US-Iran Negotiations CANCELLED! War Is Back On The Table Ft@Ryadsreport!
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 2 minutes
Words per Minute
184.49695
Hate Speech Sentences
116
Summary
In this episode of FNNF, we talk about how we got here, why we re here, and what s going on in the Middle Eastern region. We also talk about some of the most important issues going on around the Middle East right now.
Transcript
00:03:37.360
All right, my volume's up, too, so they can hear.
00:03:50.000
Deactivate, boom, all right, cool, okay, welcome to the stream, people, welcome to the stream.
00:04:12.220
All right, you're live on your end, right, Riyad?
00:04:19.960
All right, so I'll be live on mine for a little bit, and then we'll move everybody over.
00:04:27.060
We got a couple things that we're going to talk about.
00:04:28.260
This is going to be very heavy foreign affairs-wise, especially Middle Eastern foreign affairs,
00:04:34.140
so if you guys are interested in that type of thing, you've come to the right place, my friends.
00:04:39.540
We're live on my channel as well as on my brother's channel.
00:04:42.880
If you guys are not following, you guys need to follow.
00:04:48.640
I think I got him tagged in the title as well, if I'm not mistaken.
00:04:57.180
We're sitting over 2,000 now, if I'm not mistaken, right?
00:05:08.620
I've gotten flooded in my DMs, my ex-DMs, everything like that, so much love to you guys.
00:05:16.020
It really means a lot for my channel to blow up that quickly, and I should, again,
00:05:20.860
I know the audio trolls niggas got really cheap headphones, but I should sound better tonight.
00:05:25.940
I played around with my mixer and set some things up differently, so it should be coming
00:05:28.980
in really clear, but I have my chat up this time, so if there's any issues, please just
00:05:34.560
Yeah, so I guess what we could do is we could start with the meeting and how we got here.
00:05:51.880
I literally, as you guys know, we're going to be doing a three-peat today.
00:06:01.660
We were going to do a regular show of FNF, but today's episode is very important, so probably
00:06:07.720
won't do that, but we do got something very important tomorrow.
00:06:11.620
We're going to be going crazy on Twitter tomorrow, so we're going to need all your guys'
00:06:15.820
I'm going to cover that as well, so, you know, some bullshit's been going on, and we're
00:06:21.480
fucking fighting back, bro, honestly, because it's been pissing me off.
00:06:27.720
I might mention it tonight, but audio should be good.
00:06:30.680
You guys should be able to hear me here, and I think we are live on everything.
00:06:40.300
And then we're going to go ahead and cover what we got going on here.
00:06:46.260
A lot of developments, important stuff that we need to talk about, a bunch of stuff going
00:06:56.200
Anyway, as you guys know, we have not been, we have not had the best relationship with
00:07:02.600
Iran, and this has been going on since, what, 1979?
00:07:04.500
And to be honest with you guys, we really want to go back with the history of Iran.
00:07:09.960
You got to go back to, like, 1953 with Operation Ajax, where we basically overthrew their government
00:07:16.440
alongside the MI6 and the Mossad and the CIA, which back then, yeah, it was the CIA back
00:07:25.520
And it was because of their, you know, oil, essentially.
00:07:29.500
They wanted to, you know, they wanted a little bit of autonomy with their own resources.
00:07:33.000
We said no, because the Brits had a problem with that.
00:07:35.980
We went in and overthrew Mossadegh, got him jailed and killed, and this led to the Shah
00:07:42.740
taking over, or the Shah's father, if I'm not mistaken, taking over for roughly 20 plus
00:07:47.740
This led to the Iranian Revolution of 1979, and the theocracy that we have in power now,
00:07:54.020
and that's who's been in power pretty much the whole time, that style of governance.
00:08:23.960
So, anyway, Iran has been really, well, the entire Muslim world has had a problem with
00:08:31.120
Israel's presence there, but through either coups, wars, assassinations, destabilization
00:08:38.720
efforts by the West, Israel's basically toppled and destroyed every single Muslim slash Arab
00:08:43.980
country that stood in its way in the Middle East from being the hegemon in the Middle East.
00:08:48.180
And the only country that's left now at this point, guys, is Iran, okay?
00:08:54.280
And what Iran has done, knowing that Israel is a very capable military and a very capable
00:08:59.880
intelligence powerhouse alongside the United States, is they've done a couple of things
00:09:05.480
And the things that they did to protect themselves was, number one, create the acts of resistance,
00:09:09.020
which essentially funds and supports a bunch of proxy powers in the region, okay, to combat
00:09:21.980
They support Hamas in the Gaza Strip, who's literally right there on the Israeli border.
00:09:28.900
I don't know if you can pull up a map real quick for me, Riyad, on your side.
00:09:32.260
And they also support the Houthis, excuse me, the Hezbollah, okay, Hezbollah in Lebanon,
00:09:40.960
So if you guys look at this geographically, which my brother's going to pull up for you
00:09:43.680
guys right now, basically what Iran has cleverly done is they've created a ring of fire surrounding
00:09:49.720
Israel and also the Bashar al-Assad regime, okay, with Syria in the north, right?
