Best of the Program | Guest: Vivek Ramaswamy | 11⧸14⧸22
Episode Stats
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Summary
On this episode of the Glenn Beck Program, Glenn and Jake discuss the results of the mid-term elections, the crypto-exchange scandal, the boycott of Elon Musk, and much, much more. Glenn is joined by his good friend, Pat Gray, to discuss it all.
Transcript
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you weren't exactly a ray of sunshine still i just want you to really yeah i want you to
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reevaluate what you brought to the show today and uh maybe come in with something a little happier
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i'm a balance for you when you're too happy i have to be sad i have to make people angry sad
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it was not good not good today uh we just uh you know we took the red pill uh which turning out to
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be the blue pill but just politically speaking uh and uh and told you what was what was going on
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also we went into the um the crypto exchange that looks like it's probably never going to get
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prosecuted because i don't know i think he might be he has every connection known to man and donated
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40 million dollars to uh to democrats i don't so i think there's a chance he might escape from this
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because of those connections but man there's a if this is not criminal activity i will be stunned
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it absolutely is criminal activity however uh you really think he's going to pay the price that
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that even elon musk is paying now i mean look at what they're doing to elon musk and and look at how
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many people are are uh it was chip what is it chipotle uh general mills one of the two uh lending tree
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general motors uh united airlines holdings they all said we're joining the boycott of twitter this
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is esg in action right here it's it is against a guy who started the world's largest you know
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electric car company it's really it is really fascinating to watch all right want to uh get
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you're listening to the best of the glenn beck program
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welcome to the glenn beck program we say hello to mr pat gray from hello gray unleashed
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so welcome how are you feeling today uh miserable would be a good word despondent would be another
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word huh uh defeated would be a third okay we could use so not spirited no not spirited in any way
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except about the national divorce movement i'm kind of you're into that i'm kind of into that
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yeah do you think that in if we got a national divorce in the new let's say constitutional republic
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that we would like to live in do you think the gop would win the elections
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somehow they'd still blow it they'd still they'd still blow it still find a way to lose there'd be a
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communist one communist and he'd be like the green party takes over i think i should fill all of the
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senate seats and they'd win yeah that's probably true yeah probably true so isn't it bizarre though
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that every time you go to sleep with a lead you wake up with not the lead it's kind of strange to me
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i i wasn't expecting this over the weekend have you adam laxalt would drop the what almost three
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point lead he had going into the weekend two and a half points something like that yeah and all of a
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he said nope he lost adam laxalt preparing him for a loss i'm like wait what how did that happen
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well all the precincts that came in were heavy democrat we just thought they might be slightly
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democrat okay wow that happens a lot didn't happen i didn't didn't happen in the gubernatorial race
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though that's good they did that is true the republican if you're going to do it you know if you're
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gonna cheat you you think you would do exactly exactly that's why or or that's what they want
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you to think you know what we'll give them the governorship we'll give them that they won't be
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able to as long as we have the senate then they won't be able to say anything uh it hurts though it
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hurts it does and to see the victory lap that biden is taking i mean after the g message he's he meets
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with xi for three hours comes out talking about you know how great it is that democrats won that uh
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well how how did he put it that oh election denialism was strongly rejected because you know there's such
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wide and open and honest elections in china that's i'm glad he uh he was able to shine light on that
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yeah because they've been doing such a good job uh president xi very very popular very very very
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popular in fact i think he might win 98 99 of the vote well if they let that's because they call him
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mr freedom mr freedom mr freedom mr freedom mr freedom wow i didn't see that one coming yeah no but
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then again i didn't see laxalt lose no i didn't either no did not either so at least it takes the edge off
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the georgia race now doesn't it yeah it's like uh whatever it might be good for uh for walker's
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chances i think there's an argument made that like now that control isn't a hundred percent
