The Great America Show - GOP ESTABLISHMENT HATES MASTRIANO BECAUSE THEY HATE TRUMP YET MASTRIANO IS STILL CLOSING THE RACE

00:00:00.000 Hello everybody and welcome to the Great America Show. I'm Lou Dobbs and delighted to have you with us.

00:00:06.020 Thanks for joining us. Eight days to election day. I'll say it again. Eight days to election day and here we go.

00:00:14.580 So much disinformation has been pumped into this election cycle. It's astounding.

00:00:19.940 2020, of course, was the apex of disinformation from the national corporate media, the Marxist Dems and the deep state.

00:00:27.280 But this midterm election has the potential to come close to 2020.

00:00:32.700 For example, the corporate left-wing media would have you believe that the Dems were holding onto the House

00:00:38.000 until just the last couple of weeks when the Republicans suddenly surged in the polls.

00:00:43.880 Imminent Republican pollster Robert Cahaley, one of the country's very best, says that was all hogwash.

00:00:50.800 That's my word, not his.

00:00:52.240 That is, many media and university polls were in the field polling, but reporting not what they were finding,

00:00:59.220 not what people were telling them, but rather pushing their own leftist preferences in this election.

00:01:05.080 So what's going on now?

00:01:06.800 With us, the inimitable pollster and great American pollster, Robert Cahaley.

00:01:12.120 He's the founder of the Trafalgar Group.

00:01:14.520 His polls are respected nationwide by both parties, which tells you just how great he is.

00:01:20.300 Robert, good of you to join us.

00:01:22.220 One of the most intriguing battles, I think, is in Pennsylvania, the race for governor between Mastriano,

00:01:27.940 the Republican, and Shapiro, the Marxist Dems, who's trying to avoid his record as attorney general.

00:01:33.920 How's Mastriano doing there in Pennsylvania?

00:01:36.720 Well, what we've got going on is that race is one that Mastriano is not being treated like any other Republican nominee around the country.

00:01:50.440 And I've said this for weeks.

00:01:53.120 If he was given just the same amount of money or attention that all these other nominees get, especially for a swing state,

00:02:02.920 he would be within five points, and odds would be up by three.

00:02:07.140 But the fact that they have just left him out there on his own is hurting both races whether they know it or not.

00:02:16.020 And it's – I mean it's – you know, I don't really understand the logic there other than if you –

00:02:24.980 the people who are really, really deeply entwined and anti-Trump, I think, are worried that if Mastriano can win,

00:02:32.440 it sends a signal that Trump can win.

00:02:35.700 And they really care more about that than they do picking up a governorship, which is problematic.

00:02:42.100 Yeah, that is problematic.

00:02:45.320 Let's start – let's start with who is it that is not giving him money and why are – who are those who are responsible for not saying that he's well-funded?

00:02:58.020 Well, they're – I mean, what I don't think we should do is get into the, you know, tip for tap.

00:03:05.440 But there are – there are just lots of things that Republican nominees have access to that he doesn't.

00:03:15.240 And it's – I don't think it's a good decision.

00:03:18.500 And I think in the end it's going to hurt – it's going to end up hurting Oz.

00:03:23.620 Like – so –

00:03:25.440 Because I'm in the business of getting to the nub of the thing.

00:03:30.380 Who is it who's not supporting Mastriano that could be easily doing so?

00:03:37.500 I mean, we're talking about one of the biggest states in the country.

00:03:40.660 Is it the Republican National Committee?

00:03:42.500 Is it the Governor's Association?

00:03:44.440 Who is it?

00:03:46.080 Well, I think there are signals that a lot of people high up in the party organizations send to major donors that this is one worth investing in.

00:03:59.000 And donors quite often give a large sum of the money to the party, their apparatus, to pass through to then go in these races.

00:04:09.960 And the signal – you know, they're just not getting the signal that that's a place they're wanting to invest in.

00:04:14.900 And I've always been critical – and I don't regret this.

00:04:18.340 I'm critical of the party when these organizations spend money to win primaries where they have no business being involved.

