Dr. Axel Kaiser is a Chilean-German lawyer, a Master of Arts and a Doctor of Philosophy from the University of Heidelberg in Germany. He is co-founder and President of the Foundation for Progress in Chile, one of the most influential free market think tanks in Latin America, and a Senior Fellow at the Archbridge Institute in Washington and Director of the Friedrich Hayek Chair at Adolfo Ibanez University from 2016-2024. In this episode, Dr. Kaiser provides an update on the political and ideological situation in South America, including Venezuela, Chile, Argentina, Chile and Malay, the new government in Argentina, and the recent election in Venezuela. He also provides a brief history of the current political situation in Venezuela, and offers some historical context on the current situation in the region, including the fall of Hugo Chavez and the subsequent transition of power to current Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. He also discusses the impact of socialism on Latin America and the economic, political, and ideological impact it has had on the region and the potential impact on the future of the region as a whole. He is an expert on Latin American politics and Latin American economics, and is a regular contributor to the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal. Join us for this episode of Daily Wire Plus, wherever you get your news and information. Dr. Jordan B. Peterson's newest podcast, Daily Wire. Subscribe today using the promo code POWER10 at checkout to receive 10% off your first month of your first purchase! Subscribe to Daily Wire plus on Apple Podcasts! Subscribe on iTunes Learn more about your ad choices and become a supporter by becoming a supporter of the show on Anchor.fm.me/Dailywireplus Subscribe on Audible Subscribe on Podulpodcasts Subscribe on PODCO Connect with your favorite podcasting platform Subscribe on Spare Cash App Connect with Spare Card and get 20% off the first month free on Prime Video + Vimeo Subscribe on the App Store or Vimeo Learn more at Podulpersephone Subscribe to Spare Credit Card Learn more on the SpareCard Use #: Subscribe & Share the Deal of the Week? and Vimeo Connect with a Friended by Sparecord Connected by Vaynerchuk Learn more in the Vimeo page Subscribe on Vimeo Become a Friend of the Weekly Podcast v=1p&t=1sV0AQQQ&qid
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00:01:11.200My wife, Tammy, and I recently had the privilege of touring through Mexico and South America.
00:01:19.620We didn't tour, obviously, through the whole continent.
00:01:23.900We went to a couple of places in Brazil and to Chile and to Mexico, and I met some very interesting people along the way, which is always something that happens, including the gentleman I'm talking to today, Axel Kaiser Behrens von Hohenhagen.
00:01:39.620He's a Chilean-German lawyer, a master in investments, commerce and arbitration, master of arts and doctor of philosophy from the University of Heidelberg in Germany.
00:01:53.840He is co-founder and president of the Foundation for Progress in Chile, one of the most influential free market think tanks in Latin America.
00:02:02.140He's also a senior fellow at the Archbridge Institute in Washington and director of the Friedrich Hayek chair at Adolfo Ibanez University from 2016 to 2024.
00:02:16.880Well, I thought it would be good to bring everyone an update on the political and ideological situation in South America.
00:02:26.840Now, that's an impossible thing to do, obviously, in the course of a 90-minute podcast, because it's very complicated to talk about a whole continent.
00:02:33.940And much of what we focused on was to do with the events that are transpiring in Venezuela, where the age-old conflict between what's essentially a crooked, corrupt, propagandistic, draconian, communist, totalitarian state,
00:02:55.020and the people and the opposition to that state is transpiring.
00:03:00.160And so we walked through the situation in Venezuela.
00:21:49.360And Fidel Castro recognized immediately that he had, you know, a puppet that he could guide in order to take control over Venezuela.
00:21:59.500So Castro and Cuba, they have been the masterminds behind what is going on in this country.
00:22:06.660And they have, you know, extracted huge sums of wealth from Venezuela because after the collapse of the Soviet Union, at some point, Russia stopped funding the Cuban dictatorship.
00:22:47.980These are the people advising the regime as to what to do to deal with the opposition and to purge the military and things like that.
00:22:56.340But Venezuela was already in a situation where they have where they have lost their economic freedom and their per capita incomes as compared to other countries in Latin America started to fall dramatically.
00:23:09.820And while Chile embraced free market reforms, especially influenced by the Chicago School of Economics, Milton Friedman and Arnold Harberger, George Stigler and people like that.
00:23:20.820And we became the wealthiest country in per capita terms in Latin America.
00:23:26.060And so you can see that in the 70s, Chile was at the bottom of the economic freedom ranking.
00:23:33.140We went up to the top, even top 10 at some point, and we became the wealthiest country in Latin America.
00:23:56.400So the Nordic countries are really on the top countries in terms of economic freedom.
00:24:02.880These are not really socialist countries.
00:24:05.260And I remember Bernie Sanders saying this all the time, and he got a response.
00:24:09.720I think it was the prime minister from Sweden who told him, we are not socialists.
00:24:14.800You have corporate tax in Sweden that is lower than in the United States, more or less, in some of these Nordic countries.
00:24:22.120So what they do is they tax very heavily personal income, right?
00:24:26.500And this is, I don't like it because you have lots of human capital flights, people who are very qualified who go to the United States for other parts.
00:24:34.640But still, they're very productive countries, and they have very large degrees of economic freedom.
00:24:40.380And economic freedom means free trade, stable currency, protection of property rights, reasonable size of government, and so on.
00:24:47.920So it is the social democracy like Anthony Giddens type of social democracy, what Tony Blair and Bill Clinton were at the time at some point, or German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, who made all the reforms in Germany, allowing Germany in the 2000s to then experience a boom, an economic boom that Merkel benefited from that.
00:25:12.120Okay, so, but here, what we have is the extreme far-left experiments that are very anti-capitalist.
00:25:20.400And this is what you see in Venezuela now, is the consolidation of this ideology.
00:25:28.460We have to remember that Maduro was chosen by Chavez as his successor.
00:25:32.780And the reason for this was that Maduro, compared to Diosdado Cabello, who is another criminal and one of the main leaders of this Soles cartel, Maduro is a doctrinaire.