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it's teetering on that maybe maybe uh maybe they win maybe republicans will be more active than some
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sideline voters that don't typically go out to the polls maybe yeah maybe i still think my reaction
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is a little like pats huh well well i mean it's it i i am it's a six-year term i'm getting out of
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two i'm getting out of the car before they drive it over the cliff but they are driving it over the
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cliff so assuming we still have a nation in the next couple of elections it will be nice to have
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a one-seat cushion as we see how close these things are the next couple of elections yes i was
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expecting six next couple of months it is important though and and next time the map
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tilts towards republicans as we've discussed many times this yeah we have a better shot yeah
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2024 should be a good year now he said it's mcconnell's gonna see to that i'll tell you i thought you
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were just talking about maybe replacing him with somebody i am talking more excited about now there
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are some people that are talking about it as well uh you know there's um
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there's josh holly okay eric schmidt yes rick scott good ron johnson all right uh lindsey graham
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lindsey graham yeah that's a surprise yeah yeah mike lee huh jd vance okay ted cruz like that rubio
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rubio was in that mm-hmm there's a there's a few murkowski strangely not huh what a surprise
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not stunning surprise did they call that race yet i don't know i haven't checked that one in a while
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for the love of p just call it alaska i know i don't know if they have yet actually i do because
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no they haven't because they have to do the rank choice thing and they have to wait for all the
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votes to come in but she's gonna i think murkowski's the favorite there by uh of course she is of course
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she is you're gonna go for so the more of the two evils not the lesser it's never but the more
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yeah so chewbacca is currently up by two points this is
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it went ask for a comment it has for a comment that's what she said
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we've been talking about that race for like two weeks like why have we not talked about this race
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without with pat in here we need pat in here when we're talking about the chewbacca race right
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because it's important to have somebody that can do
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murkowski's at 42.8 but the way this breaks out of course when you do the rank choice voting
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you're going to lose the last candidate first and her her vote which i think the last one is a
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republican but it's only a couple percent and that let's just say that even goes to chewbacca which it
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could go either way the next one's a democrat and that's not i think nine percent of the vote
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and that that percentage will be distributed between it will almost exclusively go to murkowski
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which should really over the 50 point uh barrier that that's the way i'm looking at that race now
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of course there's still a bunch of votes to come in alaska is one of these from labor unions i
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possibly uh i think you have 14 days after the election to have your they wait 14 days something
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like that and to get all the votes in what yeah i look do they have to be at least like marked the
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day i think they have to be postmarked postmarked by and you might say like it's three towns away
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and it still takes 14 days in alaska that could be the truth i don't know i think you know alaska
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is a little bit of a different place but i mean if there's one you can't there's no reason to do
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this in like california like there alaska maybe you have a there's some island out that no one's
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ever visited and i don't know it takes a while for the mail to get there maybe but like you know
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it's like new york city we need six months sorry i think nevada did that either nevada or arizona i
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was reading about one of the two i can't remember over the weekend and they said that saturday was the
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deadline for mail-in votes yeah to arrive and be counted and it didn't even specify whether or not
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they had to be postmarked yeah they do have november 8th so that's good at least well the other ones
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they do is they're like what you don't care about our military members serving overseas that want to
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get their votes what happens about a person who is in a cave in afghanistan and decides on election day
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he's going he needs to he gives it to a sherpa who postmarks it on november 8th who then has to
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walk it and he hasn't heard yet that we withdrew from afghanistan a year ago he's in a cave how would
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he know okay you're right he just knows he wanted catherine cortez masto to be the next senator
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i think that's a very good point a very good point and you know while you're at it i mean sure he's
