The Culture War - Tim Pool - TRUMP HAS WON, THE WAR IS ENDING

00:00:00.000 The war with Iran is over. Yesterday, breaking news, the U.S. and Iran have reached a deal.

00:00:06.880 Trump said he's getting all of the armada out of there. We're going to be reopening the strait

00:00:11.060 come Friday. A deal will be signed. The strait of Hormuz will be opened and gas prices are already

00:00:17.740 coming down. Oil is down. Stocks are up. Everybody's happy because it's finally over. That's

00:00:24.840 right. Ladies and gentlemen, this, this time it's officially done. The war is over. The plan is in

00:00:32.000 place. Pakistan helped negotiate. This will be the time we can definitively say, if you know what I

00:00:39.220 mean. Yeah, I'm not entirely convinced. And I hate covering the story to be completely honest,

00:00:44.400 because Trump's been yo-yoing. We've had four major announcements of a peace deal that haven't

00:00:49.720 come through. So I'm not, again, entirely convinced this is actually going to play out

00:00:56.060 the way everyone is presuming it will play out right now. Conservatives are all running to X

00:01:00.560 being like Trump has done it. He's got a deal. Democrats are saying he surrendered. And we've

00:01:06.720 been here already. Guys, I already covered the story where Democrats called it a surrender.

00:01:12.980 We already complained that Democrats were not giving Trump a single good day, yet here we go again.

00:01:21.560 Perhaps this time it won't be a yo-yo, and there will actually be some kind of deal, but it has to come soon.

00:01:29.120 We are only about four and a half months away from the midterm elections, and Donald Trump needs some economic victories.

00:01:37.920 I tell you this, most people probably don't care all that much about the Iran war.

00:01:42.480 It's used largely as a wedge issue by people.

00:01:45.960 They want to be mad about something.

00:01:47.940 I got to be honest.

00:01:49.000 No, no, no, hold on.

00:01:50.000 I can already hear the people who understand the idea of macro-level politics

00:01:54.180 complaining that they really do care about this.

00:01:56.880 Guys, I know there are a lot of you out there that deeply care about the war with Iran.

00:02:01.300 What I am saying is that in the American political sphere,

00:02:03.980 I'm telling you this right now, ain't nobody cares.

00:02:07.000 You know what people want to talk about?

00:02:08.480 Michelle Obama being a man.

00:02:09.980 because that dude at the UFC fight yelled it out.

00:02:15.540 And you know, I know this.

00:02:16.640 I track social media trend data

00:02:18.260 and I've been watching all of this stuff.

00:02:20.860 And there's a couple reasons why I've laid back

00:02:23.520 on talking about the Iran war.

00:02:25.800 No new developments, nothing is changing,

00:02:28.860 little blips here and there.

00:02:30.120 And every single time they announce

00:02:32.000 they have a peace agreement, it falls apart days later.

00:02:35.160 Where are we now?

00:02:36.600 Well, apparently Iran is arguing

00:02:38.780 they're going to get a bunch of money unfrozen. They're going to get a bunch of IMF funding.

00:02:43.280 And the Trump administration is saying this is absolutely not true. So here we go again. But

00:02:48.300 don't worry. I will have the video for you now. And, you know, I say fool me once. Fool me once.

00:02:55.820 Shame on you. Fool me twice. This is big news and it is being reported as though it is the end of

00:03:01.760 this conflict. Gas prices are coming down. The stocks are improving. This actually might be it.

00:03:08.780 I guess. So we'll do this again. We'll show you the news, the breakdown, the arguments. And of

00:03:14.620 course, the Democrats being angry, calling it a surrender. And the reason why I love that

00:03:19.020 is because the Democrats are like, oh, no, Trump started a war. And then Trump's like,

00:03:23.200 OK, I have a peace agreement running the war. Oh, no, Trump's surrendering.

00:03:26.520 It just shows that these people are not serious about anything. We've got the news in the Wall

00:03:31.800 Street Journal. Before we get started, my friends, head over to TimCast.com and join the TimCast

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00:04:01.260 you support the work that we do here. You support videos like this, and we need you.

00:04:05.800 We can't do it without you.

00:04:07.660 You know, truth be told, many people have checked out of politics right now.

00:04:10.520 It's the summer.

