The Culture War #36 - This May be THE LAST ELECTION w⧸Stephen Marche & Phil Labonte
Episode Stats
Length
2 hours and 35 minutes
Words per Minute
203.5653
Summary
Join hosts Stephen Marsh, Andrew Yang, and Phil Labonte as they discuss the possibility that the next election in the United States may be the last one in the history of American politics. Guest: Author of two books, Stephen Marsh and Andrew Yang The Last Election, The Next Civil War, and The Culture War: What's Next in American Politics? Join the conversation by using the hashtag , and find us on social media using , or to join in on the conversation! Thanks to our sponsor, Betonline Ontario, for sponsoring this episode. BetOnline Ontario is a not-for-profit organization that provides financial assistance to individuals and families in need of financial support to make life better for themselves, their families, and their communities. BetOnline is a leading provider of financial assistance for the elderly, the disabled, and the disabled in Canada and other underserved areas of the country, and is dedicated to providing support to the elderly and disabled with life-support and long-term care, including dental care, medical care, and other forms of post-retiree and post-post-postive care, such as dialysis, for those who are unable to pay for their care, nursing care, or are otherwise unable to support themselves. . as they can t afford to care for themselves and their families. and their loved ones. , as they receive financial support from a loving family member, a free and legal care and support, and support from their employer, a full-time care, from a good provider, a dedicated to their care provider, and so they can enjoy the benefits of a safe and secure future, and access to a high-quality care plan, and enjoy the comforts of a good care provider in a safe, secure and secure retirement option, and receive the benefits that they can access to the care they can afford through a good college education, insurance, and a good life, including insurance, insurance and insurance, including a good medical care plan and a secure retirement plan, as well as access to their own retirement and insurance. The culture war for the future of their future in the 21stance and benefits, and benefits they can receive in the benefits they will be able to access, access, and insurance and access access to, so they will not only to access the services they will receive, but also access the information they need.
Transcript
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2024. This may be the last election. Everybody knows the meme.
00:01:03.300
Tim Pool, and it's the guy with the butterfly, and he says, is this civil war?
00:01:07.920
Because that's me. We talk about it quite a bit.
00:01:10.120
But I do think, while funny as it is, and I love to roll with the punches, it's not entirely fair.
00:01:14.940
I didn't just one day come up with this concept.
00:01:16.760
There have been many much smarter individuals than I who have argued we may be facing another civil war,
00:01:21.900
especially with what we're seeing now politically with legal disputes, legal challenges, and this bifurcated culture in the United States.
00:01:29.320
Yeah, maybe. And this may be the last election.
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Because she came on the show and she said, she doesn't think there's, she said, there will not be another election.
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The argument made was, are you saying that they'll quite literally just have no ballots, no voting?
00:01:45.680
It could be that we get a North Korea-style election where no one just believes it's actually happening.
00:01:52.400
So joining us this morning on The Culture War is the author of two books.
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He's recently written, I think with Andrew Yang, The Last Election, as well as, your other book was The Next Civil War.
00:02:06.460
To help us have a fresh perspective on this, you know, because I'm the Civil War guy.
00:02:17.740
I'm a Canadian writer who wrote a couple of books about what I saw as the crisis facing American politics.
00:02:31.220
I am Phil Labonte, lead singer of All That Remains, very failed musician, anti-communist, and counter-revolutionary.
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So, we talked a long time ago, actually, about your previous book, The Next Civil War.
00:02:51.080
But, I think we agree on, like, basically everything in your book.
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And then I saw that you and Andrew Yang put out another book, The Last Election.
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So, are you saying that 2024 may be our last election in the United States?
00:03:09.040
I mean, Andrew came to me and wanted to talk about this because he's extremely worried about the electoral system, right?
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And its vulnerabilities, the particular vulnerabilities of the American electoral system and its constitution.
00:03:22.960
And along with all the other stuff that we talked about, you know, when I wrote The Next Civil War, like, I was very consciously trying to write stuff that I only felt certain of, which is very hard to do in the American context because everything gets caught up in, you know, flame wars and so on.
00:03:36.560
And I only wanted to write about things that I know.
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And that's why I never ended up writing a chapter on electoral politics, right?
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Because everyone you talk to, you're just trying to triangulate opinions.
00:03:48.820
And everyone has an agenda and you don't actually know how things work.
00:03:51.940
And Andrew came along and said, like, why don't I explain to you how this, how American politics actually works and we'll put it in a thriller.
00:04:02.080
And, you know, to his credit, he, you know, I asked him for two things.
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I said, you know, if I call, you have to return my call.
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Like, yeah, I know you're important and you're out fundraising and stuff like that, but I, you know, I need, I need the information quickly.
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And also I want you and your whole staff and everyone, you know, to tell me the actual truth.
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And that way I figured, you know, whatever happened, I would at least know how American politics works.
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So, so the previous book, The Next Civil War, this is more of like an essay, a description of what's going on and things you've seen.
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And the last election, the book now is actually more, it's a novel, but it's kind of predictive.
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Well, I would describe it as a paranoid political thriller, but accurate, right?
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Where the, like what, what we wanted to write was the most accurate political thriller that's ever been written.
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So we get, like, we just got the absolute sort of core, like even boring details about the mechanics of how an election works, how, and, and, and these systems that, you know, people are always shocked when things fall apart.
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But there's like, if you know why things work and how they work, it comes as no surprise, right?
00:05:04.200
So you've got, so, so again, this is a fictional depiction based on all of these things you've seen and what's currently going on and what you, like, it's kind of like what you feel could, could happen.
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I mean, there's two, there's kind of two aspects to it.
00:05:18.840
So that was like, you know, like I asked Andrew, like, what are the three most important dates in a political campaign?
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Like where I'm trying to plot a novel here, like, what are the dates?
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And he was like, first campaign fundraising report, second campaign fundraising report, third campaign fundraising report, right?
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And you realize talking to him, like, you know, so like, you know, like one guy I talked to was a humanization coach who is an expert.
00:05:40.060
This is a literal human being who is an ex-Broadway actor who goes around the country teaching politicians how to talk like a human being, right?
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Like, and he does some things like, he does things like, he does things like say something and then put a piece of Lego on another piece of Lego.
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Or I'll ask you a question and then I'll throw you a wiffle ball and you catch the wiffle ball.
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And they do all these, and this man does not lack for work.
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No, the reason is that because their job is fundraising.
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So what they do is they go into rooms and they give the same spiel 70,000 times.
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And by the time they've given it the 35,000th time that they're asked the same question and they give an answer, they naturally, like, it's not really their fault, right?
00:06:24.960
And so it was him and, like, you know, I talked to a real live opposition researcher.
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And, I mean, you talk to one of these guys for five minutes, you realize, like, everything I wrote in the next Civil War, not an optimistic book.
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But, like, five minutes talking to this guy, I was like, oh, it's way worse than I thought.
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Like, talking to the oppo researcher, they kept saying, like, you know, I'm trying to plot a book.
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So it's like, okay, when do you release the scandals on this guy?
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And they kept saying, well, like, we unload the book here.
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And then it's like, well, you wait for their fundraising report to come out and then you unload the book on the man.
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And then after a while, I was like, hold on a minute.
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There's a book written on every American politician.
00:07:07.060
And he's like, well, they're illegal to own, but I'll put one up on Google Docs and you can pull it down.
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And it's everyone they've ever sat down next to a party that said something horrible.
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It's every financial transaction they've ever been involved in.
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It's every tweet that could be construed a certain way.
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It's also, there was a part where it was like, this guy dated a female bodybuilder in high school.
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Like, everything that they could smear a guy with.
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And I was like, who in their right, what sensible, decent human being?
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Like, on anyone, on all of us here in this room, right?
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Like, you know, I mean, who in their right mind would do it?
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It's really easy to take things out of their contemporary context.
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I'll give you an example of, in 2016, there was a story in the New York Times.
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There's a video of me where I said, look, if you give me the New York Times or Dave Rubin,
00:08:27.940
And then what happens now is people will take that clip and be like, Tim Pool thinks Dave
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Rubin is more credible than the New York Times when I was making a specific reference to
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That's the kind of thing that can appear in books like this.
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Yeah, it would be like that, except it would be 7,000 of them.
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Like, much more like, well, this is, like, you know, it probably is meaningless, but
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So when I talk to, and the opposition researchers are like the most boring human beings you
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As a Sherlock Holmes fan, I was like, this is the lowest form of Sherlock Holmes that's ever
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Um, however, there's a, I do like in the story where, uh, to use my pop culture references,
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they refer it that he finds the semi-automatic pistols.
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And the, uh, it's, it's Moriarty basically saying war on an industrial level is coming
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And it was this interesting idea that the idea they're giving you is that for, for all
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of us right now, we understand industrialized warfare with machine guns and air raids, but
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before the, the, the industrial revolution, it was much more difficult to make weapons.
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For instance, in, I was reading about researching about civil war weaponry and the, the, the advances
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in, in, uh, rifle technology are, they're like 50 years apart.
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It's like they, they, they use smooth bore muskets for hundreds of years.
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And then once we got to the industrial level, it's just all of a sudden, everyone's got a
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What you're describing with opposition research today seems like the industrialization of
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politics, industrial, like of political lawfare, where it used to be that there was a scandal
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They're, they're going to, they're going to make up anything they have to.
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And everyone is in a heightened sense of like rabbit level, you know, exhilaration and fear.
00:10:31.260
Well, I would say it's, it's partly that, but also the thing that I was amazed by, it's
00:10:35.520
funny, you know, because of course, when you say it out loud, it's totally obvious.
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I just had no idea that it was 12 hours of a politician's day.
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It is gaining attention in order to get money in order to gain attention.
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Like, so it's partly the celebrification of this stuff and the memetic warfare aspects
00:11:02.460
Do you think that's why Trump, Trump was such a unique political figure?
00:11:06.220
And that's not trying to, to have a positive or negative cast on it, but he, do you think
00:11:11.240
that he was different and in a way that, or a different type of politician because of the
00:11:16.920
fact that he, not, not that I know that he did or did not have a book, but do you think
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We got to come up with this, with the oppo research now, when he came down the elevator
00:11:25.220
because it, he, people would, he had, he'd teased it for so long.
00:11:31.140
I'm not saying that there's, I'm not saying that it's not, but it's not correlated together.
00:11:34.580
So when you talk to an oppo researcher, when you talk to an oppo researcher, I brought this
00:11:38.480
I was like, what's the point of scandal anymore?
00:11:40.840
Like, you know, like there was a time I remember, I'm old enough to remember it where George
00:11:44.540
Bush chest, George HW Bush, checking his watch dominated a news cycle for three, four days.
00:11:52.380
When, when the Obama wearing a tan suit that can, that was like a, that was like a news
00:11:58.900
So, you know, it wasn't a news cycle when Obama killed that kid, Abdul Rahman al-Awlaki.
00:12:05.600
So like opposition research very clearly, and they speak of it just this way, is like,
00:12:11.020
you are not looking for the bad things that they did.
00:12:13.720
What you were looking for is the good parts of them that you then sour.
00:12:20.240
It's, there's a, gosh, I can't remember it, but they like, you're not looking for bad
00:12:24.960
You're looking for the best part of people to, and suddenly to make it seem garbage.
00:12:30.340
So it's, it's partly swift boating, but actually what you're doing is you're going into
00:12:36.520
For people that don't know what swift boating is, it was, it was looking at something that
00:12:40.760
He was talking about something for, uh, in, for Vietnam vets, I believe.
00:12:44.240
And they, which was a general, ostensibly a good thing.
00:12:47.020
And they, they turned it around and made it seem like he was against vets, against everybody.
00:12:54.320
Bush was a desert, you know, not a deserter, but like got out of it.
00:12:57.560
Like a, and, um, they managed to turn that, that is opposition research.
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There's no point where like, what they actually should have done from an opposition research
00:14:39.240
point of view is made fun of his hair, made fun of his virility, and made fun of his money.
00:14:49.060
Like that, but they couldn't quite bring themselves to do it.
00:14:53.420
But that's, like, Trump is invulnerable to the kind of opposition research that other
00:15:03.580
I mean, you know, like in so many, he, I mean, it's kind of funny because it's like,
00:15:09.240
is he an innovator or did he just react to a changing world?
00:15:16.680
Like, I think I would be fine with either way, but basically he understood that politics
00:15:24.560
You, you, like he's, he's in the WWE hall of fame.
00:15:27.200
You do, you want to get in the ring with this guy who knows how to hit someone in the back
00:15:29.900
with a, with a folding chair and you've never experienced that.
00:15:41.300
And, and, um, I mean, it's hugely, it's hugely effective.
00:15:44.880
I mean, it was one of the really depressing things talking to Andrew was like, we're figuring
00:15:50.580
And Andrew was just like, look, they have to be celebrities and billionaires.
00:15:54.680
That is, those are the only people who have a chance.
00:16:04.520
If, if you are wealthy and you do not need to make phone calls and make promises, you've,
00:16:10.740
And you still would have to do it, but cause the fundraising thing I learned is like, it's
00:16:15.800
It's that when people give you money, they fight for you.
00:16:19.420
So it's like, it, like it's, it's, it's, it's that when somebody, when you get somebody
00:16:23.620
to give you money, they are invested in you literally.
00:16:26.800
And so that's, that's more part of the political process.
00:16:29.780
It's more psychological than actually about the money then.
00:16:32.040
Well, it's also that you're, um, you're definitely going to vote.
00:16:34.840
I mean, if you gave 250 bucks to somebody, like you're definitely going to go and vote.
00:16:39.120
So it's, it's, but it's the same, it's the same, it's the same cycle of money and attention.
00:16:44.460
Like, so I don't, without spoiling the books, I know it's a novel.
00:16:47.660
Let's, let's, let's walk through the fact-based points of like, what's going to happen next
00:16:52.580
year that could result in this being the last election.
00:16:58.220
Like the, the, the thing that it moves towards is the process in the constitution called the
00:17:04.940
So what, what, what happens, this is, this has happened twice before 1824 and then in
00:17:11.940
a vice presidential candidate in 1828, um, if no one hits the threshold of 270 electoral
00:17:19.360
college votes, what then happens is that it goes to, and for, by January 6th, right.
00:17:25.600
For whatever reason, um, whoever, uh, what happens is it goes to the house and each house
00:17:33.160
has a state delegation that gives, gets one vote for president.
00:17:39.700
Like, because they just, you know, Wyoming, they, they, they have, they have more house.
00:17:46.100
There's, there's different numbers on it, but I mean, it's overwhelmingly in favor of the
00:17:50.520
Um, so this means that by this method, there's also a separate method for picking the vice
00:17:57.240
president through the Senate, which would, you could have a Republican president and a
00:18:01.340
Democrat vice president, which would be, I mean, hilarious, but, um, but you would have,
00:18:07.080
uh, like you would have, so it would goes to the house Republican, it goes to the house
00:18:13.240
And so you have an election, which is constitutional, but which does not reflect either the popular
00:18:21.320
And so what you need for that to happen is a third party candidate with, who takes a
00:18:30.740
I mean, some of the numbers they're showing are pretty like what's in here.