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over in a cave but you might be in the kitchen of some some union kitchen where there's knives and
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you've got to you've got to get around all the knives as you're passing out the ballots and then
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collecting all the ballots and making sure that it gets there you might need a couple of months
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that's very likely that happens it takes some time how many times have we seen that be the case
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for some of these voters many many times many times or you might be dead and it takes you a little
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longer to get it out of your casket above ground into the hand of a mailman and all the way to the
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voting place right you know it takes some time for the dead to get their vote counted they move
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slowly if you've ever seen very slowly or a zombie i don't know if you've seen this i i've seen this
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happen you have to convince the worms to take that letter up above the soil and a lot of them don't want
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to no and they have they have to they have to grab that ballot with their teeth with their worm teeth
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the worm teeth okay worm teeth and get that up there yeah and worm teeth uh you know they might
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bite through the they might start eating the ballot you have to get it up there before they finish
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dissolving it that was the problem with the with the chads oh really yeah the worm teeth the worm
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it was worm dang it man so many of our problems come back so many teeth so many you know yeah good
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chunk of them hey so can i uh can i just give you a story about walgreens uh walgreens has decided to
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close three locations in boston oh what racists hey man thank you for saying you're welcome
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so clear and obvious that that's all about racism it is now they might have been you know robbed
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every day yeah but who isn't uh that's just sheer unadulterated racism thank you pat i was glad somebody
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said and i was i was hoping you i was hoping you would see that like the city of boston does
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everything is racism now everything is racist it's true it's true i was uh my wife and i went away
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i was in nashville nashville i love nashville it's a great town of great people around uh went into a
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walgreens there and that was an interesting experience really yeah it was different than
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the most of the walgreens that i go to in what way um well uh she was inside the store accosted by
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multiple homeless people while she was in her aisle and i was in my other aisle and she had to kind of
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come over and and uh and uh let me know now this is like you have she has a problem with homeless
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people uh right in this sort of in this circumstance yes first of all wow on the walk over there
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obviously there was 1400 homeless people that came up and asked us for money or looked at us in a in
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in a threatening manner of some sort but that's just nashville that's just what what's going on down
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there downtown uh yeah after you could crawl over the giant bags of trash that are on every single
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corner but once you get past that whole circumstance you think once you're inside the walgreens
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you're gonna have a moment a respite of some sort listen to this elitism glenn i know i need the
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elitism of this guy my gosh oh wow i mean like it's sad it's a real problem when they shop at walgreens
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all the time you know what i mean they're just like the upscale the upscale walgreens you do kind of
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expect though inside a store to not be harassed by people okay and uh apparently not okay apparently
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you expect to be harassed by sales people trying to sell you stuff that's what i expect going
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is that the way it happens at tiffany's i don't know glenn do you want to get into an elitism battle
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on the air oh we're all out of time okay i just want to make sure
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vivek ramashwamy is with us uh now vivek glenn how are you i'm good kind of a disappointing week
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uh last week but uh recovering from it and uh and moving on yeah well you know that's the only way
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forward right i know it is so so vivek i wanted to get you on to explain the ftx thing to somebody like
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me that's not really up on ftx and i haven't been following this 30 year old guy tell me what's
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what's happening and what it means it's a really interesting story glenn and not all of the details
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are crystal clear yet i can give you the the super detailed version if you're interested but the
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slightly less summary version is that there's a guy who operated an exchange called ftx right that
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was the exchange where people trade cryptocurrencies it's like coin guys own yeah exactly except this
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is offshore coinbase is onshore so think about that as an exchange but it's a centralized exchange it
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just happens to trade cryptocurrency so it's like an old school think about as an equivalent of like a