00:04:26.520 Right.

00:04:27.040 And they don't have the money for our general election candidates.

00:04:31.860 I mean, take Georgia, for example.

00:04:33.680 Kip was always going to win.

00:04:34.920 They didn't need to dump millions in there.

00:04:37.260 It wasn't necessary to give some money there.

00:04:40.280 And there were lots of other primaries when money got spent.

00:04:42.440 I just – I fundamentally don't think that's a good idea.

00:04:45.140 There are a lot of – I mean, there are probably 10 or 20 major, major contributors around the country that get signals from leadership in these groups and the party apparatus and say, this is good, this is not good.

00:05:01.960 And I used to think it was short-sighted to do that to Mastriano.

00:05:05.640 Mastriano, he might not be who you wanted, but I would say it like this way.

00:05:11.640 But he's the car you got.

00:05:13.700 So if you don't like it, you know, that's tough.

00:05:17.000 Well, let me ask you something about that, because I kind of like to hone in on it just a bit.

00:05:23.060 Here is a candidate, a state senator.

00:05:26.600 He is an established Republican.

00:05:29.100 He's a 30-year veteran of the U.S. Army, a colonel, a retired colonel in the Army, a combat veteran.

00:05:37.620 He has four master's degrees.

00:05:40.200 He has a Ph.D. in history.

00:05:43.040 He is a family man.

00:05:45.460 He is a Christian.

00:05:47.400 I know that's a problem for a lot of people, but for a lot of people, it means a lot.

00:05:51.560 But if this man is not a suitable candidate to be governor of the state of Pennsylvania, who in the world would the donors want other than this man?

00:06:04.720 Oh, yes, he did support Trump.

00:06:07.780 Yeah, what you have to understand is there is still a very kind of quiet war going on within this party of the people who are still fighting 2016.

00:06:19.600 They haven't gotten past that.

00:06:21.560 And they are worried that Maestriana winning since the signal Trump can win.

00:06:27.360 It's not more complicated than that.

00:06:30.320 That's their fear.

00:06:31.800 If it's that simple, then the Republican Party is, I have to tell you, is doomed.

00:06:38.920 If they cannot muster the money to put this man into the governor's mansion in Pennsylvania, what in the world are they doing?

00:06:54.700 We're talking about two candidates.

00:06:57.000 And you said Oz as well.

00:07:00.940 It hurts Oz.

00:07:01.880 Obviously, it hurts.

00:07:04.320 I mean, it hurts the Republican Party in Pennsylvania.

00:07:07.580 And that's a party that needs a lot of help in Pennsylvania.

00:07:11.720 Their leadership is very suspect to me.

00:07:15.040 But to get to the nub of this thing, we're talking about signals that would be emanating from what?

00:07:21.860 From Mitch McConnell?

00:07:24.060 From Kevin McCarthy?

00:07:25.340 Hey, Ronna McDaniel?

00:07:27.080 What are we dealing with here?

00:07:30.040 There's a lot of people whose names that most people don't know who make a lot more decisions than you probably realize.

00:07:37.160 And, again, you know, I'm just a guy who does polling, and I poll enough to know that that is a race that could be won with resources.

00:07:48.400 Well, let me ask you this, then.

00:07:50.320 Let's talk about a name that everybody knows because he's on Fox peddling what I consider to be utter drivel most of the time, Karl Rove.

00:07:59.280 What in the world was that ad that he ran?

00:08:03.980 And that was supposed to be a Republican ad.

00:08:07.240 It looked to me like a Shapiro ad.

00:08:09.520 Your thoughts?

00:08:11.440 Well, yeah, I'm troubled by the ad.

00:08:13.700 I don't like it at all because I think that it has – it takes a guy who should not be given any bona fides when it comes to being a crime fighter.

00:08:24.900 He is the attorney general who has overseen all this nonsense in Pennsylvania.

00:08:28.560 And – but you don't beat up Fetterman by promoting Shapiro.

00:08:35.280 And there's a hundred ways to do it.

