The Great America Show - September 23, 2022


IT’S A FIGHT BETWEEN CONSERVATIVES & MARXISTS & A BIG BATTLE BETWEEN LEFT AND RIGHT POLLSTERS


Episode Stats

Length

32 minutes

Words per Minute

151.17311

Word Count

4,942

Sentence Count

289

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

4


Summary

Robert K. Cahaley, the most accurate pollster in the past three election cycles, joins Lou Dobbs to discuss the latest polling numbers, the opioid crisis in Texas, and why Joe Biden's immigration plan is a bad idea.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hello everybody and welcome to the Great America Show. I'm Lou Dobbs, a big development in Texas
00:00:06.140 that's a reason for all of us to hope we can begin to regain control of our lives
00:00:10.860 and save tens of thousands of American lives from the fentanyl drug dealers.
00:00:16.920 In the great state of Texas, Governor Greg Abbott has taken a major step forward
00:00:21.580 to combat the rampant spread of the fentanyl drug trade.
00:00:25.700 Governor Abbott has issued an executive order designating the Mexican drug cartels
00:00:31.500 as foreign terrorist organizations and directed the Texas Department of Public Safety
00:00:37.640 to take immediate action against the cartels. Governor Abbott said, quote,
00:00:43.620 in order to save our country, particularly our next generation, we must do more to get fentanyl
00:00:50.300 off our streets, end quote. Governor Abbott deserves great credit for his courageous leadership
00:00:56.400 and we can only hope that President Biden will follow his example. Well done, Governor Abbott.
00:01:03.600 President Biden's wide open southern border has been crossed by at least 2 million,
00:01:08.500 perhaps as many as 5 million, illegal immigrants since Biden took office. And Biden has the temerity
00:01:15.960 to say it's not rational to deport those illegals. But I guess in Joe's impaired mind,
00:01:22.060 it is rational for American citizens to be paying for them, paying for their housing, their food,
00:01:28.600 shelter, education for their kids, and of course, their health care. Paying all of that for the
00:01:34.600 illegal immigrants and then having their own expenses pushed higher. Prices pressured higher by more
00:01:41.100 illegals, driving demand for cars, food, fuel, housing prices, and rents. And what happens,
00:01:48.600 Mr. Biden, when we don't have jobs for all of those people? You think they'll run back to their
00:01:53.640 homelands or stay here and live on our welfare system? Never mind, Joe, it's it's complicated.
00:02:00.700 Hopefully we'll be able to simplify things for old Joe come November 8th. Wow, only 45 days away from
00:02:07.380 the election now. It'll be here before we know it. And to give us his reading on the body politic
00:02:12.780 and tell us where this election is headed. One of my favorite folks, our guest today is Robert Cahaley,
00:02:19.720 the head of the Trafalgar Group, the most accurate pollster in the past three election cycles,
00:02:25.460 a great American, of course. And here now is Robert Cahaley. Robert, great to have you back with us.
00:02:31.700 Always instructive, always enlightening. And let's begin with what you are most impressed with in
00:02:37.960 your latest round of polling. Well, I think what we're seeing is this kind of a movement away
00:02:48.320 from the center of the unaffiliated and the swing voters much more in line with where the Republicans
00:02:57.840 are. And this, this is not completely unexpected with everything that's going on in the country.
00:03:05.640 But I think that there's some traditional polling errors that are continuing. You know, some of it's
00:03:13.200 on purpose, on purpose. Some of it are just mistakes. But there's a battle going on. As much as there's a battle
00:03:23.020 on state by state, there's a battle going on among people putting out polls, because there are those
00:03:30.800 who are agenda driven on the left, whether it's media outlets or some of the universities who
00:03:39.860 are trying very hard to keep the American public from see from accepting that the Republicans are going
00:03:51.100 to have a big year. They've tried to re-counter the narrative by just overwhelming the polling
00:03:57.240 averages with polls that, frankly, aren't legit. That are, you know, I always say that polls are designed
00:04:05.200 to either reflect the electorate or affect the electorate. And so what I see is a lot of stuff
