00:19:29.520Like, it's almost as if, like, because people say all the time, well, why is Iran so dead set on making sure that this conflict in Lebanon ends, right?0.60
00:19:38.600Like, why not just focus on Iran and everything else like that?
00:19:42.920One, obviously, is because Hezbollah is their most capable fighting force, right?
00:19:47.320They're the ones that have the most experience fighting the IDF on the ground, right?0.95
00:19:51.180And they've been able to repel them a couple of times.0.95
00:19:52.820And then number two, and I heard you say this, I was like, that's actually very true.0.70
00:19:56.680It almost forces a wedge between the United States and Israel to kind of expose, honestly, how little power we have.0.85
00:20:05.580What are your general thoughts on that?0.79
00:20:06.840Because when you made that mention, I was like, this is actually really good because it shows a huge weakness that we have in foreign policy that we really can't reel these guys in.0.82
00:20:15.760As much as Trump might have this tough rhetoric of like, listen to me and all this other shit.0.84
00:20:19.820It's not true. Right. Well, there's a few things I would say that, you know, because the question is, why would Iran insist upon ceasefire in Lebanon as a condition for the ceasefire?0.98
00:20:30.340And you could say first that, like you said, Hezbollah is a very powerful.
00:20:33.940It's really a part of their strategic deterrence against Israel.0.60
00:20:37.980There's three things Iran uses to deter Israeli aggression, and that's the nuclear hedge.0.78
00:20:42.820It's a ballistic missiles and it's a proxies because all of those function as a second strike.0.63
00:20:48.380If Israel strikes Iran such that the regime is decapitated or decimates Iran, there's three ways that Iran could then retaliate to ensure that Israel would never do a first strike.0.65
00:20:58.940And that's that Iran might then nuke them to that Iran would send thousands of ballistic missiles, overwhelm air defenses and destroy Israel with the conventional arsenal.0.82
00:21:08.320And then the third is even if Iran was completely decimated, no missiles, no nukes, then Hezbollah could always finish the job.0.83
00:21:14.860They could launch their 150,000 rockets.0.94
00:21:17.260Now it's a much smaller arsenal, but they'd launch them all at once.
00:21:20.460Israel would be decimated that way, too.
00:21:22.040So it's all part of their arsenal.0.97
00:21:23.240So you could say, one, Iran really needs Hezbollah to be protected as a check on Israel.0.88
00:21:28.540Two, you could say, and I think this is interesting also, does Iran want a ceasefire?0.65
00:21:34.160I don't even think Iran needs or wants a ceasefire.
00:21:36.980They actually it's in their interest for the war to go on longer because the longer that the war goes on, it is an economic catastrophe for the United States.
00:21:44.840And the more painful economically it is for the U.S., it does two things.
00:21:49.260One, it prevents the U.S. from continuing the war and more likely that they'll want to withdraw.
00:21:54.400But two, if you impose a lot of pain in this conflict, it deters a future conflict, because especially for the U.S. consumer and voter and but also for the whole world,
00:22:04.720If the U.S. ever feels like invading Israel or, excuse me, invading Iran ever again, everyone is going to say, oh, and we're going to cause another global depression like the last time. So it benefits Iran actually for this to really hurt the United States. And that's how they strategically defeat us, the economics.0.69
00:22:21.100But like you said, I think there's maybe another there's maybe a more subtle play, which is if you condition the ceasefire or rather if you condition the opening of the strait on a ceasefire in Lebanon, you pit those two interests against each other because they're these are imperatives.0.91
00:22:37.060It's imperative for Israel's grand strategy, their entire their entire playbook to occupy Lebanon.0.74
00:22:43.260They can't not do it. It's imperative for them.0.52
00:22:46.060It is imperative for the United States to open up the straight. Can't not do it because if we don't have the straight, then we don't have oil. We don't have oil. You don't have an economy. You don't have an economy. You don't have cheap lending. The whole AI house of cards collapses. People don't even realize how much closing the straight affects our economy because our entire economy is being driven now by AI.
00:23:07.720It's those AI companies and the companies that fund AI or furnish AI with the compute, with the chips.
00:24:21.640You know, the AI companies, ChatGPT, Claude, Google, like they don't make money.
00:24:26.820They don't make enough money to make up for all these investments.
00:24:29.280So what's going to happen is when the cost of energy goes up, it causes inflation everywhere else. When inflation goes up, they need to raise rates to slow down and cool off the economy. You raise interest rates, you make borrowing more expensive. Now it's impossible for this speculative AI bubble to keep growing.
00:24:45.900So it's not it's not even a conventional energy shock that leads to a recession, which is what always happens in 73 in the 90s in 2008.
00:24:55.400Energy shock leads to a contraction. This is really hitting us where it hurts, which is a source of all the GDP growth.
00:25:01.580It's the AI boom in particular, which is all based on speculation and again, getting as much energy as possible.
00:25:08.600So point being, we have to open up the strait. We need the energy.
00:25:12.640And so by pitting these two imperatives against each other, it breaks up the coalition because people don't realize it's not the US.
00:25:19.660I think they strategically did it, honestly.0.89
00:25:20.600I think Iran was like, you know what?0.94
00:25:23.080Let's prove to the world that the United States cannot control Israel.0.84
00:25:27.280I think that's I think it's less that like red pilling the world and more causing just a breakdown in the solidarity because it is a coalition war.0.79
00:25:36.560People don't realize it's not the US versus Iran.0.80
00:26:49.140So, you know, Iran is breaking apart that coalition0.74
00:26:52.720and what's more, Israel is really the one that's out for regime change.0.88
00:26:56.280You know, there's a very, and I always say this on my show,
00:26:58.140you need to understand the fundamental strategic interest
00:27:02.360that is driving every country involved
00:27:04.320because for the U.S. and Israel, it's similar but not identical.
00:27:07.460Israel is pursuing regime change. That's what they want in particular. That's the ultimate goal is they don't want a revolutionary Islamist Shiite 12 or theocracy running Iran. That's got to go. They don't want normalization. They don't want peace. They want the regime out. The U.S. does not care. They would prefer it's a different regime, but they're ambivalent. What they really care about is nonproliferation of nuclear weapons.
