In this episode, Sam Harris joins me to talk about jiu-jitsu, debate, and his new book, The Joe Rogan Experience: A Jiu-Jitsu Journey. We talk about how he got started in jiu jitsu, how he started his YouTube channel, and what it's like being a martial artist and a podcaster at the same time. We also talk about why he thinks jiujitsu is a better martial arts than boxing, and how he thinks debate is better than it really is. And, of course, we talk about his book, which is out now. If you haven't read it yet, you should definitely do so. It's a great read, and it's a must-listen, especially if you're a martial arts fan like me. You won't want to miss this one! I'm sure you'll agree that it's worth the price of admission if you've ever watched one of Sam's videos, or watched a bunch of them. I mean, who doesn't like debate, right? It's one of the most fun things I've ever done, and one of my favorite things to do in general, and I think it's probably the most intellectually challenging thing I've done to date. Thanks to Sam for coming on the pod, and for taking the time to talk to me about it. I hope you enjoy it. -Joe Rogan -Jon Sorrentino and Sam Harris (and the rest of the crew at The JuiJiuJitsu Experience Podcast and the book he wrote about it, "Training by Day by Day: A Journey by Night by Night, a Book by Day, a Podcast by Night All Day by Night" by Sam Harris, and much more. (The Juijitsu Journey: A Book About Jiu Jitsu, a Journey by Sam's Journey, a Guide to the JiuJitsu Revolution, a Journalist's Journey by the Jiujitsu Experience, and a lot more! ) --Jon and Sam discuss the importance of debate and the value of debate in the martial arts world, and why it's more fun than it's work, not less important than it actually being fun, and the most important thing than it gets you to think about what you should be doing than you're doing it in real life. --The importance of a good time, not more than that.
00:00:19.000The Joe Rogan experience train by day Joe Rogan podcast by night all day Yeah, we have music It's ridiculous, but it makes me feel like something's actually happening.
00:01:30.000There's Gracie in Action 1 and 2. It's basically just compilations of home videos that they have.
00:01:37.000Of really, for martial artists, really brilliant stuff to watch.
00:01:41.000Because, you know, until the Gracies came along, nobody really knew that there was one guy out there that could just sort of manhandle people like that and just strangle them and choke them.
00:01:49.000That there was one martial art that was so superior when it came to a grappling situation that you would watch those and you'd almost feel bad for the guy getting strangled, but not really.
00:01:57.000That's how I feel when I watch a lot of your debates.
00:02:09.000It's like you're fighting an army of zombies that they've lost, but they can't be forced to admit that they've lost.
00:02:16.000It must be a very bizarre thing for you, because as far as people who have spent hours and hours debating publicly, debating the merits of the idea of religion, you might be top ten on YouTube of all the different information that's available.
00:02:32.000Have you ever seen anybody in all these different debates you've been in where you knock something into their head and you see a light go off?
00:02:45.000People are pretty good about not having epiphanies in real time in front of you.
00:02:50.000You can see people get uncomfortable and you can see them want to make a lateral move to a new subject.
00:02:56.000One of the great strategies or one of the less noble but effective strategies of debate is to If you've lost a point, you don't concede it.
00:03:07.000You just kind of move on to something else and hope no one notices.
00:03:11.000And in a formal debate format, there's often no mechanism for your opponent to score that as conquered ground because you can't address each other in real time.
00:03:50.000You get a clinch and the ref separates you.
00:03:53.000And so you can't really test every tool in that context.
00:04:01.000So you can just kind of talk past each other and not address the thing that was brought up ten minutes ago and it never really gets scored.
00:04:08.000So it's amazingly unsatisfying even when you feel like you have said exactly what you should have said.
00:04:45.000It becomes something that defines you.
00:04:48.000A lot of people are defined by their ideas, especially when it comes to their religion or their politics.
00:04:54.000They're defined by them to the point where they act within certain parameters because they think that's what you're supposed to do if you're on this team.
00:05:29.000And it really becomes a big part of how they view.
00:05:33.000And if you want to take that away from them, it's like, you know...
00:05:37.000Yeah, so you can see that when you're having the discussion, it's especially obvious in a debate format because basically nobody has any hope that either side is going to change their mind in the context of the debate.
00:05:51.000I mean, they've come there to represent their views, and they've got so much invested in doing that as well as they can that even if their mind was changed, they're not going to admit it.
00:06:01.000So it's not really an honest discussion.
00:06:03.000When you are having an honest discussion, let's say one-on-one with somebody of deep conviction about faith, you can see the emotional hijacking of the conversation on their side very quickly.
00:06:17.000It's basically like debating whether their wife is attractive or something.
00:06:24.000And it's no longer about the ideas or evidence.
00:06:27.000And so it's one skill, which admittedly I don't have such a firm grasp on, but one skill to acquire just as a person is to figure out how to have these conversations where you're being as rational and intellectually honest as possible, but you're actually making the right jujitsu moves around people's emotional response.
00:07:15.000Yeah, but that is what is brilliant about pure comedy.
00:07:19.000Because if you make someone laugh at themself or at the idea that they would otherwise defend, that actually is a visible sign that you have made contact.
00:07:33.000And you don't get that when you're playing it totally straight.
00:07:50.000It's fascinating to watch the psychological wheels spin, you know, when people really get behind an idea, whether it's religion or whatever the fuck it is, when they really get behind it to the point where, you know, they're not budging at all.
00:08:09.000Well, yeah, insofar as someone really believes something and the beliefs have any point of contact with behavior and the rest of physical reality, I think it's the most consequential thing.
00:08:22.000I think what people believe is that is the The lever that moves most things in our world.
00:08:32.000It's the laws we write and the laws we choose to truly defend.
00:08:37.000They're all just ideas that have a certain number of subscribers.
00:08:42.000Is it possible that religion in its form is useful for some people because they're just, whether it's psychologically, they need some scaffolding, whether it's, you know, to use it as a tool, not to use it to control anyone, but to use it as like a personal growth tool.
00:09:22.000So far as you're pretending to be certain about something you shouldn't be certain about, And then teaching your kids to do that, that's just a problem for our conversation with one another as human beings.
00:09:33.000There's all this other stuff that people are attached to that isn't inherently problematic.
00:09:46.000They like to think about certain historic figures who they have this sort of emotional bonding with.
00:09:51.000They love the stories about Jesus in the New Testament.
00:09:56.000All of that is—some of that could be intrinsically good.
00:10:00.000I mean, if you get the right—you get beautiful buildings and beautiful music and a reason to come together and holidays.
00:10:05.000So I think we actually want something very much like that in secular culture.
00:10:10.000And we, I think, are suffering from— The fact that we don't have an obvious alternative, a secular, reasonable alternative to that, that we can just point religious people to and say, you know, how come you're not doing that?
00:10:24.000You know, this has everything you want without the bullshit.
00:10:36.000It would become someone trying to fuck everybody's wife.
00:10:39.000Well, that comes when someone's at the top who has the eternal wisdom and is imparting it to you, and part of that process of dispensation is to fuck your wife.
00:10:52.000There's actually a story I think I had told in an end note of the end of faith.
00:10:58.000I knew some guys who brought out a guru from India.
00:11:02.000Who they just thought was just the, quite literally, the messiah.
00:11:39.000So he would lead these kirtans, these devotional chanting sessions where he would drum and people would get quite out of their minds and happy.
00:11:49.000So they were just worshipping this guy.
00:14:08.000Well, I just think the principle is that Peaceful, honest people have the right to be left alone.
00:14:15.000If you're not harming other people and you're not stealing from them, and you're honoring your contracts, we can define what all that means.
00:14:25.000But if you are not infringing on other people's happiness, then you should have the right to be left alone.
00:14:31.000And what that means is we as a society shouldn't want The police to kick in the door of a peaceful, honest person to stop him from doing whatever it is he's doing.
00:14:43.000Smoking pot or whatever victimless crime is currently illegal.
00:14:48.000And if you draw the line there, I think you get a very sane Response or a very sane idea of the limits of state power.
00:14:58.000It's all about mitigating harm and keeping people safe.
00:15:06.000There's a trade-off between freedom and risk.
00:15:12.000There's a tension between, let's say, the right to privacy and finding actual terrorists.
00:15:22.000You know, so it's like if we wanted to maximize, we're going to find everyone who's a terrorist, well then we would just, there'd be no such thing as privacy, and the government could read all our email and look in our windows, etc.
00:15:33.000So there's a tension there, and we have to keep finding the sweet spot.
00:15:39.000But it's a tension that everyone should recognize.
00:15:42.000So do you think that these new laws that are being passed, like the NDAA, do you think that that's, the idea is that as the population increases, as Is crime going to keep up or pick up to a point where they're going to need something like this?
00:15:56.000When you think of someone being able to detain people without warrants and not even have to inform their family, that could be an American citizen.
00:16:05.000At what point in time would that be effective?
00:16:07.000Yeah, I don't see—and again, this is not really my area to have a very strong opinion, so I would be open to any counterargument on this, but I've never seen the wisdom or necessity of infringing on our existing laws to fight the war on terror.
00:16:28.000So the idea that the people at Guantanamo—I understand that different things apply— On a battlefield and in a crime-fighting scenario in the States.
00:16:40.000But why people don't have the right to counsel or the right to see the evidence against them, it seems like if they're guilty, they'll let the truth shine on the data.
00:16:54.000Well, what always hurt is that growing up, there was always a problem with Russia and there was always this idea that we could go to war with Russia.
00:17:02.000But there was a really strong belief amongst people that we were the good guys.
00:17:19.000Now it seems like as the age of information has gotten us to this 2012 date, like where we're at right now, it's so easy to get information.
00:17:28.000People are just so much more cynical about their intentions.
00:17:30.000So if you see laws like this, what's the motivation to crack down more on civil liberties?
00:17:36.000Is it just to make it easier for them?
00:17:44.000Well, it is fear and some perception of the necessity of taking the friction out of the system, the system that would keep us safe or respond to an attack or detect an attack.
00:18:00.000When you think about what the president's daily briefing must look like, it's got to be absolutely terrifying.
00:18:08.000The reality of the prospect of nuclear terrorism, once you actually just put those goggles on and say, yes, nuclear nonproliferation is more or less a lost cause.
00:18:23.000I mean, the technology is spreading, the material is spreading.
00:18:27.000You've got 30,000 out-of-work scientists in the former Soviet Union who are not taken care of, who have every economic incentive to not be entirely ethical.
00:18:40.000So if you feel, as many people do, that it's just a matter of time, A nuke in some form gets into the hands of terrorists, and we have a massively porous border.
00:18:53.000The joke is if you want to get nukes into the U.S., you just hide it in a bale of marijuana.
