The Culture War - Tim Pool - March 18, 2026


Leftist Democrats Get BLOWN OUT IN Election, Voters REJECT Marxist Democrats


Episode Stats


Length

33 minutes

Words per minute

197.26143

Word count

6,550

Sentence count

527

Harmful content

Misogyny

10

sentences flagged

Toxicity

16

sentences flagged

Hate speech

21

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In Illinois, the progressive wing of the Democratic Party was trounced in Tuesday's primary election. What does this mean for the midterms? And what does it say about the direction of the 2020 Democratic primary election?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
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00:00:30.420 Yesterday, Illinois held its primary elections, and the results will shock you.
00:00:37.100 Or maybe not.
00:00:38.300 The progressive left Democrats got completely blown out.
00:00:43.580 That is, the people of Illinois said, we do not want this far left brand of Democratic Socialists or whatever.
00:00:51.520 However, it would appear that the moderate Democrat types actually took a major victory.
00:00:57.980 So the question arises, what will happen in this November's midterm?
00:01:02.820 Kalshi is already predicting that Democrats have an 85% chance to take the House, and thus Republicans will lose what little control they currently have.
00:01:11.560 I think we are seeing the American people stepping up and saying no to the far left and to what we would describe as woke.
00:01:20.620 And if the Democrats can get rid of these terrible candidates who have supported wackaloon policies, they may actually take power back in this country and convince the disaffected liberal types to once again vote for the Democratic Party. 0.91
00:01:35.040 Now, that'd be shocking, because the challenge that I have, as many of you know, a disaffected liberal, is that many of these Democratic politicians have endorsed insane policies that are overtly racist or just outright, let's just call it crazy, like giving children trans surgery.
00:01:52.720 And many of these progressives, they don't believe it.
00:01:55.260 Many of these liberals, they will tell you it's not happening.
00:01:57.120 But do not know that it is happening, and regardless of whether or not it is massively widespread, it's just one issue where we look at Democrats as disingenuous.
00:02:07.420 Now, the Republican Party certainly has its rifts right now, particularly over the Iran war, with most Republicans being in favor of it, but independents pulling away.
00:02:16.120 This is bad, bad news for Republicans who don't want to admit they are losing independent voters over this, and they need to pitch them better.
00:02:24.100 If you simply just believe you guys are winning because the Republican Party is unified around Trump, you're going to lose the midterms.
00:02:32.180 I suppose the reality is Trump has already resigned himself to losing this midterm, so he's saying rally support from the base, get as much done as he can.
00:02:40.500 And then, come November, Democrats take the House and potentially even the Senate.
00:02:45.660 It looks like the prediction markets are suggesting Democrats will take both the House and the Senate, which is rather shocking.
00:02:52.680 And I don't know if it's absolutely going to be true.
00:02:54.880 There was a period where it was looking like Republicans would actually win, but welcome to a midterm year, my friends.
00:03:00.720 If Illinois suggests anything, it suggests that Republicans actually will news, but it's not going to be that bad because the winners in the Democratic side are going to be a bit more moderate.
00:03:12.500 Now, as I already mentioned, a bit more moderate may not be enough for the average voter, and thus, so long as the Democrats have embraced what we would describe as woke policies, like racial segregation in universities, which is a big issue, and teaching children about adult activities, you may actually still find people like me were not getting back on board with the Democrats.
00:03:33.640 And, of course, as you know, I'm from Illinois, I'm from Chicago, and my neighborhood voted for Donald Trump in 2024.
00:03:40.460 Now, let's break down exactly what is going on.
00:03:43.520 We've got big shifts, even with, in the Republican Party, the Turning Point chapter, I believe it's in Arkansas, has rebranded and denounced Turning Point as essentially abusing Charlie Kirk's name.
00:03:57.080 This matters because with the attacks on Turning Point and Erica Kirk, this is the organization that got young people out to vote.
00:04:04.060 It now seems, at least to a certain degree, crippled, and the news is not good.
00:04:09.060 This won't bode well for Republicans, my friends.
00:04:13.300 But let's jump into the news.
00:04:14.340 Before we do, make sure you guys head over to TimCast.com and join our Discord community.
00:04:20.760 Tens of thousands of people meeting up every day to share ideas, to build new projects, to teach, and to learn.
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00:04:31.340 You also, as a member of the Discord, get to call in to the uncensored portion of TimCast IRL Monday through Thursday at 10 p.m.
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00:04:46.600 If you want to support the work we're doing here today and the work that I do every single day, then please become a member to make this possible.
