The Culture War - Tim Pool - June 15, 2026


TRUMP HAS WON, THE WAR IS ENDING

Topics
deal between US and Iran trump peace deal claims oil prices oil prices
Hosted by
Tim Pool Phil Labonte Hannah Claire Brimelow
Mentioned
Donald Trump Brian Shapiro Chris Murphy Michelle Obama Mark Levin Hormuz Kyle Shabazz Sharif Kazem Gharibabadi Bill Hemmer Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Gen Z Ayatollah Benjamin Nancy Rubio Biden Grok
Trump Admin Drops NEW UFO VIDEOS Leftist UFC Terror Plot Intended To Start CIVIL WAR Say Reports

Episode Stats


Length

30 minutes

Words per minute

180.56

Word count

5,589

Sentence count

575

Harmful content

Toxicity

10

sentences flagged

Hate speech

18

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

The Iran deal is done. The war is over. Gas prices are down, oil is up, stocks are up, and the dollar is rising. This is a good day to be a member of the TimCast community.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 The war with Iran is over. Yesterday, breaking news, the U.S. and Iran have reached a deal.
00:00:06.880 Trump said he's getting all of the armada out of there. We're going to be reopening the strait
00:00:11.060 come Friday. A deal will be signed. The strait of Hormuz will be opened and gas prices are already
00:00:17.740 coming down. Oil is down. Stocks are up. Everybody's happy because it's finally over. That's
00:00:24.840 right. Ladies and gentlemen, this, this time it's officially done. The war is over. The plan is in
00:00:32.000 place. Pakistan helped negotiate. This will be the time we can definitively say, if you know what I
00:00:39.220 mean. Yeah, I'm not entirely convinced. And I hate covering the story to be completely honest,
00:00:44.400 because Trump's been yo-yoing. We've had four major announcements of a peace deal that haven't
00:00:49.720 come through. So I'm not, again, entirely convinced this is actually going to play out
00:00:56.060 the way everyone is presuming it will play out right now. Conservatives are all running to X
00:01:00.560 being like Trump has done it. He's got a deal. Democrats are saying he surrendered. And we've
00:01:06.720 been here already. Guys, I already covered the story where Democrats called it a surrender.
00:01:12.980 We already complained that Democrats were not giving Trump a single good day, yet here we go again.
00:01:21.560 Perhaps this time it won't be a yo-yo, and there will actually be some kind of deal, but it has to come soon.
00:01:29.120 We are only about four and a half months away from the midterm elections, and Donald Trump needs some economic victories.
00:01:37.920 I tell you this, most people probably don't care all that much about the Iran war.
00:01:42.480 It's used largely as a wedge issue by people.
00:01:45.960 They want to be mad about something.
00:01:47.940 I got to be honest.
00:01:49.000 No, no, no, hold on.
00:01:50.000 I can already hear the people who understand the idea of macro-level politics
00:01:54.180 complaining that they really do care about this.
00:01:56.880 Guys, I know there are a lot of you out there that deeply care about the war with Iran.
00:02:01.300 What I am saying is that in the American political sphere,
00:02:03.980 I'm telling you this right now, ain't nobody cares.
00:02:07.000 You know what people want to talk about?
00:02:08.480 Michelle Obama being a man.
00:02:09.980 because that dude at the UFC fight yelled it out.
00:02:15.540 And you know, I know this.
00:02:16.640 I track social media trend data
00:02:18.260 and I've been watching all of this stuff.
00:02:20.860 And there's a couple reasons why I've laid back
00:02:23.520 on talking about the Iran war.
00:02:25.800 No new developments, nothing is changing,
00:02:28.860 little blips here and there.
00:02:30.120 And every single time they announce
00:02:32.000 they have a peace agreement, it falls apart days later.
00:02:35.160 Where are we now?
00:02:36.600 Well, apparently Iran is arguing
00:02:38.780 they're going to get a bunch of money unfrozen. They're going to get a bunch of IMF funding.
00:02:43.280 And the Trump administration is saying this is absolutely not true. So here we go again. But
00:02:48.300 don't worry. I will have the video for you now. And, you know, I say fool me once. Fool me once.
00:02:55.820 Shame on you. Fool me twice. This is big news and it is being reported as though it is the end of
00:03:01.760 this conflict. Gas prices are coming down. The stocks are improving. This actually might be it.
00:03:08.780 I guess. So we'll do this again. We'll show you the news, the breakdown, the arguments. And of