00:18:58.000We can't fight the war on drugs, so the idea that we can keep everything out is pretty much a pipe dream.
00:19:08.000When you start thinking about the idea of a nuke going off in a major American city, and forget about the loss of life, just what would that do to the world economy?
00:19:17.000It's easy to see how the paranoia ramps up.
00:19:20.000These are obviously hard calls to make for anyone.
00:19:27.000Just imagine the day after an act of terrorism, orders of magnitude bigger than September 11th.
00:19:36.000To have to talk about the reasons why we didn't do all these things that we could have done to keep us safe.
00:19:43.000I share your concerns about infringing on civil liberties, but it's just...
00:19:50.000The way you look at it, it's scarier on the other side.
00:19:56.000I think the threat of nuclear terrorism is quite real.
00:20:02.000And anyone who thinks that it's not, or that's just fear-mongering, I just think it's not reading the books or papers of experts whose job it is to actually worry about this.
00:20:49.000It's a problem, actually, I don't know that much about.
00:20:51.000I mean, my file on what we should do is pretty thin, but it's pretty clear that, you know, every time I'm in an airport and I see some old Norwegian lady who obviously is not a terrorist submitting to the same search as somebody who looks like Osama bin Laden, it seems like a misallocation of attentional resources.
00:23:10.000I haven't responded entirely rationally to that information.
00:23:14.000Well, with all the different books that you've written about religion and all the different debates that you've gotten into with people about it, I mean, you can't have a rosy view of how this is gonna turn out.
00:23:25.000Do you think it's possible that the human race can pull out of this crazy dilemma we're in right now and move to the next level?
00:23:32.000The truth is I actually don't think in terms of optimism and pessimism very much.
00:23:39.000I think by default I'm slightly pessimistic, but you've got to live life.
00:23:49.000We all are just trying to find our way toward the high points of of well-being and I think I think culture can change quickly.
00:24:05.000It's easy to deny how risky our situation is, and I think that we shouldn't do that.
00:24:14.000But it's also easy to overlook how quickly we can get our act together.
00:25:18.000I don't think we've fully felt the impact of the internet on culture either, because the first couple generations who grew up exclusively with full access to information like that, they haven't really reached adulthood yet.
00:25:29.000And once these kids that grew up With the internet their entire life and constantly having access to new ideas that aren't, you know, not regional people that they have to talk to, people in their neighborhood, people in their state, but instead being able to talk to people all over the world and get, watch a lot of your shit online, watch a lot of different lectures online.
00:25:48.000I mean, that kind of, there was nothing like that when we were kids.
00:25:51.000The impact of that generation, I think that's going to be pretty substantial.
00:25:55.000When the kids now, I think that's going to be the next big leap of cultural evolution, the internet kids, when they become adults and start running shit.
00:26:03.000I think it's just the attitude online, it does not mirror the attitude that's expressed in laws and the ideas that people have about our society.
00:26:21.000I think the Internet enables two very different antagonistic processes.
00:26:26.000On the one hand, it allows you to Cancel bad ideas very quickly.
00:26:36.000It's very hard to lie about yourself or about anything given access to information.
00:26:40.000So that's very good and it connects people and people can see how other people live and so all of that breaks down barriers between people.
00:26:50.000It also amplifies certain voices in a way that never would have happened before, and they're just terrible voices.
00:26:57.000So, for instance, global jihad, the phenomenon of exporting al-Qaeda-style Islam to the rest of the world more or less without friction, It's entirely an internet phenomenon.
00:27:08.000It's very hard to see that happening the way it has in the last 10 years without the internet.
00:27:16.000Any crazy person with his crazy idea can create a little subculture on the internet and you have this walled garden where People can just talk endlessly in a very self-confirming way, whether it's certain conspiracy theories or just racist subgroups, whatever, and that you just get in there and you never get out.
00:27:41.000And you find enough people who are echoing back your bad ideas that you And the other problem is you never meet these people.
00:27:51.000And then also the role of anonymity online, I think, is pretty destructive.
00:27:57.000I mean, if you've ever read a YouTube comment thread, which I'm sure you have, it's just the most poisonous lunacy.
00:28:18.000Having a lack of any sort of repercussions for shitty behavior, that's not natural for humans.
00:28:25.000It's not natural for humans to be able to affect each other with ideas, without social cues, without feeling the emotions of someone whose feelings you're hurting.
00:28:33.000To be able to do it like this is just so cunty, is what it is.
00:28:37.000And it's not even just internet comment threads or even anonymity.
00:28:44.000This is now trivial to point out, but everyone has sent the email that they shouldn't have sent.
00:28:53.000Watch this, even a very good relationship, unravel based on the fact that you're not being modulated by facial cues when you're dropping these bombs on your friend or your brother or whatever.
00:29:22.000So, when you look at the possibility of nuclear terrorism, and you're a fairly young guy, and you look at all this This insanity and chaos in the world.
00:29:36.000What way do you think is going to be the way out of this?
00:29:41.000What's going to elevate people or make people's ideas evolve to the point where they realize that, you know, this idea is completely ridiculous.
00:29:59.000I think one piece of it is, so actually this connects back with something you said, this idea that we are the good guys and that our enemies aren't.
00:30:12.000There's not actually moral parity between the two sides in these conflicts.
00:30:19.000You know, Guantanamo Bay can make it as bad as you want it.
00:30:22.000It's still true that we're the good guys in this particular conflict.
00:30:26.000And now, I wish we were better than we are.
00:30:30.000And there's obviously some bad guys on our side in any given moment.
00:30:33.000But I think the one thing we have to get past is this The kind of moral relativism that you tend to hear from the left, and I'm very much on the left in almost every respect, but this disempowering idea that we...
00:30:56.000So, for instance, to talk about nuclear bombs, what gives us the right to have nuclear bombs?
00:31:03.000If we are going to have them, Iran should have them.
00:31:06.000We have no argument to keep Iran nuclear-free if we keep bombs ourselves.
00:31:11.000Well, We're very different from Iran at this moment.
00:31:15.000We're not, you know, our president doesn't get in front of the microphone and say that he's going to wipe out, turn a country into a lake of fire.
00:31:22.000And he's not waiting for the messiah to come back and rapture everybody.
00:31:27.000Now if we had a sufficiently crazy president, well then all of a sudden we would have a similar liability.
00:31:38.000We're not prone to use nuclear bombs in a flagrantly crazy, apocalyptic way.
00:31:46.000And from everything Iran says, they certainly seem capable of being just as crazy as we could fear.
00:31:54.000And so that's a difference that we have to just acknowledge.
00:32:01.000And if people who are quite zealous to die People who are literally happy to set off the bomb in their laps just for the pleasure of setting it off.
00:32:15.000That's a very different kind of mind to be engaged with.
00:32:32.000They think you win if you blow the place up at the right moment.
00:32:37.000And the moment you take on board that certain people actually believe that, then you have to play a different game with respect to the risk they pose.
00:32:46.000So what we should do, I think we need to, one, acknowledge that there are very different There are moments of tension in this world, those where we're dealing with rational actors and those where we're dealing with either completely irrational actors or actors where they have an ideology that's motivating them to do things that should be unthinkable.
00:33:12.000Well, I completely agree with you that we have to be aware of religious zealots and we have to be aware of crazy people willing to blow themselves up, but you gotta wonder why they're mad at us in the first place.
00:33:22.000And I agree that for the most part, I mean, I think our idea still sort of holds that we're the good guy in comparison to the rest of the world.
00:33:32.000Does that mean you have to Be a certain amount of evil just to keep up?
00:33:38.000I mean, is that what's fucked up with our foreign policy?
00:33:41.000Is that why we go into places like Iraq with false information about weapons of mass destruction, where there's a clear motivation to get in there?
00:33:48.000Well, I think Iraq, I mean, I'm not going to defend Iraq.
00:33:52.000That, I think, was a stupid war to fight.
00:33:59.000But look at Afghanistan as the clearer case, because we really...
00:34:02.000I think, had to go in after September 11th.
00:34:06.000So you think we had to go in to control Al-Qaeda?
00:34:09.000Well, it was rational to go in and try to kill Osama bin Laden and the rest of the people who brought us September 11th.
00:34:21.000September 11th, to some degree, was a price paid for never having dealt with these people in the first place.
00:34:26.000When you listen to the chatter on their side about how we were a paper tiger, that they could blow up the coal, they could blow up embassies in Kenya, we got bombed in Lebanon and we just left.
00:34:39.000So we were scared of conflict after Vietnam.
00:34:44.000That was noticeable to everyone on their side.
00:34:48.000So to some degree, this problem was just getting bigger and bigger and bigger.
00:34:52.000So do you think it's possible September 11th happened because we didn't invade Iraq earlier?
00:34:57.000Because we didn't go into Afghanistan earlier?
00:34:59.000Well, no, we didn't deal with the threat of jihadi terrorism earlier.
00:35:04.000Weren't they upset in the first place because we have troops on their land?
00:35:09.000Well, you've got to be precise about exactly why that's offensive.
00:35:14.000When you look at why Osama bin Laden and the rest of al-Qaeda were upset, It was because, it was not because, it was not a nationalistic concern of, you know, we're proud Saudis and our...
00:35:31.000I mean, they were, Osama bin Laden was already out of sorts with the Saudi government at that point, and he's...
00:35:41.000Osama and anyone else enamored of this whole notion of global jihad want a global caliphate.
00:35:47.000I mean, this is the idea that we're living in a perverse time where Islam has been derogated and subjugated and has not yet triumphed, and it has a mandate to triumph in this world.
00:36:04.000And so if you really believe that, if you believe that you have to fight to spread the true faith For the glory of God in this life and win the game, you know, Genghis Khan style or more relevantly Muhammad style in this life.
00:36:20.000That dictates a certain kind of grandiosity and arrogance and expansionism.
00:36:27.000And people like Osam bin Laden I really believe that.
00:36:32.000He was free to live a very different life than he lived.
00:36:36.000He didn't have to spend his time in caves scheming to defeat the great Satan.
00:36:42.000He could have just been chilling in Paris.
00:36:51.000How they killed him and threw him in the ocean?
00:36:55.000I haven't thought about what might not be true in it, but I buy the official story that we went in and killed him and what happened to his body.
00:37:39.000These things, operations like that go wrong spectacularly, and everyone knows about it, and they go right sometimes, and it's very difficult to fake it.
00:37:47.000The Pakistanis aren't acting like we faked it.
00:37:50.000They're just pissed that we actually successfully got in there, SEAL Team 6 style, and got out.
00:38:01.000Conspiracy of that sort and especially a bigger one like a 9-11 truth style conspiracy is that it just takes so much perfect collaboration to bring it off and we know that people are so bad at that.