00:04:11.160 It's a midterm.

00:04:11.740 Who cares, they say.

00:04:13.260 But right now, it's the most important fight ever.

00:04:16.700 If the Democrats take the House in November, we're going to see a resurgence of woke.

00:04:23.460 We're going to see subpoenas.

00:04:24.500 And I had to be so overtly partisan, but that's what we can expect to see.

00:04:29.360 Now, I'm not a big fan of the Republican Party.

00:04:30.900 I think they're largely no good, but there's a lot of good individual candidates out there.

00:04:35.200 Staying apprised and staying informed and staying involved is the key, and we need you.

00:04:39.760 Join us.

00:04:40.880 Let's get to the news.

00:04:41.760 We got this from the Wall Street Journal.

00:04:44.380 And, you know, I say this, guys.

00:04:46.140 You may be saying, Tim, if you think nobody cares about this, why are you doing a video on it?

00:04:49.340 Well, because this is history.

00:04:51.000 And whether this is the fifth yo-yo or not, I got the stats for you.

00:04:55.140 We should talk about it.

00:04:57.100 The U.S. and Iran have reached a deal to stop fighting and reopen shipping.

00:05:01.180 Signing this plan for Friday, marking a potential breakthrough in the war.

00:05:04.120 that has roiled the global economy. They say a deal is set to be signed Friday, President Trump

00:05:10.300 and Pakistani negotiators said. Trump had earlier indicated he hoped a deal would be signed Sunday.

00:05:16.020 Neither side provided a specific list of agreed upon details in the deal. Trump said the Strait

00:05:21.140 of Hormuz would be reopened on Friday, indicating in a social media post that the time was needed

00:05:26.800 for purposes of mine removal. In an earlier post, Trump said that Iran's restrictions on shipping

00:05:33.080 in the strait and the U.S. naval blockade on Iran would be simultaneously and immediately lifted.

00:05:39.660 Quote, following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce the peace deal between the U.S.

00:05:44.080 and the Islamic Republic of Iran has been reached, said Shabazz Sharif, prime minister and lead

00:05:49.820 mediator of Pakistan in a social media post. Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent

00:05:55.760 termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, except Israel's come out and

00:06:00.800 said, we are not bound by the United States agreements. We can do what we want. Once again,

00:06:05.560 threatening the contentious peace agreement. That's why I say it's probably going to fall

00:06:10.820 apart, right? The government of Tehran later confirmed the deal has been struck. The text

00:06:14.720 of the memorandum of understanding has been finalized, said Iran's deputy foreign minister,

00:06:18.880 Kazem Garabadi. He said Iranian threats of attacks on Israel had put pressure on the U.S.

00:06:25.240 to reach a deal. Trump on Sunday called on Israeli officials to cease attacks inside Lebanon,

00:06:31.780 something Iran suggested was key to its acceptance of the deal. One senior U.S. official said that

00:06:37.760 while the U.S. was hopeful a formal deal would be struck this week, there were still some details

00:06:42.620 to be ironed out. As they work on the final details in the coming days, negotiators will

00:06:46.980 have to deal with detractors both in the U.S. and Middle East. A number of conservative voices have

00:06:51.600 urge Trump not to trust Iran. And likewise, hardliners in Iran have argued against cutting

00:06:55.840 a deal with the U.S. But economic benefits to both countries, if a deal is clinched, could be

00:06:59.480 significant. Since the war began in February, a jump in energy prices have driven up costs for

00:07:03.660 millions of Americans, and the U.S. blockade of Iranian ships has throttled Tehran. The agreement 0.76

00:07:09.680 is believed to pave the way for a 60-day period of negotiations over Tehran's controversial

00:07:14.900 nuclear program. Yeah, which they won't give up. They've been refusing to give up. So again, guys,

00:07:19.960 I'm not playing games. Let's throw it to our good friend Grok over here. How many times has Trump

00:07:25.260 announced a peace deal in the current Iran war? At least three or four major announcements of

00:07:30.620 ceasefires or framework deals, plus dozens of claims it was imminent. Dozens, dozens. I got

00:07:38.960 to say it again. Dozens. I look, I like the Trump administration. I do. I voted for Trump, not in

00:07:44.700 2016, but in 2020, 24, I've been vote Republican. Not a big fan of the Republican Party. I think

00:07:50.360 they're weak. But come on, guys. I'm not going to sit here and just be like, Trump's the greatest.

