The Culture War - Tim Pool - October 29, 2025


UNHINGED Food Stamp Women THREATEN To Rob People Over SNAP ft. Dave Smith


Episode Stats

Length

38 minutes

Words per Minute

193.12961

Word Count

7,483

Sentence Count

519

Misogynist Sentences

5

Hate Speech Sentences

16


Summary

On today's show, host John Rocha is joined by Dave Smith to talk about the impending end of food stamps and the threat of a "snap apocalypse" that could see 42 million people lose their benefits on November 1st.


Transcript

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00:01:27.540 The kind of culture that we've, you know, guys like me and you, I think I've been fighting
00:01:33.720 back against for some years now, where the level of entitlement that some of these people have,
00:01:39.640 like there is just, there isn't a feeling of like the little bit of shame that we would just
00:01:45.480 appreciate if someone's living on welfare. Like just a little bit, you know, understand that like
00:01:49.700 other people are going to work and are paying for your food. You shouldn't feel great about that.
00:01:54.060 But fuming snap recipients threaten to loot. If food stamps are cut November 1st,
00:02:01.300 stay the F out of my way. Here's a video that I showed in a previous segment,
00:02:06.260 but we'll play again before we talk with Dave.
00:02:08.620 If I came in your house with all my bags, picking out all your food, deep freezer, snacks,
00:02:16.720 your grandmama's milk and everything, what you going to do? I'm curious. What you going to do?
00:02:22.240 You will be shot. Now in liberal areas, they'll probably do nothing, but I would recommend
00:02:27.220 against doing this. And then we have this video. I want to jump to the, let's just play this tape.
00:02:33.000 It's been day five and I have not received no food stamps. My disability checks is on hold.
00:02:40.340 My cash benefits is not coming no more. They're still pending. I, it is the taxpayer's job
00:02:46.820 to pay for my kids to eat and for my kids to be taken care of. I have over 2000 followers on TikTok
00:02:54.420 and I can't get not one person to send me 50 cents. If you watch video and you can't send me
00:03:00.840 nothing, I'm blocking you. You know, part of me just says that's got to be a fake video.
00:03:06.920 There's no way that lady is real. You follow me, send me money or you're being blocked.
00:03:12.560 Maybe no one sent to the memo that her followers are fake, but this is an interesting conversation.
00:03:17.300 The snap apocalypse, it's been going on for some time and I've heard from conservatives.
00:03:20.940 I've seen the liberal liberals. I'm curious what the libertarians are going to think because,
00:03:25.880 well, you know, libertarians fall somewhere in between on a lot of these issues.
00:03:30.140 So I'll be pulling in. Let's, let's grab this, see if we can get it going. Dave Smith, what is up?
00:03:37.240 What's up, brother? How are you, man? I'm good. My friend, it's the snapocalypse.
00:03:41.620 They're calling it. Welfare benefits are set to expire November 1st. Trump says he's going to get it
00:03:47.860 done, but I don't know if he means it. And there's, there's, there's, this is a big story in that
00:03:53.220 42 million people will be cut off from their welfare benefits. It's going to have a ripple effect
00:03:58.720 in, in a bro. It just gets crazy, right? So you've got pockets in cities where the stores rely on EBT
00:04:06.740 or snap for a large percent of their margins. It may be five, it may be 10% or more.
00:04:11.700 They can't survive without this. It's going to impact producers. But the big thing we're seeing
00:04:16.960 is the threat of violence and looting unless people get our tax dollars to pay for their,
00:04:22.560 for their, for their livelihoods. Now I'm curious, you know, you're, you're, you're, you're a libertarian.
00:04:27.220 Do you want to see snap just gone overnight? What do you think? Well, I mean, I think it being gone
00:04:34.920 overnight would probably be the most reckless way to, to do it, you know? And I think I look,
00:04:40.120 obviously like from my perspective, I think from most sane people's perspectives, none of these
00:04:44.040 programs should exist to begin with. But you know, I always, as is always my North star was when Ron
00:04:50.560 Paul ran for president, what he would always say is what you have to do if you want to have drastic
00:04:55.900 cuts in the government is you have to stop funding the worst things first. You know, you have to stop
00:05:01.200 funding the unnecessary wars. You have to stop funding the unnecessary militarization of,
00:05:05.880 of local police departments and the huge black budgets for the intelligence agencies. And then
00:05:12.180 you have to, with some notice, let people know that in X amount of time, we are going to be cutting
00:05:18.580 these programs as well. And of course the government shut down politics, which has been politics now for
00:05:25.300 over a decade in this country is always the worst way to do everything. But I guess maybe zooming out