00:04:54.620 And get involved.
00:04:55.440 Do it for yourself.
00:04:56.900 Here's a story from Axios.
00:04:58.780 The squad left suffers complete wipeout in Illinois.
00:05:02.540 The left suffered a virtually total collapse in the Illinois Democratic congressional primaries on Tuesday night, even in races where the AIPAC-backed candidate lost.
00:05:12.540 I love how they have to throw that in there because you can't squeak by, right?
00:05:16.740 You gotta say it.
00:05:18.320 It's a bad sign for the dozens of insurgent Democrats running in congressional races across the country, both in open seats and as primary rivals to older, more establishment-oriented incumbents.
00:05:29.600 It's great news for House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who is most popular among the moderate and mainstream liberal wings of his party.
00:05:37.140 Most of the Democratic House candidates who have refused to commit to supporting Jeffries for leader or speaker are leftist insurgents.
00:05:43.340 And I, I would just love to see them go.
00:05:45.600 So, Kat Abugazela, Abugazela, I hope I'm pronouncing that right, a left-wing influencer and journalist backed by Justice Democrats in the Sunrise Movement, lost to Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss in the closely watched race in Illinois' 9th district.
00:06:00.900 Biss and Abugazela were both opposed by AIPAC, whose proxy, Elect Chicagoan, spent millions in support of pro-Israel state Senator Laura Fine, who came in third.
00:06:12.660 But AIPAC pivoted in the final week of the campaign to focusing its fire on the more pro-Palestinian Abugazela than Biss, who was backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus and Senator Elizabeth Warren.
00:06:23.980 Another AIPAC affiliate, Chicago Progressive Partnership, ran ads painting Abugazela as a closet Republican and boosting a lower-tier leftist in the race, Bushra Amawala.
00:06:34.740 A similar story played in the 8th district, where progressive Junaid Ahmed lost to moderate former rep Melissa Bean the pick of both AIPAC and crypto and AI-affiliated PACs.
00:06:47.700 This is wild.
00:06:48.740 Unlike Abugazela, however, Ahmed was supported by both CPC and Warren, as well as Justice Democrats, Senator Bernie Sanders, and a local Democratic Socialists of America chapter.
00:06:59.500 In Illinois' 2nd district, progressive state Senator Robert Peters came in a distant third by an AIPAC-backed Cook County Commissioner, Donna Miller, and former rep Jesse Jackson Jr.
00:07:08.740 And in the 7th district, CPC-backed labor leader Anthony Driver Jr. and progressive organizer Keena Collins finished third and fourth.
00:07:15.180 The race was won by state rep LaShawn Ford, who edged out AIPAC-backed Chicago Treasurer Melissa Conyers Irvin.
00:07:23.720 Life looks pretty good, AIPAC said in a post on X, boasting that Illinois voters rejected far-left would-be squad members who centered their campaigns on attacking Israel.
00:07:33.340 On the 9th district, they said in another post,
00:07:35.840 While disappointed Laura Fine didn't prevail, the pro-Israel community is proud to have helped defeat would-be squad members, 0.64
00:07:42.180 Katabu Gizela, and Bushra Amawala.
00:07:45.540 Left-wing groups focused on the money spent by AIPAC and AI and crypto-affiliated PACs,
00:07:50.380 also noted that many of the ads those groups ran touted the more moderate candidates as progressive fighters
00:07:54.900 while trying to undermine the left-wing bona fides of their leftist rivals.
00:07:59.360 We have the story from the Daily Mail, which lays it out in a little bit of a different way.
00:08:02.580 Woke Democrat, 26, who can't get out of bed in time for meetings, loses primary to professor accused of inappropriate relationship by former student.
00:08:13.640 Man.
00:08:14.920 Well, well, well.
00:08:16.420 What interesting times are these?
00:08:18.500 But I think it gets laid out pretty well by Angela Vander Plum on Acts, who says,
00:08:24.740 Katabu Gizela loses Illinois 9th.
00:08:27.180 Junaid Ahmed loses Illinois 8th.
00:08:29.020 Kina Collins loses Illinois 7th.
00:08:31.000 Joey Ruzovich loses the 6th.
00:08:32.880 Robert Peter is the 2nd.
00:08:34.460 Progressivism loses in every race in Illinois, followed by a,
00:08:38.480 Guys, I'm just gonna say it.
00:08:42.400 I'm biased.
00:08:42.900 I'm absolutely biased.
00:08:44.160 I long for a Democratic Party of moderates.
00:08:46.840 That's really, really it.
00:08:48.480 I do.
00:08:49.260 I love it when, you know, like I sit down with, you know, a conservative individual.
00:08:54.180 We disagree on things.
00:08:55.020 You know, Glenn Beck, I always had this conversation I had with Glenn Beck,
00:08:58.680 where I had a more traditional Democrat, like, 90s view of abortion.
00:09:03.320 It's wrong.
00:09:04.140 It shouldn't be used as contraception.
00:09:05.780 There are certain circumstances where it's gonna have to be up to the woman and the doctor,
00:09:09.660 but I do think it's wrong.
00:09:11.060 And Glenn Beck, the more, well, no, I'm pro-life.
00:09:13.520 I don't think we can allow this.
00:09:14.600 And we overwhelmingly agree.
00:09:16.960 We just kind of view it in a different way.
00:09:18.420 I love that, that we're Americans.
00:09:21.580 We love America.
00:09:22.340 We want this country to do better.
00:09:23.700 We disagree on some things.