00:07:55.400 Why? A week from now when this falls apart, hoping it doesn't. But if it does, I'm not going to sit

00:08:00.280 here and make 12 videos where I'm like, we have a deal. We don't have it. We have a deal. That'd

00:08:04.780 be 24, actually. If there's dozens, if he actually has 20, let's say he's got just minimum 24 claims.

00:08:13.320 The deal was imminent.

00:08:15.280 I have to make 48 videos.

00:08:17.080 I have to make the deal is imminent.

00:08:18.680 Then I make another video.

00:08:19.600 The deal is off.

00:08:20.580 The deal.

00:08:21.140 You see what I'm saying?

00:08:21.840 Look at this.

00:08:22.960 April 7th to 8th, Trump announced a Pakistan brokered two-week ceasefire.

00:08:27.720 Iran was to open the Strait of Hormuz as part of it.

00:08:30.060 And I remember when we were like, he's done it.

00:08:32.780 The tensions are de-escalating.

00:08:35.180 April 21st, Trump announced an indefinite extension of the ceasefire while keeping the

00:08:39.600 naval blockade in place.

00:08:41.280 June 11th, Trump announced a further 60-day ceasefire.

00:08:44.960 And then June 14th, he announced the framework is now complete with the U.S. lifting its naval blockade.

00:08:50.140 So, OK, OK, I don't need to be a negative Nancy.

00:08:53.360 Trump did say he's pulling U.S. ships out.

00:08:56.200 And that is a major sign of victory, my friends. 0.74

00:09:00.060 But you know what?

00:09:00.940 What matters to you the most?

00:09:02.840 Oil prices sink to lowest levels in months after Trump touts Iran deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz.

00:09:09.720 amazing, my friends. And I got the gas prices right here for you, and they are not good.

00:09:15.600 They are not good. We needed this desperately. Now, the funny thing is, take a look at this.

00:09:20.620 The current average for regular is $4. Mid-grade's $4.50, and premium's $5. I'm averaging. I'm

00:09:26.520 rounding. I'm rounding, right? So it's $4.06 for regular, $4.54 for mid-grade, and $4.93 for

00:09:33.360 premium. Diesel's at 519. E85 is at 315. E85, awful. Well, out here in the good old West

00:09:42.660 Virginia and Virginia and Maryland, gas is actually down. You can see here the charts showing it

00:09:47.920 around 385 to 369. By us, it's 330. So I don't know what they're saying. They're saying it's

00:09:54.000 higher than that? Nah, it's fairly cheap over here. These are the national gas prices. They

00:09:59.280 need to come down four bucks is brutal four bucks is is inflationary nightmare it's no good so this

00:10:06.980 is good news this is good good news that uh we're starting to see look at this one stocks leap

00:10:12.560 worldwide and oil prices drop after the u.s and iran reach a tentative deal on the war

00:10:17.980 this means your gas prices are gonna take a dramatic drop off so long as this is maintained

00:10:23.860 you'll be getting more relief. This is what Trump needs. Now, this morning I was for the my 1 p.m.

00:10:30.720 segment, I was talking about this South Park episode where Cartman gets a million dollars

00:10:35.620 and then Kyle's all mad. Like, why would God give Cartman a million dollars? Right.

00:10:39.980 And then Cartman buys an amusement park with it. And Kyle's just like, I don't understand why a

00:10:44.280 bad person gets so much good stuff. God, why are you doing this? And he loses his faith.

00:10:47.860 It's a hemorrhoid. That's the show, you know, at South Park. But sure enough, Cartman loses

00:10:52.380 everything. He can't pay the taxes. The park starts falling apart. He has to hire people

00:10:55.880 and he loses his dream and the money. And the idea is that God gave him a glimpse

00:11:01.320 and it actually made him suffer more. And so what I say is this.

00:11:06.600 One of the ideas around what we're seeing and the reason why Trump doesn't care as much,

00:11:11.140 there is a plan in place with the war in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. I believe

00:11:14.660 that they intentionally were keeping the Strait closed. That's why they keep yo-yoing these deals

00:11:19.020 because seriously, at any point Trump wants it open, he can open it.

