The Culture War #28 - The Economy Is In DANGER, Trump And Student Loans Spell CRISIS w⧸Meet Kevin
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2 hours and 18 minutes
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Summary
On this episode of the podcast, we have a special guest on the show, former California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger's former campaign manager, Kevin Kilbane, joins us to talk about what it was like running for Governor in 1994 and why he decided to leave the Democratic Party and join the Republican Party. He also talks about how he was able to win the recall election against then-Governor Schwarzenegger and how he managed to win re-election in 2006 against a man who was running for president at the same time as him, Donald Trump. We also talk about why he chose to run against Schwarzenegger and why it was a good thing he did so early in his political career, and why we should all vote for him in the mid-terms. Get ready for Las Vegas-style action at BetMGM, the king of online casinos. Enjoy casino games at your fingertips with the same Vegas Strip excitement MGM is famous for when you play classics like MGM Grand, Blackjack, Baccarat, and Roulette with our ever-growing library of digital slot games, a large selection of online table games, and signature BetmGM service, there s no better way to bring the excitement and ambience of Las Vegas home to you than home! Download the BetMMAGM Casino App today! . -BetMGM & GameSense remind you to play responsibly. BetM MGM and GameSense BetmoGMGM and Gambling Ontario only! -Play responsibly! Please play responsibly, and to Wager Ontario only, please play responsibly Please Play responsibly. BetMMGMAGMG & Game Sense. - & Gambling! BetGMGM & G&C's 19+ to wager Ontario! , Thank you, BetMeGM & Don t miss out! & Bet MeGM & Bet Meghan, - Bet Megan & G? ! - Thank Meghan & Gaius, & BetMegan, Thank Me, the Bet Meghans, Meghan and Gave Me a Happy Holidays! Thank You, Meghan. & Meghan ( ) , and Meghan McLeod . . & Myles, , & Glynis ( ) & Gorms ( ) . - & Gelli ( ) ! ( ) - & Kevin ( )
Transcript
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We got a lot going on in the economy. There's politics. There's warnings from certain individuals
00:01:10.220
that the political crisis we're seeing with Donald Trump and with the upcoming election could be bad
00:01:14.500
for the economy because it could have an effect on confidence. I'm not so sure about that. That
00:01:19.120
seems a bit vague and nebulous. But there's also other concerns about student loan debt. And there's
00:01:23.940
a lot that we can talk about. So we're hanging out with, meet Kevin. Who are you? What do you do?
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Hey, thanks for having me. Is the camera not working?
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Oh, okay. Very well. Hey, there it is. That's awesome. Maybe I bumped into it on the way in.
00:01:38.720
Sorry about that. It's been a rocky economy. There we go. Yeah. Yeah. So I'm a financial advisor.
00:01:45.320
I make finance videos on YouTube. I cover stocks and real estate. I started in real estate,
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real estate broker, licensed lender, licensed contractor, kind of done a little bit of
00:01:53.520
everything. You were, you were like running for governor too or something, right?
00:01:56.060
I ran for governor in California. Yeah. That state needs a lot of help. But you know,
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I actually, it resonate a lot with, I can't remember when you said this. It might've been
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a while ago that you said it, but this, this idea of like, everybody sort of told me, Kevin,
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leave the democratic party. You're not a Democrat or whatever. I'm like, I'm just,
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I feel like I'm a centrist and California needs to change. So as soon as they hear D,
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they're like, Oh, I can't be friends with you because you have that label. I'm like,
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I'm just a human. Yeah. That's interesting. When, uh, when all that stuff was going on,
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I remember everybody was shouting you out saying like, you could actually, this is the guy meet
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Kevin could be the saving grace of, of California because you're a centrist because you're reasonable
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because you're honest and running as a Democrat, you actually have a chance to win.
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You could get nothing done if you were a Republican in California. You know, people look back to
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Schwarzenegger, but back then Democrats didn't have a super majority control of the legislature
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today. They control about 80% of the legislature in California. So if you got a Republican in,
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they just sandbag you for the two, four, six years, whatever you got lucky enough to sit in
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there for. So how did that end up turning out? I mean, you did, you did, you do decently well.
00:03:01.320
Yeah. So, uh, it was a recall election. So voters had to vote on whether or not to recall the governor
00:03:07.520
and it was actually looking like they were going to go for voting for recalling him. And the next best
00:03:14.140
option would have been in my opinion, myself, I was the only one on the democratic ticket running,
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uh, until you had on the Republican side, Larry elder come in who very powerful force on, uh,
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on the Republican ticket. Uh, he ended up getting first place out of recall candidates. I came in
00:03:30.680
second. Uh, so I beat all the other candidates. Uh, but, uh, what the Democrats were able to do was
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brand Larry elder as being to the right of Trump. And as soon as they said,
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supremacist, yes. And as soon as they did that and said, you know, uh, lockdowns are coming back
00:03:47.300
and, and what he's going to, you know, um, uh, what was it? Larry elder was going to kill your
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children. That's what it was because he was going to take away masks and, uh, tell everybody they
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don't need to get vaccinated. And that actually then motivated Californians to come out and vote
00:04:00.620
to keep Newsom. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It's pretty wild. That's, that's, that's, that's so awful.
00:04:06.240
But I mean, you know, knowing everything that's going on in politics, I mean,
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you still consider yourself a Democrat. Oh man, I, I don't even know what to consider
00:04:12.600
myself anymore. I really, I consider myself first and foremost an American, which I feel proud to
00:04:16.620
say because I was born in Germany. I'm an immigrant. And, uh, when, when, when, when was
00:04:21.580
it? I was like 13 months old. I was born in 92. Uh, so, and what's crazy is, you know, as much as
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you can believe it, but the wall street journal just did a piece where they showed a chart of hate
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of how much Democrats hate Republicans and how much Republicans hate, uh, Democrats wall street journal,
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they published it within the last week. Uh, I actually tweeted a screenshot of it, uh, probably
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within the last week, but it's a chart of hate from the early nineties. And it shows how hate
00:04:48.420
for the other party has basically just gone straight up. Like if, if that could be a stock
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I've invested in, in the last 30 years, it would be fantastic because I'm 31 now, uh, just
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because of how much hate has accelerated for the other party. Part of it, they blame on maybe
00:05:03.780
ignorance for the other people. Part of it, they blame on, you know, media and, and whatever, um,
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you know, extremism for views, whatever it might be. But, um, it's, it's pretty wild, uh, how much
00:05:15.580
divisiveness there's, you know, I'm trying to find your, your tweet. Yeah. Let's see. I'll, I'll try to
00:05:20.600
help you find it as well. How long ago was it? Oh, it should have been within the last week. And, uh,
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we talked about how sad it really was. I'm going to just hit media. Maybe that'll, oh, here we go.
00:05:30.780
You got it. Yup. Wow. Look at this. Yeah. Look at that. See, if that was a stock I could invest
00:05:35.200
in, you know what I'm saying? Like if you could invest in hate, you can though, but you, I mean,
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there, there are smart financial people who can look at that, figure out what is economically tied
00:05:47.280
to the, this political space. And I gotta be honest, media is the obvious one because Democrats
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and Republicans are about to dump billions into media markets for advertising because they hate
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each other. That's a good point. All the super PACs. Yeah. When, uh, yeah. When a bloom,
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when was Bloomberg? Was that, was that like 2019, 2020? Oh yeah. Yeah. Michael Bloomberg. Oh yeah.
00:06:08.240
Yeah. Yeah. I mean, he put in half a billion dollars. So we're, we're, yeah, we're getting
00:06:12.620
all these ads. So I'm just like, there's, there's one of your targets. Well, even in LA, you had the,
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uh, LA mayoral race, just this, uh, you know, last election cycle and the amount of money that was
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spent for a mayoral race. I mean, I think it was somewhere in the neighborhood of a hundred
00:06:24.760
million dollars and it's just insane, maybe even more than that. But you've, you're now getting
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these rich billionaires who are like, okay, we got to buy as much as we can. And they're spending a
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lot of money on messaging and marketing. It's, it's, uh, it's pretty incredible. Here we go. I
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think this is it. This is, is this the article? The tribalism took over our politics. Yes. Yeah.
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Jason. Yeah. Yeah. He's, he's a good writer. Yeah. There it is. Wow. Wow. We missed this one.
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This was a week ago. This is like right up our alley. Yeah. Share of those in each party who view the
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other party very favorably. I'm sorry. Unfavorably. Yeah. Yeah. 62% of Republicans. Like it's a,
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it's almost an all time high. Wow. 1994 was 21. Now it's 62. Yeah. Look at that. Democrats in 95
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really did not like Republicans. And that's interesting that, that Democrats don't, this,
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this is surprising me. Democrats, it's 54% unfavorability, but that's lower than Republicans.
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I think the issue is probably what we see in the culture war. The woke. Yeah.
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Yeah. You know, drag shows and things like that are really, um, I don't know what's the right word,
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astringent, I guess, to the, to the conservative mind. Yeah. And that's resulting in escalating
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anger. But I also think too, what we're seeing with the, you know, the, the politics, the indictment
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of Trump and all that stuff is really making people angry. Plus, you know, we, we talked about
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this last night. They just sentenced one of the proud boys or two of them to 17 years, 17 for Joe
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Biggs. And then the other guy got 15, uh, I think his name was Jordan rail or something like that.
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And that is insanely excessive. The theory that many, a theory that many, many, uh, Trump supporters
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are putting forward is that they're intentionally trying to agitate and piss off Republicans and
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conservatives and Trump supporters to escalate the, the political conflict, which I think is the
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natural consequence of what we're seeing politically. This, this article, actually, I think it's the nail
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and the hammer. All that's going to happen is people are going to hate each other more and more
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and more. You know, what I was saying is if you're a Republican politician and you see something like
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this, you know, your path to victory is going to be a retribution revenge ticket. So then this
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Republic, you know, you're going to get a politician coming out and saying, vote for me and I'll go after
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them. Democrats will do the same thing. And it's very interesting. You say that, that observation
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that you had about Democrats actually becoming almost less unfavorable of Republicans. It almost looks like
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that. I wonder if how far that time goes on the right, but I wonder how much of that aligns with,
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uh, the indictments of Trump, because one thing that I have noticed is at least on my channel,
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which I've always thought was very 50 50. Uh, I've noticed a lot of Democrats leaving comments
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when I make a Trump video saying, look, I'm, I'm a Democrat. People will say, but what they're doing,
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the Trump is not okay. And it scares me. And I think that's very interesting that you're almost seeing
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that bridge, that crossover of like, let the voters decide is what people were saying.
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It seems that way. Yeah, I agree. I just, I think the one, if you look at the G the Georgia
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indictments with like a Fonnie Willis, I think this is exactly it. This is the, my constituents hate
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Trump so much. I get reelected and I make money if I target him. So it's not about the law.
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Get Trump. Right. Exactly. And then the response from the right is going to, is, is we're now
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hearing all the Trump supporters and conservatives say, do something to members of Congress,
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which means come 2024, when it, when, or, uh, even, even now ish, you'll start seeing people
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who are going to be running for primaries for a congressional ticket. And they're going to be
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campaigning on, I will file subpoenas. I will issue criminal referrals and we will go after them.
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Right. Neither side. I think both, both sides think they're justified. I think my view of it is,
00:10:02.740
is more the indictments against Trump are obviously an overreach of the law for political
00:10:07.740
power. The right, the conservative side, the Republicans aren't really doing much. They're
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saying we want to have an inquiry and have a special session to question the prosecutor.
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So you're going to get a reaction from Republicans. Sure. What do you think about Vivek's take?
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Pardon Trump, put it in the past, move on. Well, yeah, I think that's fantastic.
00:10:26.220
Yeah. Uh, his, his perspective of course is more aligned with what I think is the truth
00:10:30.780
in that. That's his campaign slogan. Yeah. Right. You know, and I, and I do find him to be a very
00:10:35.600
honest guy. Everyone keeps trying to get him with like past statements. Sure. And then he comes out
00:10:39.340
and he just addresses all of them like bang, bang, bang. And that's, I like the guy. I don't think
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he's perfect. I mean, nobody is. I, I mean, I have some complaints about his, his pharmacy past myself,
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but in terms of if I, if I separate the past, uh, and the, the, what he's saying now about the future,
00:10:54.740
it's, it very much resonates with what Americans are looking for in a politician.
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I agree. And, and I think he addresses the concerns and the things in the past. Exactly.
00:11:03.180
And it's like, I, you couldn't get a better answer out of the guy. He's, he's, he's, he's not making
00:11:07.980
mistakes. He's a couple. Yeah. They got, they got him on that nine 11 thing, which was hilarious.
00:11:12.020
I know, but he, you know, all of those things, I think you almost need to hit those landmines
00:11:16.760
when you're running for office because it gets you in the attention cycles. Yep. And it just
00:11:21.160
helps you in the polls. I mean, strangely, the prediction markets have him down.
00:11:25.520
That is true. After the debates, I will say after the debate, after Trump skipped the, uh, debate
00:11:31.300
and went for Tucker, uh, and which I don't blame. I thought that was a really kind of funny slam at
00:11:36.680
Fox. It was like the perfect timing of that. But, uh, I thought after Trump's performance there,
00:11:42.620
where he felt a little beaten up, which you can't blame him with all the stuff he's been dealing with.
00:11:46.820
He felt a little beaten up on Tucker and Vivek's performance. I would have expected more of a,
00:11:51.860
uh, a fall in Trump polling and a rise in Vivek didn't happen. If anything, Trump became more
00:11:57.580
popular. Yeah. Trump went up. Ron actually went up and down. Yeah. It was, it was really weird
00:12:03.620
during the debate. Vivek drops afterwards. He skyrockets and now he's down again. I know it's
00:12:08.380
so weird. It's polling though. You know? Yeah. Well, the prediction markets are people making bets.
00:12:14.820
Yeah. So I'm wondering now Nikki Haley is almost in third place. Yeah, that's right. You like
00:12:18.940
looking at predicted. Uh, yeah, yeah, yeah. I've actually interviewed that CEO when I was running
00:12:23.060
for governor. I had him on a channel and the predicted markets had me at like a 10% chance
00:12:27.500
of winning. And he's like, did you know that in one out of 10 alternate realities, you would be the
00:12:32.600
governor of California? And I'm like, stop flattering me. Well, so looking at all this hate, you know,
00:12:39.000
here's what I'll go back and say this. My perspective, I think is fairly obvious. Uh,
00:12:43.500
I see a lot of people, especially with California, the fear over, uh, like you mentioned, they said,
00:12:49.300
Larry Elder is going to kill your kids and take away masks and all this stuff. Yes. I mean,
00:12:52.720
that is a paranoid delusion in my opinion. I, I got COVID. It was really bad. I can certainly
00:12:59.520
understand wanting to take precautions and I got no problem with that. If you're on a private
00:13:03.220
business and you want to say, we want masks, whatever, man, I guess. And then I can choose not
00:13:07.500
to go to your business. Exactly. The mandates I think were, were nuts, but I think in the Democrat
00:13:12.000
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on care. Did I mention that we care? I don't know how it got so bad with the fear and the
00:14:43.460
paranoia. And then the Republican states was an inversion of it. It's almost pure tribalism.
00:14:49.260
But I feel like when it comes to what's happening to Donald Trump, my take on Trump is he's kind of
00:14:55.020
a nasty dude. You know, he's crude and he's crass. A lot of people really don't like him. I totally get
00:14:59.840
it. I think there's a lot of people who are in MAGA country, like people that were previously never
00:15:06.140
voted before. Trump woke them up because he's like a bull, you know, bull in a China shop.
00:15:10.740
But then I'll talk to people and, you know, my friends from the cities and they'll say like,
00:15:14.360
here's what I don't like about him. And I'll be like, I can totally get it. They find the way he
00:15:17.760
speaks gross, like the insults, the fat pig comments. That being said, he's not a insurrectionist who
00:15:26.280
you tried to overthrow the country. And like the January 6th stuff is completely out of hand.
00:15:30.260
So what I end up seeing with that, as well as the fear over COVID and the paranoia and the tribal
00:15:38.020
nature of the Democratic Party, it seems clear to me that while the Republican Party is mostly garbage,
00:15:45.120
there is a, I guess, I don't know how we describe it because the media likes to call it the right or
00:15:51.320
conservative, but it's not. You've got disaffected liberals, post-liberal, moderate,
00:15:55.640
conservative. It's more of the, I don't know. I call it freedom faction. People disagree with
00:16:02.360
each other, but can sit down and have conversations. I think most Americans can. I think that what the
00:16:09.040
thing about Trump is that people either love him or hate him, but they know where he stands. And I
00:16:14.380
do think people like and respect that. And I think that's why Vivek has some popularity now as well,
00:16:19.840
because he's very clear about where he stands. He outlines clear, look, I believe in God. I believe in,
00:16:24.580
this is exactly what we should do with the Department of Education or the FBI or otherwise.
00:16:29.100
But Trump's very much like that. Here's how I feel about China. Here's how I feel about whatever.
00:16:32.860
He's very blunt about that. I think people like that. I think there is this uncertainty with,
00:16:38.580
well, if Biden isn't being very clear with his positioning and we don't know who's running the
00:16:46.080
White House is sort of the impression now, then, then people have like, well, at least I know what
00:16:50.280
I'm getting with, with maybe, uh, you know, Trump or Vivek or whatever, or maybe even a combined ticket,
00:16:55.700
both of them together. And we just heard Trump say that he's open to Vivek potentially as maybe a VP.