00:05:31.760 more, the thing that is amazing to me that more people aren't talking about, it's like, it reminds
00:05:36.180 me almost with the, um, with the conversation when Biden was president over student loan debt
00:05:40.160 forgiveness. And you're like, okay, even if we're having that conversation, at what point are we going
00:05:44.280 to discuss the elephant in the room? You know, like at what point are we going to go like, okay, but wait a
00:05:48.520 minute, you got to go a couple hundred grand into debt for college. And then you're working at
00:05:51.640 DoorDash after that. That's a pretty big issue. And the fact that 40 million people in this country
00:05:58.780 are dependent on the government for food in, in a first world prosperous country in 2025 with all
00:06:06.200 of the wealth that we have. I mean, that is something that that's a sign of a very sickening
00:06:10.940 dysfunctional society. We created that system with welfare. We made it possible for large swaths of our
00:06:17.660 population to not have to work to eat. I got a number you probably know, but I talked, we talked
00:06:23.200 about this the other day. Did you know that third, about 37% of our economy is the government?
00:06:30.920 Yeah. Now that is a problem. I can't remember. Uh, yeah, go ahead.
00:06:36.280 Well, no, I mean, if you look, if you look through the, uh, the 10 planks in the communist manifesto,
00:06:41.100 we got just about all of them. I mean, or some version of all of them, you know, like when you
00:06:47.200 look through it, it's like, it's, you know, like, okay, like, okay, we didn't abolish all private
00:06:51.160 property, but like, what is property tax really? I mean, that kind of, in a way is like the
00:06:56.200 government owns it and you're really just renting it and you never really own. And if you're ever
00:07:00.700 delinquent on those payments, they take it away from you. In other words, the government's kind
00:07:04.480 of the landlord of all of our property. And yeah, as you said, you know, I remember watching this
00:07:08.980 with EBT, like on the ground, like I was living, um, in prospect Heights, Brooklyn. Um, it's like,
00:07:16.520 I'd say there's like around like 2007, 2008. And there's, I remember just like at the local store
00:07:22.160 and it wasn't like the hood, but it was like next to the hood where I lived, but like at the local
00:07:26.460 convenience store, I remember all of a sudden everyone's using EBT cards. Like all this is
00:07:30.960 just always like, that's what people are just putting snacks on. And yeah, we've, we've created
00:07:36.160 a whole system now of a whole class of people completely dependent on the government. And that
00:07:40.380 is not good. Well, I think the communists want it. They want to expand it. They want to,
00:07:45.000 they want the economy to get worse in the private sector. So it forces people into the control of
00:07:50.560 the government and their party and their ideology. But you know, we had this debate on, on IRL a couple
00:07:56.620 nights ago, everybody in the room, I asked, should November 1st, we just let it go dry. And everyone
00:08:05.200 said no, because it's, it's too reckless. It's going to have a ripple effect. I was the only one who said
00:08:10.600 it should. And my reasoning is there is no political reality where Congress will wind this program down
00:08:19.580 in any meaningful way. Not a single Republican, I believe, okay, maybe Thomas Massey, but I believe
00:08:26.900 that the only Republicans, uh, it's going to be Massey and Rand Paul, probably who are willing to
00:08:32.720 stand up on stage and say, I will cut your benefits. So what happens is Donald Trump comes out and says,
00:08:40.020 no one will touch your Medicare or Medicaid or your social security. He has to tell people,
00:08:45.100 we won't take away your free stuff. What does that mean? The only direction government can move
00:08:50.220 is towards the expansion of government in people's lives and in the economy. If the only way this stops
00:08:57.440 is a cold Turkey accident, then I don't know what else to do. I think it's the only way to do it.
00:09:02.600 Well, I certainly, I certainly get your point there. And I think, you know, there's the fact
00:09:08.360 that right now, um, the country is, you know, we're, we're really spiraling into a debt crisis.
00:09:15.220 I mean, this is a really big deal and it's something that a lot of people have myself
00:09:18.900 included, I've been warning about for quite a while at this point, but we're at a point where
00:09:22.960 interest on the debt is overtaking the budget and it's not going down. It's not going down.
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00:10:27.780 And this is now, we are now spending, like we, if we balanced the budget, Tim, we still run
00:10:35.200 trillion dollar deficits just because of the interest on the debt. And how far are we from
00:10:40.540 balancing the budget? You know what I mean? It's impossible. And, and, and yet we have a Republican