00:04:12.900 coming out there that's designed to confuse people. This fascination and pushing of the
00:04:19.360 generic ballot, like it is some in doubt beat all. The generic ballot is as predictive of who's going
00:04:28.260 to win Congress as the popular vote is of who's going to win the president. It doesn't matter,
00:04:34.240 because it is state by state and it's district by district. And so it would be like ignoring this,
00:04:43.560 the state by state polls in the presidential election and just focused on the popular voter
00:04:47.640 doesn't make any sense. Exactly. And you've said a number of things. It piques my curiosity. And one is
00:04:54.880 trying to, uh, talking about trying to, uh, effectively influence the, the, the result on
00:05:03.080 November 8th by their reporting of polls, uh, which means the polls are absolutely worthless in some
00:05:11.120 cases. Uh, we know yours are when not, excuse me, the most accurate among the most accurate.
00:05:17.740 And we're also now suddenly hearing and seeing stories and headlines, uh, again, left-wing Marxist
00:05:26.280 dim disinformation. Make no mistake about it. Anybody, this audience knows that the U S government,
00:05:32.680 uh, is bar none, the chief disinformation source in this country. Next up is the, uh, left-wing,
00:05:42.020 the Marxist dim party. We're seeing, we're seeing more headlines saying, Robert, that, uh, Biden is
00:05:50.640 making a creating of energy and making a move and there's momentum. Um, when just a month ago,
00:05:57.460 we were all talking about the red wave and the possibility of a red tsunami. Give us the straight
00:06:05.140 dope. Well, the straight dope is, let's just cut through all the nonsense and let's look at,
00:06:11.460 let's look at four good barometer states. Okay. So we're going to talk about the difference between
00:06:19.440 August and September. In August, all the polling showed Herschel Walker down double digits.
00:06:25.360 In September, we, we had Herschel up, uh, eight tenths of a point. Emerson now has him up by two
00:06:34.300 and insider advantage has Walker up by three. There is no, that's three in a row, uh, you know,
00:06:42.760 three completely different systems. And certainly no one would accuse Emerson college of being in line
00:06:48.940 with, uh, either insider advantage or Matt tower or, or us, uh, Pennsylvania, same situation. Uh,
00:06:58.180 Dr. Oz losing, you know, real bad. He's down 11, 12. We came out and said he was only losing by,
00:07:06.060 uh, I think it was four and there was one. Sorry, Robert losing by four. We were roundly criticized.
00:07:14.760 And then within a few weeks, within a few days, uh, Quinnipiac and Emerson, I think came up at four
00:07:20.980 and five. So again, that is a race moving in the right direction, uh, for Dr. Oz that was written
00:07:29.680 off, uh, another race that, uh, that we've never, we thought was competitive. Uh, there's a suggestion
00:07:36.360 that, um, uh, JD Vance was losing in Ohio, but now you've had three solid polls, all showing
00:07:42.940 consistent leads four or five points each. And, uh, look at, in Arizona, you're hearing stuff about
00:07:51.540 how the Senate Republicans and all were backing off of away from masters. And, you know, we came out
00:07:58.760 and said that, uh, that race was in four or roundly criticized, uh, within a few days, uh, insider
00:08:05.820 advantage that it was six and Emerson said it was two averaging back to our four. So those are
00:08:12.880 four races that are a lot better than they were a month ago. And, uh, you know, you look at places
00:08:22.180 like Nevada and we got, uh, consistently the Republicans winning. And so what I would tell
00:08:29.200 you is I think that they have tried to create a narrative at a point when, uh, very few people
00:08:36.700 are paying attention, which is August. Uh, now people are starting to kind of pay attention,
00:08:41.940 uh, in the specific case of the race in Pennsylvania, uh, out of just good taste,
00:08:48.380 people were pretty much leaving Fetterman alone while he healed. You know, nobody was beating the
00:08:54.280 guy up for three months after the primary. No one was laying off of Oz in those three months,
00:09:00.300 mind you. So now that Fetterman's getting a little taste of what Oz has been getting a taste of,
00:09:05.500 that one's tightening. And, and so what we're seeing is this movement back toward, it's going
