THE WAR HAS JUST BEGUN
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Summary
After the Supreme Court struck down the Voting Rights Act, Louisiana has decided to suspend May primaries and redraw their congressional districts. Meanwhile, New York City is doing the same. What does this mean for the rest of the country?
Transcript
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With the Supreme Court gutting the Voting Rights Act, Louisiana has announced they are prepared
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to suspend May primaries to redraw their congressional maps, thus giving Republicans
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two seats and taking two seats from the Democrats. In the meantime, Kathy Hochul's response is that
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New York will do the same. You see, my friends, this is a double-edged sword.
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While it still largely benefits Republicans, Democrats are going to use the excuse of the
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Supreme Court ruling to redraw their maps as well. So for those that have been living under a rock,
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what happened? Supreme Court issued a landmark ruling. Congressional districts that were drawn
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up based on race are unconstitutional. And thus, Democrats are apoplectic,
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arguing that the purpose of these racially gerrymandered districts is to give a voice
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to minorities, creating what is referred to as a majority minority district.
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However, Supreme Court ruled just the other day that that's discrimination based on race
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The result, if these other red states decide to eliminate their racially gerrymandered districts,
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My friends, this could result in a 30 congressional seat swing for Republicans, effectively putting an end to Democrats winning ever again.
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Now, if Democrats respond and Republicans then respond and we get red state, blue state
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congressional districts, regardless, just pure political gerrymandering, the end result
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is Republicans having a permanent political edge in the House.
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Not to mention with Trump's mass deportations and changes that have happened over the past
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few years, it's looking like with the 2030 census, the exodus we have seen from blue
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states, Democrats stand to lose way more. Now, in the most extreme case, my friends,
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you've got to factor in immigration patterns, deportations, inter or intra-migration,
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internal migration. So people from blue states like Washington moving to Arizona.
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Now, some have been concerned that if moderates in New York move to, say, West Virginia,
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and West Virginia could turn purple. The issue is exodus from blue states is not greater than
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internal Republican representation, meaning when the census comes in, blue states stand to lose
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several congressional seats just based on the exodus and their failed policies. It's not just
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the redrawing of maps. It is the movement of people in these United States and a complete
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restructuring of the House. Democrats may be cooked. If Republicans take this opportunity
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the way Louisiana is right now, my friends, this midterm is going to be a Republican sweep.
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Could you imagine bucking the historical trend, not because people are happy or sad
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with the structure of the political environment, but just procedurally?
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Now, what did Hakeem Jeffries say again? That's right. Maximum warfare. Two big moves underway.
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New York redrawing, Louisiana redrawing. The question then becomes,
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will the rest of these red states do the same? Will California eliminate four red seats by doing
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what Virginia did? One important thing to understand, my friends, is that when you take
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a look at blue states, you will find they are ridiculous. When you take a look at red states,
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They're only ridiculous because the VRA made them as such, and the new maps seem to be
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That is, there's a really great district in Louisiana, covers the coast.
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The people who live in the coast have shared interests based on geography, the industries
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What the Democrats want is weirdly drawn strips that just make every person based on race
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But that's what they want. They want representatives in Congress to represent a race and not an industry or merit or geography.
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And that, my friends, makes no sense, unless, of course, you're a racist.
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Louisiana governor prepares to suspend House primaries after court ruling.
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Governor Jeff Landry told Republican House candidates he plans to suspend the May 16th primary elections so lawmakers can redraw the congressional map.
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The move filed a Supreme Court decision earlier in the day that found Louisiana had unlawfully discriminated by race when it created a second majority black congressional district under legal pressure.
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A new Louisiana map would position Republicans to gain one or two seats in the midterms as they fight to hold their narrow majority in the House.
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You've seen it if you've been following this story.
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Along the coast, they're proposing a single district that wraps up all coastal communities.
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If you live in the water, you have a shared interest.
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So the people who live in areas with high flooding have a political interest based on where they live.
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There's I believe they got shrimping down there.
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You've got businesses, industries, communities, worldviews built upon the geography, the economy.
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I think that matters when it comes to a conversation around taxes, imports, exports, border security.
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Yeah, I think that makes the most sense that we vote based on those things and not race.
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This map right here, the whole point is to say black people have a political interest specific to being black.