00:27:30.380So if we could get no nukes or no enrichment, but keep the Iranian regime, we'd take that deal.0.85
00:27:36.320And so what Iran is doing is they're driving a wedge between the U.S. and Israel on the conflict, Lebanon versus the strait, but also even on that nuclear issue.0.93
00:27:45.660And if they can divide up the U.S. and Israel, Israel can't do regime change alone.0.79
00:27:51.480So it's actually imperative for Iran to deprive Israel of their ally, the United States, to carry out their goal, which is the regime change.0.78
00:27:59.500So I think that's maybe like a subtle 5D chess thing that Iran is doing, because realistically, if Iran really needed the war to end, would they insist upon a ceasefire in Lebanon?0.91
00:28:10.240I mean, maybe not necessarily, but I think they're throwing that out there because then it puts the U.S. in the position where to get, you know, Iran, we have a deal with them.0.61
00:28:18.340Now we need to put pressure on Israel to uphold the deal.0.81
00:28:51.960And I also do think that they're sensitive to the midterms.
00:28:54.140I think they know that Trump doesn't have as much time as he's letting on, you know, politically.
00:28:59.700And I think from what, like, me and you were discussing yesterday, like, these midterms might actually be the first time that someone's actually removed.
00:35:32.440That guy will never, ever, ever get fired.
00:35:34.600But Tulsi Gabbard, yeah, she's got to go, you know.
00:35:36.420And even Pam Bondi, you know, it's funny. I didn't like Pam Bondi. She comes from Florida.
00:35:41.300Very incompetent, dude. I was shocked they made her attorney general is insane.1.00
00:35:45.200Yeah, well, you know why that is. Susie Wiles brought all these people in.1.00
00:35:48.880She's the chief of staff. She's from Florida. She's from Ballard.
00:35:51.740So she brought in Rubio, Waltz, Bondi. These are all Florida creatures.
00:35:55.940But the thing even about Pam Bondi, she wasn't even actually the worst because a lot of the really MAGA people in DOJ,0.98
00:36:03.180they said bondi would actually let the more trump loyal people do these indictments they were working
00:36:08.920on some big indictments and when todd blanche got in they shut it all down like blanche is actually0.99
00:36:13.820worse than bond as bad as bondi is and she's terrible and she fucking sucks blanche is even0.99
00:36:19.440worse but this is just like a story he came in and shut down watched it yeah he shut down the0.99
00:36:24.660indictments against the enemies or yeah against some of the democrat foes yeah well why do you
00:36:28.760Why do you shut it? I would think he's not he's not like a big MAGA guy.
00:36:31.880Pam Bondi was letting because he was letting it happen.
00:36:34.780Yeah, because, you know, I knew people working in Trump admin number one.
00:36:38.300And what they would say about how the government works in the White House and the admin is basically it comes down to if two low, very low level bureaucrats disagree, it gets kicked up.
00:36:49.720If those middle level bureaucrats disagree, it gets kicked up and it keeps getting kicked up until it gets like cabinet level.
00:36:57.200And so it's really about these people that are in kind of like the middle and lower positions. You know, are they going to be able to have the discretion to do what they need to do? That's really what it comes down to in a lot of these situations. And so someone like Pam Bondi, she was actually doing her job in a sense that she was letting the underlings who are MAGA work on the indictments.
00:37:16.520And there's actually some good stuff coming down the pike.0.99
00:38:41.800And Brett, can you double check for me real quick?
00:38:43.280I think he was a part of Trump's legal team when he was dealing with the document case out of New York when they indicted him the first time.
00:38:54.680But yeah, so, no, because it really got me to thinking.0.97
00:38:57.000I was like, damn, all these people are going out.0.50
00:38:58.700So yeah, Cash had the issues that he had, like drinking alcohol too much, partying, taking a jet around, his girlfriend getting a security detail, the Epstein files, Pambani, same thing.0.98
00:39:12.280And, you know, Bongino being the number two guy, he was like,
00:40:32.780every time I watch his speeches I'm like
00:40:35.000this guy all this guy does is like0.99
00:40:37.080make israel's problems america's problems you know yeah we kill these terrorists today blah blah0.56
00:40:40.920oh by the way they were trying to target you guys too like it's like he's able to always like
00:40:45.080bring in israeli issues and somehow make them american issues and show either like what we're
00:40:49.280doing here benefits you guys as well and i think that's something that really only he's been able
00:40:53.000to do like i don't think any other israeli prime minister has been able to like you know use israel
00:40:58.340problems and or justify u.s um you know aid so much as to like we're taking care of the problem
00:41:03.540for you guys we're on the front lines but like but yeah i agree with you that like um above them
00:41:07.540all rubio is for sure the the the most refined politician doesn't mean he's good i mean it's
00:41:12.220like staff yeah like people in admins say that state department like they're the only ones that
00:41:16.560know what they're doing they're competent and uh like you know they're ideologically aligned with
00:41:20.700rubio vance too they say that vance's people are very competent and effective um but these other0.98
00:41:26.020people at doj and dhs and these other departments i mean they don't know what the fuck they're doing0.96
00:41:30.940And I'm like, that's so typical. I told people would be like this because at the end of the day, Trump is just incompetent.1.00
00:41:36.320Yeah. You know what? So many people ascribe to malice. You could easily ascribe it to incompetence.0.98
00:41:40.920They just don't know what they're doing. It's so classic because, you know, Trump, the first term, everybody said, well, he couldn't get his agenda through because the personnel were terrible.
00:41:51.040That was that was the headline all the time. Swamp creatures with. Yes. This is all these different excuses.
00:41:56.060It was bad advisors, bad personnel. They said, you know, because in 16, Trump had this Web site called great again dot org where they were soliciting people to volunteer to work in his administration from like everywhere, as opposed to these like swamp creature, you know, alumni from the different Republican campaigns or the Bush admin.
00:42:13.820So they had this Web site called great again dot org where they said, send us your resume. You could come and work in the government, be part of the revolution.
00:42:21.140And of course, you know, then they brought in like Jeb Bush alum, Rubio alum, Cruz alum, and those people all hated Trump.
00:42:28.140We used to joke in D.C. back in those days, if you had worked for the Trump campaign, it made you less likely to get a job in the Trump White House.
00:42:36.000They say, oh, you worked for the Trump campaign?
00:42:48.100You know, they wouldn't carry out the orders.
00:42:49.580They would lie about the troop totals. And there was some truth to that. But in 24, they said, well, it'll be different this time because, you know, this time the posters are in control. Our guys are going to be in the admin. And it's like you actually have like based people in the administration. You have a lot of them like the personnel.
00:43:05.960Anyone will tell you there's a lot of people in like National Security Council, which were good.
00:43:11.120And there were people in the Pentagon that were good and people in DHS that were good.
00:43:14.260But now Trump himself is holding back the personnel.
