00:03:13.860The second raid came after the first one where we rescued the pilot in broad daylight, also unusual, spending seven hours over Iran.
00:03:20.820An amazing show of bravery and talent by all.
00:03:23.980I'll be having a news conference with the military at the Oval Office on Monday, 1 p.m.
00:03:28.220God bless our great military warriors, President Donald J. Trump.
00:03:31.840So we rescued, and it is an amazing rescue, and I want to concentrate on that before we get to the second tweet that Donald Trump gave on Easter of all days yesterday.
00:11:09.720In contested airspace, in the middle of the night,
00:11:12.380A hundred of our soldiers, our special operators, they're on the ground rescuing one guy, send in more aircraft, and then destroy the aircraft.
00:11:26.780We can't leave a man behind, but we also can leave aircraft.
00:11:31.720And for a few men, as those aircraft are coming in, 101 wait, no movement, no guarantees, just the quiet agreement that all of them have already made if this goes bad.
00:14:37.860You change whoever is running the Pentagon, and it's easy to go back to what took us centuries to become, an honorable military that never, ever leaves one man behind.
00:14:53.900That's the line, and for one night, on a mountain, on the side of a mountain in Iran, in between two rocks, we held that line.
00:15:27.700It's also dangerous climbing up on your roof, trying to clean out your gutters, dealing with leaves and debris and whatever else is built up over time.
00:20:43.500If they believe it's real, what they're going to do is they're going to look for the smallest possible concession to avoid a strike without appearing weak.
00:20:51.700They're going to be like, hey, let's try to bleed some time here.
00:20:54.740This is the razor's edge we're on right now.
00:20:57.400Now, there is a third option, and I want to come back to the 25th Amendment.
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00:21:02.020They may think that our Congress and our people do not have the stomach for any of this, and so they'll just wait it out.
00:21:14.120Honestly, this is going to be the big story of 28-29.
00:21:17.760if donald trump can can be replaced by someone else who understands this method of maga and
00:21:27.460everything else if he if jd vance or marco ruby or somebody like that win and we go down this same
00:21:35.500path you are going to see those people who are just digging in right now begin to slip away
00:21:41.900because i think almost the entire world is thinking there's only two and a half more years
00:21:46.360left. We can outlast him. We can outlast him. We can outlast him. That's what's happening with
00:21:50.360NATO. That's what's happening with Europe. It's happening with Russia. It's happening with
00:21:56.860those people in the United States of America who have been playing fast and loose with our money
00:22:03.960and corruption and everything else. We just have to wait him out, only two and a half more years.
00:22:08.660so you're going to see things change dramatically in two and a half years you're going to see a
00:22:16.560gigantic swing back the other way if we lose this next election if we win the next election
00:22:24.280things are going to change and you're going to see these people go oh crap i can't last another
00:22:30.200four years or a possible another eight years and that's when this is why i believe we need 12 years
00:22:36.480to totally wipe this thing out we've got now two and a half years or two years almost in our
00:22:40.940in our hip pocket we need about 12 we need just another 10 more and we can we can wipe this out
00:22:48.460now that's what they're thinking is he serious is he not but what about the iranian people
00:22:56.480that's really important that we look at what are the iranian people taking from this
00:23:02.660quite honestly a crazy ass tweet from the president of the united states
00:23:08.700is he playing crazy strategically i believe so but what are they thinking next first let me tell
00:23:16.760you about rough greens if you let your dog borrow your credit card go buy his own food you think
00:23:21.460he'd really pick kibble no i mean he'd have a hard time up at the you know i need to see your credit
00:23:26.860card do you have license with that um anyway he goes straight for something fresh something real
00:23:31.800Something that actually smells and tastes like food, not the dry, over-processed stuff that's been sitting in a bag for literally up to two years.
00:23:39.560That's what most dogs get every single day.
00:23:42.360But that doesn't mean you have to throw everything out and start over.
00:23:47.040It's a simple, powerful supplement that you add to your dog's existing food so they're getting vitamins and minerals and probiotics and enzymes.
00:23:53.860You're getting more of a natural diet without changing what you're already doing.
00:23:57.800Because your dog may not have the credit card.
00:28:23.620We have to make the best of it and hope for the best and plan for the best, but also know
00:28:29.320that it could fall apart at any time, but not root for it as some people are.
