The Glenn Beck Program - March 25, 2023


Ep 178 | David Sacks: The Banking Crisis Is Even WORSE than You Think | The Glenn Beck Podcast


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per Minute

169.8331

Word Count

11,475

Sentence Count

718

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

8


Summary

Glenn Moser talks to PayPal founder David Sachs about the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, the bailouts, and why he thinks the crisis is bigger than we thought. Glenn Moser is the host of the popular podcast, The All In, and is a regular contributor to Slate, The Huffington Post, and the New York Times.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 We're filming this episode on the heels of the second largest bank failure in American history.
00:00:06.000 If that weren't enough, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank was followed immediately
00:00:10.700 by the kind of rescue mission that only ever happens for the elites.
00:00:15.980 In all the talks of T-bills and derivatives, many people find it hard to tell how this SVB
00:00:23.020 situation will affect every man. After all, SVB donated roughly $73 million to Black Lives Matter.
00:00:33.380 Systemic risk is the phrase that we keep hearing over and over and over again.
00:00:39.280 Systemic is a word that has usually only been used or overused by overeducated leftists who treat BLM
00:00:47.800 like a religion. Today's guest is an expert in all of these areas. Entrepreneur, investor.
00:00:55.560 He co-wrote the diversity myth with Peter Thiel in 1998, and he's a founding CEO of PayPal,
00:01:05.960 original members of the so-called PayPal mafia. Most recently, he has started the All In podcast
00:01:14.580 with three friends, and it has exploded. People are drawn to the gathering place of economics,
00:01:21.060 tech, politics, social issues, and poker. Three friends who don't always disagree, but are still
00:01:27.720 friends, you know, like America used to be. The notoriously leftist rag Slate recently described
00:01:35.060 the podcast as the infuriating, fascinating safe space for Silicon Valley's money men.
00:01:41.980 Today's guest is one of those money men. He's what I would call an elite who is also anti-elitist.
00:01:51.740 He is a big tech entrepreneur with working class ideals, inspired partly by his grandfather's
00:01:58.940 candy factory. Today, welcome David Sachs. Before we get to David, he might be more optimistic
00:02:08.400 on the banks and these bailouts than I am. If you are one of those people who think,
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00:03:15.400 Hey, David. Thanks for coming on. Hey, Glenn. How's it going? Yeah, of course. Good to see you.
00:03:32.240 So it's been, you know, kind of a wild ride here and I don't, I'm not sure if it's over,
00:03:37.020 um, but in a nutshell, um, who's responsible for the mess we find ourselves in and SVB?
00:03:51.020 Well, I think that what we're dealing with here is obviously a banking crisis that goes well beyond
00:03:56.800 SVB. Um, I mean, you now have Credit Suisse, which was the number two bank in Switzerland,
00:04:01.900 uh, which is a, you know, they call it a GCIP, a globally systemically important bank that basically
00:04:07.420 went under and had to be saved. Uh, you've had now four banks in the U S, uh, basically go under or
00:04:16.720 have to be backstopped to the point where they would have gone under if you weren't backstopped.
00:04:20.980 Uh, so clearly something's happening five banks and, you know, under two weeks, there's a larger
00:04:25.320 phenomenon here. And I think it's pretty simple. I think that we've had the fastest rate tightening
00:04:31.520 cycle ever, uh, or at least in our lifetimes where the fed has jacked up interest rates from almost
00:04:39.020 nothing to almost 5%. And they did it in less than a year. They did in like nine or 10 months.
00:04:44.680 And so that's created a tremendous whipsaw effect where, you know, the value of assets that depend
00:04:52.640 on interest rates, which is pretty much all of them, right? They, they immediately have a massive
00:04:58.800 change in value. So what you're seeing is that on the balance sheet of these banks, all of these
00:05:03.460 assets that they thought were safe, like mortgage bonds, like treasuries, you know, 10 year bonds,
00:05:09.340 these weren't supposed to be risky assets, right? You know, these aren't the, uh, these aren't the
00:05:14.860 derivatives of 2008. These are, this is sort of the supposed to be the safe money, but you're seeing
00:05:19.600 that they've been massively impaired in value because of the sudden spike in interest rates.
00:05:24.640 And then on the other side of the, the balance sheet with deposits, uh, there's been a huge
00:05:29.260 sort of tightening of the money supply. So depositors are leaving for a bunch of different
00:05:34.540 reasons. Sometimes they just want to get a higher rate of return in a money market fund.
00:05:37.920 Other times they're just drawing down capital. Sometimes they're fleeing to go to a bank that
00:05:42.720 they perceive as safer, right? You know, one of the, the G SIPs, we should talk about that,
00:05:46.960 but it's creating this tremendous stress on the banking system. And, um, I mean, that's basically
00:05:52.940 what's happening. I think SVB was sort of the canary in the coal mine. It was a more extreme
00:05:56.360 example of this effect, but you're seeing it now play out really across the banking system.
00:06:01.460 You know, I keep hearing, uh, well, it was a canary in the coal mine. I think all the canaries
00:06:05.120 are dead. Uh, we may not have many canaries left. Yeah. I mean, I, you know, I kind of sound,
00:06:11.740 feel like I'm standing in the mine shaft going guys, all the birds are dead. Uh, because it,
00:06:17.740 it, uh, what we did in 2008, um, you know, we violated the free market entirely. And then we
00:06:28.780 just started printing this money. And I think on it, you know, I think people, I'll give them the
00:06:33.880 benefit of the doubt. They honestly thought this would work. They didn't know they were backed up
00:06:38.540 into a corner. And so they did this. Well, that has never worked. And I think they thought they were
00:06:45.480 smarter than, you know, those who have done this in the past. And aren't we now just,
00:06:51.560 just rearranging the chairs on the Titanic? I mean, we might be slowing it down. Maybe we've
00:06:57.320 pulled back a couple of knots so we don't hit the iceberg, uh, you know, as fast, but aren't,
00:07:03.620 aren't we going to hit the iceberg? I, I think the situation is pretty scary because, um,
00:07:10.840 on the one hand, we still have pretty significant inflation, or at least that's what the
00:07:14.820 reports are showing. Uh, there's an argument. I think that there might be significant latency
00:07:20.000 in those reports, but, um, but on the one hand, you've got this inflation that the fed feels like
00:07:25.200 it needs to combat, uh, with, with even higher interest rates. On the other hand, you have, uh,
00:07:31.380 this tremendous stress that's building in the banking system. And, uh, I think these two things
00:07:36.200 are fundamentally irreconcilable. I mean, it's sort of the Scylla and Charybdis of our, uh, of our
00:07:42.120 financial situation here. If you want to keep raising rates to combat inflation, you're going
00:07:47.940 to keep, you know, turning up the heat on the banks until more of them crack. On the other hand,
00:07:54.280 if you want to stop raising rates or cut rates to save the banking system, then, you know, you could
00:08:00.780 have an inflation problem. So this is the real inflation problem. You have Biden saying $6.8 trillion
00:08:08.500 in spending for his budget. That's insanity. You can't, we can't keep doing this.
00:08:15.740 And that's the thing. I mean, you, you see now how utterly irresponsible it has been. And I know
00:08:22.720 that the spending and the money printing started before Biden, but he took it to another level,
00:08:27.860 just a whole nother level. And, um, you know, because the guy has been in Washington for 50 years.
00:08:33.060 So his, his view of a win, what a win looks like to him is you pass a big spending bill,
00:08:39.380 the bigger, the better, you know, the more trillions that you spend, the bigger the win.
