The Culture War - Tim Pool - February 11, 2026


WAR! FAA SHUTS Airspace After Mexican Cartel DRONE INCURSION Into US

Topics
drone incursion threat drone incursions into US airspace strikes against drug boats
Hosted by
Tim Pool Phil Labonte Hannah Claire Brimelow
Mentioned
Donald Trump Jamie Dimon Alex Stein Nicolas Maduro Obama Brian Petford Tim Waltz Valentine Claudia Scheinbaum Magnolia Tribune Keir Starmer Charlie Kirk J.P. Morgan Sean Duffy Peter Apps Desensitized Cybertruck Stephen
New Files PROVE Trump Informed On Epstein, Massie & Khanna DEMAND Names Be UNSEALED Trump To END ICE Surge In Minnesota, MAGA Says He's BACKING DOWN

Episode Stats


Length

32 minutes

Words per minute

167.88

Word count

5,389

Sentence count

460

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

3

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In the wake of a Mexican Cartel drone strike near El Paso, Texas, the U.S. government is scrambling to figure out what to do about it, and how to prevent it from happening in the first place. Plus, a new product that s about to spice things up in the bedroom.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:01.000 Olivia loves a challenge.
00:00:03.000 It's why she lifts heavy weights 1.00
00:00:05.000 and likes complicated recipes.
00:00:09.000 But for booking her trip to Paris,
00:00:11.000 Olivia chose the easy way with Expedia.
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00:00:21.000 You were made to take the easy route.
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00:00:26.000 Expedia. Made to travel.
00:00:30.000 Earlier this morning, we got word that airspace in El Paso
00:00:33.000 was being shut down around the airport
00:00:35.000 due to a national security threat.
00:00:37.000 Shortly after this, the restrictions were lifted
00:00:40.000 and we were informed this was due to a Mexican cartel
00:00:44.000 drone incursion.
00:00:46.000 That is, the cartels in Mexico have been using drones
00:00:50.000 as transport for drugs as well as weapons,
00:00:53.000 and this threatened the safety and security
00:00:56.000 of commercial flights in and around El Paso.
00:00:59.000 The bigger question here is what will the U.S. do
00:01:02.000 in response to this?
00:01:04.000 And should we tolerate this?
00:01:06.000 The New York Times has already reported
00:01:08.000 that the DOD has been warning about Mexican cartels
00:01:12.000 and their drone incursions for some time.
00:01:14.000 You see, in response to Donald Trump's crackdown on the border,
00:01:17.000 they've adapted and they've begun to utilize drones,
00:01:20.000 which for anyone paying attention to the war in Ukraine can be massively devastating.
00:01:27.000 If we as the United States do not get a handle on this, it could spell disaster.
00:01:32.000 Guys, in all seriousness, a single drone carrying a small payload can blow up a plane as it's preparing to take off.
00:01:42.000 It can kill hundreds if not thousands of people.
00:01:45.000 About a decade ago, actually about 13 years ago, I was consulting a university group as well as the government on drone technologies as I and my friends had been hacking commercial grade drones.
00:01:59.000 This is very early on to broadcast, to live stream, to explore this technology.
00:02:05.000 And I was asked by a group of individuals with the government, what should we be concerned about as we prepare to regulate and address the incoming drone wave?
00:02:16.000 And I said, a single individual can take one of these drones and load a bomb onto it and they can commit acts of terror that you cannot stop.
00:02:25.000 You will see it coming and there's nothing you can do.
00:02:28.000 Because even if you take the drone out in midair, that bomb is here.
00:02:33.000 Now, the truth is, you could do the same for a car or an individual could do these things as well.
00:02:39.000 What's scary about the drones is that they can be autonomously driven.
00:02:45.000 That is, with a vehicle, with a personal act of terror, the individual must engage in this themselves, though we do have more and more remote or self-driving technologies.
00:02:54.000 We saw that Cybertruck blow up in Vegas with drones.
00:02:59.000 This was entering a space where you could set it, predetermine its course of action and deliver it with zero risk, increasing the likelihood that we see attacks like this.
00:03:09.000 Now, this we may be OK on because the U.S. stopped it.
00:03:13.000 But what happens if the cartels decide to actually strike against U.S. targets?
00:03:19.000 Should we wait to find out?
00:03:22.000 And if the answer is no, what can we do?