00:03:14.620 course, the Democrats being angry, calling it a surrender. And the reason why I love that
00:03:19.020 is because the Democrats are like, oh, no, Trump started a war. And then Trump's like,
00:03:23.200 OK, I have a peace agreement running the war. Oh, no, Trump's surrendering.
00:03:26.520 It just shows that these people are not serious about anything. We've got the news in the Wall
00:03:31.800 Street Journal. Before we get started, my friends, head over to TimCast.com and join the TimCast
00:03:36.260 Discord community. Get involved. We got tens of thousands of people hanging out every single day.
00:03:42.260 They make shows in the morning, afternoon, night. That's right. They're hanging out. They're doing
00:03:45.440 talk shows. You can join in and be a part of this community so that you can stay connected.
00:03:52.900 You can be a part of the change. You can be the change you want to see in the world.
00:03:57.520 It's not perfect, but it's a good place to start. And when you become a member,
00:04:01.260 you support the work that we do here. You support videos like this, and we need you.
00:04:05.800 We can't do it without you.
00:04:07.660 You know, truth be told, many people have checked out of politics right now.
00:04:10.520 It's the summer.
00:04:11.160 It's a midterm.
00:04:11.740 Who cares, they say.
00:04:13.260 But right now, it's the most important fight ever.
00:04:16.700 If the Democrats take the House in November, we're going to see a resurgence of woke.
00:04:23.460 We're going to see subpoenas.
00:04:24.500 And I had to be so overtly partisan, but that's what we can expect to see.
00:04:29.360 Now, I'm not a big fan of the Republican Party.
00:04:30.900 I think they're largely no good, but there's a lot of good individual candidates out there.
00:04:35.200 Staying apprised and staying informed and staying involved is the key, and we need you.
00:04:39.760 Join us.
00:04:40.880 Let's get to the news.
00:04:41.760 We got this from the Wall Street Journal.
00:04:44.380 And, you know, I say this, guys.
00:04:46.140 You may be saying, Tim, if you think nobody cares about this, why are you doing a video on it?
00:04:49.340 Well, because this is history.
00:04:51.000 And whether this is the fifth yo-yo or not, I got the stats for you.
00:04:55.140 We should talk about it.
00:04:57.100 The U.S. and Iran have reached a deal to stop fighting and reopen shipping.
00:05:01.180 Signing this plan for Friday, marking a potential breakthrough in the war.
00:05:04.120 that has roiled the global economy. They say a deal is set to be signed Friday, President Trump
00:05:10.300 and Pakistani negotiators said. Trump had earlier indicated he hoped a deal would be signed Sunday.
00:05:16.020 Neither side provided a specific list of agreed upon details in the deal. Trump said the Strait
00:05:21.140 of Hormuz would be reopened on Friday, indicating in a social media post that the time was needed
00:05:26.800 for purposes of mine removal. In an earlier post, Trump said that Iran's restrictions on shipping
00:05:33.080 in the strait and the U.S. naval blockade on Iran would be simultaneously and immediately lifted.
00:05:39.660 Quote, following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce the peace deal between the U.S.
00:05:44.080 and the Islamic Republic of Iran has been reached, said Shabazz Sharif, prime minister and lead
00:05:49.820 mediator of Pakistan in a social media post. Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent
00:05:55.760 termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, except Israel's come out and
00:06:00.800 said, we are not bound by the United States agreements. We can do what we want. Once again,
00:06:05.560 threatening the contentious peace agreement. That's why I say it's probably going to fall
00:06:10.820 apart, right? The government of Tehran later confirmed the deal has been struck. The text
00:06:14.720 of the memorandum of understanding has been finalized, said Iran's deputy foreign minister,
00:06:18.880 Kazem Garabadi. He said Iranian threats of attacks on Israel had put pressure on the U.S.
00:06:25.240 to reach a deal. Trump on Sunday called on Israeli officials to cease attacks inside Lebanon,
00:06:31.780 something Iran suggested was key to its acceptance of the deal. One senior U.S. official said that
00:06:37.760 while the U.S. was hopeful a formal deal would be struck this week, there were still some details
00:06:42.620 to be ironed out. As they work on the final details in the coming days, negotiators will