00:08:44.200 And remember, I think this whole, this phase of the crisis, you're right that it goes back to 2008,
00:08:49.480 but I think this phase of the crisis really began in Q1 of 2021, when they passed that $2 trillion
00:08:57.960 COVID relief bill for a COVID problem that had winded down, you know, this was the so-called
00:09:03.680 American rescue plan. The economy was already hot. It was, it had already recovered. We didn't need
00:09:08.920 more stimulus. And that's why Larry Summers said, you know, an economist in their own party was like,
00:09:13.900 guys, like you're risking inflation. And they kind of poo-pooed him and said, oh, that's just Larry
00:09:18.300 being Larry. He's just sort of like a mischievous troublemaker or something. Well, sure enough,
00:09:23.160 four months later, the inflation came. We had that shock 5.1% inflation print, I think it was
00:09:28.900 in May of 2021. And what was the reaction? Oh, this is transitory. Don't worry about it. This is
00:09:34.960 nothing. This is a blip. And what that allowed them to do was keep spending and keep money printing.
00:09:40.580 So the Fed kept QE going for another six months and the administration kept spending trillions and
00:09:46.740 trillions more. Remember they wanted even more than they got, three and a half trillion build back
00:09:51.160 better. I mean, they just couldn't stop spending. And that's why they needed inflation to be
00:09:55.640 transitory so they could keep going with their program. But it wasn't transitory. And so we
00:10:01.900 basically had this bubble of 2021, this massive frothy bubble that inflated asset prices, that inflated
00:10:11.240 bank deposits. And then finally, at the end of the year in November of 21, the Fed finally turned
00:10:17.920 hawkish. By the way, it happened about two weeks after Powell was reconfirmed as Fed chair. He's the
00:10:24.740 only Trump official who has kept around for Biden's term. And you have to wonder how much pressure
00:10:30.640 he was under during that May to November period to tow the party line on transitory.
00:10:37.400 You know, because I think the second that he was reconfirmed, he basically said he turned hawkish. So,
00:10:42.420 you know, I think there's like politics all over this thing. So, Glenn, you know, people think the
00:10:47.020 Fed is independent. I don't know how independent it really is. It's not. And I think, I don't know who
00:10:53.020 leads who on that one. I think I do. But, you know, when you, when you look at inflation,
00:11:00.120 David, I mean, I am, I'm not you, but I'm not a dummy either. We have printed more money.
00:11:09.780 And the Fed has, I mean, at least what they're telling us is about eight trillion dollars on their
00:11:17.800 books. We have printed money like we're going out of style. I'm shocked that inflation is this low.
00:11:27.500 How high, what is it going to take to suck the money back in? I don't think you could do it without
00:11:34.640 collapsing everything and, and how bad can inflation get with all of the money that we currently have
00:11:41.240 spent? Well, Glenn, I think you're right. And I'm not like one of these so-called banking experts
00:11:48.620 either, or one of these modern monetary theory experts, but they're the ones. Wait, wait, wait,
00:11:54.020 wait, wait, wait. You got to stop. You don't believe in modern money because I mean, that's like a
00:11:59.060 fairy tale, a Dr. Seuss modern. Yes, it is. Yeah, good.
00:12:02.220 I'm saying that that's what the experts believe, right? They have all these fancy theories to
00:12:07.480 justify this ridiculous money printing, but you know, it takes a more simple intelligence to
00:12:14.960 understand that, Hey, you just can't keep printing all this money. You can't keep going into all this
00:12:21.200 debt. At some point you got to pay it back and you either pay back the money by, you know, with sort
00:12:28.040 of paying back with hard assets or you print money to pay it back. And if you print money,
00:12:32.300 you can get, you get inflation or even a hyperinflation. So I look, I think you've been
00:12:37.360 right about this. And, um, you know, it's just like we saw with COVID all these so-called experts
00:12:42.500 don't have a clue. So that's one of the problems I, you know, uh, here in America, they keep saying,
00:12:47.840 Oh, it's the Trump voter that is so dangerous and out of the street, whatever. And then you look over
00:12:53.340 in Holland, it's happening. You see it in France, you're seeing it in England. This is not about
00:12:59.200 parties. In reality, this is about elites and regular people that I really think, and I want
00:13:08.300 to bring this back to Silicon Valley. I think regular people are like, I've played by the rules
00:13:13.360 my whole life. And it is getting tougher and tougher for me to live up to all of these rules,
00:13:19.180 whether they're just the woke rules that could destroy me or all the federal government rules.
00:13:24.800 I've paid my taxes. I've worked hard. I've played by the rules. And you guys just seem to get richer
00:13:31.820 and richer in the banking community and in politics. And you're destroying my life.
00:13:38.940 How, how do we, how are we going to navigate through that?
00:13:43.080 Well, I think we need, there's always going to be, I think in any society, some sort of elite
00:13:50.560 class, but you want that elite to be based on meritocracy. You want them to know what they're
00:13:54.480 doing. You want them to be held accountable if they fail. And I think the problem we have
00:13:59.340 in this country is we have all these experts who are never held accountable for doing such a bad job
00:14:04.160 on foreign policy, on the economy, on COVID, on everything. And, you know, and it's, and it's,
00:14:11.180 and I think it's because of the media, you know, the media has become their bodyguard,
00:14:15.680 their protector instead of holding them accountable, which was their traditional
00:14:18.540 responsibility. I will tell you, I said on the day the bank failed SVB and the president came out
00:14:26.680 and said, no, don't worry. Everything's great. I said, how many of these so-called experts are we
00:14:32.160 going to listen to? The experts told us we're going to be fine in Afghanistan. The experts said we could
00:14:38.080 collapse Russia in, you know, in no time. The experts said they could print money and it wouldn't
00:14:45.140 be a problem. And then the experts told us there was no inflation. Everything that has happened in
00:14:51.120 the last 15 years with these so-called experts, look at COVID, look at Fauci. And with no one paying
00:14:59.480 the price ever, I think the time of experts is coming to a close. And, you know, I said this years
00:15:08.940 ago, you don't want the pendulum. We're, we're really good when we're kind of in the middle.
00:15:14.420 You don't want it swinging way to the right, way to the left. And when that happens and there's a
00:15:19.620 crisis, whichever way it's swinging really far, that side grabs it and says, it's not swinging anymore.
00:15:28.000 And we're kind of entering those days where the regular person is going to wake up at some point
00:15:36.800 and say, my life is being destroyed and they're going to want some heads. And I'm not, I mean,
00:15:43.940 I am so against, you know, all of these, the violence in the streets and everything else.
00:15:48.940 I'm not talking about that. I'm talking about how do we navigate? Can we wake anybody up in the elite
00:15:55.060 class to recognize what's happening to people? I think it's scary out there, the anger.