00:11:22.580 But then everyone's saying, why would Trump make gas prices worse and drive inflation?

00:11:26.000 It's bad for him.

00:11:27.020 And I said, because November's not here yet.

00:11:29.560 And three months is an eternity in an election, let alone four and a half.

00:11:33.880 So what is it?

00:11:35.160 It's kind of like that.

00:11:36.820 You make, you change the circumstance and then change the adaptation.

00:11:40.520 Now, in the instance of South Park, I'm referencing a really good thing happens to Cartman.

00:11:43.300 When he loses that good thing, now he feels miserable.

00:11:46.200 He's more worse, he's worse off now than he was before.

00:11:49.020 flip it around. Gas prices go up and everybody's miserable. Then they come back down and everybody's 0.83

00:11:54.640 celebrating. And that's the game, right? It's kind of like, you know, if it's like really hot out

00:11:59.400 and then you go into the covers and you're way hotter. When you take the covers off,

00:12:03.140 you just feel cool. It's all relative. Temperature, sensation, relative. So here's what I think.

00:12:10.020 I think they know this full well. It's a basic marketing tenant, right? So Donald Trump says,

00:12:16.160 We're going to go in.

00:12:17.440 We're going to do all of these things.

00:12:18.900 Let me pull up my favorite thing to do here is that Google Earth, Google Earth, we'll

00:12:23.800 talk about the Strait of Hormuz, and it's right here.

00:12:26.900 So you may be saying, Tim, I don't understand nothing about nothing.

00:12:29.680 What's going on?

00:12:30.520 Okay, let's just start with this.

00:12:32.880 20% of the world's oil comes from the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz and out

00:12:36.500 to the world.

00:12:37.380 It's been shut down for months.

00:12:39.380 Been very, very bad.

00:12:40.660 Very, very bad.

00:12:41.380 So let's start from the beginning.

00:12:42.860 What are the first things that Trump does when he gets in office? 0.80

00:12:45.680 They start blowing up these narco boats in the Caribbean, all throughout this area right here. 1.00

00:12:50.680 Interesting. 1.00

00:12:51.400 Now, why?

00:12:51.820 Now, these ships are headed to Europe.

00:12:53.060 For what reason?

00:12:54.860 First, I'm just going to give you the whole layout.

00:12:57.320 I believe they were being taken out to clear criminal lanes out of the Caribbean because we're going to get a lot of traffic and shipping.

00:13:04.240 Surrounded Cuba, isolating Cuba.

00:13:06.360 Why? 0.62

00:13:07.660 Because oil is going to be exported from the Gulf at large, large numbers, and we want full control.

00:13:14.600 We don't want adversarial actions from Cuba.

00:13:18.760 We seized Venezuela.

00:13:20.060 So let's start. 1.00

00:13:21.640 We blow up the narco boats, clearing traffic lanes. 1.00

00:13:24.220 We take Venezuela, seizing the largest oil producer in the world, getting our oil at 1.00

00:13:28.820 its back.

00:13:29.480 We surround Cuba, sanction them, and their government is on the verge of collapse.

00:13:33.720 Trump secures Panama with a new deal and begins working on a new deal for the Northwest Passage.

00:13:37.740 The U.S. is pumping oil like crazy and now exporting from the newly renamed Gulf of America, which Trump renamed.

00:13:48.180 We can then jump over to the Middle East where Trump sends an armada to the Strait of Hormuz.

00:13:52.440 The armada is literally there.

00:13:54.080 Then war with Iran breaks out and the Strait is closed, cutting off China and other countries, even allies, from large amounts of their oil imports.

00:14:05.880 China gets between 40% and 50% from the Strait of Hormuz.

00:14:09.760 So again, Trump renamed the Gulf to the Gulf of America,

00:14:13.160 cleared traffic lanes, took over Venezuela,

00:14:16.220 opened up the trade routes,

00:14:17.140 and now the U.S. is one of the largest,

00:14:20.800 if not the largest oil exporter,

00:14:23.020 and OPEC is in shambles,

00:14:25.340 and we are exporting more oil than we ever have

00:14:28.700 since World War II.

00:14:31.300 Massive for U.S. energy production.

00:14:33.660 So, my friends, Trump renamed the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America.