00:25:48.700And he was foreign and first minister to the Chavez administration.
00:25:51.680And he was instrumental in building up the whole network of Venezuela and the Chavismo on an international level, in Europe, in Asia, in different parts.
00:26:07.580And Chavez aligned himself very rapidly with Russia and with Iran and with China.
00:26:13.520So, this is part of the Cold War 2.0 that we are experiencing.
00:27:14.900Everywhere you go and you see what the socialists, when they implement this system, and again, I don't mean the Nordic type of welfare state, which is not socialism, not real socialism, at least.
00:27:25.680They destroy the country where they run it.
00:27:30.280You can see it in Eastern Germany as compared to Western Germany during the Cold War.
00:27:35.440It was a very poor country compared to Western Germany, and so on.
00:27:38.400I mean, everyone knows the different examples.
00:27:40.540North Korea, South Korea, and so on and so forth.
00:27:43.100But it's important to remember that Fidel Castro Cuba and Russia, Vladimir Putin, and Iran, Hezbollah, are behind Maduro.
00:27:55.620I have to stress this because this is not only a Venezuelan problem.
00:28:01.060This is going to be a crucial problem for the United States and for national security in the United States.
00:28:07.260Well, let's dig into that one of the other—so there's three, four things I'd like to cover as we move forward right now.
00:28:15.880I want to talk more about the opposition in Venezuela and what you think people outside Venezuela can do to aid the opposition.
00:28:25.100I want to talk about the ordinary life of the typical Venezuelan now.
00:28:28.640I want to talk about where that trillion dollars went, and maybe we can do that while talking about your claim, for example, that the Maduro government has basically also become a narco-dictatorship.
00:28:42.360Now, you know, you made a variety of extremely serious allegations, the misuse of a trillion dollars certainly being one of them.
00:28:50.620But then you also said, well, the Maduro government is in bed with the narco-cartels.
00:28:56.520And see, I don't think people in North America exactly understand what that means or exactly how nefarious those cartels are and what a danger they pose, well, to the stability of the entire Western Hemisphere.
00:29:10.060But then you also added to that the fact that Maduro is in cahoots with, well, Cuba, Iran, Russia, and then Hezbollah.
00:29:20.560And so this is a lot for people to digest because it sounds like a stew generated by a conspiracy theorist in a sense, right?
00:29:31.140Because there's almost nothing that is bad that you're not accusing the Maduro government of participating in.
00:29:40.880And so the easiest thing for a listener to do is to just say no to all that.
00:29:46.980So we should walk through those issues one by one.
00:29:50.420I guess the thing I'm most curious about to begin with, let's do it in this order.
00:29:55.060What the hell happened to a trillion dollars?
00:33:56.580And then he, of course, used the muscle of the intelligence services of Cuba to purge the military as much as he could.
00:34:03.400But he was never entirely sure that there would not be traitors within the army.
00:34:07.980So he created the Circulos Bolivarianos, which are armed.
00:34:11.280And these are the guys, by the way, that you see nowadays in the videos, in the videos, attacking Venezuelans from the opposition who are just protesting on the streets.
00:34:22.920They are taking them in and torturing them.
00:34:24.680And most of the people doing the dirty job are these Circulos Bolivarianos, which is the Bolivarian Circles, you know.
00:34:34.040And so that's a lot of money that went there also.
00:34:39.720And, you know, you can squander wealth with no end.
00:34:42.860I mean, if you are supporting other countries and you want to install regimes all over Latin America that are favorable to you,
00:34:51.540I mean, a trillion dollars is not even a lot of money, you know.
00:34:56.020But the worst part, and I finish the point with this, is that we saw people all over the West in the 2000s,
00:35:03.000when it was already clear that Chávez was a dictator, that he was completely undermining the separation of powers.
00:35:09.540He was imprisoning the opposition and he was violating human rights and so on.
00:35:15.100We saw very famous people like Joseph Stieglitz, for instance, coming to Venezuela and praising Chávez for what he was doing.
00:35:24.960And he did the same, by the way, with Kirchner's, with Fidel Castro.
00:35:30.020He has been a longtime supporter of the Castro dictatorship.
00:35:33.540And he now writes books called The Road to Freedom and pretends to be the savior of the West or the killer or the undertaker of neoliberalism or something like that.
00:35:44.320But you could read the New York Times, you could read different BBC, you could see different news media outlets or even on television.
00:35:54.500They were sympathetic to Chávez when he started doing this and it was already clear where he was going.
00:36:01.040So I share the frustration of the Venezuelan friends in the resistance because the West has not shown, you know, one standard for everyone.
00:36:12.000When it's the leftist, they support them or they turn a blind eye to what they do.
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00:37:55.620Okay, so let's talk about, let's move from that.
00:38:03.400So you accounted for a fair bit of the spending.
00:38:06.300A lot of it has disappeared into the pockets of corrupt politicians.
00:38:10.820You see exactly the same thing, for example, with the Palestinian leadership.
00:38:14.960All of those people end up with billions of dollars in their accounts.
00:38:18.240And so that's appalling beyond comprehension.
00:38:20.860They sacrifice their own people and they often live elsewhere.
00:38:26.220And so the socialist redistribution of wealth ends up meaning that everyone's much more poor than they used to be,
00:38:32.180except the small minority of people who have power instead of the evil capitalists.
00:38:37.000And they have untold wealth at their fingertips.
00:38:39.960And then you also said the money was distributed around South America and Central America to destabilize and to promote revolution and maybe elsewhere in the world as well.
00:38:52.040Okay, so and that you can spend an awful lot of money doing that and cause an awful lot of trouble.
00:38:57.040And you also pointed out that that's been aided and abetted by the, what would you call them, useful idiots of the Western media.
00:39:38.380This is, you can see in very serious media, you can read articles about this.
00:39:44.300So the United States, they know about this, about the Iran connection, about the, you know, the drug cartels and so on and so forth.