00:09:25.180 I would love it if we had a Democratic Party that was basically like that.
00:09:28.920 We're all friends.
00:09:29.780 We get along.
00:09:30.260 We disagree on some things.
00:09:31.900 Instead, what we've had for a long time is, well, you've got mega Republicans that
00:09:36.340 largely want this country to be what this country was.
00:09:38.940 I'm sorry.
00:09:39.540 In the 90s, Donald Trump is basically like a Bill Clinton-esque, like, politician.
00:09:46.120 His policies are very reminiscent of the 90s Bill Clinton.
00:09:49.600 And so a lot of these working class individuals who vote for him want that moderate world back.
00:09:53.480 They want secure borders.
00:09:54.520 They want American manufacturing.
00:09:56.080 None of that is controversial.
00:09:57.460 But when you look to the progressive Democrats, you don't get any of that.
00:10:01.220 Now, Nate Silver says, there's plenty of appetite for progressivism within the Democratic electorate,
00:10:06.540 but the very online version of it doesn't really travel well.
00:10:10.360 Indeed, I agree.
00:10:11.560 Because Daniel Biss, as he's highlighting, is not a moderate.
00:10:15.900 He's just not one of these wackaloons who goes and fights with ICE. 0.97
00:10:19.920 Maybe he does.
00:10:20.600 I don't know.
00:10:20.900 But I didn't see that.
00:10:22.140 And Catabu-Guzela, while many people are pointing out that, in fact, she would have won,
00:10:28.040 progressives would have won.
00:10:29.220 But Laura Fine and Catabu-Guzela split the vote.
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00:11:31.140 I don't know that I necessarily believe that, because I do believe that APAC, as they pointed
00:11:36.520 out, wanted Laura Fine, but believe whatever you want, I suppose.
00:11:39.640 And we've got it right here from Robbie Suave.
00:11:41.000 Anyway, the left says Cataboo Gazala lost because she was too moderate Democrat, and the moderate
00:11:45.700 Dems think she lost because she's too left.
00:11:48.360 You've got this from Ryan Grimm.
00:11:50.160 Quoting another tweet where Ettinger says,
00:11:53.360 Wow, infuriating.
00:11:54.880 We all know whose fault this is for not dropping out.
00:11:57.800 That's right.
00:11:58.200 Laura Fine for not allowing Cat to consolidate the pro-war vote.
00:12:02.660 Huh?
00:12:03.780 Then you've got Ryan Grimm saying,
00:12:05.320 You cannot consolidate the progressive vote today while saber-rattling war with China.
00:12:10.320 That era is over.
00:12:11.620 You then have Alex Colston saying,
00:12:13.920 The one constructive thing I will offer is that I simply think if you're going to take
00:12:17.640 on the Democratic machinery from the left, you have to be unapologetic and politically
00:12:21.320 coherent without trying to pander and triangulate yourself into vague half measures, blah, blah, blah.
00:12:26.360 Tim Miller says,
00:12:27.360 Cataboo Gazala lost because she wasn't unapologetically leftist enough is the type of take you can 1.00
00:12:33.520 only really get cooked up on.
00:12:35.360 X.com.
00:12:36.620 Never change.
00:12:38.160 My, oh, my.
00:12:39.360 Well, let me play you this clip from CNN, which breaks down exactly why Cataboo Gazala
00:12:43.200 and the progressives lose.
00:12:45.100 Let me put it simply for you.
00:12:46.800 Do you think, honest question, and you guys can comment below,
00:12:49.180 non-citizens who entered the country illegally, you see I'm being, I'm being generous here,
00:12:53.600 should get access to public funding for medical benefits.
00:12:57.860 I know most older people are going to be like, my benefits are already low.
00:13:01.360 Why should we give them to people who aren't citizens? 1.00
00:13:03.120 But listen to this.
00:13:04.500 Everyone deserves health care.
00:13:05.940 Even illegals? 0.97
00:13:07.020 Every single person in the world deserves health care.
00:13:08.840 Just for the record, as a candidate, you're for illegal aliens getting Medicaid.
00:13:11.780 I think everyone in the world deserves health care.
00:13:13.500 That's a yes.
00:13:14.260 That's a yes.
00:13:14.740 I mean, it is a yes, but yeah.
00:13:17.940 It's a democratic position.
00:13:19.000 Illegal aliens should get Medicaid. 1.00
00:13:21.080 But I mean, I mean.
00:13:22.140 How is this controversial?
00:13:22.780 I don't.
00:13:23.680 How is that controversial?
00:13:25.800 Guys, I am in favor of what I describe as universal basic health care.
00:13:30.860 Let me explain what that means.
00:13:32.320 I differentiate it from universal health care because some things can't be treated.
00:13:36.400 That's why it doesn't make sense, right?
00:13:38.060 Somebody's got this rare form of cancer and you're like, we're going to put them in medical
00:13:41.200 care for eternity and spend millions of dollars on this.
00:13:43.160 But they're not going to make it anyway.
00:13:45.320 Now, I understand that's sad, okay?
00:13:47.160 I understand that we don't want people to die, but we can't cure literally every disease
00:13:51.560 or ailment.
00:13:53.120 It's just not possible.
00:13:54.280 That being said, there are stories of people who died because they didn't have insulin
00:13:57.060 or because they got the flu.
00:13:58.740 And that's crazy.
00:14:00.260 We can do it.
00:14:01.600 We can make it work.
00:14:02.960 Now, I'll admit, budget-wise, it's extremely difficult.