00:17:00.500
I'd love to see that. Yeah. You know, if it makes it, doesn't want to do it.
00:17:03.080
Uh, well, he has to say that because he wouldn't get donations anymore. Of course he has to say
00:17:07.560
that. But, but I mean, come to primary, if he's going to lose the primary, he's not going to say
00:17:11.740
no to VP. I don't know though. I don't know. I mean, some people are concerned that the VP is
00:17:17.020
actually a mostly do nothing position. Sure. But it sets you up for, I mean, look, Biden,
00:17:21.120
right? Biden with Obama. And then you become president. Yeah. But Biden became president
00:17:25.780
because of Trump, not because of Biden. Okay. That's fair. Vote for anybody but Trump back then.
00:17:31.120
That's true. And then I think it was, you know, there are a lot of, uh, ground activist efforts
00:17:37.760
with ballot harvesting with universal mail and voting and other things, of course, procedural
00:17:41.900
changes. People are just going and saying, vote for anyone other than Trump. And so people are
00:17:46.940
just filling out the ballot and sending it in. I don't think Biden has that this time around.
00:17:50.920
Oh, interesting. Less of that movement for Biden. Okay. Yeah. I mean, I don't think there was a
00:17:55.340
movement for Biden and, and I think Trump supporters are completely correct when they say
00:17:58.540
the enthusiasm for Biden was 26% in aggregate or whatever. How could he have gotten all of these
00:18:04.320
votes? And then my response is always, did you look at the enthusiasm against Trump? Yeah. It was
00:18:09.280
like 96%. So when, when they would do these polls and talk to voters and say, do you want to vote for
00:18:15.540
Biden? They'd say, no, do you want to vote against Trump? They would say yes. And the enthusiasm against
00:18:19.520
Trump was actually like a few points higher than for him. See, I think that's what happened in
00:18:23.300
California as well with Newsom. Do you want to vote for Newsom? No. Would you rather have Larry Elder? No.
00:18:28.540
I wonder, do you think, do you think if Larry Elder wasn't running, you would have, or they would
00:18:34.060
have at least recalled Newsom? I think that would have been a high likelihood because we were, we
00:18:40.640
were pulling better than the other candidates combined. When I did a debate against the Republicans
00:18:45.940
in, in SAC, I was against the three other leading Republicans, not including Larry Elder. I was
00:18:53.280
pulling higher than all of them combined. So if there was no Larry Elder, then I think Californians
00:18:58.180
would have seen, okay, if we recall Newsom, we can try Kevin for a year and it's, it's still
00:19:03.660
the D ticket. We can still get things done. Uh, but, uh, but it's a new vision and it's a new
00:19:08.800
generation. And if it doesn't work, my, my pitch was try me out for a year, trade me in if you don't
00:19:15.200
like me, because it was only a one year position. I remember this. I think what people were saying
00:19:19.820
was, man, we'd sure love to get rid of Newsom. This Kevin guy sounds great, but you can't risk
00:19:24.320
Larry Elder. Bingo. And so that's why Newsom didn't get recalled. Yep. I mean, there's something
00:19:28.260
wrong with California, man. Oh, a hundred percent. Yes. No, no, there's a lot wrong with
00:19:32.720
California. And don't get me wrong. I look, I've, uh, my, my wife, uh, led me to move
00:19:37.700
to California. I've, I've wanted to leave California for probably about the first 10
00:19:41.540
years I lived there. Only more recently have I come to accept that where we live in Southern
00:19:46.400
California, we'd love the weather and we're about to have a lot of children. We have twins
00:19:50.620
on the way, plus maybe more. Thank you. There's, there's a lot going on. So we, we, we'd love
00:19:55.840
that SoCal coastline, but if we had what was happening in San Francisco or LA happening in
00:20:01.780
our town, which we call Kentucky, it still has a little bit of a conservative tilt to
00:20:05.500
it. Um, if, if we had happening in San Francisco in Ventura, we would leave in a heartbeat. We'd
00:20:12.520
have to, we couldn't, we couldn't live like that. What's so, I mean, how long have you lived
00:20:16.020
in California now since 2009? So what, what's going on? Yeah. Well, I think what, what you
00:20:22.140
have is, uh, there's, there's so much of this established political belief that we, we need
00:20:28.880
to have incremental change at every level. There's so much bureaucracy. And that's why
00:20:33.120
when I was running for governor, my, my thesis was, look, we, we have people dying on the streets,
00:20:36.840
deploy the national guard and let's solve homelessness in 60 days. Because theoretically what you need
00:20:43.320
is you need homeless shelters in every part of various parts of the States, wherever the
00:20:48.640
homeless are, but the shelters where the homeless people are, because they're there anyway and
00:20:52.800
provide them the services they need, the medical health, uh, medical services, the mental health
00:20:57.580
services, the potential rehabilitation, or just a place to have a roof over their heads.
00:21:02.680
Well, I mean, do you, do you take them by force?
00:21:05.360
Yeah. Well, so that was always the big problem with, with the, the, um, this, because, you know,
00:21:11.240
you have a lot of the civil rights activism, which says, no, you, you can't force people to go and
00:21:15.560
people don't want to go. They don't want help. They have mental health problems, but when you live
00:21:18.840
on the street, your deterioration is so rapid and fast, you can't, you can't be helped anymore
00:21:22.900
after a certain period of time. It's really sad. And it's devastating that, you know, then the fifth
00:21:27.960
largest economy in the world is basically letting people die on the streets. So our rule of thumb was
00:21:32.100
you can do whatever you want. You just can't sleep on the streets. That's what we ran on. And so the
00:21:36.780
idea was if you sleep on the street, well, you need help. We'll move you over here. And if you
00:21:40.940
want to get up, you know, take a shower and a bagel and a mental health business card and leave, go for
00:21:45.540
it. But you don't fall asleep on the street. I wonder actually, I mean, this, this is a big
00:21:49.200
challenge between civil liberties and, uh, the homelessness crisis. So, you know, I lived in LA
00:21:57.460
for a while, actually worked for a homeless shelter. And so I got to experience it firsthand. And the big
00:22:01.160
problem we saw was that no matter what you do, they wouldn't come, they would not come. Of course not.
00:22:05.500
Yeah, of course not. Why would they want to? They wouldn't, you know, freedom,
00:22:08.860
no authority over them. Many of them are doing drugs. Yes. And it is sad because
00:22:14.080
in my experience, the majority of people who are homeless chose to be not, I'm not saying that they
00:22:21.000
could decide today, like, I'm going to go get a house. No, I mean, they could seek help. Yes. Not
00:22:25.380
that they want to live out in the streets. Everybody would prefer to have a home, but it was actually
00:22:30.580
rare to, to meet someone who would say, I lost my job and I'm desperate. Please help me. Yeah. It
00:22:36.400
was usually get away from me. Yeah. We're going to go live under a bridge by choice. And, and do you
00:22:41.380
think that was because they had already been homeless for a while or because, you know, from day one,
00:22:46.140
that's how they felt? Because I think once you've been homeless for like six months, you're,
00:22:49.300
you're so down that path. You know, I got to be honest. Uh, I, I've been homeless a couple of times
00:22:54.400
in my life, slept in a park, maybe only twice. Oh my gosh. It was when I was younger, when I was
00:22:59.620
probably, when I was around like 19 or 20 and then, uh, eventually got a car and lived out of
00:23:05.280
that. Uh, but that it was, it was moderately short lived. Yeah. There's no circumstance in
00:23:12.520
which I would have wanted to go with a stranger into a building because it was disruptive to my plan,
00:23:17.700
to my mission. You know, uh, I, I had, I had a job and so it's like often what I would do is you
00:23:27.160
work, you work at the airline, you just sleep in the airport. Oh, interesting. Yes. You shower.
00:23:31.460
They have showers at the airport. Yeah. And, uh, uh, okay. Yeah. So everybody has that privilege.
00:23:36.100
Right. So like I try to put myself in the shoes of, you know, if you're homeless and you, you want to
00:23:41.560
go to work or even want to get a job, how can you, if you don't have a bed to actually sleep,
00:23:46.640
to function or shower to be clean. But this, this is, this is my experience. We, we, we never
00:23:51.020
encountered those people. We, I, I, I, when you worked in the shelters. Yeah. Uh, and, but even,
00:23:56.180
even throughout my life, man, it, Chicago's got a massive homelessness problem, which is weird
00:24:00.380
because it gets so cold. Yeah. No kidding. But I lived off of Belmont in California, man,
00:24:06.360
with 15, somebody longer, 15 years ago, 16 years ago. And if you, if you walk down, uh, Belmont,
00:24:12.700
there's a bridge, which is the highway and it's homeless encampments, mattresses, sleeping
00:24:17.700
bags. Yeah. You're not going to go to any one of these people and change their way of life.
00:24:22.020
It's unlikely. Yeah. So I don't, I don't know. I think I, I, I, I don't know how they get to that
00:24:29.400
point and we don't want that to be the case, but to go back to where we started on this, I wonder if
00:24:34.220
you must by force say, if we just allow people to live on the streets, it will never change.
00:24:41.540
Correct. And there has to be a legal and moral limit to what we allow.
00:24:46.440
That was our thesis was that if you are sleeping on the street, you're dying on the street and
00:24:52.000
you're getting worse. So you can live, you can do whatever you want. You have all your freedom.
00:24:56.480
You just can't fall asleep on the streets. But, but that's where I wonder if, if,
00:25:00.320
and I'm not saying I can, I know definitively, but I'm wondering. Nobody does.
00:25:03.180
Right. That's the problem. That's why it's not solved.
00:25:06.380
There was, there was a story about Northern California, uh, take, uh, taking conservatorship
00:25:12.100
of people who are homeless or something like that. I don't know what it was called, but they would
00:25:16.160
basically any income you had would go, would go on. They would control your bank accounts.
00:25:20.880
No, that's ridiculous. But I, you know, and, but I, I have to wonder, man, the challenge is
00:25:27.480
if we see someone who's anorexic, do we just say, well, you have your freedom not to eat and they die?
00:25:32.020
Right. Or do we recognize at a certain point, we as a society have to say,
00:25:36.000
it's a good point. Yeah. But, but it's, this is the challenge we face because we believe in
00:25:40.120
freedom so much. Yes. We allow people to gorge themselves to death or not eat to death,
00:25:44.020
but we don't allow people to jump off a bridge. It's illegal to commit suicide. Right.
00:25:47.700
So what's, what's the line? Is it, it's somewhere once one's so fast, it's shocking. And one's so
00:25:52.740
slow. We ignore it. Yeah. Yeah. No kidding. I almost think that you're, that's a really good
00:25:56.740
point is sad person's about to jump off the bridge. We must arrest them and, and, and save them from
00:26:01.300
themselves. Yeah, exactly. Mental. And then, and then when they see a psychiatric, you know,
00:26:06.800
person or whatever, uh, and, and get help now you're homeless and whatever. And everybody just
00:26:12.500
turns a blind eye to it because it's the slow decay of society is what it is. And it's just getting
00:26:16.420
worse now with the inflation and, and, and, and Oh, San Francisco's getting scary. Oh, well,
00:26:20.740
and then you get the fentanyl and it's terrible. The, uh, all these videos popping up of open air
00:26:25.380
drug markets in like California and Philly. And that's the thing too. It's like, if you allow
00:26:32.080
people to do drugs and defecate in the street, it's going, it is a, it is a, it is a, I don't know what
00:26:39.940
you, a festering mold. Oh yeah. Nobody wants to live there. It will absorb other people too. Of
00:26:45.020
course. If somebody, I'll tell you a story. I, uh, I met an old guy. This is back when I was like
00:26:50.600
19 dude probably passed. It's been a long time. He was probably in the sixties, uh, homeless black
00:26:54.680
dude in Chicago. I had just eaten at like a pizza restaurant or whatever. I'm skating and I see this
00:26:59.220
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that's really big on care. Did I mention that we care? You know, he's panhandling or something. I'm
00:28:31.480
like, I was like, Hey, you want, you want some pizza? And he was like, yeah. And I'm like, cause I,
00:28:35.260
it's like half a pizza, you know, me and my friends reading. He, uh, he takes it. And then
00:28:39.320
I decided to ask, I asked him, I was like, Hey, man, can I ask you a question? And he's like,
00:28:42.080
shoot. And I was like, how did you, how did you end up? You're homeless. Right. And he's like,
00:28:45.960
yes, sir. I was like, how did you end up out here? He said he worked for the post office his
00:28:49.400
whole life. The, uh, uh, eventually they started laying people off. He gets fired from his job.
00:28:56.340
He has no other expertise. Of course he's got a small savings. He starts going around trying to
00:29:01.900
find a job. Can't eventually his money runs out and he can't pay his rent. He gets evicted and that's
00:29:07.440
it. And I was like, friends, family. And he's like, he's like, man, he's like, my friends are
00:29:11.400
dead. He's like, he's like, you know, you don't understand. You know, I'm an old man. I knew people
00:29:16.520
from my work and that's all I knew. And my, my, my, my, my family's passed on. I don't got any
00:29:21.900
immediate family. And so here he is. And that's a guy where I was just like, man,
00:29:26.940
that dude is a guy who needs help that would take it, would take a job, wants a job.
00:29:33.520
But my fear is when you have these open air drug markets, where can he go to sleep at night where
00:29:38.340
he feels like he won't be bothered? Exactly. It's going to be around other people who are,
00:29:43.160
but now all of a sudden another person is funneled into this pit of drug and despair.
00:29:47.680
And of course, and of course, eventually you fall victim to the same thing, whether it's
00:29:51.700
drugs or it's alcohol or both. It's sad. I mean, it's, it's, it's devastating. I think what
00:29:57.400
will end up happening is in the longer term, we're going to see more of whether it's AI or
00:30:03.440
innovation replace so many livelihoods of people. You're going to have to have universal basic
00:30:09.780
income. It's, it's going to happen. And I think that the economy will actually be so productive
00:30:15.100
that I know a lot of conservatives now here, any more fiscal money printing is just inflationary
00:30:20.340
in the longer term. I think our productivity will be so strong that we'll actually be able to support
00:30:24.560
it. You know, for a while I was a, I was a proponent of universal basic income for,
00:30:28.280
for a similar reason, but I'm not, I'm not so convinced right now. I think the economy will
00:30:33.400
morph again into some way where, you know, you look at X, Twitter, people are making money from posting.
00:30:42.040
So I'm not, I'm not convinced that the answer is going to be universal basic income
00:30:45.680
because I actually think that's a component of the problem right now.
00:30:50.560
Interesting. Well, tell me more about this. So your component of homelessness crisis is
00:30:58.080
Yeah. The, one of the reasons that in my experience working with these homeless shelters,
00:31:03.420
one of the reasons that these people remain homeless. Uh, another example is when I was,
00:31:07.240
uh, living in Seattle, there's a group of kids they call the, the avrats,
00:31:10.960
uh, avenue rats, uh, outside of, uh, university, uh, UW university of Washington because of the
00:31:18.320
food banks and the ease of access to EBT benefits. That's how they lived and they would not stop.
00:31:27.360
Sure. Uh, there were the, it was really interesting to meet these guys, uh, these young kids. They
00:31:32.820
would, they would, they would put out calls through the internet. They would ride the rails.
00:31:37.140
They would hop on freight trains to ride to Seattle over the course of a couple of days,
00:31:41.100
come to Seattle because they said every day of the week is another food bank.
00:31:46.640
And so you know where to go. You do the rounds and, and you're allowed to get a box of cereal,
00:31:51.060
a gallon of milk, a can of tuna, a can of beans. And then they would get every, every day of the week,
00:31:56.420
they'd go for free food and then they would go back to live on the streets because they were
00:32:01.220
enabled to do so. Yeah. The enablement is, is a really interesting line because you know,
00:32:05.960
you, these are two very contrasting stories that you gave. One is the, uh, choice of essentially
00:32:12.960
taking and doing nothing and being unproductive. Uh, and then there's the, uh, the forced on
00:32:19.540
productivity of the example of the person you give pizza, right? So how do you differentiate
00:32:24.280
between the two? How is government supposed to differentiate between the two? Because on one
00:32:28.420
extreme now, the people who are either forced unproductive or by choice unproductive end up falling
00:32:34.220
victim to drugs on the streets. It's terrible. And, and I don't know that we're going to solve the
00:32:38.840
solution. Honestly, in our lifetimes, it's, it's, uh, it's going to be a long time and hopefully it
00:32:44.200
doesn't lead to a greater decline in America, but I do think the wealth gap will widen.
00:32:52.320
You, you look at a McDonald's with kiosks and there's like one or two people who make the food.
00:32:56.980
Yeah. They've eliminated half their staff forever now too, to get your food.
00:33:00.520
Yeah. But you were, we're, we're, we are marching towards, this is why I don't immediately discount
00:33:06.260
universal basic income, but I think there's probably too many pitfalls and maybe we can
00:33:10.840
find a better solution. But the more we see automation, especially with low skill jobs,
00:33:16.340
I mean, I'm really excited for automating away journalists. I'm half kidding, but you know,
00:33:21.960
we're doing that with chat GPT. Yes. Yeah. Sure.
