00:02:38.120First, I have bad news for certain members of my staff.
00:02:41.520A couple of days ago, I got a SimpliSafe system installed in my office at the studio.
00:02:45.300So guess what? Even when I'm here in the mountains.
00:02:48.980Oh, yeah. You're trying to steal my Woody doll?
00:02:52.260Yeah. I know who you are. I know who you are.
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00:05:30.520We call to say Michelle and I couldn't be prouder to endorse you and to do everything we can to get you through this election and into the Oval Office.
00:05:40.900Michelle, Barack, this means so much to me.
00:05:43.380I am looking forward to doing this with the two of you, Doug and I both, and getting out there, being on the road.
00:05:50.720But most of all, I just want to tell you, the words you have spoken and the friendship that you have given over all these years mean more than I can express.
00:06:21.060At some point, they kind of take the angle from her, I guess, from kind of her right facing, and you could see the face of the phone, and she's got speaker on.
00:06:30.260It's like, well, it's up to her ear, but she's got speakerphone on.
00:06:34.340What person answers the phone like that?
00:06:42.140If you had the president of the United States, the former president of the United States calling, if Donald Trump calls me, Stu, do I have it on speaker?
00:07:23.280Just everything I know about human activity and interaction makes me believe that this was staged, as almost all Kamala Harris communiques are.
00:08:06.100A lot of hype around Kamala right now.
00:08:09.420And this is what you're going to get, right, Glenn, for the next three months?
00:08:12.260What kind of media coverage shall we be expecting over the next three months, would you say, Glenn?
00:08:18.120Well, I would say until she gets the official nod, as the voters have spoken already because they elected delegates, and the delegates were assigned to Joe Biden.
01:37:30.960Our sponsor this half hour is with the International Fellowship of Christians and Jews.
01:37:35.240It's easy to get discouraged when pro-Hamas protesters are defacing national property right outside the Capitol during a visit from the Israeli prime minister.
01:37:44.860It's the kind of thing that maybe makes you a little embarrassed, maybe a little bit, or angry.
01:37:51.800Maybe you want to let Benjamin Netanyahu and the whole state of Israel know, hey, not all of us are raving packs of uneducated criminal morons.
01:38:03.040Most of us are, you know, for the Jews.
01:38:07.760And I don't mean necessarily politically or anything.
01:38:11.060We just think they have a right to exist.
01:38:13.340You know, they start at the small things.
01:40:26.460And she told RuPaul, each day, we're seeing our rights and freedoms under attack, including the right of everybody to be who they are, to love who they love openly and with pride.
01:40:37.060And she said, you know, I'm going to fight back against these attacks.
01:40:43.000Because, you know, I feel this way so much of the time.
01:40:47.480You just can't love who you want to love, you know?
01:44:18.760And that's different than standing in front of a stage of all of the soldiers and saying those same words, even this is, this is your elite, uh, group here.
01:44:38.180I feel like you have a lot of them already, right?
01:44:41.220Like I, aren't you trying to win voters that are somewhat in the middle?
01:44:46.320Like, I mean, even if you wanted to do an interview to your base, you could do it with Rachel Maddow, right?
01:44:50.720You could do it with Lawrence O'Donnell and get an easy interview.
01:44:54.000Why, why would you go to, it's like trying to put all this in the face of voters, which seems like the opposite of what you'd want to do in this situation.
01:45:02.300Cause I'm going to say something very controversial.
01:45:05.040Um, you know, drag queens and, uh, gay people, they're people too.
01:45:35.200Let me tell you about relief factor sleep.
01:45:36.760When you factory in all the time you spend at work and time eating meals and time hanging out with friends and family, everything else you do on a daily basis.
01:47:09.140On the 20 and 21st of September, I'm opening up our Willy Wonka factory called Mercury Studios.
01:47:17.140It's rarely open to the public, but we're going to open it this time.
01:47:21.240We have, uh, something called the American narratives in fine art, uh, show that is happening.
01:47:28.500And this is an art show that I put together and, uh, and tried to assemble the best artists in America.
01:47:38.000And, uh, I'm shocked at the quality of people, uh, that have said yes and are coming.
01:47:45.500It was, it was overwhelming, um, these great artists, uh, painters, sculptors, uh, that went in and we gave them a list of everything in our museum, all of the American history and said, does anything inspire you to paint something about America and tell that story?
01:48:05.220And, uh, uh, they all picked something, some of them picked the same things, which, uh, is going to be interesting to watch.
01:48:12.600And at this art show, you can come and look at the art, uh, and you can see the actual artifacts.
01:48:19.780It's a combination of a museum and, uh, and an art show.