00:14:06.400 And I don't know that it's actually possible.
00:14:08.520 I would more say I'm in favor of a system by which, at least right now, we come together.
00:14:13.220 We explore the possibility.
00:14:14.880 Can we, if somebody has diabetes and they're dying, can we provide for them insulin?
00:14:18.600 I understand that at a certain point, the scale becomes so massive that you're providing
00:14:24.260 medications for literally everybody.
00:14:25.700 The question is, is the treatment cheap enough so that it's negligible?
00:14:28.820 Because I got to be honest, the idea of someone dying because they didn't have a couple
00:14:31.260 hundred bucks for insulin horrifies me.
00:14:33.580 And I would gladly give the money to somebody who said, please, I need a couple hundred bucks
00:14:37.640 to live.
00:14:38.000 If I'd be like, yes, done, no problem.
00:14:40.140 I don't want to force people to do it.
00:14:42.240 But the issue that I largely have with universal health care is morbid obesity, laziness, unhealthy
00:14:47.460 behavior, smoking, drug abuse, et cetera.
00:14:49.460 So I don't want to pay for those things.
00:14:51.620 That's where the issue comes in.
00:14:52.940 So how about this?
00:14:54.600 Universal basic health care.
00:14:55.600 We're not going to cover the cost of advanced diseases that are, that are rare and hard to
00:14:58.920 treat.
00:14:59.240 But if you break an arm, we'll set it.
00:15:01.140 If you, uh, uh, you have the flu, we'll give you Tamiflu.
00:15:05.060 If you submit to yearly physicals and maintain proper health markers, how does that sound?
00:15:09.680 But anyway, I digress.
00:15:11.040 That's my opinion.
00:15:11.780 And the reason I bring it up is because if a Democrat came out and said, this is the
00:15:15.680 system I want to strive for, I know it'll be difficult to fund, but I'd like to have
00:15:18.920 those negotiations.
00:15:19.580 I'd be like, thank you.
00:15:20.440 That sounds reasonable.
00:15:21.480 Instead, we get this.
00:15:23.360 How was it controversial?
00:15:24.340 Why was it controversial that they didn't want someone to die in the hospital if they
00:15:27.620 can't afford it?
00:15:28.100 What do you think pays for health care when undocumented people show up at a hospital? 1.00
00:15:34.080 Who pays for that? 1.00
00:15:35.040 We all pay for it.
00:15:36.100 Exactly.
00:15:36.400 Including undocumented people because they actually can treat it. 1.00
00:15:38.420 That's the point.
00:15:39.360 That's the point.
00:15:39.840 But we do realize that undocumented people.
00:15:41.820 This is CNN.
00:15:43.100 They're supposed to be news.
00:15:44.520 They're supposed to be moderate.
00:15:45.740 When someone goes to a hospital and they get treated and don't pay for it, it jacks the
00:15:49.500 price up for everybody else.
00:15:50.440 And our health care system is completely broken.
00:15:51.920 So no, we cannot guarantee the labor of individuals, specialists, nonetheless, nurses and doctors
00:15:57.420 to individuals who just should appear illegally when our own people are struggling with it.
00:16:01.800 You know what?
00:16:02.700 This is what I'm talking about with like 90s Aries Clinton, 90s eras Clinton.
00:16:06.460 Close the border down, right?
00:16:07.880 We allow for legal immigration at controlled rates to make sure that we're not flooding the 0.89
00:16:11.920 zone and hurting resources that we need for our brothers and sisters, our citizens. 0.68
00:16:17.380 And then maybe we can pull it off.
00:16:19.700 Who pays for the welfare system in this country generally?
00:16:21.820 I want to remind you and Brad.
00:16:23.420 Are you for it or not?
00:16:24.560 Can I start my logic train with you?
00:16:25.700 Are you for it or not?
00:16:26.400 My logic train starts with the fact that I don't want to kick 11 million people off of
00:16:31.500 Medicaid.
00:16:31.700 Do you want illegal aliens on or not? 0.99
00:16:33.400 Do I want to, first of all, do I want undocumented citizens to have health care? 1.00
00:16:36.880 The answer is yes.
00:16:37.940 Scott, do you want them to not get insulin if they're diabetic?
00:16:41.020 I want Medicaid to exist first and foremost for American citizens who need it.
00:16:47.060 What about second?
00:16:48.120 How about this?
00:16:48.540 When the people that are that are that are picking your peaches, I'm going to say it very,
00:16:53.140 very simply for all of you.
00:16:54.740 If you came to me and said, here is an illegal immigrant.
00:16:58.800 He has entered the country illegally, intentionally breaking your laws. 0.99
00:17:02.120 And we are now going to put him in line to receive medical benefits.
00:17:05.980 I would say, take him off, place him on a plane and send him home.
00:17:11.440 That is mercy.
00:17:13.820 The idea that you would have an American citizen die of diabetes, which has happened
00:17:19.520 from diabetes, from complications due to diabetes, they can't get insulin, and then argue that
00:17:23.760 illegal immigrants should deserve that is shocking to me. 1.00
00:17:26.940 And that is controversial.
00:17:28.280 Yeah, I'm passionate about Americans.
00:17:29.380 Very passionate for the illegals.
00:17:30.340 No, I'm passionate for Americans.
00:17:31.540 How dare you want people to be alive?
00:17:33.160 How dare you?
00:17:33.660 I'm passionate for the illegals.
00:17:34.740 Bring more.