00:06:46.980 have to deal with detractors both in the U.S. and Middle East. A number of conservative voices have
00:06:51.600 urge Trump not to trust Iran. And likewise, hardliners in Iran have argued against cutting
00:06:55.840 a deal with the U.S. But economic benefits to both countries, if a deal is clinched, could be
00:06:59.480 significant. Since the war began in February, a jump in energy prices have driven up costs for
00:07:03.660 millions of Americans, and the U.S. blockade of Iranian ships has throttled Tehran. The agreement 0.76
00:07:09.680 is believed to pave the way for a 60-day period of negotiations over Tehran's controversial
00:07:14.900 nuclear program. Yeah, which they won't give up. They've been refusing to give up. So again, guys,
00:07:19.960 I'm not playing games. Let's throw it to our good friend Grok over here. How many times has Trump
00:07:25.260 announced a peace deal in the current Iran war? At least three or four major announcements of
00:07:30.620 ceasefires or framework deals, plus dozens of claims it was imminent. Dozens, dozens. I got
00:07:38.960 to say it again. Dozens. I look, I like the Trump administration. I do. I voted for Trump, not in
00:07:44.700 2016, but in 2020, 24, I've been vote Republican. Not a big fan of the Republican Party. I think
00:07:50.360 they're weak. But come on, guys. I'm not going to sit here and just be like, Trump's the greatest.
00:07:55.400 Why? A week from now when this falls apart, hoping it doesn't. But if it does, I'm not going to sit
00:08:00.280 here and make 12 videos where I'm like, we have a deal. We don't have it. We have a deal. That'd
00:08:04.780 be 24, actually. If there's dozens, if he actually has 20, let's say he's got just minimum 24 claims.
00:08:13.320 The deal was imminent.
00:08:15.280 I have to make 48 videos.
00:08:17.080 I have to make the deal is imminent.
00:08:18.680 Then I make another video.
00:08:19.600 The deal is off.
00:08:20.580 The deal.
00:08:21.140 You see what I'm saying?
00:08:21.840 Look at this.
00:08:22.960 April 7th to 8th, Trump announced a Pakistan brokered two-week ceasefire.
00:08:27.720 Iran was to open the Strait of Hormuz as part of it.
00:08:30.060 And I remember when we were like, he's done it.
00:08:32.780 The tensions are de-escalating.
00:08:35.180 April 21st, Trump announced an indefinite extension of the ceasefire while keeping the
00:08:39.600 naval blockade in place.
00:08:41.280 June 11th, Trump announced a further 60-day ceasefire.
00:08:44.960 And then June 14th, he announced the framework is now complete with the U.S. lifting its naval blockade.
00:08:50.140 So, OK, OK, I don't need to be a negative Nancy.
00:08:53.360 Trump did say he's pulling U.S. ships out.
00:08:56.200 And that is a major sign of victory, my friends. 0.74
00:09:00.060 But you know what?
00:09:00.940 What matters to you the most?
00:09:02.840 Oil prices sink to lowest levels in months after Trump touts Iran deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz.
00:09:09.720 amazing, my friends. And I got the gas prices right here for you, and they are not good.
00:09:15.600 They are not good. We needed this desperately. Now, the funny thing is, take a look at this.
00:09:20.620 The current average for regular is $4. Mid-grade's $4.50, and premium's $5. I'm averaging. I'm
00:09:26.520 rounding. I'm rounding, right? So it's $4.06 for regular, $4.54 for mid-grade, and $4.93 for
00:09:33.360 premium. Diesel's at 519. E85 is at 315. E85, awful. Well, out here in the good old West
00:09:42.660 Virginia and Virginia and Maryland, gas is actually down. You can see here the charts showing it
00:09:47.920 around 385 to 369. By us, it's 330. So I don't know what they're saying. They're saying it's
00:09:54.000 higher than that? Nah, it's fairly cheap over here. These are the national gas prices. They
00:09:59.280 need to come down four bucks is brutal four bucks is is inflationary nightmare it's no good so this
00:10:06.980 is good news this is good good news that uh we're starting to see look at this one stocks leap
00:10:12.560 worldwide and oil prices drop after the u.s and iran reach a tentative deal on the war
00:10:17.980 this means your gas prices are gonna take a dramatic drop off so long as this is maintained
00:10:23.860 you'll be getting more relief. This is what Trump needs. Now, this morning I was for the my 1 p.m.
00:10:30.720 segment, I was talking about this South Park episode where Cartman gets a million dollars
00:10:35.620 and then Kyle's all mad. Like, why would God give Cartman a million dollars? Right.
00:10:39.980 And then Cartman buys an amusement park with it. And Kyle's just like, I don't understand why a