00:18:36.180
Um, and if that happens, it's quite possible that no one at all would reach 270.
00:18:42.040
If you throw into that election denial and you, and faithless electors, which has happened
00:18:47.560
in American history, um, you get an election where the point is that no, it would be constitutional,
00:18:54.720
but illegitimate, IE exactly like elections that you mentioned in North Korea or East Germany
00:19:01.060
There's been a big conversation around, uh, you know, last, last night, a podcast comes
00:19:04.840
Tucker Carlson says he thinks RFK junior pulls votes from Trump.
00:19:07.500
However, I think that's, that's probably not correct based on the conversations we've
00:19:11.840
And I think there's, you know, like 10 polls and seven of them show the inverse actually
00:19:16.060
with, with RFK junior Biden actually sinks a little bit more than Trump, but regardless,
00:19:22.360
My point is this, when we talk about that, the one thing left out is all that really matters
00:19:26.720
is RFK junior wins, maybe one small state or something.
00:19:30.740
Or, or, you know, even gets like, if he's in Maine and he gets some of the, the electoral
00:19:35.720
college votes there that could tip splits at splits, like, you know, this is a fine
00:19:40.920
That you guys have been playing with your elections since 2000, right.
00:19:44.180
Like all it takes is like a tiny little flick to really prevent that from happening.
00:19:49.100
I think Nebraska famously has the split with like the urban and the rural area.
00:19:59.980
It's this patchwork 18th century system, like keeping track of it, even for someone who's
00:20:07.020
like, I'm going to keep track of it for three months.
00:20:14.300
But if RFK wins even a handful of electors and then neither Trump nor Biden or whoever,
00:20:21.280
But if they don't reach 270, then it goes to the delegations like you explained.
00:20:25.840
I couldn't find the number, but there are more Republican states than Democrat states,
00:20:29.400
which, which would result in the Republican candidate winning.
00:20:32.880
It goes back and forth, but there's just an overwhelming like preponderance.
00:20:37.560
The likelihood of it being Republican is, is much higher.
00:20:40.360
And so we had Jen Kueger on last week and I believe he's incorrect in his broader view
00:20:46.420
of this, but the, the general idea he said was the plan for 2020 was to with January 6th
00:20:52.680
was to disrupt the electoral vote count, which would, and, and Mike Pence first, Mike Pence
00:21:03.280
If that doesn't happen, he believed that January 6th, his purpose was to disrupt the
00:21:07.280
count entirely so that they would then say, well, it's got to go to a contingent election.
00:21:11.040
I don't, I don't think there was a plan, uh, at, at least any high level.
00:21:16.260
I don't think they knew what a contingent election was.
00:21:21.480
I think a lot of these people were just, I mean, if you look at it, they were winging
00:21:24.220
it, like on a wing and some insane demand that they were like, what the hell are we
00:21:29.840
I mean, that it was, you know, there, there's one guy who's going to jail now for, uh, like
00:21:37.800
What is, what is, we did it in the 1600s, perhaps occupying a building meant you are now in
00:21:44.960
Um, but if Mike Pence did say, I think, I think it was like even one state, if he said
00:21:52.580
the state legislature of this state has disputed their election and it is currently in litigation,
00:22:02.840
Well, technically I think it'd be a little harder because the contingent election has
00:22:08.440
Like the, the electoral, the college vote has already, had already happened.
00:22:13.040
It's like, if they're, if, so like, the January 6th is just the certification, right?
00:22:21.620
So like on January 6th, if he had done that, it wouldn't have made any difference because
00:22:24.680
the certificate legally, because the certification has already happened.
00:22:27.740
So if the decertification does not arrive for any reason by January 6th, then it goes into
00:22:34.860
a contingent election, but it has to take place on that date.
00:22:37.820
The U S electoral system is, is both chaotic and incredibly specific.
00:22:44.800
Like, so it's, you know, it's not like they can in Canada, if something happens like this,
00:22:48.460
you just have another election in four weeks and that's it.
00:22:52.020
I mean, but you can't, you, you have no mechanism for doing that.
00:22:56.820
I think it was Ian last night in Timcast IRL said, we don't need to rush elections.
00:23:02.220
Like if there's an issue, I don't see a problem with being like, okay, hold on guys.
00:23:06.500
This one's going to take a little bit longer to figure out.
00:23:10.600
Everything here is like, no, it must be this day.
00:23:15.000
The U S constitution is a seriously problematic document.
00:23:19.780
The constitution of course it is intentionally.
00:23:23.540
Well, I mean, look, it's a work of great genius, but it's a work of 18th century genius and we're
00:23:28.640
living in the 21st century and it doesn't, and like, like this part of this part of this
00:23:37.180
Just to be clear, like U S constitution is a work of genius.
00:23:40.840
Like I'm not, I think you're completely right, but it's just, it's just an antiquity.
00:23:44.320
The pushback that you, that you are going to get from people that are, that believe in
00:23:49.460
the constitution or that are, that favor the constitutional system is not so much that there
00:23:54.120
are not things that could be better in the constitution.
00:23:57.280
It's that if you allow someone to try to change it, they're going to change it in a way that
00:24:02.860
takes power away from the States and centralizes it.
00:24:06.200
And that the whole point of the constitution is not to centralize power.
00:24:09.220
But the constant, I would say the issue is the constitution can be amended.
00:24:13.960
And so Jefferson said, if you, if a constitution lasts longer than 19 years, it's a contract
00:24:21.460
He said like, if you need to change it every 20 years, like Canadian constitution was written
00:24:26.560
We could all read it in this room and know exactly what it means.
00:24:30.060
The argument, the argument was because the people that signed the constitution have passed
00:24:35.440
So that means that the people that exist now didn't have any say in it.
00:24:40.120
So you can't say that it's a contract with the people because the people that exist today
00:24:48.120
And there's, there's validity to that argument.
00:24:50.460
You're, you're, you're in the, you're living with ghosts now.
00:24:56.020
Like, like some of the greatest geniuses that have ever lived, but it's still ghosts.
00:25:01.200
And like, I, I, and this, this extremely, this jalopy of an electoral system, like this
00:25:09.100
like patched together, like it is very vulnerable.
00:25:15.120
Like, I don't know if it's 2024, but I mean, all signs point to like a lot of weakness.
00:25:26.080
The last election was, was 2020 or 2000 or exactly.
00:25:31.700
We've had this, we've had this discussion and it's, is the last election 2024 or are
00:25:37.020
we already at the point where with 2020, the dispute, well, hold on.
00:25:39.920
There was also challenges to the 2016 election.
00:25:46.720
And I, I'm a little kid for that, but the point is at, at a certain point, I mean, to
00:25:56.260
A council determined who was going to be president because there was a dispute.
00:25:59.360
But yeah, we, we've, we've long had these disputes and then the machine gets mechanized.
00:26:03.500
But I think in, in, in, in fairness to what we're actually trying to argue, the contemporary
00:26:12.960
And for the next several years, they accused Trump of being a Russian spy or a Russian agent
00:26:20.600
Uh, and it resulted in hobbling the Trump administration in certain ways.
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I think it's fair to say two things can be true at the same time.
00:28:02.800
Like, I'm not going to disagree with that, but he was hobbled by, could he fire Comey
00:28:07.520
and could he change things that a president should normally change?
00:28:14.240
When he tried withdrawing troops from Syria, his advisors, the commanders lied about the
00:28:19.480
troop presence, lied to the American people, kept, that's insane to me.
00:28:23.460
And so if we're talking about the last election or whether or not we're in a civil war, we
00:28:28.100
need to consider the context from 2016 onward and probably before, like you mentioned 2000.
00:28:33.520
Well, I think the context from like elite institutional forms, like every, see, it's
00:28:39.980
so funny coming from another country because like in every other country in the world, there's
00:28:44.280
a civil service that is, has, has the power, right?
00:28:49.160
And the politicians, they run the country, the politicians come in, they can change the
00:28:53.420
civil service, but it's like steering a massive ship, right?
00:28:57.280
And in a, you know, I remember the reason I wrote the next civil war, honestly, is because
00:29:01.500
I was in Washington for the 2016 inauguration and a journalist calls me at like two in the
00:29:06.120
morning and says like, Hey, come to this party in Georgetown.
00:29:10.900
So like I go out to this guy's house and it was some like low level bureaucrat from FDA
00:29:18.160
Like, you know, the kind of guy who's like responsible for the price of wheat in 2080.
00:29:22.780
Like, like, like, like plan, like analysis, annoying type of bureaucrat, like the most innocuous.
00:29:29.120
And keep us alive, like very annoying, but keep us alive.
00:29:32.040
And he taken his chair and he had all the presidential pictures, like the big presidential
00:29:44.100
That's when I knew like all the other stuff, like the American carnage speech, all that
00:29:50.420
Like, let's start to think about this deep structures of this, because like you can get
00:29:55.540
go without politicians, but without a bureaucracy, without a civil service, you're like things
00:30:03.520
But my point is with the electoral stuff, the problem is that no one believes that a legitimate
00:30:11.200
So from 2016, probably, I think 2016 is really the marker where it's like, they don't actually
00:30:22.260
It didn't like, but on the other hand, it's like, you know, this, like we, we understand
00:30:27.000
that sometimes mistakes happen, popular vote, but 2016 people were like, this was illegitimate.
00:30:32.340
I think 2020, the right, I mean, still, they still believe it's illegitimate.
00:30:35.880
Considering, considering Barack Obama was clearly the winner in 2008 and 2012, like clearly America
00:30:41.380
was generally like this, the center and, and the left were very unified, very, very pro-Obama.
00:30:48.880
So I think that, that because of that, 2016 is probably the most, it's, it's, it's probably
00:30:54.200
more accurate to say 2016 was when, when it really fell apart.
00:30:57.520
Here's the point I wanted to make 2016 election in dispute.
00:31:01.380
Donald Trump as the commander in chief of the armed force of the United States wants
00:31:09.800
The, his hit, the people beneath him who are, who are instructed as per our constitution
00:31:14.260
and the laws of this land lied to him to keep troops in a foreign country and lied to
00:31:25.020
To me, there's, it's perfectly natural that there'd be a tension between an executive and
00:31:34.840
Like, certainly, certainly that like people, like whoever is the leader of Germany, what
00:31:39.600
he thinks about all day is why won't these people do what I'm telling them to do.
00:31:43.660
But the president of the United States is elected by the people to be the commander in
00:31:50.700
Listen, I just think you're, when you're dealing with large scale institutions, there's
00:31:54.780
just all like, you can call that a coup, but actually what that is, is just a natural
00:31:59.400
tension between an executive and a bureaucracy.
00:32:02.360
When, when Trump, as the commander in chief says, American forces out and they say, you
00:32:08.420
They have defied the direct order of the duly elected president.
00:32:11.740
Now I'm not saying that's a hard coup where the military storms and seizes power.
00:32:15.420
That is, that is coup-ish where elements of the military have begun to defy the civilian
00:32:21.440
The military doesn't, the military doesn't have the leeway.
00:32:24.520
No one in the military has the leeway by the book to say, we're not going to do what
00:32:33.640
So like, but this is also the premise of the book.
00:32:36.020
Like that there's a military, like it's not necessarily a coup.
00:32:39.340
It's just that like what happens with the military in, this happens all the time in
00:32:43.300
countries falling apart in countries in civil war.
00:32:46.100
Is it, is it the, um, the only institution that everyone approves of is the military.
00:32:53.340
And I mean, in America, that's just extreme now.
00:32:55.900
I mean, like no one, no one has any respect for the Supreme court.
00:33:01.680
Well, they're the last one standing in this, in this decline of, uh, faith in institutions,
00:33:06.920
decline of faith in the media, decline of faith in the church, right.
00:33:12.660
Like, you know, that is the mega trend from, from, you know, from the, you're born in what?
00:33:19.400
You're almost exactly the point where the decline of faith in institutions begins.
00:33:23.540
Like your whole life has been a decline of faith in institutions.
00:33:30.740
Like it explains a lot, but the, um, I mean, I was, uh, I was 13.
00:33:39.140
And then you would have been, how you would have been 20, uh, 22 in, uh, in the 2008 crash.
00:33:46.940
Where suddenly the financial system is a rave game.
00:33:52.560
Well, I voted for Obama and regretted almost immediately.
00:33:54.640
These, these are the effects that these collapses have.
00:33:57.640
Um, but you know, what we're, so you're right that it's sort of take it slower, but the,
00:34:05.220
They're in a very, very difficult position and I don't, I, and you know, they swore an
00:34:10.340
I think they take it with absolute massive seriousness.
00:34:16.640
Are you familiar with the coup attempt in Turkey several years ago?
00:34:24.780
So this, this may be at the time outdated because I've not followed up on it, but the general
00:34:29.680
idea is, I remember I'm, uh, I was in some city, I'm doing some interview and we get word
00:34:33.780
that the Bosphorus bridge has been occupied by a, by a coup force under certain leaders.
00:34:39.180
A story that emerged, uh, was that these young men who served, served in the Turkish armed
00:34:45.480
forces were given a lawful order to defend the Bosphorus bridge from a terror attack.
00:34:54.000
Then they were mercilessly beaten and dragged to the street by civilians because it was reported
00:34:58.640
these people were attempting to stage a military coup against Erdogan.
00:35:02.720
So the argument is in the United States, what may happen?
00:35:06.020
And a lot of people are like, you really think that the armed forces are going to go and round
00:35:12.080
Or what could happen is that there will be a simple lawful order that does not raise alarm
00:35:17.020
bells for any like lower, lower ranking enlisted guy.
00:35:20.200
And they say, we're getting reports of a potential riots to the national guard.
00:35:24.120
We're going to have you guys deployed to the streets.
00:35:25.580
And then a bunch of national guardsmen come out, surround a building.
00:35:28.720
Cause they're like, I guess we're here to defend it.
00:35:30.320
And then the news reports national guard stages coup attempt.
00:35:33.680
And these guys are all, everyone points the finger at them and it could be a mistake.
00:35:37.460
It could be intentional, but the idea is you don't need national guardsmen or military
00:35:45.280
They won't know what they're doing is the coup when they're given a lawful order.
00:35:49.000
Well, I mean the first chapter of the next civil war, I talked to the Colonel responsible
00:35:53.960
for drawing, drawing up, they call it full spectrum operations in the homeland.
00:35:57.980
So that's when, you know, they are, they absolutely have, I mean, they have a plan for everything,
00:36:06.680
They have a plan for, yes, you know, they have a plan.
00:36:09.240
There's no contingency plan that they don't have.
00:36:14.180
I mean, when you need the water, you probably will come, but the, uh, but the, uh, but you
00:36:23.720
Well, when 12, I think, Oh no, you never had a chance.
00:36:33.140
I think we took Montreal for a little bit, but you burned Toronto, Toronto in 1814.
00:36:40.740
Uh, well in this, in, I mean, in the first civil war, um, the Lincoln's, uh, department
00:36:46.900
of war had, you know, they said, well, we have this army.
00:36:49.860
Why don't we march North and take Canada first?
00:36:52.400
That's why Canada was on the side of the South, the whole of the civil war.