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stock exchange except people can trade cryptocurrencies on it now that's owned and founder founded by and
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lead owner is sam bankman freed who goes by sbs but he also had a separate hedge fund called alameda so
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that's a trading firm so that's not an exchange that's just trading to try to make money like people
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always have on wall street this has existed for a very long time hedge funds that just traded their
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own capital to make more money so he's operating both the exchange and his own hedge fund and it appears
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what happened was when that hedge fund encountered a bunch of losses and they have leverage right that means
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they're borrowing that means they have to post collateral to cover for those losses so it appears what he did
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was he took customer funds from the exchange but used that to borrow it and post it as collateral and when that
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came to light the other participants in that exchange particularly one big market participant this guy
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cheng pang zao said that he was going to dump a bunch of the and this is where it gets a little
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bit complicated but a bunch of the token issued by the exchange that basically caused the value of that
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token the instrument that people hold on the exchange to collapse and that sent a free fall spiral that
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caused the whole house of cards to come crashing down so you know putting complexities and the details to
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one side as we can get into if you want the bottom line is there's a guy who is self-dealing
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using customer money on an exchange to cover his own personal trading losses tried to cover it up
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when that came to light there was a house of cards that came crashing and unfortunately many of those
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customers are likely going to lose a lot of their money and even the portion they get back they're not
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going to see for a very long time so that's just descriptively what happened but boy is there a lot more
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that's interesting to this story when you look at this guy who was a major donor to the democratic party
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one of the major faces of advocating for regulation of the cryptocurrency industry in washington dc
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that created the smoke screen that prevented people from being able to see through this fundamental fraud
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okay so let's i want to go there but first let's start he's like 30 years old uh and his and the the
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woman running the hedge fund she girlfriend right his girlfriend looks like she's 14
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yeah i'm not i'm not gonna i i don't have the facts but i will tell you it did not look uh good
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it surprised me a little bit right so how is it that these two people pulled the wool over so many
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people's eyes so it's a great question i think it has to do with cultivating this do-good image this
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futurist image on the promise of cryptocurrency and the importance of what that would mean for
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humanity i mean at the end of the day these are nothing this guy is nothing more than a high
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frequency trader and there's nothing wrong with being a high frequency trader but it's just you're
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in the business ordinarily to just make an extra buck to make an extra buck by beating somebody else
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at the sport of trading effectively but what he managed to do was to disguise that in the veneer
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of this moral superiority this morality and the funniest part about this glenn is that a lot of
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people miss this this is going to have a backlash that i think is going to be over inclusive where
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this guy was operating a centralized exchange that's no different than an old school exchange it just
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happened to offer trading in cryptocurrencies so there's really nothing that fancy or even futuristic
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let alone morally humanistic about it it's just an old school exchange where people trade stuff and
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the stuff they trade it as a cryptocurrency but the actual promise of the future of cryptocurrency of
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decentralization is actually decentralized exchanges where there's no single centralized owner of the
00:19:53.200
exchange and the irony here glenn is i think this is going to provoke a backlash from regulators to the
00:20:00.280
entire cryptocurrency of course it will including to decentralized exchanges and the irony here's the
00:20:05.760
ultimate irony that a lot of people miss he couldn't have done what he did if it were actually a truly
00:20:11.980
decentralized exchange the only way he was able to borrow those customer funds as one actor and lend
00:20:18.180
it over to his hedge fund to post his collateral is the fact that the exchange was centralized in the first
00:20:23.200
place and so the irony here is you have this guy who was the face of pro-regulation he was a pro-regulatory
00:20:30.040
advocate in washington dc which is why everyone viewed him as the good bot that's the good guy the golden
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boy and yet the irony is he happened to be the fraudster and then the reaction to that is likely
00:20:41.280
going to include over-regulating decentralized cryptocurrency exchanges which would have been
00:20:47.440
probably the best way of actually preventing this fraud so that's the irony in the whole story that