00:10:44.900 president, a Republican Congress and Republican Supreme court. And even they are not moving towards
00:10:51.360 spending cuts. They're doing this. I was arguing with Steven Crowder about this yesterday because
00:10:56.260 now all of a sudden he has become a Democrat mathematician where he goes, Oh, we're cutting
00:11:01.400 $1.5 trillion. And you're like, no, dude, come on. You're doing what the Democrats do now where you
00:11:06.300 call that a cut. This is literally, I, we've joked about this before with inflation. It's like,
00:11:10.200 if you gain 50 pounds one year and then the next year you gain 30 pounds, an economist in Washington,
00:11:15.940 DC says you just lost 20 pounds. No, you're getting fatter. It's a real problem. And so I guess
00:11:25.440 just like the fact that I get your point, like, this is what, maybe this is what it takes. Um,
00:11:30.980 but it is, you know, one way or the other, we're kind of going off this cliff and the fact that the
00:11:36.180 Republicans got in power and don't even seem to have any interest in, in any cuts is a real problem.
00:11:41.100 Well, maybe they do. Uh, so, so I can only, I can only speculate. Uh, Trump said on, on Air Force
00:11:46.660 One, we're going to figure this out for November, but part of me thinks the Republicans are intentionally
00:11:51.320 doing this because they want SNAP to implode because I, so I'll, I'm not an economist, but I
00:11:58.640 can try and simplify the issue of debt and interest on the debt. To put it simply, we have, we have,
00:12:03.340 we have taken on so much debt and this literally just means, I love how this works. The U S
00:12:10.660 government doesn't need a credit card. It literally just asserts it can pay you back later.
00:12:16.340 So we raised the debt ceiling. Uh, the example would be like the government says, we need someone
00:12:20.460 to build the street for us outside of Congress or whatever. So they go to a contractor and say,
00:12:24.740 Hey, we're the U S government. We're good for it. You know it. And they tack on that debt from that
00:12:29.180 company onto their debt. The debt is largely owed to the American people. So the interest on the debt
00:12:34.720 is when we take on debt, we got to pay it back. So now, even if we taxed everybody, the biggest line
00:12:42.540 item in the budget every year is we're paying interest on debt. We basically have this massive
00:12:48.200 credit card we've been paying the minimum on and it's getting worse and worse and worse. So one of
00:12:53.300 the things I've been thinking is maybe Trump and the Republicans know this. If the system, if we reach
00:12:59.080 default, the global economy, just, it's a ripple effect through the whole thing. And it's extremely
00:13:04.840 disruptive. So what do you do? Well, maybe one way to shock the system and start retracting money
00:13:11.300 is this protracted shutdown. And then, uh, well, it's no, it's no individual's fault.
00:13:19.280 Snap is gone. And it's not just snap. It's a bunch of other programs, but imagine what would happen
00:13:23.640 if any run of the mill Democrat or Republican came out and said to their constituents, guys
00:13:29.880 vote for me and I will take away snap. They lose. Well, it's a major, that isn't that like really one
00:13:37.540 of the fundamental flaws with democracy or particularly with democracy mixed with big
00:13:42.440 government. And, you know, I remember Mitt Romney gotten a lot of trouble in 2012 and God, I hate to
00:13:47.420 ever give credit to Mitt Romney. Um, but he was, you remember he got in trouble for that thing where he
00:13:52.540 was saying 40, 47% of people don't pay income tax at four. But the thing is right, Tim, like all of us
00:13:59.040 taxpayers do know this on some level. This is a real problem. It's a real problem when you have
00:14:04.700 basically the way our system kind of works is that the entire economy is rigged on behalf of the
00:14:11.400 uber powerful, the super rich. Okay. And then the entire like lower rung of the economy is on welfare.
00:14:18.080 And then there are the people in the middle who are like the productive people who just get caught
00:14:23.820 carrying the burden for all of it. You know, like you, you gotta every year when you're paying your
00:14:28.840 taxes, you got to pay for the wall street bailout and the wars and the welfare that, you know, like all
00:14:33.680 of it falls to the guy who's making four or 500 K a year, which might sound like a crazy lot of money to
00:14:40.100 people who don't have any, but like, you know, you're living in a big city. It's actually not like that
00:14:43.680 wealthy. And, but again, it's like, so now to this entire, to the entire democratic,
00:14:50.160 to the entire portion of the base of voters who don't pay in, who are welfare recipients,
00:14:55.340 what are they moved by? Oh, I'll cut your taxes. That doesn't help them any. They're not paying
00:15:00.660 taxes. And so, yeah, it's, it's a real problem that promising free stuff wins votes. How do you
00:15:08.100 compete with that? It's true. Uh, and that's why even Republicans do it. They'll, they'll say these
00:15:13.700 entitlements are bad, but don't worry. Yours are justified. Democrats just say free for, you know,
00:15:18.520 I actually, I love Zoran Mamdani so much and it's, and it's kind of in a comedic kind of way.
00:15:26.320 If he was a comedian mocking socialists, he'd be too over the top. I love the, we're going to make
00:15:32.380 buses free and faster. How are you going to do that? Make them go faster. You get like what's
00:15:39.100 slowing the buses down is the science of the combustion engine and the speed limits in the
00:15:44.860 city or, or maybe you could argue traffic. Yeah. Yeah. You promise random nothing to people just
00:15:51.040 sounds good. And people vote, they vote for the communists. But I suppose, uh, with all being,
00:15:55.820 with all that being said, do you think the Republicans will actually let the snapocalypse happen?
00:16:00.240 My guess is no, you know, like I've just, I've watched this movie, you know, as you have too
00:16:06.860 many times, it always seems to end with like this game of chicken and then they compromise and raise
00:16:13.660 the debt limit and keep spending us further into debt. That's my guess. Um, you know, I, that would
00:16:19.520 be, you know, what I would think. But again, I do think, look, even if this is the master plan and like,
00:16:24.880 this is the way to cut the snap program, it does just seem like, yeah, so here, okay. So you have
00:16:29.740 Donald Trump were $38 trillion in debt. He is, has requested a trillion dollar Pentagon budget
00:16:37.920 and has promised to not touch entitlements, but we are going to cut snap. I mean, that doesn't even
00:16:43.280 solve the problem. It's just like, why, why would you choose to start with, you know, like cutting
00:16:48.500 from the most vulnerable people when, as you know, Tim, look, the real issue here is that this is like
00:16:54.580 you were explaining what the credit card says. We can't afford any of this. We sit here, we give
00:16:59.060 foreign aid. We act like we're the rich, you know, father who can support all of his kids. Meanwhile,
00:17:05.000 we're broker than anyone else. It's, and no, it's, it's, it sounds to me like such a perfect example
00:17:11.220 of this like liberal virtue signal signaling household where it's like the mom brags about
00:17:17.600 how she donates to all these charities, despite the fact that if massive credit card debt can't afford
00:17:22.020 new clothes and then just keep taking on new credit cards, but everybody gets to pretend like,
00:17:27.280 oh, they do so well. Now it's all on credit cards. The funny thing is, I think the debt person is in
00:17:33.240 right now, it's like, what, a hundred thousand dollars. So something like that. You have to pay
00:17:38.640 a hundred grand in taxes. Every American, including 16 year olds who are just under the workforce,
00:17:44.500 if we are going to pay off this debt, I think the reality is we are going to crash. The economy
00:17:51.860 is very bad. Um, I don't think it's the worst economy we've ever seen, but it is not a good
00:17:56.120 economy. Property values are skyrocketing. Trump wants them to continue because it inflates,
00:18:01.060 you know, it makes people feel like things are improving stock market going up, even when spending
00:18:05.780 is going down because they just want all the metrics to look healthy. But the reality is people
00:18:11.760 are struggling to afford groceries. They're struggling to buy homes. And now we see this one
00:18:17.280 metric. It's, that's hilarious. The LSATs. Did you see this one? The LSAT entry?
00:18:22.080 I don't think so.
00:18:22.940 So like last year, uh, LSATs, uh, entry.
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00:19:25.860 Applications was like 18,000. Now it's 32. And this has always been, and I'm not, I'm not the
00:19:31.160 economist, but this is what the analyses have been saying. When people apply to law school
00:19:36.080 in huge numbers, they're basically saying there is no function of the market that can sustain my life.
00:19:42.400 So I'm going, I'm going into government arguments for money. Basically there's no trades, there's no
00:19:49.280 jobs, there's no products being made, there's no culture. So law is the best example of we created
00:19:57.140 a problem that only we can fix and we're going to take money from productive people to pay you to do
00:20:01.400 it. People are literally saying the opportunity to make money right now is to argue with each other
00:20:07.420 about the way the system is working. And that's usually, that usually happens right before the
00:20:12.280 economy implodes. I don't see, I don't see our, our government. I don't see Trump or anybody doing
00:20:18.740 anything meaningful to cut the budget. So the only thing that makes sense to me is they're going to
00:20:23.820 let the government shutdown keep going. It's almost like, um, you remember when COVID lockdowns