00:43:18.940The personnel are more radical than him.
00:43:21.280So the personnel, for example, in Homeland Security, they want to do mass deportations.
00:44:54.680They put together a database of like, you know, very Trump loyal, ideologically America first people that they were going to use Schedule F, reclassify a bunch of federal workers, fire them, you know, because a lot of them have these protections.
00:45:09.680You know, an incoming administration can only hire and fire about 5000 people.
00:45:14.000If you reclassify a lot of the workers, you can fire like up to 50,000.
00:45:17.980And so the idea was we're going to fire 50,000 people.
00:45:20.980Some of them we're just not even going to replace.
00:45:22.760But the ones that we do, we're going to replace them with guys that are vetted, guys that are loyal to Trump, loyal to the agenda.
00:45:28.000And what Trump said in like January 23 and then into 24 is he said, no, Project 2025 has no control over that.
00:45:37.440He said, I want them to work with America First Policy Institute, AFPI, which was that's like the official MAGA think tank.
00:45:45.120It's run by Brooke Rollins, who's now the secretary of agriculture.
00:45:47.660And they are the worst. Like they are the biggest rhinos of all time. America last like they are so establishment. It's not even funny. And Trump basically said Project 2025 either needs to defer completely to AFPI or they can have no influence. At the end of the day, he disavowed them like three or four times. They got totally pushed out. And that's when that's when I disavowed Trump, because at that point is about June 24.0.91
00:46:13.160I said it's very clear what direction this is going to go in, and it's going to be just like the first term.
00:46:18.300A lot of bad personnel, not enough good personnel, but moreover, it's like Trump's judgment is compromised.
00:46:23.580He's still incompetent, because really, I mean, there was no resistance this time.
00:46:27.740You remember in 25, it's like the left was defeated.
00:57:46.240So I think it's in their interest to basically push it to the limit.
00:57:50.120And, you know, that's why they're not in a big rush to make this. Look, if Iran wanted a peace deal, they could have one. Yeah. You know, they would come to the table. But we have no leverage. They're not in any rush to do that because they're winning. And this is they know this is hurting us. And they know that we're on a clock that they are not an economic clock and a political clock that they you know, they really.
00:58:11.100And you said it earlier. Iran has been under a sanctions regime. We have this little nicky-nack blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. We say we're going to be doing economic damage to them by depriving them of their imports and exports. They don't care. The IRGC runs that country now. What are the people going to do? Protest? They'll just kill them.
00:58:36.860And, you know, the other crazy thing also with that whole, like, Hasbara thing is like, oh, yeah, they're over here, like, killing the protests or whatever.0.91
00:58:41.940I'm like, yo, like, they're going to side with their government over us.0.92
00:58:45.540Like, the only ā it's actually ā that's another thing that annoyed me.1.00
00:58:48.300What are your thoughts on, like, these diaspora ā I call them shatards.1.00
00:58:51.080Like, these Iranians that, like, live with the stupid lion flag in L.A. or, you know, Europe or whatever.1.00
00:58:57.480like yeah we want the shot back it's like you guys are kind of out of touch like you know pbd1.00
00:59:01.440talks about this shit like all the time like oh the regime and the mullahs and i'm like okay you0.95
00:59:05.820don't have to like the ayatollah whatever but i would argue that the people now are definitely0.99
00:59:09.200backing the government more than like you know having the shot come back because it's like
00:59:14.340they're dropping bombs on them like trump's talking about like we're gonna send them back
00:59:17.180to the stone age like you know oh yeah they like when we drop bombs on them that just doesn't make
00:59:21.380sense like i've seen them like protesting getting bombed and then they show yeah we're getting
00:59:25.460attack it's like they're like not scared to die almost so it's like this is a different culture
00:59:29.660right and it's just like whenever people say like oh yeah they want us to bomb them or they want us
00:59:33.120to do a regime change it's like i don't know about that one dude i don't think they like us too much
00:59:36.940in israel no yeah no way and that that's whole thing is persian society is very insular they're
00:59:41.300very suspicious and distrusting of outsiders and so it it does literally create the opposite effect0.88
00:59:46.380you drop water by the way no i'm all set i'm good but um you know yeah you drop bombs on them
00:59:52.280am I talking to? Do you hear me over there? Oh yeah, you're right over there. Okay. Yeah,
00:59:58.060no, you drop bombs on them. It's not going to work. I mean, this idea that you're going to0.64
01:00:01.300bomb them and then they're going to like us more because that's what Trump said at Mar-a-Lago when
01:00:05.920they started the war in February, February 28th, he came out and give that speech and it was kind
01:00:10.920of like a disturbing speech. He did it with like this black curtain. He was all disheveled, had no
01:00:15.220necktie on and he comes out and he says, we're going to decimate Iran's military. And when we're0.60
01:00:20.280finished bombing the shit out of the country, then the Iranian people are going to come out1.00
01:00:25.080and take the government back. They're going to rise up. And you say, how exactly does that0.99
01:00:29.760calculation work? You're going to rock their shit, bomb their city. They're going to come1.00
01:00:34.000out now and support what is basically openly a puppet regime. You know, it doesn't even make
01:00:38.520sense. But that's kind of the ill-fated logic that we even had in Iraq. Thanks. I have a full
01:00:45.360water here but thank you it's elevated you know that was the idea in syria that was the idea in
01:00:50.660iraq it's the idea in all these different countries so yeah so it doesn't work yeah i
01:00:57.860got you another one just in case thanks now we got in here double double now you're double fist
01:01:02.120in water double fisted up h2o is ready uh actually you know what we could uh let's let's let's talk
01:01:08.380about um real quick since we're talking about the topic of like people because like we're talking
01:01:12.240about the people that got charged uh can we pull up the bolton thing real quick jump on and also
01:01:15.960guys we're gonna go over to kick i'm gonna end the youtube stream youtube streams are going down
01:01:19.620come on over to kick kick.com slash mario gains x i'm gonna end everything except for kick so if
01:01:23.720you're watching on twitter whatever come on over to kick kick.com slash mario gains x guys that's
01:01:26.960like my mainstream platform now so um and then we'll go over and we have a clip here with john
01:01:31.560and then we'll get into like some of the actual stuff going on with the conflict but uh but yeah
01:01:36.620Yeah, dude, I think this is going to be very bad for Trump when it comes to what's going on with the midterms.
01:01:42.940I mean, I think obviously we're going to lose, but like but it's not just a loss.
01:01:46.860It's like a loss. And I think they're going to be out for blood.
