Should America END The H1-B Visa Program? MAGA SPLITS Over H1-B
Episode Stats
Length
2 hours and 7 minutes
Words per Minute
190.31622
Hate Speech Sentences
136
Summary
The H-1B visa is one of the most controversial issues in American politics right now, and there's no question that it's a hot topic that needs to be debated. This week, we're joined by the Cato Institute's David Beer, Daniel DiMartino, and Brian Kachanek to discuss the issue.
Transcript
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Their entrance makes the bingo balls rumble in fear.
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The free space is free out of respect for them,
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They're not just grandmas, they're grandmasters.
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Learn what it takes to be a bingo master at grandmasters.ca.
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between Elon Musk and the MAGA base over H-1B visas.
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We had Elon and Vivek versus Stephen Miller and Steve Bannon.
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We had people, even Bernie, saying Bernie's right
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with his comments on the H-1B nightmare yesterday.
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We brought in a panel of experts to go over everything H-1B.
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So, we should probably just jump into the big debate.
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So, I'll go around the room, and everybody can introduce yourself.
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I'm David Beer, Director of Immigration Studies at the Cato Institute.
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The Cato Institute is a nonpartisan public policy research organization
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And for the last 40 years, or almost 50 years now, we've been producing original research
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And most of the people who work there are libertarians, including myself.
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I'm Daniel DiMartino, and I'm a fellow at the Manhattan Institute focused on immigration.
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I'm finished on my Ph.D. in economics at Columbia University, and I run an organization called
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The Dissident Project, where we send immigrants who escaped tyrannical countries to speak at
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high schools, tell our stories, and educate children here about really the amazing thing
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that America is and how blessed we are to live here.
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I'm a staff writer at National Review, the flagship conservative magazine in America,
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And we host a whole number of op-eds and interesting scholarly articles and have for many decades
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on the immigration issue from experts like Mark Krikorian at the Center for Immigration
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He's a professor at Boston College who I actually had at Boston College when I did a political
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I'm the guest services lead here at Timcast, former Air Force, former defense contractor.
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I worked alongside H-1B visa holders before in the defense contracting industry.
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And I'm just here to gain some insight on what people view or how people view H-1B visa holders
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and if there is a way forward to potentially reform the application system, things of that
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It should be a fun conversation, especially because it's in the news right now.
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So Trump's kind of finding himself at a crossroads right now.
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You know, he had to build a coalition basically to get elected.
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But, you know, a new Rasmussen poll says about 60 percent of voters don't want H-1B workers.
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So first of all, I don't think that most people even really know what H-1B workers are or what
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So why don't we jump into exactly what that is, what type of visas there are for workers,
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if they're specialty workers or not, and kind of go from there.
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Well, the H-1B visa is just one of the many visas that the U.S. government has for people
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who are abroad, who want to come here to work specifically.
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In order to get an H-1B, you need an employer to file an application on the behalf of the
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You need like an application with the Department of Labor.
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After that's approved, you need an application with USCIS.
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If you're a for-profit company, this is most of the U.S. sector, you need to go through a
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There's only 85,000 of these visas, unless you're a cap-exempt organization, we can talk
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And anyway, so because there's so much more demand and supply for these individuals, usually
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there's like a 20% selection rate, meaning 80% just don't get it.
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And you need a college degree to get this visa.
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You need to at least affirm that you're paying a wage that is similar to those of employees
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doing the same job with the same experience in that field.
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And anyway, this is the main really visa in which people can come to the U.S. for work
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It's a dual intent visa, meaning you're allowed to do that.
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And it's a visa in which many important people have come, but also a visa that's been abused
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through third-party organizations that we can talk about.
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But there's, so 70, I think it's 73 to 75% all come from India, right?
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And about 12% come from China, if I have that correct.
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It's 73% of the current visa holders are from India, but actually of the new visas is only
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And the reason is that Indians cannot adjust to a green card.
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So they all remain on H-1Bs while the Europeans, the Africans, the Latin Americans all leave the
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Right, because as soon as you have your H-1B, do you have to wait the three years?
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Or I'm pretty sure that you have to wait the three years and then you can apply for your
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No, you can apply just while you're here, right?
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Your employer has to initiate the process for you to even start.
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It's kind of their option for when they want to do it.
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And even if they do start it right away, the process to go through the green card process
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is going to take probably about three years for them to get through it.
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So even though it's a three year and then you can renew it once, you're stuck in that
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scenario of at least three years of being on the H-1B once you get here, regardless.
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So the big problem is that Americans are saying, well, this hurts American workers.
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The people that are coming in on these H-1B visas, they're getting paid lower wages and
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it's competing for American jobs and that it's not the best and the brightest, that it's being
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So I guess what we really want to know is what are the merits of this?
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And how do we solve this dilemma that the people clearly on X are saying?
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Well, I don't think it's just that group, right?
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I mean, you have the, I would call them the Stone Age conservatives who want to make everything
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themselves and because that's what we did in the Stone Age or because they don't understand
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But you also have this other group, I would call them the Snowflake conservatives, who are
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just offended at the idea of ethnic and religious and cultural diversity in the United States.
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You get that from the left, but that's not how those people actually are.
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I do think it's a fallacy to just call these people racist and bigots.
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I just said they were offended by the presence of people who have ethnic and religious and cultural.
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They're saying, I don't want foreign cultures in my culture.
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I mean, I do agree that that's part of what happened on Twitter.
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And like you can see like there's organizations like Hindus for America First, where Republican
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But I do think that the main concern from average people is that, you know, it's an economic concern.
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And you see that, you know, we have polling at the Manhattan Institute.
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I don't disagree that it's the main concern, but the thing that touched this whole debate
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off was a Trump, was a Trump appointee, right, who was Indian.
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So the idea that it's purely about policy disagreements or economics even is, I just don't believe
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But I do think, so there's those two groups, but then you have the American First market
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conservatives like Daniel, like Musk and Vivek, who want to see the United States be the most
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economically prosperous and vibrant place on planet Earth, who want to bring people here
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who are going to contribute in a significant way.
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But I think they're outnumbered, and they feel that they are outnumbered.
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So they're constantly making concessions to these other groups.
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And you see it with Elon initially starting out saying, really bold, I will go to my grave
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And then he dials it way back and says, well, I really only want the 0.01% of the people who
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So they constantly feel like they have to make concessions to these other groups.
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But I don't think they should be making concessions.
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They are right on the economics and on the cultural issues.
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And these groups have proven themselves that they will never be satisfied.
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If you look at the U.S. skilled legal immigration system, it is the most restrictive in the world.
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We're rejecting over 70% of the applicants for H-1B visas.
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If you look at the share of the green card backlog that gets a green card every year, it's only
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So we already have an insanely restrictive legal immigration system.
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So I don't think Musk and Vivek should be conceding anything.
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They should be defending the system and focusing on expanding it.
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Well, I just want to say the reason why Elon Musk...
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The reason why Elon Musk backtracked under pressure wasn't because he wanted to make
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I think it was because he realized that, oh, the connotation of H-1B historically is that
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it brings in the Einsteins, the geniuses into these various fields when in fact it does
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Often it's mediocre, ordinary talent that we already have here in the United States.
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And these, of course, companies like Tesla and SpaceX have been built off the backs of
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those low-skilled immigrants, but those are not geniuses.
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And I think legal immigration in this country, one of the worst cliches in Republican politics
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And the mandate of Trump this election was obviously to curtail illegal immigration, but
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also immigration generally, because I think many Americans and obviously a large majority
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of Americans in this country do think after the four years of border anarchy and with the
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legal immigration system, which has many flaws and is prone to exploitation, we need a
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And that's not because they're harboring racial animus toward these groups.
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It's because America first populism just says we want to prioritize the people that are
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native here, who's multiple generations that are in this country that built it.
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And so I do think it's kind of a misnomer about the motives of the people who are advocating
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for illegal immigration, either reduction or just a reanalysis of it.
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And the other thing I'll say is that there was a study in the Center for Immigration Studies
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that showed that foreign educated workers tend to be less skilled than their American counterparts,
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Yes, and the study was based on test results on computational ability, literacy, as well
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as, you know, like just a third category, I think, of comprehension.
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And it showed that across the board, foreign educated, you know, immigrants, as well as U.S.
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educated immigrants underperformed the Americans, which, you know, begs the question, if we're
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looking at these people as highly skilled, should we be?
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Because when you compare them to Americans who have similar educational attainment, they're
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Okay, so what I will say here is that I do agree that this cliche of legal good, illegal
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I think what, you know, the real reason or the real debate should be what kind of immigration
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But I do find it concerning that we're focusing on a population of immigrants who is English
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speaking, makes on average over $118,000 a year, has no crime.
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I mean, can anybody name a crime from somebody who had an H-1B, an H-1B visa that brought Melania
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Trump, Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, important CEOs and founders.
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This is a program with problems that we can solve very easily, by the way.
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But when we have a population of, say, parents of U.S. citizens that come here on green cards,
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150,000, not 85,000, 150,000 who come here in their 50s, work 10 years as, say, low-wage
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jobs, then collect Social Security and Medicare that is bankrupting this country.
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And yet we're focusing on a population that is tiny, that is relatively higher skilled.
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You know, I think we should call this a day and just say, you know, we just are going
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to pick the highest wage offers of the H-1B visa.
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We're not going to pick all these Indian tech outsourcing firms that exploit these Indians
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And they tell them, you know, you have to pay me a fee in order to get you on the lottery.
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And the lottery is what makes it prone to abuse.
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The fact that it's just this pool and we're going to pluck out of this pool rather than
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allow employers to compete for the highest salary.
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Isn't that a way to determine whether these people are, in fact, brilliant is by letting
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And the Biden administration promptly undid that, which tells you a lot about the Biden
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We shouldn't have a lottery because we shouldn't have a cap on these workers.
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I mean, the idea that we should be limiting people who have job offers of $100,000.
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I mean, it's, it's, they don't also, if you, yes, there's a spectrum of people here, but
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even a single person who's making above average income in the United States is contributing
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significantly to the prosperity of the country.
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The lottery is, you know, I mean, obviously you're picking people randomly.
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We should just be letting these people come in and contribute to our country.
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We're basically turning away every year, at least $150 billion a year.
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And, and the, the idea that the, the government is going to know who's going to be the next
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I mean, you look at the number of CEOs who've risen up through the ranks, who were just that
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ordinary, they were just the ordinary H-1B, the ordinary international student.
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I mean, Musk was the ordinary international student, except he overstayed his visa and violated
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the rules of immigration law in order to start his business.
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But the idea that the government is going to know, oh, this person's going to be the
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next, uh, important founder of the next great company is just ludicrous.
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And Elon Musk would have passed that academic proficiency test that I mentioned.
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I mean, who cares about some standardized test?
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If you just allowed anybody to come to the United States, you have a billion people show up
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at the door and half of the world, I mean, we're talking about the H-1B visa, the H-1B
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Wait, you're also talking about, I'm going to jump in here.
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David, half of the world would prefer to be an Uber driver on welfare in the United States
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I mean, wait, wait, you, you still have to realize that there are different, so there's
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different wage categories for how many years of experience.
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And the first category is zero to zero to like what, two years experience.
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And they can make from, I think it's 39,000 to 50,000, something like that, right?
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Or 60,000, 39 to 59.9 is what, what the first year for zero to two, zero to two years experience.
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We're talking, and there's that they, that they need to pay these people on these H-1Bs.
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So you're talking about, we have kids coming out of college and they're, they're freaking
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out because they can't get jobs and they're taking these horrible entry-level positions and,
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but they can't get these entry-level positions because they're going to people who are supposed
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Why should we take anybody, if they're supposed to be highly skilled, why are we taking anybody
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Well, I will challenge that, but from another perspective from the right, and I would say
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is you, first, what kind of person do you care about, right?
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When we think about the economics of immigration, who are physicians competing to?
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An entry-level physician is not competing with a construction worker or an office worker.
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The physicians, my mom used to train people at Jefferson and they would, they would prioritize
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Sure, but those physicians are not competing with construction workers.
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And what happens if you have, say, 10,000 more physicians in the United States?
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Yes, they're going to compete with American physicians.
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They will certainly reduce their, their salaries.
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But they are going to demand services from construction workers, from stores, from apartments.