00:39:53.020But, you know, now in Latin America, because this is including Mexico, we have a problem that more and more the cartels are taking over politics and you don't need to do the revolution.
00:40:09.480And actually, this is really interesting.
00:40:11.840Chavez used to be a proponent of what he called 21st century socialism.
00:40:25.160After the fall, the fall of the Berlin Wall, they came all together in Brazil, you know, the Sao Paulo Forum with Lula and so on.
00:40:32.800And they said, OK, we are going to use democracy.
00:40:35.400We are going to use democracy in order to create a socialist system.
00:40:41.300We are not going to fight a revolutionary war necessarily, but we are going to use it in order to come to power.
00:40:48.660And then once we are there, we establish our system and we never leave.
00:40:53.020If we can, if we can avoid to leave, we are going to stay.
00:40:56.500OK, so the cartels have been playing an important role in this because at some point Chavez needed them and he offered refuge to the Colombian cartels from the attacks that the Uribe administration was engaging in.
00:41:17.320And they would come into Venezuelan territory and they would come into Venezuelan territory and Chavez would protect them.
00:41:22.240And the Colombian army couldn't go into Venezuelan territory because that would have meant a proper war with the Venezuelan army.
00:41:29.620So they started with that and the cartels also started channeling money to the regime.
00:41:38.540And at some point, the regime itself, especially with Diosdado Cabello, who is a very high up in the Maduro administration, became a cartel boss.
00:41:51.680Now you have regions in Venezuela, but also in Mexico, in Mexico, for instance, 30 percent of the Mexican territory is controlled by the cartels, 30 percent.
00:42:02.000In Venezuela, you have complete regions, complete states that are being run by the cartels.
00:42:09.800OK, and and now we have a country like Chile that used to be a safe country, like the most advanced country.
00:42:16.880The cartels are taking over complete regions of the country with their guns and so on.
00:42:23.220Now, these cartels have, again, connections with Hezbollah.
00:42:28.680And Hezbollah is creating now in Bolivia, which is also a far left administration and which is a big producer of coke, Bolivia.
00:42:40.820They are creating or establishing facilities to produce drones that are for military purposes.
00:42:50.780But also, we have to remember that Bolivia and Venezuela, I know this for a fact in Venezuela, but I think it's also true for Bolivia.
00:42:56.880They have uranium, which is important for the Iranians, for the nuclear program that Iran wants to develop.
00:43:03.520So the cartels have become a source of funding.
00:43:06.600They have become the government in the case of Venezuela, and they don't want to lose their business model.
00:43:15.600And that's why I think they are not going to accept the transition to democracy in Venezuela, but they are destabilizing the whole of Latin America because they are a business.
00:43:27.120They are expanding everywhere they can in order to make more profits.
00:43:31.140And a country like Chile, for instance, which used to be free from this problem, now has become the third largest exporter of cocaine to Europe because we are integrated with the rest of the world.
00:43:45.820We have many free trade agreements, and so you have ships here that go everywhere, and we have basically no control on the border with Peru and Bolivia.
00:43:56.720And so they bring all this cocaine through the northern border, and then they export it via the Chilean ports to the United States, to Europe, and everywhere.
00:44:05.500And so this is corrupting everything in Latin America.
00:44:10.780And I've heard, and I think this is in the media also, that the Trendaragua, which is, you know, one of these cartels and organized crime groups, are also operating in New York and other cities in the United States.
00:44:34.200We are becoming a narco region, or a region controlled by the narcos, and politicians are working for the narcos.
00:44:42.280And the problem with this is that Iran, Russia, and China, they don't care about this.
00:44:46.700They just use these cartels, or the connections with the cartels, for their own purposes.
00:44:53.100And that's why you see the first countries recognizing Maduro's fraud, saying that he was democratically elected, were China, Russia, and Iran, these three countries.
00:45:05.200Okay, so let's speak to something more practical and psychological for a moment.
00:45:13.200So many people who are watching and listening will be wondering, at least in some corner of their imagination, why the hell they should care.
00:45:21.320You know, there's lots of things that are besetting the typical American voter at the moment.
00:45:28.640The situation in the United States is far from stable.
00:45:31.340I would say the same thing about Canada.
00:45:33.260There are many catastrophes and looming catastrophes to be concerned about.
00:45:39.160And what happens typically is that anything to do with South and Central America takes a pretty, it takes a backseat, to say the least.
00:45:49.940So, I mean, when we met in Chile, you were obviously interested in pursuing this conversation, as I was.
00:45:58.060And what would you say to people who are listening in the United States and Canada, let's say, and elsewhere in the world, about why they should care about what's happening with regards to China and Iran and Russia in South America and the cartels?
00:46:12.180I mean, South America has always been a relatively unstable place from the perspective of the northern west.
00:46:18.140And in some ways, this is par for the course.
00:46:23.180I mean, the Cold War is being played out in a manner similar to this for as long as I can possibly remember.
00:46:31.300What is it that you want to bring to the attention of the typical person in Canada and the U.S. with regards to what's happening down south?
00:46:42.560Well, you know, the thing is that the United States used to care a lot about Latin America, a lot.
00:46:49.440During the Cold War, they intervened every country in order to prevent them from becoming communists and Soviet-line countries.
00:46:57.600Because the KGB back then had the theory that the Cold War would be won in the Third World, basically.
00:47:06.240And Henry Kissinger, for instance, when Salvador Allende in Chile was elected in 1970, he was the first Marxist president ever democratically elected in history.
00:47:18.760And Henry Kissinger said, and I'm quoting him literally, the Allende election is the greatest threat that has occurred in the Western Hemisphere in a long time.
00:47:31.960Because he understood that, you know, this could have a domino effect.
00:47:36.020Other countries would follow, not only in Latin America, but also in Europe.
00:47:39.120But now you have the following problem.
00:47:42.220The United States, after September 11th, the country completely forgot about Latin America.
00:47:47.840We don't exist anymore, okay, for them in terms of foreign policy.