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Now, I'm going to be honest with you. I don't think that's not true. I just don't think it's
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paramount. That is, if I'm sitting here and there's a volcano across the street and there's
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a black guy to my right, I think our shared interest is the volcano, not that we look
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different, right? So the argument the Democrats have long made is that institutional racism
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has made it mandatory that minorities get representation based on race. Maybe that
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made sense 70 years ago. But coming from a second generation mixed race family, I don't care. I do
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not stand next to a guy and go, hey, what does he look like? Hey, let's vote together. And then it
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turns out he's a communist. And then I look to my left, there's another guy. And I'm like, I kind
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of look like you. What do you think? You're a fascist. I don't want either of that. Race makes
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no sense. Imagine this. You live in a black community and they're telling you, you got to
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vote alongside this communist because of his skin color. You'd be like, but I don't like communism.
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Too bad. Your representation is based on race and nothing more.
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I say we get rid of it. But waits. Here's the next big move.
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Kathy Hochul moves to change the New York district map after SCOTUS ruling bans race based gerrymandering,
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saying I'm working with the legislature to change New York's redistricting process so we can fight back against Washington's attempts to rig our democracy.
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That's what I warned the other day. It's not just a play Republicans can make.
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In Pennsylvania, there is an estimated two congressional seats that were drawn based on race.
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It's got Democrats with a lot of power in Pennsylvania, although it did.
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I believe Pennsylvania did go for Trump right now.
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If you open up that can of worms, the way the polls have been swinging is entirely possible
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that purple states and blue states can use the exact same precedent and eliminate Republican seats.
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my friends, it can get downright wonky. Zachary Donini says if Republicans aggressively gerrymander
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the South and eliminate up to 10 Democratic seats under a narrowed VRA, Democrats could respond in
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blue states. For example, this 52 to 0 California map could become legal, flipping four seats from
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red to blue. Now, this map has been floated around quite a bit, and you can see that what they do is
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the same thing in Virginia. You make all of the districts touch San Francisco and Los Angeles,
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and you have eliminated every single Republican district. Now, this map, this map right here,
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my friends. Christian Hines says we are heading towards a future where something like this
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becomes what a narrow GOP majority in Congress looks like in 10 years. Extreme geographic
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polarization on the scale. America has not seen in over a century and a half. Never mind that the
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2030 census will gut multiple blue states.
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Indeed, this is what the map is going to look like after this war.
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Now, I'm going to pause and say maybe not even Nevada, to be completely honest.
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I got to tell you, I mean, you don't need to split those states in half.
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You can actually push this in a very, very different direction.
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But this argument is basically imagine looking at a map where there there's no middle ground, there's no battleground districts.
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It is going to be Democrat, Republican guaranteed every single time.
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Well, I got news for you. Republicans are going to have the edge.
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This means a stagnant Congress that never gets anything done.
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Now, I would be remiss if I did not give you at least a view coming from liberals as to what they think is happening.
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And I'd like to play this video from Max Flugrath, and then I will issue my rebuttal.
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Max says yesterday, the Supreme Court ripped away a core American freedom.
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The far right just has got one of the key voting protections, and their reason was effing insane.
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GOP states are now rushing to redraw maps and lock in power.
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Let's play the video and see what this here feller has to say.
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The Supreme Court just legalized discrimination. Well, kind of. Let me explain.
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Explain. Today, in a 6-3 ruling, the Supreme Court gutted Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act.
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It was the part of the law that protected against racially discriminatory voting maps.
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It stopped states from implementing unfair maps that crushed the voting power of Black and Brown
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Americans. The question the court was considering in this case was, is it discrimination to consider
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race when you're trying to fix voting maps that discriminate based on race? The court said yes.
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And that's insane. Actually, it's not. Let me explain. The arguments made in the Supreme Court,
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actually what Alito said in his opinion, is that maybe they expected some kind of sun setting.
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At the time, it made sense that there were certain historical inequities that needed to be remedied.
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By today's standard, that doesn't quite make sense. Things are very, very different.
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And if we just perpetuate districts based on race, then we never get away from voting
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Thus, the most effective thing to do to stop discrimination is to stop discriminating.
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This means that if you are a minority, I'm gonna put it this way.
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They call them majority minority districts.
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The problem is, if you're in that district and it's majority black, it's not majority
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This means Asians and Latinos are being discriminated against as well.
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A double edged sword problem for the left.
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Do you say that we will make an all black district even if it discriminates against Asians because you want black people to vote based on being black?
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So the issue now, Republicans must redraw these maps that have been known to be historically racially discriminatory.
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Democrats can use the same precedent and gerrymander their states to get rid of
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Republican seats because politics is totally allowed.
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Basically, they're saying you can't fix racist maps by acknowledging they're racist.
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And what did Trump have to say about the ruling?
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I don't really care for his stupid, insulting, playing Trump in a weird voice, which is odd.
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So let's just skip over that part. Basically, Trump says, is it good for us?