00:20:52.360
that i think people haven't yet caught up to see isn't he also uh big in uh esg
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and the world economic forum part of the smoke screen exactly it's all just part of the smoke
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screen glenn is that is part of it now there was there was a story that was uh floating around on
00:21:09.880
social media yesterday that actually found that a subsidiary of fact set which is one of these rating
00:21:14.860
companies yeah uh assigned an esg score on a leadership and governance metric including as it related to
00:21:22.120
sustainability standards that was higher for this company than exxon mobil okay which is
00:21:28.120
a company that most americans will know and has been around for a long time okay so that's the bit
00:21:34.120
of the farce in this but that's just one example of the farce he's pro-regulation so the democrats in
00:21:39.920
washington dc see him as a good guy he is the second largest donor to democrats this cycle donating over
00:21:45.940
30 million dollars another point on the strike in the tally of being the good guy wait wait hang on
00:21:51.260
didn't he also didn't he also say that for 2024 he will donate up to a billion dollars to the
00:21:58.420
democrats yes so the funny thing is what he said is he was going to donate a billion dollars over the
00:22:04.720
2022 and 2024 cycle now the sad part for a lot of democrats is they were kind of upset at it because
00:22:10.620
you might think that meant like a few hundred million now and and more hundred million then
00:22:15.340
actually he only ended up donating 30 plus million so the side note to the story kind of the comic part of
00:22:20.140
this is a lot of democrats are actually upset at him for only ponying up a little over 30 million
00:22:24.520
because he had committed to a billion but you see this guy there's a common pattern over promising
00:22:29.020
and under delivering turns out that applies to political donations as well but but the broader
00:22:33.780
point though glenn is it's just all checking all the boxes speaking with clinton on stage and tony blair
00:22:39.700
boldly wearing shorts being the cool guy of the future world economic forum all that that that entire
00:22:45.700
crowd esg rating donations to the democratic party being vocally pro-regulation in an industry where
00:22:52.700
the other entrepreneurs have in my opinion for good reason resisted regulation that that created the
00:22:58.880
cultivated aura of this being one of the good guys one of the guys you could trust and it reminds
00:23:04.120
me a lot of actually that ceo of volkswagen you know you remember this guy winter corn he was the ceo
00:23:10.020
volkswagen which was the number one esg award-winning company yes until they found by the he would wax
00:23:16.500
eloquent about climate change and the energy transition until they found that he had actually
00:23:21.000
rigged the emissions measurements in their own cars right this reminded me a lot of that story
00:23:27.140
where the person who protests the case for the futurism of the esg-laden world the one of the good
00:23:34.420
guys about the pro-regulation crowd ended up being the most fraudulent of them all and it's not an
00:23:40.420
accident that that pattern just repeats itself time and again because it's all about creating a smoke
00:23:47.140
screen to allow you to get away with a kind of fraud you would have never gotten away with if people
00:23:52.620
hadn't been thrown off the scent with the smoke screen that you put up so that's the story it happens
00:23:58.460
again and again and i wish people would learn the lesson glenn but there's something about us as a
00:24:03.140
people that make us suckers for the smoke screen of wanting to be the pro-esg pro-democrat pro-regulation
00:24:09.460
good guys that every time that ends up being actually a pretty good way to throw the regulators
00:24:14.740
and to throw customers off the scent and to be able to get away with something like this and and
00:24:19.280
there's a real big uh media angle here to this too because this is yet another example elizabeth holmes
00:24:26.160
style where they made this guy into a hero all the like he he doesn't brush his hair he there are
00:24:32.120
stories about how he wears shorts to every meeting one story talked about how he would fall asleep on
00:24:38.900
beanbag chairs outside of offices and they bring in all these multi-billion dollar donors past him
00:24:45.460
while he was sleeping and then he would wake up and waddle into the the uh the meeting like 10 minutes
00:24:51.020
later and this was like he's just a genius he's a he doesn't even care he's asleep on a beanbag outside
00:24:56.980
of the meeting uh one story talked about these are all praising him where he was playing video games
00:25:02.940
during an entire presentation while he was in there and they gave him a billion dollars after
00:25:08.580
this meeting where he was playing league of legends throughout an entire meeting and like there's no
00:25:14.360
mea culpa from the media after all of this who built this guy into this celebrity to get all of
00:25:19.620
these dollars and there will never be a time all they'll get is a bunch of podcasts later on hosted
00:25:26.300
by the same reporters who initially interviewed him and made him into this superstar i mean it's a
00:25:32.140
ridiculous cycle you make such a good point and this is less a story about this random guy sbf whatever
00:25:39.060
he came two years ago he'll be gone you know two months from now but it's an indictment of our culture
00:25:45.800
i mean what is it about our state of our psyche our cultural psyche in the u.s even internationally
00:25:53.260
that causes us to bear this self-inflicting pain every time to line up behind a guy who who not only
00:26:01.160
poses to be the boy genius i mean that was elizabeth holmes version of this but to take that to the next
00:26:06.240
level to think that he is actually better than the rest of us just because he checked the boxes that
00:26:12.460
we had created in our artificial evidence edifice of esg and of of humanitarianism and of political
00:26:19.840
philanthropy it's almost as though we did this to ourselves and he was just the guy who happened to
00:26:25.400
ride the wave that the rest of our culture had created that's the more interesting part of this
00:26:30.120
story because it's the volkswagen thing all over again you know it's unilever in kenya i mean it's all
00:26:35.420
the stuff i've been writing and talking about for two years we just see the same story repeat itself
00:26:40.340
in different clothing it just happened to be in the clothing of cryptocurrency this time around
00:26:44.300
uh so i i heard um on the uh the podcast uh all in i heard brian armstrong who's the ceo of coinbase
00:26:53.000
saying he didn't he didn't see this one coming at all he said i i just thought he was a really good
00:26:59.000