00:09:56.140
Um, so this has created a difficult situation for the Israelis.
00:10:07.200
This means that they have talented scientists that have been, um, you know, having a civilian
00:10:12.580
nuclear program, but at the same time, they've been working towards enriching uranium to high
00:10:21.760
Um, and by many different standards, the Iranians can absolutely, oh shit, my bad.
00:10:38.260
And here's a picture of the Middle East here, guys, right?
00:10:39.980
So we can go ahead and let me go through it one more time.
00:10:48.220
Now, it is important to understand that for a very long time, the Iranian people
00:10:51.740
and the Iraqis fought, which my brother's going to go into a little bit of that later
00:10:56.180
But, um, but as of late, since the fall of Saddam Hussein, Iraq has become an ally for
00:11:01.920
There are Iranian backed, um, proxy groups in Iraq.
00:11:10.400
This was run by Bashar al-Assad for a very long time.
00:11:14.320
Then you have, uh, Lebanon, uh, with Beirut, uh, Hezbollah stronghold.
00:11:18.560
And I would argue that Hezbollah has been the strongest proxy group, um, in this, uh,
00:11:26.080
They've fought the Israelis on multiple occasions in the eighties, in 2006, uh, multiple skirmishes
00:11:32.680
Um, and, and they've won actually, they've actually beaten the Israelis on the floor,
00:11:37.720
Uh, and then you have obviously the Gaza Strip down below where we're all very familiar
00:11:40.940
with where Gaza is now, obviously after what Israel did with the genocide.
00:11:43.900
Um, and then you've got the Houthis all the way down in, um, Yemen, right?
00:11:52.200
And they, they control basically the, um, the Western side, uh, especially hugging the
00:11:57.760
Um, now the Houthis are kind of interesting because with them, they're not just a, a, uh,
00:12:05.940
And they basically have been choking Israel financially and have bankrupted one of their
00:12:14.060
And they're like, uh, as my brother calls them, what do you call them?
00:12:20.680
And I'll go to that later, how much adversity they faced yet.
00:12:23.300
They still have a very, very strong existence and presence in Yemen today.
00:12:27.100
So, um, extremely difficult to deal with extremely mobile, extremely, um, uh, you know, they're,
00:12:36.200
Um, the United States had to have a ceasefire with these niggas.
00:12:42.980
They're probably, I would say as well as their strongest, then the Houthis are just like
00:12:47.700
And these guys have been sending missiles into Israel and creating this problem for
00:12:51.460
So, so one of Iran's, and it's important that you guys understand this because this
00:12:55.620
is what's going to lead into what we talk about next.
00:12:57.300
So Iran's four, they have four different combat strategies of combating Israel in the West.
00:13:02.320
So number one is the proxy group's acts of resistance, right?
00:13:06.280
Because this creates insulation for them, right?
00:13:12.380
Next, their ballistic missile program, which honestly is the centerpiece of these strategies.
00:13:19.760
It is a extremely dangerous and powerful ballistic missile program.
00:13:25.340
Um, everyone under, well, uh, everyone, uh, underestimated them and, uh, they proved the
00:13:30.260
world, uh, they really shocked the world, uh, in the 12 day war.
00:13:33.960
Um, and, and we're going to talk about this in a little bit more detail about why the ballistic
00:13:39.120
missile program has become basically the forefront of negotiations now.
00:13:43.600
The Israelis and the United States, um, really undersold how badly the Israelis were getting
00:13:51.480
But now this has become the centerpiece of negotiations and what they want to talk about
00:13:56.300
the most because it caused the Israelis quite a bit of damage.
00:13:59.740
Um, and quite frankly, the Israeli government was begging for a ceasefire because in a war
00:14:04.480
of attrition, um, those ballistic missiles were going to level Tel Aviv and the Iranians
00:14:11.400
And they were able to get around, um, the Israelis air defense.
00:14:16.680
So their ballistic missile program, so their nuclear program, their ballistic missile program,
00:14:21.320
and they also have a very competent and strong drone program as well.
00:14:27.040
And then, um, lastly, also have a million plus men ready to fight on the ground.
00:14:32.700
They have a, a lot of people don't know this as well.
00:14:38.520
Uh, huge fighting force, huge, huge fighting force.
00:14:44.000
And the other thing you guys got to understand is that Iran's a big country.
00:14:55.500
And, and they have a ton of landmass, way bigger than Iraq, way bigger than Afghanistan or similar
00:15:02.680
And so one of the biggest issues we had when we were fighting in the Middle East, honestly,
00:15:07.160
up until this day, but starting in 2003, we had a really hard time dealing with the terrain.
00:15:13.640
It's actually, you can see in this photo right here, Iran is incredibly mountainous.
00:15:16.940
There's several different biomes that you'll come across in this land and in the Middle East
00:15:29.320
And this is precisely what we saw when the U.S. military was intervening in Afghanistan.
00:15:32.760
The past, I know this is kind of abrasive to say, whooped their ass for lack of a better term.