00:28:35.180He's trying to cause pain, targeted, visible, undeniable pain without crossing the line
00:28:40.420into occupation or nation building or open-ended war it's a brutal calculus and it it may work it
00:28:47.880may not work hurt him enough to change the behavior but not enough to shatter the the state
00:28:52.900because once that happens we control what we don't control what comes next we control the
00:28:59.120rebuilding of it but iran is not iraq it is it's over i think it's almost twice the size of texas
00:29:08.120It is a massive place, much more complex, more ideologically driven, far more embedded in the regional proxy networks.
00:29:18.140If it fractures, it doesn't just fall, it spreads, and it spreads all over the Middle East.
00:29:25.200So what the president is not seeking is recklessness.
00:29:29.520but this may be the last long rung on the ladder of you know of of what you can do before it's a
00:29:39.040point of no return so what do we do about this well we watch okay what do we watch for for the
00:29:45.820next 48 hours until tomorrow at 8 p.m eastern time we watch the Strait of Hormuz is the center
00:29:51.880of gravity so we watch the water the first thing if tankers begin to move even quietly even
00:29:57.780selectively, that tells you something has shifted behind the scenes. We're getting word today from
00:30:02.460Pakistan that they have a good offer on the table that we are negotiating right now that would be a
00:30:08.760ceasefire and would open the strait immediately. We don't know, but we'll see. Second, watch what's
00:30:17.240coming out of Tehran. If you hear words like technical arrangements, temporary access,
00:30:24.020maritime safety, they're looking for a way out. If you hear words like martyrdom,
00:30:29.760final resistance, punishment, you know what that means. Third, watch for military posturing,
00:30:38.380actual movement, okay, naval repositioning, airspace closures. This is a big one. Embassy
00:30:45.440warnings, cyber disruptions. Militaries don't bluff in logistics. And then we have to watch
00:30:52.420washington if the show if the tone shifts from threat to explanation if you start hearing
00:30:58.800justification framing legal language i think that means that action is closer that's how modern
00:31:05.760our public at least is prepared uh for conflict so tomorrow's the day tomorrow night 8 p.m
00:31:13.320best case narrow opening face-saving compromises ships move both sides claim victory the crisis
00:31:21.020bends, but it doesn't break. The middle case, more pressure, more signals, maybe limited action,
00:31:28.340but nothing game-changing, clock resets, tension stays. We all know what the worst is. The deadline
00:31:34.680holds, the strikes begin, infrastructure is hit, Iran responds, maybe not necessarily where we're
00:31:40.320looking, but maybe where it hurts us the most. Because once that first strike lands, if it lands
00:31:46.380the way he is outlining here this is no longer about the straight this is about credibility this
00:31:51.540is about survival this is about response i mean he put a lot of chips on the table he cannot
00:31:57.220he cannot become barack obama that's what they're really weighing right now is this barack obama i
00:32:03.400got a line in the sand and you don't cross that line then they cross and he's like i got another
00:32:07.820line in the sand this one's more of a this is more of a fuchsia don't cross that one and then
00:32:13.600they cross that one that's what they need to know is he just barack obama or does he mean it
00:32:20.660so what should you take from this well it's not normal presidential language
00:32:28.300uh it may be a signal that we're no longer in a normal phase of diplomacy
00:32:32.980and there is a difference between strength and volatility strength says i know where the line
00:32:40.220is, and we're never going to cross it. Volatility says, I don't know, I might redraw it at any
00:32:45.660moment. Right now, the world in Iran is trying to decide which one it is seeing from the president,
00:32:53.560and tomorrow is going to answer that question. Because by then, we'll know. Was this a threat
00:32:58.560designed to force an off-ramp, or is this final warning before impact? Watch the ships,
00:33:04.840Watch the language. Watch the actual movement. Watch for signals. And only those paying attention are going to see it before it arrives. Let me see if I can get Jason in on this. Before I talk about the language, Jason, do you agree with that analysis?
00:33:18.680Yeah, 100%. I think that the things that we really actually should be watching right now, very specifically the Strait of Hormuz, everything that's going on within the negotiations right now, as reported through Pakistan, which is the intermediary, is it's the Strait of Hormuz and the ceasefire as being the two biggest items that are on the table right now.