00:17:35.960 No, I actually want safe and secure borders.
00:17:38.480 We need more.
00:17:39.000 To make your vision of America work, we need more illegals who get more benefits. 1.00
00:17:42.480 That's your version of America. 0.87
00:17:43.780 No, what I want from America is a place that was promised to us, Scott.
00:17:47.700 To the illegals. 0.99
00:17:47.980 Like you do.
00:17:48.580 No, it was promised to us.
00:17:50.280 It was promised to us.
00:17:51.240 Us, me, and you.
00:17:53.020 Black and white.
00:17:53.800 Brown.
00:17:54.360 Scott, do you think that your family was born here?
00:17:56.920 You weren't born here, Scott.
00:17:58.240 I was born in...
00:17:58.980 First of all, where did your family come from?
00:18:01.080 My family wasn't born here.
00:18:02.200 My family was actually from Sierra Leone.
00:18:04.600 Scott, you're making it.
00:18:05.260 No, I'm making it.
00:18:06.200 This is the insanity of the Democratic Party, and that CNN is trying to entertain this as
00:18:10.380 though it's middle of the road is absolutely insane. 0.57
00:18:14.060 It, it, it, it, absolutely, absolutely insane.
00:18:18.620 Scott Jennings, the mask came off last night.
00:18:21.340 Scott is the moderate in this situation.
00:18:23.900 The moderate.
00:18:24.660 He's not arguing for anything crazy or, or, or fringe or far left or far right.
00:18:29.060 He's just saying Medicaid should be for American citizens.
00:18:31.660 In fact, the more conservative position would probably be that we should cut the benefits
00:18:35.080 to Medicaid because it, it, it creates a welfare system. 0.64
00:18:38.420 That's a problem.
00:18:39.220 In the middle of the road, the moderate position is just have it for Americans.
00:18:42.900 And this is the problem that I have.
00:18:44.260 The argument presented by these, these progressives, and again, this is not Kat Obuguzela, but she
00:18:48.560 was in that.
00:18:49.040 That's why I bring it up, is that we were, we were not from here.
00:18:53.100 Well, let me tell you, I'm from here.
00:18:56.040 I was born in Chicago.
00:18:58.620 My dad was born in America.
00:19:00.080 My mom was born in America.
00:19:01.660 And, uh, yeah, I'm from here now.
00:19:05.000 Certainly I have a Asian grandmother, but the point is this, are we going to go to every
00:19:09.620 single country ever and then track back how long you've been here and then do a seniority
00:19:13.020 thing?
00:19:13.340 Well, let's see your eighth generation German, but your neighbor is seventh and he actually 0.99
00:19:18.220 came from France.
00:19:19.420 So you don't get benefits. 1.00
00:19:20.780 That's the stupidest thing I have ever heard. 1.00
00:19:23.220 Now the Washington post breaks it down saying Illinois shows democratic voters aren't ready 1.00
00:19:27.200 to march off a cliff.
00:19:28.360 And I would like to give a, a round of applause.
00:19:31.260 Thank you, Illinois, for saying no to these wackaloons. 1.00
00:19:34.180 Not that I think the democratic party is all that great.
00:19:36.500 Mind you, because every Democrat is still in favor of crazy policies, abortion to the 0.98
00:19:40.860 point of birth.
00:19:41.700 Don't believe me guys, please just look up Colorado.
00:19:44.140 I go to my friends and I tell them, look, I'm, I'm like nineties pro-choice, right?
00:19:49.000 Meaning I don't like abortion.
00:19:51.260 I think it's wrong.
00:19:52.080 It should not be as contraception.
00:19:53.440 It should be restricted to a certain point, but there are complications where a pregnancy
00:19:57.640 may be terminated that I don't think it makes sense to have to go get a writ from a judge.
00:20:01.000 I don't want abortion to happen. 0.88
00:20:03.280 I don't want women terminating pregnancies for no reason. 1.00
00:20:05.800 We agree with that with the pro-lifers, but then there's a functional element there.
00:20:10.140 I go and talk to my friends this, I tell them this and they say there is no such thing as
00:20:14.040 unrestrained abortion to the point of birth.
00:20:15.400 And I'm like, yeah, Virginia tried passing it.
00:20:17.020 Colorado did pass it.
00:20:18.840 California's got it.
00:20:19.440 There's a bunch of states that have this where you can abort the baby at nine months.
00:20:22.940 They go, no, it never happens.
00:20:23.840 And I'm like, okay, fine.
00:20:25.200 We're in agreement.
00:20:25.860 It doesn't happen.
00:20:26.740 So let's just ban it then.
00:20:28.240 No, but if it doesn't happen, who cares?
00:20:30.800 Like if I said, we're going to pass a law making it illegal to, I don't know, like surf
00:20:34.720 on the sun, people would be like, but that's impossible.
00:20:37.900 Agreed.
00:20:38.260 It never happens.
00:20:38.860 So why, who cares, right?
00:20:41.440 If it never happens, why not just say, don't, don't allow it to happen?
00:20:45.240 Well, the truth is they know what happens and they're lying.
00:20:47.820 Washington Post says democratic primaries lately have been like a high wire circus act.
00:20:51.540 That's always on the cusp of falling, but never does.
00:20:54.560 Tuesday's primaries in Illinois were another win for the center left democratic establishment
00:20:57.900 against more progressive or outsider elements.
00:21:00.920 Overall, its candidates continue to lean left, but the party is mostly avoiding a tumble into
00:21:04.880 the abyss.