00:33:24.520
You're going to have one guy who owns a McDonald's who has the capital to start it for whatever
00:33:28.620
reason. Maybe it's inherited. Maybe this guy worked for 10 years, but now his profit margins
00:33:33.000
are going to be through the roof because have you seen these videos where the robot makes the burger?
00:33:37.880
Oh yeah, absolutely. They can automate the full thing. There's a, there's a pizza vending machine
00:33:42.200
in Vegas. Oh my gosh. Of course it's Vegas. Right. And it's in a parking garage and you can
00:33:47.560
slice a deep dish comes out fresh and hot, or you can get it cold. So they have a machine. They have,
00:33:53.240
they have assembly lines, auto manufacturer, the pizzas, but you still have a delivery guy for
00:33:57.700
them. But you know, everybody's seen the robot ice cream man. He grabs the cup or the robot grabs
00:34:03.920
the cup and then pulls the lever down. What happens when you combine the high rate of low skill
00:34:10.120
immigration that's happening on the Southern border with the total automation competition
00:34:14.540
will be so severe. And the lack of schooling, right? Schools are a complete failure in America.
00:34:19.160
Complete failure. Absolutely. I wish they, I wish that wasn't true. I have so many.
00:34:22.380
You can't buy all of that. So, so yeah. So I don't see, here's my fear with universal basic
00:34:29.100
income, taking into consideration all the automation. Yeah. Some 25 year old guy sitting
00:34:34.380
in his apartment playing world of Warcraft. Hey, I played. Wow. Okay. Me too. What were
00:34:39.880
you? Uh, rogue. No, I started as a rogue. I went to Druid. Yeah. Druid's good. Cause it's
00:34:44.620
versatile, but I used to, I played vanilla early on. Wow. Did you get to an axe? An axe?
00:34:50.900
Naxx. Naxxramas. Oh man. I think, I think I may have got, no, no, no, no, no. I think
00:34:56.300
I got invited to one Naxx. I've never done, never did Naxx. I was, I was more PVP. I had
00:35:00.280
tier two PVP gear. Oh, that's actually pretty impressive. Warsong Gulch and Arathi. Oh yeah.
00:35:04.660
Yeah. Did you do a Burning Crusade? Yes. Oh, okay. That was my peak. Illidan, Burning Crusade.
00:35:10.040
Alteric Valley was my favorite. Oh, you liked AV. Were you Alliance then? Oh yeah. Of course.
00:35:14.780
That's, of course. That's why that was your favorite. Cause you always got crushed every
00:35:18.640
time. What were we just talking about? I think you'll, you'll find listless young people who
00:35:25.920
are disassociating. Sure. Yeah. They might have apartments. Yeah. Uh, but my fear is effectively
00:35:33.940
people living in pods. Yeah, sure. Well, I mean, think Ready Player One, you know, Ready Player
00:35:38.680
One pods. Well, and, and I think that's almost where you have to, you, you have to almost combine,
00:35:43.300
like, I think it's a disgrace that we graduate high school today and we don't know any skill
00:35:48.740
really. There's, there's no practical skill that we can do outside of high school for the
00:35:53.400
vast, for 90 plus percent of people. Uh, I mean, 90, 99, I would say a hundred percent of
00:35:58.780
people need to know a financial education. Oh yeah. Yet we graduate people with maybe like
00:36:03.920
5% of people with a financial education in school, but everybody takes a biology class.
00:36:08.280
What for? You know, it's like, it's, it's inverse. It's the opposite.
00:36:11.700
I know about the, the, the phases of frog metamorphosis, but I don't know how to, uh,
00:36:16.340
open a bank account. Yeah. What's, how's, you know, mitosis or meiosis going to help me make
00:36:21.900
money? You know, come on, man. It's crazy, isn't it? It is. It is. So, so I think you need a car,
00:36:27.000
like, I mean, really there's a lot to fix and that's why it's going to take forever to do it.
00:36:30.200
And that's why I think wealth inequality is going to explode. But, um, so the rich are going to get a
00:36:34.440
lot richer and the poor are going to get a lot poorer, unfortunately. Yeah. But, uh,
00:36:37.920
I think essentially. Yeah. Yeah. That's a good point. And it's almost like the, the,
00:36:42.240
you've got, uh, it's a, what is it? Uh, it's like a battle Royale that the fire's coming in from the
00:36:46.960
outside, more homelessness coming. It's terrible. Um, but I think the only way out of that is
00:36:52.400
building more houses, fixing schooling, uh, and then, then helping people who have fallen beyond
00:37:00.280
You know, I think what, I think we needed purpose.
00:37:02.880
That would be useful too. Vivek's running on that.
00:37:05.400
Right. I don't know. National vision. Can you, I teach purpose. Can, like, can you convince
00:37:10.960
somebody who doesn't feel like they have purpose to have purpose?
00:37:14.020
Yes. Really? I do believe so. And this is, man, you know, a lot of people rag on Vivek, but
00:37:19.420
whatever you think about the dude, he's thought this through. He definitely has. And his support of
00:37:24.720
Trump, by the way. Brilliant. Yeah. Well, he's playing, he's, he's, he's playing it so perfect.
00:37:28.960
Perfectly. But national identity and national vision is a core problem. My, my, my fear is
00:37:35.280
people don't recognize how right he is. Yeah. Oh yeah. That's a good point.
00:37:38.800
You know, I talk about, we talk about the laws being broken. We, and I'm like,
00:37:42.160
culture is everything. You know, one of the big things we've been talking about over the past
00:37:45.520
couple of weeks is in Florida, it's illegal for women to skydive on Sunday.
00:37:49.420
What? Yep. Yep. But where do you find this stuff?
00:37:52.820
They're, they're called like blue laws or whatever, but you Google search it, you find this law. And it's a
00:37:57.040
really good example of there's a lot of illegal things that no cop will arrest you for. Sure.
00:38:01.220
And that's weird though, isn't it? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's a good point.
00:38:03.440
That means we all recognize we're all breaking the law all the time and the cops will, and the
00:38:07.080
government will never do anything about it. That's true. So the real issue is cultural.
00:38:11.980
We need national identity and national purpose. I do think you can bestow it among people.
00:38:15.740
Interesting. The challenge right now, I guess, is there is no central commanding narrative or
00:38:21.200
authority in this country. So that's, there's no leadership really. Yes. But that, that vision
00:38:26.140
that's pushing the whole nation forward, that unifying vision. That's a good point. It is
00:38:30.060
unfortunate that the best we got in a long time was Trump. He, the Artemis project, going to the
00:38:35.540
moon, creating a moon base to slingshot to Mars is the kind of thing. And then you have Elon Musk
00:38:40.120
with a starship. Did you like Obama? Oh man. No. Okay. Well, look, I voted for Obama the first time,
00:38:49.000
really hoping that he was the outsider who was going to change things. But here's, here's the
00:38:53.520
problem for me with Obama. I come from the anti-Bush generation when with the, with Iraq and
00:38:58.920
Afghanistan, lies getting us into these foreign conflicts. Oil, man. And then what does Obama do?
00:39:04.740
He, he, he exacerbates, proliferates. Drone strikes like crazy. Drone strikes, the killing of American
00:39:09.700
citizens. And I'm just like, collateral damage. Yeah. Yeah. I don't, I don't think that Obama gave us a
00:39:15.500
national vision or identity at all. Interesting. That's a good point. Like what, what,
00:39:18.580
hope and change, but what was the, right. But that was the campaign message. You're right.
00:39:22.040
But then what was that actually? That's interesting. Now on the surface, Trump gave us MAGA,
00:39:26.780
which is nebulous. Make America great again. Okay. This vision that people post these, these,
00:39:32.560
uh, old ads from the fifties of like the, the dad coming home with a briefcase and the kid running up
00:39:37.240
and hugging him. Yes. And the left calls that racist. What? Yeah. No, they don't. Well, it's because
00:39:42.380
all the ads are white, white waspy families. I'm so tired of this. I know. I know it's, it's,
00:39:46.220
and, and, and that really bothers me because I'm like, dude, we want all families of all
00:39:50.240
backgrounds to experience the love of their children coming home. Did you hear in California,
00:39:54.340
they were thinking about doing reparations of like up to, um, what was like $1.7 million for
00:39:59.140
more than that or something. It was a ridiculous descendant of slavery or something like that.
00:40:01.700
But the, the board that voted on it, I want to say, I put this on Twitter somewhere. It was like,
00:40:07.180
California is like less than 16% black, but that board that voted for reparations was like 86% black.
00:40:14.420
Well, this is the issue. What's going on? This is, this is like the issue for me with
00:40:18.920
the democratic party is it feels very superficial. Yeah.
00:40:23.420
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The, the, the, the noble messaging of, yeah. Yeah. It's the noble white savior being virtual
00:41:55.580
signaling, virtue signaling. Yeah. That's yeah. That a lot of these Democrats that they describe
00:42:00.480
each other as white saviors. And yeah, but of course you go to any body of people and say,
00:42:06.640
we're going to give you free money for whatever reason. They're going to be like, I'll just take
00:42:09.120
it. Keep your mouth shut. Right. And so I think the racial lines create tensions there, but to go back
00:42:15.200
to what, you know, Vivek's talking about with the vision, the vision. So how is he going to do that?
00:42:18.420
I mean, like abolishing the FBI, the department of education, like I, and, and he's, he's picking
00:42:23.800
like, that's obviously these are extreme things to say, but, but that's his point. He's actually
00:42:27.560
embracing extremism. He wants people to call him extreme. He says then, because he says we need
00:42:31.700
extreme change. Then you look at how similar he is instead of drain the swamp. His thing is turn the
00:42:37.520
log over and bring the pesticide. You know, he's modeling right after Trump, which makes no Trump
00:42:45.060
supporter be able to really hate Vivek. Well, also he's the perfect VP. Yeah, exactly. He's
00:42:50.540
really, he's defended Trump in all of the right ways. Yep. Yep. Yep. And when, when he announced,
00:42:55.460
when, when, when Ron DeSantis was in the talks, it's like a year ago and he was, he was in the
00:43:00.720
prediction markets two to one. Oh, for sure. I don't know what happened. DeSantis screwed up, man.
00:43:05.180
Oh, I know. Everything we said is what Vivek is now doing. Yes. I was saying, you know,
00:43:09.620
DeSantis's strength is that he's younger. Yep. He's got a lot of the Trump policies,
00:43:13.300
but he's more tactful and the course, of course they'll smear him. But Ron DeSantis's path to
00:43:19.200
winning the primary in the general is to say, I love Trump. I'm only here because of Trump. He is,
00:43:24.520
he is, but I do think we're going to do things a little bit differently while, you know, taking
00:43:29.120
the road that he started paving the path forward. I think we can reach voters that Trump might miss,
00:43:33.880
but we love the man. Instead it became flame wars and the Disney stuff. Yeah. What's your take on all
00:43:39.500
that? And you know, I mean this, this crusade against Disney. It boring and uninteresting for
00:43:44.720
the most part. Yeah. Yeah. I do think like what we're talking about national vision and identity
00:43:48.820
and purpose. This is the core of everything and opposing these corporations that have bad values
00:43:53.780
is paramount. Sure. Laws only get enforced if the culture determines the law should be enforced.
00:43:59.140
Yeah. That's good. So when Disney has, you know, uh, middle-aged fat men dressed as fairies,
00:44:05.440
you know, okay, like we'll slide on there a minute. Right. Part of me, half of me is kind of
00:44:10.060
like, I don't necessarily care if a company privately wants to do this, but a company as big as Disney,
00:44:16.260
who's putting these values in their shows, it's an important thing to push back on. However,
00:44:21.800
it seems weird that Ron DeSantis took a political approach to a cultural issue in this way that I don't
00:44:26.980
think the, I don't think the jigsaw, don't think the puzzle piece fits. That's interesting because
00:44:31.040
that was sort of, I mean, you said that so eloquently to what my suspicion was, should we
00:44:35.640
be weaponizing all of the political efforts of Florida to basically get Disney? And it almost felt
00:44:40.840
like it almost, that was almost the point where he started derailing his campaign. Whereas I like
00:44:45.480
what you're saying a lot better, which is redefining it or proper, I should say, properly defining it as
00:44:50.700
a cultural issue. Right. Interesting. Bud Light, Target. Yes. Richmond, North of Richmond,
00:44:56.000
Sound of Freedom. These are cultural issues that will help create national purpose and reshape
00:45:01.880
this country, but you can't be done at a political level. Right. It has to be the willpower of the
00:45:05.940
grassroots and the individual. Now, what's your take? See, oh, I read the Target earnings call last
00:45:09.480
week. I mean, I read company or finance guys. Right, right. I read this boring. I mean, look,
00:45:12.700
I'm dressed like finance bro, right? So I'm like, well, it is what I know. It's my real estate company,
00:45:17.920
whatever. So, but in their earnings call, they spent a good page in the transcript complaining
00:45:24.440
about how, you know, we were seen as a safe space for LGBTQ. And now we have people coming
00:45:32.220
into our stores, harassing our staff to where we have to basically take those things down. So this is
00:45:38.580
where, like, where's the balance? Is it, should a company be providing that safe space? I personally,
00:45:44.400
I'm just as a father going to say, I get annoyed when I'm trying to find where the boy's clothing is
00:45:50.700
because I'm trying to find a bathing suit for my son. And it's, it's, here's a dress. Here's boy
00:45:55.420
clothes. Here's a dress. It's because they don't have a boy and girl clothes section anymore. It's
00:45:58.840
all children's now. It's like, come on. Right. This it's, it's, it's, these companies are beholden
00:46:06.880
to social media, which they think is culture. And it's not. Oh, that's a good line. Right. So
00:46:12.800
we are moving towards this, but I think there's a massive resistance to it.
00:46:17.780
Culture is everything. Like, like we've, I've already said 50 million times law. It doesn't
00:46:22.180
matter if the culture won't enforce the law and, and, and certain, like this could be really,
00:46:27.160
really bad stuff. Like we saw rioters in 2020, not getting arrested, getting lawsuits because the
00:46:32.500
culture is, is allowing it. So target sees this corporate zeitgeist of we're all safe spaces now,
00:46:39.140
but this is realistically a single digit portion of the entire economy. Yes. So what happens
00:46:45.520
for the longest time, you've got the liberal sensibilities of we support our LGBT allies,
00:46:52.480
which is a total of between like two and 7% of the population, depending on what your metric is.
00:46:57.820
Republicans eventually fall into the camp of, you know what? We, we really just don't care about
00:47:01.580
what people are doing. Exactly. Privacy. Don't put it on my children. Don't put it on my children.
00:47:05.640
But what ends up happening is that social movement, you know, back in 2008 to 2012 with gay marriage and
00:47:13.060
all that stuff created this corporate perception of, Hey, this is really popular among our urban
00:47:18.220
audience. We should embrace it with no checks and no balances. So it goes to the extreme,
00:47:23.380
goes to the extreme. And you end up with the target phenomenon, the media lies and the media's lies
00:47:29.940
don't matter to reality. And the reality was the media is saying that right-wing individuals are
00:47:35.180
harassing target employees. However, the conflict in target started before the, you know, anti-establishment
00:47:44.540
anti-woke movement ever caught wind of what, what target was doing. Right. So when the story first
00:47:49.780
broke that target had to move their LGBT items to the back of the store, you already had instances
00:47:56.040
where parents had complained to staff about it. Then the culture war, right, or whatever you want to
00:48:01.400
call it, picks up the story and then engages with it. Interesting. The media narrative becomes that
00:48:06.840
right-wing influencers were pushing this when in reality it was parents, it was, it was right. Or,
00:48:11.360
or whoever. Right, right, right. But it started before there was a cultural conflict. The, the 95%
00:48:18.000
of American culture was saying, Hey, you know, this is either confusing or we don't like this or
00:48:22.260
whatever. But then it's been labeled. I mean, look at, look at Bud Light. Yeah. 30% or whatever drop in
00:48:29.900
their market, like our $30 billion, 20 to 30% drop in sales. Oops. That's going corporate, corporate
00:48:36.780
to the extreme. And you saying a media lies, by the way, brings me back to my campaign. CNN ran a headline
00:48:44.300
saying, um, no Democrats challenge. And I'm like, what the hell? You know, I'm like the top polling
00:48:53.060
Democrat in the recall election. So we had to send them a cease and desist letter. They're so willing
00:48:57.540
to just lie. Oh, it's, it's, they're, they're, they're, it's, I think it's obvious to anybody
00:49:02.740
who's paid attention for a long time. They're just in the bag for the democratic party. That's
00:49:06.720
crazy. Or the, the established, whatever you would call it, you know, the more extreme view is
00:49:10.780
mockingbird operation. Yeah. That they're actually intelligence infiltrated trying to prop up their
00:49:17.300
establishment wing. Sure. But look at George Soros kind of thing. Oh, I don't think George Soros is
00:49:22.740
necessarily in that ballpark. Okay. Soros, I view as like an extraneous, massively influential
00:49:28.940
political activist. I mean, he's donated billions of dollars to him. Yeah. Yeah. But you know,
00:49:33.240
the CIA infiltration of media agencies, which is a fact I don't know about today. Sure. That's the
00:49:38.180
argument. Yeah. But I, I don't see why they'd stop, but that's, you know, it's, it's different,
00:49:42.260
but similar. But you look at where Gavin Newsom is now, right now. And the theory is he's going to
00:49:47.920
run 2024 and somehow Biden takes an exit. Yes. So you were in the way. He, Newsom needs his arc.