01:01:49.860Oh, yeah. Yeah. Well, that's really the whole thing is I said this even a talker.
01:01:54.480It's one of the few things we agreed on is when Trump does a half measure, even by winning, all you're doing is pissing off the other side.
01:02:01.600Like, because think about it. If Kamala had won in 2024, she would have no mandate. Like she would have no legitimacy. Everybody would think the election was rigged. Even Democrats wouldn't like her because they believe that she was basically a usurper. You know, she she didn't even win the Iowa caucus.
01:02:17.280She didn't make it to the Iowa caucus in 2020. She bowed out before even the first race. So she would be looked at as like this puppet who was installed, not popular, not legitimate, no mandate. And and the culture had shifted to the right under Biden.
01:02:33.840Think about under Joe Biden. People need to literally just get this through their heads. It's not always a bad thing when the enemy is in charge. Under Biden, Elon bought Twitter. Censorship got better. Zuckerberg moved to the right. You know, he got his afro. He got his chain. He's talking about his wakeboarding on the 4th of July. What's more, it's like wokeism basically died under Biden. You had fuck Joe Biden, go viral. The culture moved to the right. We benefited from that.
01:03:02.680And why? Because when you're in the opposition, you get so much more leeway when you're in power.
01:03:07.880The pressure is on. You got to be competent. You got to be effective.
01:03:11.700You got to present a positive vision and you have to deal with all the contradictions of governing.0.67
01:03:16.500You know, you're pro-Palestine, but you got to deal with Israel.
01:03:19.260Biden was getting squeezed to the benefit of the right.
01:03:21.740Think about how much more powerful the right got from 2020 to 2024.
01:03:25.940Yeah, so much more powerful. And if the Democrats had stayed in, they would have been flaccid.
01:03:30.460Now that Democrats are looking very strong in 2028, they're coming back with a vengeance because everyone's pissed at Trump.
01:03:37.640Everyone's got a reason from the Massey stuff to the Epstein files, Iran, the bureaucratic incompetence slash corruption, every way the inflation, every way you cut it.
01:03:50.120The Democrats are going to be empowered by being negative.
01:03:52.640And now that we've had four years of Trump basically messing everything up, now they're going to come back with like literally with a vengeance and they're going to have a mandate.
01:04:00.900You know, it's going to be like Zoran Mamdani instead of, you know, lame Kamala.
01:04:05.380It's going to be somebody more hardcore.
01:04:07.240He's he's he's reinvigorating the Democrat Party.
01:04:10.000And it's actually like when he won mayor, I was like, yeah, this guy's going to be he's going to he's going to revolutionize the Democrat Party.
01:04:17.200They're going to move from your establishment Democrats, like, you know, a Chuck Schumer over to or Hillary Obama.
01:04:23.520Now they're going to go into socialism. And that's what we're seeing.
01:04:26.020You know, it's like our Biden. Yeah. You know, in the sense that, right, because Biden is old.
01:04:32.260Biden is old and demented and, you know, and weak and incompetent.0.98
01:04:37.140And, you know, what by putting him in and he's a joke, they supercharge the right wing.0.99
01:04:41.600Trump is having the same effect. He's old, demented, incompetent.1.00
01:04:45.260he's tapped like there's nothing new coming out of the MAGA movement. It's the movement's basically0.99
01:04:49.940over. It's super corrupt, super obviously corrupt. It's having the same effect. It's super charging
01:04:55.140the left. And here's the problem is like, OK, so there's clearly an appetite for like younger,
01:05:00.220energetic, populist leadership from outside the system. And now the left is basically going to
01:05:06.180benefit from this advantage of coming in from the outside. Like in 28, they get to be the outsiders
01:05:11.740that say, oh, look, are you fatigued with Trump?
01:05:14.640Are you fatigued with the Republican Party?
01:05:59.200The BLM has been a bit more active with them protesting.
01:06:03.540Look at what happened with Carmelo Anthony, right?
01:06:06.500And then also with Antifa, I've been saying this forever.
01:06:13.080It's crazy to me how it took Charlie Kirk getting shot for the Trump administration to finally take Antifa seriously and make them a terrorist organization.
01:06:20.060I'm still waiting for them to make BLM a terrorist organization.
01:06:22.440They should make that organization as well.
01:06:25.880And yeah, man, they've just been out radical.
01:06:28.560And then it's like the left already is totally cool with protesting, hitting the streets, the Free Palestine Movement.
01:07:32.860And I think there's going to be an appetite for like a left winger. I don't even think they'll be that radical, but they're going to promise like economic populism back to domestic stuff. It's going to be just enough. And like if Trump were going to be successful, to your point about Antifa, the only the only way that Trump would have been effective and worth it for him to hold office these four years is if he did a few things like one.
01:07:55.940he should be protecting right-wingers on social media and in banking.
01:09:24.180He's a business mind. So for him, it's like, you know, can you point to some policy wins? Sure. OK. Yeah. They got rid of some of the DEI. OK, great. You know, they closed the border. That's fine. Is that actually going to change the country? No. Does it change our political prospects? No. Those are the big ones. So that's why Trump's a total failure.
01:11:29.460Yeah, because he was going against some of the, like, he wasn't in favor of the withdrawal from Syria and some of the other stuff.
01:11:34.380But, you know, they brought Bolton in. Bolton was actually the architect of our Venezuela policy, maximum pressure campaign against Venezuela, which is what created the refugee crisis, which is why they're all fucking here.1.00
01:12:58.500Yeah. You know, but this is this is governing by press conference where Trump is going to put out a press release and a press conference and they're going to make these big pronouncements like she did last year.
01:13:08.840Well, at DNI, we investigated Obama. He broke the law. Then where's the fucking indictment then? You know, don't give me a press release. Do it. Put him in jail. Why not? They charge Trump.
01:13:20.020You know, people say that would be unprecedented.
01:18:25.200Yeah. And I think for Trump, it's just been more about like, you know, competing against him, like trying to get a better deal, trying to be a better president.
01:18:30.900I think you know what it is? I think it was a 2011 when they had the White House Correspondents Dinner.
01:18:36.380They say all the time that that was when, like, Trump said, I'm going to run and I'm going to fucking go against this guy.0.96
01:18:41.140He like he roasted him the whole night like he was just making fun of him.0.94
01:18:44.080And I think that was the night that they were actually getting bin Laden.0.92
01:18:48.280Yeah. Yeah. I think it was right around that night that he was making fun of Trump and they were running the operation for for getting bin Laden.0.92
01:18:55.200And I mean, I don't know if that's the exactly thing, but a lot of people say like that's kind of when Trump said, I'm going to fucking run and get this guy.