00:21:05.320 The hotly contested race Tuesday for Illinois' 9th district, blah, blah, blah.
00:21:08.760 We get it.
00:21:09.840 We get the point.
00:21:10.460 We know it.
00:21:10.820 We know the point that they're trying to make.
00:21:12.500 I want to show you this.
00:21:13.580 This is a clip of the New York governor, Kathy Ockel.
00:21:16.200 I didn't believe it until I saw the video, says Gregory Kennedy.
00:21:19.240 The governor of New York is begging rich people to move back to fund their social programs.
00:21:23.580 So like, I guess there are consequences for overtaxation after all.
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00:21:59.920 I know New Yorkers are exasperated.
00:22:03.240 They feel that it's everything stacked against them.
00:22:07.040 They're not getting ahead.
00:22:08.100 Their rents are too damn high.
00:22:09.440 Their child care costs are high.
00:22:10.960 Their utility bills and thank you to Washington.
00:22:14.080 We're going to have higher prices at the pump.
00:22:16.020 We already do.
00:22:16.980 Everything just seems so hard for people.
00:22:19.240 So I understand that frustration.
00:22:20.800 You should join me in the North country yesterday in Ogdensburg and Watertown.
00:22:25.060 And people are so upset about the tariffs raising the cost of everything.
00:22:29.940 So there is this anxiety, which is real, and we're continuing to address the affordability crisis,
00:22:35.060 which I believe should be the number one priority of this legislative session.
00:22:38.280 What can we do to take off some of that pain that New Yorkers are feeling that I hear about literally every day?
00:22:44.500 What I want to make sure we are smart about is having a system in place where it's not just taxing for the sake of taxing
00:22:53.340 and being conscious of the facts that I need people who are high net worth to support the generous social programs that we want to have in our state.
00:23:03.100 Indeed you do.
00:23:05.920 My friends, I brought this up last week.
00:23:08.540 I was asked by a big company as, let me just explain what's going on in the media space.
00:23:13.860 Big companies are looking to buy up smaller companies because they know that the narrative machine is dead.
00:23:18.580 They know that network television is dead.
00:23:20.400 I had a company reach out and say, would you be interested in strategic investment?
00:23:22.700 And I will stress that we absolutely are.
00:23:25.980 We're a mom and pop shop, and we've grown as large as we can go as individuals.
00:23:30.700 So we need help from people who know how to network and grow stuff.
00:23:34.720 Like, for instance, our audio side has always been lacking.
00:23:37.200 Audio, it's not video, but like our podcast distribution.
00:23:40.160 And they said, we'd be interested in working with you.
00:23:42.700 And I was like, you know, I'm always interested to hear what people have to say.
00:23:45.160 And they said, would you be interested in working out of New York?
00:23:46.780 I said, it's never going to happen.
00:23:47.620 And they said, really, New York's got a great, it's a great opportunity.
00:23:51.960 We have space available.
00:23:53.060 It would lower your costs.
00:23:54.220 It would help network.
00:23:55.500 And I said, New York's taxes are prohibitive.
00:24:00.460 We would lose money by going there.
00:24:02.740 And so it's just not worth it at all.
00:24:05.860 And they're like, no, okay.
00:24:07.660 And as an aside, I will just say this.
00:24:09.500 Some people may be like, what do you mean, Tim, you're talking with investors?
00:24:11.420 We've been talking with investors for six years, right?
00:24:13.360 They always come around.
00:24:14.500 And I've told stories of going to these networking meetings where I'm like,
00:24:16.700 I throw the contract in the garbage.
00:24:18.200 So these conversations always happen.
00:24:20.340 And I was like, yeah, Texas is a maybe, right?
00:24:23.180 I was going to say, but New York is, no way.
00:24:26.520 Florida's a maybe, Texas is a maybe.
00:24:28.300 Or we might just stay in West Virginia, who knows?
00:24:30.460 But it is true that we have been, you know,
00:24:33.400 companies have reached out to us, I'll put it like that.
00:24:35.400 But that's an aside, that's an aside.
00:24:37.260 Kelsey, with the current prediction market,
00:24:39.520 the Democratic Party currently has an 84% chance to win.
00:24:42.540 My friends, you see how close it got with the Republicans jumping up?
00:24:47.120 This was an amazing period last October where we said,
00:24:49.500 maybe the Republicans can buck the trend with tremendous victories.
00:24:53.640 It can be one of the first times in our lifetimes, if not the first time,
00:24:57.140 that the president's party doesn't lose control of the House in the midterm,
00:25:00.780 which they usually do because people get upset,
00:25:03.540 they blame who's in power, and they vote the other way.
00:25:06.380 Well, my friends, the prediction market is at least saying right now,
00:25:09.040 Democrats is going to take it.
00:25:11.120 And that's bad news for Donald Trump.
00:25:13.220 However, the New York Times says,
00:25:14.940 Trump's gutting of election security fuels worries for the midterms.
00:25:18.020 Not for me!
00:25:19.280 Officials say the crippling of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency,
00:25:22.840 which the president himself created,