00:33:43.040The problem is, again, we're getting mixed signals because I'm seeing that the Iranians are rejecting that.
00:33:48.720That's per Al Jazeera, but that's Al Jazeera, so who really knows?
00:33:52.280And that the president is just kind of saying, well, this is one of the options that are available, but we'll see.
00:33:56.840I don't know how you can actually trust the Iranians on the Strait of Hormuz issue.
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00:34:01.140So this brings me right back to what I said about the Democrats.
00:48:08.160I want to spend just a couple of minutes on Artemis 2.
00:48:11.440If they were landing on the moon, it would either be tonight or tomorrow that they would be actually going down to the surface and landing on the moon.
00:48:19.660It's taken from the launch until today to get there.
00:48:24.980Now they're flying around and then they're heading on back.
00:48:28.680But I want to tell you something I think remarkable that happened yesterday up in the lunar capsule.
00:53:44.420You feel smaller and somehow or another more connected at the same time.
00:53:54.560I think that's the part that we have lost.
00:53:56.780If you live in a big city, I remember living in New York.
00:53:59.560And the first time I went out to the mountains with my family and we sat around a campfire, we did what everybody does, what cavemen used to do, I'm sure, sit around and say, what is up there?
01:08:42.560We're going to need a 28th Amendment to clear up the 14th Amendment
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01:08:46.760because this is not what it was meant to do.
01:08:49.100And everybody knows that in this so disingenuous. I mean, there is a difference between what the law says and what the law was built to do. And when you lose the distinction, you flatten history into slogans. You don't just misunderstand the law. You begin to dismantle the country piece by piece. That law was there to protect something. What?
01:09:11.440i don't know last time you looked up dread scott but you need to look up dread scott
01:09:18.240refresh your memory because it was just one of the most shocking horrific decisions the uh supreme
01:09:24.880the court the supreme court ever ever made it declared that an entire uh class of human beings
01:09:31.720even if they were free could never be citizens of the united states never and it was that class
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01:09:38.820of people were former slaves. Even if you were free, you could not be a citizen. And that ruling
01:09:44.960didn't just bind the slaves, it poisoned everything. It told generations of Americans
01:09:51.140that citizenship was not a matter of principle, it was a matter of permission. And it dragged the
01:09:57.980entire country into complicity, especially when it was paired with the Fugitive Slave Act that
01:10:04.080It happened, what, 10 years before the Civil War, that the Fugitive Slave Act forced citizens
01:10:09.820in free states to participate in the machinery of slavery or go to prison themselves.
01:20:02.920The 14th Amendment was a promise.
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01:20:05.600It was a promise that we would never again deny citizens to those people who belong here, who were bound to this country under its full jurisdiction with no other sovereign claim.
01:20:20.880Doesn't it bother anybody that Ilhan Omar keeps talking as a Somali citizen, that she got elected so she could further the agenda and viewpoints of the Somali nation?
01:21:13.280If we pretend that the 14th Amendment had nothing to do with any of that, we risk undoing not just the amendment, but the very idea that a nation capable of making such a promise in the first place can exist.
01:21:35.880i was talking to my son he's back from college and he said dad i'm not trying to make enemies
01:21:46.400i'm really trying to make friends but it's not really popular in college and i said oh geez what
01:21:51.140are you doing and he said all i'm trying to do is ask people to think i'm not trying to say this is
01:21:58.020right this is wrong i'm just trying to and i'm so proud of my son i was like good or bad dude
01:22:04.900You're not going to be very popular because the apple doesn't fall far from the tree right now.
01:22:10.920Trying to get people just to think and not be on a team.
01:23:08.180But if we're to be that place where those people can come and be their best self, if we're to be a light, if we're to help others in the future, we must first remain a country.
01:23:20.800And to remain a country, we must not allow people to have free citizenship who are living under the jurisdiction of some other power.
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01:23:34.120They must have loyalty to our system and our country.
01:39:04.780I ask you that because it is so important to realize that when you click on a story and send it and you don't know if it's true, you are an unknowing agent of chaos.
01:39:19.980Because it's not just the chaos that is being created.
01:39:22.920It is the chaos that has become its own ecosystem.
01:39:28.040And the real damage is not the lie itself.