00:09:13.420 to be a good day for Republicans. We're, we're seeing, you know, even polls that aren't very good
00:09:19.180 are starting to acknowledge that no, the economy is number one. It is not abortion. That people are
00:09:25.620 talking about the border. People are talking about, uh, you know, how green new deal and you're making
00:09:32.840 their top five climate change and making their top five and add to that. What we think is the single
00:09:42.140 biggest thing that's happened this, uh, fall to affect the elections, uh, has been this, uh, student
00:09:49.080 loan forgiveness. We've never, never, nothing this year has evoked more, uh,
00:09:55.620 just visceral rejection and, and people being upset as that, you know, people in America are very
00:10:02.880 generous. Nobody minds helping somebody who's in need, but the idea of asking somebody who's working
00:10:10.060 with their hands for a living to help out someone more affluent than pay off their college loans,
00:10:15.920 that just doesn't taste right. And the other thing we found is when we talk to people who receive the
00:10:23.600 loans or are planning to get the money, they're saying things like, Oh, I owed $120,000 and now I owe
00:10:32.220 110. Thanks, Joe. You covered a semester. Awesome. Yeah. Yeah. It's, this is a, right now, this is a society,
00:10:42.240 I think generally, and I'm just speaking from my own personal perspective, but I think America right now
00:10:48.760 as a society in the throes, uh, of a, a, a vast sickness, uh, whether it's moral or whether it is
00:10:57.340 ethical, whether it is legal, uh, whether it is political, uh, we have lost sight of who runs this
00:11:05.200 country. We have lost sight of how this country is to be run, uh, because the, the left of this country
00:11:12.380 is carrying out every day, the most intensive disinformation campaign ever directed at the
00:11:18.120 United States of America. I don't know if that can show up in your polling, uh, but I think it's,
00:11:23.420 it's certainly, uh, in my judgment, uh, obvious as, uh, the nose on our faces, uh, that that's what's
00:11:30.800 going on. Your thoughts? Well, here's the, here's, here's kind of what our theory is, is, you know,
00:11:37.740 in 2016, you had people who are a little hesitant to tell you who they were for, you know, we call
00:11:42.920 them shy Trump voters. They, they've been referred to as, as deplorables and smelly Walmart shoppers and
00:11:50.920 such. And so they didn't want to be judged. And so the social desirability bias kind of led people to
00:11:57.100 not being full forthright about who they were supporting by 2020 cancel culture was in full
00:12:03.040 speed and people were just, you know, kind of checking out. They were, they weren't really
00:12:08.660 taking, they were trying, they didn't want to tell you their opinion. They were, they were kind of,
00:12:14.500 a lot of them were laying out of polls or they were saying undecided and the polls were getting it
00:12:21.640 wrong because the Republicans they were able to get, the ones that really wanted to take a poll
00:12:28.080 were the never Trump Republicans. So they were taking a very small subset of Republicans who were
00:12:33.420 easier to get to participate in a poll and artificially growing their numbers because they were easier to
00:12:39.940 reach. Uh, in 2022, I think you have a whole different thing with what Biden has done with, uh,
00:12:46.700 going after MAGA Republicans. What I see developing is what I call submerged voters. Uh,
00:12:53.600 these are voters that are just, they are very, very wary about anybody, uh, knowing what their
00:13:01.660 position is. Uh, you know, now they're seeing people, but there's canceled, uh, doxed, uh, you know,
00:13:09.360 having their house toilet papered, whatever. So they're not putting signs in the yard,
00:13:14.480 they're not putting stickers on their cars, but they're not posting their opinions on social
00:13:18.360 media and they're not taking polls. They are submerged. I mean, they are literally below
00:13:23.400 periscope depth until election day and nobody's going to have any clue what they're doing. And
00:13:28.320 they're going to be hard, uh, virtually impossible to poll even for us because we're not going to
00:13:34.400 have to get them. And so I think they're checking out of these polls and we're, we're seeing it.