00:36:57.300
Because it was like, they, they made a casual remark and that, that, that event is why we
00:37:06.780
We were a bunch of colonies, like sprinkled across the Northern part of North America.
00:37:11.380
And then Lincoln's minister of war was like, should we go take Montreal?
00:37:15.900
And we were like, we better get our ducks in a row.
00:37:18.880
Like it's time to actually get this shit together.
00:37:30.120
Like, yeah, they were, I mean, it was just national interest, right?
00:37:33.980
Economically, it made more sense for the British side of the South.
00:37:36.260
They, the, the cotton from was absolutely necessary to the, the mills in, in, so.
00:37:42.920
How many times does America have to kick England's butt?
00:37:51.940
It makes sense for the British side of the South because it splits the United States.
00:37:56.140
Well, I mean, I don't think they were thinking it was true.
00:37:57.940
I mean, they weren't anywhere near that sophisticated.
00:38:02.060
But the, but the point is like in these scenarios where the military is the last holder of value.
00:38:09.020
I mean, that's where you get really nightmare scenarios for the, for the military, right?
00:38:14.400
Like they're faced with choices that are extremely bad.
00:38:17.820
I mean, that's the, that's the point of this book and the point of, of, of the next civil war is
00:38:23.480
like, it's not to think about this as like good guys, bad guys.
00:38:26.440
It's like, actually what you're dealing are people who are faced with terrible choices
00:38:31.400
Do you, uh, did you, did you ever read about what happened in Egypt with the first and second
00:38:37.360
The, uh, scary thing is, and again, well, I read some of it, but I don't know what.
00:38:41.120
It's been a very long time since I've been involved.
00:38:43.100
Uh, uh, everybody knows, I bring it up quite a bit that I was there.
00:38:48.120
I think it was like July 4th even, which is kind of crazy, but, um, like Tahrir Square,
00:38:53.040
I was, uh, I was over, I was actually watching the revolution take place, the Apaches flying
00:38:59.380
So what happens is you have a country ruled by the military for a very long time.
00:39:07.720
Majority of the country is secular and they do not want Islamic rule or theocracy.
00:39:12.940
What happens then is they say, let's have an election.
00:39:15.920
There are like 10 different parties, nine of which are secular.
00:39:21.220
In a first past the post voting system, whoever gets the most votes wins, the Muslim brotherhood
00:39:26.660
Everyone else gets nine and then the Muslim brotherhood wins.
00:39:30.120
So they, a year later, another revolution take place, takes place against the Muslim brotherhood.
00:39:35.200
Once again, it looks like the Muslim brotherhood is going to win the elections.
00:39:39.100
Even ousting the president is not going to change the fact the largest voting bloc is Muslim.
00:39:43.820
So the military goes and starts executing and massacring Muslims.
00:39:46.880
They start going to where these protests are happening and just gunning people down.
00:39:50.960
Because the military's thought was this country will never stabilize so long as this group
00:39:56.860
So they decide for the sake of the 80%, we're going to shut down violently and oppressively
00:40:06.700
But also like the number one, like when you look at the metrics, the number one cause,
00:40:11.180
the number one attribute that leads to having a coup is that you have to get ready for a
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00:41:44.140
Like, and the more that you have them, the more that you're likely to have them.
00:41:48.520
Because people see it and they understand it as a political choice, right?
00:41:51.720
But so that's not, that's not really what's, that's not on the cards for the United States,
00:41:56.520
Like that's not something like civil war is, but civil war is.
00:42:03.760
And so it is absolutely built into the DNA of the country to have, to have these kinds
00:42:11.440
And, but you know, the role of the military won't be, you know, taking the other side
00:42:17.320
That's not, that's not the, that's, I just don't see, you know, as pessimistic as some
00:42:22.960
of this stuff is, that's just very, on the extreme edge of unlikelihood.
00:42:27.680
What is much more likely is that they're in a constant struggle to impose order on a country
00:42:37.140
Yeah, that would be the worst, or between Ireland and Syria, right?
00:42:40.280
I'm not sure what you're talking about with Ireland.
00:42:42.700
Yeah, like where, I mean, you know, Syria would be the ultra worst where, you know, you're
00:42:48.440
So wait, our best case scenario is the troubles.
00:42:53.260
We don't have actual combat in the street though.
00:42:55.200
We don't have gunfights in the street over politics.
00:42:57.980
Nah, I'm talking about like, I'm talking about high level gunfights.
00:43:01.360
And I understand there have been fights where people, you know, people are throwing
00:43:04.340
Molotovs and stuff, but I'm talking about dudes actually like setting up L-shaped ambushes
00:43:10.720
White power people go into black churches and kill everybody in the name of, in the
00:43:19.620
And real quick for the people screaming partisanship, I think we'll just also bring up the trans
00:43:31.000
But what, the point that I'm making is that's still different between like militarized
00:43:35.500
units making actual attacks on like a police station to kill everybody and take the, the
00:43:45.860
Is the difference due to, we are not there yet?
00:43:50.740
Or is it due to a shift in tactics and warfare?
00:43:53.000
So we've had police stations boarded up like in the, the, the Chaz shop.
00:43:57.660
They, they, they shut that police station down and they opened fire and killed, like they,
00:44:01.460
they unloaded rifles on, on, on an SUV killing, I believe killing two teenagers may have been
00:44:07.760
And then you also have police people not wearing badges going out to fight.
00:44:11.400
Like these are like, you're right that it's not the IRA versus the, the, um, the English
00:44:18.480
Like that's, that's not what you have here, but like you have, it's called stochastic
00:44:25.760
It's fundamentally just a shift in the whole culture.
00:44:27.880
And I want to clarify real quick too, with the troubles, you have occupation, you have
00:44:32.620
the British are in Northern Ireland in Seattle.
00:44:35.760
It is dominated by a left, left-wing worldview in Miami, for instance, clearly dominated by a
00:44:47.360
People will say things like civil war, Tim, why don't you go outside and talk to someone?
00:44:54.340
I did, but hold on, do you think during the civil war, right before the civil war started
00:44:59.800
a guy who walked out of his door in Atlanta and talk to his neighbor would conclude a civil
00:45:05.740
He'd go to his neighbor and be like, Hey, what do you think about all this?
00:45:10.540
The issue is Seattle and Miami are worlds apart from each other physically and ideologically.
00:45:17.400
So you're not going to get the troubles because Miami is not occupying Seattle, but you are
00:45:25.620
And what I think people misunderstand about a potential civil war, they think state, state
00:45:33.200
That's not, that's certainly not anything that I, like the experts that I talked to, that's
00:45:37.060
not what we're, that's not what we're talking about.
00:45:39.660
Like we're, we're talking about like the delegitimization of the political process, the rise of violence
00:45:44.880
The classic method of like trying to tamp down violence by over overarching state control,
00:45:54.840
And which, and that is a process that's been played out, you know, literally dozens and
00:46:06.240
We, we, uh, we've known for a while that there are militias on the Southern border.
00:46:09.380
They've been around for a long time, but now a video just came out and it gave me that
00:46:13.540
sinking feeling the, just one, I get like five videos a day that could be a sinking.
00:46:18.920
But this one in particular, uh, I think it's Texas set up razor wire barriers to stop illegal
00:46:26.460
The federal government came in and got a, a, uh, uh, uh, uh, a backloader to lift the razor
00:46:34.340
wire up and to allow hundreds of people to illegally enter the country.
00:46:38.580
This is there, there, there is no way it doesn't matter what your perspective is on.
00:46:43.540
Is on immigration or otherwise, if the state law in the state is saying, we say, no, it's
00:46:50.780
And the federal government says, we don't care what you're doing.
00:46:53.280
We're subverting your, your state sovereignty violation of the federal laws too.
00:46:57.680
You know, well, you know, this is something that's, it's happening slower.
00:47:00.920
Like, I don't know about this particular example, but like one of the things that's happening,
00:47:05.420
it truly is bipartisan is that states are using their resistance to the federal authority
00:47:14.760
And that's, that's equally true in California as it is for Texas, as it is for Florida, um,
00:47:24.160
I mean, that is like, that is, I mean, for everyone, like you were, you were dealing with,
00:47:29.140
um, where you have this, you know, and you have things like who was the attorney general
00:47:39.480
Uh, I forget his name, but he, like, he had to go to California and say to them, you know,
00:47:46.720
Like we are like, and they did change it, but like, it is, it is one of those things where
00:47:51.520
it's like, where do you, it's so shallow, this thinking, like it's so shallow, this thinking.
00:47:57.280
It's like you, you, you have to, if you don't have a basic solidarity, you're not going
00:48:03.360
And this is a really good example of the, the various sanctuary ideas that are popping
00:48:07.320
But the point I wanted to make, uh, with the militias, when you have the state of Texas
00:48:11.740
saying by our laws and our borders, be it so, and the federal government in violation
00:48:16.300
of its own laws and the state uses the border patrol to act as the inverse.
00:48:24.840
My fear is it only takes five guys with weapons to go down there and say, if you won't do
00:48:35.060
Oh, well, what happened when you have a situation where you don't know what the law is, but
00:48:41.580
there is no, well, there's no, like when you don't have a legitimate Supreme court, this
00:48:49.020
This is what happens in, this is what happens in Brazil and Argentina and these places like
00:48:56.860
I definitely want to talk about the courts too, but real quick on this point, uh, we
00:49:02.800
You, you, if you want to come to this country, you file the paperwork, you go through a process.
00:49:06.780
If Texas is trying to uphold the law and the federal government is actively subverting
00:49:11.100
the law, you are going to get people in Texas saying outright, the state is illegitimate.
00:49:17.480
And that's when you get people who, what happens is you get the effect, the political equivalent
00:49:22.360
of God is on my side, the people you're, you, you, wasn't it Abbott who had the, uh, what
00:49:27.080
was the, what was the thing where they called in the militia against, um, uh, military exercises
00:49:34.260
It was like in 2014, was it called really the conspiracy theory?
00:49:39.260
We're like, they called in the national, the Texas national guard against military activities
00:49:48.400
Um, but it was like, you know, the idea was, but the, the Texas governor was saying, this
00:49:54.720
is a, this is the federal government coming to take away Texas sovereignty in a massive
00:49:59.580
And it was like, this was before this was, I mean, this was before I did it.
00:50:08.040
Hysteria over Jade Helm exercise in Texas was fueled by Russians.
00:50:12.560
Like this is a, this was a, this was a misinformation, um, like, and then when you, you know, pour
00:50:18.480
that on, then you just get that, you just get this unbelievable tension, right?
00:50:23.360
Which is, um, which is, you know, just not sustainable.
00:50:27.100
Uh, I, I think we are, we are nearing the point where all courts are basically illegitimate
00:50:34.680
Well, but, but the first thing people didn't understand is people really need to watch civil
00:50:42.460
It really is supposed to be a judge as a neutral arbiter hearing arguments and then deciding
00:50:52.380
You watch a trial and the judge is like, what do you, what do you mean by a 5%?
00:50:57.460
Like are you, you're talking about on the revenue and the guy goes, yeah, yeah.
00:50:59.960
I'm saying when he agreed to this contract and the judge goes, well, how do you respond
00:51:06.700
But now what's happening is with the hyper-partisan split, you are getting judges who are saying,
00:51:12.580
my worldview is clearly on one side or the other, and they're going to issue their ruling
00:51:18.180
And the other side is going to be like, how could you possibly think that?
00:51:23.240
And when this begins to happen, that's the, that's the, like when you look at something
00:51:29.680
like the history of Chile, like that is what happened, right?
00:51:33.900
Like it's like slowly, and then people start to lose faith in other systems.
00:51:37.560
And then it just becomes, it just becomes like my family versus your family, right?
00:51:42.640
Like, I mean, it, it becomes, it becomes really on that basis.
00:51:47.040
And, you know, I remember having a friend who came back from living in Saudi Arabia for like,
00:51:54.000
And I said, what did you miss most about living in Canada?
00:51:57.320
And he, and like, I expecting like, you know, maple syrup or some shit, right?
00:52:01.760
Or something, you know, like I missed a hockey or something, right?
00:52:08.740
He said, you know, if you're driving and you hit the wrong person in Saudi Arabia, even
00:52:12.420
if it's not your fault, like you're, you're done.
00:52:15.480
If you're a woman and you get raped, you go to jail for having sex out of marriage.
00:52:19.660
And when you like the ultimate luxury, the ultimate heritage that we have been passed
00:52:25.220
down by our forefathers and foremothers is equality under the law.
00:52:29.760
When that is gone, you are, you are just in anarchy.
00:52:34.100
So 2020, uh, isn't the first, but I believe it was a gigantic spike through the heart of
00:52:41.320
this nation in terms of how the courts handled the election.
00:52:44.140
The, uh, so, well, I mean, there was a many, many spikes for sure, but that was one of
00:52:51.380
So you have all of the lawsuits filed by the, by the Trump campaign and Trump campaign allies.
00:52:57.880
You get the media lying about what happened and many of the courts ruling on standing,
00:53:03.980
It doesn't matter if you think Trump is right or wrong.
00:53:10.180
So the courts don't have to take responsibility.
00:53:12.040
This was a big problem with the case of Texas v.
00:53:20.540
Suing over whether or not states were in violation of the constitution and how they handled their
00:53:25.100
elections because their own constitution, their own constitutions.
00:53:29.160
The argument being courts and executive branches altered the rules of an election in this state
00:53:34.400
where the constitution says only the state legislature can do this.
00:53:38.000
The argument from Texas being if Pennsylvania's election is not sound, then their votes should
00:53:43.960
There's a dispute here that needs to be answered.
00:53:45.420
I mean, this is the end of the Supreme court said, we don't care and refused to hear a,
00:53:51.740
what's called original jurisdiction state versus state saying, answer this constitutional question.
00:53:59.500
And the reason they didn't is because they were afraid of having to, to find in Donald
00:54:05.840
Trump's favor or against him or against, they, they did not want to, they didn't want to
00:54:11.000
They could have taken the case and said, Trump's wrong, but only Thomas and Alito said, we have
00:54:19.940
And everyone else said, we don't want to be involved in this.
00:54:22.120
But I mean, I think the problem here is that those rules are just being eroded, right?
00:54:27.500
And the faith in those rules is just being eroded.
00:54:30.160
I just like, it's not like it's being lawyered to the grand, the most digital, but it's not
00:54:35.500
just a question of like, lawyering is not the problem.
00:54:37.940
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Like, and it's not, and it's like, it's not, it's not like, this is the thing.
00:56:14.380
It's easy to get angry and it's easy to get like, you did this and you did that.
00:56:19.060
But like, actually the problem here is that these systems mean that no one feels like their
00:56:27.460
Like, conservatives keep sending Republicans to Washington to change it and it doesn't
00:56:35.300
And then they go, and then they go, and then they get really angry and they blame, but
00:56:39.440
it's like, the lesson here is that no one is getting, no one is actually having influence.
00:56:45.800
I mean, this is what, this is what, like Andrew explained, he betrayed his political class.
00:56:53.180
And when you look at the, and when you look at the influences, you look at the, the incentives
00:56:58.000
for people, there's just no incentive to actually listen to the public.