00:16:02.580 You know, I understand the anger and I think it's in many cases justified, but I'm, I'm worried that
00:16:08.500 it's, it's getting out of control and it's, it's not, it's going to lead us to a bad outcome. It's
00:16:13.460 certainly not going to lead to good policy, but, but I agree with you. I mean, there's been a profound
00:16:17.760 failure of the expert class. It's not just Glenn that they've missed problems. It's that they've
00:16:23.620 actually caused the problem. Yes. So you, you know, and then lied about the problem and then lied
00:16:28.420 about it. Exactly. So Fauci's job was to protect us from viruses. What does he do? He funds gain
00:16:33.600 of function research, right? You know, Victoria Newland, what's her job diplomacy? What does she
00:16:38.740 actually do? Fement conflict with Russia, right? You know, the, the, these economists who are supposed
00:16:44.860 to give us sound money, what do they do? They print so much money that we're in the economic
00:16:48.780 crisis that we're in. So it's just like unbelievable that they're literally doing the opposite of what
00:16:55.140 they're supposed to be doing. I mean, just literally the opposite. And, um, it should be easy to replace
00:17:01.940 them because it's so obvious that they're failing, but you can't, or it seems like you can't, because
00:17:06.780 again, we can't get honest media coverage of, of the situation. So it's a, it's a really bad
00:17:13.040 spot for the country to be. And I can see the anger just kind of rising up because I felt it,
00:17:18.000 you know, I was accused of being one of these Silicon Valley elites, um, you know, and kind of,
00:17:23.020 um, you know, even though I've spoken out on all these issues and, um, it's, it's scary just how
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00:18:56.060 pre-born.com slash Glenn. Let's go to Silicon Valley and what is being called a bailout, but it is not
00:19:09.760 the bailout that we saw in 2008. But because of the way the Treasury and FDIC did it, I can't imagine
00:19:19.800 this is going to make anything better because they have bailed this bank out as far as all the
00:19:26.960 depositors, including the people who had $400 million in the bank. And I don't want to see anybody
00:19:33.920 go under, but if you're going to do that, now you're on the hook for everyone. But instead they
00:19:40.900 say, no, it'll just be the critical banks. Well, we'll end up with four banks, David.
00:19:45.340 Right. No, I think that's right. I mean, I think this is a perverse consequence of what happened
00:19:51.420 in 2008 is that I think this is something people just need to understand is that in 2008, I think
00:19:56.560 everyone knows about too big to fail, that these banks were considered too big and that therefore
00:20:00.280 the government had to step in and prevent them from failing. What they may not know is that that
00:20:04.060 status was effectively canonized and enshrined in law. They don't call it too big to fail. They call
00:20:08.900 it systemically important bank or SIP. Right. There's even, so there's four of these in the
00:20:13.580 U S or the trillion dollar club. They've got over a trillion dollars of assets. It's a JP Morgan,
00:20:18.940 Chase, Wells Fargo, um, city. And, um, who am I forgetting? Uh, it's not Goldman. It's, um,
00:20:29.060 Wells, uh, anyway, I'm spacing on the name of the country. Yeah. B of a, sorry. Yeah, that's right.
00:20:33.500 B of a. So these guys are in the trillion dollar club. They're, they're basically too big to fail.
00:20:38.400 And all the other regional banks are not systemically important. And so I think what you
00:20:44.000 start to see last week is that people is that the deposits started flowing massively to the SIPs
00:20:50.940 because people started to wonder whether their money was safe in these regional banks. And, uh,
00:20:56.580 and actually you can see just today, JP Morgan, Chase announced their new, uh, deposit interest rate
00:21:02.380 is 0.01%. So basically they've slashed their interest rate to almost nothing, basically to
00:21:09.620 zero because so many people are worried that their money won't be safe except in these SIPs. So there's
00:21:16.440 huge money flows happening right now to these systemically important banks. So, which people
00:21:22.760 don't understand those, the local and regional 70% of all of our business loans, it all goes
00:21:32.200 through the smaller banks. I mean, you collapse those small regional banks and the small, um,
00:21:38.140 local banks and the economy goes to hell. I mean, it business is done. Yeah, exactly. And I, you know,
00:21:47.320 another thing that people may not know is just roughly half the deposits in the U S banking system
00:21:51.560 are uninsured. You know, this is not, I mean, there, there's always examples you can cherry pick of
00:21:56.500 someone, some company or some wealthy individual being stupid, but this is really about business
00:22:01.760 banking in this country. $250,000 is the FDIC limit just isn't enough for, for most businesses.
00:22:07.980 They have to run payroll or do payables at the end of the month, but it's never been, so that's why,
00:22:13.080 but it's never been a problem because our banks were stable. Now that the banks aren't stable now
00:22:19.500 as a businessman, you're like, I can't put that money in the bank like that.
00:22:22.660 Right. Exactly. And there's a fundamental mismatch in, I mean, this is where I think the banking
00:22:28.540 system is so crazy is that what the consumer and I'm including small businesses in that think
00:22:34.300 they're getting is so different than what the bank thinks it's getting. So when a consumer or small
00:22:40.800 business goes to a bank and puts their money there, they think they're just getting a checking account.
00:22:45.720 They think they're getting the ability to write checks, to do payables, to do run payroll,
00:22:50.820 get an ATM card. And, and, and it's a safe place to keep their money. What the bank thinks it's
00:22:55.820 getting is a loan. Right. Right. On their balance sheet, it's treated like a loan and then they can
00:23:01.760 take that loan and invest it and they get to keep the upside on that money. I mean, so that's just like
00:23:09.020 a fundamental mismatch and it's, and this is what leads to problems is that when those banks
00:23:14.060 invest in things that are too risky because they get to keep the upside, then all of a sudden the
00:23:19.320 depositor gets a loss and then the depositor is like, wait a second, I thought my money was safe
00:23:24.040 in the bank. And this is where I actually think that we do need like regulations. Can I, can I ask
00:23:30.700 you to solve that? I, I mean, again, I know nothing about the banking system. Just looking at it as
00:23:38.040 somebody who hasn't, you know, gone through business school and, you know, and had the
00:23:43.800 indoctrination of we're fine. The system is great and it'll never break. Why don't we just make sure
00:23:50.860 that banks can't go out and, uh, and invest in, uh, you know, stocks and, and the, and, and play the
00:24:01.220 games that they're playing. Why, why can't we have those investments in a separate investment bank
00:24:08.040 and then a bank bank? Why can't we separate those two? I know that that would make sense to me is,
00:24:14.860 um, is that when you, that you should just be able to go get an account. That's your, as a consumer
00:24:21.120 small business, that's just kind of your payments account. And you, you want the functionality in
00:24:25.240 other words, right? And, and look, you'll, you'll take a little bit of interest on that, but your,
00:24:28.680 your objective is not interest maximizing. It's just getting the functionality. Um, you should
00:24:34.680 be able to get that, you know? Um, but it's just, we have a weird system. I mean, this is kind of the
00:24:39.860 way the banking system works. I think that what you have to do is I think ultimately the quid pro quo
00:24:45.660 here is going to be that we create some sort of like business plus FDIC, meaning some much higher
00:24:53.320 level of FDIC that makes it acceptable for businesses to use banks. And then the quid pro
00:25:01.740 quote for that is the banks just can't do anything risky with that money or you're going to have to
00:25:05.820 be much more tightly constrained. So now I don't know all the details of how that's going to get
00:25:10.200 worked out, but I think that's kind of where we're, we're headed on this thing.
00:25:13.980 So, um, SB, SVB didn't do anything risky. I mean, they, they put it in treasuries,
00:25:20.700 but they were 10 year treasuries. How does this bank that got an A plus rating from everybody
00:25:28.580 and had a member of the fed on their board make that kind of mistake?
00:25:36.840 I mean, the only thing I can think of is that they thought inflation would be transitory,
00:25:45.860 that they actually believed Biden, Yellen and Powell. I think that was a really stupid mistake,
00:25:50.440 but that, that was the, yeah, they were the one idiots who believed that other than, or they were
00:25:55.060 just completely asleep at the wheel. Clearly they did a horrible job with risk management,
00:25:58.500 but just so everyone understands like what happened there. So they bought, so in the two years,
00:26:04.420 the last couple of years during COVID, when there was all this money printing, their deposits swelled,
00:26:09.740 it's something like tripled from, from something like 60 billion to 180 billion. And then they put
00:26:16.260 something like 80 billion in these, um, in, in 10 year mortgage bonds, which are supposed to be safe.