00:15:38.860
And that's just because they were so much more familiar with their homeland and the terrain,
00:15:46.160
Tehran is a really interesting position where in some instances of Iran, you have snowy mountains,
00:15:50.800
but then in other areas of Iran, you have desert.
00:15:54.680
So it's, that's also adds another element of difficulty for the United States and our military
00:15:58.980
to intervene, especially if we get really deep into the waters of war.
00:16:02.760
And get boots on ground, which will result in, unfortunately, hundreds of thousands of casualties.
00:16:16.440
And then the last thing that they have is the ability to really inflict serious economic damage.
00:16:26.580
However, we, the Iranians know they can't beat us in an actual head-on collision war.
00:16:37.120
But what they can do and what they've proven actually, which we're going to talk about this
00:16:41.960
as well, is that they can absolutely, absolutely make it painful for us to fight them.
00:16:47.940
They can shut down the Strait of Hormuz, which 20 to 30% of the world's oil goes through.
00:16:57.700
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, all of our allies are sitting ducks where they're at.
00:17:01.840
And Iran has the capability to hit all of these, all of these locations.
00:17:05.420
They can destroy our military base and, um, uh, how do you pronounce it?
00:17:12.920
That area, the base in, uh, in the Middle East, uh, the biggest base or whatever.
00:17:18.280
I can't pronounce it and I'm tired right now, but, uh, we could, they could hit that base,
00:17:22.780
They already did a symbolic strike on it last, last year.
00:17:26.640
Uh, in, uh, in June of 2026 or sorry, just so you know, this is when people refer to the
00:17:32.440
Gulf, I feel like a lot of people don't know exactly what that is.
00:17:36.680
So it spans all the way from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, all these countries here.
00:17:44.600
The only thing that separates them is the border between Iraq and Iran, as well as the Persian
00:17:49.020
Gulf here in the Strait of Hormuz, which he was just referring to.
00:17:51.480
So this is, this is kind of the Gulf for a better understanding.
00:17:55.320
So, so those are the four things that's kept, um, Iran alive, uh, in these, in these multiple
00:18:02.080
So again, their ballistic missile program and drone program, which is very sophisticated,
00:18:13.640
They, the acts of resistance, which has been weakened significantly.
00:18:19.700
Um, has bull has been, you know, weakened significantly and hasn't been able to replenish, uh, their nuclear
00:18:24.760
program, which they've always been a nuclear threshold state.
00:18:27.280
They have the ability to, uh, and they were going to get a nuclear bomb, uh, before they
00:18:34.360
And then obviously the ability to conduct, um, asymmetric warfare where they're able to
00:18:39.440
not necessarily defeat the United States, but make it where, uh, the United States would
00:18:43.500
incur serious casualties and create economic, um, destruction, uh, if anything were to happen.
00:18:53.740
We talked about, um, Israel and their top op, the United States.
00:18:57.200
And we also talked about their ability to conduct warfare and their strengths.
00:19:00.460
Let's go into what's been going on over the past, uh, few days.
00:19:07.800
A drone went out to find the, um, the, uh, aircraft carrier, uh, the Lincoln.
00:19:16.160
Which has been out there with an entire armada of ships.
00:19:19.360
We could, we, we don't got a square screen share on this one, Rad.
00:19:26.400
And then when you cover your part, you're going to have it.
00:19:29.520
So this drone guys was able to get out there and collect vital information before being
00:19:36.800
Now this drone is domestically made and costs about $20,000.
00:19:42.320
It was able to get out there, collect information on where the, um, where the ships were, the
00:19:48.000
aircraft carrier, all of his defenses, et cetera, before it telegraphed that information back
00:19:54.640
And they have to scramble a fighter jet to shoot down this drone.
00:20:03.000
They make it domestically, roughly $20,000, maybe if not less.
00:20:07.540
Because that's probably what they sell to the Russians for.
00:20:10.880
They have to scramble a fighter jet, which probably costs a bunch of money to scramble
00:20:17.000
And then the missile that they used to shoot down that drone probably costs significantly
00:20:23.640
We're running into the same exact problem that the Israelis ran into when fighting the
00:20:29.180
And since the Iranians are fairly resourceful and make a lot of their own weaponry, besides
00:20:33.060
a lot of their sophisticated stuff, which we're going to talk about that as well with
00:20:37.580
They have an, and they're also in their backyard, right?
00:20:41.400
And the United States has a very long supply chain that they have to constantly replenish
00:20:48.800
Meanwhile, the Iranians are right there in their backyard.
00:20:54.920
When it comes to warfare, the defending country is always at a waste, has a significant advantage
00:21:03.640
So, this drone got shut down, but they were able to go ahead and get the information.
00:21:12.840
They had to push the entire Armada fleet back a bit.
00:21:17.580
On top of that, okay, the United States was slated to have talks with the Iranians in Istanbul,
00:21:27.160
And the discussion was supposed to be on three things.
00:21:30.300
Their nuclear program, their ballistic missile program, and their support of these proxies
00:21:38.880
The Iranians said, the only thing that we are open to discuss with you guys is the nuclear
00:21:43.320
program, which they've always used the nuclear program as kind of like a giveaway, right?