00:03:25.000 My friends, let's jump into the story where it's not just about this.
00:03:28.000 Donald Trump has signaled a ground incursion into Mexico to go after these cartels.
00:03:34.000 Many people are shocked and worried about what that could mean.
00:03:37.000 And then, of course, for the eight hundred and forty seven times, someone said World War three is here.
00:03:43.000 And in the context of it, I have to throw in there and people are all saying Civil War is here.
00:03:47.000 So I'm about ready to just flip the table, go to the bar, order some wings and say I'm done listening because the world apparently is ending.
00:03:55.000 Anyway, let's get into the news, actually, and talk about what's currently going on with this cartel drone strike.
00:04:01.000 Before we do, my friends, head over to castbrew.com.
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00:04:33.000 This one's for you, Alex.
00:04:35.000 Castbrew.com.
00:04:36.000 And don't forget to join our Discord community at TimCast.com.
00:04:41.000 Click join us.
00:04:42.000 Ten bucks a month, and you're supporting the work that we do, and you are actively involved in the space.
00:04:47.000 There are pre-shows, morning shows, after shows, pre-shows for IRL, late night shows.
00:04:52.000 The community there is deeply engaged, and they want to be friends with you.
00:04:56.000 We also do the 630 TimCast IRL member hangouts.
00:05:01.000 So you've got to get involved.
00:05:03.000 And let's kick this off with today's debate.
00:05:06.000 Guys, in the comments below, let me know what you think.
00:05:09.000 Should the U.S. send ground troops in to put a stop to these cartels?
00:05:14.000 It's a big question.
00:05:15.000 That's why I throw it to you as a debate, because we've got people who say we should absolutely not.
00:05:20.000 But we've got people who are saying we absolutely should.
00:05:24.000 The obvious reasons are that invading could cause blowback, and it could cause serious problems with our relationship with Mexico.
00:05:32.000 But they're not dealing with the problem.
00:05:33.000 So many others say if they're not going to stop these cartels and they're threatening us, then we have to do something about it.
00:05:39.000 It's a tough question, isn't it?
00:05:41.000 You guys, tell me what you think below.
00:05:43.000 Subscribe to this channel and share the video right now with every person you know.
00:05:47.000 If everyone who shared this video, I'm sorry, if everyone who watched this video shared it, this would be the biggest news program in the world.
00:05:54.000 You get a couple hundred thousand views on this.
00:05:56.000 Imagine what a couple hundred thousand shares could do.
00:05:58.000 So if you support the work, please consider it.
00:06:00.000 Here's a story from the Wall Street Journal.
00:06:02.000 FAA briefly closed El Paso airspace after Mexican cartel drone breach.
00:06:07.000 Administration says all flights will resume hours after issuing the halt for special security reasons.
00:06:14.000 Now, we have I believe we have an update here for from El Paso matters.
00:06:19.000 FAA lifts unprecedented El Paso airspace restrictions after seven hours.
00:06:24.000 Fourteen flights canceled.
00:06:26.000 This is crazy.
00:06:27.000 The FAA dropped unprecedented airspace restrictions after seven hours.
00:06:32.000 In the social media post, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said the FAA and what the Trump admin calls the Department of War.
00:06:39.000 I love what the Trump Department calls.
00:06:42.000 Acted to address cartel drone incursions.
00:06:46.000 The threat has been neutralized and there is no danger to commercial travel in the region.
00:06:52.000 U.S. Rep. Veronica Escobar challenged Duffy's claim at a news conference Wednesday morning, quote,
00:06:57.000 I believe the FAA owes the community and the country an explanation as to why this happened so suddenly and abruptly and was lifted so suddenly and abruptly.
00:07:06.000 And based on the information I have right now, which is the same information, the House Armed Services Committee has been provided the ranking member in Congress.
00:07:14.000 That is not what we in Congress have been told.
00:07:17.000 She declined to go into detail on what information she had received of the airspace restrictions.
00:07:20.000 Late Tuesday, the FAA issued what what are known as notice to air missions or NOTAM, alerting pilots at the airspace.
00:07:28.000 I believe it's notice to airmen, not air missions.
00:07:30.000 I could be wrong because I don't know that commercial flights or missions at the airspace over the most of El Paso and over a large swath of New Mexico land west of Santa Teresa would be closed for 10 days.