really good guy he said now in retrospect i i guess i did see things but i ignored them
00:27:04.700
was there anybody who saw this i not that i know of i mean i guess what makes it such a big story
00:27:12.340
right and i'm not even you know i follow the cryptocurrency space but that's not an area
00:27:17.100
where i spend an immense inordinate amount of my time i'm focused more on you know equity markets
00:27:21.640
etc but but there is something about seeing a guy who is calling for greater regulation in his own
00:27:30.120
industry while also making greater donations to the very people who are responsible for uh crafting
00:27:37.540
those regulations gosh that sounds a bad taste in my mouth that alone just struck me as as
00:27:43.680
potentially false and inauthentic now was that going to underlie a 30 billion dollar 40 billion
00:27:48.640
dollar fraud i did not necessarily go to the extent of predicting that there's something that was
00:27:52.720
amiss about this in terms of calling for self-hating regulation while donating to very people
00:27:57.200
were going to write those regulations and that's strange that sounds a little like zuckerberg
00:28:01.860
it actually does doesn't it it does yeah it does it does um hey it's pattern repeats itself glenn
00:28:09.460
you know well so it's not going to be we could probably count if we took 10 minutes we could
00:28:12.800
probably find 10 to 20 other examples that smell just like it so i'm sketchy on all of this stuff
00:28:18.220
of ache but i there's a missing 1.7 billion billion dollars is that accurate
00:28:25.840
i i can't say if it's accurate but that is what that is that is what the latest uh reporting is
00:28:32.600
absolutely yeah how do you misplace 1.7 billion dollars well the funny thing is now they're talking
00:28:40.560
about this uh about the potential hack into the system too after the fraud story came to light so i'm
00:28:48.640
i have no basis for this other than intuition but to say that that hack seems uh mysteriously
00:28:54.500
well-timed so guys guys being uh being you know investigated now for fraud being scrutinized for
00:29:05.460
fraud for himself misappropriating those funds to his affiliated hedge fund from an exchange that he
00:29:11.820
was operating for customers and then suddenly there's a hack and and i think that it strikes
00:29:16.060
me as a little convenient to sort of say that okay the hack is something that we can blame because
00:29:21.240
that's something that's outside of all of our control when in fact at the very moment it for
00:29:26.440
two years there wasn't any report of a hack but now there's a report of a hack right when you are
00:29:31.600
being investigated so that did that did smell a little bit uh a myth to me but you know the facts
00:29:37.960
on this are changing by the day changing by the hour but the lesson i think is actually less
00:29:44.520
complicated than each of those detailed facts might you know might you know invite okay and i think that
00:29:52.040
it's it's pretty simple whether it was cryptocurrency or anything else there's just a guy who's operating
00:29:57.000
in exchange for customers and you cannot use customer money to add without their correct permission
00:30:03.320
to advance your own financial trading goals period that is a hard line and whether you're regulated or not
00:30:11.480
that is an illegal act of misappropriation of theft and then fraud and lying to the people who you're
00:30:17.600
stealing from so it actually in a certain sense has nothing to do with cryptocurrency has nothing to do
00:30:22.360
with crypto regulation the only double irony of this is that if it had actually been operated as a truly
00:30:29.200
decentralized exchange this guy couldn't have even done the thing that he did and so in a certain sense
00:30:34.980
the crypto-ness of this let alone the the morality of this is all just a deflection the smokescreen from
00:30:42.520
the essence of what was really nothing different than just an old school madoff-esque fraud and is there
00:30:48.420
any anything more than just trading into fiat currency um uh becoming in bed with ukraine and the uh the main
00:30:59.620
bank of ukraine to to trade cryptocurrency and get it into uh fiat currency so people could use it do you
00:31:07.500
think there's a money-making scam in there as well well i think there's no doubt that there is you know
00:31:13.960
in in all of crypto exchanges sort of a money laundering element to it yeah in the sense that you know
00:31:21.040
you're using the and the supposed anonymity of these exchanges to be able to you know launder money
00:31:29.160
that you otherwise would have not been able to launder but that's not unique to cryptocurrency
00:31:33.560
right you have to do that in the current fiat no so that's a bit of a deflection i know thank you so
00:31:38.560
much vivek i appreciate it uh vivek ramaswamy he is the author of nation of victims and co-founder
00:31:46.100
and executive chairman of strive asset management
00:31:55.660
so glenn so stew nothing ever good starts with so glenn yeah um can i walk you through
00:32:12.880
the house do you mean my house the unfinished house it'll be finished in six
00:32:19.180
weeks you know six weeks now oh gosh that's terrible i thought it was only two two weeks
00:32:22.760
okay but i'm i know your house is never going to be finished never going to be finished go ahead
00:32:28.420
not that house now glenn yes we have a situation where let me give you the good news okay for
00:32:33.520
example prediction markets prediction say the house should go republican 95 chance 95 chance
00:32:39.640
that's pretty good that's really good although i do remember those prediction markets being very very
00:32:46.120
confident in things like carrie lake they were pretty confident now they are not confident in
00:32:50.980
carrie lake they're not now they're not no changed in fact now there's a 94 chance that carrie lake
00:32:56.200
will lose according to the markets huh wonder what happened that's different than it was probably she
00:33:01.680
probably had a 60 or 70 chance in mid to late last week i trust the prediction markets right they could
00:33:08.180
change right this could be but but but that's what they think they're confident yeah almost everybody
00:33:12.620
will tell you and you've heard this non-stop even in the mainstream media the republicans will likely
00:33:17.320
win the house yeah but can i be a little pessimistic here and walk you through what we have
00:33:21.580
is it pessimism or is it reality i think it's real i think it's reality but but but it's not all bad
00:33:31.360
news but just how confident do you feel in this scenario that i'm about to walk you through okay i'm
00:33:37.660
guessing zero okay but uh let me hear it i went through all the outstanding races okay looked at them
00:33:45.580
and i have uh i don't know what i tend to find is a somewhat disturbing situation okay so i ranked all
00:33:54.220
of the races in the best chance for republicans to win yeah yeah okay so 212 are pretty much in the bag