00:21:47.960
They've always refined or enriched the uranium to high levels as a negotiation tactic.
00:21:53.740
This is how the JCPOA came to play, by the way, which my brother explained last time,
00:21:57.440
which I really encourage you guys, if you guys have not watched that, I think I have
00:22:03.620
If you're not familiar with it, it goes into all the detail, how I actually won Trump his
00:22:13.080
And then they also said that they wanted to move the meeting location.
00:22:18.200
So, it originally was in Istanbul, and now it's going to be in Oman.
00:22:28.920
They said, we need to talk about your ballistic missile program and your proxy behavior, and
00:22:37.340
Now, that was a non-starter for Trump, because Trump wanted to deal with the ballistic missile
00:22:40.620
He wanted to talk about the ballistic missile program.
00:22:42.100
Because, and now everything is starting to make sense, by the way.
00:22:46.060
I, for a very long time, and I was talking about this with my brother.
00:22:49.840
If you guys remember, back in April of 2024, if I'm not mistaken.
00:22:56.860
They bombed the Iranian embassy in Syria, right?
00:23:02.200
And the, uh, the Iranians did not hit the Israelis hard as I thought they would.
00:23:10.800
They're talking about, you know, we're going to, we're going to promise destruction to the
00:23:15.280
But now I'm starting to see why they didn't do that.
00:23:19.320
If you guys, uh, if you guys remember, it took Operation Rising Line, where the Israelis
00:23:25.500
basically did their whole fucking, um, you know, Pearl Harbor type attack, for the Iranians
00:23:30.100
to actually show some teeth and attack the Israelis back.
00:23:32.500
And boy, did they fucking hold those Israelis back.
00:23:37.300
They hit them back so hard that the Israelis had a fucking law at the time.
00:23:42.860
Ben Gavir and all these guys were arresting journalists for reporting damage in Israel
00:23:53.260
And outside of Western media, which is run by them, by the way, outside of Western media,
00:23:58.340
everywhere else in the world was reporting this.
00:23:59.760
They were taking German journalists and saying, you can't record this.
00:24:05.480
I think it was a guy in front of an ambulance when the Iranians struck Tel Aviv.
00:24:08.860
They couldn't record it because the Israelis did not want the Iranians and the world to
00:24:14.340
And the, uh, Iron Dome, the David sling and the, um, the arrow were failing.
00:24:22.060
Uh, Iran showcased some of their ballistic capabilities and they showcase some of their, um,
00:24:28.140
That, my friends, is why the Israelis are terrified and not launching the first attack.
00:24:35.420
And also I'm starting to realize why the Iranians did not showcase some of their firepower.
00:24:40.860
It invited aggression from the Israelis and the United States, because now that the United
00:24:47.700
States and the Israelis know what they're capable of and understand how bad these missiles
00:24:52.000
can actually hurt Israel, it has made it where now the Israelis, if you notice guys, they're
00:24:57.800
not so, they don't care so much about the nuclear weapons anymore.
00:25:00.800
They care more about the ballistic missile program.
00:25:06.500
The Iranians didn't even use their best shit yet.
00:25:11.280
Their best shit is pointed at the United States resources.
00:25:17.780
They were able to scramble quickly to attack Israel in retaliation.
00:25:22.700
So now everything makes sense why the Iranians have been so, um, restrained, um, and used,
00:25:32.100
uh, such like little firepower and why they've been so cautious in all of their responses.
00:25:38.280
They understood that by attacking too hard, they show capabilities.
00:25:42.320
When they show capabilities, this invites aggression from the West.
00:25:45.640
So anyway, I'm going to turn it over to my brother.
00:25:51.620
We, we predicted this a couple of days ago that they weren't going to be, that nothing
00:25:55.900
I told y'all there, the first thing they're going to try to do is get rid of their ballistic
00:25:58.680
missile program, which is exactly what keeps them protected in the first place.
00:26:05.640
I know you have a lot that you want to, um, cover, but we covered Iran.
00:26:09.080
We covered the, why the talks fell apart and we covered the door.
00:26:14.200
And what I was going to kind of get into and just to kind of tally off of that.
00:26:21.560
Let me read these chats because he's got a lot to cover here.
00:26:29.320
Your thoughts on Candace Owens spreading conspiracies about TPS and Kirk's death, RIP.
00:26:34.900
Uh, Martin, how can I get into clipping for you?
00:26:39.740
He's not going to talk to you unless you're one of the people.
00:26:49.140
Why does bro look more like modern than modern himself?
00:26:51.620
Uh, let me, uh, thoughts on the U S warning Algeria that they may impose cats of sanctions
00:26:59.160
No, I was going to just stay so strictly Libya.
00:27:00.980
Cause it's more relevant, but I can, I can get into that a little bit.
00:27:03.900
Uh, because they bought 14 generation, uh, SU 57, uh, fighter jets.
00:27:10.220
And I think that has to do with just the preparation for the war.
00:27:13.220
But I can cover that in a little bit more detail after I tie this all together.
