With just a few weeks until Election Day, there are some interesting things happening in the polls, and some of them could have a big impact on the outcome of the election. Glenn and Sarah take a look at the latest numbers and discuss what they suggest about the direction of the race. Plus, Ben Sasse joins the show to talk about his controversial comments on conservative media and Sean Hannity.
00:03:09.180Who actually, when the day comes, says, yeah, I'm going to go vote.
00:03:14.600And how many are just revved up now for, you know, valid reasons, but then say, eh, I, you know, speaking out is enough and not going out to vote.
00:03:29.520It's interesting because we've seen these turnout numbers.
00:03:33.560Generally, they've been applying lately to presidential elections.
00:03:38.240Since 2000, we've seen a massive jump in the amount of people who are super passionate and paying attention at high levels to presidential campaigns.
00:03:48.660That's certainly what happened with Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.
00:03:53.180And it's also, one of the things we've noticed is in the off years, that doesn't happen all that much.
00:04:00.200Midterm elections do not seem to inspire, particularly among Democrats recently, the amount of passion that has been coming from the right.
00:04:09.800You remember 2010, the Tea Party wave, the biggest wave election in a century, basically.
00:04:15.7202014 was also a little mini, you know, sort of Tea Party-related wave, where the candidates weren't maybe as much Tea Party, but they were still a pretty strong year for Republicans in 2014.
00:04:28.600You saw Democrats in the last years of the Bush administration have a really strong midterm in 2006.
00:04:34.800But, you know, generally speaking, people aren't as passionate.
00:04:37.400The numbers, however, for this midterm election are off the charts.
00:04:41.840And it's interesting, Glenn was pointing out before the show, that when Barack Obama was a sort of celebrity presidential candidate, and he would have these huge rallies in 2008, and you remember the one in Denver.
00:05:07.060And if you remember, by midterms, you had these huge turnouts in the street, but no one was going to see the president in those stadiums and arenas.
00:07:01.240And what's interesting is, leading up to, I would say, Brett Kavanaugh, you had the same type of thing playing out again, this time in favor of the Democrats.
00:08:19.240It is a, there's a level here that we don't know what's going to happen.
00:08:25.500This is like, you know, this is territory that has not been seen before.
00:08:30.760And, you know, while you can look at the polls and you can see the polls, as we've talked about over the past couple weeks, relatively, you know, are relatively pointing towards a Republican victory in the Senate, where they maybe pick up a couple of seats.
00:08:45.120And a Republican loss in the House, where they would lose a couple of seats.
00:08:49.560There is a, you know, if you want to look at the kind of the optimistic way of looking at the House right now, to show you how close this is.
00:08:55.160If Republicans were to sweep the races they are favored in, okay?
00:09:02.040But just kind of generally for understanding.
00:09:03.820If they were to be able to sweep all of the races they're favored in, and they were to be able to win all of the races that they trail by one point.
00:09:13.520So all of these races are either victories or toss-ups, right?
00:09:32.600The other thing is, they will win some races where they're underdogs by more than one point.
00:09:36.080They will win some, you know, when they're down by five in the polls, they'll wind up winning some of those races.
00:09:40.200So the split is going to be important here.
00:09:42.280But just that gets them only to 220 to 215, which is a, I think they lose, that's them losing 10 seats from where they are now.
00:09:50.220But also a very narrow majority to the point where some conservative things could be derailed by just, you know, your generic moderate House member that you've never heard their name before when they decide they're going to vote against the president.
00:10:03.520So it's an interesting way of looking at it, and it shows that this really could go either way.
00:10:09.680I mean, when they say that there's about a 20% chance the Republicans lose the Senate and about a 20% chance the Republicans win the House,
00:10:17.420that's the way that these models are all kind of looking at it, 20% is one in five, right?
00:10:23.480So it is very possible that one of these things could happen.
00:10:27.220But right now, it looks like those are going to wind up getting split.
00:10:30.480And then, of course, even though you're not going to be able to pass Democratic bills because they would either get vetoed or overturned in the House,
00:10:36.040you're still going to have investigative power, you're going to have subpoena power, you're going to have impeachment talks.