01:49:59.220It's a great opportunity for me to do some things that I don't normally get to paint and,
01:50:02.620and, uh, tell some stories that, uh, I've been wanting to tell for a long time.
01:50:07.300So, you know, it's, it's a great opportunity for me.
01:50:09.980So you took, you, you took three things from the, um, uh, from the museum as inspiration for you.
01:50:18.100And one of them is, uh, the hat of John Wayne.
01:50:21.720Uh, and so you've, you've done, I can try to remember what you called it.
01:50:26.120What, what is the John Wayne painting called?
01:50:28.580Well, the title is called Rooster's Ride.
01:50:31.640And so anybody who's familiar with John Wayne and his movies will know right away, uh, who he's representing here and what, and what this is about.
01:50:50.620You know, that's, that's really off radar for me.
01:50:53.020I've, I've made my career painting a lot of cowboy Western, uh, over the years.
01:50:57.620So, so John Wayne was not too far out of my wheelhouse, you know?
01:51:02.340Uh, but as I walked through your collection, I mean, I was inspired by a lot of things.
01:51:06.520Uh, of course it was, it was really amazing to walk through that, but I think a little bit of nostalgia hit when I came across that vanity with Lucille Ball and, and you had the dress there.
01:51:18.080I took me back to my youth watching reruns of, of her show and, uh, the memories that created.
01:51:24.300And, and as soon as I saw that, I could just visualize her sitting there in front of that vanity in that dress.
01:51:30.320And, and so I just, I thought it'd be fun to try and capture that moment and portray her in that way.
01:51:36.520It's amazing because I've seen pictures of her in front of that vanity that we have not in the dress dressed as Charlie Chaplin.
01:51:43.720And it's really a magical photograph of her, but this, I've never, I've never seen her wear that dress except on the TV show and sitting in the, at the vanity in full color is really, really amazing.
01:51:56.240You're also doing something on Ulysses S and president grant.
01:52:01.460Yes. Yes. I I'm working on those pieces right now.
01:52:04.660Uh, and this has been really interesting for me to learn some things about him that I, that I didn't know, um, beyond just being such a great, uh, military mind and commander and then president.
01:52:16.060And of course, uh, he, he, he was a really gifted horseman.
01:52:21.140And of course I grew up with horses training and, and, uh, showing and, and riding my whole life.
01:52:26.560And so I was really drawn to that, but his life is just full of stories, even from his time as a, as a youth that he, he just did incredible things with horses.
01:52:37.080And, uh, so there's, there's, there's, there's a lot of stories that could be told.
01:52:41.460One of the, one of the paintings that I'm working on right now is when he was in the, uh, military academy at West Point and, and he was, he was kind of the star equestrian there and was, uh, uh, often, uh, the, the troops, people would come just to watch him ride.
01:52:59.000He was always given the horses that couldn't be ridden.
01:53:00.920And, uh, on one, on one of the final formal events, uh, he was highlighted on, on one of the horses there that, that no one else could ride.
01:53:11.100And he did a high jump that, uh, held, held a record for, for decades for the highest jump.
01:53:17.100And, uh, so I'm, I'm going to try and capture that moment in his, in his military where doing the high jump on this horse that was named York.
01:53:25.940And, uh, so that's, that's going to be one of the stories that I portray, but, uh, yeah,
01:53:30.240his life is just full of an incredible story.
01:53:32.420So I'm hoping to do more in the future.
01:53:35.300Well, thank you, Jason, for being a part of this and helping us tell American stories and trying to get, uh, American artists to connect again with our story and, and tell it passionately.
01:54:38.440Anyway, the solution is from leaf, uh, leaf filter from leaf home gutters, leaf filter.
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01:55:55.440We were talking about doing a little mini state of the race here after all of these changes and, and you, you tell me where I'm wrong on this, because I think one of the things people are worried about and thinking about at least is, does Kamala Harris actually have a chance in this race?
01:56:14.700And I think the answer to that is more of a chance than Joe Biden did.
01:56:22.320And that's enough of a reason to, to be rooting this entire time for Biden to stay in the race.
01:56:27.860Because if you have a dynamic in which you are virtually guaranteed a victory and quite possibly a blowout victory, the last thing you want is for any changes to occur in that dynamic.
01:56:41.740So any change from Joe Biden to anyone is probably a bad thing at the end of the day for Donald Trump.
01:57:55.480But still, she is going to get overwhelmingly positive media attention.
01:58:01.620They're going to do everything they can to hide her past.
01:58:04.600We've seen it already that she didn't really support the people burning Minnesota to the ground and trying to get them bailed out of prison.
01:58:24.000We wouldn't complain about the media all the time if it wasn't for the fact that some of their tactics will work if people don't know the truth.