00:25:23.980 could open elections to cyber attacks and foreign influence.
00:25:27.460 Really?
00:25:28.780 Well, they're going to make the argument that Trump is playing dirty games.
00:25:31.940 The Daily Beast says,
00:25:32.720 Trump ally 80, masterminding major midterm shakeup plot.
00:25:37.780 Right.
00:25:38.260 If the Republicans actually end up winning,
00:25:40.520 they're going to claim it's one big con and that Trump cheated
00:25:43.600 because this is the game that's being played these days.
00:25:46.020 That's why you often hear me talk about civil war.
00:25:49.360 Because nobody can just win.
00:25:51.500 Trump wins in 2016, Russia did it.
00:25:53.460 Biden wins in 2020, China, Venezuela, whoever you want to blame did it.
00:25:57.620 Then Trump wins in 2024.
00:25:59.260 And yes, yes, my friends,
00:26:01.640 there are communities online on Reddit with thousands of followers
00:26:04.860 claiming the 2024 election was stolen.
00:26:07.020 It's not as pronounced.
00:26:08.460 Trump won fairly cleanly.
00:26:09.860 So maybe we will get away from this and just have a regular election for once.
00:26:13.900 The progressives have lost.
00:26:15.740 Maybe it'll be boring in November.
00:26:18.280 I know we're going to have an extended Timcast IRL for you.
00:26:20.960 We're going to order pizza and wings and we're going to drink and,
00:26:23.180 you know, drink soda pop.
00:26:25.160 Talk about Mountain Dews, baby. 0.99
00:26:26.320 Hopefully, you know, we're going to be drinking and watching the results.
00:26:30.280 But hopefully it's uneventful, just like 2024 was.
00:26:33.200 We thought, so we went down to Nashville to hang out with the Daily Wire for election night.
00:26:38.020 They asked if I would want to come on their election stream.
00:26:39.940 And I said, well, what if we did the show there?
00:26:41.280 And they said, yes, it'd be cool.
00:26:42.440 And then I said, hold on.
00:26:43.840 I just thought of something.
00:26:44.820 What if it takes like a week to get the results?
00:26:46.540 They're like, that's a good point.
00:26:48.080 And they were like, you guys can come and work.
00:26:50.480 We'll set you up for the week.
00:26:51.640 And then I said, that'll be, that'll be great.
00:26:53.260 We'll do the whole week there just in case.
00:26:55.180 And that way we have the weekend to travel back if the, if we still don't have the results.
00:26:58.980 And then it was like within, within two hours, they're like Trump wins.
00:27:01.560 And we were like, what? 0.99
00:27:02.820 And everybody was just like, holy crap. 0.99
00:27:04.860 Trump just won. 0.97
00:27:06.200 So hopefully we get something like that.
00:27:09.740 But take a look at this.
00:27:12.100 University of Arkansas TPUSA chapter dissolves, rebrands as Young American Revival.
00:27:18.080 There is a change happening.
00:27:20.680 They said, after discussion with my executive board, we have come to the unanimous decision
00:27:23.140 to dissolve our affiliation with Turning Point USA and rebrand our registered student organization
00:27:26.160 under our own label, Young American Revival at the University of Arkansas.
00:27:30.380 We have many grievances with Turning Point USA, which we will shortly make known to them
00:27:33.540 in private, but I will share only one.
00:27:35.360 We are generally put off by how Charlie Kirk has been used by TPUSA since his assassination.
00:27:39.900 Statements like Charlie would have said, and Charlie would have wanted, have felt in many
00:27:43.460 instances disingenuous and manipulative.
00:27:45.600 Charlie Kirk cannot speak for himself anymore.
00:27:46.980 We do not recognize the way others have attempted to speak for him.
00:27:50.360 It's interesting.
00:27:51.420 What I will simply say is this, whatever your opinion on Turning Point USA is, I had warned
00:27:56.320 this in the past, and I'm going to say it.
00:27:58.740 People at Turning Point USA got mad at me personally, resulting in my disinvitation, despite being
00:28:05.560 at AmFest the past three years in a row, on stage doing TimCast IRL.
00:28:10.760 We were disinvited because I said there are people who feel Turning Point can't survive
00:28:15.100 without Charlie.
00:28:15.800 And of course, after, excuse me, announcing that I was going to come, many of my friends
00:28:20.420 who still work with Turning Point were like, Tim, no, no, no, we're going to resolve this.
00:28:23.120 This shouldn't have happened.
00:28:24.020 And I said, guys, it's just not the same.
00:28:26.660 And in many ways, I understand exactly what these young people are saying.
00:28:30.820 And I feel that there's, there's a bit of a motivation overlap between why I said, we're
00:28:36.820 just not going to go.
00:28:37.700 They were very nice to me.
00:28:38.680 Erica was very nice to me.
00:28:39.620 They said, you know, we're sorry.
00:28:40.880 This shouldn't have happened.
00:28:41.520 Please come.
00:28:41.980 And I just said, guys, I'm not interested, right?
00:28:45.340 I appreciate it, but I'm not going to come crawling back.
00:28:47.520 If you guys didn't want to have me and you booked our slot, it's not happening.
00:28:50.520 And here's what I said.
00:28:52.420 I told Charlie the year prior, he had the makings of the next South by Southwest.
00:29:00.080 Phoenix in December was turning into a hotspot.