00:07:44.000 The restrictions took took effect at 1130 p.m.
00:07:47.000 And the notices warned pilots of the U.S. government may use deadly force against the airborne aircraft if it is determined that the aircraft poses an imminent security threat.
00:07:57.000 The FAA announced shortly before 7 a.m. Wednesday on social media at the El Paso airspace restrictions had been lifted.
00:08:04.000 El Paso leaders sharply criticized the FAA's actions, quote,
00:08:09.000 This was a major and unnecessary disruption, one that has not occurred since 9-11.
00:08:14.000 El Paso is not just a dot on a map.
00:08:16.000 We are a major, major city.
00:08:18.000 We are the sixth largest city in the state of Texas, and we are the 22nd largest city in the United States.
00:08:23.000 Without hospital, military operations and emergency services and critical infrastructures that depend on coordinated and reliable aerospace operations, decisions made without notice or coordination puts lives at risk and creates unnecessary dangers and confusion.
00:08:37.000 Full stop, my friends.
00:08:39.000 I think this is much more serious than we are being told.
00:08:42.000 The U.S. government rarely ever just shuts down airspace on a 10 day notice.
00:08:47.000 Not since 9-11.
00:08:49.000 This has been seen.
00:08:51.000 Here's my first thought.
00:08:52.000 There were concerns, the DOD, the DOW, whatever you want to call it, and the FAA, that we faced a very serious threat, weaponization of drones from cartels.
00:09:04.000 And that, unfortunately, sparked a panic.
00:09:08.000 I'm not going to say that everyone's running around with their hair on fire, but someone clearly said, shut it down, 10 day restriction now.
00:09:14.000 And that says to me that what the cartels were doing was not just drug transport, but perhaps something more serious.
00:09:20.000 The question I have for you guys, throw it back into the debate.
00:09:23.000 Do you agree?
00:09:25.000 Do you think this was incompetence, an accident?
00:09:29.000 Or if this really was something more serious and they're not telling us, I would argue that they're trying to avert a panic.
00:09:36.000 Because if it is true the cartel launched some kind of attack, what would that mean?
00:09:43.000 My friends, in war there is something we call a casus belli, a cause for war.
00:09:48.000 And it refers to a justification for invasion or a strike on a target.
00:09:53.000 If the U.S. were going to send troops into Mexico, we would require what is referred to as a casus belli.
00:10:00.000 Now, of course, it's going to be an opinion.
00:10:02.000 The U.S. government will say, hey, look, they did this drug thing.
00:10:06.000 We're justified.
00:10:07.000 The question is, how will the world see it?
00:10:09.000 And could it negatively impact our standing?
00:10:11.000 We need this for trade deals and general trust, right?
00:10:15.000 The issue, however, is sometimes you don't want a casus belli.
00:10:20.000 If it is true that the cartels launched a strike on you on the U.S. in some capacity, the American people would demand action.
00:10:30.000 And it may be that Trump literally does not want to invade Mexico.
00:10:35.000 He's talked about hitting land targets.
00:10:37.000 But the issue would be like this.
00:10:39.000 You're in the military.
00:10:40.000 You get word, sir.
00:10:42.000 Cartels have launched weaponized drones and actually damaged U.S. infrastructure.
00:10:47.000 Okay.
00:10:48.000 If this goes out to the press, the American people will demand action.
00:10:54.000 Action that we are not prepared to take.
00:10:57.000 So what does the U.S. do in these circumstances?
00:11:00.000 Cover it up.
00:11:01.000 There's the inverse.
00:11:02.000 That would be the false flag.
00:11:03.000 That's where the U.S. stages the incursion to justify the incursion, to give themselves the casus belli.
00:11:10.000 I'd make the argument that, based on what we're seeing, there's a decent probability that someone just screwed up incompetence and inexperience.
00:11:19.000 Fine.
00:11:20.000 Never attribute to malice that which can be explained by incompetence.
00:11:23.000 But I got to say, part of me lean towards you don't issue a 10 day shutdown unless something very serious happened.
00:11:31.000 And perhaps they're just not telling us.
00:11:34.000 Now, they did tell us there were drone incursions and they were neutralized, but not much more.
00:11:41.000 And they've lifted the lockdown.
00:11:44.000 Perhaps it was all just a simple mistake.
00:11:46.000 We have this story from CBS News.
00:11:49.000 Air space closure followed spat over drone related tests and party balloon shoot down sources say.