00:13:41.660 And let me, let me give you just anecdotal from us. We're known around the country, uh, people who
00:13:47.920 find themselves conservatives know us and trust us. So every day now when we're sending out polls,
00:13:53.360 we're getting people will call us or email us or text us and say, is this really y'all? I just got a
00:13:59.720 call. They said this, is this really you? Somebody snapshotted one of our email polls said,
00:14:05.180 I wanted to answer it, but I didn't know whether it was somebody pretending to be you.
00:14:10.160 I mean, that is the level of skepticism people have. And I'm not saying it's not right. I'm not
00:14:15.960 saying it's not justified, but the fact that they don't even want to participate in a poll
00:14:20.980 because they're worried is someone trying to gather information on them that isn't really a
00:14:26.340 poll that's pretending to be us tells you exactly kind of the atmosphere we're in right now.
00:14:32.520 Yeah. It's abject fear in my opinion, Robert, abject fear. And that is precisely what Joe Biden,
00:14:41.160 the Marxist Dems, uh, who are his masters and who run the Democrat party intended and the deep state.
00:14:47.560 When you see the president of the United States, uh, the FBI swarm his home and, uh, search and
00:14:57.500 seized documents and his, in the offices, his offices in his home in Mar-a-Lago, there is nothing
00:15:04.540 left. Uh, when you see a congressman, uh, his phone confiscated by the FBI, as he's standing at his,
00:15:12.860 uh, front door of his vacation, uh, residence, this is outrageous. And we're a Mike Lindell,
00:15:19.740 uh, accosted by a dozen agents, three cars that block his path. Uh, in a, uh, I believe it was a
00:15:27.760 Chick-fil-A, uh, uh, Hardee's, uh, another great institution, Hardee's. I love their biscuits and
00:15:33.960 gravy. Uh, it is, uh, it's, it's, it's a time for every one of us to be afraid. If we're not afraid for
00:15:41.880 the Republic right now, we're, uh, we're not being rational. And I am deeply fearful for this
00:15:49.080 Republic and for our prospects. I think that's what you're seeing. It's fear. Absolutely. And the
00:15:55.640 thing is, Hey, a congressman is one thing, but Mike Lindell is, is a private citizen with a, with an
00:16:04.500 opinion. Like if he says something that's famatory, okay, companies can sue him, but that doesn't
00:16:12.800 involve the FBI. Since when is holding an opinion, an opinion worthy of this? I mean, what, what,
00:16:23.860 what is, what my fear is as an American is we're going to go from submerged voters to people who are
00:16:33.340 so convinced the government's going to know how they vote, but they're not going to vote, or they're
00:16:39.360 going to vote the way that they're supposed to vote. And that's the threat to democracy. Yeah. You're
00:16:44.960 talking about a Marxist Disneyland when that is the result, because that is the result they're seeking,
00:16:49.980 obviously, uh, just as, uh, some have said that January 6th is an exercise to show all conservatives
00:16:58.320 in this country, all independents, all Republicans, all patriots, that they better not come to
00:17:04.960 Washington DC, uh, with their nonsensical beliefs and the fundamental good of this country, uh, and
00:17:11.800 believe in faith, family, uh, and, uh, their, their country. It is so disturbing to me to see this go on.
00:17:22.060 And I, and I think most people are so shocked too. Uh, some of the folks I've talked with can't believe
00:17:28.060 the dimension of what we're seeing. Uh, and I want to go to that point, uh, because we saw this in the
00:17:34.300 silent majority of, uh, decades ago, uh, when the silent majority couldn't be polled. And I hear you
00:17:42.180 saying that despite all of these positive numbers for Republican candidates, that there is potential
00:17:48.340 that it could be even a stronger result, uh, actually on election day. Yes. I mean, and,
00:17:56.220 and, and I think it's, it, what we're seeing is just because people are so hesitant. I mean,
00:18:02.460 these voters are, like I said, these, they're, they're submerged. They're, they're, they're radio
00:18:08.220 silent, you know? I mean, they're off, they're off the coast of Greenland. We have no idea where
00:18:13.440 they are. I mean, they, they're, they're submerged until their mission's done and they're not coming up.
00:18:18.340 No air, no periscope depth, nothing. They're down there and they're, they're not going to do