00:38:16.000We know that interests don't align so perfectly.
00:38:18.000We know that there's always somebody who just wants to sell their story to a tabloid or feels guilty about their the part they played or Most likely.
00:38:26.000They're getting divorced and they just can't stop talking.
00:38:29.000And Bill Clinton couldn't keep a semen-stained dress off of the news.
00:38:59.000And when you're a freak of the highest order where you want to be the king of the world and you're whipping your dick out in meetings, he would meet with women and just whip his dick out and run out of the room screaming.
00:40:25.000Again, I'm not saying no one has ever murdered, no one ever conspires, but it's just so easy to manufacture details like that that are then impossible to debunk.
00:40:34.000Like, so how do we know there was no blood at the scene?
00:40:35.000How do we know that some 18-year-old didn't just say that on his website, and now that's the meme that gets spread, and now you have it in your head that there was no blood at the scene?
00:40:44.000So many conspiracies seem to be engineered by that kind of chatter.
00:40:50.000But if you and I wanted to say, okay, we're going to devote the next month of our lives To just knocking down each one of those points, how would we do it?
00:40:58.000So you're going to have to travel to find out whether there was blood at the scene and talk to the local cops.
00:41:04.000It's an endless sinkhole of energy, and yet it just takes a second to set that fire.
00:41:11.000And that's what actually happens in debate, too.
00:41:14.000There are certain people who you debate on the subject of religion.
00:41:18.000Who know that they can start many small fires.
00:41:23.000They're given eight minutes for their side, and they can set 30 small fires, half-truths, untruths, stuff that you really should respond to because it's just false.
00:41:36.000But it takes you so long to put the fires out that you can basically put half of them out, and then you haven't said any of what you came to say, and then they just come back and say, well, he didn't put out fires three, four, eight, and nine, and so he's clearly conceded my points.
00:41:54.000Dinesh D'Souza is an egregious example of that technique.
00:41:59.000It's just, if you ever see he did a debate with Daniel Dennett, which really didn't serve Dan very well because it was a technique that was quite effective.
00:42:13.000He's a fast talker and he can just make a mess and it would take you an hour and a half to clean it up.
00:42:22.000But I absolutely agree with you on everything you've said, but do you think that there are real conspiracies?
00:42:30.000Do you think that every one of these things is bullshit?
00:42:32.000I mean, people clearly do conspire, right?
00:43:24.000With September 11th, it's just the crushing variable.
00:43:32.000We're not prepared to deal with that kind of problem.
00:43:38.000Anyone who thinks this was a conspiracy thinks that At least hundreds, probably thousands of people woke up one day, perfectly normal people, people in the FAA, people in the military, people in government, woke up Perfect psychopaths willing, with a clear conscience, to murder 3,000 of their innocent neighbors.
00:44:03.000This wasn't the poor and disenfranchised of a race that you're not so fond of.
00:44:08.000These are some of those powerful people in our society just blown up one day.
00:44:13.000And all of this was perfectly attuned to leave The person at the top of the conspiracy, presumably, George Bush sitting reading My Pet Goat when the whole thing kicked off.
00:44:26.000And then as a pretext to go into Iraq, first of all, it would have been so much easier to think of a pretext to go into Iraq, but why make it look like that we got bombed or attacked by Saudis and Yemenis and Egyptians, which in fact...
00:44:43.000So you're saying as a motivation to do it?
00:44:46.000We did it on purpose so that we could go to war with Iraq.
00:44:49.000Yeah, if you're thinking about sort of the false flag operation thesis, that we wanted to go to Iraq and steal their oil, and we're perfectly evil and perfectly Machiavellian and could bring this whole thing off without any leaks to this day.
00:45:04.000Ten years hence, no one has come forward and said, this is the part I played in and I feel terrible about it.
00:45:10.000And yet, we botched it in these huge ways where we had to go to Afghanistan before Iraq, and we really didn't want to go to Afghanistan.
00:45:20.000No one suggests we actually wanted to be running around Tora Bora fighting the Taliban.
00:45:26.000And we go to Iraq, that worked out well.
00:45:31.000I mean, the idea that that was the easiest way to get their oil is crazy.
00:45:35.000It would have been far cheaper to buy it.
00:45:39.000But isn't the argument, though, that we wanted to control Iraq?
00:45:42.000I mean, that we wanted to take over and control their oil, which we kind of do now, right?
00:45:47.000So if we just wanted to go into Iraq, let's buy the oil.
00:45:53.000The idea that people conspire and that actually certain people in our government are willing to run a false flag operation so that we can go into Iraq.
00:46:25.000But killing 3,000 people in downtown Manhattan, people who are well-connected and send the global economy into a tailspin, it just doesn't have the right shape of it.
00:46:38.000I completely agree with you that it would take way too many people to plan it out, most likely.
00:46:42.000And when I look at it, I just see that someone's going to tell.
00:46:45.000There's just too many things that have to be coordinated.
00:46:48.000Too many people are going to start talking.
00:46:51.000I agree with you that it's much more likely incompetence.
00:46:53.000But there was definitely a motivation to go into Iraq.
00:47:24.000And again, to some degree I'm talking out of my depth here because I'm not really a policy guy, but the argument which was made publicly at the time by many so-called neocons is that Iraq was the perfect test case to create a A vibrant democracy in the heart of the Arab world.
00:47:47.000I mean, this is a basically educated population.
00:47:50.000We completely underestimated the level of sectarianism there.
00:47:54.000But again, that is easily ascribed to incompetence.
00:47:59.000I mean, we were sending in 23-year-old You know, friends of Bush with no expertise at all just because they were the nephew of somebody who had donated to the campaign, and all of a sudden these people are in charge of some major piece of the machine of how to create a democracy in Iraq.
00:48:16.000I mean, to read any of those books about what we did in Iraq is to just, above everything else, just to come face to face with a shocking degree of incompetence.
00:48:28.000So we're the good guys, we're just incompetent.
00:48:31.000Well, look who he had in the Oval Office at that moment.
00:48:36.000A lot of words come to mind when you think about Bush, and competence is not one of them.
00:48:41.000Well, you know, Bush is a strange case.
00:48:43.000Obviously, he's not the smartest guy in the world, but when you look at the policies that he put into place, it's really similar to what Obama's doing.
00:49:46.000Yeah, I mean, insofar as all that, I mean, there may be situations where that's not possible, but I don't see why we need to be, we should fight the war on terror as an international crime problem and that has occasional military solutions, but from my point of view, people, you know, jihadis in Al-Qaeda should just have been disappearing and no one takes credit for it.
00:50:15.000Why should we ever say, we did it, you know, yes, we did it, and now there's a possible blowback to that.
00:50:21.000And the reality is, you know, whenever you put Navy SEALs on the ground and let them shoot, or drop bombs from, you know, Predator drones, you're going to be killing some number of innocent people, and that's terrible.
00:50:34.000And the terrible truth is there's no alternative to that.
00:50:37.000I mean, unless you're going to be a pacifist, You're going to run the risk of killing innocent people when you have to fight certain conflicts.
00:50:52.000You try to look at it from the Al-Qaeda's point of view, the Taliban's point of view, the point of view of someone who is watching this giant military machine coming in and raping their country's national resources and stealing minerals and what's going on in Afghanistan?
00:51:38.000When we think of having to leave Afghanistan, one of the real ethical problems, from my point of view, is we're just abandoning them to the Taliban.
00:51:47.000We're abandoning the women to the Taliban.
00:51:50.000And if there was a way to actually help them, We would have a moral obligation to do it.
00:51:58.000The problem is it's so costly to do, it's so intrusive to do, and so many people shoot at you or blow themselves up while you do it that it's completely impractical to do.
00:52:11.000I think we have a real problem, ethically, to just abandon women to getting their noses cut off because they decided not to marry the octogenarian that their father sold them to.
00:52:23.000Well, you know, obviously I don't agree with any of that stuff or any of those social restrictions that they put on, but do you really think that we should have troops overseas to try to reinforce our moral standards on this country that's a mess?
00:53:06.000More or less what it looks like in any country.
00:53:08.000Now, whether you have a world government that achieves this or some federation of states that works better certainly than the UN, you need to have...
00:53:18.000If girls were getting their noses cut off and being forced to live in burkas in Florida, It would be a crime problem.
00:53:29.000And we would send in police to force people to treat their daughters better or treat their wives better.
00:53:41.000It's just there's no mechanism that allows us to do that as a matter of international law.
00:53:46.000And so we clearly have to get to a time where when You have a hostage crisis where an entire country is held hostage by some lunatic or a group of lunatics in the government.
00:54:01.000The matter of national sovereignty is not an issue.
00:54:03.000Who cares about the national sovereignty of North Korea?
00:54:08.000Well, that's a really interesting point because we negotiate with North Korea and we give them money and we're not even thinking about going over there.
00:54:15.000We give them money out of compassion to alleviate starvation.
00:54:51.000We need a way to convince the entire civilized world of functional democracies to apply quasi-global pressure to any one of these regions demanding that they get their act together.
00:55:05.000And Afghanistan is definitely a place where it would be compassionate.
00:55:11.000If we could come in, if Russia and China and everyone else could get on the same page with us, And we could all agree, alright, the women of Afghanistan, We actually need to help you.
00:55:26.000The first pass, any guy who's throwing battery acid in the face of little girls because they want to go to school, we're going to deal with that guy as the sociopath that he is.
00:55:41.000And if it just so happens that there's a culture of those guys and they call themselves the Taliban, we're going to deal with the Taliban as a gang of sociopaths.
00:55:52.000But, again, we tried it on our own, more or less on our own, and the results have been terrible.
00:56:00.000And the results have been terrible largely because of the role that religious thinking plays there.
00:56:08.000I mean, you burn a Koran by accident and basically...
00:56:14.000The war is almost over and well lost because everyone takes to the streets and begins killing people.
00:56:22.000There's nothing more inflammatory than trespassing on their religious sensitivities.
00:56:28.000If you accidentally bomb a wedding and kill 50 children, You don't get the response we recently got with, you know, this Quran incident.
00:56:37.000And so it's just, it's not, we're not dealing with a culture that can have a sane discussion about the proper goals of human life and how to, you know, how to safeguard human happiness and...
00:56:52.000So in your mind, we need to be the police of the world.
00:56:54.000We're the only ones who know what's right.
00:56:56.000We're the only ones who are going to enforce it.
00:57:07.000We is—well, just look at—again, take one piece that you agreed on are the gains we've made socially and culturally and morally around racism.
00:57:21.000So we have—we're at least seeing the daylight on the subject of race in this country.
00:57:28.000Now, so then we have the benefit of a kind of a running start ahead of South Africa, and we see they've got their apartheid thing going on, and we begin, it takes us a while, but we begin to apply pressure to them, you know, boycotting trade with South Africa or blocking trade, and that has an effect.