01:58:53.760And after that, I watched the CNN coverage of the debate just to watch them all wallow in what had just happened.
01:58:59.840And eventually, about halfway through, they brought on Kamala Harris as an interview to try to defend Joe Biden.
01:59:05.780And look, there's a massive difference.
01:59:09.160All of her word salad nonsense that we have captured at veepthoughts.com, by the way, over the years, all that stuff is funny and it's bad, but it's nowhere near as bad as what Joe Biden put on the table in that debate or really any other time since.
01:59:24.360Yes, sometimes it's gibberish, but it is.
01:59:28.460These are at least known English words that she spits out.
01:59:32.440So I kind of see this going one of two ways where you have one way is she is seen as sort of a new candidate and gets a clean slate and people start comparing her to what they just had in Joe Biden.
01:59:47.700And she will be able to clear that hurdle, maybe by not a lot.
01:59:52.180I don't think she's that I think she's below replacement level Democrat, but that doesn't mean she can't clear the Joe Biden hurdle.
01:59:59.540She should be able to clear that as far as communication and certainly with age.
02:00:04.620And so if all that stuff happens, what you're looking at is probably a close election.
02:00:08.280The type of election you would have imagined, you know, if if, you know, a Joe Biden was 65 and able to speak some sort of generic Republican versus Democrat type of race.
02:00:22.420And of course, that's going to be close because, as you may have noticed, there's a good percentage of the population that does have Trump derangement syndrome and they will not vote for Trump no matter what.
02:00:33.540So they will not even consider him and that, you know, some people in when Biden was the candidate were bailing on Biden and going to other candidates, whether it's Cornel West or Jill Stein or RFK Jr., whoever it was.
02:00:48.560You know that those people are kind of allowing themselves to come home.
02:00:52.900That's scenario one. Scenario two is the one I would wish would happen was that people would see this as what it was.
02:00:58.720I mean, basically a coup attempt where they overthrew the candidate that won the primary because they thought he was going to lose.
02:01:07.000And people will recognize that Kamala Harris lied to the American people profusely for years about the mental acuity of this president, lied over and over and over again and was a major, if not the major force in the cover up of his mental well-being.
02:01:26.540And now continues to lie for him so that he can remain in office for whatever deal they made for her to get the nomination.
02:01:34.520If people see it that way, and there's some evidence that they do, you could be looking at not only a blowout, but maybe a blowout that's even larger than what would have happened with Biden.
02:01:45.800If there's that feeling that this was a cover up and she should be held responsible.
02:01:49.700There is new polling out on this, by the way. 54% of voters believe there was a cover up of Biden's mental state.
02:01:59.40030% don't believe that. Of the people who do believe it, though, of the 54%, almost every single person thinks Kamala Harris is responsible for it.
02:02:08.420I think it's 92%. So it is a major, major factor.
02:02:14.600It is. It's the type of thing I look at. It was probably a 10% chance that Trump lost when Biden was the nominee.
02:02:22.820Now it might be 40. And I think people might think that's too high.
02:02:27.540But at the end of the day, she is a bad Democrat. She's not good at this.
02:02:34.380You will find all sorts of things that annoy you and she will be terrible.
02:02:38.060But the bar to clear is Joe Biden right now. And if that bar is cleared, you're not excited about it if you're Donald Trump.
02:02:46.860We can look at some of the polling since the Biden dropout and the assassination attempt.
02:02:55.100It all shows Biden and Harris really close. Frankly, most of it does just show it as a close race.
02:03:01.500She seems to be polling slightly better than Biden was.
02:03:04.520But again, Biden, even after the debate, was only behind by three points or so in the national polls.
02:03:11.040That is not necessarily good news for Democrats. Obviously, being behind is bad.
02:03:15.720But also, they probably need to win by about two, two and a half points in the popular vote to actually win the election when it comes to the Electoral College.
02:03:23.860So that'll be something to watch. They can't just be behind by one and be the favorites.
02:03:28.380They will still be the underdogs. It's a fascinating thing to watch.
02:03:32.600We'll need a couple more weeks on the polls to really to really note.
02:03:35.820I will say one thing that's been interesting is RFK Jr.'s support sort of falling apart since Kamala became the nominee.
02:03:42.140Those Democrats kind of bailing on him going back.
02:03:45.260And I've seen two polls now where RFK Jr. is now hurting Trump more than Biden, which is a reversal to months and months and months of polling before that.
02:03:56.100And that could be a factor going forward as well.
02:03:59.540We cover this on State of the Race. It's a podcast series available at Astute Does America, wherever you get your podcast.
02:04:04.620Check that out and we'll have more coming up on Monday.