01:19:01.260Yeah, that was awesome that you ever see that video where he's just sitting there stewing.0.93
01:19:22.140Yeah. He said something like, you know, Trump has to make these decisions like, are we going to fire meatloaf or Gary Busey? Those are the decisions. Keep me up at night. He's just totally making fun of Trump. And you see Trump is like seething.
01:19:36.320Yeah. And honestly, Trump will always have aura for that. This idea that they're just like that Obama made fun of him. So his vengeance was to like become the president. That's insane. That's a big part of the reason. You make fun of me. Okay. I'll take over the world. And he won. He won. He won. Like I remember when he won. I was so like no one thought he was going to win. Yeah. It's what he's 16. Hillary had all these.
01:20:05.520like i think she had like a book ready and like the newspaper was ready whatever magazines and0.97
01:20:09.920it's like she lost and she's like what the fuck like no one thought he was gonna win i didn't0.99
01:20:14.100think with him he was even surprised like oh shit i won i gotta be president yeah that's what they1.00
01:20:18.140say you know that he didn't even think he was gonna win uh pull it up real quick this shit is0.99
01:20:22.420hilarious like uh yeah because i'm almost certain this is when like um when they were going to get0.97
01:20:27.580osama oh yeah yeah that's definitely it
01:20:32.440is here tonight now i know that he's taken some flack lately but no one is happier no one is
01:20:44.080prouder to put this birth certificate matter to rest to ban the donald and that's because he can
01:20:49.180finally get back to focusing on the issues that matter like did we fake the moon landing
01:22:58.560He was born in Kenya and he's not even he can't even be president.
01:23:01.100Yeah, that's a big reason why Hillary Clinton didn't get in the cabinet until later, because Michelle Obama in particular had this big grudge.
01:23:08.620I think it might have even been like Sidney Blumenthal or like somebody who was involved in cooking that one up.
01:23:13.980There's like a lot of like Democrat bad blood because it originated with the Clintons because they're vicious.
01:23:21.400Yeah, because she beat or he beat her out in the primary.
01:23:24.920And but yeah, but that, you know, these these new school guys, these these nephews, they don't even remember that.
01:23:31.540They don't remember the birther thing.
01:23:32.920They don't remember, you know, Trump's because, you know, back in those days, it was super viral in the early Internet when Trump said Obama wasn't born here.
01:24:19.000Because that clip was funny, but then to people juxtapose that clip with Trump being inaugurated in 2016 and Obama sitting in the audience, that is actually legendary.
01:24:52.620I think that's overstated how much that really impacted.
01:24:55.080Yeah, because he was talking about running for president for like 30 years.
01:24:59.080He's going to run for the Reform Party nomination, I think, in 2000.
01:25:01.940And he did actually something in New Hampshire, I think, in 1992 or 96, if I'm not mistaken.
01:25:09.400They they set up some like, yeah, because, you know, back in 16, when he was originally running, I was like a big Trump guy and knew everything.
01:25:17.040Yeah. So we did something in New Hampshire, teasing a Republican run in like the 90s.
01:25:21.120He did the reform, flirted with the Reform Party run in 2000.
01:25:24.880That's why he called Buchanan a Hitler lover.
01:26:16.720He's just sort of like a petty tyrant.0.91
01:26:18.040Yeah. Yeah. Because it's like he's like because like there's obviously business elements of like a business mindset that will be great as being like a political leader.0.61
01:26:26.480But at the same time, there's like things there that like you might not necessarily think about. Right.
01:26:30.760Because you have to be fairly cerebral and tactical with some of the things that you do politically that he, you know, might not be as refined.
01:26:38.100He's not an idealist. Yeah. You know, so, yeah. So that's why he was never going to be the guy.
01:26:43.000But that video is so funny. It almost makes you remember why it's so interesting, because when you contrast the Trump of 2016 from now, you really forget what it was like.
01:26:52.240Yeah, it's been so long and so much has happened. And then people have grown up under Trump ism that we've like lost touch with what it was really like in 2016.
01:27:00.940Not only what it was like with like Trump ism in its ascendancy, but also what it was like with the left.
01:27:05.560I feel like a lot of these younger kids, especially now, you know, kids that are 18 now or kids
01:27:10.720that grew up under Trump, like they never knew the Obama years.
01:28:31.120They just like forget the texture of life. Now that Trump is in office, the culture is totally different, like what's acceptable and how far right things have moved.
01:28:39.860And I almost wonder how positive that is, because because of that amnesia, I feel like that's what makes the pendulum go back in the other direction, because people have kind of gotten acclimated to like the new normal, which is Trumpism and like what's tolerated.
01:28:53.060And they forget what it was really like in the 2010s, which it was unbearable because it felt like it felt like leftism was just inevitable.
01:29:00.940Yeah. Everything was going more left forever. You're always going to be surprised about, you know, at first it was the gays and it was the trannies.
01:29:08.560Then everyone thought it was going to pedophilia. And it felt like that, like kind of momentum.1.00
01:29:12.520There's a huge push for interracial marriage, too. Yeah.
01:29:14.740I don't know if you've noticed, like when Obama came in, there was a huge push for interracial relationships.
01:29:19.540Like every Netflix show or every TV show, there'd be like interracial couples all the time.
01:29:25.260Well, and it was just always like more feminism, more black, more diversity, more.1.00
01:29:29.480It was always going in that direction.
01:29:31.300And what, you know, to his credit, what people don't maybe on our side give Trump enough credit for is he totally arrested that trend and made it move in the other direction.
01:29:39.860Because, like, you know, Elon Musk being the most powerful man in the world and being, like, low-key a white nationalist, that's kind of ā you know, you think about that.
01:29:47.700And, you know, even these Tesla drivers, they're getting flipped off all the time.0.61
01:29:52.820People drive Teslas, and liberals, like, vandalize the cars, flip them off because they're, like ā you know, the guy that runs the number one electric U.S. automaker is, like, a fascist.0.85
01:34:59.780I don't know if it was destined for Oman or if it originated in Oman,
01:35:02.840but there's a tanker that went through the strait from Oman,
01:35:05.240and they had a full package from the U.S.0.98
01:35:07.180They had, like, Ospreys and drones and, like, a full air package to escort the ship from Bahrain through the strait, sending a message to the Iranians, like, don't try to fuck with this Omani route anymore.0.94
01:35:17.800So the Iranians then retaliated against the U.S., bombing Kuwait, bombing Bahrain.0.60
01:35:22.980And now they're saying the MOU is off.
