When evil masquerades as faith. Glenn Beck explains what the 12th Imam actually believes in Iran, and why they should be shut down. Plus, the impact of Iran's strikes on the Strait of Hormuz on oil supply chains.
00:00:53.040And I only bring that to you because if this were Christians that believed that Jesus was coming and they could hasten his return by causing the conditions in the world of bloodshed and crazy amounts of war, you know, everybody on the left, the media, everyone, everyone would be saying, including me, we should shut them down.
00:01:19.100we should probably not let them you know uh out of their little box but that's what the 12ers in
00:01:26.120iran mean and nobody is paying attention i'll explain what 12ers actually believe in iran and
00:01:32.100carol roth on oil prices all of that and so much more on today's podcast war affects supply chains
00:01:40.200and right now one of the most important shipping routes in the world the strait of hormuz
00:01:44.460along Iran's southern border is under massive strain.
00:01:48.740About 20% of the world's oil passes through it,
00:01:51.340and when conflicts in that region happen,
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00:07:48.660How come the prices are going up right then instead of waiting until that oil and that gasoline has, you know, been vacated and the new stuff is coming in?
00:08:00.220Yeah, I mean, this is a frustration from customers, right, all the time is that, you know, is the gas company, the one who's owning the gas station, taking advantage of me?
00:08:13.000Because it only goes in one direction, right?
00:08:23.360I mean, I understand if when the price of oil goes down, that the price of the pump is not going to go down right away because we're still using the more expensive oil.
00:08:34.220So I understand why it doesn't go down immediately.
00:08:37.260But why it goes up immediately defies logic to me.
00:08:42.000Yeah. I wish I had a really good answer for you on that. I can tell you it's probably not driven
00:08:49.860by the gas stations because, again, market dynamics, right? If you had one gas station
00:08:56.860that was raising its prices and the other one could compete, they would lower theirs. Also,
00:09:01.480one thing that people don't know about gas stations is they make almost no money out of
00:09:06.020every gallon that they sell after expenses at something like $0.02. So my guess, it has to do
00:09:13.300with the expectations that are being set as prices are going up that, you know, sort of the financial
00:09:22.200hedging and the overall, hey, this is going to be our cost. But I don't have a really good answer.
00:09:28.320And unfortunately, it's one of those things, as I said, that only seems to go in one direction,
00:09:32.720You would think that it would overcorrect one way or the other, but it always seems to be just on one side.
00:09:39.660Yeah, and my guess is it's probably just a hedge.
00:10:16.280So when it comes to the price of gas, about half of that has to do with the price of oil.
00:10:24.400And so you'd say, well, I don't understand.
00:10:26.000And we produce, you know, something like, I think it's crude 13 million barrels and across all different kinds of petroleum products, it's like 20 million barrels a day.
00:10:36.620The challenge is, is that oil is really complicated.
00:12:36.260yeah what will that do to the price of oil i mean that's a blowout um minimum 120 to 150
00:12:43.580uh a barrel and if it really um you know it gets bad i've seen a few analysts call that up to 250
00:12:52.000oh my gosh yeah i mean it's bad some people i really respect by the way not uh not just
00:12:59.560you know some guy i asked off the street but really respected oil analyst 120 150 is kind of
00:13:06.600the the middle of that blowout case 250 is kind of the high range of that okay hold on hold on
00:13:14.020the likelihood let me give you some good but the likelihood of that is sort of priced right now at
00:13:20.100like a 20 percent chance the 80 percent chance that doesn't happen okay but can i just get
00:13:26.920perspective our economy is built to for oil under 120 a barrel correct um you know in 2008 we had
00:13:36.600130 from april to i think the end of july and that was that was the straw that broke the camel's back
00:13:44.360in 2008 um so uh what does 130 to 250 a barrel that just destroys the economy right yeah i mean
00:13:56.580It goes into an absolute global meltdown because the implications for the economy, how that flows through GDP, how that flows through the costs of financing, war and our debt and everything else.