00:34:02.340
212 212 got to get to 218 though wow 218 that's a long way from that's easy oh there's a lot of races
00:34:09.120
there's a couple dozen races still out there i mean uh you know gosh really have to be over 220
00:34:14.540
uh to even uh because you know there's a lot of weasels in there yes yeah for sure but 218 is
00:34:21.260
control and at this point i'll take i will take 218 yes i will too all right so i've ranked them in
00:34:28.920
the old school grading system from from you know your old high school days a b c d f oh okay wow that's
00:34:35.680
harsh now none of these i would say are completely decided but i i came up with three a's three a's three
00:34:42.960
three so and they're and that that means really high according to the grading scale
00:34:49.100
these are the best of the best not sure things let me give you an example of a race that i put
00:34:54.160
as an a okay lauren bobert's race in colorado oh that's an a that's an a now as of right now she
00:35:00.360
leads by 0.4 percent with 99 of the vote in how many votes is she away actually not percentage
00:35:08.020
not percentage uh yeah that's a good question i can yeah if you give me one moment glenn of course
00:35:12.700
i can pull that up for you and i'm completely prepared to give you any detail that's additional
00:35:17.060
why are you stalling i'm giving you at any time and that's what's important about this particular
00:35:21.540
coverage i can always tell you in a moment's notice and people need to understand this wow
00:35:27.400
uh it's very very clear we just looking for the number of votes that number of votes in in that
00:35:33.800
race yeah in that race yeah i've got it at uh 1 122 thank you okay 1 000 votes away now but
00:35:42.620
they're 99 in 99 in and you'd think so basically what we're talking about there would the outstanding
00:35:50.720
vote couldn't overturn it only if there was like a recount or something else that's all right i feel
00:35:55.580
good i feel good about that feel good about that that's the type of a race i'm talking about
00:36:00.180
we have three of those that gets republicans at 215 wait we have three of those three a races that
00:36:06.720
are that good i think so there's another race in new york uh a 0.4 in new york yeah okay 0.4
00:36:14.840
that's not colorado that's new york okay yeah i mean i now when you say it that way yeah you know it
00:36:22.200
doesn't sound as good you know but right where's the third one third one uh uh oh that one's in
00:36:30.320
california california that one is not even new york that's california all you have to do is depend
00:36:39.220
on the fine people in new york and california again these are close races okay uh but i'm going to go
00:36:46.520
ahead and just give us those three just for the for the optimistic take here on the house and that
00:36:51.380
gives us gets gets us to 215 215 now seeming even more cavernous in between 215 and 218 than it did
00:37:02.420
just a few minutes ago it seemed really easy seemed pretty easy with a couple dozen races out there
00:37:07.520
right why can't we get all we need is six right right but now of the a's i only have three three so
00:37:14.080
now we're at 215 okay now you'd say what number is still passing right still a good grade still a
00:37:18.460
good grade how many races would you like to see in the b column to make yourself comfortable that
00:37:24.760
the republicans 27 27 that's a good seven yeah that's how i would feel right i always feel these
00:37:29.860
are going to go against us how many do we have two two two races that are just two that would take us
00:37:37.920
to uh two two 17 yes and you're going to be excited that here in our b's we have another
00:37:45.280
california oh good and you're going to be super confident because it's arizona is the other one oh i
00:37:52.280
hope it's maricopa county because that one's done so that's done so well yes yeah now if we assume
00:38:01.740
we have both of the a's and the b's that gets us to not 218 no which is what you need yeah but 217
00:38:12.720
217 which is one less than what you need so we don't have control there have control at 217 now may
00:38:20.260
i ask how much worse is a b from an a is it like 1100 votes okay or it should be 900 votes one race in
00:38:34.040
arizona it's a 0.2 lead with 94 of the vote in that's a b a b boys and girls i'm not being unfair
00:38:45.560
with these rankings that's a b and the only reason i say it's a b is because it was expected to be
00:38:51.080
a pretty easy not an easy win but it's a it's a purplish district but it is it was projected to be
00:38:58.600
a republican leaning district this time now of course we've seen that before in in what in in what
00:39:05.040
state in arizona in arizona good good okay and then we have a uh a race in california where there is
00:39:11.940
a six point lead currently for the republican however only 52 percent of the vote in that's
00:39:17.040
going to shrink okay as we get closer that's a b that's b but that one was leaning republican anyway
00:39:23.080
they've got the lead i'm gonna get that a b all right that gets you to 217 now you go into the c's
00:39:28.980
uh-huh now we just need one of these just need one of them and you'd like how many to be there
00:39:34.380
to just get one out of them i'd like this is a c is a c so again you're in like toss up area i would
00:39:43.560
like maybe i'm gonna shoot low five five that's a nice guess unfortunately you lose
00:39:52.700
i lose because i only have three you only have three c's now you if you're optimistic and you
00:39:58.960
take those a's and b's and you're like okay we can pick these off that's 217 you got one of these
00:40:03.740
three we still don't have the house this kids is going well going well i think mitch mcconnell
00:40:11.360
and kevin mccarthy i think they've done their job i think they've done their job they should be
00:40:16.980
rewarded with leadership they should be rewarded with new positions now here we have two california
00:40:24.700
races and an arizona in the seas okay we have what two california races and uh please tell me
00:40:33.080
it's like in the farming area of california some of them are there's some again you know i know
00:40:39.280
california we make fun of there are races that a lot of republicans do win in california yeah some
00:40:43.980
of them they're even favored in but like uh but like for example this one which is a a toss-up
00:40:50.400
uh-huh toss-up race i would say right now if you look at the projections okay was a biden plus six
00:40:58.100
district okay okay so one that biden won all right now in this environment which is not necessarily
00:41:04.600
i mean it's only slightly better for republicans maybe right we need the republican to win and of
00:41:10.780
course we still have 30 of the vote to count so we don't know at this point
00:41:13.820
oh 30 then you get into the d's wait there that was hot that was it there's three c's
00:41:21.740