01:35:25.420They're saying we may just pull out of the thing altogether.
01:35:27.300And the Council of Juris, the expert council, they came out and said we should have never opened up the strait.
01:35:35.380They said, we're never going to negotiate the nuclear file and we need a ceasefire in Lebanon.
01:35:39.820And so now they're saying on that basis of all three of those points, they're going to just pull out of the MOU and then that's it.
01:35:46.700Which is just, I mean, and then we run out of oil.
01:35:51.500I don't think people understand like how bad this is.
01:35:53.820Like, you know, like we discussed before, the reason why, oh, here's Trump right here.
01:36:03.500This is a true social post right here for you guys.
01:36:05.180It says United States aircraft just just struck Iranian missile and drone storage locations and coastal radar sites for violent ceasefire agreement.
01:36:12.820Again, it is very possible that they will never learn.
01:36:16.000There may come a point when we are no longer able to be reasonable and will be forced to militarily complete the job that we very successfully started.0.96
01:36:25.440If that happens, the Islamic Republic of Iran will no longer exist.
01:36:49.060The United States of America and the Islamic Republic and their allies in the current war by sign of the MOU declared the immediate permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.
01:37:57.580Well, I think they just wanted them to not pull out of Gaza, but stop the bombing, is what it was.0.62
01:38:02.840But Hamas hasn't disarmed, so they're going to keep attacking.0.71
01:38:07.080But that's how I know, because I was watching, I forget the, there was a bunch of Muslims that were pissed off about it.0.90
01:38:13.800Because they looked at it like, well, Gaza is the reason that this war started, which allowed for all of this to begin, to give Iran the opportunity that it has now.
01:38:24.120why would you betray Gaza because Gaza0.94
01:38:26.420they look at it like, which I can understand1.00
01:38:28.580their grievance, Gaza is the reason why0.97
01:38:30.560everyone is against Israel now because of the
01:38:32.500mass murdering so they looked at it like
01:38:34.160their suffering and their sacrifice is
01:38:36.540not being validated because they were the ones
01:40:46.480Take Carg Island, bomb the nuclear, or not the nuclear, the oil refineries and the bridges and the civilian infrastructure, invade the islands and the Strait of Hormuz?0.51
01:40:56.260I mean, what realistically are you going to do that wasn't on the table then but is on the table now?
01:41:15.040So something's got to give here. Either we're going to give Iran everything they want or we're going to get absolutely fucked. Or are we going to go to war? But I mean, that seems that seems like the least likely of all that you're going to see a ground invasion of Iran or, you know, a tactical nuclear weapon or something, because in order for us to have any military options, we would just need to qualitatively escalate in the types of weapons we're willing to use.0.99
01:41:39.020You know, what what kind of tactics we're willing to employ. So I just I really don't see how this ends, because it's literally if we want Iran to engage on our terms, it's it's a ground invasion. It's it's an escalation we're not prepared for. On the other hand, if we don't do that, is there any scenario where Iran opens up the strait under our terms? I think the answer is no. And if they don't do that, you know, then the economy completely falls apart.0.78
01:42:04.000I remember what it was that I was going to ask you. Can you explain real quick to the audience the reason why the reserves and why this, you know, why that was probably one of the main factors for Trump to pull into, get this deal, even though it was very unfavorable to us in the first place?
01:42:18.000Yeah. So, you know, it's 20% of the world's oil goes through the Strait of Hormuz. That's been taken offline since February 28th. So, you know, how many months is that? It's all of March, April, May, June. And in order to offset the loss of that supply, the U.S. released hundreds of millions of barrels of oil.
01:42:37.320And the whole international community did, right? Didn't like us and obviously everyone else like release. Yeah.
01:42:41.660Yeah, I was about to say that. They coordinated through the, I think, International Energy Association, the release of 400 million barrels of oil. And that's just what they coordinated. China released air reserves. We don't even know because they're not transparent about it. But the whole world dumped their supply. And that's why the price hasn't gone out of control, because they were saying that if the war went on into June, you'd have like $200 per barrel for oil. The only reason that hasn't happened is because we've just been pumping this stuff out. But now we're just running out.
01:43:08.280There's only 350 million barrels left in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
01:43:12.460That's enough for like, I don't know, 10 or 20 days or something.
01:44:36.500But they don't realize that just because even if the war ended today, it doesn't mean that supply goes back to normal because it takes time for supply to increase again.
01:44:44.980It takes time to get those ships out of the strait.
01:44:46.960It's going to take time for them to build confidence to even go through the strait.
01:44:50.260And then, you know, the tankers are slow.
01:44:52.460It's going to take them 30 days to get to their destination.
01:44:54.380So it doesn't just go back to normal automatically.
01:44:57.160And it's not we're not even there yet.
01:44:59.180You know, the strait isn't even open still.
01:45:01.060So, you know, the price seems to be out of touch with the economic reality.
01:45:04.700But the point is, no matter how much oil the U.S. makes, we're still competing for oil on a global market.
01:45:10.680It has to do with the type of oil that we are able to refine with our infrastructure, the type of oil that we make, the type of oil other countries make.
01:45:18.880All of our refining infrastructure on the southeast coast in Texas is built to refine heavy, sour, crude oil that we thought we were going to get from Mexico and Venezuela.
01:45:29.940That's the type of oil in Mexico and Venezuela in the 1990s.
01:45:32.5001990s, they thought that was the oil boom. So they built up all this refining infrastructure
01:45:36.680for that product. The oil that we get from the oil sands from fracking is light and sweet. So
01:45:43.020we don't have the refining infrastructure to use that. We export that to other countries.
01:45:48.480And so, you know, this is why even though we have a lot of oil, we're still importing oil.
01:45:52.620We import the type of oil that we can refine. And so what eventually happens is it turns into a
01:45:57.220logistical situation where it's like, where are we going to get the type of oil that we need?