00:26:23.360 You know, they were playing like 1.6%. They thought they were doing something safe. And the fed at that
00:26:29.580 time was, you know, they do these dot plot projections and the fed was saying that,
00:26:34.300 yeah, we don't plan on raising interest rates anytime soon. So now that's no excuse. I mean,
00:26:39.700 they should have been like more aware of what was going on and they should have hedged the interest
00:26:44.700 rate risks when the environment started to turn. But basically what happened is that they committed
00:26:51.060 themselves to these 10 year mortgage bonds, whose value went way down as interest rates spiked. And then
00:26:58.220 the other thing that precipitated is they just have a more volatile depositor base, right? Catering to
00:27:04.340 startups. So, you know, they're, they're on pressure on both sides of their balance sheet and they just
00:27:09.440 mismanaged the whole thing, but sort of the feds. I mean, you know, the feds knew there was a problem
00:27:13.680 here going back to the end of 2022, you know, the Monday, like literally three days before, um,
00:27:21.740 three or four days for SVB got put in receivership, the head of the FDIC testified that banks were
00:27:28.520 sitting on $620 billion of unrealized losses from these types of long dated bonds, right? As of the
00:27:35.500 end of 2022. So they've had that information for months now. Well, what have they been doing about
00:27:41.160 it? I mean, they should have been proactively going to these banks and try to work out these
00:27:45.060 situations before, you know, they're, they're, they're, they're put in receivership. And historically,
00:27:51.080 that's what they've done by the way is, you know, when a bank gets in trouble, they'll close it down
00:27:56.000 over a weekend and they'll put it in the hands of some other bank and it opens under a new brand name
00:28:01.700 on Monday and it tells everyone their deposits are safe. But for some reason they just didn't step in
00:28:06.660 here. Um, so I think, you know, there was a lot of sleeping at the wheel, but look, I don't want to
00:28:11.840 take, um, blame away from SVB's management because they clearly did a really bad job too. I mean,
00:28:17.760 they spooked everybody on, it was on Wednesday after the market closed. This is the, you know,
00:28:23.640 the two days before it went into official receivership, they put out a, um, an 8k statement
00:28:29.560 basically saying that like, oopsie daisy, we, uh, we had to sell all of our available for sale
00:28:37.720 securities over 20 billion of securities. We just had to liquidate them. Okay. And we're going to need
00:28:45.020 to raise billions of dollars of equity. And we're going to have to recognize a huge loss on our
00:28:51.260 long dated bonds that was previously unrealized on our balance sheet. Well, what do you think
00:28:56.080 happened right that night after the market closed? Her stock was down 30% and the articles were all
00:29:03.100 over the press by Thursday morning. The bank was in distress. So people have all these wild conspiracy
00:29:08.460 theories about why there was, you know, a run on the bank. People just read the news. The media caused
00:29:13.360 the rock. Well, I mean, I can't blame the media because they were just doing their jobs reporting
00:29:17.660 what SVB had put out there. So let me ask you, cause, um, you might remember when the fed had the
00:29:25.160 discount window, the discount window was kind of a shameful place to go. You as a bank didn't want
00:29:30.940 to go to the discount window because the other banks would know you're in trouble. Is that right?
00:29:36.360 I mean, you had kind of a internal warning system before that seemed to always work for a long time.
00:29:44.880 And now there's just, there's this, you know, billions and billions of dollars being given to
00:29:51.580 banks all the time for extended periods of time. That's new. Yeah. I mean, the thing we don't know,
00:30:00.200 Glenn, I think is what were the conversations taking place behind the scenes, uh, between SVB's
00:30:05.900 management and, and the feds, uh, you know, when did they, I mean, they must have, I would assume
00:30:11.520 go to the fed, go to the FDIC, go to the banking regulators and tell them, Hey, we have a problem
00:30:18.580 here. I'm, I don't know. I'm curious when that happened and I'm curious what the reaction
00:30:22.880 of those regulators was. Um, I don't think we have that information yet.
00:30:28.300 So credit suisse goes down and I called a friend of mine and I said, and Deutsche Bank stands?
00:30:35.900 I mean, isn't Deutsche Bank always in trouble or do we, do we have other banks that size that are
00:30:44.460 in trouble? Do you think?
00:30:48.140 Well, you know, what I would say is the, the, the reliable way to figure out which banks are
00:30:55.480 having problems is you just follow the stock market. So even before the media seems to report
00:31:01.820 on problems at a bank, uh, the short sellers seem to, you know, get ahold of it and you see the
00:31:07.680 stock prices going down. Like I said, soon as SVB put out that 8k, their stock was down 30%. And I
00:31:14.240 think by noon, the next day it was down 60%. So just follow the stock market is kind of like telling you
00:31:19.900 where to look, um, because those guys are really doing their homework. So look, I don't know. I don't
00:31:25.500 want to say any particular bank is in trouble. And here, here's the other thing is just when you're
00:31:31.340 talking about systemically important banks, the government's already said, it's not going to let
00:31:35.020 them fail. Right. So it's, it's kind of more like how much trouble is the system in? Yeah. How much
00:31:42.220 trouble is the government in? So, because if these banks have, have, have problems, it's not going to
00:31:47.860 be on those banks at the end of the day. It's going to be on, on the taxpayer.
00:31:50.180 So can I just take you to a dark place here for just a second war game, something for me? Um,
00:31:55.780 sure. You know, we are, we could have a, a serious banking collapse, which would lead to
00:32:01.980 financial collapse all over the world. Um, in the Western world, at least, um, we have war
00:32:07.900 on the horizon. None of these things have to happen, but, but if they do, then the federal
00:32:16.220 government comes in, bails, these banks and depositors out with money they don't have. So
00:32:21.900 they're just printing the money. Um, if it has that kind of collapse, businesses go down, you lose
00:32:29.760 jobs, then the supply chain would also, you know, you can't keep people working. So the supply chain
00:32:35.780 goes down, which drives interest rates through the roof. And with this much money pouring everywhere,
00:32:42.280 um, you got a real problem. The, it seems to me that the, uh, central bank digital currency or digital
00:32:56.020 coin is the end game here in a reset. Does that make sense to you at all? If we would hit this kind
00:33:04.660 of a problem? Well, it's hard to say. I mean, I, um, here's what I'd say, Glenn is that you've been
00:33:13.780 ahead of the curve on so many things. The first time I ever heard the word ESG was from you.
00:33:18.920 Oh my God. I didn't know. Yeah. I didn't know what that was until I learned from you. So you've
00:33:23.960 been ahead of the curve in a lot of these things. And, um, I hope it doesn't go that way, obviously.
00:33:28.700 Um, you know, I, right now it, it looks to me like the government sees crypto as a threat
00:33:35.600 because it's kind of like an alternative, uh, right. But the, it's kind of like an all the,
00:33:40.760 the UCC is being updated in, you know, all 50 States now. And it defines money as a, uh, central bank
00:33:50.340 digital currency. Um, and that's a, a little terrifying because the central bank would have
00:33:59.280 complete control over your money. It's not like Bitcoin, which I can put on a thumb drive and take
00:34:05.540 out and go screw you. Um, it's, I don't, I don't have my money. It's, it's legally would be defined as
00:34:13.340 their money if it's in the bank. Um, and, uh, uh, that, that's the problem. That's the other half
00:34:21.260 of the modern monetary theory that nobody wants to talk about control. Yeah. I mean, yeah. And so
00:34:27.160 I think they're doing this in China with, they've got the digital you on. And, um, so I think that,
00:34:33.820 look, this is definitely one potential dystopian future. Um, you know, it's, um, it's, it's hard for
00:34:40.880 me to assess, uh, where, where, where this all leads. Um, I, I, you know, I'm, I'm just kind of
00:34:47.120 more in the immediate term. I'm just more concerned about this leading to, you know, a recession.