00:11:56.000 I'm going to tell you this, my friends.
00:11:59.000 This report came out and our sources here at Timcast in the Department of War have told us this is not correct.
00:12:09.000 So they have disputed these claims pushed by CBS News for posterity.
00:12:14.000 I'll tell you those claims and then reiterate the Department of War has told us these are not correct.
00:12:19.000 CBS News reports the unexpected but brief air space closure in the Texas border city of El Paso stemmed from disagreements between the FAA and Pentagon officials over drone related tests.
00:12:29.000 Multiple sources close to the matter told CBS News.
00:12:32.000 The Pentagon had undertaken extensive planning on the use of military technology near Fort Bliss military base that abuts the El Paso International Airport to practice taking down drones.
00:12:42.000 Two sources identify the technology as a high energy laser.
00:12:46.000 Meetings were scheduled over safety impacts.
00:12:49.000 Pentagon officials wanted to test technology sooner saying that U.S. Code one three zero I requirements governing the protection of certain facilities from unmanned aircraft had been met.
00:12:58.000 FAA administrator Brian Bedford on Tuesday night decided to close the air sport airspace without alerting the White House Pentagon or Homeland Security officials sources said.
00:13:08.000 Bedford told officials the airspace restrictions would be in place to ensure safety until issues with the Department of War Department could be resolved.
00:13:16.000 The FAA declined to comment.
00:13:18.000 So I will stress this again.
00:13:20.000 Our sources at the Department of War have stated to us definitively this is not true.
00:13:26.000 Believe what you want to believe.
00:13:28.000 Take with a grain of salt.
00:13:29.000 That's all I can really tell you.
00:13:30.000 I don't believe we have any updates beyond that's nothing yet, but just a confirmation from the Department of War.
00:13:40.000 Not correct.
00:13:41.000 So I'm not entirely sure, but you know, we'll see.
00:13:44.000 These were the NOTAM notices that went out.
00:13:47.000 This was the first one, which of course absolutely does include the United States government may use deadly force against the airborne aircraft.
00:13:56.000 If it is determined the aircraft poses an imminent security threat.
00:13:59.000 I'm gonna have to tell you my friends.
00:14:01.000 I do not believe it that this was simply a dispute between the FAA and the DOW on drone tests.
00:14:11.000 Shutting down airspace over an entire city over their airport is not something done lightly.
00:14:17.000 And I really doubt there was just bickering between two departments.
00:14:21.000 Considering the FAA under the DOT under Duffy and the Department of War under Hegelsteth.
00:14:26.000 These guys are buddies.
00:14:28.000 I just don't believe that reporting.
00:14:30.000 But hey, who am I?
00:14:32.000 New York Times.
00:14:34.000 U.S. officials have warned about cartel drones at the border.
00:14:37.000 So I'm gonna tell you this.
00:14:39.000 They want to put out this.
00:14:40.000 Oh, it was some bickering over drone tests.
00:14:42.000 I don't.
00:14:43.000 I don't believe it.
00:14:44.000 We already know.
00:14:45.000 And we have reporting for the New York Times.
00:14:47.000 This is not.
00:14:48.000 Okay.
00:14:49.000 Some disputed right wing.
00:14:50.000 Oh, the Trump says this.
00:14:51.000 The media says this.
00:14:52.000 Even the New York Times is pointing out that we have been warned about drones from the cartels in the past.
00:14:58.000 The New York Times Times reporting.
00:15:00.000 Trump admin officials have warned for months about Mexican cartels using drones to the US Mexico border saying they are used to surveil border agents and smuggle drugs.
00:15:08.000 Mexican officials have publicly been more suspect downplaying the threat drones pose at the border.
00:15:14.000 What is clear is that drones have become a prominent tool and weapon used by Mexican cartels across Mexico in recent years, according to cartel operatives.
00:15:23.000 Security analysts and some government officials on both sides of the border.
00:15:26.000 Stephen will be director of counter drone opera program at the US Department of Homeland Security testified to Congress in July that US officials detected more than 60,000 drone flights within 500 meters of the US Mexico border.
00:15:39.000 The second half of 2024 or 326 flights per day, many at night and above the 400 foot maximum altitude allowed for drones.
00:15:50.000 Those are not familiar.
00:15:51.000 After you get into four above 400 feet, you're entering FAA airspace regulated, controlled, largely commercial.