00:08:37.700 And I just – I seriously doubt that the donors who cared about Fetterman losing and Oz winning, who gave them money, would be okay with something that boosts Shapiro and actually works against Oz by doing so.

00:08:55.080 Okay, I may be a little slow today, but Robert, I need you to guide me and the audience through this a bit.

00:09:01.920 When you're talking about defeating Fetterman and helping Shapiro, give us – if you will, just expand on that a bit.

00:09:16.500 Well, the ad – I don't know if you've seen it, but the ad – well, you have because you brought it up.

00:09:23.140 So the point of the ad was to suggest – talk about how Fetterman has been weak on crime by comparing him to Shapiro and suggesting that Shapiro has not been weak on crime.

00:09:35.920 Right.

00:09:36.180 And everybody knows Fetterman's weak on crime, and there's a thousand ways to do that without saying anything positive about Shapiro.

00:09:47.000 That was gratuitous and unnecessary, which leads you to believe, was that an accident or was it not?

00:09:53.000 And I don't think any of them are that dumb.

00:09:56.280 I think they're smart people.

00:09:57.580 And I just think they want to see – I think they want to see Mastriano lose, and they don't care if it hurts Oz.

00:10:07.220 And what will be the impact on the race with Fetterman?

00:10:10.940 No real benefit because everybody's gotten that message.

00:10:16.500 And I think they're attached.

00:10:20.420 I mean, it's my belief that, you know, if Fetterman – I mean, if – sorry, if Mastriano gets beat by 10 points, it's very hard for Oz to win.

00:10:34.120 If Fetterman wins, the people of Pennsylvania are in line to be considered the dumbest people in the history of American politics.

00:10:44.880 Yeah, I mean, the whole point is if Fetterman wins, it means that Shapiro won.

00:10:51.460 Yeah.

00:10:52.220 And then Shapiro was twice in power because now he gets to – now more than likely he'll get to appoint somebody to take Fetterman's place shortly thereafter.

00:11:04.180 Yes.

00:11:05.280 Or there may even be a pre-election switcheroo here.

00:11:09.100 Who knows?

00:11:11.100 But –

00:11:11.460 Not only will it be pre-election.

00:11:13.240 No, no.

00:11:14.060 That's too late.

00:11:14.880 I'm pointing out that there was a – there was at least rumors that they wanted to switch his wife in for him going into that election,

00:11:27.360 which would have been just as inane as having put him up in the first place.

00:11:31.220 But then again, so I said that the people of Pennsylvania would be in the running for that title.

00:11:36.180 But I think we've got to give great credence to the idea that it may be the Republican Party that has more stupid people than anyone in the country.

00:11:45.680 Because they are letting Karl Rove and the Bushes and the Rhinos and the Paul Ryans operate behind the scenes, selecting whatever candidate and starving whichever candidates are necessary to keep Trump out of the race.

00:12:04.160 We also know, and as a respect to your polling, we know that Trump is the preferred candidate right now in the Republican Party, and overwhelmingly so.

00:12:15.200 So we have a group of Rhinos who are Democrats with an R behind their name. 0.99

00:12:22.000 Why in the world can't the Republican Party shake itself of an RNC that is primarily a money-raising organization and a group of Rhinos that are really left-wingers? 1.00

00:12:35.760 And I defy anybody in this country, anybody listening, tell me, what is the counterpart to Rhinos in the Republican Party? 1.00

00:12:44.420 I've never heard of a dino.

00:12:46.520 I've never heard of a Democrat in name only.

00:12:49.560 And isn't it interesting that those are the people still pulling the strings in the Republican Party?

00:12:54.600 What do you think, Robert?

00:12:55.700 Well, I think that at the end of this election, there may be a reckoning.

00:13:03.460 There may be, I think, some of the major donors need to be informed of what's been going on.

00:13:10.840 They need to be informed of what's going on.

00:13:14.500 And that maybe the money wasn't used the way they were told it was going to be used.

00:13:18.880 Well, why don't you and I take care of that right now?