00:34:53.720 Uh, that's usually the result when you have a massive contraction of the money supply and of
00:34:59.540 credit, usually the result is, is a recession. I mean, when I talked to my friends in the real
00:35:04.500 estate industry, I mean, the things they're telling me are, are just scary because, you know,
00:35:09.960 I've got, well, so I got a friend who just redeveloped a building and he's got a A plus
00:35:17.200 tenant and he can't get his construction loan refinanced with long-term debt. He just can't
00:35:23.380 do it. He's willing to pay the prevailing interest rates. He can't find a bank that's willing to
00:35:27.640 loan right now. Um, I mean that, that's scary, right? And the reason, and the reason why is just
00:35:34.520 because if you're a bank and you're seeing all this instability and you're worried about
00:35:39.580 deposits flowing out for any reason, you're just like, we got to hold onto our cash here.
00:35:45.040 We can't be putting it in a 10 year, you know, loan. And so like, that's just one example. I think
00:35:51.460 there's also the issue, you know, cause I'm, I'm here in San Francisco, we got over 30% vacancy
00:35:57.260 in these office towers and these office towers everywhere. Yeah, exactly. And so, and those
00:36:04.960 office towers, you know, are ultimately owned by the bank. I mean, yeah, the real estate developer
00:36:09.580 owns maybe a third of the capital stack in equity, but the bank up two thirds of the money. Well,
00:36:15.700 how's that going to work there? You have all this, all these loans that were supposed to be
00:36:20.820 a plus loans because these office buildings were supposed to be the best form of collateral there was.
00:36:25.780 And now you have to wonder how impaired those loans are. And, and so we haven't even gotten to the
00:36:31.780 loan portfolio of, of these banks, right? All we are looking at are the losses on the liquid
00:36:38.120 securities part of the portfolio, the safe part, the T bills and the mortgage bond. What happens when
00:36:44.120 you get to the, to the loan portfolio? Now, look, I don't think all banks are in the same boat,
00:36:49.460 but, um, but I, I do kind of, I do kind of worry that this whole commercial real estate thing
00:36:54.340 is going to be the next shoe to drop here. And, um, this is, it's, it's just kind of scary. Um,
00:37:01.960 I mean, obviously I hope they get a handle on it. Um, and I, I do think that the fed now is in a,
00:37:07.840 in a terrible spot because on the one hand, my view is you got to protect depositors. I just don't
00:37:14.160 think they thought when they put their money in the bank, they were making a risky investment
00:37:19.060 decision. I just think, I think if you tell depositors, sorry, you got to take it on the
00:37:24.260 chin because the fed didn't do its job. The fine printed too much money. You'll have chaos in this
00:37:30.620 country. On the other hand, and nobody, you said it earlier, nobody looks at putting my money in the
00:37:36.000 bank as an investment. I'm not putting it into it. You're holding it for me. Totally. Totally.
00:37:42.880 But on the other hand, if you do protect the depositors, we don't know how big a tab that's
00:37:46.620 going to be. Correct. Um, and how much money we're going to have to print to do that. So this
00:37:51.040 is the terrible, they're, they're on the horns of this, this terrible dilemma, but I'll tell you,
00:37:55.140 I don't, I don't, I don't fully like the way that Republicans are, are handling this issue. Um,
00:38:01.180 because I think the right position here politically, morally, regulatorily is to say that no bailouts
00:38:10.280 for banks. If bank management does a bad job, they're wiped out. Their stock options are
00:38:16.420 worthless. They might, we might even claw back these big bonuses they took. Uh, the stockholders
00:38:21.860 are wiped out. The bondholders are wiped out. They're all done. However, you got to protect
00:38:26.460 depositors. I just don't know how you don't protect depositors. And I'm hearing this like
00:38:30.760 Darwinian view, um, from the side that I'm usually aligned with that, well, depositors should have
00:38:38.300 known better. Like, you know, they were just stupid. Well, you know, or I had money in Silicon
00:38:43.880 Valley bank. I mean, it's a safe bait, a bank to do business with. So, I mean, you know, I guess
00:38:50.580 I should have known better. Well, I didn't, it's a safe bank. How are you going to know better when
00:38:56.040 Moody's didn't know better? Exactly. Right. How are you going to know better when the fed didn't know
00:38:59.900 better? I mean, I, I, I would separate the average person in, and me, even you from the fed
00:39:08.500 and Moody's that's their job. Okay. They should have known that's their job, but I shouldn't have
00:39:16.540 known unless they said, I'm not, I'm not watching the bank and, and, and have access to all of the
00:39:23.140 information that they have. Totally. I mean, what your average consumer or small business is supposed
00:39:29.620 to evaluate the balance sheet of a bank and try to figure out whether they got toxic assets or not
00:39:34.960 when they open a checking account so they can make payroll. I mean, it's not realistic, by the
00:39:39.480 way, that's the system we had a hundred years ago. It led to panics all the time. That's why they
00:39:44.220 created FDIC. We've, we've, we've seen this movie before, like Jimmy Stewart's in it. Um, it's, it's,
00:39:50.840 it's not a movie we want to go back to. The problem is that FDIC is not big enough for business
00:39:55.880 banking. And like I said, half the deposits in the banks are not insured because businesses need more.
00:40:03.380 So I think where we're going to end up here is that there needs to be a business plus level of FDIC
00:40:10.760 in exchange for which these banks just can't take risky investments because we don't want the
00:40:16.880 government to be on the hook if they screw up. Right. I want to talk to you about the hundreds
00:40:22.160 and hundreds of people that I have personally met that say, I couldn't take my pain anymore.
00:40:27.440 Uh, one of, one of our listeners, um, was, I believe on fentanyl, uh, her pain was so bad and
00:40:37.060 her husband cried and talked to me and said, she was just slipping away. She was, I didn't really
00:40:43.640 even recognize her anymore. She started taking relief factor and she was up walking around.
00:40:50.740 She was in my office. It's amazing. Now it doesn't happen for everybody. 70% of the people
00:40:56.700 who take relief factor, find relief and they go on ordering a month after month. So I want you to
00:41:02.820 call relief factor now and see if you're one of that 70% where you'll find relief 800 for relief,
00:41:09.180 800 for relief, get the 1995 three week quick start. That's relieffactor.com.