00:57:03.220
I want to clarify too, as to what, at least my view is, and then I don't know if you
00:57:07.300
agree or not, but the constitution, as you mentioned earlier, a work of genius, but 18th
00:57:13.420
The core ideas of why we did it and the ideas behind it are correct, but we have way more
00:57:20.520
We have tremendously different systems of, of communication.
00:57:25.800
Just the final thought is, it doesn't mean, I'm not saying the constitution is wrong or
00:57:29.640
I'm just saying the perspective of it is rooted in with, it doesn't take into consideration
00:57:45.140
What is the constitution that they make look like to you?
00:57:48.460
So what is the, what are the principles that actually unify the United States today, right
00:57:56.000
Honestly, think about the fact that you're stunned by that question.
00:58:00.520
Anti-war is probably, uh, no foreign intervention is probably going to pull the highest.
00:58:06.980
Like I think everyone in America, you don't think so.
00:58:08.960
No, I know that you can't even agree on the first amendment.
00:58:15.380
You can't even agree on rule number one of the bill of rights.
00:58:18.040
So for the, for the past 10 years, the, the cult, the, the start of the culture war in
00:58:24.260
I'll give you the Twitter example, because this is the one I was involved in with Jack
00:58:29.020
Twitter says, if you misgender someone, we will ban you from this platform permanently.
00:58:35.000
Because conservatives, if you go to someone who's biologically male and say, she, you've
00:58:41.060
If you go to someone who says, call me she, but you don't, you've misgendered them to distinct
00:58:48.500
Free speech would argue you guys decide, just keep it respectful.
00:58:55.240
You got people on the left would post pictures of wood chippers for the Covington kids and people
00:59:01.340
on the right would get banned for saying, hashtag learn to code.
00:59:03.520
The left perspective in this country was, if it is hurtful, it's not free speech.
00:59:11.580
It's one of the things that's fascinating to me about watching American politics.
00:59:14.760
I mean, it does bleed into Canada, but it's not anywhere near as intense as how the left
00:59:19.800
comes up with ideas and then the right takes them on and just take like book banning in
00:59:28.980
And then the right took it on and was like, let's do this for real.
00:59:32.760
Like let's, let's start to ban all these books.
00:59:39.000
There are real examples like to kill a mockingbird.
00:59:40.820
I actually want to like, let's get back to like, because I actually want to, I'm fascinated
00:59:45.580
This is now the question that I think might follow this one.
00:59:53.100
We all understand that like this system is just not functioning.
00:59:55.700
And like, you know, you can have your pride in the constitution.
00:59:59.560
Like I, I get why you would want to stand behind it, but it just doesn't work.
01:00:05.880
And if you're telling me that you can't even agree on freedom of speech, how are you
01:00:13.100
Uh, it, the, the, what is commonly referred to as the right in the United States is pro
01:00:18.360
free speech, even for people who they don't like or, and don't agree with the left is opposed
01:00:25.320
You're that's it's some and some, listen, I've met these people, but actually there's
01:00:30.340
a huge majority right in the middle who actually believes exactly what you said before disagreements
01:00:37.540
Like it'd be a decent human being, but you're allowed to say whatever the hell you want.
01:00:40.340
And that's the, that is 80% of the United States.
01:00:43.460
There's 10% on either side who, who, who think I think those people should be annihilated.
01:00:49.240
I think that, but look, look, look, there are extremists on both sides.
01:00:52.060
Fact, but it is the dominant left-wing view of suppression and the dominant right-wing view
01:00:58.260
That's, I mean, I just, I think if you look, I think if you look at the government actions,
01:01:02.220
if you look at government, if you look at like Florida's take on, on, on book, I mean,
01:01:15.040
You're talking about selecting what will and will not go into a library.
01:01:22.360
Things, but this is why I was getting into the granular element of what is book banning
01:01:26.760
because what you were saying is children should have access to access to adult content.
01:01:31.140
Well, what I would say, I mean, what I genuinely believe is, um, I mean, I believe in letting
01:01:38.780
I don't think 12 year olds should learn about blowjobs.
01:01:42.060
You think you should, you think they should have a book.
01:01:46.200
I, I mean, I, well, just like someone as a, like as a parent, like, I mean, I think hiding
01:01:51.200
information from children, like we're, let me tell you something.
01:01:54.680
Adults are not smart enough to know what children need to know.
01:01:58.360
And also if you hide information from them, they find it, they just find it in a different
01:02:03.060
Well, so this is a big, this is a practical question.
01:02:05.480
It's not a question of like morality or anything like that.
01:02:09.160
Well, I mean, morality is a very little interest to me.
01:02:12.080
So, so the, the issue is it's not about, oh, the right, the right has decided to ban
01:02:17.420
The right is upholding a very basic moral standard that's been in this country for a long time.
01:02:22.900
For instance, in, uh, I mean, I have no interest in morality, left or right.
01:02:26.920
Like morality is nothing more blinding than moral clarity.
01:02:31.260
I'm not saying you have to, I'm saying this is a, this is a core component in what's ripping
01:02:37.360
So we have a book over here called this book is gay, right?
01:02:39.920
A teacher had the police called on her because the book explains how to use grinder.
01:02:45.920
And she was instructing 10 to 12 year olds on how to use a gay adult dating app.
01:02:49.600
Well, if children were to use that app, they'd be not only in violation of the terms of the
01:02:53.200
yet, but they would be engaging in not themselves, but illegal activity with those adults.
01:03:00.780
Every kid who has a phone has access to the sum total of all grossness of information.
01:03:07.080
But hold on, my point is like an actual book is probably better for them than if they go
01:03:13.580
But my point is not what the kids should be doing.
01:03:15.740
My point is the distinction between the left and the right.
01:03:17.400
In this country, up until the advent of the internet, if a child walked into an adult
01:03:22.160
bookstore and the person who ran the store, let them in, they would be criminally charged
01:03:26.300
When the internet comes out, we see the emergence of what we would describe as the modern left
01:03:34.100
The traditional American position has for hunt for the past, you know, a hundred years
01:03:37.880
has been do not give kids access to contraband because they're not ready for it or for whatever
01:03:44.600
See, listen, I think it's the same to me now, you know, I, I am somewhat of an outsider
01:03:50.840
here, but like the same thing is happening where it's like, um, you know, where they,
01:03:55.900
they're banning, like they're taking out, uh, all the offensive references in Roald Dahl.
01:04:05.800
Like the books are supposed to be left in their raw state for children to come and understand
01:04:10.960
them and make their own minds up and deal with reality.
01:04:13.580
And it's the same thing to me with, with these other examples you have, like there,
01:04:18.880
first of all, this is not about what's the benefit for the children because nobody knows
01:04:25.360
Like that's part of the power of reading, right?
01:04:28.260
If the book is, is, is, is, no, no, no, no, no, no.
01:04:30.540
If the book says, here's how you use grinder, then the effect is a child learns how to use
01:04:34.440
No, that's what could easily happen is they would go, that is the most disgusting thing I've
01:04:40.360
It's, I'm talking about fact-based one, two, three, four, as opposed to.
01:04:44.840
I mean, information, the idea that you're going to keep information from children is
01:04:51.360
Listen, I don't, listen, I don't want to, my point here is only that these debates that
01:04:58.080
happen are removed from the actual life of experience doing this stuff.
01:05:07.180
Well, because when you're parenting, you're dealing with a world where your children are
01:05:14.360
Like, the actual plight of a parent is, like, my children can go and look up on YouTube and
01:05:22.860
Like, that is a, like, so all these debates around these books, that's nothing, right?
01:05:27.820
Well, it's an attempt by the right to stop this.
01:05:30.640
They certainly are not trying to attempt to stop that stuff.
01:05:34.400
These are inter-nicing debates among themselves for, like, point scoring.
01:05:38.480
It has nothing to do with actual, actual policy.
01:05:41.560
It has nothing to do with actual, like, what, how are we educating our children?
01:05:44.480
It's literally about the curation of a library, of school libraries.
01:05:57.120
The school board pulled every book in a, in a left-wing fury, pulled every book written
01:06:14.420
But, like, my point is, like, that's, I hate that.
01:06:19.600
My point is, the argument that you're making about curation is not an argument about banning.
01:06:25.740
And we're talking about this as if it is about banning.
01:06:33.320
This particular topic is about what goes into school libraries.
01:06:40.660
Because there's no way you can have every book in a school library.
01:06:43.860
And they're going to decide which ones are acceptable and which are not.
01:06:47.640
And to classify it as banning or call it censorship is to deceive what people are talking about.
01:06:54.340
Censorship does not mean, like, we censor a lot.
01:06:59.240
We censor a lot of things like child abuse videos on the internet.
01:07:03.000
We have people that we decide some things cross a moral line and we don't want that publicly available.
01:07:13.080
Censorship is just an authority deciding what should or should not be available and what should be removed.
01:07:27.700
I don't care right now for the sake of Congress.
01:07:29.900
Obviously, if you watch Tim Castile, you're going to get my heavy opinions.
01:07:32.200
These were my point here is look at the distinction and how we see the world.
01:07:39.280
So when we go back to the original question of what document unifies this country.
01:07:42.960
Ah, no, let's return to that because that is actually the more interesting question.
01:07:46.200
My final point is when Cenk Uygur came on this show, I think we had a great conversation.
01:07:53.380
And I tried to be explained to me so we can have a conversation and literally try to find where we're going to win together.
01:08:01.100
And when it came to the question of George Floyd and Ahmaud Arbery, Cenk said, I don't care what it's about.
01:08:15.680
How did this happen and how do we stop it from happening?
01:08:30.940
Like, no one is ever going to be satisfied with the actual working out of the world, right?
01:08:36.180
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01:10:03.500
Like, it's not like, it's not like, like, I mean, we have a huge housing problem.
01:10:08.340
Like, we got, we got, we got a lot of problems of our own.
01:10:10.540
On the other hand, I feel like we have a system for working them out.
01:10:13.720
What I feel in the United States is, I mean, one thing, you know, when you're a Canadian
01:10:19.980
There's nothing wrong with, there's nothing wrong with Americans, right?
01:10:25.960
And if you have conversations with them, they, they absolutely are sensible, reasonable people.
01:10:31.820
It's just that the system in which they operate their politics is so defunct and, and collapsing
01:10:42.220
Like everyone in this book on either side is a good person, right?
01:10:46.800
That is one thing we wanted to do in the book because it's like politics is not made up of bad people.
01:10:52.660
It's made up of actually good people with incentives that are so poor that it, it annihilates them.
01:10:58.820
I do think we have a lot of evil people in government.
01:11:03.300
I mean, like, I think we have, there are idiots and there are players and there are people of
01:11:07.420
this nature and there are people who are, who become corrupt, but like there are like
01:11:12.360
a good person in a system with evil incentives cannot work.
01:11:17.660
Any is much worse than an evil person in a system with good incentives.
01:11:25.640
That, that, that creates these, these monsters.
01:11:29.000
I make a similar point that, um, and he has, Ian has made that in Crossland has made this point
01:11:35.400
So there can be a very, very evil person who's smiling and being like, I just found out the fastest
01:11:43.780
People love dogs and I'm going to convince them to give me money.
01:11:47.060
And all I got to do is save dogs and their intention is personal gain, profit and power.
01:11:51.360
But the path to doing it is saving homeless dogs and creating dog shelters.
01:11:55.480
Like the, the, the best path for an evil person to gain power and do their, their awful things
01:12:00.800
could be something we actually have no problem with.
01:12:03.480
Then there could be good people who are like, I want to save a million people, but I would
01:12:09.080
have to change this policy, which is going to negatively impact a ton of people in a bad
01:12:14.760
Oh, the road to hell is paved with good intentions.
01:12:17.060
So I mean, it's possible, but that being said, I'm just going to come out and say it.
01:12:22.940
Listen, I don't really believe there are evil people.
01:12:25.780
I think there are people in situations like the reason you write a novel, like the reason
01:12:29.760
we did this as a novel rather than a nonfiction book is because what the novel is about, what
01:12:35.780
the novel does better than anything is people in situations where like, how do people respond
01:12:47.120
And so you can be an evil person while bumbling about people.
01:12:51.200
That's why it's so important to know that if you were put in the situation that an evil
01:12:57.760
person wasn't, you could easily end up like them.
01:13:04.060
It's like some people, most people, it is a reaction between yourself and, and, and this,
01:13:10.300
and the situation you find yourself in that's life, right?
01:13:17.020
He came out of some kind of shining night out of the womb.
01:13:24.600
Well, the reality is true good and true evil are very rare, but they do exist.
01:13:28.640
And the average person, as you mentioned, it is, is a victim.
01:13:32.580
I've never, I like, I, and I, I put that in for everyone.
01:13:38.320
No, I've met psychopaths and I've met some, and I've met people and I've met sociopaths.
01:13:42.820
I suppose it's a question of how do you define evil?
01:13:46.260
I mean, I think I, to me, the farther I go, like in life, I just think to comprendre,
01:13:55.540
Like if you, if you understand where people find themselves in the situations they find
01:13:59.720
themselves in, like these people, these people end America, the good guys.
01:14:04.940
Like that's the, but it's, it's not because of them.
01:14:07.560
It's because of their, it's not because of their hearts.
01:14:10.460
I'll give you an example of what, uh, of one component I view to view to be evil.
01:14:13.440
I talk about this guy's super philosophical, super fast.
01:14:17.460
We're going to be talking about like St. Augustine or something.
01:14:20.440
Before we go, let me, I want to address that real quick.
01:14:23.360
The reason that we have such differing opinions in the, in the, and, and problems coming down
01:14:30.100
on whether or not the, the first amendment is worth saving is because people are now fighting
01:14:36.220
about whether or not they believe in enlightenment principles or if they believe in, in postmodern
01:14:42.440
And it's a metaphysical philosophical difference.
01:14:46.200
It's not because, because when the, when the constitution was written, it was kind of
01:14:50.980
a given that the enlightenment was the way to the enlightenment principles or what you
01:14:56.320
should base your society on because you could come in contact with reality since the, since
01:15:03.220
We've had Nietzsche, we've had, uh, Hegel, we've had Marx.
01:15:06.000
We've had a lot of, uh, philosophers that have really kind of turned that upside down.
01:15:10.420
And now we're living in postmodern times where, where, where people are, are more, more
01:15:19.340
It's, it's not, well, it's identity based because of postmodernism because there is no
01:15:25.920
So the things that we're talking about boil down to metaphysical.
01:15:39.740
But you know, dominance, influence, control, uh, an example of, of, uh, evil in my opinion
01:15:44.140
that I experienced is during occupy wall street.
01:15:49.660
And I met a prominent journalist who worked for a large publication who we had a, we had
01:15:55.680
This is a prominent activist at occupy wall street and journalist.
01:15:59.300
And, uh, I, I said, I said, look, you know, like I, I agree.
01:16:04.500
Honestly, I don't know what matters or why, why we do the things we do, what the end result
01:16:09.840
So the only thing I can do is try to maximize the things that we think are good creation,
01:16:15.180
preservation, and, and the positive things in life.
01:16:18.000
And the response I got from this person was, but don't you just want to make it all burn?