00:18:22.220 another thing. They don't want to share any opinions. They don't want to talk about it.
00:18:26.480 They just want to, I mean, right now they're so angry and there's only one way to scratch that
00:18:32.380 itch and it's to vote. Uh, absolutely. And we're hearing this folks from the pollster who has the
00:18:40.920 best record of identifying Republican voters and including him, them in his polling, which if this is
00:18:48.280 fair for me to say, you correct me, uh, and if I'm correct, expand on it, finding Republican voters.
00:18:55.300 And that is one of the reasons your polls are considered, uh, if not the most accurate amongst
00:19:00.940 the top three most accurate polls every time, every cycle.
00:19:04.420 Well, I mean, these, these kinds of, you know, they identified as shy voters. I mean, that once
00:19:09.600 because we, you know, we have some good techniques to kind of build a comfort level and to get them to
00:19:14.820 be honest, a little more honest than they are with most polls. Uh, and they're just, you know,
00:19:20.240 we're not going to share all the techniques, but they've proven very well. And, and yeah, we,
00:19:25.940 we, we, we're very proud to have the lowest error rate of any of the, of the national polling firms
00:19:32.320 for the last three cycles combined. I mean, when we say something, you know, our prediction is,
00:19:37.920 uh, we have a margin of error. Uh, we try to keep ours below three and our error rate is below two
00:19:45.460 and a half. And most of the companies you've, you're familiar with are in the fours and fives.
00:19:51.440 Yeah, absolutely. Uh, let's go through because folks, I think you're going to be interested,
00:19:56.960 very interested, uh, even excited about, uh, what you're going to hear, uh, from the Trafalgar
00:20:03.920 group, uh, and, uh, Robert Cahaly here today, because he has just recently, uh, done some polling
00:20:11.060 in a few of the battleground states. I want to turn first, if I may, to the national issue survey on the
00:20:16.560 divided, uh, uh, versus unified, uh, issue. Tell us about that. Well, you know, the, the, this idea of
00:20:26.720 what everybody's been looking toward is, is the, the country's becoming more, more, more and more
00:20:33.460 divided. And so the, uh, I'm trying to figure which one in particular we're talking about. Um, let's see.
00:20:42.020 Yeah. It's from your, it's from your, uh, convention of the state's action.
00:20:49.020 President Biden promised to unify the country when he first took off.
00:20:52.120 Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. All right. Okay. Let me just read this for the audience very quickly.
00:20:58.040 Do you believe he has unified or divided the country during his time as president?
00:21:04.800 Take it from there, if you will, Robert.
00:21:06.240 Yeah. I'm, again, not staring at that particular one. I've, I've got it like seven from them. Um, so.
00:21:13.600 Okay. Let me, let me just, uh, share the numbers in with everybody. Divided. People say that he has
00:21:19.460 divided the country by a margin of, uh, 31, uh, excuse me, 30. I'm sitting here looking at this
00:21:29.340 myself through my glasses. It's hard to believe 38% of, uh, uh, who, uh, margin for divided the
00:21:37.820 country. There's that, that means there is no ambiguity in the minds of almost anyone about
00:21:42.460 the effect of what Joe Biden has done to the country in less than two years in office.
00:21:48.360 There's no question. And it's, I mean, the whole premise of voting for Joe Biden was,
00:21:57.420 he was going to talk about unity. Yeah. He, he, he was going to bring people together. He was going
00:22:03.180 to, going to unite. And then you see that speech the other night and you're just thinking
00:22:08.220 this, this, this could be in a movie, uh, a version of the book 1984. I mean, any minute I was thinking
00:22:17.800 somebody was going to run up and throw the hammer at the telescreen. I mean, it was like,
00:22:22.540 what in the hell is happening here? It's just hard to believe.
00:22:28.580 And we, and again, we're hearing these words from one of the most, uh, again, the most prominent,
00:22:36.260 uh, Republican pollster in the country and the most prominent pollster period, uh, in my judgment,
00:22:45.540 uh, this is a time for people who are the most sophisticated, uh, uh, politically in our country