00:14:40.200 And why did he do it?

00:14:41.640 Well, let me just say this. 0.99

00:14:43.520 First and foremost, Gulf of Mexico was always a dumb name. 0.98

00:14:45.940 I got to be honest. 0.97

00:14:48.000 Depending on how you square it, Mexico might have slightly more coastal territory, I guess,

00:14:58.540 mileage than the U.S. does.

00:15:00.800 I don't think that really matters.

00:15:01.780 What matters is this continent is north of America.

00:15:05.520 It has a Gulf.

00:15:06.920 It is the Gulf of America.

00:15:08.840 Does it mean Gulf of the United States?

00:15:11.280 And all these people got really mad.

00:15:12.640 They were like, we don't like that Trump is doing it. 1.00

00:15:13.840 Shut up. 1.00

00:15:15.080 But here's the point. 1.00

00:15:16.220 This is the plan.

00:15:17.980 I believe the plan is patently obvious to anybody who's been paying attention.

00:15:21.800 Everything the Trump admin has been doing has been in line with being a massive energy

00:15:26.260 exporter in the Gulf, even renaming it.

00:15:28.840 Why?

00:15:29.120 So that they can say the Gulf of America sees more oil exports than any other region.

00:15:36.600 America.

00:15:37.780 Trump doesn't want to say Gulf of Mexico because Mexico's a country.

00:15:41.240 Trump wants it to be America.

00:15:44.000 Apparently, the Emirates has dropped out of OPEC.

00:15:45.800 OPEC screwed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

00:15:49.760 So, as I've long argued, if Trump wanted the Strait of Hormuz open, he just need not go to war with Iran.

00:15:56.240 If he wanted it open, he could just leave whenever he wants.

00:15:59.960 And I hear people say, oh, but he's a political victory.

00:16:02.620 That's meaningless.

00:16:04.400 The average person doesn't even understand.

00:16:07.360 So when they say that Trump's got a deal and it's going to be reopening,

00:16:10.240 none of these people who are angry about gas prices are going like,

00:16:13.480 well, with the new Ayatollah being missing, I wonder how this will affect stability in the region.

00:16:19.220 They're not arguing that.

00:16:20.440 But the percentage in the MOU, will it surpass the Obama administration?

00:16:23.960 No, no one is thinking this.

00:16:26.240 No one is thinking. Donald Trump doesn't need a political victory from starting or stopping or whatever he's doing in the war. He gets it through PR. You could literally you could you could steal a lollipop from a child in front of the whole town and still get a political victory from it.

00:16:44.920 How? Well, everybody witnessed it. And they're saying, I watched the mayor steal a lollipop from a child. And the mayor holds a press conference saying, we successfully apprehended a drug trafficker. It was a child, which is shocking and scary, horrifying for the poor child. And the lollipop we took contained drugs.

00:17:06.060 you get your political victory through PR campaigns, not through the actions that you

00:17:12.100 are or are not taking. But don't get me wrong, my friends. You get he's getting from both sides.

00:17:18.700 Bill Hammer worries Trump's being suckered into the Iran deal. You've got I love I love Mark

00:17:23.980 Levin. He's basically like, why aren't we just Israel? Why aren't we just Israel? No matter what

00:17:29.320 it is. I just can't stand these people. Guys, I don't care if you hate or like Israel. All of

00:17:36.520 it's annoying to me. I want to know what the United States is doing for the United States-ians, 1.00

00:17:40.400 okay? For the United States-ian public. Democrat Senator declares we should be glad Trump waved 0.72

00:17:47.320 the white flag. See, this is what I'm talking about. You want a political victory? This is

00:17:53.380 the game they're playing. Donald Trump could literally run into a burning building and

00:17:58.580 carry out like four small children under each arm sweating. He could be seriously burned and 0.81

00:18:06.040 sacrifice his life and say, if there is anything I have done in my life that was good, it was saving

00:18:12.340 these children. And they would still attack him for it. The man got shot in the side of the head

00:18:18.440 and he faked it. So Donald Trump, he goes to war with Iran and they're like, this is the worst

00:18:25.400 thing imaginable. Why are we at war? This is bad. Then Trump's like, okay, we're going to stop the

00:18:30.140 war. We're going to do a deal. And they're like, no, you're surrendering. It's just that these are

00:18:34.280 not serious people, my friends, not serious people. I try to approach all of these things

00:18:39.500 from an elevated view, try to understand what's going on. Is it good? Is it bad? Look, Trump's

00:18:43.660 yo-yoed this. I'm not going to just pretend. There's a lot of people, you know, I got people

00:18:47.520 in the Trump admin, they get mad. They say, Tim, you know, you're being mean. Listen,

00:18:51.280 we need the SAVE Act. Where's the SAVE Act? You go after masks, you don't go after Thune, okay?