00:49:55.600
Wow. You're right. Because if he lost, he wouldn't become president. Yep. Where would
00:49:59.100
he be right now? Oh, on his vineyard somewhere. And the funny thing is, if you, if you won that
00:50:03.700
recall, I genuinely believe California would be doing a lot better. And then you might actually
00:50:11.020
find yourself, people asking the questions is, is me, Kevin going to be the candidate for president? I
00:50:15.780
mean, sure. Who does the democratic party have? Yeah. It's interesting. Even Newsom is not that
00:50:20.860
great. Right. But he's the best that anyone can. It's true. Hypothesize this as that, you know,
00:50:26.120
maybe Trudeau can come down. Oh, but, but I think, you know, in, in, in your situation,
00:50:32.820
what we saw during the recall was there's a lot of people who say, I'll never vote Democrat. I'm just,
00:50:38.960
I'm sick of the democratic party and empowering. Anybody who's a Democrat just gives the democratic
00:50:42.600
party power. But then you pop up and you're saying the things that Democrats are supposed
00:50:46.660
to be saying in a, in a similar, but relatively different way to what we're seeing now with RFK
00:50:51.600
jr. Oh, interesting. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Right. RFK jr. has got his more, um, medical approach and
00:50:58.380
anti-establishment and lockdown approach. You are like, you're, you are from a kind of a different
00:51:02.660
time period, but, but I think there's a similar view in, Hey, this guy actually might save the
00:51:06.940
democratic party and, and, and reintroduce a moderate approach and push this bad stuff out.
00:51:11.540
I think what we need is moderatism in politics. Uh, this is getting a little extreme, but then,
00:51:15.920
but then that also, then we question, do we need that extremeness? Because that's basically
00:51:19.940
Vivek's platform is let's go. Right. So it's like, ah, like, so we, we want Democrats to be moderate,
00:51:25.680
but then no, we need the extreme. So do you need an extreme to fight the extreme? And does it just
00:51:29.260
that hate chart keep going? But look at RFK, I think is more similar to Vivek in a lot of ways.
00:51:34.680
Well, I believe that. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. But well, that's why people are calling him
00:51:37.980
a Republican in sheep's clothing. I mean, it's the same thing they told me. And that's the winning
00:51:42.040
path forward. Oh, interesting. I, maybe I'm wrong about that. Maybe that's not true. Um,
00:51:46.880
if, if RFK goes for the approach of let's try and get as many Republicans as possible to support us,
00:51:53.560
that will pull from Trump's base or we'll pull the never Trumpers and the Democrats who don't think
00:51:58.900
Biden can run, he's too old and he's not appropriate might actually go for RFK jr. The media has to lie
00:52:03.160
about RFK then. However, part of me then looks at this wall street journal tribalism thing. And I'm
00:52:08.720
like, I don't know, maybe, maybe, maybe the Democrat who wins is going to be the, I will destroy Donald
00:52:16.400
Trump and everything around him. If you vote for me. Right. Yeah. Which I wonder, I wonder what,
00:52:22.420
you know, I wonder if Newsom was running, how that would look because Trump doesn't really attack
00:52:27.280
Newsom Trump. He called him a nice guy. I know that they get along or have gotten along.
00:52:33.440
That's smart on Trump's part. It kind of is. Yeah. Could, could there be a, like, because then
00:52:37.600
you almost somewhat could potentially win over some of the Dems who really don't want to see
00:52:42.020
California apply to the rest of the country. Donald Trump is going to win Donald Trump's base
00:52:45.680
and there ain't nothing you can do about it. Yeah. Yeah. That's for sure. His, his support is
00:52:48.760
unwavering. Yes. Uh, but then you've got people that are in a position like me where I was always like,
00:52:55.660
I, well, I was pretty far left when I was a lot younger and then I've always been urban Democrat,
00:53:00.180
like college time. I mean, when I was a teenager, it was like anarcho punk rock, skateboard,
00:53:05.120
you know, like lefty anarchy. And then, uh, you know, I, I, I knew how to play baby. I'm an
00:53:11.180
anarchist on the guitar and still do. And, uh, but you know, it's really interesting. Buffalo
00:53:16.220
Springfield, you know, I kind of, do you, do you know the song baby? I'm an anarchist. Oh yeah.
00:53:20.020
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really big on care. Did I mention that we care? That song helped push me away from the far left
00:54:52.220
because I got really pissed off at that line when it came time to throw bricks to the Starbucks
00:54:56.240
window. You left me all alone and you're a spineless liberal. And I was like, hold on, dude.
00:55:00.660
I was like, if we're trying to solve these problems and bring about this, you know, cooperative
00:55:04.920
utopia, I don't understand why you're telling me to go smash windows. And that that message in the
00:55:10.760
song, I never liked. And that pushed me away. But, um, I kind of forgot where I was going with,
00:55:15.220
oh yeah, yeah, yeah. Uh, Trump's, he's not going to lose his base. But if Trump says, you know,
00:55:20.180
Newsom's a nice guy, I've, I've, uh, I worked with him and we got an accent really, really well.
00:55:24.740
And, uh, if he, if he takes that approach, Trump's base is just going to immediately be like,
00:55:29.760
how honorable of Donald Trump. We love him for doing this. Then you're going to get more middle of
00:55:34.400
the road people and, and political memory is very short for sure. You're going to get middle
00:55:39.700
of the road people being like, Trump's reasonable. Yeah. He's, he's being more reasonable. He's trying
00:55:43.220
to work with the, the, the, the urban liberals who hate Trump will always hate him. Yeah. His
00:55:47.940
base will always like them. But the people who are now being initiated into politics because of
00:55:52.360
economic crisis or because of war, whatever, are going to hear a more moderate Trump praising a
00:55:56.740
Democrat. Yep. I think it's a smart move on. And they decide elections. I think we,
00:56:01.540
everybody frequently forgets. It's not all of the ones who were the base on the right or the base
00:56:06.860
on the left. It's that middle group. Where are they voting? That seems to decide. Yeah. I'm,
00:56:11.680
I'm, I'm never voting for a Joe Biden. I didn't vote for Hillary Clinton. I laughed in 2016 at the
00:56:17.240
idea of Trump and Hillary. Cause I'm like, you got crazy warmonger and you got goofy reality TV guy.
00:56:22.740
Count me out. But then when it comes down to it, it's like, so you just don't vote then.
00:56:26.820
Yeah. I didn't vote. I bet. And then 2020, I voted for Trump and I was just like, no wars,
00:56:31.000
you know? But yeah, I wonder if Trump's approach works. I think the important thing to consider
00:56:36.960
is that Trump only lost by about 42,000 votes in 2020 between three states. In those particular
00:56:41.740
battleground states. Right, right, right. Combined. But if he won those states, he would have won.
00:56:44.540
Exactly. Yes, yes, yes. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So it's close. So what do you think about like the
00:56:48.820
economy going forward? Yeah. Let's, let's talk about the economy, man. I don't know. I'm not an
00:56:52.460
economic guy. But we've had Shark Tank guy say there's going to be a rebalancing, he called it.
00:56:59.300
Oh, okay. But he's a bit, he's been a little back and forth. I'm seeing new articles pop up now
00:57:02.760
where he's like, no, no, it's going to be fine. And Michael Burry's wrong. Then you get Michael
00:57:06.840
Burry, for those that aren't familiar of the, of Scion, what is it? Scion management or whatever?
00:57:11.440
Wealth management. He's betting against the market. I heard this yesterday. I don't know if it's true.
00:57:16.320
Someone super chatted us that Citigroup and Bank of America have a massive multi-billion
00:57:20.880
dollar short position against the U.S. economy.
00:57:22.640
I mean, here's, here's the thing. All of the banks have to hedge, right? So it's easy to look
00:57:29.980
at their balance sheets and say, of course they have a, you know, notational multi-billion dollar
00:57:35.300
short because they're hedging their long positions. But what's remarkable is even though you have a lot
00:57:40.580
of this bearish discussion, I was just reading some statistics put out by, oh gosh, Vandertrack,
00:57:48.420
I believe, put this out. They, they are a research firm and they look at all this data and they say,
00:57:52.480
hedge funds and the banks, they're, they're talking about how concerned they are and how
00:57:56.460
they want to, you know, hedge the market. But then when you look at their actual positioning,
00:58:01.240
they're heavily exposed to just the big mega caps and the S&P 500 and, you know, the NASDAQ,
00:58:06.420
because the long-term trajectory is probably up.
00:58:12.820
You probably knew about it well before the movie even came out.
00:58:14.820
Uh, but there's a really interesting part of the movie where the, uh, the protagonists
00:58:20.620
are dumbfounded that their credit default swaps are not, you know, going into the positive
00:58:26.540
territory for them, despite the fact that defaults are on the rise, the mortgages are, are, are
00:58:30.640
collapsed. The securities are collapsing and they go to the banks and they're like, what's
00:58:33.600
our pitches? And they're like unchanged. Like, how is that possible? Right. Right. Because
00:58:37.160
the banks were offloading their exposure to unsuspecting smaller banks and individuals.
00:58:42.680
Of course. And then as soon as they were clear, they went, oh yeah, it's over. Everything's
00:58:47.480
Oh yeah. Well, I mean, the same thing happens today every single day with IPOs. I mean, you
00:58:50.920
could look at VinFast or, or even probably what's going to be the arm IPO. Almost all
00:58:54.980
these IPOs are just insiders offloading and just ripping off the, the normal investor.
00:59:00.580
And it's sad. It's really hard to build wealth.
00:59:03.260
I saw the, yeah, I saw the stat, uh, that defaults are rapidly on the rise.
00:59:08.620
Yes. Yeah. What are we, are we looking at something akin to 2008?
00:59:15.020
No. Uh, so what, what we're looking at is a lot of a normalization because you had basically,
00:59:21.660
it was impossible to default during COVID. Right. Uh, even now, you know, there's this fear about us
00:59:27.500
hitting a wall with the student loan crisis, but, uh, whether it's right or not, the Biden administration
00:59:33.520
has made it that we can not make our payments for an extra year with no impact to our credit or
00:59:38.860
otherwise. So about 50% of people, uh, based on the latest Bloomberg survey are expecting not to
00:59:43.740
even start making payments. Right. So they're calling it the on-ramping or whatever. Right.
00:59:47.160
So it'll, it'll probably be a slow kind of like it's going to hit consumer spend over the next year.
00:59:51.160
Right. If people, if the, if pay repayments start and people won't start paying it back right
00:59:59.060
away. Yes. Here's so the first thing is interest rates kick in. Yes. I think today. Yes. You are
01:00:03.860
paying, you are going to owe interest. And, but the first payment isn't due until next year,
01:00:08.360
the next, the next cycle. I mean, technically it's due, but they're not going to like ding
01:00:11.400
your credit or file fees against your, whatever. But your loans will get bigger. Yes, they will.
01:00:15.340
They will. Yes. Doesn't that lend itself to, as soon as this on-ramping period is over,
01:00:19.420
the delinquencies are masked and there will be a big shock to the system when all of a sudden
01:00:24.520
the debt spikes massively for these people. There, there will be a massive debt bubble,
01:00:30.540
like great reset at some point in the future. I don't know if it'll be in our lifetimes. I think,
01:00:35.300
you know, fiat currency, every fiat currency that has ever existed has collapsed. The amount of debt
01:00:40.240
that exists today. I mean, that's a scary thought too, right? Uh, it's like, where's my gold now,
01:00:44.320
you know, golden bullets, man, you know? Uh, but, uh, yeah. Well, uh, then, and then you look at,
01:00:51.320
um, the, uh, the massive amount of debt that we have. But what's remarkable is what you're seeing
01:00:57.360
today is rich get richer. And that could actually keep us going for much longer. So here's something
01:01:03.100
crazy. Interest rates have gone straight up, right? Net interest payments in the country on corporate
01:01:08.620
debt have fallen. And that's because guess what the richest companies are doing today? The richest 10%
01:01:14.700
I think the apples of the world, they're able to borrow money at 10, 20 years at 4%. Then they
01:01:22.720
deposit it into money markets and they earn 5%. Wow. So net, even though interest rates are going up,
01:01:30.800
net interest payments are going down. How do I do that? I know, right? Well,
01:01:35.200
the way you do it is, is, you know, you, you bought what you do is, I mean, it, I guess,
01:01:40.160
see the problem is as an individual, you really can't, I mean, you used to be able to with,
01:01:43.600
with a home mortgage. But now if you try to get a mortgage, it's like 8%. See Apple can borrow
01:01:48.460
for 20 years at basically 4%. We can't do that. Rich corporations can. How are they able to do
01:01:53.940
that? Well, because they can borrow it essentially no premium over the 10 year bond market, uh,
01:01:59.620
because they're basically deemed just as risk-free like an apple, right? Less likely of defaulting,
01:02:05.060
almost less likely of defaulting as our dysfunctional Congress, you know, in a 10 year treasury month.
01:02:10.080
It's a free money machine. It's free money. It's absolutely crazy. Yeah. And so
01:02:13.440
now what happens is like the, the black rocks, the state streets, Vanguard, they're doing,
01:02:17.380
they're doing all this. Well, of course, because think about it. I mean,
01:02:20.660
these pension funds and these institutional investment companies, they need to earn their
01:02:24.940
five, six, 7%, which you can now get basically risk-free and treasuries. It's insane.
01:02:29.720
I mean, you can now get 6% on a three month CD with your bank. It's insane. Yeah. Yeah. Uh,
01:02:37.880
so Apple, uh, uh, was advertising their 4.15% savings account. Yep. Yep. And now they're all
01:02:44.600
stepping over each other. Who's who can offer more right now? I think, uh, uh, SoFi has got a four
01:02:50.040
and a half. Yep. Uh, UFB has got a 5.25. JP Morgan said, if I wire them at least $2 million,
01:02:56.760
they will give me six months, uh, 6% for a year. They'll lock me in at 6% for a year because they
01:03:01.460
want man. They want the capital. Yeah. I mean, is it really worth it? I mean, is, is inflation
01:03:06.180
worse than this? I mean, is it, this is my question, right? Cause you know, obviously we
01:03:12.720
are a company here. We, we invest, we have our reserves, we have our, uh, assets. And the
01:03:17.600
question is if we keep, you know, finances, liquid cash in a savings account at 4%, are we just losing
01:03:23.540
money? Uh, it's, it's probably prudent to have a, obviously some form of a balanced portfolio where
01:03:29.800
you have your longer term investments, real estate and stocks, right. And, and expanding
01:03:33.760
your business. But it's also good to have cash because we don't know what could happen next year.
01:03:38.140
The, the big bear fear is that the inverted yield curve today, the fancy bond market red flag is
01:03:44.060
that we're going to have mass joblessness next year. And that mass joblessness is going to lead
01:03:48.820
the federal reserve to cut rates, which will lead to inflation again. Yeah. That is the bear thesis
01:03:53.340
right now. And that's the great reset. The market's collapsing thesis. And do you think that's
01:03:58.080
the case or no, I don't. So the reason I don't think that's the case, uh, is mostly because if
01:04:03.480
we look at the last 40 years, we've been on a path of lowering inflation and lowering interest rates.
01:04:09.560
We printed way too much money, excessive amounts of money during COVID. So I think that when we're
01:04:15.540
in 2030, we're going to look back and go, well, no, duh. We had massive inflation after we printed
01:04:20.720
all that money. Of course it, if they're right about, if you're wrong about the economy, they're right
01:04:26.560
about joblessness and inflation. Yes. Trump wins a 100%. And, and so that's, what's going to be very
01:04:34.000
interesting is if we're not in a recession, who wins that? Yeah. It's, it's, it's hard to know for
01:04:41.220
sure, especially with the political games that are being played, but there's a big incentive right
01:04:45.000
now to at least do whatever they can to hold up the popsicle sticks so that, that everything doesn't
01:04:51.280
come crumbling down. Oh, well, of course. I mean, there's also that element of like, well,
01:04:55.460
the data could be, you know, rigged, so to speak. I mean, the, nobody believes really the
01:04:59.420
inflation numbers or CPI or jobs or these numbers, they always get revised down. And so there's,
01:05:03.900
of course the, the jaded POV that, Hey, like we, we could be in a way worse situation than we
01:05:08.880
actually think. And to some extent, history says that's true. History says joblessness comes
01:05:13.180
way after, you know, let's talk about this. I want to go back to the 6% things. I think
01:05:18.480
the average person probably wants to understand this. Cause I do. Yeah. Yeah. Let's talk practical
01:05:23.300
$2 million. Yes. And you put it into a savings account or what? Yeah. So it's CD. So yeah,
01:05:29.380
exactly. So, so what does that, what does that, what is it? It's basically, exactly. It's basically
01:05:33.680
a way of saying here, bank, here's my money. I promise to leave it here for a period of one,
01:05:39.100
three, six, 12 months. And you will get 6% for doing nothing. So we're talking 120 grand.
01:05:46.960
Uh-huh. Yes. And on 2 mil. Yes, exactly. You don't need a job.