00:57:51.000Now, that's If you could get the entire world on the same page on each of these questions, I mean, so the treatment of women is even a bigger variable than notions of race.
00:58:04.000Because here you're talking about fully half of the human population.
00:58:07.000So wherever they're treating women terribly, And systematically, not just by accident, but because there's some ideology that women can be treated terribly, that's a human rights problem that every society that has a robust conception of human rights can figure out how to apply pressure to.
00:58:37.000And then you have all of these other secondary effects of when you apply sanctions to a country, then women and kids and everyone else suffer.
00:59:36.000They're soldiers who've done multiple tours of duty in Afghanistan and feel committed to the project and feel reasonably good about what they've done.
00:59:50.000Why don't they get up every morning feeling like they're completely wasting their life and taking massive risks for no reason at all?
00:59:58.000Well, you know, I'd have to interview each individual one to find out what their motivation was, but I look at Afghanistan as a giant money-making effort.
01:00:06.000I look at how much money they're making in minerals.
01:00:09.000I don't think they send tanks to save women.
01:00:17.000Afghanistan and Iraq have been the most costly things.
01:00:21.000Sure, for the taxpayers and for the American people, but aren't huge military companies like Halberton and people that rebuild these places and contractors.
01:00:34.000There's a lot of money being spent, right?
01:00:49.000The cost to our economy in general and the cost in the lives of the men and women in our military serving over there.
01:01:01.000None of the soldiers are extracting wealth from the ground in Afghanistan or extracting oil.
01:01:08.000And yet, when you hear them talk about Their experience, what you don't hear is a litany of, we never should have done that, that was a complete waste of time, I can't believe that our government has done this.
01:02:07.000Afghanistan, I think it was absolutely essential that we do something.
01:02:12.000Now, we clearly, we did it badly from day one, committing far too few troops and letting our proxies do it for us and do it badly, and Osama bin Laden got away.
01:02:49.000I think if we all took a Gandhian response to these problems and just got on our Facebook page and made a lot of noise, That there are certain enemies we could have and do have who will just inherit the earth.
01:03:06.000I mean, so the thugs will win in that case.
01:03:11.000Gandhi's non-violence worked against the British because the British were the British and they had enough of a conscience not to just kill everybody.
01:03:19.000It wouldn't have worked against Hitler.
01:04:16.000It seems to me that these campaigns have done far more to hurt the way the rest of the world wants to treat us than anything else we could have ever done.
01:04:25.000Going to these places and blowing up Buildings and killing.
01:04:29.000How many hundreds of thousands of innocent people died in Iraq?
01:04:33.000And how many people are dying every day in Afghanistan?
01:04:35.000Do you think about the numbers that have been piled up, just the actual raw statistics as motivation for these people?
01:04:43.000Well, I think it's had, paradoxically, it's had both effects.
01:04:47.000It has, because you look at, if we didn't go into certain situations, so it's like when Libya was kicking off, The resistance was desperate for us to come in, and we looked at the mealy-mouthed approach we took, just sort of letting our allies to take the lead.
01:05:05.000That looked a little bit like cowardice, and we got a lot of grief for not actually being active enough to help prop up the Libyan resistance.
01:05:16.000Right, but that's a pretty extreme case.
01:05:18.000You've got a guy who's been a dictator forever, and the people literally are rioting in the streets.
01:06:15.000We didn't even know the difference between Sunni and Shia.
01:06:18.000I mean, you had bloopers of our White House press conferences where they're getting people's affiliation wrong and not even thinking they're interchangeable.
01:06:30.000Do you think that these debates that you've had with all these Like, fiercely religious people.
01:06:36.000Have they given you more of a pessimistic Thought or idea on how we need to handle people in other parts of the world where their entire cultures are run by religion?
01:06:49.000I mean, do you lose a bit of hope for rational conversations to the point where you're like, you know what?
01:07:13.000Yeah, well, I think it's not partitioned so easily by state, but I think I view it as kind of concentric circles.
01:07:22.000So again, we're talking about Islam here for the moment.
01:07:25.000You have this sort of the center of the bullseye of doctrinal, crazy, global jihadist Islam, where, yeah, I think, you know, Al-Qaeda and Al-Qaeda-like thinking, that's just a deal breaker.
01:07:39.000I mean, so we're at war with that subset of the Muslim world.
01:07:42.000And they are—I mean, it's not our idea that we're at war with them.
01:08:00.000They've got these 7th century or 14th century goggles that they're looking at the world through.
01:08:09.000If we pipe Baywatch over on the satellite dish, That's an offense that they're willing to die for.
01:08:18.000It's a very different game they're playing.
01:08:22.000You've got to imagine what it's like to really believe in paradise.
01:08:26.000To really want to get there, to know that if you blow yourself up killing infidels, you're going to get there and you're going to get everyone you love there.
01:08:35.000There's just this velvet rope in front of paradise and you're going to walk right past because the angel is going to lift it up for you and the way to get there is to be a jihadi.
01:08:48.000It's like being James Bond who's going to get 72 virgins in paradise.
01:08:53.000And you have got no other problems in life you need to worry about.
01:08:57.000You don't have to worry about getting an education or getting a job or making it work in this world or building a civil society.
01:09:02.000You just have to play your side of the game right and die in the right circumstances.
01:10:36.000Well, I think that wouldn't be a crazy guess.
01:10:38.000I mean, I have no way of knowing apart from the fact that in every Muslim country, it's 10, 15, 20, 30, 40, 50, depending on the country, up to 70% who think suicide bombing is a good thing.
01:10:56.000When you run the poll, which has been done by Pew and other organizations, and you start asking people, do you think suicide bombing in defense of Islam is ever justifiable?
01:11:14.000Yes, sometimes, rarely, and never are the possible responses.
01:11:20.000The number of yeses and sometimes It gives you, if not a majority, a significant minority of every Muslim country.
01:11:30.000Even in the UK, you would get something like 20-25% of young Muslims thinking that it's justifiable.
01:11:39.000And you'd get that immediately after the suicide bombings in London.
01:11:45.000You get like 30% in the UK among Muslims, 18 to 24. Now, so one question is, do people actually believe what they say they believe when you are taking a poll?
01:11:57.000And what does it actually mean to say yes to that?
01:12:07.000Half a percent is still, with the spread of weapons of high yield, whether it's nuclear weapons or biological weapons, Half a percent of any significant population can do a lot of damage.
01:12:28.000We have to win a war of ideas, ultimately, and we have to discredit these ideas so that the next generation Doesn't find it so easy to believe these things, but...
01:12:44.000How do they accept anything, any real solution coming from us when they know what we did in Iraq, when they know what we did in Afghanistan, when they know what a fuckery we've made out of the whole thing, when they know how much rampant corruption there is, when they know how much missing money there is?
01:12:57.000How do they ever look at this as anything other than a money grab?
01:13:00.000How do they ever look at it as like, oh, these are the Americans, they're going to teach us how to live?
01:13:31.000A certain percentage of people are unpersuadable, and the force or the threat of force is the only game to play.
01:13:38.000And then what we have to do is win a war of ideas around that first circle where they become marginalized, sufficiently marginalized, and not supported within their society.
01:13:54.000Arguably, that has happened To some degree, even with how chaotic Afghanistan and Iraq look.
01:14:03.000Well, there's certainly been more penetration than there was like 50 or 60 years ago, but the majority of the population is still like really deep into their culture, right?
01:14:27.000Yeah, and heard McCain talk about it, where he...
01:14:31.000I believe one of his quotes was that it's run the same way as it was when Alexander the Great was around.
01:14:36.000Right, and some of that tribalism isn't strictly a religious problem.
01:14:41.000I mean, so tribalism is a problem, and religious tribalism is a problem, and these are, you know, these are...
01:14:48.000Any ideology that fundamentally divides one group from another and prevents them from recognizing their common humanity is a problem, and so not all of that's religious.
01:14:57.000Some of it's racist, some of it's tribal, but the role that religion plays in confounding this Our best intentions, even if we only had our best intentions and they were not mingled with our worst intentions,
01:15:14.000even if we were just going to Rwanda to help people, even though they don't have oil and we got no national security interest, but they take out the machetes and start killing their neighbors, and we're going to put our lives on the line to just stop the violence.
01:15:30.000The problem is there's no elegant way to do it.
01:15:54.000You sort of reconcile our military actions.
01:15:56.000You reconcile the corruption, all the fuck-ups.
01:16:00.000They are what they are, and there's nothing we can do about them now.
01:16:03.000But what's important is we keep these crazy people from developing nuclear bombs and from...
01:16:09.000Because the very real possibility of nuclear terrorism to you is far more important than whatever mistakes or corruption that we've put out as a country that have gotten these people to have this sort of a perception of us.
01:16:49.000And it's been a problem in every war we've ever fought.
01:16:51.000One of the things we've now, which is an advantage on the one hand, but also a disadvantage, is that there's so much more transparency.
01:16:58.000We know so much more about the bad stuff we do, whether inadvertent or not, that if we didn't know this in World War II, and we're bombing Dresden and incinerating hundreds of thousands of people, innocent bystanders for the most part, Non-military targets.
01:17:23.000Arguably, we should never have done that, but we arguably couldn't do that now, given what the images would do to us on the nightly news.
01:18:21.000How did you feel about the initial video that he released?
01:18:24.000Collateral murder, the one that showed the guys in the helicopters shooting the people on the ground and a car full of children and them saying, well, they shouldn't have brought their kids.
01:18:33.000Well, the thing that's horrible about that is that we're just not wired to understand the consequences of our actions once we can fight war remotely.
01:18:53.000If we were just fighting, if it was all just bayonets, there's the inescapability of the horror of war.
01:19:03.000But the moment you can fly something, you're sitting in your office park outside of Las Vegas and you're flying a Predator drone 13,000 miles away, I'm not suggesting those guys don't have a hard time sleeping at night,
01:19:20.000some of them, but it's a very different kind of violence and one of the scariest things about Technology is that it uncouples us from our emotions from The reality of the consequences of our actions so that the most harmful things aren't actually the most disturbing things you know,
01:19:41.000so this is so if you This is an example actually I used in I think the end of faith You know if you hear that you're Grandfather fought in World War II and he dropped bombs.
01:19:53.000He was a bomber pilot and he dropped bombs over Dresden.
01:19:58.000That's one kind of level of abstraction of his actions that doesn't really disturb you about him.
01:20:06.000He's at 30,000 feet dropping bombs, not really getting what he's doing.
01:20:10.000But if you hear Granddad killed a woman and her kids with a shovel, All of a sudden, he's the scariest guy I've ever heard of, and probably he couldn't sleep for the rest of his life either, because it takes a very different kind of person to do that.
01:20:25.000But the guy dropping bombs killed far many more women and children than the guy with the shovel.
01:20:43.000Figure out how to have an appropriate emotional response to reality and to be guided by...
01:20:51.000It's not to say that our emotions are always the perfect guide.
01:20:57.000I mean, there may be ways in which we are wired to have a strong response to something that We should just get over and we're not wired to have an appropriately emotional response to something that really is a massive danger.
01:21:12.000And so our perception of risk and our perception of harm is not what it needs to be for us to make intelligent decisions and compassionate decisions in these kinds of conflicts.
01:21:23.000Did you agree with the video being released?
01:21:58.000I think I think he there are certain things that I understand that he and people like him need to know that I don't need to know, and if I knew and blogged about it, I would be harming our national security.
01:22:12.000So, yeah, no, I'm not for the just unlimited...
01:22:55.000It's probably like, all right, we should definitely not tell them about where nuclear warheads throughout the United States are located everywhere.
01:23:02.000Yeah, you would think so, but I think it's a lot more complicated than that.
01:23:06.000Yeah, well, again, there are trade-offs between some of these things where it's just hard to really be satisfied that you've hit the right answer because it's the...
01:23:17.000So, for instance, going through security in the airport, there's this issue of fairness, and there's this issue of intelligent use of attentional resources.
01:23:29.000Frisk the 75-year-old woman who looks like she just got out of her evangelical church just as much as you frisk the guy who just prayed on his knees to Mecca before passing through security.
01:23:46.000It's only fair to be blind to those otherwise salient differences between them.
01:23:53.000But it's stupid, too, when you know that the person who's gonna blow himself up on the plane is a jihadi and not an ordinary-looking old woman.
01:24:05.000So, again, what are the consequences of being starkly unfair, where you just profile nakedly and say, yes, without apology, we profile.
01:24:15.000If you're Muslim, we are going to subject you to a harrowing search at the airport because we're worried about your brothers.
01:24:54.000And all of a sudden, we'll all be desperate for a level of security that will radically transform our lives.
01:25:02.000And it'll be, again, it could be completely out of scale with the actual damage.
01:25:08.000So if a nuke went off in Los Angeles and killed 100,000 people, so a small nuke, killed 100,000 people and rendered some area uninhabitable for a while, That would be such a rattling event that we would all be demanding huge changes and we would be forfeiting our civil liberties happily with both hands.
01:25:38.000Right, but this would be orders of magnitude worse and yet It would be rational to say, well, listen, 400,000 people died of heart disease last year.
01:25:47.000No one is forfeiting their civil liberties or going nuts over that figure.
01:26:30.000We would completely freak out as a nation because it's the weather, we basically can't get our act together and don't really worry about it.
01:26:47.000And so one reason, one rational reason to want to protect against certain especially salient events like nuclear terrorism is because we are guaranteed to overreact in such a way that the consequences will be...
01:27:21.000And again, I wouldn't phrase it in terms of cutting back on civil liberties, but I... It comes back to moments like airport security for me.
01:27:32.000It's like, how much security do I want when I get on an airplane?
01:29:24.000It was like her first flight, you know, and like the parents were being traumatized.
01:29:27.000And it was just the most insane misapplication of human resources.
01:29:34.000And meanwhile, that was a flight where I had accidentally taken a bag that I used to keep a gun in, and I went through security with a double handful of bullets, just inadvertently, right?
01:29:50.000So I'm getting through with bullets, and they're looking at this girl like she's, you know, she's Al Qaeda.
01:30:30.000The missteps and failures we've had at the level of foreign policy and in fighting wars have been corrosive for the same reason.
01:30:37.000It's just the ineptitude and the unacknowledged and unanticipated costs.
01:30:43.000It's all just, yeah, it's very hard to be idealistic or feel like anything is being done right.
01:30:51.000But again, think of just what That's what Obama's got to deal with when he drinks his first cup of coffee in the morning.
01:31:00.000They're getting information from a world of intelligence which is struggling to quantify certain risks, and there is no question that there are people who are Desperate to blow up whole cities in this country, not because they have said they have a long list of rational grievances against our foreign policy, but because they're fighting a cosmic war.
01:31:27.000And that's just something we have to absorb, as bizarre a fact as it is.
01:31:34.000So you think for most people it's almost impossible to sort of understand their mindset, to really put yourself into their shoes.
01:31:41.000It's virtually impossible to really have that kind of a crazed, deep belief.
01:31:47.000I feel like I can put myself in their shoes.
01:31:50.000If I read the Koran and I read the Hadith and I read what people like Osama bin Laden say about their intentions and why they're doing what they're doing, you watch a few Suicide videos, you know, Last Testament videos of suicide bombers.
01:32:10.000You just have to imagine what it would be like if you really believed that this was the structure of the universe, where this human life that people like us really value is just this This irredeemable,
01:32:27.000fallen, really revolting circumstance of separation from God, and it's just this anteroom to the better place that you get into if you live this way and die in the right way at the right time.
01:33:56.000Just what it means for people personally and just what the possibilities are.
01:34:02.000As a teenager, I was as interested in just what are the limits of reality as anyone else.
01:34:10.000And so to some degree, my research there has been scientific and now increasingly scientific.
01:34:15.000But early on, I was interested in religion as a possible account of what's true.
01:34:24.000And I was also interested in the kinds of experiences that the founders of the world's religions have had or seem to have had.
01:34:31.000So I'm interested in the kind of experience that would get Jesus talking like Jesus or Buddha talking like Buddha and I've sought those experiences with drugs and meditation and it's absolutely clear to me that there is a range of experience there that is hugely motivating and real and accessible and has been traditionally described only in religious language and seems to
01:35:01.000cash out the crazy claims of of the various religions.
01:35:06.000So if you're a devout Muslim, And you start having the kinds of experiences that we've had on acid or that people have had in intensive meditation retreats, they get framed in very much in doctrinal ways.
01:35:23.000So it seems to justify your infatuation with this one revelation, a revelation which is intrinsically divisive, which argues that you should hate everyone who's not In the fold.
01:35:38.000So clearly we need a way of talking about these kinds of experiences and valuing them, which is just as generalizable and scalable as the larger conversation of reason and science-based thinking about the nature of reality, and therefore is not in principle divisive.
01:35:58.000One of the things that McKenna always said in describing the difference between religion and the psychedelic experience is that in the psychedelic experience you don't have to believe anything.
01:36:19.000Which is probably the beauty of it because, you know, the ego wants you to hold back to all and retain all control of your faculties at any given time.
01:36:27.000You don't want to relinquish control to some sort of a foreign substance, some sort of a drug, some sort of a thing that, you know, you're going to give up your whole body and your mind for three hours?
01:36:41.000You know, I... It freaks people out with good reason because there is a chaos factor to psychedelics which you don't get doing yoga.
01:36:49.000Now, that's their power and their peril because the other thing that McKenna said, which is obviously quite true, which is that if you teach someone to meditate or you teach them to do yoga or you tell them to do whatever spiritual discipline you think is so potent, Based on their talents or based on their happenstance, nothing might happen.
01:37:18.000It doesn't matter if they do it for an hour or a week.
01:37:21.000It's not necessarily going to move them, but if you give them 100 micrograms of LSD or a sufficient dose of anything in that family, There is just no question something's going to happen.
01:38:13.000And you might not ever be able to do it right.
01:38:16.000You might not have the flexibility, the coordination, whether it's mental flexibility.
01:38:20.000You might not be able to focus on it enough or be intense enough or be disciplined enough to stretch yourself enough to pull something off.
01:38:27.000But you can't say that Another person can't pull it off.
01:38:33.000But out of all the people that you teach this, you know, like Kundalini or some intense form of meditation where you achieve altered states of consciousness, how many people are going to have the focus, the drive, the discipline?
01:38:43.000How many people are going to put in the time and the numbers to actually pull off an altered state?
01:38:54.000I completely agree with that, except there's one caveat, which is I think the center of the bullseye of altered states of meditation is not so altered.
01:39:04.000It's actually the thing that you want to realize from a contemplative point of view.
01:39:12.000It's not actually the same as the full kaleidoscope of effects you get from psychedelics.
01:39:21.000It's not just, and this is a distinction I made, I think again in The End of Faith, between the content of consciousness and realizing a specific property of the nature of consciousness.
01:39:36.000There's no question that in our ordinary waking consciousness that the content, the spectrum of content is trimmed down.
01:39:46.000I mean, we have, you know, there's just kind of a feeling of it's all solid and it's just me here in my body.
01:39:51.000I'm kind of locked in my head and it's you over there and there's no, the energy of the situation is quite limited.
01:40:01.000Yeah, and There are not too many surprises.
01:40:04.000We have all kind of been taught neurologically to just perceive ourselves in the world.
01:40:09.000You give someone LSD or psilocybin or mescaline and that begins to change radically and it changes for everyone and it can be terrifying, it can be incredibly blissful.
01:40:24.000But what happens is people are flooded with new content and new feelings of meaning and just the energetics change.
01:40:35.000So you put your hand on a tree and you feel like the buzz of kind of living contact with a tree, which you have never felt in your life.
01:40:47.000All of that kind of the more aspect that you get with psychedelics isn't really what isn't the point of meditation and it comes with meditation so if you go on you know a three-month retreat where you're just meditating 18 hours a day and every time your mind gets lost in thought you come back to the practice whether it's you know mindfulness like Vipassana meditation or whatever it is it could be yoga That,
01:41:14.000you know, being in a pressure cooker of intensive retreat can give you that some experience of more.
01:41:20.000I've never quite had it like what you get in a psychedelic experience.
01:42:22.000The crucial piece is once you get concentrated, once your mind is no longer wandering into the chatter of just distraction, and you can actually focus You get the feeling going and you can focus on the actual practice.
01:43:38.000It's like the emotional base note of all the good drug experiences.
01:43:46.000It's like the opiate happy feeling comes just with concentration.
01:43:52.000It doesn't matter what you're concentrated on.
01:43:54.000If you're just concentrated on a I mean Buddhists do practices where they'll just focus on a colored disc and they reach levels of concentration.
01:44:04.000So you're just focusing on a piece of, a swatch of red and you're reaching states of consciousness that are just extraordinarily blissful.
01:44:18.000But again, that's not the ultimate point of meditation.
01:44:24.000Concentration is just a tool to use to actually glimpse something about the nature of consciousness.
01:44:30.000And so this comes back to what I was saying before, that the actual goal, and this is a difference between just getting more content and getting the wisdom that comes with recognizing something about consciousness.
01:44:45.000The goal is to recognize that ordinary consciousness, without anything getting psychedelic, is a circumstance of genuine freedom.
01:44:56.000That the sense of being a neurotic self, locked in the head, worried about what other people are thinking, that can be cut through Fully, so that it's just gone.
01:45:13.000So that you can recognize the intrinsic selflessness of consciousness.
01:45:17.000And that can happen without any of the pyrotechnics.
01:45:19.000It can happen without the rush of energy in the body.
01:45:23.000It can happen without the colors changing.
01:45:25.000It can happen without any luminosity of any kind.
01:45:30.000You don't feel like you've taken a drug.
01:46:57.000Having an experience like there's there's our experience There's the world of our experience and then there's us over here having the experience You know like we're on the outside looking in or we're looking over our own shoulder There's a distance there's a subject and then there's all the objects and it's possible to collapse that distance You know in a way that is doesn't require any psychedelic explosion and From a meditational
01:47:27.000point of view, that's the center of the bullseye.
01:47:30.000You want to find that intrinsic property of consciousness, and then you meditate on that.
01:47:36.000Then you drop your distraction, and you fall back into that space of just being open.
01:47:42.000And aware and then it doesn't matter what happens then it doesn't matter whether you feel bliss or you don't You're not waiting for the meditation to get good.
01:47:50.000You're not trying to have an experience that you had yesterday that you That you lost and you're trying to get back to it.
01:47:57.000I mean that's all of the seeking That tends to come in people's spiritual lives where they're just trying to get someplace that's The irony is that the seeking is your problem.
01:48:08.000Trying to become happy, positing a goal.
01:48:15.000And then seeking it from a contemplative point of view is the trap that you want to avoid.
01:48:21.000You mean as far as behavior is concerned?
01:48:25.000You don't mean that as far as goal setting in life, right?
01:49:05.000Does the question even make any sense?
01:49:06.000Now, some people would say, well, that doesn't make any sense.
01:49:10.000You are just a monkey, or you're just an ape with various needs and desires, and you can be as happy as you can be, but there's nothing really profound to be realized about the nature of consciousness in the present.
01:49:25.000There's just you believing in certain things, wanting certain things, etc.
01:49:34.000Now, it's completely rational that many people think it's true because they haven't had certain kinds of experiences, but the truth is, and this is a truth that, inconveniently for our sake, is only really ever acknowledged in the context of religion, The truth is there actually is something more profound to realize about the present moment.
01:49:56.000And you get one look at that truth through the psychedelic experience because It's just you being neurotic and someone hands you a tab of acid and all of a sudden you are awash in an ocean of new content that is completely profound and you've had no idea life could be so rich.
01:50:21.000Now, if you have a bad experience, you have a bad experience and that's something else.
01:50:28.000But if you have a good psychedelic experience where you feel like Jesus, That proves to you that it's possible to be much, much deeper and happier and fulfilled than you realized.
01:50:43.000I read that you had a very similar experience to me the first time you did MDMA. And that was a real behavior-changing experience for me.
01:50:56.000And I remember when I did it, I really couldn't stop thinking after it was over, like, why can't people be like that all the time?
01:51:04.000What an incredible world it would be if people thought like that all the time.
01:51:09.000But, you know, boy, human interaction would be blissful all the time.
01:51:13.000Yeah, and again, I keep feeling just a civic responsibility to bracket all of my There's enthusiasm for psychedelics with the warning that I think some of them are just biochemically more riskier than others, and some are just psychologically risky, and it's possible to have a bad experience and to really regret taking any of these drugs.
01:51:41.000Well, if you have a hard time with reality, I say stay the fuck away from psychedelics.
01:51:46.000But even if you've had nothing but good experiences, you can suddenly start having bad experiences.
01:52:02.000And I had, for the most part, especially with LSD, I had 10 perfect experiences where Afterwards, it was unthinkable to me that anyone ever had a bad trip.
01:52:38.000I don't have any science to go on here, but anecdotally, I think this is a reasonably common experience where...
01:52:43.000Once you've had a bad trip, then the door is slightly ajar there, and you can find your way there in a way, kind of reliably.
01:52:53.000So I approach psychedelics with more caution now, and it's been years since I've done anything.
01:53:00.000But it's not that I wouldn't do it again.
01:53:03.000I probably would, but I would just pick my moment.
01:53:07.000Wisely, because as good as the good trips were, the bad trips were just as bad.
01:53:14.000The legal situation is very unfortunate, because if it was legal, then we could have people that were experts on it, that were professionals, and they could distribute it, and they could do it properly in the right environment, and we'd have I agree with
01:53:46.000you that you should be really careful about anything you do.
01:53:50.000I know people that they just, you know, they get on Xanax and they lose their mind.
01:53:55.000You know, I know people that just, things that seem to be mild and acceptable.
01:54:25.000I think it's really unfortunate, though, that we can't experiment with these things.
01:54:30.000They aren't at a university level, that this isn't normal.
01:54:34.000People are quietly doing research on basically everything now.
01:54:37.000I don't know if there's anything that you can't do research with at the moment, but it all is pretty quiet.
01:54:45.000But they're doing MDMA research, and actually the...
01:54:48.000I was at TED, and someone who's somewhat close to this research told me that they've been having such success with two sessions of MDMA therapy for PTSD that the military is now looking at using MDMA for...
01:55:06.000Two or three session protocol, which sort of...
01:55:10.000I think the jury's still out on the neurotoxicity of MDMA. I think it's...
01:55:16.000I mean, there have been studies on both sides, but if it's just two sessions and you get some huge response rate for PTSD, that sort of gets around the neurotoxicity question because it's not so toxic that you can't do it a few times or...
01:55:50.000I was a hard enough case and skeptical enough that there was anything worth realizing through introspection that it took just getting hurled over...
01:56:03.000The wall for me to realize that there was any any more to the world and and and so and then that gave me a basis from which to Practice meditation and kind of look into these things.
01:56:14.000What do you think is happening in the psychedelic experience?
01:56:17.000I've heard the broad spectrum of you know, you're just changing the brain chemistry or adding in a different element it creates hallucinations and I Because of those hallucinations, you know, you get these profound feelings, and you can learn and grow from those feelings.
01:56:33.000Two, it's a radio, and you're tuning into another life form that only communicates with you through eating it.
01:56:39.000It's from another planet, and that's why there's a logos.
01:56:42.000That's why when you take especially high doses of mushrooms, you'll have a language.
01:56:47.000Whether it's internal or not, you don't really know.
01:57:06.000I wrote an article titled Drugs and the Meaning of Life.
01:57:13.000In a footnote, I differentiated those two Kinds of psychedelic experience because there is the one experience which is Again, personal, even if it's trans-personal, it doesn't put you in dialogue with anything else, or doesn't seem to put you in dialogue with anything else.
01:57:37.000And that's the only kind I've ever had.
01:57:39.000I've never had the experience where you're the Terrence McKenna style, I'm now in the presence of the other talking and receiving information that I couldn't have had any other way, or I don't think I could have had any other way.
01:57:54.000So So for people who have had that experience, it seems rational to say that it's putting you in touch with another in some sense.
01:58:04.000It's not just an expanded you or just the universe without your ego involved.
01:58:14.000Putting somebody else's attention on you and now you're in dialogue.
01:58:18.000Now that's an experience I haven't had and so I can't really...
01:58:22.000But the thing is that the test of the validity of that experience is pretty straightforward.
01:58:28.000I mean, if you're getting information that you couldn't have any other way, that should be provable.
01:58:34.000And one of the fishy things about Terrence's account of these states is that At many moments, he really did claim to have a compelling experience of being in dialogue with a kind of omniscient other.
01:58:54.000I don't know if you read his book, True Hallucination.
01:58:57.000He's in the Amazon, he's walking around, and he's had more mushrooms than any person in human history.
01:59:07.000He is in dialogue with, it's a very readable book, very fun read, some very out there ideas in there.
01:59:19.000And so I'm going to falsify by summarizing what he was claiming to be in dialogue with.
01:59:26.000But he's in dialogue with some omniscient other.
01:59:30.000So he's pointing to a species of plant that he doesn't know the name of.
01:59:35.000Terence had a lot of botanical knowledge, but he's pointing to plants that he doesn't know the name of.
01:59:40.000And he claimed he's just getting the Latin name in his head beamed to him by the other.
01:59:46.000Right now, that would be a he he it's been a little while since I looked at the book, but it.
01:59:54.000If you're of a scientific frame of mind and you actually want to establish whether this is more than just your experience, that's the kind of thing that's very testable.
02:00:03.000You could say, listen, I didn't know any of these plants, and I've never taken a course in botany, or I'm going to give the same dose to someone who I really know doesn't know a damn thing about botany, and we're going to see how many of these species of plants he can name.
02:00:18.000And that's just, I mean, that would be, it's as easy as testing psychic phenomenon in an ordinary sense.
02:00:25.000Sure, if you could attach it scientifically.
02:00:43.000He was not the most rigorous at the margins of his rap on what is real.
02:00:51.000He was more poet than scientist when he would get to some of these crucial moments.
02:00:59.000I haven't seen in his work any effort to be really rigorous and say, Okay, I had this experience where I was getting information that I know was not my own content.
02:01:14.000It was not based on prior learning and it was not just merely imagined.
02:01:18.000And here is how I went about trying to authenticate that it was real information.
02:01:22.000Because he talks about just being able to close his eyes and see Alien civilizations, obviously that's hard to authenticate, but see historical periods and see...
02:01:44.000Yeah, so obviously it's possible to be completely stoned and have these wild experiences that are basically just dreams or hypnagogic images.
02:01:54.000Unless you can bring back those Latin names.
02:01:56.000Yeah, if you can't bring back something that's clearly information...
02:02:00.000Then my feeling is there's no reason to claim that it is.
02:02:20.000Certain percentage of people feel the need to tell a metaphysical story about the significance of those experiences and in religion is in the business of Enshrining specific metaphysical stories as the ultimate truth We know they can't all be true because they're all mutually canceling Which is to say if Christianity is true Islam is false and vice versa but The psychedelic experience falls under the same rubric.
02:02:50.000I mean, you can have all of these experiences and not know what they mean and be very humble about what you don't know and still value the experiences.
02:02:59.000Or you can say, oh no, I'm in contact with the Pleiadians and they live in a star system and they're sending messages, blah, blah, blah.
02:03:08.000And then you're just part of the cacophony of New Age claims that are Unsubstantiated.
02:03:20.000But one of the things that he did claim was that he was high on mushrooms, and they were communicating with him, telling him to create a map of time out of the I Ching.
02:03:57.000But again, how you define novelty is so sketchy and...
02:04:02.000I never wanted to go down that particular rabbit hole with him.