00:13:35.380But yeah, I mean, so that's never going to happen.
00:13:37.040And so the fact that I'm independent, you can't look at that line as these are people who could go either way at any time between these two parties.
00:14:26.720As we're talking about the caravan of immigrants coming, migrants, whatever, which will be illegal immigrants if they get it all the way here.
00:16:56.000Which is, I think, fascinating and not necessarily healthy.
00:16:59.080It's good that people care about these things, but, you know, I don't think that people, a lot of people don't seem to care about them.
00:17:05.060They care about the issues as much as they do about just the passionate disagreement with whoever they're on Facebook with.
00:17:13.980This is the best of the Glenn Beck Program.
00:17:16.760I want to talk a little bit about this back and forth with Saudi Arabia, because it is important that we get this right, and we don't make this about American politics.
00:17:33.740We should make this about American interests, but not American politics.
00:17:38.340Right now, people are saying, I can't believe Donald Trump would.
00:22:00.440But he also met with Oprah Winfrey, Bill and Hillary Clinton, Chuck Schumer, Dwayne the Rock Johnson, for some unknown reason.
00:22:08.700Barack Obama, John Kerry, Condoleezza Rice, George W. Bush, Henry Kissinger, Michael Bloomberg, Thomas Friedman from the New York Times, Bill Gates, Madeline Albright, Rupert Murdoch, Jeffrey Goldberg from the Atlantic, Tim Cook, Elon Musk, Peter Thiel, Alan Garber from Harvard, Bob Iger, and Jeff Bezos.
00:22:48.560Or does he have a point of view that Washington happens to like about Saudi Arabia?
00:22:57.200And that is the Muslim Brotherhood perspective.
00:23:00.980So, you remember the Muslim Brotherhood founded in the 1920s in Egypt.
00:23:06.920The only reason for being was to reject the West and establish global Sharia law.
00:23:14.120They exported this organization all over the Middle East.
00:23:18.660Anti-Semitism towards Jews, their biggest and most effective tool at harnessing the Arab rage.
00:23:25.660Muslim Brotherhood, they're the ones who invented modern-day jihadism.
00:23:31.200They are the ones who inspired Osama bin Laden and the other founding members of Al-Qaeda.
00:23:36.780To any administration member from the Obama administration.
00:23:46.160You cannot call them a largely secular organization.
00:23:51.860When you read just their motto, Allah is our goal, the prophet our model, the Quran our constitution, jihad our plan, and death for the sake of Allah, the loftiest of our wishes.
00:24:03.980They are not primarily a secular organization.
00:24:07.420The Muslim Brotherhood calls jihad the industry of death.
00:24:12.460And they mean that in a good way, in their own words, to a nation that protects the industry of death, and which knows how to die nobly, God gives proud life in this world.
00:25:38.660Oh, the Muslim Brotherhood still wants their caliphate.
00:25:46.000So now you have two of our allies, Turkey, Muslim Brotherhood, the Saudis, Wahhabists, who are both chasing the same exact dream, a Middle East and a world dominated by Sharia law.
00:26:02.300Both of them using jihadism as a means to their ends.
00:26:09.700So, Khashoggi or Khashoggi or whatever you're calling him today, now we look at him.
00:26:22.020He is a guy who is a member of the Muslim Brotherhood.
00:26:48.980He was fighting for the Muslim Brotherhood.
00:26:52.060In the 1980s and 90s, he was one of the king's main allies.
00:26:55.780He edited several Saudi newspapers, which he was basically Winston Smith in Orwell's 1984, sitting in the Saudi version of the Ministry of Truth, editing out all thought crime.
00:27:10.180Make sure that there was never anything hostile said about Wahhabism or the king.
00:27:16.180During this time, he cozied up to Osama bin Laden.
00:27:19.320He scored several interviews while al-Qaeda was fighting the Soviets in Afghanistan.
00:27:24.740Saudi intelligence employed him to be the middleman between bin Laden and the Saudi royal family.
00:27:31.540Well, in 2003, he fell out of favor with the Saudi royals when he allowed to be published an article critical to the Wahhabist movement.