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They're going to raise the wages of the working class and depress the ones of physicians.
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But no, when you have medical schools, when you have medical schools saying, okay, we only,
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You won't, we only admit this many anesthesia students say, right?
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She doesn't get in, but the people from Iran were prioritized, right?
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Well, you know that people who are really being prioritized are the DEI stuff.
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But so these people are coming over on specialty visas to even be here to study like that, right?
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And so now that person who could have, you know, been at Jefferson now has to go to maybe
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a lesser one and it affects, you know, where, where they get placed.
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Like we limit the number of residencies, like, you know, the American Medical Association
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Well, practically many of the H-1B recipients are programmers, like cheap, basic programmers.
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Why would, why would we recruit for the STEM field if we don't have a shortage is what the
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Do we have a shortage of STEM workers in America unequivocally?
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No, there is no evidence that we have a shortage of STEM workers in America.
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In 2022, there were, I think it was 17 million STEM graduates.
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This is complicated because like you're comparing like somebody with a BA in biology as a STEM
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graduate with somebody with a PhD in computer science.
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And we have to realize, I'm going to push back there a little bit too, in that we are
00:19:55.760
Like that's where we rank, like as far as output and quality, we rank that low.
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So we, it's not like our students are prioritizing, our students are prioritizing things like, I
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think psychology has moved up to the fifth best major.
00:20:16.460
Well, listen, Vivek was pushing back on culture and I kind of have to give it to him.
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Like there are the tiger moms and there are the people that prioritize this.
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And maybe our parents do need to wake up and really start, you know, forcing your kids to
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You know, I want to die for my country, that thing.
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I also think there's an indictment of academia embedded in that.
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I used to cover a lot of education for national review.
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And I know that's not what this conversation is about, but look, like if you're adding
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DEI as a fundamental building block of like the medical, the medical training in America,
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yeah, you're, you're going to have a diminished quality of medicine and medical trainees and
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So it's not necessarily the student's fault, engineers too.
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And you're right that we're not exactly, you know, the rank the highest when it comes to
00:21:03.280
And by the way, there are hundreds of counties in this country that have no primary care physician.
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And so do we say, is it okay to stop a foreign physician who graduated abroad to come and
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I think it would be a great thing to allow those people to save lives.
00:21:18.580
Yeah, but that's, but they won't go there either.
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Actually, we have a program specifically to require them to go there.
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The problem is though, is that insurance companies and the way that the insurance companies put
00:21:29.480
their claws into the people in the medical field really like hamper how successful they
00:21:41.900
The VA can't even get a single dermatologist to actually go work for them.
00:21:45.500
But that, that's also because of how their pay scheme and what, how they pay.
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Anything that's overly regulated is going to do bad.
00:21:53.640
So I have a, my family has a small cabin in like a very rural town in Maine that literally
00:22:02.060
And he happens to be from the Philippines and his family.
00:22:06.000
And, you know, growing up in this town, I've noticed how the whole town is dependent on
00:22:10.700
this doctor because I mean, frankly, who wants to be a doctor in rural Maine?
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There's a huge brain drain out of that state all the time.
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And I've seen the impact of, of, you know, his, his work and service and in a place like
00:22:26.080
We can have more people like that and not have like programmers making 50K a year that
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are working for hire through third party companies.
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You know, I think that that's kind of like the solution.
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It was, I think Patrick, but David was one of the people that was speaking out the most
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And then when they went and pulled up the H1B records for him, he's got a graphic designer
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I was like, I know so many graphic designers right now that are lining up for jobs that
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And so what are we doing hiring graphic designers for, to do thumbnails for Patrick McDavid?
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The vast majority of H1Bs are in computer jobs, software developing employment has doubled
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This doubled, like that's an insane rate of growth.
00:23:13.640
If you look at the wages of the workers who were there 10 years ago, they're, they have
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You have, yes, lots of new people coming into the field.
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So they're coming in at the entry level wage, but there's no evidence that they're, they're
00:23:30.540
Getting back to the basic economics, what is the H1B in this context?
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It is unlicensed to work and a restrictive licensing regime hurts everyone except the special
00:23:42.880
Who is the special interest being protected here?
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It's the top 10% of wage earners in the United States.
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That's who we're talking about inflating the wages.
00:23:55.200
The average really, I mean, the average of this is $118,000 a year.
00:24:03.440
So I understand, I understand that, but the average matters or the median matters in this
00:24:09.760
Because if you got rid of the entire program, then you're, you're lowering the wages for
00:24:13.820
Is that the average for the H1B visa applicants or is that how much they're making on average?
00:24:18.880
That's how much the, the, the median person makes the averages, you know.
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Which by the way, it means like, if you look at the data, if you just do did wage ranking
00:24:28.240
because of the percentage that gets selected, the minimum salary that would end up being
00:24:39.200
So this is about a trade-off, David, because we cannot just let in everybody with a job
00:24:48.480
The reason why it's gotten so insane in terms of the lottery is because we've had these restrictions
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in place, severe restrictions in the place for the last 20 years.
00:25:01.700
So we didn't have this, this big backlog in these problems in terms of getting the visas.
00:25:09.720
You know how many applications there were, right?
00:25:13.540
So you think that it would be like, okay to just 500,000 more every year?
00:25:17.400
No, no, it wouldn't work like that because the reason why we've created this huge backlog
00:25:22.080
of the number of people who are trying to get it is because of the restrictions we've
00:25:27.260
So if we didn't have those restrictions, we would have not-
00:25:32.000
I mean, I think that there would actually be cultural consequences.
00:25:35.280
I do think that there would be political consequences.
00:25:37.720
I do think that you would have people competing with like medium level jobs that wouldn't be
00:25:44.700
You know, I'm super in favor of the high skilled part, but I don't think that it would be okay
00:25:49.540
to let in, you know, half a million programmers making $50,000 a year into the United States.
00:25:55.340
And most Americans who voted for Trump would agree that like, we're all for brain draining
00:26:02.460
But when it comes to the middle denominator, no, we have no interest in that because as
00:26:08.360
I was mentioning, we have 17 million STEM graduates.
00:26:11.120
Yes, it's diverse range of majors, only 8 million STEM jobs filled.
00:26:16.480
That means we have all these extra employees that have STEM degrees and disciplines who could
00:26:25.760
I would argue it's because wages and STEM have stagnated.
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Because of the influx of H-1B applicants and recipients.
00:26:36.280
There's no incentive to raise their compensation, benefits and salaries when they can just get
00:26:45.260
They've stagnated because there's been this huge infusion of new people entering the fields.
00:26:49.780
That's, it's like my public school down the street.
00:26:54.600
The average height of the student fell when they increased the number of classes.
00:27:00.260
It wasn't because the public school teachers were chopping the kids' feet off.
00:27:04.660
It was because they added an elementary school onto the building.
00:27:07.820
The same thing is happening with the wage distribution in these fields that have, as I mentioned, doubled
00:27:14.720
So more people are graduating college and going into these fields, which is a sign that
00:27:20.440
We are, the wages are encouraging people to go into these fields.
00:27:23.660
For every foreign increase in foreign employment and software development, there's been two Americans
00:27:31.540
But I do think, David, that you're ignoring that there is a trade-off.
00:27:35.680
And, you know, certainly when you have more people of a specific skill level, you are going
00:27:40.080
to, in the long run, depress the wages of that skill level.
00:27:42.480
But you are going to increase the wages of other skills levels.
00:27:44.980
So when you say, you know, we don't need more STEM graduates, like, I think you're right.
00:27:49.160
You would increase the average wage of, like, the STEM workforce in the U.S., native-born.
00:27:53.900
But you would decrease the real incomes of people who are not in STEM.
00:27:57.500
And I would rather help Americans who are not in college than Americans who went to college.
00:28:03.080
Who, by the way, it's actually a political issue.
00:28:06.160
Like, why are, like, Republicans complaining about, you know, harming Silicon Valley liberal
00:28:18.960
Because they've been, like, blue-collar, working hard.
00:28:26.940
And they're crying in their cars on TikTok saying, I can't afford to live.
00:28:30.680
And so they're like, hey, this is harming my family.
00:28:34.300
No matter which way you look at it, it's harming their family.
00:28:38.640
There have been other studies that show for every, you know, H-1B recipient that comes into
00:28:45.140
So, I mean, there's plenty of studies for every, you know, counter-study, blah, blah, blah.
00:28:53.340
So, all right, a lot of these recipients come from China and India.
00:28:56.120
Do we really want our STEM workforce, which is the highest foreign-born percentage I think
00:29:06.600
Do we really want our STEM feel dependent on foreign labor?
00:29:10.760
As we enter this new era of geopolitics with China as an adversary, especially, I mean, that's
00:29:22.600
What I'll say, you know, China, different issue than India.
00:29:31.840
I mean, the CCP wants to destroy the United States.
00:29:34.240
The Indian government doesn't want to destroy the United States.
00:29:39.020
I'm just saying they have been making a turn, from what I've heard.
00:29:41.980
India has been making a turn to China, given some of America's policies.
00:29:46.660
I mean, isn't Modi, like, best friends with Trump anyway?
00:29:50.860
I would definitely say, for national defense, I'm highly suspect about anybody who lives
00:30:00.180
outside the United States working for defense contractors, because they are privy to a lot
00:30:05.380
of compartmentalized information that, you know, if does get out or get sold back to China-
00:30:14.400
There are other things to get around that, right?
00:30:16.460
For right now, what they're saying is, like, we have these big companies, and they make the
00:30:19.820
I think one of the largest companies that does H-1B recipients, it has to do with the
00:30:26.080
people who do the cloud, Azure, or whatever it is.
00:30:37.100
And what they do, though, they have a lot of contracts with the U.S. government.
00:30:40.500
What they do, though, is they compartmentalize it, right?
00:30:42.460
So they'll start building parts of the code and the code, and then they hand it off, and
00:30:46.800
then it gets specialized through our Department of Defense.
00:30:51.100
However, if you're building the original base to the code, then you know how to get around
00:30:56.620
Not saying that that happens as much, because, like I said, our own team of U.S. citizens
00:31:02.820
in the Department of Defense really works with it themselves, but still, they're building
00:31:09.640
The Trump Defense Department in 2020 wrote a report about this, and they said that the
00:31:16.120
lack of STEM talent in the United States, specifically with computers, is a direct threat to the self-determination
00:31:23.300
of the United States, because if you cannot control the future of artificial intelligence
00:31:29.420
and these other technologies and technological growth, then you are beholden to whoever is
00:31:36.120
China is graduating right now twice as many STEM PhDs, specifically in computer science
00:31:46.020
That is, I mean, a direct threat to our geopolitics.
00:31:50.540
So, of course, it's a benefit to the United States to, look, we don't need to hire them
00:31:57.020
We can just free up a lot of the people who are in the private sector right now who are U.S.
00:32:01.000
citizens to be attracted to these government jobs where they need to be working on the type
00:32:09.620
So, having a larger labor force in this is absolutely a benefit to our national security,
00:32:17.800
Though I will also say there is a lack of vetting that is enough, and I'll give you one story.
00:32:22.800
So, I had one Chinese student one time asking me, like, for advice to get, like, a job or
00:32:29.620
She sent me her resume and wanted to meet up, and I see the resume.
00:32:41.900
Like, and this, she volunteered the information, and I'm just thinking, what is the State Department
00:32:47.380
doing when they're granting visas that you do, somebody who, proud, proud to be an organizer
00:32:54.760
So, I do think, you know, I don't want communists, I don't want adversaries, but I do think that
00:33:03.540
U.S. citizens are also bribed to give information to foreign countries, by the way.
00:33:08.820
This happens all the time with Americans, but there is a trade-off because you do not
00:33:16.580
You don't even want to be dependent on Taiwan for chips, right?
00:33:19.200
And this whole issue that we have foreign policy is because we can't build it here.
00:33:24.880
I mean, Ukraine and Taiwan are the biggest producers of neon, so.
00:33:31.300
We import all our high-quality chips from Taiwan.
00:33:34.660
And, you know, the solution that the Biden administration did was, let's just give
00:33:38.680
hundreds of billions to these companies with DEI conditions, by the way, and all these
00:33:44.880
And then they can't even open because they don't have the Taiwanese high-skilled workers.