02:04:08.000But yeah, if the world ends in eight months or whatever it is, as he predicted, or the singularity happened or something huge, what he predicted is the asymptotic achievement of novelty on December 21st, 2012. Whatever that means, it's going to be the most novel day in the history of the universe, and nothing will be the same.
02:04:38.000So if December 22nd dawns, and basically we've just had another news cycle, and it's just Fox News versus CNN, we'll know that that novelty theory was wrong, and then there'll be the percentage of devotees who just think it's kind of time-shifted in some, you know, Crucial way, giving us a few more years.
02:05:01.000He's fun to follow, because he was such an entertaining speaker, and I think that was part of the problem.
02:05:05.000The problem was that he was so entertaining and engaging that he sort of was a prisoner to his gift, and his gift was to tell these compelling stories, and if the story wasn't so compelling, well, move things around and make it compelling.
02:05:19.000Unfortunately, I really found out recently, because the people on my message board kind of illuminated this to me, he changed the end date.
02:05:25.000The December 21st, 2012 end date that he always said was...
02:05:29.000That he magically arrived at with his mathematical program, which was to the day, the same end date of the mind calendar.
02:05:37.000Brian, you gotta throw that fucking stupid clock away, man.
02:07:20.000There's a lot of unconscious processing going on.
02:07:23.000And this is actually the subject of my current book, a very short book on free will, speaks to that, that it's just...
02:07:34.000The sense that we have of being the conscious authors of our thoughts and actions we know is false.
02:07:41.000Now, it's not false in the Freudian sense that we've got the id and the superego and the ego at war and it's all being driven from behind by a kind of Intelligence that's consciously editing what we can consciously know.
02:07:56.000But most of what's going on in the brain is unconscious.
02:08:03.000And most of it's not even potentially conscious.
02:08:05.000And that actually explains a lot of the change you get with psychedelics because you change the biochemistry enough You're playing with the margin of what's conscious and what's potentially conscious, and we are potentially conscious of a lot of things we don't tend to be conscious of, and that it completely transforms our experience.
02:08:30.000But there's a lot that we're not just potentially conscious of, that the brain is doing, and everything we are conscious of is dependent upon all of that work.
02:08:40.000So, for instance, the fact that you are Hearing my words as words right now because you speak English and I'm speaking in English and you're parsing this I'm making sounds and you're just you're not making any special effort to hear words You're just hearing words.
02:08:53.000In fact, you couldn't not hear words if you tried and they're just the words are coming and you're understanding them and I'm gonna get to the end of this sentence sometime and we'll both recognize that it was more or less grammatically correct all of that is It's happening unconsciously and you're not...
02:09:14.000You're just conscious of understanding what I'm saying or not, based on whether I'm following the rules of English grammar or not.
02:09:22.000But I'm not aware of what's allowing me to follow the rules.
02:09:25.000You're not aware of what's allowing you to detect my errors.
02:09:31.000And the truth is, from a conscious perspective, I don't know how I get to the end of the sentence.
02:09:37.000This is really, like, all of this experience of talking is riding atop a machinery That I can't inspect.
02:09:44.000And when it fails, it's a surprise, and I don't know why it failed.
02:09:50.000So that's just talking about parsing speech, but all of our thinking and behaving and wanting and doing, all of our inner life is made of unconscious processing of that sort.
02:10:08.000And so there are experiments where you can show that people When you think you have consciously decided to do something, your brain is actually committed to doing it a half a second or some seconds while you still think you're making up your mind.
02:10:25.000So this really nullifies a conventional notion of free will because if you give me two buttons to push and I can push either one I want and I can push them when I want and you just tell me to make up my mind and I go back and forth and back and forth and say, I'm going to push the left one.
02:10:47.000The truth is, if you were recording from my scalp with EEG or looking with fMRI at brain function, you could detect that before I thought I was committed, because in these experiments, subjects watch a clock.
02:11:06.000So I'm like watching the hands of a clock or watching random numbers appear on a screen.
02:11:13.000My only goal is to just look at when I've decided, when I'm committed.
02:11:17.000I go back and forth between left and right, left and right, and then I say, okay, that's the hand to the six, I'm going to go left.
02:11:25.000All the experiments show that for some decisions, several seconds before, we could tell from the brain whether the subject was going to go left or right.
02:11:36.000So your subjective sense of being truly upstream of your decision-making process is a false one.
02:11:44.000The only problem I have with that is two-fold.
02:11:46.000One is that if you're gonna study something like that, and you make a clear study where there's a red and a green, and you have to make a choice as to which one, and you monitor the subject's brain, is that real?
02:12:16.000If a psychedelic experience changes your whole tune, could it literally change what decisions you would automatically make?
02:12:25.000I mean, if there is no free will, a free will is just your mind for whatever reason goes left or right based on morals or ethics or what feels right or what feels wrong.
02:12:33.000In that sense, wouldn't psychedelics be able to change free will?
02:12:38.000Well, I think free will is a truly incoherent concept.
02:12:44.000We have causality, and no one has ever described a way in which mental or physical events can arise that make sense of this idea of free will, of being the true locus of the causes of your thoughts and actions.
02:12:58.000Most people think that we have this...
02:13:03.000There's a mystery here that we have this subjective experience of free will, but we can't map it on to a notion of physical cause and effect.
02:13:10.000But I think if you look closely, you realize you don't even have this subjective experience of free will.
02:13:15.000So if I ask you, think of an MMA fighter.
02:14:10.000Fixated on him as opposed to Hughes or whoever the other candidates were in your mind all of that's being driven from behind Unconsciously and there's no way to ever even if it wasn't even if there was no time lag even if we knew that then the neurophysiology and the and the conscious thought were truly simultaneous So there was no part of your brain that was going George St. Pierre before you were aware of it, right?
02:14:35.000It's still a mystery as to why it is what it is Right, but that's sort of an answer to a question with no consequence.
02:14:41.000When it comes to something with consequences, isn't there free will then when someone contemplates the results of their actions?
02:14:48.000I mean, isn't that what we really truly consider to be free will?
02:14:51.000You look at something and you say, should I hit this old lady with my car?
02:14:54.000No, I should not because I have free will.
02:14:56.000I mean, even if there's some sort of a decision that had greenlit in your brain seconds earlier than that, no, we're not going to run over this old lady, Sort of that's free will, right?
02:15:07.000I mean, what leads someone to murder someone?
02:15:11.000Is every murderer innocent because they don't have free will?
02:15:14.000Are they an accumulation of their past histories and their emotional responses to various stimuli, good or bad, in their environment that's led them down this road, and here they are in this moment in time, in this physical altercation, and they murder somebody?
02:15:31.000Clearly, there's a difference between voluntary and involuntary action, and so we can talk about that difference without ever invoking free will.
02:15:39.000So they're the things I choose to do, and I'm reaching for the water because I want to pick it up, and that's different from me accidentally knocking it over, and those differences matter.
02:15:55.000You're a murderer, an attempted murderer.
02:15:57.000If you accidentally shot me because you were cleaning your gun, there was no intent, and that says a lot of—you're a very different person in the world.
02:16:05.000You're not the person who intentionally shot me.
02:16:08.000So we don't have to worry about you in the same way.
02:16:11.000So for the purposes of our legal system, the difference between intent and lack of intent is huge.
02:16:18.000But it's huge because it says a lot about what someone's likely to do in the future.
02:16:25.000The payoff is that there are, one, I think, understanding that the incoherence of free will does subtly change your morality and would change our legal system in small but crucial ways because it changes your morality because you have to acknowledge that There's a huge role for luck in this world
02:16:55.000that is morally relevant that we don't acknowledge.
02:16:58.000So you are not responsible for the fact That you have your genes, that you were born into this society, that you've had your life experience.
02:17:17.000You can't take credit for the fact that you're not a psychopath.
02:17:20.000You are lucky that you're not a psychopath.
02:17:23.000On some basic level, you would be unlucky to have the genes and the life experience that would make you want to get up tomorrow morning and kill kids.
02:17:29.000Do you think that sort of a pathology is inherently genetic?
02:17:37.000It's significantly genetic, but it's a combination of environment, but you didn't pick your environment either.
02:17:42.000But it's not something that someone can avoid based on a bunch of different circumstances.
02:17:45.000Yeah, so I'm not negating the role of human effort and human intention and we can change ourselves, we can get in shape, we can learn new skills, we can improve relationships.
02:17:58.000Everything about what people want to do with their lives can be conserved.
02:18:05.000The truth is, some people are much luckier than others.
02:19:31.000Have you ever seen, like, mass prayers where they work on a certain, you know, thing and, you know, everybody together try to pool up their energy?
02:19:40.000Well, that would be so easy to demonstrate that.
02:19:57.000The website, why does God hate amputees?
02:20:01.000You have all these people who believe they've been healed through intercessory prayer of their cancer and all these other diseases that are self-limiting.
02:20:11.000You never hear of somebody who's prayed to grow back an arm and said, look, here's a picture of me without an arm and now they're both back.
02:21:13.000I think the idea was, can you get a bunch of people to concentrate on something, and do we have the most minute ability to influence things, and together we could do something measurable.
02:21:25.000But I don't know if anybody ever did anything that was actually measurable.
02:21:27.000Well, there are a lot of people who have done research of that kind, and what they claim is just that these micro-departures These micro-effects that, when you aggregate them over many, many trials, represent huge statistical departures from chance.
02:21:44.000And most people in the skeptic community find that completely unpersuasive.
02:21:52.000Apart from just reading a couple of books, like Dean Radin's book on the conscious universe, What you come down to there are just meta-analyses of someone's statistics and the concern on the part of skeptics that there are frauds involved or there's just a file drawer effect where people are not reporting their failures and they are reporting the The positive results.
02:22:23.000What you should be able to find is if these are real abilities that really matter in terms of...
02:23:15.000He's a real believer, and he's published essays or articles on pets that know when their owners are going to come home, and so he's got the camera on the dog, and the owner's headed home, and he's got them time synced and showing the effect of the dog getting up at the right time.
02:23:37.000He's very into the idea of democratizing science where you can get thousands of people doing these tests on their own and showing some effect.
02:23:45.000But what he hasn't wanted to do is just actually submit to James Randi's challenge of showing up and doing an experiment that will survive the The scrutiny of professional magicians, and I'll just allow this thing to be done.
02:24:04.000It's just, you know, people find James Randi's skepticism so unpleasant that they think that that would nullify the experiment somehow, or they're not going to submit to it.
02:24:16.000But, I mean, James Randi has put up a million dollars to anyone who can show some positive result.
02:24:22.000Now, no doubt he's not the easiest guy to deal with.
02:24:25.000If you are committed to the reality of psychic phenomenon and you have to go in and meet with James Randi and design an experiment, I'm sure he's going to make you jump through hoops that you feel like you don't have to jump through.
02:24:40.000But it would be trivially easy to design a valid experiment that could demonstrate these effects.
02:24:47.000And so I'm open-minded that This stuff is possible, but it's fishy that...
02:25:09.000He doesn't think science should be decided by Contest essentially it's like it's not that's not how you do science you don't do science to answer a million dollar challenge put up by a magician and That's a okay.
02:25:22.000I understand this kind of the his aesthetic objection or his interpersonal objection to working with with a cranky person like Randy but Cranky not in the flaky sense, but Cranky just in the, you know, he's a...
02:25:39.000But given how the whole field of parapsychology and, you know, psi studies is treated like intellectual pornography, given how discredited it is in the view of mainstream science, If there's an effect there and you've got a protocol that has demonstrated it, just come forward and do it in every context where you can shine light on it and just prove it.
02:26:24.000You haven't discovered people where there's a really strong effect, where you get one person who's like the Tiger Woods of mind reading, where they can actually show a departure from chance that is huge.
02:26:41.000In their own trial, what you get is if you get 6,000 people staring at a random number generator trying to make it depart, you know, to the high side as opposed to the low side, you get people saying that there was this tiny effect.
02:26:58.000It was actually 51 percent over all those trials.
02:27:02.000And that, when you do the stats on it, is, you know, you would expect a one in 10 billion due to chance.
02:27:12.000That's subject to many kind of experimenter problems that people are right to worry about, which is one, people have been caught not reporting their failed experiments.
02:27:24.000There's kind of a true believer syndrome that happens even in certain wings.
02:27:29.000There's a phenomenon of scientific fraud across science, which is a problem we guard against, but it's also been true of parapsychology as well.
02:27:40.000Do you think it's possible that people have these certain senses that have not evolved yet?
02:27:46.000And that that's why, like, sometimes, you know, you know someone's gonna call you and you pick up the phone and it's them?
02:27:51.000You know, there's weird non-duplicatable, that's not a word.
02:27:58.000There's weird experiences that you can't duplicate.
02:28:01.000There's random weird things that can't be controlled, but sometimes the right frequency kicks in and you catch a radio station from San Diego when you're in San Francisco and it doesn't make any sense and it only lasts for a little while.
02:28:32.000A huge component, and perhaps the component that explains all of those experiences, is what's called sampling bias, where you notice all the hits and you don't notice the non-hits.
02:28:43.000You don't notice all the time you pick up the phone and you had no idea who was calling you, which is most of the time.
02:29:52.000There's this sense both in him and in the audience that he's actually more likely to make that third shot having made those prior to because he's just on a roll.
02:30:04.000So that whole feeling of being on a roll in basketball has been studied because What's amazing about professional sports like basketball is the statistics are every single game that has ever been played is completely broken down.
02:30:19.000We know every shot and every basket and every rebound.
02:30:27.000Statisticians could just sit down and analyze, is there such a thing as the hot hand?
02:30:31.000Is it actually true that if a guy has made three jumpers in a row, he's more likely to make the fourth?
02:30:37.000Or is the fourth truly independent of everything that's gone before?
02:30:41.000And they found that despite the personal experience of being on a roll and despite the fact that we feel like we've all seen someone on a roll, there's really no such thing as being on a roll in basketball.
02:30:54.000Now, there may be other sports where it's different, but there's so much chaos and so much uncertainty.
02:31:00.000And once that ball leaves your hand, it's a low percentage enough phenomenon that it is actually insensitive to statistical analysis.
02:31:11.000No, it's insensitive to the fact that you feel great and everything's going well for you and you just sank two baskets and you go up to sink a third.
02:31:20.000That third is, you're no more likely to sink that third than you were if it was your first one.
02:32:42.000By placing an experiment on anything, don't you automatically alter the results of it, especially when you're talking about something so ethereal as an idea of a friend, and then, boom, there's an email in your box, you haven't talked to them in years.
02:32:55.000I'm just playing devil's advocate here, because I don't believe in it.
02:32:59.000But I don't know that I don't believe in it either.
02:33:00.000So here's one weird experience like that that I've had, which, I mean, statistically, it seems...
02:33:07.000Completely beyond the pale, but it's, again, there are going to be low probability events that happen every day.
02:33:15.000And so, you know, I know a guy who went, for instance, his college girlfriend broke up with him and went to Europe And he was convinced the relationship wasn't over, and he decided he was going to go to Europe to find her.
02:33:51.000He goes to Spain because he speaks Spanish and he's like 10 days into his trip and so he's in Barcelona and some tourists hand him a camera and said will you take our picture?
02:34:04.000And he picks up the camera and he's taking their picture and into frame walks his ex-girlfriend.
02:34:37.000We're in a system where there's bound to be very low probability events.
02:34:42.000Or it's just not fully evolved and this kid went on his instincts and he tapped into the information in the universe and he knew instinctively where to go.
02:34:50.000And he met his sweetheart like a goddamn Sandra Bullock movie.
02:34:53.000If it's an ability that anyone should care about, it should be testable.
02:34:58.000It should be strong enough that we can test it.
02:35:00.000But how can you test something when it's an unique event that very rarely takes place, completely uncontrollable, and it's something that's just almost like a natural phenomenon that rarely occurs?
02:35:12.000I mean, how are you going to put something in a testing environment, in the environment of a laboratory, and see if it really does make sense that you think about someone else?
02:35:20.000It might be Sheldrake who's doing this.
02:35:22.000There's a test of the phone call phenomenon where you get, people can subscribe to get their, they get a call at, they enlist like their five closest people in their lives and to call them at random intervals, you know, I guess they disable their caller ID or whatever, and you can just set this up so that, you know.
02:35:42.000It's still not a true moment because they're acting on an experiment.
02:35:46.000How do you know that someone calling you might not just be calling you because they tapped into this idea of loving you and this idea of missing you, and that is the tune that breaks through all the way to you and causes you to look at your phone right when they tune in?
02:36:05.000It's not, I mean, you know what I'm saying?
02:36:07.000I mean, it's the idea of unique events isn't disproven by experimenting with it.
02:36:13.000Look, I don't know that it's true that sometimes you know when someone is calling, but I've had the experience myself, but I haven't had in years.
02:36:22.000It's been years and years since I knew who was going to call me and I looked at it.
02:36:25.000But I do remember it having it happen in my life several times.
02:36:29.000What if it's something that just, you know, on a fucking summer solstice, the planets are aligned, your own biology, you have a certain amount of water in your system, and boom, there's a certain amount of love and the thought gets through.
02:36:58.000It's not a sign of how connected you are with the person because sometimes you know it's somebody you don't even like, right?
02:37:05.000It's not a measure of how crucial it is that they reach you at that moment because sometimes it's completely trivial and then other times when someone really had to get a hold of you because your dad was sick They couldn't find you, and you were just blissfully ignorant of the fact that the closest person in your life is having a medical emergency, right?
02:37:25.000Well, no one's saying that it works all the time, and that because it works on a blue moon that it can't, you know...
02:38:43.000And this is just a fact, that if you get 23 people in the room, you have crossed the 50% threshold so that it's more likely than not that two of them have the same birthday.
02:38:57.000Now, what's crucial to understand is that it's...
02:39:04.000The crucial piece, and this actually goes to, this deflates so many conspiracy theories and other bad ideas, is that it's absolutely crucial that we didn't specify which birthday, right?
02:42:46.000It's a fringe, and so many people want to believe it's true, that it's easy to worry that it hasn't really been fully—the bushes haven't been beaten hard enough to find all the errors and the biases and the frauds.
02:43:01.000But if there's a real phenomenon there, it should be testable, and it shouldn't be vulnerable to the slightest quirk of, That experimenter had a bad vibe or was too skeptical and therefore killed the effect.
02:43:16.000Especially when you're talking about people who actually claim...
02:43:20.000Is it possible that someone could be the experimenter that could have a bad vibe and be too skeptical and that is negative energy?
02:43:28.000You could set up an experiment where...
02:43:31.000The experimenter was 5,000 miles away or had really good vibes.
02:43:35.000You could put the true believers in, you know, kind of the coach.
02:43:38.000You could put a completely friendly coach who was, you know, Sylvia Brown, you know, crazy, fraudulent, psychic Sylvia Brown.
02:43:46.000She could be there working her magic, you know, and just helping every...
02:43:52.000You could surround them with only true believers if you wanted to.
02:43:55.000You could design the experiment in such a way.
02:43:59.000So you can make the vibes as nice as you want.
02:44:04.000There's a fundamentally unscientific attitude you get from many, many people in this area of the human conversation, which is science is reductionistic.
02:44:46.000So there's certain, you know, the scientific research I've done is with functional magnetic resonance imaging where you have to put people in an MRI scanner And it hugely limits what you can study because people can't move.
02:45:02.000So you've got to lie in a clattering machine, motionless, and do some cognitive task That you can do looking at computer goggles or looking at a mirror across your feet out into the room.
02:45:22.000A brain scanning experiment is hugely limited.
02:45:25.000You can't put somebody on their bike and have them ride off into the distance while scanning their brain.
02:45:33.000Those things aside, and here we're not talking about experiments with those kinds of limitations.
02:45:39.000If people have an ability to know who's calling on the phone, if there's even one guy on planet Earth who has this ability...
02:46:04.000Well, they're the sort of kind of shyster Western New Age psychics who, I'm not sure, but I imagine they just never submit to being tested for obvious reasons.
02:46:23.000Buddhist, Hindu, Yogi, contemplative world where people imagine that great meditators have developed these abilities.
02:46:31.000And even some of the meditators will, you know, wink-wink, suggest that they probably have these abilities but are just too humble to demonstrate them.
02:46:41.000And there's sort of a kind of religious taboo against demonstrating them or challenging them or submitting them to tests.
02:46:51.000Yeah, in the contemplative world, among Buddhists and Indian yogis, there's actually a straightforward path to developing these skills.
02:47:11.000I mean, it's not like, well, it's just a matter of whether you're gifted or not.
02:47:14.000You can basically get a PhD in reading people's minds among Buddhists and Hindus.
02:47:21.000So the people who've done that, why don't they get tested?
02:47:26.000Because what they're claiming is not an ability to make a random number generator jump slightly if they've got 5,000 people sitting next to them also doing it.
02:47:36.000They claim just huge abilities are possible for meditators who've reached certain levels of concentration.
02:48:48.000Follow him on Twitter, SamHarrisOrg, and check out all of his books, from Letter to a Christian Nation was the first one that I ever read, to End of Faith, and what is the most recent one?
02:48:59.000The Moral Landscape and Free Will is the most recent one.
02:49:01.000And Free Will is the PDF. It's a downloadable, small...