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okay, it's great. Then I like it. He says, I'll read it. This all feels coordinated.
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Indeed it does. Months ago, Florida's governor, Ron DeSantis said he would call a special session
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to get the legislature back to Tallahassee and redraw the congressional map because of this
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decision. This decision, the one that hadn't been issued yet. Originally, he scheduled the session
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for April 20th, but at the last second, he moved it back about a week and his timing lined up
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perfectly. They passed the new congressional map out of the Florida Senate today. And earlier this
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month, DeSantis predicted that Justice Alito, the far-right Supreme Court justice, would be the one
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writing this opinion. Far-right. Okay, let me just say something. There's no far-right and far-left
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justice. Arguably, you could say Ketanji Brown-Jackson is far-left. I don't actually think
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she's necessarily far-left. Alito has been in the court for some time. So has Thomas. They're not
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far-right. They're just regular conservative right. And the liberal justices are just American
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left. The court has not appointed new justices in long enough or young enough to actually be on the
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fringe of the political spectrum. Ketanji Brown Jackson, a little bit, but I'd argue like a maybe
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there. I know a lot of people have said, but she can't name what a woman is, but that's contemporary
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liberal. It's not, you know, maybe you could say she's far left. But again, I'm going to stress
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Alito represents actually just where Americans have been for a long time. You can't now move
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If you look at Mississippi, the governor, Tate Reeves, he put out a statement last Friday
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saying he would also call his legislature back for a special session to redraw a map.
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It was the state Supreme Court map, but what he didn't say is that he could amend that
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call to ask them to redraw a different map, maybe the state legislative map, maybe the
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And he put out that statement very late in the afternoon on a Friday, which is exactly
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what you do when you're trying to bury news. That is correct. That's where news goes to die.
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You don't want anyone talking about it. If you look at a couple of other states, Alabama,
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Louisiana, South Carolina, all had draft legislation or draft maps teed up and ready
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to go. It's almost like they were all ready and just waiting for the signal. But indeed they were.
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And I agree this strategy has always been in play. If they already control Congress,
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why do they need new maps? This has never been about unfair maps and it's never been about us,
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the voters. It's about them, the politicians, and their own power. It's also about money.
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The same corporations that corrupted and took over the Supreme Court,
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they want a Congress that will rubber stamp their agenda and just keep letting Trump do
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whatever he wants. I have no faith whatsoever in the Supreme Court to be largely agenda-driven.
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My principal disagreement with this here fellow, his hyper-focus on Republicans is misplaced.
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He's correct about all of the members of Congress wanting a clean shot.
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They don't want to have to deal with tough races or fundraising.
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The reason why Republicans are doing this is to prevent Democrats from taking power.
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This is a correction from yesterday because I didn't have the full picture there.
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Shout out to the Timcast Discord for correcting me and getting this on the record.
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The Biden DOJ said the new maps are racist because of the Voting Rights Act.
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You must make racially gerrymandered districts.
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This fight lasted until March of 2025, when the Trump administration finally got into power
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March 30, March 13, 2025, the Trump DOJ said, now that we have the DOJ, we are backing off
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The issue, this meant that in a mid decade, we are going to see a redistricting.
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Texas tried to redistrict in 2021, right after the census came in, and they were barred from
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doing so by a DOJ lawsuit. The only reason the redistricting happened now, mid-decade,
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it's not because the Trump administration pressured them to do it. It's because they
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were held up by the Biden DOJ, and the Trump DOJ removed that block, opening them up to finish
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their redistricting. Now, by all means, there was pressure from the DOJ and the Trump administration
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to not have racially discriminatory districts, taking the other view of the the opposite view
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of the Biden administration. This ultimately resulted in lawsuits, battles. And then
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under the guise of a secret trick, Democrats in several other states launched their redistricting
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efforts as well. And thus, the war begins. To be fair, the Democrats are going to argue that
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Texas was trying to eliminate minority majority minority districts because they're racist.
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and this goes back in time and it can be reduced ad nauseam. Eventually, we find ourselves
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back in the Civil War. Seriously, if you want to figure out who started the fight,
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it just keeps going back further and further because Democrats will be like, yeah, well,
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Republicans did this. Republicans go, that's because you did this. And then Democrats go,
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that's because you did this. And it just never, ever stops. Let's take a look at the law.