00:18:55.400 I'm going to criticize you for that one. 0.99

00:18:57.100 We get involved in this war with Iran. 0.99

00:18:58.420 I think there's a plan. 0.99

00:18:59.500 But you yo-yo back and forth.

00:19:00.980 I'm going to call it out.

00:19:02.640 Whatever it is, whatever your plan is, best of luck to you.

00:19:05.400 But I'm just going to say what is happening.

00:19:07.400 I'm not here to defend you.

00:19:08.560 But the funny thing is, the funny thing is about this political landscape is that things are so hyper bifurcated.

00:19:14.220 Most people are just like, got to just defend your tribe.

00:19:18.220 You know, this is why these libs don't like debating me.

00:19:20.280 Because, you know, I sit down with the Lib and they'll say, like, January 6th was bad.

00:19:26.080 And I'll go, yes, it was.

00:19:28.480 And May 20th was bad, too.

00:19:30.100 What's that?

00:19:30.720 Ah, you didn't know.

00:19:32.180 You see what they expect in these culture war things is no matter what, like Trump supporters

00:19:37.780 got to defend Trump on everything he does.

00:19:39.640 Democrats got to defend Democrats on everything they do.

00:19:41.980 And both sides got to condemn each other all the time.

00:19:44.900 And I'm like, man, I don't like Democrats, guys.

00:19:48.060 I voted Republican in the past several elections. It's probably going to stay that way for the time

00:19:51.980 being because of the weird woke stuff. But I got no problem calling out Republicans.

00:19:55.440 My point here is this is not real. We should be glad that Trump waved the white flag. Oh, okay.

00:20:01.680 You and Mark Levin both. Chris Murphy accused Trump of surrendering to Iran. It's just nothing.

00:20:09.140 There's nothing you can do no matter what you do, Trump. No matter what you do.

00:20:14.020 Trump could literally give away all of his money and like Trump could announce he's resigning to

00:20:20.680 go live out his last few years on a Buddhist temple to center himself. He could literally

00:20:26.160 apologize to them. I kid you not. If Trump came out and was like, I am sorry to Democrats.

00:20:31.580 I admit everything you said was true and I'm a bad guy. So I'm resigning, giving away all my

00:20:36.140 money. I'm gonna go live in a mountain. And they'd be like, you think you can walk away?

00:20:40.440 This is exactly like Trump. There is nothing, nothing the man can do, nothing.

00:20:47.140 So Murphy, Murphy reacted to Trump's emerging peace agreement with Iran on Sunday night,

00:20:52.020 writing, who knows if there will be a final agreement, but if there is, two things will be

00:20:55.900 true. It's essentially surrender to. We should be glad about it, because every day this insane

00:21:03.240 illegal war continues. We get weaker. More war would make things worse.

00:21:07.820 i'm just i'm just so tired i am so tired of these people these unserious people

00:21:17.760 oil prices are down gas is getting cheaper it's been rough it's been rough my friends

00:21:25.880 do they have the uh the gas chart on this thing year ago gas was three bucks it's up about 80

00:21:34.560 $0.90. It's not good. It's not good. Diesel is the one you really got to pay attention to because

00:21:41.060 this is the price of all other goods. You know, if diesel goes up 20%, you're going to see it

00:21:45.220 across the board. People are going to tighten their belts. But you know what we need? We need

00:21:50.380 the prices to come down. So I just say absolutely fantastic. Absolutely fantastic. Get the oil

00:21:55.840 flowing. Get the oil flowing. Get the prices down, everybody. And the reason the prices go up

00:22:00.980 doesn't have to do entirely with the United States. It has to do with demand from other

00:22:05.260 countries because the Gulf was closed. This has severely hurt the OPEC nations as well as China