00:41:15.960 So, you know, there's the part of the problem that I see, uh, I, I think I said this in 2010 or 12
00:41:27.080 because I'm, I'm a amateur futurist. I love, uh, you know, the future of what's coming with AI and
00:41:34.840 everything else. It's terrifying and thrilling at the same time. And it'll be up to us to see which
00:41:41.320 way it goes. I think it might be up to AI, but, um, you know, the, the, the problem here is that we
00:41:48.440 have the entire industrial revolution took over a hundred years. This revolution that we're going
00:41:57.400 into now, this, everything from our governments to our banking, to our individual jobs, all of it
00:42:07.100 is changing because of the internet and technology. It's all changing and it's changing now in about a
00:42:17.720 10 year period in 10 years from two, from 2020 to 2030, you will not be the same country. And it's not
00:42:26.380 because of political decisions or anything else. It's because of technology. And I think we're just
00:42:32.240 going through the industrial revolution 10 times faster. Yeah, I think, I think you're right. And
00:42:40.660 that's another dilemma here because on the one hand, the, the change is incredibly disruptive and
00:42:47.800 scary. On the other hand, the only way we're going to get out of this debt or have a hope of getting out
00:42:54.420 of this debt without money printing or a hyperinflation is productivity. That's the only other alternative
00:43:00.600 to money printing is productivity. Well, you, so you're training the people in America to not be
00:43:06.020 productive. I mean, that's what the government's. Well, it's the hope would be with these AI tools
00:43:13.020 is that you can power up your, you know, your average employee through the use of these tools to
00:43:19.600 be much more productive. Right. And that it could unleash an economic boom. I also understand the argument
00:43:25.500 that maybe it puts people out of work. So, but you know, we're seeing, I mean, this is really year
00:43:31.420 one of this sort of commercial, let's call it the commercialization of AI and the, the demo,
00:43:38.000 the product demos that I'm seeing are really incredible what it can do. I mean, you can go
00:43:42.980 into these tools. Let's say you're a marketer and you just want to write a blog post, you know,
00:43:48.200 for your company, you just go in there and type in the headline in the first paragraph and it'll spit
00:43:52.500 out the rest for you as a first draft easy. And actually you can say, give me five alternatives
00:43:56.900 and then you pick the one you like best. And then you can just say, give me five more like this and
00:44:00.820 you do human evolution on it. So in any event, there's like a, or like coders right now, there's
00:44:06.140 this, um, this called a co-pilot where if you're a coder, you just described, you just talk to the AI
00:44:13.840 because it understands natural language. Say here, here's what I'm trying to do. Give me the code
00:44:17.160 and code that would have taken weeks to write. You'll just spit out in a minute and you can kind
00:44:24.640 of go from there. Now I think again, the optimistic scenario here is this doesn't put coders out of
00:44:29.500 business. It makes them much more productive. And so if we can get a productivity boom out of this
00:44:37.040 technology, that could be the way out of our current mess. The problem is though, again, in other
00:44:44.620 revolutions that we've had, you've had time to adapt. This is just going to make some people
00:44:51.120 more productive and also destroy, uh, other jobs and you have to retrain and rebalance and it's going
00:44:58.400 to happen so incredibly fast. Here's the, here's been my biggest problem. And I talked to Ray Kurzweil
00:45:05.160 about it. I I've, I've, I've talked to, um, uh, several people that are, um, into AI. No one is seemingly
00:45:14.400 seriously asking the philosophical questions that we have to decide right now. What is life?
00:45:24.820 It, you already, you could convince people with chat GPT today. You could get people to go,
00:45:33.040 you know what? It's alive. Well, then what happens if that's actually life? So we have to decide some
00:45:41.060 of these things. We have to decide it when we can download a person's thinking is that life? Or if
00:45:50.920 they've got cancer or something that's really expensive, can we just off them? Because they'll
00:45:56.080 always be here. There is no death because we've downloaded them. We're not, we're not asking, uh,
00:46:03.000 the questions on work. Does it, does, does that mean anything to the psyche of man? And you've got,
00:46:13.360 um, Yuval Arari who is, and the W E F talking about a lot of useless people and what are we going to do
00:46:22.680 with them? And his answer seems to be drug and entertain. That's not good. No, that's not good.
00:46:32.120 That's not good. I, uh, that's not good. Um, yeah, I mean, now I'll tell you one thing that's
00:46:38.740 interesting about whose jobs are getting disrupted is that it's actually the, the white collar jobs is
00:46:45.300 the knowledge worker jobs. You know, they just did a test, uh, on the new, um, uh, GPT and it can
00:46:52.160 pass the bar exam. I know. I mean, it does better than most lawyers. And the GPT three pass the bar
00:46:58.480 exam. GPT four is 90% better. 90% better. Yeah, exactly. So it's interesting because it,
00:47:10.060 because one of the things that's interesting is that the people who got disrupted and took it on the
00:47:14.660 chin the hardest over the last 10 or 20 years because of tech, let's call it more of the blue
00:47:20.320 collar or robotics. Exactly. Automation, the people who are impacted most by automation or by
00:47:28.580 the exporting of jobs to China, which I think in hindsight was a huge mistake. Um, but now it's
00:47:36.040 different. It's actually knowledge workers and coastal elites who are being disrupted. Um, so
00:47:41.460 yeah, it's interesting, but, but I, I, I still think it's going to be hard to know exactly how
00:47:47.560 it plays out. And, um, you know, it's, it's hard to stop these technology waves. Um, you can't,
00:47:54.740 the question is just whether you can guide them in a positive direction. And like you said, I don't
00:47:58.560 think anyone or not many people are asking, you know, the hard questions, although, you know, Elon,
00:48:03.800 Elon did, you know, the whole, the whole way that open AI got founded was back in 2016.
00:48:09.160 Elon said that like, Hey guys, I think AI is going to take over the world. This is like way further
00:48:15.180 ahead than people think. And so they created open AI to, to ethically guide the development of AI.
00:48:21.120 That was the purpose. And to put it in the hands of everybody. So no, no country or company would
00:48:27.220 have it. Well, that's over. I know. And, and it started as a nonprofit and somewhere along the way
00:48:33.340 it became right for profit. It became more like a company. So about the time he left.
00:48:40.280 So it's, it's, uh, it's, yeah, you can't make this stuff up. I mean, it's just a testament to
00:48:44.980 human nature, you know, is that if there's an opportunity, people are going to want to
00:48:50.120 exploit it. You can say either exploit it or develop it positively or negatively,
00:48:55.240 whatever you want to see it.
00:48:57.720 Talk to me a little bit about Elon Musk. He's a friend of yours, right?
00:49:00.860 Yeah. I mean, um, I think what he's done at Twitter with the Twitter files is incredible.
00:49:08.300 I think what he's done with, with pretty much everything. Yeah. I mean, he is, I would put
00:49:15.460 him in the category of, uh, of a Jefferson or a Franklin. I mean, that's what all of those
00:49:21.920 guys were like. He is just in a different category. What, what is, what is he like as a
00:49:28.140 person to be around? Is he, is he always way ahead or is, I mean, what's he like?
00:49:36.500 Um, well, I, you know, I've known him for, I guess, over 20 years now. And so to me, he's just,
00:49:42.940 you know, before he got super famous. So to me, it's just, you know, my friend Elon, you know,
00:49:46.740 um, I would say that, you know, what you see is really what you get with him. I mean, I remember
00:49:51.960 a conversation I had with him many years ago where I think we're just sitting on the couch and he's
00:49:56.880 sort of ruminating about, you know, you know, I wonder if we're living in a simulation, you know,
00:50:02.340 is this really based reality and to start riffing on this idea and things that really used to only
00:50:08.020 be asked by people on either pot or LSD. He just thinks that way. Yeah. He's just thinking about it.