00:15:58.000 He added.
00:15:59.000 U.S. officials have seized thousands of pounds of drugs transported across the border on drones since 2019, including over 1,200 pounds in the second half of 2024.
00:16:10.000 In October of 23, he said U.S. officials intercepted a drone carrying 3.6 pounds of fentanyl pills traveling from Mexico into the US.
00:16:18.000 He suggested officials had arrested more than 1,500 people in relation to such drone activity on the border.
00:16:26.000 We got this report recently in January.
00:16:28.000 This from PBS.
00:16:29.000 Mexico sends 37 drug cartel members to the US in the latest offer to the Trump administration.
00:16:36.000 That is.
00:16:37.000 We know full well the cartels are a problem.
00:16:41.000 Negotiations between Mexico and the US have been ongoing with Mexico cooperating in taking down these drug cartels.
00:16:48.000 But is it enough?
00:16:50.000 If we are still seeing these drone incursions, the answer is I'm going to have to say no, because the fear is this could result in US operations to finally put a stop to what these cartels are doing.
00:17:03.000 And I'll tell you what really worries me, my friends, that we have cartel activity here in the United States, notably near the D.C. area.
00:17:12.000 We shouldn't tolerate this.
00:17:14.000 The American people should not have to worry about extra national organizations.
00:17:17.000 I don't want to call them just gangs.
00:17:19.000 They're more than that.
00:17:20.000 Killing, undermining our laws, entering illegally, facilitating smuggling and trafficking.
00:17:26.000 This needs to be stopped.
00:17:28.000 Your own news reporting.
00:17:31.000 Trump says you asked to, quote, start hitting land in Mexico targeting drug cartels.
00:17:36.000 This report, of course, just from one month ago.
00:17:39.000 US President Trump announced Thursday that American forces would begin ground operations in Mexico targeting cartels following months of naval strikes in the eastern Pacific and Caribbean, Caribbean, Caribbean, Caribbean.
00:17:52.000 We're going to start now hitting land with regard to the cartels.
00:17:55.000 The cartels are running Mexico.
00:17:57.000 Trump provided no additional information on the timing of the planned land attacks.
00:18:01.000 Any military strikes on Mexico territory without Mexico City's consent would violate international law and mark an unprecedented attack on a US ally and major trading partner.
00:18:11.000 The statement follows Saturday's Delta forces led capture of Venezuela's Nicolas Maduro.
00:18:16.000 Excuse me.
00:18:17.000 At a Caracas compound where he was sheltering the culmination of an extended US military and economic campaign against his government.
00:18:24.000 Maduro now faces drug trafficking charges in New York.
00:18:27.000 Ground strikes on cartels in Mexico would represent a substantial expansion of US military involvement in the region.
00:18:34.000 Mexico's two most powerful criminal organizations, the Sinaloa Cartel and the Jalisco New Generation Cartel, control vast territories and have been locked in violent competition that killed more than 30,000 people last year.
00:18:46.000 Trump designated six Mexican cartels as foreign terrorist organizations in February of 2025, a move Mexico condemned as threatening its sovereignty and potentially justifying military intervention.
00:18:58.000 Mexican President Claudia Scheinbaum has proposed constitutional reforms to strengthen protections against unauthorized foreign operations and has consistently rejected any US military presence on Mexican soil.
00:19:10.000 Scheinbaum said Monday that Americans do not belong to any single nation.
00:19:14.000 Really responding to Trump's assertion of Washington's dominance over the hemisphere after Maduro's capture.
00:19:21.000 Trump said Sunday that Sunday he had pressed Scheinbaum to allow deployment of US troops against Mexican cartels, an offer he said she had previously rejected.
00:19:31.000 We have another update on the US operations against drug trafficking cartels in the Pacific.
00:19:37.000 NBC News reporting US strike on alleged drug boat kills two and leaves a survivor.
00:19:42.000 The bulk of US strikes near Venezuela and Colombia took place from September to December.
00:19:47.000 But the US has stepped up attacks again in recent weeks.
00:19:50.000 Now, one thing I think you should consider is the possibility of a false flag.
00:19:54.000 If Donald Trump does want to invade Mexico, then again, we do need a casus belli.
00:20:01.000 And while I will simply say it's much more likely that the cartels are launching these incursions against us.