00:33:50.440
Well, we should let them in, brain drain those countries, and then we will actually be
00:33:56.280
I'm not just so sure I trust the government to screen these applicants.
00:34:02.800
But then we can't even trust them to screen the Americans who are also sold out.
00:34:07.420
But at least, you know, at least they're supposed to be here, right?
00:34:10.060
Like, that's part of the problems that we're seeing.
00:34:12.500
And I see that debate with immigration all the time is that they'll say, okay, well,
00:34:16.660
you know, the immigrants that are coming over here, they don't commit that much crime.
00:34:20.300
Well, anything that they crime—any crime that they commit is crime that shouldn't have
00:34:26.880
And they seem to forget that and, like, they cause nominal crime.
00:34:34.180
So I don't know if the crime is, like, that great of an argument when it comes to this.
00:34:39.180
I don't think the people coming in that are making—
00:34:41.500
Well, and especially legal immigrants, absolutely.
00:34:45.340
I can't even find an anecdote of an H-1B immigrant who committed like a—
00:34:53.920
It's the white collar world that they're occupying.
00:34:59.380
Or something that has to do with surveillance or intelligence.
00:35:03.500
It's not going to be a migrant, like, gang attack in New York City.
00:35:11.020
So back to, you know, for those who want these people to come in mass, right?
00:35:16.160
Aren't these people exploited through, you know, these companies that will do mass—what do they—they bring all—they'll go to India and they'll say, hey, we're going to get you contracts.
00:35:40.360
No, but the Indian contracting firms that charge Indians in India to get into the lottery.
00:35:49.340
Can I just ask, like, what exactly is the process for an H-1B visa holder to get to the United States and start working for a company?
00:35:56.720
Because—and what part of that process needs to be reformed?
00:36:02.140
So first step, the company needs to want to have somebody, right?
00:36:06.000
And they apply with the Department of Labor for what's called a labor conditions application.
00:36:10.700
They have to certify that they're paying the prevailing wage for the occupation, the experience, all of that.
00:36:18.080
After that's approved, that's usually quick, they apply with USCIS.
00:36:23.600
Even though—and this is where the whole misinformation happened on Twitter.
00:36:27.380
Everybody was using the LCAs, the labor and applications.
00:36:31.860
When having an approved LCA doesn't mean you have an approved H-1B.
00:36:35.220
It just means you are approved to apply for an H-1B.
00:36:38.080
And then USCIS, the immigration agency, can approve or reject your application.
00:36:53.600
Like, this is—the labor conditions is not for a specific person yet.
00:36:57.720
Then you do the actual application with immigration for the person.
00:37:01.280
If that's approved, and they're abroad, they go to a consulate.
00:37:04.760
If they're already here, say, an international student, that's very common, they just change status.
00:37:08.820
And they were already vetted before they came here as an international student.
00:37:11.980
So, even though I argued that the vetting process is not good enough for, like, China or whatever.
00:37:18.780
And then they can start working after that's approved if they get selected in the lottery.
00:37:26.560
So, out of, like, 500,000 applicants, how many are—
00:37:32.140
But what's kind of tricky about that number is, like, right now I think we have around 500,000 people that are here on H-1B this year.
00:37:41.000
Because even though you have the 65,000 of high school graduates and then the 20,000 of master's degrees, that's what the new ones that get approved every year.
00:37:52.280
But remember, they can be here three to six years.
00:37:58.580
So, like, if there—so the reason we have so many is because that's only for the new year, but every—but there's 500,000 because those people don't—like, the people that are getting theirs renewed doesn't count towards the cap of this new year.
00:38:13.320
So, right now there's about 500—and I think it's 580,000 people here on H-1B right now in this country, working in this country.
00:38:22.640
So, it's a half a million—a little over half a million.
00:38:24.300
Yeah, the problem with the green card stuff is that because it's taking so long to sponsor somebody for a permanent employment-based green card, what the companies are doing is that I'm just going to sponsor you for an H-1B, and I'm immediately beginning the green card process.
00:38:37.320
If the green card process didn't take three years, there would be half the number of H-1B applications.
00:38:43.220
It's really just a band-aid so that people can begin working before they get their green card.
00:38:49.040
I think the most compelling proposals so far have been to get rid of the lottery and make it based on salary and what employers are willing to offer up.
00:38:57.680
That way, the best and the brightest, we have a greater chance of recruiting them rather than this giant pool where they're plucked at random, essentially.
00:39:06.460
Mark Krikorian laid out an interesting compromise in Compact magazine, which ideally would appease both factions of this conflict.
00:39:14.360
The tech right and moguls like Elon Musk and all of the other Silicon Valley people, and then the MAGA, populace, which is to end a good chunk of the chain migration that we have, which is essentially, you know, if your relative is here, that makes it easy for their relatives to come over into the United States, as well as visa lotteries, which is different from what I understand.
00:39:40.220
We have been dying immigration for decades, and people weren't thinking about that.
00:39:44.840
So we have that, and he's proposing that we cut into that as well and replace a number of those spots with high-skilled immigrants.
00:39:55.580
So that way, we reduce the overall level of legal immigration while increasing the skill level of the immigrants that we are taking in.
00:40:03.640
Look, the biggest problem with the H-1B is how restrictive it is for the worker.
00:40:07.580
So when they get here, it's very bureaucratic for them to be able to go to another job.
00:40:14.860
Many of them do change jobs, but it's very bureaucratic and limits their options.
00:40:19.520
So what that does in the free market, you should be directed to the highest productivity use of your time.
00:40:24.940
Whatever you think is going to be the most productive use of your activity, you should be directed to that by the wage in the market.
00:40:33.340
But that doesn't happen as well as it could in the H-1B world because of the restrictions, the fact that every employer, in order to hire you, has to go through this government bureaucracy every time and pay $15,000 a pop to be able to hire you.
00:40:49.100
It really limits the options and the availability.
00:40:52.760
It also prevents you from going out and starting your own company, which is a very important contribution.
00:40:59.200
So if we really wanted to change the H-1B, we'd free the H-1B population who's here by giving them green cards, ideally.
00:41:06.500
But if not, just to say, look, you can work however you want, whatever company you want, start your own business.
00:41:13.120
That would unleash their productive capacities more than any other reform.
00:41:19.380
And look, coming up with these different schemes to limit it further and really only take this top slice of people, I mean, that's turning away hundreds of billions of dollars in economic growth and benefit to U.S. consumers and benefit to everyone who's not making over $100,000 a year.
00:41:38.940
So it's a it's a real blow to the economy and the government doesn't know who's going to become the next CEO of Microsoft or Google or Twitter number of people.
00:41:50.320
Why can we not let in an unlimited number of college graduates in STEM who are going to make $100,000 a year?
00:41:59.200
You're saying that uncap the H-1B visa in which half of the people make less than $100,000 a year.
00:42:06.700
Over the course of their career, they will be making a lot more than that.
00:42:11.440
There was a study that found that for the firms that won the H-1B visa lottery, their innovation and productivity was marginally increased.
00:42:21.260
So it's not actually leading to this, you know, uncharted, you know, like economic prowess for the companies that get these H-1B recipients.
00:42:32.820
So, I mean, maybe at the large scale, sure, GDP will increase.
00:42:37.820
I mean, if you're able to increase innovation by 1% a year, like that compounds and that's huge.
00:42:42.160
I want to touch on something that you just said real quick.
00:42:44.240
And you said that it was hard for H-1B visa holders to like start their own business or do something like that.
00:42:49.500
You had Patrick Bette David the other day arguing that or saying that statistically 50 billion dollar startups.
00:42:58.320
The people that have the most billion dollar startups, 55% are foreign born, right?
00:43:03.700
And so, but they're not coming over on the H-1B.
00:43:09.040
It's almost impossible for them to start a business, right?
00:43:18.520
We should be accelerating their ability to start...
00:43:22.060
Aren't they on, though, the investor visas, right?
00:43:34.100
Which, by the way, the EB-5 is limited, which I think it's kind of silly, right?
00:43:38.160
Why do you limit to 9,000 people a year the number of multimillionaire investors who create at least 10 jobs?
00:43:48.720
I know some people personally that are on O-1, and I'm like, we're not that extraordinary.
00:43:53.600
The issue with the O-1, and this is why I prefer the wage ranking on the H-1B, the issue with the O-1 is that you're asking the government to determine what's extraordinary.
00:44:01.580
And that sometimes leads to rejecting good applications and approving bad applications, right?
00:44:17.700
One of the criterias for the O-1 is national or international acclaim.
00:44:25.080
So you kind of have to go out there and, like, get your name placed in publications and try to do interviews.
00:44:32.020
Yeah, there's a lot of writers that don't write for publications.
00:44:36.860
You know, when you talk about, you know, kind of scammy things, it's like, I mean, okay, that's whatever.
00:44:43.040
That's not, like, the wage is an objective thing.
00:44:48.520
But it's not perfect because if you're making a bet on yourself, if you go into a startup and they give you 10% equity because you think this is going to be the next great product or innovation,
00:44:58.740
then, you know, the fact that you have a low wage doesn't mean anything.
00:45:02.740
That doesn't tell you, really, from your perspective, you're betting on yourself.
00:45:08.000
You're betting on that company to then become something very huge in the market that will make up for the fact that you have a low starting wage.
00:45:15.480
So the wage ranking isn't perfect, but it's certainly better than kind of looking at whether your name got in the newspaper or something like that.
00:45:25.420
I just feel like, I just feel like people aren't going to be happy with extra immigrants coming over here and taking what they see as their jobs.
00:45:35.240
I just don't ever see the MAGA base being okay with that.
00:45:40.220
When he went back and said, he said he limited in 2016, 2020, and he said, you know, it takes jobs from Americans and it drives their wages down and we don't want it.
00:45:55.120
But he limited it in the middle of the pandemic when unemployment was the highest it's been since the Great Depression.
00:46:03.100
So, I mean, like I am, you know, I'm not a like Trump defender on this, but I mean, you got to have some context around this.
00:46:11.360
In 2019, in his State of the Union address, he said, I want to have the highest legal immigration, merit-based legal immigration ever.
00:46:20.440
So he is all over the place, but he's not like consistently opposed to immigration, though I think his advisors and a lot of people in his circle consistently are and kind of push him in that direction more than his natural instincts would go.
00:46:36.460
I wanted to read to you from the Manhattan Institute polling that we did in 2023 during the Republican primary.
00:46:42.920
Sorry, this was only of likely Republican primary voters in Iowa, in New Hampshire, in South Carolina, and in Nevada.
00:46:50.320
And we asked them about immigration, about legal, high-skilled immigration specifically.
00:46:54.380
And we asked them, would you make it easier, not change it, or harder for immigrants who are professionals with advanced degrees in science, math, technology, and engineering to come to the U.S.?
00:47:05.920
What do they mean by advanced degrees? Let's be clear.
00:47:17.900
That is the most restrictionist, right, subset of the population.
00:47:22.920
Among the overall population of Americans, or all Republicans, is well over 70% want to make it easier for people who have advanced degrees in STEM to come to the U.S.
00:47:33.980
The hard sell is that we have over 2 million people coming illegally to the United States every year through the border.
00:47:40.320
You have half a million people coming here through chain migration who have very little English proficiency.
00:47:46.960
And that should be the conversation on immigration, not unlimited the high-skilled part, I think.
00:47:51.300
I think those respondents, though, are under the impression that these are truly exceptional candidates.
00:47:56.600
And as I already stated, the foreign-educated immigrants—
00:48:05.980
They're just professionals with master's degrees and PhDs, right?
00:48:16.760
No, they're lesser skilled, you're saying, than people with the same degree who are born in the States.
00:48:21.300
Which makes all the sense, because English is not a native language.
00:48:27.740
Even adjusted for the language barrier, they are still less skilled.
00:48:31.580
Sure, but if they're more skilled than the average person, they're still increasing the average skill of the U.S., right?
00:48:37.020
You're comparing STEM graduates of U.S. universities to STEM graduates who had their graduation abroad.
00:48:47.760
So you're not comparing just to the average American.
00:48:50.940
The average American doesn't even go to college.
00:48:54.280
The average American doesn't even go to college.
00:48:56.580
I'm saying of equal educational attainment adjusted for the English language barrier, they are less skilled.