00:47:53.140If September 11th would not have happened, I think the history of Latin America would be completely different right now.
00:48:01.720So they forgot about us, and now they have Russia, and they have China, and they have other problems that are, they look more important than Latin America.
00:48:08.820But the thing is that the main migration force in the United States are Latinos.
00:48:13.640Latinos, and if the continent continues to destabilize, because of narco cartels, because of people like Maduro and so on, you will have millions more people coming into the United States.
00:48:28.160And among them, you will have the Iranian Hezbollah people and so on and so forth.
00:48:34.340So from that point of view, it is really important for national security.
00:48:38.080And then, when they are in the United States, Latinos tend to favor the Democratic Party.
00:48:46.780Two-thirds of Latinos, they vote for the Democratic Party.
00:48:51.000I think this is changing a little bit, but not enough.
00:48:53.260So if you have a change, a substantial change in the demographics in the United States, and we know this is happening, this will have a political impact that is really, really, will be very substantial.
00:49:09.660Why do Latinos vote for the Democratic Party?
00:49:12.560Because when we emigrate today to the United States, we bring our belief systems with us.
00:49:18.160It's not like because we're in the U.S., suddenly we love Thomas Jefferson.
00:49:35.820And most people hate Maduro, for instance, the Venezuelans who have escaped.
00:49:39.620But the point is that if I was an American, I would be worried that the cultural landscape in my country would be changing so much because of this migration force that is coming into the United States,
00:49:56.220that at some point it will be politically unmanageable for someone who wants to keep your country the way it was in terms of, you know, the ideas, the institution, limited government, and so on.
00:50:06.200So, which is when they speak about the purple states, people moving from California to Texas, for instance.
00:50:15.260And they tell them, don't vote for what you're left for, you know?
00:50:20.800But it's the same with Latinos going into the United States.
00:50:26.280And it is really important to have a stable region so you don't have these influxes of people coming into your country first.
00:50:34.140But then also because it poses, as I said, a risk for national security.
00:50:39.700And on top of that, geopolitically, Latin America is extremely important in this Second World War because supply chains are de-globalizing now.
00:50:51.400You know, you have this trade war going on with China.
00:50:53.900And you need countries where you can produce your stuff.
00:51:14.320And Americans are looking the other way.
00:51:17.340So I think this is not, this is the backyard.
00:51:20.440There is a reason why you had the Monroe Doctrine at some point in 1832, when they said, okay, we are not intervening in Latin America.
00:51:30.000We will not accept any foreign power also going to Latin America and intervening there and, you know, having this region as their sphere of influence.
00:51:39.840But the Monroe Doctrine seems not to exist anymore.
00:51:45.960For most of its history, the United States has really cared about Latin America because they understood how important it was for them, for their national security and for their national interest.
00:51:54.580Well, I think we made the great mistake in the West of assuming that because the Soviet Union collapsed, the victory over the ideology that it made manifest was not only complete, but in some ways self-evident, right?
00:52:15.460Victory had been attained, the end of history, let's say.
00:52:17.940And it turns out that the spirit of envious, of the envious radicals was in no real way diminished by the cataclysmic catastrophe of the Soviet Union.
00:52:33.900In fact, to some degree, quite the opposite.
00:52:36.480Because when I was younger and the Soviet Union was still in full operation, you could point to the Soviet Union as an object lesson in the dangers of an anti-free market ideology.
00:52:53.320But now the Soviet Union has disappeared.
00:52:55.900And so it's much more difficult to point to something that's happening right now.
00:53:01.780Well, you could point to Venezuela, you can point to North Korea, but they're economies that didn't have the scale or the presence, obviously, of the Soviet Union.
00:53:10.460And so all of this has gone back underground that the attractiveness of the communist revolutionary ideas hasn't seemed to diminish at all.
00:53:21.960So now your point is, okay, so let's summarize this.
00:53:25.520Well, it's probably not a good idea to distribute a trillion dollars to radical leftist utopian criminal dictatorships all over South America and the world.
00:53:35.580That seems like a bad idea if you're trying to maintain a certain degree of stability, even in your own country.
00:53:41.520That manifests itself in all manner of economic collapse.
00:53:46.860We've seen tremendous pressure on the American border, and by all appearances, especially if Kamala Harris wins, however that might play itself out, that's only going to get worse.
00:53:57.740And so the idea that the U.S. and Canada, by implication, can separate themselves from the geopolitical occurrences in South America, that's a fool's delusion.
00:54:13.900And that's especially the case if it's Venezuela with all that oil money, let's say, and oil that the rest of the world needs, is in bed not only with the narco cartels, who are brutal criminals beyond the comprehension of any normal person to imagine, but also simultaneously in bed with Iran, which is one seriously bad actor, Russia, which is basically at war with the West, and China, which is the biggest threat to freedom that the world has ever seen since the Soviet Union.
00:54:42.560And so that's all playing itself out in South America and driving migration northward.
00:54:49.420And I would add, in the end, Jordan, if China, Iran, and Russia, your main enemies of the Western world, really care about Latin America, you should too.
00:55:00.580You know, because they are, you know, because they are here, they are involved in these countries, they are investing tons of money, at least the Chinese, Russia is sending effectives, even the Wagner group has been seen in Venezuela.
00:55:13.840They know that they need strongholds close to the United States, and they want to destabilize the region because they also know that this destabilizes the United States.
00:55:25.540And so, I mean, it is so obvious, but I don't know.
00:55:32.740Even in the conservative movement in the U.S., this is not understood.
00:55:38.180I think someone like Marco Rubio understands this very well, or maybe Ted Cruz, but I think the traditional Republican politicians, they don't understand this.
00:55:48.920They don't see how big of a threat we can become if China and Russia and Iran, they take over these countries.
00:55:56.740And, by the way, we have some of the largest reserves in natural gas in the world, copper, lithium, silver, gold, whatever, oil, all these things you have here.
00:56:12.000And manufacturing capacity in Latin America is also very strong, and you will need that at some point.
00:56:18.180And we are a relatively young population still in Latin America, as compared to Europe or even the United States or Canada, who are growing old very rapidly.
00:56:28.580So, for all of these reasons, I think it's not a smart move to just ignore what's going on in your backyard.
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01:00:01.820I was sold, and that's one of the reasons why I've never been back to Venezuela since last time I was there, 2014.
01:00:07.600Even if I'm not really relevant within the country, but because I have argued against the Maduro regime in different media all over the West,
01:00:14.580probably at least in the United States and Latin America and Spain, I'm not welcome.
01:00:19.800So imagine people who are living there.
01:00:22.820My friends are hiding from the regime.
01:00:26.140You have many families that have been torn apart, completely destroyed.
01:00:32.860Because, you know, let me tell you also an anecdote that is really interesting for the audience.
01:00:38.360I was once in Miami, and I took an Uber.
01:00:40.260And I started talking to the driver, and I thought that he was very well-educated and really intellectual, like more than the normal.
01:00:52.560He knew a lot about law, for instance.
01:00:55.140And I said, what did you do back in Venezuela?
01:00:58.020I was a minister of the Supreme Court in Venezuela, a member of the Supreme Court of Justice in Venezuela.
01:01:46.240And so I don't know how this is going to look like.
01:01:49.300But if the Biden administration does not convince Maduro and the regime to transition back to democracy, you will maybe have a bloodbath even worse than the one you have now.
01:02:07.100By the way, a point that is important.
01:02:09.340And Chavez, when he was in government, he disarmed the Venezuelan population.
01:02:16.360He banned guns for every citizen in Venezuela.
01:02:20.240The only people who could have guns were his thugs, basically, and the Circulos Bolivarianos, the parallel army groups that they have funded and they were financing.
01:02:34.020And so now you have a situation where Venezuelans don't have even a pistol to defend themselves from these hordes of assassins that their regime is sending to kill them or to imprison them.
01:02:47.860And they have over 2,000 people in the last weeks have been imprisoned.
01:02:51.420Mostly young people who want a better future.
01:02:54.640So this is what Venezuela looks like right now.
01:03:10.640And it's difficult from the outside to understand because tell me how the last election, who was put forward as opposition in the last election?
01:03:24.580And what, well, what can people from the outside do to shed light on this and to help?
01:03:31.060Well, Maria Corina Machado has been the main opposition leader for over a decade, I would say, even a decade and a half.
01:03:39.540Even if at some point in 2013, for instance, after Chávez died, you had an election where Enrique Capriles lost by a small margin to Maduro.
01:03:54.520This is not the first time that this happens.
01:03:56.640And so, and the reason is because the system in Venezuela, it requires that you have sort of an ID and you go and vote, but the system is not integrated.
01:04:11.540So in the sense that you can, with different IDs, you can vote in different parts.
01:04:16.700So one member of the government got like, let's say, a hundred IDs and he could go to a hundred different places and vote for the same candidate.
01:04:24.580And this is the way they stole the last election in 2013.
01:04:28.640And back then, population wanted to rebel.
01:06:45.620I think she's sort of in hiding because the government wants to bring her in and to take her to, you know, to prison.
01:06:57.000So, but she has, she's very active on social media and she has showed her face on some public rallies.
01:07:05.800So, I think the government is in a situation where they don't really want to do this very publicly because they could upset the world and the people in Venezuela even more than they are right now.
01:07:19.000So, it's a problem for them because she's too symbolic.
01:07:22.240Like, they are not going to probably go after her where everyone is looking or watching at her.
01:07:30.060I mean, this is probably not going to happen.
01:07:32.620But they would break into her house in the middle of the night or something like that.
01:07:36.960So, but I don't think they know where she is.
01:07:39.260So, but she's at risk, of course, and there are some orders that were given by the government to detain her.
01:07:48.480So, I think it's a very dangerous situation for her.
01:07:56.300And as long as some regimes like the Biden administration keeps pushing for a democratic transition, maybe she has a chance.
01:08:04.200But we have communists or socialists, let's say far-left presidents in Colombia, Mexico, and Brazil.
01:08:13.340And they are in bed with Maduro also, to some extent.
01:08:17.440And they are sort of protecting Maduro.
01:08:20.020They are not really pushing Maduro to accept that he lost and then just rule the country until January, which is the date where he should leave the presidency and accept Eduardo Gonzalez as the next president.
01:08:38.300But this is a life or death situation for Maria Corina and most of the opposition leaders.
01:08:43.600As I said, one of her right hands, a friend of mine, was taken to prison by the armed forces or by members of the dictatorship.
01:08:57.940So, what is it about her that's made her a popular figure?
01:09:03.080I'd like to know some more about her background and also, you know, why she doesn't quit.
01:09:09.920Now, you explained, at least to some degree, why she's still alive.
01:09:14.740You believe that it would be a scandal of such preposterous magnitude if there was something that happened to her,
01:09:20.360that the Maduro regime is afraid that would turn international attention on them with sufficient drama to actually be a threat to the continued stability of their regime.
01:09:34.020So, she's protected insofar as that's the case.
01:09:40.800You know, you mentioned yourself earlier in this podcast that she's being tarred and feathered like anybody who isn't a communist for being far right now because that's happening everywhere.
01:09:50.960And so, but again, you know, people, the far right epithet is a very effective one.
01:09:57.920And it doesn't take much agitation, especially from the mainstream press, in order to make that accusation stick.
01:10:05.940And so, it's clear that to the degree that you're trustworthy, you trust Maria Corina.
01:10:13.200Tell us about her so that people have some sense of who it is that is standing in opposition to Maduro.
01:10:20.060So, I think that she's the most courageous woman.
01:10:25.380I think this is, maybe many people will think this is an overstatement, but I think this is, she's the most courageous woman in politics right now in the world.
01:10:34.380I cannot imagine someone with more courage than her, than hers.
01:10:38.940I mean, this is, I mean, she's unbelievably courageous and charismatic.
01:10:51.360And this is why the regime is so afraid of her.
01:10:54.400And she has managed to bring the whole opposition together and to create a movement of such magnitude in Venezuela that even the dictatorship with all the guns and so on is shaking.
01:11:08.660Because they are afraid that this is going to, in the end, you know, bring change in Venezuela.
01:11:17.160And her charisma is so powerful that even members of the armed forces have backed her.
01:11:24.140That's, by the way, one of the reasons why they had the access to the documents showing that they won the presidency.
01:11:31.860Because members in the military were leaking these documents to the opposition.
01:11:38.180And they have imprisoned over 100 soldiers are in prison and they humiliate them and they torture them and so on because they are behind Maria Corina and not behind Maduro.
01:11:49.260So, but she is in favor of free markets, which is not the case with most of the opposition in Venezuela.
01:11:58.180People might remember Leopoldo Lopez, who was in prison for a long time and it was a scandal all over the world.
01:12:08.480But I once gave a speech with Leopoldo Lopez's father in the European Parliament.
01:12:13.920And Leopoldo Lopez's father was defending socialism, which was, to me, was incredible.
01:12:19.540He was saying, no, socialism does not do what Chávez has done or what, and it's exactly the opposite is the case.
01:12:26.780And he was very naive when it came to this.
01:12:29.120And Enrique Capriles, the same thing, the last opposition leader before Guaidó, Enrique Capriles, who lost in 2013, the other day tweeted along these lines, like Chávez was the good guy and Maduro is the bad guy.
01:12:43.820Which is a narrative that the left is trying to create in order to save the socialist revolution in Venezuela.
01:12:52.260It's the same narrative they did with Lenin and Stalin.
01:12:55.320Oh, Lenin was a good guy, but Stalin was a criminal.
01:12:58.440Stalin was, you know, coming from the proletarian who didn't know anything and he was a criminal.
01:13:05.220They are doing the same with Chávez-Maduro.
01:13:09.060And to me, it was shocking that someone like Capriles, who is in the opposition and who wants regime change, would fall for this crap and this trap.
01:13:18.160So Maria Corina has never considered anything.
01:14:03.160That's why I'm saying she should get the Nobel Peace Prize.
01:14:09.060Really, because she's risking her life for millions of Venezuelans.
01:14:12.840And so you will never, and I hope you meet her one day, because you will never meet a woman with more, you know, not only courage, but also integrity.
01:14:43.660Well, let's see if we can make that happen.
01:14:46.280Yeah, I can try to help out with that, because people need to see her all over the world.
01:14:55.840Her fight is everyone's fight, people who believe in freedom, and especially Venezuela is such a dramatic case, because it was also the most stable democracy in Latin America for decades.
01:15:08.040Not only the most stable economy, but also the most stable democracy, which offers also a lesson, right?
01:15:15.780It's, I mean, it doesn't matter how well or how good your country looks like at some point in history.
01:15:51.220I mean, the UK is, what is going on there is really shocking to me.
01:15:56.240I'm a great admirer of the Anglo-Saxons, because as Montesquieu said, they have done more for liberty than any other people in the world.
01:16:03.520But now you see this totalitarian degeneration going on in the UK.
01:16:09.200And it's very scary, because the thing, Jordan, is that for us who grew up in Latin America, I also spent some time, my childhood in Germany and so on.
01:16:18.240But you could always say, okay, here the things don't look very, very, very well in terms of democracy and liberty, but you have the UK or you have Canada or you have the United States.
01:16:33.520But now, it's like everything, everywhere, you are having the same problems.
01:16:40.860Maybe not to the same degree, but you are having the same problems.
01:16:43.860You don't see people really defending freedom of speech in the UK as you would have seen probably 50 years ago or 40 years ago.
01:16:53.700You don't see the American political class celebrating the 4th of July as they used to do it, you know, 50 years ago or 40 years ago, because you have a part of the establishment that believes that they are an oppressive society that deserves to disappear.
01:17:09.900And they have replaced the founding myth of the United States, which was moral equality, basically, that was the founding myth of the United States, you know, all men are created equal and so on, by the noble savage myth, which is the founding myth of Latin America.
01:17:25.240The idea that you only have good people here, these indigenous peoples were pure hearted and they didn't know envy or jealousy or anything else.
01:17:35.520And then the Europeans came and they corrupted everything.
01:17:37.580And this is part of the reason why we have all these revolutions all the time, because this idea that we were corrupted by foreign powers, first Europe and then the United States, is a rhetoric that is being used over and over again by people like Chavez and others, in order to say we have to restore the original purity before capitalism, before exploitation, before private property, before all of that.
01:18:04.080And, and I see this development happening also in the United States, more and more with the woke movement, let's put it that way, and the incapacity of many Democrats to, even modern Democrats, to stop it and to face it, you know, and confront it as they should.
01:18:27.260That's why I'm very worried about the future of the West.
01:18:30.360I'm wondering, let, let me step sideways for a moment and, and, and then we'll return to our discussion about Venezuela and South America in general.
01:18:42.660You know, I, I don't think it's really appropriate now to conceptualize what's happening around the world, but particularly in the West, in political terms precisely, because it's something deeper than what's merely political.
01:18:56.420And one of the ideas I've been toying with, I'd like your opinion about it, is that the default human moral stance is probably left wing.
01:19:07.640You know, Ben Shapiro said something to me at one point, just off the cuff, that tangled its way into my thinking, and I suppose is one of the motivations for this idea, that with, he said he's a communist in his family.
01:19:21.780And so, you know, if you, if you have a family, if you have children, you're really hoping for something like, at least a part of you is hoping, especially when they're kids, for something like equality of outcome.
01:19:36.200You want everyone to do well, you're willing to intervene on the side of the person who's, you know, bearing what, who's not quite as successful at any given moment.
01:19:49.500You want to distribute resources as equitably as possible.
01:19:53.780You, you, your interaction with your children and your wife is based on essentially an ethos of care.
01:20:00.240But, you know, if you look at organizations that move beyond the scope of the family in size, that ethos of care and equitable care, let's say, doesn't scale well.
01:20:16.300And modern civilizations are not families.
01:20:19.640And here's, here's some proof of that from the psychological perspective.
01:20:25.300So the personality trait agreeableness is associated with maternal care, let's say.
01:20:31.920It's, it's the dimension of empathic, self-sacrificial care.
01:20:36.800And women are substantially higher in trait agreeableness across the world than men.
01:20:41.760What predicts success in a complex society on the personality side isn't agreeableness.
01:20:49.540In fact, managers who are more agreeable do worse because people take advantage of them.
01:20:55.780What predicts success on the personality side in a large-scale society is conscientiousness.
01:21:03.560And conscientiousness is dutifulness and industriousness and orderliness.
01:21:08.640And it's, it's, it's the ethos of hard work.
01:21:47.880Maybe it doesn't hold water because it's actually extremely difficult to socialize people so that they can take their place in a complex society without defaulting to the underlying ethos of familial care.
01:22:05.060You know, and so if you're a harsh and discriminating person, if you're very meritocratically oriented,
01:22:10.440if you say to someone, I don't give a damn about your feelings, it matters what sort of job you do, you know, you're a, you're a harsh voice.
01:22:18.440And you might be a necessary voice to keep civilization itself running, but that doesn't mean that you're necessarily an attractive voice,
01:22:26.580especially to people who think instinctively in terms of an ethos of care.
01:22:30.700And it's very, very easy to appeal to that.
01:22:33.820And so I think part of the problem, and then you might add to that another problem.
01:22:37.520So imagine that if you're driven by necessity, when times are hard, it becomes obvious that those who can should be allowed to do or should be pushed forward to do,
01:22:52.360that the meritocratic have to rise to the top because otherwise disaster looms.
01:22:57.020If you've been in a situation where economic security has been granted to you in some ways effortlessly for several generations even,
01:23:06.020it's also perhaps much easier to default to that ethos of care and to attend to the outliers in society who haven't served themselves well,
01:23:16.500but also perhaps haven't been served well by the conscientious ethos.
01:23:21.780And so I'm wondering about your thoughts of that, you know, like, because we usually think about this,
01:23:26.020well, some people have left-wing beliefs and some people have right-wing beliefs and that's the battlefield.
01:23:31.080It's like, I don't think that's a good level of analysis because I don't exactly think this is about ideas.
01:23:37.200I think the default human position might be equality of outcome in small groups and that you have to struggle against that mightily with your education system,
01:23:48.280maybe your moral system as a whole, to impose a meritocratic, like a cold virtue meritocracy on top of that.
01:23:56.500And obviously we haven't been doing a very good job of that.
01:24:00.340So I'm curious, you're well-versed in the Austrian school of economics.
01:24:04.720I'm wondering what you think of that kind of theorizing.
01:24:09.380And this is really interesting because Friedrich Hayek wrote a paper called The Mirage of Social Justice,
01:24:15.540where he argued exactly what you are saying.
01:24:17.820He said that this idea of social justice, that we had to, you know, redistribute wealth so everyone gets an equal share or in terms that guarantee the survival of the community.
01:24:33.440It's an idea that he attributes to our past for thousands of years.
01:24:40.540We were a small community, tribes, basically.
01:24:44.240We had this family ethos, the care ethos, and it was the way to survive.
01:24:49.080But we were communities only of a couple of dozen people or maybe over a hundred, but not more than that.
01:24:55.160You knew everyone, and this is the instinct, he says, we evolved in this type of environment.
01:25:06.140And so socialism, in the end, wants to apply this moral instinct to what he called the complex society, the larger society, you know, which is civilization, basically.
01:25:19.860And that's why you have this regression towards tribalism, and you have it with socialism and communism and with nationalism.
01:25:29.620When nationalism is exacerbated like the Nazis did in Germany, then you go back to the tribe and you feel protected by the tribe.
01:25:36.380And you have this unifying rhetoric and this identity, and you are, you know, like you are, again, like this organism and you are part of a whole.
01:25:46.060You are not just an individual looking for yourself.
01:25:48.300And this is the care ethics ethos that you were talking about.
01:25:52.280It's really interesting also because Gerald Cohen, who was a very famous Marxist, a professor at Oxford University, he said, he wrote the book, Why Not Socialism?
01:26:02.620And by socialism, he didn't mean Nordic type of welfare state or something like that.
01:26:08.000He meant like really equality of outcomes, more or less.
01:26:10.740And he said that the instinct, the socialist ideology or the socialist philosophy appealed to an instinct that was so ingrained in human nature that it was going to come back over and over and over again.
01:26:27.640So, so, so, so I fully agree with that analysis.
01:26:32.100And this is why civilization is so fragile.
01:26:34.060Okay, let me add two data points to that, okay, or three.
01:26:38.820So, we did a study in 2016 looking at personality and cognitive predictors of politically correct authoritarianism.
01:26:46.940So, that wouldn't be democratic socialism.
01:26:48.920That would be the far left authoritarian types.
01:26:51.520And the things that predicted it were low verbal intelligence, which was a walloping predictor.
01:26:57.780So, you could imagine it's a very simple narrative, right?
01:27:00.520There are victims and there are victimizers.
01:28:07.980And women between the ages of 18 and 34 are wildly discordant in their political views in relationship to everyone else.
01:28:15.960Now, 50% of them are also childless, right?
01:28:21.420So, so there's an element of the maternal instinct run amok on the political landscape because you could easily say,
01:28:28.160and I don't think that it's an exaggeration, and our empirical data supported that,
01:28:32.340is that that maternal instinct is going to find its target.
01:28:39.080It's, it's going to find its expression.
01:28:41.720If it doesn't find its expression within the confines of a family, where there's some real demand to take care of the,
01:28:50.340of those who are unable to take care of themselves, children, essentially, infants, primarily,
01:28:55.720then it's going to find its expression politically.