00:10:44.280 bad person gets so much good stuff. God, why are you doing this? And he loses his faith.
00:10:47.860 It's a hemorrhoid. That's the show, you know, at South Park. But sure enough, Cartman loses
00:10:52.380 everything. He can't pay the taxes. The park starts falling apart. He has to hire people
00:10:55.880 and he loses his dream and the money. And the idea is that God gave him a glimpse
00:11:01.320 and it actually made him suffer more. And so what I say is this.
00:11:06.600 One of the ideas around what we're seeing and the reason why Trump doesn't care as much,
00:11:11.140 there is a plan in place with the war in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. I believe
00:11:14.660 that they intentionally were keeping the Strait closed. That's why they keep yo-yoing these deals
00:11:19.020 because seriously, at any point Trump wants it open, he can open it.
00:11:22.580 But then everyone's saying, why would Trump make gas prices worse and drive inflation?
00:11:26.000 It's bad for him.
00:11:27.020 And I said, because November's not here yet.
00:11:29.560 And three months is an eternity in an election, let alone four and a half.
00:11:33.880 So what is it?
00:11:35.160 It's kind of like that.
00:11:36.820 You make, you change the circumstance and then change the adaptation.
00:11:40.520 Now, in the instance of South Park, I'm referencing a really good thing happens to Cartman.
00:11:43.300 When he loses that good thing, now he feels miserable.
00:11:46.200 He's more worse, he's worse off now than he was before.
00:11:49.020 flip it around. Gas prices go up and everybody's miserable. Then they come back down and everybody's 0.83
00:11:54.640 celebrating. And that's the game, right? It's kind of like, you know, if it's like really hot out
00:11:59.400 and then you go into the covers and you're way hotter. When you take the covers off,
00:12:03.140 you just feel cool. It's all relative. Temperature, sensation, relative. So here's what I think.
00:12:10.020 I think they know this full well. It's a basic marketing tenant, right? So Donald Trump says,
00:12:16.160 We're going to go in.
00:12:17.440 We're going to do all of these things.
00:12:18.900 Let me pull up my favorite thing to do here is that Google Earth, Google Earth, we'll
00:12:23.800 talk about the Strait of Hormuz, and it's right here.
00:12:26.900 So you may be saying, Tim, I don't understand nothing about nothing.
00:12:29.680 What's going on?
00:12:30.520 Okay, let's just start with this.
00:12:32.880 20% of the world's oil comes from the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz and out
00:12:36.500 to the world.
00:12:37.380 It's been shut down for months.
00:12:39.380 Been very, very bad.
00:12:40.660 Very, very bad.
00:12:41.380 So let's start from the beginning.
00:12:42.860 What are the first things that Trump does when he gets in office? 0.80
00:12:45.680 They start blowing up these narco boats in the Caribbean, all throughout this area right here. 1.00
00:12:50.680 Interesting. 1.00
00:12:51.400 Now, why?
00:12:51.820 Now, these ships are headed to Europe.
00:12:53.060 For what reason?
00:12:54.860 First, I'm just going to give you the whole layout.
00:12:57.320 I believe they were being taken out to clear criminal lanes out of the Caribbean because we're going to get a lot of traffic and shipping.
00:13:04.240 Surrounded Cuba, isolating Cuba.
00:13:06.360 Why? 0.62
00:13:07.660 Because oil is going to be exported from the Gulf at large, large numbers, and we want full control.
00:13:14.600 We don't want adversarial actions from Cuba.
00:13:18.760 We seized Venezuela.
00:13:20.060 So let's start. 1.00
00:13:21.640 We blow up the narco boats, clearing traffic lanes. 1.00
00:13:24.220 We take Venezuela, seizing the largest oil producer in the world, getting our oil at 1.00
00:13:28.820 its back.
00:13:29.480 We surround Cuba, sanction them, and their government is on the verge of collapse.
00:13:33.720 Trump secures Panama with a new deal and begins working on a new deal for the Northwest Passage.
00:13:37.740 The U.S. is pumping oil like crazy and now exporting from the newly renamed Gulf of America, which Trump renamed.
00:13:48.180 We can then jump over to the Middle East where Trump sends an armada to the Strait of Hormuz.
00:13:52.440 The armada is literally there.
00:13:54.080 Then war with Iran breaks out and the Strait is closed, cutting off China and other countries, even allies, from large amounts of their oil imports.
00:14:05.880 China gets between 40% and 50% from the Strait of Hormuz.