01:05:50.620
No, exactly. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It's, this is the, this is, you know, when I'm younger,
01:05:54.880
I'm wondering how does this work that you can just make money by having money? I mean,
01:05:59.800
there's the, there's the famous, uh, uh, I shouldn't say famous, but there's the quote
01:06:03.080
from 30 rock where, uh, Liz Lemon goes to, uh, Donaghy and she's like, I want to do the thing
01:06:08.860
rich people do where they make money from money. Yes. What do I do? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Right.
01:06:12.960
So, and I think that's where practical finance is so useful. And that's, I'm a big fan of that on
01:06:17.040
my channel. And it's, you have to control assets because I really believe no matter what happens
01:06:23.360
in the economy over the next year or two, nobody knows it's a crystal ball. It's a crystal ball.
01:06:28.960
What's going to happen over the next two years. It's either we're going to go into recession,
01:06:31.660
shallow recession, or no recession. It doesn't matter. The one thing that we know, and I think
01:06:36.180
we've agreed on multiple times in this is that wealth inequality is going to grow up. Oh yeah.
01:06:39.680
So how do you prevent being stuck on the side that's not growing your wealth? And the answer is
01:06:46.820
you have to own the means of production, which are, I know you have to be an owner, which sounds
01:06:53.280
intimidating, but it's really buying your first house. It's turning that into a rental property.
01:06:59.660
When you buy your next house, right? Buying and controlling more real estate. It's buying stocks.
01:07:04.600
It's starting businesses, or if you're not starting businesses, because not everybody's an
01:07:08.540
entrepreneur, it's taking your salary and using that salary to buy real estate. The richest
01:07:14.480
firefighters and police officers, because I was a police explorer for three years and volunteered
01:07:18.960
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I make the salary plus my overtime. My salary is maybe 60 with overtime. I'm at 90 or 100.
01:08:55.400
I'm going to have a pension after 20 or 30 years, depending on the department.
01:08:58.700
The richest ones were the one who said, I'm going to keep my debt low.
01:09:02.520
I'm going to use my salary, my W-2 income and buy real estate.
01:09:08.720
I've heard a lot of stories about that actually. Firefighters who are landlords.
01:09:17.360
Because somebody has to supply rentals. Imagine there were no, everybody hates landlords.
01:09:21.460
Everybody hates landlords because 99% of them suck. There's greed, there's slumlordness,
01:09:26.760
there's low quality renovation work. It's a disgusting business. And most people hate
01:09:31.880
landlords. But if there were no landlords, there would be no rental property.
01:09:41.260
Right. This is the funny thing that, you know, the left very much mocks the idea of landlords.
01:09:45.600
They say abolish landlords. And I'm just like, you know, when they, going back to like homelessness,
01:09:50.900
The one thing that annoyed me more than anything was when they said, I get these friends of mine
01:09:55.660
or activists being like, did you know that there are more empty houses than homeless? And I'm like,
01:10:00.480
You think that means you can take a homeless person and put them in a house?
01:10:04.900
The house just falls apart. The homeless person doesn't, their circumstances don't change.
01:10:09.160
You're basically hiding the homeless person and their problems.
01:10:12.940
Some houses have to be built, maintained. Like property taxes are used for a variety of things.
01:10:20.260
And we can absolutely say it's BS to force people to pay tax or whatever, but there's sewer
01:10:25.760
systems, there's roads, there's a public infrastructure and electricity. And then you have,
01:10:32.960
People who don't own property, imagine what happens. And you know this exactly. You buy a
01:10:42.760
If you just leave it there, you'll come back to mold, bugs, water damage. In fact, you might
01:10:48.360
even come back to find the houses raised because a fire started and nobody knew it happened.
01:10:52.440
So you, you need somebody who's in it. It has to be used, has to be utilized. And the, the,
01:10:58.140
the, the landlord, I know it's such a dirty term for, for the political left. It's yeah,
01:11:02.260
they're slumlords. They're bad landlords. And then there are people who are retirees
01:11:06.480
who saved up money to pay for the creation of a home that you starting out your life can't afford
01:11:14.320
And then you pay rent. And then the argument comes, they're like, why are, why is the rent
01:11:18.760
more than the mortgage? Like, why am I, why are they making money? Well, they're doing work.
01:11:23.220
And that's not true today with interest rates where they are now.
01:11:26.300
But, but, but yes, generally what you're saying is correct. Yes.
01:11:31.200
The, right. The pure idea of a landlord, which perhaps has been corrupted.
01:11:35.320
Is let's go back in time. Me and my friends get together and take our extra wood and materials and
01:11:42.280
timing. We build a house. Someone who did not have the resources to do it says, I need a place to
01:11:47.040
live. And we say, we'll let you live here. Just you're going to pay us for everything we did to
01:11:51.560
build this. And then you end up making a couple hundred bucks, if that a month, you know, I don't
01:11:57.960
know how much it, what I can tell you is that when I was renting, I had a house, we moved out of it
01:12:02.640
and I said, what do we do with it? And I was like, let's just rent it out. And the responsibility
01:12:07.180
It's a pain in the butt. Yeah. Especially if you're not doing it at scale, it's a pain in the butt.
01:12:10.520
Absolutely. For me, it's like, I run this business. I absolutely cannot be managing
01:12:14.660
or trying to maintain or even have another text. Hey, furnaces out again, furnaces out,
01:12:19.620
air conditioning is breaking. And I'm like, I, you know, storm comes tree falls over.
01:12:23.820
And I said, would you like to buy this house? It's a lot of work and it's not easy. And it's
01:12:29.580
a full-time job if you're managing properties. What, what a lot of people don't realize when
01:12:33.480
they're renting is owning, owning a house comes with a lot of hard work and responsibility to
01:12:37.860
maintain that property. So you can, you can hire someone to do it for you.
01:12:41.640
Oh yeah. You know, you gotta pay for that then.
01:12:44.220
So then I guess it comes down to this, this practical problem though, because now what's
01:12:47.860
really popular on social media is this talk about, Oh, we're worse off today than we were
01:12:53.180
in the great depression, which is mostly based off cherry pick data. Anyway, let me, let me pull
01:12:57.160
up that tweet. Uh, let me see. We, uh, we have it somewhere. Here we go.
01:13:00.560
Yeah. So this is, uh, Isabel Brown. Uh, we like Isabel. She's cool. She's cool. She, uh,
01:13:05.100
made this, she has this clip where, uh, she copied off another Tik TOK. I'm sorry to say
01:13:09.280
it, but she, there was another one that went viral before hers that I reacted to. And then
01:13:13.400
I saw hers go viral and I'm like, she used the same data. Stop it. No. Let's, uh, let's,
01:13:18.520
let's play this. Is the audio going to heard a new term on Tik TOK today that made me stop
01:13:22.080
in my tracks. We are living in the silent depression. This guy believes we are not just living in worse
01:13:26.660
than the great depression. We're living in the silent depression. The average annual income
01:13:31.180
in 1930 for an American individual was a little over $4,800. Sounds like nothing. But if you adjust
01:13:37.660
that for inflation, a little over $4,800 a year in 1930 is equivalent to almost $85,000 annually for
01:13:44.900
the average salary for one person. Right now, the average annual salary is $56,000 a year. We
01:13:52.040
currently are making less than the height of the great depression in 1930. Gas was on average,
01:13:58.680
10 cents a gallon. That would be about a dollar 73 in case. All right. So we'll stop there because
01:14:03.300
what you just said was wrong. Yes. And there's a community notes fact check on it. Oh, there is
01:14:07.880
now. Thank God. Yeah. And it's for the win. Let's go. And it proved you right. Yes. So your tweet is
01:14:14.820
inflation adjusting to $24,000 or half of today's income. And the community note actually links to
01:14:21.240
the, I think it's the Foundation for Economic Education. Is that what it's called? FEE.
01:14:25.140
And it says the same exact thing. The 4.2K salary from the video adjusted for inflation at 95K today
01:14:31.020
is pulled from IRS taxable returns, which only accounted for 1.3% of the population. The real
01:14:36.640
inflation adjusted salary from 1933 would be $24,500. Here's the interesting thing about all this too,
01:14:42.740
though. People don't take into consideration the advantages and necessities that come with
01:14:49.920
technology, how it changed our world and created different economic requirements. So, yo, my dad
01:14:58.300
didn't have a cell phone or a TV. Those expenses did not exist. Right. Expenses or tools? I guess
01:15:05.080
is the way you look at that. They're both, really. They're both. That's true. Okay. A cell phone's an
01:15:08.900
obligation. Yeah, that's true. If, if... You gotta get Mint Mobile, man. It's like $15 a month.
01:15:13.440
It's getting cheaper and it's getting more accessible. And you know, that's just T-Mobile
01:15:17.080
rebranded. Oh, is it really? Well, T-Mobile did buy them, but before T-Mobile bought them,
01:15:21.380
sorry for the tangent, before T-Mobile bought them, Mint Mobile was just a way to sell T-Mobile bands to
01:15:28.320
people who wouldn't pay the $90 a month for T-Mobile. That's right. It's Cricket, Metro, it's all the same
01:15:32.880
thing. It's charging people based on what they're willing to pay, which is the best thing a corporation
01:15:38.240
could do from a corporate point of view is charge people who are willing to pay $90, $90. And the
01:15:43.280
people who can only afford $15, $15. Now, to be fair though, we went with T-Mobile because when you go
01:15:49.540
for these contract networks or whatever, that's like, it's part of the T-Mobile network. They'll give
01:15:55.300
you a data cap. They prioritize their core base. Yes. Okay. So if you need a lot of data, this is true.
01:16:01.360
And then the prioritizing, I think they're building enough antennas, but yes, you are correct. That's
01:16:06.340
how, what they say. Yes. Sorry for the tangent. So right now, you know, the real hack by the way,
01:16:11.760
is to do all of them. All of them. So I'm a YouTuber. So on each phone, I have two SIMs. They're
01:16:20.660
eSIMs. Yeah. So when you look at the top, which I was on airplane mode now, I actually have like AT&T,
01:16:25.680
Verizon, T-Mobile. And that way I always have data. Right. But I need it for my job. I just,
01:16:31.360
can't stand AT&T. No, it sucks. But when T-Mobile and Verizon are down, I love it.
01:16:35.940
Right. Yeah. So, you know, back in the day, I had every one of them. Yeah. Yeah. You needed it.
01:16:40.340
Building mobile tech. Well, you were mobile then. I mean, you wore your body cam before there were
01:16:44.260
body cams. Right. We had hotspots. Yeah. I had a hotspot for every network. Yeah. Remember WiMAX?
01:16:49.840
Oh my gosh. No, I don't. It was, it was one of the first 4G networks. Oh wow. It hit around one to
01:16:55.840
two megabits up and down. Yeah. But it was like, you know, Sprint was trying to get out with 4G fast
01:17:01.860
on anybody. Yeah. WiMAX is basically gone. Yeah. Sure. Sorry for the tangent. No, but people are
01:17:06.880
probably like, what is that even? Yeah. So here's my thing about the social media, current salaries.
01:17:14.100
Oh yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I think people should consider. And I don't know what it
01:17:16.860
ultimately means, but my dad did not have to buy a cell phone or a cell phone plan. That expense
01:17:20.860
didn't exist. That's a good point. You go to, you, you, you try to apply for a job at Starbucks
01:17:24.320
and they're going to say, what's your cell phone number? And you're going to say, I don't have a
01:17:26.860
cell phone. They're going to say, are you kidding? Right. How do we get in touch with you? Right.
01:17:30.120
Like call me at home. I have a landline and they're going to be like, yeah, okay. That's nuts.
01:17:34.920
I'll text you. Oh wait. Yeah. Most, I think most companies are going to say,
01:17:40.860
they don't have, they don't have a cell phone. What's, we can't hire them. Probably.
01:17:44.560
Are you going to get a cell phone? Can we get you a cell phone? Like what's the deal? And so the salary may
01:17:49.020
be better, but I do think there's more expenses, expenses associated with housing is way more
01:17:54.320
unaffordable today. Right. And so you're right. There are a lot of more expenses that we have
01:17:58.820
plus housing more affordable. Now we can work remotely. And so maybe we have less of a commute
01:18:02.440
and you know, the cost of a TV is a fraction of what it used to be and whatever, but you're right.
01:18:07.420
You have more of these societal obligations and probably the biggest one is housing too.
01:18:12.240
Healthcare. Oh my gosh. That's another big problem. But what do you do? Do you turn into Canada where
01:18:16.780
you have to wait six months to get a fricking exam because they have universal healthcare?
01:18:20.900
Do you turn into Germany where they have great healthcare, but again, you know, you're, now
01:18:23.880
you're paying 55% in taxes. All of it. Right. And then Canada attacked on the, if you don't want
01:18:28.740
to wait, we can always kill you. Oh no, no. You saw that, right? No, I didn't. Medical assistants
01:18:33.540
and dying. Tons of stories of this. There's a veteran who needed a chairlift and they said, we,
01:18:39.540
it'll take, you know, X amount of time to build the chairlift or have you considered medical
01:18:42.940
assistants and death. No way. Yeah. There's a story of a woman. She did a commercial where
01:18:48.080
she's like, this is my choice. I'm choosing to go my way. And the story was that she went
01:18:53.340
for medical health. Uh, she went, she went to the, to the system for a treatment. Sure.
01:18:58.340
Yeah, exactly. They said no. And they said, but we can't kill you. And she said, then I choose
01:19:03.800
death because I can't live with this anymore. So there's a lot of questions about this.
01:19:08.260
Oh my God. First of all, I think medical assistants dying is at this, at what the
01:19:11.820
degree they're, they're, they're going from, they're going in Canada now, uh, mental health
01:19:15.200
issues warrants it. And they're even allowing in some, they want to make it so that kids
01:19:18.920
can get it without consent. Right. It's getting crazy, but I'm getting chills thinking about
01:19:25.640
that. Like, please like keep all the shit away from kids under 18. Oh yeah. But they're,
01:19:30.940
they're, they're not. And so here, here's the thing to consider though. Your dental care
01:19:35.580
today as a poor person is better than Rockefeller's dental care. Oh, that's interesting. The technical
01:19:41.660
technical, I mean, look how many people had refrigerators and air conditioning in the
01:19:45.740
forties back then, you know, they, it's really amazing when you go to these, uh, old houses
01:19:50.700
out here in Appalachia, civil war territory, and you can go tour these homes and they're
01:19:54.460
like, here's the cooling cellar where they kept their meat. And I'm like, it's literally
01:19:58.000
just the basement. Yes. They would hang meat in the basement, salt it, salt it and hang
01:20:03.420
it. And then try and eat it as fast as you can. In fact, one, one place I, uh, I checked
01:20:07.980
out. Now we call that curing. Yeah. The meat storage was upstairs and I'm like, it's going
01:20:14.160
to get hot. And then they would carry it down this little spiral staircase. There was a cup.
01:20:19.500
It's so crazy. There's a cupboard in the kitchen that's like two feet wide. And when you open
01:20:23.540
it, it's this extremely narrow spiraling staircase to go up to the meat room, to grab the meats,
01:20:28.240
to bring them down to the kitchen without obstructing the flow of the house. So the chef wouldn't
01:20:32.220
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We have tremendous, uh, uh, technological advancement that benefit our lives in ways that
01:22:11.760
never before, but we're also still miserable too. And how do you, how do you figure out where that
01:22:17.660
point is? Right. You know, so Isabel does this video where she says we're actually in a silent
01:22:21.100
depression. She's hitting on a very real sentiment is what it is. Even though the information is
01:22:27.120
factually wrong, the sentiment is 100% correct. It's the Richmond song, right? It is the sentiment
01:22:33.580
that look, everything has gotten more expensive. Everything's 30% more expensive now over the last
01:22:38.200
few years. It is more expensive for housing, for rent, for a mortgage, for your credit cards, for your
01:22:43.520
car, for groceries. So she's hitting on something that's accurate. Unfortunately, the question is
01:22:50.020
how, how do we fix that as an individual? Like practically rental. It's not completely, but
01:22:56.520
I'll give you an example. There was a story I read where a kid had a genetic disease for which
01:23:01.900
there was a cure. The cure is an expensive gene therapy. It costs a million dollars.
01:23:07.920
The family demanded the state pay for it. The state said, we can't pay a million dollars for
01:23:13.600
one person's treatment. If that treatment did not exist, there's no complaint, right? There's simply
01:23:19.160
grief and fear, right? Now a treatment exists and there's hope. And with that hope comes the demand
01:23:24.880
that it'd be paid for because we can. So I take a look at modern healthcare costs
01:23:29.560
and they talk about the treatments that people should get, the medication they should get.
01:23:33.360
Not to mention a lot of this, I think is BS, weird mental drugs. But outside of that,
01:23:39.440
You mean like over-diagnoses of certain disorders?
01:23:42.500
Well, as a separate issue, you have people who are on all sorts of medical,
01:23:48.420
Causing more problems than helping potentially.
01:23:50.500
But there are treatments for diseases today that did not exist a hundred years ago.
01:23:56.440
And so when you got the consumption, you died. Terminal. And there was no complaining about what
01:24:02.860
you were owed or your medical bills because it didn't exist. Now that the treatments exist and
01:24:08.900
they're hard to produce and they're expensive, there's a demand we get them for free, which creates
01:24:13.140
a weird circumstance. If we were to today strip away all of the cures and all the medical advances
01:24:20.780
from these, from these diseases. And we just said, we simply cannot cure any of these diseases.