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I got this here from University of Michigan, Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, so you can
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understand it. And it says, whoa, whoa, whoa, there we go. Denial or abridgment of right to
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vote on account of race or color through voting qualifications or prerequisites,
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establishment of violation. No voting qualification or prerequisite to voting or standard practice or
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procedure shall be imposed or applied by any state or political subdivision in a matter which
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results in a denial or abridgment of the right of any citizen of the U.S. to vote on account of
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race, color, or contravention. Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. They say a violation of
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Subsection A, the Subsection Established If, blah, blah, blah. So the ruling before that
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Democrats were operating under is that if you did not create a district for black people,
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you were abridging their right to vote, which is dumb. But it's coming from the civil rights era.
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Alito and the majority of the court basically said, at this point, if you are telling people
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in a district they don't have an interest in voting because of their race that's discriminatory
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the only thing a person has guaranteed is that they won't have their district based on race
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in which case any district based on race gotta go so here we are my friends the democrats are
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apoplectic but the war is beginning i guarantee it my friends we're going to see republicans
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start pulling off these nuclear bombs, Democrats will respond because shout out to our friend who
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I only somewhat disagree with over here, Max Pflugrith. The one thing I can tell you is this
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was preplanned. I believe that Republicans had this ready to go, just like with Roe v. Wade.
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There were several states that had trigger laws or whatever they're called. Basically,
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they had laws in place that said the moment the precedent on Roe v. Wade is gone,
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a ban on abortion will go into effect. They didn't need a new session.
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The moment the Supreme Court issued their ruling, instantly abortion was illegal in several states.
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This is not too dissimilar. Republicans had legislation fired up, executive orders,
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calls for special sessions, ready to go. And as Max pointed out, even before the Supreme Court
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issued their ruling, they all knew it. It was coming in a pipeline and they were prepared,
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which makes me wonder, what else do you think is in mind? Well, let me tell you this.
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I guarantee it. There are probably lawsuits lined up and ready to go across the board in all of
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these states. It takes but one person to say, I am aggrieved to file that lawsuit. The challenge,
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The attorneys general in red states under the Supreme Court precedent may choose not
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to defend against the suit, but move to grant relief.
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And technically, the governors can just grant the relief they want.
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Let's say that there's an issue in my state that I take issue with, tax issue, for instance.
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So then I draft a lawsuit. I say I am going to sue the state for a 14th Amendment violation.
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This is this is not equal protection under the law. You are singling me out for a protected
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reason. I'm giving hypothetical, by the way. So what happens is the lawsuit goes to the desk of
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the attorney general. He sees the lawsuit and he reads it. He says, OK, this is targeting
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legislation in the state. If I if I disagree with this, I can defend the state against it.
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Well, let's say it targets a specific regulatory agency, but it has to do with, like, property tax something, so it goes to the West Virginia Tax Authority.
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He then goes to them and says, you are being sued to end this practice.
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Now, if the attorney general determines, I cannot win this lawsuit, he can tell the regulatory agency, I am not going to defend you.
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So in this instance, imagine a guy who lives in a gerrymandered district files a lawsuit.
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The lawsuit lands on the desk of the attorney general.
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He looks at it and says, we're not going to win.
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He goes to the governor and he says, this lawsuit is sound.
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The Supreme Court issued their ruling and there is no legal defense that I could reasonably
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We will call a special session and redraw the maps.
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An attorney general might say, we can't, he says, we can't win this, but I want to fight
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And the governor can say, don't waste your time.
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The attorney general could actually say, I think I can beat this.
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And the governor might still say, don't defend.
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Will the governors call special sessions and instruct their attorney generals, attorneys general, to just let it happen?
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The one thing I want to point out is that everybody says, oh, gerrymandering is so wrong.
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Not everything is gerrymandering that makes no sense.
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You got Worcester going up north to Cleveland for the 11th district.
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Now, you might say, what's with this weird little carve out right there in Illyria?
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Sometimes people look at maps like this and say, this is a weird gerrymander.
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And a congressional district needs to have 775,000 people.
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So the issue then is districts will look like this.
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You will get a district that looks like a big block with some weird shapes.
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and I actually think this is the appropriate way to do it. Balancing population density in certain
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areas, as well as the interests of that region. When you take a look at Coshocton, I'd argue at
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Cambridge and Zanesville, the people in Athens, the people, Mount Vernon, the people who live in
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these areas probably have a decent amount in common. They live in a relatively similar area.
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They probably have a lot of differences too, but they have more in common down there than they do
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with, say, Sandusky or Toledo. Now, what if they grabbed Mount Vernon and then stretched it up to
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Toledo and made one district? Well, now you've got groups that have nothing in common. That
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makes no sense. And thus, it's the gerrymander. So let's put it like this. With these new rules,
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theoretically, in this state, in Ohio, it could trigger, based on lawsuit, an argument that one
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of these is racially gerrymandered. I'm not saying they are, but someone might argue.