00:29:03.280 James O'Keefe's parties had lines wrapping around the block.
00:29:06.440 What a privilege and honor that James would walk me into the private backdoor entrance VIP.
00:29:10.140 James, you're a gentleman and a scholar.
00:29:11.320 It's a privilege to be involved and be welcome at your parties.
00:29:14.760 And he had me play music and he asked me to again last year.
00:29:18.620 And it makes me, I am humbled.
00:29:21.180 I am genuinely humbled.
00:29:23.260 We were going to throw a party in Phoenix.
00:29:25.360 We were going to do the Timcast party.
00:29:27.240 The Daily Wire had a party.
00:29:28.600 And I was just so inspired.
00:29:29.960 I said, guys, it's going to be amazing.
00:29:31.160 I mean, for this, this, you know, five day period, you're going to have people from all
00:29:34.780 different backgrounds.
00:29:35.720 I mean, you might even get liberals and libertarians showing up to have this political influence.
00:29:39.440 Charlie and Turning Point have built something amazing.
00:29:41.320 And then all this went down and I said, it seems like Turning Point's focus has shifted
00:29:46.780 away from the big tent coalition and towards traditional conservatism, which is going to
00:29:53.680 ice out people like me, whether intentionally or otherwise.
00:29:57.520 And you know what I, what it had seemed is that the slot that I'd normally had for Timcast IRL was a big slot.
00:30:04.480 I get it.
00:30:06.140 And it was filled with men in suits talking about conservative issues.
00:30:10.380 And that was always my, my, my challenge was that a lot of Turning Point USA AMFest was men in suits coming out and talking about the same thing.
00:30:19.480 But Charlie knew this.
00:30:21.360 So he brought on people like Cenk Uygur, in which case you brought an eclectic bunch.
00:30:25.940 And he came on my show where you have Luke Rutkowski, a more anarchist, libertarian type.
00:30:30.900 And Ian Crossland, God knows what he is because he knew that these conversations needed to happen and he was welcome to having them.
00:30:38.300 Without him as one of the most prominent voices and organizations rallying young people to vote,
00:30:43.260 I'm curious if the Republican party can muster up enough to actually win this midterm.
00:30:50.580 Now, I don't know.
00:30:52.000 We will see, but the times they are a changing.
00:30:54.460 James Carville, on the other hand, says Trump's going to leave office next year out of frustration after losing the midterms.
00:31:02.380 James, what have you been right about in the past 20 years?
00:31:05.600 Come on, spare me.
00:31:06.860 Trump's not going to leave office.
00:31:08.800 He's going to be frustrated about the midterms, but there is still, I got to, I got to give it as a funny story.
00:31:13.820 There are rumors going around that Trump is preparing a third term because on the White House, it says Trump 2024 and on.
00:31:20.940 And they're saying, oh my God, he should put 25 to 29.
00:31:25.260 That's his term.
00:31:26.320 But because he didn't cap it, it means he's going to run again.
00:31:28.900 And then other leftists came out and they're like, no, it means he's going to resign early.
00:31:33.220 So he hasn't put the date yet.
00:31:34.160 And I'm just like, oh my God.
00:31:35.720 Well, I have no idea what's going to happen.
00:31:38.280 But to be honest, and I don't mean this in any way derisively to Trump,
00:31:41.200 I wouldn't be surprised if he did resign and hand things over to J.D. Vance.
00:31:45.880 There have been some bublings up in the beltway that J.D. Vance's best chance at the presidency would actually be a Trump resignation.
00:31:53.240 And it's not entirely out of the question as Trump is an old man.
00:31:56.700 In fact, he is currently, I believe he's the oldest president we've ever had at this point.
00:31:59.720 But again, that's not to say derisively like Trump would bow in shame.
00:32:04.160 No, he may just say, I want to be with my family.
00:32:07.120 I think the probability of that is remarkably low.
00:32:09.100 But there are some people who do believe that is a possibility.
00:32:12.620 In the meantime, I can only say this.
00:32:14.640 Several years ago, it's about eight years ago, I believe it was when AOC won.
00:32:18.360 I celebrated. 0.99
00:32:19.660 I said, I am sick of the uniparty shills and the garbage in Congress. 0.98
00:32:24.400 So to see these people get primaried was a welcome sight. 0.98
00:32:27.540 Then we saw what AOC actually was. 1.00
00:32:29.240 And she's a grifter and she's a liar. 1.00
00:32:31.480 She fabricated that fake January 6th story, among other things. 1.00
00:32:34.640 And now I'm just going like, oh, maybe I was wrong about that, huh?
00:32:38.100 So I see the progressives actually lose.
00:32:40.060 I say, you know what?
00:32:40.800 I will take it.
00:32:41.760 I will take it. 1.00
00:32:43.280 These people are nuts. 1.00
00:32:45.100 I'm not going to say the system is perfect and Congress is entirely dysfunctional, 0.99
00:32:48.100 but some normalcy would be nice.
00:32:50.060 I'm going to leave there, my friend.
00:32:50.960 Smash the like button.
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00:33:04.200 Thanks for hanging out.
00:33:05.380 And we'll see you all in the next segment.
00:33:07.000 Or actually, I think, yeah, we got more segments coming up.
00:33:10.180 I'm working hard, guys.
00:33:11.920 We'll see you.