uh-huh you've got some i mean you've got i i think there's there's one that's errors in arizona where
00:41:28.080
the republican leads by 0.6 percent with 89 of the vote in which i my a's i put if you're over 95
00:41:37.160
percent in and you're winning you know i put that as an a this one's at 89 in winning so a chance
00:41:43.620
certainly a chance um and it was a likely republican district going in so you'd think maybe there's a
00:41:51.280
chance that some of the some of the votes will be again you see me i'm reaching for some of these but
00:41:56.200
that's again it's close 0.6 percent lead but if we won all of the c's c's right that would give you
00:42:04.720
two to 20 which again isn't great in fact a lot of these uh these mainstream people looking at this
00:42:12.960
are like oh well we reproject 221 for republicans plus or minus four well that's a big that's a big
00:42:21.720
plus or minus yes yeah because 225 at this point would be like wow that's fantastic right 217 bad
00:42:28.580
bad bad bad yeah okay then you got three d's and then i have all the rest of them are f's
00:42:36.320
they're not gonna win they're not gonna win no well again they're all in california mostly at least
00:42:41.780
all in california and they're all districts that lean democrat and you know the democrat even have
00:42:48.120
the lead in a bunch of them i mean i just ask a quick question yes why is it that it just seems
00:42:57.100
to be in the sketchy states where they can't really count everything that might be why we
00:43:04.800
picture them as sketchy right it might be why it might be yeah it might be it might be something that
00:43:10.280
in theory you'd if as a lawmaker in one of these states you'd be incentivized to correct your terrible
00:43:16.220
practices because no one believes you're voting anymore you might not be incentivized right you
00:43:22.300
know if you're on the winning side yeah exactly so again you can see why right you would say hey
00:43:30.800
republicans are favored in this race and i would say you're probably maybe right but like 95 confidence
00:43:40.880
do you have 95 confidence in that scenario i just mapped out for you i mean i think wait wait wait
00:43:46.540
wait are republicans involved they are no i don't have any confidence in it then you know you may
00:43:52.540
remember glenn us uh saying over and over again republicans should win this election unless they
00:43:58.800
screw it up which which they always do i believe was the rest of that prediction they're very good at
00:44:07.400
that you know you got a couple rank choice voting now who would you say i'm going to give you time
00:44:12.220
i'm going to give you time okay who would you say is most responsible for that loss now don't answer
00:44:20.920
right away i want you to think is there anyone that might be responsible that maybe we should
00:44:29.240
reassign and i don't mean reassign their sex i mean reassign them to i don't know
00:44:37.300
basement duty instead of running the show who do you think is responsible for this
00:44:46.060
based on your lead in yes i believe no no don't base it on my lead i'm trying to analyze this a
00:44:53.000
little bit i believe i'm talking it through like i'm on a game show okay okay based on your question
00:44:57.540
based on my question yes do we have the do we have the game show music based on your
00:45:01.140
based on your question uh-huh i i think what you want me to say no i this is not no this is not
00:45:09.740
high school this is not high school i'm not a progressive teacher no but i think you have an opinion
00:45:14.840
on this yes i do and you would say uh i guess i'll generalize this republican leadership mitch
00:45:20.900
mcconnell but mitch mcconnell doesn't have anything to do with the house that's why i'm
00:45:24.780
no mitch mitch mcconnell and kevin mccarthy both of them both of them should go yeah both of them
00:45:31.380
should go these guys are the same guys that were in those positions under donald trump you know when
00:45:39.080
they got rid of obama they didn't it's gone that didn't get rid of oh they didn't get rid of that
00:45:43.860
did they wow well these guys they've done an awful lot and mitch mcconnell and kevin mccarthy
00:45:51.240
have got to go even if they're a minority maybe especially since they're the minority leaders
00:45:59.460
i mean after a poor showing usually what you see are repercussions for the people who led
00:46:05.800
the charge to the poor showing yes that's usually how things work in the world yes right not here
00:46:11.480
you're a you're a a football coach your team is three and nine and you're not going to make the
00:46:17.600
playoffs and you have a big a big payroll usually you get fired right usually what happens right
00:46:25.060
but that doesn't seem to be the way that these things go in washington okay here are the people
00:46:31.340
that can make mitch mitch mcconnell a thing of the past mitt romney call his office no mitt romney
00:46:39.020
is mitt romney really going to do a thing about me he loves but he should know but he should know
00:46:43.840
no this is this is i know but this is what he should know he should know that uh i'm gonna
00:46:50.720
remember what you said about uh about uh mitch mcconnell being responsible and uh since you
00:46:58.500
were wrong about that i'm sure i'm sure you're going to uh evict him and if not don't worry about
00:47:05.140
it because we have a very long memory and next election you are out remember it's only two years
00:47:11.700
um deb fisher from um nebraska roger wicker from mississippi rick scott florida ted cruz texas
00:47:23.300
mike braun from indianapolis uh from indiana uh josh holly from missouri john barrasso from wyoming
00:47:31.720
marcia blackburn um all of these people need to be reminded
00:47:39.540
that when you lose and you have put your money into an alaska race that was going to go to the
00:47:50.740
republican no matter what and you double down there really egregious it's really egregious
00:47:56.960
he cut money from arizona could have won new hampshire could have won took the money from there put it
00:48:05.300
into a race where two republicans were going against each other because he didn't why like
00:48:09.180
because he wanted to rescue lisa murkowski and why did he want to do that because the candidate running
00:48:14.400
against lisa uh lisa mcconnell said she uh will not vote for mitch mcconnell's leadership all of
00:48:23.660
these senators all of these senators know what their constituents are saying about mitch mcconnell
00:48:29.300
but mitch mcconnell has a very heavy hammer and he is trying to rush this thing through you've got to
00:48:37.660
call them today the government switchboard at the capitol is 202-224-3121 get on the phone
00:48:47.040
mitch mcconnell and kevin mccarthy let's start first with the senate because they're going to be meeting
00:48:54.340
tomorrow and then i guess voting on wednesday we have a very short time period mitch mcconnell must