00:27:16.940
And then I got, uh, let me just make sure I got, I didn't miss anybody shots of my favorite
00:27:30.980
Uh, can't wait to see your brother's channel blow up.
00:27:33.900
I think he could be a force in, uh, uniting, uh, Christian nationalists and Muslims against
00:27:52.020
And then, uh, pizza gate is definitely real, Miron.
00:27:58.600
So no, it's ridiculous what the U S is asking of Iran and we're pretty much asking them to
00:28:08.020
I was hopeful that these talks would go somewhere.
00:28:11.460
There's conflicting reports that the talks may not happen or they may happen, but I see
00:28:16.940
here by the times of Israel reported just actually about an hour gone.
00:28:20.640
What, what more of a reliable source than the actual source itself.
00:28:24.240
I told you guys, we want, we look at Israeli media a lot, bro.
00:28:30.100
U S president Donald Trump on Wednesday said Iran Supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, quote,
00:28:33.860
should be worried, end quote, in the wake of reports that suggested that planned nuclear
00:28:37.520
talks set for the end of the week were unraveling.
00:28:39.700
But the reported concerns over a potential breakdown of negotiations due to Iran's insistence
00:28:50.400
If you want, if it doesn't make sense, then don't pull it up.
00:28:53.400
I'm going to have to screen share for a little while anyway.
00:28:57.720
This stupid ass nigga says my Oregon outlaw says Mike is low.
00:29:27.860
But the reported concerns over a potential breakdown of negotiations due to Iran's insistence
00:29:31.500
that the discussions focus on its nuclear program appeared dissipate later in the day
00:29:35.440
with the parties confirming that talks initially scheduled to be held in Turkey would move
00:29:40.180
So I think the talks are going to happen on Friday.
00:29:43.820
But in terms of them coming to an agreement, I don't know about all that.
00:29:48.040
But what I can say is if Iran does come to the table, that's a good sign.
00:29:51.980
But like I said in the last stream, it's just a matter of if not when now.
00:29:55.220
But I wanted to turn to some breaking news in Libya.
00:29:59.720
This happened yesterday and the BBC reported on it as well as several other mainstream sources
00:30:04.980
titled here Libyan Prosecutors Launched Probe into Killing of Gaddafi's Son.
00:30:13.600
He was a revolutionary leader and very powerful before he was killed in 2011 by the NTC amidst
00:30:21.600
But it reads here, Libyan prosecutors say they are investigating the killing of Saif
00:30:25.760
al-Islam Gaddafi, son of the country's longtime leader, Mahmoud Gaddafi.
00:30:29.420
The 53-year-old, who was once widely seen as his father's heir apparent, which means
00:30:32.860
his successor, was killed during a direct confrontation with four unknown gunmen who broke into his
00:30:37.640
home in the city of Zintan, his office said in a statement.
00:30:41.280
The victim died from wounds by gunfire, Libyan prosecutors said on Wednesday, adding that
00:30:48.180
In a different version of events, his sister told Libyan TV that he had died near the country's
00:30:54.800
Saif al-Islam's lawyer told the AFP news agency a, quote, four-man commando, end quote,
00:30:59.520
unit carried out an assassination at his home in the city of Zintan, though it was not clear
00:31:03.920
who may have been behind the attack, and I'll get into that.
00:31:06.880
The public prosecutor's office said forensic experts had been dispatched to Zintan in northwest
00:31:12.780
Saif al-Islam was long seen as the most influential and feared figure in the country after his father,
00:31:16.560
who ruled Libya, so on and so forth, was killed in 2011.
00:31:19.860
So what we have here, and I'll stay screen sharing just for a moment because there's
00:31:24.680
a couple other articles I want to show you guys, but what we have here is obvious intervention.
00:31:28.800
Now, in terms of the assassination, I'm just speculating there's no real evidence yet as
00:31:33.820
to who could have been behind this, but if we follow the direction of the wind or we see where
00:31:37.640
the wind is blowing, we can gain a little bit of a better idea.
00:31:40.060
It's really important to understand that this is a direct sign or implication of the war
00:31:47.160
And here, actually, I'll go full screen for you guys.
00:32:06.160
Cooperators Financial Representatives are here to help with genuine advice that puts your
00:32:12.380
For all your holistic investment and life insurance advice needs, talk to us today.
00:32:19.280
Mutual funds are offered through Cooperators Financial Investment Services, Inc. to Canadian
00:32:24.480
residents, except those in Quebec and the territories.
00:32:26.180
Segregated funds are administered by Cooperators Life Insurance Company.
00:32:28.480
Life insurance is underwritten by Cooperators Life Insurance Company.
00:32:30.680
So it's important to understand this is an implication of the war that's imminent.
00:32:34.760
I think one of the reasons why this could have potentially happened is it seems that proxy
00:32:39.960
groups, which I'm about to name, are gearing up to grab as much control in the region before
00:32:46.460
As Khomeini said in a statement, I think two or three days ago,
00:32:49.280
this is going to be a regional war, and he's completely right, and it's precise, and I'll
00:32:54.000
First things first, the UAE is on an aligned axis with Israel, meaning that they're serving
00:33:00.760
Israel's benefit in their favors in the region.