00:49:02.880
By the way, remember, the U.S. graduates are also children of immigrants, many of whom are children of high-skilled immigrants.
00:49:08.280
I think I saw something about the math olympiads or, like, one of these high school competitions, like, half of the winners are the children of H-1B visa holders.
00:49:15.420
Because remember, who are these high-skilled immigrants?
00:49:25.620
And the result is that their children born in America are like superstars.
00:49:29.220
And that's also a piece of this puzzle that we're not talking enough.
00:49:32.880
What is the long-term impact of having a population that has very conservative cultural values, right, in marriage, in education, in pushing people to succeed?
00:49:45.420
I understand that point, but if we're going to talk about culture, a key indicator of assimilation is, I believe, is it intermarriage?
00:49:55.720
Okay, so I think that's dropping, actually, among Indians.
00:50:04.780
And that is because Asians, you know, until recently were a very tiny percent of the population.
00:50:08.960
So it was hard to marry among Asians because it was hard to find people of your same ethnic background.
00:50:18.640
But she's saying it's dropping, meaning they're not doing that anymore, right?
00:50:22.720
And I'm saying that's expected because the share of Asians of America is growing.
00:50:26.340
In absolute terms, there is more intermarriage.
00:50:31.140
They're still marrying outside of their race more than the average person, especially people with advanced degrees.
00:50:40.360
Indians do have a good, I mean, they have like a what, a one, some people say it, put it at one.
00:50:44.160
Some people put it at a 6% divorce rate where white Americans are at 15.
00:50:49.240
African Americans are about in the 30s, 35, 36% divorce rate.
00:50:53.780
And that really has an impact on how kids perform in school, where they go to college, all of those things.
00:51:00.140
I mean, there is some cultural aspects that need to be concerned.
00:51:03.920
But before we get there, I want to go back to, you know, we have these big firms and you constantly see like big layoffs and big layoffs of American workers.
00:51:13.420
And then you see, maybe it's anecdotally, but like I don't have the statistics on hand.
00:51:18.200
But I always hear, you know, we have been replaced by lower wage tech workers from India.
00:51:27.180
They would call the congressman's office constantly and complain about this.
00:51:32.040
I think Tesla just laid off a whole bunch of people.
00:51:44.080
So I don't think that opening the cap to allow more of that to happen seems like a good idea at all.
00:51:50.800
If this was really about low wages and replacing American workers, you would see more H-1B requests when companies are cutting and laying off jobs.
00:52:03.740
H-1B requests go up when employment is increasing in these fields.
00:52:08.100
If you looked at during the recession, H-1B requests went way down.
00:52:12.100
We didn't even have a lottery during that time.
00:52:15.340
And again, it comes back up when the economy recovers and they're adding workers.
00:52:19.600
So you see U.S. employment and immigrant employment go up together.
00:52:24.320
Again, the idea that this is widespread and it's causing this unemployment is belied by the fact that you've doubled the number of software developers in 10 years.
00:52:34.040
Even in the last five years, we've seen an increase of almost 70% in software development employment.
00:52:41.420
There's been no increase in the unemployment rate among software developers.
00:52:46.020
So, yes, you can look at these different – I mean, Musk took over X, right, or Twitter, and he fired all these people who were doing useless DEI stuff and censors and all this stuff.
00:52:58.000
And, okay, so that happened, but that doesn't mean – and then those people got productive jobs elsewhere in the labor force, and that's a good thing.
00:53:07.980
So you can't just look at, oh, generically, the company laid off some people and they hired some other people.
00:53:14.560
That doesn't mean that there was replacement there.
00:53:17.420
The real replacement, I think, is happening is on hiring people abroad, right?
00:53:21.420
Like if you're going to really replace somebody, why would you bring them to the U.S., pay $15,000 for the sponsorship of an H-1B on average between government fees and lawyers?
00:53:29.760
That's what it costs for a large company when you can just have a programming shop in India.
00:53:40.480
Why – then why did Patrick Bat-David go through all those hoops to do that and pay that extra money for somebody to make his thumbnails just now?
00:53:51.180
Yeah, it could be that they really liked the specific person.
00:53:52.500
Or they really enjoy having someone tied to them and the conditions of the job that you have to – or the conditions of staying in the country that you have to have that job.
00:54:01.760
I mean, wouldn't you be able to pay somebody less in India?
00:54:04.940
And so, like, we're in the era of streaming, and it's huge for Twitch streamers to just go to Fiverr.
00:54:09.660
And they pay $5 to get all the graphics for their channels.
00:54:13.740
Like, they'll pay some guy that's in Thailand or Vietnam, always foreign, and they'll say, hey, I want this, I want this.
00:54:19.760
My podcast is about sports, so I need this theme, these colors.
00:54:28.520
So, my main concern is when it becomes possible for really smart people to work from anywhere, why would they choose America, right?
00:54:49.960
You're still going to want the people who want freedom in the United States.
00:54:53.100
But what about the billionaires and the people who invest in the next big startup and the next innovation?
00:54:59.480
They're going to want to go to other countries where they can do these things.
00:55:02.120
So, we should want the smart people as long as they want to be here, here.
00:55:12.880
At the risk of losing all the traditions and things that we have here.
00:55:20.740
I just think we started this podcast off by saying that that wasn't a factor.
00:55:36.820
And I think that those people, it's not going to be easy to please them.
00:55:46.780
I think that the America First market conservatives like Daniel are a majority of the Republican Party.
00:55:54.760
They want to see the United States be the strongest and most economically prosperous country in the world.
00:55:59.280
And if you look at the research that's been done on this, the H-1B restrictions are encouraging offshoring to other countries.
00:56:06.920
And you're reducing investment in the United States.
00:56:10.120
You're reducing the number of major companies who are created here and built here.
00:56:14.340
You're increasing the amount of competitors who are getting startups in China and India and Canada.
00:56:26.220
We should want the United States to be the most, the hub of innovation.
00:56:36.680
We're a country with customs and a credo and traditions and a language, you know?
00:56:49.860
I mean, my brother just went to Dubai and he was like, it's dystopian over there.
00:56:57.260
We're not Dubai and we're not going to be Dubai because we have great tradition in assimilation.
00:57:01.220
You should read Daniel's excellent report about assimilation that shows that assimilation is happening as rapidly or more rapidly than in the past.
00:57:11.780
So, the idea that the United States culture is not attractive to the people who come here is wrong.
00:57:18.500
Our cultural supremacy is built on the fact that it is attractive to people around.
00:57:29.040
I mean, if you compare to the early 20th century, we had legal immigration rates three to four times what they were.
00:57:39.520
You also had three times the birth rates, you know.
00:57:47.360
They were disproportionately to the second generation, the immigrants were having the kids.
00:57:53.120
The culture is important, you know, and I think there are ways.
00:57:58.740
The United States is the best culture in the world.
00:58:03.720
I mean, you see it now with what happened on the college campuses with Hamas, right?
00:58:12.040
How do you limit people who actually work for the CCP coming to the United States?
00:58:22.100
They're the ones who are leading this Marxist, you know, takeover of our universities.
00:58:29.020
I don't see it as, you know, the idea that that is homegrown or foreign grown is inaccurate.
00:58:35.460
But, you know, I think it's important to have a filter.
00:58:37.740
And that's how you actually protect the culture.
00:58:40.180
You do have a stronger filter than you do today.
00:58:43.320
You can go back almost 40 years, but way before we had any major, to the 70s, the Marxists
00:58:50.440
had already taken over significant portions of academia.
00:58:56.620
The idea that getting rid of immigration is going to restore America to its traditional
00:59:01.940
David, this is so homegrown that, you know, I visit high schools speaking against socialism.
00:59:06.160
I went to one high school in North Carolina last year, and I saw a picture of Che Guevara
00:59:11.280
It was the Spanish classroom, and it was the only Spanish teacher who was like a white
00:59:15.720
guy born in the United States, not the immigrants from Latin America.
00:59:24.880
I see it even in my school among the PhD students.
00:59:28.440
It's the foreign ones that are less woke than the American-born ones.
00:59:31.900
Because woke ideology is here, and it's being exported out of the United States, I would
00:59:36.380
But I think Trump said he wanted to get rid of the kids who were protesting in the streets
00:59:40.380
against Israel because they were on foreign visas.
00:59:44.080
But I mean, listen, I agree that it's homegrown.
00:59:46.060
I'll be the first to admit that academia has been captured from within, not from outside.
00:59:51.160
Like, it's not like there was a foreign plant a long time ago.
00:59:55.060
But I think that just comes from, honestly, the decadence that America has experienced.
00:59:59.320
And I think it's been led down these slippery slopes to these ideologies.
01:00:03.920
And if you can get rid of a communist, why wouldn't you?
01:00:07.060
You know, like, if you can, those are the ones you can get rid of.
01:00:13.000
And I don't think we should just round up all the communists in the country and put
01:00:21.040
But they serve a useful idiot function in our society of being easy to ridicule.
01:00:27.080
But, I mean, look, the idea, again, that our culture is going to lose embraces the idea
01:00:35.380
that our culture doesn't have vitality, that it isn't able to defend itself.
01:00:42.100
I think, as you mentioned, I think immigrants are actually helping in this respect if, you
01:00:48.580
know, what Daniel is saying about these people who have direct experience with communism, they
01:00:55.180
I do think, though, Vivek's critique was particularly inflammatory because he's basically saying
01:01:01.580
that the bedrock, I think, of American society, as, you know, like Tocqueville said, there's
01:01:08.120
this flourishing component of American society, these little platoons and kind of mediating
01:01:14.740
institutions, whether it's churches or clubs after school, and there's the jocks and there's
01:01:21.220
I mean, I'm just kind of extrapolating from what I think Tocqueville would have admired about
01:01:24.440
our culture, but I do think he would have looked at it fondly.
01:01:27.980
Like, wow, that's kind of really cool about America.
01:01:30.640
To disparage them as being, like, low productive agents of an economic zone is just ridiculous.
01:01:38.100
And I think most Americans would reject that wholeheartedly and say, oh, my bad.
01:01:48.760
Maybe I'm the quarterback who then works for NASA.
01:01:55.840
I think the idea, the great thing about the United States is that we can do whatever.
01:02:00.060
If we want to be a psychology major and, you know, focus on football, I mean, we can do
01:02:08.080
And the fact that we have these immigrants who want to come here and do extremely difficult
01:02:14.160
jobs, whether at the low end or at the high end, that's a great thing for our country that
01:02:18.620
Americans benefit from, that we can do a lot more things and not more.
01:02:25.120
We can do a lot more things than we could otherwise because of immigrants being here.
01:02:35.700
It's just a testimony from friends and family who are computer scientists.
01:02:38.580
Some of them graduated from tech schools and they have problems with what's going on.
01:02:44.820
They have, because listen, if you have to train, like if you have to hold the hand of someone
01:02:49.840
who came here from abroad to train them, that's going to foster resentment in a native
01:02:56.460
Say like, oh, let me walk you through the job that you were paid for.
01:03:02.720
Well, but that's, that's the easy thing, right?
01:03:04.560
If we just agree on doing the wage ranking and picking up the best people, you wouldn't
01:03:13.400
I mean, I'm the biggest, you know, support of America and what America stands for.
01:03:17.520
I think this is the best country in the world for many reasons, not because it's the richest.
01:03:22.000
Yes, it's one of the richest, but it's because of what it was founded on.
01:03:26.900
So that's why I think that Vivek's criticism was a little misplaced, even though he did
01:03:32.560
have a good point in that marriage rates have fallen.
01:03:37.480
The family has broken apart and that has destroyed education for children.
01:03:43.140
All of these things are true and we have to fight that.
01:03:45.380
But I do think that immigration, uncontrolled and not properly done, can present a threat.
01:03:54.120
And we saw that over the Biden administration, not because of the H-1B visa program, but because
01:04:00.460
I do think the emotional reaction from the MAGA base was a little confusing because here
01:04:05.400
all this time, I'm thinking of the paradigm of the culture's broken.
01:04:08.680
It's degenerate and we hate it and the culture's messed up.
01:04:12.720
I said he, I didn't think he said anything wrong.
01:04:16.540
I have more problems with something like what you would say that we can just have unfettered
01:04:20.420
immigration, especially because I actually have a soft spot for H-2B workers, right?
01:04:28.860
And so I've known doing immigration casework back in my old congressional days, I would help
01:04:35.220
these people get these H-2Bs and we would have seasonal landscapers and things like that.
01:04:40.320
They'd want to help put Christmas lights up or mow your lawns in the summer.
01:04:43.200
And they would put out ads, literally ads for $30 an hour.
01:04:48.460
And we couldn't get anybody to fill them or they'd show up for one day and need to dig
01:04:53.860
We see that even with the postal service, right?
01:04:56.220
The postal service is having a very hard time retaining employees because nobody wants to
01:05:02.300
So if you take, you know, the people that are coming in on the H-2B and some of these businesses,
01:05:08.020
they, because that's capped, can't keep their businesses afloat.
01:05:11.460
I had several in Pennsylvania that were really at the brink because they didn't get any,
01:05:16.100
they didn't get the lottery of keeping their business afloat.
01:05:19.740
So now you're talking about unfettered H-1B, right?
01:05:23.840
And these higher skilled, I would say middle skilled, middle skilled workers.
01:05:28.520
And then you have these low skilled workers, right?
01:05:31.020
That are coming to really do the jobs that we're paying people to sit at home that they
01:05:36.140
Like we're paying people on welfare that are able-bodied men to actually go out and do the
01:05:42.300
The Americans don't want to, Americans don't want to work hard.
01:05:47.840
Like, and I hate to say it because I see a lot, I mean, yes, like there are people, I'm
01:05:52.180
not saying all, but there are definitely people, they don't want to dig ditches.
01:05:55.720
They don't want to be out in the blazing sun cutting down trees.
01:05:59.560
They certainly don't want to be carrying around heavy mailbags because the U.S.
01:06:03.300
Postal Service is clearly having a shortfall in hiring and retaining employees.
01:06:09.000
So if you want, now people are making the argument they want the lower skilled workers
01:06:15.520
And now you want all the medium and higher skilled workers to come over and do that.
01:06:24.480
Like just the economy grows when there's more people in general, right?
01:06:29.600
You pull this up, pull up Gavin Waxes, I just put it up there.
01:06:32.660
But these people are constantly in everybody's DM saying, I graduated from university with
01:06:37.320
a 4.0 master's degree in cybersecurity in 2020.
01:06:40.220
I can't get a job, not even an entry level job.
01:06:48.340
But you know what I'm saying, but you know, we're flooded.
01:06:54.080
But the whole point is, is that, you know, there are people that are inundated with,
01:06:59.600
messages like this and complaining about these things.
01:07:01.440
No, I think we're mixing up the D.I. stuff with the immigration stuff, and that's a problem,
01:07:06.320
Remember, I mean, the Asians are the group that's been discriminated against, too, in
01:07:14.820
No, we're talking about, but you guys are kind of confusing Asians.
01:07:17.820
When you say that, Asians, it's like Chinese, Asians, like Korean, right?
01:07:25.480
They're not the, Indians actually were being admitted to college.
01:07:31.440
You can read my colleague, Renu Mukherjee at the Manhattan Institute.
01:07:35.400
Indians are heavily discriminated against both in college and employment.
01:07:41.320
You know, it's the most, one of the most successful ethnic groups, much more than Chinese
01:07:45.200
No, successful per their salary once they graduate.
01:07:48.460
But we're talking about their technical skills when they're being admitted into colleges.
01:07:53.520
No, what I'm saying is that because of their success, they're discriminated against in
01:07:59.840
In colleges, but those, they were talking about Asian Americans.
01:08:03.880
That's not what like the Harvard lawsuits and all were talking about.
01:08:13.100
It's all Asian groups, except I think the Vietnamese for some reason, that they're like given D.I.
01:08:22.720
But the point is, you know, I think we are mixing up stories that obviously this is all
01:08:28.680
I mean, people aren't taking time out of their day to go DM people about their woes.
01:08:41.400
I think I'm very glad that Trump is going to come in and Harmeet Dillon is going to persecute
01:08:45.300
all these colleges and all these employers that discriminate based on race, sex, and everything.
01:08:53.080
But if anything, legally, Americans have a legal preference to get the job over the foreign
01:08:59.880
And if they find that they have been screwed, they can go and sue and they can go and report
01:09:08.000
No, no, you can report for free to the Department of Labor.
01:09:19.980
So you have to like go to the Department of Labor.
01:09:25.740
Okay, so you have the EEOC, then you get the right to sue letter, and then you take that
01:09:29.620
right to sue letter, and you have to get an attorney to go sue anybody, and that costs
01:09:34.500
And a lot of times, those are just blanketly done.
01:09:37.560
You can even ask for a right to sue without a full evaluation after 30 days.
01:09:44.040
But my point is, is that like, you know, you have to have money in order to sue people for
01:09:52.500
But this is why we need to get rid of all these Indian shops that are just outsourcing
01:09:57.260
work for the tech companies at low wages, right?
01:09:59.800
Like, these are the people who are actually competing unfairly.
01:10:03.980
These are the people who are actually being exploited.
01:10:06.000
These are the people who are really taking also a spot in the visa from somebody who is
01:10:12.540
And so if you did that, you wouldn't have any of these stories, because you would just
01:10:16.340
have people making $200K, $150K, $500K coming to work in really highly
01:10:22.400
specialized fields where you really need them, right?
01:10:26.560
I mean, what are the jobs that Americans are going to do?
01:10:28.800
They're going to do all the jobs in the middle, right?
01:10:30.860
And that's what we're seeing already with the immigration that has happened.
01:10:38.660
The median income of an H-1B worker is in the 90th percentile.
01:10:52.080
Most of the H-1B visa holders are in urban areas, and that's the median job, which is
01:10:58.500
San Francisco, of course, is going to be a lot higher salary than West Virginia.
01:11:01.420
So this is why when I think of we should do a wage ranking, it shouldn't just be a pure
01:11:17.260
But I mean, the basic point, right, is that you have people who come in to the country.
01:11:22.100
It doesn't matter whether they're immigrants or not.
01:11:25.760
When you have people who enter the labor force, they increase for demand for jobs elsewhere
01:11:31.480
So an increase in the population or an increase in the labor force does not reduce the number
01:11:37.820
That's why we've had 100 million person increase in the labor force over the last century.
01:11:42.960
That has not resulted in mass unemployment and people just eating out of their hands.
01:11:48.920
We've actually seen an increase in our living standards over the last 100 years.
01:11:55.840
They're here to make AI and to do computer programming and to make jobs that will replace
01:12:01.480
That is a good thing because it increases the productivity of workers.
01:12:04.180
But I do agree that the automation is going to be a good thing and we can have a discussion.
01:12:07.500
But you're still going to displace those workers, though, right?
01:12:10.180
When we invented the car, we displaced all the horse riders.
01:12:21.060
You raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour over in Seattle and now everywhere, every McDonald's
01:12:28.300
should go into everything, has automated absolutely everything.
01:12:31.300
And so then you have those 16 to 20-year-olds that would normally be a part of the workforce
01:12:37.800
Now they're mooching off mom and dad, still on their parents' health insurance, not getting
01:12:41.620
those jobs at McDonald's, not doing those things.
01:12:44.960
Well, it's different because the minimum wage is a government thing to destroy an industry.
01:12:50.760
But I'm just saying that they took it out, right?
01:12:53.000
They did that because they don't want to pay those prices, which is going to happen eventually
01:12:59.400
They're going to have all of these automated tellers everywhere you go.
01:13:02.740
And then who makes the automated tellers, right?
01:13:06.300
Well, that's a different issue, but you know...
01:13:11.800
And so it's going to be, who's going to manufacture all these goods?
01:13:18.020
If that was true, Lisa, then why is the unemployment rate lower?
01:13:20.980
Or why is the unemployment rate lower and the employment rate of prime age people higher
01:13:26.240
today than it was 100 years ago when there was less technology and less people?
01:13:30.860
The unemployment rate is lower today than it was 100 years ago when there were less people
01:13:36.980
But because we've expanded, like we have other things to do, right?
01:13:44.600
Well, you could think of a theoretical case where that's not always, but I do think that
01:13:56.240
I think there was a really cool debate between Ben Shapiro and Tucker Carlson on the self-driving
01:14:00.840
Tucker is against them and Ben Shapiro is for them.
01:14:03.860
I'm squirrelly for them because we have trouble finding truck drivers to drive trucks.
01:14:13.900
So you buy more things, you will make more books, you will make more apples, you will
01:14:17.960
make more of everything else, and then you will have your jobs in the truck.
01:14:27.340
Because imagine we're importing more things from China, right?
01:14:30.360
Well, China is a bad case because China is an enemy, but from Canada, right?
01:14:35.220
That means Canada will receive more dollars, right?
01:14:39.240
More U.S. dollars because we're paying them in dollars.
01:14:42.080
What are they going to do with those U.S. dollars?
01:14:51.640
But our Americans aren't going there to get the jobs to go do the manufacturing jobs.
01:14:55.360
Why don't we look at what actually has happened, right?
01:14:57.640
We've seen a huge increase in Americans going into health care, into education, into all
01:15:03.540
these other service sector jobs, which are actually paying better than and growing faster
01:15:08.980
than a lot of the manufacturing jobs that have gone away.
01:15:21.060
Like, this is a job that didn't exist 50 years ago.
01:15:24.100
But what I'm saying, like, he's talking about things going up.
01:15:28.260
Like, we have more mentally ill people in the U.S. than ever.
01:15:39.100
Like, people used to do things with their hands and feel some type of...
01:15:43.720
You know, I don't know if you guys know this, but back when they were making, like,
01:15:48.860
When they were making the Betty Crocker cake stuff, right?
01:15:51.240
Women didn't want to buy it because they didn't feel like they were really making a cake.
01:15:56.860
They were like, if you add an egg to this and you actually manually break it yourself,
01:16:00.580
these women will psychologically feel like they're baking cakes.
01:16:06.660
Well, a lot of people are not feeling satisfaction because they're not physically doing labor.
01:16:18.580
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01:17:14.720
Service jobs or no jobs or whatever are making people mentally unwell.
01:17:25.080
Is it gross domestic product or is it kind of some inexplicable hidden factors?
01:17:30.300
I mean, GDP correlates with almost every positive outcome you can possibly think of.
01:17:34.580
No, they're doing happiness studies now that are saying that they don't correlate.
01:17:37.320
But the idea that people on the assembly line had better jobs and felt more satisfied,
01:17:45.820
it's just, I mean, you look at the complaints about capitalism 100 years ago or even 50 years ago,
01:17:51.480
there was like all this soul-draining drudgery of the assembly line.
01:17:57.040
They were advocating for their kids to go work there too because their kids weren't allowed to work there.
01:18:02.060
Their kids were not allowed to work at factories and they were furious about it.
01:18:06.480
And there were protests and marches to get their kids working in the factories.
01:18:16.680
Why is it like a chronically online slogan to say touch grass if we didn't desperately need to touch grass?
01:18:24.620
I mean, the fact that we're glued to our screens.
01:18:25.880
I just don't think the way to touch grass is to make people work at McDonald's, you know?
01:18:31.300
Maybe we should force unemployed teenagers to do that.
01:18:42.460
But the idea that those jobs that connect us personally in education, in health care, nursing, home health care, all of these jobs that have been created, they are connecting us interpersonally.
01:18:58.120
That's better than being a drone on an assembly line.
01:19:02.420
We've obviously innovated our way out of that problem for the most part.
01:19:08.520
I don't think that, you know, whatever's good for our soul is going to be going back to that and taking away the opportunities that have been created to do this interpersonal service sector.
01:19:19.120
I mean, I do think doing things with their hands is good for our soul.
01:19:24.360
And it doesn't necessarily have to be a manufacturing judge.
01:19:32.100
If this is bearing such great interpersonal fruits, why is the country experiencing record levels of loneliness?
01:19:38.060
Why are young people reporting so much depression and anxiety?
01:19:56.880
I mean, I don't think those issues are a result of increase in prosperity.
01:20:01.800
I think those issues are mainly a result of breakdowns in family life.
01:20:07.520
In fact, you know what we say in the rest of the world.
01:20:11.580
It's because you are wealthy enough to be concerned about those things.
01:20:14.600
As a country, we live in immense decadence and prosperity.
01:20:20.760
I went to the MI gala where Douglas Murray was the keynote speaker.
01:20:26.080
And it was just this case study about how he went to Israel in the aftermath of October
01:20:29.820
7th and the war and how the young people there shocked him because just like here, our young
01:20:34.820
people are dismissed as, oh, you good for nothing.
01:20:37.640
You know, you're addicted to your screens and, you know, you don't care about contributing
01:20:42.320
And there it's the same, you know, the same reputation that young people had.
01:20:45.620
And he was amazed at how they sprung into action when Israel was facing existential crisis.
01:20:51.000
When the country was under attack from all sides, the young people wowed everyone with
01:20:56.620
what they were, what they were capable of as, as well as how much patriotism suddenly
01:21:02.760
Israel is a different case, but I think America, the culture, and I don't know if it's really
01:21:07.320
what Vivek was saying, but there's something deeply suppressed about our culture.
01:21:11.920
We haven't experienced like this, like fraternal love of like our citizens and for each other
01:21:19.660
because, and work because of what is in our, our national identity, I think is unknown actually
01:21:29.280
And frankly, I think it was those big crises, international wars, especially World War II
01:21:35.180
that almost activated this, this sense of understanding of who we are as a people.
01:21:42.280
I want to say something about Israel and bring it back to the immigration stuff, because Israel
01:21:46.560
is an amazing case on the whole immigration situation.
01:21:50.260
I think I read on, on, on X that somebody said, why doesn't Israel need tech workers
01:21:57.580
First, they have an amazingly liberal high skilled visa program where the only requirement
01:22:01.820
is that you make over twice the average salary of an Israeli and get sponsored by a tech
01:22:07.500
Um, and then second, yeah, Israel, you know, maybe doesn't count as foreign workers, but
01:22:15.560
And in fact, after the, after the Soviet union fell, the population of Israel grew by like
01:22:20.740
20% from Soviet Jews who were very different culturally, uh, even in looks racially, you
01:22:28.080
could say, even though they're still Jewish from the previous Israeli populations.
01:22:36.500
That makes a huge difference for the Malaysian purposes.
01:22:37.660
Or at least they were considered similar because they were not religious at all, unlike the previous
01:22:46.300
So, but the point of this is Israel, you know, had extreme prosperity from really highly skilled
01:22:54.920
Um, they do have this creedal, you know, the, you know, it's the Jewish state, right?
01:22:59.140
It's the only developed nation in the world with above, above replacement fertility.
01:23:04.280
The, the fertility rate of Israelis is three children per woman.
01:23:09.760
Like what, why isn't fertility going down in Israel?
01:23:12.040
And I think it's because of these values, right?
01:23:14.480
So you do need to, to, to have a revival of values in America.
01:23:18.480
And I don't think that's about immigration policy.
01:23:20.940
I think it's about education and it's about many other things.
01:23:24.700
I mean, South Korea though, isn't that an economic powerhouse that is, has this dismal replacement
01:23:36.640
So, and they are, you know, innovators and it's.
01:23:39.840
And in fact, it becomes worse because now Japan doesn't have people to take care of
01:23:44.080
So now they have to bring in all these people from the Philippines to take care of them as
01:23:52.220
No, I just, I mean, you know, South Korea is not really a, I mean, they're, they're,
01:23:57.420
Most of the world is, is poor compared to the United States.
01:24:00.960
And, and a big reason why the United States is so wealthy and we have the resources to
01:24:06.200
address a lot of the problems that, that come up in, in the conversation here is because
01:24:11.680
of immigration and because of the people who've come, we would already, you know, talk about
01:24:17.520
We'd already be seeing population decline if we hadn't had immigration since 1965, which
01:24:26.460
We just should have banned all immigration over the last 50 years, which would have been
01:24:30.740
a terrible, disastrous thing for the United States as opposed to something that's a positive.
01:24:36.840
And you look at, you got to get back to fundamentals on some of this.
01:24:39.280
When you just are advocating, we shouldn't have population growth because it's going to
01:24:43.920
New labor force entrance is going to make us poorer.
01:24:48.300
Once you start talking in those terms, then you adopt a lot of policies that would be bad for
01:24:54.200
We'd actually advocate for more abortion, more restrictions on childbirth and not address
01:25:01.340
a lot of the crises that, you know, in child care and health care that we desperately need
01:25:09.960
Do you want to have unfettered migration in general, no matter what?
01:25:16.960
Like, how do you feel about all the people that were crossing the border legally?
01:25:21.740
Because it seems to me that you just won't let every worker in.
01:25:24.580
I mean, I think that immigration should be presumptively legal to come to the United States.
01:25:32.440
If you come and you can show that you can support yourself and look, we should change our
01:25:37.300
Like we shouldn't just have people who can come in and they can't support themselves and
01:25:44.500
And if you don't pay in sufficient amount, then you shouldn't get to naturalize and
01:25:49.680
We can create, look, anyone I talk to about immigration can create a better system than
01:25:58.180
Look, illegal immigration, it's a result of the fact that, look, the H-1B visa, it's the
01:26:03.420
only year-round guest worker visa we have for year-round positions.
01:26:09.820
So where are all the illegal immigrants going when they get here?
01:26:13.560
They're going to year-round jobs that are categorically prohibited from guest workers.
01:26:21.680
There's no guest worker visa for poultry processing, for livestock, dairies, construction.
01:26:29.740
All of these industries are completely prohibited.
01:26:37.200
They're not illegible, the dairy industry, because it's not seasonal.
01:26:42.460
They can kind of hack the system because of when dairy cows are born is seasonal, so they
01:26:52.660
But in general, the milk has to be collected regularly every day, so it's not a seasonal or
01:27:03.260
So you have 70% of the jobs, 75% of the jobs are categorically ineligible banned from guest
01:27:10.920
worker legal migration, and that produces the illegal immigration and chaos that we saw
01:27:17.480
I actually think, David, even if you made it legal for companies to sponsor guest workers
01:27:22.780
in everything, I still think you would have massive numbers of people coming in illegally
01:27:38.240
They don't have actually a contact with employers here most.
01:27:40.960
In fact, this is the first time we have a border crisis where people all over the world
01:27:44.820
It's not primarily Mexican or Central American anymore.
01:27:48.140
And it's people who have no previous connection, not even a family member here.
01:27:54.320
So they wouldn't have been sponsored by employers.
01:28:00.580
I'm not saying it's a cure-all for every immigration problem, but it would be a significant benefit.
01:28:05.400
You understand in context that, look, 75% of the jobs were just saying the only way you
01:28:10.000
can fill these jobs with a foreign worker is illegally.
01:28:12.760
That is a significant problem for illegal immigration.
01:28:20.540
In agriculture, they have the H-2A visa, and they still have massive numbers of illegal immigrants.
01:28:28.820
All of the increase in seasonal agricultural employment has come through the H-2A visa since
01:28:38.760
That used to be the main form of illegal immigration was into seasonal agriculture.
01:28:47.020
Pennsylvania, New Jersey, they're picking the blueberry farms down in Hamilton, New Jersey,
01:28:51.280
They stand outside Wawa's waiting to get picked up for day work every day.
01:28:59.420
I'm saying that all of the increase in employment has come from the H-2A.
01:29:03.140
So we could see, yes, there are some illegal immigrants who come in, some die, some leave,
01:29:13.220
I'm saying that the H-2A has prevented that problem from getting worse.
01:29:21.120
To solve it, you would have to ultimately legalize the population who are already here
01:29:27.820
illegally, which obviously people don't want to do.
01:29:30.100
How do you feel about violating your social culture, David?
01:29:32.340
I wanted to add one quick thing on the economics.
01:29:34.580
Doesn't all this contradict the ethos of free men, free soil, because these are labor subsidies?
01:29:44.100
Because I think the plenary power of the Constitution grants, I believe, the government the authority
01:29:53.240
Why do we think that these companies are entitled to foreign labor?
01:29:57.120
The question is what benefits the United States, right?
01:29:59.920
But I think it's like we're almost operating under this assumption of like, absolutely.
01:30:03.940
Like, yes, they should get access to these cheaper laborers.
01:30:08.220
It's when it's like, well, actually, you're operating within a country.
01:30:10.360
Well, but remember, I think that the problem is that we're treating immigrants as if they
01:30:20.800
They also innovate, which is why the whole high-skilled immigration thing.
01:30:38.240
Hospital, schools, all the other social safety net that's out there, there will be strain
01:30:47.020
They also get welfare, which is why the whole thing with high-skilled immigration is so good
01:30:52.200
I have a whole story about the fiscal impact of immigrants.
01:30:54.220
In fact, even the average H-1B worker will reduce the deficit by over half a million dollars
01:31:01.640
Now, we could increase that to over a million dollars if we just did wage ranking, so that
01:31:07.520
But on the culture part, I think the culture is important, David, because, you know, I'm
01:31:13.080
I think that if I lived in a country that was primarily Buddhist, Muslim, Hindu, I wouldn't
01:31:23.420
And I'm not saying that immigration is going to turn that into the United States.
01:31:30.880
Out of my heart, because I do think Christianity is important, and I do think it is important
01:31:38.180
You look at what happened with Catholic immigration.
01:31:41.600
The late 19th century, you look at what the popes were putting out on freedom of religion,
01:31:50.360
And the people who were opposed to Catholic immigration had all the same arguments that
01:31:58.000
Non-Christian immigration today used the exact same arguments and had better, really better
01:32:06.820
Would you feel comfortable living in a country that is not primarily Christian?
01:32:18.120
And I'm opposed to the secularization of society.
01:32:37.340
You talk, because I don't want to get off on a religious tangent here.
01:32:40.700
All I'm going to say is, if you look at what happened with Catholic immigration, you had
01:32:45.840
all of these concerns that the Catholics are going to change us.
01:32:49.040
And they're going to transform our culture and turn us against freedom of religion and have
01:32:53.520
an oppressive indoctrination and have separate schools and they're going to, you know, never
01:33:00.500
Well, the integralist movement is certainly gaining steam these days.
01:33:07.960
I am Catholic and I hear a lot about, you know, Catholic nationalism.
01:33:11.220
And it ended up being a great thing for the country, not just for America, but also for
01:33:16.860
Because when you look at what happened with Vatican II and the adoption of religious liberty
01:33:21.420
as a core fundamental belief of Catholics now, it was directly tied to the American experiment.
01:33:30.120
And if you look at what, which Catholics actually wrote-
01:33:33.660
But we come from the same, we come from the same source.
01:33:43.620
We have the same Bible except for a couple of books.
01:33:51.820
But the experience of the United States is our culture is so attractive to people that
01:34:05.360
I think we're getting just a different flow from, say, Europe.
01:34:09.000
Now, thankfully, we're not having that same problem.
01:34:10.980
Because we just are in a different geographical location.
01:34:15.040
But look at what's happening in the United Kingdom.
01:34:27.700
Even for people in America who claim they're atheists, they are still beneficiaries of a different
01:34:36.080
And if you look at, you know, surveys of Muslims, obviously, this is mainly a Muslim conversation.
01:34:41.460
I don't know many people, maybe some other people are concerned about other faiths, but
01:34:49.860
They are becoming more socially tolerant and more socially liberal over the last-
01:34:58.380
Forty percent of Muslims will not tell if there's an ISIS attack or a terrorist attack.
01:35:17.360
That is traditionalism, and I agree with that side of it.
01:35:26.220
So, again, yes, there are going to be people who have views that we abhor, that we want
01:35:34.000
to oppose, but the trajectory of American history and American tradition is-
01:35:43.440
Europe does not have that experience that the United States does.
01:35:57.100
You know what's the first thing they did when I went to college?
01:36:12.060
But the point related to this is that because they're erasing American culture-
01:36:20.620
Because they're erasing American culture, they are reducing the way to assimilate.
01:36:29.660
I mean, I don't think this is an argument to say we shouldn't have immigration or whatever
01:36:34.340
It's an argument to say you need to select immigrants that are aligned with the cultural
01:36:53.140
But obviously, you did much better despite all of these-
01:36:57.620
You did better with the men because they're not getting the jobs that we're talking about
01:37:06.200
But the argument I'm making is not to prove it or anything.
01:37:09.320
It's simple to say, don't you think that it would be beneficial to select based on cultural
01:37:16.500
I don't trust the government to select based on cultural values.
01:37:19.820
If we had the Biden administration in charge of-
01:37:28.800
Did you know that on the biometrics form for immigrants now, they put in the hair color
01:37:37.620
See, this does give me pause, and I understand your point here.
01:37:41.400
That being said, the argument that we do need to recruit based on alignment to our cultural
01:37:48.080
Blue and pink hair should be an automatic rejection.
01:37:51.520
You have blue or pink hair, you're automatically rejected.
01:37:58.440
And with this administration, maybe there's a way to codify what a good metric barometer
01:38:06.940
I don't know what that looks like, because I know the citizenship test is not, like, for
01:38:17.580
Because you're, you know, you have to be healthy under a certain BMI, and you have to, like...
01:38:22.140
You need to know our founding history, you need to know our American political thought,
01:38:25.500
the Declaration of Independence, the Constitution, you should know the articles.
01:38:34.120
And I will fully admit that most Americans my age don't know squat about that stuff,
01:38:40.440
And that, once again, is an indictment of the public education system, which is a monopoly,
01:38:44.920
and we need to demolish the Department of Education, and then we need to...
01:38:49.580
Well, if we can't do that, we've got to sever its relationship, which is...
01:38:53.600
It's basically a cabal with the teachers' unions, and then we need to basically privatize
01:38:58.600
a lot of this, and school choice needs to be implemented across the land, and I do think
01:39:09.900
Religious education, the parochial schools, we need to make sure that these multiply and
01:39:13.920
are fruitful, and that the public education monopoly is...
01:39:18.440
I will say about immigrants and culture, at least because immigrants do tend to be more
01:39:23.000
religious than they need to be born, the children do tend to succeed much more, and I see that
01:39:29.000
very often in the schools that I travel to when I speak, and in the colleges with Young
01:39:33.560
America's Foundation that I speak through, and it's really moving, you know?
01:39:38.100
They're very inspired by their parents' stories.
01:39:39.900
That's kind of like what America has always been about, at least, how I've always perceived
01:39:47.420
It's different from other countries that are based on, you know, whatever, a people,
01:39:55.520
I think it also requires saying, you know, there is actually an upper limit of people that
01:40:00.320
I don't think legally we're at that upper limit.
01:40:04.260
But within that limit, you would want to have the people who are more likely to be entrepreneurs,
01:40:09.780
who are likely to speak English, who are likely to not be on welfare and make more money, which
01:40:15.700
is why I think, yes, we can fix the H-1B visa issue very easily with just wage ranking, but
01:40:20.540
yeah, and we should redirect chain migration towards skills-based, right?
01:40:25.640
Which, by the way, the left will say, oh, that's unfair.
01:40:28.240
Actually, it's fairer because not everybody has a sibling living in America.
01:40:33.560
Everybody can actually get the skills to qualify through skills-based systems.
01:40:38.360
If you prove yourself, you can come here rather than, oh, my third cousin, we should get rid
01:40:43.120
Only keep it to the direct relatives, the mother, father, and the children.
01:40:48.920
Yeah, I mean, again, I'm talking about a compromise.
01:40:51.500
Like, the tech right is a very real presence in the MAGA coalition.
01:40:54.600
If you really want to appease them, you know, you probably have to do something to the effect
01:41:08.440
And demolish this whole DEI structure that's been built for decades.
01:41:12.100
That it's been built in immigration with a diversity lottery, all these lotteries, all
01:41:18.520
Like, you select which countries, and it's, like, silly because you select also the bad
01:41:24.940
And then also in education, also in employment, like, everything.
01:41:29.620
And bring in the geniuses, like Operation Paperclip did with, of course, there were some ethical
01:41:36.520
But, well, okay, I'm not saying, like, I'm not saying we bring in, uh, I'm not saying
01:41:41.160
we bring in ex-Nazis, but I'm saying that the truly most brilliant thinkers on this earth,
01:41:50.280
Right, because you can't identify the people who are, like, young, right, before they do
01:41:58.660
A lot of people in this conversation were saying, well, we have the O visa.
01:42:02.940
Elon Musk would not have qualified for the O visa because he was just coming out of college.
01:42:09.520
So you do need to give people a chance to prove themselves.
01:42:12.140
You could adjust what extraordinary achievements mean.
01:42:23.320
There's plenty of things that you can do to rule that out.
01:42:26.820
You can suss someone out as gifted at a young age, I'm pretty sure.
01:42:30.280
That's right, but that's not what the current immigration system does.
01:42:32.640
So if you just got rid of, say, H-1B, even though it's imperfect, definitely needs to be
01:42:37.300
fixed, you would lose the only path for people like that.
01:42:40.920
I think that right now we have too many people in general that have come in because of
01:42:47.680
So I don't understand why there can't be a temporary halt on everything until we sort
01:42:53.760
Yeah, like just a temporary one until we sort out who's already here, who out of those
01:42:59.220
people need to stay, who out of those people need to go.
01:43:01.720
And then once you figure that out and then assess the situation, okay, then we can start
01:43:07.120
talking about getting people in this country and basically what I tweeted out, saying like
01:43:13.440
stealing the best people from our adversaries or other countries to put us on top.
01:43:21.360
You do need a moratorium on like illegal immigration, but like, why would you stop, say, an American
01:43:28.320
who's marrying a foreign person from being able to...
01:43:30.920
Like you're talking about like the K or the I-130, right?
01:43:34.280
Okay, but that's like half of the, but that's like half of the illegal immigrant flow.
01:43:38.300
But that's mostly chain migration, isn't like...
01:43:40.200
No, no, no, like just the spouses and the children are half of the illegal.
01:43:43.720
And I don't even love, I don't even love a ton of that, you know, I'm not going to lie.
01:43:47.920
There's a lot of, there's a lot of fraud there.
01:43:49.920
People marrying their sisters and their cousins and they say that they're not and it's very
01:43:54.900
Like a certain congresswoman from the Western state.
01:43:58.320
I had to help, I was trying to help somebody come here and they were, they were from Syria
01:44:01.040
at the time and there was only one road and they had to travel.
01:44:03.200
It was during the war and they had to travel to Lebanon to go to the consulate and USCIS lost
01:44:13.700
And because we don't have consulates in these areas and we don't have people to actually vet
01:44:17.140
them and do the biometrics and really prove that this is like who they are and what they
01:44:25.720
That needs, that needs a moratorium until, if we don't have consulates, like if, and people
01:44:30.980
to investigate, do background checks on these people and fully vet them, they can't come
01:44:36.100
I mean, you're talking about Daniel here because there's no consulate in Venezuela.
01:44:40.100
I mean, the idea that we're going to ban, we're going to ban, we're going to ban Americans
01:44:45.480
from marrying people who are born in other countries.
01:44:57.780
The government actually needs a good reason to violate your rights.
01:45:03.200
You are, yes, you have a right to marry whoever you want.
01:45:05.980
They go live in their country if you want to marry them.
01:45:10.160
No, I do think that's pretty radical to just say that you...
01:45:24.540
Do you think people do that for utility reasons?
01:45:27.320
Yeah, but what if they're doing it for diabolical reasons, which they've done?
01:45:30.880
You said there's a lot of fraud in there, right?
01:45:32.400
I've had two Uber drivers already confess to me from the Dominican Republic that they
01:45:42.320
But you have nefarious actors in these countries with no consulates where they can't...
01:45:46.160
Where it's very hard to back around the checks where all their names sound the same,
01:45:49.440
Everybody has the same first name, very similar last names.
01:45:52.460
And you have to go in and try to see if they are who they stay there, if they don't have
01:45:57.580
And you're just saying that, yeah, like, no problem.
01:46:00.680
We should just let them in because somebody wants to marry them.
01:46:07.660
But just on, like, say, you know, we just need to stop to figure it out.
01:46:10.760
I don't think we should stop millionaires from creating jobs and innovators from doing
01:46:14.780
that to figure out the illegal border situation.
01:46:26.920
Most of them are already approved for green cards waiting for their visa because they're
01:46:31.600
So really, the issue is, how do you control the border?
01:46:38.560
David Sack said, we can all agree that we need to just stop the flow illegally at the
01:46:42.960
border, and then we can look at legal immigration.
01:46:45.220
And the question of how to do that is important, right?
01:46:47.600
Like, you know, I think everybody's like, well, Trump is going to come in on the first
01:46:52.060
Like, he's actually going to need a lot of money, which is why Republicans in Congress
01:46:55.460
are, like, working on, like, a reconciliation bill.
01:46:57.760
We need to appropriate money to detain people because it's like, oh, we're not going to
01:47:09.160
That's a week and a half of illegal border crossings.
01:47:13.800
Yeah, well, I mean, look, the idea that you're going to end illegal immigration without a
01:47:18.980
fundamental change in the legal immigration system, it's just not, it's just fanciful
01:47:26.840
He had a lot of illegal immigration that happened, despite, does anyone doubt that he was upset
01:47:32.480
about it, that he was highly focused on it throughout his entire term in office?
01:47:36.460
He left office in December of 2020 with apprehensions at the border that were the highest in 21 years.
01:47:51.820
But that's not—but that is not the end-all, be-all.
01:47:55.380
We need to fundamentally change our legal immigration system as well.
01:47:59.260
He was hamstringed by his own people, though, right?
01:48:03.800
So he already got it under control with what limited resources and opportunities he had.
01:48:09.860
I will say, Obama, I think looking back at Obama's term, he was actually very good on
01:48:17.940
The average number of border crossings was lower in the second term of Obama than on Trump's
01:48:23.340
term, excluding—if you exclude COVID, you know?
01:48:25.980
So it's like, actually, you know, you can have, you know, better immigration policy even
01:48:32.280
under Democrats if they actually cared about it, which I didn't.
01:48:35.060
If they actually enforce the laws that are on the books and deport people that shouldn't
01:48:39.680
But then we'll have people like you saying they're here and they're contributing to the
01:48:45.080
I mean, you would let all the people that came here illegally stay, correct?
01:48:48.420
No, not if they had committed crimes and caused problems in our country.
01:48:51.620
We shouldn't have—law enforcement should be focused on people who threaten our lives
01:48:57.160
and our liberties and otherwise threaten our property.
01:49:01.180
People who are threats to the community should be the target of law enforcement.
01:49:05.180
When you say we're going to have the law enforcement going around doing the social micromanaging
01:49:10.800
of our population, they are not focused on the threats to the community.
01:49:17.340
So you should have law enforcement have that targeting, whether it's on immigration or just
01:49:24.460
regular police, they should be focused on excluding people who are threats to the community.
01:49:33.240
We have a police department that is supposed to be for X amount of number of citizens.
01:49:41.340
It's increasing their demand on society for their schools, their police departments, right?
01:49:46.460
Now they're unvetted, they're coming with gangs, they're causing more problems.
01:49:51.800
And so now you have the regular criminals that we need to round up and take care of.
01:49:56.340
And then you have these extra people that are an additional burden.
01:49:59.940
Well, and by the time the feds and the police identify these people as potentially as dangerous
01:50:06.580
and causing crime, it's too late, I think, sometimes.
01:50:09.960
I remember in New York City, I was covering what was going on in the Upper West Side with the
01:50:13.860
migrant crisis, and it was like, here were the crimes that I just witnessed in broad daylight
01:50:18.440
and, you know, whether the city actually had the power to crack down on that is a whole
01:50:22.520
nother problem, the fecklessness of the Eric Adams regime.
01:50:25.760
But, I mean, racing illegally registered mopeds up and down Broadway the wrong way, you know,
01:50:31.940
like harassing elderly women who've lived in New York City for their entire lives, like
01:50:36.960
multiple generations, family, children, you know, public defecation, public urination,
01:50:52.760
Yes, well, the idea that there should be all this slack in the system, that law enforcement
01:50:58.240
just, they're not doing anything, they're just hanging out over here and they can just
01:51:02.360
No, like 50% of murders go unsolved in this country.
01:51:08.000
You know, if you look at property crimes, they basically don't even show up if you call.
01:51:11.320
Well, but that's not, that's a criminal justice issue.
01:51:12.960
The idea that we should be spending tens of billions of dollars on, on people who aren't
01:51:18.660
causing problems, who haven't committed crimes, that is diverting law enforcement away from
01:51:28.560
You can't say that to like Lake and Riley's parents or any of these other, or any of these
01:51:36.800
This is really the apex of the failure of the Democrats on everything from criminal justice
01:51:49.340
Jose Barra, the guy who murdered Lake and Riley, Venezuelan too, by the way, Trendy Aragua
01:51:54.580
affiliated, the gang, he was committing a crime in New York City when he first arrived.
01:52:00.400
He was bussed for free to New York City from the border, which by the way-
01:52:15.860
Because then Texas has to deal with it, and they're tired of dealing with it when the
01:52:21.120
But, you know, well, but he was let in by Biden, right?
01:52:28.020
Somebody that you should have checked if he had gang affiliations, detained him as much
01:52:40.900
And a lot of them don't have background information.
01:52:41.640
There was a woman who was a child sex trafficker.
01:52:47.680
You just had to see her to know that she shouldn't be in the United States.
01:52:54.520
This woman looked like she was going to murder any of us at any point.
01:53:01.620
And so Jose Barra gets to New York, starts robbing.
01:53:07.400
And also, it's a sanctuary city, so they don't call ICE.
01:53:10.180
And then they give him a free flight, paid for by the New York City government, to Georgia,
01:53:20.880
You should be focused on people committing crimes, including what New York City would
01:53:34.780
I mean, if you commit a crime that harms someone else, you should absolutely be a target of
01:53:42.940
Sanctuary cities, I believe, harbor, like, that allows that progressive city to harbor
01:53:46.820
any illegal aliens, like, regardless of whether they have a criminal record.
01:53:53.720
No, the point I'm making is we have so many immigration agents.
01:53:59.060
There's really 5,000 that go out and actually try to arrest people in the streets that go out
01:54:09.800
You want to target the people who committed violent crimes, who committed property crimes
01:54:15.340
I mean, anyone who's violated the rights of Americans should be the priority for law enforcement.
01:54:20.680
We shouldn't have them just going out, randomly grabbing people off the streets.
01:54:25.260
Like, what if they haven't yet, but they're prone to that?
01:54:28.700
Illegal immigrants commit crimes at a lower per capita rate than the U.S.-born population
01:54:34.700
Well, actually, David, you know that the main reason for that is because most crimes are
01:54:42.000
committed by people who commit a repeat crime, and because the illegals are deported, you
01:54:48.680
So if you look at the first-time crime rate, it's actually higher for illegal immigrants.
01:54:51.860
I mean, that is not what the first-time crime rate is.
01:54:56.800
The Americans are not deported after they leave jail.
01:55:01.820
No, I mean, if you look at DACA recipients, they've been in the country the entire-
01:55:05.540
DACA recipients are not the average illegal immigrants.
01:55:13.800
It's one of the conditions to be in DACA is that you-
01:55:16.100
You don't need to have graduated college to be in DACA.
01:55:23.420
Or serve in the military, do something equivalent.
01:55:26.060
No, all you have to do is be enrolled in high school or try to graduate a college.
01:55:36.040
You don't even have to have graduated high school and then be enrolled in college.
01:55:41.920
No, you can be pursuing a degree in high school.
01:55:48.300
But anyway, there are numerous different data sources-
01:55:53.020
But we actually know how to target people who are prone to crime.
01:55:56.380
Most of the crime in this country is committed by men who are young, who are high school dropouts.
01:56:01.420
Should we allow in people from countries that are known to be safe havens for terrorism?
01:56:07.700
Even if they themselves, we don't know that they have any criminal background.
01:56:11.040
What about people from Iran who oppose the regime?
01:56:17.460
Look, these are more complicated questions that you look at specifically for the individual.
01:56:23.440
So someone who is born in Iran, they may have lived their entire life somewhere else.
01:56:31.380
It really depends on who this person is, how much we know about it.
01:56:39.340
So you have to have an individualized assessment of risk.
01:56:43.940
You should not be just saying, well, this person was born in Iran.
01:56:47.320
Therefore, every Iranian should be banned because we're the Iranian government.
01:56:51.500
But de facto, if we have no information on them, don't let them in.
01:56:55.240
Well, I mean, sure, if you don't have any information.
01:57:00.220
But I do, I would never support something like a ban like that.
01:57:04.180
I have an organization like the Assistant Project.
01:57:05.880
All our speakers come from countries that are dictatorships.
01:57:08.820
Iran, Russia, North Korea, China, Cuba, Venezuela, Eritrea, Zimbabwe.
01:57:15.040
And these are really good people who come and educate Americans about the blessings of being an American, of the Constitution.
01:57:25.740
All of these speakers will also tell you, no, I don't want Russians who support Putin or Chinese who support the CCP.
01:57:31.380
Or even less like a North Korean who supports the regime.
01:57:35.440
I want to make your correction because, to be fair, so they have to be GED, high school, honorably discharged veteran.
01:57:46.600
And if they are, it allows them to go to college, but it does not guarantee access to federal aid.
01:57:52.700
They will have options for federal aid, but they don't have to.
01:58:04.340
The National Longitudinal Youth Survey is really the best evidence for this because you can actually see the arrest rates for people over time.
01:58:18.120
And the first generation is the least likely to commit violence.
01:58:25.240
But, like, I mean, it's disproportionately, you know, if you look at—you can look at it by education as well.
01:58:33.480
But, look, I mean, at the end of the day, what do we want law enforcement to be doing?
01:58:38.240
We want law enforcement to be targeting people who commit crimes.
01:58:44.240
The first crime that you commit is coming here illegally.
01:58:46.940
That is a crime, and I don't think the solution is just to make all the illegals legal.
01:58:52.280
Well, what I will say about that is that, you know, I did a study about the fiscal impact of immigrants.
01:58:57.260
It's where David and I have many methodological disagreements, where the average illegal immigrant is expected to cost the government, have a net cost over their lifetime.
01:59:07.180
And so you can, you know, say, well, but deportation also has a cost, actually, tens of thousands of dollars.
01:59:13.740
So you have to balance that and think, who do you really—and also understand that just physically it's going to be impossible to do with everyone.
01:59:24.460
I think you should want to deport then everybody else who doesn't pay up.
01:59:28.360
And then people should pay up to become legal, and it should be a very high fee.
01:59:32.640
And then that's how you really should solve it.
01:59:34.900
Also, if illegal aliens know that winter is coming with this next administration, maybe self-deportation is also an option.
01:59:40.240
Yeah, you need better employment verification system.
01:59:45.880
So when people say, we should just require E-Verify, actually, you need to fix E-Verify first so that it actually works.
01:59:51.580
That was instituted under IRCA, right, under the law, under Reagan.
01:59:59.480
Even U.S. citizens are marked, too, as illegal sometimes.
02:00:03.780
Guys, we've got, like, two minutes left here, so we clearly don't all agree.
02:00:09.700
Why don't we each give our closing thoughts about what you think that you would want, what we should do, how quickly it would take to fix it, if that's your situation, or if you're like me, and say no more.
02:00:23.040
Yeah, so, I mean, the most important reform the government could do is expand legal immigration, particularly for skilled immigrants in this context.
02:00:36.920
And look, their median income is $118,000 a year.
02:00:44.140
You look at 55% of the billion-dollar startups in this country founded by foreign workers.
02:00:50.840
You know, this is a critical issue for the future of the United States.
02:00:55.380
If we decide that we're going to close our borders and keep out people who are going to invent the next great company, come up with artificial intelligence that allows us to compete with the Chinese,
02:01:07.680
if we prevent that from happening, it will be to the detriment of the United States.
02:01:13.700
Well, I would say that the U.S. immigration system is deeply flawed, and I would say that it needs to be rebalanced to focus much more on English ability,
02:01:24.280
to focus much more on skills, to focus much more on whether you're a welfare recipient or not, whether you align with American values.
02:01:31.140
You know, over a million green cards a year are granted to people to stay in the U.S. permanently,
02:01:35.980
and most of them really go to people who don't have enough English ability, who don't have skills, who just have a relative in the United States.
02:01:43.720
And you don't really need to increase legal immigration to fix that.
02:01:47.400
You just need to rebalance it and reduce low-skilled legal immigration.
02:01:51.560
And imagine what a better country this would be if you had so many more people.
02:02:03.520
Because that's the immigration system that I think the average person wants.
02:02:07.100
The average person doesn't want to just, like, not let in everybody.
02:02:10.320
I mean, everybody loves what America is about, and everybody loves an immigrant who, you know, loves America, too.
02:02:22.420
Just say H-1B, the program we know is abused by employers under the pretense that this is just for, you know, a shortage of STEM, and it's going to be temporary.
02:02:34.620
But as I said, we don't have a shortage of highly skilled workers in this country.
02:02:40.760
And I think we need to figure out how to activate those people and re-engage them so that they can take some of these jobs back.
02:02:49.140
And I think Mark Krikorian's proposal is compelling for both sides of this debate because it gets rid of some of the low-skilled immigration, which many on the MAGA, right, I would say the mandate is to probably reduce low-skilled immigration.
02:03:03.440
And that is to cut into the chain migration and then transferred over to high-skilled visas.
02:03:09.780
And I think part of that is we do want geniuses and Einsteins to come into this country, and I think very few would dispute that would be a net benefit.
02:03:17.720
But there needs to be a better process for figuring out whether they are, in fact, you know, exemplary candidates.
02:03:24.420
And just last thing I'll say is America is a sovereign nation.
02:03:26.880
We have every right to be selective in who we recruit to our shores.
02:03:30.740
And I think it should be the best and the brightest.
02:03:44.900
I finally came to the States back in 2010 after I joined the Air Force.
02:03:48.740
And so I've been pretty multicultural, you know, since my entire life.
02:03:53.360
So it wasn't really too much of a big change for me when I came to the United States, especially in this area.
02:03:58.360
What I will say is, obviously, there's some things that need to be ironed out in our immigration system.
02:04:05.200
You know, as of right now, my mom's been waiting about six and a half months to get her green card renewed.
02:04:11.880
So there's stuff like that that needs to get ironed, obviously.
02:04:15.260
So while I don't agree with just the blanket statement of or the blanket granting amnesty for all the illegal immigrants that are here in the United States, I don't know what kind of budgetary requirement that would, you know, require, really.
02:04:31.680
There does need to be something ironed out, especially with the people that are already here, whether that means deporting them, granting them amnesty.
02:04:46.800
So hopefully much higher people in higher places, hopefully, heed your warnings and advisements.
02:04:55.560
And hopefully we can come to a better understanding of how we can run our immigration system.
02:05:02.360
I'll just say the left rags on the right a lot for disagreeing, but that's how you get to the best possible outcome.
02:05:07.520
It's conversations like this saying, no, your idea sucks.
02:05:12.860
And it's conversations like this happening every day is how we get to having the best country.
02:05:22.360
Go ahead and tell everybody real quick where to follow you, and then I'll close us out.
02:05:25.800
Writer National Review, just on the website, and Twitter, Caroline Downey underscore, I think.
02:05:35.680
You can also look me up, just DanielDMartino.com, the Manhattan Institute Decision Project.
02:05:44.740
And you can find all of our work at Cato.org, the Cato Institute website.
02:05:53.660
I'm at Helmsway1 on X, and obviously TimCast.com.
02:06:01.660
We all know that I have more of the right-wing MAGA tendencies in me.
02:06:07.500
I will say that whatever policies that they do, obviously, everybody kind of agrees, well, other than you, that there needs to be reform or some changes made, even if you want to uncap it.
02:06:16.640
But that when the policymakers do it, they do it with the intent of what's going to benefit America and Americans first.
02:06:26.240
And that's really what the MAGA movement has been all about, whether that's economically or whether that's individually, culturally, financially.
02:06:33.460
Whatever way, we always should put American workers first.
02:06:38.440
Guys, make sure you subscribe, like the channel.
02:06:44.840
You can follow him on X and also follow him, get him in the mornings.
02:06:49.160
10 o'clock, I think, is the show on his main channel.
02:06:53.880
New show, 8 o'clock for IRL, and then Friday's back here every week at 10 a.m.
02:07:00.360
Tim will be here next week, and thanks for tuning in today, guys.