00:13:21.480 Well, or if not, why don't you and I talk after this, and I'll start calling a few donors.

00:13:29.440 You know, but I've got to tell you, this audience comes first with me.

00:13:35.040 I want the American people to know what the hell is going on.

00:13:38.600 How does a Mitch McConnell stay in place?

00:13:41.440 How does a Kevin McCarthy stay in place?

00:13:44.180 They're Rhinos. 1.00

00:13:45.260 They would make better Democrats than they do Republicans.

00:13:48.120 And guess what?

00:13:49.900 Ronna McDaniel?

00:13:51.240 Really?

00:13:52.000 Ronna McDaniel?

00:13:54.700 She's a failed chair of the RNC who gets re-upped and hasn't delivered on her promises through two cycles now. 1.00

00:14:04.040 I mean, it's a frightening thing to watch what is supposed to be a two-party system devolve to the uniparty,

00:14:10.360 which is really the Democrats in charge of the Republican Party.

00:14:14.360 Am I wrong?

00:14:15.360 Well, I mean, yeah, we can argue about any particular person, but there's a system in place.

00:14:22.940 And the system is not broken.

00:14:26.960 And to get to the next level, it's going to need to be broken.

00:14:29.680 Well, and this looks like if the Republicans don't win these midterms.

00:14:35.900 Well, before we get to that issue, let's go on.

00:14:39.140 What do you expect to happen in Pennsylvania right now as things stand with the first the governor's race?

00:14:47.160 I expect for, I expect my friend to close well and to be within four or five on election day.

00:14:57.280 And it'll then just depend on whether there's a waiver or not.

00:15:02.300 And if so, how big?

00:15:03.780 Because I've been saying since the beginning, you probably remember this, that there are a lot of people that are unmeasurable because they have just quit participating.

00:15:12.060 And this is different than before, that the Biden administration has scared them.

00:15:16.320 They are convinced that some of the polling being done is essentially that data is going to be given to the government and used to make a list of MAGA people that need to be targeted.

00:15:27.760 But I'm not saying they're right that I'm not.

00:15:31.120 I mean, you know, people here's the thing about a conspiracy.

00:15:34.920 There are people who believe it and those people still have votes.

00:15:37.800 So even if they're wrong, it affects their behavior.

00:15:41.080 So it doesn't really matter what we think.

00:15:44.860 If somebody thinks that taking a poll is going to put them on a list, they're not going to take a poll.

00:15:49.940 But the odds are they're still going to vote.

00:15:52.720 As a matter of fact, they all say they're still going to vote and they're very nice about it.

00:15:57.340 I just don't want to take a poll.

00:15:58.500 I mean, I'm literally telling people, I don't want to take a poll.

00:16:01.360 I think you guys are great.

00:16:03.020 But they're probably already monitoring you.

00:16:05.000 I mean, just crazy stuff, you know.

00:16:06.740 And, again, I say crazy.

00:16:08.920 Maybe not.

00:16:09.620 I don't know.

00:16:10.960 We've seen some, you know, people have people come to their doors and do things you would have never thought would happen.

00:16:16.400 So who knows?

00:16:18.280 But, you know, I don't believe in living in fear.

00:16:20.940 So I just, you know, you do what you got to do.

00:16:23.280 Right.

00:16:23.680 Well, I don't either, but I also understand why some must.

00:16:28.000 And I feel, and I think that makes it our responsibility.

00:16:32.520 I'll put it this way.

00:16:33.240 I'll speak only for myself.

00:16:34.220 It's my responsibility to make certain that number of people who live in fear is as small as humanly possible in this country.

00:16:42.560 Americans should never have to live in fear.

00:16:44.980 And we have half the country doing so.

00:16:46.500 For their opinion.

00:16:47.200 Right now.

00:16:47.740 Absolutely.

00:16:49.100 You know, and the thing is, because it goes both ways.

00:16:52.840 I mean, think about it.

00:16:53.960 Can you imagine seeing somebody who has a sign for a Democrat in the yard and that you would go tear up their house for that?

