reason. Maybe it's because of deportations. Maybe

00:25:52.100 Trump sends in ICE and deports people. Now you still have two shoe stores,

00:25:56.700 but you only have a hundred people. You could factor in the population decline

00:26:01.980 consider it because, let's say there's an oil rig and then once the oil ran out,

00:26:07.600 the people left. Maybe there's a temporary works project. For whatever reason, population declines

00:26:12.180 and you still have two shoe stores. Now, most people, first order of thinking is one of them

00:26:18.060 is going to have to close, right? One of them will go out of business. Incorrect. They both

00:26:23.000 go out of business. What happens is you have 100 people for each store. When 100 people leave,

00:26:30.360 you now have 50 people for each store, and they're not only going to just go to one.

00:26:35.260 Now these shoe stores are underwater. They're starting to take on debt, credit card debt. They

00:26:40.020 can't pay their property taxes because they don't have enough customers. They are choking each other

00:26:44.720 for resources. Eventually, they are both underwater, and they both go out of business.

00:26:50.300 And we see this time and time again.

00:26:52.880 It happens all over the place when population declines for whatever reason, maybe migration.

00:26:59.060 Now this town of 100 people has no shoe store.

00:27:02.280 So what do you do?

00:27:03.980 Well, eventually, after a few years, someone may actually open a shoe store to start catering

00:27:08.000 to the people of this town.

00:27:09.080 What actually ends up happening is that people leave.

00:27:11.940 The collapse precipitates a faster population collapse, resulting in a ghost town, a town

00:27:18.320 that was once healthy that had two shoe stores, grocery stores and everything you needed because

00:27:23.940 of a major burst of people followed by a collapse. It can't it can't really deflate very well.

00:27:31.940 Now, ultimately, what this means is there will be traveling salesmen, there will be desperate

00:27:35.960 individuals and prices will come crashing down. Cash will be king. And I don't mean physical cash.

00:27:41.060 I mean, your stocks are going to tank. Why? Nobody's going to buy them. There's not going

00:27:46.740 to be enough people to buy them, nor perception of the value to purchase it. People are going to

00:27:53.100 have a lot less money. One by one, someone's going to say, listen, just buy the shoes for $10. I need

00:27:58.280 the money. And someone will say, okay, fine, $10. Now the value of shoes down to $10 from $50,

00:28:03.440 from $90 even. You go to the grocery store and they're going to have food they can't afford to

00:28:07.940 sell. Farmers are going to have a surplus. They're going to say, listen, we need to sell this. I need

00:28:12.200 I need to be able to buy things, prices will come crashing down. And you know, it's not all bad in

00:28:19.340 the long run, but it could be devastating in the short term because this means depression,

00:28:25.740 recession. It means standard of living declining. But you know, maybe there's nothing you can do to

00:28:32.100 stop it because good times make weak men and weak men make hard times. The hard times are going to

00:28:38.460 come. And the strong men will emerge from this, and maybe things will start to get better.

00:28:43.000 But that's Strauss-Hout generational theory for you, my friends. And we are at the fourth turning.

00:28:48.080 Every year goes by, we talk about this. We are in the fourth season, they call it,

00:28:52.820 where there's an expectation of some kind of war or collapse.

00:28:57.880 This is interesting. Every 80 years, they say. Every 80 years, our civilization, our culture,

00:29:06.260 and its roots. Experienced great conflict. So I ask you, my friends, what was 80 years ago?

00:29:15.400 Most of you know this if you watch the show. It was World War I and II. 80 years ago,

00:29:20.120 we had the World Wars. What was 80 years before that? It's a civil war. What was 80 years before

00:29:27.160 that? It was the American War for Independence. What was 80 years before that? In fact,

00:29:33.300 Although we don't really track that history much the same because our country did not exist and we are part of the British colonies, in fact, there was a major international conflict.

00:29:44.200 So the interesting thing is, with the American War for Independence, this is an internal conflict.

00:29:50.880 This is the colonies, subjects of the crown, fighting against the crown for independence.

00:29:55.340 One faction of the British Empire trying to leave.

00:29:59.800 That was the American War for Independence.

00:30:02.680 But some argue the French intervention turned it into an international conflict.

00:30:07.780 Britain was at war with France and others, and thus there was an internal conflict, but it resulted in an international conflict.

00:30:17.380 Then we had the American Civil War 80 years later, an internal conflict.

00:30:22.220 Once again, one faction trying to break away from the other, although there was support from, you know, there was foreign intervention.

00:30:30.360 Interesting nonetheless.

00:30:31.280 However, it is largely viewed that the French intervention made the American War for Independence

00:30:36.800 international.

00:30:37.860 The Civil War was largely internal.

00:30:39.900 Eight years later, we had an international conflict.

00:30:42.180 If that pattern repeats, then with World War II being an international conflict, then we

00:30:47.340 would be looking at some kind of internal conflict coming up.

00:30:50.540 Maybe this is all prevented by population collapse, however.

00:30:53.700 I don't know for sure, my friends.

00:30:55.380 Of course, it's impossible to know unless you're a psychic or the government and you've

00:30:58.720 planned everything and it's one big conspiracy.

00:31:00.080 What I can say is these operations will continue.

00:31:03.980 I think population decline is going to result in people becoming a bit more isolated and insular.

00:31:09.820 So we'll see.

00:31:11.460 We will see.

00:31:12.920 In the meantime, consider what's being said and hope for the best, prepare for the worst.

00:31:16.540 Smash the like button, share the show with everyone you know, stay tuned.

00:31:18.500 We've got more coming up for you throughout the day.

00:31:19.720 Thanks for hanging out.

00:31:20.640 We'll see you all in the next show.

The Culture War - Tim Pool - July 13, 2026

ICE Agent KILLS MAN

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