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You get a Democrat governor in one of these states, maybe Wisconsin or something that's
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got like slight left leaning, you know, in certain areas, and they can say, oh, you know
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But theoretically, Ohio, which doesn't look that bad, to be honest, I mean, the fifth
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However, what if they say we're going to redraw the whole map and then they do pull off creepy
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Democrat gerrymandering. I think that's what we could end up seeing in places like in Pennsylvania.
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Let me pull up PA's congressional map for you guys. PA congressional map from our good old
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friends at Wikipedia. I like the interactive map for Ohio. So Pennsylvania reportedly has two
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that are racially gerrymandered, and they probably have more to do with over here,
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the Pittsburgh area, as well as the Philadelphia area. Now, hold on there a gosh darn minute.
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under the guise of that, you might think, what if they redraw the maps to get rid of these
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Democrat gerrymandered districts? Sure. What if they get rid of the racially gerrymandered
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districts, but then create new politically gerrymandered districts? Basically, what happens
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is you actually have a hand, you know, a good mixed bag in Pennsylvania. They could go in and
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redraw it. So they create five new Democrat seats saying, but we're doing it to get rid of racism.
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Under the same argument Republicans have made, Democrats could do something similar.
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Based on the fact that the left is apoplectic, I'm going to argue this is a massive boon for
00:27:35.040
Republicans. With Slate saying the Supreme Court's conservatives just issued the worst ruling in a
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century. I can only just, well, let's do this. Let me tell you what they really mean. We're
00:27:45.140
going to right click this and we're going to inspect and we're going to go here and we're
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just going to double click this right here. We'll just there you go. And there we go. Fix the
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article. Did you know you could do that? A lot of you did. You can inspect an article and just
00:27:59.140
change the text temporarily. The Supreme Court's conservatives just issued the best ruling in a
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century. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I know. I know. It's not really what they're saying, but they may as
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well be saying it. Because my friends, this is where we're headed. No more racially gerrymandered
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districts. Here's Illinois. Here's the ridiculous Illinois. You want to play games? Take a look at
00:28:24.900
the Rockford to Peoria district, this weird strip. None of that makes sense. Take a look at the 13th,
00:28:30.800
which is Champaign to East St. Louis and Springfield. How does that make sense? I suppose
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the argument they'll make is the interests of the big cities make more sense together than putting
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a city in a giant rural area where they're at odds with each other, right? Maybe. The only issue is
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you have fabricated a Democrat district. Yeah, it's fabricated. There would not be a member
00:28:57.400
of Congress for Democrats. It should just be that, sorry, these cities are in the minority
00:29:02.300
in Southern Illinois. And thus, my friends, Democrats have paved the way for the Nazi guy.
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Well, to be fair, he's in Maine. He was going to win either way. But that's what we're getting.
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The Democrats claim they're anti-fascist. They don't like Nazis, but they push for racial
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segregation, racially segregated districts. The candidate in Maine with the Nazi tattoo.
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I'm just sitting here being like, guys, at what point are y'all going to realize
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they want race policy. They want racial segregation. They like Nazis. Not every
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single one. I think you're one of the mill Democrat doesn't. But how how are they voting
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for that guy? Whatever. To be fair, I got to at least say everyone deserves a path towards
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redemption. And if he's saying he doesn't want to do it, you know, with the Nazi tattoo and he
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gets it covered up. Well, OK, fine. He apologized either way. Maximum warfare.
00:29:55.940
This is the potential scenario. If they redistrict in the South, and it looks like Louisiana already
00:30:02.380
is, Republicans will gain 12 seats. Here's the truth. My friends, if they deported every illegal
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immigrant, Republicans would gain four seats. If they got rid of racially gerrymandered districts,
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Republicans would gain 30 seats. If we actually had governance based on fairness, merit, industry,
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et cetera, this would be a Republican majority country. But the Democrats have long sought to
00:30:29.140
win using procedure. The only thing they're really mad about, Republicans are using procedure against
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them. The truth is, they all suck. You're not going to get much of what you want from anybody.
1.00
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Two political factions fighting for power, knifing each other in the back and dragging
00:30:46.000
everyone down with them. But hey, isn't that always how politics has worked? I can only say
00:30:51.220
to all of you hope for the best prepare for the worst and it's gonna get crazy smash that like
00:30:57.140
button my friends share the show with everyone you know thanks so much for hanging out you can
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find me on x and instagram at timcast we're back tonight 8 p.m for timcast IRL and we'll see you all