01:16:21.840
Like if you don't care that nothing matters, let's just shake it up and burn it to the
01:16:25.560
This is a prominent writer for a major publication who told me that their motivations behind
01:16:31.040
everything they do was the destruction of, of the stable society of success and to watch
01:16:37.280
people struggle and burn because nothing matters anyway.
01:16:42.180
Like, I remember talking to this researcher when I was doing this podcast on child rearing,
01:16:47.420
And we were doing this episode on spanking and shouting, right?
01:16:50.440
And like, whether you should spank or shout at your kids.
01:16:52.400
And I talked to the leading expert on the world on, uh, discipline on, on childhood discipline
01:16:58.300
who believed, and I came to agree with him that not only is spanking ineffective, but
01:17:04.740
Like you shouldn't, you shouldn't actually do this.
01:17:06.460
It doesn't, it's not necessarily that it's bad parenting.
01:17:10.140
And he told me a story once about how he was working in a lab with a guy who beat his
01:17:15.540
And he was trying and he was analyzing him and trying to figure out what he did.
01:17:21.020
And part of me was like, why didn't you just arrest this guy?
01:17:26.380
Like surely a man who beats his son every day should just be in jail.
01:17:30.740
But he was this researcher by studying this person, by removing himself from the question
01:17:36.640
of good and evil, by analyzing it had come to the most powerful insights about child rearing
01:17:45.380
So to me, like, yeah, there's, and he talked this guy out of doing that, by the way, right?
01:17:50.340
Like he, with the, I mean, the man obviously wanted to improve and was trying to get the
01:17:55.860
And, um, and like he, he talked him out of that.
01:17:59.600
And I always thought, I don't know how I feel about it.
01:18:03.140
But like, I'm not sure what the correct response here is, but I would say that what I feel
01:18:08.100
my role is in this world is to try to understand so that we can get to better things rather
01:18:16.420
It's like, okay, well, how do we, how do we understand this and how do we, and how do
01:18:22.260
And so there's, there's, uh, uh, certain things that I see, uh, certain questions, right?
01:18:26.540
Um, is it a bad thing when someone cries over the death of a child?
01:18:30.980
What I mean to say is, is it bad their child died and they're suffering now because of it?
01:18:36.780
We do not want as human beings, someone to experience the death of their child and then
01:18:42.000
We want to figure out how to prevent that from happening.
01:18:44.580
You end up with various degrees of good and evil when it comes to these things.
01:18:48.640
And what I mean by that is people who are trying to help other people experience love and joy,
01:18:53.420
preserve the things that make them happy and help make the world a better place.
01:18:56.800
And there are people who are trying to extract from a system to benefit themselves either
01:19:04.740
And there are people like the one you described who just pure rage.
01:19:08.420
This is the, the, the, the Batman, uh, dark night.
01:19:12.380
He's, he's, you know, uh, uh, Alfred is explaining to Bruce Wayne, this guy thought it was good
01:19:17.900
He was, he was destroying, stealing these gems and throw them in the river.
01:19:25.700
I'm going to go and just grow trees for no reason.
01:19:31.720
I'm just like, we need another Johnny Appleseed.
01:19:37.240
You should have a Johnny Appleseed prize where you go and find the Johnny Appleseeds in America.
01:19:45.200
They're selfish people who are extracting from the system for sure.
01:19:49.220
But it is a good idea to find someone who's just been doing good selfless things.
01:19:55.840
Well, let's do this instead of just drifting off into the philosophy.
01:19:59.540
And we'll talk, let's talk about the 14th amendment and Donald Trump's trials right now.
01:20:03.640
Cause we were talking about courts and legitimacy.
01:20:05.560
So, uh, Colorado, Minnesota, Michigan are currently in the legal process of determining whether or not Trump can even be president.
01:20:13.940
So, uh, the point I made was that if the Democrats succeed in having, uh, I should even say this right now.
01:20:22.580
The fact that eligibility is even a question is already destroying what is left of our electoral system.
01:20:30.340
And the Supreme court needs to come down immediately bang the gavel within the next month, even today and say states cannot determine eligibility.
01:20:39.080
And the reason for this is, but that's not, that's not the legal system you have.
01:20:43.460
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01:22:14.360
An argument made in Minnesota by I believe it was Trump's lawyer is that the federal constitution determines eligibility, not the states.
01:22:21.780
Yes, it is not a question of the states determine who can or can't be on the ballot or who is who is eligible to present.
01:22:27.400
They do determine ballot access, which then creates an interesting question.
01:22:30.660
If the states are going to make the bouts for their own elections to determine who's going to be on it, there is a question of eligibility.
01:22:35.000
But if the states have the ultimate right to say who is eligible or not, what will happen is in 2028, you will not have an election.
01:22:47.120
All that will matter is the eligibility hearing.
01:22:49.520
And the question of what's the most important day in a president in a political campaign, it's going to be eligibility day.
01:22:54.540
And the lawyers for the politician will say it's a it's one year before the election.
01:22:58.920
Let's gear up our eligibility arguments to get this guy disqualified.
01:23:01.800
That way, when the election happens, we're the only one on the ballot.
01:23:04.120
Well, even worse, it won't even be that because what they'll do is they'll just that the eligibility stuff will just be prep prep work for non certification.
01:23:13.700
And that's like, so like, so like, because the non certification is like if non certification happens, it just goes to a contingent election.
01:23:24.740
So all this other like, is it the state's right?
01:23:28.500
These are very complex legal arguments that there's multiple facets to multiple sides.
01:23:32.960
But the certification needs to be solved one day.
01:23:39.140
Yeah, we I talked about I've been talking about this since the Trump thing started that especially big yesterday.
01:23:44.580
If the states go to eligibility arguments instead.
01:23:51.840
But then what happens is, as you just pointed out, if they don't remove any names, come certification time, 10,000 lawsuits are filed saying you can't certify this person is not eligible.
01:24:05.960
And you have an election denier is Speaker of the House like currently.
01:24:12.080
Let's just I mean, let's just Democrats and Republicans have all denied it.
01:24:15.520
But honest to God, like what you just mentioned, that's one of about 50 things like in the book.
01:24:20.720
Like there's like like that's that's part of the problem.
01:24:24.960
But honestly, there's like 80 other things that could go wrong and increasingly look like they just will go wrong.
01:24:38.740
I mean, that's because the book is like it's not a question of who the military has to is going to be put in a position where they have to pick a side.
01:24:48.140
And that's they don't want to pick a side at all.
01:24:55.300
I mean, it's the last thing holding this country together is the military's faith in their in their oath.
01:25:04.860
I want to point like just one thing you said struck me.
01:25:07.780
The military's faith in their oath to the Constitution.
01:25:12.500
Is the thing that you say that is keeping the country together or one of the few things?
01:25:17.280
I would say it's the only thing that I genuinely feel is stable.
01:25:20.740
The federal government has demonized people that would keep their oath to the Constitution.
01:25:27.360
If you're a member of the quote unquote oath keepers, you're considered a you're considered you're considered a bad guy.
01:25:42.440
The nuance does not matter because they're demonizing the Betsy Ross flag.
01:25:46.420
They're demonizing anything that is connected to our founding.
01:25:53.180
The government came out and said members of the military who post the Gadsden flag on their Facebook are extremists.
01:25:59.240
And that is quite literally the license plate of Virginia.
01:26:05.020
The same thing sort of happened in Algeria where because it was a revolutionary constitution, like because it was formed by militiamen fundamentally, they put the Constitution of Algeria has very similar problems and reflections of its militia past as the US Constitution.
01:26:25.000
And it's the same thing because it's like you're a country founded by rebels.
01:26:30.800
You're a country founded by people who defy authority.
01:26:51.400
And, you know, like the people who came are loyalists.
01:26:56.460
And so that rebellious structure built into the foundation of the country.
01:27:04.860
Like I don't think that tension has ever gone away.
01:27:06.640
I mean, think of the elections we've mentioned.
01:27:14.220
Like we haven't even brought up like, you know, the civil unrest in the 60s, which until four years ago, everyone was like, oh, this isn't as bad as the 60s.
01:27:31.360
They like the weather underground, for instance, was not trying to kill people, though.
01:27:34.660
I think there was like one instance with the bank robbery.
01:27:36.880
The weather underground were a thousand people like they were not a they weren't compared to the oath keepers compared to the three percent.
01:27:46.700
But I mean, it's like, but it's certainly in the tens of thousands.
01:27:49.160
But again, the list had the list that got leaked was 60,000, wasn't it?
01:27:56.900
The point of me bringing up the oath keepers was because you talked about the oath.
01:27:59.780
It's not it's not specifically about the oath keepers.
01:28:02.240
It's about the demonization of anyone that looks to the the revolutionary war period as a a core principle for the American people.
01:28:13.200
They're trying not just the oath keepers or the three or whatever.
01:28:16.700
It's about, oh, if you believe in the things that the founders believed in, you're a threat to the government.
01:28:25.240
Well, remember, George Washington did it, right?
01:28:32.060
You know, like you can't live in a state of constant rebellion.
01:28:39.780
Jefferson pardoned the all the people who are in revolt over.
01:28:44.820
And then somebody wrote an amazing short story about it.
01:28:48.480
But yeah, I mean, like there is a constant tension between like which, you know, has kind of made America great.
01:28:57.180
I am really like as the fact that you feel defeated by the First Amendment and the and the freedom of speech stuff.
01:29:02.920
I mean, to me, like when you come to America, like when you when you get off the plane at Reagan Airport or anywhere, anywhere in the United States, the openness with which people talk is.
01:29:15.220
I mean, that is what I love about the United States.
01:29:18.280
Like, and I do love the United States very much.
01:29:23.120
But like, I I have a great deal of affection for this country.
01:29:26.520
And the biggest reason for sure is that when you get off the plane, you feel like you can say what you want, which, you know, to be frank, even though, you know, we have the same laws and stuff like in Toronto.
01:29:36.960
You people whisper, people keep their thoughts to themselves.
01:29:40.360
There's a guy who went to jail because he wouldn't call his son by the right pronouns.
01:29:43.520
There is a guy who got fined for telling a joke about a handicapped person and went to the Supreme Court.
01:29:51.420
Like, that's like, if you lose freedom of speech in America, like, I think you're losing a huge bit of your secret sauce.
01:29:59.140
One of the most difficult things is getting left in left perspective individuals, leftists or liberals to come on these kinds of shows.
01:30:11.120
One of the biggest mistakes and weaknesses of the left is that they refuse to have these conversations.
01:30:18.620
Yeah, but I mean, everyone is everyone is in a silo.
01:30:24.120
We intentionally have an eclectic bunch on Tim Kast IRL every night.
01:30:28.540
One of the purposes of the points of the culture war is to try and get more people to come on the show.
01:30:31.840
But it is it is it is it is a fact left wing personalities tend not to do opposition media or what they would refer to or any any anything that could challenge them.
01:30:43.040
Like, the last time I was on here, I got all these like you're platforming Tim Pool.
01:30:52.480
First of all, I'm promoting a book, but I'm also just like, I what is what can be the problem with talking?
01:31:03.860
Talking with talking is it's a postmodern problem, because if you are if you are allowed to speak, that's where power comes from.
01:31:10.760
I guess again, this focuses on the this brings us back to and I'm not trying to drive the conversation to it, but it is a metaphysical philosophy problem.
01:31:19.800
Let me let me let me pull this video real quick.
01:31:21.760
This is a video where I called the left a cult that can only survive by using cult basic strategies of isolating.
01:31:28.000
I wonder why they don't want to come on your show.
01:31:31.720
But telling tell you, like you say, they're cult based.
01:31:34.180
Why are they going to come on after that to to just be called to be called that they're that's not why they don't want to come on.
01:31:39.340
They don't want to come on because in this video, a man interviewing a pro Palestine activist is approached by facilitators who say only our press liaison can do interviews.
01:31:48.100
And they ask the Palestinian activist not to talk to the press.
01:31:53.560
It is the norm at left protests that they will not allow you to talk to anyone.
01:31:59.080
Only their official spokesperson can speak to anyone.
01:32:05.860
I've known a lot of lefties and they'll talk to fucking anyone like God.
01:32:11.180
I mean, here's a video that disproves that notion.
01:32:14.600
Yes, but this is an example of what happens all the time.
01:32:17.600
Every every political group in the world has a media strategy.
01:32:22.400
Some of the people doing media strategy are the stupidest people on Earth.
01:32:27.500
And the right like the right strategy is anyone talks to anyone and they come on show.
01:32:46.520
And so we try to bring people on the show who are anyone willing to come on show.
01:32:54.760
And he mentioned it is a mistake that the left doesn't come on more.
01:33:02.400
The right has no unified fear or strategy around doing media.
01:33:10.180
Do you know how the general the right has made attacking the media, threatening the media?
01:33:19.300
What I'm saying is they their hatred of the media has become so pronounced.
01:33:24.920
That it has become one of their only political winners.
01:33:30.040
What I'm saying is on the right, there is no fear or unified ideology around whether or
01:33:39.960
In fact, Donald Trump keeps doing interviews with media that hates him on the left.
01:33:47.660
On the left, there is a fear that if you do the media, it will shatter your ideas and
01:33:53.800
you will get in trouble with other activists for it.
01:33:57.720
We get inundated with emails from people who are post-liberal to conservative begging to
01:34:03.680
come on the show and asking when and how do I get on the show?
01:34:06.340
On the left, they say, how dare you go on Timcast?
01:34:11.700
Don't you feel at least somewhat responsible for this state of affairs given that, not
01:34:16.480
to be personal, but the fusion of journalists and activists, which, see, I'm not that.
01:34:32.960
I mean, I think sometimes I write opinion pieces and sometimes I publish them.
01:34:37.320
But I honestly think my best work, like the things I'm proud of stuff and the things that
01:34:41.340
I think actually matter are things like this, where it's like, I got access to the machine
01:34:48.820
If you want to learn, if you want to know how politics works, you can read it.
01:34:56.040
Whereas my opinions are just my opinions, right?
01:34:58.920
The fusion of activists and journalists seems to me to be the, you know, the-
01:35:03.180
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01:36:01.020
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01:36:32.480
And it is right wing and it is left wing is both.
01:36:36.020
And I mean, I think it is a it is something that is just destructive in itself.
01:36:42.960
Like, I think a journalist should not be a lawyer.
01:36:48.040
And activist journalism is a huge, huge problem.
01:36:52.480
So, however, there's a moral question over what is the problem with it.
01:36:57.680
Here at Timcast, we have an eclectic bunch of people of varying different political opinions.
01:37:01.960
We have some employees absolutely hate Israel, some who absolutely love Israel.
01:37:05.220
And I'm not going to fire them for having very, very strong disagreements and posting things
01:37:12.660
Anybody who gets physical, we're not going to employ.
01:37:15.700
But like going on Twitter and saying, ah, Israel, this or like, hey, Palestine, this.
01:37:19.040
I'm like, you're allowed to have those opinions.
01:37:24.060
The there are journalists who willfully lie because they're activists.
01:37:32.080
So you you have political opinions and you have a worldview.
01:37:35.860
These are expressed in your thoughts and ideas as it pertains to how you write your books.