00:17:01.600 I can't.

00:17:02.860 Yeah.

00:17:03.020 Well, I don't think they would do that.

00:17:06.200 Well, I want to go to one other part of this, and that is the role of the government in this time.

00:17:12.560 That is the executive order signed by Joe Biden in March of 2021 to engage the federal government and get out the vote activities.

00:17:23.620 What role do you think that's playing in this election?

00:17:28.300 Well, I don't think the government belongs to anything but putting it on the election and not promoting it.

00:17:33.860 I think it turns out one-size voters.

00:17:38.180 So there's no question that thumbs on the scale.

00:17:41.840 And so the answer is you've got to win, and you've got to win big enough that no matter what happens, you still win.

00:17:50.260 Is that possible?

00:17:51.340 At this point, you have to.

00:17:54.940 I mean, people talk about, well, what do you say if people don't think the election was fair and everything?

00:17:59.320 I'm like, okay, well, hey, ballgame ends at the very end.

00:18:02.200 You think it's a bad call.

00:18:03.080 Your team lost because of a bad call.

00:18:05.060 You don't quit watching football.

00:18:07.280 Now, if it happens three weeks in a row, you might.

00:18:10.580 But you're coming to the next game.

00:18:12.740 And so I think most people aren't there yet.

00:18:17.260 I think once people give up on elections, then we're looking at it.

00:18:21.340 It's not very pretty.

00:18:23.720 Yeah.

00:18:24.120 Let me be clear.

00:18:25.680 I'm not suggesting anybody, Republican, independent, give up on anything.

00:18:31.720 I'm hoping and I'm praying that everybody will get to the polls and, just as you said, create that red wave.

00:18:37.320 But I also want to talk straight to this audience, as I try always to do, and that is to understand what is going on around us.

00:18:47.900 We have a race in Pennsylvania that's critically important.

00:18:52.940 Mastriano's in trouble.

00:18:55.180 We may get a red wave.

00:18:56.860 Let's say we get a red wave, that the people of Pennsylvania come to their senses and decide that Shapiro is not the guy that should be in the job,

00:19:07.400 and that Fetterman is unfit for the job.

00:19:11.680 Is that strong enough to get them over what is in place in Pennsylvania?

00:19:19.080 I think so.

00:19:20.580 I think it could be.

00:19:21.420 Again, part of the problem with what I'm talking about is the submerged voters is I don't know how many there are because they don't take polls. 0.98

00:19:32.040 And so that's why I've been saying for weeks we're better at getting people who are reluctant to say who they're supporting than anyone else.

00:19:40.860 But even we, I believe the Republican turnout will exceed what we think it is, what we see.

00:19:50.100 Yeah, when you see these submerged voters as you style them, and you've been talking about it for weeks now, 0.67

00:19:56.800 and you started talking about it early on in this latter phase, they're submerged.

00:20:07.000 But now I'm almost hearing you say they're also paralyzed.

00:20:10.860 No, they're not paralyzed.

00:20:12.200 They're voting.

00:20:13.720 That's what I wanted to hear.

00:20:15.320 No, they're absolutely voting.

00:20:17.100 Because here's the thing.

00:20:18.600 If you can't carry a sign, if you can't go to a rally, if you can't put a stick on your car,

00:20:26.940 if you can't tell your friends, if you can't walk neighborhoods, the only way to scratch that itch is to vote.

00:20:34.560 That's the only release you're going to get.

00:20:36.340 Well, it's stunning stuff to me.

00:20:41.400 And I haven't mentioned this on the air, but I've been paying, my wife and I have been paying a lot of attention to it lately.

00:20:47.800 And I believe this is correct.

00:20:49.660 We have seen only one car between where we live and New York City that had a sticker, and that was a Biden's.

00:21:06.800 I'm talking about a Biden sticker.

00:21:08.220 We've seen probably two or three Trump stickers on cars, but that's it.

00:21:15.440 And one yard sign, and it was a Trump sign, but one yard sign, at least on the path we travel.