00:20:29.700 happened, the New York times wrote that the planet was healing. Cause they, yeah, the carbon
00:20:34.500 emissions. It's like the government, the extended government shutdown is Democrats and Republicans,
00:20:38.380 both looking at the debt clock, slowing down and being like, this is going to buy us some time.
00:20:43.040 But, um, okay. So, so rant over, but my question then is potential violence. Do you think if, if I,
00:20:49.600 I agree with you, my prediction is it's not going to happen. They're going to intervene. But do you
00:20:54.540 think with 42 million people cut off from SNAP, you actually see these mass looting, this mass rioting?
00:20:59.100 Uh, I think there's a real concern about that, you know, and, and I've seen some of those videos
00:21:04.760 that, that you were talking about too, of people threatening that there will be violence. And
00:21:08.740 there is, you know, there's a, there's a mix of it's the, the economic, uh, dynamics and economic
00:21:16.240 incentives. But then there's also like the kind of culture, um, that we've, you know, guys like me and
00:21:22.400 you, I think I've been fighting back against for, for some years now where the level of entitlement
00:21:27.300 that some of these people have, like, there is just, there isn't a feeling of like the little
00:21:33.380 bit of shame that we would just appreciate if someone's living on welfare, like just a little
00:21:37.700 bit, you know, understand that like other people are going to work and are paying for your food.
00:21:42.100 You shouldn't feel great about that. Um, but no, they're like, how dare you, how dare you this
00:21:47.480 racist system, which owes us this food. And I'm not making it out. Like it's all black people on
00:21:52.840 there. There's white people with that same attitude, but it really is. It's a real problem
00:21:56.960 that people have this, um, which has been of course, obviously fostered by progressives
00:22:02.360 for many years that there should be almost like in a sense that maybe they won't exactly
00:22:06.560 say it, but you're kind of within your rights to commit an act of violence. If your food
00:22:10.900 stamps get, uh, that's an issue we got to be focused on. Um, but again, to your, the larger
00:22:16.380 point there, right. Is like the only way out of it. The only thing the politicians are ever
00:22:19.900 going to do is just print more money, print more money. And like you said, they want the,
00:22:23.500 they want the stock market to go up. They want real, uh, the real estate to go up and
00:22:27.440 that's okay. If you're in the ownership class, you know, which me and you are. And so we get
00:22:33.360 beat up by inflation too, but the value of our assets goes up, but it just totally screws
00:22:38.200 over anybody who's not in the ownership class, particularly young people, bro. It's crazier
00:22:42.960 than that. The ownership class. It's crazy that we're at this point when you buy a house
00:22:48.100 on, uh, when, when, when you get a mortgage that you don't think twice about. So let's
00:22:53.940 say someone like me, I make a lot of money. If I bought a house for 300 grand, I am not
00:22:58.120 paying cash for it. I'm going to go to the bank and say, I want a low interest, uh, mortgage,
00:23:03.960 cut me the best deal that gets me the lowest interest rate and I'll pay it. So usually it
00:23:07.780 means my, my, uh, you know, per month, they're going to be paying more, but then all you got
00:23:13.560 to do is beat inflation. So one of the techniques used by the ownership classes, if I take out
00:23:18.160 a loan for $300,000 to buy a house within five years, the house is now worth 450,000. I could
00:23:24.420 sell it and pay off that debt and take cash out. And now I've made money better yet though
00:23:29.200 with inflation, the value of the house goes up and the value of the debt goes down. So
00:23:35.480 this is a tactic used by the United States with quantitative easing so that when we give,
00:23:40.180 when we borrow money from foreign countries, we intentionally devalue our currency. So the amount
00:23:46.080 of labor to be paid back is substantially less. So for poor people who don't get raises or who have
00:23:52.160 variable interest rates and are struggling to pay off their mortgage, there's a minimal benefit
00:23:56.280 when inflation devalues the total note you have on your property. But for the ultra wealthy,
00:24:01.560 they're intentionally taking out loans and hoping for inflation, which screws over the working class
00:24:08.060 have to buy groceries, but benefits them because it devalues the debt they have. So rant over,
00:24:13.740 but I wanted to point out, there's this video I played just before you came in of this black woman
00:24:18.900 saying, it is the responsibility of the taxpayers to take care of my kids. How do you function as a
00:24:27.200 country with millions of people who genuinely believe that? That's the point you were just making
00:24:31.900 before. As sooner or later, if we keep voting in this direction, the system implodes. So what do we
00:24:38.060 do? Do we just stock up on emergency food, go move to the, to the wilderness and prepare for the long
00:24:43.760 fall? Or do we push back and say, we've got to cut these people off? Yeah. I mean, I think there's,
00:24:49.680 look, that culture of righteous dependence was created. And so a culture that rejects that can
00:24:57.700 also be created. And I think, I, you know, I think that's like what we all work toward doing.
00:25:02.000 Yeah. And so there's that aspect to it. And then look, I would ideally, if I was in control of the
00:25:07.720 government, it would be a timed phase out type thing. But to your point, I think, which is a very
00:25:12.480 good one. It's like, yeah, but that ain't happening. But, and then to the larger thing, you know,
00:25:16.840 like, I just, um, I just recently got a, um, like a letter from my, like, I bought a house like three
00:25:22.980 years ago. I got a letter from my real estate agent. This isn't like a, an official appraisal
00:25:27.040 or nothing, but they estimated that like the house has gone up by, you know, a few hundred thousand
00:25:31.420 dollars. And you know, it's this area where I live. I mean, the prices have just shot up and you,
00:25:37.680 you look at that. And I remember I was thinking, I was like, you know, I struggled for a lot of years.
00:25:41.540 I was really broke for many years. I'm making really good money now, but I just got handed this
00:25:46.680 gift that I didn't earn. Like that's basically welfare. It's essentially welfare of the way the
00:25:52.320 system works. This wasn't a market function. This is obviously a government function that the price
00:25:57.760 of real estate is being driven up. And so just, if you think about it, it's like, so they're in a
00:26:02.260 sense, it's like, they're handing me a welfare check and taking it out of the pockets of young
00:26:06.340 people. That same house is now that much further out of their reach. And then we look around and we
00:26:11.120 wonder why all these young people are demanding socialism. And I think the difficulty for people like us
00:26:16.160 is to point out that it's like, look, it's not true when you guys say profit is theft. That's not
00:26:22.160 true. But under the current system that we live, there is a tinge of truth to the fact that a lot
00:26:28.340 of people are making money in completely unfair ways, but that's because of government intervention.
00:26:34.480 You know, even Jon Stewart, and I don't know if you saw Jon Stewart and Bernie Sanders were talking
00:26:38.560 about this. And it's like, it occurred to Jon Stewart for the first time in his life in his sixties
00:26:42.440 that he goes, you know, these government interventions do seem to drive up the prices of
00:26:46.220 things. You know, yeah, that's kind of true. Well, geez. Trump wants it. Trump doesn't want
00:26:53.000 property values to go down because I think in his view and the Republicans view, there's a lot of
00:27:00.180 Gen Xers, lesser older millennials, but a lot of Gen X and boomers that have stored their wealth in
00:27:05.440 their property. And these people don't want to see their assets decline. So Trump's attitude is
00:27:10.860 houses should just go up, but that means Gen Z and millennials are struggling to buy homes
00:27:16.400 because the prices are going up more than wages and salaries are going up. Now you add this,
00:27:21.600 there's two things I'll add to this. When you, government interventions, I could be wrong,
00:27:26.060 but my general understanding is that. Grab a coffee and discover Vegas level excitement with
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00:28:25.540 You've got organizations like BlackRock or whatever. They get effectively infinite money
00:28:31.240 from the Federal Reserve to buy houses propping up these prices and driving people out of the
00:28:35.960 market. That was the big controversy a couple of years ago. But the big thing that is disconcerting
00:28:40.800 to me is when the boomers die and we are at the mortality cliff for the boomer generation,
00:28:47.020 they're now hitting 79, 80 years old, which is life expectancy. The estimates are within the next
00:28:52.460 five to 10 years, we're going to lose more than half, maybe two thirds of the boomer generation
00:28:56.180 because, well, they're old. Who's going to inherit these properties? Well, it's going to go to a lot
00:29:02.160 of their kids. These are going to be middle-aged millennials who aren't going to want to move back
00:29:07.320 to St. Louis or Nebraska or whatever it is their boomer parents live. So they're going to try and
00:29:11.680 sell the house. That's usually what happens when someone inherits a house. They're going to put it on
00:29:15.500 the market. Oh, you know what? It's a bungalow. But in 10 years, it's a $750,000 bungalow because the
00:29:21.960 prices go up. Well, guess what? Nobody can buy it. No Gen Z, who's in their late 30s, can afford
00:29:28.640 a million-dollar bungalow, nor do they want to live in these areas. So what does the millennial do?
00:29:33.660 They tell their agent, look, just drop the price. Now it's $700,000. Nobody buys it. Now it's $600,000.
00:29:38.700 Nobody buys it. Now it's $500,000. Nobody buys it. Because millennials aren't buying. Gen Z ain't buying.
00:29:44.140 There is going to be a massive deflationary reaction in the system that's going to put people
00:29:50.020 underwater on mortgages. Some of the people—so that's what's going to happen when they inherit
00:29:54.320 the houses. But for all the millennials and Gen Z who buy on mortgage a million-dollar bungalow,
00:30:00.740 and then after this crash now have a million-dollar debt note on a $500,000 house underwater,
00:30:06.400 it's going to be economic crisis. And the Republicans and Trump, they're not doing anything
00:30:11.660 to prepare for this, at least it seems. Yeah. I mean, I think that's essentially right.
00:30:17.240 You know, there's a—and how exactly it plays out will be interesting to see. But that's right.
00:30:22.500 I mean, it's an artificially bid-up price that is unsustainable, that you're not going to be able
00:30:27.660 at a certain point. There's just not going to be buyers that are left for this stuff. And I will say
00:30:32.060 that, you know, this is really why I have so much contempt for the boomers as a generation.
00:30:38.340 And I like some of them. My mom's cool. But I really—you know, it's like, did you—it just seems like
00:30:44.740 as a generation, the fact that they didn't all stop and go, whoa, whoa, what are we doing?
00:30:50.960 We are totally screwing over the next generation. Like, we can't be for this. It just seems like
00:30:55.160 as a generation, they went, hey, I bought this house five years ago for $300,000, and now it's
00:31:00.320 $1.2 million. Isn't that neat? Well, look at such a—oh, go ahead.
00:31:05.280 No, no, but you didn't think like, oh, but this makes it impossible for my kids to ever buy a house.
00:31:09.420 Like, what we need in this country is deflation. And ever since the Great Depression, that has been
00:31:14.980 the great enemy of the central bank. But deflation is actually a healthy sign. Deflation is what a
00:31:19.760 healthy economy ought to produce. All deflation means is that—well, and I mean price deflation
00:31:25.480 when I say this—all that means is that we're being more productive, and so things are becoming
00:31:30.300 more affordable. That's what a healthy economy looks like.
00:31:33.040 Look at Social Security as the best example. Because with all due respect to boomers, there are a lot of
00:31:37.580 great boomers. They made Star Trek The Next Generation. I love it. But as a generation,
00:31:42.520 Social Security is the best example. Because I talked to boomers, and I'm sure you've heard the
00:31:45.820 same thing. I will mention it's going to become insolvent. You need—right now, I think the number
00:31:51.840 is 4.3 taxpayers to support one Social Security recipient. The system can't sustain itself, and Gen Z
00:32:00.460 is struggling to afford things as it is. If Gen Z can't buy homes and have families, our country is
00:32:06.320 cooked. And then what am I told? Buy 100% of boomers? I paid into it. It's my money.
00:32:13.720 Well, you know what? I got to be honest. I hear you. But the problem is, this generation,
00:32:21.580 largely, it's where we begin to see the, I understand the system is broken, so I better get mine.
00:32:28.300 It is the departure from the, ask not what you can do—ask not what your country can do for you,
00:32:33.820 but what you can do for your country. It radically transformed into the, everyone else is out for
00:32:39.140 themselves, so I better be too. And that has pushed us into this period now where Gen Alpha is 40 million.
00:32:46.880 Millennials didn't have kids. Gen Alpha is half the size of Gen Z, which means Gen Alpha,
00:32:53.780 now entering the workforce. They're 15 years old, about turned 16, is when they should be entering
00:32:58.820 the low-skill portion of the workforce. Don't exist. So what are Democrats doing? Import as many
00:33:05.160 people as possible to offset this. That will only make it worse. Ten years from now, it is going to
00:33:11.560 be wild. And I hear from people that say, don't worry, Tim. Robots will replace the workers. But you
00:33:17.260 know what? It won't replace the customers. That's, it's an absurd notion. So I, unfortunately, I'm a bit
00:33:24.520 pessimistic on what the future's going to look like. I don't know how you feel, though. Are you happy?
00:33:28.280 Well, you know, I try, I try to stay optimistic about the, uh, the long run, but I will just say
00:33:33.420 that, look, this is just, on the bottom line of it is, is just that Medicare and Social Security are
00:33:39.100 completely indefensible. They're just completely indefensible. And this, this nonsense that you paid
00:33:44.100 into it. No, you paid into your government and they blew that money. They not only blew that money,
00:33:50.680 they blew that money, then borrowed some more money and that wasn't enough. So then they printed a whole
00:33:54.620 bunch more money after that. That money doesn't exist. It would be a different statement if we
00:33:58.940 had ever put it in a lockbox and you were talking about your money that you were putting in. The fact
00:34:03.180 is that Social Security and Medicare are giant wealth redistribute, uh, wealth redistributive
00:34:08.960 policies that redistribute from the poorer to the wealthier. It is indefensible. There is no
00:34:14.600 capitalist or no socialist who can defend a redistribution from a poorer group to a richer
00:34:19.480 group. And we should abolish all of it. And Trump is very bad on that. Yeah. I don't think you'll ever
00:34:24.860 get it. It goes back to the same argument. Give me one politician and it's maybe Massey and Rand Paul
00:34:31.700 who's going to campaign and saying, vote for me and I'll cut your benefits because the attitude of the
00:34:37.940 individual is going to be, I know the system may be bad, but it's sinking. So I better take mine.
00:34:43.060 And that's where we're, we're going to keep going. Maybe this is the fourth turning. The system's
00:34:47.960 going to buckle some kind of conflict or controversy or depression and the strong will survive. And from
00:34:54.120 this, it will restart. I don't know, but Dave, it's been great. You have any, you want any final
00:34:58.600 thoughts and where, where can people find you? Yeah. Thomas Massey and Rand Paul are right. The
00:35:03.260 libertarians are right about all this stuff again. Comicdavesmith.com. And part of the
00:35:08.100 problem is my show. Always great talking with you, Tim. Thanks for coming, man. I really do
00:35:10.880 appreciate it. We'll, we'll see you again soon. Absolutely. Take care. That is of course Dave
00:35:17.480 Smith. And I love the controversy around all of these personalities. It's like Dave's got opinions
00:35:23.740 on war or Israel, whatever. And then everyone gets mad. Look, man, everybody's got opinions on
00:35:30.060 different things. I'm willing to be friends with even leftists and argue with them on the bad
00:35:33.300 things. If we can focus on the good things we can get done. And that's why I'll give a shout out to
00:35:36.880 Cenk Uygur of all people, despite the bad views he's got. Cenk has long said, okay, fine. Can we,
00:35:43.020 can we map out where we actually agree and just do it because we want that to happen? So for a lot of
00:35:48.080 us, it's ending the war machine or spending more money in America. And if we can get done what we
00:35:54.640 agree on, we agree on that. But I got to say, I think the libertarians are right on most of this
00:35:59.040 government spending. You cannot create a culture that says we will fund your life even if you don't
00:36:05.780 work because 10, 20 years later, this is what you end up with. Now I'm actually in favor of EBT
00:36:13.920 and snap and all that stuff, but it's got to be strict and rigid. Dave mentions the shame. Yeah,
00:36:20.860 I said this before, I got food benefits when I live. Grab a coffee and discover Vegas level
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00:37:20.980 I've been in Seattle for two, it might have been three months. Because I think they give you three
00:37:26.060 months and then it stops and you have to re-up. And I didn't. I had it for probably three months.
00:37:30.300 It was 140 bucks a month or something. And I felt embarrassed. But it was, you know, the reality was
00:37:36.240 I thought I'd find a job and I struggled. And then I had people say, hey, look, man, you pay taxes,
00:37:40.560 right? You work, you pay taxes. It's here for you when you need it. And I said, okay, look,
00:37:45.440 I'll only use what I need. And what I bought groceries, cold foods. I didn't abuse it. And
00:37:50.400 when I found a job, I said, I don't need it anymore. That's the way it should be. And it should
00:37:54.940 be embarrassing. I don't think you need to be overly embarrassed or ashamed that sometimes you
00:37:58.980 need help because I'm for that system. I am not for people screaming, it's your responsibility to feed
00:38:04.160 my kids. I'm not for a system where people intentionally don't work and game the system.
00:38:08.600 That needs to be purged, that system, and cleaned up. So I'm with the Libertarians on this one.
00:38:14.760 My friends, DeVore Darkins is going live. He is live now. We're going to send you on your way to
00:38:21.320 join his show. And man, this guy, he's rising the ranks. He's got a fantastic show. I'm a huge fan.
00:38:26.580 It was awesome to hang out with him when we went to his studio. Check out his show. You can follow me
00:38:31.940 on X and Instagram at TimCast. Share the show with everyone you know. We're back at 8 p.m. for TimCast IRL.
00:38:37.920 We will see you at the DC Comedy Loft November 8th. Get your tickets while you can.
00:38:42.840 Thanks for hanging out and we'll see you all next time.