00:14:15.500So it just creates an absolute global financial crisis.
00:14:19.880But if we're in that scenario, Glenn, it probably means that we're having other geopolitical crises as well.
00:14:28.940So, you know, that looks like a very different scenario, potentially a full-on war scenario, which probably means some sort of financial reset at the end of that.
00:14:41.380Okay, good. 20%. Now, you think it's going to actually fall where?
00:14:46.480So the base case is somewhere in 90 to 110 near term. Today, it opened up slightly under that range, but in elevated to where we have been, where, you know, you get the risk of war is still on the table.
00:15:07.260shipping is impaired but not you know fully off the table inflation is you know starting to creep
00:15:14.220up maybe just a little bit um but you know we have seen that governments are at least at least
00:15:22.060they're saying they're willing to take some action to to hold that within some range so you know it
00:15:28.980has a drag um but it doesn't you know have that sort of blowout impact that we were talking about
00:15:35.760This is the best of the Glenn Beck program.
00:15:39.420To hear the rest of this interview, check out the full podcast.
00:20:08.700They fund Hezbollah in Lebanon, but Hezbollah is also was in Venezuela.
00:20:14.480They arm Hamas. They finance militias in Iraq and Syria. They support terror cells across continents. The revolution was never meant to stay in Iran because it is a spiritual battle for them.
00:20:33.960It is religious. They believe they're welcoming the 12th Amman, the Mahadi, which this one, the 12th Amman, actually comes back after climbing out of a well, and he rules the world and washes the world in blood.
00:20:50.140They believe that this is the final battle, and they say all of this stuff openly.
00:20:55.640But here's the part that should concern everybody. Because, I mean, I don't know how many people are here that have been influenced inside our own country, have been influenced by this. I don't know. Do you know? We know there are sleeper networks that apparently have been activated, but we don't know.
00:21:15.960we know extremist recruitment exists but we don't know the scope but let me bring you here to home
00:21:25.140here in new york we were just reminded how real that threat is just over the weekend two afghan
00:21:32.400immigrants young men whose family came to this country to escape the war years ago own i think
00:21:38.740a convenience store live in a nice house they decided their faith had been insulted so they
00:21:45.100built a bomb it's called the bomb of satan okay uh it wasn't fireworks it wasn't you know it was a
00:21:52.660crude device it thank god it didn't go off but it was packed with screws and bolts according to the
00:21:58.880fbi if that thing would have worked it would have caused more damage in that crowd than the boston
00:22:04.340marathon bombing let that sink in for a minute hundreds of innocent people on the street men
00:22:10.260women, children, torn apart by metal shrapnel. And why did they do it? In the name of their God.
00:22:20.360Let me stop here for a second and just say something really clear. No God, no God commands
00:22:28.460you to murder innocent people walking down the street. No God orders you to do that. Satan does,
00:22:34.860god does not that's not faith that is evil wearing the mask of faith
00:22:40.360but here's the really uncomfortable part about all of this this spiritual blindness
00:22:47.400we see it in radical movements overseas but it's here in the west in a different form
00:22:53.520you know evil doesn't come you know wearing a nazi uniform rarely does it it creeps in quietly
00:23:02.100it it normalizes things it confuses uh moral ideas through ideology and if if you look at
00:23:11.020the patterns of history it's there over and over again and what was there in history is here now
00:23:16.420did you know that before nazi germany descended into full horror show something else was happening
00:23:23.000in the weimar republic the moral framework of the society was completely collapsing
00:23:29.020Did you know the first modern transgendered surgeries were performed in Berlin in the 1920s at the Institute for Sexual Science?
00:23:40.360Did you know that the first book burnings were trying to get those books out of the schools?
00:23:47.740Radical gender theory was all over the Weimar Republic.
00:23:52.700At the same time, another idea was also spreading in Weimar Germany.