00:21:23.180 And that's, I've never seen that few signs anywhere, at any time in my life.

00:21:28.000 Have you?

00:21:28.920 Is it the same thing?

00:21:29.520 People are nervous.

00:21:30.560 People are scared.

00:21:33.420 I mean, I've heard, again, I'm not a big believer in conspiracy theories, mainly because I think it's hard to give anything secret in this day and age.

00:21:45.700 But there are people who think that Biden has said the magic words in that speech to open up the Patriot Act against people who are MAGA.

00:21:54.600 I don't think that, but they do.

00:21:57.920 And if they think that affects their voting pattern and affects their ability and willingness to participate in polls, then we can't measure them.

00:22:05.480 Well, I don't want to get into a discussion of conspiracy theories.

00:22:10.940 But we know for a fact a number of things.

00:22:13.620 For example, we know about the executive order on March 21st, which puts the federal government in the business of getting out the vote.

00:22:22.260 We know that the government is peopled by Marxist Dems at the top and Democrats throughout the permanent bureaucracy, the federal government.

00:22:33.000 We know where their political interests lie.

00:22:37.800 It's not a long, long shot conjecture to say that getting out the vote for them probably means getting out one party.

00:22:46.680 And that's a Democrat party.

00:22:49.440 They've taken the place.

00:22:50.820 Joe Biden has taken the place of the enfeebled Mark Zuckerberg.

00:22:57.040 His money won't be in it, or maybe it will.

00:23:01.000 I don't know.

00:23:02.420 But, I mean, you're talking about millions and millions of people who will be influenced by the federal government in just – and let's say it's perfectly straight, a get-out-the-vote campaign.

00:23:15.080 It's there.

00:23:15.760 That's not a conspiracy theory.

00:23:17.400 That's a fact.

00:23:18.180 In fact, it's not a conspiracy theory to think that a billionaire last election went out and spent a half a billion dollars to subsume county election offices and take their place with nonprofits with allegiance to George Soros and to Mark Zuckerberg.

00:23:40.800 I mean, that's just what happened.

00:23:43.640 And we're talking –

00:23:44.460 I understand.

00:23:44.740 So it's not a conspiracy theory.

00:23:47.720 It's a reality.

00:23:48.440 It's a question of what is going on right now, and I wish I could tell you I knew.

00:23:52.660 I don't.

00:23:53.760 I suspect, but I don't.

00:23:55.740 Yeah.

00:23:56.660 And I don't either.

00:23:58.180 And we're going to have to have another election to see.

00:24:00.840 I think you'll see that George will be a lot cleaned up.

00:24:03.720 I'm pretty impressed with the law and what they've done to clean things up.

00:24:07.840 George?

00:24:08.120 I think that's going to be –

00:24:09.120 Yeah.

00:24:09.920 Good.

00:24:10.100 I think George is going to be much better, which is what leads me to believe that Herschel is going to end up being fine.

00:24:14.740 Even if he has to win it in a runoff, and I think he would win it in a runoff.

00:24:19.740 He's a good man.

00:24:20.840 He's a good man.

00:24:21.660 I hope he wins.

00:24:21.900 When you take an incumbent in a runoff in Georgia, that's bad news for the incumbent.

00:24:26.680 So – and I'll tell you, when it comes to Pennsylvania, I think Oz may still – I still think there's a good chance Oz wins.

00:24:33.840 So I would tell you, I think Oz wins by maybe one or two, and a point or two in Pennsylvania could turn into a brazier than win.

00:24:46.360 But I think he does win, and I think that – you know, I can't tell what's going to happen in New York yet.

00:24:55.820 I'm going to pull it again.

00:24:57.700 We're the ones who got this on the national radar screen, and we think this is a real fight.

00:25:02.520 And I think another thing going on in New York that people aren't realizing, we've had a lot of people talk about Cuomo and how much they don't like Hochul and they did like Cuomo.

00:25:13.120 And I just have a sneaking suspicion there's a Cuomo machine in every county, and they're either kind of just walking, going through the motions, or maybe even actually working against her.