01:46:03.120There's just not going to be enough of it. Yeah. And the infrastructure in Venezuela isn't even
01:46:07.440built up yet. It's going to take years for them to build that up. When people say, well, we control
01:46:10.620the oil in Venezuela. All right, great. You got the reserves. Well, guess what? Now you got to
01:46:14.340create the infrastructure to extract the oil, right? And have it, you know, actually be able
01:46:19.600to be actually be able to utilize it. Right. I don't think people understand it's going to take
01:46:22.440a while yeah so i mean it's it's not a good situation at all and uh and our oil is more
01:46:28.440expensive than other places as well there's like a price discrepancy like you can make the argument
01:46:32.780that like with the trading was being closed yes it forces countries to buy our oil we're able to
01:46:37.140kind of enter the market whatever but yeah like you said we don't make enough for everybody on
01:46:41.100top of what we consume right so it's like what man it's it's a very i don't think people understand
01:46:46.820like that like um because i got into an argument about this with like tim pool uh and he was like
01:46:51.420oh yeah trump is is purposely keeping the straight home was closed and i was like no he's not dude
01:46:55.400no no he's not like he was literally arguing me like saying well it's because he's purposely
01:47:00.820doing this like 3d or 4d chess keeping the straight clothes so that we can dominate the
01:47:05.460energy market and he has no intention to open it or keep it to open it up and he's just like
01:47:09.960feigning diplomacy to get it open i was like no dude that's not what it is like like what like
01:47:15.760crash the world's energy market to do that and like have america's paying double double for gas
01:47:20.260like how does it how does that help like well it's always the 5d chess with the trump
01:47:24.720shells that's all you know it's never as simple as it is there's always some super clever no no
01:47:29.260trump is the genius mastermind here's how trump can still win and uh you know that's just not the
01:47:35.620case just like epic levels of cope man yeah um what else do we got here so we got
01:47:41.220so we got the barrain strikes uh let me see here
01:47:47.640how you like Miami by the way man love it love the city it's my second home I'm gonna try to
01:47:55.640get him here chat I'm gonna try to get him to to come to come to Miami and move out here hopefully
01:48:00.220one day uh let's see here if there's anything else new so Trump threatens uh oh has there been
01:48:06.280I think there's been some movement as well with with uh Russia Ukraine if I'm not mistaken right
01:48:36.640What are your thoughts on that and what really went down when that happened?
01:48:41.140Because there's multiple different theories of what they think was going on.
01:48:45.160It was like maybe a failed black operation where they're trying to get the uranium.
01:48:48.460And then it ended up having to become a rescue mission because they had this fighter, this weapon system officer that was a colonel that was out there.
01:48:56.180What are your thoughts on that in general?
01:48:57.720Yeah. You know, I remember that case where they said that the F-15 was shot down and, you know, one of the pilots was stranded there in the mountains. And then in the end, there were two transport planes that got destroyed over there.
01:49:13.000And they said that what happened is the transport planes came, I think, not only to get the pilot, but to get the wreckage of the plane or something like that.
01:49:21.220And they said that the cargo planes came under attack.
01:49:24.400And then there was this discrepancy about where the planes landed.
01:49:28.040And they said that it was closer to Iran's nuclear sites than it was to where this guy actually crashed.
01:49:33.340And they said, how could he have gone hundreds of miles in another direction when he's some solo guy in the mountains of Iran in a totally remote place?
01:49:42.600you just never know about things like that. I think, I think that if we were going to go in
01:49:47.100to get the highly enriched uranium, it wouldn't look like that because the highly enriched
01:49:51.740uranium, according to the IAEA is in the tunnels at Esfahan and it's deep underground. And so they
01:49:59.500say that if we're going to go in and get it, we're going to need to bring like excavation
01:50:03.260equipment, like literally heavy construction equipment where you need to like dig it out.
01:50:07.780And it's going to be the largest special forces operation in history, like like tens of thousands of troops.
01:50:13.420And we're going to be literally moving heaven and earth to get to this stuff.1.00
01:50:17.340The Iranians can't even get it. And it's their country.1.00
01:50:19.360And and then you're talking about coming under fire from within Iran, from drones and missiles and and the IRGC.
01:50:26.560So I don't I don't think they would seriously do that.
01:50:28.840And I think the size of the force that went into Iran, probably too small.
01:50:33.500And if that actually happened, I think Iran would say so, because wouldn't that be a big propaganda victory if the U.S. tried to get the uranium and they failed?0.72
01:50:41.500I think so. What I've been told from people is that they were trying to set up a FARP or FARP, whatever, a forward operating location.0.65
01:50:49.860They were slowly bringing these little birds, these these these planes that were used for moving equipment.
01:50:55.700And they were setting up kind of like a clandestine operation to do this.
01:50:58.320and then what ended up happening was this fighter jet got shot down
01:51:02.520and they had to shift from doing one of these raids into a rescue mission
01:51:07.880because I think I was talking about Larry Johnson, I know Aguilar,
01:51:12.140a couple of these guys were like, why the hell do they have Little Birds here?
01:53:19.600um what so okay obviously we're in a very strange situation right now and guys we're
01:53:25.760going to shift over here to oss very soon read the chats and then answer questions over there
01:53:29.220um what would you do at this point if you were if you were the president united states man i want
01:53:35.680to know what would nick fuentes do um if we're in a position that we're in now how the hell would
01:53:42.000you get out get us out of this or how the hell can we get out of there's there's no way i mean
01:53:45.520And that's the thing is, like, once you make an error like this, this is a pivotal error, which means there's no putting the genie back in the bottle like that's a fulcrum now.
01:53:55.320And there's no good options. You know, like we talked about, you can let Iran take control over the trade and you can, you know, what are you even going to do about Lebanon?0.88
01:54:04.060Nothing you do about Lebanon. Israel's not going to stop. Nothing you do to make them stop.0.72
01:54:07.700And, you know, we could we could try. They're talking about selling F-35s to Turkey and they're talking to Netanyahu's political opponents.
01:54:15.360And I think all that is signaling. I think all that's bullshit. I don't think any of that's real.0.99
01:54:19.540They're not really trying to piss off Israel. They're saying those things to make Israel scared.
01:54:24.560But Netanyahu's been around for 30 years. You know, you can't scare this guy.
01:54:29.100And he runs our shit. He runs America. Larry Ellison gave 60 million to one of Trump's PACs.1.00
01:58:49.100Taliban didn't have an air force, anything like that.
01:58:51.340And so when we actually had our troops in Iraq and in these other countries, their fortifications were like they would put sandbags up because they're worried about vehicle attacks or rockets or something.
01:59:03.100So when we're in some of these countries like Kuwait, which is, I think, where these people got killed.
01:59:08.420Yes, they're just in like they're just in regular buildings.
01:59:12.080And and the building where some of these people were killed, they put out a request to the military saying we're not safe here.
01:59:18.320This is one of the targets. And if we get hit with a drone, we're going to die. And that's what happened. They got hit with a drone and they died because we're not ready for shooting down projectiles from the air. We're not ready to deal with the drones. And so, you know, we are really incurring severe losses in terms of equipment, in terms of personnel. And what's funny, too, so we go into the war to destroy the missiles. That's the whole idea.