01:24:26.060
There's no left-wing outrage over medical care.
01:24:35.040
I, this is where, when it comes to like universal healthcare, this is where I'm like,
01:24:38.460
basic healthcare. I think I agree with, I don't, Bernie guy.
01:24:42.760
Well, I used to be, but not his healthcare stuff's nuts. He wants it to go to an extreme
01:24:47.920
that no other country wants to go to. But my view is always, if you get the flu, if you break your
01:24:52.700
bone, I think that that's the basic level of coverage that we provide. It's horrible when you
01:24:57.540
hear about like a seven year old kid who got the flu and died. And it's like, are you kidding me?
01:25:00.500
We can treat this stuff with fluids and put them in the hospital and they live,
01:25:02.920
but because of the expense, but then you get cancers, really advanced terminal diseases that
01:25:10.580
are beyond the scope of basic healthcare. Right. And then how do you, how do you take it? We can't
01:25:15.880
give everyone the cure for this. We can't give everyone this million dollar treatment, but if
01:25:21.160
people know it exists and people don't want to die and I can respect them not wanting to die,
01:25:25.160
that makes sense. Knowing it exists means I need to get it. So I'm not saying people are wrong
01:25:31.180
for wanting the access to these things. But if you look at it holistically, if you zoom out
01:25:37.220
and you look at humanity outside of the perspective of a sympathetic individual,
01:25:42.620
empathetic human being, you say, well, if we have 100 doses of cure and 10,000 people who would like
01:25:49.120
cure, universal healthcare does not exist. It is impossible. So how do you, how do you do it?
01:25:55.020
Right. I mean, it's, it's like everybody would like to live in Los Angeles, but it's so expensive.
01:25:59.600
Not everybody can. And then there's this idea. Well then we should have more affordable housing
01:26:05.540
When the reality is, no, you're not, you need to leave LA. So there's, so how's capitalism versus,
01:26:14.860
Outside of the practical questions of how do you distribute cures, right.
01:26:18.660
You have the issue of perception and happiness. Uh, the view that happiness is always fleeting
01:26:23.180
though. I think there's almost this belief that everybody should be happy all the time. It's people,
01:26:27.760
people in the 1700s who had no air conditioning and lived in florida were happy why florida
01:26:34.960
because they well they built a they built a statue to the guy who invented air conditioning in
01:26:38.300
florida oh okay i grew up in florida so that's interesting yeah i mean come on i couldn't
01:26:42.340
imagine living in miami without ac it's nuts it's impossible you you go from ac to ac basically
01:26:48.220
when you're in florida all the windows are drenched with humidity uh but but they did
01:26:52.460
for generations like that's interesting hundreds of years and then now it's like well we gotta have
01:26:57.260
ac people will die without it oh yeah now think that isn't that crazy that is people people who
01:27:01.980
didn't have heat or ac before would just die and it was a normal part of life now that we have the
01:27:06.540
technology it's a requirement yeah it's true it costs money to make it costs money to build it
01:27:11.240
costs money to implement and to run it's expensive so i want i wonder now if the reason we feel like
01:27:17.020
we actually are in a depression is because the amount of things we expect to have have massively
01:27:21.780
increased our expectations are so much higher because of social media maybe but they're but
01:27:26.600
they're partially necessities oh yeah if you're if you're elderly you need ac yeah that's true but
01:27:31.760
when we didn't have ac the elderly would just die or we or we'd have different social customs
01:27:36.340
for protecting them like watering holes or making sure they were you know people would check in on
01:27:40.680
them now that we're in the era of ubiquitous air conditioning it's something we must have to live
01:27:47.360
and the people who do have access to it live uh a better example would be refrigeration okay
01:27:51.520
when nobody had refrigeration if people would just die of diabetes it was it was an illness that would
01:27:57.340
affect kids and older people and they would just die and then someone finally i can't i remember i
01:28:02.040
read the story a while ago isolated insulin and then all of a sudden the children were cured sure and
01:28:05.840
it was like wow so you could keep insulin out you got to refrigerate it yeah so going back to what
01:28:11.240
is bell saying about the salary being 54k that's double the depression era right but we also got to
01:28:16.360
consider what we expect to be a necessity for us including refrigeration clean running water
01:28:21.360
sewage cell phone internet yep yeah can you can you live in society and have a job and make
01:28:27.460
54 000 a year if you don't have a cell phone don't have the internet don't have air conditioning
01:28:31.360
don't have clean running water i i think if if you're making 54k your goal should be how can i make
01:28:36.200
more yeah and but then you go back to well high school and it's like well what did i learn
01:28:40.700
that's not that's a problem oh yeah that's that's why i stopped going oh i don't blame
01:28:46.000
yeah i you know i remember you know i'm told everything will be different in high school
01:28:50.140
sure and then it's just here's an interrogative sentence and i'm like oh my god yeah the same
01:28:55.020
same garbage and i'm just like tell me one time i'll remember can we move on can we learn
01:28:59.100
no it was just a waste of time so what do you think then about ai do you think we're going to
01:29:02.960
go with ai towards more of this uh displacement more homelessness yes yeah but i wonder if we will
01:29:09.620
all live in the pods own nothing and be happy oh interesting okay you will own nothing and be
01:29:15.120
happy that's a pretty common thing on social right now have you seen uh rent everything i went to a
01:29:21.600
game stop just the other day why uh i went to the eye doctor okay game stop was next door okay well
01:29:27.560
that's fair yeah i used to go to midnight releases at game stop and i applied to game stop to work
01:29:31.600
there like 17 times and they rejected me again why would you go to games that's a good question
01:29:35.000
actually uh as an aside i think game stop should be doing more to create community yes that's their
01:29:40.040
path to monetization yes selling games come on partner with dave and busters game stops and
01:29:45.560
every dave and busters entertainment that's a good idea actually but it but i think for game stop it's
01:29:49.540
more of it's it's less about selling a product and more about selling the space oh 100 what i used
01:29:54.520
to do game stop competitions like i'd go do call of duty competitions exactly stop they should have
01:29:58.600
gaming tables card games exactly pokemon cards they should have video game contests yep but anyway
01:30:02.360
i digress uh i was talking to the guy there's a new chat gpt mod for skyrim oh no yes you can talk
01:30:10.100
to all the to your uh uh not not to all of them i think it's a companion okay okay okay you can
01:30:15.560
literally my understanding i could be wrong but it's like you could put on a headset and as you're
01:30:18.980
playing you can say your command's name is like john you can be like john uh come with me and he'll go
01:30:23.360
you got it and then you can say something like john what do you think about the current phase of the
01:30:27.340
moon and say you know i haven't thought too much about it's a natural predictive response
01:30:31.860
and uh the guy there was telling me that he played it and you can actually bump into the
01:30:37.120
character and they will give you a unique hey knock it off you keep hitting me stop hitting me
01:30:41.520
and you're just it's incredible as life gets depressing for so many people yeah and social
01:30:48.380
interaction becomes harder yeah i think there's a loneliness epidemic the wealth inequality is going
01:30:52.480
to be the owner class yep and the vr gamer class oh people who are poor and own nothing will have a
01:31:00.160
small pod which could could technically be like a bachelor style apartment yeah where they strap
01:31:05.540
into vr and live in a world where they can be happy and have everything they've ever wanted and feel
01:31:09.740
emotionally satisfied and that's and that's how you placate a distressed populace now then then i
01:31:15.960
wonder though is that like so i mean it's very ready player one ask is i mean it to some extent sounds
01:31:22.800
very depressing because it's like well we shouldn't need that but then on the other hand does that take away
01:31:27.540
the hardship that you would otherwise have in life in any level of life i don't know yes
01:31:33.000
hardship is good yeah i see how these parents they're like my kid will never be poor
01:31:38.140
i'm like that's a mistake yeah yeah failure is a good thing failure is a good thing yeah and
01:31:44.280
it is really funny when you think about the philosophy of it people people assume it's bad
01:31:48.840
to fail yeah it's good to feel absolutely yeah it's like the path of success is through failure
01:31:52.980
100 if your kids never experience failure what do you get oh my gosh you get a brad spoiled
01:31:57.500
expect high expectation oh there's the expectations where yeah wow it's that's funny it's almost like
01:32:02.620
so i have a an eight-year-old now he just had a birthday yesterday and a five-year-old and when
01:32:07.300
they play roblox and it's just constant dopamine dopamine dopamine of of positive positive positive
01:32:13.020
positive everything else in their life is miserable yep like getting up is miserable going to the
01:32:19.720
bathroom is miserable going on a walk getting on go-karts going on your bike everything is
01:32:23.440
miserable so we took away roblox good now they draw and they're happy and we wrestle and we play
01:32:32.620
yeah it's insane the scary thing with roblox is i shouldn't single them out the scary things with
01:32:37.980
kids playing video games yes it's the predators who go on and when you're not paying attention you
01:32:42.180
think the kids just playing a video game sure you got some creepo whispering in their ear
01:32:45.340
oh yeah i don't know about that you're right oh my gosh so that's been a big thing so how long
01:32:50.640
until we get pods or or is there a way to economically uh to to solve this solve this this
01:32:57.180
silent depression that may or may not exist pods are coming man yeah we got the um we got one of
01:33:03.760
those vr treadmills okay just like last week we haven't set it up yet you used it's a bowl you
01:33:09.220
stand on you put on special shoes you strap yourself to a harness which is mounted as part of the
01:33:13.840
thing and then you can run in any direction strapped in put the vr goggles on take the
01:33:19.420
controllers and you can play skyrim uh imagine what's going to be like when we have vr multi
01:33:26.100
mmo like world of warcraft vr and you're in one of these things and it's it's it's it's out of
01:33:32.320
movies but i already look at a lot of these mmorpgs especially with how big world of warcraft is and
01:33:38.360
it's constant dopamine it's addiction oh my gosh it's funny it's funny when you see these like
01:33:42.820
farming simulator we had uh we we're we're talking about how how much we want to do short films sci-fi
01:33:48.700
dystopian stuff here and we just like aren't getting around to it so it'll probably never
01:33:51.580
happen but we can dream but one of the ideas we had is because we constantly talk about this
01:33:56.300
is uh imagine a show where it's short film this guy is talking with his friends about how they're
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contest this video game and then you get scenes of someone being like last year's champion ten
01:35:40.480
thousand dollar prize first place video game champions and they're practicing and the game
01:35:45.440
they're playing is farming simulator because it's a strategic game it's like farmville yeah well
01:35:51.120
there's they have farming farm simulator 22 just came out oh interesting okay right 22 people love
01:35:56.400
this game and they have police simulator but so these guys are like they're working on how they can
01:36:02.400
maximize the game strategy so that the game is played over a few days and then they have the highest
01:36:09.100
lowest revenue and they have the lowest costs and they have the maximum produce and then you see
01:36:14.080
this big tournament where you have all these different teams and there's tv screens playing
01:36:18.060
the simulator and everyone's cheering and they're like you know you know the the the phoenixes out
01:36:23.780
of detroit have generated 2.7 million already on their sim and they are leading the pack and then you've
01:36:30.080
got people like coming in sponsors being like guys you've got to pick it up have you considered
01:36:33.380
there's like another team that's losing and then the reveal is it shows an actual farm being operated
01:36:39.660
by ai which the video game players are actually controlling wow they're doing the labor for free
01:36:45.100
yeah not realizing it so it's like uh captcha right yeah people don't you're training in ai by
01:36:51.780
doing that every time captcha has always been this yeah so the first captchas were the text that
01:36:56.580
were weird looking yeah i hate these things you know what that was it was they scanned a book
01:37:00.120
and the text was weird looking and computers couldn't recognize it but humans could so when
01:37:05.580
it was like in order to proceed what they would do is one word would be intentionally obfuscated that
01:37:10.460
the computer knew yeah and one would be from a book the computer couldn't understand and so you would
01:37:15.580
then type in both words and teach the ai how to see letters that it couldn't understand so you were
01:37:20.540
doing free labor imagine the the greater you know extension of this people playing video games like a
01:37:26.740
simulator thinking that it's just a game but they're actually running the farm and making profits
01:37:32.380
for the owner of the farm i mean imagine that you talk about there's going to be the owners and the
01:37:37.820
non-owners oh yeah imagine if someone created you know uh burger chain sim sure and they send out all
01:37:44.720
these apps or people download the apps and then there's like a wait list it's like when do you get
01:37:49.440
to play the game and someone finally gets like your account has been activated and what really
01:37:52.940
happened is a new chain opened up and someone has to manage it and so then these people playing
01:37:58.740
the game are actually what this relates back to is your message earlier of that purpose which is the
01:38:04.060
back to vivek's message in playing those competitive games you've now given folks a purpose whereas maybe
01:38:10.380
now because of you know this this silent depression idea it's a it's this feeling of this lack of purpose
01:38:16.880
and maybe games i mean i remember when i played world of warcraft i felt like i had a purpose i had to be
01:38:21.040
there for my clan i had to heal or in pvp i had to heal i had a job i think a component of it might be
01:38:27.840
that a couple generations ago your purpose was your family yeah people were like get married have kids
01:38:33.640
and then you're there for your kids so everything you do is in service of having a family raising those
01:38:38.540
kids now these people who are upset don't have kids not all of them some of them do what do you
01:38:43.280
think about that declining birth rates declining want for children man i don't know um i think it's
01:38:50.900
i i think it's catastrophic yeah i i think cities are too dense and for sure right this is this is the
01:39:00.000
overpopulation question i i say there's no overpopulation here right there's lots of land
01:39:06.520
in the country and but but but maybe i don't know uh the thing about here's the way i put it
01:39:12.620
we got chickens outside yes you do they wake you up at 4 a.m they're they're they're yelling
01:39:17.600
that's what they do they like to scream but if uh you have chickens out in the field and they poop
01:39:23.140
all over the place it's really good sure it's fertilizer it fertilizes and then we have this uh
01:39:28.160
we have this big patch of dirt from the old chicken city that's just and that the plants grow like
01:39:33.020
crazy that's why you wanted the septic leach field where you were growing your vegetables
01:39:37.100
that sounds nasty but no you don't actually what yeah septic leach field somebody told me the
01:39:41.660
wrong thing uh yeah you don't want to grow on leach probably but but like all the grass and
01:39:46.940
everything grows well it does oh chemicals but that's different so i'm thinking like cesspool
01:39:51.600
days where there are no chemicals right the septic stuff these days no today is bad i'm not like the
01:39:56.820
old school just like you know poop and urine right and then it fertilizes as it percolates and spreads
01:40:02.640
out yeah but what happens if you take all of the chicken crap and put it in one spot oh well
01:40:08.040
that's too concentrated exactly poisonous the rain will wash it away everything dies it smells
01:40:13.200
horrible and people avoid it that's a city ah look at that how interesting yeah that's why we can
01:40:18.220
always test covid in those sewers i guess i mean there yes it's too hyper it's a hyper concentration
01:40:23.820
of waste that can't be properly dissipated into the environment so if people move away from these
01:40:29.140
cities then but then you can manage it there's so much like pooping on urban sprawl like oh we don't
01:40:36.000
want urban sprawl it takes away the character of a city in a downtown but isn't to some extent
01:40:40.860
kind of what people need is their own house and their yard and there's your school and your fire
01:40:46.620
department your police station i mean we should dissuade people from moving to cities i totally
01:40:52.300
agree remote work is good yeah sure if you took all the people from the cities and spread them out
01:40:57.220
over like an acre or so or maybe you might mean you might need a couple acres two or three they could
01:41:02.720
have their own septic system in leach field interesting then you've solved a lot of the
01:41:07.100
human waste problem like in chicago they dump the sewage into the lake oh then people swim in the water
01:41:12.020
and get sick yeah sure because what are they concentrated like you said oh it's insane if you
01:41:16.040
think about it 10 million people in the metro you got 2 million 2.5 or whatever in the city
01:41:20.360
go to the beach and look at all those buildings you have to ask yourself where is that pugo
01:41:24.340
that's nice that is interesting the concentration i mean and the way you could also solve that is
01:41:29.640
better commuting because you know highways and traffic are just a disaster i really like the
01:41:33.980
elon tunnels because of that right you know because then you could have you know master
01:41:38.640
planned communities outside of cities that are actually affordable and functional for you to
01:41:42.340
have a family in at an affordable price and if you need to go into a city to commute you could do so
01:41:46.980
in the tunnel those tunnels are scary though yeah well that's the other thing is i mean we're so
01:41:50.920
unfamiliar with tunnels right you know what's gonna happen yeah i watched that video of the
01:41:55.440
the the tunnel that it's it's in la right uh the first test for the boring tunnel yes yes yes yes
01:42:00.740
super single lane one direction only right yes like yes it's just a capsule and what if you get
01:42:06.240
yeah like what if you get jammed in there and you're just like what do you mean full self-driving
01:42:10.800
never has problems i don't want to get that that's not scary do you have a tesla yeah okay which one
01:42:15.720
you have uh i have uh model s and a three would you get the cybertruck yes do you like elon uh yeah
01:42:22.400
okay uh do you like elon oh yeah yeah he's cool dude uh nobody's perfect it's always weird when
01:42:28.480
you're like wow young's doing some great stuff and then someone's like yeah well look at the bad
01:42:31.120