00:50:15.560 And I remember thinking, well, this is really interesting, but I'm, I'm glad that the public
00:50:20.160 doesn't think that Elon thinks we're living in a simulation because, you know, they'll think he's
00:50:25.740 crazy. And, you know, and, but then, you know, a few months later, I hear him like basically talking
00:50:30.620 about it in an interview. And so like, he's, you know, what I'm saying is that what you're seeing
00:50:37.000 from him in public interviews is what he's saying in private too. Maybe just a little bit before we
00:50:43.960 just hear it first, but, um, what you see is what you get. You know, I have a daughter of special
00:50:49.420 needs. She had strokes at birth and I have been, um, uh, following, uh, what he is, the research
00:50:56.640 he's doing on the brain because that would repair all of the pathways. Um, I try to remember the
00:51:05.620 technology that is, um, um, anyways, basically putting beacons in, into your head and it can,
00:51:14.880 it could repair all the pathways. So she could think faster, um, and, and think the way, you know,
00:51:24.400 um, a healthy brain would think, uh, and it would change her life. And we've had conversations about
00:51:32.500 it and I'm, I'm as her dad, I'd love to see that. Um, she is not, uh, willing to, uh, to go there. Um,
00:51:44.220 and, and it's for as great as it is, it's a two way street. Eventually you'll not only be able to
00:51:54.000 help, but you'll be able to see into the brain. You'd be able to connect with the internet, which
00:52:00.200 is one of the things that I know that Elon wants to do. And that's a whole different,
00:52:06.220 now you're into transhumanism. Yeah. I mean, it was, we're getting into sci-fi type stuff,
00:52:12.520 but I think the reason why he found it in your link is because he saw that the AI was going to
00:52:18.220 evolve very quickly to be smarter than human intelligence. And the only way for humans to
00:52:23.460 catch up would be to have some sort of, um, you know, brain computer interface. And now, I mean,
00:52:31.500 that's the longterm vision and the short term, it's about fixing, um, the, these types of maladies,
00:52:37.160 you know, that people have serious, you know, um, issues. And so, you know, he's starting with
00:52:44.100 those, you could call them use cases in a way. And, you know, this is, I think a common denominator
00:52:48.800 of all of his companies is he starts with a really grand vision, but then makes it, he figures out the
00:52:53.900 tangible first step. So you take SpaceX, for example, the vision was to go colonize Mars,
00:52:58.980 but the first step was just to like get a rocket to launch into space. And then the middle step is
00:53:05.580 to get a satellite network working. So we have, you know, internet from space and then finally you
00:53:10.720 can do space exploration. So he figures out like he's got this grand vision, but then he figures
00:53:15.460 out how to break it down into stepping stones. Um, but you're right that, you know, you mentioned
00:53:22.320 like a Franklin or Jefferson. I mean, he's kind of a throwback to an earlier time where you had these
00:53:27.580 great individuals, inventors who, you know, would create these great things. And
00:53:35.560 um, and build these enormous enterprises, these great companies. And, you know, it's so different
00:53:41.920 than what we have today where it feels like everything is decision by committees and, you
00:53:47.220 know, and everybody's a professional manager who went to go get their Harvard MBA. And what did they
00:53:53.360 build? I mean, they didn't really build, they didn't really take risks. They just manage. Um, and you
00:53:58.880 know, they're all sort of politically connected. And part of this class that, you know, is connected
00:54:04.000 in Washington and goes to Davos and, you know, it's like part of this click with the media
00:54:09.680 that protects them. It's just, you know, again, it's part of that like fake expert class.
00:54:15.000 And it's, it's, I think this is the reason why they hate him. You know, I think that's the
00:54:19.140 reason why they hate him is because it's just, um, it represents a whole different model. It's
00:54:25.100 really the entrepreneurial capitalism that this country started.
00:54:29.280 Yes. It's the American model of one guy having an idea, you know, we are living, I don't know,
00:54:36.520 last time if ever, I mean, it's, I live in such a geeky world, uh, David, but, um, I don't
00:54:42.780 know the last time that you read, uh, Dwight Eisenhower's farewell speech from the Oval Office,
00:54:48.520 but he nailed this time period right now. And he talked about those inventors that are working
00:54:56.280 by themselves in their garage and coming up with ideas. Those are gone and they're going to be
00:55:01.280 replaced by teams of people working on things through corporations. And he warned us, uh,
00:55:08.320 against it and we didn't pay attention on very many things. Um, let me, and that, that speech,
00:55:15.700 I mean, it, it warned us about the military industrial complex and, uh, and I mean, Eisenhower,
00:55:20.840 he, he knew of which he spoke. I mean, he was the Supreme ally commander in World War II president
00:55:25.840 of the United States. He knew, he warned us that yes, we need a defense industry, but they would
00:55:30.960 become a special interest. And we have so many of these industrial complexes, whether it's the media,
00:55:37.600 the pharma industrial complex, the education industrial complex, where they've started just
00:55:43.460 becoming more of a special interest in their own right, as opposed to fulfilling the mission
00:55:48.880 that they were supposed, that they were created to do. They're serving, uh, money and, uh, the
00:55:55.080 government, it seems more and more. Um, and, uh, and less the it's, you know, the one thing about
00:56:03.540 Musk is it is a pure intent. You know, he wants to go to Mars. That's his end. It's not about becoming
00:56:11.380 the richest man in the world. And there's a, there's a difference, um, uh, on that. You know,
00:56:17.520 you work hard for the money. My gosh, have I turned into Donna summer? You work hard for
00:56:23.420 the money girl. If you're like me, when you have to spend that money, you prefer to spend
00:56:28.060 it on things that are of quality, especially if they're made here in America. That's not
00:56:33.980 just patriotism. It's a quality thing. And traditionally things that are made in America last longer,
00:56:40.600 work better and set the standard for the rest of the world. That's one of the reasons why I
00:56:45.820 love partnering with companies like grip six with grip six, you're getting the true American
00:56:50.720 experience products you can count on. For instance, you buy their socks. You're supporting American
00:56:57.560 ranchers who raise a specialty bred sheep that will produce the modern wool. Then you have the
00:57:04.700 American manufacturers who wash and process that wool. And then the other people who are weaving it
00:57:10.060 into socks that will keep your feet warm in the winter and cool in the summer. They're fantastic.
00:57:14.940 The American business owners who have accepted the risk that comes along with only using American
00:57:22.100 made products and American labor. Check out grip six today. I love them. I think you will too. Put
00:57:28.580 your hard earned money in your trust in a company that does it right in America. Grip six.com slash
00:57:35.660 back. That's grip six.com slash back. Let me quickly just cover a couple of things.
00:57:42.440 Um, I, I absolutely believe we blew up the Nord Stream pipeline. Uh, I don't know if we'll ever,
00:57:51.880 uh, prove that. Um, but I, I'm sorry, you know, the president who, you know, one of the signs of,
00:57:58.600 you know, dementia is saying things that you shouldn't say. Uh, and he comes out and says,
00:58:04.560 yeah, we can get rid of that. We don't believe me. We'll, we'll, we'll, we'll end it. Okay. Um,
00:58:12.840 do you think we're ever going to find out the truth on that?
00:58:19.800 Um, yeah, actually I, I do. I mean, I think eventually that's got to come out.
00:58:24.720 Now, eventually do you mean it? Like we just found, we just found out that the CIA was working with
00:58:30.680 Oswald and on his payroll, on their payroll. Yeah. I mean, maybe you're right that we'll never
00:58:35.980 know for, for maybe we'll never have that confirmation, but, but look, I, I agree with
00:58:40.420 you that Cy Hirsch's story is far more credible than, than the cover story they planted in the
00:58:46.260 New York times just recently, which was laughable. No, no, no. They know the boat. They just don't
00:58:51.040 know who was on it, but they know it was four men and one woman, but they have no idea. I mean,
00:58:56.540 it was ridiculous. It was ridiculous. They say like, okay, that arc that we believe that a pro
00:59:03.120 Ukrainian group did this. Okay. Well, well, which one we don't know. Uh, but well, did it include
00:59:11.140 Zelensky? Absolutely not. So it's like, it's like a weird, weird level of certainty about certain things.
00:59:19.560 And then like, they don't know any, you know what I mean? It's like, look, you either know who these
00:59:23.820 guys were or you don't. So how can you be so sure that it wasn't our specific allies, but,
00:59:29.240 but by the way, I mean, this was a very sophisticated operation that required a state actor to do.
00:59:34.040 Yeah. Um, and like you said, they said what they're going to do. So, um, I'm, I'm, I'm with
00:59:41.000 you on this one. I mean, it's the same kind of thing they're doing here. They're, they're, um,
00:59:45.460 decommissioning all of our coal fire plants and blocking the way for us to go back. Uh, that's pretty
00:59:51.760 much what happened with the Nord Stream pipeline, right? Just blocked your way to ever go back to
00:59:57.300 that source. Um, David, uh, last thing war with China and, or, uh, Russia, they look like they are
01:00:12.440 becoming closer and closer allies, um, and allies with Iran and now Saudi Arabia abandoned us because of,
01:00:21.300 for good reason. I would too, if I were them, um, how likely do you think it is that we'd be headed
01:00:29.280 towards war? And what does that mean? I mean, I've been warning about this since the Ukraine
01:00:37.720 situation started. Um, this is a proxy war of choice that we've gotten into. Uh, Ukraine is not
01:00:45.720 a member of NATO. It is not a treaty ally of the United States. Uh, we are not required to defend
01:00:52.660 it. Um, moreover, and I think this is the deeper point is we engaged in a series of actions going
01:00:59.340 back to 2008 that the Russians viewed as highly provocative. And they warned us over and over
01:01:05.980 again, is categorically unacceptable for you to try to bring Ukraine into NATO. And yet we persisted
01:01:12.040 in that mission. We have these crusaders at the state department who just want to keep expanding
01:01:17.380 NATO. And, you know, I don't know why they can't see that that is unacceptable to the Russians the same
01:01:24.680 way that the Soviet union trying to put nukes in Cuba was unacceptable to us in 1962. I mean, we have
01:01:31.860 the Monroe doctrine here that says that no distant great power can put troops and weapons in the Western
01:01:38.820 hemisphere. We consider that an intolerable security threat. And that is what we have been trying to do
01:01:45.320 with Ukraine for a long time. This was very easily avoidable in my view. And now we're at the point we
01:01:51.360 are effectively a co belligerent in this conflict. I mean, we're not just providing them with money
01:01:56.680 and weapons. We're providing them with intelligence. We have commandos on the ground, um, directing the flow
01:02:03.740 of those weapons and of intelligence that we've had administration officials brag about painting the
01:02:09.980 targets on Russian generals. Crazy. So they could be killed bragging about providing the intel to sink
01:02:16.280 the master, which is the Russian flagship. Um, can you imagine if Brezhnev did that when we were in
01:02:21.680 Vietnam, if Brezhnev went to Vietnam and said, our, our whole goal here is regime change. We're funding
01:02:29.820 you. We're painting the, we're paying the targets for you. My gosh, it's, it's crazy.
01:02:36.460 It's crazy. And, um, you know, like people sometimes compare, well, why isn't this like
01:02:40.500 Afghanistan where, you know, we bled the soap, like Reagan bled the Soviet union. Yeah. That was
01:02:44.540 a covert operation operation cyclone. We didn't have American flags on the boxes of the stingers and the
01:02:52.000 weapons we were giving them. It was a, it was a very, and here it's very different because we're not
01:02:57.540 just giving them weapons. We're providing the whole, what's called the kill chain for them.
01:03:02.440 You know, it's, it's a, it's a tightly woven web of information services. The weapons by themselves
01:03:07.740 aren't valuable. You know, like the high Mars, for example, isn't valuable unless you also give them
01:03:12.800 the targeting coordinates from our satellites in space. And so, you know, the Ukrainians are pushing
01:03:18.760 the buttons and pulling the triggers and taking the bullets, but it's the Americans who are providing
01:03:24.440 the targets and the intelligence and even taking credit for that counter-offensive last fall.
01:03:30.900 There's a New York time story where they basically described the, it was called the critical moment
01:03:35.840 behind the, it was the Kharkiv counter-offensive where the Ukrainians came to the American generals
01:03:43.020 with their plans and the general said, no, this isn't good enough. Let us like fix it for you.
01:03:46.780 I mean, it's, it's just crazy, you know, and then we, we, and then when I think the obvious
01:03:54.040 downstream effects of this happen, which is that it drives Russia into China's arms,
01:04:02.360 we react with this outrage and surprise. It's like shock. Like we didn't know what's going to happen.
01:04:08.440 It's like, are you kidding? Of course, of course, Russia and China become tighter and tighter allies
01:04:14.540 because China, they see what's happening and they know that if Russia falls here, if that actually
01:04:21.760 could happen, then the gun sites of us neocons and us hawks will be entirely trained on them.
01:04:28.160 So it's in their national interest to help Russia. This was entirely predictable. And we think we're
01:04:33.880 going to prevent them from pursuing their national interest by expressing condemnation and outrage.
01:04:39.760 I mean, like, it's like, it's like, it's like our, it's like our spokespeople and diplomats are
01:04:45.260 children here. I mean, again, dealing with it's the elites and everyone with common sense
01:04:51.800 are looking at each other. Look, I didn't vote for the guy. You did vote for the guy, but I I'm with
01:04:57.800 you. This is nuts. I mean, the elites that are running the, the state department, the Pentagon,
01:05:04.600 the media, all of it, we all look at each other in day to day and go, you know, you and I could fix
01:05:12.060 this. It's not that hard. I know. I know it's, it's, um, it, the state department one is really
01:05:19.620 crazy because their job is diplomacy. You know, it's a lesson conflict. No, their, their, their,
01:05:26.460 their objective is regime change. I mean, they've been conducting these regime change operations
01:05:30.820 and you'd think they did it in Ukraine when, when Biden was the vice president,
01:05:35.000 our state department went in there. Anyway. And, and you know what happened three months later,
01:05:40.960 they put Hunter Biden on the board of, of, uh, Burisma. I'm sure that was just a coincidence.
01:05:46.320 I mean, how do you think that's going to, how do you think that's going to end? I mean, he's got,
01:05:51.040 we now have the records that, uh, three Biden members and the, uh, Hallie, the daughter-in-law,
01:06:00.060 I mean, I don't know what, you know, what information she had that was so valuable in
01:06:05.700 Hong Kong for an energy company, but, uh, and Biden's still out there saying it's not true.
01:06:12.140 Is anything ever going to happen to these guys? Probably, probably not. Um, I'm not saying
01:06:18.460 there's not a lot to find. I'm just saying that I think the media, one of their enormous powers is
01:06:23.280 they get to decide who gets investigated. Yeah. Um, effectively because they will, you know,
01:06:29.880 make you a target and gin up outrage if they don't like you. And if they like you, they'll sweep it
01:06:33.500 under the rug. I mean, I, I don't understand how the Hunter Biden thing isn't a big story. I mean,
01:06:41.340 he's put on the board of a Ukrainian energy company three months after Biden gives the attaboy,
01:06:49.520 gives the approval for basically our backing of a, of a coup there. And it's not like he has energy
01:06:57.780 experience. You know, he's utterly unqualified. He's utterly unqualified for the post. Um, it's
01:07:05.040 just, that that's crazy to me. But once again, uh, the media decides what we care about because they
01:07:11.220 just won't cover it if they don't like it. David, always good to talk to you. Thanks. I hope to,
01:07:16.960 hope to talk to you again. Thank you. Absolutely. Thanks Glenn. Great to see you.
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