00:33:03.140
This has been evident with Sudan, this has been evident with Somalia, and now this is evident
00:33:10.060
One of the leaders in the Middle East, his name is Abdul Hamid Dabayba.
00:33:13.960
This guy is supported by the West, and he's the current interim prime minister of Libya.
00:33:19.280
He just signed a $20 billion oil deal with two major oil companies, one being based out
00:33:25.240
of France, and then the other one being based out of the United States.
00:33:28.440
And in signing this, this pointed a lot of eyes, especially for the UAE, to make a move
00:33:33.060
in the region before this guy catches too much power, because he does not have total control
00:33:38.500
There's other factions in Libya that have control.
00:33:43.020
So there's not one totalian ruler just yet, although there probably will be in the coming
00:33:49.100
And so in doing this, it's evident that the UAE is supporting one of these people.
00:33:54.160
The person that the UAE is supporting is a guy, Gaddafi, the guy who was killed.
00:34:00.340
There's sources coming out from people as reliable as Reuters and other news articles.
00:34:05.300
And his name, and he rules, I believe, in the East, his name is Haftar, Khalifa Haftar.
00:34:11.260
And this guy went as far as to say that he's going to take full control of Libya, and he
00:34:16.760
got a $4 billion weapons deal from Pakistan that no one knows where he got this money
00:34:21.940
from, by the way, you know, hint, hint, potentially Saudi Arabia.
00:34:25.440
And he also wants to take control of the country.
00:34:27.580
So in essence, there's a bunch of different factions supported by different countries to
00:34:33.220
The reason why this matters, if you look back, Saudi Arabia and the UAE were in tandem back
00:34:43.700
Now, in this fight with Yemen, the UAE had split off from Saudi Arabia.
00:34:47.780
They were initially supporting the central government in Yemen.
00:34:52.860
Saudi Arabia and Mohammed bin Salman did not want the Houthis, which is the Iranian-backed
00:34:56.680
proxy, to get too close to Saudi Arabian borders.
00:34:59.300
And so he started arming soldiers in Yemen, as well as bombing the hell out of Yemen with
00:35:04.680
weapons that he received from the United States.
00:35:06.500
I think he was the biggest purchaser of weapons for the United States in 2018.
00:35:13.220
The UAE slowly but surely pulled away from that military support in the north of Yemen.
00:35:20.340
They have a certain relationship with a certain country that we've said several times here.
00:35:24.020
And so the UAE started supporting rogue militant groups in the south.
00:35:27.780
Now, these rogue militant groups in the south were fighting the Houthis and the government
00:35:33.880
So now you've got the Houthis fighting this government in the south or these governing
00:35:37.920
factions in the south that is supported by the UAE.
00:35:40.700
And at the same time, you've got the central government being supported by Saudi Arabia.
00:35:47.200
It's a very difficult war or situation to understand.
00:35:51.800
But there's several different proxy wars going on.
00:35:56.960
This actually, and this was the mistake of Israel, this eased tensions for the Houthis
00:36:01.980
because the Houthis went back, looked at the bigger picture and said, well, wait, Saudi
00:36:05.980
Arabia and the UAE are fighting on our land right now.
00:36:08.560
That's why the Houthis have been able to strategically survive despite all of the international tension
00:36:14.160
to remove them from power and remove their military assets because they're infighting in
00:36:18.400
Yemen by the UAE and Saudi Arabia, which is really stupid, by the way.
00:36:22.840
If the Arab nations had lined up, they could have destroyed the Houthis a long time ago
00:36:26.460
because they're fighting for regional influence via a proxy war.
00:36:30.800
Israel is or sorry, Iran is able to capitalize, which is why the Houthis are so strong.
00:36:35.000
So fast forward in 2024, 2025, UAE and Saudi Arabia have economic tensions.
00:36:41.340
They have disagreements and they eventually completely branch off the entire world sees.
00:36:45.600
Now it's a public spectacle that these countries are no longer aligned.
00:36:48.940
Matter of fact, they're opposing each other indirectly via proxies.
00:36:51.860
It's more of a shadow war and an economic war than a physical one.
00:36:55.480
Regardless, what we see today is the UAE is fighting for control in North Africa.
00:37:01.900
We saw what happened in the capital of Sudan with Khartoum.
00:37:04.360
They completely destroyed it and leveled it to the ground almost.
00:37:08.380
And they're kind of getting back on their feet.
00:37:11.680
And they also destroyed neighboring villages, Al-Fashid in the south.
00:37:16.440
Saudi Arabia and the UAE are fighting for this influence for a reason.
00:37:20.840
It's not just to be the big bad Arab of the Middle East.
00:37:23.360
It's more so because oil is no longer the hottest commodity anymore.
00:37:28.960
The world is moving away from oil and it's exponentially losing value.
00:37:32.940
Probably in the next 10 years, it's not going to be of any value anymore.
00:37:39.940
And so Saudi Arabia is trying to move in a different direction where they capitalize financially off of their tourism, as well as their regional influence.