00:22:11.080 and even some of our allies. But again, my theory on all this is that Trump intentionally gave the

00:22:16.320 world a fever. He knew that it would hurt them more than it hurts us. Look, I go through the

00:22:22.280 map. I got to tell you guys, please, I want to be proven wrong. But understand this. The

00:22:30.080 assessments that I make, I make because I've already considered most of what the Democrats,

00:22:36.540 the conservatives, the libs, the cons have to say. And I was saying this to Brian Shapiro last week

00:22:43.440 when he's talking about the war in Israel. I'm like, this is my point. Brian, I've already

00:22:48.200 considered everything you have to say. I'm going to give a shout out to Benjamin, who was on the

00:22:54.300 show, and he said we should debank illegal immigrants because that was a good one. I have 1.00

00:22:59.440 not considered that as a potential, but it's the best I've heard. The idea is if you're an illegal

00:23:04.560 immigrant, you can't have a bank account. And if you're a legal immigrant, your bank account is

00:23:09.220 attached to your visa. And when your visa expires, your bank account expires too. And that helps us

00:23:14.580 deal with the people who overstay their visa. Because Brian's like, well, a lot of these

00:23:19.820 illegal immigrants just overstayed their visa. Like, yeah, your bank account, gone. And then what? 0.99

00:23:24.260 It's a brilliant idea. And I give him credit because I hadn't actually considered that.

00:23:27.360 That is a good idea. It is. But I tell you this, I don't know everything, but I think a lot and I read a lot. And when I look at the world map and I look at all of the public reporting on everything Donald Trump has done, my conclusion ultimately is Trump's plan seems pretty obvious.

00:23:45.080 He renames the Gulf. He takes out the criminal gangs that are operating in the region.

00:23:49.900 Security reasons. He secures a deal with Panama. All of these pieces line up perfectly. 0.92

00:23:56.060 There are pieces we can't see because of classifications. But it blows my mind that

00:24:00.440 after witnessing all of this, people come out and go, Trump's got no plan. Are you kidding?

00:24:05.160 You mean to tell me that like the 15 global historic events that took place all lined up

00:24:11.340 with U.S. energy dominance were accidents? Yes. Guys, you can make an argument that I'm wrong.

00:24:17.960 I'm willing to listen. But if you can't account for all of the variables that I have proposed,

00:24:24.080 you are not convincing anybody except those who want to be convinced. And if you that's you,

00:24:29.460 that's fine. And the people are like, Israel made us do it. Well, it's certainly true, 0.89

00:24:34.160 according to Rubio, that Israel announced they were going to be striking Iran. So the U.S. got

00:24:38.500 on board, but the armada was already there. And all of the actions that had been taken to mitigate

00:24:44.640 the loss of oil had already taken place. My conclusion, probability dictates Trump was

00:24:51.660 intentionally damaging OPEC, boosting U.S. energy infrastructure, oil production, cutting China off.

00:24:58.600 The question you might ask is, but why? But why? China was expected to overtake the United States

00:25:06.160 in 2027. That was like 15 years ago. Now they're pushed back to like 2037 and falling. The Chinese

00:25:13.520 economy is bad. OK, so somebody goes to Trump and says, watch this video of China speaking to

00:25:20.380 Blinken under the Biden administration. And they said, all right, you are not coming from a position

00:25:24.520 of power. China, how dare you? So I think it's pretty obvious. Trump says we're going to choke

00:25:30.700 them out of their energy, mass produce ours. We will grow faster. It's why the AI race and all of

00:25:36.440 that stuff is happening, too. We're going to grow faster than they can. And Trump's going to choke

00:25:41.300 them out. So they're struggling with energy imports. OPEC is in shambles, but the U.S.

00:25:46.220 is expanding rapidly. That's the plan, baby. So. I don't know why this would actually end now.

00:25:55.180 They say it will.

00:25:56.580 Maybe Trump is finally ready to stop.

00:26:00.780 Okay.

00:26:02.340 So I know that most of you have dealt with high prices, inflation, and it's been bad.

00:26:07.940 And that's why a lot of these people want to say that Trump is screwing up.

00:26:11.580 They want to affect you in the short term, but it's a bad play.