01:28:58.100And that can be exploited, as it certainly is by the Chinese and the Iranians on TikTok.
01:29:02.720And so the battle that we're engaged in politically, I believe, is better construed in the manner that we just described.
01:29:11.560It's, it's a, it's a battle between an instinctive orientation towards care and a higher order cognitive interpretation that's associated with conscientiousness
01:29:22.940that notes how complex systems, systems operate, and introduces a different standard,
01:29:29.400which would essentially be something like the, the cold-hearted meritocratic standard.
01:29:34.780Viking, committed to exploring the world in comfort.
01:29:38.380Journey through the heart of Europe on an elegant Viking longship.
01:29:42.380With thoughtful service, cultural enrichment, and all-inclusive affairs.
01:30:26.560And, and with its turning to both Bitcoin, interestingly enough, and to the U.S. dollar.
01:30:32.620So, I'm, what, let's start with Argentina.
01:30:37.400So, what are your views on what's, what is happening in Argentina?
01:30:41.360Like, what Malay is doing, is that, is that being, is that producing any success on economic grounds?
01:30:47.620Because it's very difficult to sort out the wheat from the chaff in terms of anything approximating legacy media coverage of Argentina.
01:30:54.960Well, well, I have to disclose here that I'm a good friend of Malay and we have been working for the cause of freedom in Latin America for 10 years together.
01:31:06.980So, what is happening in Argentina is the most fascinating and interesting thing that I've seen, of course, in my lifetime,
01:31:13.920but also, I think, in the last half a century, because what, what is really taking place is a cultural revolution in, in a positive sense, not the, not the Chinese type of Maoist type of cultural revolution.
01:31:27.740But Argentina was the wealthiest country in the world in 1896, with highest per capita income in the world.
01:31:37.020We had a constitution in place, the 1853 constitution that was designed by Juan Bautista Alberti, who was an admirer of the founding fathers of the United States.
01:31:47.520He was a classical liberal, conservative classical liberal.
01:31:50.700He believed that the government had to be limited.
01:31:52.720And he, he saw in the French revolutionary tradition of people like Jean-Jacques Rousseau, one of the main reasons why Latin America was not prosperous enough.
01:32:05.580And because we expected, expected everything from an omnipotent government.
01:32:09.720He actually has an article called Omnipotent Government.
01:32:13.280And he said the Americans, on the other hand, they, they, they expect from government, nothing.
01:32:23.400And after that, Argentina became the most successful country in the world, in terms of per capita income.
01:32:29.980But if you went to 1914, you had half of the population in Buenos Aires was born, not in Buenos Aires, where there were foreigners coming from Europe.
01:32:39.200So it was a legitimate question to ask yourself, are we emigrating to the United States or to Argentina in the late 19th century?
01:32:48.280And this is why also the Argentinian population looks so European in general.
01:32:52.000And you had in the last World Cup, all this nonsensical article saying, well, why there are no black people in the soccer team in Argentina and so on.
01:32:59.680This is, and, and, and it's this very European population.
01:33:03.820But in the 20s and 30s, and then especially 40s with Juan Domingo Perón, who was a fascist general, a collectivist fascist general, admirer of Mussolini.
01:33:14.340He had met Mussolini actually in Italy, but he was anti-communist at the same time.
01:33:18.700He didn't want the central plan economy for, you know, the whole thing, but he, he wanted the corporatist type of very corrupt economy.
01:33:25.840And then they, they changed dramatically the institutions and Argentina became a declining nation and a poor nation compared to the rest of the world, at least the developed world.
01:33:48.980Um, so we managed to transform dramatically the mindset, especially of young people in Argentina, you're allowed to vote with 16.
01:33:58.040So between 16 and 24, Millet got 70% of the votes, 70%.
01:34:03.440And, uh, this, this, uh, young people, uh, forced the change towards, uh, Millet above very, uh, hardcore radical free market, uh, regime, but not because people were upset.
01:34:18.640Because inflation was so high and so on.
01:34:33.360Well, a lot of going to medias, giving interviews, especially social media, TikTok, uh, Instagram, and YouTube were crucial to change the mentality of millions of people.
01:34:44.160And of course the style, Millet has a charisma, uh, a style that is very, uh, you know, eccentric, let's put it that way.
01:35:12.480He said, you know, all, all of the, I mean, the last years that he has been on television over the last five, six years, he has been saying what was going to happen and what it takes to fix it.
01:35:23.240Everything came as he predicted, and now he's in government, he has brought down inflation from over 25% a month to less than 4%.
01:35:32.900Uh, you know, uh, you know, the inflation in, in terms of, um, goods, um, to food, it's not, it's 0%.
01:35:43.580So 0% food inflation, then you have, uh, fiscal, fiscal surplus since, since January, since he came to power, you have a fiscal surplus every month, a consecutive, uh, uh, way.
01:35:57.720And then, uh, you are starting to see a little bit of a reactivation of the economy, um, because you, you, you first had to deal with inflation.
01:36:09.300They were on the verge of a hyperinflation.
01:36:11.380If Millet had not come to power, you would have inflation at over 15,000% in Argentina right now.
01:36:23.060Um, and he has been a very skillful politician because he doesn't have majority in Congress, but even so Congress has passed after several negotiations and failed attempts to pass.
01:36:35.200But the Bases Law, which is a law that dramatically changes the structure of Argentinian economy, which is really a rent-seeking society.
01:36:43.920It's really, you know, a corporate interest, uh, in bed with the politicians and exploiting everyone else for their own benefit.
01:36:54.480Let's, we, we've got another half an hour to, to talk on the Daily Wire side.
01:36:59.520I think, why don't we delve more deeply into what's happening in Argentina and also to give some consideration to that as a model for what could occur in South America more generally if the leftist utopian tide could be stemmed.
01:37:15.720So, if, does that seem reasonable to you?
01:37:20.680So for everybody in watching and listening, most of you know that I do an additional half an hour with my guests on, on the Daily Wire platform.