01:59:41.660And our ability to destroy the missiles is what prevents them from closing the strait.
01:59:46.880If we can suppress the missile and drone fire, then they can't keep the strait closed.
01:59:51.020So we bomb them 15,000 times and we pound them literally with everything we have.0.76
01:59:55.340We have destroyed only 25% of their missile stockpile, still have 75% of them.
01:59:59.700And since the ceasefire, they've already gone back to work on their missile production facility.
02:00:03.920So they're going to start pumping them out all over again.
02:00:41.200It's just there's no way that you're going to sufficiently suppress Iran's ability to shut down the strait in time before there's an economic calamity.0.99
02:00:49.400And the scary part is they don't even really have to shut it down with force.0.99
02:01:25.460Like, on, like, the first couple days of the war in the U.S., obviously, like, there was a couple, a lot of people reported that, like, Kuwaiti hospitals were, like, completely being bombarded with U.S. service members,
02:01:35.600and they couldn't take care of them and they had to0.97
02:01:37.340airlift them all to fucking Germany. And obviously0.99
02:01:39.600the US government is not going to disclose that.
02:01:42.100But yeah, and then I remember for a while
02:01:43.600they didn't say anything about the bases being destroyed
02:01:45.520but yeah, CNN did a report and a couple others
02:03:59.200And then we would need to be there because then we could furnish all these countries with fighter jets and intelligence and all these things.
02:04:05.600And if it got to that point, they'd be able to defend themselves. They wouldn't need us.
02:04:10.320So now the question is, OK, Iran isn't going anywhere. Saudi's not normalizing with Israel.
02:04:16.660Maybe Syria isn't either. So, you know, the situation isn't quite the same.
02:04:22.400And we can't really hand it off to these other countries to do it because, you know, like in Europe, for example.
02:04:28.000We want to do the same thing in Europe. How? We're going to get UK, Germany, France to spend more on military. Then they don't need us. They can defend themselves from Russia and then we can leave. Well, this alliance in the Middle East isn't happening. You know, so but then again, do we really even need to defend these people at that point? Well, that is where all the oil is. So I don't know. I mean, I don't know that the U.S. is in a position where we can leave them to their own devices.
02:04:53.480You know what else is kind of like, I guess, troublesome?0.84
02:04:58.740They talked about after Israel attacked Qatar, I know Saudi Arabia, that obviously shook them up quite a bit when they were trying to kill the Hamas guys back in September, actually, right before.
02:05:08.400I remember because it was right before Charlie Kirk passed away.0.76
02:05:10.760They attacked Qatar trying to get these Hamas guys while they were trying to negotiate this thing.0.65
02:05:15.760And obviously it was very embarrassing for us and everything else like that.0.73
02:05:18.560But Saudi Arabia went and did a deal with Pakistan for security assurances since they have nuclear weapons.
02:05:25.960I don't know if you've heard about this.
02:05:27.100Have you heard about these talks how they're going to try to create a Muslim NATO?
02:05:37.500Yeah, I mean, it's certainly interesting.0.72
02:05:40.040And I think that's a good idea because then it almost becomes like an anti-Israel bloc.
02:05:44.500And what is happening is that the Middle East is just fundamentally different now than it was before October 7th.
02:05:49.560What's shaping up is even before the Iran war, you had Saudi and the Emirates splitting up because Saudi is actually, you know, when Mohammed bin Salman first got in, he wanted to shake everything up.
02:06:10.180They're intervening in all these different conflicts.
02:06:11.600And so what would emerge is an alliance. Like you said, there's a mutual defense pact now between Pakistan and Saudi. And then they're talking about bringing Turkey to that as well. And those are going to be like and Qatar, too. These are going to be the the forces in favor of the status quo.
02:06:27.180What you might see on the other side is a different block, which is, let's say, Israel, Greece, the Emirates, Azerbaijan, and they're going to be like the revisionist powers.
02:06:38.020And so the Middle East is really going to, in terms of the geopolitical alignment, it's going to be totally different.
02:06:43.000And then the question would be, which side would Iran be on?
02:06:46.320Probably they'd be on the side with Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi, Turkey.
02:06:49.840I mean, it sounds crazy that there's a one time, of course, the Saudis and the Iranians were in this like proxy war for 10 years or which engulfed the entire Middle East.
02:06:58.400And and now you might think in a scenario where the U.S. leaves the region, maybe then that is how things would would shake out.
02:07:06.220And then you just have been a proxy war between these more revisionist powers and these like Islamist status quo powers.
02:07:14.540It might shake out to be something like that.
02:07:16.700But I don't know that the U.S. can really afford to leave the Middle East just because of how vital the commodities are there in the trade as well.
02:07:24.820Yeah, not only that, but I think it would open a door for China to come in and build an enormous amount of influence in there as well if we were to leave.
02:07:31.560I think that's a big reason why they didn't want to leave, but Iran wants them out of there as part of the MOU.
02:07:37.080Obviously, they would never leave completely.
02:07:39.340But, I mean, you don't think China would try to come in and take some of the influence, especially with their partnership with Iran?
02:07:43.500I don't think so, because China has no ability to project power in the Middle East.
02:07:46.920They're an economic power, but they just have no ability to project power.
02:08:34.800Turkey does this between Russia and the United States.
02:08:37.000So certainly their influence would increase.
02:08:39.080But I think so much of that is overstated because China just they don't have as long of a reach as the United States does because they're we're a security provider.
02:08:46.660They are not a security provider at all.
02:08:48.360Yeah. And the only thing with the security provider thing, which like I think we kind of got shown to be a paper tiger, was we weren't able to protect our Gulf allies in this situation.
02:08:55.860And even, you know, and obviously our ability to even intercept missiles or whatever, that's kind of been, you know, significantly reduced as well.0.97
02:09:01.640So it's like, that's another thing from this conflict that I was like, oh man, like, we've been, like, Saudi Arabia's complaining, they protect Israel more than us, what the fuck is going on here?
02:09:09.320So it's like, you know, is our security assurances and guarantees going to be as potent, as powerful as what it was now that people have, like, literally seen we can't even stop drones from $20,000 drones from, like, you know, passing a waterway and hitting our allies that, you know, obviously have very sensitive and, you know, fragile infrastructure.
02:09:28.340so i don't know man it's it's absolutely nuts um what do we got here we got some uh we're gonna
02:09:34.340you know we're gonna shift here uh guys over to osss and hold it