00:26:15.120 Because, again, we're four and a half months out from the midterms, and that's an eternity.

00:26:22.680 Trump knows.

00:26:23.300 He said this in an interview.

00:26:24.240 I love the inflation because when the war ends, it's going to come way, way down. Indeed.

00:26:29.820 So how do Democrats account for this? There's some dude out there right now. He's probably like 28,

00:26:35.400 29 years old, right? He's got a job and he's seen the prices go up and he's hurting some young lady

00:26:40.960 all the same. Democrats are complaining about high prices and inflation. Then Trump announces

00:26:47.600 the war is over. And then what happens? Over the next month or two, prices start coming down.

00:26:52.480 Republicans are going to start saying these things.

00:26:54.120 Trump's going to be like, I told you the prices would come down.

00:26:57.200 That's the work that we did.

00:26:59.320 Democrats will start trying to play this game.

00:27:01.960 Yes, prices are down, but they're only up because of Trump and starting this war.

00:27:05.640 And that won't work.

00:27:06.860 It won't work because you're asking for multi-ordered thinking.

00:27:10.240 And therein lies the point.

00:27:12.640 No one is remembering.

00:27:14.940 Guys, you know, let me say this.

00:27:18.280 Isn't it crazy to think that 10 years ago was only a couple of years ago, right?

00:27:23.340 Young people, millennials, they're not young anymore, but young Gen Z millennials keep

00:27:28.540 saying like, wow, I can't believe I'm 40.

00:27:30.280 Time is flying.

00:27:32.060 Indeed.

00:27:33.420 And the point is, how many of you actually remember what gas, what you were feeling in

00:27:39.640 January when it came to gas prices?

00:27:41.660 Most people don't remember at all.

00:27:43.980 Now, I read all this stuff all the time.

00:27:45.500 I checked the charts, so I know gas was cheaper a year ago. But your average voter, if even 5%

00:27:52.180 are motivated to vote Republican because it feels better, that's all that matters.

00:27:58.460 I read this story once. A paraplegic, one year after the accident that paralyzed them,

00:28:04.660 and a lottery winner, one year after winning millions of dollars, register the same levels

00:28:10.820 of happiness. Indeed. And I have this conversation with people all the time, because I always hear

00:28:16.820 people complaining about something. And they'll say like, man, I just, I just, man, I need money.

00:28:22.780 You know, it's like so rough. And I'm like, you'll always need money. Always. There will never come a

00:28:27.140 time, never, never, where you're not worried about the money. Jeff Bezos, he's worried about the

00:28:32.660 money. Elon Musk is worried about the money. Because money is the representation of economics,

00:28:39.460 of household management. I'll tell you this. I'm well off. I've been very successful. I've made

00:28:45.300 lots of money. Lots and lots of money. I worry about the money all the time because it's a

00:28:53.680 system. To put it mildly, certainly for a lot of people, you can retire, but then you're worried

00:29:00.200 about the money. So I hear this all the time from people that if only I had the money, I could do

00:29:05.000 this. If only I had the money I could do that. But the truth is, when people are doing bad

00:29:09.080 because inflation goes up, you'll hear it. It will have an impact. However, when things start

00:29:16.200 getting better, people feel like you've solved the problem and they don't remember before that.

00:29:22.360 They just feel the relief. So I put it like this. Imagine carrying 50 pound weights on your

00:29:29.720 shoulders all day, every day. It sucks. And then one day Donald Trump comes over and he takes him 0.99

00:29:36.520 off and you're like, wow, I feel so good. I feel so light and everything feels so easy.

00:29:42.660 That's that's that's the game. That's politics in a nutshell. I'm not saying it was on purpose.

00:29:48.240 I'm saying that this will have a beneficial effect in the midterms. Trump knows that everybody else

00:29:52.540 knows it. Democrats can lie, but that's why they keep saying no matter what he does, he's wrong

00:29:57.260 because they have to because they have to. I'm going to wrap it up there, my friend.

00:30:02.980 Smash the like button. Share the show with everyone you know. We're back tonight at 8

00:30:07.060 p.m. for Timcast IRL. Thanks for hanging out. We will see you all then.

00:30:27.260 Thank you.

The Culture War - Tim Pool - June 15, 2026

TRUMP HAS WON, THE WAR IS ENDING

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