00:14:09.760 So again, Trump renamed the Gulf to the Gulf of America,
00:14:13.160 cleared traffic lanes, took over Venezuela,
00:14:16.220 opened up the trade routes,
00:14:17.140 and now the U.S. is one of the largest,
00:14:20.800 if not the largest oil exporter,
00:14:23.020 and OPEC is in shambles,
00:14:25.340 and we are exporting more oil than we ever have
00:14:28.700 since World War II.
00:14:31.300 Massive for U.S. energy production.
00:14:33.660 So, my friends, Trump renamed the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America.
00:14:40.200 And why did he do it?
00:14:41.640 Well, let me just say this. 0.99
00:14:43.520 First and foremost, Gulf of Mexico was always a dumb name. 0.98
00:14:45.940 I got to be honest. 0.97
00:14:48.000 Depending on how you square it, Mexico might have slightly more coastal territory, I guess,
00:14:58.540 mileage than the U.S. does.
00:15:00.800 I don't think that really matters.
00:15:01.780 What matters is this continent is north of America.
00:15:05.520 It has a Gulf.
00:15:06.920 It is the Gulf of America.
00:15:08.840 Does it mean Gulf of the United States?
00:15:11.280 And all these people got really mad.
00:15:12.640 They were like, we don't like that Trump is doing it. 1.00
00:15:13.840 Shut up. 1.00
00:15:15.080 But here's the point. 1.00
00:15:16.220 This is the plan.
00:15:17.980 I believe the plan is patently obvious to anybody who's been paying attention.
00:15:21.800 Everything the Trump admin has been doing has been in line with being a massive energy
00:15:26.260 exporter in the Gulf, even renaming it.
00:15:28.840 Why?
00:15:29.120 So that they can say the Gulf of America sees more oil exports than any other region.
00:15:36.600 America.
00:15:37.780 Trump doesn't want to say Gulf of Mexico because Mexico's a country.
00:15:41.240 Trump wants it to be America.
00:15:44.000 Apparently, the Emirates has dropped out of OPEC.
00:15:45.800 OPEC screwed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
00:15:49.760 So, as I've long argued, if Trump wanted the Strait of Hormuz open, he just need not go to war with Iran.
00:15:56.240 If he wanted it open, he could just leave whenever he wants.
00:15:59.960 And I hear people say, oh, but he's a political victory.
00:16:02.620 That's meaningless.
00:16:04.400 The average person doesn't even understand.
00:16:07.360 So when they say that Trump's got a deal and it's going to be reopening,
00:16:10.240 none of these people who are angry about gas prices are going like,
00:16:13.480 well, with the new Ayatollah being missing, I wonder how this will affect stability in the region.
00:16:19.220 They're not arguing that.
00:16:20.440 But the percentage in the MOU, will it surpass the Obama administration?
00:16:23.960 No, no one is thinking this.
00:16:26.240 No one is thinking. Donald Trump doesn't need a political victory from starting or stopping or whatever he's doing in the war. He gets it through PR. You could literally you could you could steal a lollipop from a child in front of the whole town and still get a political victory from it.
00:16:44.920 How? Well, everybody witnessed it. And they're saying, I watched the mayor steal a lollipop from a child. And the mayor holds a press conference saying, we successfully apprehended a drug trafficker. It was a child, which is shocking and scary, horrifying for the poor child. And the lollipop we took contained drugs.
00:17:06.060 you get your political victory through PR campaigns, not through the actions that you
00:17:12.100 are or are not taking. But don't get me wrong, my friends. You get he's getting from both sides.
00:17:18.700 Bill Hammer worries Trump's being suckered into the Iran deal. You've got I love I love Mark
00:17:23.980 Levin. He's basically like, why aren't we just Israel? Why aren't we just Israel? No matter what
00:17:29.320 it is. I just can't stand these people. Guys, I don't care if you hate or like Israel. All of
00:17:36.520 it's annoying to me. I want to know what the United States is doing for the United States-ians, 1.00
00:17:40.400 okay? For the United States-ian public. Democrat Senator declares we should be glad Trump waved 0.72
00:17:47.320 the white flag. See, this is what I'm talking about. You want a political victory? This is
00:17:53.380 the game they're playing. Donald Trump could literally run into a burning building and
00:17:58.580 carry out like four small children under each arm sweating. He could be seriously burned and 0.81
00:18:06.040 sacrifice his life and say, if there is anything I have done in my life that was good, it was saving
00:18:12.340 these children. And they would still attack him for it. The man got shot in the side of the head
00:18:18.440 and he faked it. So Donald Trump, he goes to war with Iran and they're like, this is the worst
00:18:25.400 thing imaginable. Why are we at war? This is bad. Then Trump's like, okay, we're going to stop the
00:18:30.140 war. We're going to do a deal. And they're like, no, you're surrendering. It's just that these are
00:18:34.280 not serious people, my friends, not serious people. I try to approach all of these things
00:18:39.500 from an elevated view, try to understand what's going on. Is it good? Is it bad? Look, Trump's
00:18:43.660 yo-yoed this. I'm not going to just pretend. There's a lot of people, you know, I got people
00:18:47.520 in the Trump admin, they get mad. They say, Tim, you know, you're being mean. Listen,
00:18:51.280 we need the SAVE Act. Where's the SAVE Act? You go after masks, you don't go after Thune, okay?
00:18:55.400 I'm going to criticize you for that one. 0.99
00:18:57.100 We get involved in this war with Iran. 0.99
00:18:58.420 I think there's a plan. 0.99
00:18:59.500 But you yo-yo back and forth.
00:19:00.980 I'm going to call it out.
00:19:02.640 Whatever it is, whatever your plan is, best of luck to you.
00:19:05.400 But I'm just going to say what is happening.
00:19:07.400 I'm not here to defend you.
00:19:08.560 But the funny thing is, the funny thing is about this political landscape is that things are so hyper bifurcated.
00:19:14.220 Most people are just like, got to just defend your tribe.
00:19:18.220 You know, this is why these libs don't like debating me.
00:19:20.280 Because, you know, I sit down with the Lib and they'll say, like, January 6th was bad.
00:19:26.080 And I'll go, yes, it was.
00:19:28.480 And May 20th was bad, too.
00:19:30.100 What's that?
00:19:30.720 Ah, you didn't know.
00:19:32.180 You see what they expect in these culture war things is no matter what, like Trump supporters
00:19:37.780 got to defend Trump on everything he does.
00:19:39.640 Democrats got to defend Democrats on everything they do.
00:19:41.980 And both sides got to condemn each other all the time.
00:19:44.900 And I'm like, man, I don't like Democrats, guys.
00:19:48.060 I voted Republican in the past several elections. It's probably going to stay that way for the time
00:19:51.980 being because of the weird woke stuff. But I got no problem calling out Republicans.
00:19:55.440 My point here is this is not real. We should be glad that Trump waved the white flag. Oh, okay.
00:20:01.680 You and Mark Levin both. Chris Murphy accused Trump of surrendering to Iran. It's just nothing.
00:20:09.140 There's nothing you can do no matter what you do, Trump. No matter what you do.
00:20:14.020 Trump could literally give away all of his money and like Trump could announce he's resigning to
00:20:20.680 go live out his last few years on a Buddhist temple to center himself. He could literally
00:20:26.160 apologize to them. I kid you not. If Trump came out and was like, I am sorry to Democrats.
00:20:31.580 I admit everything you said was true and I'm a bad guy. So I'm resigning, giving away all my
00:20:36.140 money. I'm gonna go live in a mountain. And they'd be like, you think you can walk away?
00:20:40.440 This is exactly like Trump. There is nothing, nothing the man can do, nothing.
00:20:47.140 So Murphy, Murphy reacted to Trump's emerging peace agreement with Iran on Sunday night,
00:20:52.020 writing, who knows if there will be a final agreement, but if there is, two things will be
00:20:55.900 true. It's essentially surrender to. We should be glad about it, because every day this insane
00:21:03.240 illegal war continues. We get weaker. More war would make things worse.
00:21:07.820 i'm just i'm just so tired i am so tired of these people these unserious people
00:21:17.760 oil prices are down gas is getting cheaper it's been rough it's been rough my friends
00:21:25.880 do they have the uh the gas chart on this thing year ago gas was three bucks it's up about 80
00:21:34.560 $0.90. It's not good. It's not good. Diesel is the one you really got to pay attention to because
00:21:41.060 this is the price of all other goods. You know, if diesel goes up 20%, you're going to see it
00:21:45.220 across the board. People are going to tighten their belts. But you know what we need? We need
00:21:50.380 the prices to come down. So I just say absolutely fantastic. Absolutely fantastic. Get the oil
00:21:55.840 flowing. Get the oil flowing. Get the prices down, everybody. And the reason the prices go up