00:20:09.000 You need to understand that governments have historically even the US government launched attacks against itself to justify this.
00:20:15.000 So what if and again, a simple what if the US launches drone strikes against itself on the southern border?
00:20:23.000 Triggers a closure of airspace says, look what happened and then ask the public for permission.
00:20:30.000 Will you support our ground operations in Mexico?
00:20:34.000 Considering what we've seen so far, I do not believe this is the case.
00:20:38.000 I do believe one should consider the possibility.
00:20:41.000 But I believe if this actually was an attempt to generate a cause for war, the US would simply say the cartels attacked us shutting down our airspace and we will not tolerate this.
00:20:52.000 It doesn't mean they would immediately move to strike ground targets in Mexico.
00:20:56.000 But they wouldn't be downplaying it.
00:20:59.000 They wouldn't be pushing back.
00:21:01.000 They wouldn't be lifting the airspace restrictions.
00:21:03.000 They would absolutely be saying the inconvenience that you are all experiences due to the cartels.
00:21:08.000 They still may.
00:21:09.000 That's why I think it's important to consider this.
00:21:11.000 In the meantime, the US is still engaged in these strikes in the Caribbean.
00:21:15.000 But we have this strike in the Pacific.
00:21:18.000 Check this out.
00:21:19.000 The US said Monday that it hit a vessel allegedly transporting drugs in the eastern Pacific, killing two people and leaving one survivor in the second such strike in the past four days.
00:21:30.000 Citing intelligence, US Southern Command said on Monday on X, the vessel was transition, transiting along known narco trafficking routes in the eastern Pacific and was engaged in narco trafficking operations.
00:21:42.000 Two narco terrorists were killed and one survived the strike.
00:21:45.000 It said, adding the Coast Guard was activated for search and rescue operations.
00:21:49.000 Now, what I find interesting is how many people in this country oppose strikes against these vessels.
00:21:56.000 You've got people coming out on the left largely saying these are fishermen, civilians.
00:22:02.000 Now, I'm going to tell you this, my friends.
00:22:04.000 I'm not going to just give them the benefit of the doubt and say, sure, I blindly trust them.
00:22:10.000 But in the meantime, we don't really have much to go on.
00:22:14.000 I believe that the US is going to be striking boats in the Pacific and in the Gulf, in the Caribbean.
00:22:20.000 Then they need to give a full accounting and report to the American people.
00:22:24.000 That being said, I give them so much more.
00:22:29.000 So much more credit on this one than I would give any previous administration on our strikes in the Middle East.
00:22:34.000 We know the Obama administration was targeting civilians, but he would just say or I should say the administration would come out and go.
00:22:40.000 But they're military aged males.
00:22:42.000 I'm not here to play those games.
00:22:44.000 Killing civilians is wrong.
00:22:46.000 It's a war crime. 0.92
00:22:47.000 It's criminal.
00:22:48.000 However, in the meantime, we have much more.
00:22:53.000 However, I would say I'd give them much more runway in that targeting suspected traffickers of drugs and people bringing these drugs into our country or just transporting them into the country of our allies warrants a strike so much more than anything we did in the Middle East. 0.81
00:23:12.000 Again, I'll tell you this.
00:23:13.000 They should give a full accounting.
00:23:15.000 They should testify.
00:23:16.000 They should say, here's the proof.
00:23:17.000 And I'll also add to the libs who are freaking out guys.
00:23:22.000 If bad things happen and mistakes are made that people should be held to account.
00:23:27.000 But this is also acts of war against us and our allies.
00:23:31.000 So the penalty is going to be substantially less than, say, a strike on a civilian in Iraq or Afghanistan.
00:23:37.000 That's the reality.
00:23:38.000 I don't believe in this unhinged, unmeasured response that we get from people where it's just Trump did it.
00:23:44.000 Trump's bad.
00:23:45.000 Obama did it.
00:23:46.000 I don't care.
00:23:47.000 I'm not playing those games.
00:23:49.000 I'm going to give them much more credit on these because we know and we've seen images.
00:23:54.000 These appear to be drug boats.
00:23:56.000 Sometimes they may not be.
00:23:58.000 That's bad.
00:23:59.000 And someone's got to be held to account.
00:24:01.000 But don't come to me ignoring everything that Obama did in the Middle East.