00:37:55.960
They're still the custodians of the two holy mosques.
00:37:58.100
And although that doesn't bring in a lot of money, it still brings in enough to keep them afloat, as well as give them respect from the entire region.
00:38:04.700
Those two mosques are respected by the entire Muslim world, Sunni or Shia.
00:38:09.020
So Saudi Arabia has that guarantor of security regardless, whereas the UAE doesn't.
00:38:13.800
So the UAE has been a lot more extreme in their proxy war, being in Sudan, and now they're getting involved in Libya.
00:38:19.220
That's why it's pretty obvious that they were supporting a leader in Libya who was killed.
00:38:25.600
And one other thing I'll say, too, just to add more credence to what you're saying.
00:38:28.520
Why do you guys think they fucking took over Gaza?
00:38:33.220
That Gaza was going to become a beach resort, international city.
00:38:42.380
Literally was showing off plans of what they plan to do with the Gaza Strip.
00:38:49.520
Dubai set the standard where it's like, okay, we can now make the Middle East profitable off of tourism.
00:38:55.980
And the Saudi Arabia, who's been competing with the UAE, who has more money and influence in the region from a tourist perspective, is like, you know what?
00:39:03.620
We got to get out of our old, you know, super strict Orthodox Islam mindset.
00:39:16.260
Like, this has all been happening over the past, what, 10 years?
00:39:21.480
Saudi Arabia understands that the new frontier, you can't rely on oil forever.
00:39:25.780
As electric vehicles and everything else like that starts to become more popular, you need to find other ways to make money.
00:39:33.120
That tourism is going to be the way, and they're trying to keep up with the UAE.
00:39:37.320
And that is exactly why they're trying to take Gaza.
00:39:39.000
Because Israel is like, we want some of that money, too, and so does the United States.
00:39:43.960
You know, we don't have religious restrictions on us.
00:39:46.740
We can absolutely take the market from these guys.
00:39:50.800
I just had to add that in there with Gaza as well.
00:39:52.860
That's the new frontier in the Middle East, guys.
00:39:54.820
It's going to be tourism, gambling, booze, and like a Las Vegas-type effect in the Middle East.
00:40:06.460
A lot of Muslim Arabs will always make the argument that Western intervention destabilized the Middle East,
00:40:13.600
But you do have to kind of point the finger at ourselves here.
00:40:16.500
There does seem to be some infighting in the Middle East regarding control and influence,
00:40:20.500
and that's because these guys are running out of natural resources that have kept them so delightfully paid for the last 20 years now.
00:40:25.840
I mean, if you look at Dubai and the Gulf in general, from the 80s to 2005, even, the change is, you know, there's no word for it.
00:40:36.840
It's coming from desert and camel and tents to a skyscraper in the world.
00:40:42.220
But the reason why this is all kind of relevant here to the Iran situation, and I can tie it together,
00:40:48.680
is because it seems that the region is trying its best to stabilize, and UAE is losing influence.
00:40:54.460
So, the UAE kind of lost here in Libya because Gaddafi was the guy that the UAE was banking on to take control.
00:41:01.140
They had their interest in him, and they were funding him.
00:41:03.340
And him being undermined and killed, and some people may point to it being Saudi Arabia, it's too vague now.
00:41:08.920
I don't like to be a conspiracy theorist, and so we need more evidence before I can even make that conclusion.
00:41:14.800
But it's obvious that the guy was undermined, and there were financial motivations behind it.
00:41:18.100
Who knows what was behind it, but, you know, one can make the inference that it was Saudi Arabia.
00:41:22.360
Regardless, if this war takes place, and it happens, let's say, in the next two days or three days,
00:41:27.700
what we will see is probably a continued escalation of different assassinations across the Middle East,
00:41:35.120
potentially, and even more tensions arising in this region.
00:41:39.460
Saudi Arabia and the UAE and these other countries that are kind of shadowy like Turkey and Qatar that get involved,
00:41:44.840
but they don't put their name behind it, or at least it's not as obvious,
00:41:48.480
their proxy groups and their funding is going to seize because they're going to have to stabilize on the ground in their countries
00:41:54.780
and put money into national security because Iran is probably going to go crazy
00:41:59.340
and attack any country that poses a slightest threat to them.
00:42:02.260
What this will do is open up the region, so Sudan may see a big difference.
00:42:06.640
Libya is going to see a huge difference, and Yemen, the biggest one, is going to see a very large difference.
00:42:11.100
Saudi Arabia is going to pull its funding probably from the core central government in Yemen,
00:42:15.460
and the Houthis are probably going to lose a little bit of support from Iran as well
00:42:18.120
because they're going to be busy fighting Israel and the United States.