00:22:00.980 doesn't have to do entirely with the United States. It has to do with demand from other
00:22:05.260 countries because the Gulf was closed. This has severely hurt the OPEC nations as well as China
00:22:11.080 and even some of our allies. But again, my theory on all this is that Trump intentionally gave the
00:22:16.320 world a fever. He knew that it would hurt them more than it hurts us. Look, I go through the
00:22:22.280 map. I got to tell you guys, please, I want to be proven wrong. But understand this. The
00:22:30.080 assessments that I make, I make because I've already considered most of what the Democrats,
00:22:36.540 the conservatives, the libs, the cons have to say. And I was saying this to Brian Shapiro last week
00:22:43.440 when he's talking about the war in Israel. I'm like, this is my point. Brian, I've already
00:22:48.200 considered everything you have to say. I'm going to give a shout out to Benjamin, who was on the
00:22:54.300 show, and he said we should debank illegal immigrants because that was a good one. I have 1.00
00:22:59.440 not considered that as a potential, but it's the best I've heard. The idea is if you're an illegal
00:23:04.560 immigrant, you can't have a bank account. And if you're a legal immigrant, your bank account is
00:23:09.220 attached to your visa. And when your visa expires, your bank account expires too. And that helps us
00:23:14.580 deal with the people who overstay their visa. Because Brian's like, well, a lot of these
00:23:19.820 illegal immigrants just overstayed their visa. Like, yeah, your bank account, gone. And then what? 0.99
00:23:24.260 It's a brilliant idea. And I give him credit because I hadn't actually considered that.
00:23:27.360 That is a good idea. It is. But I tell you this, I don't know everything, but I think a lot and I read a lot. And when I look at the world map and I look at all of the public reporting on everything Donald Trump has done, my conclusion ultimately is Trump's plan seems pretty obvious.
00:23:45.080 He renames the Gulf. He takes out the criminal gangs that are operating in the region.
00:23:49.900 Security reasons. He secures a deal with Panama. All of these pieces line up perfectly. 0.92
00:23:56.060 There are pieces we can't see because of classifications. But it blows my mind that
00:24:00.440 after witnessing all of this, people come out and go, Trump's got no plan. Are you kidding?
00:24:05.160 You mean to tell me that like the 15 global historic events that took place all lined up
00:24:11.340 with U.S. energy dominance were accidents? Yes. Guys, you can make an argument that I'm wrong.
00:24:17.960 I'm willing to listen. But if you can't account for all of the variables that I have proposed,
00:24:24.080 you are not convincing anybody except those who want to be convinced. And if you that's you,
00:24:29.460 that's fine. And the people are like, Israel made us do it. Well, it's certainly true, 0.89
00:24:34.160 according to Rubio, that Israel announced they were going to be striking Iran. So the U.S. got
00:24:38.500 on board, but the armada was already there. And all of the actions that had been taken to mitigate
00:24:44.640 the loss of oil had already taken place. My conclusion, probability dictates Trump was
00:24:51.660 intentionally damaging OPEC, boosting U.S. energy infrastructure, oil production, cutting China off.
00:24:58.600 The question you might ask is, but why? But why? China was expected to overtake the United States
00:25:06.160 in 2027. That was like 15 years ago. Now they're pushed back to like 2037 and falling. The Chinese
00:25:13.520 economy is bad. OK, so somebody goes to Trump and says, watch this video of China speaking to
00:25:20.380 Blinken under the Biden administration. And they said, all right, you are not coming from a position
00:25:24.520 of power. China, how dare you? So I think it's pretty obvious. Trump says we're going to choke
00:25:30.700 them out of their energy, mass produce ours. We will grow faster. It's why the AI race and all of
00:25:36.440 that stuff is happening, too. We're going to grow faster than they can. And Trump's going to choke
00:25:41.300 them out. So they're struggling with energy imports. OPEC is in shambles, but the U.S.
00:25:46.220 is expanding rapidly. That's the plan, baby. So. I don't know why this would actually end now.
00:25:55.180 They say it will.
00:25:56.580 Maybe Trump is finally ready to stop.
00:26:00.780 Okay.
00:26:02.340 So I know that most of you have dealt with high prices, inflation, and it's been bad.
00:26:07.940 And that's why a lot of these people want to say that Trump is screwing up.