00:24:06.000 And even right now, and even with Ukraine, an act like this is somehow unprecedented, my friends. 0.74
00:24:13.000 Axios reporting similarly that Trump was going to get more military invasion invasions, not just Mexico, pointing out, of course, Mexico is one of them.
00:24:22.000 But Colombia.
00:24:23.000 I believe there's Cuba as well.
00:24:24.000 I believe there's Cuba as well.
00:24:26.000 And Mexico, of course, we already know.
00:24:29.000 And not Greenland.
00:24:31.000 That was exaggerated.
00:24:32.000 The interesting thing about what we're seeing with Venezuela.
00:24:36.000 Cuba's out of fuel.
00:24:38.000 Cuba's out of fuel.
00:24:39.000 The reports are that Cuba is in chaos because seizing Maduro and shutting down their operations, seizing their oil operations.
00:24:48.000 Let me just let me correct that.
00:24:51.000 Seizing back our oil operations has cut off Venezuela from one of their principal sources of fuel.
00:24:58.000 I'm sorry, cut off Cuba from one of their principal sources of fuel.
00:25:02.000 And they are reeling.
00:25:05.000 Take a look at this.
00:25:06.000 After Trump said that we could potentially go into Mexico, the Mexican president, of course, Scheinbaum said, I don't believe in an invasion.
00:25:14.000 Well, my friends, how could they possibly respond?
00:25:17.000 Brookings argues and again, very anti Trump.
00:25:20.000 They say if the Trump administration undertakes military action, whether by coercing a nominal agreement from Mexico, how would they react?
00:25:27.000 They're going to say, regardless, yielding U.S. military presence would entail immense political costs for the Scheinbaum administration.
00:25:33.000 Nationalist sentiments would flare as Mexicans decry U.S. actions against their government.
00:25:38.000 Public opinion is overwhelmingly against any U.S. military action, with some 80 percent of poll respondents rejecting the idea.
00:25:45.000 Conceding to the U.S. military actions on Mexico soil would also complicate Scheinbaum's relations with the Mexican military, an insular, opaque and powerful institution that has long disliked any kind of meaningful civilian oversight.
00:25:58.000 Well, my friends, Jamie Dimon chimes in saying World War Three has already begun.
00:26:05.000 They say fear mongering or legitimate concern how to keep your money safe.
00:26:10.000 Jamie Dimon, you know him, you hate him.
00:26:13.000 That's right. CEO of J.P. Morgan told a crowd in October of 2024.
00:26:17.000 World War Three has already begun.
00:26:19.000 You already have battles on the ground being coordinated in multiple countries.
00:26:22.000 He's correct.
00:26:24.000 It's true.
00:26:26.000 At the time, Dimon named the potential conflict between the Western countries and China, Russia, Iran, North Korea as far more concerning than any potential instability in global financial markets.
00:26:35.000 J.P. Morgan Chase has run scenarios that will shock you.
00:26:38.000 Of course, World War Three hasn't truly begun.
00:26:41.000 But since Dimon made his remarks, global geopolitical tensions have only risen since.
00:26:47.000 They say last year, Trump administration levied sweeping tariffs against China and Russia, allies, just Canada and the EU.
00:26:53.000 They say the prime minister of the UK, Keir Starmer, said in a statement, I need a decision about the future status of Greenland belongs to the people.
00:27:00.000 Trump's not invading Greenland.
00:27:01.000 Calm down.
00:27:02.000 But the reason why Trump Trump want Trump.
00:27:05.000 The reason why Trump wants access to Greenland is for national security purposes so that Russia and China won't have control of the Northwest Passage.
00:27:13.000 My friends, it seriously does look like we are gearing up for some major warfare.
00:27:20.000 The Week reported, how close are we to World War Three?
00:27:25.000 And I believe this is actually from just last week, this story.
00:27:29.000 I'm not entirely sure.
00:27:30.000 They say Peter Apps, the author of The Next World War, wrote, quote, from Whitehall to Washington, from Estonia to Taiwan, military powers large and small are escalating their preparations for a global confrontation.
00:27:43.000 Indeed, my friends, don't forget the second American Civil War is already here, too.
00:27:49.000 We've got this one from who, what, why.
00:27:52.000 We've got this story from Magnolia Tribune.
00:27:56.000 Waltz's Civil War rhetoric irresponsible.
00:27:58.000 That's why Tim Waltz asked, is this Fort Sumter?