00:22:53.700 are just as bewildered as the rest of us, that this is our current reality in this short a timeframe.
00:23:01.240 Uh, it is, it is, it's almost impossible to assimilate. So I blame no one who does not pay
00:23:09.280 constant attention to the politics, to the economics, uh, and to the poll, the politics of
00:23:15.960 it all. Their heads have got to be swimming in disbelief. You've got a certain segment of the
00:23:24.380 population, some older, more liable voters who are just, just bewildered. They don't really,
00:23:34.840 they can't believe this is the country. And just as we've seen parents be very upset about the
00:23:44.100 children that are learning. And it's almost like, and we saw, we saw the parent thing really start in
00:23:51.600 the, in the summer of 2020 before anybody was really talking about this, uh, in 2021, like it
00:23:58.120 infected the governor's race in Virginia. And for us, the flashpoint, what people started
00:24:04.780 mentioned to us was when they were, uh, trying to tear down the Andrew Jackson statue in front of
00:24:10.440 the white house. Right. And what parents were telling us is their kids were like, isn't he a bad
00:24:16.700 guy? And the parents were like, what? Andrew Jackson's a bad guy now. And that was shocking to the
00:24:23.980 parents that now this guy's been painted as a bad guy. So parents kind of started to have this
00:24:28.700 sneaking feeling that kind of a brand new perspective of looking at the country was being
00:24:36.360 taught to their kids and that eventually it would go mainstream. And guess what? It got here faster
00:24:42.460 than anyone thought. Yes. And I think in a strange way, we're probably very fortunate that it did
00:24:51.140 because now there's no excuse for any American not to know that his or her children are being accosted
00:24:59.100 by their teachers as early as five years of age, uh, by some teachers who want to talk about sex and
00:25:07.500 gender, uh, to them in the classroom. And, uh, all one has to do is think back to the, the, the crazy
00:25:16.180 letter from the national school boards association, uh, carrying the nonsense of the Biden administration
00:25:24.520 and the left wing agenda on, uh, indoctrination of our children. This has, by the way, that set the,
00:25:32.520 the precedent for everything that followed, uh, a coordinated weaponization of the department of
00:25:39.440 education, the, uh, the, uh, the white house itself, school boards, uh, it was in league with the
00:25:47.500 democratic party. I mean, people no longer should be surprised by anything that the democratic party
00:25:53.800 is involved in. Uh, I want, I want to turn to Michigan, Ohio, New York, and Georgia very quickly,
00:25:59.180 because these polls are so powerful in the result in their, in terms of their interest to our audience.
00:26:06.360 Let's go, let me start with Michigan, uh, and a race there, uh, between, uh, DiPerno, DiPerno,
00:26:14.660 the Republican and Nessel, the incumbent Democrat on the AG ballot. One of the most important races in
00:26:21.320 the country and every state is going to be the attorney general race. Those numbers, uh, show about a
00:26:27.540 1%, 1.8% margin. Uh, tell us what's going on there because frankly, DiPerno has been, uh, ignored,
00:26:35.780 if not opposed by the Republican national organization. And he seems to be closing the
00:26:41.920 gaps, uh, clearly in the state of Michigan. Well, I think what, what, I'm not sure which
00:26:50.000 national or Republican organizations are, uh, we're talking about here as far as opposing it. There's
00:26:56.960 so many of these are so-called Republican organizations nationwide, but what I think we're seeing is
00:27:04.060 in Michigan, especially people lived really through a lot of tough things with COVID and
00:27:13.040 everything else. And Gretchen Whitmer is a lot less popular than people realize too. Now, Michigan's
00:27:19.420 fighting hard and they, they put a, uh, uh, some sort of, uh, language about abortion and, uh, some
00:27:27.400 guarantee of, of access to abortion on the ballot, uh, trying to influence who, who turns out in the
00:27:35.460 fall. And, and I, I'll be honest, it might be successful, uh, that they, they might generate a
00:27:41.560 turnout that, that will not, you know, bear this out. But what we're seeing is this, this is a very
00:27:47.140 competitive race right now. Uh, it's, it's, you know, 40, 48, uh, eight to 47. So, I mean, we're