00:25:25.720 Well, wouldn't that be something?

00:25:28.600 I thought you were going to say working for her.

00:25:32.980 No.

00:25:33.680 That would be a splendid sort of New York story, wouldn't it?

00:25:38.300 Yeah, we've had quite a few people on a poll that say, well, yeah, I'm for Zeldin, and I'm voting for Zeldin.

00:25:48.860 I wish Cuomo was back.

00:25:50.260 Well, Lee Zeldin is one of the finest people in politics as far as I'm concerned.

00:25:56.420 He's an Army veteran.

00:25:57.080 Yeah, I see.

00:25:58.000 He's a man who is religious.

00:26:02.360 He is a family man.

00:26:04.940 He is a good man.

00:26:07.480 By the way, we've seen him also tried in action.

00:26:11.560 He's also a combat veteran, I should point out.

00:26:14.680 But he stood on the stage as a man came after him with what appeared to be a knife trying to cut him.

00:26:21.680 And Zeldin simply grabbed his arm in the most relaxed fashion I've ever seen and held the man, not simply at bay, but held him under his control until others could come and take the man off the stage.

00:26:34.000 He's a man who had gunshots in his front yard and gunshot victims hiding in the bushes under his porch while his two teenage daughters were at home and he and his wife returning from a campaign.

00:26:51.780 We've seen this man handle adversity and emergencies.

00:26:58.660 He's been cool and composed.

00:27:01.340 He's a man of great character.

00:27:04.520 For him not to be governor of the great state of New York would be one of the most tragic moments in terms of opportunities lost for this great state of New York.

00:27:16.920 Well, like I said, we're the first one to say that it was a reality, that it was a competitive race.

00:27:24.880 Everyone said we're crazy, double digits.

00:27:28.300 And we've watched each poll get closer and closer and closer to what we said all along.

00:27:33.820 So there's a national narrative.

00:27:35.300 The whole country has swung back in the last week.

00:27:40.020 You know, last two or three weeks has just swung conservative.

00:27:42.560 That's a bunch of nonsense.

00:27:43.480 It was all pump and dump with these polls.

00:27:47.400 They pumped up all these Democrat candidates so that they could raise a bunch of money in Hollywood and Silicon Valley and Wall Street.

00:27:56.600 And but now, you know, it's like it's like the house when the parents about to come home.

00:28:02.300 The truth is about to be known.

00:28:03.880 They got to clean it up.

00:28:05.300 So they're going to start getting real with these polls because they don't really want to be caught with their pants down again.

00:28:10.800 I won't name any polls, but I assume you're talking about these university polls and these media outlet polls.

00:28:19.160 Yes.

00:28:20.140 University and big media outlet polls.

00:28:22.580 Yeah.

00:28:23.040 It's the same.

00:28:24.840 Even the ones you think you should trust.

00:28:27.960 Well, I've been at this so long, Robert.

00:28:31.280 I have to be honest.

00:28:32.440 I'm beyond trust, but verify.

00:28:34.360 I just plain don't trust.

00:28:36.520 Yeah, I agree.

00:28:37.420 And we think we've seen some standouts.

00:28:39.900 We've seen, I would tell you, I don't don't mind calling it out.

00:28:44.040 I would tell you that I think that this year, Emerson College and CBS are doing some of the better work than I've seen.

00:28:52.360 I would say CBS is the best of the of the media companies closest to real polls and real numbers.

00:29:01.660 And I've seen some of how they're doing it.

00:29:03.800 And Emerson College is probably the closest of the colleges.

00:29:07.360 And I'm impressed with both of them.

00:29:09.080 Well, that's compared to years past.

00:29:10.820 That's gracious of you.

00:29:12.680 And that is terrific.

00:29:13.620 I want to ask you about two more races and then we'll go to your concluding thoughts.

00:29:18.940 But Arizona, obviously, and Nevada.

00:29:23.900 You're thinking on those important races.

00:29:26.200 I think Republicans win Nevada and they win it by enough that they win it.