thing and i'm like that's true he did a bad thing sure there you go well everybody's got something
01:42:34.660
that they've done wrong nobody's an angel and perfect yeah we have uh i don't i i love and hate
01:42:39.980
the full self-driving okay it's nearly killed me oh no yeah how long ago uh it's been it's been a
01:42:46.620
while since we've actually had any issues with it okay so it's gotten better is what you're saying
01:42:49.740
it's absolutely gotten better but we've had some scary moments it almost it tried to swerve me into
01:42:54.800
oncoming traffic once is this on like the one-way roads so right double yellow line yes and it tried
01:43:00.560
to jump into the other side not i'm holding the wheel i don't do that stupid there's so many dumb
01:43:04.600
people that will put the they put weights oh yeah you gotta be very careful i'm not doing that it's
01:43:08.420
crazy uh we had one where i would say maybe four or five times it slammed its brakes on full stop
01:43:15.480
in the middle of the highway going 65 miles an hour 70 miles an hour and uh that's terrifying yeah
01:43:21.340
it is what one time what happened was two two two circumstances uh there for a while it's i think
01:43:28.460
they fixed this there's a so this is funny the street light ahead signs it would think were street
01:43:34.760
lights and it would start to break but it would break normally and that's kind of funny yeah but then
01:43:40.140
we had a street light ahead sign with yellow flashing lights and as soon as it would we'd come
01:43:45.680
up the hill and see it it would slam the brakes on oh wow and i but i'm aware of it so i tapped the
01:43:49.580
brakes then there was one this probably the scariest outside of it trying to swerve into the oncoming
01:43:54.600
traffic yeah yeah that's that's peak scary and so i'm like i have my arms firm to not let it i'll let
01:43:59.720
it go to the right and it you know but it's only happened a handful of times there's um like a like
01:44:04.660
an eight lane highway somewhere over here it's four going one way four going the other and there
01:44:09.500
is a turn median in the middle for u-turns okay and for cops only or for everyone everyone okay okay
01:44:15.000
so if you're trying it's a crazy it's a crazy road if you it might be three on each side i don't know
01:44:19.800
about four but if you're trying to come out of the neighborhood and cross and then turn left oof
01:44:24.680
it's kind of nuts so what you do is you pull out you stop in the median of course a truck did that
01:44:29.640
we were we had uh there was the left lane and we were in the middle lane oh i know and as soon as
01:44:36.320
the tesla on the screen saw it it slammed the brakes on full stop and we're like we lunge forward
01:44:42.020
like and then i you got to tap the gas to make it stop exactly i'm like we are lucky we didn't get
01:44:47.760
rear-ended sure oh yeah and but you know what it does now is a prompt pops up and says tell us what
01:44:54.340
happened yes yeah yeah you press the button and you're like explain it and i'm just like hey elon
01:45:00.120
how's it going uh love the car it's been great it just tried to drive into oncoming traffic again
01:45:04.160
you know we took control it's okay how long ago was the last time you've had this issue yeah it's
01:45:08.740
been like six months okay yeah so you think the latest updates are helping i guess okay i haven't
01:45:14.120
had any issues it's been it's been pretty good do you actually drive much though uh i mean well yeah
01:45:18.600
we're in we're in uh you know we're in the tri-state west virginia area it's a lot of driving okay
01:45:22.780
okay yeah that's true okay okay okay but uh let's clarify do i drive much in am i often in a car
01:45:28.900
driving two places the answer is yes am i the one behind the wheel often no yeah okay yeah so i'm
01:45:34.880
usually the passenger seat you know doing something yeah that makes sense but yeah yeah it is curious to
01:45:39.760
see the automation of everything and ultimately where where it leads us especially politically uh
01:45:45.280
you mentioned that wealth inequality is going to get a lot worse way worse my view is that leads to
01:45:50.920
political instability 100 but i'm curious what's like if you think it's going to get worse like
01:45:55.640
what do you what do you think the next year looks like or what happens well i think that uh california
01:46:01.020
might be one of the first places to actually break if they keep going down this path uh i'm i'm not
01:46:06.140
i i find myself generally to be pretty moderate and and not super conspiratorial but i think that if
01:46:11.800
there were one place to have a revolution it would be california yeah and it almost needs one okay
01:46:18.020
so but but not yet almost it like no no no it needs it but it's not going to happen until that
01:46:25.380
san francisco problem spreads everywhere when that happens everywhere in california it's revolution i
01:46:30.700
mean sacramento's got it pretty bad too but yes i mean la santa monica san francisco san diego's better
01:46:36.820
right but but it's still not ubiquitous enough but i think that's where you get your first break is
01:46:42.800
california and i don't think america is ready for uh a a like california governor becoming president
01:46:49.740
but it would be very interesting to see how a newsom versus biden would go that would be interesting
01:46:55.100
newsom wins i know that's that's that i i actually think that could happen there there is one thing
01:47:00.860
that i think could stop newsom from winning and it's that if during the bait his uh his fake human
01:47:05.840
mask falls off and reveals the lizard man behind it robot yeah the robot's exposed right right so
01:47:11.640
short of that happening yes yes yeah but as otherwise as far as the next year um yeah it's a
01:47:19.460
you know i think the the best thing for an individual listening your audience maybe they might not know me
01:47:25.780
is i i think to myself do what you can over this next year two years uh to provide as much to create
01:47:32.820
as much value in your life as possible because you need to get on the roller coaster not going to say
01:47:38.720
it's going to be easy yeah it's not for everybody but if you're not on the roller coaster you're
01:47:42.640
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stop doing it if we get to that point of uh if wealth inequality expands it will i think
01:49:24.240
absolutely with ai no question like we're for an example somebody opens a new chain restaurant a
01:49:30.580
fast food restaurant and they have only seven employees instead of the typical 40 yes now you've
01:49:35.260
got people with no jobs that person who owns it is making more money that's effectively transferring
01:49:39.680
money from the poor straight into the pockets of the of the ultra wealthy at a faster rate i mean
01:49:43.780
theoretically prices of the food should come down but yes there'll be more profit too i don't think
01:49:48.300
the price will come down yeah yeah you're probably right they're gonna they're gonna be looking at
01:49:51.520
it like everybody knows a burger's a buck i've cut i've cut my costs yeah burger stays a buck i just
01:49:56.900
make more money yeah yeah you're right you're right yeah you're right and that's the other thing too
01:50:00.580
is like i think people are looking for inflation to come down it's not going to come down they're like
01:50:04.320
oh you know inflation like how is inflation going to get better the prices are so expensive
01:50:07.960
they're supposed to come down no that's actually the job of the fed is to make sure we keep having
01:50:12.820
inflation the job of the fed is to make sure we stay at two percent if they wanted prices to come
01:50:17.360
down the job would be to go negative right so then i wonder if there's a scenario in the next year or
01:50:22.700
two where they have nots go to war with the haves maybe not in a year but if we get to this point
01:50:28.940
where you have an owner class it's depressing that's on the roller coaster yes and the people who missed
01:50:33.760
the uh you know they were either waiting in line for the roller coaster and they didn't make the
01:50:37.560
cut yeah those people aren't going to just say i guess i lose they're going to say nah i'll figure
01:50:42.180
out another way to win and that's going to be revolution yeah that's almost like vivek style uh
01:50:47.620
yeah interesting i agree with you uh or pod or give me pod pod living you will own nothing you'll be
01:50:54.860
happy yeah i well we're trending in that direction and so it's it's it's i don't know when it'll cap
01:51:00.000
yeah that's true i don't know when but i think we're slowly going to come more and more into that
01:51:04.920
uh there's there's so much hope like for example i'll put it this way if somebody wanted to start a
01:51:09.200
youtube channel so if you was watching your your videos right now or the live or however they
01:51:13.500
wanted to start a youtube channel if you want to get a lot of views right now just tell everybody
01:51:16.780
the market's gonna crash right tell everybody there's gonna be this great glorious reset and
01:51:21.260
you're gonna have your chance to buy that gorgeous 100 000 four bedroom two and a half bath with a
01:51:26.320
and you're gonna be okay and you're gonna get rich in the stock market but it's all gonna happen
01:51:31.400
after this giant crash and after all the suits go to hell that that is how to get a lot of views right
01:51:37.280
now because it's echoing the sentiment of really richmond north virginia the political corruption all
01:51:43.420
of that the question is is that actually going to drive uh meaningful change how many of these
01:51:50.500
anti-richmond north of richmond people yeah do you think would join the richmond north of richmond
01:51:58.020
the moment they got the opportunity they would in a heartbeat like do you think about most people or
01:52:02.300
every single person would every single person would 100 and that's that's that's sad to think though
01:52:07.420
well yes uh because i so there i guess there are two ways to look at it there's there's the way to
01:52:13.640
look at it of um the the you know the politicians all the politicians are corrupt all the rich
01:52:19.620
corporatists are corrupt uh and then there's the well if you started uh if a startup and it became
01:52:26.480
a billion dollar company now you're a rich corporatist did you get there on bad intentions maybe not maybe
01:52:32.560
you actually had a good product and only fans capital right capital i mean he just made like 300 400
01:52:37.380
million dollars in last year cashed out in options or whatever uh that guy's like killing it uh but
01:52:42.400
anyway so is he a bad person because now he has hundreds of millions of dollars and he's way
01:52:47.400
richer than the next you know uh you know 10 000 people next to him he's the alfred nobel of our
01:52:53.700
generation uh i don't know that reference which is probably bad uh nobel he made i think dynamite
01:52:59.280
tnt or something oh interesting and uh his vision for it was to help people who are in the mines yeah
01:53:04.920
sure exploration uh you you plant the the explosives you leave you blow them up exactly nobody gets
01:53:10.500
crushed or anything exactly his obituary was published early by accident and they called him
01:53:14.360
the merchant of death uh he got so shocked by that he created the nobel prize so that he would be
01:53:19.620
remembered for something different oh that's that's brilliant the only fans guy tried to stop
01:53:26.140
the pornography on the platform and no they weren't having it the users i guess the investors
01:53:33.740
and so now you're the mecca of it now you are the preeminent digital prostitution ring yes and this
01:53:41.480
guy is going to be like we just wanted to make it so that musicians could be with their fans and their
01:53:46.580
fans could help support them and now you are the king daddy pimp well i think it goes back to the
01:53:51.780
what is it uh um power corrupts absolute power corrupts absolutely uh well so the so the the challenge
01:53:58.820
there is i i'd be willing to bet that if you went to the dude who founded only fans and you tried to
01:54:06.460
shame him over being a porn ring he would absolutely defend it of course he's gonna say all this stuff
01:54:11.000
like people have a right to purchase i'm libertarian but deep down inside he's just like i have to
01:54:16.220
maintain because i i feel like if you watch your creation become this monster you try to stop yeah
01:54:21.240
you're honestly gonna you know deep inside be like oh here's the question is he a bad guy
01:54:28.060
for allowing it to happen right if he if he did a full stop and said i will never allow this to
01:54:34.160
take place this is destructive to our to our culture to our economy we can't have it they just
01:54:39.660
remove him yeah that's true and so does he just say then cash me out i'm done yeah and then do we
01:54:44.460
get mad at him for having done it yeah that's true well yeah ultimately then the question is so
01:54:48.860
what's his job as a ceo it's to make money for shareholders and investors yeah and that answer is
01:54:53.720
you lean into that kind of stuff so then the question is okay what's the job of a politician
01:54:58.600
well let's get re-elected well how are you going to get re-elected are you going to get re-elected by
01:55:03.320
uh you know going out and and uh and and helping people who aren't donating to your campaign or the
01:55:09.380
people who are donating millions of dollars to your campaign because that's how you stay in your job
01:55:12.480
so of course yeah you know it's it's when when we go to the to the nitty-gritty of it every
01:55:17.480
corporatist is like well i got i need more earnings for my company so we gotta keep prices high and
01:55:22.980
lower expenses which means laying people off you know now we're talking about instead of silent
01:55:27.100
quitting we're talking about silent layoffs which is where you know if amazon doesn't want to fire
01:55:31.140
you because of the pr of that they assign you to a department that you don't want to work in and then
01:55:36.340
you quit and then they don't replace you right so now that the executives are doing what's good
01:55:41.580
for the shareholder which is more earnings but then that's bad for the individuals because they're
01:55:45.020
going off but everybody would probably do that in that situation yep that that's that's the thing you
01:55:50.500
know people complain about the ceo they say insert company and ceo and i'm like you remove that ceo
01:55:55.120
they were placed in two seconds oh of course and and nobody thinks they're the villain everyone
01:55:58.900
thinks they're doing the right thing i remember watching this video where like anti-oil protesters
01:56:04.540
went to the like a ceo's home no and he came out and they were pro he came out sat down with them
01:56:09.260
and said tell me what we should do and then they had a conversation and he said i agree with everything
01:56:13.900
you've said and they were like well then why are you doing it and he was like okay well i would like
01:56:18.700
to do the thing everything you said but then he starts pointing out like how many people would
01:56:22.940
die if we reduce like production in this city how much energy loss would result in how much death
01:56:27.820
and it was just constantly like we want to save the world if we reduce oil production 40 000 people
01:56:34.740
will die in a month oh we're screwed yeah it's just it's it's really interesting because people don't
01:56:39.040
make that direct correlation of course that you know like gretchen thunberg says we want to shut down
01:56:43.480
all fossil fuels oh my god by 2023 or whatever yeah okay six i think six million die in the first
01:56:48.740
month or something like that uh loss of power air conditioning and so there's a question of we can't
01:56:54.780
let people die so we have to keep doing this look at california as an example in this when i ran for
01:57:00.600
governor i uh ran on more fracking more oil i know that pissed people off right of course it did
01:57:09.460
uh so but here's why in california we have uh these rolling blackouts every summer the electricity grid
01:57:20.960
isn't stable part of the reason for that is we don't have enough natural gas peaker plants that are
01:57:25.540
capable enough for the demands we have now okay so you look at the natural gas peaker plants and you
01:57:31.420
say okay well why don't you make your systems better and they say we would love to in fact
01:57:35.960
we're running 1970s technology and we'd love to have more efficient technology that could actually
01:57:41.440
lower emissions so we go to the state of california go can we please get a permit to have a more
01:57:46.700
efficient facility the state of california says is it 100 green no but it's more green nope it's got
01:57:55.400
to be 100 green so you're left with the old crap and not the efficient crap yeah so what you should
01:58:00.460
have is the most efficient fossil fuel burning stuff that you can have now while trying to transition
01:58:08.860
uh to to yes a more sustainable future whether that's nuclear or whatever and then the activists
01:58:13.880
celebrate their victory yes they come out we stop the peaker plant from expanding great enjoy your
01:58:18.820
blackouts enjoy your wildfires yep you know this is this is this is the harsh reality of
01:58:26.780
i suppose how our system works there are i've worked at these environmental non-profits i don't think
01:58:34.300
they actually care about anything oh tell me why oh i mean come on you know the fact the starting of
01:58:39.360
greenpeace was save the whales these nuclear tests are bad you know right and so a very noble cause
01:58:46.360
taking a boat going to where they're going to blow up a nuclear bomb and right the ocean test ocean
01:58:52.280
based nuclear tests exactly yes and then uh it just turns into okay how do we convince for people
01:58:58.360
to give us more money and now they oppose nuclear power plants sure it's like okay nuclear power plants
01:59:04.200
is green nuclear energy is carbon neutral exactly and it's got i think i think it's the best energy
01:59:10.620
return on energy invested 100 so why don't we have more of these well now the complaint is where do you
01:59:16.220
store it and countries in europe have figured this out you just go you know 10 miles down into the
01:59:21.260
the waste price yeah exactly so you just go 10 miles down and you store it in a nuclear waste like
01:59:25.920
facility basically that's just casing concrete it's bought but and the reality is the amount of nuclear
01:59:31.440
waste i believe that's right the amount of nuclear waste that you would create your entire lifetime
01:59:38.320
would fit inside this pen well per human but i do think the uh modern nuclear generate uh the the
01:59:45.660
the latest generation of nuclear tech is like 99.9 recycled materials oh yeah and then thorium
01:59:51.080
salt reactors are very promising oh wow okay and but it's just maybe this is why a lot of people
01:59:57.340
don't believe in climate change or i should clarify the climate change agenda agenda well i think that's
02:00:01.940
what this this the non-profitism what you mentioned is you need basically more donations you need
02:00:07.780
you need a something to fight against because if you can't if you don't have anything to fight
02:00:11.600
against you don't get donations because you don't get attention yeah so the attention gets you
02:00:15.480
donations non-profits are funny because they are absolutely for profit because think about it
02:00:20.940
non-profits are just paying payrolls to everyone's who's working there the ceos of some of the non-profits
02:00:26.280
are making half a million bucks a year or they're making or more millions they're making plenty of
02:00:30.440
money the corporation is deemed non-profit because you just keep reinvesting but who cares
02:00:35.840
everybody could start a non-profit you know pay yourself a fat salary one of the clever moves that a lot
02:00:41.020
of these non-profits do is you create a 501c3 and a 501c4 uh-huh so uh for those that aren't familiar
02:00:46.760
one is uh the in all the revenue streams are disclosed and it's tax deductible one it is not
02:00:53.060
tax deductible and revenue streams are not disclosed and so what they'll do is they will
02:00:58.540
take the money into the 501c3 uh-huh crap loads of money let's let's call the 501c3 uh let's call it