00:27:54.960 talking two points and, uh, you know, our last governor's race wasn't quite that tight. So, uh,
00:28:02.420 this is a little tighter and, and, you know, Nussel's been particularly bad. Whitmer is not, uh,
00:28:09.420 particularly not, not as polarizing as Nussel is, but, uh, so that, that we're, we're certainly
00:28:16.820 seeing that, uh, that's demonstrated in these polls. Well, let's take a little, uh, look at a
00:28:24.380 number of issues. You mentioned student loans earlier. Uh, this is a huge poll on, uh, student
00:28:30.820 loan, a, a huge and important, uh, uh, question, uh, which you ask, are you more or less likely
00:28:37.600 to vote for a political candidate who supports, uh, President Biden's student loan? Much less
00:28:43.360 likely, 49%, much more likely, uh, about 31%. That is a huge margin and clearly, uh, an electoral
00:28:52.660 mistake, uh, based on your polling. Absolutely. And, uh, and that's what I was saying at the
00:28:58.920 beginning of the show. I think this is the single biggest mistake they've made. And, uh, Attorney
00:29:04.900 General in Ohio, we see the Republican, uh, there, uh, just clobbering the Democrat. Uh,
00:29:13.600 we see a tight race, as I said, in Michigan, uh, with Attorney General, uh, with DiPerno.
00:29:20.620 As we look at the National Issues Survey, to go to GOP confidence right now, the question
00:29:26.200 was, have Republicans made a strong enough case for your vote? Yes is 34%. No is 56%.
00:29:33.900 How does that square up with the rest of your polling? Well, it, it spares up in the sense
00:29:39.840 that we have a, um, um, we have the, the, this GOP momentum that, that it's there. And so
00:29:52.680 that they are, um, people are ready, but they haven't made the argument. Can, can the Republican
00:30:03.880 win this election by simply rejecting the Democrats in charge? Yes. Could the Republicans
00:30:13.340 win by a bigger margin and pick up more things on the periphery if they made a better case
00:30:18.160 for what they'll do different? Absolutely. There's room to grow because, you know, right
00:30:24.320 now this is just the rejection of the Democrats and Biden, but this could be an embrace of another
00:30:30.320 plan. There just isn't a good cohesive other plan out there yet. Schumer privately admitting
00:30:36.020 Dems could lose the house. He says Trump will win. Uh, when the, when Schumer admits that
00:30:42.640 Republicans could, uh, I mean, Democrats could lose the house. That sounds very good to me
00:30:48.100 because that's not the kind of statement I expect him to make ever. Your thoughts as we
00:30:52.360 close up here. And she, we're talking about the house or the Senate Senate. I'm sorry. We're
00:30:57.060 talking about Senator Schumer saying that about the house. Okay. So Schumer is talking about
00:31:02.440 the house still. All right. Yeah. Um, I, I think it's strong. I, I, I think it'd be a little
00:31:09.880 stronger if he thought that way about the Senate, but I think that, uh, I think the Republicans
00:31:13.980 are going to win this. I'm not even concerned about what the Republicans win the house. I think
00:31:19.240 the Republicans win the Senate as well. Wow. That is, uh, that is a powerful statement.
00:31:26.320 Uh, let me ask you, by how many seats since we've gone that far?
00:31:32.700 One or two. Um, if it's, if there's a limited amount of submerged voters, um,
00:31:44.640 high watermark of four, if there's a whole lot of them.
00:31:47.700 Wow. That is quite, quite a, uh, a forecast. Uh, I, and we appreciate you sharing it with
00:31:55.280 our audience here on the great America show is always Robert. Uh, I, I know you're busy
00:32:00.240 as you can possibly be right now. We thank you for your time. We look forward to our next
00:32:04.200 visit and your next poll, uh, which will be in the next few days. So thanks so much.
00:32:09.260 Robert Cahaly of the Trafalgar group, a great American. Thanks Robert.
00:32:13.760 Thank you. As always an honor. Appreciate it, sir. Thanks everybody for being with us today.
00:32:19.860 Tomorrow. Our guest will be a great American who's been battling political corruption in Michigan
00:32:24.460 since the election of 2020. Matt DiPerno is still fighting the Marxist Dems running to be the next
00:32:32.020 attorney general of the great state of Michigan. Please join us here tomorrow. Until then,
00:32:38.040 God bless you and may God bless America.