00:26:11.580 They want to affect you in the short term, but it's a bad play.
00:26:15.120 Because, again, we're four and a half months out from the midterms, and that's an eternity.
00:26:22.680 Trump knows.
00:26:23.300 He said this in an interview.
00:26:24.240 I love the inflation because when the war ends, it's going to come way, way down. Indeed.
00:26:29.820 So how do Democrats account for this? There's some dude out there right now. He's probably like 28,
00:26:35.400 29 years old, right? He's got a job and he's seen the prices go up and he's hurting some young lady
00:26:40.960 all the same. Democrats are complaining about high prices and inflation. Then Trump announces
00:26:47.600 the war is over. And then what happens? Over the next month or two, prices start coming down.
00:26:52.480 Republicans are going to start saying these things.
00:26:54.120 Trump's going to be like, I told you the prices would come down.
00:26:57.200 That's the work that we did.
00:26:59.320 Democrats will start trying to play this game.
00:27:01.960 Yes, prices are down, but they're only up because of Trump and starting this war.
00:27:05.640 And that won't work.
00:27:06.860 It won't work because you're asking for multi-ordered thinking.
00:27:10.240 And therein lies the point.
00:27:12.640 No one is remembering.
00:27:14.940 Guys, you know, let me say this.
00:27:18.280 Isn't it crazy to think that 10 years ago was only a couple of years ago, right?
00:27:23.340 Young people, millennials, they're not young anymore, but young Gen Z millennials keep
00:27:28.540 saying like, wow, I can't believe I'm 40.
00:27:30.280 Time is flying.
00:27:32.060 Indeed.
00:27:33.420 And the point is, how many of you actually remember what gas, what you were feeling in
00:27:39.640 January when it came to gas prices?
00:27:41.660 Most people don't remember at all.
00:27:43.980 Now, I read all this stuff all the time.
00:27:45.500 I checked the charts, so I know gas was cheaper a year ago. But your average voter, if even 5%
00:27:52.180 are motivated to vote Republican because it feels better, that's all that matters.
00:27:58.460 I read this story once. A paraplegic, one year after the accident that paralyzed them,
00:28:04.660 and a lottery winner, one year after winning millions of dollars, register the same levels
00:28:10.820 of happiness. Indeed. And I have this conversation with people all the time, because I always hear
00:28:16.820 people complaining about something. And they'll say like, man, I just, I just, man, I need money.
00:28:22.780 You know, it's like so rough. And I'm like, you'll always need money. Always. There will never come a
00:28:27.140 time, never, never, where you're not worried about the money. Jeff Bezos, he's worried about the
00:28:32.660 money. Elon Musk is worried about the money. Because money is the representation of economics,
00:28:39.460 of household management. I'll tell you this. I'm well off. I've been very successful. I've made
00:28:45.300 lots of money. Lots and lots of money. I worry about the money all the time because it's a
00:28:53.680 system. To put it mildly, certainly for a lot of people, you can retire, but then you're worried
00:29:00.200 about the money. So I hear this all the time from people that if only I had the money, I could do
00:29:05.000 this. If only I had the money I could do that. But the truth is, when people are doing bad
00:29:09.080 because inflation goes up, you'll hear it. It will have an impact. However, when things start
00:29:16.200 getting better, people feel like you've solved the problem and they don't remember before that.
00:29:22.360 They just feel the relief. So I put it like this. Imagine carrying 50 pound weights on your
00:29:29.720 shoulders all day, every day. It sucks. And then one day Donald Trump comes over and he takes him 0.99
00:29:36.520 off and you're like, wow, I feel so good. I feel so light and everything feels so easy.
00:29:42.660 That's that's that's the game. That's politics in a nutshell. I'm not saying it was on purpose.
00:29:48.240 I'm saying that this will have a beneficial effect in the midterms. Trump knows that everybody else
00:29:52.540 knows it. Democrats can lie, but that's why they keep saying no matter what he does, he's wrong
00:29:57.260 because they have to because they have to. I'm going to wrap it up there, my friend.
00:30:02.980 Smash the like button. Share the show with everyone you know. We're back tonight at 8
00:30:07.060 p.m. for Timcast IRL. Thanks for hanging out. We will see you all then.
00:30:27.260 Thank you.