02:01:06.360
the foundation for accepting greatness into our hearts foundation then you create a 501 uh 501c4
02:01:15.020
called fight for trees you go out you make your phone calls and you say i'm with fight for trees
02:01:22.600
and we would like donations from you but when they fill out the form the donation goes to
02:01:27.980
whatever i said the first one yeah yeah exactly what they can do then is or it might be the other
02:01:33.600
way around too however yeah depending on they might i think a lot of them will have the money
02:01:37.800
go to the 501c4 where they can obfuscate their revenue sure and what they'll say is because we
02:01:42.780
engage in politics and lobbying it's not going to be tax deductible so and they go oh okay right right
02:01:49.600
but if you want us to fight for this then it's worth making the donation yeah the 501c4 or like
02:01:55.920
whatever whatever their front organization their their shadow organization is will make let's say
02:01:59.740
100 million dollars it will then donate to the front-facing organization of course five million
02:02:05.700
five million dollars sure then when it comes to their fundraising they'll say we only brought in
02:02:10.380
five million dollars last year and then get away with it yep man i i used to work these nonprofits and
02:02:16.020
i was just like these people are it's evil a lot of it is just a game and i think that's it's an
02:02:20.700
interesting message that vivek for example is hitting on it's it's you know the climate change agenda is
02:02:26.360
killing more people than climate change i think it's a little extreme what he's saying because i
02:02:29.880
don't know how the agenda is killing people but from a sentiment point of view the sentiment is
02:02:34.760
killing me on the inside because it's just like i think he's right after the way it's set up i think
02:02:39.260
he's right and you got to look at what does he mean with killing people like so economically
02:02:42.860
they're stealing from people i think is the better answer so well so the question is if the economy
02:02:49.020
declines by x percent yes what is the correlated amount of death from a downturn interesting okay okay
02:02:54.900
because of the inflation that you create by supporting these projects that aren't fruitful
02:02:58.340
and therefore now you go into a recession potentially and that leads to death because
02:03:02.020
you've lost your job you turn homeless you get afflicted with drugs and you die okay interesting
02:03:05.960
various things like that or or you know someone gets sick and they can't afford their medicine someone
02:03:09.320
is diabetic okay okay so it's it's it's a long circuitous path yes but if the issue is how many people die
02:03:17.540
from discernible extreme weather events or extreme weather
02:03:21.860
uh that we can actually calculate versus how many people die from the economic ramifications
02:03:26.500
i think i'm i'm i'll say this i don't know if he's correct but what he's saying makes sense
02:03:31.900
yeah that's true it seems intuitive that's that's a good point it's it's it is incredible there's a lot
02:03:38.040
of uh i think there's a lot behind the scenes that would make a lot of folks go oh my gosh what is
02:03:43.080
actually going on here and it's sad but from a practical point of view i think there's little from an
02:03:48.640
individual point of view we're going to do i think from an individual point of view everybody's goal
02:03:52.380
needs to be what can i do to get to uh to not be left behind i think people have to reject
02:04:00.960
the the assumptions yeah you know and a lot of what i get out of our conversation so far is
02:04:05.840
especially with the way these companies are just operating politicians won't change because they want
02:04:10.160
to get re-elected so that means the the what were the plants called that you're talking about
02:04:13.620
oh uh oh the the peaker plants yeah yeah they're not going to get built though they need to be
02:04:18.740
because the politicians want to want an environmental victory would actually cause
02:04:21.860
more environmental problems and the only way anything changes is if a politician actually
02:04:25.420
comes out and says guys it's not good that we're not doing this these are more efficient
02:04:29.220
we have to get from point a to point b or we have to get from a to c and that means stopping at b
02:04:34.140
and there's no other option people have to just say it and break the system and be like i'm not
02:04:38.160
going to play that game but as soon as you say that the billions of dollars from those
02:04:42.540
climate non-profits go into ads going all they want is oil yep don't vote for that person look
02:04:47.880
what oil causes smokestack death but you have to just do it yes because then eventually there's
02:04:53.300
no options and everyone's just saying i don't care what the ads are saying like we're telling you this
02:04:57.320
is the case like we want to improve things truth is really missing a lot in our discourse and i think
02:05:02.840
that's why i i strongly believe that 99 of americans whether they're republican democrat libertarian
02:05:08.760
whatever they can sit together and probably agree on 99 of things and i know it sounds extreme
02:05:14.760
but i really believe most people can sit down at a bar have a realistic conversation and agree on
02:05:20.720
a lot of priorities that we can focus on here's my view of the culture war in my experience which
02:05:26.380
i'm sure will get a lot of backlash from leftists and liberals how do you deal with all that backlash
02:05:31.340
i don't ignore it you okay i go to a bar okay okay and i sit down with a regular person okay and
02:05:37.440
they'll say i hate donald trump and i'll be like fair point you're allowed to you know whatever yeah
02:05:40.840
and we'll talk and i'll say like yo yeah i don't like joe biden and they'll be like why and i'll say
02:05:44.840
here are the legitimate reasons okay you ask the average person i'm not talking about these these
02:05:49.160
bits where people go to times square and find stupid people and ask them oh my gosh yeah right
02:05:52.780
but that's all cut out of context as well i mean that's you know 10 hours of filming down to 10
02:05:56.780
minutes of content and it's the most dramatic stuff of course but that's youtube
02:06:00.020
you look at the political class of commentators and what will you find in the anti-establishment
02:06:06.640
wing the majority is an honest conversation with some grifters okay the other side is majority
02:06:12.160
grifters and sometimes some honest conversation okay wow so that that makes things untenable i guess
02:06:19.680
and and and makes me feel like we're headed towards an inevitable collision because it's almost like
02:06:27.240
uh it's yin yang oh yeah we're looking into the face of what i would describe as uh the banality
02:06:33.480
of evil and abject evil uh example joe biden and burisma okay oh yeah hunter joe biden's on camera
02:06:40.560
saying if you don't fire the prosecutor you're not getting the money yes and i will speak to people
02:06:45.460
who are liberal or leftist and say that never happened and i'm like i'm just gonna get the video
02:06:49.700
for you and play it for you and then you can give me your opinion on it yeah it is a pretty clear
02:06:53.100
implication yeah but you look at some of these prominent personalities and they'll either
02:06:57.120
repeatedly deny its existence it never happened knowingly lying or and that's the abject evil the
02:07:03.460
banality of evil in they just believe msnbc and they won't actually google search it oh interesting
02:07:08.380
you this has been my experience consistently since the culture war became you know front-facing and
02:07:14.620
dominant mainstream i sit down with trump supporters yeah i was i sat down in san francisco in like 2016
02:07:22.080
or whatever with trump supporters for this big dinner and they were like you know come come come
02:07:26.140
come you know we know that you're like a lefty guy you're like bernie but you know we want to talk
02:07:29.020
and i'm like oh i'm always interested to talk sure and they started laughing about the idea of systemic
02:07:33.740
racism and then they were like that's a lie i was like i was like no i think it's real i just think it
02:07:39.900
depends on who you're talking to and how it's being defined and you got to make sure you got a clear
02:07:43.160
understanding of what the what the phrase represents yeah and so i explained to them
02:07:47.000
basically how uh ferguson happened the the long story short is it was rooted in racial covenants
02:07:55.760
barring black people from moving to certain areas sure redlining you know yeah yeah like redlining was
02:08:01.040
uh uh in chicago they said this area the resident companies were like this area specifically where
02:08:05.260
we're going to sell to black people with ferguson you had pruitt i go you had uh government housing
02:08:10.520
poverty the welfare stuff didn't work and so white people moved out of the cities where there
02:08:16.060
was crime and then created small suburbs yes st louis is now comprised of like 90 some odd suburbs
02:08:21.320
it's not a big city it's actually a whole bunch of small cities then they passed a covenant saying
02:08:27.220
nobody can live here anymore like that's it no one's allowed to move in yeah so what ends up happening is
02:08:31.340
you have uh lower income a higher a disproportionate amount of lower income people who are black for
02:08:38.120
historical reasons and when they can't example their taillight goes out and they don't know
02:08:44.100
yeah they're driving from their their home to their place of work 10 miles away and they drive
02:08:48.660
through four different cities yeah you get pulled over pulled over four times yeah and so what i said
02:08:53.580
to these guys is i am not saying any one of those cops are racist those cops don't think they're racist
02:08:58.280
those cops didn't pull that cover for being black but there is a system in place that began in the
02:09:03.560
civil but pre-civil rights era that created a disproportional racial impact the trump supporter
02:09:08.180
guys go oh oh interesting and they're like i see what you're saying but i would disagree with the
02:09:12.960
phrasing because it makes it seem like they're i'm like totally understand totally understand yeah i
02:09:16.280
guess when when people hear systemic maybe they're not thinking of system uh because really what you've
02:09:22.060
described is is exactly true it's it's called the concentration of poverty yeah so uh when you are in
02:09:29.560
poverty you are twice as likely to either commit or be a victim of crime yeah but you are also twice
02:09:36.560
as likely to be a minority specifically black or hispanic in some cases you know so i so i tell these
02:09:42.880
guys i'm like i don't think trump supporters are racist i don't think cops are racist i think there
02:09:47.020
are racists i think there are racist trump supporters absolutely but if you have this system that was built
02:09:51.420
a long time ago and based on racial tension that results in people who have less generational
02:09:57.040
wealth which disproportionately tend to be black absolutely you will end up with more black people
02:10:00.900
experiencing they what happens is they get pulled over four times oh yeah then when they can't pay
02:10:05.160
that bill of course they get arrested for it your license gets suspended and you get arrested because
02:10:08.780
you have to drive to work then you get uh pulled over on a suspended license you knew about it but here's
02:10:12.700
the worst part you get a you get a 50 ticket for a busted taillight yeah you don't pay or your
02:10:17.840
taillight went out you didn't know yeah you get it you you don't you don't pay it because you're like i
02:10:21.700
gotta pay rent food it's poverty then the police show up and say because you didn't pay a moving
02:10:26.900
violation you're getting two days in jail yes it's a my it's a slap on the wrist and you lose your job
02:10:31.400
but when you get out on monday the next city's police department is waiting for you because you
02:10:36.920
owe them 50 bucks you didn't pay because of the fractured system of how there's so many different
02:10:42.720
suburbs and police jurisdictions one violation turns into four and so i'm like now you need to
02:10:47.580
understand how they're perceiving it they're perceiving black people are getting pulled over
02:10:52.180
too much i think it's a class issue and we should try and alleviate the race but my point ultimately
02:10:57.280
is not to rehash that story it's to point out that trump supporters sat down yeah have no problem having
02:11:01.880
that conversation of course listening to what i had to say giving their thoughts on it and then we all
02:11:06.620
smile and eat you know cheeseburgers well and and that's ultimately i think what every reasonable
02:11:10.980
american should be able to do is have that kind of discussion and the reality is when you fall into
02:11:15.860
poverty the first thing people usually do is they have to move to a poor area yeah and then what's
02:11:20.420
in a poor area well the er's are full can't get medical attention the schools are even lower quality
02:11:26.500
and then what happens your children can't get a good job they can't go to college whatever and so
02:11:30.840
then they have to move to a poor area and it just gets worse and worse and worse it's terrible and so
02:11:36.340
ultimately what it brings me the reason i bring the story up is we struggle to get prominent liberals
02:11:41.680
and leftists to come on this or or tim cast i wrote already shows they won't do it uh that's
02:11:46.300
unfortunate uh one thing i respect about vivek is he goes on everything yeah msnbc man the line's done
02:11:51.580
but you know there's a handful of uh liberals and leftists that we're we're we're fans of we like
02:11:56.560
you know i always shout out uh crystal ball and kyle kalinsky they're good people we disagree on like
02:12:00.760
crystal ball uh from breaking points yeah okay yeah she's she's she's great yeah disagree with her a lot
02:12:05.220
of things um but but she's a like she's an honest person you can talk and kyle kalinsky as well
02:12:10.380
but the problem is too many of these uh i think the issue is if you bring in what a prominent left
02:12:18.480
personality yes into an actual conversation like this yeah their entire framework is ripped to shreds
02:12:24.740
and not not for political reasons for issues matters of fact oh wow right so like talking about
02:12:31.300
joe biden in brisbane we had a guy come on tim cast irl and i mentioned yeah but joe biden said
02:12:36.140
you know if he's like trump did a quid pro call i'm like and so did biden biden said if you don't
02:12:40.180
fire the prosecutor you're not getting the billion dollars vice president doesn't have the authority
02:12:42.740
to withhold congressionally approved loan guarantees and he smirks and goes that never
02:12:46.260
happened oh and i'm like hey we're live i play the video for him oh and then he's like oh so
02:12:52.720
people they don't want to come in here and well because then you get ambushed yeah in that sense oh
02:12:56.700
that's really interesting but see that's a problem because then you can't have a real
02:13:00.060
dialogue and then you can't actually figure out well what are the real grievances and what are the
02:13:03.480
real solutions and so then you get the extremism everybody stays on their own echo chamber
02:13:07.220
basically and that's a real big issue because then hate goes up like we had on the chart so uh i got
02:13:12.480
one last question for you please who are you gonna vote for in 2024 oh man you know so it actually
02:13:17.880
really is uh yeah i really i don't know that joe biden's going to make it to the election i agree
02:13:28.200
uh i so you know biden versus trump rematch i i don't actually know that we're gonna see that
02:13:36.320
uh i don't i mean trump's not going to be done with any of his his uh you know prosecutions or
02:13:43.160
whatever all those are going to probably continue throughout the entire election because even if he
02:13:47.000
were found guilty let's say in the georgia thing which is conveniently happening before super tuesday
02:13:51.040
but nobody you know that's obviously not planned um being sarcastic but anyway um any kind of
02:13:58.040
sentencing or whatever even if he were found guilty wouldn't probably happen until after the election
02:14:01.500
so ultimately american voters are going to decide i think you get trump vivek if i had to decide today
02:14:06.620
you get a trump vivek and you probably get uh probably a newsome that would be very would you
02:14:13.060
vote for interesting i i have like like i i don't want to say what i would do because i i don't even
02:14:19.040
know because uh let's put it this way i really hate what newsome has done in california okay and i
02:14:27.660
don't want to see that happen to america i'll say that much and you don't want to vote for trump
02:14:32.860
i i don't want so it look if i if i say what i would vote for and i i honestly i don't think i could
02:14:40.860
say it i think i i have to respect the as much of the impartiality that i try to provide my channel
02:14:47.380
because i truly believe i'm so 51 49 let me put it this way do i really think the trajectory of
02:14:54.400
america is going to substantially change whether it's newsome or trump or vivek probably not yeah
02:15:01.860
because of the way the system of government is set up because our founding fathers really set up
02:15:07.860
our republic to change very little yeah you know i i i absolutely can respect that i think uh
02:15:17.000
abstaining is reasonable to me like i'm not saying you're abstaining i'm saying if someone came to me
02:15:23.320
and said dude i don't want to vote for anybody i'd be like i get it i get it this is a disaster it's
02:15:27.220
all it all sucks but i'll put it this way i'll vote uh and i will provide the i will i will always
02:15:34.640
say you know the pros and cons on each side but you know i i i i don't want to be associated with
02:15:41.180
a side even though obviously i'm of a party i don't have to commit to that party affiliation with
02:15:46.440
how i vote well i think that's good i think uh i think you know when you talk about how you like
02:15:52.400
the things vivek has said or in certain ways or whatever i think we need as much as possible for
02:15:58.600
people who uh you know people who wherever they find themselves especially people who aren't
02:16:05.320
in like hardcore politics what you're doing i think is fantastic just give give people the
02:16:11.220
opportunity not to have to put you in a camp and then you can talk to them and then they can try
02:16:14.420
and make their make their own mind sure you know uh this has been a blast man that was really really
02:16:18.400
awesome good conversation thank you so much you want to shout anything out yeah hey uh i'm meet
02:16:22.860
kevin you can follow me on uh youtube i post about the economy and uh probably i'd say 70 percent of
02:16:29.140
my videos are about stocks the economy the fed what's going on uh how things are changing and
02:16:34.780
then 30 percent i add my political commentary which my finance people are like kevin stop talking
02:16:39.040
politics and i'm like i actually think it's important because i'm a big fan of trying to find
02:16:44.040
that truth and hey like what we showed with the isabel thing or whatever like right what's where's the
02:16:49.740
truth and really ultimately i think everything comes to money at the end of the day because that
02:16:54.340
helps everyone individually succeed so i think it all relates to finance so i'm a finance guy but
02:16:59.380
i'm gonna add my perspective right on man it's been a blast thanks for hanging out thank you
02:17:02.900
appreciate it for uh for all the rest of you uh get tickets to our event in miami if you go to
02:17:06.400
timcast.com the miami event tickets are available right now we got patrick bet david trump jr matt gates
02:17:11.940
me and luke redkowski as well as uh ian crossland will be there we got a pre-show we got an after show
02:17:16.740
we look forward to seeing you there you can follow me at timcast everywhere and uh thanks for hanging
02:17:22.060
out we'll see you tonight at 8 p.m at youtube.com slash timcast irl
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