00:25:47.880These ideologies seem different on the surface, different language, different slogans, but they're not. Historically, they produce the same outcomes and historically they work together for control and suppression and violence and death. It's a death cult.
00:26:05.200Let me go back to Iran. 1979, Marxist groups helped fuel the revolution against the Shah of Iran. They marched alongside the clerics. The Marxists were the ones that organized the youth and the universities. Sound familiar?
00:26:22.920and they believed they were building partners in a new future.
00:26:28.880And the clerics got all of the people that were going into the mosques.
00:26:35.500And they said, oh yeah, Marxists, we are one with you.
00:26:38.500But when the 12 clerics took power, they imprisoned them.
00:26:47.020Because revolutionary movements always eat their allies once they gain power.
00:26:51.700you know, in the name of God. And that always happens, which brings us to today in America.
00:27:01.400We're spiritually blind. The left constantly is pointing to Nazis on the right.
00:27:07.640And some of those warnings seem to become more and more legitimate because extremism exists
00:27:15.440because people are going spiritually blind. But here's what the left refuses to acknowledge.
00:27:20.880At the same time they're warning about fascism and Nazis, they're embracing what's the guy's name who is a Nazi that's running for the Democrat Congress, and they're embracing him, and they're embracing ideologies that historically produce the same brutality.
00:27:38.460So you've got people on the right ignoring the warnings entirely because they're focused on the wrong enemy, and you have it on the left as well.
00:27:45.760So both sides looking in the wrong direction.
00:31:27.640here's here's here's my argument man uh why is it needed the heritage foundation we all know who
00:31:34.500the heritage foundation is correct yeah yeah yeah yeah it's since 1983 i was a freshman in high
00:31:41.040school in 1983 to 2025 they found a total of 1620 right well 1,620 uh cases of fraud all types
00:31:54.480Yep. From dogs voting to multiple voting to dead people voting. Yep. So the system there is working. The system for citizenship is working. It is a great. Let's just a great. Now, let's just say, God forbid I have something I have to move. Right. And something happens and I lose my citizenship.
00:32:17.100proof my my my birth certificate i don't have a passport never needed to go out of state out of
00:32:22.820the country so i don't have that i say i lose that i then have to call the state of tennessee
00:32:28.480i know or drive to the state of tennessee and pay money to then where i move to
00:32:36.600prove i'm a citizen that counts i know i did that plan that's an unconstitutional no it doesn't no
00:32:43.060it doesn't chuck let's let's let's let's cut this down to what your real your what your real
00:32:46.240question is or no what your real argument is is there's not a lot of illegal fraud and so we should
00:32:52.060uh not have this save america act okay everything else is frivolous around that that's your real
00:32:57.240argument so let me ask you this you know very few guns make it on the airplanes should we stop
00:33:02.140checking bags because statistically very few guns are in bags why are we checking all of them
00:33:07.560or fraud affects only a tiny percentage of transactions,
00:41:21.200Both describe the world before the final conflict.
00:41:24.160Both describe the climactic battle between good and evil.
00:41:27.440but the identities are reversed. The hero in one story looks very much like the villain
00:41:31.800of the other story. Twelver radicals await as their savior, the Mahadi. Christians are warned,
00:41:41.660that guy is the great deceiver. And Christians wait for Jesus. That's the one radical Islam
00:41:49.920would see as the enemy. Two end times narratives, same battlefield, opposite sides, same story.
00:41:55.820Now, let me be clear on something. Not every Shia Muslim believes in accelerating chaos. A lot of people reject that. The problem is the most powerful clerical authorities in Iran do believe it. In fact, Iran's leadership, they frame the military mission in these terms.
00:42:15.040In fact, several, I mean, their armies reference the Mahadi directly.
00:42:22.360The most obvious example is the IRGC, the Iraqi Revolutionary Guard.
00:42:28.800They refer to the soldiers in the IRGC as soldiers of the Imam of the Age.