01:37:39.940
No, because when I write books, what I love to do is have my worldview dissolve.
01:37:48.060
When I when I when I research a piece and when I write a really good piece, what I know
01:37:57.140
And this may be I don't I may be picking on you, but did a police officer die in January
01:38:06.720
I forget his name, but he did die on January 6th because of the riots.
01:38:12.300
Well, there is debate around whether it's because of the riots, but it would it doesn't
01:38:17.080
matter from a legal point of view because it's felony murder.
01:38:20.240
Let's try and figure out who who this was, how.
01:38:24.200
How is it felony murder if he has a heart attack?
01:38:27.460
If you're committing a crime and a person like if you if you rob a bank.
01:38:31.520
And the police guard has their gun up and the guy dies of a heart attack, you're going
01:38:48.260
At least the report from The Washington Post is that it was a mild heart attack.
01:38:52.300
And from the in the month since he has talked about it and he's not dead.
01:39:06.860
He was the guy who a few days later suffered a stroke and died.
01:39:25.480
I'll explain in a second, but let me make sure.
01:39:27.780
These are the five people who died in the Capitol riot.
01:39:39.380
Several days later, he suffered a stroke and the New York Times reported it was unrelated.
01:39:43.800
Well, so here's my point that the writings you have are informed by your worldview and
01:39:52.600
No, but here's the thing, like what I try to do when I write, genuinely, this is my
01:39:57.940
And I think it's why what I'm proud of as a writer is I go in with assumptions and I
01:40:03.780
investigate and I see what happens and then I watch those assumptions die.
01:40:09.160
To me, when I see activist journalist, what it means is I'm going to go in with an idea
01:40:17.240
And that to me is not how life works, it's not how thinking works, it's not how people
01:40:33.540
Yeah, well, just because you didn't know how it was going to turn out, but you were an
01:40:40.520
So I would make the argument that you and I are doing the same thing.
01:40:48.480
I mean, this is a lot better spread than where I am at.
01:40:51.660
My point is when Covington kids, for example, I did not come out and say, look what this
01:40:59.220
Despite the fact that my own subscribers were demanding, I denounce him.
01:41:02.460
I said, I need to know what happened first and then talk about it.
01:41:07.240
So what we do on this show is typically, they call me a milquetoast fence sitter.
01:41:13.760
And it's been the meme for a long time because that, what the hell am I?
01:41:17.540
But I would argue you're doing the same thing in a somewhat different way.
01:41:21.020
See, I feel myself to be completely politically homeless, right?
01:41:27.880
I mean, I don't know, I don't know what, where the hell I stand on, I mean, so much.
01:41:34.800
Like these, there's these structures that I understand about how these things work, but
01:41:38.520
like the actual nature of my political views, I feel is, I mean, I am on unstable ground.
01:41:49.380
And so the first thing is most of the people who watch Timcast IRL are not conservatives.
01:41:59.540
I think the average age is like early thirties now because they're aging with us.
01:42:07.780
When Steve Bannon came on Timcast IRL for the first time, the majority of our audience
01:42:13.760
Marjorie Taylor Greene, never heard her speak before.
01:42:23.460
You know, we shouldn't just, it's probably not right.
01:42:26.960
What happens is we get people on the left, my favorite, Hassan Piker, the most prominent
01:42:33.100
left-wing live streamer called Ian Crossland a conservative.
01:42:41.360
Yeah, I was called a reactionary the other day.
01:42:45.880
This is because of how far left the left is now.
01:42:53.840
Like, I mean, you know, like it's, it's just like, I do feel this.
01:42:59.200
And so in the end, I don't know what to call myself.
01:43:01.020
Well, because I'm called, people have called me a communist because I lean left on some things.
01:43:05.440
So the goal of what we do here absolutely has a component of activism, but I think it's
01:43:10.540
morally good in that when Kyle Rittenhouse happened, we don't immediately say what a
01:43:17.100
We don't immediately say what a racist when Ahmaud Arbery happens.
01:43:23.380
And, and, and, and, and what are, what are people fighting over the left?
01:43:27.400
For instance, Cenk Uygur comes on the culture war show.
01:43:30.380
And when I said, you know, with George Floyd, it's really interesting.
01:43:37.840
And then he does this impersonation thing where he just mocks.
01:43:47.400
He's got the biggest left wing show in the world.
01:43:51.400
Listen, what we're talking about here, but this is the thing.
01:43:55.420
Like we're in this moment where, I mean, I, I genuinely do not know what the left means
01:44:03.080
See, you guys do because you're not part of it.
01:44:05.960
And similarly, it's people who know what the right is are the people aren't part of it.
01:44:10.680
You go and ask people, how does the right work?
01:44:13.160
They, people on the left, they know just how it works.
01:44:16.020
Anyone you meet who's in the right, it's all very complicated.
01:44:28.920
People on the right and in the center know what the people on the left think and they
01:44:35.580
People on the left do not understand people on the right.
01:44:38.640
Like John Haidt wrote a book called The Righteous Mind and his.
01:44:41.620
Yes, that's an excellent, that's exactly what we're talking about.
01:44:44.040
Yeah, his, his, his analysis of people on the right and the left, the people on the
01:44:48.720
left use only a couple metrics for their, their opinions.
01:44:55.620
And I'm not, I don't want to, I didn't want to say, or I don't want to say because
01:44:59.420
But I know that the people on the left use only, only two dimensions, whereas people
01:45:05.060
on the right use all five dimensions, six dimensions.
01:45:07.860
And so, and, and libertarians are kind of off on their own, own thing, but this is,
01:45:16.800
Another, another metric we use is people on the left consume.
01:45:21.900
Uh, they get their news from 95% left-wing sources, people in the middle get 60% from
01:45:30.440
And people on the right get 60 to 70 from the right and 30 from the left.
01:45:33.620
This is, this is, this is like Pew and, and, uh, on Gallup research showing when they poll
01:45:38.460
people and ask them what your sources are, they find the people on the left almost only
01:45:41.980
exclusively go to left-wing activists, media outlets.
01:45:44.560
People in the middle have, have a mix and people on the right have a mix.
01:45:47.140
Listen, part, the reason I wrote the next civil war is because basically of a, of a one
01:45:51.980
single theory called complimentary radicalization, right?
01:45:55.320
Which is that as you, as you, as politics dissolves, right?
01:45:59.980
As like in Canada, there are left-wing people and right-wing people who have exactly the same
01:46:05.240
policy objectives and they, and they make them right.
01:46:18.780
They all vote, they will vote conservative forever.
01:46:27.360
Like that would not even, it would never be brought up.
01:46:29.560
Like I, it would not even be considered as a subject of, I mean, maybe a joke, like maybe
01:46:35.260
as a little light joke, but it's doesn't really matter here.
01:46:40.280
And as like, what happens in complimentary radicalization is that as people, as the
01:46:45.240
right gets more, right, it makes the left go more left, which makes the right go more
01:46:50.540
And you get, and also as you separate from reality, right?
01:46:54.960
IE government, IE, what are we going to do with shared reality or policy?
01:47:00.940
Like, like we have politics in order to enact policies for our thing.
01:47:05.500
But as we were saying before, like conservatives have been sending this stream of people to
01:47:11.640
Left has been sending to enact all these things.
01:47:18.920
You go in like one thing you can be sure of when you see a rally on the street, it will
01:47:30.940
And we have a lot of data showing that, uh, DC only cares about the opinions of the ultra
01:47:36.140
However, well this, I mean, literally it's, it's not even the opinions of the ultra wealthy.
01:47:43.200
But I will give one example where the left at least has some, some in that, uh, despite
01:47:49.780
the fact that we are seeing people go around tearing down the flyers of the Israeli civilians
01:47:54.980
Biden came out and said, we're going to combat Islamophobia.
01:47:58.440
And I'm like, wait, wait, wait, hold on the protests that we're seeing that are, are
01:48:02.100
defending and advocating for violence are left protests in support of Hamas.
01:48:06.000
Well, he's saying we're going to defend Islamophobia while we're sending a aircraft carrier to
01:48:16.000
Well, you know, do you know the left died this month, right?
01:48:19.600
The left this month is, um, like it, the left is you're going to have to find a whole,
01:48:25.860
you're going to have to find a whole other subject.
01:48:29.000
Like you're going to, like, you're going to, you're actually like the, the, the, um,
01:48:34.880
Like, like it's like the left as a unified progressive movements as a unified force
01:48:44.300
However, it was rough because the, the, the first kind of volley was June with the, uh,
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01:50:18.140
With the way that people reacted to Gay Pride Month and the LGBT stuff.
01:50:24.980
And then with the additional response by the left.
01:50:31.700
I'm not saying every pro-Palestinian cheered for Hamas.
01:50:34.080
I'm saying specifically in New York, there were several rallies where they have been consistently
01:50:44.100
They look at that and they're like, that's not, is that what we're doing?
01:50:50.520
And like, and honestly, like, so what you're seeing is.
01:50:54.860
Hassan Piker, the biggest left-wing live streamer.
01:50:58.320
To Gen Z and some, and some younger millennials adamantly condemn, it criticizes Israel, supports
01:51:06.340
Palestine, that perspective is still dominant and prominent among many on the left and it's
01:51:12.800
But what's, what's happening is that, um, any kind of, like, you know, I'll never forget
01:51:18.120
a conversation I had with an FBI agent where we were talking about extremists and we're
01:51:21.700
like, I was like, so, you know, left-wing has extremists.
01:51:26.680
Like you're out there trying to stop these groups that are violently armed on the right.
01:51:32.080
Why does the left never have these, the same kind of like armed figures?
01:51:37.200
He said, they destroy themselves before they can get to that point.
01:51:40.740
They, they said they like, they, they annihilate their, they have so little solidarity that they
01:51:46.440
annihilate themselves before they can ever get to the point where they have, where they
01:51:52.300
This is a really good point because I completely agree.
01:51:58.340
But there are, there are, they are the most powerless people on earth.
01:52:04.860
They're, they're, well, they're intellectual chaos and they're the same thing that you
01:52:07.720
find of people who go and shoot up, uh, Walmart.
01:52:11.180
And so the issue is if the chaos builds too much, the system destabilizes and breaks.
01:52:18.380
So I do agree that with something like right-wing militias, they, they understand hierarchy and authority
01:52:23.520
and solidarity better than the left does, but the left has this bulk, low tier in large
01:52:30.880
But it's also, you have to understand that they're institutions and they've been largely
01:52:35.060
Like I went to the 2018, like, you know, a lot of these things happen on campuses and
01:52:38.880
someone in humanities departments and campuses are falling apart.
01:52:42.040
Like if that's your enemy, like, I don't think that's the, that's the, that's like the weakest
01:52:54.520
I mean, that's just, that's the honest thing we could be united.
01:52:56.900
The big danger with the left is the destabilization that the left does causing the government to
01:53:06.400
I mean that, like, you know, that's, you know, you got people firing at the FBI from
01:53:10.400
I mean, like the, the chaos that's coming is definitely the fringes of both.
01:53:15.300
And this is what, this is what happens in other countries.
01:53:17.520
So like, it's not like you can blame people and you can say like, oh, this one's worse
01:53:21.460
But the, the point is it's, the chaos comes from everyone.
01:53:25.520
I mean, not to, not to, to bring up, you know, the, I hate to bring up Hitler, but the
01:53:29.720
whole reason, the reason lost the real, but the reason that he, but the reason
01:53:34.860
that he, we're live streaming, I'm not, I'm not talking, I'm not talking about him, but
01:53:38.520
I'm talking about the Weimar Republic, the fighting between the left and the right in
01:53:43.040
the streets is why the people called for a strong government to stop the fighting.
01:53:49.560
I'm talking about, let me, the people before he, Weimar is close enough.
01:53:52.700
I want to, I got to go now, the shot heard, in my opinion, the shot heard around the world
01:53:58.980
for the next civil war, should it happen, will likely come from the right and not the left.
01:54:03.560
Well, the, the odds of that are like 50 to four.
01:54:06.300
And it's not because I am saying that there's a far fringe, right at room extremist who's
01:54:14.620
I call them fire, but the right, what I, what I fear is I mentioned the border, the
01:54:18.680
shot heard around the world is not going to be a bunch of people pulling up some new
01:54:21.840
flag of, you know, a new American flag or whatever, and screaming revolution.
01:54:25.180
It's going to be 14 guys in a militia saying the federal government is in defiance of state
01:54:30.240
law and federal law, and we're going to go set up our own checkpoint on this road.
01:54:34.200
The federal government will pull up and be like, we're the authority here.
01:54:36.680
And they're going to say, you guys are in violation of the law.
01:54:40.880
It's, it is not the left that's going to do this.
01:54:42.900
The left is going to do stupid things like throwing fire bombs and acting like, like wild
01:54:46.580
property crime, low level violence, low level, widespread property.
01:54:50.560
But with that, they're much more likely to do that.
01:54:53.240
This is why I said watching the federal government raise the razor wire to allow lawbreakers to break
01:54:57.960
the law was terrifying to me because that is the catalyst for a group, a vigilante.
01:55:03.400
I can't even call it vigilante because they're effectively operating on the side of the law.
01:55:07.160
But more importantly, you have the risk of state versus federal violence.
01:55:10.160
If Texas says enough, they are in violation of state and federal law.
01:55:14.920
The National Guard will go in and stop the CBP from breaking the law.
01:55:25.240
Like that's, I don't know, that would, that would just be, no, because first of all, one
01:55:30.480
of the more, one of the more interesting things that the U S military did was like in every
01:55:35.160
other country, it tends to work by these battalions that are formed in local communities.
01:55:39.400
And they, that's like, you know, in Alberta, like when you get the soldiers for the Canadian
01:55:43.980
military, they come from the same towns and the same farm towns.
01:55:46.820
And they fight U S after the, after the civil war, the U S was like, no, we're not doing
01:55:52.960
Cause then it's like, suddenly you've got someone in the military who's from Georgia
01:55:55.660
and like, do they owe their loyalty to Georgia or to the U S.
01:56:01.320
You had all these West point graduates and they left and a great question by, uh, was
01:56:09.540
He, he wrote something about his loyalty to the United States, but the questions of his
01:56:14.340
loyalty to his home, to his neighbors and his community.
01:56:17.380
Robert E. Lee had that famous comment where he, cause he was the star of West point.
01:56:29.960
So my fear, that was like, you know, the thing that was very interesting about that
01:56:33.880
is like the United States was plural before the civil war.
01:56:40.280
Nicholas Cage says before the civil war, it was the United States are.
01:56:47.220
That's, and, and so that's like, and, but the military really reflects that.
01:56:51.680
So that, that particular conflict is that particular scenario is, is not likely.
01:57:05.200
Does such a thing and they easily could, then that would, then that you really could have,
01:57:11.180
I mean, that's what the, that's what the U S military is, has actively planned for.
01:57:14.620
My, my fear is the, the, the, the circumstance that I just, that we were witnessing.
01:57:21.040
You've got videos of CBP snipping the razor wire.