00:28:01.000 And then, of course, from Newsweek, Republican declares the second Civil War has already started.
00:28:06.000 You know, at this point, with everything going on, I'm ready to just flip the table over.
00:28:10.000 I'm going to go get some Buffalo Wild Wings.
00:28:13.000 I love their garlic parmesan and just say, fine, whatever.
00:28:17.000 Bring it on.
00:28:18.000 In fact, you know what?
00:28:19.000 I actually do think I want some Buffalo Wild Wings.
00:28:21.000 I could use a nice order of chicken wings with some garlic parmesan sauce.
00:28:26.000 I guess my point is, when they keep saying it in the media every day, when these incessant, ad nauseum podcasts from these, like,
00:28:39.000 wannabe skateboarding urban liberals who won't shut up about Civil War, keep happening.
00:28:46.000 I mean, come on, Tim.
00:28:47.000 How many podcasts have you made about Civil War?
00:28:50.000 I'm kidding, by the way, but you get it.
00:28:52.000 At a certain point, it's just fine, right?
00:28:55.000 Drone incursions, World War III, Civil War, unemployment, silver is at $80.
00:29:04.000 It went to $120, then to $60, then to $80.
00:29:06.000 Bitcoin falling.
00:29:08.000 Man, I think everyone's just ready for the whole thing to just crumble.
00:29:13.000 But I'll tell you in all seriousness what I see.
00:29:16.000 As the tower grows, so does the resonant frequency affect it.
00:29:23.000 That is, every day we are laying bricks and we are building a tower that is our civilization.
00:29:30.000 Entrenched economic factors, entrenched social disorders.
00:29:34.000 What happens is the tower gets more wobble.
00:29:37.000 The taller it grows.
00:29:39.000 Starts wobbling more and more and more.
00:29:41.000 And what we're seeing right now with all of this instability, all of this conflict is the wobbling back and forth violently until finally it snaps and it comes crashing down.
00:29:52.000 To me, that's what things feel like.
00:29:54.000 And so I've, over the past several years, prepared for just such scenarios.
00:29:59.000 I'll say this.
00:30:01.000 In the grand context of things, but to a personal level.
00:30:04.000 The security issues that we've faced here have not been abated.
00:30:08.000 And the costs are absolutely psychotic.
00:30:11.000 And we are struggling with figuring out how to continue the operations due to the escalation of security threats, the shooting that happened here, the threats against my life, our staff, etc.
00:30:23.000 It is all very serious.
00:30:25.000 As time goes on, people grow accustomed to the violence.
00:30:28.000 And that's why people can't see the potentiality for World War III or Civil War.
00:30:33.000 Charlie Kirk was assassinated.
00:30:35.000 And it was one of the most terrifying and shocking things this country had seen in generations.
00:30:39.000 Several months on, people are moving about with their lives.
00:30:44.000 Desensitized, as it were.
00:30:47.000 We do these shows, and I've seen people comment saying, Tim, thank you for continuing to do the work you're doing.
00:30:54.000 Well, it's true that we are doing the work.
00:30:57.000 But people are acting as though, because I'm still here, we've definitively solved the problems, which we have not.
00:31:04.000 So I don't know what's going to happen.
00:31:07.000 We are hanging on by a thread to try and do this work amid global crises and personal threats.
00:31:13.000 I'm not entirely sure when it's going to break apart.
00:31:17.000 But trust me when I say it's much more serious than it seems.
00:31:20.000 As we grow desensitized, people seem to overlook these stories.
00:31:23.000 But let me put it like this.
00:31:25.000 Go back 30 years.
00:31:26.000 A major news report that drug cartels were launching unmanned aircraft.
00:31:31.000 Well, aside from the fact that we didn't really have unmanned aircraft to this degree.
00:31:35.000 Imagine it was a report about cartels invading the US.
00:31:39.000 I can't believe people are taking this so, I don't know, relaxed.
00:31:44.000 We'll see, my friends.
00:31:46.000 It's not to be alarmist, but I just don't know.
00:31:49.000 I think.
00:31:50.000 Hope for the best.
00:31:51.000 Prepare for the worst.
00:31:53.000 Smash the like button.
00:31:54.000 Share the show with everyone you've ever met.
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00:32:01.000 You can follow me on X on Instagram at TimCast.
00:32:03.000 Thank you all so much for hanging out.
00:32:05.000 And we will see you all in the next show.