00:42:21.040
And so you're going to see a really big turnout of civil war, civil unrest in Yemen,
00:42:24.780
and the problem here is this Iranian-U.S.-Israel conflict is going to further destabilize the Middle East,
00:42:32.240
not even because these countries are going to get involved,
00:42:34.180
but because the small amount of effort that's been put into stabilizing these countries via proxies,
00:42:39.960
via other resources and efforts, are now all going to be directed towards Israel and Iran,
00:42:44.660
and what little headway or little steam or momentum that we had going towards repairing the Middle East,
00:42:49.280
like these countries, like Sudan, like Libya, and all across really the entire Middle East,
00:42:54.800
And the main focus is going to be this huge war between two somewhat nuclear powers,
00:43:00.360
Israel being the nuclear power and Iran being everything but that,
00:43:07.060
If war breaks out with Iran, everything in the Middle East reprioritizes overnight.
00:43:10.480
Saudi Arabia gets pulled into deeper U.S.-Israel security stack.
00:43:14.200
I'm sorry, United Arab Emirates gets pulled deeper into the security stack with the U.S. and Israel
00:43:18.560
because they have an axis and a security contract.
00:43:21.940
And proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis lighten up in Yemen, Lebanon, and the Red Sea.
00:43:25.980
So Saudi pulls back from these proxy wars while the UAE loses its protection umbrella.
00:43:29.880
That opens space for Saudi to replace Emirati influence in places like Sudan, Somalia, and Libya.
00:43:35.260
Meanwhile, even Turkey may exploit some of this opening and expand its footprint too.
00:43:39.500
So the bottom line here is this, an Iran war forces Saudi into statesman mode,
00:43:46.380
So this is going to hurt the United Arab Emirates, and this is going to help Saudi Arabia.
00:43:52.600
It's going to really hurt their terrorism, which they're pushing very hard.
00:43:55.680
Mohammed bin Salman being the one who proposed the Vision 2030,
00:43:58.880
that he had to push back in this whole futuristic city, the line, and this whole thing like that.
00:44:04.660
So this war has a catastrophic shockwave effect across the entire Middle East,
00:44:10.880
and that's going to directly affect the United States,
00:44:13.660
because we have to make sure that we're still capitalizing from a capitalistic perspective
00:44:18.240
in the Middle East, making our money, getting our deals with Saudi Arabia,
00:44:22.640
which has been weakening over time, and making sure that we can be the main beneficiary
00:44:27.120
and have strong relationships with these countries that have geostrategic positions
00:44:30.840
in places like the Strait of Hormuz and so on and so forth.
00:44:33.700
So this is just, again, kind of the same redundant message,
00:44:38.020
but a very certain small country in the Middle East is pulling us into an issue
00:44:48.820
This war is definitely going to affect people in the United States.
00:44:51.660
Not largely, but there will be some tangible difference for sure,
00:44:55.240
especially over a long period of time, because this is going to be—
00:45:03.100
I heard Nick say that, and I thought that's a really good way of putting it.
00:45:05.660
We're probably going to be at war with Iran for over a year at least.
00:45:09.960
This is not going to be a situation in Venezuela where we go in and take Maduro out.
00:45:13.640
By the way, we had assets in Maduro's regime, no doubt.
00:45:17.020
That's how we were able to seamlessly take him out overnight,
00:45:21.800
We're going to have to have lots of boots on ground.
00:45:23.400
We're going to have to deal with that difficult terrain that I went over earlier.
00:45:25.740
And on top of that, they have an insane ballistic missile program,
00:45:29.580
supersonic missiles that will absolutely penetrate our defense systems
00:45:45.620
Yeah, the Udayid, and then these other large military bases and assets in the Middle East,
00:45:49.440
they're also going to be under a lot of pressure.
00:45:52.420
A lot of U.S. service members could potentially lose their lives.
00:45:59.520
Because Iran poses, just so you guys understand,
00:46:02.260
they pose zero, zero, zero threat to the United States, okay?
00:46:10.560
which is why we're projecting all this military might on them
00:46:16.720
There's a reason why the Israelis aren't fighting their own battle right now, guys.
00:46:19.120
Because they're trying to create a layer of separation because...
00:46:28.260
we're going to attack all of your allies in the region.
00:46:32.200
They said they're going to make it a regional war.
00:46:35.380
the Iranians know that they can't fight the United States out on.
00:46:40.940
that make it too painful to continue to conflict, right?
00:46:44.120
So it's going to be a victory with a lot of losses to get that victory.
00:46:50.040
And the thing also that the Iranians have to their benefit
00:46:53.300
is the Iranians know that Trump is getting ready to go to midterms.
00:46:59.880
They know that Trump doesn't really want a war.
00:47:02.740
And they know that the base is not going to like that.
00:47:09.080
Now, there's also a lot of important information
00:47:13.340
that hasn't been reported that I got to talk to you guys about.
00:47:17.160
The 12-day war was really beneficial for the Iranians
00:47:25.280
was get all their weak points exposed in real time.
00:47:29.860
Right after the ceasefire with the Six-Day War,
00:47:45.360
And not only did they upgrade their air defense
00:47:47.000
where they're able to detect planes that escape radar, right?
00:47:53.340
Like your F-35s and your B-2 bombers and all this other shit.
00:48:24.000
And they upgraded it to all Chinese technology.
00:48:44.540
when the Israelis attacked the Iranians before,
00:49:00.240
one of their jets got shot down in the process.
01:00:37.880
these dudes kind of do have some crazy missiles