01:57:30.260
Either we do not uphold the law and the law no longer exists or the law is upheld and the
01:57:36.400
federal government, what needs to happen is if you are going to take the lawful good approach
01:57:41.660
of we abide by the rules of this nation, we are a nation of laws, the sheriff must arrest
01:57:50.820
Then you have a real, well, see, that would be the, like the sheriffs, the constitutional
01:57:54.880
sheriffs have their own point of view on this legally.
01:57:57.220
The federal government has an entirely different point of view.
01:58:01.400
But I would also say that anyone who wants to go up against the U S military in any capacity,
01:58:11.760
The United States military has won in the past.
01:58:20.080
Like why, when, have you ever read the book, why we lost by Afghanistan, Iraq, it's about
01:58:26.120
Afghanistan, Vietnam, Korea, he, you're conflating.
01:58:29.220
You literally read this book and you're like, why, when does the losing start?
01:58:38.000
You're, you're complaining that you're conflating military capability with political ends.
01:58:43.780
I mean, it's like the U S military doesn't lose engagements.
01:58:54.520
They fail in, in deciding what we should use the military for, but the military doesn't
01:59:02.500
But Afghanistan is a really great example of we lost.
01:59:05.400
Oh, well, I remember one of the great stories a journalist told me about Afghanistan is he
01:59:14.320
And, um, he saw that one of the Taliban fighters was fighting with a flintlock rifle from that
01:59:21.140
had been taken from the British from 1878 and at 1878, right?
01:59:25.020
And he was like, whoever goes up against these guys is going to lose.
01:59:28.360
Like it doesn't make, like, like, like if you're fighting with a flintlock rifle, you're, you're
01:59:35.040
You're going to kill that guy, but his kid's going to pick it up.
01:59:37.980
I mean, like, but that is the point of the next civil war, right?
01:59:41.280
It's like, you can control when they, when they created the political space in Iraq for
01:59:45.760
elections in the surge, the violence that they had to commit to do that was so great that
01:59:53.140
And that's exactly what could happen in the United States, right?
02:00:00.860
It would be like the, it would be like an NBA team playing against the white MCA pickup team.
02:00:11.200
Uh, if a local sheriff comes out and goes to, uh, CBP and says, put your hands behind your
02:00:19.540
And would you want to be like, would you want to be up against Americans?
02:00:23.400
If I was, if I was the sheriff, if I was the sheriff in the County where Eagle Pass resides
02:00:29.000
right now, day one, when I saw a video of them sending barbed wire, I would instruct my
02:00:33.640
deputies to arrest any of them on site immediately.
02:00:40.840
It would be according to the federal government.
02:00:42.820
Treason is providing aid or materials to enemies at war.
02:00:49.540
But one of the things that they have specifically is piracy, right?
02:00:56.960
I just happen to know this technically because I spent so long with it.
02:00:59.780
Like, like if, if the federal government would just argue, well, you're interfering with our
02:01:09.500
Treason is abetting an enemy at the time of war.
02:01:11.480
But it would, so you would just be charged with sedition, but like it's, so like they don't,
02:01:14.700
they don't have a, they don't have a, um, well, like there's other cases that
02:01:19.300
they may, like, you know, the, the federal government, the, the constitutional sheriff
02:01:24.040
There's only five things for the federal government to do.
02:01:29.180
I think one of them's kidnapping, but, and then there's, um, and then there's a couple
02:01:35.000
I would arrest them for destruction of state property.
02:01:36.960
Well, you, I mean, you could try, but I mean, you wouldn't get anywhere.
02:01:42.140
I mean, you would not have a legal right to stand on.
02:01:44.000
All that is required for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing.
02:01:48.180
Like this kind of moral clarity is so blinding.
02:01:53.500
We're trying to deal with, we're trying to deal with complicated, um, overlapping bureaucracies.
02:01:58.240
And when you have the law and someone breaking the law, if you decide I will not uphold
02:02:06.480
Do you really believe that the loyalty to a County is going to be greater than the loyalty
02:02:15.740
Well, because in this position, you're taking the role of the sheriff.
02:02:19.400
Federal law says these, these people are illegal.
02:02:21.500
I mean, yes, but that's not, I mean, the federal government's doing it.
02:02:25.060
So, you know, then your redress would be with the federal government rather than like
02:02:28.360
if a cop walks into a bank and points a gun at the teller and says, give me everything.
02:02:34.800
Well, not if they've been ordered to do that by the cover.
02:02:39.600
If the federal government decides to, has all kinds of control over banks, all kinds
02:02:48.040
They just, you know, they can, they have all kinds of ways of manipulating banks.
02:02:51.800
Regulation is different and we can argue that it's bad.
02:02:53.780
I mean, what you're essentially saying is if the federal government makes a regulatory
02:02:59.260
pull of a bank, controls over a bank, then it is essentially committing a crime and we
02:03:10.960
You're the one who brought up a cop walks into a bank.
02:03:15.700
There is a big difference between a mandate from law for a cop to seize an asset under
02:03:20.500
writ of a judge and a cop deciding to point a gun at a teller and demand money.
02:03:24.700
Nobody went and pulled up that thing without a mandate.
02:03:29.120
So like the point is you're like the actual source of this is this man.
02:03:38.680
Try it again like you're a Roman trying to come up with a better system.
02:03:42.380
A police chief tells two of his guys in his office, go point guns at tellers and take
02:03:52.140
I'm sorry, but like if the way that's what is this example?
02:04:01.220
Um, a bank is in violation of their capital control amounts.
02:04:08.220
Texas is not in violation of the law by doing what they're doing.
02:04:13.740
Let's say the bank is actually and the federal government is wrong and still does.
02:04:20.400
Well, look, you're bringing up this example that I don't know very well, but like my
02:04:25.320
point is that the federal government interferes with other institutions like literally every
02:04:33.100
Like the fact that it's and sometimes they're right and sometimes they're wrong.
02:04:36.980
Sometimes they're right and sometimes they're wrong.
02:04:38.560
And there are lines, but actually there aren't a lot of lines.
02:04:41.880
And the answer is not to witness crimes being committed to say, well, you know, there's
02:04:46.500
No, the answer is to go to court and talk about it like reasonable human beings.
02:04:50.400
Like, and, and, and figure it out with lawyers.
02:04:54.780
Like, I mean, I, like, I don't think, I don't think, um, the answer is let's criminalize,
02:05:00.320
you know, everyone who's trying to impose federal authority.
02:05:03.100
But sometimes they're violating federal authority.
02:05:06.140
So the answer is there's lots of cases where there's a federal overreach.
02:05:11.820
And the way to deal with it is like actually having a conversation in court.
02:05:16.260
And so first, what would happen is local law enforcement would approach CBP and say,
02:05:20.480
you are hereby ordered to halt pending review from a judge.
02:05:24.840
The law of our state says, no, federal law says no.
02:05:27.820
And you will need to come back with approval from a judge.
02:05:33.400
I mean, I don't know what the specifics of this case, so I probably shouldn't talk.
02:05:37.900
Like it's, but like the point here is that the, there is always going to be a tension
02:05:45.700
That happens in Switzerland with the cantons and the federal government.
02:05:49.140
It happens in, the problem is, it happens in Iceland with the like local municipalities
02:05:58.780
I mean, we're in the middle of all this struggle between the provinces and the federal government.
02:06:04.080
I mean, they're, they're, they're, it's getting incredibly ugly.
02:06:08.120
But that, the problem here is not that tension is my point.
02:06:12.200
That tension is part of the natural order of a political system.
02:06:15.020
The problem is when the only way that you can respond to that tension is by conjuring
02:06:24.460
We're talking about like arresting people, throwing them in jail when they're coming
02:06:49.480
The only time you've been arrested is for skateboarding?
02:06:52.100
Um, I was arrested for driving on a suspended license, but that was an I bond.
02:07:11.720
And, uh, I mean, yeah, it's, it's, it's, oh, but you didn't go to jail then.
02:07:22.940
But I was actually, I did go to jail, uh, overnight for skateboarding once.
02:07:31.480
They sat me down and they said, you're being arrested.
02:07:35.220
And then they said it was a felony for skateboarding.
02:07:38.480
Riding my board on the sidewalk, downtown Chicago.
02:07:41.300
But the sidewalk was property controlled by the federal government.
02:07:43.980
So they said it was criminal damage to federal property.
02:07:47.020
The judge was livid and he was basically like, how dare you waste my time?
02:07:55.140
Imagine if you'd had an idiot judge, your whole life could have changed.
02:08:05.900
Um, but the judge was, you know, the good judge.
02:08:09.220
And, uh, but my point is ceasing someone from committing an illegal act.
02:08:18.160
Like the problem here is that these debates have gotten so ferocious and so moralistic and
02:08:23.660
so about fundamental principles because they're so removed that what the actual business of
02:08:29.380
governing, which is Texas disagrees with the federal government.
02:08:33.420
They take their, their steps taken things happen.
02:08:36.840
You need to, you need to talk it over that gets removed.
02:08:41.640
And like, I'll tell you why let's play out these dramatic scenarios.
02:08:44.980
And I'll tell you, I just think it's not very, and I'll tell you why right now you have almost
02:08:51.940
Eric Adams, New York city, several other, uh, governors are petitioning the federal government
02:09:01.960
The simple answer right now is if the plurality, nay, the majority of governance of this nation
02:09:09.500
And the federal government goes, we're going to keep breaking the law.
02:09:12.120
Well, I mean, the federal government has actually been, I mean, you know, at some point
02:09:15.300
you need to say, it's really, it's really funny because like we have this very pro immigration
02:09:18.860
policy, but we're no one like illegal immigrants are, would absolutely not be accepted by anyone
02:09:25.920
Like, like, like, like, like it's a very rule abiding place and would like the idea that
02:09:30.660
there's like tens of millions of people illegally just seems insane to me.
02:09:34.820
But like, I mean, I mean, I mean, like, but well, I understand that there are different
02:09:40.020
And I understand that there's historical context and I understand that there's crisis and there's
02:09:45.640
And there's, but like, surely this has got to be something that people like, this is,
02:09:50.780
this is one of those things where it's like, surely everyone's on the same page.
02:09:57.820
I think the federal government is on the, like, they want both the solution and also.
02:10:04.200
If, if, if the states overtly willfully are subverting the law, I'm sorry, if the federal
02:10:12.080
government is, is violating the rights of states and there is no fair adjudication, you
02:10:21.300
I mean, see, to me, the more critical problem, like, because illegal immigration in one of
02:10:26.040
those problems, it's like, I'm not, but let's, let's remove ourselves from this.
02:10:29.840
But I don't think you quite realize what a, um, like that's the right problem to have.
02:10:34.840
Let's like, because like people, like it is, it's a huge boost.
02:10:38.320
But anyway, like the abortion question to me is actually.
02:10:44.580
What's happening in Texas is a granular component of what's causing civil war.
02:10:50.680
California in the past census had an extra congressional seat, perhaps two.
02:10:55.440
Because California violates federal law by allowing non-citizens into the country who
02:10:59.700
are then counted in the census and congressional seats and electoral votes are apportioned based
02:11:06.620
So all states do the census based on total people count, not citizen count.
02:11:12.480
So when, uh, Texas must have the same thing with, with non-citizens that the issue being
02:11:18.960
So here's the point, but they're not, they're still counting those people.
02:11:21.780
And so the issue is not whether or not they're counted.
02:11:23.740
It's the willful act of manipulating our electoral college and our Congress through intentionally
02:11:30.380
If Texas says, please help us get, get these people out of this country, we don't want
02:11:36.940
And the Republicans under Trump said the citizenship question should be on the census.
02:11:41.740
The Democrat state said, no, it was the Supreme court said no.
02:11:45.380
And so what happens is California has a disproportionate amount of electoral power in federal government
02:11:52.840
Tim, you put me in such a weird position because when you say these things, it makes
02:12:03.100
It's like my, what I could say here at this point, what I could say at this point is like,
02:12:06.900
well, if you look at Republican gerrymandering and all these things, it's like, it's all
02:12:10.620
obvious, but my point is really like, why are we like, we all know that it's, we both
02:12:15.880
know, you and I both know that this system is collapsing.
02:12:21.160
The reason is for a lot of reasons on both left and right.
02:12:26.080
The point is, the reason why I called you an activist before is that.
02:12:30.520
But you want to, but you are arguing that point.
02:12:32.460
But I am not arguing arguments, but also I am not arguing that Texas is correct or
02:12:37.820
I'm arguing that this is a thing that is happening and the red States will not tolerate subversion
02:12:45.920
You can argue and say, California has a right to let people and don't care.
02:12:48.800
You can argue Texas has a right to get rid of them.
02:12:53.040
You don't think there's more sedition on the right than on the left.
02:12:58.340
I mean, the disrespect for federal government as a core belief.
02:13:11.800
How do you quantify whether there's more or less?
02:13:16.800
That could, that could simply mean there's more institutional power for one faction.
02:13:28.160
The left is full of people that want a revolution.
02:13:35.080
They're just so powerless that you never hear from them.
02:13:40.240
They're like the most powerless people in the world.
02:13:42.680
Are you talking about the power that they have, or are you talking about which side has more,
02:13:46.960
Because there are plenty of people on the left, and I'm not saying there aren't people on the right,
02:13:50.980
but there are plenty of people on the left who call for revolution, who say they don't want Joe Biden,
02:13:56.340
they want revenge, all sorts of, any number of revolutionary discussions.
02:14:02.320
Substantially more people rioted on May 29th than on January 6th.
02:14:11.560
When they firebombed the White House, the president was forced into an emergency bunker.
02:14:24.400
Look, all I would say is that I've spent a couple of years talking to the most dispassionate experts that I could find in, you know,
02:14:37.960
If you're talking to elite institutions, you're getting one perspective.
02:14:44.280
Well, I also visited, you know, I also spent a lot of time with Oath Keepers and with, like, with people, and I certainly got along with them great.
02:14:53.500
I did meet some Antifa, but they're pretty boring, and they also, the thing about Antifa is they wouldn't, they don't want to talk to people like me.
02:14:59.500
Like, they don't want, they want to, like, they, um, they're super, I mean, I did manage to interview some of them, but they're not, they're like-
02:15:08.680
I think if you're honestly telling people that there's not a, a, a taste for sedition on the right, you know that's not true.
02:15:15.880
No, we're saying that it's not, it's not, it's not one side or the other.
02:15:19.620
This is something that you've been saying the whole time, that it's not one side or the other.
02:15:27.400
It's like, you bring up these things from the left and it's like, that makes me say, well, you know, the other thing is happening on the right, but I don't want to be.
02:15:39.740
You're turning me into an activist by forcing me to mirror your half-
02:15:46.860
Well, I am, I'm, I'm taking agency right now by saying, like, I don't like this process.
02:15:54.160
Though it's a single, though it's a single example, the reason I asked about the officer on January 6th is to make the point that you are coming from a left liberal perspective as you approach this and you think you're not.
02:16:05.940
I did not assert that there's more or less sedition on the right or the left.
02:16:09.360
What you don't understand is that I'm actually not on your spectrum.
02:16:16.600
So in that, on that spectrum, I would definitely not at any, probably at any point in my life have been considered left, right?
02:16:28.940
But American standards, you're in the middle of collapse.
02:16:33.000
You're in the middle of, you're in the middle of intellectual and political decay.
02:16:38.380
And I would also say, like, what I feel as, what I feel as a human being is politically homeless.
02:16:45.200
So when you say, I belong to someone, I kind of wish I did.
02:16:52.380
If you are wrong about your, your, your single fact on January 6th, I know, we don't have the, we don't have the opportunity to go through everything you may be wrong about.
02:17:06.500
You said, you, you, you made the, the statement that, uh, you, you implied there are, there's more sedition on the right than the left.
02:17:13.220
Well, I would say this, I would say metric for this.
02:17:16.560
Well, the FBI officers I talked to who are worried about, and so, and the military, like, and now I'll respond.
02:17:22.360
The military people who plan for full spectrum operations in the homeless, they're only worried about right wing groups.
02:17:28.120
On May 29th, when thousands across the tens of thousands, we saw police stations burn down.
02:17:34.840
We saw 90 plus days of firebombing of federal buildings, and we saw the White House actually get firebombed and the church in front of it, uh, across the street, St. John's was set on fire.
02:17:44.280
Now I'm not saying either still that the left or the right has more.
02:17:47.880
My point is, I do not find your metric to be, uh, absolute or enough.
02:17:53.520
My position is, I don't know if there's more or less on either side.
02:18:01.120
It's that I believe that the most impartial, best voices that I could speak to and the best investigations that I could come up with were unequivocal.
02:18:14.020
I mean, in next to a war, I interviewed 200 people.
02:18:16.420
I'm not saying, I mean, I interviewed farmers about corn prices.
02:18:20.620
And you didn't interview the far left because they didn't want to talk to you.
02:18:22.380
I did interview some of them, but they're, um, but clearly, but they're not, um, they're also, well, actually, there was a huge section about, uh, the tearing down of a statue in, uh, in, at which university of Virginia.
02:18:39.420
Why was there no federal hearing on the, the, the 529 insurrection?
02:18:42.580
Well, I don't think it was considered a serious threat to the federal government.
02:18:47.100
The president was forced into an emergency bunker for the first time in what several, several
02:18:52.520
But it wasn't an actual threat to the overthrow of the government.
02:18:57.400
The life of the president was, was in jeopardy.
02:19:00.160
The life of the president in the United States is always in jeopardy.
02:19:04.560
They forced him into an emergency bunker and you think that doesn't matter.
02:19:07.140
Do you believe that you believe that there was any out on January?
02:19:10.380
Well, see, I talked to a secret service agent on January 6th.
02:19:13.360
Do you believe that there was ever a possibility of any outcome other than Joe Biden becoming
02:19:20.400
Because I don't think 100% you believe that that it was possible.
02:19:23.480
Oh, I don't think there's, I look, I don't, I think the idea that I think the idea of it
02:19:27.700
actually happening, no matter what the people on the ground thought, I think the idea of
02:19:31.820
the, of it actually happening where Donald Trump was able to remain in office is as fantastical
02:19:39.580
You actually said this, that Mike Pence kicking back votes wouldn't have mattered because
02:19:45.060
Well, also, you know, to, you know, some left-wing people have been upset at me because I don't,
02:19:53.880
Like, I don't, I don't think it was, I don't think it had, I don't think it met the,
02:19:57.320
the criteria that I apply were from PRIO, which is the Peace Institute of Oslo, which,
02:20:02.540
you know, they have the studies of civil war, right?
02:20:04.540
And like, for them, an insurrection is, is very different than what happened on January
02:20:10.600
The reason why I refer to 529 as an insurrection is a political point, not a literal statement.
02:20:14.820
Well, my point is that assassinating presidents is something that your country does on the
02:20:22.660
Like, like it's, it's, I mean, a secret service, our presidents or their president?
02:20:27.260
Well, both, but like, but like, you know, a secret service agent told me it's part of
02:20:40.520
Like there's, there's been one, one British prime minister in 1811 was assassinated.
02:20:47.720
Like Australia had one candidates never happened.
02:20:57.760
So my point is that the, the, the threat to the president, I mean, you have to pay $2 million
02:21:06.040
Like that's what, that's what the going rate is to keep the president alive.
02:21:09.200
The point is what's a bigger threat, a riot at the Capitol or people firebombing the
02:21:14.300
home of the president and forcing him into an emergency bunker.
02:21:18.800
No, I mean the, the death of a single president would, your country wouldn't miss a beat.
02:21:28.320
They, they, they, they came back later that day and finished the day.
02:21:33.120
But the sense of vulnerability of the political system as a whole, I mean, was absolutely transformed
02:21:41.120
That is a, I mean, that is a point that I think has been expressed by many people across
02:21:51.380
Listen, I, I'm just, I just have my opinion, right?
02:21:54.400
Like if you want to, but, and that is my opinion.
02:21:57.820
And, but I would also say that I don't think it fits neatly into a political category.
02:22:02.960
It certainly doesn't fit into, um, you know, the left-wing books that were written about
02:22:08.240
Like I, I, and you know, neither did, neither did, uh, Barbara's book about how civil wars
02:22:13.800
Like it's like, it felt, it fit into a political science metric.
02:22:22.220
You can't really, you can't get arrested for that.
02:22:25.740
But, uh, my, my point is simply this, I do not believe it is easy, easy enough or possible
02:22:30.580
to quantify the greater threat of May 29th or January 6th.
02:22:34.560
Oh, I, I, I mean, I think it has been quantified and the people that I've seen who have quantified
02:22:49.760
A fact is, um, you know, an opinion that we've agreed to stop fighting about.
02:22:54.140
And I think part of the major problem in the United States is that there are no, there
02:23:00.180
There's nothing that people have stopped agreeing about, right?
02:23:03.020
There's nothing, there's nothing that people have stopped fighting about.
02:23:05.100
And they keep coming up with new ones to fight about.
02:23:13.560
The left reports it as a man was jogging down the street and two white men lynched him.
02:23:17.520
My immediate question is, okay, give me the facts of the case.
02:23:19.700
Let's break this down and figure out what happened and how we prevent it.
02:23:26.320
And whether or not, and the court even agrees with my view on this, the question of why the
02:23:30.260
McMichaels went to jail was actually whether they had the right to engage in a citizen's
02:23:40.920
When it comes to how we approach a story is what can we answer as fact, which is simple
02:23:48.500
As to your moral question and what we should have done or what happens is immaterial to me for
02:24:00.280
Now the issue of January 6th and 529 to assert as fact that something is or is or is in this
02:24:07.540
in these regards, I think is an impossible question.
02:24:23.080
He said it's the right of every human to say two plus two is five.
02:24:27.240
But it doesn't change the fact that two plus two is four.
02:24:29.600
There will never be an instance where you take two apples, push them up against two apples,
02:24:36.200
There are simple arguments about the the nuances of decimal systems and fractions, and I'm not
02:24:41.520
talking about that when it comes to the issue of May 29th versus January 6th.
02:24:45.660
We have fact based questions to ask and then ask ourselves why we believe one was worse
02:24:50.060
These are impossible questions because they're based on subjective morality.
02:24:56.500
I don't know how you quantify one being worse than the other.
02:24:58.980
You have just expressed the postmodern view of news to an absolute perfect.
02:25:21.400
What do you think of thinking that two plus two could equal five?
02:25:26.460
It doesn't matter who said it because it is still postmodern to say that two plus two
02:25:35.260
People are allowed to be wrong and argue for themselves.
02:25:40.360
But there is currently an argument that goes on online and Twitter, postmodernists, and
02:25:45.560
it has filtered into the hard sciences, which is part of why it's a significant problem.
02:25:50.580
But there are people that will try to assert that, no, two plus two can equal five.
02:25:55.960
And then they'll go ahead and they'll talk about different types of math that I can never
02:26:03.520
But the point that I'm making is the idea that two plus two can equal five is a postmodern
02:26:08.900
idea because what you have to do is change the meanings of the words.
02:26:16.360
I'm out here trying to figure out what the hell happened.
02:26:18.780
And whether two plus two is five, I mean, I can quote Dostoevsky, but that's above my
02:26:27.600
I do agree with a lot of what the postmodernists argue about news, politics, and truth and
02:26:33.100
They certainly understand that to a great degree.
02:26:35.820
Did you read Baudrillard and people like that when you were a kid?
02:26:56.920
And so that means sometimes I would read one page or two from like the Gulag Archipelago
02:27:02.880
You should read the postmodern condition and come back and we'll talk about it.
02:27:11.140
You know, this stuff about numeracy, like numbers and that, like that's his argument.
02:27:15.160
It's like there's numbers and then there's opinion and that's it.
02:27:21.400
The general concept surrounding something like two plus two equals five at a high level-
02:27:30.960
There is a core truth to the understanding of subjectivity, objectivity, and numbers and
02:27:36.380
The problem is people who aren't smart enough to actually have the conversation start saying
02:27:43.160
Yeah, well, I mean, you know, it's one of those things like the democratization of knowledge.
02:27:52.060
And then you like actually see what it looks like and you're like, oh, this is just all
02:27:57.820
I mean, this is what happened in the, you know, my, I did my PhD on 17th century drama
02:28:05.940
When pamphlets spread everywhere, there was absolute chaos.
02:28:17.160
And suddenly you've got a hundred religions, right?
02:28:19.620
You had one and all these hundred religions want to kill each other, right?
02:28:22.860
And then, you know what, you know what solved it is they formed a royal society and the
02:28:26.940
royal society was like, we're just going to do reliable information and we're not going
02:28:34.220
We're not going to ask what you're, we're not going to ask what you believe about God.
02:28:37.560
We're just going to say like, how do you think a cell works?
02:28:39.740
And if you publish a paper, we'll look at it and tell you if it's bullshit or not.
02:28:46.320
I'll do one final thought and then I'll give you a final word.
02:28:53.300
My final thought and then I'll throw it to you.
02:28:55.620
So you're, you're, you're, I think we, we agree like 90 plus percent on like your, your
02:29:02.500
We get into these fights, but we actually are mostly in agreement.
02:29:05.980
So, but what ends up happening is I believe you're an expert on a lot of these subjects.
02:29:12.560
Even when I disagree with some of them, you have done way more work than the average person.
02:29:15.620
And what happens now, because of the democratization of, of knowledge, let's say your book has 95%
02:29:25.480
Someone's going to look at the book and go, but I know this one element is wrong.
02:29:29.480
Or they only take the 5% that they know is right.
02:29:36.080
It's like, I take this and the rest of it, they ignore.
02:29:43.780
And then you, and then of course you can make any argument you want.
02:29:47.920
He wrote that book, but he thought this about this one thing.
02:29:50.620
I wrote, I literally wrote a lyric in one of the songs that you heard the other day, brand
02:29:55.360
And, and it, it actually points to exactly what we're talking about.
02:30:00.480
And then you can disregard everything that they say because it'll, or it allows people
02:30:05.380
to go ahead and say, Oh, this is, he's just a liar.
02:30:08.360
He's not telling the truth because I found the one flaw and that gives them the, the validation
02:30:16.260
And the reason, the reason why I'm ending on this is to make the point.
02:30:19.280
I have pulled out single subjects and asked you about them, but I want to stress, I think
02:30:26.400
Well, I think, you know, I think I dislike the way that you describe huge groups of people
02:30:37.800
I mean, when you go and meet people on the right, like that, that is such a, but see what
02:30:49.740
But like, they're so varied, like their opinions are like when you're in their spirit is so varied.
02:30:55.100
I met, I met a guy at a Best Buy once and he was like, I'm a huge fan.
02:30:59.440
And then he, and then he started talking about Flat Earth.
02:31:01.060
He started talking about, and I'm like, I don't understand how you watch my show.
02:31:05.940
He was like, I think, I think on March, Trump's going to be the president again.
02:31:13.560
But it's more, they're there for the vibe or whatever.
02:31:15.680
You know, and, and that's what, and that's how it, and I just, I mean, to begin with the
02:31:20.340
way we talked, like about how like left people don't come on right shows and like, it's a
02:31:27.240
I think it's like, it's like, and the right not going, like.
02:31:33.620
When they're allowed on, because the left says you're platforming.
02:31:36.900
The platforming thing is absolutely infuriating to me.
02:31:41.920
Like, like, it's like, this is not like, you just, you're just a person with an opinion.
02:31:46.720
Like, and when it comes down to it, just like everybody else.
02:31:50.840
It really is the, the, I really do think that the, the philosophy, uh, comments or, or whatever
02:31:59.400
If you believe that words are where power lives, then you don't want to have people saying things
02:32:06.140
that conflict with your perspective or that would empower opinions.
02:32:11.640
So if you want to throw any final thoughts, just by my book, last election, it is actually
02:32:16.540
It's, um, and it, if it's, uh, you got to leave me a copy so I can read.
02:32:24.460
And if you actually want to know the mechanics and like the, how the, how the watch works,
02:32:28.940
um, this is probably the best description you're going to get.
02:32:37.260
And then I want to give like my take on the variables within it.
02:32:40.960
You know, there's sort of a character like you.
02:32:44.900
But my, my, my idea is like, I want to read your, like your, your perspective on like
02:32:50.160
And then what I want to do is like, look for inflection points where I can talk about,
02:32:55.640
I'm wondering if this could happen or what would happen if this happened.
02:33:06.400
You're a lot of the things you talk about reflected in very specific ways.
02:33:10.980
Like, well, that was true with the next civil war too.
02:33:13.600
Like I think like a lot of the stuff you were talking about was, was in there as well,
02:33:16.780
just in a, in a kind of more, I guess, formulaic way, like a more like systematic way, but it's
02:33:26.700
It's always fun to be here with this book as well, but thanks for hanging out, man.
02:33:29.840
We went a little bit long, but it was really good.
02:33:34.100
And we were talking over, arguing and yelling is great.
02:33:37.540
You want to say anything before we wrap up, Phil?
02:33:39.040
I'm Phil Labonte, lead singer of All That Remains.
02:33:41.900
You can find me on Twix at PhilThatRemains on Instagram, PhilThatRemainsOfficial.
02:33:48.000
You can find us on Spotify, Apple Music, Pandora, Amazon Music, you know, the internet.
02:33:53.400
I'm going to say it now, but we're not totally sure, but I believe the next episode of
02:33:57.200
this show will be appearing on Tenet Media, where it will find its new home.
02:34:01.340
Clips of the show will remain on this channel, though, and we're going to be expanding what
02:34:06.120
You may have noticed the Lauren Southern documentary that we've posted the trailers for on this
02:34:15.920
There's a bunch of really cool people involved.
02:34:17.440
And then we'll just post the link and we'll keep you informed as to where it's going to
02:34:21.780
Thanks for hanging out and we'll see you all next time.
02:34:27.200
Hey moms, looking for some lighthearted guidance on this crazy journey we call parenting?
02:34:40.700
Join me, Sabrina Kohlberg, and me, Andy Mitchell, for Pop Culture Moms, where each week we talk
02:34:46.460
about what we're watching and examine our favorite pop culture moms up close to try to pick up
02:34:53.180
Come laugh, learn, and grow with us as we look for the best tips and maybe a few what-not
02:34:58.800
to-dos from our favorite fictional moms from Good Morning America and ABC Audio.