00:29:30.640 Both of them, Lombardo's, we're going to be putting out a poll today.

00:29:35.960 Hint, Lombardo's going to be doing very, very well and Lacksaw's doing very well.

00:29:41.180 And so I think that one's, I think that's a Republican pickup.

00:29:45.960 And I think Arizona is going to get, Masters is going to get close enough that if there's a wave, he gets in.

00:29:54.360 If the wave's at least a point and a half, he gets in.

00:29:58.280 And I think Carrie Lake wins pretty soundly. 0.63

00:30:03.360 Well, outstanding.

00:30:04.920 And I'm going to ask you for one more.

00:30:08.440 I know I'm sneaking in one other question here.

00:30:11.180 But what is your sense of what the pickup will be for the, I'll just do it this way.

00:30:18.360 I'd rather get into some numbers.

00:30:20.360 Will the Republicans gain control of both the Senate and the House?

00:30:25.440 I hate to predict this far out, even though we're not far out.

00:30:29.600 I would tell you if the election was next Tuesday, next Tuesday, I would say yes.

00:30:35.400 I would say the Republicans will win the House.

00:30:37.480 It's about north of 25 votes, even past 30.

00:30:42.900 And they'll hold, I mean, they'll win the Senate by 51 and likely 52 or 53 if it was next week.

00:30:52.040 But a lot can happen in a week.

00:30:53.580 Biden can do something crazy.

00:30:54.760 Putin can do something crazy.

00:30:56.040 Biden and Putin can do something crazy.

00:30:57.860 You don't know.

00:30:58.420 What you have said is absolute truth, brother.

00:31:05.440 We're sitting here 10 days out, and there we are.

00:31:11.240 Robert Cahaley, as always, it's great having you with us here on the show.

00:31:15.200 I'd like to – we always give you the last word.

00:31:18.020 All our guests get the last word here on the Great America Show.

00:31:21.260 And if you would, your concluding thoughts, Robert.

00:31:24.260 My concluding thoughts is, one, don't ever let a poll tell you whether you should vote.

00:31:31.960 You vote like your candidate is going to lose by one vote if you don't.

00:31:39.480 Don't listen to any of that stuff.

00:31:42.580 Don't be overconfident.

00:31:44.000 Don't give up based on a poll.

00:31:45.940 You turn out like every vote counts because it does.

00:31:48.780 And, two, no matter what you think happened in 2020, no matter what you think did or didn't happen,

00:31:57.640 the best way to beat anything that could happen is win by a big enough margin to prevent it from happening.

00:32:04.160 Amen, brother.

00:32:05.940 As we say here on the Great America Show, please vote on November 8th.

00:32:11.420 Make sure your family votes.

00:32:13.120 Make sure your friends vote.

00:32:14.620 Make sure your neighbors vote.

00:32:15.880 And if you just run into somebody who you might think wants to vote, urge them to vote.

00:32:21.320 Let's get out that big red wave. 0.78

00:32:24.640 Robert Cahaley, thank you, as always.

00:32:26.340 You're a great American, amazing, and brilliant pollster.

00:32:31.280 We thank you for being with us here today.

00:32:34.200 God bless you.

00:32:34.740 Well, it's always an honor to be anywhere where I'm sharing the same stage with you.

00:32:41.380 So, thank you.

00:32:42.160 Thanks, everybody, for joining us today.

00:32:45.800 Joining us here tomorrow, the man Robert Cahaley and I were just talking about,

00:32:50.200 State Senator Doug Mastriano, Republican gubernatorial candidate in the great state of Pennsylvania.

00:32:56.440 I'm looking forward to talking with him here tomorrow.

00:32:59.100 Please join us for that and more right here tomorrow.

00:33:02.520 Till then, God bless you, and may God bless America.

00:33:07.040 God bless you, and may God bless you, and may God bless you.

The Great America Show - October 30, 2022

GOP ESTABLISHMENT HATES MASTRIANO BECAUSE THEY HATE TRUMP YET MASTRIANO IS STILL CLOSING THE RACE

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript